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MOOG INC. (MOG-A) FY 2024 MD&A

Verbatim Item 7 Management's Discussion and Analysis from MOOG INC.'s 10-K for fiscal year 2024. Filing date: 2024-11-27. Report date: 2024-09-28. Accession: 0000067887-24-000166.

This page reproduces the company's own Item 7 MD&A text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Confidence: high.

Company profile: MOG-A · All MD&A years: index · Previous year: FY 2023 · Next year: FY 2025

Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

The following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read together with our consolidated financial statements and the related notes appearing elsewhere in this report.

This discussion and analysis contains forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Our actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of many factors, including but not limited to those under the heading “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of this report.

OVERVIEW

We are a worldwide designer, manufacturer and systems integrator of high-performance precision motion and fluid controls and control systems for a broad range of applications in aerospace and defense and industrial markets.

Within the aerospace and defense market, our products and systems include:

•Defense market - primary and secondary flight controls and components for military aircraft, turreted weapon systems, tactical and strategic missile steering controls and various defense product components.

•Commercial aircraft market - primary and secondary flight controls and components for commercial aircraft.

•Space market - satellite avionics, positioning controls and components, launcher thrust vector controls and components, as well as integrated space vehicles.

In the industrial market, our products are used in a wide range of applications including:

•Industrial market - various components and systems used in various applications including: heavy industrial machinery used for metal forming and pressing, flight simulation motion control systems, energy exploration and generation products, material and automotive structural and fatigue testing systems, as well as for the electrification of construction vehicles.

•Medical market - components and pumps for enteral clinical nutrition and infusion therapy, CT scan medical equipment, ultrasonic sensors and surgical handpieces and sleep apnea equipment.

We operate under four segments, Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft and Industrial. Our principal manufacturing facilities are located in the United States, Philippines, United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Costa Rica, China, Netherlands, Japan, Canada, India and Lithuania.

Under ASC 606, 64% of revenue was recognized over time for the year ended September 28, 2024, using the cost-to-cost method of accounting. The over-time method of revenue recognition is predominantly used in Space and Defense, Military Aircraft and Commercial Aircraft. We use this method for U.S. Government contracts and repair and overhaul arrangements as we are creating or enhancing assets that the customer controls. In addition, many of our large commercial contracts qualify for over-time accounting as our performance does not create an asset with an alternative use and we have an enforceable right to payment for performance completed to date.

For the year ended September 28, 2024, 36% of revenue was recognized at the point in time control transferred to the customer. This method of revenue recognition is used most frequently in Industrial. We use this method for commercial contracts in which the asset being created has an alternative use. We determine the point in time control transfers to the customer by weighing the five indicators provided by ASC 606. When control has transferred to the customer, profit is generated as cost of sales is recorded and as revenue is recognized.

Our products and technologies affect the lives of millions of people around the world. Our solutions are critical to preserving national security, ensuring safe air transportation, reducing factory emissions and enhancing patient's lives all while driving innovation. Our engineers collaboratively design and manufacture the most advanced motion control products, to the highest quality standards, for use in demanding applications. By capitalizing on these core foundational strengths, we believe we have achieved a leadership position in the high performance, precision controls market and are "Shaping The Way Our World Moves™."

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By leveraging our engineering heritage and by focusing on customer intimacy to solve our customers' most demanding technical problems, we have been able to expand our control product franchise to multiple markets; organically growing from a high-performance components manufacturer to a high-performance systems designer, manufacturer and integrator. In addition, we continue to expand our content positions on our current platforms, seeking to be the leading supplier in the niche markets we serve. We also look for innovation in all aspects of our business, employing new technologies to improve productivity, while focusing on talent development to strengthen our employee operational performance.

Our fundamental long-term strategies that will help us achieve our financial objectives center around pricing and simplification initiatives. Our pricing initiatives focus on receiving recognition for the value we deliver to our customers across all of our markets. Our simplification initiatives center around 80/20 methodologies, and include:

•shaping our product and business portfolio to invest in growth areas and to divest those that no longer fit,

•rationalizing our footprint to align with current and future business levels,

•focusing our factories so that individual sites meet the unique needs of a specific market, and

•investing in automation and technologies to improve business operations.

We focus on improving shareholder value through strategic revenue growth, both organic and acquired, improving operating efficiencies and manufacturing initiatives and utilizing low cost manufacturing facilities without compromising quality. Historically, we have taken a balanced approach to capital deployment in order to maximize shareholder returns over the long term. These activities have included strategic acquisitions, share buybacks and dividend payments. Today, our capital deployment priority in the near-term continues to be investing for organic growth. With the anticipation of several significant programs that will provide long-term revenue growth starting in a few years, our investments in our facilities will continue at elevated levels to ensure we are well prepared for these opportunities.

Acquisitions, Divestitures and Assets Held for Sale

All of our acquisitions are accounted for under the purchase method and, accordingly, the operating results for the acquired companies are included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings from the respective dates of acquisition. Under purchase accounting, we record assets and liabilities at fair value and such amounts are reflected in the respective captions on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. The purchase price described for each acquisition below is net of any cash acquired, includes debt issued or assumed and the fair value of contingent consideration.

Acquisitions

On October 20, 2023, we acquired Data Collection Limited ("DCL") based in Auckland, New Zealand for a purchase price, net of acquired cash, of $6 million. DCL specializes in manufacturing and operating pavement surveying equipment and providing innovative solutions for measuring and managing pavements. This operation is included in our Military Aircraft segment.

Assets Held for Sale

In 2024, we recorded losses in Asset impairment and fair value adjustment of $15 million related to selling a motors business in the Czech Republic and a hydraulic systems business in Luxembourg that were included in our Industrial segment. We reclassified $9 million in other current assets and $5 million in accrued liabilities as held for sale. We completed the sale of these businesses on September 30, 2024. We do not expect any significant additional losses as a result of completing the transactions.

For further information, refer to Note 3 - Acquisitions, Divestitures and Assets Held for Sale, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report.

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Equity Method and Other Investments

We use the equity method of accounting to record investments and operating results of those investments in which we do not have a controlling interest, however we do have the ability to exercise significant influence over operations. We held the following equity method investments and joint ventures as of the year ended September 28, 2024.

Moog Aircraft Services Asia ("MASA") is a joint venture included in our Commercial Aircraft segment in which we currently hold a 51% ownership share. MASA is intended to provide maintenance, repair and overhaul services for our manufactured flight control systems.

We continued to divest our interest in NOVI LLC, which is included in our Space and Defense segment. Our ownership is now below the threshold for equity accounting and as such is now recorded at fair value.

Suffolk Technologies Fund 1, L.P., is a limited partnership included in our Industrial segment that invests in startups to transform the construction, real estate and property maintenance industries in the U.S. We have a remaining on-call capital commitment of up to $6 million.

Hybrid Motion Solutions (“HMS”) is a joint venture in our Industrial segment in which we hold a 50% ownership interest. HMS specializes in hydrostatic servo drives and leverages synergies to enter new markets. The joint venture focuses on research and development, design and assembly as well as service. Our share of cumulative losses to date has exceeded our initial investment, and as such, we had no net investment balance recorded as of September 28, 2024. In addition to the investment, we had a loan to HMS for $3 million, which we wrote off during 2023 and is included in Asset Impairment in the Consolidated Statement of Earnings.

Investments in, and the operating results of, entities in which we do not have a controlling financial interest or the ability to exercise significant influence over the operations are accounted for at historical cost or fair value using readily determinable financial information. In 2024, we recorded an impairment for the devaluation of an investment of $5 million, which is included as Asset impairment in the Consolidated Statement of Earnings. As of September 28, 2024 we had investments of $5 million, which are included as Other assets in the Consolidated Balance Sheets.

For further information, refer to Note 9 - Equity Method and Other Investments, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report.

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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES

Our financial statements and accompanying notes are prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. The preparation of these consolidated financial statements requires us to make estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the amounts reported. These estimates, assumptions and judgments are affected by our application of accounting policies, which are discussed in Note 1 - Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report. We believe the accounting policies discussed below are the most critical in understanding and evaluating our financial results. These critical accounting policies have been reviewed with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors.

Revenue Recognition on Over-Time Contracts

We recognize revenue from contracts with customers using the five-step model prescribed in ASC 606. For contracts that qualify for over time treatment, we recognize revenue as control of the promised goods or services is being transferred to the customer. This is accomplished by using the cost-to-cost method of accounting, which measures progress as determined by the ratio of cumulative costs incurred to date to estimated total contract costs at completion, multiplied by the total estimated contract revenue, less cumulative revenue recognized in prior periods. We believe this is an appropriate measure of progress toward satisfaction of performance obligations as this measure most accurately depicts the progress of our work and transfer of control to our customers. Changes in estimates affecting sales, costs and profits are recognized in the period in which the change becomes known using the cumulative catch-up method of accounting. Revenue recognized using the cost-to-cost method of accounting over time for the year ended September 28, 2024 was 64% of total revenue. Revenue and cost estimates for substantially all over-time contract performance obligations are reviewed and updated quarterly. For further information, refer to Note 2 - Revenue from Contracts with Customers and Note 22 - Segments, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report.

Contract Reserves

At September 28, 2024, we had contract reserves of $72 million. Contract reserves are comprised of contract loss reserves, recall reserves, and contract-related reserves. Contract loss reserves are recorded for open contracts where it is anticipated that contract costs will be greater than contract income and are determined considering all direct and indirect contract costs, exclusive of any selling, general or administrative cost allocations that are treated as period expenses. In accordance with ASC 606, we calculate contract losses at the contract level, versus the performance obligation level. Recall reserves are recorded when additional work is needed on completed products for them to meet contract specifications. Contract-related reserves are recorded for other reasons, such as delivery issues outside of the ordinary scope of the contract. For all three types of reserves, a provision for the entire amount of the loss is charged against income in the period in which the loss becomes known and can be reasonably estimated by management. For further information, refer to Note 2 - Revenue from Contracts with Customers, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report.

Reserves for Inventory Valuation

At September 28, 2024, we had net inventories of $864 million, or 40% of current assets. Reserves for inventory were $151 million, or 15% of gross inventories. Inventories are stated at the lower of cost or net realizable value with cost determined primarily on the first-in, first-out method of valuation.

We record valuation reserves to provide for slow-moving or obsolete inventory by principally using a formula-based method that increases the valuation reserve as the inventory ages. We also take specific circumstances into consideration. We consider overall inventory levels in relation to firm customer backlog in addition to forecasted demand including aftermarket sales. Changes in these and other factors, such as low demand and technological obsolescence, could cause us to increase our reserves for inventory valuation, which would negatively impact our gross margin. As we record provisions within cost of sales to increase inventory valuation reserves, we establish a new, lower cost basis for the inventory.

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Reviews for Impairment of Goodwill

At September 28, 2024, we had $834 million of goodwill, or 20% of total assets. We test goodwill for impairment for each of our reporting units at least annually, during our fourth quarter, and whenever events occur or circumstances change, such as changes in the business climate, poor indicators of operating performance or the sale or disposition of a significant portion of a reporting unit. We also test goodwill for impairment when there is a change in reporting units.

We identify our reporting units by assessing whether the components of our operating segments constitute businesses for which discrete financial information is available and segment management regularly reviews the operating results of those components. We aggregate certain components based upon an evaluation of the facts and circumstances, including the nature of products and services and the extent of shared assets and resources. As a result, we have four reporting units.

Companies may perform a qualitative assessment as the initial step in the annual goodwill impairment testing process for all or selected reporting units. Companies are also allowed to bypass the qualitative analysis and perform a quantitative analysis if desired. Economic uncertainties and the length of time from the calculation of a baseline fair value are factors that we consider in determining whether to perform a quantitative test.

When we evaluate the potential for goodwill impairment using a qualitative assessment, we consider factors including, but not limited to, macroeconomic conditions, industry conditions, the competitive environment, changes in the market for our products and services, regulatory and political developments, entity specific factors such as strategy and changes in key personnel and overall financial performance. If, after completing this assessment, it is determined that it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying value, we proceed to a quantitative two-step impairment test.

Quantitative testing first requires a comparison of the fair value of each reporting unit to its carrying value. We principally use the discounted cash flow method to estimate the fair value of our reporting units. The discounted cash flow method incorporates various assumptions, the most significant being projected revenue growth rates, operating margins and cash flows, the terminal growth rate and the discount rate. Management projects revenue growth rates, operating margins and cash flows based on each reporting unit's current business, expected developments and operational strategies typically over a five-year period. If the carrying value of the reporting unit exceeds its fair value, goodwill is considered impaired and any loss must be measured.

In measuring the impairment loss, the implied fair value of goodwill is determined by assigning a fair value to all of the reporting unit's assets and liabilities, including any unrecognized intangible assets, as if the reporting unit had been acquired in a business combination at fair value. If the carrying amount of the reporting unit's goodwill exceeds the implied fair value of that goodwill, an impairment loss would be recognized in an amount equal to that excess.

The determination of our assumptions is subjective and requires estimation. Substantial changes in these estimates and assumptions could materially affect the results of our reviews for impairment of goodwill.

For our annual test of goodwill for impairment in 2024, we performed a qualitative assessment for each of our four reporting units.

We evaluated the potential for goodwill impairment by considering macroeconomic conditions, industry and market conditions, cost factors, both current and future expected financial performance, and relevant entity-specific events for each of the reporting units. We also considered our overall market performance discretely as well as in relation to our peers. The results of our qualitative assessment indicated that is more likely than not that the fair value of each of the reporting units exceed its carrying value; and therefore, a quantitative two-step impairment test was not necessary and goodwill was not impaired.

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Reviews for Impairment of Long-Lived Assets

Long-lived assets held for use, which primarily includes finite-lived intangible assets, property, plant and equipment and right-of-use assets, are evaluated for impairment whenever events or circumstances indicate that the undiscounted net cash flows to be generated by their use over their expected useful lives and eventual disposition are less than their carrying value. The long-term nature of these assets requires the estimation of their cash inflows and outflows several years into the future and only takes into consideration technological advances known at the time of the impairment test. For further information, refer to Note 6 - Property, Plant and Equipment and Note 8 - Goodwill and Intangible Assets, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report.

Pension Assumptions

We maintain various defined benefit pension plans covering employees at certain locations. In 2024, pension expense for all defined benefit plans, which includes the postretirement benefit plan, was $26 million. For further information, refer to Note 15 - Employee Benefit Plans, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report. Pension obligations and the related costs are determined using actuarial valuations that involve several assumptions. The most critical assumptions are the discount rate, the long-term expected return on assets and mortality rates. Other assumptions include salary increases and retirement age.

We use the spot rate approach to estimate the service and interest cost components of the net periodic benefit cost for most of our plans. Under this approach the service cost is determined by applying the discount rates along the yield curve to the specific service cost cash flows to determine the present value. The interest cost component is computed by using each assumed discount rate along the curve. The discount rates used in determining expense for the U.S. Employees’ Retirement Plan, our largest plan, in 2024 were 6.0% for service cost and 5.8% for interest cost, compared to 5.5% and 5.4%, respectively, in 2023. A 50 basis point decrease in the discount rates would decrease our annual pension expense by approximately $2 million. The discount rates are used to state expected future cash flows at present value. Using a higher discount rate typically decreases the present value of pension obligations and decreases pension expense. We use the Aon Hewitt AA Above Median yield curve to determine the discount rate for our U.S. defined benefit plans at year end. We believe that the Aon Hewitt AA Above Median yield curve best mirrors the yields of bonds that would be selected by management if actions were taken to settle our obligation.

Mortality rates are used to estimate the life expectancy of plan participants during which they are expected to receive benefit payments. We use a modified version of the mortality table and projection scale published by the Society of Actuaries, which reflects improvements consistent with the Social Security Administration, as a basis for our mortality assumptions for our U.S. plans. We believe the use of this modified table and projection scale best reflects our demographics and anticipated plan outcomes.

The long-term expected return on assets assumption reflects the average rate of return expected on funds invested or to be invested to provide for the benefits included in the projected benefit obligation. In determining the long-term expected return on assets assumption, we consider our current and target asset allocations. We consider the relative weighting of plan assets, the historical performance of total plan assets and individual asset classes and economic and other indicators of future performance. Asset management objectives include maintaining an adequate level of diversification to reduce interest rate and market risk and to provide adequate liquidity to meet immediate and future benefit payment requirements. In determining the 2024 expense for our largest plan, we used a 7.3% return on assets assumption, compared to 6.5% for 2023. A 25 basis point decrease in the long-term expected return on assets assumption would increase our annual pension expense by approximately $1 million.

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Income Taxes

Our annual tax rate is based on our earnings before tax by jurisdiction, applicable statutory tax rates, the impacts of permanent differences, tax incentives and tax planning opportunities in the various jurisdictions in which we operate.  Significant judgment is required in determining our annual tax rate and in evaluating our tax positions.

An estimated annual effective tax rate is applied to our quarterly ordinary operating results. For certain significant, unusual or infrequent events, we recognize the tax impact in the quarter in which it occurs.

We record reserves against tax benefits when it’s more likely than not that we will not sustain a position if the appropriate taxing jurisdiction had full information and examined our position. We adjust these reserves when facts and circumstances change, such as when progress is made by taxing authorities in their review of our position. There is a considerable amount of judgment in making these assessments. There were no significant reserves taken in 2024.

Valuation allowances associated with deferred tax assets is another area that requires judgment. We record a valuation allowance to reduce deferred tax assets to the amount of future tax benefit that we believe is more likely than not to be realized. We consider recent earnings projections, allowable tax carryforward periods, tax planning strategies and historical earnings performance to determine the amount of the valuation allowance. Changes in these factors could cause us to adjust our valuation allowance, which would impact our income tax expense when we determine that these factors have changed.

At September 28, 2024, we had gross deferred tax assets of $201 million and deferred tax asset valuation allowances of $11 million. The deferred tax assets principally relate to benefit accruals, inventory obsolescence, tax benefit carryforwards, contract reserves and lease liabilities. The deferred tax assets include $18 million related to tax benefit carryforwards associated with net operating losses and tax credits, for which $11 million of deferred tax asset valuation allowances are recorded. For further information, refer to Note 16 - Income Taxes, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report.

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CONSOLIDATED RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following is a discussion of our results of operations in 2024 compared to 2023. A discussion of our 2023 results of operations compared to 2022 results can be found within Part II, Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis within our 2023 Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed with the SEC on November 14, 2023.

2024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
(dollars and shares in millions, except per share data)202420232022$ Variance% Variance$ Variance% Variance
Net sales$3,609$3,319$3,036$2909%$2839%
Gross margin27.6%26.9%27.0%
Research and development expenses11310711066%(3)(3%)
Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of sales13.7%14.2%14.8%
Interest expense626437(1)(2%)2773%
Asset impairment and fair value adjustment2215188N/M(3)(19%)
Restructuring expense2481016N/M(2)(16%)
Loss on sale of businesses13(1)N/M(2)(73%)
Gain on sale of buildings(1)(10)(9)9N/M(1)N/M
Pension settlement13(13)N/M13%
Other1491552%8N/M
Effective tax rate22.6%20.9%23.6%
Net earnings$207$171$155$3621%$1610%
Diluted average common shares outstanding3232321%%
Diluted earnings per share$6.40$5.34$4.83$1.0620%$0.5111%
Total backlog$5,060$5,150$5,200$(90)(2%)$(50)(1%)
Twelve-month backlog$2,500$2,420$2,300$803%$1205%

Net sales increased across all our segments in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by production ramps in Commercial Aircraft and by defense market growth in Military Aircraft and Space and Defense.

Gross margin increased in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by improved performance on our space vehicle development programs, a $14 million benefit from the Employee Retention Credit associated with the CARES Act and the results of our pricing and simplification initiatives across all of our segments.

Research and development expenses increased in 2024 compared to 2023. Activities supporting our new growth programs in Space and Defense and Industrial were partially offset by a reduction in Military Aircraft.

Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of sales decreased in 2024 compared to 2023, reflecting the incremental benefit from higher sales volume.

Interest expense decreased in 2024 compared to 2023 due to capitalizing $10 million of interest associated with certain major long term capital projects in 2023 and 2024. Mostly offsetting the reduction was the impact of higher rates on outstanding debt balances, as well as higher debt balances.

In 2024 and 2023, we incurred restructuring charges, impairment charges, inventory write-downs and other charges across all our segments, as we continued to simplify our business. In 2023, we also incurred a non-cash pension settlement charge, which was mostly offset by the gain from the sales of three buildings in Industrial.

The effective tax rate was higher in 2024 compared to 2023, as the prior year included higher amounts of research and development tax credit benefits.

The twelve-month backlog at September 28, 2024 increased as compared with the twelve-month backlog at September 30, 2023. Within Commercial Aircraft, we had higher spares orders in our aftermarket programs. Within Space and Defense, we had higher orders across our satellite and launch vehicle programs, as well as for defense component programs. These were partially offset by the timing of orders in various Military Aircraft programs.

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SEGMENT RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Operating profit, as presented below, is net sales less cost of sales and other operating expenses, excluding interest expense, equity-based compensation expense, non-service pension expense and other corporate expenses. Cost of sales and other operating expenses are directly identifiable to the respective segment or allocated on the basis of sales, headcount or profit. Operating profit is reconciled to earnings before income taxes in Note 22 - Segments, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report.

Space and Defense

2024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
(dollars in millions)202420232022$ Variance% Variance$ Variance% Variance
Net sales$1,018$947$872$717%$759%
Operating profit$127$96$87$3133%$910%
Operating margin12.5%10.1%10.0%

Space and Defense net sales increased in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by strong, broad-based demand for defense applications. In 2024, sales increased $45 million in our defense programs and $26 million in our space programs. Within our defense market, higher U.S. demand for our component products and the ramp of new defense pursuits serving European needs increased sales. Within our space market, higher demand for launch vehicle and satellite components was partially offset by lower activity across our space vehicle programs.

Operating margin increased in 2024 compared to 2023 driven by strong operational performance, including improved performance on our space vehicle programs and by the benefits from our pricing initiatives. In 2024 and 2023, we incurred restructuring, inventory write-down, impairment and other charges of $9 million and $3 million, respectively. Excluding these charges, adjusted operating margins in 2024 and 2023 were 13.4% and 10.5%, respectively.

Military Aircraft

2024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
(dollars in millions)202420232022$ Variance% Variance$ Variance% Variance
Net sales$812$720$742$9113%$(22)(3%)
Operating profit$86$60$90$2542%$(30)(33%)
Operating margin10.6%8.4%12.1%

Military Aircraft net sales increased in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by growth on development and production aircraft. Sales increased $88 million in military OEM programs, driven by the ramp-up of activity on the FLRAA program and other OEM production programs.

Operating margin increased in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by the benefits of cost absorption from having a full year of activity on the FLRAA program, and by a reduction in research and development expenses. Partially offsetting these benefits in 2024 were impairment, restructuring and other charges of $11 million, compared to inventory write-down, impairment and other charges of $4 million in 2023. Excluding these charges, adjusted operating margins in 2024 and 2023 were 12.0% and 9.0%, respectively.

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Commercial Aircraft

2024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
(dollars in millions)202420232022$ Variance% Variance$ Variance% Variance
Net sales$788$669$514$23918%$15430%
Operating profit$91$84$34$78%$51151%
Operating margin11.6%12.6%6.5%

Commercial Aircraft net sales increased in 2024 compared to 2023. Commercial OEM sales increased $90 million, as we experienced growth from production ramps on widebody, narrowbody and business jet programs. Commercial aftermarket sales increased $30 million, driven by higher levels of spares for initial provisioning and higher repair volumes.

Operating margin decreased in 2024 compared to 2023. The absence of favorable aftermarket retrofit activity and the sale of inventory upon exiting a mature platform from 2023, were partially offset by higher production volume in 2024.

Industrial

2024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
(dollars in millions)202420232022$ Variance% Variance$ Variance% Variance
Net sales$991$983$907$81%$768%
Operating profit$91$102$72$(12)(11%)$3041%
Operating margin9.1%10.4%8.0%

Industrial net sales increased in 2024 compared to 2023. Sales increased $31 million in our simulation and test market. Higher demand for our flight simulation systems, which support the increased pilot training demand, and for our test products drove the sales increase in this market. Sales also increased $14 million in our energy market. Partially offsetting these increases was a $42 million sales decrease in our industrial automation market, reflecting a slowdown in orders.

Operating margin decreased in 2024 compared to 2023 due to higher amounts of simplification charges. In 2024 we incurred impairment, restructuring and inventory write-down charges of $32 million. In 2023, we incurred impairment, restructuring, inventory write-down and other charges of $21 million, partially offset by a $10 million gain related to the sales of three buildings. Excluding these charges, adjusted operating margins in 2024 and 2023 were 12.4% and 11.5%, respectively. The increase in adjusted operating margin was driven by the benefits from our pricing initiatives.

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SEGMENT OUTLOOK

2025 vs. 2024
(dollars in millions)20252024$ Variance% Variance
Net sales:
Space and Defense$1,085$1,018$677%
Military Aircraft840812283%
Commercial Aircraft835788476%
Industrial940991(51)(5%)
$3,700$3,609$913%
Operating profit:
Space and Defense$154$127$2721%
Military Aircraft110862428%
Commercial Aircraft929111%
Industrial126913539%
$482$395$8722%
Operating margin:
Space and Defense14.2%12.5%
Military Aircraft13.1%10.6%
Commercial Aircraft11.0%11.6%
Industrial13.4%9.1%
13.0%11.0%
Net earnings$267$207
Diluted earnings per share$8.20$6.40

2025 Outlook – We expect higher sales in 2025 driven by continued growth in our aerospace and defense markets. Portfolio shaping activities in Industrial will reduce sales. We expect operating margin will increase due to the continued benefits of our pricing and simplification initiatives. Partially offsetting the incremental profit is an expected higher tax rate. We expect diluted earnings per share will range between $8.00 and $8.40, with a midpoint of $8.20.

2025 Outlook for Space and Defense – In 2025, we expect sales growth across both of our space and defense markets, primarily driven by the strong demand for defense products, in particular in space and European ground vehicle markets. We expect operating margin will increase due to profitable growth and pricing initiatives, partially offset by the lack of the prior year's employee retention credit.

2025 Outlook for Military Aircraft – In 2025, we expect sales growth in OEM programs, driven primarily by further growth on the FLRAA program, and in aftermarket programs, driven by the military ensuring mission readiness across the fleet. We expect operating margin will increase due to a transition on several programs from development to production, thereby reducing our cost risks, and by both higher sales volume and the benefits of our pricing initiatives, as well as the absence of impairment, restructuring and other charges recorded in 2024.

2025 Outlook for Commercial Aircraft – In 2025, we expect sales growth to come from continued production ramps on nearly all of our programs. This sales growth will be tempered by both pressures on our Boeing platforms and by reduced production levels at one of our facilities due to storm damage. We expect operating margin will decrease due to an unfavorable sales mix as OEM production levels outpace aftermarket sales growth, and by our facility's production recovery.

2025 Outlook for Industrial – In 2025, we expect a decrease in sales due to the lost sales associated with our portfolio shaping activities. We expect operating margin will increase due to the savings from our simplified operations, the benefits of our pricing initiatives and the the absence of restructuring and other charges recorded in 2024.

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LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows

2024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
(dollars in millions)202420232022$ Variance% Variance$ Variance% Variance
Net cash provided (used) by:
Operating activities$202$136$247$6649%$(111)(45%)
Investing activities(160)(163)(85)4(2%)(78)91%
Financing activities(49)(23)(135)(26)111%112(83%)

Operating activities

Net cash provided by operating activities increased in 2024 compared to 2023. Billed and unbilled receivables provided $171 million more of cash, driven by better collections and the expansion of our receivables financing program. Also, net earnings increased substantially. Partially offsetting these sources of cash was customer advances, which used $164 million more of cash as we worked down advances across all our segments.

Investing activities

Net cash used by investing activities in 2024 included $156 million of capital expenditures, which included $10 million for the adjustment we made in the fourth quarter of 2024 to capitalize interest associated with major long term capital projects in 2023 and 2024. Net cash used by investing activities in 2024 also included $6 million associated with the acquisition of DCL.

Net cash used by investing activities in 2023 included $173 million of capital expenditures, including a $28 million building purchase. Also, 2023 included $22 million of proceeds from the sales of buildings and businesses.

Financing activities

Net cash used by financing activities in 2024 included $9 million of net borrowings on our credit facilities. Partially offsetting the borrowings was a cash use of $35 million for dividend payments.

Net cash used by financing activities in 2023 included $26 million of net borrowings on our credit facilities. Partially offsetting the borrowings was a cash use of $34 million for dividend payments.

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General

Cash flows from our operations, together with our various financing arrangements, fund on-going activities, debt service requirements, organic growth, acquisition opportunities and the ability to return capital to shareholders. We believe these sources of funding will be sufficient to meet our cash requirements for the next 12 months and for the foreseeable future thereafter.

At September 28, 2024, our cash balances were $62 million, which includes $56 million held outside of the U.S. by foreign operations. We regularly assess our cash needs, including repatriation of foreign earnings which may be subject to regulatory approvals and withholding taxes, where applicable by law.

Financing Arrangements

In addition to operations, our capital resources include bank credit facilities and an accounts receivable financing program to fund our short and long-term capital requirements. We continuously evaluate various forms of financing to improve our liquidity and position ourselves for future opportunities, which from time to time, may result in selling debt and equity securities to fund acquisitions or take advantage of favorable market conditions.

We are generally not required to obtain the consent of lenders of the U.S. revolving credit facility before raising significant additional debt financing; however, certain limitations and conditions may apply that would require consent to be obtained. We have demonstrated our ability to secure consents to access debt markets. We have also been successful in accessing equity markets from time to time. We believe that we will be able to obtain additional debt or equity financing as needed.

In the normal course of business, we are exposed to interest rate risk from our long-term debt. To manage these risks, we may enter into derivative instruments such as interest rate swaps which are used to adjust the proportion of total debt that is subject to variable and fixed interest rates.

Our U.S. revolving credit facility, which matures on October 27, 2027, has a capacity of $1.1 billion and also provides an expansion option, which permits us to request an increase of up to $400 million to the credit facility upon satisfaction of certain conditions. The weighted-average interest rate on the outstanding credit facility borrowings was 6.73% and is based on SOFR plus the applicable margin, which was 1.60% at September 28, 2024.

The U.S. revolving credit facility contains various covenants. The minimum for the interest coverage ratio, defined as the ratio of EBITDA to interest expense for the most recent four quarters, is 3.0. The maximum for the leverage ratio, defined as the ratio of net debt to EBITDA for the most recent four quarters, is 4.0. EBITDA is defined in the loan agreement as (i) the sum of net income, interest expense, income taxes, depreciation expense, amortization expense, other non-cash items reducing consolidated net income and non-cash equity-based compensation expenses minus (ii) other non-cash items increasing consolidated net income.

The SECT has a revolving credit facility with a borrowing capacity of $35 million, maturing on October 26, 2025. Interest was 7.24% as of September 28, 2024 and is based on SOFR plus a margin of 2.23%.

We have $500 million aggregate principal amount of 4.25% senior notes due December 15, 2027 with interest paid semiannually on June 15 and December 15 of each year. The senior notes are unsecured obligations, guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by certain subsidiaries and contain normal incurrence-based covenants and limitations such as the ability to incur additional indebtedness, pay dividends, make other restricted payments and investments, create liens and certain corporate acts such as mergers and consolidations.

At September 28, 2024, we had $755 million of unused capacity, including $721 million from the U.S. revolving credit facility after considering standby letters of credit and other limitations.

Our Receivables Purchase Agreement, which matures on December 11, 2026, allows the Receivables Subsidiary to sell receivables to the Purchasers in amounts up to a $125 million limit so long as certain conditions are satisfied. The receivables are sold to the Purchasers in consideration for the Purchasers making payments of cash. Each Purchaser’s share of capital accrues yield at a variable rate plus an applicable margin, which totaled 5.88% as of September 28, 2024.

We are in compliance with all covenants under each of our financing arrangements. See Note 4 - Receivables and Note 10 - Indebtedness, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, for additional details regarding our financing arrangements.

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Dividends and Common Stock

We believe we can create long term value for our shareholders by continuing to invest in our business through both capital expenditures as well as investments in new market opportunities. We will also continue exploring opportunities to make strategic acquisitions and return capital to shareholders.

We are currently paying quarterly cash dividends on our Class A and Class B common stock and expect to continue to do so for the foreseeable future. See the Consolidated Statement of Shareholders Equity and Cash Flows, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, for additional details regarding our financing arrangements.

The Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program that permits repurchases for both Class A and Class B common stock, and allows us to buy up to an aggregate 3 million common shares. There are approximately 2.2 million common shares remaining under this authorization. See the Consolidated Statement of Shareholders Equity and Cash Flows, of Part II, Item 8, Financial Information and Part II, Item 5, Market for Registrant's Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities, of this report for additional details.

Today, we believe we can create long term value for our shareholders by continuing to invest in our business through both capital expenditures as well as investments in new market opportunities. We will also continue exploring opportunities to make strategic acquisitions and return capital to shareholders.

Off Balance Sheet Arrangements

We do not have any material off balance sheet arrangements that have or are reasonably likely to have a material future effect on our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.

Contractual Obligations and Commercial Commitments

For further information on our contractual obligations and commitments as of September 28, 2024, see the notes referenced below, of Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report.

Right-of-use lease liabilities - See Note 7 - Leases, for details on obligations and timing of expected future payments, including a five-year maturity schedule.

Debt Obligations and Interest Payments - See Note 10 - Indebtedness, for details of our debt and timing of expected future principal and interest payments. Our current and long-term interest obligation on fixed-rate debt is $21 million and $47 million, respectively. Interest on variable-rate long-term debt, assuming the rate and outstanding balances do not change from those at September 28, 2024, would be approximately $27 million annually.

Employee Benefit Plans - See Note 15 - Employee Benefit Plans, for details on our obligations and timing of expected future payments under these plans. In 2025, we anticipate making contributions to defined benefit pension plans of $15 million, of which approximately $6 million is for a non-qualified U.S. plan. We are unable to determine minimum funding requirements beyond 2024. We have made no discretionary incremental contributions to our defined benefit plans in excess of minimum funding requirements. We do not plan to make additional contributions for the foreseeable future.

Income Taxes - We are unable to determine or estimate any potential changes to unrecognized tax benefits. See Note 16 - Income Taxes, for additional details of tax obligations.

Commitments - See Note 24 - Commitments and Contingencies, for additional details.

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ECONOMIC CONDITIONS AND MARKET TRENDS

We operate within the aerospace and defense and industrial markets.

Our aerospace and defense businesses represented 73% of our 2024 sales. Our defense market, which represented 51% of our 2024 sales, is directly affected by defense funding levels, which have recently increased. Our commercial aircraft market, which represented 22% of our 2024 sales, is aligning with our customers' current plans.

Within our industrial markets, which represented 27% of our 2024 sales, our programs benefited from increased order demand within industrial automation, simulation and test and energy markets.

A common factor throughout our markets is the continuing demand for technologically advanced products.

Aerospace and Defense

Within aerospace and defense, we serve three end markets: defense, commercial aircraft and space.

The defense market is dependent on military spending for development and production programs. We have a growing development program order book for future generation aircraft and turret programs, and we strive to embed our technologies within these high-performance military programs of the future, including the Textron Bell FLRAA. Aircraft production programs are typically long-term in nature, offering predictable capacity needs and future revenues. We maintain positions on numerous high priority programs, including the Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II. The large installed base of our products leads to attractive aftermarket sales and service opportunities. The tactical and strategic missile, missile defense and defense controls markets are dependent on many of the same market conditions as military aircraft, including overall military spending and program funding levels. At times when there are perceived threats to national security, U.S. and European defense spending can increase; at other times, defense spending can decrease. Future levels of defense spending have increased in the near-term given the current global tensions, and are subject to governmental approvals.

The commercial OEM aircraft market depends on a number of factors, including both the last decade's increasing global demand for air travel and increasing fuel prices. Both factors contributed to the demand for new, more fuel-efficient aircraft with lower operating costs that led to large production backlogs for Boeing and Airbus. Boeing and Airbus are producing widebody aircraft at rates to support the post-pandemic air traffic volumes, as well as working through their current supply-chain challenges. Any adjustments to their ramp schedules affects the demand for our flight control systems.

The commercial aftermarket is driven by usage and the age of the existing aircraft fleet for passenger and cargo aircraft, which drives the need for maintenance and repairs. We have seen higher demand levels for our maintenance services and spare parts due to the increased number of flight hours across existing fleets.

The space market is comprised of three customer markets: the civil market, the U.S. Department of Defense market and the commercial space market. The civil market, namely NASA, is driven by investment for commercial and exploration activities, including NASA's return to the moon. The U.S. Department of Defense market is driven by governmental-authorized levels of defense spending, including funding for defense-related satellite and space vehicle technologies. Levels of U.S. defense spending could increase as there is growing emphasis on space as the next frontier of potential future conflicts. The commercial space market is driven by demand for small satellites, which offer new innovative space applications. Trends for this market, as well as for commercial launch vehicles, follow demand for increased capacity. Our launch vehicle and satellite components and systems will continue to benefit from increased investments in these markets.

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Industrial

Within industrial, we serve two end markets: industrial and medical. The industrial market consists of industrial automation products, simulation and test products and energy generation and exploration products. The medical market consists of medical devices and medical components products.

The industrial market we serve with our industrial automation products is influenced by several factors including capital investment levels, the pace of product and technology innovation, economic conditions and cost-reduction efforts. Our industrial automation customers mainly serve the automotive market.

Our simulation and test products operate in markets that were largely affected by the same factors and investment challenges as our commercial aircraft market. However, we have seen stronger order demand for flight simulation systems as the airline training market recovers in line with domestic and foreign flight hours.

Our energy generation and exploration products operate in a market that is influenced by changing oil and natural gas prices, global urbanization and the resulting change in supply and demand for global energy. Historically, drivers for global growth include investments in power generation infrastructure and exploration of new oil and gas resources.

The medical market we serve, in general, is influenced by economic conditions, regulatory environments, hospital and outpatient clinic spending on equipment, population demographics, medical advances, patient demands and the need for precision control components and systems. Advances in medical technology and treatments have resulted in the greater need for medical services, which drive the demand for our medical devices and components programs.

Foreign Currencies

We are affected by the movement of foreign currencies compared to the U.S. dollar. About one-sixth of our 2024 sales were denominated in foreign currencies. During 2024, average foreign currency rates generally strengthened against the U.S. dollar compared to 2023. The translation of the results of our foreign subsidiaries into U.S. dollars increased sales by $4 million compared to one year ago. During 2023, average foreign currency rates generally weakened against the U.S. dollar compared to 2022. The translation of the results of our foreign subsidiaries into U.S. dollars decreased 2023 sales by $19 million compared to 2022.

RECENT ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS

See Note 1 - Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, included in Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this report for further information regarding Financial Accounting Standards Board issued Accounting Standards Updates ("ASU").

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