CALIX, INC (CALX)

ITEM 2.Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

This report includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Exchange Act. All statements other than statements of historical facts are “forward-looking statements” for purposes of these provisions, including any projections of earnings, revenue or other financial items, any statement of or concerning the following: the plans and objectives of management for future operations, proposed new products or licensing, product development, anticipated customer demand or capital expenditures, anticipated growth and trends in our business and industry, future economic and/or market conditions or performance and assumptions underlying any of the above. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of terminology such as “could,” “may,” “will,” “would,” “expects,” “believes,” “intends,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “estimates,” “projects,” “predicts,” “potential” or “continue” or the negative thereof or other comparable terminology. Readers are cautioned that these forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements contained herein are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations or any of the forward-looking statements will prove to be correct, and actual results could differ materially from those projected or assumed in the forward-looking statements. Our future financial condition and results of operations, as well as any forward-looking statements, are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, including those identified in the Risk Factors discussed in Part II, Item 1A, of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, as well as in other sections of this report and in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. All forward-looking statements and reasons why results may differ included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q are made as of the date hereof, and we assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements or reasons why actual results might differ.

Overview

We develop, market and sell platform, cloud and managed services, which are powered by agentic AI, that enable communications service providers (“CSPs”) providers of all types and sizes to innovate and transform their businesses to focus on delivering outstanding subscriber experiences and become communication experience providers’ (“CXPs”). The platform combines the Calix Agent Workforce™ with intelligent appliances, software, cloud and fully integrated SmartLife™ managed services to enable simplified business models that acquire, retain and grow subscribers and revenue. Calix Customer Success guides service providers through every stage of their transformation journey with expertise across technology, business and market insights. Our partner community extends innovation so customers can grow their businesses across markets at scale. With deep broadband expertise and an end-to-end approach from the datacenters’ access edge to every residential, business and municipal subscriber location, Calix enables any service provider to simplify operations, engagement and service; innovate for their subscribers; and grow value for members, investors and the communities they serve. This focus on subscriber experience allows CXPs to expand their brand through increased subscriber acquisition, loyalty and revenue while reducing their operating costs.

We market our platform, cloud and managed services to CSPs globally through our direct sales force as well as select resellers. Our customers range from smaller, regional service providers to some of the world’s largest service providers. We have approximately 1,600 active customers that have deployed passive optical, Active Ethernet or point-to-point Ethernet fiber access networks or our subscriber premise appliances.

Our revenue and potential revenue growth will depend on, among other things, our ability to develop, market and sell our platform and managed services to strategically aligned customers of all types such as managed service providers (“MSPs”), local and competitive exchange carriers, cable multiple system operators (“MSOs”), wireless internet service providers (“WISPs”), fiber overbuilders such as municipalities, electric cooperatives, tribal communities, multiple dwelling units (“MDUs”) and hospitality providers in the U.S. and internationally. Our growth is also highly dependent on the speed and willingness of customers to adopt our platform and managed services.

Revenue fluctuations result from many factors, including, but not limited to: increases or decreases in customer orders for our products and services, global economic and geopolitical events and conditions, including tariffs (and certainty related to the enforceability thereof), trade controls, inflation, economic downturns and market, financial or other factors such as government stimulus or shutdowns that may delay or materially impact customer purchasing decisions, non-availability of products due to supply chain challenges, including component and labor shortages and increasing lead times as well as disruptions as a result of pandemics or natural disasters, contractual terms with customers that result in delayed revenue recognition and varying budget cycles and seasonal buying patterns of our customers. More specifically, our customers have in the past spent less in the first quarter as they are finalizing their annual budgets, and in certain regions, customers are challenged by winter weather conditions that inhibit fiber deployment in outside infrastructure. Our revenue is also dependent upon our customers’ success in growing their subscribers, timing of purchases, capital expenditure plans and decisions to upgrade their networks or adopt new technologies, including adoption of our software and cloud platform solutions, as well as our ability to grow our customer base.

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Cost of revenue is strongly correlated to revenue and tends to fluctuate due to all the above factors that may cause revenue fluctuations. Factors that have impacted our cost of revenue, or that we expect may impact cost of revenue in future periods, also include: changes in the mix of products delivered, customer location and regional mix, changes in the cost of our inventory, investments to support expansion of cloud and customer support offerings as well as our customer success organization, changes in product warranty, incurrence of retrofit costs, amortization of intangibles, allowances for obligations to our suppliers and inventory write-downs. Factors that we expect may impact our cost of revenue in future periods include the same factors in the prior quarter, changes in trade policies and increased memory component prices due to shortages caused by the large scale build out of AI infrastructure. Regarding trade policies, in February 2026, The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the broad tariffs implemented under International Emergency Economic Powers Act (“IEEPA”) exceeded the administration’s authority and eliminated those tariffs. We did not experience a significant financial impact as a result of the ruling because the majority of our finished goods are exempt from tariffs. For imported components for domestic manufacturing and certain finished goods, the original tariff increased our cost of revenue but have since abated. We continue to evaluate the actions we may be able to take to mitigate such costs as we monitor and navigate this challenging and dynamic operating environment. In addition, we periodically ship by air versus by ocean to meet delivery commitments to our customers, which is more costly. Cost of revenue also includes fixed expenses related to our internal operations, which could increase our cost of revenue as a percentage of revenue if our revenue declines.

Our gross profit and gross margin fluctuate based on timing of factors such as changes in customer mix and changes in the mix of products demanded and sold (and any related write-downs of existing inventory or accrual for supplier commitments) and have in the past been and may be negatively impacted by increases in mix of revenue from channel sales rather than direct sales or other unfavorable customer or product mix, shipment volumes and any related volume discounts, changes in our product and services costs, pricing decreases or discounts, new product introductions or upgrades to existing products, customer rebates and incentive programs due to competitive pressure or materials shortages, supply constraints, investments to support expansion of cloud and customer support offerings, tariffs or unfavorable changes in trade policies.

Our operating expenses fluctuate based on the following factors among others: changes in headcount and personnel costs, which comprise a significant portion of our operating expenses; variable compensation due to fluctuations in shipment volumes or level of achievement against performance targets; timing of research and development expenses, including investments in innovative solutions and new customer segments, prototype builds and outsourced development resources; investments in marketing programs; asset write-offs; investments in our business and information technology infrastructure; and fluctuations in stock-based compensation expenses due to timing of equity grants or other factors affecting vesting.

Further, as a result of factors contributing to the fluctuations described above among other factors, many of which are outside our control, our quarterly operating results fluctuate from period to period. Comparing our operating results on a period-to-period basis may not be meaningful, and you should not rely on our past results as an indication of our future performance.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These accounting principles require us to make certain estimates and judgments that can affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities as of the date of the financial statements, as well as the reported amounts of revenue and expenses during the periods presented. Management bases its estimates, assumptions and judgments on historical experience and on various other factors that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. To the extent there are material differences between these estimates and actual results, our financial statements may be affected. Our management evaluates its estimates, assumptions and judgments on an ongoing basis.

Our critical accounting policies and estimates, which are revenue recognition and inventory valuation and supplier purchase commitments, are described under “Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates” in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. For the six months ended June 27, 2026, there have been no significant changes in our critical accounting policies and estimates.

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

There have been no additional accounting pronouncements or changes in accounting pronouncements during the six months ended June 27, 2026 as compared with the recent accounting pronouncements described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 that are significant or expected to be significant to us.

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Results of Operations

Comparison of the Three and Six Months Ended June 27, 2026 and June 28, 2025

Revenue

The following table sets forth our revenue (dollars in thousands):

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ITEM 7.    Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and our future results that are subject to the safe harbors created under the Securities Act of 1933 (the “Securities Act”) and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”). All statements other than statements of historical facts are statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about the industry in which we operate and the beliefs and assumptions of our management. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “believe,” “could,” “expect,” “may,” “estimate,” “continue,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “should,” “plan,” “predict,” “will,” “would,” “project,” “potential,” or the negative thereof or other comparable terminology. In addition, any statements that refer to projections of our future financial performance, our anticipated growth and trends in our business and industry and other characterizations of future events or circumstances are forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that these forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict, including those identified in the Risk Factors discussed in Item 1A, in the discussion below, as well as in other sections of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Therefore, actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements and reasons why results may differ included in this report are made as of the date hereof, and we assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements or reasons why actual results might differ.

Overview

We develop, market and sell platform, cloud and managed services, which are powered by agentic AI, that enable CSPs providers of all types and sizes to innovate and transform their businesses to focus on delivering outstanding subscriber experiences and become CXPs. The platform combines the Calix Agent Workforce™ with intelligent appliances, software, cloud and fully integrated SmartLife™ managed services to enable simplified business models that acquire, retain and grow subscribers and revenue. Calix Customer Success guides service providers through every stage of their transformation journey with expertise across technology, business and market insights. Our partner community extends innovation so customers can grow their businesses across markets at scale. With deep broadband expertise and an end-to-end approach from the datacenters’ access edge to every residential, business and municipal subscriber location, Calix enables any service provider to simplify operations, engagement, and service; innovate for their subscribers; and grow value for members, investors, and the communities they serve. This focus on subscriber experience allows CXPs to expand their brand through increased subscriber acquisition, loyalty and revenue while reducing their operating costs.

We market our platform, cloud and managed services to CSPs globally through our direct sales force as well as select resellers. Our customers range from smaller, regional service providers to some of the world’s largest service providers. We have approximately 1,600 active customers that have deployed passive optical, Active Ethernet or point-to-point Ethernet fiber access networks or our subscriber premise appliances.

Our revenue and potential revenue growth will depend on, among other things, our ability to develop, market and sell our platform and managed services to strategically aligned customers of all types such as MSPs, local and competitive exchange carriers, cable MSOs, WISPs, fiber overbuilders such as municipalities, electric cooperatives, tribal communities, multiple dwelling units (“MDU”) and hospitality providers in the U.S. and internationally. Our growth is also highly dependent on the speed and willingness of customers to adopt our platform and managed services.

Revenue fluctuations result from many factors, including, but not limited to: increases or decreases in customer orders for our products and services, global economic and geopolitical events and conditions, including tariffs, trade controls, inflation, economic downturns and market, financial or other factors such as government stimulus or shutdowns that may delay or materially impact customer purchasing decisions, non-availability of products due to supply chain challenges, including component and labor shortages and increasing lead times as well as disruptions as a result of pandemics or natural disasters, contractual terms with customers that result in delayed revenue recognition and varying budget cycles and seasonal buying patterns of our customers. More specifically, our customers have in the past spent less in the first quarter as they are finalizing their annual budgets, and in certain regions, customers are challenged by winter weather conditions that inhibit fiber deployment in outside infrastructure. Our revenue is also dependent upon our customers’ success in growing their subscribers, timing of purchases, capital expenditure plans and decisions to upgrade their networks or adopt new technologies, including adoption of our software and cloud platform solutions, as well as our ability to grow our customer base.

Cost of revenue is strongly correlated to revenue and tends to fluctuate due to all of the above factors that may cause revenue fluctuations. Factors that have impacted our cost of revenue, or that we expect may impact cost of revenue in future periods, also include: changes in the mix of products delivered, customer location and regional mix, changes in the cost of our inventory, investments to support expansion of cloud and customer support offerings as well as our customer success organization, changes in product warranty, incurrence of retrofit costs, amortization of intangibles, allowances for obligations to our suppliers and inventory write-downs. Factors that we expect may impact our cost of revenue in future periods include the

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same factors in the prior quarter, changes in trade policies and the transition from DDR4 to DDR5 memory. Regarding trade policies, in April 2025, the U.S. President signed an executive order increasing tariffs on imports from numerous countries, including China and other Asian countries where our sole-source or limited-source suppliers are located. Currently, the majority of our finished goods are exempt from tariffs. For imported components for domestic manufacturing and certain finished goods, these actions increased our cost of revenue. We continue to evaluate the actions we may be able to take to mitigate such costs as we monitor and navigate this challenging and dynamic operating environment. Regarding the DDR4 to DDR5 transition, the reduction in manufacturing capacity of DDR4 memory has resulted in increased DDR4 memory prices and will increase the cost of our products. In addition, we periodically ship by air versus by ocean in order to meet delivery commitments to our customers, which is more costly. Cost of revenue also includes fixed expenses related to our internal operations, which could increase our cost of revenue as a percentage of revenue if our revenue declines.

Our gross profit and gross margin fluctuate based on timing of factors such as changes in customer mix and changes in the mix of products demanded and sold (and any related write-downs of existing inventory or accrual for supplier commitments) and have in the past been and may be negatively impacted by increases in mix of revenue from channel sales rather than direct sales or other unfavorable customer or product mix, shipment volumes and any related volume discounts, changes in our product and services costs, pricing decreases or discounts, new product introductions or upgrades to existing products, customer rebates and incentive programs due to competitive pressure or materials shortages, supply constraints, investments to support expansion of cloud and customer support offerings, tariffs or unfavorable changes in trade policies.

Our operating expenses fluctuate based on the following factors among others: changes in headcount and personnel costs, which comprise a significant portion of our operating expenses; variable compensation due to fluctuations in shipment volumes or level of achievement against performance targets; timing of research and development expenses, including investments in innovative solutions and new customer segments, prototype builds and outsourced development resources; investments in marketing programs; asset write-offs; investments in our business and information technology infrastructure; and fluctuations in stock-based compensation expenses due to timing of equity grants or other factors affecting vesting.

Further, as a result of factors contributing to the fluctuations described above among other factors, many of which are outside our control, our quarterly operating results fluctuate from period to period. Comparing our operating results on a period-to-period basis may not be meaningful, and you should not rely on our past results as an indication of our future performance.

Critical Accounting Estimates

Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. These accounting principles require us to make certain estimates and judgments that can affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities as of the date of the financial statements, as well as the reported amounts of revenue, costs and expenses during the periods presented. We base our estimates, assumptions and judgments on historical experience and on various other factors that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. To the extent there are material differences between these estimates and actual results, our financial statements may be affected. We evaluate our estimates, assumptions and judgments on an ongoing basis.

We believe the following critical accounting policies affect our significant judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements.

Revenue Recognition

Revenue is recognized when a performance obligation is satisfied, which occurs when control of the promised goods or services is transferred to the customer, in an amount that reflects the consideration we expect to be entitled to in exchange for those goods or services. Revenue from sales of access and premises appliances is recognized when control is transferred to the customer, which is generally when the products are shipped. Revenue from software platform licenses, which provides the customer with a right to use the software as it exists, is generally recognized upfront when the license is made available to the customer. Revenue from cloud-based software subscriptions, customer support, maintenance, extended warranty subscriptions and managed services is generally recognized ratably over the contract term. Revenue from professional services and training is recognized as the services are delivered.

A performance obligation is a promise in a contract to transfer a distinct good or service to the customer and is the unit of account. A contract’s transaction price is allocated to each distinct performance obligation and recognized as revenue when, or as, the performance obligation is satisfied. Our hardware products contain both software and non-software components that function together to deliver the products’ essential functionality and therefore constitutes a single performance obligation as the promise to transfer the individual software and non-software components is not separately identifiabl

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