LSB INDUSTRIES, INC. (LXU) FY 2022 MD&A
This page reproduces the company's own Item 7 MD&A text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following MD&A should be read in conjunction with a review of the other Items included in this Form 10-K and our December 31, 2022 consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this report. A reference to a “Note” relates to a note in the accompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements. Certain statements contained in this MD&A may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. See “Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements.”
Overview
General
LSB is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma and through our subsidiaries, we manufacture and sell chemical products for the agricultural, mining, and industrial markets. We own and operate three multi plant facilities in Cherokee, Alabama, El Dorado, Arkansas and Pryor, Oklahoma, and operate a facility on behalf of Covestro in Baytown, Texas. Our products are sold through distributors and directly to end customers, primarily throughout the U.S. and parts of Mexico, Canada and the Caribbean.
Key Operating Initiatives for 2023
We expect our future results of operations and financial condition to benefit from the following key initiatives:
•
Investing to improve Environmental, Health & Safety and Reliability at our Facilities while Supplying our Customers with Products of the Highest Quality.
▪
We believe that our operational progress over the past several years represents proof that high safety standards not only enable us to protect what matters, which is the well-being of our employees, but also translates into improved plant performance. In 2023 we remain focused on our efforts to further the progress we’ve made with our safety programs to move closer to attaining zero injuries. We plan to invest additional capital at all three of our facilities during 2023 to build upon the success we have had in implementing enhanced safety programs during the last several years.
▪
We have multiple initiatives currently underway focused on continuing to improve the reliability of our plants as we advance towards our 95% on-stream operating rate goal. Progress towards this goal would enable us to produce greater volumes of product for sale while lowering our unit cost of production thereby increasing our overall profitability. Additionally, our product quality program continues to focus on providing products to our customers that meet our quality standards.
•
Continue Broadening the Distribution and Optimization of our Product Mix. Over the course of 2022, we were successful in improving upon the production capacity of our plants, particularly through Turnarounds at two of our facilities. We plan to continue to expand the distribution of our products by partnering with customers to take product into different markets, while also focusing on opportunities to upgrade our margins through the optimization of our product mix. In January of 2023, we took over direct distribution of our Pryor facility’s UAN production following several years of working with a third party to sell the product. We believe that this, combined with continued expansion of our customer relationships and the robust market analysis capabilities we have developed, will make us more effective in identifying and capitalizing on the most profitable distribution opportunities for our products. Additionally, we will continue to progress several capital improvement projects during 2023 that are related to our storage and distribution capabilities that we believe will assist us in improving our overall margins.
•
Development and Implementation of a Strategy to Capitalize on Low Carbon Ammonia and Clean Energy Opportunities. The reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, particularly related to carbon dioxide, has been and we expect will increasingly become a global environmental priority as part of efforts to stem the harmful effects of climate change. Ammonia has continued to emerge as one of the more viable alternatives to serve as a hydrogen-based energy source for a variety of applications due to its higher energy density and ease of storage relative to hydrogen gas. Blue and green ammonia can be used as zero carbon fuel in the maritime sector, as a carbon free fertilizer and as a coal substitute in power generation. If ammonia were to be adopted for these and other energy needs globally, some studies have indicated that future demand could increase significantly from current levels of global annual production of ammonia.
As a result, we are currently evaluating and developing projects that could enable us to become a producer and marketer of blue and green ammonia and other derivative products. Blue ammonia is produced using natural gas and conventional processes but includes an additional stage where the carbon dioxide emissions are captured and permanently stored in deep underground rock formations. The resulting low carbon emission product, we believe, can be sold at a premium to agricultural, industrial, mining, power generation and marine customers seeking to reduce their carbon footprint and potentially capitalize on government incentives. Green ammonia is ammonia produced using renewable energy to power electrolyzers that extract hydrogen from water, resulting in zero-carbon production of ammonia, which we believe can also be sold at a premium to a variety of customers and industries around the world.
We believe we are well-positioned to capitalize on this opportunity and become a market leader given our potential to retrofit our existing plants rather than needing to invest entirely in greenfield projects, which we believe can reduce our time to market
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for this product and also reduce the upfront capital expenditures necessary to enable us to produce this product, thereby enhancing the economic attractiveness for us to such investments.
•
Evaluate and Pursue Organic Capacity Expansion. We are evaluating opportunities across all of our facilities to increase production capacity through the implementation of several potential debottlenecking projects. Our initial calculations suggest that, assuming mid-market pricing for Tampa ammonia, UAN and natural gas, these projects could potentially represent significant incremental annual profitability. We expect to progress our evaluations during 2023 with the goal of making a recommendation to our Board by mid-year 2023.
•
Pursue Acquisitions of Strategic Assets or Companies. We are actively engaged in evaluating and pursuing various opportunities to acquire strategic assets or companies, where we believe those acquisitions will enhance the value of the Company and provide attractive returns. We evaluate assets and companies that can provide us with geographic expansion, extend an existing product line, add one or more new product lines, leverage our existing ammonia production capabilities, or complement our existing business lines, among other accretive opportunities.
Recent Business Developments
Signed Agreements for Low and No Carbon Ammonia Projects
In April 2022 we entered into an agreement with Lapis Energy to develop a project to capture and permanently sequester CO2 at our El Dorado, Arkansas facility. Lapis, backed by Cresta Fund Management, a Dallas-based middle-market infrastructure investment firm, will make 100% of the capital investment required for the project development. The project is expected to be completed by 2025, subject to the approval of a Class VI permit, at which time CO2 injections are expected to begin. Once operational, the project at the El Dorado site will initially capture and permanently sequester more than 450,000 metric tons of CO2 per year in underground saline aquifers, with the potential to increase this quantity based on a potential debottlenecking project at the facility. The permanently sequestered CO2 generated from the facility’s ammonia production is expected to qualify for federal tax credits under Internal Revenue Code Section 45Q, which are $85 per metric ton of CO2 captured beginning in 2026. Once in operation, the sequestered CO2 is expected to reduce LSB’s scope 1 GHG emissions by approximately 25% from current levels. In addition, sequestering more than 450,000 metric tons of CO2 annually is expected to enable LSB to produce over 375,000 metric tons of blue ammonia annually, a product that could potentially be sold at higher price levels than conventional ammonia. We recently achieved a key milestone in the advancement of our blue ammonia project at El Dorado by filing a permit application with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to develop a Class VI well. Upon approval of the Class VI permit, construction will begin on the infrastructure required to capture and sequester CO2 at El Dorado.
In May 2022 we entered into agreements with Thyssenkrupp Uhde USA, LLC and Bloom Energy, (NYSE:BE) to develop a project to produce approximately 30,000 metric tons of zero-carbon or “green” ammonia per year at our Pryor, Oklahoma facility. Thyssenkrupp Uhde will develop the engineering design to convert a small portion of Pryor’s existing conventional or “grey” ammonia capacity into green ammonia. Pending results of the feasibility study currently underway and subsequent board approval, the project is planned to be constructed in two phases: first with Bloom supplying a 10-megawatt solid oxide electrolyzer, followed by the installation of an additional 20-megawatt alkaline electrolyzer unit, which we plan to source from a leading manufacturer. Bloom will operate and maintain the solid oxide electrolyzer. The green hydrogen produced from the electrolyzers is expected to qualify for federal incentive programs such as the production and tax credit under Internal Revenue Code Section 45V, which are up to $3 per kilogram of clean hydrogen beginning in 2023.
Continued Improvement in Product Sales
Our product sales and profitability increased significantly in 2022 as compared to 2021. We generated these improved results despite conducting Turnarounds at two of our facilities while we conducted only one Turnaround in 2021. Selling prices for all of our major products were higher for 2022 as compared to last year due to a combination of supply and demand factors.
Elevated corn prices remain a significant driver to the strength of fertilizer pricing. Current U.S. corn prices reflect the impact on global corn supplies of dry conditions in South America, the Western U.S. and parts of Europe. Recent U.S. Department of Agriculture (“USDA”) forecasts point to U.S. corn acreage to be planted in the 2022-2023 planting season to be approximately 88.6 million acres, lower than the 2021-2022 estimate of 93.3 million acres, due largely to the impact of wet weather throughout the Midwest during the spring planting season. As a result of the reduction in acres planted for the 2022-2023 season and the impact on global corn stocks which remain below usage levels, we believe that acres planted for the 2023-2024 season could increase to approximately 92 million acres, which we would expect to drive increased demand for fertilizers.
Also supporting the strength in fertilizer prices has been the high cost of natural gas in Europe. Natural gas is the primary feedstock for the production of ammonia. While currently down from levels seen throughout much of 2022, natural gas prices in European markets remain above 10-year averages which has impacted the economics of ammonia production in that region, prompting producers to cease operations at some Europe-based facilities at various points throughout 2022. The resultant decrease in global production of ammonia has supported the strength in nitrogen-based fertilizer prices.
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As a result of the factors discussed above, we anticipate a strong application of agricultural ammonia and UAN in the 2023 planting season as farmers seek to maximize yields to capitalize on attractive corn pricing.
With respect to our industrial products, selling prices remain higher than a year ago largely as a result of the aforementioned factors pertaining to natural gas. The Tampa ammonia benchmark price remains above its average price level of the past ten years, which is favorable for selling prices as many of our industrial contracts are indexed to this benchmark price. While economic concerns persist for 2023, we believe that we have a meaningful degree of downside protection from the potential impacts of a recession given the nature of our contracts and our ability to shift our production mix to products where demand and pricing are strongest.
See a more detailed discussion below under “Key Industry Factors.”
Key Industry Factors
Supply and Demand
Fertilizer
The price at which our agricultural products are ultimately sold depends on numerous factors, including the supply and demand for nitrogen fertilizers which, in turn, depends upon world grain demand and production levels, the cost and availability of transportation and storage, weather conditions, competitive pricing and the availability of imports. Additionally, expansions or upgrades of competitors’ facilities and international and domestic political and economic developments continue to play an important role in the global nitrogen fertilizer industry economics, including the impact from the Phase 1 trade agreement between the U.S and China. These factors can affect, in addition to selling prices, the level of inventories in the market which can cause price volatility and affect product margins.
From a farmers’ perspective, the demand for fertilizer is affected by the aggregate crop planting decisions and fertilizer application rate decisions of individual farmers. Individual farmers make planting decisions based largely on prospective profitability of a harvest, while the specific varieties and amounts of fertilizer they apply depend on factors such as their financial resources, soil conditions, weather patterns and the types of crops planted.
Additionally, changes in corn prices and those of soybean, cotton and wheat prices, can affect the number of acres of corn planted in a given year, and the number of acres planted will drive the level of nitrogen fertilizer consumption, likely effecting prices.
According to the February Report, farmers planted approximately 88.6 million acres of corn in 2022, down 5% compared to the 2021 planting season. In addition, the USDA estimates the U.S. ending stocks for the 2022 Harvest will be approximately 32 million metric tons, an 8% decrease from the 2021 Harvest. The USDA also lowered the expected yield for the 2022 Harvest, down approximately 2% from a year ago.
The following February 2023 estimates are associated with the corn market:
| 2023 Crop | 2022 Crop | 2021 Crop | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (2022 Harvest) | (2021 Harvest) | Percentage | (2020 Harvest) | Percentage | ||||||||||||||||
| February Report (1) | February Report (1) | Change (2) | February Report (1) | Change (3) | ||||||||||||||||
| U.S. Area Planted (Million acres) | 88.6 | 93.3 | (5.0 | %) | 90.7 | (2.3 | %) | |||||||||||||
| U.S. Yield per Acre (Bushels) | 173.3 | 176.7 | (1.9 | %) | 171.4 | 1.1 | % | |||||||||||||
| U.S. Production (Million bushels) | 13,730 | 15,074 | (8.9 | %) | 14,111 | (2.7 | %) | |||||||||||||
| U.S. Ending Stocks (Million metric tons) | 32.2 | 35.0 | (8.0 | %) | 31.4 | 2.5 | % | |||||||||||||
| World Ending Stocks (Million metric tons) | 295.3 | 306.3 | (3.6 | %) | 292.8 | 0.9 | % |
(1)
Information obtained from WASDE report dated February 8, 2023 (“February Report”) for the 2022/2023 (“2023 Crop”), 2021/2022 (“2022 Crop”) and 2020/2021 (“2021 Crop”) corn marketing years. The marketing year is the twelve-month period during which a crop normally is marketed. For example, the marketing year for the current corn crop is from September 1 of the current year to August 31 of the next year. The year begins at the harvest and continues until just before harvest of the following year.
(2)
Represents the percentage change between the 2023 Crop amounts compared to the 2022 Crop amounts.
(3)
Represents the percentage change between the 2023 Crop amounts compared to the 2021 Crop amounts.
The current USDA corn outlook for the U.S. is for slightly higher corn ending stocks by 25 million bushels and lower ethanol usage by 25 million bushels and left production and export estimates unchanged. From a demand perspective, corn prices remain well above historical 5-year averages and remain significantly higher than $4 per bushel, the level that we believe represent a key threshold as it relates to favorable farmer economics.
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Industrial and Mining Products
Our industrial products sales volumes are dependent upon general economic conditions primarily in the housing, automotive, and paper industries. According to the American Chemistry Council, the U.S. economic indicators are improving and pointing towards continued improvement in the markets we serve. Our sales prices generally vary with the market price of ammonia or natural gas, as applicable, in our pricing arrangements with customers.
Our mining products are LDAN and AN solution, which are primarily used as AN fuel oil and specialty emulsions for usage in the quarry and the construction industries, for metals mining and to a lesser extent, for coal. Although our AN product is primarily sold for use in aggregates and precious metals mining operations, overall, we have been experiencing favorable trends in our mining business as rising global consumption of coal for energy has strengthened demand and pricing for AN. Overall, despite growing global recessionary forces, our industrial and mining business remains stable.
Natural Gas Prices
Natural gas is the primary feedstock used to produce nitrogen fertilizers at our manufacturing facilities. In recent years, U.S. natural gas reserves have increased significantly due to, among other factors, advances in extracting shale gas, which has reduced and stabilized natural gas prices, providing North America with a cost advantage over certain imports. As a result, our competitive position and that of other North American nitrogen fertilizer producers has been positively affected.
We historically have purchased natural gas either on the spot market, through forward purchase contracts, or a combination of both and have used forward purchase contracts to lock in pricing for a portion of our natural gas requirements. These forward purchase contracts are generally either fixed-price or index-price, short-term in nature and for a fixed supply quantity. We are able to purchase natural gas at competitive prices due to our connections to large distribution systems and their proximity to interstate pipeline systems. The following table shows the annual volume of natural gas we purchased and the average cost per MMBtu:
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural gas volumes (MMBtu in millions) | 27.8 | 28.3 | |||||
| Natural gas average cost per MMBtu | $ | 6.58 | $ | 3.51 |
Transportation Costs
Costs for transporting nitrogen-based products can be significant relative to their selling price. We continue to evaluate the recent rising costs of freight domestically. As a result of increases in demand for available rail, truck and barge options to transport product, primarily during the spring and fall planting seasons, higher transportation costs have and could continue to impact our margins, if we were unable to fully pass through these costs to our customers. Additionally, continued truck driver shortages could impact our ability to fulfill customer demand. As a result, we continue to evaluate supply chain efficiencies to reduce or counter the impact of higher logistics costs.
Key Operational Factors
Facility Reliability
Consistent, reliable and safe operations at our chemical plants are critical to our financial performance and results of operations. The financial effects of planned downtime at our plants, including Turnarounds is mitigated through a diligent planning process that considers the availability of resources to perform the needed maintenance and other factors. Unplanned downtime of our plants typically results in lost contribution margin from lost sales of our products, lost fixed cost absorption from lower production of our products and increased costs related to repairs and maintenance. All Turnarounds result in lost contribution margin from lost sales of our products, lost fixed cost absorption from lower production of our products and increased costs related to repairs and maintenance, which repair and maintenance costs are expensed as incurred.
Our Cherokee Facility is currently on a three-year ammonia plant Turnaround cycle completing with the next ammonia plant Turnaround planned in the third quarter of 2024.
Our El Dorado Facility completed its scheduled ammonia plant Turnaround during the third quarter of 2022. Our Pryor Facility started its scheduled ammonia plant Turnaround during the third quarter which was completed in mid-October. Following those Turnarounds, they will be on a three-year and two-year ammonia plant Turnaround cycle, respectively.
Ammonia Production
Ammonia is the basic product used to produce all of our upgraded products. The ammonia production rates of our plants affect the total cost per ton of each product produced and the overall sales of our products.
Total ammonia production in 2022 was 732,000 tons. For 2023, we are targeting total ammonia production of approximately 830,000 tons to 850,000 tons.
We believe that our focus on continuous improvement in reliability as discussed in key operating initiatives will result in year-over-year improvement in ammonia production for 2023.
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Forward Sales Contracts
We use forward sales of our fertilizer products to optimize our asset utilization, planning process and production scheduling. These sales are made by offering customers the opportunity to purchase product on a forward basis at prices and delivery dates that are agreed upon, with dates typically occurring within 12 months. We use this program to varying degrees during the year depending on market conditions and our view of changing price environments. Fixing the selling prices of our products months in advance of their ultimate delivery to customers typically causes our reported selling prices and margins to differ from spot market prices and margins available at the time of shipment.
Consolidated Results for 2022
Our consolidated net sales for 2022 were $901.7 million compared to $556.2 million for 2021. Our consolidated operating income for 2022 was $308.4 million compared to $101.0 million for 2021. The items affecting our operating results are discussed below and under “Results of Operations.”
Items Affecting Comparability of Results
Selling Prices
Our 2022 average selling prices for our ammonia, AN & Nitric Acid, and UAN increased 102%, 61% and 90%, respectively, compared to 2021. As discussed above under “Recent Business Developments,” increased demand, higher corn prices and tighter supplies of nitrogen products contributed to the improved pricing.
Our 2022 average industrial selling prices for most of our products were also higher compared to the same period of 2021, primarily driven by the $573 per metric ton increase in the Tampa Ammonia benchmark price, as many of our industrial contracts are indexed to the Tampa Ammonia benchmark price.
Settlement of Life Insurance (2022 only)
In June we recognized a settlement on our company owned life insurance resulting from the approval by our insurer of a death benefit relating to the death of J. Golsen as discussed in Note 12.
Turnaround Activities
When a Turnaround is performed, overall results for the period are negatively impacted. This impact includes lost contribution margin from lost sales, lost fixed cost absorption from lower production, and increased costs associated with repairs and maintenance. The effects of our Turnaround, exclusive of the impacts due to lost ammonia production during the downtime, are shown below and do not reflect all Turnaround activity during 2022 and 2021:
| Turnaround | Turnaround Expense | Estimated Lost Production | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facility | Related Period | Downtime | (In Thousands) | (In Tons) | |||||||
| El Dorado | 3rd Quarter 2022 | 27 days | $ | 8,414 | 36,000 | ||||||
| Pryor | 3rd & 4th Quarter 2022 | 38 days | 14,952 | 26,000 | |||||||
| $ | 23,366 | 62,000 | |||||||||
| Cherokee | 3rd Quarter 2021 | 40 days | $ | 7,976 | 21,000 | ||||||
| $ | 7,976 | 21,000 |
Settlement of Natural Gas Contracts (2021 only)
During the first quarter of 2021, we settled all of our natural gas forward contracts and certain volume purchase commitments and recognized a realized gain of approximately $6.8 million, which was classified as a reduction to cost of sales. As a result of the settlement of these natural gas contracts, we were able to significantly mitigate the impact from lost production, lost sales and higher costs resulting from the impact of the natural gas shortage caused by the February 2021 cold weather event.
Change of Control and Special Dividend (2021 only)
As the result of the exchange transaction completed during the third quarter of 2021 a change of control event occurred as defined in certain agreements, including certain stock-based awards and cash-based awards. As a result, additional expense was recognized due to the change of control event. In addition, pursuant to anti-dilutive terms included in the cash-based awards, the number of units of cash-based awards increased due to the Special Dividend, also resulting in additional expense being recognized. In summary, we recognized approximately $5.0 million in additional expense, of which $1.2 million is classified as cost of sales and $3.8 million is classified as selling, general and administrative expense.
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Net Loss on Extinguishments of Debt (2021 only)
As discussed in Note 6, we redeemed all of the Senior Secured Notes due 2023 and recognized a loss on extinguishment of debt of approximately $20.3 million. Partially offsetting this loss was a gain on extinguishment of debt of $10 million associated with the PPP loan that was fully forgiven by the SBA and lender.
Results of Operations
The following Results of Operations should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021 and accompanying notes and the discussions under “Overview” and “Liquidity and Capital Resources” included in this MD&A. You should carefully review and consider the information in the MD&A of our 2021 Form 10-K, filed with the SEC on February 24, 2022, as amended by the Form 10-K/A filed on March 25, 2022 for an understanding of our results of operations and liquidity discussions and analysis comparing 2021 to 2020.
We present the following information about our results of operations. Net sales to unaffiliated customers are reported in the consolidated financial statements and gross profit represents net sales less cost of sales. Net sales are reported on a gross basis with the cost of freight being recorded in cost of sales.
Year Ended December 31, 2022 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021
The following table contains certain financial information:
| Percentage | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | Change | Change | |||||||||||||
| (Dollars In Thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
| Net sales: | ||||||||||||||||
| AN & Nitric Acid | $ | 315,679 | $ | 228,754 | $ | 86,925 | 38 | % | ||||||||
| Urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) | 239,463 | 123,840 | 115,623 | 93 | % | |||||||||||
| Ammonia | 284,005 | 155,159 | 128,846 | 83 | % | |||||||||||
| Other | 62,564 | 48,486 | 14,078 | 29 | % | |||||||||||
| Total net sales | $ | 901,711 | $ | 556,239 | $ | 345,472 | 62 | % | ||||||||
| Gross profit: | ||||||||||||||||
| Adjusted gross profit (1) | 444,384 | 217,515 | 226,869 | 104 | % | |||||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization (2) | (66,782 | ) | (68,583 | ) | 1,801 | (3 | )% | |||||||||
| Turnaround expense | (29,235 | ) | (9,953 | ) | (19,282 | ) | ||||||||||
| Total gross profit | 348,367 | 138,979 | 209,388 | 151 | % | |||||||||||
| Selling, general and administrative expense | 39,428 | 38,028 | 1,400 | 4 | % | |||||||||||
| Other (income) expense, net | 561 | (97 | ) | 658 | ||||||||||||
| Operating income | 308,378 | 101,048 | 207,330 | 205 | % | |||||||||||
| Interest expense, net | 46,827 | 49,378 | (2,551 | ) | (5 | )% | ||||||||||
| Net loss on extinguishments of debt | 113 | 10,259 | (10,146 | ) | ||||||||||||
| Non-operating other income (expense), net | (8,083 | ) | 2,422 | (10,505 | ) | |||||||||||
| Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 39,174 | (4,556 | ) | 43,730 | ||||||||||||
| Net income | $ | 230,347 | $ | 43,545 | $ | 186,802 | 429 | % | ||||||||
| Other information: | ||||||||||||||||
| Gross profit percentage (3) | 38.6 | % | 25.0 | % | 13.6 | % | ||||||||||
| Adjusted gross profit percentage (3) | 49.3 | % | 39.1 | % | 10.2 | % | ||||||||||
| Property, plant and equipment expenditures | $ | 45,833 | $ | 35,128 | $ | 10,705 | 30 | % |
(1)
Represents a non-GAAP measure. The amounts exclude unallocated depreciation and amortization and Turnaround expenses which we believe are not reflective of our operating performance in a given period.
(2)
Represents amount classified as cost of sales.
(3)
As a percentage of total net sales.
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The following tables provide key operating metrics for the fertilizer and major industrial and mining products:
| Percentage | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product (tons sold) | 2022 | 2021 | Change | Change | ||||||||||||
| AN & Nitric Acid | 589,081 | 689,990 | (100,909 | ) | (15 | )% | ||||||||||
| Urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) | 448,978 | 440,270 | 8,708 | 2 | % | |||||||||||
| Ammonia | 276,176 | 304,589 | (28,413 | ) | (9 | )% | ||||||||||
| Total | 1,314,235 | 1,434,849 | (120,614 | ) | (8 | )% |
| Percentage | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Average Selling Prices (price per ton) | 2022 | 2021 | Change | Change | ||||||||||||
| AN & Nitric Acid | $ | 536 | $ | 332 | $ | 204 | 61 | % | ||||||||
| Urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) | $ | 533 | $ | 281 | $ | 252 | 90 | % | ||||||||
| Ammonia | $ | 1,028 | $ | 509 | $ | 519 | 102 | % |
| Percentage | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Benchmark Prices (price per ton) | 2022 | 2021 | Change | Change | ||||||||||||
| Tampa Ammonia Benchmark | $ | 1,165 | $ | 592 | $ | 573 | 97 | % | ||||||||
| UAN Southern Plains | $ | 557 | $ | 371 | $ | 186 | 50 | % |
Net Sales
Agricultural product sales increased driven primarily by higher sales prices for all of our agricultural products partially offset by lower sales volumes of HDAN, which is included in AN & Nitric Acid above and ammonia. Also lowering sales volume in 2022 was the activity from two Turnarounds at our El Dorado and Pryor Facilities compared to one Turnaround at our Cherokee Facility during 2021. Historically, we have built inventory of HDAN used for fertilizer in the second half of the year, to sell in season, during the first nine months of the following year. Due to a shift in product mix to nitric acid volumes beginning in the second quarter of 2021, which are more ratable, we did not have significant inventory build of AN over the latter half of 2021 to sell during the fertilizer season in 2022. As discussed above under “Recent Business Developments,” increased demand, higher corn prices and tighter supplies of nitrogen products contributed to the improved pricing.
Demand for our industrial and mining products remains stable despite growing global recessionary forces. Our contractual agreements with industrial customers that specify minimum volumes and our product mix flexibility helps us mitigate the impact of a reduction in demand from certain end markets by shifting production to products with stronger demand. Our AN product is primarily sold for use in aggregates and precious metals mining operations, overall, we have been experiencing favorable trends in our mining business as rising global consumption of coal for energy has strengthened demand and pricing for AN.
Gross Profit
As noted in the table above, we recognized a gross profit of $348 million for 2022 compared to $139 million for the same period in 2021, or a $209 million improvement. Overall, our gross profit percentage was 39% for 2022 compared to 25% for 2021. Our adjusted gross profit percentage increased to 49% for 2022 from 39% for 2021.
The increase in gross profit was primarily driven by higher sales prices for our products and increased UAN sales volumes partially offset by lower volumes of ammonia and acids products. The improvement in gross profit was partially offset by overall higher average natural gas costs, which averaged $6.58 per MMBtu for 2022 as compared to $3.51 per MMBtu for 2021. Also reducing gross profit was the Turnaround activity at our El Dorado and Pryor Facilities during 2022 compared to 2021 where we had a Turnaround at our Cherokee Facility.
Interest Expense, net
Interest expense for 2022 was $46.8 million compared to $49.4 million for 2021. The decrease relates primarily to lower interest expense incurred from the new senior secured notes held during the first quarter of 2022 which carry an interest rate of 6.25% compared to the same period in 2021 which the old senior secured notes interest rate was 9.625%.
Net loss on Extinguishments of Debt
During 2021, we redeemed all of the Senior Secured Notes due 2023 and recognized a loss on extinguishment of debt of approximately $20.3 million. Partially offsetting this loss was a gain on extinguishment of debt of $10 million associated with the PPP loan that was fully forgiven by the SBA and lender.
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Non-operating Other Expense (Income), net
Non-operating other income for 2022 was $8.1 million primarily relating to a recognized settlement of our company owned life insurance from the payment by our insurer of a death benefit relating to the death of J. Golsen as discussed in Note 12 and interest income from our short-term investments. For 2021, we had non-operating operating expense of $2.5 million which primarily related to the change in fair value of the embedded derivative included in the Series E Redeemable Preferred prior to its extinguishment through the completion of the exchange transaction completed in 2021.
Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes for 2022 was $39.2 million expense compared to a benefit of $4.6 million for 2021. The resulting effective tax rate for 2022 was 14.6% on pre-tax income compared to (11.7)% for 2021 on pre-tax income. For 2022, the effective tax rate is less than the statutory rate primarily due to the impact of valuation allowances releases. For 2021, the negative effective tax rate on pre-tax income was driven by the benefit from the exclusion of PPP Loan forgiveness income from taxable income, tax credits, and the impact of adjustments made to valuation allowances, partially offset by the impact of state law changes. Also see discussion in Note 7.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
The following table summarizes our cash flow activities for 2022 and 2021:
| 2022 | 2021 | Change | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In Thousands) | ||||||||||||
| Net cash flows from operating activities | $ | 345,654 | $ | 87,627 | $ | 258,027 | ||||||
| Net cash flows from investing activities | $ | (369,735 | ) | $ | (34,694 | ) | $ | (335,041 | ) | |||
| Net cash flows from financing activities | $ | 5,706 | $ | 12,947 | $ | (7,241 | ) |
Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Net cash provided by operating activities was $345.7 million for 2022 compared to $87.6 million for 2021, a change of $258.0 million.
For 2022, net cash provided is the result of a net income of $230.3 million plus adjustments of $66.9 million for depreciation and amortization of property, plant and equipment (“PP&E”), $36.9 million for deferred taxes and other adjustments of $2.7 million and net cash provided of $8.9 million primarily from our working capital.
For 2021, net cash provided is the result of a net income of $43.5 million plus adjustments of $68.7 million for depreciation and amortization of PP&E, net loss on extinguishments of debt of $10.3 million and other adjustments of $8.4 million and net cash used of $43.3 million primarily from our working capital, including accounts receivable.
Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities
Net cash used by investing activities was $369.7 million for 2022 compared to $34.7 million for 2021, a change of $335.0 million.
For 2022, net cash used primarily relates to purchases of short-term investments of $486.1 million and expenditures for PP&E of $45.8 million partially offset by short-term investment maturities of $158.9 million.
For 2021, net cash used relates primarily to expenditures for PP&E.
Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities
Net cash provided by financing activities was $5.7 million for 2022 compared to $12.9 million for 2021, a change of $7.2 million.
For 2022, net cash provided primarily consists of proceeds of $200 million from the New Notes and $20.1 million from proceeds from short-term financing partially offset by payments for the acquisition of treasury shares of $179.0 million, payments on other long-term debt and short-term financing of $30.5 million, payments of $4.9 million for payments of debt-related and exchange related costs.
For 2021, net cash provided primarily consists of proceeds of $500 million from the New Notes, $16.7 million from insurance premium short-term financing partially offset by $435 million redemption of the Old Notes, payments of debt-related costs of $27.3 million, payments on other long-term debt and short-term financing of $28.0 million, payments of costs of $7.4 million related to the Exchange Transaction, and payments of $6.1 million for other financing activities.
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Capitalization
The following is our total current cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments long-term debt and stockholders’ equity:
| December 31, | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
| (In Millions) | ||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 63.8 | $ | 82.1 | ||||
| Short-term investments | $ | 330.6 | $ | — | ||||
| Total cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments | $ | 394.4 | $ | 82.1 | ||||
| Revolving credit facility and long-term debt: | ||||||||
| Working Capital Revolver Loan | — | — | ||||||
| Senior Secured Notes due 2028 (1) | 700.0 | 500.0 | ||||||
| Secured Financing due 2023 | 4.2 | 7.7 | ||||||
| Secured Financing Agreement due 2025 | 19.3 | 24.0 | ||||||
| Secured Loan Agreement due 2025 | — | 5.3 | ||||||
| Other | 1.1 | 0.3 | ||||||
| Unamortized discount and debt issuance costs | (12.3 | ) | (9.7 | ) | ||||
| Total long-term debt, including current portion, net | 712.3 | $ | 527.6 | |||||
| Total stockholders' equity | 515.9 | $ | 460.5 |
(1)
See discussions below under “Loan Agreements" relating to the debt agreement.
We currently have a revolving credit facility, our Working Capital Revolver Loan, with a borrowing base of $65 million. As of December 31, 2022, our Working Capital Revolver Loan was undrawn and had approximately $64.1 million of availability.
We expect capital expenditures to be approximately $60 million to $80 million for 2023. This capital spending is planned for reliability and maintenance capital projects.
From time to time, when the Company exceeds the funding threshold in our natural gas purchase commitments the Company is required to fund cash collateral to our counterparty.
We believe that the combination of our cash and cash equivalents on hand, short-term investments, the availability on our revolving credit facility and our cash flow from operations will be sufficient to fund our anticipated liquidity needs for the next twelve months.
During May 2022, our Board authorized a $50 million stock repurchase program. In August 2022, our Board authorized an increase in the size of the stock repurchase program to $100 million. During the third quarter of 2022, we exhausted the repurchase authorization under the stock repurchase program. In October 2022, our Board approved another expansion of the stock repurchase program, authorizing us to repurchase an additional $75 million of our outstanding common stock under the stock repurchase program which was exhausted as of December 31, 2022.
As of December 31, 2022, we have approximately $394.4 million of cash and short-term investments. From time to time, we may seek to deploy capital through additional share repurchases or the retirement or purchase of outstanding debt. Such repurchases may be made in open market purchases, privately negotiated transactions or otherwise and will depend on prevailing market conditions, our liquidity requirements, contractual restrictions and other factors. The amounts involved may be material.
Compliance with Long - Term Debt Covenants
As discussed below under “Loan Agreements,” the Working Capital Revolver Loan requires, among other things, that we meet certain financial covenants. The Working Capital Revolver Loan does not include financial covenant requirements unless a defined covenant trigger event has occurred and is continuing. As of December 31, 2022, no trigger event had occurred.
Loan Agreements
Senior Secured Notes due 2028 – LSB has $700 million aggregate principal amount of the 6.25% Senior Secured Notes currently outstanding, including the $200 million associated with the New Notes as discussed in footnote (B) of Note 6. Interest is to be paid semiannually in arrears on May 15th and October 15th, maturing October 15, 2028. The proceeds from the issuance of the New Notes were used to pay related transaction expenses, with the remainder intended to be used to pursue strategic acquisition opportunities, to fund organic growth and for general corporate purposes.
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Secured Financing due 2023 – El Dorado Chemical Company (“EDC”) is party to a secured financing arrangement with an affiliate of Eldridge. Principal and interest are payable in 48 equal monthly installments with a final balloon payment of approximately $3 million due in June 2023.
Secured Financing due 2025 – El Dorado Ammonia L.L.C. (“EDA”) is party to a $30 million secured financing arrangement with an affiliate of Eldridge. Principal and interest are payable in 60 equal monthly installments with a final balloon payment of approximately $5 million due in August 2025.
Working Capital Revolver Loan – At December 31, 2022, the Working Capital Revolver Loan was undrawn and the net credit available for borrowings under our Working Capital Revolver Loan was approximately $64.1 million, based on our eligible collateral, less outstanding standby letters of credit as of that date. Also see discussion above under “Compliance with Long-Term Debt Covenants.
Capital Expenditures – 2022
For 2022, capital expenditures relating to PP&E were $45.8 million. The capital expenditures were funded primarily from cash and working capital.
See discussion above under “Capitalization” for our expected annual capital expenditures for 2023.
Expenses Associated with Environmental Regulatory Compliance
We are subject to numerous federal, state and local laws and regulations, including matters regarding environmental, health and safety matters. As a result, we incurred expenses of $3.9 million in 2022 in connection with environmental projects. For 2023, we expect to incur expenses ranging from $4.5 million to $4.9 million in connection with additional environmental projects. However, it is possible that the actual costs could be significantly different than our estimates.
Dividends
See discussions under Note 1 regarding the common stock Special Dividend completed in 2021.
We have not paid cash dividends on our outstanding common stock in many years, and we do not currently anticipate paying cash dividends on our outstanding common stock in the near future. Our Board has not made a decision whether or not to pay dividends on our common stock in 2023.
See discussion under Note 13 regarding the conversion and payment of the accumulated dividends during 2021 relating to the Series D 6% cumulative convertible Class C preferred stock (the “Series D Preferred”) and Series B 12% cumulative convertible Class C Preferred Stock (the “Series B Preferred”).
Seasonality
We believe fertilizer products sold to the agricultural industry are seasonal while sales into the industrial and mining sectors generally are less susceptible. The selling seasons for agricultural products are primarily during the spring and fall planting seasons, which typically extend from March through June and from September through November in the geographical markets we distribute the majority of our agricultural products. As a result, we typically increase our inventory of fertilizer products prior to the beginning of each planting season in order to meet the demand for our products. In addition, the amount and timing of sales to the agricultural markets depend upon weather conditions and other circumstances beyond our control.
Performance and Payment Bonds
We are contingently liable to sureties in respect of insurance bonds issued by the sureties in connection with certain contracts entered into by subsidiaries in the normal course of business. These insurance bonds primarily represent guarantees of future performance of our subsidiaries. As of December 31, 2022, we have agreed to indemnify the sureties for payments, up to $9.7 million, made by them in respect of such bonds. All of these insurance bonds are expected to expire or be renewed in 2023.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We do not have any off-balance sheet arrangements as defined in Item 303(a)(4)(ii) of Regulation S-K under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
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Aggregate Contractual Obligations
As of December 31, 2022 our aggregate contractual obligations are summarized in the following table:
| Payments Due in the Year Ending December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contractual Obligations | Total | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | Thereafter | ||||||||||||||||||||
| (In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Long-term debt: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Senior Secured Notes | $ | 700,000 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 700,000 | |||||||||||||
| Other | 24,576 | 9,522 | 5,838 | 8,793 | 173 | 125 | 125 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total long-term debt | 724,576 | 9,522 | 5,838 | 8,793 | 173 | 125 | 700,125 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest payments on long-term debt (1) | 265,716 | 45,431 | 44,840 | 44,152 | 43,774 | 43,762 | 43,757 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Operating and finance leases | 26,795 | 9,070 | 8,055 | 4,510 | 2,846 | 1,829 | 485 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Firm purchase commitments | 50,783 | 50,783 | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Natural gas pipeline commitment (2) | 2,340 | 720 | 720 | 720 | 180 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contractual obligations | 10,950 | 2,733 | 2,388 | 2,388 | 1,258 | 1,258 | 925 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,081,160 | $ | 118,259 | $ | 61,841 | $ | 60,563 | $ | 48,231 | $ | 46,974 | $ | 745,292 |
(1)
The estimated interest payments are based on interest rates at December 31, 2022, which debt is all fixed interest rate debt.
(2)
Our proportionate share of the minimum costs to ensure capacity relating to a gathering and pipeline system.
New Accounting Pronouncements
Refer to Note 1 for recently adopted and issued accounting standards.
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Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
The preparation of financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amount of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and disclosures of contingencies and fair values. It is reasonably possible that the estimates and assumptions utilized as of December 31, 2022, could change in the near term. The more critical areas of financial reporting affected by management's judgment, estimates and assumptions include the following:
Contingencies – Certain conditions may exist which may result in a loss, but which will only be resolved when future events occur. We and our legal counsel assess such contingent liabilities, and such assessment inherently involves an exercise of judgment. If the assessment of a contingency indicates that it is probable that a loss has been incurred, we would accrue for such contingent losses when such losses can be reasonably estimated. If the assessment indicates that a potentially material loss contingency is not probable but reasonably possible, or is probable but cannot be estimated, the nature of the contingent liability, together with an estimate of the range of possible loss if determinable and material, would be disclosed. Estimates of potential legal fees and other directly related costs associated with contingencies are not accrued but rather are expensed as incurred. Loss contingency liabilities are included in current and noncurrent accrued and other liabilities and are based on current estimates that may be revised in the near term. In addition, we recognize contingent gains when such gains are realized or realizable and earned.
We are involved in various legal matters that require management to make estimates and assumptions as discussed in Note 8.
It is reasonably possible that the actual costs could be significantly different than our estimates.
Regulatory Compliance – As discussed under “Government Laws and Regulations” in Item 1 of this report, we are subject to numerous federal, state, and local laws and regulations, including matters regarding environmental, health and safety matters. We have developed policies and procedures related to regulatory compliance. We must continually monitor whether we have maintained compliance with such laws and regulations and the operating implications, if any, and amount of penalties, fines and assessments that may result from noncompliance. We will also be obligated to manage certain discharge water outlets and monitor groundwater contaminants at our chemical facilities should we discontinue the operations of a facility. However, certain conditions exist which may result in a loss, but which will only be resolved when future events occur relating to these matters. We are involved in various environmental matters that require management to make estimates and assumptions, including matters discussed under footnote A of Note 8. At December 31, 2022 and 2021, liabilities totaling $0.5 million have been accrued relating to these matters. It is also reasonably possible that the estimates and assumptions utilized as of December 31, 2022 could change in the near term. Actual results could differ materially from these estimates and judgments, as additional information becomes known.
Income Tax – As discussed under “Income Taxes” in Note 1 and in Note 7, income taxes are accounted for under the asset and liability method. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable income in the years in which those differences are expected to be recovered or settled. We establish valuation allowances if we believe it is more-likely-than-not that some or all of deferred tax assets will not be realized. Significant judgment is applied in evaluating the need for and the magnitude of appropriate valuation allowances against deferred tax assets. On December 31, 2022 and 2021, our valuation allowance on deferred tax assets was $14.9 million and $47.0 million, respectively.
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