AFLAC INC (AFL)
SIC breadcrumb: Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate > Insurance Carriers > SIC 6321 Accident & Health Insurance
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=4977. Latest filing source: 0001628280-26-011402.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 17,164,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
| Net income | 3,646,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
| Assets | 116,470,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-25. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000004977.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 22,559,000,000 | 21,667,000,000 | 21,758,000,000 | 22,307,000,000 | 22,147,000,000 | 21,554,000,000 | 19,140,000,000 | 18,701,000,000 | 18,927,000,000 | 17,164,000,000 |
| Net income | 2,659,000,000 | 4,604,000,000 | 2,920,000,000 | 3,304,000,000 | 4,778,000,000 | 4,231,000,000 | 4,418,000,000 | 4,659,000,000 | 5,443,000,000 | 3,646,000,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 3.21 | 5.77 | 3.77 | 4.43 | 6.67 | 6.25 | 6.93 | 7.78 | 9.63 | 6.82 |
| Operating cash flow | 5,987,000,000 | 6,128,000,000 | 6,014,000,000 | 5,455,000,000 | 5,958,000,000 | 5,051,000,000 | 3,879,000,000 | 3,190,000,000 | 2,707,000,000 | 2,555,000,000 |
| Dividends paid | 658,000,000 | 661,000,000 | 793,000,000 | 771,000,000 | 769,000,000 | 855,000,000 | 979,000,000 | 966,000,000 | 1,087,000,000 | 1,198,000,000 |
| Share buybacks | 1,422,000,000 | 1,351,000,000 | 1,301,000,000 | 1,627,000,000 | 1,537,000,000 | 2,301,000,000 | 2,401,000,000 | 2,801,000,000 | 2,800,000,000 | 3,530,000,000 |
| Assets | 129,819,000,000 | 137,217,000,000 | 140,406,000,000 | 152,768,000,000 | 165,086,000,000 | 157,542,000,000 | 131,738,000,000 | 126,724,000,000 | 117,566,000,000 | 116,470,000,000 |
| Liabilities | 109,337,000,000 | 112,619,000,000 | 116,944,000,000 | 123,809,000,000 | 131,527,000,000 | 124,289,000,000 | 111,598,000,000 | 104,739,000,000 | 91,468,000,000 | 86,980,000,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 20,482,000,000 | 24,598,000,000 | 23,462,000,000 | 28,959,000,000 | 33,559,000,000 | 17,031,000,000 | 20,140,000,000 | 21,985,000,000 | 26,098,000,000 | 29,490,000,000 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 4,859,000,000 | 3,491,000,000 | 4,337,000,000 | 4,896,000,000 | 5,141,000,000 | 5,051,000,000 | 3,943,000,000 | 4,306,000,000 | 6,229,000,000 | 6,245,000,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 11.79% | 21.25% | 13.42% | 14.81% | 21.57% | 19.63% | 23.08% | 24.91% | 28.76% | 21.24% |
| Return on equity | 12.98% | 18.72% | 12.45% | 11.41% | 14.24% | 24.84% | 21.94% | 21.19% | 20.86% | 12.36% |
| Return on assets | 2.05% | 3.36% | 2.08% | 2.16% | 2.89% | 2.69% | 3.35% | 3.68% | 4.63% | 3.13% |
| Liabilities / equity | 5.34 | 4.58 | 4.98 | 4.28 | 3.92 | 7.30 | 5.54 | 4.76 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
Financial Charts
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-05-06. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000004977.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q2 | 2022-06-30 | 2.16 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | 2.53 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | 1.94 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-03-31 | 1,188,000,000 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 5,172,000,000 | 2.71 | reported discrete quarter | |
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-06-30 | 1,634,000,000 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 4,950,000,000 | 2.64 | reported discrete quarter | |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 3,778,000,000 | 268,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 5,436,000,000 | 1,879,000,000 | 3.25 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-03-31 | 1,879,000,000 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 5,138,000,000 | 3.10 | reported discrete quarter | |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-06-30 | 1,755,000,000 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 2,949,000,000 | -0.17 | reported discrete quarter | |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 5,403,000,000 | 1,902,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 3,398,000,000 | 29,000,000 | 0.05 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-03-31 | 29,000,000 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 4,160,000,000 | 1.11 | reported discrete quarter | |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-06-30 | 599,000,000 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 4,740,000,000 | 3.08 | reported discrete quarter | |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 4,866,000,000 | 1,379,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 4,346,000,000 | 1,019,000,000 | 1.98 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0001628280-26-030923.
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A)
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor to encourage companies to provide prospective information, so long as those informational statements are identified as forward-looking and are accompanied by meaningful cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements. Aflac Incorporated (the Parent Company) and its subsidiaries (collectively with the Parent Company, the Company) desire to take advantage of these provisions. This report contains cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected herein, and in any other statements made by Company officials in communications with the financial community and contained in documents filed with or furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Forward-looking statements are not based on historical information and relate to future operations, strategies, financial results or other developments. Furthermore, forward-looking information is subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties. In particular, statements containing words such as the ones listed below or similar words, as well as specific projections of future results, generally qualify as forward-looking. The Company undertakes no obligation to update such forward-looking statements, except as may be required by law.
| • expect | • anticipate | • believe | • goal | • objective | • strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • may | • should | • estimate | • intend | • project | • future |
| • will | • assume | • potential | • target | • outlook | • continue |
The Company cautions readers that the following factors, in addition to other factors mentioned from time to time, could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements:
•difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy, including inflation
•defaults and credit downgrades of investments
•global fluctuations in interest rates and exposure to significant interest rate risk
•concentration of business in Japan
•limited availability of acceptable Japanese yen-denominated investments
•foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate
•differing interpretations applied to investment valuations
•significant valuation judgments in determination of expected credit losses recorded on the Company's investments
•decreases in the Company's financial strength or debt ratings
•decline in creditworthiness of other financial institutions
•the Company's ability to attract and retain qualified sales associates, brokers, employees, and distribution partners
•deviations in actual experience from pricing and reserving assumptions
•ability to continue to develop and implement improvements in information technology systems and on successful execution of revenue growth and expense management initiatives
•interruption in telecommunication, information technology and other operational systems, or a failure to maintain the security, confidentiality, integrity or privacy of sensitive data residing on such systems, and uncertainty regarding the impact of the incident involving unauthorized access to the Company’s network in June 2025
•subsidiaries' ability to pay dividends to the Parent Company
•inherent limitations to risk management policies and procedures
•operational risks of third-party vendors
•tax rates applicable to the Company may change
•failure to comply with restrictions on policyholder privacy and information security
•extensive regulation and changes in law or regulation by governmental authorities
•competitive environment and ability to anticipate and respond to market trends
•catastrophic events, including, but not limited to, epidemics, pandemics, tornadoes, hurricanes, earthquakes, tsunamis, war or other military action, major public health issues, terrorism or other acts of violence, and damage incidental to such events
•ability to protect the Aflac brand and the Company's reputation
•ability to effectively manage key executive succession
•changes in accounting standards
•level and outcome of litigation or regulatory inquiries
•allegations or determinations of worker misclassification in the United States
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MD&A OVERVIEW
MD&A is intended to inform the reader about matters affecting the financial condition and results of operations of Aflac Incorporated and its subsidiaries for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2026 and 2025, respectively. Results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results for the entire year. As a result, the following discussion should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes that are included in the Company's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 (2025 Annual Report). In this MD&A, amounts may not foot due to rounding.
This MD&A is divided into the following sections:
| Page | |
|---|---|
| Executive Summary | 75 |
| Results of Operations | 76 |
| Investments | 94 |
| Hedging Activities | 99 |
| Policy Liabilities | 102 |
| Benefit Plans | 103 |
| Policyholder Protection | 103 |
| Liquidity and Capital Resources | 103 |
| Critical Accounting Estimates | 108 |
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Company Overview
Aflac Incorporated (the Parent Company) and its subsidiaries (collectively, the Company) provide financial protection to millions of policyholders and customers in Japan and the United States (U.S.). The Company’s principal business is supplemental health and life insurance products with the goal to provide customers the best value in supplemental insurance products in Japan and the U.S. The Company's insurance business consists of two reporting segments: Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. The Parent Company’s primary insurance subsidiaries are Aflac Life Insurance Japan Ltd. in Japan (Aflac Japan) and American Family Life Assurance Company of Columbus (Aflac); Continental American Insurance Company (CAIC), branded as Aflac Group Insurance (AGI); American Family Life Assurance Company of New York (Aflac New York); Tier One Insurance Company (TOIC) and Aflac Benefits Solutions, Inc. (ABS), which provides a platform for Aflac Dental and Vision in the U.S. (collectively, Aflac U.S.). The Parent Company, other operating business units that are not individually reportable, reinsurance activities, including reinsurance activity of Aflac Re Bermuda Ltd. (Aflac Re), and other business activities not included in Aflac Japan or Aflac U.S., as well as intercompany eliminations, are included in Corporate and other.
Performance Highlights
Total revenues were $4.3 billion in the first quarter of 2026, compared with $3.4 billion in the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to net investment gains of $49 million in the first quarter of 2026 compared with net investment losses of $963 million in the first quarter of 2025.
Net earnings were $1.0 billion, or $1.98 per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2026, compared with $29 million, or $.05 per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2025.
Net earnings in the first quarter of 2026 included net investment gains of $49 million, compared with net investment losses of $963 million in the first quarter of 2025. Net investment gains in the first quarter of 2026 included $164 million of net gains from certain derivative and foreign currency gains or losses; offset by an increase in credit loss allowances of $61 million; $24 million of impairments; $16 million of net losses from sales and redemptions; and a $14 million loss from a decrease in the fair value of equity securities.
Adjusted earnings(1) in the first quarter of 2026 were $901 million, or $1.75 per diluted share, compared with $906 million, or $1.66 per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2025. The average yen/dollar exchange rate(2) for the three-month period ended March 31, 2026 was 156.87, or 2.8% weaker than the average rate of 152.40 for the same period in 2025. The weaker yen/dollar exchange rate negatively impacted adjusted earnings per diluted share by $.02.
Shareholders’ equity was $30.0 billion, or $58.69 per share, at March 31, 2026, compared with $29.5 billion, or $56.85 per share, at December 31, 2025.
Shareholders’ equity at March 31, 2026 included a cumulative increase of $9.5 billion from the effect of changes in discount rate assumptions on insurance reserves, compared with a corresponding cumulative increase of $8.0 billion at December 31, 2025, and a net unrealized loss on investment securities and derivatives of $2.7 billion, compared with a net unrealized loss of $1.8 billion at December 31, 2025. Shareholders’ equity at March 31, 2026 also included an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $5.0 billion, compared with an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $4.8 billion at December 31, 2025. The annualized return on average shareholders’ equity in the first quarter of 2026 was 13.7%.
Shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (adjusted book value(1)) was $28.1 billion, or $54.96 per share, at March 31, 2026, compared with $28.0 billion, or $54.06 per share, at December 31, 2025. Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement(1) was $21.8 billion, or $42.71 per share, at March 31, 2026, compared with $22.1 billion, or $42.66 per share, at December 31, 2025. The annualized adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement(1) in the first quarter of 2026 was 16.4%.
In the first three months of 2026, Aflac Incorporated repurchased $1.0 billion, or 9.0 million of its common shares. At March 31, 2026, the Company had 105.3 million remaining shares authorized for repurchase.
(1) See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for a definition of this non-U.S. GAAP financial measure.
(2) Yen/dollar exchange rates are based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
75
Cyber Incident
As previously disclosed, the Company identified an incident involving unauthorized access to a limited number of its systems in the U.S. on June 12, 2025. The Company promptly initiated its cybersecurity incident response protocols and believes it contained the unauthorized access within hours. The Company's systems were not affected by ransomware, and the Company remained able to serve its policyholders and underwrite policies, review claims, and otherwise service customers as usual.
The Company is aware of the exfiltration of certain data including claims information, health information, social security numbers and/or other personal information relating to customers, beneficiaries, employees, agents, and other individuals in the Company’s U.S. business. In December 2025, the Company completed a detailed review of the potentially impacted files and determined that personal information associated with approximately 22.65 million individuals was involved. As of the date of this filing, the Company has completed the notification process to impacted individuals and regulatory authorities as required by applicable laws.
Based on the information currently available, as of the date of this report, the Company does not believe that the incident is reasonably likely to have a material impact on the Company’s financial condition or results of operations. The Company continues to assess the financial impact of the cybersecurity incident, including how much of the financial impact will be covered by insurance. As a result of the cybersecurity incident, the Company has incurred certain costs and may, depending on future developmen
[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Performance Highlights
For the full year of 2025, total revenues were down 9.3% to $17.2 billion, compared with $18.9 billion for the full year of 2024, primarily due to net investment losses of $572 million in 2025 compared with net investment gains of $1.3 billion in 2024. Net earnings were $3.6 billion, or $6.82 per diluted share, for the full year of 2025, compared with $5.4 billion, or $9.63 per diluted share, for the full year of 2024.
Net earnings in 2025 included net investment losses of $572 million, compared with net investment gains of $1.3 billion in 2024. Net investment losses in 2025 included $467 million of net losses from certain derivative and foreign currency gains or losses; an increase in credit loss allowances of $191 million and $6 million of impairments; offset by a $72 million gain from an increase in the fair value of equity securities and $20 million of net gains from sales and redemptions.
The average yen/dollar exchange rate(1) in 2025 was 149.32, or 1.1% stronger than the rate of 150.97 in 2024.
Adjusted earnings(2) for the full year of 2025 were $4.0 billion, or $7.49 per diluted share, compared with $4.1 billion, or $7.21 per diluted share, in 2024. The stronger yen/dollar exchange rate positively impacted adjusted earnings per diluted share by $.04.
In 2025, Aflac Incorporated repurchased $3.5 billion, or 33.0 million of its common shares. At December 31, 2025, the Company had 114.3 million remaining shares authorized for repurchase.
Shareholders’ equity was $29.5 billion, or $56.85 per share, at December 31, 2025, compared with $26.1 billion, or $47.45 per share, at December 31, 2024. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2025 included a cumulative increase of $8.0 billion from the effect of changes in discount rate assumptions on insurance reserves, compared with a corresponding cumulative increase of $2.0 billion at December 31, 2024, and a net unrealized loss on investment securities and derivatives of $1.8 billion, compared with a net unrealized gain of $4 million at December 31, 2024. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2025 also included an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $4.8 billion, compared with an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $5.0 billion at December 31, 2024. The annualized return on average shareholders’ equity in 2025 was 13.1%.
Shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (adjusted book value(2)) was $28.0 billion, or $54.06 per share, at December 31, 2025, compared with $29.1 billion, or $52.87 per share, at December 31, 2024. Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement(2) was $22.1 billion, or $42.66 per share, at December 31, 2025, compared with $23.4 billion, or $42.46 per share, at December 31, 2024. The annualized adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement(2) in 2025 was 17.6%.
(1) Yen/dollar exchange rates are based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
(2) See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for a definition of this non-U.S. GAAP financial measure.
Cyber Incident
As previously disclosed, the Company identified an incident involving unauthorized access to a limited number of its systems in the U.S. on June 12, 2025. The Company promptly initiated its cybersecurity incident response protocols and believes it contained the unauthorized access within hours. The Company's systems were not affected by ransomware, and the Company remained able to serve its policyholders and underwrite policies, review claims, and otherwise service customers as usual.
The Company is aware of the exfiltration of certain data including claims information, health information, social security numbers and/or other personal information relating to a substantial number of customers, beneficiaries, employees, agents, and other individuals in the Company’s U.S. business. In December 2025, the Company completed a detailed review of the potentially impacted files and determined that personal information associated with approximately 22.65 million individuals was involved, and began notifying impacted individuals and regulatory authorities as required by applicable laws.
Based on the information currently available, as of the date of this report, the Company does not believe that the incident is reasonably likely to have a material impact on the Company’s financial condition or results of operations. The Company continues to assess the financial impact of the cybersecurity incident, including how much of the financial impact will be covered by insurance. As a result of the cybersecurity incident, the Company has incurred certain costs and may,
33
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
depending on future developments, incur additional costs, including but not limited to: costs to provide credit monitoring, identity theft protection, and Medical Shield to impacted individuals and maintain a call center related to the provision of such services; incident response costs; expenses arising from potential litigation, governmental investigations, or enforcement actions; expenses related to compliance, finance, and legal advisory services; elevated cybersecurity insurance premiums; and costs incurred in meeting evolving legal and regulatory requirements concerning cybersecurity governance, monitoring, and disclosure. The costs associated with the incident to date, including the cost to investigate and respond to the incident as well as related legal and other professional services, resulted in a slight increase to the Company's expenses and are recorded in the insurance and other expenses line in the consolidated statement of earnings.
INDUSTRY TRENDS
The Company is impacted by financial markets, economic conditions, regulatory oversight and a variety of trends that affect the industries where it competes.
Financial and Economic Environment
The Company’s business and results of operations are materially affected by conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally. Stressed conditions, volatility and disruptions in global capital markets, particular markets, or financial asset classes can have an adverse effect on the Company, in part because the Company has a large investment portfolio and its insurance liabilities and derivatives are sensitive to changing market factors. See Item 1A. Risk Factors for the risk factor entitled, "Difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy could have a material adverse effect on the Company's investments, capital position, revenue, profitability, and liquidity and harm the Company's business."
Demographics
Aflac Japan Segment
With Japan’s aging population and the rise in healthcare costs, supplemental health care insurance products remain attractive. Additionally, as Japan enters an era of 100-year lifespans, customers' needs for asset formation and retirement coverage, including nursing care, are increasing. Japan’s existing customers and potential customers seek products that are easily understood, affordable and accessible via digital platforms.
Aflac U.S. Segment
Customer demographics continue to shift, generating new opportunities across various consumer groups, including millennials and diverse cultural communities. As customer expectations and preferences change, trends indicate that both existing and potential customers seek affordable options that are easily understood and accessible via digital platforms. Furthermore, the insurance industry continues to be impacted by the financial security requirements and healthcare demands of the aging baby boomer generation.
Regulatory Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Government Regulation and Aflac U.S. Government Regulation for a discussion of regulatory developments that may impact the Company and the associated risks.
Competitive Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Competitive Markets and Aflac U.S. Competitive Markets for a discussion of the competitive environment and the basis on which the Company competes in each of its segments.
2026 OUTLOOK
The Company’s strategy to drive long-term shareholder value is to pursue growth and maintain solid pretax profit margins while exercising tactical capital deployment. The Company's approach to pursue growth is through product development and distribution expansion, along with enhanced efficiency through technological upgrades and operational refinement.
The Company's objectives in 2026 include preserving solid pretax profit margins with increased sales production achieved through the ongoing promotional efforts for products launched in 2025 in Aflac Japan and continued growth initiatives across both its Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. segments. The Company believes this strategy positions it for future growth
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
and efficiency while defending and leveraging its market-leading position, powerful brand recognition and varied distribution in Japan and the U.S.
In November 2025, the board of directors announced a 5.2% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, effective with the first quarter of 2026. The Company intends to maintain strong capital ratios in Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. in support of its commitment to shareholder dividends while remaining tactical in its deployment of capital in the form of share repurchases and opportunistic investments. The Company's target range for economic solvency ratio (ESR) is 170% to 230% for Aflac Japan and a target combined RBC range of 350% to 450%, over time, for Aflac U.S., which are consistent with the Company's risk management practices.
Aflac Japan Segment
For 2026, the Company expects Aflac Japan to generate a benefit ratio in the range of 60% to 63% driven by favorable trends in morbidity experience, new product launches featuring lower benefit ratios, and the premium shift over recent years from first sector savings products to third sector cancer and medical products, as well as first sector protection products. The Company expects Aflac Japan to generate an expense ratio in the range of 20% to 23% reflecting continued growth and strategic initiatives. The Company also expects that benefit and expense ratios will continue to experience some level of revenue pressure due to the impact of paid-up policies and internal reinsurance transactions.
Aflac U.S. Segment
For 2026, the Company expects Aflac U.S. to generate a benefit ratio in the range of 48% to 52% driven by growth in life, disability, and dental and vision insurance products, all of which typically carry higher benefit ratios. The Company expects Aflac U.S. to generate an expense ratio in the range of 36% to 39%. However, continued revenue growth associated with these products is expected to decrease expense ratios over time.
Corporate and other
The Company's objectives for Corporate and other in 2026 include achieving solid pretax adjusted earnings, assuming that U.S. interest rates remain stable and excluding the impact of tax credit investments, as tax benefits are recognized in a corresponding lower income tax expense.
For important disclosures applicable to statements made in this 2026 Outlook, please see the statement on Forward-Looking Information at the beginning of Item 1. Business, the Risk Factors identified in Item 1A. and this Item 7. MD&A.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The Company earns its revenues principally from insurance premiums and investments. The Company’s operating expenses primarily consist of insurance benefits provided and reserves established for anticipated future insurance benefits, general business expenses, commissions and other costs of selling and servicing its products. Profitability for the Company depends principally on its ability to price its insurance products at a level that enables the Company to earn a margin over the costs associated with providing benefits and administering those products. Profitability also depends on, among other items, actuarial and policyholder behavior experience on insurance products, and the Company's ability to attract and retain customer assets, generate and maintain favorable investment results, effectively deploy capital and utilize tax capacity, and manage expenses.
This document includes references to the Company’s financial performance measures which are not calculated in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (U.S. GAAP) (non-U.S. GAAP). The financial measures exclude items that the Company believes may obscure the underlying fundamentals and trends in insurance operations because they tend to be driven by general economic conditions and events or related to infrequent activities not directly associated with insurance operations.
Due to the size of Aflac Japan, where the functional currency is the Japanese yen, fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate can have a significant effect on reported results. In periods when the Japanese yen weakens, translating Japanese yen into U.S. dollars results in fewer U.S. dollars being reported. When the Japanese yen strengthens, translating Japanese yen into U.S. dollars results in more U.S. dollars being reported. Consequently, Japanese yen weakening has the effect of suppressing current period results in relation to the comparable prior period, while Japanese yen strengthening has the effect of magnifying current period results in relation to the comparable prior period. A significant portion of the Company’s business is conducted in Japanese yen and never converted into U.S. dollars but translated into U.S. dollars for U.S. GAAP reporting purposes, which results in foreign currency impact to earnings, cash flows and book
35
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
value on a U.S. GAAP basis. Management evaluates the Company's financial performance both including and excluding the impact of foreign currency translation to monitor, respectively, cumulative currency impacts and the currency-neutral operating performance over time. The average yen/dollar exchange rate is based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
The Company defines the non-U.S. GAAP financial measures included in this document as follows:
•Adjusted earnings are adjusted revenues less benefits and adjusted expenses. Adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are the adjusted earnings for the period divided by the weighted average outstanding shares (basic or diluted) for the period presented. The adjustments to both revenues and expenses account for certain items that are outside of management’s control because they tend to be driven by general economic conditions and events or are related to infrequent activities not directly associated with insurance operations. Adjusted revenues are U.S. GAAP total revenues excluding adjusted net investment gains and losses. Adjusted expenses are U.S. GAAP total acquisition and operating expenses including the impact of interest from derivatives associated with notes payable but excluding any non-recurring or other items not associated with the normal course of the Company’s insurance operations and that do not reflect the Company's underlying business performance. Management uses adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to evaluate the financial performance of the Company’s insurance operations on a consolidated basis and believes that a presentation of these financial measures is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of the Company’s insurance business. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted net investment gains and losses are net investment gains and losses adjusted for i) amortized hedge cost/income related to foreign currency exposure management strategies and certain derivative activity, ii) net interest income/expense from foreign currency and interest rate derivatives associated with certain investment strategies, which are both reclassified to net investment income, and iii) the impact of interest from derivatives associated with notes payable, which is reclassified to interest expense as a component of total adjusted expenses. The Company considers adjusted net investment gains and losses important as it represents the remainder amount that is considered outside management’s control, while excluding the components that are within management’s control and are accordingly reclassified to net investment income and interest expense. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted net investment gains and losses is net investment gains and losses.
•Amortized hedge costs/income represent costs/income incurred or recognized as a result of using foreign currency derivatives to hedge certain foreign currency exchange risks in the Company's Japan segment or in Corporate and other. These amortized hedge costs/income are estimated at the inception of the derivatives based on the specific terms of each contract and are recognized on a straight-line basis over the contractual term of the derivative. The Company believes that amortized hedge costs/income measure the periodic currency risk management costs/income related to hedging certain foreign currency exchange risks and are an important component of net investment income. There is no comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for amortized hedge costs/income.
•Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact are computed using the average foreign exchange rate for the comparable prior-year period, which eliminates fluctuations driven solely by foreign exchange rate changes. Adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact divided by the weighted average outstanding diluted shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact important because a significant portion of the Company's business is conducted in Japan and foreign exchange rates are outside management’s control; therefore, the Company believes it is important to understand the impact of translating foreign currency (primarily Japanese yen) into U.S. dollars. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted book value is the U.S. GAAP book value (representing total shareholders’ equity), less accumulated other comprehensive income as recorded on the U.S. GAAP balance sheet. Adjusted book value per common share is adjusted book value at the period end divided by the ending outstanding common shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share important
36
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
as they exclude accumulated other comprehensive income, which fluctuates due to market movements that are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share are total book value and total book value per common share, respectively.
•Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement is the U.S. GAAP book value (representing total shareholders’ equity), less accumulated other comprehensive income as recorded on the U.S. GAAP balance sheet and excluding the cumulative (beginning January 1, 2021) foreign currency gains/losses associated with i) foreign currency remeasurement and ii) sales and redemptions of invested assets. Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share is adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement at the period end divided by the ending outstanding common shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement and adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share important as they exclude both accumulated other comprehensive income and the cumulative foreign currency remeasurement gains/losses, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement and adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share are total book value and total book value per common share, respectively.
•Adjusted return on equity is annualized adjusted earnings divided by average shareholders’ equity, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income. Management uses adjusted return on equity to evaluate the financial performance of the Company’s insurance operations on a consolidated basis and believes that a presentation of this financial measure is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of the Company’s insurance business. The Company considers adjusted return on equity important as it excludes components of accumulated other comprehensive income, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted return on equity is return on equity as determined using annualized net earnings and average total shareholders’ equity.
•Adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement is annualized adjusted earnings divided by average shareholders’ equity, excluding both accumulated other comprehensive income and the cumulative (beginning January 1, 2021) foreign currency gains/losses associated with i) foreign currency remeasurement and ii) sales and redemptions of invested assets. The Company considers adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement important because it excludes both accumulated other comprehensive income and the cumulative foreign currency remeasurement gains/losses, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement is return on equity as determined using annualized net earnings and average total shareholders’ equity.
•U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact represents amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income using the average foreign exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. The Company considers U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact important as it eliminates the impact of foreign currency changes on the Aflac Japan segment results, which are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact is the corresponding net investment income amount from the U.S. dollar denominated investments translated to yen.
37
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of net earnings and net earnings per diluted share, respectively, for the years ended December 31.
Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted Earnings
| In Millions | Per Diluted Share | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | |||||||||||||
| Net earnings | $ | 3,646 | $ | 5,443 | $ | 6.82 | $ | 9.63 | ||||||||
| Items impacting net earnings: | ||||||||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses (1) | 375 | (1,495) | .70 | (2.65) | ||||||||||||
| Other and non-recurring (income) loss | 54 | 23 | .10 | .04 | ||||||||||||
| Income tax (benefit) expense on items excluded from adjusted earnings | (67) | 101 | (.13) | .18 | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings | 4,008 | 4,072 | 7.49 | 7.21 | ||||||||||||
| Current period foreign currency impact (2) | (19) | N/A | (.04) | N/A | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact | $ | 3,989 | $ | 4,072 | $ | 7.46 | $ | 7.21 |
(1) See reconciliation of net investment (gains) losses to adjusted net investment (gains) losses below.
(2) Prior period foreign currency impact reflected as “N/A” to isolate change for current period only.
Reconciling Items
Net Investment Gains and Losses
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted net investment (gains) losses to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure of net investment (gains) losses for the years ended December 31.
Reconciliation of Net Investment (Gains) Losses to Adjusted Net Investment (Gains) Losses
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net investment (gains) losses | $ | 572 | $ | (1,271) | ||
| Items impacting net investment (gains) losses: | ||||||
| Amortized hedge costs | (45) | (26) | ||||
| Amortized hedge income | 98 | 113 | ||||
| Net interest income (expense) from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies | (252) | (338) | ||||
| Impact of interest from derivatives associated with notes payable | 2 | 27 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses | $ | 375 | $ | (1,495) |
The Company's investment strategy is to invest primarily in fixed maturity securities to provide a reliable stream of investment income, which is one of the drivers of the Company’s profitability. This investment strategy incorporates asset-liability matching to align the expected cash flows of the portfolio to the needs of the Company's liability structure. The Company does not purchase securities with the intent of generating investment gains or losses. However, investment gains and losses may be realized as a result of changes in the financial markets and the creditworthiness of specific issuers, tax planning strategies, and/or general portfolio management and rebalancing. The realization of investment gains and losses is independent of the underwriting and administration of the Company's insurance products.
Net investment gains and losses excluded from adjusted earnings include the following:
•Securities Transactions
•Credit Losses
•Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
•Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities.
38
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Securities Transactions, Credit Losses and Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
Securities transactions include gains and losses from sales and redemptions of investments where the amount received is different from the amortized cost of the investment. Credit losses include losses for held-to-maturity securities, available-for-sale securities, loan receivables, loan commitments and reinsurance recoverables. Changes in the fair value of equity securities are the result of gains or losses driven by fluctuations in market prices.
Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities
The Company's derivative activities include:
•foreign currency forwards and options used in hedging foreign currency exchange risk on U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan, with options used on a standalone basis and/or in a collar strategy;
•foreign currency forwards and options used to economically hedge certain portions of forecasted cash flows denominated in Japanese yen and hedge the Company's long-term exposure to a weakening Japanese yen;
•foreign currency swaps used to economically hedge the foreign currency exchange risk associated with certain investments denominated in other foreign currencies held by Aflac Japan;
•cross-currency swaps, also referred to as foreign currency swaps, associated with certain senior notes and subordinated debentures;
•foreign currency swaps that are associated with variable interest entity (VIE) bond purchase commitments, and investments in special-purpose entities, including VIEs where the Company is the primary beneficiary;
•foreign currency forwards used to economically hedge the foreign currency exchange risk associated with certain investments denominated in other foreign currencies held by Aflac Japan;
•interest rate swaps used to economically hedge interest rate fluctuations in certain variable-rate investments;
•interest rate swaptions (swaptions) used to hedge changes in the fair value associated with interest rate fluctuations for certain U.S. dollar-denominated available-for-sale securities; and
•bond purchase commitments at the inception of investments in consolidated VIEs.
Gains and losses are recognized as a result of valuing these derivatives, net of the effects of hedge accounting.
The Company also excludes from adjusted earnings the accounting impacts of foreign currency remeasurement associated with changes in the foreign exchange rate.
For additional information regarding net investment gains and losses, including details of reported amounts for the periods presented, see Notes 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Other and Non-recurring Items
The U.S. insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. The system can result in periodic charges to the Company as a result of insolvencies/bankruptcies that occur with other companies in the life insurance industry. Some states permit member insurers to recover assessments paid through full or partial premium tax offsets. These charges neither relate to the ordinary course of the Company’s business nor reflect the Company’s underlying business performance, but result from external situations not controlled by the Company. The Company excludes any charges associated with U.S. guaranty fund assessments and the corresponding tax benefit or expense from adjusted earnings.
In Japan, the government also requires the insurance industry to contribute to a policyholder protection corporation that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers; however, these costs are calculated and administered differently than in the U.S. In Japan, these costs are not directly related to specific insolvencies or bankruptcies, but are rather a regular operational cost for an insurance company. Based on this structure, the Company does not remove the Japan policyholder protection expenses from adjusted earnings.
The Company considers the costs associated with the early redemption of its debt to be unrelated to the underlying fundamentals and trends in its insurance operations. Additionally, these costs are driven by changes in interest rates subsequent to the issuance of the debt, and the Company considers these interest rate changes to represent economic conditions not directly associated with its insurance operations.
39
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2025, as part of the U.S. defined benefit plan freeze effective January 1, 2024, the Company purchased a nonparticipating single premium group annuity contract from an external insurer to settle its obligations under the plan and paid to the insurer the related annuity premium. As a result, the Company recognized a settlement charge of $55 million in 2025. The settlement charge was both unusual and non-recurring; therefore, the Company excluded the settlement charge from adjusted earnings.
In 2024, as part of the U.S. defined benefit plan freeze effective January 1, 2024, the Company offered lump sum payments to certain participants. The lump sum payments were distributed in the fourth quarter of 2024 and resulted in a settlement charge of $18 million in 2024 due to the payments being greater than the settlement threshold. The settlement charge was both unusual and non-recurring and unrelated to other recurring benefit costs associated with the plan; therefore, the Company excluded the settlement charge from adjusted earnings.
Foreign Currency Translation
Aflac Japan’s premiums and a significant portion of its investment income are received in Japanese yen, and its claims and most expenses are paid in Japanese yen. Aflac Japan purchases Japanese yen-denominated assets and U.S. dollar-denominated assets, which may be hedged to Japanese yen, to support Japanese yen-denominated policy liabilities. Japanese yen-denominated income statement accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the weighted average yen/dollar foreign exchange rate for the reporting period, except realized gains and losses on securities transactions which are translated at the foreign exchange rate on the trade date of each transaction. Japanese yen-denominated balance sheet accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the spot yen/dollar exchange rate at the end of the reporting period.
In recent periods, the Japanese yen has weakened against the U.S. dollar. Although the Company is unable to predict the timing or extent of future movements of the yen/dollar exchange rate, the Company maintains hedging strategies (see the Hedging Activities section of this MD&A) that are intended to mitigate the impacts of Japanese yen fluctuation on the Company’s financial position and results of operations. See the risk factor entitled “The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate” in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for more information.
Income Taxes
The Company's combined U.S. and Japanese effective income tax rate on pretax earnings was 19.6% in 2025 and 15.2% in 2024. The combined effective tax rate differs from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to the impact of tax credits from federal historic rehabilitation and solar investments in partnerships and the exclusion of foreign currency translation gains and losses on certain Aflac Japan U.S. dollar-denominated investments held in the Delaware Statutory Trust. Total income taxes were $887 million in 2025 and $974 million in 2024. Japanese income taxes on Aflac Japan's results account for most of the Company's consolidated income tax expense.
For additional information, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Critical Accounting Estimates - Income Taxes section of this MD&A. The effective tax rate continues to be subject to future tax law changes both in the U.S. and in foreign jurisdictions. See the risk factor entitled "Tax rates applicable to the Company may change" in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for additional information.
40
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Reconciliation of Book Value to Adjusted Book Value
(Excluding Foreign Currency Remeasurement)
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement and adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of book value and book value per common share, respectively, for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions, except for share and per-share amounts) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. GAAP book value | $ | 29,490 | $ | 26,098 | |||||
| Items impacting U.S. GAAP book value: | |||||||||
| Unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) | (4,847) | (4,998) | |||||||
| Unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives | (1,822) | 4 | |||||||
| Effect of changes in discount rate assumptions | 8,035 | 2,006 | |||||||
| Pension liability adjustment | 86 | 10 | |||||||
| Total accumulated other comprehensive income | 1,452 | (2,978) | |||||||
| Adjusted book value | 28,038 | 29,076 | |||||||
| Foreign currency remeasurement gains (losses) | 5,910 | 5,725 | |||||||
| Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement | 22,128 | 23,351 | |||||||
| Number of shares outstanding at end of period | 518,690 | 549,964 | |||||||
| U.S. GAAP book value per common share | $ | 56.85 | $ | 47.45 | |||||
| Items impacting U.S. GAAP book value per common share: | |||||||||
| Unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) per common share | (9.34) | (9.09) | |||||||
| Unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives per common share | (3.51) | .01 | |||||||
| Effect of changes in discount rate assumptions per common share | 15.49 | 3.65 | |||||||
| Pension liability adjustment per common share | .17 | .02 | |||||||
| Total accumulated other comprehensive income per common share | 2.80 | (5.41) | |||||||
| Adjusted book value per common share | 54.06 | 52.87 | |||||||
| Foreign currency remeasurement gains (losses) per common share | 11.39 | 10.41 | |||||||
| Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share | 42.66 | 42.46 |
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Reconciliation of Return on Equity to Adjusted Return on Equity
(Excluding Foreign Currency Remeasurement)
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure of return on equity for the years ended December 31.
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. GAAP return on equity - net earnings (1) | 13.1 | % | 22.6 | % | |
| Impact of excluding unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) | (2.6) | (3.6) | |||
| Impact of excluding unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives | (.5) | .4 | |||
| Impact of excluding effect of changes in discount rate assumptions | 2.6 | (.2) | |||
| Impact of excluding pension liability adjustment | .0 | .0 | |||
| Impact of excluding accumulated other comprehensive income | (.4) | (3.4) | |||
| U.S. GAAP return on equity less accumulated other comprehensive income | 12.8 | 19.2 | |||
| Differences between adjusted earnings and net earnings (2) | 1.3 | (4.8) | |||
| Adjusted return on equity - reported | 14.0 | 14.4 | |||
| Impact of excluding gains (losses) associated with foreign currency remeasurement (3) | 3.6 | 2.9 | |||
| Adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement | 17.6 | 17.3 |
(1) U.S. GAAP return on equity is calculated by dividing net earnings (annualized) by average shareholders' equity.
(2) See separate reconciliation of net earnings to adjusted earnings above.
(3) Impact of gains/losses associated with foreign currency remeasurement is calculated by excluding the cumulative (beginning January 1, 2021) foreign currency gains/losses associated with i) foreign currency remeasurement and ii) sales and redemptions of invested assets. The impact is the difference of adjusted return on equity - reported compared with adjusted return on equity, excluding from shareholders' equity, gains/losses associated with foreign currency remeasurement.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS BY SEGMENT
U.S. GAAP financial reporting requires that a company report financial and descriptive information about operating segments in its annual and interim period financial statements. Furthermore, the Company is required to report a measure of segment profit or loss, certain revenue and expense items and segment assets. The Company's insurance business consists of two segments: Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. Aflac Japan is the principal contributor to consolidated earnings. In addition, the Parent Company, other business units that are not individually reportable, reinsurance activities, including internal reinsurance activity with Aflac Re, and other business activities not included in Aflac Japan or Aflac U.S., as well as intercompany eliminations, are included in Corporate and other. See Item 1. Business for a summary of each segment's products and distribution channels.
Consistent with U.S. GAAP guidance for segment reporting, pretax adjusted earnings is the Company's U.S. GAAP measure of segment performance. The Company believes that a presentation of this measure is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of its business. Additional performance measures used to evaluate the financial condition and performance of the Company's segments are listed below.
•Operating Ratios
•New Annualized Premium Sales
•New Money Yield
•Return on Average Invested Assets
•Portfolio Book Yield
•Average Weekly Producer
•Premium Persistency
For additional information on the Company’s performance measures included in this MD&A, see the Glossary of Selected Terms found directly following Part IV. See Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the reconciliation of segment results to the Company's consolidated U.S. GAAP results and additional information.
42
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
AFLAC JAPAN SEGMENT
Aflac Japan Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac Japan's pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Summary of Operating Results
| In Dollars | In Yen | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | ||||||||||||
| Net earned premiums (1) | $ | 6,744 | $ | 6,930 | ¥ | 1,009 | ¥ | 1,050 | ||||||||
| Net investment income: (2) | ||||||||||||||||
| Yen-denominated investment income | 894 | 879 | 134 | 133 | ||||||||||||
| U.S. dollar-denominated investment income | 1,732 | 1,849 | 259 | 281 | ||||||||||||
| Net investment income | 2,626 | 2,727 | 393 | 414 | ||||||||||||
| Amortized hedge costs | 45 | 26 | 7 | 4 | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 2,581 | 2,701 | 386 | 410 | ||||||||||||
| Other income (loss) | 32 | 28 | 5 | 4 | ||||||||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 9,357 | 9,659 | 1,399 | 1,464 | ||||||||||||
| Benefits and claims: | ||||||||||||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 4,528 | 4,761 | 678 | 721 | ||||||||||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (529) | (444) | (79) | (64) | ||||||||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 3,999 | 4,317 | 599 | 657 | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 323 | 321 | 48 | 49 | ||||||||||||
| Insurance commissions | 427 | 435 | 64 | 66 | ||||||||||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,168 | 1,092 | 175 | 165 | ||||||||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 1,918 | 1,848 | 287 | 280 | ||||||||||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 5,917 | 6,165 | 886 | 936 | ||||||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 3,440 | $ | 3,494 | ¥ | 514 | ¥ | 528 | ||||||||
| Weighted-average yen/dollar exchange rate | 149.32 | 150.97 | — | — | ||||||||||||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||||||||||||
| Net earned premiums | (2.7) | % | (13.9) | % | (3.9) | % | (6.9) | % | ||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | (4.4) | 4.6 | (5.9) | 12.1 | ||||||||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (3.1) | (9.4) | (4.4) | (2.3) | ||||||||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | (7.4) | (18.7) | (8.8) | (11.8) | ||||||||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 3.8 | (12.7) | 2.6 | (5.8) | ||||||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | (1.5) | 8.0 | (2.7) | 15.5 |
(1) Includes a gain (loss) of $(52) and $(81) in 2025 and 2024, respectively, related to remeasurement of the deferred profit liability for limited-payment contracts.
(2) Net interest income/expense from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(228) and $(305) in 2025 and 2024, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
In 2025, operating results in Japanese yen terms compared to the previous year were as follows:
•Net earned premiums decreased primarily due to approximately ¥21 billion related to the internal cancer reinsurance transaction with Aflac Re established in the fourth quarter of 2024 and approximately ¥15 billion from limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status. Net earned premiums also reflect a remeasurement loss of approximately ¥8 billion related to assumption updates of the deferred profit liability for limited-payment contracts in the third quarter of 2025, compared to a remeasurement loss of approximately ¥11 billion in the third quarter of 2024.
•Adjusted net investment income decreased primarily due to lower floating rate income from U.S. dollar-denominated investments.
43
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
•Total adjusted revenues decreased primarily due to the decreases in net earned premiums and adjusted net investment income.
•Total benefits and claims decreased primarily due to ¥68 billion of reserve remeasurement gains related to assumption updates in the third quarter of 2025, compared to reserve remeasurement gains of approximately ¥50 billion in the third quarter of 2024, as well as the internal cancer reinsurance transaction with Aflac Re established in the fourth quarter of 2024.
•Total adjusted expenses increased primarily due to higher technology and sales-related expenses, partially offset by the impact of the internal cancer reinsurance transaction with Aflac Re established in the fourth quarter of 2024 and an increase in the capitalization of deferred policy acquisition costs resulting from higher sales.
•Pretax adjusted earnings decreased primarily due to the decrease in total adjusted revenues, partially offset by the decrease in total benefits and claims.
Annualized premiums in force at December 31, 2025 were ¥1.18 trillion, compared with ¥1.21 trillion at December 31, 2024. The decrease in annualized premiums in force in Japanese yen of 2.5% in 2025 and 3.0% in 2024 was driven primarily by limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status. Annualized premiums in force, translated into U.S. dollars at respective year-end foreign exchange rates, were $7.5 billion at December 31, 2025, compared with $7.6 billion at December 31, 2024.
As of December 31, 2025, Aflac Japan exceeded 22 million individual policies in force in Japan, with approximately 14 million cancer policies in force in Japan.
Aflac Japan's investment portfolios include U.S. dollar-denominated securities and reverse dual-currency securities (Japanese yen-denominated fixed maturity securities with dollar coupon payments). In years when the Japanese yen strengthens in relation to the dollar, translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into Japanese yen lowers growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues and pretax adjusted earnings in Japanese yen terms. In years when the Japanese yen weakens, translating U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into Japanese yen magnifies growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues and pretax adjusted earnings in Japanese yen terms.
The following table illustrates the effect of translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income and related items into Japanese yen by comparing certain segment results with those that would have been reported had foreign exchange rates remained unchanged from the prior year. Amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income were determined using the average foreign exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. See non-U.S. GAAP financial measures defined above.
Aflac Japan Percentage Changes Over Prior Year
(Japanese Yen Operating Results)
For the Years Ended December 31,
| Including Foreign Currency Changes | Excluding Foreign Currency Changes | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | ||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | (5.9) | % | 12.1 | % | (5.3) | % | 6.5 | % | |||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (4.4) | (2.3) | (4.2) | (3.7) | |||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | (2.7) | 15.5 | (2.2) | 11.1 |
44
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios in Japanese yen terms for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31 followed by a discussion of the significant drivers of changes in operating ratios in Japanese yen compared to the previous year.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2025 | 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total benefits and claims, net | 42.8 | % | 44.8 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 3.5 | 3.3 | |||
| Insurance commissions | 4.6 | 4.5 | |||
| Insurance and other expenses | 12.5 | 11.3 | |||
| Total adjusted expenses | 20.5 | 19.1 | |||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 36.7 | 36.0 | |||
| Ratios to total premiums: | |||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 59.3 | % | 62.5 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 4.8 | 4.6 |
•In 2025, the total benefits and claims to total premiums ratio decreased primarily due to lower benefits resulting from assumption updates in the third quarter of 2025.
•The total adjusted expense ratio increased in 2025 primarily due to a year-over-year decrease in total adjusted revenues and an increase in total adjusted expenses.
•In total, the pretax adjusted profit margin increased in 2025 primarily due to the lower benefit ratio.
The following table presents Aflac Japan's premium persistency on a 12-month rolling basis as of December 31.
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premium persistency | 93.1 | % | 93.4 | % |
Aflac Japan Sales
The following table presents Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| In Dollars | In Yen | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | ||||||||||||
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 498 | $ | 422 | ¥ | 74.4 | ¥ | 64.1 | ||||||||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | 18.1 | % | (2.2) | % | 16.0 | % | 5.6 | % |
In 2025, the increase in new annualized premium sales on a Japanese yen basis was driven primarily by continued strong sales of the new cancer insurance product, Miraito, as well as sales of Tsumitasu.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by major insurance product for the years ended December 31.
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancer | 67.2 | % | 57.5 | % | |
| Medical and other health | 11.9 | 16.1 | |||
| Life insurance: | |||||
| Traditional life (1) | 19.1 | 23.0 | |||
| WAYS | 1.1 | 2.2 | |||
| Child endowment | .1 | .2 | |||
| Other | .6 | 1.0 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes term life, whole life and Tsumitasu
45
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The foundation of Aflac Japan's product portfolio has been, and continues to be, third sector products, which include cancer, medical and other products. With continued cost pressure on Japan’s health care system, the Company expects the need for third sector products will continue to rise in the future and that the cancer and medical insurance products Aflac Japan provides will continue to be an important part of its product portfolio. Additionally, the Company believes that sales of first sector products, including Tsumitasu, WAYS and Child Endowment, position Aflac Japan for potential future long-term sales opportunities by marketing these products to a younger demographic as well as potential cross-selling opportunities of Aflac Japan's third sector products.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by agency type for the years ended December 31.
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent corporate and individual | 47.5 | % | 48.2 | % | |
| Affiliated corporate (1) | 49.2 | 48.6 | |||
| Bank | 3.3 | 3.2 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes Japan Post Group, Dai-ichi Life and Daido Life
In 2025, Aflac Japan recruited 236 new sales agencies. At December 31, 2025, Aflac Japan was represented by approximately 6,300 sales agencies, with approximately 112,000 licensed sales associates employed by those agencies. The number of sales agencies has declined in recent years due to Aflac Japan's focus on supporting agencies with strong management frameworks, high productivity and more producing agents.
At December 31, 2025, Aflac Japan had agreements to sell its products at 358 banks, approximately 90% of the total number of banks in Japan.
Strategic Alliance with Japan Post Holdings
On May 10, 2024, the Parent Company reported that the shares owned by the J&A Alliance Trust (Trust) represented, in aggregate, 20% of the voting power of the Parent Company's common stock. The Shareholders Agreement, entered into on February 28, 2019, by the Parent Company, Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation, solely in its capacity as trustee of the Trust and General Incorporated Association J&A Alliance, provides voting restrictions that require the Trust to vote (i) all shares representing voting rights in excess of 20% of the voting rights in the Parent Company and (ii) all of its shares in connection with a change in control transaction, in each case, in a manner proportionally equal to votes of shares not beneficially owned by the Trust. Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. does not have a board seat on the Parent Company’s board of directors and does not have rights to control, manage or intervene in the management of the Parent Company. According to a Form 13F filed by Japan Post Holdings with the SEC on January 27, 2026, Japan Post Holdings owned 52.3 million Aflac Incorporated common shares as of December 31, 2025.
As previously reported, on December 19, 2018, the Parent Company and Aflac Japan entered into a Basic Agreement with Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., a Japanese corporation (Japan Post Holdings). Pursuant to the terms of the Basic Agreement, among other items, Japan Post Holdings and Aflac Japan agreed to reconfirm existing initiatives regarding cancer insurance and to consider new joint initiatives. On May 1, 2023, the Parent Company filed a registration statement on Form S-3 that registered the sale of its common stock from time to time by J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation in its capacity as trustee of the Trust. The filing was made pursuant to a contractual requirement contained in the Shareholders Agreement. The Trust has agreed not to own more than the greater of 10% of the Parent Company’s outstanding shares or such shares representing 22.5% of the voting rights in the Parent Company.
The foregoing is subject to and qualified in its entirety by reference to the full text of the Basic Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed December 19, 2018, and the Shareholders Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.50 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed April 26, 2019, the terms of which exhibits are incorporated herein by reference.
Aflac Japan Investments
The level of investment income in Japanese yen is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, the effect of yen/dollar exchange rates on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income and other factors.
46
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac Japan primarily invests in Japanese yen- and U.S. dollar-denominated investments. Aflac Japan's Japanese yen-denominated investments primarily consist of JGBs, public and private fixed maturity securities and equity securities. Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investments include fixed maturity investments, loan receivables, and growth assets, including alternative investments in limited partnerships or similar investment vehicles. Aflac Japan invests in both publicly traded and privately originated U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables, and has entered into foreign currency derivatives to economically hedge the foreign currency exchange risk on the fair value of a portion of the U.S. dollar-denominated investments.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yen-denominated: | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||
| Japan government and agencies | $ | 5,122 | $ | 0 | ||
| Private placements | 182 | 131 | ||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | 165 | 290 | ||||
| Equity securities | 497 | 407 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||
| Other loans | 25 | 0 | ||||
| Other investments | 48 | 28 | ||||
| Total yen-denominated | 6,039 | 856 | ||||
| U.S. dollar-denominated: | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | 4,035 | 2,532 | ||||
| Infrastructure debt | 178 | 291 | ||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 74 | 30 | ||||
| Equity securities | 1 | 0 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 33 | 79 | ||||
| Middle market loans | 1,064 | 987 | ||||
| Other loans | 110 | 74 | ||||
| Other investments | 390 | 349 | ||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated | 5,885 | 4,342 | ||||
| Other currencies: | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||
| Infrastructure debt | 52 | 26 | ||||
| Private placements | 1 | 0 | ||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | 66 | 0 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||
| Other loans | 26 | 47 | ||||
| Other investments | 12 | 5 | ||||
| Total other currencies | 157 | 78 | ||||
| Total Aflac Japan purchases | $ | 12,081 | $ | 5,276 |
See the Investments section of this MD&A for further discussion of these investment programs, and see Notes 1 and 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding loans and loan receivables.
47
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, securities lending and other securities transactions. Securities lending is also used from time to time to accelerate the availability of funds for investment. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
The following table presents the results of Aflac Japan's investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for the period (in millions) (1) | $ | 11,631 | $ | 4,894 | ||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 4.17 | % | 6.11 | % | ||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 3.22 | 3.33 | ||||
| Portfolio book yield, including U.S. dollar-denominated investments, end of period (1),(2) | 3.26 | % | 3.22 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses, external management fees and amortized hedge costs
(3) Net of investment expenses and amortized hedge costs, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The decrease in the Aflac Japan new money yield in 2025 was primarily due to higher allocations to lower yielding asset classes. See Notes 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Investments and Hedging Activities sections of this MD&A for additional information on the Company's investments and hedging strategies.
48
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
AFLAC U.S. SEGMENT
Aflac U.S. Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac U.S. pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.
Aflac U.S. Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 5,999 | $ | 5,829 | ||
| Adjusted net investment income (1) | 830 | 847 | ||||
| Other income | 74 | 63 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 6,903 | 6,739 | ||||
| Benefits and claims: | ||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 2,969 | 2,821 | ||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (132) | (95) | ||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 2,837 | 2,726 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 551 | 530 | ||||
| Insurance commissions | 564 | 563 | ||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,530 | 1,501 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 2,645 | 2,594 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 5,482 | 5,320 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 1,421 | $ | 1,419 | ||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||
| Net earned premiums | 2.9 | % | 2.7 | % | ||
| Adjusted net investment income | (2.0) | 3.3 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 2.4 | 1.8 | ||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 4.1 | 12.1 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 2.0 | (3.6) | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | .1 | (5.5) |
(1) Net interest income/expense from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(24) and $(36) in 2025 and 2024, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
In 2025, operating results compared to the previous year were as follows:
•Net earned premiums increased primarily due to improved sales.
•Adjusted net investment income decreased primarily due to lower floating rate income.
•Total adjusted revenues increased primarily due to the increase in net earned premiums, partially offset by the decrease in adjusted net investment income.
•Total benefits and claims increased primarily due to higher incurred claims, partially offset by $60 million of reserve remeasurement gains related to assumption updates in the third quarter of 2025, compared to reserve remeasurement gains of $11 million in the third quarter of 2024.
•Total adjusted expenses increased primarily due to a one-time technology-related expense and higher variable expenses associated with the growth in net earned premiums.
•Pretax adjusted earnings were essentially flat.
Annualized premiums in force increased 4.9% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2024. Annualized premiums in force at December 31, 2025 were $6.7 billion, compared with $6.4 billion at December 31, 2024.
49
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31 followed by a discussion of the significant drivers of changes in operating ratios compared to the previous year.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2025 | 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total benefits and claims | 41.1 | % | 40.5 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 8.0 | 7.9 | |||
| Insurance commissions | 8.2 | 8.4 | |||
| Insurance and other expenses | 22.2 | 22.3 | |||
| Total adjusted expenses | 38.3 | 38.5 | |||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 20.6 | 21.1 | |||
| Ratios to total premiums: | |||||
| Total benefits and claims | 47.3 | % | 46.8 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 9.2 | 9.1 |
•In 2025, the total benefits and claims to total premiums ratio increased primarily due to higher incurred claims.
•The total adjusted expense ratio decreased slightly in 2025 primarily due to a year-over-year increase in total adjusted revenues.
•In total, the pretax adjusted profit margin decreased in 2025 primarily due to the higher benefit ratio.
The following table presents premium persistency for Aflac U.S. on a 12-month rolling basis as of December 31.
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premium persistency | 79.2 | % | 79.3 | % |
Aflac U.S. Sales
The following table presents Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 1,589 | $ | 1,543 | ||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | 3.0 | % | (1.0) | % |
The increase in new annualized premium sales for Aflac U.S. in 2025 was primarily driven by sales of group products.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales by major insurance product category for the years ended December 31.
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accident | 18.9 | % | 19.6 | % | |
| Disability | 26.4 | 26.3 | |||
| Critical care (1) | 19.8 | 20.9 | |||
| Hospital indemnity | 13.2 | 13.7 | |||
| Dental/vision | 6.2 | 5.3 | |||
| Life | 15.5 | 14.2 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes cancer, critical illness and hospital intensive care products
In 2025, the Aflac U.S. sales force included an average of approximately 5,300 U.S. agents, including brokers, who were actively producing business on a weekly basis. The Company believes that this average weekly producer equivalent metric allows sales management to monitor progress and needs, as well as serve as a leading indicator of future production capacity.
50
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Aflac U.S. Investments
The level of investment income is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity securities, loan receivables and growth assets, including equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. invests in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. dollar-denominated: | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 844 | $ | 654 | ||
| Infrastructure debt | 49 | 64 | ||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 25 | 12 | ||||
| Equity securities | 0 | 26 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 9 | 21 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 31 | 13 | ||||
| Middle market loans | 165 | 133 | ||||
| Other loans | 12 | 11 | ||||
| Other investments: | ||||||
| Limited partnerships | 215 | 39 | ||||
| Other | 21 | 0 | ||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated | 1,371 | 973 | ||||
| Other currencies: | ||||||
| Other investments | 4 | 0 | ||||
| Total other currencies | 4 | 0 | ||||
| Total Aflac U.S. purchases | $ | 1,375 | $ | 973 |
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, and other securities transactions. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives, including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
The following table presents the results of Aflac's U.S. investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31.
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for period (in millions) (1) | $ | 1,156 | $ | 934 | ||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 6.73 | % | 6.90 | % | ||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 4.94 | 5.00 | ||||
| Portfolio book yield, end of period (1),(2) | 5.47 | % | 5.58 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses and external management fees
(3) Net of investment expenses, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The decrease in the Aflac U.S. new money yield in 2025 was primarily due to lower short-term rates on floating rate assets. See Notes 3 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Investments section of this MD&A for additional information on the Company's investments.
51
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
CORPORATE AND OTHER
Changes in the pretax adjusted earnings of Corporate and other are primarily affected by internal reinsurance activity and net investment income. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Corporate and other for the years ended December 31.
Corporate and Other Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 806 | $ | 680 | ||
| Net investment income (loss) (1) | 368 | 201 | ||||
| Amortized hedge income | 98 | 113 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 466 | 314 | ||||
| Other income | 5 | 13 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 1,277 | 1,007 | ||||
| Benefits and claims: | ||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 491 | 426 | ||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (33) | (19) | ||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 458 | 407 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Interest expense | 210 | 156 | ||||
| Other adjusted expenses | 508 | 412 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 718 | 568 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 1,176 | 975 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 101 | $ | 32 | ||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||
| Net earned premiums | 18.5 | % | 70.0 | % | ||
| Adjusted net investment income | 48.4 | 613.6 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 26.8 | 118.9 | ||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 12.5 | (12.8) | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 26.4 | 36.2 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 215.6 | 107.5 |
(1) The change in value of federal historic rehabilitation and solar investments in partnerships of $65 and $165 in 2025 and 2024, respectively, is included as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits on these investments of $69 and $164 in 2025 and 2024, respectively, have been reported as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statements of earnings. See Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on these investments.
In 2025, operating results compared to the previous year were as follows:
•Net earned premiums and total benefits and claims increased primarily due to higher internal reinsurance activity resulting from the transaction established in the fourth quarter of 2024. The increase in total benefits and claims was partially offset by $31 million of reserve remeasurement gains related to assumption updates in the third quarter of 2025, compared to reserve remeasurement gains of $20 million in the third quarter of 2024.
•Adjusted net investment income increased primarily due to $100 million from a lower volume of federal historic rehabilitation and solar tax credit investments, with offsetting tax benefits recognized as a corresponding lower income tax expense, and higher Aflac Re investment income of $46 million from a higher volume of assets as part of the reinsurance agreement established in the fourth quarter of 2024.
•Total adjusted revenues increased primarily due to the increases in adjusted net investment income and net earned premiums.
•Total adjusted expenses increased primarily due to $61 million from higher costs pertaining to business operations, including costs related to the ongoing response to the cybersecurity incident and legal and other professional services related thereto, higher interest expense of $54 million, and $35 million associated with internal reinsurance activity.
•Pretax adjusted earnings increased primarily due to the increase in total adjusted revenues, partially offset by the increases in total adjusted expenses and total benefits and claims.
52
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Parent Company invests in partnerships that specialize in rehabilitating historic structures or the installation of solar equipment in order to receive federal historic rehabilitation and solar tax credits. These investments are classified as limited partnerships and included in other investments in the consolidated balance sheets. The change in value of each investment is reported as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits generated by these investments are reported as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statements of earnings.
INVESTMENTS
The Company’s investment strategy utilizes disciplined asset and liability management while seeking long-term risk-adjusted investment returns and the delivery of stable income within regulatory and capital objectives, and preserving shareholder value.
In attempting to optimally balance these objectives, the Company seeks to maintain on behalf of Aflac Japan a diversified portfolio of Japanese yen-denominated investment assets, a U.S. dollar-denominated investment portfolio hedged back to Japanese yen and a portfolio of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated assets. As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity securities and growth assets, including equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. invests in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loans.
For additional information concerning the Company's investments, see Notes 3, 4, and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The following tables detail investments by segment as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Segment
| 2025 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value | $ | 44,782 | $ | 12,426 | $ | 6,913 | $ | 64,121 | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity, at amortized cost (1) | 16,120 | 0 | 0 | 16,120 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 632 | 2 | 253 | 887 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: (1) | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 2,818 | 658 | 135 | 3,611 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 878 | 565 | 0 | 1,443 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 3,827 | 439 | 0 | 4,266 | ||||||||||
| Other loans | 373 | 57 | 15 | 445 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 172 | 38 | 0 | 210 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 596 | 223 | 554 | 1,373 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 3,273 | 536 | 300 | 4,109 | ||||||||||
| Real estate owned | 777 | 125 | 0 | 902 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 28 | 0 | 28 | ||||||||||
| Investment in affiliate (3) | 0 | 1,164 | (1,164) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 74,248 | 16,261 | 7,006 | 97,515 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,025 | 829 | 3,391 | 6,245 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 76,273 | $ | 17,090 | $ | 10,397 | $ | 103,760 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
(3) For consolidated reporting, Aflac U.S.'s investment in Aflac Re is eliminated in Corporate and other.
53
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value | $ | 45,970 | $ | 12,296 | $ | 7,003 | $ | 65,269 | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity, at amortized cost (1) | 15,966 | 0 | 0 | 15,966 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 458 | 2 | 336 | 796 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: (1) | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 3,648 | 866 | 189 | 4,703 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 915 | 608 | 0 | 1,523 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 3,847 | 436 | 0 | 4,283 | ||||||||||
| Other loans | 284 | 61 | 15 | 360 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 168 | 35 | 0 | 203 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 484 | 366 | 749 | 1,599 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 2,861 | 306 | 268 | 3,435 | ||||||||||
| Real estate owned | 570 | 112 | 0 | 682 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 39 | 0 | 39 | ||||||||||
| Investment in affiliate (3) | 0 | 638 | (638) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 75,171 | 15,765 | 7,922 | 98,858 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,062 | 1,010 | 3,157 | 6,229 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 77,233 | $ | 16,775 | $ | 11,079 | $ | 105,087 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
(3) For consolidated reporting, Aflac U.S.'s investment in Aflac Re is eliminated in Corporate and other.
The Company has invested in a variety of commercial mortgage loans (CMLs) and other loans including transitional real estate loans (TREs). The Company's TRE and CML investments are collateralized by commercial real estate, including some office properties. The Company considers these investments to be well diversified by geography and among property types. Further, the Company believes that the portfolio is generally well positioned with exposures concentrated in high quality underlying properties with institutional investors who are experienced in managing their assets during periods of market volatility.
While generally resilient, the Company's investments in TREs and CMLs have been affected by conditions in the commercial real estate market, with a greater impact on mortgages secured by office properties. The Company invested in certain TREs and CMLs that are currently in default of interest or maturity payments. The Company works with the affected borrowers to resolve specific situations through loan continuance with potential modifications, through loan sales, or through the process of foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure. Since the third quarter of 2023, the Company has taken possession, through foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure, of certain commercial real estate properties, which secured defaulted loans. Properties acquired by the Company through foreclosure and deed in lieu of foreclosure are reported as real estate owned (REO) in other investments in the Company's consolidated balance sheets.
In 2025, the Company completed foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure on TREs collateralized with commercial real estate properties with an amortized cost of $257 million. As a result of the amortized cost of the TREs exceeding the estimated fair value of the collateral upon consummating the foreclosures or deed in lieu of foreclosure transactions, the Company recognized a net loss of $10 million in net investment gains (losses) for the year ended December 31, 2025.
In 2024, the Company completed foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure on TREs collateralized with commercial real estate properties with an amortized cost of $502 million. As a result of the amortized cost of the TREs exceeding the estimated fair value of the collateral upon consummating the foreclosures or deed in lieu of foreclosure transactions, the Company recognized a net loss of $34 million in net investment gains (losses) for the year ended December 31, 2024.
54
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company utilizes third-party asset managers to source, underwrite and manage each loan, as well as any resulting REO. The Company closely monitors the activities of these managers. In the event that a loan workout is necessary, the Company believes these external managers have the experience and resources to manage the process to maximize recovery.
The Company also monitors its commercial mortgage and other loan investments internally on an ongoing basis, including a review of loans' credit quality indicators and payment status as current, past due, restructured or under foreclosure. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information concerning credit quality indicators, information on loans that are on nonaccrual status, and REO obtained through foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure. See also Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for a discussion of risk factors associated with the Company's investments.
The ratings of the Company's securities referenced in the table below are based on the ratings designations provided by major rating organizations such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch or, if not rated, are determined based on the Company's internal analysis of such securities. When the ratings issued by the rating agencies differ, the Company utilizes the second lowest rating when three or more rating agency ratings are available or the lowest rating when only two rating agency ratings are available.
The distributions of fixed maturity securities the Company owns, by credit rating, as of December 31 were as follows:
Composition of Fixed Maturity Securities by Credit Rating
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||
| AAA | 1.1 | % | 1.1 | % | 1.5 | % | 1.5 | % | ||||||||||
| AA | 6.6 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||
| A | 69.0 | 66.0 | 68.0 | 66.1 | ||||||||||||||
| BBB | 21.9 | 24.2 | 22.9 | 24.4 | ||||||||||||||
| BB or lower | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
As of December 31, 2025, the Company's direct and indirect exposure to securities in its investment portfolio that were guaranteed by third parties was immaterial both individually and in the aggregate.
The following table presents the 10 largest unrealized loss positions in the Company's portfolio as of December 31, 2025.
| (In millions) | Credit Rating | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Unrealized Loss | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan National Government | A+ | $ | 32,618 | $ | 28,434 | $ | (4,184) | ||||||||||||
| Urban Renaissance Agency | A+ | 156 | 92 | (64) | |||||||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | B+ | 127 | 88 | (39) | |||||||||||||||
| JP Morgan Chase and Co. | A+ | 195 | 157 | (38) | |||||||||||||||
| Lubrizol Corporation | AA | 217 | 181 | (36) | |||||||||||||||
| Mitsubishi Estate Co Ltd. | A | 127 | 93 | (34) | |||||||||||||||
| Tokyo Gas Co Ltd | A+ | 96 | 62 | (34) | |||||||||||||||
| Prologis LP | A | 145 | 112 | (33) | |||||||||||||||
| West Japan Railway Company | A+ | 102 | 69 | (33) | |||||||||||||||
| Japan Expressway Holding and Debt | A+ | 203 | 173 | (30) |
Generally, declines in fair values can be a result of changes in interest rates, yen/dollar exchange rate, and changes in net spreads driven by a broad market move or a change in the issuer's underlying credit quality. The Company believes these issuers have the ability to continue making timely payments of principal and interest. See the Unrealized Investment Gains and Losses section in Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further discussions of unrealized losses related to the Company's investments.
55
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Below-Investment-Grade Securities
The Company's portfolio of below-investment-grade securities includes fixed maturity securities purchased while the issuer was rated investment grade plus other loans and bonds invested in as part of an allocation to that segment of the market. The following is the Company's below-investment-grade exposure as of December 31.
Below-Investment-Grade Investments
| 2025 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Par Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | ||||||||||
| Investcorp Capital Limited | $ | 222 | $ | 222 | $ | 224 | $ | 2 | ||||||
| Hella KG Hueck and Co. | 141 | 140 | 139 | (1) | ||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | 128 | 127 | 88 | (39) | ||||||||||
| Telecom Italia SpA | 128 | 128 | 163 | 35 | ||||||||||
| IKB Deutsche Industriebank AG | 83 | 46 | 69 | 23 | ||||||||||
| Amarok Parent LLC | 25 | 23 | 25 | 2 | ||||||||||
| CPI Property Group SA | 19 | 19 | 18 | (1) | ||||||||||
| Tralka Spa (Chadwick) | 18 | 18 | 16 | (2) | ||||||||||
| Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc. | 13 | 13 | 11 | (2) | ||||||||||
| Other Issuers | 18 | 18 | 18 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Subtotal (2) | 795 | 754 | 771 | 17 | ||||||||||
| High yield corporate bonds | 510 | 403 | 500 | 97 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 4,133 | 3,969 | 3,885 | (84) | ||||||||||
| Grand Total | $ | 5,438 | $ | 5,126 | $ | 5,156 | $ | 30 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Securities initially purchased as investment grade, but have subsequently been downgraded to below investment grade
The Company maintains an allocation to higher yielding corporate bonds within the Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. portfolios. Most of these securities were rated below-investment-grade at the time of purchase, but the Company also purchased several that were rated investment grade which, because of market pricing, offer yields commensurate with below-investment-grade risk profiles. The objective of this allocation was to enhance the Company's yield on invested assets and further diversify credit risk. All investments in this program must have a minimum rating at purchase of low BB using the Company's above described rating methodology and are managed by the Company's internal credit portfolio management team.
The Company invests in middle market loans primarily to U.S. corporate borrowers, most of which have below-investment-grade ratings. The objectives of this program include enhancing the yield on invested assets, achieving further diversification of credit risk, and mitigating the risk of rising interest rates and hedge costs through the acquisition of floating rate assets.
56
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Fixed Maturity Securities by Sector
The Company maintains diversification in investments by sector to avoid concentrations to any one sector, thus managing exposure risk. The following table shows the distribution of fixed maturities by sector classification as of December 31.
| 2025 | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | AmortizedCost (1) | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||||||||||
| Government and agencies | $ | 33,752 | $ | 124 | $ | (4,442) | $ | 29,434 | 41.5 | % | |||||||||
| Municipalities | 2,276 | 88 | (205) | 2,159 | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 4,195 | 244 | (73) | 4,366 | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Public utilities | 6,895 | 592 | (284) | 7,203 | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Electric | 5,457 | 465 | (177) | 5,746 | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||
| Natural Gas | 892 | 74 | (80) | 886 | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 546 | 53 | (27) | 571 | .7 | ||||||||||||||
| Sovereign and supranational | 765 | 34 | (22) | 777 | .9 | ||||||||||||||
| Banks/financial institutions | 9,054 | 688 | (498) | 9,244 | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Banking | 5,105 | 374 | (278) | 5,201 | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Insurance | 1,866 | 182 | (69) | 1,979 | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 2,083 | 132 | (151) | 2,064 | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Other corporate | 24,446 | 3,099 | (1,131) | 26,414 | 30.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Basic Industry | 2,031 | 337 | (105) | 2,264 | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||
| Capital Goods | 2,748 | 341 | (106) | 2,983 | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||
| Communications | 2,630 | 453 | (77) | 3,007 | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Consumer Cyclical | 1,875 | 203 | (45) | 2,033 | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Consumer Non-Cyclical | 5,794 | 775 | (249) | 6,320 | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Energy | 2,327 | 418 | (25) | 2,720 | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 982 | 44 | (120) | 905 | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Technology | 3,229 | 242 | (163) | 3,308 | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Transportation | 2,830 | 286 | (241) | 2,874 | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Total fixed maturity securities | $ | 81,383 | $ | 4,869 | $ | (6,655) | $ | 79,597 | 100.0 | % |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
Securities by Type of Issuance
The Company has investments in both publicly and privately issued securities. The Company's ability to sell either type of security is a function of overall market liquidity which is impacted by, among other things, the amount of outstanding securities of a particular issuer or issuance, trading history of the issue or issuer, overall market conditions, and idiosyncratic events affecting the specific issue or issuer.
57
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details investment securities by type of issuance as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Type of Issuance
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||
| Publicly issued securities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 65,522 | $ | 63,559 | $ | 65,291 | $ | 66,476 | |||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 726 | 726 | 638 | 638 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total publicly issued | 66,248 | 64,285 | 65,929 | 67,114 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately issued securities: (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities (3) | 15,861 | 16,038 | 14,764 | 15,565 | |||||||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 161 | 161 | 158 | 158 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total privately issued | 16,022 | 16,199 | 14,922 | 15,723 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total investment securities | $ | 82,270 | $ | 80,484 | $ | 80,851 | $ | 82,837 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Primarily consists of securities owned by Aflac Japan
(3) Excludes Rule 144A securities
The following table details the Company's reverse dual-currency securities as of December 31.
Reverse Dual-Currency Securities(1)
| (Amortized cost, in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privately issued reverse dual-currency securities | $ | 3,196 | $ | 3,368 | ||
| Publicly issued collateral structured as reverse dual-currency securities | 895 | 945 | ||||
| Total reverse dual-currency securities | $ | 4,091 | $ | 4,313 | ||
| Reverse dual-currency securities as a percentage of total investment securities | 5.0 | % | 5.3 | % |
(1) Principal payments in Japanese yen and interest payments in U.S. dollars
Aflac Japan has a portfolio of privately issued securities to better match liability characteristics and secure higher yields than those available on Japanese government or other public corporate bonds. Aflac Japan’s investments in Japanese yen-denominated privately issued securities consist primarily of non-Japanese issuers, are rated investment grade at purchase and have longer maturities, thereby allowing the Company to improve asset/liability matching and overall investment returns. These securities are generally either privately negotiated arrangements or issued under medium-term note programs and have standard documentation commensurate with credit ratings of the issuer, except when internal credit analysis indicates that additional protective and/or event-risk covenants were required. Many of these investments have protective covenants appropriate to the specific investment. These may include a prohibition of certain activities by the borrower, maintenance of certain financial measures, and specific conditions impacting the payment of the Company's notes.
HEDGING ACTIVITIES
The Company uses derivative contracts to hedge foreign currency exchange risk and interest rate risk. The Company uses various strategies, including derivatives, to manage these risks. See Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk for additional information about market risk and the Company’s use of derivatives.
See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for:
•A description of the Company's derivatives, hedging strategies and underlying risk exposure.
•Information about the notional amount and fair market value of the Company's derivatives.
•Impact on earnings and other comprehensive income (loss) from various qualifying and non-qualifying hedging relationships.
58
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Foreign Currency Exchange Risk Hedge Program
The Company has deployed the following hedging strategies to mitigate exposure to foreign currency exchange risk:
•Aflac Japan hedges U.S. dollar-denominated investments back to Japanese yen (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•Aflac Japan maintains certain unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated securities, which serve as an economic currency hedge of a portion of the Company's investment in Aflac Japan, while utilizing foreign currency options to mitigate against significant movements in the yen/dollar exchange rate (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•Aflac Japan economically hedges the foreign currency exchange risk on certain of its investments that are denominated in other foreign currencies.
•The Parent Company designates Japanese yen-denominated liabilities (notes payable and loans) as non-derivative hedging instruments and designates certain foreign currency forwards and options as derivative hedges of the Company’s net investment in Aflac Japan (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
•The Parent Company enters into forward and option contracts to protect the value of Aflac Japan in U.S. dollar terms by hedging foreign currency exchange risk related to dividend payments by Aflac Japan and reduce enterprise-wide hedge costs (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
The following table presents metrics related to the Company's Foreign Currency Exchange Risk Hedge Program, including associated amortized hedge costs/income, for the years ended December 31. See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for the Company's definition of amortized hedge costs/income.
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan: | ||||||
| FX Forwards | ||||||
| FX forward notional at end of period (in billions) (1) | $ | 0.9 | $ | 0.0 | ||
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $ | (12) | $ | 1 | ||
| FX Options | ||||||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $ | 25.0 | $ | 24.2 | ||
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $ | (33) | $ | (27) | ||
| Corporate and other (Parent Company): | ||||||
| FX Forwards | ||||||
| FX forward notional at end of period (in billions) (1) | $ | 1.8 | $ | 1.8 | ||
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $ | 98 | $ | 113 | ||
| FX Options | ||||||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $ | 0.0 | $ | 0.0 | ||
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $ | 0 | $ | 0 |
(1) Notional is reported net of any offsetting positions within Aflac Japan or the Parent Company, respectively.
Amortized hedge costs/income can fluctuate based upon many factors, including the derivative notional amount, the length of time of the derivative contract, changes in both U.S. and Japan interest rates, and the cross-currency basis. Amortized hedge costs/income have fluctuated in recent periods due to changes in the previously mentioned factors.
Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program (U.S. Dollar Program)
Aflac Japan buys U.S. dollar-denominated investments, typically corporate bonds, and hedges them back to Japanese yen with foreign currency forwards and options to hedge foreign currency exchange risk. This economically creates Japanese yen assets that match Japanese yen liabilities during the life of the derivative and provides favorable capital treatment under the Japan SMR calculations. The currency risk being hedged is generally based on fair value of hedged investments. The following table summarizes the U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan as of December 31.
59
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 12,618 | $ | 15,075 | $ | 9,835 | $ | 12,183 | ||||
| Equity securities | 22 | 24 | 22 | 22 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (floating rate) | 2,818 | 2,849 | 3,648 | 3,656 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 878 | 811 | 915 | 811 | ||||||||
| Middle market loans (floating rate) | 3,827 | 3,751 | 3,847 | 3,794 | ||||||||
| Other loans | 204 | 209 | 174 | 173 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 3,136 | 3,136 | 2,862 | 2,862 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. Dollar Program | 23,503 | 25,855 | 21,303 | 23,501 | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities - economically converted to yen | 1,632 | 2,398 | 1,645 | 2,406 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan | $ | 25,135 | $ | 28,253 | $ | 22,948 | $ | 25,907 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
The U.S. Dollar Program includes all U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan other than the investments in certain consolidated VIEs where the instrument is economically converted to Japanese yen as a result of a derivative in the consolidated VIE. The Company uses foreign currency forwards to hedge foreign currency exchange risk on certain U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan and one-sided foreign currency put options to mitigate the risk of a decline in the value of U.S. dollar-denominated assets (in Japanese yen terms) related to extreme foreign exchange rate changes. From time to time, Aflac Japan also maintains a collar program on a portion of its U.S. Dollar Program to mitigate against more extreme moves in foreign exchange rates and therefore support SMR. As of December 31, 2025, none of the Company's foreign currency options hedging Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated assets were in-the-money.
Foreign currency derivatives used for hedging are periodically settled, which results in cash receipt or payment at inception, maturity or early termination. The following table presents the settlements associated with the Company's foreign currency derivatives used for hedging Aflac Japan’s U.S. dollar-denominated investments for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash inflows (outflows) | $ | (71) | $ | (508) |
In addition to the U.S. dollar Program, Aflac Japan utilizes foreign currency forwards to economically hedge the foreign currency exchange risk on certain of its variable-rate investments denominated in other foreign currencies. As of December 31, 2025, the Company had foreign currency forwards on other foreign currency-denominated investments with a fair value of $135 million.
Aflac Japan also utilizes foreign currency swaps to economically hedge the foreign currency exchange risk on certain of its fixed maturity securities denominated in other foreign currencies. As of December 31, 2025, the Company had foreign currency swaps on other foreign currency-denominated investments with a fair value of $48 million.
Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program
The Company has designated certain Japanese yen-denominated liabilities and foreign currency forwards and options of the Parent Company as accounting hedges of its net investment in Aflac Japan. The Company's consolidated Japanese yen-denominated net asset position was partially hedged at $6.8 billion as of December 31, 2025, with hedging instruments comprised of $5.0 billion of Japanese yen-denominated debt and $1.8 billion of foreign currency forwards, compared with $5.9 billion as of December 31, 2024, with hedging instruments comprised of $4.1 billion of Japanese yen-denominated debt and $1.8 billion of foreign currency forwards.
The Company makes its accounting designation of net investment hedge at the beginning of each quarter. If the total of the designated Parent Company non-derivative and derivative notional is equal to or less than the Company's net investment in Aflac Japan, the hedge is deemed to be effective, and the foreign currency exchange effect on the
60
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Japanese yen-denominated liabilities and the change in estimated fair value of the derivatives are included in unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) in the consolidated statements of comprehensive income (loss). The Company's net investment hedge was effective during the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively. For additional information on the Company's net investment hedging strategy, see Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
In order to economically mitigate risks associated with the enterprise-wide exposure to the Japanese yen and the level and volatility of hedge costs, the Parent Company enters into foreign currency forward and option contracts. By buying U.S. dollars and selling Japanese yen, the Parent Company is effectively lowering its overall economic exposure to the Japanese yen. In addition to reducing Japanese yen exposure from dividend payments by Aflac Japan to the Parent Company, this strategy also reduces enterprise-wide hedge costs. This activity is reported in Corporate and other. The Company continually evaluates the program’s efficacy.
As part of the Company’s internal reinsurance platform, Aflac Re enters into foreign currency forwards with the Parent Company, and may enter into such forwards with third parties, to economically manage the currency mismatch between Aflac Re's assets, which are mostly denominated in U.S. dollars, and liabilities, which are mostly denominated in Japanese yen, in order to support and optimize BMA capital requirements. For additional information on the Company's internal reinsurance platform, see Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Liquidity and Capital Resources section of this MD&A.
For additional discussion of the risks associated with the foreign currency exposure refer to the Currency Risk section in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk, and Item 1A. specifically to the Risk Factors titled “The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate“ and “Lack of availability of acceptable Japanese yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity."
Interest Rate Risk Hedge Program
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. use interest rate swaps from time to time to mitigate the risk of investment income volatility for certain variable-rate investments. Additionally, to manage interest rate risk associated with its U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan, from time to time the Company utilizes interest rate swaptions.
See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's hedging activities.
POLICY LIABILITIES
The following table presents policy liabilities by segment and in total for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | $ | 52,595 | $ | 60,885 | ||
| Other policy liabilities | 6,697 | 6,664 | ||||
| Total Japan policy liabilities | 59,292 | 67,549 | ||||
| U.S. segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 10,798 | 10,584 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 580 | 479 | ||||
| Total U.S. policy liabilities | 11,378 | 11,063 | ||||
| Consolidated: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 62,320 | 70,381 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 7,263 | 7,127 | ||||
| Total consolidated policy liabilities (1) | $ | 69,583 | $ | 77,508 |
(1) The sum of the Japan and U.S. segments exceeds the total due to reinsurance and retrocession activity.
See Note 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's policy liabilities.
61
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
BENEFIT PLANS
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. have various benefit plans. For additional information on the Company's Japanese and U.S. plans, see Note 13 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
POLICYHOLDER PROTECTION
Policyholder Protection Corporation
The Japanese insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Legislation enacted regarding the framework of the Life Insurance Policyholder Protection Corporation (LIPPC) included government fiscal measures supporting the LIPPC. In March 2022, Japan's Diet passed legislation that extended the government's fiscal support of the LIPPC through March 2027. In March 2022, the LIPPC reached the required balance for the total life industry of ¥400 billion as specified by its Articles of Incorporation. As a result, additional contributions are not expected to be required unless the balance is reduced due to payments made by the LIPPC to the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Accordingly, Aflac Japan did not recognize an expense for LIPPC assessments for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024.
Guaranty Fund Assessments
Under U.S. state guaranty association laws, certain insurance companies can be assessed (up to prescribed limits) for certain obligations to the policyholders and claimants of impaired or insolvent insurance companies that write the same line or similar lines of business. The amount of the guaranty fund assessment that an insurer is assessed is based on its proportionate share of premiums in that state. See Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on guaranty fund assessments. Guaranty fund assessments for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024 were immaterial.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Liquidity refers to the ability to generate sufficient cash resources to meet the payment obligations of the Company. Capital refers to the long-term financial resources available to support the operations of the businesses, fund business growth and provide for an ability to withstand adverse circumstances. Financial leverage (leverage) refers to a strategy of utilizing debt in managing the Company's capital structure and cost of capital. The Company targets and actively manages liquidity, capital and leverage in the context of a number of considerations, including:
•business investment and growth needs
•strategic growth objectives
•financial flexibility and obligations
•capital support for hedging activity
•a constantly evolving business and economic environment
•a balanced approach to capital allocation and deployment to shareholders
The governance framework supporting liquidity, capital, and leverage includes global senior management and board committees that review and approve all significant capital related decisions.
The Company remains committed to prudent liquidity and capital management. To provide a capital buffer and liquidity support at the holding company, the target minimum amount for the Parent Company is approximately $1.0 billion.
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. generate cash flows from their operations and provide the primary sources of liquidity to the Parent Company through management fees and dividends, with Aflac Japan being the largest contributor. The primary uses of cash by the Parent Company are shareholder dividends, the repurchase of its common stock, interest on its outstanding indebtedness and operating expenses.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the amounts provided to the Parent Company for the years ended December 31.
Liquidity Provided by Subsidiaries to Parent Company
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management fees paid by subsidiaries | $ | 170 | $ | 163 | ||
| Dividends declared or paid by subsidiaries | 3,826 | 3,841 |
The following table details Aflac Japan remittances, which are included in the totals above, for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Remittances
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan management fees paid to Parent Company | $ | 73 | $ | 69 | ||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in U.S. dollars) | 2,681 | 2,865 | ||||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in yen) | ¥ | 396.7 | ¥ | 441.6 |
The Company maintains liquidity at the Parent Company for risk management purposes and to support certain derivative activity. Further, the Company plans to continue to maintain a population of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan and to consider whether the amount of such investments should be increased or decreased relative to the Company’s view of economic equity surplus in Aflac Japan in light of potentially rising hedge costs and other factors. See the Hedging Activities subsection of this MD&A for additional information.
The Company believes that its balance of cash and cash equivalents and cash generated by operations will be sufficient to satisfy both its short-term and long-term cash requirements and plans for cash, including material cash requirements from known contractual obligations and returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
In addition to cash and cash equivalents, the Company also maintains credit facilities, both intercompany and with external partners, and a number of other available tools to support liquidity needs on a global basis. In September 2024, the Parent Company filed a shelf registration statement with the SEC that allows the Company to issue an indefinite amount of debt securities, in one or more series, from time to time until September 2027. The Company believes outside sources for additional debt and equity capital, if needed, will continue to be available. The Company was in compliance with all of the covenants of its notes payable and lines of credit at December 31, 2025.
In August 2025, the Parent Company expanded its sources of liquidity by entering into two separate facility agreements, as follows:
1.A 10-year facility agreement with a Delaware trust (2035 Trust) that provides the Parent Company with the right to issue and sell to the 2035 Trust from time to time up to $1.0 billion of senior notes due August 2035.
2.A 30-year facility agreement with a Delaware trust (2055 Trust) that provides the Parent Company the right to issue and sell to the 2055 Trust from time to time up to $1.0 billion of senior notes due August 2055.
As of December 31, 2025, the Parent Company had no senior note issuances under these facility agreements.
For additional information, see Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
As part of enterprise-wide capital management and optimization, the Company also utilizes the intercompany reinsurance platform to execute internal reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re. For additional information, see Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the estimated payments of the Company's material cash requirements from known contractual obligations as of December 31, 2025. The Company translated its Japanese yen-denominated obligations using the December 31, 2025 foreign exchange rate. Actual future payments as reported in U.S. dollars will fluctuate with changes in the yen/dollar exchange rate.
| (In millions) | TotalLiability(1) | Total Payments | Short-term Payments | Long-term Payments | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Future policy benefits liability (Note 7)(2) | $ | 62,320 | $ | 173,047 | $ | 8,499 | $ | 164,548 | ||||||
| Other policyholders' funds (Note 7)(3) | 5,445 | 5,934 | 633 | 5,301 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – principal (Note 9) | 8,330 | 8,378 | 700 | 7,678 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – interest (Note 9) | 49 | 2,477 | 197 | 2,280 | ||||||||||
| Cash collateral on loaned securities (Note 3) | 3,989 | 3,989 | 3,989 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Operating service agreements (Note 15) | N/A | 520 | 198 | 322 | ||||||||||
| Operating lease obligations (Note 9) | 73 | 86 | 37 | 49 | ||||||||||
| Finance lease obligations (Note 9) | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | ||||||||||
| Total contractual obligations | $ | 80,212 | $ | 194,437 | $ | 14,255 | $ | 180,182 |
(1) Liability amounts are those reported on the consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2025.
(2) The estimated payments reflect future estimated cash payments to be made to policyholders and others for future policy benefits and certain related expenses using assumptions aligned with the Company's experience on policy persistency, mortality, morbidity and other assumptions. These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest, and future premium payments received from policyholders are not included. Therefore, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount. Due to the significance of the assumptions used, actual cash outflow amounts and timing will differ, possibly materially, from these estimates.
(3) These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest and, as a result, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount.
For additional information on the Company's major contractual obligations, see the applicable Note in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements as indicated in the line items in the table above.
The Company's consolidated financial statements convey its financing arrangements during the periods presented. The Company has not engaged in material intra-period short-term financings during the periods presented that are not otherwise reported in its balance sheet or disclosed therein. As of December 31, 2025, the Company had no material letters of credit, standby letters of credit, guarantees or standby repurchase obligations. The Company has not entered into transactions involving the transfer of financial assets with an obligation to repurchase financial assets that have been accounted for as a sale under applicable accounting standards, including securities lending transactions. See Notes 1, 3, and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's securities lending and derivative activities. With the exception of disclosed activities in those referenced footnotes and the Risk Factors entitled, "The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate" and "Lack of availability of acceptable Japanese yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity," the Company is not aware of any trend, demand, commitment, event or uncertainty that would reasonably result in its liquidity increasing or decreasing by a material amount.
Consolidated Cash Flows
The Company consistently generates positive cash flows from operations, and has the ability to adjust cash flow management from other sources of liquidity including reinvestment cash flows and selling investments in order to meet short-term cash needs.
The Company translates cash flows for Aflac Japan's yen-denominated items into U.S. dollars using weighted-average foreign exchange rates. In years when the Japanese yen weakens, translating Japanese yen into U.S. dollars causes fewer U.S. dollars to be reported. When the Japanese yen strengthens, translating Japanese yen into U.S. dollars causes more U.S. dollars to be reported.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table summarizes consolidated cash flows by activity for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating activities | $ | 2,555 | $ | 2,707 | ||
| Investing activities | 1,561 | 2,781 | ||||
| Financing activities | (4,069) | (3,486) | ||||
| Exchange effect on cash and cash equivalents | (31) | (79) | ||||
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | $ | 16 | $ | 1,923 |
Operating Activities
The principal cash inflows for the Company's insurance activities come from insurance premiums and investment income. The principal cash outflows are the result of policy claims, operating expenses, income tax, as well as interest expense. As a result of policyholder aging, claims payments are expected to gradually increase over the life of a policy. Therefore, future policy benefit reserves are accumulated in the early years of a policy and are designed to help fund future claims payments.
The Company expects its future cash flows from premiums and investment portfolios to be sufficient to meet its cash needs for benefits and expenses. Consolidated cash flow from operations decreased 5.6% in 2025, compared with 2024.
Investing Activities
The Company's investment objectives provide for liquidity primarily through the purchase of publicly traded investment-grade fixed maturity securities. Prudent portfolio management dictates that the Company attempts to match the duration of its assets with the duration of its liabilities. Currently, when the Company's fixed maturity securities mature, the proceeds may be reinvested at a yield below that required for the accretion of policy benefit liabilities on policies issued in earlier years. However, the long-term nature of the Company's business and its strong cash flows provide the Company with the ability to minimize the effect of mismatched durations and/or yields identified by various asset adequacy analyses. From time to time or when market opportunities arise, the Company disposes of selected fixed maturity securities that are available-for-sale to improve the duration matching of assets and liabilities, improve future investment yields, and/or rebalance its portfolio. As a result, dispositions before maturity can vary significantly from year to year.
As part of its overall corporate strategy, the Company has committed up to $400 million to Aflac Ventures, LLC (Aflac Ventures), as opportunities emerge. As of December 31, 2025, of the $400 million committed, approximately $297 million has been deployed. Aflac Ventures is a subsidiary of Aflac Global Ventures, LLC (Aflac Global Ventures) which is reported in Corporate and other. The central mission of Aflac Global Ventures is to support the organic growth and business development needs of Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. with an emphasis on digital applications designed to improve the customer experience, gain efficiencies, and develop new markets in an effort to enhance and defend long-term shareholder value. Investments are included in equity securities or other investments in the consolidated balance sheets.
As part of an arrangement with Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta (FHLB), Aflac U.S. obtains low-cost investment funding from FHLB supported by acceptable forms of collateral pledged by Aflac U.S. In 2025, Aflac U.S. borrowed and repaid $777 million under this program. As of December 31, 2025, Aflac U.S. had outstanding borrowings of $334 million reported in its balance sheet.
See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for details on certain investment commitments.
Financing Activities
Cash flows from financing activities consist primarily of share repurchases, dividends to shareholders and, from time to time, debt issuances and redemptions.
See Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for information on debt issuances and redemptions.
Cash returned to shareholders through treasury stock purchases and dividends was $4.7 billion in 2025, compared with $3.9 billion in 2024.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following tables present a summary of treasury stock activity during the years ended December 31.
Treasury Stock Purchased
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treasury stock purchases | $ | 3,530 | $ | 2,800 | ||
| Number of shares purchased: | ||||||
| Share repurchase program | 32,994 | 30,428 | ||||
| Other | 411 | 494 | ||||
| Total shares purchased | 33,405 | 30,922 |
Treasury Stock Issued
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock issued from treasury: | ||||||
| Cash financing | $ | 8 | $ | 14 | ||
| Noncash financing | 72 | 67 | ||||
| Total stock issued from treasury | $ | 80 | $ | 81 | ||
| Number of shares issued | 985 | 1,042 |
In August 2025, the Company's board of directors authorized the purchase of an additional 100 million shares of its common stock. As of December 31, 2025, a remaining balance of 114.3 million shares of the Company's common stock were available for purchase under share repurchase authorizations by its board of directors. See Note 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Cash dividends paid to shareholders in 2025 of $2.32 per share increased 16.0% over 2024. The following table presents the dividend activity for the years ended December 31.
Dividends Paid to Shareholders
| (In millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividends paid in cash | $ | 1,198 | $ | 1,087 | ||
| Dividends through issuance of treasury shares | 43 | 41 | ||||
| Total dividends to shareholders | $ | 1,241 | $ | 1,128 |
In November 2025, the board of directors announced a 5.2% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, effective with the first quarter of 2026. The first quarter 2026 cash dividend of $.61 per share is payable on March 2, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 18, 2026.
Regulatory Restrictions
Aflac Japan
Aflac Japan is required to meet certain financial criteria as governed by the Companies Act of Japan in order to provide dividends to the Parent Company. Under these criteria, dividend capacity at Aflac Japan is defined as total equity excluding common stock and capital reserves but reduced for net after-tax unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities. These dividend capacity requirements are generally aligned with the SMR. Japan's FSA maintains its own solvency standard which is quantified through the SMR. Aflac Japan's SMR is sensitive to interest rate, credit spread, and foreign exchange rate changes; therefore, the Company continues to evaluate alternatives for reducing this sensitivity, including the reduction of subsidiary dividends paid to the Parent Company and Parent Company capital contributions. In the event of a rapid change in market risk conditions causing SMR to decline, or in the event of reduced liquidity, the Company has a senior unsecured revolving credit facility in the amount of ¥100 billion as a contingency plan. See Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. Additionally, subject to market conditions, the Company expects that it could take action to enter into derivatives on unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments with foreign currency options or forwards or execute additional reinsurance transactions.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company has already undertaken various measures to mitigate the sensitivity of Aflac Japan's SMR. For example, the Company employs policy reserve matching (PRM) investment strategies, which is a Japan-specific accounting treatment that reduces SMR interest rate sensitivity since PRM-designated investments are carried at amortized cost consistent with corresponding liabilities. In order for a PRM-designated asset to be held at amortized cost, there are certain criteria that must be maintained. The primary criterion relates to maintaining the duration of designated assets and liabilities within a specified tolerance range. If the duration difference is not maintained within the specified range without rebalancing, then a certain portion of the assets must be reclassified as available-for-sale and held at fair value with any associated unrealized gain or loss recorded in surplus. To rebalance, assets may need to be sold in order to maintain the duration with the specified range, resulting in realizing a gain or loss from the sale. For U.S. GAAP, PRM investments are categorized as available-for-sale. The Company also uses foreign currency derivatives to hedge a portion of its U.S. dollar-denominated investments. See Notes 3, 4 and 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's investment strategies, hedging activities, and reinsurance, respectively.
Aflac Japan's SMR remains high and reflects a strong capital and surplus position. As of December 31, 2025, Aflac Japan's SMR was 995%, compared with 1,221% at December 31, 2024. The Company is committed to maintaining strong capital levels, consistent with maintaining current insurance financial strength and credit ratings.
The FSA will implement an economic value-based solvency regime based on the ICS for insurance companies in Japan. The initial report on the ESR will be issued as of March 31, 2026, which is Aflac Japan's 2025 fiscal year-end. As of December 31, 2025, Aflac Japan estimated the ESR to be above the Company's target range of 170% to 230%.
Aflac U.S.
A life insurance company’s statutory capital and surplus is determined according to rules prescribed by the NAIC, as modified by the insurance department in the insurance company’s state of domicile. Statutory accounting rules are different from U.S. GAAP and are intended to emphasize policyholder protection and company solvency. The continued long-term growth of the Company's business may require increases in the statutory capital and surplus of its insurance operations. The Company's insurance operations may secure additional statutory capital through various sources, such as internally generated statutory earnings, reduced dividends paid to the Parent Company, capital contributions by the Parent Company from funds generated through debt or equity offerings, or reinsurance transactions. The NAIC’s RBC formula is used by insurance regulators to help identify inadequately capitalized insurance companies. The RBC formula quantifies insurance risk, business risk, asset risk and interest rate risk by weighing the types and mixtures of risks inherent in the insurer’s operations.
The combined RBC ratio for Aflac U.S. as of December 31, 2025 was estimated to be 570%, compared with 677% as of December 31, 2024. The Company calculates its combined RBC ratio to include all U.S. regulated life insurance entities as if a single combined U.S. RBC entity net of intercompany items related to capital resources and risk.
Aflac, CAIC and TOIC are domiciled in Nebraska and are subject to its regulations. The NDOI imposes certain limitations and restrictions on payments of dividends, management fees, loans and advances to the Parent Company. Under Nebraska insurance law, prior approval of the NDOI is required for dividend distributions that exceed the greater of the net income from operations, which excludes net investment gains, for the previous year determined under statutory accounting principles, or 10% of statutory capital and surplus as of the previous year-end. Dividends declared by Aflac during 2026 in excess of $664 million would be considered extraordinary and require such approval. Similar laws apply in New York, the domiciliary jurisdiction of Aflac New York.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Corporate and Other
Aflac Re is licensed by the BMA as a long-term insurer and is subject to the Bermuda Insurance Act of 1978 (Bermuda Insurance Act). Aflac Re is required to file annual and quarterly returns for its Bermuda Solvency Capital Requirement (BSCR) which utilizes an Economic Balance Sheet (EBS) framework to determine Aflac Re’s Enhanced Capital Requirement (ECR). Aflac Re is also subject to a Minimum Margin of Solvency (MSM) related to its statutory financial statements. The MSM is equal to the greater of $8,000,000; 2% of the first $500,000,000 of assets under management plus 1.5% of the amount by which assets exceed $500,000,000; or 25% of ECR.
Under the EBS framework, Aflac Re is required to value assets equal to U.S. GAAP fair values, and insurance reserves are valued using technical provisions which consist of a best estimate liability plus a risk margin. The best estimate liability can be calculated by applying the standard approach or, with regulatory approval, the scenario-based approach. The standard approach uses discount rates for insurance reserves as prescribed by the BMA. The scenario-based approach uses a discount rate based on the yield of eligible assets owned by the insurer as determined using a series of prescribed stress scenarios. At December 31, 2025 and 2024, Aflac Re was in compliance with the ECR and MSM requirements.
Under the Bermuda Insurance Act, Aflac Re is prohibited from paying dividends in an amount that exceeds 25% of the prior year's statutory capital and surplus without an affidavit stating that Aflac Re will continue to meet its solvency margin. Further, Aflac Re may not reduce its total statutory capital by 15% or more without prior regulatory approval. Additionally, Aflac Re is not permitted to pay any dividends that would cause Aflac Re to fail to meet its minimum capital requirements.
Other
For information regarding commitments and contingent liabilities, see Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Additional Information
Investors should note that the Company announces material financial information in its SEC filings, press releases and public conference calls. In accordance with SEC guidance, the Company may also use the Investor Relations section of the Company's website (http://investors.aflac.com) to communicate with investors about the Company. It is possible that the financial and other information the Company posts there could be deemed to be material information. The information on the Company's website is not part of this document. Further, the Company's references to website URLs are intended to be inactive textual references only.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The Company prepares its financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These principles are established primarily by the FASB. In this MD&A, references to U.S. GAAP issued by the FASB are derived from the FASB Accounting Standards Codification™ (ASC). The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires the Company to make estimates based on currently available information when recording transactions resulting from business operations. The estimates that the Company deems to be most critical to an understanding of its results of operations and financial condition are those related to the valuation of investments and derivatives, deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC), liabilities for future policy benefits (LFPB), and income taxes. The preparation and evaluation of these critical accounting estimates involve the use of various assumptions developed from management’s analyses and judgments. Calculations of DAC and the LFPB require the use of estimates based on actuarial valuation techniques. The application of these critical accounting estimates determines the values at which 92% of the Company's assets and 74% of its liabilities are reported as of December 31, 2025, and thus has a direct effect on net earnings and shareholders' equity. Subsequent experience or use of other assumptions could produce significantly different results.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Valuation of Investments, Including Derivatives
The Company's investments, primarily consisting of fixed maturity and equity securities, include both publicly issued and privately issued securities. For publicly issued securities, the Company determines the fair values from quoted market prices readily available from public exchange markets and price quotes and valuations from third-party pricing vendors. For the majority of privately issued securities and derivatives associated with VIEs within the Company's investment portfolio, the Company utilizes valuation models developed by a third-party pricing vendor to determine fair values. These models and associated processes and controls are executed by Company personnel. For the remaining privately issued securities, the Company uses non-binding price quotes from outside brokers and fair values provided by its external managers. The Company's valuation model for private placements explicitly incorporates currency basis swap adjustments (market observable data) to assumed interest rate curves where appropriate.
The Company estimates the fair values of its securities on a monthly basis. The Company monitors the estimated fair values obtained from its pricing vendors, external managers, and brokers for consistency from month to month, while considering current market conditions. The Company also periodically discusses with its pricing brokers and vendors the pricing techniques they use to monitor the consistency of their approach and to periodically assess the appropriateness of the valuation level assigned to the values obtained from them. If a fair value appears unreasonable, the Company will re-examine the inputs and assess the reasonableness of the pricing data with the provider. Additionally, the Company may compare the inputs to relevant market indices and other performance measurements. Based on management's analysis, the valuation is confirmed or may be revised if there is evidence of a more appropriate estimate of fair value based on available market data and information. The Company has performed verification of the inputs and calculations in any valuation models to confirm that the valuations represent reasonable estimates of fair value. Inputs used to value derivatives include, but are not limited to, interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency forward and spot rates, foreign currency volatility, and interest rate volatility.
The Company estimates an allowance for credit losses on investments measured at amortized cost including held-to-maturity securities, loan receivables and certain loan commitments on a quarterly basis. For collateral dependent financial assets, including loans where foreclosure is probable, the allowance for credit losses is based on the fair value of the underlying collateral. For the Company’s available-for-sale securities, the Company evaluates an estimate for credit losses only when the fair value of the available-for-sale security is below its amortized cost basis.
The Company’s approach to estimating an allowance for credit losses is complex and incorporates significant judgments. In addition to a security, an asset class, or issuer-specific credit fundamentals, it considers past events, current economic conditions and forecasts of future economic conditions. The Company's estimates are revised as conditions change and new information becomes available.
For additional information, see the tabular disclosure entitled "Sensitivity of Fair Values of Financial Instruments to Interest Rate Change" in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk and Notes 1, 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Future Policy Benefits
Substantially all of the supplemental health and life insurance policies the Company issues are classified as long-duration contracts. The contract provisions generally cannot be changed or canceled during the contract period. However, the Company may adjust premiums for supplemental health policies issued in the U.S. within prescribed guidelines and with the approval of state insurance regulatory authorities.
Insurance premiums for most of the Company's health and life insurance policies are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods of the contracts when due from policyholders. When earned premiums are reported, the related amounts of benefits and expenses are charged against such revenues. This association is accomplished by means of annual increases or decreases to the LFPB and the deferral and subsequent amortization of policy acquisition costs.
Premiums from the Company's products with limited-pay features are collected over a significantly shorter period than the contract term (i.e., the period during which benefits are provided). Premiums for these products are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods when due from policyholders. Any gross premium in excess of the net premium is deferred and reported as a deferred profit liability, a component of the LFPB, which is subsequently amortized in net earned premiums such that profits are recognized in a constant relationship with insurance in force. Benefits are recorded as an expense when they are incurred and LFPB is recorded when premiums are recognized using the net premium method.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
Amortization of DAC is computed using the same contract groupings (also referred to as cohorts) and mortality and termination assumptions that are used in computing the LFPB. These assumptions are reviewed and updated at least annually. The effects of changes in assumptions are recognized prospectively over the remaining contract term as a revision of the future amortization pattern, while current period amortization is calculated based on the actual experience during the quarter. For additional information, see Notes 1 and 6 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Future Policy Benefits
The Company's LFPB is determined in accordance with applicable guidelines as defined under U.S. GAAP and Actuarial Standards of Practice and represent claims that are expected to occur in the future and incurred claims. Incurred claims represent claims in the process of payment as well as an estimate of those claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. LFPB is determined using the net level premium method. The LFPB is calculated using assumptions and estimates including, (1) cash flow assumptions (mortality, morbidity, and termination, also referred to as lapses), (2) expense assumptions, and (3) discount rates. The assumptions and estimates that the Company uses depend on its judgment regarding the likelihood of future events and are inherently uncertain.
Cash flow assumptions are established at policy inception and are evaluated each quarter to determine if an update is needed. Actual experience is reflected in the calculation of future policy benefits each quarter, and changes in the liability due to actual experience are included in reserve remeasurement (gains) losses in the consolidated statements of earnings.
To facilitate a more detailed review of cash flow assumptions, experience studies are performed annually during the third quarter. Changes in cash flow assumptions are the result of applying the updated best estimate assumptions as of the beginning of the reporting period and are included as a cumulative catch-up adjustment in reserve remeasurement (gains) losses in the consolidated statements of earnings.
Expense assumptions are established at policy inception, determined for each issue-year cohort as a percentage of paid claims. These expense assumptions are locked in and remain unchanged over the term of the insurance policy.
Discount rates used to calculate net premiums are locked in at policy inception and represent the basis to recognize interest expense accreted on insurance reserves included in benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement in the consolidated statements of earnings. These locked-in discount rates are determined separately for each issue-year cohort as a single discount rate that reflects the duration characteristics of the corresponding insurance contracts and will remain unchanged after the calendar year of issue.
Discount rates used to measure the carrying value of the LFPB in the consolidated balance sheets are updated each reporting period, and the differences between the liability balances calculated using the locked-in discount rates and the updated discount rates is included in the effect of changes in discount rate assumptions in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).
The Company's discount rate methodology involves constructing a current discount rate curve separately for discounting cash flows used to calculate the Japan and U.S. LFPB. This methodology is designed to prioritize observable inputs based on market data available in the local debt markets where the respective policies were issued in the currency in which the policies are denominated. For the discount rates applicable to tenors for which the single-A debt market is not liquid or there is little or no observable market data, the Company uses various estimation techniques consistent with the fair value guidance in ASC 820 - Fair Value Measurement, which include, but are not limited to: (i) for tenors where there is less observable market data and/or the observable market data is available for similar instruments, estimating tenor-specific single-A credit spreads and applying them to risk-free government rates; (ii) for tenors where there is very limited or no observable single-A or similar market data, interpolation and extrapolation techniques.
If interest rates decreased by 100 basis points, the Company's LFPB balance as of December 31, 2025 would increase by $7.4 billion, assuming all other factors remain constant. Likewise, if interest rates increased by 100 basis points, the Company's LFPB balance as of December 31, 2025 would decrease by $5.9 billion, assuming all other factors remain constant.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
If morbidity assumptions decreased by 100 basis points, the Company's LFPB balance as of December 31, 2025 would decrease by $299 million, assuming all other factors remain constant. Likewise, if morbidity assumptions increased by 100 basis points, the Company's LFPB balance as of December 31, 2025 would increase by $303 million, assuming all other factors remain constant.
For additional information on future policy benefits, see Notes 1 and 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Income Taxes
Income tax provisions are generally based on pretax earnings reported for financial statement purposes, which differ from those amounts used in preparing the Company's income tax returns. Deferred income taxes are recognized for temporary differences between the financial reporting basis and income tax basis of assets and liabilities, based on enacted tax laws and statutory tax rates applicable to the periods in which the Company expects the temporary differences to reverse. The evaluation of a tax position in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a two-step process. Under the first step, the enterprise determines whether it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The second step is measurement, whereby a tax position that meets the more-likely-than-not recognition threshold is measured to determine the amount of benefit to recognize in the financial statements. A valuation allowance is established for deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that an amount will not be realized. The determination of a valuation allowance for deferred tax assets requires management to make certain judgments and assumptions.
In evaluating the ability to recover deferred tax assets, the Company's management considers all available evidence, including taxable income in open carry back years, the existence of cumulative losses in the most recent years, forecasted earnings, future taxable income exclusive of reversing temporary differences and carryforwards, future taxable temporary difference reversals, and prudent and feasible tax planning strategies. In the event the Company determines it is not more likely than not that it will be able to realize all or part of its deferred tax assets in the future, a valuation allowance would be charged to earnings in the period such determination is made. Likewise, if it is later determined that it is more likely than not that those deferred tax assets would be realized, the previously provided valuation allowance would be reversed. Future economic conditions and market volatility, including increases in interest rates or widening credit spreads, can adversely impact the Company’s tax planning strategies and in particular the Company’s ability to utilize tax benefits on previously recognized capital losses. The Company's judgments and assumptions are subject to change given the inherent uncertainty in predicting future performance and specific industry and investment market conditions.
An increase or decrease in the Company's effective tax rate by one percentage point would have resulted in an increase or decrease in the Company's 2025 income tax expense of $50 million.
For additional information on income taxes, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
New Accounting Pronouncements
For information on new accounting pronouncements and the impact, if any, on the Company's financial position or results of operations, see Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000004977-25-000047.
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Performance Highlights
For the full year of 2024, total revenues were up 1.2% to $18.9 billion, compared with $18.7 billion for the full year of 2023. Net earnings were $5.4 billion, or $9.63 per diluted share, for the full year of 2024, compared with $4.7 billion, or $7.78 per diluted share, for the full year of 2023.
Net earnings in 2024 included net investment gains of $1.3 billion, compared with net investment gains of $590 million in 2023. Net investment gains in 2024 included an increase in credit loss allowances of $256 million; $1.1 billion of net gains from certain derivative and foreign currency gains or losses; $140 million of net gains on equity securities; and $259 million of net gains from sales and redemptions.
The average yen/dollar exchange rate(1) in 2024 was 150.97, or 6.9% weaker than the rate of 140.57 in 2023.
Adjusted earnings(2) for the full year of 2024 were $4.1 billion, or $7.21 per diluted share, compared with $3.7 billion, or $6.23 per diluted share, in 2023. The weaker yen/dollar exchange rate negatively impacted adjusted earnings per diluted share by $.18.
In 2024, Aflac Incorporated repurchased $2.8 billion, or 30.4 million of its common shares. At December 31, 2024, the Company had 47.3 million remaining shares authorized for repurchase.
Shareholders’ equity was $26.1 billion, or $47.45 per share, at December 31, 2024, compared with $22.0 billion, or $38.00 per share, at December 31, 2023. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2024 included a cumulative increase of $2.0 billion from the effect of changes in discount rate assumptions on insurance contracts, compared with a corresponding cumulative decrease of $2.6 billion at December 31, 2023, and a net unrealized gain on investment securities and derivatives of $4 million, compared with a net unrealized gain of $1.1 billion at December 31, 2023. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2024 also included an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $5.0 billion, compared with an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $4.1 billion at December 31, 2023. The annualized return on average shareholders’ equity in 2024 was 22.6%.
Shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI)(2) (adjusted book value) was $29.1 billion, or $52.87 per share, at December 31, 2024, compared with $27.5 billion, or $47.55 per share, at December 31, 2023. Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement(2) was $23.4 billion, or $42.46 per share, at December 31, 2024, compared with $23.8 billion, or $41.15 per share, at December 31, 2023. The annualized adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement(2) in 2024 was 17.3%.
(1) Yen/U.S. dollar exchange rates are based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
(2) See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for a definition of this non-U.S. GAAP financial measure.
INDUSTRY TRENDS
The Company is impacted by financial markets, economic conditions, regulatory oversight and a variety of trends that affect the industries where it competes.
Financial and Economic Environment
The Company’s business and results of operations are materially affected by conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally. Stressed conditions, volatility and disruptions in global capital markets, particular markets, or financial asset classes can have an adverse effect on the Company, in part because the Company has a large investment portfolio and its insurance liabilities and derivatives are sensitive to changing market factors. See Item 1A. Risk Factors for the risk factor entitled, "Difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy could have a material adverse effect on the Company's investments, capital position, revenue, profitability, and liquidity and harm the Company's business."
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Demographics
Aflac Japan Segment
With Japan’s aging population and the rise in healthcare costs, supplemental health care insurance products remain attractive. Additionally, as Japan enters an era of 100-year lifespans, customers' needs for asset formation and retirement coverage, including nursing care, are increasing. Japan’s existing customers and potential customers seek products that are easily understood, cost-effective and can be accessed through technology-enabled devices.
Aflac U.S. Segment
Customer demographics continue to evolve and new opportunities present themselves in different customer segments such as the millennial and multicultural markets. Customer expectations and preferences are changing. Trends indicate existing customers and potential customers seek cost-effective solutions that are easily understood and can be accessed through technology-enabled devices. Additionally, income protection and the health needs of retiring baby boomers are continuing to shape the insurance industry.
Regulatory Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Government Regulation and Aflac U.S. Government Regulation for a discussion of regulatory developments that may impact the Company and the associated risks.
Competitive Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Competitive Markets and Aflac U.S. Competitive Markets for a discussion of the competitive environment and the basis on which the Company competes in each of its segments.
2025 OUTLOOK
The Company’s strategy to drive long-term shareholder value is to pursue growth and strong profit margins and to exercise tactical capital deployment. The Company's approach to pursue growth is through product development and distribution expansion and to achieve efficiencies by modernizing its technology and streamlining its operations.
The Company's objectives in 2025 include maintaining strong pretax margins with increased sales production through product refreshments and growth initiatives in both its Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. segments. For Aflac Japan, this includes continuing to focus on third sector products as well as introducing policies to new and younger customers. For Aflac U.S., this includes continuing to focus on realizing benefits from its buy to build initiatives and other platform investments, maintaining strong expense management discipline and strengthening the number of career agents for Aflac U.S. The Company believes that its strategy of positioning itself for future growth and efficiency while defending and leveraging its market-leading position, powerful brand recognition and varied distribution in Japan and the U.S. will provide support toward these objectives.
In December 2024, the board of directors announced a 16.0% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, effective with the first quarter of 2025. The Company intends to maintain strong capital ratios in Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. in support of its commitment to shareholder dividends while remaining tactical in its deployment of capital in the form of share repurchases and opportunistic investments. The Company's economic solvency ratio (ESR) target range is 170% to 230% for Aflac Japan and a target combined RBC range of 350% to 450%, over time, for Aflac U.S., which is consistent with the Company's risk management practices.
Aflac Japan Segment
For Aflac Japan, the Company anticipates that favorable morbidity experience and the shift in premiums over the last several years from first sector savings products to third sector cancer and medical products and first sector protection products will result in stable benefit ratios in the Aflac Japan segment with a slightly higher expense ratio reflecting growth and strategic initiatives. The Company also expects that benefit and expense ratios will continue to experience some level of revenue pressure due to the impact of paid up policies and internal reinsurance transactions. For the 2025 through 2027 period, the Company expects Aflac Japan to generate a benefit ratio in the range of 64% to 66% and an expense ratio in the range of 20% to 23%. For 2025, the Company expects the benefit ratio to be toward the higher end of the 64% to 66% range and the expense ratio to be on the lower end of the 20% to 23% range.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Aflac U.S. Segment
For Aflac U.S., the Company expects growth in life and disability to increase benefit ratios. This growth as well as realized benefits from the buy to build initiatives are expected to decrease expense ratios over time. For the 2025 through 2027 period, the Company expects Aflac U.S. to generate a benefit ratio in the range of 48% to 52% and an expense ratio in the range of 36% to 39%. For 2025, the Company expects the benefit ratio to be at the lower end of the 48% to 52% range and the expense ratio to be at the higher end of the 36% to 39% range.
Corporate and other
The Company's objectives for Corporate and other in 2025 include maintaining strong pretax adjusted earnings as compared with 2024, assuming that U.S. interest rates remain stable and excluding the impact of tax credit investments, as tax benefits are recognized in a corresponding lower income tax expense.
For important disclosures applicable to statements made in this 2025 Outlook, please see the statement on Forward-Looking Information at the beginning of Item 1. Business, the Risk Factors identified in Item 1A. and this Item 7. MD&A.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The Company earns its revenues principally from insurance premiums and investments. The Company’s operating expenses primarily consist of insurance benefits provided and reserves established for anticipated future insurance benefits, general business expenses, commissions and other costs of selling and servicing its products. Profitability for the Company depends principally on its ability to price its insurance products at a level that enables the Company to earn a margin over the costs associated with providing benefits and administering those products. Profitability also depends on, among other items, actuarial and policyholder behavior experience on insurance products, and the Company's ability to attract and retain customer assets, generate and maintain favorable investment results, effectively deploy capital and utilize tax capacity, and manage expenses.
This document includes references to the Company’s financial performance measures which are not calculated in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (U.S. GAAP) (non-U.S. GAAP). The financial measures exclude items that the Company believes may obscure the underlying fundamentals and trends in insurance operations because they tend to be driven by general economic conditions and events or related to infrequent activities not directly associated with insurance operations.
Due to the size of Aflac Japan, where the functional currency is the Japanese yen, fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate can have a significant effect on reported results. In periods when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars results in fewer dollars being reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars results in more dollars being reported. Consequently, yen weakening has the effect of suppressing current period results in relation to the comparable prior period, while yen strengthening has the effect of magnifying current period results in relation to the comparable prior period. A significant portion of the Company’s business is conducted in yen and never converted into dollars but translated into dollars for U.S. GAAP reporting purposes, which results in foreign currency impact to earnings, cash flows and book value on a U.S. GAAP basis. Management evaluates the Company's financial performance both including and excluding the impact of foreign currency translation to monitor, respectively, cumulative currency impacts and the currency-neutral operating performance over time. The average yen/dollar exchange rate is based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company defines the non-U.S. GAAP financial measures included in this document as follows:
•Adjusted earnings are adjusted revenues less benefits and adjusted expenses. Adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are the adjusted earnings for the period divided by the weighted average outstanding shares (basic or diluted) for the period presented. The adjustments to both revenues and expenses account for certain items that are outside of management’s control because they tend to be driven by general economic conditions and events or are related to infrequent activities not directly associated with insurance operations. Adjusted revenues are U.S. GAAP total revenues excluding adjusted net investment gains and losses. Adjusted expenses are U.S. GAAP total acquisition and operating expenses including the impact of interest from derivatives associated with notes payable but excluding any non-recurring or other items not associated with the normal course of the Company’s insurance operations and that do not reflect the Company's underlying business performance. Management uses adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to evaluate the financial performance of the Company’s insurance operations on a consolidated basis and believes that a presentation of these financial measures is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of the Company’s insurance business. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted net investment gains and losses are net investment gains and losses adjusted for i) amortized hedge cost/income related to foreign currency exposure management strategies and certain derivative activity, ii) net interest income/expense from foreign currency and interest rate derivatives associated with certain investment strategies, which are both reclassified to net investment income, and iii) the impact of interest from derivatives associated with notes payable, which is reclassified to interest expense as a component of total adjusted expenses. The Company considers adjusted net investment gains and losses important as it represents the remainder amount that is considered outside management’s control, while excluding the components that are within management’s control and are accordingly reclassified to net investment income and interest expense. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted net investment gains and losses is net investment gains and losses.
•Amortized hedge costs/income represent costs/income incurred or recognized as a result of using foreign currency derivatives to hedge certain foreign exchange risks in the Company's Japan segment or in Corporate and other. These amortized hedge costs/income are estimated at the inception of the derivatives based on the specific terms of each contract and are recognized on a straight-line basis over the contractual term of the derivative. The Company believes that amortized hedge costs/income measure the periodic currency risk management costs/income related to hedging certain foreign currency exchange risks and are an important component of net investment income. There is no comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for amortized hedge costs/income.
•Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact are computed using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior-year period, which eliminates fluctuations driven solely by foreign currency exchange rate changes. Adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact divided by the weighted average outstanding diluted shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact important because a significant portion of the Company's business is conducted in Japan and foreign exchange rates are outside management’s control; therefore, the Company believes it is important to understand the impact of translating foreign currency (primarily Japanese yen) into U.S. dollars. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted book value is the U.S. GAAP book value (representing total shareholders’ equity), less AOCI as recorded on the U.S. GAAP balance sheet. Adjusted book value per common share is adjusted book value at the period end divided by the ending outstanding common shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share important as they exclude AOCI, which fluctuates due to market movements that are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share are total book value and total book value per common share, respectively.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
•Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement is the U.S. GAAP book value (representing total shareholders’ equity), less AOCI as recorded on the U.S. GAAP balance sheet and excluding the cumulative [beginning January 1, 2021] foreign currency gains/losses associated with i) foreign currency remeasurement and ii) sales and redemptions of invested assets. Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share is adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement at the period end divided by the ending outstanding common shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement and adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share important as they exclude both AOCI and the cumulative foreign currency remeasurement gains/losses, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement and adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share are total book value and total book value per common share, respectively.
•Adjusted return on equity is annualized adjusted earnings divided by average shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI. Management uses adjusted return on equity to evaluate the financial performance of the Company’s insurance operations on a consolidated basis and believes that a presentation of this financial measure is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of the Company’s insurance business. The Company considers adjusted return on equity important as it excludes components of AOCI, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted return on equity is return on average equity (ROE) as determined using annualized net earnings and average total shareholders’ equity.
•Adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement is annualized adjusted earnings divided by average shareholders’ equity, excluding both AOCI and the cumulative [beginning January 1, 2021] foreign currency gains/losses associated with i) foreign currency remeasurement and ii) sales and redemptions of invested assets. The Company considers adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement important because it excludes both AOCI and the cumulative foreign currency remeasurement gains/losses, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement is ROE as determined using annualized net earnings and average total shareholders’ equity.
•U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact represents amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. The Company considers U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact important as it eliminates the impact of foreign currency changes on the Aflac Japan segment results, which are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact is the corresponding net investment income amount from the U.S. dollar denominated investments translated to yen.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of net earnings and net earnings per diluted share, respectively, for the years ended December 31.
Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted Earnings
| In Millions | Per Diluted Share | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||
| Net earnings | $ | 5,443 | $ | 4,659 | $ | 9.63 | $ | 7.78 | ||||||||
| Items impacting net earnings: | ||||||||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses (1) | (1,495) | (914) | (2.65) | (1.53) | ||||||||||||
| Other and non-recurring (income) loss | 23 | (39) | .04 | (.07) | ||||||||||||
| Income tax (benefit) expense on items excluded from adjusted earnings | 101 | 26 | .18 | .04 | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings | 4,072 | 3,733 | 7.21 | 6.23 | ||||||||||||
| Current period foreign currency impact (2) | 103 | N/A | .18 | N/A | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact | $ | 4,175 | $ | 3,733 | $ | 7.39 | $ | 6.23 |
(1) See reconciliation of net investment (gains) losses to adjusted net investment (gains) losses below.
(2) Prior period foreign currency impact reflected as “N/A” to isolate change for current period only.
Reconciling Items
Net Investment Gains and Losses
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted net investment (gains) losses to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of net investment (gains) losses for the years ended December 31.
Reconciliation of Net Investment (Gains) Losses to Adjusted Net Investment (Gains) Losses
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net investment (gains) losses | $ | (1,271) | $ | (590) | ||
| Items impacting net investment (gains) losses: | ||||||
| Amortized hedge costs | (26) | (157) | ||||
| Amortized hedge income | 113 | 121 | ||||
| Net interest income (expense) from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies | (338) | (328) | ||||
| Impact of interest from derivatives associated with notes payable | 27 | 41 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses | $ | (1,495) | $ | (914) |
The Company's investment strategy is to invest primarily in fixed maturity securities to provide a reliable stream of investment income, which is one of the drivers of the Company’s profitability. This investment strategy incorporates asset-liability matching (ALM) to align the expected cash flows of the portfolio to the needs of the Company's liability structure. The Company does not purchase securities with the intent of generating investment gains or losses. However, investment gains and losses may be realized as a result of changes in the financial markets and the creditworthiness of specific issuers, tax planning strategies, and/or general portfolio management and rebalancing. The realization of investment gains and losses is independent of the underwriting and administration of the Company's insurance products.
Net investment gains and losses excluded from adjusted earnings include the following:
•Securities Transactions
•Credit Losses
•Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
•Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Securities Transactions, Credit Losses and Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
Securities transactions include gains and losses from sales and redemptions of investments where the amount received is different from the amortized cost of the investment. Credit losses include losses for held-to-maturity fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale fixed maturity securities, loan receivables, loan commitments and reinsurance recoverables. Changes in the fair value of equity securities are the result of gains or losses driven by fluctuations in market prices.
Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities
The Company's derivative activities include:
•foreign currency forwards and options used in hedging foreign exchange risk on U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan's portfolio, with options used on a standalone basis and/or in a collar strategy;
•foreign currency forwards and options used to economically hedge certain portions of forecasted cash flows denominated in yen and hedge the Company's long term exposure to a weakening yen;
•cross-currency interest rate swaps, also referred to as foreign currency swaps, associated with certain senior notes and subordinated debentures;
•foreign currency swaps that are associated with variable interest entity (VIE) bond purchase commitments, and investments in special-purpose entities, including VIEs where the Company is the primary beneficiary;
•interest rate swaps used to economically hedge interest rate fluctuations in certain variable-rate investments;
•interest rate swaptions used to hedge changes in the fair value associated with interest rate fluctuations for certain U.S. dollar-denominated available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities; and
•bond purchase commitments at the inception of investments in consolidated VIEs.
Gains and losses are recognized as a result of valuing these derivatives, net of the effects of hedge accounting.
The Company also excludes from adjusted earnings the accounting impacts of foreign currency remeasurement associated with changes in the foreign currency exchange rate.
For additional information regarding net investment gains and losses, including details of reported amounts for the periods presented, see Notes 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Other and Non-recurring Items
The U.S. insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. The system can result in periodic charges to the Company as a result of insolvencies/bankruptcies that occur with other companies in the life insurance industry. Some states permit member insurers to recover assessments paid through full or partial premium tax offsets. These charges neither relate to the ordinary course of the Company’s business nor reflect the Company’s underlying business performance, but result from external situations not controlled by the Company. The Company excludes any charges associated with U.S. guaranty fund assessments and the corresponding tax benefit or expense from adjusted earnings.
In Japan, the government also requires the insurance industry to contribute to a policyholder protection corporation that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers; however, these costs are calculated and administered differently than in the U.S. In Japan, these costs are not directly related to specific insolvencies or bankruptcies, but are rather a regular operational cost for an insurance company. Based on this structure, the Company does not remove the Japan policyholder protection expenses from adjusted earnings.
The Company considers the costs associated with the early redemption of its debt to be unrelated to the underlying fundamentals and trends in its insurance operations. Additionally, these costs are driven by changes in interest rates subsequent to the issuance of the debt, and the Company considers these interest rate changes to represent economic conditions not directly associated with its insurance operations.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2024, as part of the U.S. defined benefit plan freeze, the Company offered lump sum payments to certain participants. The lump sum payments were distributed in the fourth quarter of 2024 and resulted in a settlement charge of $18 million in 2024 due to the payments being greater than the settlement threshold. The settlement charge was both unusual and non-recurring and unrelated to other recurring benefit costs associated with the plan; therefore, the Company excluded the settlement charge from adjusted earnings.
In June 2023, the Company amended the U.S. defined benefit plan to freeze future benefits under the plan for all participants effective January 1, 2024, which resulted in the Company recognizing a curtailment gain of approximately $49 million in 2023. The curtailment gain was both unusual and non-recurring and unrelated to other recurring benefit costs associated with the plan; therefore, the Company excluded the curtailment gain from adjusted earnings.
In 2023, other items excluded from adjusted earnings included an impairment for certain finite-lived intangible assets of approximately $11 million as a result of the Company exiting the third-party administration business acquired in connection with the purchase of Aflac Benefits Solutions, Inc. in 2019. The impairment of these intangible assets was not related to the ongoing operations of the business and occurs infrequently; therefore, the Company excluded the impairment from adjusted earnings.
Foreign Currency Translation
Aflac Japan’s premiums and a significant portion of its investment income are received in yen, and its claims and most expenses are paid in yen. Aflac Japan purchases yen-denominated assets and U.S. dollar-denominated assets, which may be hedged to yen, to support yen-denominated policy liabilities. Yen-denominated income statement accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the weighted average Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate for the reporting period, except realized gains and losses on securities transactions which are translated at the exchange rate on the trade date of each transaction. Yen-denominated balance sheet accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the spot Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate at the end of the reporting period.
In recent periods, the Japanese yen has weakened against the U.S. dollar. Although the Company is unable to predict the timing or extent of future movements of the Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate, the Company maintains hedging strategies (see the Hedging Activities section of this MD&A) that are intended to mitigate the impacts of yen fluctuation on the Company’s financial position and results of operations. See the risk factor entitled “The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate” in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for more information.
Income Taxes
The Company's combined U.S. and Japanese effective income tax rate on pretax earnings was 15.2% in 2024 and 11.5% in 2023. The combined effective tax rate differs from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to historic and solar tax credits and the exclusion of foreign currency translation gains and losses on certain Aflac Japan U.S. dollar-denominated assets held in the Delaware Statutory Trust (DST). Total income taxes were $974 million in 2024 and $603 million in 2023. Japanese income taxes on Aflac Japan's results account for most of the Company's consolidated income tax expense.
For additional information, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Critical Accounting Estimates - Income Taxes section of this MD&A. The effective tax rate continues to be subject to future tax law changes both in the U.S. and in foreign jurisdictions. See the risk factor entitled "Tax rates applicable to the Company may change" in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for additional information.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Reconciliation of Book Value to Adjusted Book Value
(Excluding Foreign Currency Remeasurement)
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted book value and adjusted book value per diluted share excluding foreign currency remeasurement to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of book value and book value per diluted share, respectively, for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions, except for share and per-share amounts) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. GAAP book value | $ | 26,098 | $ | 21,985 | |||||
| Items impacting U.S. GAAP book value: | |||||||||
| Unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) | (4,998) | (4,069) | |||||||
| Unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives | 4 | 1,117 | |||||||
| Effect of changes in discount rate assumptions | 2,006 | (2,560) | |||||||
| Pension liability adjustment | 10 | (8) | |||||||
| Total accumulated other comprehensive income | (2,978) | (5,520) | |||||||
| Adjusted book value | 29,076 | 27,505 | |||||||
| Foreign currency remeasurement gains (losses) | 5,725 | 3,700 | |||||||
| Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement | 23,351 | 23,805 | |||||||
| Number of shares outstanding at end of period | 549,964 | 578,479 | |||||||
| U.S. GAAP book value per common share | $ | 47.45 | $ | 38.00 | |||||
| Items impacting U.S. GAAP book value per common share: | |||||||||
| Unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) per common share | (9.09) | (7.03) | |||||||
| Unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives per common share | .01 | 1.93 | |||||||
| Effect of changes in discount rate assumptions per common share | 3.65 | (4.43) | |||||||
| Pension liability adjustment per common share | .02 | (.01) | |||||||
| Total accumulated other comprehensive income per common share | (5.41) | (9.54) | |||||||
| Adjusted book value per common share | 52.87 | 47.55 | |||||||
| Foreign currency remeasurement gains (losses) per common share | 10.41 | 6.40 | |||||||
| Adjusted book value excluding foreign currency remeasurement per common share | 42.46 | 41.15 |
41
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Reconciliation of Return on Equity to Adjusted Return on Equity
(Excluding Foreign Currency Remeasurement)
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure of return on equity for the years ended December 31.
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. GAAP return on equity - net earnings (1) | 22.6 | % | 22.1 | % | |
| Impact of excluding unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) | (3.6) | (3.1) | |||
| Impact of excluding unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives | .4 | .2 | |||
| Impact of excluding effect of changes in discount rate assumptions | (.2) | (1.9) | |||
| Impact of excluding pension liability adjustment | .0 | .0 | |||
| Impact of excluding accumulated other comprehensive income | (3.4) | (4.9) | |||
| U.S. GAAP return on equity less accumulated other comprehensive income | 19.2 | 17.2 | |||
| Differences between adjusted earnings and net earnings (2) | (4.8) | (3.4) | |||
| Adjusted return on equity - reported | 14.4 | 13.8 | |||
| Impact of excluding gains (losses) associated with foreign currency remeasurement (3) | 2.9 | 1.8 | |||
| Adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement | 17.3 | 15.6 |
(1) U.S. GAAP return on equity is calculated by dividing net earnings (annualized) by average shareholders' equity.
(2) See separate reconciliation of net earnings to adjusted earnings above.
(3) Impact of gains/losses associated with foreign currency remeasurement is calculated by excluding the cumulative [beginning January 1, 2021] foreign currency gains/losses associated with i) foreign currency remeasurement and ii) sales and redemptions of invested assets. The impact is the difference of adjusted return on equity - reported compared with adjusted return on equity, excluding from shareholders' equity, gains/losses associated with foreign currency remeasurement.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS BY SEGMENT
U.S. GAAP financial reporting requires that a company report financial and descriptive information about operating segments in its annual and interim period financial statements. Furthermore, the Company is required to report a measure of segment profit or loss, certain revenue and expense items, and segment assets. The Company's insurance business consists of two segments: Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. Aflac Japan is the principal contributor to consolidated earnings. In addition, the Parent Company, other business units that are not individually reportable, and business activities, including reinsurance activities, not included in Aflac Japan or Aflac U.S. are included in Corporate and other. See Item 1. Business for a summary of each segment's products and distribution channels.
Consistent with U.S. GAAP guidance for segment reporting, pretax adjusted earnings is the Company's U.S. GAAP measure of segment performance. The Company believes that a presentation of this measure is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of its business. Additional performance measures used to evaluate the financial condition and performance of the Company's segments are listed below.
•Operating Ratios
•New Annualized Premium Sales
•New Money Yield
•Return on Average Invested Assets
•Average Weekly Producer
•Premium Persistency
For additional information on the Company’s performance measures included in this MD&A, see the Glossary of Selected Terms found directly following Part IV. See Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the reconciliation of segment results to the Company's consolidated U.S. GAAP results and additional information.
42
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
AFLAC JAPAN SEGMENT
Aflac Japan Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac Japan's pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Summary of Operating Results
| In Dollars | In Yen | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Net earned premiums (1) | $ | 6,930 | $ | 8,047 | ¥ | 1,050 | ¥ | 1,128 | |||||
| Net investment income: (2) | |||||||||||||
| Yen-denominated investment income | 879 | 985 | 133 | 138 | |||||||||
| U.S. dollar-denominated investment income | 1,849 | 1,755 | 281 | 247 | |||||||||
| Net investment income | 2,727 | 2,739 | 414 | 385 | |||||||||
| Amortized hedge costs | 26 | 157 | 4 | 20 | |||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 2,701 | 2,582 | 410 | 366 | |||||||||
| Other income (loss) | 28 | 35 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 9,659 | 10,664 | 1,464 | 1,498 | |||||||||
| Benefits and claims: | |||||||||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 4,761 | 5,409 | 721 | 757 | |||||||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (444) | (96) | (64) | (13) | |||||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 4,317 | 5,313 | 657 | 744 | |||||||||
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 321 | 326 | 49 | 46 | |||||||||
| Insurance commissions | 435 | 491 | 66 | 69 | |||||||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,092 | 1,300 | 165 | 182 | |||||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 1,848 | 2,117 | 280 | 297 | |||||||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 6,165 | 7,430 | 936 | 1,041 | |||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 3,494 | $ | 3,234 | ¥ | 528 | ¥ | 457 | |||||
| Weighted-average yen/dollar exchange rate | 150.97 | 140.57 | — | — | |||||||||
| Percentage change over previous period: | |||||||||||||
| Net earned premiums | (13.9) | % | (12.4) | % | (6.9) | % | (5.9) | % | |||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 4.6 | (3.3) | 12.1 | 4.0 | |||||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (9.4) | (10.3) | (2.3) | (3.6) | |||||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | (18.7) | (14.2) | (11.8) | (7.8) | |||||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | (12.7) | (12.4) | (5.8) | (6.1) | |||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 8.0 | (1.4) | 15.5 | 6.0 |
(1) Includes a gain (loss) of $(81) and $20 in 2024 and 2023, respectively, related to remeasurement of the deferred profit liability for limited-payment contracts.
(2) Net interest income/expense from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(305) and $(294) in 2024 and 2023, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
In 2024, operating results in yen terms compared to the previous year were as follows:
•Net earned premiums decreased primarily due to approximately ¥29 billion related to the internal cancer reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re established in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 2023, approximately ¥20 billion from limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status and approximately ¥11 billion related to the remeasurement of the deferred profit liability for limited-pay contracts in the third quarter of 2024.
•Adjusted net investment income increased primarily due to higher variable net investment income of ¥18 billion, the weakening of the yen on U.S. dollar investments of ¥17 billion and lower amortized hedge cost of ¥16 billion.
•Total adjusted revenues decreased primarily due to the decrease in net earned premiums, partially offset by the increase in adjusted net investment income.
43
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
•Total benefits and claims decreased primarily due to ¥50 billion of reserve remeasurement gains related to assumption updates in the third quarter of 2024 as well as internal reinsurance activity.
•Total adjusted expenses decreased primarily due to internal reinsurance activity.
•Pretax adjusted earnings increased primarily due to the decrease in both total benefits and claims and total adjusted expenses, partially offset by the decrease in total adjusted revenues.
Annualized premiums in force decreased 3.0% to ¥1.21 trillion as of December 31, 2024, compared with ¥1.25 trillion in 2023. The decrease in annualized premiums in force in yen of 3.0% in 2024 was driven primarily by limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status. Annualized premiums in force, translated into dollars at respective year-end exchange rates, were $7.6 billion in 2024, compared with $8.8 billion in 2023. As of December 31, 2024, Aflac Japan exceeded 22 million individual policies in force in Japan, with more than 14 million cancer policies in force in Japan.
Aflac Japan's investment portfolios include U.S. dollar-denominated securities and reverse dual-currency securities (yen-denominated debt securities with dollar coupon payments). In years when the yen strengthens in relation to the dollar, translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into yen lowers growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues, and pretax adjusted earnings in yen terms. In years when the yen weakens, translating U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into yen magnifies growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues, and pretax adjusted earnings in yen terms.
The following table illustrates the effect of translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income and related items into yen by comparing certain segment results with those that would have been reported had foreign currency exchange rates remained unchanged from the prior year. Amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income were determined using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. See non-U.S. GAAP financial measures defined above.
Aflac Japan Percentage Changes Over Prior Year
(Yen Operating Results)
For the Years Ended December 31,
| Including Foreign Currency Changes | Excluding Foreign Currency Changes | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 12.1 | % | 4.0 | % | 6.5 | % | (1.4) | % | |||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (2.3) | (3.6) | (3.7) | (4.8) | |||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 15.5 | 6.0 | 11.1 | 1.8 |
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios in yen terms for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31 followed by a discussion of the significant drivers of changes in operating ratios in yen compared to the previous year.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2024 | 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total benefits and claims, net | 44.8 | % | 49.7 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 3.3 | 3.1 | |||
| Insurance commissions | 4.5 | 4.6 | |||
| Insurance and other expenses | 11.3 | 12.2 | |||
| Total adjusted expenses | 19.1 | 19.8 | |||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 36.0 | 30.5 | |||
| Ratios to total premiums: | |||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 62.5 | % | 66.0 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 4.6 | 4.1 |
•In 2024, the total benefits and claims to total premiums ratio decreased primarily due to a decrease in total benefits and claims resulting from reserve remeasurement gains related to assumption updates in the third quarter of 2024, partially offset by the decline in net earned premiums resulting from reinsurance activity, limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status, and a deferred profit liability remeasurement loss.
44
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
•The total adjusted expense ratio decreased in 2024 primarily due to the decrease in total adjusted expenses associated with reinsurance activity.
•In total, the pretax adjusted profit margin increased in 2024 primarily due to the decrease in total benefits and claims.
The following table presents Aflac Japan's premium persistency on a 12-month rolling basis as of December 31.
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premium persistency | 93.4 | % | 93.4 | % |
Aflac Japan Sales
The following table presents Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| In Dollars | In Yen | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 422 | $ | 432 | ¥ | 64.1 | ¥ | 60.7 | ||||||||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | (2.2) | % | 3.8 | % | 5.6 | % | 10.9 | % |
In 2024, the increase in new annualized premium sales on a yen basis was primarily driven by sales of Aflac Japan's new life insurance product, Tsumitasu, that was launched in June 2024 and offers an asset formation component and a nursing care option.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by major insurance product for the years ended December 31.
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancer | 57.5 | % | 64.1 | % | |
| Medical and other health | 16.1 | 20.6 | |||
| Life insurance: | |||||
| Traditional life (1) | 23.0 | 6.5 | |||
| WAYS | 2.2 | 6.8 | |||
| Child endowment | .2 | .4 | |||
| Other | 1.0 | 1.6 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes term life, whole life and Tsumitasu
The foundation of Aflac Japan's product portfolio has been, and continues to be, third sector products, which include cancer, medical and other products. With continued cost pressure on Japan’s health care system, the Company expects the need for third sector products will continue to rise in the future and that the medical and cancer insurance products Aflac Japan provides will continue to be an important part of its product portfolio. Additionally, the Company believes that sales of first sector products, including Tsumitasu, WAYS and Child Endowment, position Aflac Japan for potential future long-term sales opportunities by marketing these products to a younger demographic as well as potential cross-selling opportunities of Aflac Japan's third sector products.
Aflac Japan continues to promote digital and web-based sales to groups and use of its system that enables smart device-based insurance application by allowing the customer and an Aflac Japan operator to see the same screen through their smart devices. Further, Aflac Japan continues to utilize its virtual sales tool that enables online consultations and policy applications to be completed entirely online.
45
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by agency type for the years ended December 31.
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent corporate and individual | 48.2 | % | 46.7 | % | |
| Affiliated corporate (1) | 48.6 | 50.0 | |||
| Bank | 3.2 | 3.3 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes Japan Post Group, Dai-ichi Life and Daido Life
In 2024, Aflac Japan recruited 50 new sales agencies. At December 31, 2024, Aflac Japan was represented by approximately 6,600 sales agencies, with approximately 114,000 licensed sales associates employed by those agencies. The number of sales agencies has declined in recent years due to Aflac Japan's focus on supporting agencies with strong management frameworks, high productivity and more producing agents.
At December 31, 2024, Aflac Japan had agreements to sell its products at 360 banks, approximately 90% of the total number of banks in Japan.
Strategic Alliance with Japan Post Holdings
On May 10, 2024, the Parent Company reported that the shares owned by the J&A Alliance Trust (Trust) represented, in aggregate, 20% of the voting power of the Parent Company's common stock. The Shareholders Agreement, entered into on February 28, 2019, by the Parent Company, Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation, solely in its capacity as trustee of the Trust and General Incorporated Association J&A Alliance, provides voting restrictions that require the Trust to vote (i) all shares representing voting rights in excess of 20% of the voting rights in the Parent Company and (ii) all of its shares in connection with a change in control transaction, in each case, in a manner proportionally equal to votes of shares not beneficially owned by the Trust. Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. does not have a board seat on the Parent Company’s board of directors and does not have rights to control, manage or intervene in the management of the Parent Company. According to a Form 13F filed by Japan Post Holdings with the SEC on January 16, 2025, Japan Post Holdings owned 52.3 million Aflac Incorporated common shares as of December 31, 2024.
As previously reported, on December 19, 2018, the Parent Company and Aflac Japan entered into a Basic Agreement with Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., a Japanese corporation (Japan Post Holdings). Pursuant to the terms of the Basic Agreement, among other items, Japan Post Holdings and Aflac Japan agreed to reconfirm existing initiatives regarding cancer insurance and to consider new joint initiatives. In June 2021, the Parent Company, Aflac Japan and Japan Post Group agreed to pursue several specific initiatives toward building a "'Co-creation Platform' to support customers and local communities," consistent with Japan Post Group's medium-term management plan announced in May 2021. The initiatives are directed at, among other items, the promotion of Aflac Japan cancer insurance, digital transformation within the Japan Post Group, and certain diversity efforts.
On May 1, 2023, the Parent Company filed a registration statement on Form S-3 that registered the sale of its common stock from time to time by J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation in its capacity as trustee of the Trust. The filing was made pursuant to a contractual requirement contained in the Shareholders Agreement. The Trust has agreed not to own more than the greater of 10% of the Parent Company’s outstanding shares or such shares representing 22.5% of the voting rights in the Parent Company.
The foregoing is subject to and qualified in its entirety by reference to the full text of the Basic Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed December 19, 2018, and the Shareholders Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.50 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed April 26, 2019, the terms of which exhibits are incorporated herein by reference.
Aflac Japan Investments
The level of investment income in yen is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, the effect of yen/dollar exchange rates on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income, and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac Japan invests in yen and U.S. dollar-denominated investments. Yen-denominated investments primarily consist of JGBs, public and private fixed maturity
46
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
securities and public equity securities. Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investments include fixed maturity investments, loan receivables, and growth assets, including alternative investments in limited partnerships or similar investment vehicles. Aflac Japan invests in both publicly traded and privately originated U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables, and has entered into foreign currency forwards and options to hedge the currency risk on the fair value of a portion of the U.S. dollar investments.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yen-denominated: | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||
| Japan government and agencies | $ | 0 | $ | 357 | ||
| Private placements | 131 | 510 | ||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | 290 | 102 | ||||
| Equity securities | 407 | 346 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||
| Other loans | 0 | 77 | ||||
| Other investments | 28 | 16 | ||||
| Total yen-denominated | $ | 856 | $ | 1,408 | ||
| U.S. dollar-denominated: | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 2,532 | $ | 606 | ||
| Infrastructure debt | 291 | 50 | ||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 30 | 0 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 79 | 247 | ||||
| Middle market loans | 987 | 446 | ||||
| Other loans | 74 | 0 | ||||
| Other investments | 349 | 393 | ||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated | $ | 4,342 | $ | 1,742 | ||
| Other currencies: | ||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||
| Infrastructure debt | $ | 26 | $ | 0 | ||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||
| Other loans | 47 | 0 | ||||
| Other investments | 5 | 0 | ||||
| Total other currencies | $ | 78 | $ | 0 | ||
| Total Aflac Japan purchases | $ | 5,276 | $ | 3,150 |
See the Investments section of this MD&A for further discussion of these investment programs, and see Notes 1, 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding loans and loan receivables.
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, securities lending, and other securities transactions. Securities lending is also used from time to time to accelerate the availability of funds for investment. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
47
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the results of Aflac Japan's investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for the period (in millions) (1) | $ | 4,894 | $ | 2,741 | ||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 6.11 | % | 5.18 | % | ||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 3.33 | 2.90 | ||||
| Portfolio book yield, including U.S. dollar-denominated investments, end of period (1),(2) | 3.22 | % | 3.18 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses, external management fees, and amortized hedge costs
(3) Net of investment expenses and amortized hedge costs, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The increase in the Aflac Japan new money yield in 2024 was primarily due to higher allocations to higher yielding asset classes.
See Notes 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Investments and Hedging Activities sections of this MD&A for additional information on the Company's investments and hedging strategies.
AFLAC U.S. SEGMENT
Aflac U.S. Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac U.S. pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.
Aflac U.S. Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 5,829 | $ | 5,675 | ||
| Adjusted net investment income (1) | 847 | 820 | ||||
| Other income | 63 | 128 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 6,739 | 6,623 | ||||
| Benefits and claims: | ||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 2,821 | 2,715 | ||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (95) | (284) | ||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 2,726 | 2,431 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 530 | 490 | ||||
| Insurance commissions | 563 | 561 | ||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,501 | 1,640 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 2,594 | 2,691 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 5,320 | 5,122 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 1,419 | $ | 1,501 | ||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||
| Net earned premiums | 2.7 | % | 1.9 | % | ||
| Adjusted net investment income | 3.3 | 8.6 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 1.8 | 2.1 | ||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 12.1 | (4.9) | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | (3.6) | 4.6 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | (5.5) | 10.4 |
(1) Net interest income/expense from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(36) and $(34) in 2024 and 2023, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
48
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2024, operating results compared to the previous year were as follows:
•Net earned premiums increased primarily due to higher net earned premiums from growth initiatives including group life and disability and consumer markets businesses.
•Adjusted net investment income increased primarily due to higher fixed rate income and higher variable income.
•Total adjusted revenues increased primarily due to the increase in both net earned premiums and adjusted net investment income.
•Total benefits and claims increased primarily due to a decrease of approximately $139 million in reserve remeasurement gains related to assumption updates in the third quarter of 2024 and higher incurred claims.
•Total adjusted expenses decreased primarily due to improved expense efficiency.
•Pretax adjusted earnings decreased primarily due to the increase in total benefits and claims, partially offset by the increase in total adjusted revenues and the decrease in total adjusted expenses.
Annualized premiums in force increased 3.6% in 2024 and 3.3% in 2023. Annualized premiums in force at December 31 were $6.4 billion in 2024, compared with $6.2 billion in 2023.
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31 followed by a discussion of the significant drivers of changes in operating ratios compared to the previous year.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2024 | 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total benefits and claims | 40.5 | % | 36.7 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 7.9 | 7.4 | |||
| Insurance commissions | 8.4 | 8.5 | |||
| Insurance and other expenses | 22.3 | 24.8 | |||
| Total adjusted expenses | 38.5 | 40.6 | |||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 21.1 | 22.7 | |||
| Ratios to total premiums: | |||||
| Total benefits and claims | 46.8 | % | 42.8 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 9.1 | 8.6 |
•In 2024, the total benefits and claims to total premiums ratio increased primarily due to the decrease in reserve remeasurement gains related to assumption updates in the third quarter of 2024 as well as higher incurred claims.
•The total adjusted expense ratio decreased in 2024 primarily due to expense efficiency efforts.
•In total, the pretax adjusted profit margin decreased in 2024 primarily due to the increase in total benefits and claims partially offset by higher total adjusted revenues and lower total adjusted expenses.
The following table presents premium persistency for Aflac U.S. on a 12-month rolling basis as of December 31.
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premium persistency | 79.3 | % | 78.6 | % |
Aflac U.S. Sales
The following table presents Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 1,543 | $ | 1,558 | ||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | (1.0) | % | 5.0 | % |
The decrease in new annualized premium sales for Aflac U.S. in 2024 primarily reflects lower sales of group voluntary benefit products impacted by a continued focus on profitable growth, as well as softer sales of network dental.
49
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details the contributions to Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales by major insurance product category for the years ended December 31.
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accident | 19.6 | % | 20.9 | % | |
| Disability | 26.3 | 25.6 | |||
| Critical care (1) | 20.9 | 20.7 | |||
| Hospital indemnity | 13.7 | 14.5 | |||
| Dental/vision | 5.3 | 6.3 | |||
| Life | 14.2 | 12.0 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes cancer, critical illness and hospital intensive care products
In 2024, the Aflac U.S. sales force included an average of approximately 6,000 U.S. agents, including brokers, who were actively producing business on a weekly basis. The Company believes that this average weekly producer equivalent metric allows sales management to monitor progress and needs, as well as serve as a leading indicator of future production capacity.
Aflac U.S. Investments
The level of investment income is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity investments, loan receivables, and growth assets, including public equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. invests in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac U.S. as of December 31.
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 654 | $ | 587 | ||
| Infrastructure debt | 64 | 83 | ||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 12 | 0 | ||||
| Equity securities | 26 | 11 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 21 | 78 | ||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 13 | 33 | ||||
| Middle market loans | 133 | 85 | ||||
| Other loans | 11 | 30 | ||||
| Other investments | 39 | 44 | ||||
| Total Aflac U.S. Purchases | $ | 973 | $ | 951 |
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, and other securities transactions. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives, including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
50
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the results of Aflac's U.S. investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31.
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for period (in millions) (1) | $ | 934 | $ | 907 | ||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 6.90 | % | 7.56 | % | ||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 5.00 | 4.88 | ||||
| Portfolio book yield, end of period (1),(2) | 5.58 | % | 5.53 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses and external management fees
(3) Net of investment expenses, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The decrease in the Aflac U.S. new money yield in 2024 was primarily due to higher allocations to lower yielding asset classes. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Market Risks of Financial Instruments - Credit Risk subsection of Item 7A. for additional information regarding the sector concentrations of the Company's investments.
CORPORATE AND OTHER
Changes in the pretax adjusted earnings of Corporate and other are primarily affected by internal reinsurance activity and net investment income. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Corporate and other for the years ended December 31.
Corporate and Other Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 680 | $ | 400 | ||
| Net investment income (loss) (1) | 201 | (77) | ||||
| Amortized hedge income | 113 | 121 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 314 | 44 | ||||
| Other income | 13 | 15 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 1,007 | 460 | ||||
| Benefits and claims: | ||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 426 | 470 | ||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (19) | (3) | ||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 407 | 467 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Interest expense | 156 | 144 | ||||
| Other adjusted expenses | 412 | 273 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 568 | 417 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 975 | 885 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 32 | $ | (425) | ||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||
| Net earned premiums | 70.0 | % | 175.9 | % | ||
| Adjusted net investment income | 613.6 | (55.1) | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 118.9 | 72.3 | ||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | (12.8) | 231.2 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 36.2 | 50.0 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 107.5 | (95.0) |
(1) The change in value of federal historic rehabilitation and solar investments in partnerships of $165 and $343 in 2024 and 2023, respectively, is included as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits on these investments of $164 and $334 in 2024 and 2023, respectively, have been recorded as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statements of earnings. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on these investments.
51
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2024, operating results compared to the previous year were as follows:
•Net earned premiums increased primarily due to higher reinsurance activity resulting from agreements established in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 2023.
•Adjusted net investment income increased primarily due to $178 million from a lower volume of federal historic rehabilitation and solar tax credit investments, with offsetting tax benefits recognized as a corresponding lower income tax expense, and higher Aflac Re consolidated investment income of $68 million primarily due to a higher volume of assets as part of the reinsurance agreements established in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 2023.
•Total adjusted revenues increased primarily due to higher net earned premiums and higher adjusted net investment income.
•Total benefits and claims decreased primarily due to the impact of $163 million in the fourth quarter of 2023 related to a novation agreement under which Aflac Re assumed the duties, obligations and liabilities through a reinsurance of business ALIJ previously ceded to an external reinsurer, which was partially offset by higher benefits from the reinsurance agreements established in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 2023.
•Total adjusted expenses increased primarily due to the higher reinsurance activity of $137 million and higher interest expense of $12 million.
•Pretax adjusted earnings increased primarily due to higher total adjusted revenues and lower total benefits and claims partially offset by higher total adjusted expenses.
The Parent Company invests in partnerships that specialize in rehabilitating historic structures or the installation of solar equipment in order to receive federal historic rehabilitation and solar tax credits. These investments are classified as limited partnerships and included in other investments in the consolidated balance sheets. The change in value of each investment is recorded as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits generated by these investments are recorded as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statements of earnings.
INVESTMENTS
The Company’s investment strategy utilizes disciplined asset and liability management while seeking long-term risk-adjusted investment returns and the delivery of stable income within regulatory and capital objectives, and preserving shareholder value. In attempting to optimally balance these objectives, the Company seeks to maintain on behalf of Aflac Japan a diversified portfolio of yen-denominated investment assets, a U.S. dollar-denominated investment portfolio hedged back to yen and a portfolio of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated assets. As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including public equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. invests in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loans.
For additional information concerning the Company's investments, see Notes 3, 4, and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
52
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following tables detail investments by segment as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Segment
| 2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Available-for-sale, fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 45,970 | $ | 12,296 | $ | 7,003 | $ | 65,269 | ||||||
| Held-to-maturity, fixed maturity securities, at amortized cost (1) | 15,966 | 0 | 0 | 15,966 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 458 | 2 | 336 | 796 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: (1) | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 3,648 | 866 | 189 | 4,703 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 915 | 608 | 0 | 1,523 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 3,847 | 436 | 0 | 4,283 | ||||||||||
| Other loans | 284 | 61 | 15 | 360 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 168 | 35 | 0 | 203 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 484 | 366 | 749 | 1,599 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 2,861 | 306 | 268 | 3,435 | ||||||||||
| Real estate owned | 570 | 112 | 0 | 682 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 39 | 0 | 39 | ||||||||||
| Investment in affiliate (3) | 0 | 638 | (638) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 75,171 | 15,765 | 7,922 | 98,858 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,062 | 1,010 | 3,157 | 6,229 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 77,233 | $ | 16,775 | $ | 11,079 | $ | 105,087 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
(3) For consolidated reporting, Aflac U.S.'s investment in Aflac Re is eliminated in Corporate and other
53
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2023 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Available-for-sale, fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 54,983 | $ | 12,884 | $ | 5,423 | $ | 73,290 | ||||||
| Held-to-maturity, fixed maturity securities, at amortized cost (1) | 17,819 | 0 | 0 | 17,819 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 720 | 2 | 366 | 1,088 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: (1) | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 4,795 | 1,011 | 192 | 5,998 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 1,075 | 622 | 0 | 1,697 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 4,095 | 436 | 0 | 4,531 | ||||||||||
| Other loans | 185 | 101 | 15 | 301 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 186 | 28 | 0 | 214 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 347 | 204 | 753 | 1,304 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 2,360 | 258 | 132 | 2,750 | ||||||||||
| Real estate owned | 180 | 47 | 0 | 227 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 35 | 0 | 35 | ||||||||||
| Investment in affiliate (3) | 0 | 439 | (439) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 86,745 | 16,067 | 6,442 | 109,254 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,861 | 651 | 1,794 | 4,306 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 88,606 | $ | 16,718 | $ | 8,236 | $ | 113,560 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
(3) For consolidated reporting, Aflac U.S.'s investment in Aflac Re is eliminated in Corporate and other
The Company has invested in a variety of commercial mortgage loans (CMLs) and other loans including transitional real estate loans (TREs). The Company's TRE and CML investments are collateralized by commercial real estate, including some office properties. The Company considers these investments to be well diversified by geography and among property types. Further, the Company believes that the portfolio is generally well positioned with exposures concentrated in high quality underlying properties with institutional investors who are experienced in managing their assets during periods of market volatility.
While generally resilient, the Company's investments in TREs and CMLs have been affected by conditions in the commercial real estate market, with a greater impact on mortgages secured by office properties. The Company invested in certain TREs and CMLs that are currently in default of interest or maturity payments. The Company works with the affected borrowers to resolve specific situations through loan continuance with potential modifications, through loan sales, or through the process of foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure. Since the third quarter of 2023, the Company has taken possession, through foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure, of certain commercial real estate properties, which secured defaulted loans. Properties acquired by the Company through foreclosure and deed in lieu of foreclosure are reported as real estate owned (REO) in other investments in the Company's consolidated balance sheets.
In 2024, the Company completed foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure on TREs collateralized with commercial real estate properties with an amortized cost of $502 million. As a result of the amortized cost of the TREs exceeding the estimated fair value of the collateral upon consummating the foreclosures or deed in lieu of foreclosure transactions, the Company recognized a net loss of $34 million in net investment gains (losses) for the year ended December 31, 2024. In 2023, the Company completed foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure on TREs collateralized with commercial real estate properties with an amortized cost of $284 million. As a result of the amortized cost of the TREs exceeding the estimated fair value of the collateral upon consummating the foreclosures or deed in lieu of foreclosure transactions, the Company recognized a net loss of $66 million in net investment gains (losses) for the year ended December 31, 2023.
54
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company utilizes third-party asset managers to source, underwrite and manage each loan, as well as any resulting REO. The Company closely monitors the activities of these managers. In the event that a loan workout is necessary, the Company believes these external managers have the experience and resources to manage the process to maximize recovery.
The Company also monitors its commercial mortgage and other loan investments internally on an ongoing basis, including a review of loans' credit quality indicators and payment status as current, past due, restructured or under foreclosure. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information concerning credit quality indicators, information on loans that are on nonaccrual status, and REO obtained through foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure. See also Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for a discussion of risk factors associated with the Company's investments.
The ratings of the Company's securities referenced in the table below are based on the ratings designations provided by major rating organizations such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch or, if not rated, are determined based on the Company's internal analysis of such securities. When the ratings issued by the rating agencies differ, the Company utilizes the second lowest rating when three or more rating agency ratings are available or the lowest rating when only two rating agency ratings are available.
The distributions of fixed maturity securities the Company owns, by credit rating, as of December 31 were as follows:
Composition of Fixed Maturity Securities by Credit Rating
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||
| AAA | 1.5 | % | 1.5 | % | 1.6 | % | 1.6 | % | ||||||||||
| AA | 6.0 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||
| A | 68.0 | 66.1 | 68.1 | 67.2 | ||||||||||||||
| BBB | 22.9 | 24.4 | 22.9 | 23.5 | ||||||||||||||
| BB or lower | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
As of December 31, 2024, the Company's direct and indirect exposure to securities in its investment portfolio that were guaranteed by third parties was immaterial both individually and in the aggregate.
The following table presents the 10 largest unrealized loss positions in the Company's portfolio as of December 31, 2024.
| (In millions) | Credit Rating | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Unrealized Loss | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan National Government | A+ | $ | 33,822 | $ | 32,844 | $ | (978) | ||||||||||||
| Urban Renaissance Agency | A+ | 154 | 114 | (40) | |||||||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | B+ | 126 | 90 | (36) | |||||||||||||||
| JP Morgan Chase and Co. | A- | 186 | 156 | (30) | |||||||||||||||
| Banco de Chile | A | 126 | 103 | (23) | |||||||||||||||
| Prologis LP | A- | 143 | 121 | (22) | |||||||||||||||
| SNCF Reseau | AA- | 68 | 46 | (22) | |||||||||||||||
| Tokyo Gas Co Ltd | A+ | 95 | 74 | (21) | |||||||||||||||
| West Japan Railway Company | A+ | 66 | 46 | (20) | |||||||||||||||
| Mitsui Fudosan Co. Ltd. | A- | 126 | 107 | (19) |
Generally, declines in fair values can be a result of changes in interest rates, yen/dollar exchange rate, and changes in net spreads driven by a broad market move or a change in the issuer's underlying credit quality. The Company believes these issuers have the ability to continue making timely payments of principal and interest. See the Unrealized Investment Gains and Losses section in Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further discussions of unrealized losses related to financial institutions and other corporate investments.
55
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Below-Investment-Grade Securities
The Company's portfolio of below-investment-grade securities includes debt securities purchased while the issuer was rated investment grade plus other loans and bonds invested in as part of an allocation to that segment of the market. The following is the Company's below-investment-grade exposure at December 31.
Below-Investment-Grade Investments
| 2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Par Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | ||||||||||
| Investcorp Capital Limited | $ | 221 | $ | 221 | $ | 206 | $ | (15) | ||||||
| Hella KG Hueck and Co. | 139 | 139 | 140 | 1 | ||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | 126 | 126 | 90 | (36) | ||||||||||
| Telecom Italia SpA | 126 | 126 | 170 | 44 | ||||||||||
| Thames Water Utility | 126 | 126 | 113 | (13) | ||||||||||
| IKB Deutsche Industriebank AG | 82 | 44 | 72 | 28 | ||||||||||
| Generalitat de Catalunya | 51 | 22 | 49 | 27 | ||||||||||
| Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc | 35 | 35 | 29 | (6) | ||||||||||
| CPI Property Group SA | 19 | 19 | 18 | (1) | ||||||||||
| Other Issuers | 23 | 25 | 24 | (1) | ||||||||||
| Subtotal (2) | 948 | 883 | 911 | 28 | ||||||||||
| High yield corporate bonds | 545 | 416 | 508 | 92 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 4,176 | 4,007 | 3,953 | (54) | ||||||||||
| Grand Total | $ | 5,669 | $ | 5,306 | $ | 5,372 | $ | 66 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Securities initially purchased as investment grade, but have subsequently been downgraded to below investment grade
The Company maintains an allocation to higher yielding corporate bonds within the Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. portfolios. Most of these securities were rated below-investment-grade at the time of purchase, but the Company also purchased several that were rated investment grade which, because of market pricing, offer yields commensurate with below-investment-grade risk profiles. The objective of this allocation was to enhance the Company's yield on invested assets and further diversify credit risk. All investments in this program must have a minimum rating at purchase of low BB using the Company's above described rating methodology and are managed by the Company's internal credit portfolio management team.
The Company invests in middle market loans primarily to U.S. corporate borrowers, most of which have below-investment-grade ratings. The objectives of this program include enhancing the yield on invested assets, achieving further diversification of credit risk, and mitigating the risk of rising interest rates and hedge costs through the acquisition of floating rate assets.
56
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Fixed Maturity Securities by Sector
The Company maintains diversification in investments by sector to avoid concentrations to any one sector, thus managing exposure risk. The following table shows the distribution of fixed maturities by sector classification as of December 31.
| 2024 | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Amortized Cost (1) | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||||||||||
| Government and agencies | $ | 34,926 | $ | 1,225 | $ | (2,246) | $ | 33,905 | 43.6 | % | |||||||||
| Municipalities | 2,271 | 152 | (132) | 2,291 | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 3,314 | 306 | (57) | 3,563 | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Public utilities | 6,716 | 621 | (259) | 7,078 | 8.4 | ||||||||||||||
| Electric | 5,354 | 502 | (161) | 5,694 | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||
| Natural Gas | 820 | 76 | (60) | 837 | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 542 | 43 | (38) | 547 | .7 | ||||||||||||||
| Sovereign and supranational | 761 | 68 | (8) | 821 | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Banks/financial institutions | 8,647 | 687 | (378) | 8,956 | 10.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Banking | 5,112 | 429 | (200) | 5,340 | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||
| Insurance | 1,780 | 159 | (58) | 1,882 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 1,755 | 99 | (120) | 1,734 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Other corporate | 23,420 | 3,064 | (1,057) | 25,427 | 29.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Basic Industry | 2,017 | 325 | (99) | 2,243 | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Capital Goods | 2,612 | 288 | (133) | 2,767 | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Communications | 2,521 | 469 | (47) | 2,945 | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Consumer Cyclical | 1,862 | 210 | (43) | 2,029 | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Consumer Non-Cyclical | 5,500 | 713 | (273) | 5,939 | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Energy | 2,058 | 387 | (36) | 2,409 | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 1,068 | 79 | (77) | 1,070 | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Technology | 3,029 | 253 | (172) | 3,110 | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Transportation | 2,753 | 340 | (177) | 2,915 | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||
| Total fixed maturity securities | $ | 80,055 | $ | 6,123 | $ | (4,137) | $ | 82,041 | 100.0 | % |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
Securities by Type of Issuance
The Company has investments in both publicly and privately issued securities. The Company's ability to sell either type of security is a function of overall market liquidity which is impacted by, among other things, the amount of outstanding securities of a particular issuer or issuance, trading history of the issue or issuer, overall market conditions, and idiosyncratic events affecting the specific issue or issuer.
57
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details investment securities by type of issuance as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Type of Issuance
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||
| Publicly issued securities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 65,291 | $ | 66,476 | $ | 72,218 | $ | 75,622 | |||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 638 | 638 | 838 | 838 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total publicly issued | 65,929 | 67,114 | 73,056 | 76,460 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately issued securities: (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities (3) | 14,764 | 15,565 | 16,290 | 17,325 | |||||||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 158 | 158 | 250 | 250 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total privately issued | 14,922 | 15,723 | 16,540 | 17,575 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total investment securities | $ | 80,851 | $ | 82,837 | $ | 89,596 | $ | 94,035 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Primarily consists of securities owned by Aflac Japan
(3) Excludes Rule 144A securities
The following table details the Company's reverse dual-currency securities as of December 31.
Reverse Dual-Currency Securities(1)
| (Amortized cost, in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privately issued reverse dual-currency securities | $ | 3,368 | $ | 3,740 | ||
| Publicly issued collateral structured as reverse dual-currency securities | 945 | 1,232 | ||||
| Total reverse dual-currency securities | $ | 4,313 | $ | 4,972 | ||
| Reverse dual-currency securities as a percentage of total investment securities | 5.3 | % | 5.5 | % |
(1)Principal payments in yen and interest payments in dollars
Aflac Japan has a portfolio of privately issued securities to better match liability characteristics and secure higher yields than those available on Japanese government or other public corporate bonds. Aflac Japan’s investments in yen-denominated privately issued securities consist primarily of non-Japanese issuers, are rated investment grade at purchase and have longer maturities, thereby allowing the Company to improve asset/liability matching and overall investment returns. These securities are generally either privately negotiated arrangements or issued under medium-term note programs and have standard documentation commensurate with credit ratings of the issuer, except when internal credit analysis indicates that additional protective and/or event-risk covenants were required. Many of these investments have protective covenants appropriate to the specific investment. These may include a prohibition of certain activities by the borrower, maintenance of certain financial measures, and specific conditions impacting the payment of the Company's notes.
HEDGING ACTIVITIES
The Company uses derivative contracts to hedge foreign currency exchange rate risk and interest rate risk. The Company uses various strategies, including derivatives, to manage these risks. See Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk for additional information about market risk and the Company’s use of derivatives.
Derivatives are designed to reduce risk on an economic basis while minimizing the impact on financial results. The Company’s derivatives programs vary depending on the type of risk being hedged. See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for:
•A description of the Company's derivatives, hedging strategies and underlying risk exposure.
•Information about the notional amount and fair market value of the Company's derivatives.
•Impact on earnings and other comprehensive income (loss) from various qualifying and non-qualifying hedging relationships.
58
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Foreign Currency Exchange Rate Risk Hedge Program
The Company has deployed the following hedging strategies to mitigate exposure to foreign currency exchange rate risk:
•Aflac Japan hedges U.S. dollar-denominated investments back to yen (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•Aflac Japan maintains certain unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated securities, which serve as an economic currency hedge of a portion of the Company's investment in Aflac Japan, while utilizing foreign currency options to mitigate against significant movements in the yen/U.S. dollar exchange rate (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•The Parent Company designates yen-denominated liabilities (notes payable and loans) as non-derivative hedging instruments and designates certain foreign currency forwards and options as derivative hedges of the Company’s net investment in Aflac Japan (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
•The Parent Company enters into forward and option contracts to accomplish a dual objective of hedging foreign currency exchange rate risk related to dividend payments by its subsidiary, ALIJ, and reducing enterprise-wide hedge costs (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
The following table presents metrics related to Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated hedge program and the Parent Company's enterprise corporate hedging program, including associated amortized hedge costs/income, for the years ended December 31. See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for the Company's definition of amortized hedge costs/income.
| 2024 | 2023 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan: | |||
| FX Forwards | |||
| FX forward (sell USD, buy yen) notional at end of period (in billions) (1) | $0.0 | $0.0 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $1 | $(88) | |
| FX Options | |||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $24.2 | $24.7 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(27) | $(69) | |
| Corporate and other (Parent Company): | |||
| FX Forwards | |||
| FX forward (buy USD, sell yen) notional at end of period (in billions)(1) | $1.8 | $2.6 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $113 | $126 | |
| FX Options | |||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $0.0 | $0.5 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $0 | $(5) |
(1) Notional is reported net of any offsetting positions within Aflac Japan or the Parent Company, respectively.
Amortized hedge costs/income can fluctuate based upon many factors, including the derivative notional amount, the length of time of the derivative contract, changes in both U.S. and Japan interest rates, and supply and demand for dollar funding. Amortized hedge costs/income have fluctuated in recent periods due to changes in the previously mentioned factors.
Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program (U.S. Dollar Program)
Aflac Japan buys U.S. dollar-denominated investments, typically corporate bonds, and hedges them back to yen with foreign currency forwards and options to hedge foreign currency exchange rate risk. This economically creates yen assets that match yen liabilities during the life of the derivative and provides favorable capital treatment under the Japan SMR calculations. The currency risk being hedged is generally based on fair value of hedged investments. The following table summarizes the U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan as of December 31.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 9,835 | $ | 12,183 | $ | 10,924 | $ | 12,918 | ||||
| Equity securities | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (floating rate) | 3,648 | 3,656 | 4,795 | 4,829 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 915 | 811 | 1,075 | 948 | ||||||||
| Middle market loans (floating rate) | 3,847 | 3,794 | 4,095 | 4,065 | ||||||||
| Other loans | 174 | 173 | 112 | 111 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 2,862 | 2,862 | 2,361 | 2,361 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. Dollar Program | 21,303 | 23,501 | 23,384 | 25,254 | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities - economically converted to yen | 1,645 | 2,406 | 2,081 | 2,902 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan | $ | 22,948 | $ | 25,907 | $ | 25,465 | $ | 28,156 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
The U.S. Dollar Program includes all U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan other than the investments in certain consolidated VIEs where the instrument is economically converted to yen as a result of a derivative in the consolidated VIE. The Company uses one-sided foreign currency put options to mitigate the settlement risk on U.S. dollar-denominated assets related to extreme foreign currency rate changes. From time to time, Aflac Japan also maintains a collar program on a portion of its U.S. Dollar Program to mitigate against more extreme moves in foreign exchange and therefore support SMR. As of December 31, 2024, none of the Company's foreign currency options hedging Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated assets were in-the-money.
Foreign exchange derivatives used for hedging are periodically settled, which results in cash receipt or payment at maturity or early termination. The following table presents the settlements associated with the Company's currency derivatives used for hedging Aflac Japan’s U.S. dollar-denominated investments for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash inflows (outflows) | $ | (508) | $ | (598) |
Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program
The Company has designated certain yen-denominated liabilities and foreign currency forwards and options of the Parent Company as accounting hedges of its net investment in Aflac Japan. The Company's consolidated yen-denominated net asset position was partially hedged at $5.9 billion as of December 31, 2024, with hedging instruments comprised of $4.1 billion of yen-denominated debt and $1.8 billion of foreign currency forwards, compared with $6.8 billion as of December 31, 2023, with hedging instruments comprised of $3.7 billion of yen-denominated debt and $3.1 billion of foreign currency forwards and options.
The Company makes its accounting designation of net investment hedge at the beginning of each quarter. If the total of the designated Parent Company non-derivative and derivative notional is equal to or less than the Company's net investment in Aflac Japan, the hedge is deemed to be effective, and the currency exchange effect on the yen-denominated liabilities and the change in estimated fair value of the derivatives are reported in the unrealized foreign currency component of other comprehensive income. The Company's net investment hedge was effective during the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. For additional information on the Company's net investment hedging strategy, see Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
In order to economically mitigate risks associated with the enterprise-wide exposure to the yen and the level and volatility of hedge costs, the Parent Company enters into foreign currency forward and option contracts. By buying U.S. dollars and selling yen, the Parent Company is effectively lowering its overall economic exposure to the yen. In addition to reducing yen exposure from dividend payments by Aflac Japan to the Parent Company, this strategy also reduces enterprise-wide hedge costs. This activity is reported in Corporate and other. The Company continually evaluates the program’s efficacy.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
As part of the Company’s internal reinsurance platform, Aflac Re enters into foreign currency forwards with the Parent Company, and may enter into such forwards with third parties, to economically manage the currency mismatch between Aflac Re's assets, which are mostly denominated in U.S. dollars, and liabilities, which are mostly denominated in yen, in order to support and optimize BMA capital requirements. For additional information on the Company's internal reinsurance platform, see Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Liquidity and Capital Resources section of this MD&A.
Interest Rate Risk Hedge Program
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. use interest rate swaps from time to time to mitigate the risk of investment income volatility for certain variable-rate investments. Additionally, to manage interest rate risk associated with its U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan, from time to time the Company utilizes interest rate swaptions.
For additional discussion of the risks associated with the foreign currency exposure refer to the Currency Risk section in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk, and Item 1A. specifically to the Risk Factors titled “The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate“ and “Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity."
See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's hedging activities.
POLICY LIABILITIES
The following table presents policy liabilities by segment and in total for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | $ | 60,885 | $ | 73,638 | ||
| Other policy liabilities | 6,664 | 7,529 | ||||
| Total Japan policy liabilities | 67,549 | 81,167 | ||||
| U.S. segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 10,584 | 11,234 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 479 | 365 | ||||
| Total U.S. policy liabilities | 11,063 | 11,600 | ||||
| Consolidated: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 70,381 | 83,718 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 7,127 | 7,881 | ||||
| Total consolidated policy liabilities (1) | $ | 77,508 | $ | 91,599 |
(1) The sum of the Japan and U.S. segments exceeds the total due to reinsurance and retrocession activity.
See Note 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's policy liabilities.
BENEFIT PLANS
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. have various benefit plans. For additional information on the Company's Japanese and U.S. plans, see Note 14 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
POLICYHOLDER PROTECTION
Policyholder Protection Corporation
The Japanese insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Legislation enacted regarding the framework of the Life Insurance Policyholder Protection Corporation (LIPPC) included government fiscal measures supporting the LIPPC. In March 2022, Japan's Diet passed legislation that extended the government's fiscal support of the LIPPC through March 2027. In March 2022, the LIPPC reached the required balance for the total life industry of ¥400 billion as specified by its Articles of Incorporation. As a result, additional contributions are not expected to be required unless the balance is reduced due to payments made by the LIPPC to the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Accordingly, Aflac Japan did not recognize an expense for LIPPC assessments for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023.
Guaranty Fund Assessments
Under U.S. state guaranty association laws, certain insurance companies can be assessed (up to prescribed limits) for certain obligations to the policyholders and claimants of impaired or insolvent insurance companies that write the same line or similar lines of business. The amount of the guaranty fund assessment that an insurer is assessed is based on its proportionate share of premiums in that state. See Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on guaranty fund assessments. Guaranty fund assessments for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023 were immaterial.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Liquidity refers to the ability to generate sufficient cash resources to meet the payment obligations of the Company. Capital refers to the long-term financial resources available to support the operations of the businesses, fund business growth and provide for an ability to withstand adverse circumstances. Financial leverage (leverage) refers to a strategy of utilizing debt in managing the Company's capital structure and cost of capital. The Company targets and actively manages liquidity, capital and leverage in the context of a number of considerations, including:
•business investment and growth needs
•strategic growth objectives
•financial flexibility and obligations
•capital support for hedging activity
•a constantly evolving business and economic environment
•a balanced approach to capital allocation and shareholder deployment.
The governance framework supporting liquidity, capital, and leverage includes global senior management and board committees that review and approve all significant capital related decisions.
The Company's cash and cash equivalents include unrestricted cash on hand, money market instruments, and other debt instruments with a maturity of 90 days or less when purchased, all of which have minimal market, settlement or other risk exposure. The target minimum amount for the Parent Company’s cash and cash equivalents is approximately $1.8 billion to provide a capital buffer and liquidity support at the holding company. The Company remains committed to prudent liquidity and capital management. At December 31, 2024, the Company held $6.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents for stress conditions, which includes the Parent Company's target minimum amount of $1.8 billion.
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. generate cash flows from their operations and provide the primary sources of liquidity to the Parent Company through management fees and dividends, with Aflac Japan being the largest contributor. The primary uses of cash by the Parent Company are shareholder dividends, the repurchase of its common stock, interest on its outstanding indebtedness and operating expenses.
The following table presents the amounts provided to the Parent Company for the years ended December 31.
Liquidity Provided by Subsidiaries to Parent Company
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management fees paid by subsidiaries | $ | 163 | $ | 151 | ||
| Dividends declared or paid by subsidiaries | 3,841 | 3,516 |
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details Aflac Japan remittances, which are included in the totals above, for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Remittances
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan management fees paid to Parent Company | $ | 69 | $ | 67 | ||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in dollars) | 2,865 | 2,623 | ||||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in yen) | ¥ | 441.6 | ¥ | 374.7 |
The Company intends to maintain higher than historical levels of liquidity and capital at the Parent Company for stress conditions and with the goals of addressing the Company’s hedge costs and related potential need for collateral and mitigating against long-term weakening of the Japanese yen. Further, the Company plans to continue to maintain a population of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments at Aflac Japan and to consider whether the amount of such investments should be increased or decreased relative to the Company’s view of economic equity surplus in Aflac Japan in light of potentially rising hedge costs and other factors. See the Hedging Activities subsection of this MD&A for additional information.
The Company believes that its balance of cash and cash equivalents and cash generated by operations will be sufficient to satisfy both its short-term and long-term cash requirements and plans for cash, including material cash requirements from known contractual obligations and returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
In addition to cash and cash equivalents, the Company also maintains credit facilities, both intercompany and with external partners, and a number of other available tools to support liquidity needs on a global basis. In September 2024, the Parent Company filed a shelf registration statement with the SEC that allows the Company to issue an indefinite amount of debt securities, in one or more series, from time to time until September 2027. The Company believes outside sources for additional debt and equity capital, if needed, will continue to be available. The Company was in compliance with all of the covenants of its notes payable and lines of credit at December 31, 2024. For additional information, see Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
As part of enterprise-wide capital management and optimization, the Company also utilizes the intercompany reinsurance platform to execute internal reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re. For additional information, see Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The following table presents the estimated payments of the Company's material cash requirements from known contractual obligations as of December 31, 2024. The Company translated its yen-denominated obligations using the December 31, 2024, exchange rate. Actual future payments as reported in dollars will fluctuate with changes in the yen/dollar exchange rate.
| (In millions) | TotalLiability(1) | Total Payments | Short-term Payments | Long-term Payments | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Future policy benefits liability (Note 7)(2) | $ | 70,381 | $ | 173,394 | $ | 8,330 | $ | 165,064 | ||||||
| Other policyholders' funds (Note 7)(3) | 5,460 | 6,187 | 553 | 5,634 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – principal (Note 9) | 7,402 | 7,454 | 78 | 7,376 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – interest (Note 9) | 47 | 2,447 | 179 | 2,268 | ||||||||||
| Cash collateral on loaned securities (Note 3) | 2,037 | 2,037 | 2,037 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Operating service agreements (Note 15) | N/A | 564 | 173 | 391 | ||||||||||
| Operating lease obligations (Note 9) | 91 | 98 | 38 | 60 | ||||||||||
| Finance lease obligations (Note 9) | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||
| Total contractual obligations | $ | 85,423 | $ | 192,186 | $ | 11,390 | $ | 180,796 |
(1) Liability amounts are those reported on the consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2024.
(2) The estimated payments reflect future estimated cash payments to be made to policyholders and others for future policy benefits and certain related expenses using assumptions aligned with the Company's experience on policy persistency, mortality, morbidity, and other assumptions. These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest, and future premium payments received from policyholders are not included. Therefore, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount. Due to the significance of the assumptions used, actual cash outflow amounts and timing will differ, possibly materially, from these estimates.
(3) These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest and, as a result, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
For additional information on the Company's major contractual obligations, see the applicable Note in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements as indicated in the line items in the table above.
The Company's consolidated financial statements convey its financing arrangements during the periods presented. The Company has not engaged in material intra-period short-term financings during the periods presented that are not otherwise reported in its balance sheet or disclosed therein. As of December 31, 2024, the Company had no material letters of credit, standby letters of credit, guarantees or standby repurchase obligations. The Company has not entered into transactions involving the transfer of financial assets with an obligation to repurchase financial assets that have been accounted for as a sale under applicable accounting standards, including securities lending transactions. See Notes 1, 3, and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's securities lending and derivative activities. With the exception of disclosed activities in those referenced footnotes and the Risk Factors entitled, "The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate" and "Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity," the Company is not aware of any trend, demand, commitment, event or uncertainty that would reasonably result in its liquidity increasing or decreasing by a material amount.
Consolidated Cash Flows
The Company consistently generates positive cash flows from operations, and has the ability to adjust cash flow management from other sources of liquidity including reinvestment cash flows and selling investments in order to meet short-term cash needs.
The Company translates cash flows for Aflac Japan's yen-denominated items into U.S. dollars using weighted-average exchange rates. In years when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars causes fewer dollars to be reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars causes more dollars to be reported.
The following table summarizes consolidated cash flows by activity for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating activities | $ | 2,707 | $ | 3,190 | ||
| Investing activities | 2,781 | 817 | ||||
| Financing activities | (3,486) | (3,723) | ||||
| Exchange effect on cash and cash equivalents | (79) | 79 | ||||
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | $ | 1,923 | $ | 363 |
Operating Activities
The principal cash inflows for the Company's insurance activities come from insurance premiums and investment income. The principal cash outflows are the result of policy claims, operating expenses, income tax, as well as interest expense. As a result of policyholder aging, claims payments are expected to gradually increase over the life of a policy. Therefore, future policy benefit reserves are accumulated in the early years of a policy and are designed to help fund future claims payments.
The Company expects its future cash flows from premiums and investment portfolios to be sufficient to meet its cash needs for benefits and expenses. Consolidated cash flow from operations decreased 15.1% in 2024, compared with 2023.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Investing Activities
The Company's investment objectives provide for liquidity primarily through the purchase of publicly traded investment-grade debt securities. Prudent portfolio management dictates that the Company attempts to match the duration of its assets with the duration of its liabilities. Currently, when the Company's fixed maturity securities mature, the proceeds may be reinvested at a yield below that required for the accretion of policy benefit liabilities on policies issued in earlier years. However, the long-term nature of the Company's business and its strong cash flows provide the Company with the ability to minimize the effect of mismatched durations and/or yields identified by various asset adequacy analyses. From time to time or when market opportunities arise, the Company disposes of selected fixed maturity securities that are available-for-sale to improve the duration matching of assets and liabilities, improve future investment yields, and/or rebalance its portfolio. As a result, dispositions before maturity can vary significantly from year to year.
As part of its overall corporate strategy, the Company has committed up to $400 million to Aflac Ventures, LLC (Aflac Ventures), as opportunities emerge. As of December 31, 2024, of the $400 million committed, approximately $285 million has been deployed. Aflac Ventures is a subsidiary of Aflac Global Ventures, LLC (Aflac Global Ventures) which is reported in Corporate and other. The central mission of Aflac Global Ventures is to support the organic growth and business development needs of Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. with an emphasis on digital applications designed to improve the customer experience, gain efficiencies, and develop new markets in an effort to enhance and defend long-term shareholder value. Investments are included in equity securities or the other investments line in the consolidated balance sheets.
As part of an arrangement with Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta (FHLB), Aflac U.S. obtains low-cost investment funding from FHLB supported by acceptable forms of collateral pledged by Aflac U.S. In 2024, Aflac U.S. borrowed and repaid $466 million under this program. As of December 31, 2024, Aflac U.S. had outstanding borrowings of $589 million reported in its balance sheet.
See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for details on certain investment commitments.
Financing Activities
Cash flows from financing activities consist primarily of share repurchases, dividends to shareholders and from time to time debt issuances and redemptions.
In April 2024, ALIJ redeemed ¥30.0 billion of its .963% subordinated bonds due April 2049.
In March 2024, the Parent Company issued five series of senior notes totaling ¥75.0 billion through a private placement. The first series, which totaled ¥18.3 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.600% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2034. The second series, which totaled ¥15.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.740% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2036. The third series, which totaled ¥16.5 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.920% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2039. The fourth series, which totaled ¥5.7 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 2.160% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2044. The fifth series, which totaled ¥19.5 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 2.400% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2054. These notes are redeemable at the Parent Company's option (i) in whole at any time or (ii) in part from time to time in an amount not less than 5% of the aggregate principal amount then outstanding of the notes to be redeemed.
In March 2024, the Parent Company issued three series of senior notes totaling ¥48.6 billion through a public debt offering under its U.S. shelf registration statement. The first series, which totaled ¥13.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.048% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2029. The second series, which totaled ¥27.9 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.412% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2031. The third series, which totaled ¥7.7 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.682% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2034. These notes are redeemable at the Parent Company’s option at any time, in whole but not in part, upon the occurrence of certain changes affecting U.S. taxation, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the issuance. In addition, the notes maturing in March 2029, March 2031 and March 2034 are redeemable at the Parent Company's option, in whole or in part from time to time, on or after December 21, 2028, December 31, 2030 and September 21, 2033, respectively, at a redemption price equal to the aggregate principal amount of the applicable series to be redeemed plus accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount to be redeemed to, but excluding, the date of redemption.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In December 2023, ALIJ issued ¥30.0 billion (par value) of subordinated bonds that will mature in December 2053. The bonds bear interest at an initial rate of 1.958% per annum until December 5, 2028. Thereafter, the rate of interest of the bonds will be reset every five years to a rate of interest equal to the then-current five-year JGB rate plus (i) 1.650% per annum on and after the day immediately following December 5, 2028 to December 5, 2033, and (ii) 2.650% per annum on and after the day immediately following December 5, 2033 to December 5, 2053. The bonds are redeemable, in whole but not in part, (i) at any time upon the occurrence of certain regulatory or tax events, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the bonds or (ii) on each interest rate reset date on or after December 5, 2028.
See Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the debt issuances discussed above.
Cash returned to shareholders through treasury stock purchases and dividends was $3.9 billion in 2024, compared with $3.8 billion in 2023.
The following tables present a summary of treasury stock activity during the years ended December 31.
Treasury Stock Purchased
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treasury stock purchases | $ | 2,800 | $ | 2,801 | ||
| Number of shares purchased: | ||||||
| Share repurchase program | 30,428 | 38,896 | ||||
| Other | 494 | 364 | ||||
| Total shares purchased | 30,922 | 39,260 |
Treasury Stock Issued
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock issued from treasury: | ||||||
| Cash financing | $ | 14 | $ | 17 | ||
| Noncash financing | 67 | 59 | ||||
| Total stock issued from treasury | $ | 81 | $ | 76 | ||
| Number of shares issued | 1,042 | 1,164 |
As of December 31, 2024, a remaining balance of 47.3 million shares of the Company's common stock was available for purchase under share repurchase authorizations by its board of directors. See Note 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Cash dividends paid to shareholders in 2024 of $2.00 per share increased 19.0% over 2023. The following table presents the dividend activity for the years ended December 31.
Dividends Paid to Shareholders
| (In millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividends paid in cash | $ | 1,087 | $ | 966 | ||
| Dividends through issuance of treasury shares | 41 | 37 | ||||
| Total dividends to shareholders | $ | 1,128 | $ | 1,003 |
In December 2024, the board of directors announced a 16.0% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, effective with the first quarter of 2025. The first quarter 2025 cash dividend of $.58 per share is payable on March 3, 2025, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 19, 2025.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Regulatory Restrictions
Aflac Japan
Aflac Japan is required to meet certain financial criteria as governed by the Companies Act of Japan in order to provide dividends to the Parent Company. Under these criteria, dividend capacity at Aflac Japan is defined as total equity excluding common stock and capital reserves (representing statutorily required amounts in Japan) but reduced for net after-tax unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities. These dividend capacity requirements are generally aligned with the SMR. Japan's FSA maintains its own solvency standard which is quantified through the SMR. Aflac Japan's SMR is sensitive to interest rate, credit spread, and foreign exchange rate changes; therefore, the Company continues to evaluate alternatives for reducing this sensitivity, including the reduction of subsidiary dividends paid to the Parent Company and Parent Company capital contributions. In the event of a rapid change in market risk conditions causing SMR to decline, the Company has a senior unsecured revolving credit facility in the amount of ¥100 billion as a capital contingency plan. Additionally, subject to market conditions, the Company expects that it could take action to enter into derivatives on unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments with foreign currency options or forwards or execute additional reinsurance transactions. See Notes 8 and 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
The Company has already undertaken various measures to mitigate the sensitivity of Aflac Japan's SMR. For example, the Company employs policy reserve matching (PRM) investment strategies, which is a Japan-specific accounting treatment that reduces SMR interest rate sensitivity since PRM-designated investments are carried at amortized cost consistent with corresponding liabilities. In order for a PRM-designated asset to be held at amortized cost, there are certain criteria that must be maintained. The primary criterion relates to maintaining the duration of designated assets and liabilities within a specified tolerance range. If the duration difference is not maintained within the specified range without rebalancing, then a certain portion of the assets must be reclassified as available-for-sale and held at fair value with any associated unrealized gain or loss recorded in surplus. To rebalance, assets may need to be sold in order to maintain the duration with the specified range, resulting in realizing a gain or loss from the sale. For U.S. GAAP, PRM investments are categorized as available-for-sale. The Company also uses foreign currency derivatives to hedge a portion of its U.S. dollar-denominated investments. See Notes 3, 4 and 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's investment strategies, hedging activities, and reinsurance, respectively.
Aflac Japan's SMR remains high and reflects a strong capital and surplus position. As of December 31, 2024, Aflac Japan's SMR was 1,221%, compared with 1,219% at December 31, 2023. The Company is committed to maintaining strong capital levels, consistent with maintaining current insurance financial strength and credit ratings.
The FSA will introduce an economic value-based solvency regime based on the Insurance Capital Standards (ICS) for insurance companies in Japan. The final specifications were published in May 2024 with the new capital regime and initial ESR report becoming effective for Aflac Japan's 2025 fiscal year. As of December 31, 2024, Aflac Japan's estimated ESR was above 270%.
Aflac U.S.
A life insurance company’s statutory capital and surplus is determined according to rules prescribed by the NAIC, as modified by the insurance department in the insurance company’s state of domicile. Statutory accounting rules are different from U.S. GAAP and are intended to emphasize policyholder protection and company solvency. The continued long-term growth of the Company's business may require increases in the statutory capital and surplus of its insurance operations. The Company's insurance operations may secure additional statutory capital through various sources, such as internally generated statutory earnings, reduced dividends paid to the Parent Company, capital contributions by the Parent Company from funds generated through debt or equity offerings, or reinsurance transactions. The NAIC’s RBC formula is used by insurance regulators to help identify inadequately capitalized insurance companies. The RBC formula quantifies insurance risk, business risk, asset risk and interest rate risk by weighing the types and mixtures of risks inherent in the insurer’s operations.
The combined RBC ratio for Aflac U.S. as of December 31, 2024 was 677%, compared with 710% as of December 31, 2023. The Company calculates its combined RBC ratio to include all U.S. regulated life insurance entities as if a single combined U.S. RBC entity net of intercompany items related to capital resources and risk.
The table below presents RBC ratios for the Company’s U.S. life insurance subsidiaries as of December 31, the most recent statutory fiscal year-end for the subsidiaries for which RBC was filed.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac | 610 | % | 699 | % | |
| CAIC | 2,286 | 651 | |||
| TOIC | 1,419 | 2,270 | |||
| Aflac New York | 792 | 836 |
The NAIC completed its Solvency Modernization Initiative (SMI) process relating to updating the U.S. insurance solvency regulation framework. The SMI focused on key issues such as capital requirements, governance and risk management, group supervision, reinsurance, statutory accounting and financial reporting matters. The NAIC still has some ongoing initiatives related to SMI, such as monitoring the international efforts on group capital requirements as well as RBC. The NAIC utilizes a group capital calculation (GCC) that conceptually uses an RBC aggregation methodology for all entities within the insurance company holding system. The GCC is intended to be a regulatory tool used by regulators as a means to standardize group capital requirements.
Aflac, CAIC and TOIC are domiciled in Nebraska and are subject to its regulations. The NDOI imposes certain limitations and restrictions on payments of dividends, management fees, loans and advances to the Parent Company. Under Nebraska insurance law, prior approval of the NDOI is required for dividend distributions that exceed the greater of the net income from operations, which excludes net investment gains, for the previous year determined under statutory accounting principles, or 10% of statutory capital and surplus as of the previous year-end. Dividends declared by Aflac during 2025 in excess of $912 million would be considered extraordinary and require such approval. Similar laws apply in New York, the domiciliary jurisdiction of Aflac New York.
Corporate and Other
Aflac Re is licensed by the BMA as a long-term insurer and is subject to the Bermuda Insurance Act of 1978 (Bermuda Insurance Act). Aflac Re is required to file an annual return for its Bermuda Solvency Capital Requirement (BSCR) which utilizes an Economic Balance Sheet (EBS) framework to determine Aflac Re’s Enhanced Capital Requirement (ECR). Aflac Re is also subject to a Minimum Margin of Solvency (MMS) related to its statutory financial statements. The MMS is equal to the greater of $500,000, 1.5% of the total statutory assets, or 25% of ECR.
Under the EBS framework, Aflac Re is required to value assets equal to U.S. GAAP fair values, and insurance reserves are valued using technical provisions which consist of a best estimate liability plus a risk margin. The best estimate liability can be calculated by applying the standard approach or, with regulatory approval, the scenario-based approach. The standard approach uses discount rates for insurance reserves as prescribed by the BMA. The scenario-based approach uses a discount rate based on the yield of eligible assets owned by the insurer as determined using a series of prescribed stress scenarios. At December 31, 2024 and 2023, Aflac Re was in compliance with the ECR and MMS requirements.
Under the Bermuda Insurance Act, Aflac Re is prohibited from paying dividends in an amount that exceeds 25% of the prior year's statutory capital and surplus without an affidavit stating that Aflac Re will continue to meet its solvency margin. Further, Aflac Re may not reduce its total statutory capital by 15% or more without prior regulatory approval. Additionally, Aflac Re is not permitted to pay any dividends that would cause Aflac Re to fail to meet its minimum capital requirements.
Other
For information regarding commitments and contingent liabilities, see Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Additional Information
Investors should note that the Company announces material financial information in its SEC filings, press releases and public conference calls. In accordance with SEC guidance, the Company may also use the Investor Relations section of the Company's website (http://investors.aflac.com) to communicate with investors about the Company. It is possible that the financial and other information the Company posts there could be deemed to be material information. The information on the Company's website is not part of this document. Further, the Company's references to website URLs are intended to be inactive textual references only.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The Company prepares its financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These principles are established primarily by the FASB. In this MD&A, references to U.S. GAAP issued by the FASB are derived from the FASB Accounting Standards Codification™ (ASC). The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires the Company to make estimates based on currently available information when recording transactions resulting from business operations. The estimates that the Company deems to be most critical to an understanding of its results of operations and financial condition are those related to the valuation of investments and derivatives, deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC), liabilities for future policy benefits, and income taxes. The preparation and evaluation of these critical accounting estimates involve the use of various assumptions developed from management’s analyses and judgments. Calculations of DAC and the LFPB require the use of estimates based on actuarial valuation techniques. The application of these critical accounting estimates determines the values at which 92% of the Company's assets and 78% of its liabilities are reported as of December 31, 2024, and thus has a direct effect on net earnings and shareholders' equity. Subsequent experience or use of other assumptions could produce significantly different results.
Valuation of Investments, Including Derivatives
The Company's investments, primarily consisting of debt and equity securities, include both publicly issued and privately issued securities. For publicly issued securities, the Company determines the fair values from quoted market prices readily available from public exchange markets and price quotes and valuations from third-party pricing vendors. For the majority of privately issued securities and derivatives associated with VIEs within the Company's investment portfolio, a third-party pricing vendor has developed valuation models that the Company utilizes to determine fair values. These models and associated processes and controls are executed by Company personnel. For the remaining privately issued securities, the Company uses non-binding price quotes from outside brokers. The Company's valuation model for private placements explicitly incorporates currency basis swap adjustments (market observable data) to assumed interest rate curves where appropriate.
The Company estimates the fair values of its securities on a monthly basis. The Company monitors the estimated fair values obtained from its pricing vendors and brokers for consistency from month to month, while considering current market conditions. The Company also periodically discusses with its pricing brokers and vendors the pricing techniques they use to monitor the consistency of their approach and periodically assess the appropriateness of the valuation level assigned to the values obtained from them. If a fair value appears unreasonable, the Company will re-examine the inputs and assess the reasonableness of the pricing data with the vendor. Additionally, the Company may compare the inputs to relevant market indices and other performance measurements. Based on management's analysis, the valuation is confirmed or may be revised if there is evidence of a more appropriate estimate of fair value based on available market data. The Company has performed verification of the inputs and calculations in any valuation models to confirm that the valuations represent reasonable estimates of fair value. Inputs used to value derivatives include, but are not limited to, interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency forward and spot rates, foreign currency volatility, and interest rate volatility.
The Company estimates an expected lifetime credit loss on investments measured at amortized cost including held-to-maturity fixed maturity securities, loan receivables and certain loan commitments on a quarterly basis. For the Company’s available-for-sale fixed maturity securities, the Company evaluates estimated credit losses only when the fair value of the available-for-sale fixed maturity security is below its amortized cost basis
The Company’s approach to estimating credit losses is complex and incorporates significant judgments. In addition to a security, an asset class, or issuer-specific credit fundamentals, it considers past events, current economic conditions and forecasts of future economic conditions. The Company's estimates are revised as conditions change and new information becomes available.
See the tabular disclosure entitled "Sensitivity of Fair Values of Financial Instruments to Interest Rate Change" in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk and Notes 1, 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Liability for Future Policy Benefits
The majority of the supplemental health and life insurance policies the Company issues are classified as long-duration contracts. The contract provisions generally cannot be changed or canceled during the contract period; however, the Company may adjust premiums for supplemental health policies issued in the U.S. within prescribed guidelines and with the approval of state insurance regulatory authorities.
Insurance premiums for most of the Company's health and life policies, including cancer, accident, hospital, critical illness, supplemental dental and vision, term life, whole life, long-term care and disability, are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods of the contracts when due from policyholders. When earned premiums are reported, the related amounts of benefits and expenses are charged against such revenues. This association is accomplished by means of annual increases or decreases to the LFPB and the deferral and subsequent amortization of policy acquisition costs.
Premiums from the Company's products with limited-pay features, including cancer, medical and nursing care, term life, whole life, WAYS, and child endowment, are collected over a significantly shorter period than the contract term (i.e., the period during which benefits are provided). Premiums for these products are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods when due from policyholders. Any gross premium in excess of the net premium is deferred and recorded as a deferred profit liability, a component of the LFPB, which is subsequently amortized in net earned premiums such that profits are recognized in a constant relationship with insurance in force. Benefits are recorded as an expense when they are incurred. An LFPB is recorded when premiums are recognized using the net premium method.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
Amortization of DAC is computed using the same contract groupings (also referred to as cohorts) and mortality and termination assumptions that are used in computing the LFPB and these assumptions are reviewed and updated at least annually. The effects of changes in assumptions are recognized prospectively over the remaining contract term as a revision of the future amortization pattern, while current period amortization is calculated based on the actual experience during the quarter. For additional information, see Note 6 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Liability for Future Policy Benefits
The Company's LFPB is determined in accordance with applicable guidelines as defined under U.S. GAAP and Actuarial Standards of Practice and represent claims that are expected to occur in the future and already incurred claims (which represent claims that have been incurred and are in the process of payment as well as an estimate of those claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported to the Company) and are measured using the net level premium method. Future policy benefits are calculated using assumptions and estimates including mortality, morbidity, termination (also referred to as lapses), expense, and discount rates. The assumptions and estimates that the Company uses depend on its judgment regarding the likelihood of future events and are inherently uncertain.
Cash flow assumptions (mortality, morbidity, and termination) are established at policy inception and are evaluated each quarter to determine if an update is needed. To facilitate a more detailed review of cash flow assumptions, experience studies are performed annually during the third quarter. Changes in cash flow assumptions are recognized in reserve remeasurement (gains) losses in the consolidated statements of earnings. Expense assumptions are established at policy inception and are not updated. Actual experience is reflected in the calculation of future policy benefits each quarter, and changes in the liability due to actual experience are recognized in reserve remeasurement (gains) losses in the consolidated statements of earnings.
Discount rates used to calculate net premiums are locked in at policy inception and represent the basis to recognize interest expense accreted on insurance reserves in benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement in the consolidated statements of earnings. Discount rates used to measure the carrying value of LFPB in the consolidated balance sheets are updated each reporting period, and the differences between the liability balances calculated using the locked-in discount rates and the updated discount rates are recognized in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss). The discount rate methodology is designed to prioritize observable inputs based on market data available in the local debt markets where the respective policies were issued in the currency in which the policies are denominated. For the discount rates applicable to tenors for which the single-A debt market is not liquid or there is little or no observable market data, the Company uses various estimation techniques consistent with the fair value guidance in ASC 820 - Fair Value Measurement, which include, but are not limited to: (i) for tenors where there is less observable market data and/or the observable market data is available for similar instruments, estimating tenor-specific single-A credit spreads and
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
applying them to risk-free government rates; (ii) for tenors where there is very limited or no observable single-A or similar market data, interpolation and extrapolation techniques.
If interest rates decreased by 100 basis points, the Company's LFPB balance as of December 31, 2024 would increase by $9.6 billion, and if interest rates increased by 100 basis points, the Company's LFPB balance as of December 31, 2024 would decrease by $7.6 billion.
For additional information on future policy benefits, see Note 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Income Taxes
Income tax provisions are generally based on pretax earnings reported for financial statement purposes, which differ from those amounts used in preparing the Company's income tax returns. Deferred income taxes are recognized for temporary differences between the financial reporting basis and income tax basis of assets and liabilities, based on enacted tax laws and statutory tax rates applicable to the periods in which the Company expects the temporary differences to reverse. The evaluation of a tax position in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a two-step process. Under the first step, the enterprise determines whether it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The second step is measurement, whereby a tax position that meets the more-likely-than-not recognition threshold is measured to determine the amount of benefit to recognize in the financial statements. A valuation allowance is established for deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that an amount will not be realized. The determination of a valuation allowance for deferred tax assets requires management to make certain judgments and assumptions.
In evaluating the ability to recover deferred tax assets, the Company's management considers all available evidence, including taxable income in open carry back years, the existence of cumulative losses in the most recent years, forecasted earnings, future taxable income exclusive of reversing temporary differences and carryforwards, future taxable temporary difference reversals, and prudent and feasible tax planning strategies. In the event the Company determines it is not more likely than not that it will be able to realize all or part of its deferred tax assets in the future, a valuation allowance would be charged to earnings in the period such determination is made. Likewise, if it is later determined that it is more likely than not that those deferred tax assets would be realized, the previously provided valuation allowance would be reversed. Future economic conditions and market volatility, including increases in interest rates or widening credit spreads, can adversely impact the Company’s tax planning strategies and in particular the Company’s ability to utilize tax benefits on previously recognized capital losses. The Company's judgments and assumptions are subject to change given the inherent uncertainty in predicting future performance and specific industry and investment market conditions.
An increase or decrease in the Company's effective tax rate by one percentage point would have resulted in an increase or decrease in the Company's 2024 income tax expense of $49 million.
For additional information on income taxes, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements presented in this report.
New Accounting Pronouncements
On January 1, 2023, the Company adopted LDTI employing a modified retrospective transition method, which required the amended guidance be applied as of the beginning of the earliest period presented beginning on the January 1, 2021 transition date (Transition Date). The Transition Date impact from adoption resulted in a decrease in AOCI of approximately $18.6 billion and a decrease in retained earnings of approximately $0.3 billion.
For information on new accounting pronouncements and the impact, if any, on the Company's financial position or results of operations, see Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000004977-24-000053.
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Performance Highlights
For the full year of 2023, total revenues were down 2.3% to $18.7 billion, compared with $19.1 billion for the full year of 2022. Net earnings were $4.7 billion, or $7.78 per diluted share, for the full year of 2023, compared with $4.4 billion, or $6.93 per diluted share, for the full year of 2022. Net earnings for 2023 included an after-tax loss of $119 million, or $.20 per diluted share, related to novation of a reinsurance treaty with a third party that had been ceded back to the Company as of year end.
Net earnings in 2023 included net investment gains of $590 million, compared with net investment gains of $363 million in 2022. Net investment gains in 2023 included an increase in credit loss allowances of $139 million; $441 million of net gains from certain derivative and foreign currency gains or losses; $88 million of net gains on equity securities; and $200 million of net gains from sales and redemptions.
The average yen/dollar exchange rate(1) in 2023 was 140.57, or 7.4% weaker than the rate of 130.17 in 2022.
Adjusted earnings(2) for the full year of 2023 were $3.7 billion, or $6.23 per diluted share, compared with $3.6 billion, or $5.67 per diluted share, in 2022. The weaker yen/dollar exchange rate negatively impacted adjusted earnings per diluted share by $.19. Adjusted earnings for 2023 included an after-tax loss of $119 million, or $.20 per diluted share, related to novation of a reinsurance treaty with a third party that had been ceded back to the Company as of year end.
In 2023, Aflac Incorporated repurchased $2.8 billion, or 38.9 million of its common shares. At December 31, 2023, the Company had 77.7 million remaining shares authorized for repurchase.
Shareholders’ equity was $22.0 billion, or $38.00 per share, at December 31, 2023, compared with $20.1 billion, or $32.73 per share, at December 31, 2022. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2023 included a cumulative decrease of $2.6 billion from the effect of changes in discount rate assumptions on insurance contracts, compared with a corresponding cumulative decrease of $2.1 billion at December 31, 2022, and a net unrealized gain on investment securities and derivatives of $1.1 billion, compared with a net unrealized loss of $729 million at December 31, 2022. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2023 also included an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $4.1 billion, compared with an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $3.6 billion at December 31, 2022. The annualized return on average shareholders’ equity in 2023 was 22.1%.
Shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI)(2) (adjusted book value) was $27.5 billion, or $47.55 per share at December 31, 2023, compared with $26.6 billion, or $43.18 per share, at December 31, 2022. The annualized adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact(2) in 2023 was 14.2%.
(1) Yen/U.S. dollar exchange rates are based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
(2) See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for a definition of this non-U.S. GAAP financial measure.
INDUSTRY TRENDS
The Company is impacted by financial markets, economic conditions, regulatory oversight and a variety of trends that affect the industries where it competes.
Financial and Economic Environment
The Company’s business and results of operations are materially affected by conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally. Stressed conditions, volatility and disruptions in global capital markets, particular markets, or financial asset classes can have an adverse effect on the Company, in part because the Company has a large investment portfolio and its insurance liabilities and derivatives are sensitive to changing market factors. See Item 1A. Risk Factors for the risk factor entitled, "Difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy could have a material adverse effect on the Company's investments, capital position, revenue, profitability, and liquidity and harm the Company's business."
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Demographics
Aflac Japan Segment
With Japan’s aging population and the rise in healthcare costs, supplemental health care insurance products remain attractive. However, due to the aging population and decline in birthrate, new opportunities for customer demographics are not as readily available. Japan’s existing customers and potential customers seek products that are easily understood, cost-effective and can be accessed through technology-enabled devices.
Aflac U.S. Segment
Customer demographics continue to evolve and new opportunities present themselves in different customer segments such as the millennial and multicultural markets. Customer expectations and preferences are changing. Trends indicate existing customers and potential customers seek cost-effective solutions that are easily understood and can be accessed through technology-enabled devices. Additionally, income protection and the health needs of retiring baby boomers are continuing to shape the insurance industry.
Regulatory Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Government Regulation and Aflac U.S. Government Regulation for a discussion of regulatory developments that may impact the Company and the associated risks.
Competitive Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Competitive Markets and Aflac U.S. Competitive Markets for a discussion of the competitive environment and the basis on which the Company competes in each of its segments.
2024 OUTLOOK
The Company’s strategy to drive long-term shareholder value is to pursue growth through product development and distribution expansion and to achieve efficiencies by modernizing its technology and streamlining its operations.
The Company's objectives in 2024 are to maintain strong pretax margins with increased sales production through product refreshment in its Aflac Japan segment and to begin realizing benefits from its buy to build initiatives and other platform investments, manage expenses and strengthen the number of career agents for Aflac U.S. The Company believes that its strategy of positioning itself for future growth and efficiency while defending and leveraging its market-leading position, powerful brand recognition and diverse distribution in Japan and the U.S. will provide support toward these objectives.
In November 2023, the board of directors announced a 19.0% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, effective with the first quarter of 2024. The Company intends to maintain strong capital ratios in Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. in support of its commitment to shareholder dividends while remaining tactical in its deployment of capital in the form of share repurchases and opportunistic investments. The Company intends to maintain a minimum SMR of 500% for Aflac Japan and a target combined RBC over time of approximately 400% for Aflac U.S., consistent with the Company's risk management practices.
Aflac Japan Segment
For Aflac Japan, the Company anticipates that favorable morbidity experience and the shift in premiums over the last several years from first sector savings products to third sector cancer and medical products and first sector protection products will result in stable benefit ratios in the Aflac Japan segment, while expense reduction efforts are expected to reduce expense ratios. The Company expects that benefit and expense ratios will continue to experience some level of revenue pressure due to the impact of paid up policies and internal reinsurance transactions. For 2024, the Company expects Aflac Japan to generate a benefit ratio in the range of 66% to 68% and an expense ratio in the range of 19% to 21%.
Aflac U.S. Segment
For Aflac U.S., the Company expects growth in life and disability as well as dental and vision to increase benefit ratios and decrease expense ratios over time. For 2024, the Company expects Aflac U.S. to generate a benefit ratio in the range of 45% to 47% and an expense ratio in the range of 38% to 40%.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Corporate and other
The Company expects Corporate and other results to reflect stable net investment income in 2024, as compared with 2023, assuming that U.S. interest rates remain stable and excluding the impact of tax credit investments, as tax benefits are recognized in a corresponding lower income tax expense.
For important disclosures applicable to statements made in this 2024 Outlook, please see the statement on Forward-Looking Information at the beginning of Item 1. Business, the Risk Factors identified in Item 1A. and this Item 7. MD&A.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The Company earns its revenues principally from insurance premiums and investments. The Company’s operating expenses primarily consist of insurance benefits provided and reserves established for anticipated future insurance benefits, general business expenses, commissions and other costs of selling and servicing its products. Profitability for the Company depends principally on its ability to price its insurance products at a level that enables the Company to earn a margin over the costs associated with providing benefits and administering those products. Profitability also depends on, among other items, actuarial and policyholder behavior experience on insurance products, and the Company's ability to attract and retain customer assets, generate and maintain favorable investment results, effectively deploy capital and utilize tax capacity, and manage expenses.
This document includes references to the Company’s financial performance measures which are not calculated in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (U.S. GAAP) (non-U.S. GAAP). The financial measures exclude items that the Company believes may obscure the underlying fundamentals and trends in insurance operations because they tend to be driven by general economic conditions and events or related to infrequent activities not directly associated with insurance operations.
Due to the size of Aflac Japan, where the functional currency is the Japanese yen, fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate can have a significant effect on reported results. In periods when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars results in fewer dollars being reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars results in more dollars being reported. Consequently, yen weakening has the effect of suppressing current period results in relation to the comparable prior period, while yen strengthening has the effect of magnifying current period results in relation to the comparable prior period. A significant portion of the Company’s business is conducted in yen and never converted into dollars but translated into dollars for U.S. GAAP reporting purposes, which results in foreign currency impact to earnings, cash flows and book value on a U.S. GAAP basis. Management evaluates the Company's financial performance both including and excluding the impact of foreign currency translation to monitor, respectively, cumulative currency impacts and the currency-neutral operating performance over time. The average yen/dollar exchange rate is based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
The Company defines the non-U.S. GAAP financial measures included in this document as follows:
•Adjusted earnings are adjusted revenues less benefits and adjusted expenses. Adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are the adjusted earnings for the period divided by the weighted average outstanding shares (basic or diluted) for the period presented. The adjustments to both revenues and expenses account for certain items that cannot be predicted or that are outside management’s control. Adjusted revenues are U.S. GAAP total revenues excluding adjusted net investment gains and losses. Adjusted expenses are U.S. GAAP total acquisition and operating expenses including the impact of interest cash flows from derivatives associated with notes payable but excluding any nonrecurring or other items not associated with the normal course of the Company’s insurance operations and that do not reflect the Company's underlying business performance. Management uses adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to evaluate the financial performance of the Company’s insurance operations on a consolidated basis and believes that a presentation of these financial measures is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of the Company’s insurance business. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted net investment gains and losses are net investment gains and losses adjusted for i) amortized hedge cost/income related to foreign currency exposure management strategies and certain derivative activity, ii) net interest cash flows from foreign currency and interest rate derivatives associated with certain investment strategies, which are both reclassified to net investment income, and iii) the impact of interest cash flows from
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
derivatives associated with notes payable, which is reclassified to interest expense as a component of total adjusted expenses. The Company considers adjusted net investment gains and losses important as it represents the remainder amount that is considered outside management’s control, while excluding the components that are within management’s control and are accordingly reclassified to net investment income and interest expense. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted net investment gains and losses is net investment gains and losses.
•Amortized hedge costs/income represent costs/income incurred or recognized as a result of using foreign currency derivatives to hedge certain foreign exchange risks in the Company's Japan segment or in Corporate and other. These amortized hedge costs/ income are estimated at the inception of the derivatives based on the specific terms of each contract and are recognized on a straight-line basis over the term of the hedge. The Company believes that amortized hedge costs/income measure the periodic currency risk management costs/income related to hedging certain foreign currency exchange risks and are an important component of net investment income. There is no comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for amortized hedge costs/ income.
•Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact are computed using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior-year period, which eliminates fluctuations driven solely by foreign currency exchange rate changes. Adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact divided by the weighted average outstanding diluted shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact important because a significant portion of the Company's business is conducted in Japan and foreign exchange rates are outside management’s control; therefore, the Company believes it is important to understand the impact of translating foreign currency (primarily Japanese yen) into U.S. dollars. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted book value is the U.S. GAAP book value (representing total shareholders’ equity), less AOCI as recorded on the U.S. GAAP balance sheet. Adjusted book value per common share is adjusted book value at the period end divided by the ending outstanding common shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share important as they exclude AOCI, which fluctuates due to market movements that are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share are total book value and total book value per common share, respectively.
•Adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding the current period foreign currency impact divided by average shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI. The Company considers adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact important as it excludes changes in foreign currency and components of AOCI, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact is return on average equity (ROE) as determined using net earnings and average total shareholders’ equity.
•U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact represents amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. The Company considers U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact important as it eliminates the impact of foreign currency changes on the Aflac Japan segment results, which are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact is the corresponding net investment income amount from the U.S. dollar denominated investments translated to yen.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of net earnings and net earnings per diluted share, respectively, for the years ended December 31.
Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted Earnings
| In Millions | Per Diluted Share | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||||||
| Net earnings | $ | 4,659 | $ | 4,418 | $ | 4,231 | $ | 7.78 | $ | 6.93 | $ | 6.25 | ||||||||||
| Items impacting net earnings: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses (1) | (914) | (447) | (462) | (1.53) | (.70) | (.68) | ||||||||||||||||
| Other and non-recurring (income) loss | (39) | (1) | 73 | (.07) | .00 | .11 | ||||||||||||||||
| Income tax (benefit) expense on items excluded from adjusted earnings (2) | 26 | (357) | 83 | .04 | (.56) | .12 | ||||||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings | 3,733 | 3,614 | 3,925 | 6.23 | 5.67 | 5.80 | ||||||||||||||||
| Current period foreign currency impact (3) | 113 | N/A | N/A | .19 | N/A | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact | $ | 3,847 | $ | 3,614 | $ | 3,925 | $ | 6.43 | $ | 5.67 | $ | 5.80 |
(1) See reconciliation of net investment (gains) losses to adjusted net investment (gains) losses below.
(2) Includes release of $452 in deferred taxes in 2022.
(3) Prior period foreign currency impact reflected as “N/A” to isolate change for current period only.
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
Reconciling Items
Net Investment Gains and Losses
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted net investment (gains) losses to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of net investment (gains) losses for the years ended December 31.
Reconciliation of Net Investment (Gains) Losses to Adjusted Net Investment (Gains) Losses
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net investment (gains) losses | $ | (590) | $ | (363) | $ | (468) | ||||
| Items impacting net investment (gains) losses: | ||||||||||
| Amortized hedge costs | (157) | (112) | (76) | |||||||
| Amortized hedge income | 121 | 68 | 57 | |||||||
| Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies | (328) | (90) | (30) | |||||||
| Interest rate component of the change in fair value of foreign currency swaps on notes payable | 41 | 50 | 55 | |||||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses | $ | (914) | $ | (447) | $ | (462) |
The Company's investment strategy is to invest primarily in fixed maturity securities to provide a reliable stream of investment income, which is one of the drivers of the Company’s profitability. This investment strategy incorporates asset-liability matching (ALM) to align the expected cash flows of the portfolio to the needs of the Company's liability structure. The Company does not purchase securities with the intent of generating investment gains or losses. However, investment gains and losses may be realized as a result of changes in the financial markets and the creditworthiness of specific issuers, tax planning strategies, and/or general portfolio management and rebalancing. The realization of investment gains and losses is independent of the underwriting and administration of the Company's insurance products.
Net investment gains and losses excluded from adjusted earnings include the following:
•Securities Transactions
•Credit Losses
•Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
•Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Securities Transactions, Credit Losses and Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
Securities transactions include gains and losses from sales and redemptions of investments where the amount received is different from the amortized cost of the investment. Credit losses include losses for held-to-maturity fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale fixed maturity securities, loan receivables, loan commitments and reinsurance recoverables. Changes in the fair value of equity securities are the result of gains or losses driven by fluctuations in market prices.
Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities
The Company's derivative activities include:
•foreign currency forwards and options used in hedging foreign exchange risk on U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan's portfolio, with options used on a standalone basis and/or in a collar strategy;
•foreign currency forwards and options used to economically hedge certain portions of forecasted cash flows denominated in yen and hedge the Company's long term exposure to a weakening yen;
•cross-currency interest rate swaps, also referred to as foreign currency swaps, associated with certain senior notes and subordinated debentures;
•foreign currency swaps that are associated with variable interest entity (VIE) bond purchase commitments, and investments in special-purpose entities, including VIEs where the Company is the primary beneficiary;
•interest rate swaps used to economically hedge interest rate fluctuations in certain variable-rate investments;
•interest rate swaptions used to hedge changes in the fair value associated with interest rate fluctuations for certain U.S. dollar-denominated available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities; and
•bond purchase commitments at the inception of investments in consolidated VIEs.
Gains and losses are recognized as a result of valuing these derivatives, net of the effects of hedge accounting. The Company also excludes from adjusted earnings the accounting impacts of remeasurement associated with changes in the foreign currency exchange rate.
For additional information regarding net investment gains and losses, including details of reported amounts for the periods presented, see Notes 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Other and Non-recurring Items
The U.S. insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. The system can result in periodic charges to the Company as a result of insolvencies/bankruptcies that occur with other companies in the life insurance industry. Some states permit member insurers to recover assessments paid through full or partial premium tax offsets. These charges neither relate to the ordinary course of the Company’s business nor reflect the Company’s underlying business performance, but result from external situations not controlled by the Company. The Company excludes any charges associated with U.S. guaranty fund assessments and the corresponding tax benefit or expense from adjusted earnings.
In Japan, the government also requires the insurance industry to contribute to a policyholder protection corporation that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers; however, these costs are calculated and administered differently than in the U.S. In Japan, these costs are not directly related to specific insolvencies or bankruptcies, but are rather a regular operational cost for an insurance company. Based on this structure, the Company does not remove the Japan policyholder protection expenses from adjusted earnings.
The Company considers the costs associated with the early redemption of its debt to be unrelated to the underlying fundamentals and trends in its insurance operations. Additionally, these costs are driven by changes in interest rates subsequent to the issuance of the debt, and the Company considers these interest rate changes to represent economic conditions not directly associated with its insurance operations. In May 2021, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from its April 2021 issuance of various series of senior notes to redeem $700 million of its 3.625% senior notes due June 2023. The pretax expense due to the early redemption of these notes was $48 million.
38
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In June 2023, the Company amended the U.S. defined benefit plan to freeze future benefits under the plan for all participants effective January 1, 2024, which resulted in the Company recognizing a curtailment gain of approximately $49 million in 2023. The curtailment gain is both unusual and non-recurring and is unrelated to other recurring benefit costs associated with the plan; therefore, the Company has excluded the curtailment gain from adjusted earnings.
In 2023, other items excluded from adjusted earnings included an impairment for certain finite-lived intangible assets of approximately $11 million as a result of the Company exiting the third-party administration business acquired in connection with the purchase of Aflac Benefit Solutions, Inc. in 2019. The impairment of these intangible assets are not related to the ongoing operations of the business and occur infrequently; therefore, the Company has excluded the impairment from adjusted earnings.
In 2021, other items excluded from adjusted earnings included integration costs related to the Company's acquisition of Zurich North America's U.S. Corporate Life and Pensions business; these costs primarily consisted of expenditures for legal, accounting, consulting, integration of systems and processes and other similar services. These integration costs were excluded from adjusted earnings for one year following the acquisition and amounted to $26 million for the year ended December 31, 2021.
Income Taxes
The Company's combined U.S. and Japanese effective income tax rate on pretax earnings was 11.5% in 2023, 9.3% in 2022 and 18.7% in 2021. In 2023, the combined effective tax rate differed from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to historic and solar tax credits and the exclusion of foreign currency translation gains and losses held in the Delaware Statutory Trust. In 2022, the combined effective tax rate differed from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to the impact of the tax accounting method change discussed below, as well as historic and solar tax credits. In 2021, the combined effective tax rate differed from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to historic and solar tax credits. Total income taxes were $603 million in 2023, $451 million in 2022 and $977 million in 2021. Japanese income taxes on Aflac Japan's results account for most of the Company's consolidated income tax expense.
Aflac Japan holds certain U.S. dollar-denominated assets in a Delaware Statutory Trust (DST). These assets are mostly comprised of various U.S. dollar-denominated commercial mortgage loans. The functional currency of the DST for U.S. tax purposes was historically the Japanese yen. In 2022, the Company requested a change in tax accounting method through the Internal Revenue Service's automatic consent procedures to change the functional currency of the DST for U.S. tax purposes to the U.S. dollar. As a result, foreign currency translation gains or losses on assets held in the DST are no longer recognized for U.S. tax purposes. The Company historically recorded a deferred tax liability for foreign currency translation gains on the DST assets, which was released in the third quarter of 2022 as a result of the functional currency change. The release of the deferred tax liability resulted in the Company recognizing an income tax benefit of $174 million in 2023 and $452 million in 2022.
In August 2022, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) was signed into U.S. law, which among other things, imposed a 1% excise tax on the Company’s repurchases of its common stock. Effective January 1, 2023, charges associated with the excise tax are recognized in equity consistent with other costs related to treasury stock.
For additional information, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Critical Accounting Estimates - Income Taxes section of this MD&A.
The Company expects that its effective tax rate on adjusted earnings for future periods will be approximately 20%. The effective tax rate continues to be subject to future tax law changes both in the U.S. and in foreign jurisdictions. See the
39
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
risk factor entitled "Tax rates applicable to the Company may change" in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for additional information.
Foreign Currency Translation
Aflac Japan’s premiums and a significant portion of its investment income are received in yen, and its claims and most expenses are paid in yen. Aflac Japan purchases yen-denominated assets and U.S. dollar-denominated assets, which may be hedged to yen, to support yen-denominated policy liabilities. Yen-denominated income statement accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the weighted average Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate for the reporting period, except realized gains and losses on securities transactions which are translated at the exchange rate on the trade date of each transaction. Yen-denominated balance sheet accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the spot Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate at the end of the reporting period.
Reconciliation of Book Value to Adjusted Book Value
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted book value and adjusted book value per diluted share to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of book value and book value per diluted share, respectively, for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions, except for share and per-share amounts) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. GAAP book value | $ | 21,985 | $ | 20,140 | |||||
| Items impacting U.S. GAAP book value: | |||||||||
| Unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) | (4,069) | (3,564) | |||||||
| Unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives | 1,117 | (729) | |||||||
| Effect of changes in discount rate assumptions | (2,560) | (2,100) | |||||||
| Pension liability adjustment | (8) | (36) | |||||||
| Total accumulated other comprehensive income | (5,520) | (6,429) | |||||||
| Adjusted book value | 27,505 | 26,569 | |||||||
| Number of shares outstanding at end of period | 578,479 | 615,256 | |||||||
| U.S. GAAP book value per common share | $ | 38.00 | $ | 32.73 | |||||
| Items impacting U.S. GAAP book value per common share: | |||||||||
| Unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) per common share | (7.03) | (5.79) | |||||||
| Unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives per common share | 1.93 | (1.18) | |||||||
| Effect of changes in discount rate assumptions per common share | (4.43) | (3.41) | |||||||
| Pension liability adjustment per common share | (.01) | (.06) | |||||||
| Total accumulated other comprehensive income per common share | (9.54) | (10.45) | |||||||
| Adjusted book value per common share | 47.55 | 43.18 |
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
40
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Reconciliation of Return on Equity to Adjusted Return on Equity
(Excluding the Impact of Foreign Currency)
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted return on equity excluding the impact of foreign currency to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure of return on equity for the years ended December 31.
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. GAAP return on equity - net earnings (1) | 22.1 | % | 23.8 | % | |
| Impact of excluding unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) | (3.1) | (2.5) | |||
| Impact of excluding unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives | .2 | 4.1 | |||
| Impact of excluding effect of changes in discount rate assumptions | (1.9) | (8.2) | |||
| Impact of excluding pension liability adjustment | .0 | (.1) | |||
| Impact of excluding accumulated other comprehensive income | (4.9) | (6.8) | |||
| U.S. GAAP return on equity less accumulated other comprehensive income | 17.2 | 17.0 | |||
| Differences between adjusted earnings and net earnings (2) | (3.4) | (3.1) | |||
| Adjusted return on equity - reported | 13.8 | 13.9 | |||
| Impact of foreign currency (3) | (.4) | N/A | |||
| Adjusted return on equity, excluding impact of foreign currency | 14.2 | 13.9 |
(1) U.S. GAAP return on equity is calculated by dividing net earnings (annualized) by average shareholders' equity.
(2) See separate reconciliation of net earnings to adjusted earnings above.
(3) Impact of foreign currency is calculated by restating all foreign currency components of the income statement to the weighted average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. The impact is the difference of the restated adjusted earnings compared to reported adjusted earnings. For comparative purposes, only current period income is restated using the weighted average prior period exchange rate, which eliminates the foreign currency impact for the current period. This allows for equal comparison of this financial measure.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS BY SEGMENT
U.S. GAAP financial reporting requires that a company report financial and descriptive information about operating segments in its annual and interim period financial statements. Furthermore, the Company is required to report a measure of segment profit or loss, certain revenue and expense items, and segment assets. The Company's insurance business consists of two segments: Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. Aflac Japan is the principal contributor to consolidated earnings. In addition, the Parent Company, other business units that are not individually reportable, and business activities, including reinsurance activities, not included in Aflac Japan or Aflac U.S. are included in Corporate and other. See Item 1. Business for a summary of each segment's products and distribution channels.
Consistent with U.S. GAAP guidance for segment reporting, pretax adjusted earnings is the Company's U.S. GAAP measure of segment performance. The Company believes that a presentation of this measure is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of its business. Additional performance measures used to evaluate the financial condition and performance of the Company's segments are listed below.
•Operating Ratios
•New Annualized Premium Sales
•New Money Yield
•Return on Average Invested Assets
•Average Weekly Producer
•Premium Persistency
For additional information on the Company’s performance measures included in this MD&A, see the Glossary of Selected Terms found directly following Part IV. See Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the reconciliation of segment results to the Company's consolidated U.S. GAAP results and additional information.
41
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
AFLAC JAPAN SEGMENT
Aflac Japan Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac Japan's pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31 followed by a discussion of the significant drivers of changes in yen operating results compared to the previous year.
Aflac Japan Summary of Operating Results
| In Dollars | In Yen | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||
| Net earned premiums (1) | $ | 8,047 | $ | 9,186 | $ | 11,301 | ¥ | 1,128 | ¥ | 1,198 | ¥ | 1,240 | |||||
| Net investment income: (2) | |||||||||||||||||
| Yen-denominated investment income | 985 | 1,140 | 1,262 | 138 | 149 | 139 | |||||||||||
| U.S. dollar-denominated investment income | 1,755 | 1,641 | 1,845 | 247 | 215 | 203 | |||||||||||
| Net investment income | 2,739 | 2,782 | 3,107 | 385 | 365 | 341 | |||||||||||
| Amortized hedge costs related to certain foreign currency exposure management strategies | 157 | 112 | 76 | 20 | 13 | 8 | |||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 2,582 | 2,669 | 3,031 | 366 | 351 | 333 | |||||||||||
| Other income (loss) | 35 | 35 | 41 | 5 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 10,664 | 11,890 | 14,373 | 1,498 | 1,554 | 1,577 | |||||||||||
| Benefits and claims: | |||||||||||||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 5,409 | 6,282 | 7,738 | 757 | 820 | 849 | |||||||||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (96) | (91) | (62) | (13) | (13) | (7) | |||||||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 5,313 | 6,191 | 7,675 | 744 | 807 | 842 | |||||||||||
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||||||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 326 | 338 | 393 | 46 | 44 | 43 | |||||||||||
| Insurance commissions | 491 | 563 | 706 | 69 | 73 | 77 | |||||||||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,299 | 1,517 | 1,843 | 182 | 198 | 203 | |||||||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 2,117 | 2,417 | 2,942 | 297 | 316 | 323 | |||||||||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 7,430 | 8,609 | 10,618 | 1,041 | 1,123 | 1,165 | |||||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 3,234 | $ | 3,281 | $ | 3,756 | ¥ | 457 | ¥ | 431 | ¥ | 412 | |||||
| Weighted-average yen/dollar exchange rate | 140.57 | 130.17 | 109.07 | — | — | — | |||||||||||
| Percentage change over previous period: | |||||||||||||||||
| Net earned premiums | (12.4) | % | (18.7) | % | (10.8) | % | (5.9) | % | (3.4) | % | (8.4) | % | |||||
| Adjusted net investment income | (3.3) | (11.9) | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 17.6 | |||||||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (10.3) | (17.3) | (6.5) | (3.6) | (1.5) | (3.9) | |||||||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | (14.2) | (19.3) | (13.3) | (7.8) | (4.2) | (10.9) | |||||||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | (12.4) | (17.8) | (9.7) | (6.1) | (2.2) | (7.0) | |||||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | (1.4) | (12.6) | 15.1 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 18.4 |
(1) Includes a gain (loss) of $20, $(42) and $(11) in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively, related to remeasurement of the deferred profit liability for limited-payment contracts.
(2) Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(294), $(86) and $(33) in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
42
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2023, net earned premiums decreased primarily due to approximately ¥37 billion related to internal reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re and approximately ¥32 billion in limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status. Adjusted net investment income increased in 2023, as compared to 2022, primarily due to an increase in floating rate income earned from U.S. dollar-denominated investments, which was driven by higher yields, partially offset by lower income from make whole payments and an increase in amortized hedge cost. In 2023, total adjusted revenues decreased primarily due to the decrease in net earned premiums and partially offset by an increase in adjusted net investment income. In 2023, total benefits and claims decreased primarily due to lower third sector incurred claims and annual assumption updates as well as an approximately ¥26 billion decrease due to internal reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re. Total adjusted expenses decreased in 2023 primarily due to approximately ¥9 billion of impacts related to internal reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re and decreases related to expense control efforts. In 2023, pretax adjusted earnings increased primarily due to the decrease in total benefits and claims and total adjusted expenses, partially offset by the decrease in total adjusted revenues.
In 2022, net earned premiums decreased primarily due to limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status and terminations net of new issues. Adjusted net investment income increased in 2022 primarily due to higher floating rate income earned from U.S. dollar-denominated investments that were driven by stronger dollar exchange rates, increasing interest rates, and higher income from make whole payments received on called securities, which were partially offset by lower income from alternative assets and higher hedge costs. In 2022, total adjusted revenues decreased primarily due to the decrease in net earned premiums. In 2022, total benefits and claims decreased primarily due to a larger reserve release related to "deemed hospitalization" benefits. Total adjusted expenses decreased primarily due to lower general operating expenses. In 2022, pretax adjusted earnings increased primarily due to the decrease in total benefits and claims and total adjusted expenses, partially offset by the decrease in total adjusted revenues.
When comparing 2021 results prior to and subsequent to adoption of LDTI, net earned premiums decreased primarily due to approximately a ¥60 billion increase in the deferred profit liability on limited-pay products as a result of the reclassification of the change in deferred profit liability from the benefits and claims, net line item to the net earned premiums line item. Total benefits and claims decreased approximately ¥31 billion, which included a ¥7 billion reserve remeasurement gain. See Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information regarding the adoption of LDTI.
Annualized premiums in force at December 31, 2023, were ¥1.25 trillion, compared with ¥1.30 trillion in 2022 and ¥1.36 trillion in 2021. The decrease in annualized premiums in force in yen of 4.2% in 2023 was driven primarily by limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status. The decrease in annualized premiums in force in yen of 4.4% in 2022 and 4.7% in 2021 was driven primarily by limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status and lower sales as a result of pandemic conditions. Annualized premiums in force, translated into dollars at respective year-end exchange rates, were $8.8 billion in 2023, $9.8 billion in 2022 and $11.8 billion in 2021. As of December 31, 2023, Aflac Japan exceeded 22 million individual policies in force in Japan, with more than 14 million cancer policies in force in Japan.
Aflac Japan's investment portfolios include U.S. dollar-denominated securities and reverse-dual currency securities (yen-denominated debt securities with dollar coupon payments). In years when the yen strengthens in relation to the dollar, translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into yen lowers growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues, and pretax adjusted earnings in yen terms. In years when the yen weakens, translating U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into yen magnifies growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues, and pretax adjusted earnings in yen terms.
43
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table illustrates the effect of translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income and related items into yen by comparing certain segment results with those that would have been reported had foreign currency exchange rates remained unchanged from the prior year. Amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income were determined using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. See non-U.S. GAAP financial measures defined above.
Aflac Japan Percentage Changes Over Prior Year
(Yen Operating Results)
For the Years Ended December 31,
| Including Foreign Currency Changes | Excluding Foreign Currency Changes | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 4.0 | % | 5.5 | % | 17.6 | % | (1.4) | % | (5.0) | % | 15.6 | % | |||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (3.6) | (1.5) | (3.9) | (4.8) | (3.7) | (4.2) | |||||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 6.0 | 4.6 | 18.4 | 1.8 | (3.5) | 16.8 |
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios in yen terms for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total benefits and claims, net | 49.7 | % | 51.9 | % | 53.4 | % | ||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.7 | |||||
| Insurance commissions | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.9 | |||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 12.2 | 12.8 | 12.8 | |||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 19.8 | 20.3 | 20.5 | |||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 30.5 | 27.7 | 26.1 | |||||
| Ratios to total premiums: | ||||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 66.0 | % | 67.4 | % | 67.9 | % | ||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
In 2023, the total benefits and claims to total premiums ratio decreased primarily due to a decrease in the third sector benefit ratio from annual updates to reserve assumptions, internal reinsurance activity, and the continued change in the mix of first and third sector business. The total adjusted expense ratio decreased in 2023, primarily due to the decrease in total adjusted revenues and an offsetting decrease in total adjusted expenses due to the internal reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re and expense control efforts. In total, the pretax adjusted profit margin increased in 2023, primarily due to the lower benefit ratio, the lower expense ratio and an offsetting decrease in total adjusted revenues.
In 2022, the total benefits and claims to total premiums ratio decreased slightly primarily due to a larger reserve release related to "deemed hospitalization" benefits. The total adjusted expense ratio was essentially flat in 2022. In total, the pretax adjusted profit margin increased in 2022 primarily due to the lower benefit ratio, the lower expense ratio and an offsetting decrease in total adjusted revenues.
The following table presents Aflac Japan's premium persistency on a 12-month rolling basis as of December 31.
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premium persistency | 93.4 | % | 94.1 | % | 94.3 | % |
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Aflac Japan Sales
The following table presents Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| In Dollars | In Yen | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 432 | $ | 416 | $ | 499 | ¥ | 60.7 | ¥ | 54.8 | 54.8 | |||||||||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | 3.8 | % | (16.7) | % | 4.6 | % | 10.9 | % | .0 | % | 7.7 | % |
In 2023, the increase in new annualized premium sales on a yen basis was primarily driven by sales of Aflac Japan's new cancer insurance product and updated first sector products, all of which were launched in the second half of 2022 and at Japan Post, Dai-ichi Life and other financial institutions in the first half of 2023, and sales of Aflac Japan's new medical insurance product launched in September 2023.
In 2022, new annualized premium sales on a yen basis were essentially flat, compared with 2021, reflecting constrained sales in the first half of the year due to ongoing pandemic conditions offset by a new cancer product launch in certain distribution channels and first sector product updates in the second half of the year.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by major insurance product for the years ended December 31.
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancer | 64.1 | % | 56.5 | % | 49.2 | % | ||
| Medical and other health: | ||||||||
| Medical | 20.2 | 26.6 | 37.2 | |||||
| Income support | .4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | |||||
| Life insurance: | ||||||||
| Traditional life (1) | 6.5 | 8.1 | 9.0 | |||||
| WAYS | 6.8 | 3.5 | .8 | |||||
| Child endowment | .4 | .3 | .3 | |||||
| Other | 1.6 | 3.7 | 3.0 | |||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes term and whole life
The foundation of Aflac Japan's product portfolio has been, and continues to be, third sector products, which include cancer, medical, income support, and other products such as nursing care and work leave insurance. With continued cost pressure on Japan’s health care system, the Company expects the need for third sector products will continue to rise in the future and that the medical and cancer insurance products Aflac Japan provides will continue to be an important part of its product portfolio. Moreover, in November 2022, Aflac Japan refreshed its first sector savings-type products WAYS and Child Endowment and began to actively promote sales of these products after having curtailed sales of both products beginning in 2013. The refreshment of these first sector products position Aflac Japan for potential future long-term sales opportunities by marketing these products to a younger demographic as well as potential cross-selling opportunities of Aflac Japan's third sector products.
Sales of Aflac Japan cancer insurance products in the Japan Post Group channel experienced a material decline beginning in August 2019. Japan Post Group resumed proactive sales of cancer insurance policies in April 2021 and Aflac Japan continues to strengthen the strategic alliance. In April 2023, Japan Post Group began selling Aflac Japan's new cancer insurance product that was first launched in other channels in August 2022. In April 2022, approximately 10,000 employees of Japan Post Co. were transferred to Japan Post Insurance. Japan Post Group has informed Aflac Japan that the transferred employees' responsibilities will include sales of Japan Post Insurance products and Aflac Japan cancer products but will not include sales of other financial products. For additional information, see the risk factor entitled "Sales of the Company's products and services are dependent on its ability to attract, retain and support a network of qualified sales associates, brokers and employees in the U.S. and sales associates and other distribution partners in Japan," in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors.
Aflac Japan continues to promote digital and web-based sales to groups and use of its system that enables smart device-based insurance application by allowing the customer and an Aflac Japan operator to see the same screen through their
45
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
smart devices. Further, Aflac Japan continues to utilize its virtual sales tool that enables online consultations and policy applications to be completed entirely online.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by agency type for the years ended December 31.
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent corporate and individual | 46.7 | % | 49.5 | % | 51.1 | % | ||
| Affiliated corporate (1) | 50.0 | 46.5 | 43.7 | |||||
| Bank | 3.3 | 4.0 | 5.2 | |||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes Japan Post Group, Dai-ichi Life and Daido Life
In 2023, Aflac Japan recruited 24 new sales agencies. At December 31, 2023, Aflac Japan was represented by approximately 7,000 sales agencies, with approximately 113,000 licensed sales associates employed by those agencies. The number of sales agencies has declined in recent years due to Aflac Japan's focus on supporting agencies with strong management frameworks, high productivity and more producing agents.
At December 31, 2023, Aflac Japan had agreements to sell its products at 360 banks, approximately 90% of the total number of banks in Japan.
Strategic Alliance with Japan Post Holdings
As previously reported, on December 19, 2018, the Parent Company and Aflac Japan entered into a Basic Agreement with Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., a Japanese corporation (Japan Post Holdings). Pursuant to the terms of the Basic Agreement, among other items, Japan Post Holdings and Aflac Japan agreed to reconfirm existing initiatives regarding cancer insurance and to consider new joint initiatives. In June 2021, the Parent Company, Aflac Japan and Japan Post Group agreed to pursue several specific initiatives toward building a "'Co-creation Platform' to support customers and local communities," consistent with Japan Post Group's medium-term management plan announced in May 2021. The initiatives are directed at, among other items, the promotion of Aflac Japan cancer insurance, digital transformation within the Japan Post Group, and certain diversity efforts.
As previously reported, on February 28, 2019, the Parent Company entered into a Shareholders Agreement with Japan Post Holdings, J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation, a Delaware corporation, solely in its capacity as trustee of J&A Alliance Trust, a New York voting trust (Trust), and General Incorporated Association J&A Alliance, a Japanese general incorporated association (the Shareholders Agreement). According to a Form 13F filed by Japan Post Holdings with the SEC on January 5, 2024, Japan Post Holdings owned 52.3 million Aflac Incorporated common shares as of December 31, 2023.
On May 1, 2023, the Parent Company filed a registration statement on Form S-3 that registered the sale of its common stock from time to time by J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation in its capacity as trustee of the Trust. The filing was made strictly pursuant to a contractual requirement contained in the Shareholders Agreement. The Trust has agreed not to own more than the greater of 10% of the Parent Company’s outstanding shares or such shares representing 22.5% of the voting rights in the Parent Company.
In light of the fact that the shares acquired by the Trust, like all Aflac Incorporated common shares, will be eligible for 10-for-1 voting rights after being held for 48 consecutive months, the Shareholders Agreement further provides for voting restrictions that effectively limit the trustee’s voting rights to no more than 20% of the voting rights in the Parent Company and further restrict the trustee’s voting rights with respect to certain change in control transactions. Japan Post Holdings will not have a board seat on the Parent Company’s board of directors and will not have rights to control, manage or intervene in the management of the Parent Company.
The foregoing is subject to and qualified in its entirety by reference to the full text of the Basic Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed December 19, 2018, and the Shareholders Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.50 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed April 26, 2019, the terms of which exhibits are incorporated herein by reference.
46
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Aflac Japan Investments
The level of investment income in yen is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, the effect of yen/dollar exchange rates on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income, and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac Japan invests in yen and U.S. dollar-denominated investments. Yen-denominated investments primarily consist of JGBs, public and private fixed maturity securities and public equity securities. Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investments include fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including alternative investments in limited partnerships or similar investment vehicles. Aflac Japan has been investing in both publicly traded and privately originated U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables, and has entered into foreign currency forwards and options to hedge the currency risk on the fair value of a portion of the U.S. dollar investments.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yen-denominated: | ||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||||||
| Japan government and agencies | $ | 357 | $ | 0 | $ | 1,208 | ||||
| Private placements | 510 | 854 | 695 | |||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | 102 | 113 | 171 | |||||||
| Equity securities | 346 | 398 | 216 | |||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||
| Other loans | 77 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Other investments | 16 | 22 | 10 | |||||||
| Total yen-denominated | $ | 1,408 | $ | 1,387 | $ | 2,300 | ||||
| U.S. dollar-denominated: | ||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 606 | $ | 559 | $ | 1,963 | ||||
| Infrastructure debt | 50 | 215 | 52 | |||||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 0 | 498 | 216 | |||||||
| Equity securities | 0 | 22 | 8 | |||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 247 | 1,645 | 1,768 | |||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 0 | 0 | 31 | |||||||
| Middle market loans | 446 | 1,203 | 2,428 | |||||||
| Other loans | 0 | 132 | 0 | |||||||
| Other investments | 393 | 391 | 404 | |||||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated | $ | 1,742 | $ | 4,666 | $ | 6,870 | ||||
| Total Aflac Japan purchases | $ | 3,150 | $ | 6,053 | $ | 9,170 |
See the Investments section of this MD&A for further discussion of these investment programs, and see Notes 1, 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding loans and loan receivables.
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, securities lending, and other securities transactions. Securities lending is also used from time to time to accelerate the availability of funds for investment. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
47
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the results of Aflac Japan's investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for the period (in millions) (1) | $ | 2,741 | $ | 5,640 | $ | 8,756 | ||||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 5.18 | % | 4.48 | % | 3.50 | % | ||||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 2.90 | 2.78 | 2.72 | |||||||
| Portfolio book yield, including U.S. dollar-denominated investments, end of period (1),(2) | 3.18 | % | 3.06 | % | 2.60 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses, external management fees, and amortized hedge costs
(3) Net of investment expenses and amortized hedge costs, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The increase in the Aflac Japan new money yield in 2023 was primarily due to increases in U.S. and Japan interest rates. The increase in the Aflac Japan new money yield in 2022 was primarily due to increases in U.S. interest rates.
See Notes 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Investments and Hedging Activities sections of this MD&A for additional information on the Company's investments and hedging strategies.
48
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
AFLAC U.S. SEGMENT
Aflac U.S. Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac U.S. pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31 followed by a discussion of the significant drivers of changes in operating results compared to the previous year.
Aflac U.S. Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 5,675 | $ | 5,570 | $ | 5,614 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income (1) | 820 | 755 | 754 | |||||||
| Other income | 128 | 161 | 121 | |||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 6,623 | 6,486 | 6,489 | |||||||
| Benefits and claims: | ||||||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 2,715 | 2,679 | 2,724 | |||||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (283) | (124) | (85) | |||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 2,431 | 2,555 | 2,639 | |||||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 490 | 455 | 442 | |||||||
| Insurance commissions | 561 | 553 | 550 | |||||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,640 | 1,564 | 1,502 | |||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 2,691 | 2,573 | 2,494 | |||||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 5,122 | 5,127 | 5,132 | |||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 1,501 | $ | 1,359 | $ | 1,356 | ||||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||||||
| Net earned premiums | 1.9 | % | (.8) | % | (2.5) | % | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 8.6 | .1 | 7.0 | |||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 2.1 | .0 | (1.2) | |||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | (4.9) | (3.2) | (4.6) | |||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 4.6 | 3.2 | (1.5) | |||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 10.4 | .2 | 6.9 |
(1) Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(34), $(4) and $2 in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
In 2023, Aflac U.S. net earned premiums increased primarily due to higher net earned premiums from growth initiatives, including group life and disability, network dental and vision, and consumer markets businesses. Adjusted net investment income increased in 2023 primarily due to increases in U.S. interest rates which increased yields on the Company's floating rate and short term investment portfolios. In 2023, total adjusted revenues increased primarily due to the increase in net earned premiums and adjusted net investment income. Total benefits and claims decreased in 2023 primarily due to a reserve remeasurement gain related to assumption updates and favorable experience. In 2023, total adjusted expenses increased due to an increase in employee-related expenses, a $31 million write-off of certain capitalized software development costs, as well as a slight increase in expenses related to ongoing investments in the U.S. platform. Pretax adjusted earnings increased in 2023, driven primarily by lower benefits and claims and the increase in adjusted revenues, partially offset by higher adjusted expenses.
In 2022, Aflac U.S. net earned premiums decreased, primarily due to lower persistency. Adjusted net investment income in 2022 was basically flat. In 2022, total adjusted revenues were flat. In 2022, total benefits and claims decreased primarily due to a reserve remeasurement gain related to assumption updates and favorable experience. In 2022, total adjusted expenses increased due to ongoing investments in the U.S. platform. The increase in pretax adjusted earnings in 2022 was driven primarily by lower benefits and claims offset by higher adjusted expenses and slightly lower revenue.
49
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
When comparing 2021 results prior to and subsequent to adoption of LDTI, total benefits and claims increased approximately $192 million due to a change in LFPB. See Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the adoption of LDTI.
Annualized premiums in force increased 3.3% in 2023, were essentially flat in 2022 and decreased 1.6% in 2021. Annualized premiums in force at December 31 were $6.2 billion in 2023, compared with $6.0 billion in both 2022 and 2021.
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total benefits and claims | 36.7 | % | 39.4 | % | 40.7 | % | ||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 7.4 | 7.0 | 6.8 | |||||
| Insurance commissions | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | |||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 24.8 | 24.1 | 23.1 | |||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 40.6 | 39.7 | 38.4 | |||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 22.7 | 21.0 | 20.9 | |||||
| Ratios to total premiums: | ||||||||
| Total benefits and claims | 42.8 | % | 45.9 | % | 47.0 | |||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 8.6 | 8.2 | 7.9 |
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
In 2023, the total benefits and claims to total premiums ratio decreased primarily due to reserve remeasurement gains related to assumption updates and favorable experience. The total adjusted expense ratio increased in 2023, primarily due to an increase in employee-related expenses, the $31 million write-off of certain capitalized software development costs, as well as a slight increase in expenses related to ongoing investments in the U.S. platform. In total, the pretax adjusted profit margin increased in 2023, primarily due to the lower benefit ratio.
In 2022, the total benefits and claims to total premiums ratio decreased primarily due to reserve remeasurement gains. The adjusted expense ratio increased in 2022, primarily due to higher planned spending reflecting ongoing investments in the U.S. platform. In total, the pretax adjusted profit margin was essentially flat in 2022.
The following table presents premium persistency for Aflac U.S. on a 12-month rolling basis as of December 31.
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premium persistency | 78.6 | % | 77.3 | % | 79.7 | % |
Aflac U.S. Sales
The following table presents Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 1,558 | $ | 1,483 | $ | 1,278 | ||||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | 5.0 | % | 16.1 | % | 16.9 | % |
New annualized premium sales for accident insurance decreased 3.6%; disability sales increased 4.8%; critical care insurance sales (including cancer insurance) increased 7.6%; hospital indemnity insurance sales decreased .6%; dental/vision sales increased 15.4%; and life sales increased 22.2% in 2023, compared with 2022. The increase in sales for Aflac U.S. in 2023 and 2022 reflects continued improvement from investment in growth initiatives as well as productivity gains.
50
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details the contributions to Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales by major insurance product category for the years ended December 31.
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accident | 20.9 | % | 22.8 | % | 25.1 | % | ||
| Disability | 25.6 | 25.5 | 23.1 | |||||
| Critical care (1) | 20.7 | 20.1 | 21.3 | |||||
| Hospital indemnity | 14.5 | 15.3 | 16.4 | |||||
| Dental/vision | 6.3 | 5.8 | 5.1 | |||||
| Life | 12.0 | 10.5 | 9.0 | |||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes cancer, critical illness and hospital intensive care products
In 2023, the Aflac U.S. sales force included an average of approximately 6,200 U.S. agents, including brokers, who were actively producing business on a weekly basis. The Company believes that this average weekly producer equivalent metric allows sales management to monitor progress and needs, as well as serve as a leading indicator of future production capacity.
In July 2023, the U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Department of the Treasury and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services issued a proposed joint rule that, as written, would impose significant limitations on the structure of benefits for hospital indemnity and other fixed indemnity plans, including those sold by Aflac U.S. The current benefit structure for these products allows the Company to vary the amount of benefits by the services or items received, severity of illness or injury, or any other characteristics particular to a course of treatment. If finalized in its current form, the proposed rule would eliminate Aflac U.S.’s ability to vary the amount of benefits provided by these products. In addition, the proposed rule also proposes to change the tax treatment of all fixed indemnity products. Under the proposal, if premiums are paid on a pretax basis (either by the employer or by employee pretax salary reduction), then the entire amount of the benefit would be taxable income regardless of the amount of the employee’s unreimbursed medical expenses. Currently, only the benefits received in excess of unreimbursed medical or medical-related costs are subject to tax. The comment period for the proposed rule closed on September 11, 2023. Aflac U.S. has filed comments opposing the proposed rule. The timing and substance of the final regulations, if any, is not known, and any such final rule could be the subject of litigation.
Aflac U.S. Investments
The level of investment income is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including public equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. has been investing in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables.
51
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac U.S. as of December 31.
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 587 | $ | 579 | $ | 756 | ||||
| Infrastructure debt | 83 | 137 | 91 | |||||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 0 | 199 | 65 | |||||||
| Equity securities | 11 | 33 | 213 | |||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 78 | 342 | 525 | |||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 33 | 0 | 276 | |||||||
| Middle market loans | 85 | 301 | 190 | |||||||
| Other loans | 30 | 110 | 14 | |||||||
| Other investments | 44 | 44 | 45 | |||||||
| Total Aflac U.S. Purchases | $ | 951 | $ | 1,745 | $ | 2,175 |
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, and other securities transactions. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives, including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
The following table presents the results of Aflac's U.S. investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31.
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for period (in millions) (1) | $ | 907 | $ | 1,701 | $ | 2,130 | ||||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 7.56 | % | 5.16 | % | 3.41 | % | ||||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 4.88 | 4.72 | 4.87 | |||||||
| Portfolio book yield, end of period (1),(2) | 5.53 | % | 5.39 | % | 4.94 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses and external management fees
(3) Net of investment expenses, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The increase in the Aflac U.S. new money yield in 2023 and 2022 was primarily due to increases in U.S. interest rates. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Market Risks of Financial Instruments - Credit Risk subsection of Item 7A. for additional information regarding the sector concentrations of the Company's investments.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
CORPORATE AND OTHER
Changes in the pretax adjusted earnings of Corporate and other are primarily affected by internal reinsurance activity and net investment income. The following table presents a summary operating results for Corporate and other for the years ended December 31 followed by a discussion of the significant drivers of changes in operating results compared to the previous year.
Corporate and Other Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 400 | $ | 145 | $ | 180 | ||||
| Net investment income (loss) (1) | (77) | 30 | (73) | |||||||
| Amortized hedge income related to certain foreign currency management strategies | 121 | 68 | 57 | |||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 44 | 98 | (16) | |||||||
| Other income | 15 | 24 | 11 | |||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 460 | 267 | 175 | |||||||
| Benefits and claims: | ||||||||||
| Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement | 470 | 141 | 161 | |||||||
| Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses | (3) | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 467 | 141 | 161 | |||||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||||||
| Interest expense | 144 | 162 | 165 | |||||||
| Other adjusted expenses | 273 | 181 | 142 | |||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 417 | 343 | 307 | |||||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 885 | 485 | 469 | |||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | (425) | $ | (218) | $ | (293) | ||||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||||||
| Net earned premiums | 175.9 | % | (19.4) | % | (7.2) | % | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income | (55.1) | 712.5 | (109.0) | |||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 72.3 | 52.6 | (54.4) | |||||||
| Total benefits and claims, net | 231.2 | (12.4) | (10.6) | |||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 50.0 | 11.7 | (3.8) | |||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | (95.0) | 25.6 | (154.8) |
(1) The change in value of federal historic rehabilitation and solar investments in partnerships of $343, $91 and $138 in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively, is included as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits on these investments of $334, $83 and $115 in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively, have been recorded as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statements of earnings. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on these investments.
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
In 2023, net earned premiums increased due to the internal reinsurance transactions between Aflac Japan and Aflac Re. Adjusted net investment income decreased in 2023 primarily due to $252 million related to a higher volume of tax credit investments, as tax benefits are recognized in a corresponding lower income tax expense, partially offset by an increase driven by higher investment returns, $74 million related to internal reinsurance transactions between Aflac Japan and Aflac Re, and a $53 million increase in amortized hedge income. Total adjusted revenues increased in 2023 primarily due to higher total premiums offset by lower adjusted net investment income. In 2023, total benefits and claims increased primarily due to $181 million related to the internal reinsurance transactions between Aflac Japan and Aflac Re and $163 million related to a novation agreement under which Aflac Re assumed the duties, obligations and liabilities through a reinsurance of business ALIJ previously ceded to an external reinsurer, and partially offset by lower incurred claims. Total adjusted expenses increased in 2023 primarily due to higher expenses associated with the internal reinsurance transactions between Aflac Japan and Aflac Re. Pretax adjusted earnings decreased in 2023 primarily due to the increase in total adjusted revenue, which was offset by higher benefits and claims and the increase in total adjusted expenses.
In 2022, net earned premiums decreased primarily due to significant yen weakening. Adjusted net investment income increased primarily driven by higher investment returns, $47 million from a lower volume of tax credit investments, and an $11 million increase in amortized hedge income. Total adjusted revenues increased primarily due to higher adjusted net
53
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
investment income. In 2022, total benefits and claims decreased due to lower incurred claims. Total adjusted expenses increased in 2022 primarily due to higher employee-related expenses. Pretax adjusted earnings increased in 2022 primarily due to the increase in total adjusted revenue, the decrease in total benefits and claims, and was partially offset by the increase in total adjusted expenses.
The Parent Company invests in partnerships that specialize in rehabilitating historic structures or the installation of solar equipment in order to receive federal historic rehabilitation and solar tax credits. These investments are classified as limited partnerships and included in other investments in the consolidated balance sheets. The change in value of each investment is recorded as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits generated by these investments are recorded as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statements of earnings.
INVESTMENTS
The Company’s investment strategy utilizes disciplined asset and liability management while seeking long-term risk-adjusted investment returns and the delivery of stable income within regulatory and capital objectives, and preserving shareholder value. In attempting to optimally balance these objectives, the Company seeks to maintain on behalf of Aflac Japan a diversified portfolio of yen-denominated investment assets, a U.S. dollar-denominated investment portfolio hedged back to yen and a portfolio of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated assets. As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including public equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. invests in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loans.
For additional information concerning the Company's investments, see Notes 3, 4, and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The following tables detail investments by segment as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Segment
| 2023 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Available-for-sale, fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 54,983 | $ | 12,884 | $ | 5,423 | $ | 73,290 | ||||||
| Held-to-maturity, fixed maturity securities, at amortized cost (1) | 17,819 | 0 | 0 | 17,819 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 720 | 2 | 366 | 1,088 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (1) | 4,795 | 1,011 | 192 | 5,998 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans (1) | 1,075 | 622 | 0 | 1,697 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans (1) | 4,095 | 436 | 0 | 4,531 | ||||||||||
| Other loans (1) | 185 | 101 | 15 | 301 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 186 | 28 | 0 | 214 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 347 | 204 | 753 | 1,304 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 2,360 | 258 | 132 | 2,750 | ||||||||||
| Real estate owned | 180 | 47 | 0 | 227 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 35 | 0 | 35 | ||||||||||
| Investment in affiliate (3) | 0 | 439 | (439) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 86,745 | 16,067 | 6,442 | 109,254 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,861 | 651 | 1,794 | 4,306 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 88,606 | $ | 16,718 | $ | 8,236 | $ | 113,560 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
(3) For consolidated reporting, Aflac U.S.'s investment in Aflac Re is eliminated in Corporate and other
54
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2022 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Available-for-sale, fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 61,615 | $ | 12,231 | $ | 1,895 | $ | 75,741 | ||||||
| Held-to-maturity, fixed maturity securities, at amortized cost (1) | 19,056 | 0 | 0 | 19,056 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 650 | 51 | 390 | 1,091 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (1) | 5,133 | 1,140 | 182 | 6,455 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans (1) | 1,142 | 633 | 0 | 1,775 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans (1) | 4,557 | 471 | 0 | 5,028 | ||||||||||
| Other loans (1) | 127 | 96 | 15 | 238 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 190 | 24 | 0 | 214 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 319 | 184 | 1,029 | 1,532 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 1,900 | 208 | 182 | 2,290 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 34 | 0 | 34 | ||||||||||
| Investment in affiliate (3) | 0 | 195 | (195) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 94,689 | 15,267 | 3,498 | 113,454 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,601 | 720 | 1,622 | 3,943 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 96,290 | $ | 15,987 | $ | 5,120 | $ | 117,397 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
(3) For consolidated reporting, Aflac U.S.'s investment in Aflac Re is eliminated in Corporate and other
In recent quarters, the Company has noted a trend indicating a gradual strain in the valuations of the commercial real estate market in the United States, with specific concerns regarding office space. The Company monitors this trend and its impact on the valuations of the Company’s transitional real estate loans (TREs), commercial mortgage loans (CMLs) and related underlying commercial properties.
Within the commercial mortgage and other loans category, the Company has invested in a variety of loans including TREs and CMLs that are collateralized by commercial real estate, including some that are designed as office space. The Company considers these investments to be well diversified by geography and among property types. Further, the Company believes that the portfolio is generally well positioned with exposures concentrated in high quality underlying properties with institutional investors who are positioned to manage their assets during periods of market volatility.
The Company has invested in certain TREs that are currently in default of interest or maturity payments. The Company continues to work with the borrowers to resolve these specific situations through loan continuance with potential modifications, or through the process of foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure. During 2023, the Company took possession of certain commercial real estate properties securing defaulted loans through foreclosure and deed in lieu of foreclosure. Properties acquired by the Company through foreclosure and deed in lieu of foreclosure are reported as real estate owned (REO) in other investments in the consolidated balance sheet.
The Company utilizes third-party asset managers to source, underwrite and manage each loan. The Company closely monitors the activities of these managers. In the event that a loan workout is necessary, the Company believes these external managers have the experience and resources to manage the process to maximize recovery.
The Company also monitors its commercial mortgage and other loan investments internally on an ongoing basis, including a review of loans' credit quality indicators and payment status as current, past due, restructured or under foreclosure. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information concerning credit quality indicators, information on loans that are on nonaccrual status, and REO obtained through foreclosure or deed in lieu of foreclosure. See also Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for a discussion of risk factors associated with the Company's investments.
55
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The ratings of the Company's securities referenced in the table below are based on the ratings designations provided by major rating organizations such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch or, if not rated, are determined based on the Company's internal analysis of such securities. When the ratings issued by the rating agencies differ, the Company utilizes the second lowest rating when three or more rating agency ratings are available or the lowest rating when only two rating agency ratings are available.
The distributions of fixed maturity securities the Company owns, by credit rating, as of December 31 were as follows:
Composition of Fixed Maturity Securities by Credit Rating
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||
| AAA | 1.6 | % | 1.6 | % | 1.6 | % | 1.5 | % | ||||||||||
| AA | 5.7 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||
| A | 68.1 | 67.2 | 68.0 | 68.1 | ||||||||||||||
| BBB | 22.9 | 23.5 | 23.0 | 22.9 | ||||||||||||||
| BB or lower | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
As of December 31, 2023, the Company's direct and indirect exposure to securities in its investment portfolio that were guaranteed by third parties was immaterial both individually and in the aggregate.
The following table presents the 10 largest unrealized loss positions in the Company's portfolio as of December 31, 2023.
| (In millions) | Credit Rating | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Unrealized Loss | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autostrade Per Litalia Spa | BBB | $ | 140 | $ | 109 | $ | (31) | ||||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | B | 135 | 105 | (30) | |||||||||||||||
| Urban Renaissance Agency | A | 172 | 144 | (28) | |||||||||||||||
| JP Morgan Chase and Co. | A | 195 | 168 | (27) | |||||||||||||||
| Prologis LP | A | 161 | 137 | (24) | |||||||||||||||
| Banco de Chile | A | 141 | 120 | (21) | |||||||||||||||
| Citigroup Inc | A | 165 | 147 | (18) | |||||||||||||||
| Vasakronan AB | A | 120 | 102 | (18) | |||||||||||||||
| Credit Suisse Group AG | A | 71 | 53 | (18) | |||||||||||||||
| Nippon Prologis REIT Inc. | A | 71 | 54 | (17) |
Generally, declines in fair values can be a result of changes in interest rates, yen/dollar exchange rate, and changes in net spreads driven by a broad market move or a change in the issuer's underlying credit quality. The Company believes these issuers have the ability to continue making timely payments of principal and interest. See the Unrealized Investment Gains and Losses section in Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further discussions of unrealized losses related to financial institutions and other corporate investments.
Below-Investment-Grade Securities
The Company's portfolio of below-investment-grade securities includes debt securities purchased while the issuer was rated investment grade plus other loans and bonds purchased as part of an allocation to that segment of the market. The following is the Company's below-investment-grade exposure at December 31.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Below-Investment-Grade Investments
| 2023 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Par Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | ||||||||||
| Investcorp Capital Limited | $ | 240 | $ | 240 | $ | 227 | $ | (13) | ||||||
| Commerzbank | 176 | 142 | 202 | 60 | ||||||||||
| Telecom Italia SpA | 141 | 141 | 182 | 41 | ||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | 141 | 135 | 105 | (30) | ||||||||||
| IKB Deutsche Industriebank AG | 92 | 46 | 75 | 29 | ||||||||||
| Generalitat de Catalunya | 56 | 24 | 55 | 31 | ||||||||||
| National Gas Co. Trinidad & Tobago | 52 | 50 | 47 | (3) | ||||||||||
| Commonwealth of the Bahamas | 43 | 42 | 35 | (7) | ||||||||||
| Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc | 35 | 36 | 28 | (8) | ||||||||||
| Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. | 29 | 27 | 27 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Other Issuers | 24 | 26 | 25 | (1) | ||||||||||
| Subtotal (2) | 1,029 | 909 | 1,008 | 99 | ||||||||||
| High yield corporate bonds | 710 | 571 | 662 | 91 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 4,244 | 4,065 | 4,037 | (28) | ||||||||||
| Grand Total | $ | 5,983 | $ | 5,545 | $ | 5,707 | $ | 162 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Securities initially purchased as investment grade, but have subsequently been downgraded to below investment grade
The Company invests in middle market loans primarily to U.S. corporate borrowers, most of which have below-investment-grade ratings. The objectives of this program include enhancing the yield on invested assets, achieving further diversification of credit risk, and mitigating the risk of rising interest rates and hedge costs through the acquisition of floating rate assets.
The Company maintains an allocation to higher yielding corporate bonds within the Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. portfolios. Most of these securities were rated below-investment-grade at the time of purchase, but the Company also purchased several that were rated investment grade which, because of market pricing, offer yields commensurate with below-investment-grade risk profiles. The objective of this allocation was to enhance the Company's yield on invested assets and further diversify credit risk. All investments in this program must have a minimum rating at purchase of low BB using the Company's above described rating methodology and are managed by the Company's internal credit portfolio management team.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Fixed Maturity Securities by Sector
The Company maintains diversification in investments by sector to avoid concentrations to any one sector, thus managing exposure risk. The following table shows the distribution of fixed maturities by sector classification as of December 31.
| 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Amortized Cost (1) | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||||||||||
| Government and agencies | $ | 40,341 | $ | 2,788 | $ | (1,700) | $ | 41,429 | 45.6 | % | |||||||||
| Municipalities | 2,480 | 221 | (96) | 2,605 | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 2,963 | 190 | (67) | 3,086 | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Public utilities | 7,137 | 689 | (196) | 7,630 | 8.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Electric | 5,888 | 567 | (123) | 6,332 | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||
| Natural Gas | 698 | 78 | (38) | 738 | .8 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 551 | 44 | (35) | 560 | .6 | ||||||||||||||
| Sovereign and supranational | 913 | 101 | (15) | 999 | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Banks/financial institutions | 8,572 | 679 | (416) | 8,835 | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Banking | 5,127 | 448 | (227) | 5,348 | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||
| Insurance | 1,723 | 156 | (63) | 1,816 | 1.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 1,722 | 75 | (126) | 1,671 | 1.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Other corporate | 26,102 | 3,220 | (959) | 28,363 | 29.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Basic Industry | 2,241 | 338 | (83) | 2,496 | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Capital Goods | 3,259 | 334 | (127) | 3,466 | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||
| Communications | 2,823 | 466 | (46) | 3,243 | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Consumer Cyclical | 2,010 | 246 | (36) | 2,220 | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Consumer Non-Cyclical | 5,963 | 693 | (227) | 6,429 | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||
| Energy | 2,177 | 410 | (38) | 2,550 | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 1,163 | 90 | (87) | 1,166 | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Technology | 3,496 | 271 | (143) | 3,623 | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Transportation | 2,970 | 372 | (172) | 3,170 | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||
| Total fixed maturity securities | $ | 88,508 | $ | 7,888 | $ | (3,449) | $ | 92,947 | 100.0 | % |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
Securities by Type of Issuance
The Company has investments in both publicly and privately issued securities. The Company's ability to sell either type of security is a function of overall market liquidity which is impacted by, among other things, the amount of outstanding securities of a particular issuer or issuance, trading history of the issue or issuer, overall market conditions, and idiosyncratic events affecting the specific issue or issuer.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details investment securities by type of issuance as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Type of Issuance
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||
| Publicly issued securities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 72,218 | $ | 75,622 | $ | 77,176 | $ | 79,090 | |||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 838 | 838 | 882 | 882 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total publicly issued | 73,056 | 76,460 | 78,058 | 79,972 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately issued securities: (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities (3) | 16,290 | 17,325 | 17,349 | 17,861 | |||||||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 250 | 250 | 209 | 209 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total privately issued | 16,540 | 17,575 | 17,558 | 18,070 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total investment securities | $ | 89,596 | $ | 94,035 | $ | 95,616 | $ | 98,042 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Primarily consists of securities owned by Aflac Japan
(3) Excludes Rule 144A securities
The following table details the Company's reverse-dual currency securities as of December 31.
Reverse-Dual Currency Securities(1)
| (Amortized cost, in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privately issued reverse-dual currency securities | $ | 3,740 | $ | 4,049 | ||
| Publicly issued collateral structured as reverse-dual currency securities | 1,232 | 1,383 | ||||
| Total reverse-dual currency securities | $ | 4,972 | $ | 5,432 | ||
| Reverse-dual currency securities as a percentage of total investment securities | 5.5 | % | 5.7 | % |
(1)Principal payments in yen and interest payments in dollars
Aflac Japan has a portfolio of privately issued securities to better match liability characteristics and secure higher yields than those available on Japanese government or other public corporate bonds. Aflac Japan’s investments in yen-denominated privately issued securities consist primarily of non-Japanese issuers, are rated investment grade at purchase and have longer maturities, thereby allowing the Company to improve asset/liability matching and overall investment returns. These securities are generally either privately negotiated arrangements or issued under medium-term note programs and have standard documentation commensurate with credit ratings of the issuer, except when internal credit analysis indicates that additional protective and/or event-risk covenants were required. Many of these investments have protective covenants appropriate to the specific investment. These may include a prohibition of certain activities by the borrower, maintenance of certain financial measures, and specific conditions impacting the payment of the Company's notes.
HEDGING ACTIVITIES
The Company uses derivative contracts to hedge foreign currency exchange rate risk and interest rate risk. The Company uses various strategies, including derivatives, to manage these risks. See Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk for additional information about market risk and the Company’s use of derivatives.
Derivatives are designed to reduce risk on an economic basis while minimizing the impact on financial results. The Company’s derivatives programs vary depending on the type of risk being hedged. See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for:
•A description of the Company's derivatives, hedging strategies and underlying risk exposure.
•Information about the notional amount and fair market value of the Company's derivatives.
•The unrealized and realized gains and losses impact on adjusted earnings of derivatives in cash flow, fair value, net investments in foreign operations, or non-qualifying hedging relationships.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Foreign Currency Exchange Rate Risk Hedge Program
The Company has deployed the following hedging strategies to mitigate exposure to foreign currency exchange rate risk:
•Aflac Japan hedges U.S. dollar-denominated investments back to yen (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•Aflac Japan maintains certain unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated securities, which serve as an economic currency hedge of a portion of the Company's investment in Aflac Japan (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•The Parent Company designates yen-denominated liabilities (notes payable and loans) as non-derivative hedging instruments and designates certain foreign currency forwards and options as derivative hedges of the Company’s net investment in Aflac Japan (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
•The Parent Company enters into forward and option contracts to accomplish a dual objective of hedging foreign currency exchange rate risk related to dividend payments by its subsidiary, ALIJ, and reducing enterprise-wide hedge costs (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
The following table presents metrics related to Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated hedge program and the Parent Company's enterprise corporate hedging program, including associated amortized hedge costs/income, for the years ended December 31. See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for the Company's definition of amortized hedge costs/income.
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan: | |||||
| FX Forwards | |||||
| FX forward (sell USD, buy yen) notional at end of period (in billions) (1) | $0.0 | $4.1 | $6.4 | ||
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(88) | $(44) | $(55) | ||
| FX Options | |||||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $24.7 | $13.5 | $11.6 | ||
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(69) | $(68) | $(22) | ||
| Corporate and other (Parent Company): | |||||
| FX Forwards | |||||
| FX forward (buy USD, sell yen) notional at end of period (in billions)(1) | $2.6 | $5.0 | $5.0 | ||
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $126 | $71 | $62 | ||
| FX Options | |||||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $0.5 | $2.6 | $1.9 | ||
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(5) | $(3) | $(5) |
(1) Notional is reported net of any offsetting positions within Aflac Japan or the Parent Company, respectively.
Amortized hedge costs/income can fluctuate based upon many factors, including the derivative notional amount, the length of time of the derivative contract, changes in both U.S. and Japan interest rates, and supply and demand for dollar funding. Amortized hedge costs/income have fluctuated in recent periods due to changes in the previously mentioned factors.
Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program (U.S. Dollar Program)
Aflac Japan buys U.S. dollar-denominated investments, typically corporate bonds, and hedges them back to yen with foreign currency forwards and options to hedge foreign currency exchange rate risk. This economically creates yen assets that match yen liabilities during the life of the derivative and provides favorable capital treatment under the Japan SMR calculations. The currency risk being hedged is generally based on fair value of hedged investments. The following table summarizes the U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan as of December 31.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 10,924 | $ | 12,918 | $ | 14,321 | $ | 15,191 | ||||
| Equity securities | 22 | 22 | 33 | 33 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (floating rate) | 4,795 | 4,829 | 5,133 | 5,088 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans | 1,075 | 948 | 1,031 | 896 | ||||||||
| Middle market loans (floating rate) | 4,095 | 4,065 | 4,557 | 4,545 | ||||||||
| Other loans | 112 | 111 | 238 | 233 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 2,361 | 2,361 | 1,899 | 1,899 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. Dollar Program | 23,384 | 25,254 | 27,212 | 27,885 | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities - economically converted to yen | 2,081 | 2,902 | 2,209 | 2,795 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan | $ | 25,465 | $ | 28,156 | $ | 29,421 | $ | 30,680 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
The U.S. Dollar Program includes all U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan other than the investments in certain consolidated VIEs where the instrument is economically converted to yen as a result of a derivative in the consolidated VIE. The Company uses one-sided foreign currency put options to mitigate the settlement risk on U.S. dollar-denominated assets related to extreme foreign currency rate changes. From time to time, Aflac Japan also maintains a collar program on a portion of its U.S. Dollar Program to mitigate against more extreme moves in foreign exchange and therefore support SMR. As of December 31, 2023, there were no collars in Aflac Japan, and none of the Company's foreign currency options hedging Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated assets were in-the-money.
As of December 31, 2023, the fair value of Aflac Japan's unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated portfolio was $484 million (excluding certain U.S. dollar-denominated assets shown in the table above as a result of consolidation that have been economically converted to yen using derivatives).
Foreign exchange derivatives used for hedging are periodically settled, which results in cash receipt or payment at maturity or early termination. The following table presents the settlements associated with the Company's currency derivatives used for hedging Aflac Japan’s U.S. dollar-denominated investments for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash inflows (outflows) | $ | (598) | $ | (757) | $ | 66 |
Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program
The Company has designated certain yen-denominated liabilities and foreign currency forwards and options of the Parent Company as accounting hedges of its net investment in Aflac Japan. The Company's consolidated yen-denominated net asset position was partially hedged at $6.8 billion as of December 31, 2023, with hedging instruments comprised of $3.7 billion of yen-denominated debt and $3.1 billion of foreign currency forwards and options, compared with $11.6 billion as of December 31, 2022, with hedging instruments comprised of $4.0 billion of yen-denominated debt and $7.6 billion of foreign currency forwards and options.
The Company makes its accounting designation of net investment hedge at the beginning of each quarter. If the total of the designated Parent Company non-derivative and derivative notional is equal to or less than the Company's net investment in Aflac Japan, the hedge is deemed to be effective, and the currency exchange effect on the yen-denominated liabilities and the change in estimated fair value of the derivatives are reported in the unrealized foreign currency component of other comprehensive income. The Company's net investment hedge was effective during the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. For additional information on the Company's net investment hedging strategy, see Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
In order to economically mitigate risks associated with the enterprise-wide exposure to the yen and the level and volatility of hedge costs, the Parent Company enters into foreign currency forward and option contracts. By buying U.S. dollars and
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
selling yen, the Parent Company is effectively lowering its overall economic exposure to the yen, while Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar exposure remains reduced as a result of Aflac Japan's U.S. Dollar Program that economically creates yen assets. Among other objectives, this strategy is intended to offset the enterprise-wide amortized hedge costs by generating amortized hedge income. This activity is reported in Corporate and other. The Company continually evaluates the program’s efficacy.
As part of the Company’s internal reinsurance platform, Aflac Re enters into foreign currency forwards with the Parent Company, and may enter into such forwards with third parties, to economically manage the currency mismatch between Aflac Re's assets, which are mostly denominated in U.S. dollars, and liabilities, which are mostly denominated in yen, in order to support and optimize BMA capital requirements. For additional information on the Company's internal reinsurance platform, see Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Liquidity and Capital Resources section of this MD&A.
Interest Rate Risk Hedge Program
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. use interest rate swaps from time to time to mitigate the risk of investment income volatility for certain variable-rate investments. In 2022, the Company expanded the use of interest rate swaps for this hedging strategy. Additionally, to manage interest rate risk associated with its U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan, from time to time the Company utilizes interest rate swaptions.
For additional discussion of the risks associated with the foreign currency exposure refer to the Currency Risk section in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk, and Item 1A. specifically to the Risk Factors titled “The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate“ and “Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity."
See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's hedging activities.
POLICY LIABILITIES
The following table presents policy liabilities by segment and in total for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | $ | 73,638 | $ | 77,733 | ||
| Other policy liabilities | 7,529 | 8,355 | ||||
| Total Japan policy liabilities | 81,167 | 86,088 | ||||
| U.S. segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 11,234 | 10,870 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 365 | 317 | ||||
| Total U.S. policy liabilities | 11,600 | 11,187 | ||||
| Consolidated: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 83,718 | 88,241 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 7,881 | 8,669 | ||||
| Total consolidated policy liabilities (1) | $ | 91,599 | $ | 96,910 |
(1) The sum of the Japan and U.S. segments exceeds the total due to reinsurance and retrocession activity.
Prior-year amounts have been adjusted for the adoption of accounting guidance on January 1, 2023 related to accounting for long-duration insurance contracts.
See Note 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's policy liabilities.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
BENEFIT PLANS
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. have various benefit plans. For additional information on the Company's Japanese and U.S. plans, see Note 14 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
POLICYHOLDER PROTECTION
Policyholder Protection Corporation
The Japanese insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Legislation enacted regarding the framework of the Life Insurance Policyholder Protection Corporation (LIPPC) included government fiscal measures supporting the LIPPC. In March 2022, Japan's Diet passed legislation that extended the government's fiscal support of the LIPPC through March 2027. In March 2022, the LIPPC reached the required balance for the total life industry of ¥400 billion as specified by its Articles of Incorporation. As a result, additional contributions are not expected to be required unless the balance is reduced due to payments made by the LIPPC to the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Accordingly, Aflac Japan did not recognize an expense for LIPPC assessments for the year ended December 31, 2023. Aflac Japan recognized an expense of ¥.9 billion and ¥1.8 billion for LIPPC assessments for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Guaranty Fund Assessments
Under U.S. state guaranty association laws, certain insurance companies can be assessed (up to prescribed limits) for certain obligations to the policyholders and claimants of impaired or insolvent insurance companies that write the same line or similar lines of business. The amount of the guaranty fund assessment that an insurer is assessed is based on its proportionate share of premiums in that state. See Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on guaranty fund assessments. Guaranty fund assessments for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021 were immaterial.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Liquidity refers to the ability to generate sufficient cash resources to meet the payment obligations of the Company. Capital refers to the long-term financial resources available to support the operations of the businesses, fund business growth and provide for an ability to withstand adverse circumstances. Financial leverage (leverage) refers to an investment strategy of using debt to increase the potential ROE. The Company targets and actively manages liquidity, capital and leverage in the context of a number of considerations, including:
•business investment and growth needs
•strategic growth objectives
•financial flexibility and obligations
•capital support for hedging activity
•a constantly evolving business and economic environment
•a balanced approach to capital allocation and shareholder deployment.
The governance framework supporting liquidity, capital and leverage includes global senior management and board committees that review and approve all significant capital related decisions.
The Company's cash and cash equivalents include unrestricted cash on hand, money market instruments, and other debt instruments with a maturity of 90 days or less when purchased, all of which have minimal market, settlement or other risk exposure. The target minimum amount for the Parent Company’s cash and cash equivalents is approximately $1.8 billion to provide a capital buffer and liquidity support at the holding company. The Company remains committed to prudent liquidity and capital management. At December 31, 2023, the Company held $4.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents for stress conditions, which includes the Parent Company's target minimum amount of $1.8 billion.
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. generate cash flows from their operations and provide the primary sources of liquidity to the Parent Company through management fees and dividends, with Aflac Japan being the largest contributor. The primary uses of cash by the Parent Company are shareholder dividends, the repurchase of its common stock, interest on its outstanding indebtedness and operating expenses.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the amounts provided to the Parent Company for the years ended December 31.
Liquidity Provided by Subsidiaries to Parent Company
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management fees paid by subsidiaries | $ | 151 | $ | 136 | $ | 130 | ||||
| Dividends declared or paid by subsidiaries | 3,516 | 3,006 | 2,791 |
The following table details Aflac Japan remittances, which are included in the totals above, for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Remittances
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan management fees paid to Parent Company | $ | 67 | $ | 61 | $ | 59 | ||||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in dollars) | 2,623 | 2,412 | 2,138 | |||||||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in yen) | ¥ | 374.7 | ¥ | 324.2 | ¥ | 236.7 |
The Company intends to maintain higher than historical levels of liquidity and capital at the Parent Company for stress conditions and with the goals of addressing the Company’s hedge costs and related potential need for collateral and mitigating against long-term weakening of the Japanese yen. Further, the Company plans to continue to maintain a portfolio of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments at Aflac Japan and to consider whether the amount of such investments should be increased or decreased relative to the Company’s view of economic equity surplus in Aflac Japan in light of potentially rising hedge costs and other factors. See the Hedging Activities subsection of this MD&A for additional information.
The Company believes that its balance of cash and cash equivalents and cash generated by operations will be sufficient to satisfy both its short-term and long-term cash requirements and plans for cash, including material cash requirements from known contractual obligations and returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
In addition to cash and cash equivalents, the Company also maintains credit facilities, both intercompany and with external partners, and a number of other available tools to support liquidity needs on a global basis. In September 2021, the Parent Company filed a shelf registration statement with the SEC that allows the Company to issue an indefinite amount of debt securities, in one or more series, from time to time until September 2024. The Company believes outside sources for additional debt and equity capital, if needed, will continue to be available. The Company was in compliance with all of the covenants of its notes payable and lines of credit at December 31, 2023. For additional information, see Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
As part of enterprise-wide capital management and optimization, the Company also utilizes the newly-created intercompany reinsurance platform to execute internal reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re. For additional information, see Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the estimated payments of the Company's material cash requirements from known contractual obligations as of December 31, 2023. The Company translated its yen-denominated obligations using the December 31, 2023, exchange rate. Actual future payments as reported in dollars will fluctuate with changes in the yen/dollar exchange rate.
| (In millions) | TotalLiability(1) | Total Payments | Short-term Payments | Long-term Payments | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Future policy benefits liability (Note 7)(2) | $ | 83,718 | $ | 193,058 | $ | 8,740 | $ | 184,318 | ||||||
| Other policyholders' funds (Note 7)(3) | 6,169 | 6,652 | 375 | 6,277 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – principal (Note 9) | 7,240 | 7,293 | 0 | 7,293 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – interest (Note 9) | 44 | 2,516 | 169 | 2,347 | ||||||||||
| Cash collateral on loaned securities (Note 3) | 1,503 | 1,503 | 1,503 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Operating service agreements (Note 15) | N/A | 284 | 159 | 125 | ||||||||||
| Operating lease obligations (Note 9) | 118 | 123 | 39 | 84 | ||||||||||
| Finance lease obligations (Note 9) | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||
| Total contractual obligations | $ | 98,798 | $ | 211,435 | $ | 10,988 | $ | 200,447 |
(1) Liability amounts are those reported on the consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2023.
(2) The estimated payments reflect future estimated cash payments to be made to policyholders and others for future policy benefits and certain related expenses using assumptions aligned with the Company's experience on policy persistency, mortality, morbidity, and other assumptions. These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest, and future premium payments received from policyholders are not included. Therefore, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount. Due to the significance of the assumptions used, actual cash outflow amounts and timing will differ, possibly materially, from these estimates.
(3) These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest and, as a result, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount.
For additional information on the Company's major contractual obligations, see the applicable Note in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements as indicated in the line items in the table above.
The Company's consolidated financial statements convey its financing arrangements during the periods presented. The Company has not engaged in material intra-period short-term financings during the periods presented that are not otherwise reported in its balance sheet or disclosed therein. As of December 31, 2023, the Company had no material letters of credit, standby letters of credit, guarantees or standby repurchase obligations. The Company has not entered into transactions involving the transfer of financial assets with an obligation to repurchase financial assets that have been accounted for as a sale under applicable accounting standards, including securities lending transactions. See Notes 1, 3, and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's securities lending and derivative activities. With the exception of disclosed activities in those referenced footnotes and the Risk Factors entitled, "The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate" and "Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity," the Company is not aware of any trend, demand, commitment, event or uncertainty that would reasonably result in its liquidity increasing or decreasing by a material amount.
Consolidated Cash Flows
The Company consistently generates positive cash flows from operations, and has the ability to adjust cash flow management from other sources of liquidity including reinvestment cash flows and selling investments in order to meet short-term cash needs.
The Company translates cash flows for Aflac Japan's yen-denominated items into U.S. dollars using weighted-average exchange rates. In years when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars causes fewer dollars to be reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars causes more dollars to be reported.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table summarizes consolidated cash flows by activity for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating activities | $ | 3,190 | $ | 3,879 | $ | 5,051 | ||||
| Investing activities | 817 | (1,540) | (2,378) | |||||||
| Financing activities | (3,723) | (3,551) | (2,739) | |||||||
| Exchange effect on cash and cash equivalents | 79 | 104 | (24) | |||||||
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | $ | 363 | $ | (1,108) | $ | (90) |
Operating Activities
The principal cash inflows for the Company's insurance activities come from insurance premiums and investment income. The principal cash outflows are the result of policy claims, operating expenses, income tax, as well as interest expense. As a result of policyholder aging, claims payments are expected to gradually increase over the life of a policy. Therefore, future policy benefit reserves are accumulated in the early years of a policy and are designed to help fund future claims payments.
The Company expects its future cash flows from premiums and investment portfolios to be sufficient to meet its cash needs for benefits and expenses. Consolidated cash flow from operations decreased 17.8% in 2023, compared with 2022, and decreased 23.2% in 2022, compared with 2021.
Investing Activities
The Company's investment objectives provide for liquidity primarily through the purchase of publicly traded investment-grade debt securities. Prudent portfolio management dictates that the Company attempts to match the duration of its assets with the duration of its liabilities. Currently, when the Company's fixed maturity securities mature, the proceeds may be reinvested at a yield below that required for the accretion of policy benefit liabilities on policies issued in earlier years. However, the long-term nature of the Company's business and its strong cash flows provide the Company with the ability to minimize the effect of mismatched durations and/or yields identified by various asset adequacy analyses. From time to time or when market opportunities arise, the Company disposes of selected fixed maturity securities that are available-for-sale to improve the duration matching of assets and liabilities, improve future investment yields, and/or re-balance its portfolio. As a result, dispositions before maturity can vary significantly from year to year.
As part of its overall corporate strategy, the Company has committed $400 million to Aflac Ventures, LLC (Aflac Ventures), as opportunities emerge. As of December 31, 2023, of the $400 million committed, approximately $281 million has been deployed. Aflac Ventures is a subsidiary of Aflac Global Ventures, LLC (Aflac Global Ventures) which is reported in Corporate and other. The central mission of Aflac Global Ventures is to support the organic growth and business development needs of Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. with an emphasis on digital applications designed to improve the customer experience, gain efficiencies, and develop new markets in an effort to enhance and defend long-term shareholder value. Investments are included in equity securities or the other investments line in the consolidated balance sheets.
As part of an arrangement with Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta (FHLB), Aflac U.S. obtains low-cost funding from FHLB supported by acceptable forms of collateral pledged by Aflac U.S. In 2023, Aflac U.S. borrowed and repaid $223 million under this program. As of December 31, 2023, Aflac U.S. had outstanding borrowings of $505 million reported in its balance sheet.
See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for details on certain investment commitments.
Financing Activities
Cash flows from financing activities consist primarily of share repurchases, dividends to shareholders and from time to time debt issuances and redemptions.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In December 2023, ALIJ issued ¥30.0 billion (par value) of subordinated bonds that will mature in December 2053. The bonds bear interest at an initial rate of 1.958% per annum until December 5, 2028. Thereafter, the rate of interest of the bonds will be reset every five years to a rate of interest equal to the then-current five-year JGB rate plus (i) 1.650% per annum on and after the day immediately following December 5, 2028 to December 5, 2033, and (ii) 2.650% per annum on and after the day immediately following December 5, 2033 to December 5, 2053. The bonds are redeemable, in whole but not in part, (i) at any time upon the occurrence of certain regulatory or tax events, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the bonds or (ii) on each interest rate reset date on or after December 5, 2028.
In October 2022, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from its September 2022 issuance of various series of senior notes to redeem $450 million of its 3.25% senior notes due March 2025.
In September 2022, the Parent Company issued four series of senior notes totaling ¥73.0 billion through a public debt offering under its U.S. shelf registration statement. The first series, which totaled ¥33.4 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.075% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in September 2029. The second series, which totaled ¥21.1 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.320% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in December 2032. The third series, which totaled ¥6.5 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.594% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in September 2037. The fourth series, which totaled ¥12.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 2.144% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in September 2052. These notes are redeemable at the Parent Company’s option at any time, in whole but not in part, upon the occurrence of certain changes affecting U.S. taxation, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the issuance. In addition, the notes maturing in September 2029, December 2032 and September 2037 are redeemable at the Parent Company's option, in whole or in part from time to time, on or after June 14, 2029, June 14, 2032 and March 14, 2037, respectively, at a redemption price equal to the aggregate principal amount of the applicable series to be redeemed plus accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount to be redeemed to, but excluding, the date of redemption.
In September 2022, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from its September 2022 issuance of various series of senior notes and the August 2022 senior term loan facility to redeem $750 million of its 3.625% senior notes due November 2024.
In August 2022, the Parent Company renewed a senior term loan facility with a commitment amount totaling ¥107.0 billion. The first tranche of the facility, which totaled ¥11.7 billion, bears interest at a rate per annum equal to the Tokyo interbank market rate (TIBOR), or alternate TIBOR, if applicable, plus the applicable TIBOR margin and will mature in August 2027. The applicable margin ranges between .225% and .625%, depending on the Parent Company's debt ratings as of the date of determination. The second tranche, which totaled ¥25.3 billion, bears interest at a rate per annum equal to TIBOR, or alternate TIBOR, if applicable, plus the applicable TIBOR margin and will mature in August 2029. The applicable margin ranges between .325% and .725%, depending on the Parent Company's debt ratings as of the date of determination. The third tranche, which totaled ¥70.0 billion, bears interest at a rate per annum equal to TIBOR, or alternate TIBOR, if applicable, plus the applicable TIBOR margin and will mature in August 2032. The applicable margin ranges between .475% and 1.025%, depending on the Parent Company's debt ratings as of the date of determination.
In May 2021, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from the April 2021 issuance of its various series of senior notes to redeem $700 million of its 3.625% senior notes due June 2023.
In April 2021, the Parent Company issued five series of senior notes totaling ¥82.0 billion through a public debt offering under its then existing U.S. shelf registration statement. The first series, which totaled ¥30.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .633% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2031. The second series, which totaled ¥12.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .844% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2033. The third series, which totaled ¥10.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.039% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2036. The fourth series, which totaled ¥10.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.264% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2041. The fifth series, which totaled ¥20.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.560% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2051. The notes are redeemable at the Parent Company’s option (i) at any time, in whole but not in part, upon the occurrence of certain changes affecting U.S. taxation, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the issuance or (ii) on or after the date that is six months prior to the stated maturity date of the series, in whole or in part, at a redemption price equal to the aggregate principal amount to be redeemed plus accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount to be redeemed to, but excluding, the date of redemption.
In March 2021, the Parent Company issued $400 million of senior sustainability notes through a U.S. public debt offering. The notes bear interest at a fixed rate of 1.125% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2026. The Company intends, but is not contractually committed, to allocate an amount at least equivalent to the net proceeds from
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
this issuance exclusively to existing or future investments in, or financing of, assets, businesses or projects that meet the eligibility criteria of the Company's sustainability bond framework described in the offering documentation in connection with such notes. These notes are redeemable at the Parent Company's option in whole at any time or in part from time to time at a redemption price equal to the greater of: (i) the aggregate principal amount of the notes to be redeemed or (ii) the amount equal to the sum of the present values of the remaining scheduled payments for principal of and interest on the notes to be redeemed, not including any portion of the payments of interest accrued as of such redemption date, discounted to such redemption date on a semiannual basis at the yield to maturity for a U.S. Treasury security with a maturity comparable to the remaining term of the notes, plus 10 basis points, plus in each case, accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount of the notes to be redeemed to, but excluding, such redemption date.
See Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the debt issuances discussed above.
Cash returned to shareholders through treasury stock purchases and dividends was $3.8 billion in 2023, compared with $3.4 billion in 2022 and $3.2 billion in 2021.
The following tables present a summary of treasury stock activity during the years ended December 31.
Treasury Stock Purchased
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treasury stock purchases | $ | 2,801 | $ | 2,401 | $ | 2,301 | ||||
| Number of shares purchased: | ||||||||||
| Share repurchase program | 38,896 | 39,187 | 43,327 | |||||||
| Other | 364 | 370 | 437 | |||||||
| Total shares purchased | 39,260 | 39,557 | 43,764 |
Treasury Stock Issued
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock issued from treasury: | ||||||||||
| Cash financing | $ | 17 | $ | 17 | $ | 26 | ||||
| Noncash financing | 59 | 57 | 55 | |||||||
| Total stock issued from treasury | $ | 76 | $ | 74 | $ | 81 | ||||
| Number of shares issued | 1,164 | 1,341 | 1,721 |
In November 2022, the Company's board of directors authorized the purchase of an additional 100 million shares of its common stock. As of December 31, 2023, a remaining balance of 77.7 million shares of the Company's common stock was available for purchase under share repurchase authorizations by its board of directors. See Note 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Cash dividends paid to shareholders in 2023 of $1.68 per share increased 5.0% over 2022. The 2022 dividend paid of $1.60 per share increased 21.2% over 2021. The following table presents the dividend activity for the years ended December 31.
Dividends Paid to Shareholders
| (In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividends paid in cash | $ | 966 | $ | 979 | $ | 855 | ||||
| Dividends through issuance of treasury shares | 37 | 37 | 32 | |||||||
| Total dividends to shareholders | $ | 1,003 | $ | 1,016 | $ | 887 |
In November 2023, the board of directors announced a 19.0% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, effective with the first quarter of 2024. The first quarter 2024 cash dividend of $.50 per share is payable on March 1, 2024, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 21, 2024.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Regulatory Restrictions
Aflac Japan
Aflac Japan is required to meet certain financial criteria as governed by Japanese corporate law in order to provide dividends to the Parent Company. Under these criteria, dividend capacity at the Japan subsidiary is basically defined as total equity excluding common stock and capital reserves (representing statutorily required amounts in Japan) but reduced for net after-tax unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities. These dividend capacity requirements are generally aligned with the SMR. Japan's FSA maintains its own solvency standard which is quantified through the SMR. Aflac Japan's SMR is sensitive to interest rate, credit spread, and foreign exchange rate changes; therefore, the Company continues to evaluate alternatives for reducing this sensitivity, including the reduction of subsidiary dividends paid to the Parent Company and Parent Company capital contributions. In the event of a rapid change in market risk conditions causing SMR to decline, the Company has a senior unsecured revolving credit facility in the amount of ¥100 billion as a capital contingency plan. Additionally, subject to market conditions, the Company expects that it could take action to enter into derivatives on unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments with foreign currency options or forwards or execute additional internal reinsurance transactions with Aflac Re. See Notes 8 and 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
The Company has already undertaken various measures to mitigate the sensitivity of Aflac Japan's SMR. For example, the Company employs policy reserve matching (PRM) investment strategies, which is a Japan-specific accounting treatment that reduces SMR interest rate sensitivity since PRM-designated investments are carried at amortized cost consistent with corresponding liabilities. In order for a PRM-designated asset to be held at amortized cost, there are certain criteria that must be maintained. The primary criterion relates to maintaining the duration of designated assets and liabilities within a specified tolerance range. If the duration difference is not maintained within the specified range without rebalancing, then a certain portion of the assets must be reclassified as available-for-sale and held at fair value with any associated unrealized gain or loss recorded in surplus. To rebalance, assets may need to be sold in order to maintain the duration with the specified range, resulting in realizing a gain or loss from the sale. For U.S. GAAP, PRM investments are categorized as available-for-sale. The Company also uses foreign currency derivatives to hedge a portion of its U.S. dollar-denominated investments. See Notes 3, 4 and 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's investment strategies, hedging activities, and reinsurance, respectively.
Aflac Japan's SMR remains high and reflects a strong capital and surplus position. As of December 31, 2023, Aflac Japan's SMR was 1,219%, compared with 878% at December 31, 2022. The Company is committed to maintaining strong capital levels, consistent with maintaining current insurance financial strength and credit ratings.
The FSA is considering the introduction of an economic value-based solvency regime based on the Insurance Capital Standards (ICS) for insurance companies in Japan. The FSA continues to conduct field testing with insurance companies in Japan for the purpose of investigating the impact of the introduction of such regulations. Final specifications are expected to be decided in 2024, and a new capital regime to replace the current solvency regime is expected to be introduced in Aflac Japan's 2025 fiscal year.
Aflac U.S.
A life insurance company’s statutory capital and surplus is determined according to rules prescribed by the NAIC, as modified by the insurance department in the insurance company’s state of domicile. Statutory accounting rules are different from U.S. GAAP and are intended to emphasize policyholder protection and company solvency. The continued long-term growth of the Company's business may require increases in the statutory capital and surplus of its insurance operations. The Company's insurance operations may secure additional statutory capital through various sources, such as internally generated statutory earnings, reduced dividends paid to the Parent Company, capital contributions by the Parent Company from funds generated through debt or equity offerings, or reinsurance transactions. The NAIC’s RBC formula is used by insurance regulators to help identify inadequately capitalized insurance companies. The RBC formula quantifies insurance risk, business risk, asset risk and interest rate risk by weighing the types and mixtures of risks inherent in the insurer’s operations.
The combined RBC ratio for Aflac U.S. as of December 31, 2023 was 710%, compared with 732% as of December 31, 2022. The Company calculates its combined RBC ratio to include all U.S. regulated life insurance entities as if a single combined U.S. RBC entity net of intercompany items related to capital resources and risk. The Company intends to maintain a target combined RBC over time of approximately 400% for Aflac U.S., consistent with the Company's risk management practices.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The table below presents RBC ratios for the Company’s U.S. life insurance subsidiaries as of December 31, the most recently statutory fiscal year-end for the subsidiaries for which RBC was filed.
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac | 699 | % | 692 | % | |
| CAIC | 651 | 1,056 | |||
| TOIC | 2,270 | 4,321 | |||
| Aflac New York | 836 | 859 |
The NAIC completed its Solvency Modernization Initiative (SMI) process relating to updating the U.S. insurance solvency regulation framework. The SMI focused on key issues such as capital requirements, governance and risk management, group supervision, reinsurance, statutory accounting and financial reporting matters. The NAIC still has some ongoing initiatives related to SMI, such as monitoring the international efforts on group capital requirements as well as RBC. The NAIC utilizes a group capital calculation (GCC) that conceptually uses an RBC aggregation methodology for all entities within the insurance company holding system. The GCC is intended to be a regulatory tool used by regulators as a means to standardize group capital requirements.
Aflac, CAIC and TOIC are domiciled in Nebraska and are subject to its regulations. The NDOI imposes certain limitations and restrictions on payments of dividends, management fees, loans and advances to the Parent Company. Under Nebraska insurance law, prior approval of the NDOI is required for dividend distributions that exceed the greater of the net income from operations, which excludes net investment gains, for the previous year determined under statutory accounting principles, or 10% of statutory capital and surplus as of the previous year-end. Dividends declared by Aflac during 2024 in excess of $1.1 billion would be considered extraordinary and require such approval. Similar laws apply in New York, the domiciliary jurisdiction of Aflac New York.
Corporate and Other
Aflac Re is licensed by the BMA as a long-term insurer and is subject to the Bermuda Insurance Act of 1978 (Bermuda Insurance Act). Aflac Re is required to file an annual return for its Bermuda Solvency Capital Requirement (BSCR) which utilizes an Economic Balance Sheet (EBS) framework to determine Aflac Re’s Enhanced Capital Requirement (ECR). Aflac Re is also subject to a Minimum Margin of Solvency (MMS) related to its statutory financial statements. The MMS is equal to the greater of $500,000, 1.5% of the total statutory assets, or 25% of ECR.
Under the EBS framework, Aflac Re is required to value assets equal to U.S. GAAP fair values, and insurance reserves are valued using technical provisions which consist of a best estimate liability plus a risk margin. The best estimate liability can be calculated by applying the standard approach or, with regulatory approval, the scenario-based approach. The standard approach uses discount rates for insurance reserves as prescribed by the BMA. The scenario-based approach uses a discount rate based on the yield of eligible assets owned by the insurer as determined using a series of prescribed stress scenarios. At December 31, 2023 and 2022, Aflac Re was in compliance with the ECR and MMS requirements.
Under the Bermuda Insurance Act, Aflac Re is prohibited from paying dividends in an amount that exceeds 25% of the prior year's statutory capital and surplus without an affidavit stating that Aflac Re will continue to meet its solvency margin. Further, Aflac Re may not reduce its total statutory capital by 15% or more without prior regulatory approval. Additionally, Aflac Re is not permitted to pay any dividends that would cause Aflac Re to fail to meet its minimum capital requirements.
Other
For information regarding commitments and contingent liabilities, see Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Additional Information
Investors should note that the Company announces material financial information in its SEC filings, press releases and public conference calls. In accordance with SEC guidance, the Company may also use the Investor Relations section of the Company's website (http://investors.aflac.com) to communicate with investors about the Company. It is possible that the financial and other information the Company posts there could be deemed to be material information. The information on the Company's website is not part of this document. Further, the Company's references to website URLs are intended to be inactive textual references only.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The Company prepares its financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These principles are established primarily by the FASB. In this MD&A, references to U.S. GAAP issued by the FASB are derived from the FASB Accounting Standards Codification™ (ASC). The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires the Company to make estimates based on currently available information when recording transactions resulting from business operations. The estimates that the Company deems to be most critical to an understanding of its results of operations and financial condition are those related to the valuation of investments and derivatives, DAC, liabilities for future policy benefits, and income taxes. The preparation and evaluation of these critical accounting estimates involve the use of various assumptions developed from management’s analyses and judgments. Calculations of DAC and the LFPB require the use of estimates based on actuarial valuation techniques. The application of these critical accounting estimates determines the values at which 93% of the Company's assets and 80% of its liabilities are reported as of December 31, 2023, and thus has a direct effect on net earnings and shareholders' equity. Subsequent experience or use of other assumptions could produce significantly different results.
On January 1, 2023, the Company adopted Accounting Standards Update (ASU) 2018-12, Financial Services - Insurance: Targeted Improvements to the Accounting for Long-Duration Contracts (LDTI). The update significantly changes how insurers account for long-duration contracts and amends existing recognition, measurement, presentation, and disclosure requirements applicable to the Company related to liabilities for future policy benefits and DAC. As part of this adoption, the Company measures together all payments under an insurance contract including future expected claims and unpaid policy claims and related expenses, as an integrated reserve. This resulted in unpaid policy claims on long-duration insurance contracts and accrued claim adjustment expenses that were presented separately in the Company’s consolidated balance sheets pre-adoption to now be presented as part of liabilities for future policy benefits.
Valuation of Investments, Including Derivatives
The Company's investments, primarily consisting of debt and equity securities, include both publicly issued and privately issued securities. For publicly issued securities, the Company determines the fair values from quoted market prices readily available from public exchange markets and price quotes and valuations from third-party pricing vendors. For the majority of privately issued securities and derivatives associated with VIEs within the Company's investment portfolio, a third-party pricing vendor has developed valuation models that the Company utilizes to determine fair values. These models and associated processes and controls are executed by Company personnel. For the remaining privately issued securities, the Company uses non-binding price quotes from outside brokers. The Company's valuation model for private placements explicitly incorporates currency basis swap adjustments (market observable data) to assumed interest rate curves where appropriate.
The Company estimates the fair values of its securities on a monthly basis. The Company monitors the estimated fair values obtained from its pricing vendors and brokers for consistency from month to month, while considering current market conditions. The Company also periodically discusses with its pricing brokers and vendors the pricing techniques they use to monitor the consistency of their approach and periodically assess the appropriateness of the valuation level assigned to the values obtained from them. If a fair value appears unreasonable, the Company will re-examine the inputs and assess the reasonableness of the pricing data with the vendor. Additionally, the Company may compare the inputs to relevant market indices and other performance measurements. Based on management's analysis, the valuation is confirmed or may be revised if there is evidence of a more appropriate estimate of fair value based on available market data. The Company has performed verification of the inputs and calculations in any valuation models to confirm that the valuations represent reasonable estimates of fair value. Inputs used to value derivatives include, but are not limited to, interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency forward and spot rates, and interest volatility.
The Company estimates an expected lifetime credit loss on investments measured at amortized cost including held-to-maturity fixed maturity securities, loan receivables and loan commitments on a quarterly basis. For the Company’s available-for-sale fixed maturity securities, the Company evaluates estimated credit losses only when the fair value of the available-for-sale fixed maturity security is below its amortized cost basis
The Company’s approach to estimating credit losses is complex and incorporates significant judgments. In addition to a security, or an asset class, or an issuer-specific credit fundamentals, it considers past events, current economic conditions and forecasts of future economic conditions. The Company's estimates are revised as conditions change and new information becomes available.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
See the tabular disclosure entitled "Sensitivity of Fair Values of Financial Instruments to Interest Rate Change" in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk and Notes 1, 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Liability for Future Policy Benefits
Substantially all of the supplemental health and life insurance policies the Company issues are classified as long-duration contracts. The contract provisions generally cannot be changed or canceled during the contract period; however, the Company may adjust premiums for supplemental health policies issued in the U.S. within prescribed guidelines and with the approval of state insurance regulatory authorities.
Insurance premiums for most of the Company's health and life policies, including cancer, accident, hospital, critical illness, supplemental dental and vision, term life, whole life, long-term care and disability, are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods of the contracts when due from policyholders. When earned premiums are reported, the related amounts of benefits and expenses are charged against such revenues. This association is accomplished by means of annual increases or decreases to the LFPB and the deferral and subsequent amortization of policy acquisition costs.
Premiums from the Company's products with limited-pay features, including cancer, medical and nursing care, term life, whole life, WAYS, and child endowment, are collected over a significantly shorter period than the contract term (i.e., the period during which benefits are provided). Premiums for these products are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods when due from policyholders. Any gross premium in excess of the net premium is deferred and recorded as a deferred profit liability, a component of the LFPB, which is subsequently amortized in net earned premiums such that profits are recognized in a constant relationship with insurance in force. Benefits are recorded as an expense when they are incurred. An LFPB is recorded when premiums are recognized using the net premium method.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
Amortization of DAC is computed using the same contract groupings (also referred to as cohorts) and mortality and termination assumptions that are used in computing the LFPB and these assumptions are reviewed and updated at least annually. The effects of changes in assumptions are recognized prospectively over the remaining contract term as a revision of the future amortization pattern, while current period amortization is calculated based on the actual experience during the quarter. For additional information, see Note 6 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Liability for Future Policy Benefits
The Company's LFPB is determined in accordance with applicable guidelines as defined under U.S. GAAP and Actuarial Standards of Practice and represent claims that are expected to occur in the future and already incurred claims (which represent claims that have been incurred and are in the process of payment as well as an estimate of those claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported to the Company) and are measured using the net level premium method. Future policy benefits are calculated using assumptions and estimates including mortality, morbidity, termination (also referred to as lapses), expense, and discount rates. The assumptions and estimates that the Company uses depend on its judgment regarding the likelihood of future events and are inherently uncertain.
Cash flow assumptions (mortality, morbidity, and termination) are established at policy inception and are evaluated each quarter to determine if an update is needed. To facilitate a more detailed review of cash flow assumptions, experience studies are performed annually during the third quarter. Changes in cash flow assumptions are recognized in reserve remeasurement (gains) losses in the consolidated statements of earnings. Expense assumptions are established at policy inception and are not updated. Actual experience is reflected in the calculation of future policy benefits each quarter, and changes in the liability due to actual experience are recognized in reserve remeasurement (gains) losses in the consolidated statements of earnings.
Discount rates used to calculate net premiums are locked in at policy inception and represent the basis to recognize interest expense in the consolidated statements of earnings. Discount rates used to measure the carrying value of LFPB in the consolidated balance sheets are updated each reporting period, and the differences between the liability balances calculated using the locked-in discount rates and the updated discount rates are recognized in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (AOCI). The discount rate methodology is designed to prioritize observable inputs based on market data available in the local debt markets where the respective policies were issued in the currency in which the policies are denominated. For the discount rates applicable to tenors for which the single-A debt market is not liquid or there is little or no observable market data, the Company uses various estimation techniques consistent with the fair value
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
guidance in ASC 820 - Fair Value Measurement, which include, but are not limited to: (i) for tenors where there is less observable market data and/or the observable market data is available for similar instruments, estimating tenor-specific single-A credit spreads and applying them to risk-free government rates; (ii) for tenors where there is very limited or no observable single-A or similar market data, interpolation and extrapolation techniques.
If interest rates decreased by 100 basis points, the Company's LFPB balance as of December 31, 2023 would increase by $12.7 billion, and if interest rates increased by 100 basis points the Company's LFPB balance as of December 31, 2023 would decrease by $9.9 billion.
For additional information on future policy benefits, see Note 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Income Taxes
Income tax provisions are generally based on pretax earnings reported for financial statement purposes, which differ from those amounts used in preparing the Company's income tax returns. Deferred income taxes are recognized for temporary differences between the financial reporting basis and income tax basis of assets and liabilities, based on enacted tax laws and statutory tax rates applicable to the periods in which the Company expects the temporary differences to reverse. The evaluation of a tax position in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a two-step process. Under the first step, the enterprise determines whether it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The second step is measurement, whereby a tax position that meets the more-likely-than-not recognition threshold is measured to determine the amount of benefit to recognize in the financial statements. A valuation allowance is established for deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that an amount will not be realized. The determination of a valuation allowance for deferred tax assets requires management to make certain judgments and assumptions.
In evaluating the ability to recover deferred tax assets, the Company's management considers all available evidence, including taxable income in open carry back years, the existence of cumulative losses in the most recent years, forecasted earnings, future taxable income exclusive of reversing temporary differences and carryforwards, future taxable temporary difference reversals, and prudent and feasible tax planning strategies. In the event the Company determines it is not more likely than not that it will be able to realize all or part of its deferred tax assets in the future, a valuation allowance would be charged to earnings in the period such determination is made. Likewise, if it is later determined that it is more likely than not that those deferred tax assets would be realized, the previously provided valuation allowance would be reversed. Future economic conditions and market volatility, including increases in interest rates or widening credit spreads, can adversely impact the Company’s tax planning strategies and in particular the Company’s ability to utilize tax benefits on previously recognized capital losses. The Company's judgments and assumptions are subject to change given the inherent uncertainty in predicting future performance and specific industry and investment market conditions.
Aflac Japan holds certain U.S. dollar-denominated assets in a DST. These assets are mostly comprised of various U.S. dollar-denominated commercial mortgage loans. The functional currency of the DST for U.S. tax purposes was historically the Japanese yen. In 2022, the Company requested a change in tax accounting method through the Internal Revenue Service's automatic consent procedures to change the functional currency of the DST for U.S. tax purposes to the U.S. dollar. As a result, foreign currency translation gains or losses on assets held in the DST are no longer recognized for U.S. tax purposes. The Company historically recorded a deferred tax liability for foreign currency translation gains on the DST assets, which was released in the third quarter of 2022 as a result of the functional currency change. The release of the deferred tax liability resulted in the Company recognizing an income tax benefit of $174 million in 2023 and $452 million in 2022.
An increase or decrease in the Company's effective tax rate by one percentage point would have resulted in an increase or decrease in the Company's 2023 income tax expense of $43 million.
For additional information on income taxes, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements presented in this report.
New Accounting Pronouncements
On January 1, 2023, the Company adopted LDTI employing a modified retrospective transition method, which required the amended guidance be applied as of the beginning of the earliest period presented beginning on the January 1, 2021 transition date (Transition Date). The Transition Date impact from adoption resulted in a decrease in AOCI of approximately $18.6 billion and a decrease in retained earnings of approximately $0.3 billion.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
For information on new accounting pronouncements and the impact, if any, on the Company's financial position or results of operations, see Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000004977-23-000055.
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Market Conditions
The impact of the COVID-19 global pandemic on the Company continues to evolve and the continued path of the global economic recovery remains uncertain given the potential longer-term impacts that have resulted from or are coincidental with the pandemic. For example, economic conditions have acted as headwinds to sales and earned premiums in 2022. Further, continued widening of the differential between U.S. and Japan interest rates has contributed to a weakening of the yen, which has the effect of suppressing the Company's current period results in relation to the comparable prior period. For additional information see the Result of Operations by Segment section of this MD&A.
Performance Highlights
For the full year of 2022, total revenues were down 11.8% to $19.5 billion, compared with $22.1 billion for the full year of 2021. Net earnings were $4.2 billion, or $6.59 per diluted share, for the full year of 2022, compared with $4.3 billion, or $6.39 per diluted share, for the full year of 2021, reflecting an income tax benefit of $452 million from the release of a deferred tax liability.
Results for 2022 included pretax net investment gains of $363 million, compared with net investment gains of $468 million in 2021. Net investment gains in 2022 included an increase in credit loss allowances of $36 million; $273 million of net gains from certain derivative and foreign currency gains or losses; $341 million of net losses on equity securities; and $467 million of net gains from sales and redemptions.
The average yen/dollar exchange rate(1) in 2022 was 130.17, or 15.7% weaker than the rate of 109.79 in 2021.
Adjusted earnings(2) for the full year of 2022 were $3.4 billion, or $5.33 per diluted share, compared with $4.0 billion, or $5.94 per diluted share, in 2021. The weaker yen/dollar exchange rate negatively impacted adjusted earnings per diluted share by $.34.
Total investments and cash at December 31, 2022 were $117.4 billion, compared with $143.0 billion at December 31, 2021. The decline in the portfolio was principally driven by the weaker yen and higher interest rates. In 2022, Aflac Incorporated repurchased $2.4 billion, or 39.2 million of its common shares. At December 31, 2022, the Company had 116.6 million remaining shares authorized for repurchase.
Shareholders’ equity was $22.4 billion, or $36.35 per share, at December 31, 2022, compared with $33.3 billion, or $50.99 per share, at December 31, 2021. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2022 included a net unrealized loss on investment securities and derivatives of $729 million, compared with a net unrealized gain of $9.6 billion at December 31, 2021. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2022 also included an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $3.6 billion, compared with an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $2.0 billion at December 31, 2021. The annualized return on average shareholders’ equity in 2022 was 15.1%.
Shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (adjusted book value)(2) was $26.8 billion, or $43.51 per share at December 31, 2022, compared with $25.9 billion, or $39.65 per share, at December 31, 2021. The annualized adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact(2) in 2022 was 13.7%.
(1) Yen/U.S. dollar exchange rates are based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
(2) See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for a definition of this non-U.S. GAAP financial measure.
INDUSTRY TRENDS
The Company is impacted by financial markets, economic conditions, regulatory oversight and a variety of trends that affect the industries where it competes.
Financial and Economic Environment
The Company’s business and results of operations are materially affected by conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally. Stressed conditions, volatility and disruptions in global capital markets, particular markets, or financial asset classes can have an adverse effect on the Company, in part because the Company has a large investment portfolio and its insurance liabilities and derivatives are sensitive to changing market factors. See Item 1A. Risk Factors for the risk factor entitled, "Difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy, including those caused by
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
COVID-19, could have a material adverse effect on the Company's investments, capital position, revenue, profitability, and liquidity and harm the Company's business."
Demographics
Aflac Japan Segment
With Japan’s aging population and the rise in healthcare costs, supplemental health care insurance products remain attractive. However, due to the aging population and decline in birthrate, new opportunities for customer demographics are not as readily available. Japan’s existing customers and potential customers seek products that are easily understood, cost-effective and can be accessed through technology-enabled devices.
Aflac U.S. Segment
Customer demographics continue to evolve and new opportunities present themselves in different customer segments such as the millennial and multicultural markets. Customer expectations and preferences are changing. Trends indicate existing customers and potential customers seek cost-effective solutions that are easily understood and can be accessed through technology-enabled devices. Additionally, income protection and the health needs of retiring baby boomers are continuing to shape the insurance industry.
Regulatory Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Government Regulation and Aflac U.S. Government Regulation for a discussion of regulatory developments that may impact the Company and the associated risks.
Competitive Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Competitive Markets and Aflac U.S. Competitive Markets for a discussion of the competitive environment and the basis on which the Company competes in each of its segments.
2023 OUTLOOK
The Company’s strategy to drive long-term shareholder value is to pursue growth through product development and distribution expansion and to achieve efficiencies by modernizing its technology and streamlining its operations.
The Company's objectives in 2023 are to maintain strong pre-tax margins with increased sales production through product refreshment in its Aflac Japan segment and to begin realizing benefits from its buy to build initiatives and other platform investments, manage expenses and strengthen the number of career agents for Aflac U.S. The Company believes that its strategy of positioning itself for future growth and efficiency while defending and leveraging its market-leading position, powerful brand recognition and diverse distribution in Japan and the U.S. will provide support toward these objectives.
The Company announced a 5.0% increase in the first quarter 2023 dividend compared to the prior quarter, and it intends to maintain strong capital ratios in Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. in support of its commitment to shareholder dividends while remaining tactical in its deployment of capital in the form of share repurchases and opportunistic investments. The Company intends to maintain a minimum SMR of 500% for Aflac Japan and a target combined RBC over time of approximately 400% for Aflac U.S., consistent with the Company's risk management practices.
Aflac Japan Segment
For Aflac Japan, the Company anticipates that the shift in premiums over the last several years from first sector savings products to third sector cancer and medical products and first sector protection products, will continue to result in moderately lower benefit ratios in the Aflac Japan segment. The Company expects that benefit and expense ratios will continue to experience some level of revenue pressure due to the impact of paid up policies and reduced sales compared to years prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. For the 2023 through 2024 period, the Company expects a decline in Aflac Japan net earned premiums in the low single digit range after adjusting for the impact of deferred profit liability reclassification and an expected new internal reinsurance program, with a benefit ratio in the range of 66% to 68% and an expense ratio in the range of 20% to 22%.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Aflac U.S. Segment
For Aflac U.S., the Company expects benefit ratios to normalize in 2023 and for expense ratios to decline over the next five years as the Company begins to realize the benefits from investments into U.S. platforms, continues to scale its acquisitions, and focuses on earned premium growth. For the 2023 through 2024 period, the Company expects Aflac U.S. net earned premium growth of 3% to 5% on a compound annual growth rate basis, with a benefit ratio in the range of 47% to 50% and an expense ratio in the range of 37% to 40%.
Corporate and other
The Company expects Corporate and other results to reflect stable net investment income in 2023 compared to 2022, assuming that U.S. interest rates remain stable.
For important disclosures applicable to statements made in this 2023 Outlook, please see the statement on Forward-Looking Information at the beginning of Item 1. Business, the Risk Factors identified in Item 1A. and this Item 7. MD&A.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The Company earns its revenues principally from insurance premiums and investments. The Company’s operating expenses primarily consist of insurance benefits provided and reserves established for anticipated future insurance benefits, general business expenses, commissions and other costs of selling and servicing its products. Profitability for the Company depends principally on its ability to price its insurance products at a level that enables the Company to earn a margin over the costs associated with providing benefits and administering those products. Profitability also depends on, among other items, actuarial and policyholder behavior experience on insurance products, and the Company's ability to attract and retain customer assets, generate and maintain favorable investment results, effectively deploy capital and utilize tax capacity, and manage expenses.
This document includes references to the Company’s financial performance measures which are not calculated in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (U.S. GAAP) (non-U.S. GAAP). The financial measures exclude items that the Company believes may obscure the underlying fundamentals and trends in insurance operations because they tend to be driven by general economic conditions and events or related to infrequent activities not directly associated with insurance operations.
Due to the size of Aflac Japan, where the functional currency is the Japanese yen, fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate can have a significant effect on reported results. In periods when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars results in fewer dollars being reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars results in more dollars being reported. Consequently, yen weakening has the effect of suppressing current period results in relation to the comparable prior period, while yen strengthening has the effect of magnifying current period results in relation to the comparable prior period. A significant portion of the Company’s business is conducted in yen and never converted into dollars but translated into dollars for U.S. GAAP reporting purposes, which results in foreign currency impact to earnings, cash flows and book value on a U.S. GAAP basis. Management evaluates the Company's financial performance both including and excluding the impact of foreign currency translation to monitor, respectively, cumulative currency impacts and the currency-neutral operating performance over time. The average yen/dollar exchange rate is based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
The Company defines the non-U.S. GAAP financial measures included in this document as follows:
•Adjusted earnings are adjusted revenues less benefits and adjusted expenses. Adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are the adjusted earnings for the period divided by the weighted average outstanding shares (basic or diluted) for the period presented. The adjustments to both revenues and expenses account for certain items that cannot be predicted or that are outside management’s control. Adjusted revenues are U.S. GAAP total revenues excluding adjusted net investment gains and losses. Adjusted expenses are U.S. GAAP total acquisition and operating expenses including the impact of interest cash flows from derivatives associated with notes payable but excluding any nonrecurring or other items not associated with the normal course of the Company’s insurance operations and that do not reflect the Company's underlying business performance. Management uses adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to evaluate the financial performance of the Company’s insurance operations on a consolidated basis and believes that a presentation of these financial measures is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of the Company’s insurance business. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
•Adjusted net investment gains and losses are net investment gains and losses adjusted for i) amortized hedge cost/income related to foreign currency exposure management strategies and certain derivative activity, ii) net interest cash flows from foreign currency and interest rate derivatives associated with certain investment strategies, which are both reclassified to net investment income, and iii) the impact of interest cash flows from derivatives associated with notes payable, which is reclassified to interest expense as a component of total adjusted expenses. The Company considers adjusted net investment gains and losses important as it represents the remainder amount that is considered outside management’s control, while excluding the components that are within management’s control and are accordingly reclassified to net investment income and interest expense. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted net investment gains and losses is net investment gains and losses.
•Amortized hedge costs/income represent costs/income incurred or recognized as a result of using foreign currency derivatives to hedge certain foreign exchange risks in the Company's Japan segment or in Corporate and other. These amortized hedge costs/ income are estimated at the inception of the derivatives based on the specific terms of each contract and are recognized on a straight-line basis over the term of the hedge. The Company believes that amortized hedge costs/income measure the periodic currency risk management costs/income related to hedging certain foreign currency exchange risks and are an important component of net investment income. There is no comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for amortized hedge costs/ income.
•Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact are computed using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior-year period, which eliminates fluctuations driven solely by foreign currency exchange rate changes. Adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact divided by the weighted average outstanding diluted shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact important because a significant portion of the Company's business is conducted in Japan and foreign exchange rates are outside management’s control; therefore, the Company believes it is important to understand the impact of translating foreign currency (primarily Japanese yen) into U.S. dollars. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted book value is the U.S. GAAP book value (representing total shareholders’ equity), less AOCI as recorded on the U.S. GAAP balance sheet. Adjusted book value per common share is adjusted book value at the period end divided by the ending outstanding common shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share important as they exclude AOCI, which fluctuates due to market movements that are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share are total book value and total book value per common share, respectively.
•Adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding the current period foreign currency impact divided by average shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI. The Company considers adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact important as it excludes changes in foreign currency and components of AOCI, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact is ROE as determined using net earnings and average total shareholders’ equity.
•U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact represents amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. The Company considers U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact important as it eliminates the impact of foreign currency changes on the Aflac Japan segment results, which are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact is the corresponding net investment income amount from the U.S. dollar denominated investments translated to yen.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of net earnings and net earnings per diluted share, respectively, for the years ended December 31.
Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted Earnings
| In Millions | Per Diluted Share | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||
| Net earnings | $ | 4,201 | $ | 4,325 | $ | 6.59 | $ | 6.39 | ||||||||
| Items impacting net earnings: | ||||||||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses (1) | (447) | (462) | (.70) | (.68) | ||||||||||||
| Other and non-recurring (income) loss | (1) | 73 | .00 | .11 | ||||||||||||
| Income tax (benefit) expense on items excluded from adjusted earnings (2) | (357) | 83 | (.56) | .12 | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings | 3,397 | 4,019 | 5.33 | 5.94 | ||||||||||||
| Current period foreign currency impact (3) | 215 | N/A | .34 | N/A | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact | $ | 3,613 | $ | 4,019 | $ | 5.67 | $ | 5.94 |
(1) See reconciliation of net investment (gains) losses to adjusted net investment (gains) losses below.
(2) Includes release of $452 in deferred taxes in 2022.
(3) Prior period foreign currency impact reflected as “N/A” to isolate change for current period only.
Reconciling Items
Net Investment Gains and Losses
Reconciliation of Net Investment (Gains) Losses to Adjusted Net Investment (Gains) Losses
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net investment (gains) losses | $ | (363) | $ | (468) | ||
| Items impacting net investment (gains) losses: | ||||||
| Amortized hedge costs | (112) | (76) | ||||
| Amortized hedge income | 68 | 57 | ||||
| Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies | (90) | (30) | ||||
| Interest rate component of the change in fair value of foreign currency swaps on notes payable | 50 | 55 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses | $ | (447) | $ | (462) |
The Company's investment strategy is to invest primarily in fixed maturity securities to provide a reliable stream of investment income, which is one of the drivers of the Company’s profitability. This investment strategy incorporates asset-liability matching (ALM) to align the expected cash flows of the portfolio to the needs of the Company's liability structure. The Company does not purchase securities with the intent of generating investment gains or losses. However, investment gains and losses may be realized as a result of changes in the financial markets and the creditworthiness of specific issuers, tax planning strategies, and/or general portfolio management and rebalancing. The realization of investment gains and losses is independent of the underwriting and administration of the Company's insurance products.
Net investment gains and losses excluded from adjusted earnings include the following:
•Securities Transactions
•Credit Losses
•Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
•Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Securities Transactions, Credit Losses and Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
Securities transactions include gains and losses from sales and redemptions of investments where the amount received is different from the amortized cost of the investment. Credit losses include losses for held-to-maturity fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale fixed maturity securities, loan receivables, loan commitments and reinsurance recoverables. Changes in the fair value of equity securities are the result of gains or losses driven by fluctuations in market prices.
Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities
The Company's derivative activities include:
•foreign currency forwards and options used in hedging foreign exchange risk on U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan's portfolio, with options used on a standalone basis and/or in a collar strategy;
•foreign currency forwards and options used to economically hedge certain portions of forecasted cash flows denominated in yen and hedge the Company's long term exposure to a weakening yen;
•cross-currency interest rate swaps, also referred to as foreign currency swaps, associated with certain senior notes and subordinated debentures;
•foreign currency swaps that are associated with variable interest entity (VIE) bond purchase commitments, and investments in special-purpose entities, including VIEs where the Company is the primary beneficiary;
•interest rate swaps used to economically hedge interest rate fluctuations in certain variable-rate investments;
•interest rate swaptions used to hedge changes in the fair value associated with interest rate fluctuations for certain U.S. dollar-denominated available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities; and
•bond purchase commitments at the inception of investments in consolidated VIEs.
Gains and losses are recognized as a result of valuing these derivatives, net of the effects of hedge accounting. The Company also excludes from adjusted earnings the accounting impacts of remeasurement associated with changes in the foreign currency exchange rate.
For additional information regarding net investment gains and losses, including details of reported amounts for the periods presented, see Notes 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Other and Non-recurring Items
The U.S. insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. The system can result in periodic charges to the Company as a result of insolvencies/bankruptcies that occur with other companies in the life insurance industry. Some states permit member insurers to recover assessments paid through full or partial premium tax offsets. These charges neither relate to the ordinary course of the Company’s business nor reflect the Company’s underlying business performance, but result from external situations not controlled by the Company. The Company excludes any charges associated with U.S. guaranty fund assessments and the corresponding tax benefit or expense from adjusted earnings.
In Japan, the government also requires the insurance industry to contribute to a policyholder protection corporation that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers; however, these costs are calculated and administered differently than in the U.S. In Japan, these costs are not directly related to specific insolvencies or bankruptcies, but are rather a regular operational cost for an insurance company. Based on this structure, the Company does not remove the Japan policyholder protection expenses from adjusted earnings.
The Company considers the costs associated with the early redemption of its debt to be unrelated to the underlying fundamentals and trends in its insurance operations. Additionally, these costs are driven by changes in interest rates subsequent to the issuance of the debt, and the Company considers these interest rate changes to represent economic conditions not directly associated with its insurance operations. In May 2021, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from its April 2021 issuance of various series of senior notes to redeem $700 million of its 3.625% senior notes due June 2023. The pretax expense due to the early redemption of these notes was $48 million.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Other items excluded from adjusted earnings included integration costs related to the Company's acquisition of Zurich North America's U.S. Corporate Life and Pensions business; these costs primarily consist of expenditures for legal, accounting, consulting, integration of systems and processes and other similar services. These integration costs are excluded from adjusted earnings for one year following the acquisition and amounted to $26 million for the year ended December 31, 2021.
Income Taxes
The Company's combined U.S. and Japanese effective income tax rate on pretax earnings was 8.8% in 2022 and 18.7% in 2021. In 2022, the combined effective tax rate differs from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to the impact of the tax accounting method change discussed below, as well as historic and solar tax credits. In 2021, the combined effective tax rate differs from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to historic and solar tax credits. Total income taxes were $403 million in 2022 and $997 million in 2021. Japanese income taxes on Aflac Japan's results account for most of the Company's consolidated income tax expense.
Aflac Japan holds certain U.S. dollar-denominated assets in a Delaware Statutory Trust (DST). These assets are mostly comprised of various U.S. dollar-denominated commercial mortgage loans. The functional currency of the DST for U.S. tax purposes was historically the Japanese yen. In 2022, the Company requested a change in tax accounting method through the Internal Revenue Service's automatic consent procedures to change its functional currency on the DST for U.S. tax purposes to the U.S. dollar. As a result, foreign currency translation gains or losses on assets held in the DST will no longer be recognized for U.S. tax purposes. The Company historically recorded a deferred tax liability for foreign currency translation gains on the DST assets, which was released in the third quarter of 2022 as a result of the functional currency change and subsequently adjusted for foreign currency impacts in the fourth quarter of 2022. This change in functional currency resulted in the Company recognizing an income tax benefit of $452 million ($0.71 per basic and diluted share, respectively) in 2022.
In August 2022, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) was signed into U.S. law. Effective January 1, 2023, the law imposes a 15% corporate alternative minimum tax rate and a 1% excise tax on the Company’s repurchases of its common stock. The Company does not anticipate any impacts from the new corporate minimum tax rate since its current tax rate is above the 15% minimum rate. Further, the Company expects the charges associated with the excise tax to be recognized in equity consistent with other costs related to treasury stock.
For additional information, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Critical Accounting Estimates - Income Taxes section of this MD&A.
The Company expects that its adjusted effective tax rate for future periods will be approximately 20%. The effective tax rate continues to be subject to future tax law changes both in the U.S. and in foreign jurisdictions. See the risk factor entitled "Tax rates applicable to the Company may change" in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for more information.
Foreign Currency Translation
Aflac Japan’s premiums and a significant portion of its investment income are received in yen, and its claims and most expenses are paid in yen. Aflac Japan purchases yen-denominated assets and U.S. dollar-denominated assets, which may be hedged to yen, to support yen-denominated policy liabilities. Yen-denominated income statement accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the weighted average Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate for the reporting period, except realized gains and losses on securities transactions which are translated at the exchange rate on the trade date of each transaction. Yen-denominated balance sheet accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the spot Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate at the end of the reporting period.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS BY SEGMENT
U.S. GAAP financial reporting requires that a company report financial and descriptive information about operating segments in its annual and interim period financial statements. Furthermore, the Company is required to report a measure of segment profit or loss, certain revenue and expense items, and segment assets. The Company's insurance business consists of two segments: Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. Aflac Japan is the principal contributor to consolidated earnings. In addition, the Parent Company, other business units that are not individually reportable, and business activities, including reinsurance retrocession activities, not included in Aflac Japan or Aflac U.S. are included in Corporate and other. See the Item 1. Business section of this Form 10-K for a summary of each segment's products and distribution channels.
39
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Consistent with U.S. GAAP guidance for segment reporting, pretax adjusted earnings is the Company's U.S. GAAP measure of segment performance. The Company believes that a presentation of this measure is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of its business. Additional performance measures used to evaluate the financial condition and performance of the Company's segments are listed below.
•Operating Ratios
•New Annualized Premium Sales
•New Money Yield
•Return on Average Invested Assets
•Average Weekly Producer
For additional information on the Company’s performance measures included in this MD&A, see the Glossary of Selected Terms found directly following Part IV. See Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the reconciliation of segment results to the Company's consolidated U.S. GAAP results and additional information.
AFLAC JAPAN SEGMENT
Aflac Japan Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac Japan's pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 9,548 | $ | 11,853 | ||
| Net investment income: (1) | ||||||
| Yen-denominated investment income | 1,140 | 1,262 | ||||
| U.S. dollar-denominated investment income | 1,641 | 1,845 | ||||
| Net investment income | 2,782 | 3,107 | ||||
| Amortized hedge costs related to certain foreign currency exposure management strategies | 112 | 76 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 2,669 | 3,031 | ||||
| Other income (loss) | 35 | 41 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 12,252 | 14,925 | ||||
| Benefits and claims, net | 6,565 | 7,963 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 547 | 653 | ||||
| Insurance commissions | 563 | 706 | ||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,520 | 1,849 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 2,630 | 3,208 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 9,195 | 11,171 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 3,056 | $ | 3,754 | ||
| Weighted-average yen/dollar exchange rate | 130.17 | 109.79 |
| In Dollars | In Yen | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Percentage change over previous period: | 2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Net earned premiums | (19.4) | % | (6.4) | % | (4.2) | % | (3.9) | % | |||||
| Adjusted net investment income | (11.9) | 14.0 | 5.5 | 17.6 | |||||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (17.9) | (2.9) | (2.2) | (.2) | |||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | (18.6) | 15.0 | (3.1) | 18.5 |
(1) Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(86) and $(33) in 2022 and 2021, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
40
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In yen terms, Aflac Japan's net earned premiums decreased in 2022, mainly due to limited-pay products reaching premium paid-up status and a slightly declining in force. Adjusted net investment income, in yen terms, increased in 2022 primarily due to increases in floating rate income earned from U.S. dollar-denominated investment that were driven by stronger dollar exchange rates, increasing interest rates, and higher income from make whole payments received on called securities, which were partially offset by lower income from alternative assets and higher hedge costs. The decrease in pretax adjusted earnings in yen was primarily due to a decrease in revenues and an increase in the benefit ratio resulting from a wider scope of "deemed hospitalization" that was in effect through most of the third quarter of 2022.
Annualized premiums in force at December 31, 2022, were ¥1.30 trillion, compared with ¥1.36 trillion in 2021. The decrease in annualized premiums in force in yen of 4.4% in 2022 and 4.7% in 2021 was driven primarily by limited-pay products reaching paid up status and lower sales as a result of pandemic conditions. Annualized premiums in force, translated into dollars at respective year-end exchange rates, were $9.8 billion in 2022 and $11.8 billion in 2021. As of December 31, 2022, Aflac Japan exceeded 23 million individual policies in force in Japan. Aflac Japan continued to be the number one seller of cancer insurance policies in Japan throughout 2022, with more than 14 million cancer policies in force as of December 31, 2022.
Aflac Japan's investment portfolios include U.S. dollar-denominated securities and reverse-dual currency securities (yen-denominated debt securities with dollar coupon payments). In years when the yen strengthens in relation to the dollar, translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into yen lowers growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues, and pretax adjusted earnings in yen terms. In years when the yen weakens, translating U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into yen magnifies growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues, and pretax adjusted earnings in yen terms.
The following table illustrates the effect of translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income and related items into yen by comparing certain segment results with those that would have been reported had foreign currency exchange rates remained unchanged from the prior year. Amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income were determined using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. See non-U.S. GAAP financial measures defined above.
Aflac Japan Percentage Changes Over Prior Year
(Yen Operating Results)
For the Years Ended December 31,
| Including Foreign Currency Changes | Excluding Foreign Currency Changes | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 5.5 | % | 17.6 | % | (5.0) | % | 15.6 | % | |||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (2.2) | (.2) | (4.3) | (.5) | |||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | (3.1) | 18.5 | (11.3) | 16.9 |
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios in yen terms for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2022 | 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benefits and claims, net | 53.6 | % | 53.3 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 4.5 | 4.4 | |||
| Insurance commissions | 4.6 | 4.7 | |||
| Insurance and other expenses | 12.4 | 12.4 | |||
| Total adjusted expenses | 21.5 | 21.5 | |||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 24.9 | 25.2 | |||
| Ratios to total premiums: | |||||
| Benefits and claims, net | 68.9 | % | 67.2 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 5.7 | 5.5 |
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2022, the benefit ratio to total premiums increased, compared with 2021, primarily due to a decrease in total premiums and higher third sector benefits due substantially to an increase in medical hospitalization claims as a result of a wider scope of "deemed hospitalization" related to COVID-19, partially offset by the continued change in mix of first and third sector business. In 2022, the adjusted expense ratio was flat, compared with 2021, reflecting the decrease in total adjusted revenues and an offsetting decrease in total adjusted expenses. In total for 2022, the pretax adjusted profit margin decreased when compared with 2021, primarily due to lower adjusted revenues, a higher benefit ratio and a flat expense ratio.
Aflac Japan Sales
The following table presents Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| In Dollars | In Yen | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 416 | $ | 499 | ¥ | 54.8 | ¥ | 54.8 | ||||||||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | (16.7) | % | 4.6 | % | .0 | % | 7.7 | % |
In 2022, new annualized premium sales on a yen basis were essentially flat, compared with 2021, reflecting constrained sales in the first half of the year due to ongoing pandemic conditions offset by a new cancer product launch in certain distribution channels and first sector product updates in the second half of the year.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by major insurance product for the years ended December 31.
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancer | 56.5 | % | 49.2 | % | |
| Medical and other health: | |||||
| Medical | 26.6 | 37.2 | |||
| Income support | 1.3 | .5 | |||
| Life insurance: | |||||
| Traditional life (1) | 8.1 | 9.0 | |||
| WAYS | 3.5 | .8 | |||
| Child endowment | .3 | .3 | |||
| Other | 3.7 | 3.0 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes term and whole life
The foundation of Aflac Japan's product portfolio has been, and continues to be, third sector products, which include cancer, medical, income support, and nursing care insurance products. With continued cost pressure on Japan’s health care system, the Company expects the need for third sector products will continue to rise in the future and that the medical and cancer insurance products Aflac Japan provides will continue to be an important part of its product portfolio. Moreover, in November 2022, Aflac Japan refreshed its first sector savings-type products WAYS and Child Endowment and began to actively promote sales of these products after having curtailed sales of both products beginning in 2013. The refreshment of these first sector products position Aflac Japan for potential future long-term sales opportunities by marketing these products to a younger demographic as well as potential cross-selling opportunities of Aflac Japan's third sector products.
Sales of Aflac Japan cancer products in the Japan Post Group channel experienced a material decline beginning in August 2019. Japan Post Group resumed proactive sales of cancer insurance policies on April 1, 2021 and Aflac Japan continues to strengthen the strategic alliance. In April 2022, approximately 10,000 employees of Japan Post Co. were transferred to Japan Post Insurance. Japan Post Group has informed Aflac Japan that the transferred employees' responsibilities will include sales of Japan Post Insurance products and Aflac Japan cancer products but will not include sales of other financial products. The Company expects continued collaboration to further position both companies for long-term growth and a gradual improvement of Japan Post Group cancer insurance sales in the intermediate term. For example, in 2021 and 2022, Aflac Japan observed an increase in the number of proposals to potential customers in the Japan Post Group channel, and the Japan Post Group continues to conduct a nationwide campaign to improve certain sales process practices. For additional information, see the risk factor entitled "Sales of the Company's products and
42
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
services are dependent on its ability to attract, retain and support a network of qualified sales associates, brokers and employees in the U.S. and sales associates and other distribution partners in Japan," in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors.
Aflac Japan continues to promote digital and web-based sales to groups and use of its system that enables smart device-based insurance application by allowing the customer and an Aflac Japan operator to see the same screen through their smart devices. Further, Aflac Japan continues to utilize its virtual sales tool that enables online consultations and policy applications to be completed entirely online.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by agency type for the years ended December 31.
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent corporate and individual | 49.5 | % | 51.1 | % | |
| Affiliated corporate (1) | 46.5 | 43.7 | |||
| Bank | 4.0 | 5.2 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes Japan Post, Dai-ichi Life and Daido Life
In 2022, Aflac Japan recruited 38 new sales agencies. At December 31, 2022, Aflac Japan was represented by approximately 7,400 sales agencies, with approximately 110,000 licensed sales associates employed by those agencies. The number of sales agencies has declined in recent years due to Aflac Japan's focus on supporting agencies with strong management frameworks, high productivity and more producing agents.
At December 31, 2022, Aflac Japan had agreements to sell its products at 359 banks, approximately 90% of the total number of banks in Japan.
Strategic Alliance with Japan Post Holdings
As previously reported, on December 19, 2018, the Parent Company and Aflac Japan entered into a Basic Agreement with Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., a Japanese corporation (Japan Post Holdings). Pursuant to the terms of the Basic Agreement, among other items, Japan Post Holdings and Aflac Japan agreed to reconfirm existing initiatives regarding cancer insurance and to consider new joint initiatives. In June 2021, the Parent Company, Aflac Japan and Japan Post Group agreed to pursue several specific initiatives toward building a "'Co-creation Platform' to support customers and local communities," consistent with Japan Post Group's medium-term management plan announced in May 2021. The initiatives are directed at, among other items, the promotion of Aflac Japan cancer insurance, digital transformation within the Japan Post Group, and certain diversity efforts.
As previously reported, on February 28, 2019, the Parent Company entered a Shareholders Agreement with Japan Post Holdings, J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation, a Delaware corporation, solely in its capacity as trustee of J&A Alliance Trust, a New York voting trust (Trust), and General Incorporated Association J&A Alliance, a Japanese general incorporated association. According to a Schedule 13G/A filed by Japan Post Holdings with the SEC on January 6, 2021, the Trust had beneficially acquired 7.45% of the outstanding Aflac Incorporated common shares as of December 31, 2020. Japan Post Holdings is the sole beneficiary of the Trust. According to a Form 13F filed by Japan Post Holdings with the SEC on November 2, 2022, Japan Post Holdings owned 52.3 million Aflac Incorporated common shares as of September 30, 2022.
On May 1, 2020, the Parent Company filed a registration statement on Form S-3 that registered the sale of its common stock from time to time by J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation in its capacity as trustee of the Trust. The filing was made strictly pursuant to a contractual requirement contained in the Shareholders Agreement. Notwithstanding the filing of the Form S-3, the Trust continues to be subject to a lockup period for a period expiring four years after the Trust acquired 7% of the Parent Company's outstanding shares. After expiration of such period, the Trust has agreed not to own more than the greater of 10% of the Parent Company’s outstanding shares or such shares representing 22.5% of the voting rights in the Parent Company.
In light of the fact that the shares acquired by the Trust, like all Aflac Incorporated common shares, will be eligible for 10-for-1 voting rights after being held for 48 consecutive months, the Shareholders Agreement further provides for voting restrictions that effectively limit the trustee’s voting rights to no more than 20% of the voting rights in the Parent Company and further restrict the trustee’s voting rights with respect to certain change in control transactions. Japan Post Holdings
43
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
will not have a Board seat on the Parent Company’s Board of Directors and will not have rights to control, manage or intervene in the management of the Parent Company.
The foregoing is subject to and qualified in its entirety by reference to the full text of the Basic Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed December 19, 2018, and the Shareholders Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.50 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed April 26, 2019, the terms of which exhibits are incorporated herein by reference.
Aflac Japan Investments
The level of investment income in yen is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, the effect of yen/dollar exchange rates on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income, and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac Japan invests in yen and U.S. dollar-denominated investments. Yen-denominated investments primarily consist of JGBs, public and private fixed maturity securities and public equity securities. Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investments include fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including alternative investments in limited partnerships or similar investment vehicles. Aflac Japan has been investing in both publicly-traded and privately originated U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables, and has entered into foreign currency forwards and options to hedge the currency risk on the fair value of a portion of the U.S. dollar investments.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yen-denominated: | |||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | |||||||
| Japan government and agencies | $ | 0 | $ | 1,208 | |||
| Private placements | 854 | 695 | |||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | 113 | 171 | |||||
| Equity securities | 398 | 216 | |||||
| Other investments | 22 | 10 | |||||
| Total yen-denominated | $ | 1,387 | $ | 2,300 | |||
| U.S. dollar-denominated: | |||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | |||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 559 | $ | 1,963 | |||
| Infrastructure debt | 347 | 52 | |||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 498 | 216 | |||||
| Equity securities | 22 | 8 | |||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | |||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 1,645 | 1,768 | |||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 0 | 31 | |||||
| Middle market loans | 1,203 | 2,428 | |||||
| Other investments | 391 | 404 | |||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated | $ | 4,666 | $ | 6,870 | |||
| Total Aflac Japan purchases | $ | 6,053 | $ | 9,170 |
See the Investments section of this MD&A for further discussion of these investment programs, and see Notes 1, 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information regarding loans and loan receivables.
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, securities lending, and other securities transactions. Securities lending is also used from time to time to accelerate the availability of funds for investment. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined
44
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
based on multiple objectives including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
The following table presents the results of Aflac Japan's investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31.
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for the period (in millions) (1) | $ | 5,640 | $ | 8,756 | ||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 4.48 | % | 3.50 | % | ||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 2.78 | 2.72 | ||||
| Portfolio book yield, including U.S. dollar-denominated investments, end of period (1),(2) | 3.06 | % | 2.60 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses, external management fees, and amortized hedge costs
(3) Net of investment expenses and amortized hedge costs, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The increase in the Aflac Japan new money yield in 2022 was primarily due to increases in U.S. interest rates.
See Notes 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Investments and Hedging Activities sections of this MD&A for additional information on the Company's investments and hedging strategies.
AFLAC U.S. SEGMENT
Aflac U.S. Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac U.S. pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.
Aflac U.S. Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 5,570 | $ | 5,614 | ||
| Adjusted net investment income (1) | 755 | 754 | ||||
| Other income | 161 | 121 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 6,486 | 6,489 | ||||
| Benefits and claims | 2,442 | 2,447 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 605 | 517 | ||||
| Insurance commissions | 553 | 550 | ||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,562 | 1,498 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 2,720 | 2,564 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 5,162 | 5,011 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 1,324 | $ | 1,478 | ||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||
| Net earned premiums | (.8) | % | (2.5) | % | ||
| Adjusted net investment income | .1 | 7.0 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | .0 | (1.2) | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | (10.4) | 16.6 |
(1) Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(4) and $2 in 2022 and 2021, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
In 2022, Aflac U.S. net earned premiums decreased, primarily due to lower persistency. Other income increased in 2022 due to an increase in fee income. The decrease in pretax adjusted earnings was driven primarily by an increase in
45
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
deferred policy acquisition cost (DAC) amortization associated with lower persistency and an increase in planned spending reflecting, in part, platform and growth investments.
Annualized premiums in force were essentially flat in 2022 and decreased 1.6% in 2021. Annualized premiums in force at December 31 were $6.0 billion in 2022 and 2021.
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2022 | 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benefits and claims | 37.7 | % | 37.7 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 9.3 | 8.0 | |||
| Insurance commissions | 8.5 | 8.5 | |||
| Insurance and other expenses | 24.1 | 23.1 | |||
| Total adjusted expenses | 41.9 | 39.5 | |||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 20.4 | 22.8 | |||
| Ratios to total premiums: | |||||
| Benefits and claims | 43.8 | % | 43.6 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 10.9 | 9.2 |
The benefit ratio to total premiums increased slightly in 2022, compared with 2021, reflecting higher incurred claims, mostly offset by reserve releases related to lower persistency. The adjusted expense ratio increased in 2022, compared with 2021, primarily due to higher DAC amortization associated with lower persistency and higher planned spending reflecting ongoing investments in the U.S. platform. The pretax adjusted profit margin decreased in 2022 when compared with 2021, primarily due to the higher adjusted expense ratio.
Aflac U.S. Sales
The following table presents Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 1,483 | $ | 1,278 | ||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | 16.1 | % | 16.9 | % |
New annualized premium sales for accident insurance increased 5.2%; disability sales increased 28.1%; critical care insurance sales (including cancer insurance) increased 9.6%; hospital indemnity insurance sales increased 8.1%; dental/vision sales increased 32.3%; and life sales increased 36.5% in 2022, compared with 2021. The increase in sales for Aflac U.S. in 2022 reflects continued improvement from investment in growth initiatives as well as productivity gains.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales by major insurance product category for the years ended December 31.
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accident | 22.8 | % | 25.1 | % | |
| Disability | 25.5 | 23.1 | |||
| Critical care (1) | 20.1 | 21.3 | |||
| Hospital indemnity | 15.3 | 16.4 | |||
| Dental/vision | 5.8 | 5.1 | |||
| Life | 10.5 | 9.0 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0% |
(1) Includes cancer, critical illness and hospital intensive care products
46
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2022, the Aflac U.S. sales force included an average of approximately 6,200 U.S. agents, including brokers, who were actively producing business on a weekly basis. The Company believes that this average weekly producer equivalent metric allows sales management to monitor progress and needs, as well as serve as a leading indicator of future production capacity. Aflac U.S. believes that during 2021 and 2022, constraints in the labor market limited its recruiting of new sales agents, and that limitations on face-to-face sales opportunities during the COVID-19 pandemic suppressed the development of newly recruited agents into business producers and the productivity of veteran agents and brokers. Aflac U.S. believes that the above factors have acted as a headwind to sales and to growth in the number of average weekly producers. Aflac U.S. remains focused on mitigating and reversing these trends as the U.S. economy continues to recover from the pandemic.
Aflac U.S. remains focused on supporting its agency channel, most of which are small businesses, by offering financial support and an extended value proposition. The Aflac U.S. sales team has pivoted to accommodate preferred enrollment conditions which include realizing sales at the worksite through in-person enrollment, an enrollment call center, video enrollment through co-browsing and self-enrollment. The traditional agent sales team is also using virtual recruiting and training through video conferencing in order to maintain or increase the recruiting pipeline. The Aflac U.S. broker sales team is focused on product enhancements, as well as leveraging technology based solutions to drive enrollment.
Aflac U.S. Investments
The level of investment income is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including public equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. has been investing in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac U.S. as of December 31.
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed maturity securities: | |||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 635 | $ | 770 | |||
| Infrastructure debt | 191 | 91 | |||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 199 | 65 | |||||
| Equity securities | 33 | 213 | |||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | |||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 342 | 525 | |||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 0 | 276 | |||||
| Middle market loans | 301 | 190 | |||||
| Other investments | 44 | 45 | |||||
| Total Aflac U.S. Purchases | $ | 1,745 | $ | 2,175 |
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, and other securities transactions. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives, including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
47
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the results of Aflac's U.S. investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31.
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for period (in millions) (1) | $ | 1,701 | $ | 2,130 | ||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 5.16 | % | 3.41 | % | ||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 4.72 | 4.87 | ||||
| Portfolio book yield, end of period (1),(2) | 5.39 | % | 4.94 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses and external management fees
(3) Net of investment expenses, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The increase in the Aflac U.S. new money yield for the year ended December 31, 2022 was primarily due to increases in U.S. interest rates.
See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Market Risks of Financial Instruments - Credit Risk subsection of Item 7A. for more information regarding the sector concentrations of the Company's investments.
CORPORATE AND OTHER
Changes in the pretax adjusted earnings of Corporate and other are primarily affected by investment income. The following table presents a summary operating results for Corporate and other for the years ended December 31.
Corporate and Other Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 145 | $ | 180 | ||
| Net investment income (loss) (1) | 30 | (73) | ||||
| Amortized hedge income related to certain foreign currency management strategies | 68 | 57 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 98 | (16) | ||||
| Other income | 24 | 11 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 267 | 175 | ||||
| Benefits and claims, net | 146 | 166 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Interest expense | 162 | 165 | ||||
| Other adjusted expenses | 182 | 142 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 344 | 307 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 490 | 473 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | (223) | $ | (298) |
(1) The change in value of federal historic rehabilitation and solar investments in partnerships of $91 and $138 in 2022 and 2021, respectively, is included as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits on these investments of $83 and $115 in 2022 and 2021, respectively, have been recorded as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statement of earnings. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on these investments.
In 2022, total adjusted revenues increased compared with 2021, primarily due to higher adjusted net investment income from higher interest rates and an increase in amortized hedge income, partially offset by the impact of federal tax credit investments and a reduction in net earned premiums as a result of significant yen weakening. Total adjusted expenses increased, as compared to 2021, primarily due to higher expenses associated with employee compensation and benefits and travel. These results also reflect the impact of foreign currency on net earned premiums and the corresponding benefits.
The Parent Company invests in partnerships that specialize in rehabilitating historic structures or the installation of solar equipment in order to receive federal historic rehabilitation and solar tax credits. These investments are classified as limited partnerships and included in other investments in the consolidated balance sheet. The change in value of each investment is recorded as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits generated by these investments are recorded as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statement of earnings.
48
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
INVESTMENTS
The Company’s investment strategy utilizes disciplined asset and liability management while seeking long-term risk-adjusted investment returns and the delivery of stable income within regulatory and capital objectives, and preserving shareholder value. In attempting to optimally balance these objectives, the Company seeks to maintain on behalf of Aflac Japan a diversified portfolio of yen-denominated investment assets, a U.S. dollar-denominated investment portfolio hedged back to yen and a portfolio of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated assets. As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including public equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. invests in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loans. The Company is also a signatory to the Principles for Responsible Investment, a global framework for incorporating environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations into investment and ownership decisions.
For additional information concerning the Company's investments, see Notes 3, 4, and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The following tables detail investments by segment as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Segment
| 2022 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Available for sale, fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 61,615 | $ | 12,231 | $ | 1,895 | $ | 75,741 | ||||||
| Held to maturity, fixed maturity securities, at amortized cost (1) | 19,056 | 0 | 0 | 19,056 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 650 | 51 | 390 | 1,091 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (1) | 5,133 | 1,140 | 182 | 6,455 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans (1) | 1,269 | 729 | 15 | 2,013 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans (1) | 4,557 | 471 | 0 | 5,028 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 190 | 24 | 0 | 214 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 319 | 184 | 1,029 | 1,532 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 1,900 | 208 | 182 | 2,290 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 34 | 0 | 34 | ||||||||||
| Investment in affiliate (3) | 0 | 195 | (195) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 94,689 | 15,267 | 3,498 | 113,454 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,601 | 720 | 1,622 | 3,943 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 96,290 | $ | 15,987 | $ | 5,120 | $ | 117,397 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
(3) For consolidated reporting, Aflac U.S.'s investment in Aflac Re Bermuda is eliminated in Corporate and other
49
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2021 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Available for sale, fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 81,793 | $ | 14,910 | $ | 1,993 | $ | 98,696 | ||||||
| Held to maturity, fixed maturity securities, at amortized cost (1) | 22,000 | 0 | 0 | 22,000 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 714 | 226 | 663 | 1,603 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (1) | 4,226 | 1,020 | 45 | 5,291 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans (1) | 1,217 | 669 | 8 | 1,894 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans (1) | 4,297 | 304 | 0 | 4,601 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 216 | 20 | 0 | 236 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 590 | 302 | 834 | 1,726 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 1,534 | 169 | 155 | 1,858 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 116,587 | 17,642 | 3,698 | 137,927 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,053 | 681 | 2,317 | 5,051 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 118,640 | $ | 18,323 | $ | 6,015 | $ | 142,978 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
The ratings of the Company's securities referenced in the table below are based on the ratings designations provided by major rating organizations such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch or, if not rated, are determined based on the Company's internal analysis of such securities. When the ratings issued by the rating agencies differ, the Company utilizes the second lowest rating when three or more rating agency ratings are available or the lowest rating when only two rating agency ratings are available.
The distributions of fixed maturity securities the Company owns, by credit rating, as of December 31 were as follows:
Composition of Fixed Maturity Securities by Credit Rating
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||
| AAA | 1.6 | % | 1.5 | % | 1.0 | % | .9 | % | ||||||||||
| AA | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||
| A | 68.0 | 68.1 | 68.9 | 68.5 | ||||||||||||||
| BBB | 23.0 | 22.9 | 22.5 | 22.8 | ||||||||||||||
| BB or lower | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
As of December 31, 2022, the Company's direct and indirect exposure to securities in its investment portfolio that were guaranteed by third parties was immaterial both individually and in the aggregate.
The following table presents the 10 largest unrealized loss positions in the Company's portfolio as of December 31, 2022.
50
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| (In millions) | Credit Rating | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Unrealized Loss | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autostrade Per Litalia Spa | BBB | $ | 149 | $ | 108 | $ | (41) | ||||||||||||
| JP Morgan Chase and Co. | A | 210 | 171 | (39) | |||||||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | B | 135 | 96 | (39) | |||||||||||||||
| Investcorp Capital Limited | BB | 329 | 291 | (38) | |||||||||||||||
| Prologis LP | A | 172 | 142 | (30) | |||||||||||||||
| Urban Renaissance Agency | A | 184 | 154 | (30) | |||||||||||||||
| GLP Pte Ltd. | BBB | 113 | 83 | (30) | |||||||||||||||
| Banco de Chile | A | 150 | 127 | (23) | |||||||||||||||
| Citigroup Inc | A | 176 | 154 | (22) | |||||||||||||||
| Morgan Stanley | A | 135 | 113 | (22) |
Generally, declines in fair values can be a result of changes in interest rates, yen/dollar exchange rate, and changes in net spreads driven by a broad market move or a change in the issuer's underlying credit quality. The Company believes these issuers have the ability to continue making timely payments of principal and interest. See the Unrealized Investment Gains and Losses section in Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further discussions of unrealized losses related to financial institutions and other corporate investments.
Below-Investment-Grade Securities
The Company's portfolio of below-investment-grade securities includes debt securities purchased while the issuer was rated investment grade plus other loans and bonds purchased as part of an allocation to that segment of the market. The following is the Company's below-investment-grade exposure at December 31.
Below-Investment-Grade Investments
| 2022 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Par Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | ||||||||||
| Investcorp Capital Limited | $ | 329 | $ | 329 | $ | 291 | $ | (38) | ||||||
| Pemex Project Funding Master Trust | 226 | 226 | 230 | 4 | ||||||||||
| Commerzbank | 188 | 145 | 209 | 64 | ||||||||||
| Telecom Italia SpA | 151 | 151 | 178 | 27 | ||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | 151 | 135 | 96 | (39) | ||||||||||
| Apache Corporation | 138 | 110 | 130 | 20 | ||||||||||
| Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 100 | 70 | 97 | 27 | ||||||||||
| IKB Deutsche Industriebank AG | 98 | 47 | 75 | 28 | ||||||||||
| Generalitat de Catalunya | 60 | 24 | 58 | 34 | ||||||||||
| National Gas Co. Trinidad & Tobago | 52 | 50 | 48 | (2) | ||||||||||
| Other Issuers | 84 | 85 | 69 | (16) | ||||||||||
| Subtotal (2) | 1,577 | 1,372 | 1,481 | 109 | ||||||||||
| High yield corporate bonds | 785 | 666 | 697 | 31 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 4,732 | 4,562 | 4,554 | (8) | ||||||||||
| Grand Total | $ | 7,094 | $ | 6,600 | $ | 6,732 | $ | 132 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Securities initially purchased as investment grade, but have subsequently been downgraded to below investment grade
The Company invests in middle market loans primarily to U.S. corporate borrowers, most of which have below-investment-grade ratings. The objectives of this program include enhancing the yield on invested assets, achieving further diversification of credit risk, and mitigating the risk of rising interest rates and hedge costs through the acquisition of floating rate assets.
51
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company maintains an allocation to higher yielding corporate bonds within the Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. portfolios. Most of these securities were rated below-investment-grade at the time of purchase, but the Company also purchased several that were rated investment grade which, because of market pricing, offer yields commensurate with below-investment-grade risk profiles. The objective of this allocation was to enhance the Company's yield on invested assets and further diversify credit risk. All investments in this program must have a minimum rating at purchase of low BB using the Company's above described rating methodology and are managed by the Company's internal credit portfolio management team.
Fixed Maturity Securities by Sector
The Company maintains diversification in investments by sector to avoid concentrations to any one sector, thus managing exposure risk. The following table shows the distribution of fixed maturities by sector classification as of December 31.
| 2022 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | AmortizedCost (1) | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||||||
| Government and agencies | $ | 43,854 | $ | 3,304 | $ | (1,732) | $ | 45,426 | 46.4 | % | |||||
| Municipalities | 2,590 | 215 | (150) | 2,655 | 2.7 | ||||||||||
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 2,167 | 75 | (96) | 2,146 | 2.3 | ||||||||||
| Public utilities | 7,450 | 545 | (288) | 7,707 | 7.9 | ||||||||||
| Electric | 6,036 | 456 | (197) | 6,294 | 6.4 | ||||||||||
| Natural Gas | 249 | 28 | (10) | 267 | .3 | ||||||||||
| Other | 565 | 35 | (48) | 553 | .6 | ||||||||||
| Utility/Energy | 600 | 26 | (33) | 593 | .6 | ||||||||||
| Sovereign and supranational | 1,238 | 113 | (17) | 1,334 | 1.3 | ||||||||||
| Banks/financial institutions | 9,340 | 595 | (636) | 9,299 | 9.9 | ||||||||||
| Banking | 5,633 | 434 | (364) | 5,704 | 6.0 | ||||||||||
| Insurance | 1,703 | 119 | (81) | 1,740 | 1.8 | ||||||||||
| Other | 2,004 | 42 | (191) | 1,855 | 2.1 | ||||||||||
| Other corporate | 27,886 | 2,107 | (1,609) | 28,384 | 29.5 | ||||||||||
| Basic Industry | 2,452 | 263 | (112) | 2,602 | 2.6 | ||||||||||
| Capital Goods | 3,394 | 180 | (226) | 3,350 | 3.6 | ||||||||||
| Communications | 2,866 | 284 | (109) | 3,039 | 3.0 | ||||||||||
| Consumer Cyclical | 2,206 | 184 | (71) | 2,320 | 2.3 | ||||||||||
| Consumer Non-Cyclical | 6,238 | 383 | (362) | 6,259 | 6.7 | ||||||||||
| Energy | 2,664 | 330 | (85) | 2,909 | 2.8 | ||||||||||
| Other | 1,371 | 81 | (146) | 1,306 | 1.5 | ||||||||||
| Technology | 3,534 | 122 | (257) | 3,399 | 3.7 | ||||||||||
| Transportation | 3,161 | 280 | (241) | 3,200 | 3.3 | ||||||||||
| Total fixed maturity securities | $ | 94,525 | $ | 6,954 | $ | (4,528) | $ | 96,951 | 100.0 | % |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
Securities by Type of Issuance
The Company has investments in both publicly and privately issued securities. The Company's ability to sell either type of security is a function of overall market liquidity which is impacted by, among other things, the amount of outstanding securities of a particular issuer or issuance, trading history of the issue or issuer, overall market conditions, and idiosyncratic events affecting the specific issue or issuer.
52
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details investment securities by type of issuance as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Type of Issuance
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||
| Publicly issued securities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 77,176 | $ | 79,090 | $ | 88,552 | $ | 103,034 | |||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 882 | 882 | 950 | 950 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total publicly issued | 78,058 | 79,972 | 89,502 | 103,984 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately issued securities: (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities (3) | 17,349 | 17,861 | 18,817 | 22,531 | |||||||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 209 | 209 | 653 | 653 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total privately issued | 17,558 | 18,070 | 19,470 | 23,184 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total investment securities | $ | 95,616 | $ | 98,042 | $ | 108,972 | $ | 127,168 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Primarily consists of securities owned by Aflac Japan
(3) Excludes Rule 144A securities
The following table details the Company's reverse-dual currency securities as of December 31.
Reverse-Dual Currency Securities(1)
| (Amortized cost, in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privately issued reverse-dual currency securities | $ | 4,049 | $ | 4,784 | ||
| Publicly issued collateral structured as reverse-dual currency securities | 1,383 | 1,596 | ||||
| Total reverse-dual currency securities | $ | 5,432 | $ | 6,380 | ||
| Reverse-dual currency securities as a percentage of total investment securities | 5.7 | % | 5.9 | % |
(1)Principal payments in yen and interest payments in dollars
Aflac Japan has a portfolio of privately issued securities to better match liability characteristics and secure higher yields than those available on Japanese government or other public corporate bonds. Aflac Japan’s investments in yen-denominated privately issued securities consist primarily of non-Japanese issuers, are rated investment grade at purchase and have longer maturities, thereby allowing the Company to improve asset/liability matching and overall investment returns. These securities are generally either privately negotiated arrangements or issued under medium-term note programs and have standard documentation commensurate with credit ratings of the issuer, except when internal credit analysis indicates that additional protective and/or event-risk covenants were required. Many of these investments have protective covenants appropriate to the specific investment. These may include a prohibition of certain activities by the borrower, maintenance of certain financial measures, and specific conditions impacting the payment of the Company's notes.
HEDGING ACTIVITIES
The Company uses derivative contracts to hedge foreign currency exchange rate risk and interest rate risk. The Company uses various strategies, including derivatives, to manage these risks. See Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk for more information about market risk and the Company’s use of derivatives.
Derivatives are designed to reduce risk on an economic basis while minimizing the impact on financial results. The Company’s derivatives programs vary depending on the type of risk being hedged. See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for:
•A description of the Company's derivatives, hedging strategies and underlying risk exposure.
•Information about the notional amount and fair market value of the Company's derivatives.
•The unrealized and realized gains and losses impact on adjusted earnings of derivatives in cash flow, fair value, net investments in foreign operations, or non-qualifying hedging relationships.
53
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Foreign Currency Exchange Rate Risk Hedge Program
The Company has deployed the following hedging strategies to mitigate exposure to foreign currency exchange rate risk:
•Aflac Japan hedges U.S. dollar-denominated investments back to yen (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•Aflac Japan maintains certain unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated securities, which serve as an economic currency hedge of a portion of the Company's investment in Aflac Japan (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•The Parent Company designates yen-denominated liabilities (notes payable and loans) as non-derivative hedging instruments and designates certain foreign currency forwards and options as derivative hedges of the Company’s net investment in Aflac Japan (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
•The Parent Company enters into forward and option contracts to accomplish a dual objective of hedging foreign currency exchange rate risk related to dividend payments by its subsidiary, ALIJ, and reducing enterprise-wide hedge costs (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
The following table presents metrics related to Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated hedge program and the Parent Company's enterprise corporate hedging program, including associated amortized hedge costs/income, for the years ended December 31. See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for the Company's definition of amortized hedge costs/income.
| 2022 | 2021 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan: | |||
| FX Forwards | |||
| FX forward (sell USD, buy yen) notional at end of period (in billions) (1) | $4.1 | $6.4 | |
| Weighted average remaining tenor (in months) (2) | .7 | 2.6 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(44) | $(55) | |
| FX Options | |||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $13.5 | $11.6 | |
| Weighted average remaining tenor (in months) (2) | 6.4 | 6.0 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(68) | $(22) | |
| Corporate and other (Parent Company): | |||
| FX Forwards | |||
| FX forward (buy USD, sell yen) notional at end of period (in billions)(1) | $5.0 | $5.0 | |
| Weighted average remaining tenor (in months)(2) | 10.8 | 11.5 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $71 | $62 | |
| FX Options | |||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $2.6 | $1.9 | |
| Weighted average remaining tenor (in months) (2) | 9.0 | 7.3 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(3) | $(5) |
(1) Notional is reported net of any offsetting positions within Aflac Japan or the Parent Company, respectively.
(2) Tenor based on period reporting date to settlement date
Amortized hedge costs/income can fluctuate based upon many factors, including the derivative notional amount, the length of time of the derivative contract, changes in both U.S. and Japan interest rates, and supply and demand for dollar funding. Amortized hedge costs/income have fluctuated in recent periods due to changes in the previously mentioned factors.
Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program (U.S. Dollar Program)
Aflac Japan buys U.S. dollar-denominated investments, typically corporate bonds, and hedges them back to yen with foreign currency forwards and options to hedge foreign currency exchange rate risk. This economically creates yen assets that match yen liabilities during the life of the derivative and provides favorable capital treatment under the Japan SMR
54
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
calculations. The currency risk being hedged is generally based on fair value of hedged investments. The following table summarizes the U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan as of December 31.
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 14,321 | $ | 15,191 | $ | 17,615 | $ | 20,478 | ||||
| Equity securities | 33 | 33 | 24 | 24 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (floating rate) | 5,133 | 5,088 | 4,226 | 4,293 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans | 1,269 | 1,129 | 1,217 | 1,265 | ||||||||
| Middle market loans (floating rate) | 4,557 | 4,545 | 4,297 | 4,352 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 1,899 | 1,899 | 1,534 | 1,534 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. Dollar Program | 27,212 | 27,885 | 28,913 | 31,946 | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities - economically converted to yen | 2,209 | 2,795 | 2,236 | 3,328 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan | $ | 29,421 | $ | 30,680 | $ | 31,149 | $ | 35,274 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
The U.S. Dollar Program includes all U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan other than the investments in certain consolidated VIEs where the instrument is economically converted to yen as a result of a derivative in the consolidated VIE. The Company uses one-sided foreign currency put options to mitigate the settlement risk on U.S. dollar-denominated assets related to extreme foreign currency rate changes. From time to time, Aflac Japan also maintains a collar program on a portion of its U.S. Dollar Program to mitigate against more extreme moves in foreign exchange and therefore support SMR. As of December 31, 2022, there were no collars in Aflac Japan, and none of the Company's foreign currency options hedging Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated assets were in-the-money.
In 2021, the Company moved to a strategy that contains one-sided put options, fewer foreign currency forwards and no collars in order to reduce its exposure to pricing volatility and the related risk of negative settlements should there be a material weakening in the yen. Depending on further developments, including the possibility of further market volatility, there may be additional costs associated with maintaining the options program. The Company is continually evaluating other adjustments, including the possibility of changing the level of hedging employed with the U.S. dollar-denominated investments.
As of December 31, 2022, the fair value of Aflac Japan's unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated portfolio was $10.3 billion (excluding certain U.S. dollar-denominated assets shown in the table above as a result of consolidation that have been economically converted to yen using derivatives).
Foreign exchange derivatives used for hedging are periodically settled, which results in cash receipt or payment at maturity or early termination. The following table presents the settlements associated with the Company's currency derivatives used for hedging Aflac Japan’s U.S. dollar-denominated investments for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash inflows (outflows) | $ | (757) | $ | 66 |
Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program
The Company has designated certain yen-denominated liabilities and foreign currency forwards and options of the Parent Company as accounting hedges of its net investment in Aflac Japan. The Company's consolidated yen-denominated net asset position was partially hedged at $11.6 billion as of December 31, 2022, with hedging instruments comprised of $4.0 billion of yen-denominated debt and $7.6 billion of foreign currency forwards and options, compared with $10.2 billion as of December 31, 2021, with hedging instruments comprised of $3.3 billion of yen-denominated debt and $6.9 billion of foreign currency forwards and options.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company makes its accounting designation of net investment hedge at the beginning of each quarter. If the total of the designated Parent Company non-derivative and derivative notional is equal to or less than the Company's net investment in Aflac Japan, the hedge is deemed to be effective, and the currency exchange effect on the yen-denominated liabilities and the change in estimated fair value of the derivatives are reported in the unrealized foreign currency component of other comprehensive income. The Company's net investment hedge was effective during the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. For additional information on the Company's net investment hedging strategy, see Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
In order to economically mitigate risks associated with the enterprise-wide exposure to the yen and the level and volatility of hedge costs, the Parent Company enters into foreign exchange forward and option contracts. By buying U.S. dollars and selling yen, the Parent Company is effectively lowering its overall economic exposure to the yen, while Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar exposure remains reduced as a result of Aflac Japan's U.S. Dollar Program that economically creates yen assets. Among other objectives, this strategy is intended to offset the enterprise-wide amortized hedge costs by generating amortized hedge income. This activity is reported in Corporate and other. The Company continually evaluates the program’s efficacy.
Interest Rate Risk Hedge Program
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. use interest rate swaps from time to time to mitigate the risk of investment income volatility for certain variable-rate investments. In 2022, the Company expanded the use of interest rate swaps for this hedging strategy. Additionally, to manage interest rate risk associated with its U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan, from time to time the Company utilizes interest rate swaptions.
For additional discussion of the risks associated with the foreign currency exposure refer to the Currency Risk section in Item 7A., Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk, and Item 1A, specifically to the Risk Factors titled “The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate“ and “Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity."
See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's hedging activities.
POLICY LIABILITIES
The following table presents policy liabilities by segment and in total for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | $ | 71,150 | $ | 81,176 | ||
| Unpaid policy claims | 2,610 | 2,903 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 7,835 | 9,534 | ||||
| Total Japan policy liabilities | 81,594 | 93,613 | ||||
| U.S. segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 9,960 | 9,865 | ||||
| Unpaid policy claims | 1,952 | 1,933 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 117 | 119 | ||||
| Total U.S. policy liabilities | 12,029 | 11,916 | ||||
| Consolidated: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 80,749 | 90,588 | ||||
| Unpaid policy claims | 4,561 | 4,836 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 7,948 | 9,648 | ||||
| Total consolidated policy liabilities (1) | $ | 93,258 | $ | 105,072 |
(1) The sum of the Japan and U.S. segments exceeds the total due to reinsurance and retrocession activity.
See Note 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's policy liabilities.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
BENEFIT PLANS
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. have various benefit plans. For additional information on the Company's Japanese and U.S. plans, see Note 14 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
POLICYHOLDER PROTECTION
Policyholder Protection Corporation
The Japanese insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Legislation enacted regarding the framework of the Life Insurance Policyholder Protection Corporation (LIPPC) included government fiscal measures supporting the LIPPC. In March 2022, Japan's Diet passed legislation that extended the government's fiscal support of the LIPPC through March 2027. In March 2022, the LIPPC reached the required balance for the total life industry of ¥400 billion as specified by its Articles of Incorporation. As a result, additional contributions are not expected to be required unless the balance is reduced due to payments made by the LIPPC to the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Aflac Japan recognized an expense of ¥.9 billion and ¥1.8 billion for LIPPC assessments in the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Guaranty Fund Assessments
Under U.S. state guaranty association laws, certain insurance companies can be assessed (up to prescribed limits) for certain obligations to the policyholders and claimants of impaired or insolvent insurance companies that write the same line or similar lines of business. The amount of the guaranty fund assessment that an insurer is assessed is based on its proportionate share of premiums in that state. See Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on guaranty fund assessments.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Liquidity refers to the ability to generate sufficient cash resources to meet the payment obligations of the Company. Capital refers to the long-term financial resources available to support the operations of the businesses, fund business growth and provide for an ability to withstand adverse circumstances. Financial leverage (leverage) refers to an investment strategy of using debt to increase the potential ROE. The Company targets and actively manages liquidity, capital and leverage in the context of a number of considerations, including:
•business investment and growth needs
•strategic growth objectives
•financial flexibility and obligations
•capital support for hedging activity
•a constantly evolving business and economic environment
•a balanced approach to capital allocation and shareholder deployment.
The governance framework supporting liquidity, capital and leverage includes global senior management and board committees that review and approve all significant capital related decisions.
The Company's cash and cash equivalents include unrestricted cash on hand, money market instruments, and other debt instruments with a maturity of 90 days or less when purchased, all of which has minimal market, settlement or other risk exposure. The target minimum amount for the Parent Company’s cash and cash equivalents is approximately $1.8 billion to provide a capital buffer and liquidity support at the holding company. This amount excludes $400 million of proceeds from the issuance of senior sustainability notes in 2021, unallocated proceeds of which contribute to total cash but are not intended to support holding company liquidity. The Company remains committed to prudent liquidity and capital management. At December 31, 2022, the Company held $3.9 billion in cash and cash equivalents for stress conditions, which includes the Parent Company's target minimum amount of $1.8 billion.
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. generate cash flows from their operations and provide the primary sources of liquidity to the Parent Company through management fees and dividends, with Aflac Japan being the largest contributor. The primary uses of cash by the Parent Company are shareholder dividends, the repurchase of its common stock, interest on its outstanding indebtedness and operating expenses.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the amounts provided to the Parent Company for the years ended December 31.
Liquidity Provided by Subsidiaries to Parent Company
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management fees paid by subsidiaries | $ | 136 | $ | 130 | ||
| Dividends declared or paid by subsidiaries | 3,006 | 2,791 |
The following table details Aflac Japan remittances, which are included in the totals above, for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Remittances
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan management fees paid to Parent Company | $ | 61 | $ | 59 | ||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in dollars) | 2,412 | 2,138 | ||||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in yen) | ¥ | 324.2 | ¥ | 236.7 |
The Company intends to maintain higher than historical levels of liquidity and capital at the Parent Company for stress conditions and with the goals of addressing the Company’s hedge costs and related potential need for collateral and mitigating against long-term weakening of the Japanese yen. Further, the Company plans to continue to maintain a portfolio of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments at Aflac Japan and to consider whether the amount of such investments should be increased or decreased relative to the Company’s view of economic equity surplus in Aflac Japan in light of potentially rising hedge costs and other factors. See the Hedging Activity subsection of this MD&A for more information.
The Company believes that its balance of cash and cash equivalents and cash generated by operations will be sufficient to satisfy both its short-term and long-term cash requirements and plans for cash, including material cash requirements from known contractual obligations and returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
In addition to cash and cash equivalents, the Company also maintains credit facilities, both intercompany and with external partners, and a number of other available tools to support liquidity needs on a global basis. In September 2021, the Parent Company filed a shelf registration statement with the SEC that allows the Company to issue an indefinite amount of debt securities, in one or more series, from time to time until September 2024. The Company believes outside sources for additional debt and equity capital, if needed, will continue to be available. Additionally, as of December 31, 2022, the Parent Company and Aflac had four lines of credit with third parties and ten intercompany lines of credit. The Company was in compliance with all of the covenants of its notes payable and lines of credit at December 31, 2022. For additional information, see Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the estimated payments of the Company's material cash requirements from known contractual obligations as of December 31, 2022. The Company translated its yen-denominated obligations using the December 31, 2022, exchange rate. Actual future payments as reported in dollars will fluctuate with changes in the yen/dollar exchange rate.
| (In millions) | Total Liability(1) | Total Payments | Short-term Payments | Long-term Payments | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Future policy benefits liability (Note 7)(2) | $ | 80,749 | $ | 193,394 | $ | 7,763 | $ | 185,631 | ||||||
| Unpaid policy claims liability (Note 7)(3) | 4,561 | 4,555 | 2,862 | 1,693 | ||||||||||
| Other policyholders' funds (Note 7)(4) | 6,123 | 7,533 | 352 | 7,181 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – principal (Note 9) | 7,295 | 7,103 | 0 | 7,103 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – interest (Note 9) | 44 | 2,705 | 165 | 2,540 | ||||||||||
| Cash collateral on loaned securities (Note 3) | 1,809 | 1,809 | 1,809 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Operating service agreements (Note 15) | N/A | 386 | 175 | 211 | ||||||||||
| Operating lease obligations (Note 9) | 139 | 144 | 44 | 100 | ||||||||||
| Finance lease obligations (Note 9) | 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | ||||||||||
| Total contractual obligations | $ | 100,728 | $ | 217,637 | $ | 13,173 | $ | 204,464 |
(1) Liability amounts are those reported on the consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2022.
(2) The estimated payments reflect future estimated cash payments to be made to policyholders and others for future policy benefits. These projected cash outflows are based on assumptions for future policy persistency, mortality, morbidity, and other assumptions comparable with the Company's experience, consider future premium receipts on current policies in force and assume market growth and interest crediting consistent with assumptions used in amortizing deferred acquisition costs. These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest and, as a result, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount. Due to the significance of the assumptions used, actual cash outflow amounts and timing will differ, possibly materially, from these estimates.
(3) The estimated payments include assumptions as to the timing of policyholders reporting claims for prior periods and the amount of those claims. Actual amounts and timing of unpaid policy claims payments may differ significantly from the estimates above.
(4) These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest and, as a result, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount.
For more information on the Company's major contractual obligations, see the applicable Note in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements as indicated in the line items in the table above.
The Company's consolidated financial statements convey its financing arrangements during the periods presented. The Company has not engaged in material intra-period short-term financings during the periods presented that are not otherwise reported in its balance sheet or disclosed therein. As of December 31, 2022, the Company had no material letters of credit, standby letters of credit, guarantees or standby repurchase obligations. The Company has not entered into transactions involving the transfer of financial assets with an obligation to repurchase financial assets that have been accounted for as a sale under applicable accounting standards, including securities lending transactions. See Notes 1, 3, and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the Company's securities lending and derivative activities. With the exception of disclosed activities in those referenced footnotes and the Risk Factors entitled, "The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate" and "Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity," the Company is not aware of any trend, demand, commitment, event or uncertainty that would reasonably result in its liquidity increasing or decreasing by a material amount.
Consolidated Cash Flows
The Company consistently generates positive cash flows from operations, and has the ability to adjust cash flow management from other sources of liquidity including reinvestment cash flows and selling investments in order to meet short-term cash needs.
The Company translates cash flows for Aflac Japan's yen-denominated items into U.S. dollars using weighted-average exchange rates. In years when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars causes fewer dollars to be reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars causes more dollars to be reported.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table summarizes consolidated cash flows by activity for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating activities | $ | 3,879 | $ | 5,051 | ||
| Investing activities | (1,540) | (2,378) | ||||
| Financing activities | (3,551) | (2,739) | ||||
| Exchange effect on cash and cash equivalents | 104 | (24) | ||||
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (1,108) | $ | (90) |
Operating Activities
The principal cash inflows for the Company's insurance activities come from insurance premiums and investment income. The principal cash outflows are the result of policy claims, operating expenses, income tax, as well as interest expense. As a result of policyholder aging, claims payments are expected to gradually increase over the life of a policy. Therefore, future policy benefit reserves are accumulated in the early years of a policy and are designed to help fund future claims payments.
The Company expects its future cash flows from premiums and investment portfolios to be sufficient to meet its cash needs for benefits and expenses. Consolidated cash flow from operations decreased 23.2% in 2022, compared with 2021.
Investing Activities
The Company's investment objectives provide for liquidity primarily through the purchase of publicly traded investment-grade debt securities. Prudent portfolio management dictates that the Company attempts to match the duration of its assets with the duration of its liabilities. Currently, when the Company's fixed maturity securities mature, the proceeds may be reinvested at a yield below that required for the accretion of policy benefit liabilities on policies issued in earlier years. However, the long-term nature of the Company's business and its strong cash flows provide the Company with the ability to minimize the effect of mismatched durations and/or yields identified by various asset adequacy analyses. From time to time or when market opportunities arise, the Company disposes of selected fixed maturity securities that are available for sale to improve the duration matching of assets and liabilities, improve future investment yields, and/or re-balance its portfolio. As a result, dispositions before maturity can vary significantly from year to year.
As part of its overall corporate strategy, the Company has committed $400 million to Aflac Ventures, LLC (Aflac Ventures), as opportunities emerge. Aflac Ventures is a subsidiary of Aflac Global Ventures, LLC (Aflac Global Ventures) which is reported in Corporate and other. The central mission of Aflac Global Ventures is to support the organic growth and business development needs of Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. with an emphasis on digital applications designed to improve the customer experience, gain efficiencies, and develop new markets in an effort to enhance and defend long-term shareholder value. Investments are included in equity securities or the other investments line in the consolidated balance sheets.
As part of an arrangement with Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta (FHLB), Aflac U.S. obtains low-cost funding from FHLB supported by acceptable forms of collateral pledged by Aflac U.S. In 2022, Aflac U.S. borrowed and repaid $599 million under this program. As of December 31, 2022, Aflac U.S. had outstanding borrowings of $609 million reported in its balance sheet.
See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for details on certain investment commitments.
Financing Activities
Cash flows from financing activities consist primarily of share repurchases, dividends to shareholders and from time to time debt issuances and redemptions.
In October 2022, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from its September 2022 issuance of various series of senior notes to redeem $450 million of its 3.25% senior notes due March 2025.
In September 2022, the Parent Company issued four series of senior notes totaling ¥73.0 billion through a public debt offering under its U.S. shelf registration statement. The first series, which totaled ¥33.4 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.075% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in September 2029. The second series, which totaled
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
¥21.1 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.320% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in December 2032. The third series, which totaled ¥6.5 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.594% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in September 2037. The fourth series, which totaled ¥12.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 2.144% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in September 2052. These notes are redeemable at the Parent Company’s option at any time, in whole but not in part, upon the occurrence of certain changes affecting U.S. taxation, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the issuance. In addition, the notes maturing in September 2029, December 2032 and September 2037 are redeemable at the Parent Company's option, in whole or in part from time to time, on or after June 14, 2029, June 14, 2032 and March 14, 2037, respectively, at a redemption price equal to the aggregate principal amount of the applicable series to be redeemed plus accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount to be redeemed to, but excluding, the date of redemption.
In September 2022, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from its September 2022 issuance of various series of senior notes and the August 2022 senior term loan facility to redeem $750 million of its 3.625% senior notes due November 2024.
In August 2022, the Parent Company renewed a senior term loan facility with a commitment amount totaling ¥107.0 billion. The first tranche of the facility, which totaled ¥11.7 billion, bears interest at a rate per annum equal to the Tokyo interbank market rate (TIBOR), or alternate TIBOR, if applicable, plus the applicable TIBOR margin and will mature in August 2027. The applicable margin ranges between .225% and .625%, depending on the Parent Company's debt ratings as of the date of determination. The second tranche, which totaled ¥25.3 billion, bears interest at a rate per annum equal to TIBOR, or alternate TIBOR, if applicable, plus the applicable TIBOR margin and will mature in August 2029. The applicable margin ranges between .325% and .725%, depending on the Parent Company's debt ratings as of the date of determination. The third tranche, which totaled ¥70.0 billion, bears interest at a rate per annum equal to TIBOR, or alternate TIBOR, if applicable, plus the applicable TIBOR margin and will mature in August 2032. The applicable margin ranges between .475% and 1.025%, depending on the Parent Company's debt ratings as of the date of determination.
In May 2021, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from the April 2021 issuance of its various series of senior notes to redeem $700 million of its 3.625% senior notes due June 2023.
In April 2021, the Parent Company issued five series of senior notes totaling ¥82.0 billion through a public debt offering under its then existing U.S. shelf registration statement. The first series, which totaled ¥30.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .633% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2031. The second series, which totaled ¥12.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .844% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2033. The third series, which totaled ¥10.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.039% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2036. The fourth series, which totaled ¥10.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.264% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2041. The fifth series, which totaled ¥20.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.560% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2051. The notes are redeemable at the Parent Company’s option (i) at any time, in whole but not in part, upon the occurrence of certain changes affecting U.S. taxation, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the issuance or (ii) on or after the date that is six months prior to the stated maturity date of the series, in whole or in part, at a redemption price equal to the aggregate principal amount to be redeemed plus accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount to be redeemed to, but excluding, the date of redemption.
In March 2021, the Parent Company issued $400 million of senior sustainability notes through a U.S. public debt offering. The notes bear interest at a fixed rate of 1.125% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2026. The Company intends, but is not contractually committed, to allocate an amount at least equivalent to the net proceeds from this issuance exclusively to existing or future investments in, or financing of, assets, businesses or projects that meet the eligibility criteria of the Company's sustainability bond framework described in the offering documentation in connection with such notes. These notes are redeemable at the Parent Company's option in whole at any time or in part from time to time at a redemption price equal to the greater of: (i) the aggregate principal amount of the notes to be redeemed or (ii) the amount equal to the sum of the present values of the remaining scheduled payments for principal of and interest on the notes to be redeemed, not including any portion of the payments of interest accrued as of such redemption date, discounted to such redemption date on a semiannual basis at the yield to maturity for a U.S. Treasury security with a maturity comparable to the remaining term of the notes, plus 10 basis points, plus in each case, accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount of the notes to be redeemed to, but excluding, such redemption date.
See Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the debt issuances discussed above.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Cash returned to shareholders through treasury stock purchases and dividends was $3.4 billion in 2022, compared with $3.2 billion in 2021.
The following tables present a summary of treasury stock activity during the years ended December 31.
Treasury Stock Purchased
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treasury stock purchases | $ | 2,401 | $ | 2,301 | ||
| Number of shares purchased: | ||||||
| Share repurchase program | 39,187 | 43,327 | ||||
| Other | 370 | 437 | ||||
| Total shares purchased | 39,557 | 43,764 |
Treasury Stock Issued
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock issued from treasury: | ||||||
| Cash financing | $ | 17 | $ | 26 | ||
| Noncash financing | 57 | 55 | ||||
| Total stock issued from treasury | $ | 74 | $ | 81 | ||
| Number of shares issued | 1,341 | 1,721 |
In November 2022, the Company's board of directors authorized the purchase of an additional 100 million shares of its common stock. As of December 31, 2022, a remaining balance of 116.6 million shares of the Company's common stock was available for purchase under share repurchase authorizations by its board of directors. See Note 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
In August 2022, the IRA was signed into U.S. law. Effective January 1, 2023, the law imposes a 1% excise tax on the Company's repurchase of its common stock.
Cash dividends paid to shareholders in 2022 of $1.60 per share increased 21.2% over 2021. The following table presents the dividend activity for the years ended December 31.
Dividends Paid to Shareholders
| (In millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividends paid in cash | $ | 979 | $ | 855 | ||
| Dividends through issuance of treasury shares | 37 | 32 | ||||
| Total dividends to shareholders | $ | 1,016 | $ | 887 |
In November 2022, the board of directors announced a 5.0% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, effective with the first quarter of 2023. The first quarter 2023 cash dividend of $.42 per share is payable on March 1, 2023, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 15, 2023.
Regulatory Restrictions
Aflac Japan
Aflac Japan is required to meet certain financial criteria as governed by Japanese corporate law in order to provide dividends to the Parent Company. Under these criteria, dividend capacity at the Japan subsidiary is basically defined as total equity excluding common stock, accumulated other comprehensive income amounts, capital reserves (representing statutorily required amounts in Japan) but reduced for net after-tax unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities. These dividend capacity requirements are generally aligned with the SMR. Japan's FSA maintains its own solvency standard which is quantified through the SMR. Aflac Japan's SMR is sensitive to interest rate, credit spread, and foreign exchange rate changes, therefore the Company considers different ways to offset significant declines in SMR, including
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
the reduction of subsidiary dividends paid to the Parent Company and Parent Company capital contributions. In the event of a rapid change in market risk conditions causing SMR to decline, the Company has one senior unsecured revolving credit facility in the amount of ¥100 billion and a committed reinsurance facility in the amount of approximately ¥120 billion as a capital contingency plan. Additionally, the Company could take action to enter into derivatives on unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments with foreign currency options or forwards. See Notes 8 and 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
The Company has already undertaken various measures to mitigate the sensitivity of Aflac Japan's SMR. For example, the Company employs policy reserve matching (PRM) investment strategies, which is a Japan-specific accounting treatment that reduces SMR interest rate sensitivity since PRM-designated investments are carried at amortized cost consistent with corresponding liabilities. In order for a PRM-designated asset to be held at amortized cost, there are certain criteria that must be maintained. The primary criterion relates to maintaining the duration of designated assets and liabilities within a specified tolerance range. If the duration difference is not maintained within the specified range without rebalancing, then a certain portion of the assets must be re-classified as available for sale and held at fair value with any associated unrealized gain or loss recorded in surplus. To rebalance, assets may need to be sold in order to maintain the duration with the specified range, resulting in realizing a gain or loss from the sale. For U.S. GAAP, PRM investments are categorized as available for sale. The Company also uses foreign currency derivatives to hedge a portion of its U.S. dollar-denominated investments. See Notes 3, 4 and 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's investment strategies, hedging activities, and reinsurance, respectively.
Aflac Japan's SMR ratio remains high and reflects a strong capital and surplus position. As of December 31, 2022, Aflac Japan's SMR was 878%, compared with 1,012% at December 31, 2021. The Company is committed to maintaining strong capital levels, consistent with maintaining current insurance financial strength and credit ratings.
The FSA is considering the introduction of an economic value-based solvency regime based on the Insurance Capital Standards (ICS) for insurance companies in Japan. The FSA is currently conducting field testing with insurance companies in Japan for the purpose of investigating the impact of the introduction of regulations. The FSA published provisional specifications in June 2022. Final specifications are expected to be decided in 2024, and a new capital regime to replace the current solvency regime is expected to be introduced in 2025.
Aflac U.S.
A life insurance company’s statutory capital and surplus is determined according to rules prescribed by the NAIC, as modified by the insurance department in the insurance company’s state of domicile. Statutory accounting rules are different from U.S. GAAP and are intended to emphasize policyholder protection and company solvency. The continued long-term growth of the Company's business may require increases in the statutory capital and surplus of its insurance operations. The Company's insurance operations may secure additional statutory capital through various sources, such as internally generated statutory earnings, reduced dividends paid to the Parent Company, capital contributions by the Parent Company from funds generated through debt or equity offerings, or reinsurance transactions. The NAIC’s RBC formula is used by insurance regulators to help identify inadequately capitalized insurance companies. The RBC formula quantifies insurance risk, business risk, asset risk and interest rate risk by weighing the types and mixtures of risks inherent in the insurer’s operations.
The combined RBC ratio for Aflac U.S. as of December 31, 2022 was 732%, compared with 659% as of December 31, 2021. The Company calculates its combined RBC ratio to include all U.S. regulated life insurance entities as if a single combined U.S. RBC entity net of intercompany items related to capital resources and risk. The Company intends to maintain a target combined RBC over time of approximately 400% for Aflac U.S., consistent with the Company's risk management practices.
The table below presents RBC ratios for the Company’s U.S. life insurance subsidiaries as of December 31, the most recently statutory fiscal year-end for the subsidiaries for which RBC was filed.
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac | 692 | % | 635 | % | |
| CAIC | 1,056 | 832 | |||
| TOIC | 4,321 | 5,829 | |||
| Aflac New York | 859 | 1,089 |
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The NAIC completed its Solvency Modernization Initiative (SMI) process relating to updating the U.S. insurance solvency regulation framework. The SMI focused on key issues such as capital requirements, governance and risk management, group supervision, reinsurance, statutory accounting and financial reporting matters. The NAIC still has some ongoing initiatives related to SMI, such as monitoring the international efforts on group capital requirements as well as RBC. The NAIC utilizes a group capital calculation (GCC) that conceptually uses an RBC aggregation methodology for all entities within the insurance company holding system. The GCC is intended to be a regulatory tool used by regulators as a means to standardize group capital requirements. In 2021, the NAIC concluded its analysis of bond factor changes and formally adopted the new factors as proposed by Moody’s Analytics. This initiative expanded the RBC bond factors from six designations to 20 designations to more closely align with rating scales used by rating agencies. The adopted changes did not have a significant impact on the combined RBC ratio for Aflac U.S.
Aflac, CAIC and TOIC are domiciled in Nebraska and are subject to its regulations. The NDOI imposes certain limitations and restrictions on payments of dividends, management fees, loans and advances to the Parent Company. Under Nebraska insurance law, prior approval of the NDOI is required for dividend distributions that exceed the greater of the net income from operations, which excludes net investment gains, for the previous year determined under statutory accounting principles, or 10% of statutory capital and surplus as of the previous year-end. Dividends declared by Aflac during 2023 in excess of $1.1 billion would be considered extraordinary and require such approval. Similar laws apply in New York, the domiciliary jurisdiction of Aflac New York.
Privacy and Cybersecurity Governance
The Company’s Board of Directors has adopted an information security policy directing management to establish and operate a global information security program with the goals of monitoring existing and emerging threats and ensuring that the Company’s information assets and data, and the data of its customers, are appropriately protected from loss or theft. The Board has delegated oversight of the Company’s information security program to the Audit and Risk Committee. The Company’s senior officers, including its Global Security and Chief Information Security Officer, are responsible for the operation of the global information security program and communicates quarterly with the Audit and Risk Committee on the program, including with respect to the state of the program, compliance with applicable regulations, current and evolving threats, and recommendations for changes in the information security program. The global information security program also includes a cybersecurity incident response plan that is designed to provide a management framework across Company functions for a coordinated assessment and response to potential security incidents. This framework establishes a protocol to report certain incidents to the Global Security and Chief Information Security Officer and other senior officers, with the goal of timely assessing such incidents, determining applicable disclosure requirements and communicating with the Audit and Risk Committee. The incident response plan directs the executive officers to report certain incidents immediately and directly to the Lead Non-Management Director.
Other
For information regarding commitments and contingent liabilities, see Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Additional Information
Investors should note that the Company announces material financial information in its SEC filings, press releases and public conference calls. In accordance with SEC guidance, the Company may also use the Investor Relations section of the Company's website (http://investors.aflac.com) to communicate with investors about the Company. It is possible that the financial and other information the Company posts there could be deemed to be material information. The information on the Company's website is not part of this document. Further, the Company's references to website URLs are intended to be inactive textual references only.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The Company prepares its financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These principles are established primarily by the FASB. In this MD&A, references to U.S. GAAP issued by the FASB are derived from the FASB Accounting Standards Codification™ (ASC). The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires the Company to make estimates based on currently available information when recording transactions resulting from business operations. The estimates that the Company deems to be most critical to an understanding of its results of operations and financial condition are those related to the valuation of investments and derivatives, DAC, liabilities for future policy benefits and unpaid policy claims, and income taxes. The preparation and evaluation of these critical accounting estimates involve the use of various assumptions developed from management’s analyses and judgments. The
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
application of these critical accounting estimates determines the values at which 93% of the Company's assets and 80% of its liabilities are reported as of December 31, 2022, and thus has a direct effect on net earnings and shareholders' equity. Subsequent experience or use of other assumptions could produce significantly different results.
Valuation of Investments, Including Derivatives
The Company's investments, primarily consisting of debt and equity securities, include both publicly issued and privately issued securities. For publicly issued securities, the Company determines the fair values from quoted market prices readily available from public exchange markets and price quotes and valuations from third party pricing vendors. For the majority of privately issued securities and derivatives associated with VIEs within the Company's investment portfolio, a third party pricing vendor has developed valuation models that the Company utilizes to determine fair values. Starting in June 2021 and July 2022, respectively, these models and associated processes and controls were transitioned to and executed by Company personnel. For the remaining privately issued securities, the Company uses non-binding price quotes from outside brokers. The Company has refined its valuation model for private placements to explicitly incorporate currency basis swap adjustments (market observable data) to assumed interest rate curves where appropriate.
The Company estimates the fair values of its securities on a monthly basis. The Company monitors the estimated fair values obtained from its pricing vendors and brokers for consistency from month to month, while considering current market conditions. The Company also periodically discusses with its pricing brokers and vendors the pricing techniques they use to monitor the consistency of their approach and periodically assess the appropriateness of the valuation level assigned to the values obtained from them. If a fair value appears unreasonable, the Company will re-examine the inputs and assess the reasonableness of the pricing data with the vendor. Additionally, the Company may compare the inputs to relevant market indices and other performance measurements. Based on management's analysis, the valuation is confirmed or may be revised if there is evidence of a more appropriate estimate of fair value based on available market data. The Company has performed verification of the inputs and calculations in any valuation models to confirm that the valuations represent reasonable estimates of fair value. Inputs used to value derivatives include, but are not limited to, interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency forward and spot rates, and interest volatility.
The Company estimates an expected lifetime credit loss on investments measured at amortized cost including held-to-maturity fixed maturity securities, loan receivables and loan commitments on a quarterly basis. For the Company’s available-for-sale fixed maturity securities, the Company evaluates estimated credit losses only when the fair value of the available-for-sale fixed maturity security is below its amortized cost basis
The Company’s approach to estimating credit losses is complex and incorporates significant judgments. In addition to a security, or an asset class, or an issuer-specific credit fundamentals, it considers past events, current economic conditions and forecasts of future economic conditions. The Company's estimates are revised as conditions change and new information becomes available.
See the tabular disclosure entitled "Sensitivity of Fair Values of Financial Instruments to Interest Rate Change" in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk and Notes 1, 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Policy Liabilities
Insurance premiums for most of the Company's health and life policies, including cancer, accident, hospital, critical illness, dental, vision, term life, whole life, long-term care and disability, are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods of the contracts when due from policyholders. When earned premiums are reported, the related amounts of benefits and expenses are charged against such revenues, so that profits are recognized in proportion to earned premiums during the period the policies are expected to remain in force. This association is accomplished by means of annual additions to the liability for future policy benefits and the deferral and subsequent amortization of policy acquisition costs.
Premiums from the Company's products with limited-pay features, including term life, whole life, WAYS, and child endowment, are collected over a significantly shorter period than the period over which benefits are provided. Premiums for these products are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods of the contracts when due from policyholders. Any gross premium in excess of the net premium is deferred and recorded in earnings, such that profits are recognized in a constant relationship with insurance in force. Benefits are recorded as an expense when they are incurred. A liability for future policy benefits is recorded when premiums are recognized using the net premium method.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
The calculation of DAC and the liability for future policy benefits requires the use of estimates based on sound actuarial valuation techniques. For new policy issues, the Company reviews its actuarial assumptions and deferrable acquisition costs each year and revise them when necessary to more closely reflect recent experience and studies of actual acquisition costs. For policies in force, the Company evaluates DAC by major product groupings to determine that they are recoverable from future revenues, and any amounts determined not to be recoverable are charged against net earnings. See Note 6 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for a detail of the DAC activity for the past two years.
Policy Liabilities
The Company's policy liabilities, which are determined in accordance with applicable guidelines as defined under U.S. GAAP and Actuarial Standards of Practice, include two components that involve analysis and judgment: future policy benefits and unpaid policy claims, which accounted for 87% and 5% of total policy liabilities as of December 31, 2022, respectively.
Future policy benefits provide for claims that will occur in the future and are generally calculated as the present value of future expected benefits to be incurred less the present value of future expected net benefit premiums. The Company calculates future policy benefits based on assumptions of morbidity, mortality, persistency and interest. These assumptions are generally established and considered locked at the time a policy is issued. The assumptions used in the calculations are closely related to those used in developing the gross premiums for a policy. As required by U.S. GAAP, the Company also includes a provision for adverse deviation, which is intended to accommodate adverse fluctuations in actual experience. These assumptions may only be unlocked in certain circumstances based on the results of periodic DAC recoverability and premium deficiency testing.
Unpaid policy claims include those claims that have been incurred and are in the process of payment as well as an estimate of those claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. The Company computes unpaid policy claims on a non-discounted basis using statistical analyses of historical claims payments, adjusted for current trends and changed conditions. The Company updates the assumptions underlying the estimate of unpaid policy claims regularly and incorporates its historical experience as well as other data that provides information regarding the Company's outstanding liability.
The Company's insurance products provide fixed-benefit amounts per occurrence that are not subject to medical-cost inflation. Furthermore, the Company's business is widely dispersed in both the U.S. and Japan. This geographic dispersion and the nature of the Company's benefit structure mitigate the risk of a significant unexpected increase in claims payments due to localized epidemics and events of a catastrophic nature. Claims incurred under the Company's policies are generally reported and paid in a relatively short time frame. The unpaid claims liability is sensitive to morbidity assumptions, in particular, severity and frequency of claims. Severity is the ultimate size of a claim, and frequency is the number of claims incurred. The Company's claims experience is primarily related to the demographics of its policyholders.
As a part of its established financial reporting and accounting practices and controls, the Company performs detailed annual actuarial reviews of its policyholder liabilities (gross premium valuation analysis) and reflects the results of those reviews in its results of operations and financial condition as required by U.S. GAAP. For Aflac Japan, the Company’s annual reviews in 2022 and 2021 indicated no need to strengthen liabilities associated with policies in Japan. For Aflac U.S., the Company's annual reviews in 2022 and 2021 indicated no need to strengthen liabilities associated with policies in the U.S.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The table below reflects the growth of the future policy benefits liability for the years ended December 31.
Future Policy Benefits
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac U.S. | $ | 9,960 | $ | 9,865 | ||
| Growth rate | 1.0 | % | 2.0 | % | ||
| Aflac Japan | $ | 71,150 | $ | 81,176 | ||
| Growth rate | (12.4) | % | (8.4) | % | ||
| Consolidated | $ | 80,749 | $ | 90,588 | ||
| Growth rate | (10.9) | % | (7.4) | % | ||
| Yen/dollar exchange rate (end of period) | 132.70 | 115.02 | ||||
| Aflac Japan | ¥ | 9,442 | ¥ | 9,337 | ||
| Growth rate | 1.1 | % | 1.8 | % |
The growth of the future policy benefits liability in yen for Aflac Japan and in dollars for Aflac U.S. has been due to the aging of the Company's in-force block of business and the addition of new business.
The following table summarizes certain significant assumptions made in establishing reserves for the Company's products and the net impact that could result from changes in these assumptions should they occur. Under U.S. GAAP, the Company's reserves for its limited pay and long duration contracts are primarily calculated using locked-in assumptions. As such, the adverse hypothetical impacts illustrated in the table below are those that would increase the Company's best estimate reserves, but would not result in a premium deficiency requiring strengthening of reserves or write-off of DAC. The favorable hypothetical impacts in the table below would decrease the Company's best estimate reserves but they would not result in an immediate decrease to its U.S. GAAP reserves (given that the Company would be required to leave the current assumptions locked in); rather, the positive impacts would be recognized in net earnings over the life of the policies in force.
The information below is for illustrative purposes and includes the impacts of changes in a single assumption and not changes in any combination of assumptions. As a result of emerging experience, changes in current assumptions and the related impact that could result in the listed financial statement balances that are in excess of the amounts illustrated may occur in future periods.
| Assumption | Current Assumption | Assumption Change | Increase (Decrease) in Best Estimate Reserves (in millions) (1) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment return | Expected portfolio book yields over the life of the business | Increase 25 basis points / Decrease 25 basis points | $(2,102) to $2,277 | |||
| Expected future claim payments / base mortality | Pricing expectations adjusted to best estimate based on Company experience | Increase / Decrease Expected Future Claim Payments: +5% to -5% | $4,994 to $(4,994) | |||
| Total termination rates | Pricing expectations adjusted to best estimate based on Company experience | Increase / Decrease Expected Total Termination Rates: +5% to -5% | $(434) to $600 |
(1) Best estimate reserves are equal to the present value of claims, cash values, expenses, and commissions minus the present value of gross premiums, using current best estimate assumptions.
In computing the estimate of unpaid policy claims, the Company considers many factors, including the benefits and amounts available under the policy; the volume and demographics of the policies exposed to claims; and internal business practices, such as incurred date assignment and current claim administrative practices. The Company monitors these conditions closely and makes adjustments to the liability as actual experience emerges. Claim levels are generally stable from period to period; however, fluctuations in claim levels may occur. In calculating the unpaid policy claim liability, the Company does not calculate a range of estimates. The following table shows the expected sensitivity of the unpaid policy claims liability as of December 31, 2022, to changes in severity and frequency of claims.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Sensitivity of Unpaid Policy Claims Liability
| (In millions) | Total Severity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Frequency | Decrease by 2% | Decrease by 1% | Unchanged | Increase by 1% | Increase by 2% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Increase by 2% | $ | (1) | $ | 24 | $ | 49 | $ | 74 | $ | 99 | |||||||||||||||||
| Increase by 1% | (25) | 0 | 24 | 49 | 74 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Unchanged | (49) | (24) | 0 | 24 | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Decrease by 1% | (73) | (49) | (24) | 0 | 24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Decrease by 2% | (97) | (73) | (49) | (25) | (1) |
Other policy liabilities, which accounted for 9% of total policy liabilities as of December 31, 2022, consisted primarily of annuity and unearned premium reserves, and discounted advance premiums on deposit from policyholders in conjunction with their purchase of certain Aflac Japan insurance products. These advanced premiums are deferred upon collection and recognized as earned premiums over the contractual premium payment period. Advanced premiums represented 11% and 15% of the December 31, 2022 and 2021 other policy liabilities balances, respectively. See the Aflac Japan segment subsection of this MD&A for further information.
Income Taxes
Income tax provisions are generally based on pretax earnings reported for financial statement purposes, which differ from those amounts used in preparing the Company's income tax returns. Deferred income taxes are recognized for temporary differences between the financial reporting basis and income tax basis of assets and liabilities, based on enacted tax laws and statutory tax rates applicable to the periods in which the Company expects the temporary differences to reverse. The evaluation of a tax position in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a two-step process. Under the first step, the enterprise determines whether it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The second step is measurement, whereby a tax position that meets the more-likely-than-not recognition threshold is measured to determine the amount of benefit to recognize in the financial statements. A valuation allowance is established for deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that an amount will not be realized. The determination of a valuation allowance for deferred tax assets requires management to make certain judgments and assumptions.
In evaluating the ability to recover deferred tax assets, the Company's management considers all available evidence, including taxable income in open carry back years, the existence of cumulative losses in the most recent years, forecasted earnings, future taxable income exclusive of reversing temporary differences and carryforwards, future taxable temporary difference reversals, and prudent and feasible tax planning strategies. In the event the Company determines it is not more likely than not that it will be able to realize all or part of its deferred tax assets in the future, a valuation allowance would be charged to earnings in the period such determination is made. Likewise, if it is later determined that it is more likely than not that those deferred tax assets would be realized, the previously provided valuation allowance would be reversed. Future economic conditions and market volatility, including increases in interest rates or widening credit spreads, can adversely impact the Company’s tax planning strategies and in particular the Company’s ability to utilize tax benefits on previously recognized capital losses. The Company's judgments and assumptions are subject to change given the inherent uncertainty in predicting future performance and specific industry and investment market conditions.
Aflac Japan holds certain U.S. dollar-denominated assets in a DST. These assets are mostly comprised of various U.S. dollar-denominated commercial mortgage loans. The functional currency of the DST for U.S. tax purposes was historically the Japanese yen. In 2022, the Company requested a change in tax accounting method through the Internal Revenue Service's automatic consent procedures to change its functional currency on the DST for U.S. tax purposes to the U.S. dollar. As a result, foreign currency translation gains or losses on assets held in the DST will no longer be recognized for U.S. tax purposes. The Company historically recorded a deferred tax liability for foreign currency translation gains on the DST assets, which was released in the third quarter of 2022 as a result of the functional currency change and subsequently adjusted for foreign currency impacts in the fourth quarter of 2022. This change in functional currency resulted in the Company recognizing an income tax benefit of $452 million ($0.71 per basic and diluted share, respectively) in 2022.
An increase or decrease in the Company's effective tax rate by one percentage point would have resulted in an increase or decrease in the Company's 2022 income tax expense of $42 million.
For additional information on income tax, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements presented in this report.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Future Adoption of Accounting Standard for Long-Duration Insurance Contracts
In August 2018, the FASB issued Accounting Standards Update (ASU) 2018-12, “Financial Services - Insurance, Targeted Improvements to the Accounting for Long-Duration Contracts” (LDTI). The update significantly changes how insurers account for long-duration contracts and amends existing recognition, measurement, presentation, and disclosure requirements applicable to the Company. Issues addressed in the new guidance include: 1) a requirement to review and, if there is a change, update cash flow assumptions for the liability for future policy benefits (LFPB) at least annually, and to update the discount rate assumption quarterly, 2) accounting for market risk benefits at fair value, 3) simplified amortization for deferred acquisition costs, and 4) enhanced financial statement presentation and disclosures. The Company has no products with market risk benefits.
Since the initial issuance, the FASB has deferred the ASU effective date for two years, such that the amendments are now effective for the Company for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, beginning after December 15, 2022. The amended guidance is to be applied as of the beginning of the earliest period presented, beginning on the January 1, 2021 transition date (Transition Date).
The Company will conclude implementation efforts and adopt the amendments as of January 1, 2023. The adoption will have a significant impact on the Company’s financial position, results of operations, and disclosures. The requirement to update assumptions for the LFPB will have a significant impact on the Company's results of operations, systems, processes and controls and the requirement to update discount rates will have a significant impact on its AOCI and equity.
There are two permitted transition methods upon adoption and the Company has selected the modified retrospective transition method. The new guidance requires that discount rates used for the discounting of insurance liabilities be initially adjusted on the adoption date and subsequently at each reporting period to the market levels for the upper-medium-grade (low credit risk) fixed income instrument yields (single-A in the currency of the underlying insurance contract) reflecting the duration of the Company’s insurance liabilities.
The primary impact on transition under the modified retrospective method is driven by updating discount rates that increase reserves and lower AOCI by the corresponding amount, net of tax. The Transition Date impact from adoption will result in a decrease in AOCI of approximately $18.6 billion and a decrease in retained earnings of approximately $-0.3 billion. The impact to AOCI results from updating discount rate assumptions from the rates locked in for reserves held as of the Transition Date to rates determined by reference to the Transition Date market level yields for upper-medium-grade (low credit risk) fixed income instruments (as of December 31, 2020). The decrease in AOCI as of January 1, 2023 will be reduced to approximately $2.1 billion due to rising interest rates and a weakening of the yen.
As discussed in detail in Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements, the Company has designed its discount rate methodology for both the U.S. and Japan insurance business. Under the provisions of the new ASU, discount rates are updated each reporting period.
The impact to the Company’s reported financial statements under U.S. GAAP is greatly influenced by the nature of the Company’s business model. Adoption of the new guidance reflects the Company’s concentration in Japan third-sector business, in particular cancer insurance, with respect to which the duration of liabilities is materially longer than asset durations, while Japan’s aggregate block of business continues to see favorable experience from mortality, morbidity, and expenses. The long duration of the Company’s third-sector insurance liabilities in Japan coupled with limited-to-no-liquidity of the Japanese long-dated fixed-income market creates challenges in application of the market-based discount rate guidance and requires the Company to apply significant judgments in the discount rate methodologies for its Japanese third-sector liabilities. Under the modified retrospective method, the impact of a low discount rate applied to long-duration third sector liabilities is recognized at adoption, while associated favorable morbidity margins are recognized over time thus driving a pronounced timing impact to U.S. GAAP equity. In addition, with respect to the Japan segment, the Company maintains a large portfolio of assets designated as held-to-maturity (HTM) as a strategy to reduce capital (solvency margin ratio or SMR) volatility. In a low interest rate environment, such as presently exists in Japan, assets designated as HTM that were purchased in a higher interest rate environment have significant embedded gains not reflected in AOCI (HTM securities are carried at amortized cost under U.S. GAAP), which serves as an economic offset to a low discount rate applied to policy liabilities. At December 31, 2022, the Company’s HTM portfolio was $19.1 billion at amortized cost and had $2.2 billion in net unrealized gains. As of December 31, 2020 (just prior to the January 1, 2021 Transition Date), the Company’s HTM portfolio was $24.5 billion at amortized cost and had $5.9 billion in net unrealized gains. After adoption of ASU 2018-12, the Company also expects net earnings and net earnings per share to reflect larger quarterly fluctuations in periods that the future cash flow assumptions are updated, which are used to calculate the liability for future policy benefits. See Note 1 of Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
impacts to the Company's consolidated statements of earnings for the years ended December 31, 2022, and 2021, as restated under LDTI.
The following table presents the expected impacts from the adoption of ASU 2018-12 to the Company's previously reported operating ratios for the years ended December 31.
| As Reported | As Adjusted | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||||
| Aflac Japan: (1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Ratios to total premiums: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Benefits and claims, net | 68.8 | % | 67.0 | % | 67.4 | % | 67.9 | % | ||||||||||
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 21.5 | 21.6 | 20.3 | 20.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Aflac U.S.: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Ratios to total premiums: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Benefits and claims, net | 43.8 | % | 43.6 | % | 45.9 | % | 47.0 | % | ||||||||||
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 41.9 | 39.5 | 39.7 | 38.4 |
(1) Includes the impact of the deferred profit liability reclassification discussed in Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
For the year ended December 31, 2022, as restated under the new ASU, benefit ratios are lower for Aflac Japan and higher for Aflac U.S., while expense ratios are modestly lower due to amortizing deferred acquisition costs at a slower rate. This results in a modestly higher pretax profit margin for Aflac Japan and a slightly higher pretax profit margin for Aflac U.S.
For the year ended December 31, 2021, as restated under the new ASU, benefit ratios are higher for Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S., while expense ratios are modestly lower due to amortizing deferred acquisition costs at a slower rate. This results in a slightly higher pretax profit margin for Aflac Japan and a modestly lower pretax profit margin for Aflac U.S.
Prior to adoption of the ASU, pandemic-related low claim experience is recognized in earnings in the reporting period when low claims are experienced, whereas under the new ASU, this pandemic-related low claim experience is recognized in line with experience-related remeasurement and potentially through annual assumptions updates, i.e., partially during the reporting period with the remainder recognized over the remaining expected life of each cohort.
The Company has created a robust governance framework to support implementation of the updated standard. As part of its implementation, the Company has made relevant policy elections, which are outlined in Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The Company has also completed the modernization of its actuarial technology platform to enhance its modeling, data management, experience study and analytical capabilities, increase the end-to-end automation of key reporting and analytical processes and optimize its control framework. The Company has also put in place internal controls related to the new processes created as part of implementing the updated standard.
The adoption of this new accounting guidance will not impact financial statements for Aflac Japan under FSA requirements or for Aflac U.S. under applicable statutory requirements. Therefore, adoption of the updated standard does not impact the Company's overall cash flows, subsidiaries’ dividend capacity or their ability to meet applicable regulatory capital standards, nor does it affect the Company's existing debt covenants or strategies for capital deployment.
New Accounting Pronouncements
During the last three years, various accounting standard-setting bodies have been active in soliciting comments and issuing statements, interpretations and exposure drafts. For information on new accounting pronouncements and the impact, if any, on the Company's financial position or results of operations, see Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
FY 2021 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000004977-22-000058.
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
COVID-19
The impact of the COVID-19 global pandemic on the Company continues to evolve. Both Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. have taken measures to address employee health and safety and increase employees’ ability to develop and maintain more flexible working conditions, with return to office undertaken as warranted by local conditions, and operations have remained stable throughout 2021. The Company continues to monitor its investment portfolios to adjust to market conditions, including the continuing recovery, changes in monetary policy and inflation. Both Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. have accelerated investments in digital initiatives to improve productivity, efficiency and customer service over the long term.
In 2021, sales for Aflac Japan in yen terms increased 7.7%, compared to 2020, reflecting the launch of a new medical product in January 2021 and a new nursing care product in September 2021, and favorable comparisons due to pandemic conditions in 2020. In 2021, sales for Aflac U.S. increased 16.9%, compared to 2020, reflecting increased sales activity as a result of the ongoing economic reopening in the U.S. and favorable comparisons due to pandemic conditions in 2020.
Pandemic-related claims and associated reserve increases in both Japan and the U.S. did not materially impact financial results in 2021 and were more than offset by a reduction in claims related to non-COVID-19 medical needs. The pandemic’s impact on economic conditions contributed to sales declines in 2020 and headwinds to sales in 2021, pressuring premium growth rates, which have been partially offset by lower lapse rates in the U.S. The Company has not experienced material realized losses or impairments and credit losses associated with the pandemic. The Company continues to monitor the effects and risks of COVID-19, including its variants (both known and emerging), to assess its impact on economic conditions in Japan and the U.S. and on the Company's business, financial condition, results of operations, liquidity and capital position. Those impacts may cause changes to estimates of future earnings, capital deployment, regulatory capital position, segment dividend payout ratios and other measures the Company provides in this MD&A.
The Company’s efforts and other developments are outlined below.
•Investment Portfolio
The Company's investment portfolio was well-positioned entering the crisis, and the Company continues to follow its strategy of investing primarily in fixed maturity securities to generate a reliable stream of income. Fundamental credit analysis and actively managing the risk profile of the portfolio contributed to the current quality of the Company’s investments. Economic and market conditions have continued to improve since the onset of the pandemic. The continued path of the recovery remains uncertain given the potential longer term impacts of the pandemic. This includes structural changes in employment patterns which are impacting multiple sectors of the economy and contributing to disruptions in the global supply chain, triggering price increases across several areas of the broader economy. Supply shortages, upward pressure on wages to attract employees and higher commodity prices have all driven near-term increases in inflation. It remains unclear whether the current elevated levels of inflation are transitory or more lasting, making the ultimate impact on the global economy and markets uncertain, with resulting uncertainty as to the impact on the Company's investments.
•Aflac Japan initiatives
As of December 31, 2021, Aflac Japan had over 50% of its workforce working remotely. Aflac Japan continues to evaluate return to the office measures; however, throughout the pandemic, Aflac Japan has evaluated its operational capabilities and anticipates that the remote configuration could remain for an indefinite period of time without materially impacting operations.
Aflac Japan remains focused on generating new business from existing and prospective customers through direct mail and digital methods. Aflac Japan has also accelerated investments in digital and paperless initiatives designed to increase long term productivity, efficiency, customer service and business continuity.
•Aflac U.S. and Corporate and Other initiatives
As of December 31, 2021, over 50% of U.S. employees were working remotely. The Company's return to worksite for U.S. based employees is expected to be a phased approach that begins in the first quarter of 2022, subject to factors including vaccination rates, the return schedule of school systems and the availability of child care, the
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
number of COVID–19 cases and the COVID–19 replication rate, and the emergence of new variants and hospital capacity in areas of the U.S. where the Company has significant operations. For those employees who are working in one of the Company's worksites, safety protocols have been put in place that align with or exceed those recommended by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). After the return to worksite, the Parent Company and Aflac U.S. expect to adopt a workforce model comprised of a mix of full time office employees, full time remote employees, and employees who will split their time between office and remote work.
The Parent Company and Aflac U.S. also continue to maintain several actions taken for its employees. These include a commitment to cover the costs of COVID-19 testing and extended paid leave in certain circumstances.
Aflac U.S. policy sales, enrollment and agent recruiting functions are highly dependent upon face-to-face interaction between independent agents and brokers with prospective and new customers and agents. Throughout the pandemic, opportunities for such interaction have been significantly reduced by reactions to the pandemic, such as social distancing, shelter in place orders and work from home initiatives. Notwithstanding the general improvement of economic conditions to date, the impact of pandemic conditions on Aflac U.S. sales remains subject to uncertainty as the effects of varying levels of vaccination and the emergence of COVID-19 variants continue to develop. Aflac U.S. has accelerated investments in digital initiatives designed to improve long term productivity, efficiency and customer service. Further, Aflac U.S. is in its third year of the build-out of its business in the Consumer Markets channel for the digital direct-to-consumer sale of insurance and sales made through that platform have continued to grow.
•Major government initiatives
Government authorities in Japan and the U.S. have implemented several initiatives in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, including actions designed to mitigate the adverse health effects of the virus and those designed to provide broad-based relief and economic support to all aspects of the economy.
The FSA has requested that financial service providers in Japan respond appropriately while continuing their essential operations. This request includes insurance companies, which have been asked to continue essential operations such as benefits and claims payment, including policyholder loans. The FSA has also requested insurance companies to consider flexible interpretation and application of insurance policy provisions and measures required for products from the standpoint of protecting policyholders. In accordance with the FSA’s request, Aflac Japan implemented a measure to pay accidental death benefits and accidental serious disability benefits under its accidental death benefit rider in cases of death or specified serious disabilities from COVID-19.
Throughout the pandemic, Aflac Japan has also followed the guidance of the FSA in terms of treating customers with care, ensuring ease and timeliness of claims payments and extended coverage for temporary medical facilities and telemedicine in certain circumstances, and waiver of interest on certain policyholder loans. In mid-2021, in response to the state of emergency declaration issued by the Government of Japan in July 2021 and August 2021, the grace period on certain premium payments was extended to January 31, 2022 and February 28, 2022, respectively.
Throughout the pandemic, Aflac U.S. has taken steps to comply with COVID-19-related directives issued by state regulatory authorities, including those requiring or requesting premium grace periods. As of December 31, 2021, premium grace periods remained in effect in two states and Puerto Rico. Aflac U.S. continues to work with policyholders in these states upon notification of COVID-19-related impacts. Aflac U.S. experienced some increase in policy lapses in 2021 in certain states where premium grace periods expired. As the few remaining premium grace periods expire, Aflac U.S. expects an increase in lapse rates, and a decrease in corresponding persistency rates.
Performance Highlights
For the full year of 2021, total revenues were down .2% to $22.1 billion, compared with $22.1 billion for the full year of 2020. Net earnings were $4.3 billion, or $6.39 per diluted share, compared with $4.8 billion, or $6.67 per diluted share, for the full year of 2020. Net earnings in 2020 reflect a $1.4 billion benefit primarily from the release of valuation allowances on deferred foreign tax credits, which were allowed due to U.S. tax regulations released in September 2020.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Results for 2021 included pretax net investment gains of $468 million, compared with net investment losses of $270 million in 2020. Net investment gains in 2021 included a decrease in credit loss allowances of $27 million; $264 million of net gains from certain derivative and foreign currency gains or losses; $164 million of net gains on equity securities; and $13 million of net gains from sales and redemptions.
The average yen/dollar exchange rate(1) in 2021 was 109.79, or 2.7% weaker than the rate of 106.86 in 2020.
Adjusted earnings(2) for the full year of 2021 were $4.0 billion, or $5.94 per diluted share, compared with $3.6 billion, or $4.96 per diluted share, in 2020. The weaker yen/dollar exchange rate impacted adjusted earnings per diluted share by $.06.
Total investments and cash at December 31, 2021 were $143.0 billion, compared with $149.8 billion at December 31, 2020. In 2021, Aflac Incorporated repurchased $2.3 billion, or 43.3 million of its common shares. At December 31, 2021, the Company had 55.8 million remaining shares authorized for repurchase.
Shareholders’ equity was $33.3 billion, or $50.99 per share, at December 31, 2021, compared with $33.6 billion, or $48.46 per share, at December 31, 2020. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2021 included a net unrealized gain on investment securities and derivatives of $9.6 billion, compared with a net unrealized gain of $10.3 billion at December 31, 2020. Shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2021 also included an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $2.0 billion, compared with an unrealized foreign currency translation loss of $1.1 billion at December 31, 2020. The annualized return on average shareholders’ equity in 2021 was 12.9%.
Shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (adjusted book value)(2) was $25.9 billion, or $39.65 per share at December 31, 2021, compared with $24.6 billion, or $35.56 per share, at December 31, 2020. The annualized adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact(2) in 2021 was 16.1%.
(1) Yen/U.S. dollar exchange rates are based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
(2) See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for a definition of this non-U.S. GAAP financial measure.
INDUSTRY TRENDS
The Company is impacted by financial markets, economic conditions, regulatory oversight and a variety of trends that affect the industries where it competes.
Financial and Economic Environment
The Company’s business and results of operations are materially affected by conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally. Stressed conditions, volatility and disruptions in global capital markets, particular markets, or financial asset classes can have an adverse effect on the Company, in part because the Company has a large investment portfolio and its insurance liabilities and derivatives are sensitive to changing market factors. See Item 1A. Risk Factors for the risk factor entitled, "Difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy, including those caused by COVID-19, could have a material adverse effect on the Company's investments, capital position, revenue, profitability, and liquidity and harm the Company's business."
Demographics
Aflac Japan Segment
With Japan’s aging population and the rise in healthcare costs, supplemental health care insurance products remain attractive. However, due to the aging population and decline in birthrate, new opportunities for customer demographics are not as readily available. Japan’s existing customers and potential customers seek products that are easily understood, cost-effective and can be accessed through technology-enabled devices.
Aflac U.S. Segment
Customer demographics continue to evolve and new opportunities present themselves in different customer segments such as the millennial and multicultural markets. Customer expectations and preferences are changing. Trends indicate existing customers and potential customers seek cost-effective solutions that are easily understood and can be accessed through technology-enabled devices. Additionally, income protection and the health needs of retiring baby boomers are continuing to shape the insurance industry.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Regulatory Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Government Regulation and Aflac U.S. Government Regulation for a discussion of regulatory developments that may impact the Company and the associated risks.
Competitive Environment
See Item 1. Business - Aflac Japan Competitive Markets and Aflac U.S. Competitive Markets for a discussion of the competitive environment and the basis on which the Company competes in each of its segments.
2022 OUTLOOK
The Company’s strategy to drive long-term shareholder value is to pursue growth through product development, distribution expansion and digital advancements to improve the customer experience.
The Company's objectives in 2022 are to navigate the COVID-19 pandemic while maintaining strong pre-tax margins in its Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. segments, continuing to invest in digital technology, and integrating and building upon recent acquisitions. The Company believes that its strategy of positioning itself for future growth and efficiency while defending and leveraging its market-leading position, powerful brand recognition and diverse distribution in Japan and the U.S. will provide support toward these objectives.
The Company announced a 21.2% increase in the first quarter 2022 dividend compared to the prior quarter, and it intends to maintain strong capital ratios in Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. in support of its commitment to shareholder dividends while remaining tactical in its deployment of capital in the form of share repurchases and opportunistic investments. The Company intends to maintain a minimum SMR of 500% for Aflac Japan and a target minimum RBC of approximately 400% for Aflac, consistent with the Company's risk management practices.
Aflac Japan Segment
For Aflac Japan, the Company anticipates that the shift in premiums over the last five years from first sector savings products to third sector cancer and medical products and first sector protection products, will continue to result in moderately lower benefit ratios in the Aflac Japan segment. The Company expects that benefit and expense ratios will continue to experience some level of revenue pressure due to the impact of paid up policies and reduced sales during the COVID-19 pandemic. For the 2022 through 2023 period, the Company expects a decline in Aflac Japan revenue in the range of 3.0% to 4.0% on a compound annual growth rate basis, with a benefit ratio in the range of 67.0% to 69.0% and an expense ratio in the range of 20.5% to 22.5%. The Company expects Aflac Japan to continue to operate with an expense ratio toward the upper end of the range in 2022.
Aflac U.S. Segment
For Aflac U.S., the Company expects benefit ratios to normalize in 2022 and for expense ratios to remain elevated in light of investments into U.S. platforms, while revenues that have faced pressure due to the impact of the global pandemic are anticipated to return to growth in the near term. For the 2022 through 2023 period, the Company expects Aflac U.S. revenue growth of 1.0% to 4.0% on a compound annual growth rate basis, with a benefit ratio in the range of 48.0% to 52.0% and an expense ratio in the range of 38.0% to 41.0%.
Corporate and other
The Company expects Corporate and other results to reflect stable net investment income in 2022 compared to 2021, assuming that U.S. interest rates remain stable.
For important disclosures applicable to statements made in this 2022 Outlook, please see the Risk Factors section and the statement on Forward-Looking Information at the beginning of Item 1. Business, the Risk Factors identified in Item 1A. and Item 7. Management Discussion and Analysis.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The Company earns its revenues principally from insurance premiums and investments. The Company’s operating expenses primarily consist of insurance benefits provided and reserves established for anticipated future insurance benefits, general business expenses, commissions and other costs of selling and servicing its products. Profitability for the Company depends principally on its ability to price its insurance products at a level that enables the Company to earn a margin over the costs associated with providing benefits and administering those products. Profitability also depends on, among other items, actuarial and policyholder behavior experience on insurance products, and the Company's ability to attract and retain customer assets, generate and maintain favorable investment results, effectively deploy capital and utilize tax capacity, and manage expenses.
This document includes references to the Company’s financial performance measures which are not calculated in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (U.S. GAAP) (non-U.S. GAAP). The financial measures exclude items that the Company believes may obscure the underlying fundamentals and trends in insurance operations because they tend to be driven by general economic conditions and events or related to infrequent activities not directly associated with insurance operations.
Due to the size of Aflac Japan, where the functional currency is the Japanese yen, fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate can have a significant effect on reported results. In periods when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars results in fewer dollars being reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars results in more dollars being reported. Consequently, yen weakening has the effect of suppressing current period results in relation to the comparable prior period, while yen strengthening has the effect of magnifying current period results in relation to the comparable prior period. A significant portion of the Company’s business is conducted in yen and never converted into dollars but translated into dollars for U.S. GAAP reporting purposes, which results in foreign currency impact to earnings, cash flows and book value on a U.S. GAAP basis. Management evaluates the Company's financial performance both including and excluding the impact of foreign currency translation to monitor, respectively, cumulative currency impacts on book value and the currency-neutral operating performance over time. The average yen/dollar exchange rate is based on the published MUFG Bank, Ltd. telegraphic transfer middle rate (TTM).
The Company defines the non-U.S. GAAP financial measures included in this document as follows:
•Adjusted earnings are adjusted revenues less benefits and adjusted expenses. Adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are the adjusted earnings for the period divided by the weighted average outstanding shares (basic or diluted) for the period presented. The adjustments to both revenues and expenses account for certain items that cannot be predicted or that are outside management’s control. Adjusted revenues are U.S. GAAP total revenues excluding adjusted net investment gains and losses. Adjusted expenses are U.S. GAAP total acquisition and operating expenses including the impact of interest cash flows from derivatives associated with notes payable but excluding any nonrecurring or other items not associated with the normal course of the Company’s insurance operations and that do not reflect the Company's underlying business performance. Management uses adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to evaluate the financial performance of the Company’s insurance operations on a consolidated basis and believes that a presentation of these financial measures is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of the Company’s insurance business. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted net investment gains and losses are net investment gains and losses adjusted for i) amortized hedge cost/income related to foreign currency exposure management strategies and certain derivative activity, ii) net interest cash flows from foreign currency and interest rate derivatives associated with certain investment strategies, which are both reclassified to net investment income, and iii) the impact of interest cash flows from derivatives associated with notes payable, which is reclassified to interest expense as a component of total adjusted expenses. The Company considers adjusted net investment gains and losses important as it represents the remainder amount that is considered outside management’s control, while excluding the components that are within management’s control and are accordingly reclassified to net investment income and interest expense. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted net investment gains and losses is net investment gains and losses.
•Amortized hedge costs/income represent costs/income incurred or recognized as a result of using foreign currency derivatives to hedge certain foreign exchange risks in the Company's Japan segment or in Corporate and other. These amortized hedge costs/ income are estimated at the inception of the derivatives based on the specific terms of each contract and are recognized on a straight-line basis over the term of the hedge. The
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Company believes that amortized hedge costs/income measure the periodic currency risk management costs/income related to hedging certain foreign currency exchange risks and are an important component of net investment income. There is no comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for amortized hedge costs/ income.
•Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact are computed using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior-year period, which eliminates fluctuations driven solely by foreign currency exchange rate changes. Adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact divided by the weighted average outstanding diluted shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact important because a significant portion of the Company's business is conducted in Japan and foreign exchange rates are outside management’s control; therefore, the Company believes it is important to understand the impact of translating foreign currency (primarily Japanese yen) into U.S. dollars. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact are net earnings and net earnings per share, respectively.
•Adjusted book value is the U.S. GAAP book value (representing total shareholders’ equity), less AOCI as recorded on the U.S. GAAP balance sheet. Adjusted book value per common share is adjusted book value at the period end divided by the ending outstanding common shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share important as they exclude AOCI, which fluctuates due to market movements that are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures for adjusted book value and adjusted book value per common share are total book value and total book value per common share, respectively.
•Adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding the current period foreign currency impact divided by average shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI. The Company considers adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact important as it excludes changes in foreign currency and components of AOCI, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency impact is ROE as determined using net earnings and average total shareholders’ equity.
•U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact represents amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. The Company considers U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact important as it eliminates the impact of foreign currency changes on the Aflac Japan segment results, which are outside management’s control. The most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure for U.S. dollar-denominated investment income excluding foreign currency impact is the corresponding net investment income amount from the U.S. dollar denominated investments translated to yen.
The following table is a reconciliation of items impacting adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per diluted share to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures of net earnings and net earnings per diluted share, respectively, for the years ended December 31.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted Earnings
| In Millions | Per Diluted Share | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||
| Net earnings | $ | 4,325 | $ | 4,778 | $ | 6.39 | $ | 6.67 | ||||||||
| Items impacting net earnings: | ||||||||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses (1) | (462) | 229 | (.68) | .32 | ||||||||||||
| Other and non-recurring (income) loss | 73 | 28 | .11 | .04 | ||||||||||||
| Income tax (benefit) expense on items excluded from adjusted earnings | 83 | (72) | .12 | (.10) | ||||||||||||
| Tax valuation allowance release (2) | 0 | (1,411) | .00 | (1.97) | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings | 4,019 | 3,552 | 5.94 | 4.96 | ||||||||||||
| Current period foreign currency impact (3) | 38 | N/A | .06 | N/A | ||||||||||||
| Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact | $ | 4,057 | $ | 3,552 | $ | 6.00 | $ | 4.96 |
(1) See reconciliation of net investment (gains) losses to adjusted net investment (gains) losses below.
(2) One-time tax benefit recognized in 2020 representing the release of valuation allowances on deferred foreign tax credits due to new tax regulations.
(3) Prior period foreign currency impact reflected as “N/A” to isolate change for current period only.
Reconciling Items
Net Investment Gains and Losses
Reconciliation of Net Investment (Gains) Losses to Adjusted Net Investment (Gains) Losses
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net investment (gains) losses | $ | (468) | $ | 270 | ||
| Items impacting net investment (gains) losses: | ||||||
| Amortized hedge costs | (76) | (206) | ||||
| Amortized hedge income | 57 | 97 | ||||
| Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies | (30) | 12 | ||||
| Interest rate component of the change in fair value of foreign currency swaps on notes payable | 55 | 56 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment (gains) losses | $ | (462) | $ | 229 |
The Company's investment strategy is to invest primarily in fixed maturity securities to provide a reliable stream of investment income, which is one of the drivers of the Company’s profitability. This investment strategy incorporates asset-liability matching (ALM) to align the expected cash flows of the portfolio to the needs of the Company's liability structure. The Company does not purchase securities with the intent of generating investment gains or losses. However, investment gains and losses may be realized as a result of changes in the financial markets and the creditworthiness of specific issuers, tax planning strategies, and/or general portfolio management and rebalancing. The realization of investment gains and losses is independent of the underwriting and administration of the Company's insurance products. Net investment gains and losses excluded from adjusted earnings include the following:
•Securities Transactions
•Credit Losses
•Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
•Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities.
Securities Transactions, Credit Losses and Changes in the Fair Value of Equity Securities
Securities transactions include gains and losses from sales and redemptions of investments where the amount received is different from the amortized cost of the investment. Credit losses include losses for held-to-maturity fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale fixed maturity securities, loan receivables, loan commitments and reinsurance recoverables. Changes in the fair value of equity securities are the result of gains or losses driven by fluctuations in market prices.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Certain Derivative and Foreign Currency Activities
The Company's derivative activities include:
•foreign currency forwards and options used in hedging foreign exchange risk on U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan's portfolio, with options used on a standalone basis and/or in a collar strategy
•foreign currency forwards and options used to economically hedge certain portions of forecasted cash flows denominated in yen and hedge the Company's long term exposure to a weakening yen
•cross-currency interest rate swaps, also referred to as foreign currency swaps, associated with certain senior notes and subordinated debentures
•foreign currency swaps that are associated with VIE bond purchase commitments, and investments in special-purpose entities, including VIEs where the Company is the primary beneficiary
•interest rate swaps used to economically hedge interest rate fluctuations in certain variable-rate investments
•interest rate swaptions used to hedge changes in the fair value associated with interest rate fluctuations for certain U.S. dollar-denominated available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities
•bond purchase commitments at the inception of investments in consolidated VIEs.
Gains and losses are recognized as a result of valuing these derivatives, net of the effects of hedge accounting. The Company also excludes from adjusted earnings the accounting impacts of remeasurement associated with changes in the foreign currency exchange rate.
For additional information regarding net investment gains and losses, including details of reported amounts for the periods presented, see Notes 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Other and Non-recurring Items
The U.S. insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. The system can result in periodic charges to the Company as a result of insolvencies/bankruptcies that occur with other companies in the life insurance industry. Some states permit member insurers to recover assessments paid through full or partial premium tax offsets. These charges neither relate to the ordinary course of the Company’s business nor reflect the Company’s underlying business performance, but result from external situations not controlled by the Company. The Company excludes any charges associated with U.S. guaranty fund assessments and the corresponding tax benefit or expense from adjusted earnings.
In Japan, the government also requires the insurance industry to contribute to a policyholder protection corporation that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers; however, these costs are calculated and administered differently than in the U.S. In Japan, these costs are not directly related to specific insolvencies or bankruptcies, but are rather a regular operational cost for an insurance company. Based on this structure, the Company does not remove the Japan policyholder protection expenses from adjusted earnings.
Other items excluded from adjusted earnings included integration costs related to the Company's acquisition of Zurich North America's U.S. Corporate Life and Pensions business; these costs primarily consist of expenditures for legal, accounting, consulting, integration of systems and processes and other similar services. These integration costs amounted to $26 million and $13 million for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
The Company considers the costs associated with the early redemption of its debt to be unrelated to the underlying fundamentals and trends in its insurance operations. Additionally, these costs are driven by changes in interest rates subsequent to the issuance of the debt, and the Company considers these interest rate changes to represent economic conditions not directly associated with its insurance operations. In May 2021, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from its April 2021 issuance of various series of senior notes to redeem $700 million of its 3.625% senior notes due June 2023. The pretax expense due to the early redemption of these notes was $48 million. In January 2020, the Parent Company used the net proceeds from senior notes issued in December 2019 to redeem $350 million of its 4.00% senior notes due February 2022. The pretax expense due to the early redemption of these notes was $15 million.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Income Taxes
The Company's combined U.S. and Japanese effective income tax rate on pretax earnings was 18.7% in 2021 and (14.9)% in 2020. In 2021, the combined effective tax rate differs from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to new tax regulations released in the third quarter of 2020 and historic and solar tax credits. In 2020, the combined effective tax rate differs from the U.S. statutory rate primarily due to the release of certain valuation allowances established on the Company's deferred foreign tax credit benefits. The release of these valuation allowances was a result of the issuance of Final and Proposed Regulations by the U.S. Treasury and Internal Revenue Service in September 2020, and resulted in a one-time income tax benefit of $1.4 billion in the third quarter of 2020. Total income taxes were $1.0 billion in 2021 and $(.6) billion in 2020. Japanese income taxes on Aflac Japan's results account for most of the Company's consolidated income tax expense.
For additional information, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Critical Accounting Estimates - Income Taxes section of this MD&A.
The Company expects that its effective tax rate for future periods will be approximately 20%. The effective tax rate continues to be subject to future tax law changes both in the U.S. and in foreign jurisdictions. See the risk factor entitled "Tax rates applicable to the Company may change" in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors for more information.
Foreign Currency Translation
Aflac Japan’s premiums and a significant portion of its investment income are received in yen, and its claims and most expenses are paid in yen. Aflac Japan purchases yen-denominated assets and U.S. dollar-denominated assets, which may be hedged to yen, to support yen-denominated policy liabilities. Yen-denominated income statement accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the weighted average Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate for the reporting period, except realized gains and losses on securities transactions which are translated at the exchange rate on the trade date of each transaction. Yen-denominated balance sheet accounts are translated to U.S. dollars using the spot Japanese yen/U.S. dollar foreign exchange rate at the end of the reporting period.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS BY SEGMENT
U.S. GAAP financial reporting requires that a company report financial and descriptive information about operating segments in its annual and interim period financial statements. Furthermore, the Company is required to report a measure of segment profit or loss, certain revenue and expense items, and segment assets. The Company's insurance business consists of two segments: Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. Aflac Japan is the principal contributor to consolidated earnings. In addition, the Parent Company, other business units that are not individually reportable, and business activities, including reinsurance retrocession activities, not included in Aflac Japan or Aflac U.S. are included in Corporate and other. See the Item 1. Business section of this Form 10-K for a summary of each segment's products and distribution channels.
Consistent with U.S. GAAP guidance for segment reporting, pretax adjusted earnings is the Company's U.S. GAAP measure of segment performance. The Company believes that a presentation of this measure is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of its business. Additional performance measures used to evaluate the financial condition and performance of the Company's segments are listed below.
•Operating Ratios
•New Annualized Premium Sales
•New Money Yield
•Return on Average Invested Assets
•Average Weekly Producer
For additional information on the Company’s performance measures included in this MD&A, see the Glossary of Selected Terms found directly following Part IV. See Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the reconciliation of segment results to the Company's consolidated U.S. GAAP results and additional information.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
AFLAC JAPAN SEGMENT
Aflac Japan Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac Japan's pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 11,853 | $ | 12,670 | ||
| Net investment income: (1) | ||||||
| Yen-denominated investment income | 1,262 | 1,296 | ||||
| U.S. dollar-denominated investment income | 1,845 | 1,569 | ||||
| Net investment income | 3,107 | 2,865 | ||||
| Amortized hedge costs related to certain foreign currency exposure management strategies | 76 | 206 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 3,031 | 2,659 | ||||
| Other income (loss) | 41 | 42 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 14,925 | 15,371 | ||||
| Benefits and claims, net | 7,963 | 8,851 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 653 | 644 | ||||
| Insurance commissions | 706 | 740 | ||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,849 | 1,873 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 3,208 | 3,257 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 11,171 | 12,108 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 3,754 | $ | 3,263 | ||
| Weighted-average yen/dollar exchange rate | 109.79 | 106.86 |
| In Dollars | In Yen | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Percentage change over previous period: | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| Net earned premiums | (6.4) | % | (.8) | % | (3.9) | % | (2.8) | % | |||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 14.0 | 6.5 | 17.6 | 4.4 | |||||||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (2.9) | .4 | (.2) | (1.7) | |||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 15.0 | .1 | 18.5 | (2.0) |
(1) Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $(33) and $9 in 2021 and 2020, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
In yen terms, Aflac Japan's net earned premiums decreased in 2021, primarily due to constrained sales during the COVID-19 pandemic and an anticipated decrease in first sector and third sector premiums as policies reached premium paid-up status. Adjusted net investment income increased in 2021 primarily due to higher alternative and floating rate income and lower hedge costs.
Annualized premiums in force at December 31, 2021, were ¥1.36 trillion, compared with ¥1.43 trillion in 2020. The decrease in annualized premiums in force in yen of 4.7% in 2021 and 4.2% in 2020 was driven primarily by limited-pay products reaching paid up status and lower sales during the COVID-19 pandemic. Annualized premiums in force, translated into dollars at respective year-end exchange rates, were $11.8 billion in 2021 and $13.8 billion in 2020.
Aflac Japan's investment portfolios include U.S. dollar-denominated securities and reverse-dual currency securities (yen-denominated debt securities with dollar coupon payments). In years when the yen strengthens in relation to the dollar, translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into yen lowers growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues, and pretax adjusted earnings in yen terms. In years when the yen weakens, translating
42
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
U.S. dollar-denominated investment income into yen magnifies growth rates for net investment income, total adjusted revenues, and pretax adjusted earnings in yen terms.
The following table illustrates the effect of translating Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investment income and related items into yen by comparing certain segment results with those that would have been reported had foreign currency exchange rates remained unchanged from the prior year. Amounts excluding foreign currency impact on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income were determined using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior year period. See non-U.S. GAAP financial measures defined above.
Aflac Japan Percentage Changes Over Prior Year
(Yen Operating Results)
For the Years Ended December 31,
| Including Foreign Currency Changes | Excluding Foreign Currency Changes | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||
| Adjusted net investment income | 17.6 | % | 4.4 | % | 15.6 | % | 5.7 | % | |||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (.2) | (1.7) | (.5) | (1.5) | |||||||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 18.5 | (2.0) | 16.9 | (1.0) |
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios in yen terms for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2021 | 2020 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benefits and claims, net | 53.3 | % | 57.6 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 4.4 | 4.2 | |||
| Insurance commissions | 4.7 | 4.8 | |||
| Insurance and other expenses | 12.4 | 12.2 | |||
| Total adjusted expenses | 21.5 | 21.2 | |||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 25.2 | 21.2 | |||
| Ratios to total premiums: | |||||
| Benefits and claims, net | 67.2 | % | 69.9 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 5.5 | 5.1 |
In 2021, the benefit ratio to total premiums decreased, compared to the prior year, primarily due to favorable third sector claims experience, higher surrenders in Aflac Japan's third sector business, and the continued change in mix of first and third sector business. In 2021, the adjusted expense ratio increased slightly mainly due to an increase in personnel expenses and an increase in advertising expenses related to promotion of new medical and care products. In total for 2021, the pretax adjusted profit margin increased primarily due to lower benefit ratios.
Aflac Japan Sales
The following table presents Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| In Dollars | In Yen | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 499 | $ | 477 | ¥ | 54.8 | ¥ | 50.9 | ||||||||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | 4.6 | % | (34.8) | % | 7.7 | % | (36.2) | % |
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by major insurance product for the years ended December 31.
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancer | 49.2 | % | 56.6 | % | |
| Medical | 37.2 | 31.2 | |||
| Income support | .5 | 1.0 | |||
| Ordinary life: | |||||
| WAYS | .8 | .7 | |||
| Child endowment | .3 | .4 | |||
| Other ordinary life (1) | 9.0 | 9.5 | |||
| Other | 3.0 | .6 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes term and whole life
The foundation of Aflac Japan's product portfolio has been, and continues to be, third sector products, which include cancer, medical and income support insurance products. Aflac Japan has been focusing more on promotion of cancer and medical insurance products in this low-interest-rate environment. These products are less interest-rate sensitive and more profitable compared to first sector savings products. With continued cost pressure on Japan’s health care system, the Company expects the need for third sector products will continue to rise in the future and that the medical and cancer insurance products Aflac Japan provides will continue to be an important part of its product portfolio.
Sales of protection-type first sector and third sector products on a yen basis increased 7.8% in 2021, compared with 2020. The increase reflected the introduction of new products in the first and third quarters of 2021. Nevertheless, during 2021 Aflac Japan continued to face various degrees of COVID-19 related restrictions in Japan that served to limit face-to-face sales opportunities.
Sales of Aflac Japan cancer products in the Japan Post Group channel experienced a material decline beginning in August 2019 which continued in 2021. Japan Post Group resumed proactive sales of cancer insurance policies on April 1, 2021 and Aflac Japan continues to strengthen the strategic alliance. In April 2022, approximately 10,000 employees of Japan Post Co. are expected to be transferred to Japan Post Insurance. Japan Post Group has informed Aflac Japan that these employees' responsibilities will include sales of Japan Post Insurance products and Aflac Japan products to the exclusion of other financial products. The Company expects continued collaboration to further position both companies for long-term growth and a gradual improvement of Japan Post Group cancer insurance sales in the intermediate term. For example, during 2021 Aflac Japan has observed an increase in the number of proposals to potential customers in the Japan Post Group channel, and the Japan Post Group is expected to conduct a nationwide campaign to improve certain sales process practices. For additional information, see the risk factor entitled "Sales of the Company's products and services are dependent on its ability to attract, retain and support a network of qualified sales associates, brokers and employees in the U.S. and sales associates and other distribution partners in Japan," in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors.
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, Aflac Japan continues to promote digital and web-based sales to groups and use
of its system that enables smart device-based insurance application by allowing the customer and an Aflac Japan operator
to see the same screen through their smart devices. Further, Aflac Japan continues to utilize its virtual sales tool that enables online consultations and policy applications to be completed entirely online.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac Japan's new annualized premium sales by agency type for the years ended December 31.
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent corporate and individual | 51.1 | % | 52.3 | % | |
| Affiliated corporate (1) | 43.7 | 42.6 | |||
| Bank | 5.2 | 5.1 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) Includes Japan Post
44
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2021, Aflac Japan recruited 62 new sales agencies. At December 31, 2021, Aflac Japan was represented by more than 8,000 sales agencies, with approximately 112,000 licensed sales associates employed by those agencies. The number of sales agencies has declined in recent years due to Aflac Japan's focus on supporting agencies with strong management frameworks, high productivity and more producing agents.
At December 31, 2021, Aflac Japan had agreements to sell its products at 360 banks, approximately 90% of the total number of banks in Japan.
Strategic Alliance with Japan Post Holdings
As previously reported, on December 19, 2018, the Parent Company and Aflac Japan entered into a Basic Agreement with Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., a Japanese corporation (Japan Post Holdings). Pursuant to the terms of the Basic Agreement, among other items, Japan Post Holdings and Aflac Japan agreed to reconfirm existing initiatives regarding cancer insurance and to consider new joint initiatives, including leveraging digital technology in various processes and cooperation in new product development to promote customer-centric business management. In June 2021, the Parent Company, Aflac Japan and Japan Post Group agreed to pursue several specific initiatives toward building a "'Co-creation Platform' to support customers and local communities," consistent with Japan Post Group's medium-term management plan announced in May 2021. The initiatives are directed at, among other items, the promotion of Aflac Japan cancer insurance, digital transformation within the Japan Post Group, and certain diversity efforts.
On February 28, 2019, the Parent Company entered a Shareholders Agreement with Japan Post Holdings, J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation, a Delaware corporation, solely in its capacity as trustee of J&A Alliance Trust, a New York voting trust (Trust), and General Incorporated Association J&A Alliance, a Japanese general incorporated association. Pursuant to the Shareholders Agreement, Japan Post Holdings agreed to cause the Trust to use commercially reasonable efforts to acquire, through open market or private block purchases in the U.S., beneficial ownership of approximately 7% of the Common Stock in connection with the Basic Agreement. According to a Schedule 13G/A filed by Japan Post Holdings with the SEC on January 6, 2021, the Trust had beneficially acquired 7.45% of the outstanding Common Shares as of December 31, 2020. Japan Post Holdings is the sole beneficiary of the Trust.
On May 1, 2020, the Parent Company filed a registration statement on Form S-3 that registered the sale of its common stock from time to time by J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation in its capacity as trustee of the Trust. The filing was made strictly pursuant to a contractual requirement contained in the Shareholders Agreement. Notwithstanding the filing of the Form S-3, the Trust continues to be subject to a lockup period for a period expiring four years after the Trust acquired 7% of the Parent Company's outstanding shares. After expiration of such period, the Trust has agreed not to own more than the greater of 10% of the Parent Company’s outstanding shares or such shares representing 22.5% of the voting rights in the Parent Company.
In light of the fact that the shares acquired by the Trust, like all Aflac Incorporated common shares, will be eligible for 10-for-1 voting rights after being held for 48 consecutive months, the Shareholders Agreement further provides for voting restrictions that effectively limit the trustee’s voting rights to no more than 20% of the voting rights in the Parent Company and further restrict the trustee’s voting rights with respect to certain change in control transactions. Japan Post Holdings will not have a Board seat on the Parent Company’s Board of Directors and will not have rights to control, manage or intervene in the management of the Parent Company.
The foregoing is subject to and qualified in its entirety by reference to the full text of the Basic Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed December 19, 2018, and the Shareholders Agreement, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 10.50 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed April 26, 2019, the terms of which exhibits are incorporated herein by reference.
Aflac Japan Investments
The level of investment income in yen is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, the effect of yen/dollar exchange rates on U.S. dollar-denominated investment income, and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac Japan invests in yen and U.S. dollar-denominated investments. Yen-denominated investments primarily consist of JGBs, public and private fixed maturity securities and public equity securities. Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated investments include fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including alternative investments in limited partnerships or similar investment vehicles. Aflac Japan has been investing in both publicly-traded and privately originated U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade
45
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables, and has entered into foreign currency forwards and options to hedge the currency risk on the fair value of a portion of the U.S. dollar investments.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac Japan for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yen-denominated: | |||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | |||||||
| Japan government and agencies | $ | 1,208 | $ | 736 | |||
| Private placements | 695 | 574 | |||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | 171 | 385 | |||||
| Equity securities | 216 | 276 | |||||
| Other Investments | 10 | 0 | |||||
| Total yen-denominated | $ | 2,300 | $ | 1,971 | |||
| U.S. dollar-denominated: | |||||||
| Fixed maturity securities: | |||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 1,963 | $ | 1,393 | |||
| Infrastructure debt | 52 | 101 | |||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 216 | 300 | |||||
| Equity securities | 8 | 0 | |||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | |||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 1,768 | 688 | |||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 31 | 12 | |||||
| Middle market loans | 2,428 | 2,215 | |||||
| Other investments | 404 | 279 | |||||
| Total dollar-denominated | $ | 6,870 | $ | 4,988 | |||
| Total Aflac Japan purchases | $ | 9,170 | $ | 6,959 |
See the Investments section of this MD&A for further discussion of these investment programs, and see Notes 1, 3 and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information regarding loans and loan receivables.
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, securities lending, and other securities transactions. Securities lending is also used from time to time to accelerate the availability of funds for investment. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
The following table presents the results of Aflac Japan's investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31.
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for the period (in millions) (1) | $ | 8,756 | $ | 6,680 | ||
| New money yield (1),(2) | 3.50 | % | 3.75 | % | ||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 2.72 | 2.38 | ||||
| Portfolio book yield, including U.S. dollar-denominated investments, end of period (1) | 2.60 | % | 2.59 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses, external management fees, and amortized hedge costs
(3) Net of investment expenses and amortized hedge costs, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The decrease in the Aflac Japan new money yield in 2021 was primarily due to lower yields on floating rate asset classes.
46
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
See Notes 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Investments and Hedging Activities sections of this MD&A for additional information on the Company's investments and hedging strategies.
AFLAC U.S. SEGMENT
Aflac U.S. Pretax Adjusted Earnings
Changes in Aflac U.S. pretax adjusted earnings and profit margins are primarily affected by morbidity, mortality, expenses, persistency and investment yields. The following table presents a summary of operating results for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.
Aflac U.S. Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 5,614 | $ | 5,758 | ||
| Adjusted net investment income (1) | 754 | 705 | ||||
| Other income | 121 | 102 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 6,489 | 6,565 | ||||
| Benefits and claims | 2,447 | 2,765 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 517 | 570 | ||||
| Insurance commissions | 550 | 576 | ||||
| Insurance and other expenses | 1,498 | 1,386 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 2,564 | 2,532 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 5,011 | 5,297 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | 1,478 | $ | 1,268 | ||
| Percentage change over previous period: | ||||||
| Net earned premiums | (2.5) | % | (.9) | % | ||
| Adjusted net investment income | 7.0 | (2.1) | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | (1.2) | .2 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 16.6 | (.3) |
(1) Net interest cash flows from derivatives associated with certain investment strategies of $2 and $3 in 2021 and 2020, respectively, have been reclassified from net investment gains (losses) and included in adjusted earnings as a component of net investment income.
In 2021, Aflac U.S. net earned premiums decreased, primarily due to constrained sales as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Total adjusted revenues decreased in 2021, mainly due to the decline in net earned premiums from reduced sales activity, partially offset by the increase in adjusted net investment income from higher variable net investment income. The increase in pretax adjusted earnings was primarily driven by the lower-than-expected benefit ratios due to lower incurred claims related to pandemic conditions.
Annualized premiums in force decreased 1.6% in 2021 and decreased 3.2% in 2020. Annualized premiums in force at December 31 were $6.0 billion in 2021, compared with $6.1 billion in 2020.
47
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents a summary of operating ratios for Aflac U.S. for the years ended December 31.
| Ratios to total adjusted revenues: | 2021 | 2020 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benefits and claims | 37.7 | % | 42.1 | % | |
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 8.0 | 8.7 | |||
| Insurance commissions | 8.5 | 8.8 | |||
| Insurance and other expenses | 23.1 | 21.1 | |||
| Total adjusted expenses | 39.5 | 38.6 | |||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | 22.8 | 19.3 | |||
| Ratios to total premiums: | |||||
| Benefits and claims | 43.6 | 48.0 | |||
| Adjusted expenses: | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 9.2 | 9.9 |
The benefit ratio to total premiums decreased in 2021, compared with 2020, reflecting reduced estimates of both COVID-19-related and non-COVID-19-related incurred claims since the advent of the pandemic. The adjusted expense ratio increased in 2021, compared with 2020, primarily due to planned spending on buy-to-build investments, offset slightly by lower deferred policy acquisition cost (DAC) amortization related to elevated persistency. The pretax adjusted profit margin increased in 2021 when compared with 2020, primarily due to lower benefit ratios.
Aflac U.S. Sales
The following table presents Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New annualized premium sales | $ | 1,278 | $ | 1,093 | ||
| Increase (decrease) over prior period | 16.9 | % | (30.8) | % |
New annualized premium sales for accident insurance, the leading Aflac U.S. product category, increased 12.7%, disability sales increased 14.2%, critical care insurance sales (including cancer insurance) increased 13.0%, and hospital indemnity insurance sales increased 6.6% in 2021, compared with 2020. The increase in sales for Aflac U.S. in 2021 is primarily attributable to increased sales activity as a result of the ongoing economic reopening in the U.S. and favorable comparisons due to pandemic conditions in 2020. Aflac U.S. expects this trend of increasing sales to continue in 2022. See the Executive Summary section entitled COVID-19 of this MD&A for additional information.
The following table details the contributions to Aflac's U.S. new annualized premium sales by major insurance product category for the years ended December 31.
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accident | 25.1 | % | 26.1 | % | |
| Disability | 23.1 | 22.3 | |||
| Critical care (1) | 21.3 | 22.2 | |||
| Hospital indemnity | 16.4 | 18.0 | |||
| Dental/vision | 5.1 | 4.1 | |||
| Life | 9.0 | 7.3 | |||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0% |
(1) Includes cancer, critical illness and hospital intensive care products
In 2021, the Aflac U.S. sales force included an average of approximately 6,000 U.S. agents, including brokers, who were actively producing business on a weekly basis. The Company believes that this average weekly producer equivalent metric allows sales management to monitor progress and needs, as well as serve as a leading indicator of future production capacity. Aflac U.S. believes that during 2021, constraints in the labor market limited its recruiting of new sales agents, and that limitations on face-to-face sales opportunities during the COVID-19 pandemic suppressed the development of newly recruited agents into business producers and the productivity of veteran agents and brokers. While
48
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
gains were made in recruiting in 2021 compared to 2020, most notably among recruited brokers, Aflac U.S. believes that the above factors have acted as a headwind to sales and to growth in the number of average weekly producers during 2021. Aflac U.S. remains focused on mitigating and reversing these trends as the U.S. economy continues to recover from the pandemic.
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, Aflac U.S. remains focused on supporting its agency channel, most of which are small businesses, by offering financial support and an extended value proposition. The Aflac U.S. sales team has pivoted to accommodate preferred enrollment conditions which include realizing sales at the worksite through in-person enrollment, an enrollment call center, video enrollment through co-browsing and self-enrollment. The traditional agent sales team is also using virtual recruiting and training through video conferencing in order to maintain or increase the recruiting pipeline. The Aflac U.S. broker sales team is focused on product enhancements due to COVID-19 as well as leveraging technology based solutions to drive enrollment.
In November 2020, the Company, through its insurance subsidiaries Aflac and Aflac New York, acquired Zurich North America’s U.S. Corporate Life and Pensions business, which consists of group life, disability and absence management products. Aflac and Aflac New York agreed to reinsure on an indemnity basis Zurich North America’s U.S. in-force group life and disability policies with annualized earned premium of over $100 million. Aflac also acquired assets needed to support the group life and disability business, along with an absence management platform.
Aflac U.S. Investments
The level of investment income is affected by available cash flow from operations, the timing of investing the cash flow, yields on new investments, and other factors.
As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including public equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. has been investing in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loan receivables.
The following table details the investment purchases for Aflac U.S. as of December 31.
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed maturity securities: | |||||||
| Other fixed maturity securities | $ | 770 | $ | 573 | |||
| Infrastructure debt | 91 | 45 | |||||
| Collateralized loan obligations | 65 | 150 | |||||
| Equity securities | 213 | 8 | |||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | |||||||
| Transitional real estate loans | 525 | 143 | |||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 276 | 52 | |||||
| Middle market loans | 190 | 79 | |||||
| Other investments | 45 | 31 | |||||
| Total Aflac U.S. Purchases | $ | 2,175 | $ | 1,081 |
Funds available for investment include cash flows from operations, investment income, and funds generated from maturities, redemptions, and other securities transactions. Purchases of securities from period to period are determined based on multiple objectives, including appropriate portfolio diversification, the relative value of a potential investment and availability of investment opportunities, liquidity, credit and other risk factors while adhering to the Company's investment policy guidelines.
49
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the results of Aflac's U.S. investment yields for the years ended and as of December 31.
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total purchases for period (in millions) (1) | $ | 2,130 | $ | 1,050 | ||
| New money yield (1), (2) | 3.41 | % | 3.04 | % | ||
| Return on average invested assets (3) | 4.87 | 4.90 | ||||
| Portfolio book yield, end of period (1) | 4.94 | % | 5.18 | % |
(1) Includes fixed maturity securities, commercial mortgage and other loans, equity securities, and excludes alternative investments in limited partnerships
(2) Reported on a gross yield basis; excludes investment expenses and external management fees
(3) Net of investment expenses, year-to-date number reflected on a quarterly average basis
The increase in the Aflac U.S. new money yield for the year ended December 31, 2021 was primarily due to higher allocations to floating rate asset classes.
See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the Market Risks of Financial Instruments - Credit Risk subsection of Item 7A. for more information regarding the sector concentrations of the Company's investments.
CORPORATE AND OTHER
Changes in the pretax adjusted earnings of Corporate and other are primarily affected by investment income. The following table presents a summary operating results for Corporate and other for the years ended December 31.
Corporate and Other Summary of Operating Results
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | $ | 180 | $ | 194 | ||
| Net investment income (1) | (73) | 80 | ||||
| Amortized hedge income related to certain foreign currency management strategies | 57 | 97 | ||||
| Adjusted net investment income | (16) | 177 | ||||
| Other income | 11 | 13 | ||||
| Total adjusted revenues | 175 | 384 | ||||
| Benefits and claims, net | 166 | 180 | ||||
| Adjusted expenses: | ||||||
| Interest expense | 165 | 164 | ||||
| Other adjusted expenses | 142 | 155 | ||||
| Total adjusted expenses | 307 | 319 | ||||
| Total benefits and adjusted expenses | 473 | 499 | ||||
| Pretax adjusted earnings | $ | (298) | $ | (115) |
(1) The change in value of federal historic rehabilitation and solar investments in partnerships of $138 in 2021 is included as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits on these investments of $115 in 2021 have been recorded as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statement of earnings. See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on these investments.
In 2021, the decrease in total adjusted revenues was primarily driven by a decline in adjusted net investment income as a result of the change in value of federal historic rehabilitation and solar investments in partnerships discussed below, as well as lower amortized hedge income. The decrease in pretax adjusted earnings in 2021 was primarily driven by lower adjusted net investment income.
The Parent Company invests in partnerships that specialize in rehabilitating historic structures or the installation of solar equipment in order to receive federal historic rehabilitation and solar tax credits. These investments are classified as limited partnerships and included in other investments in the consolidated balance sheet. The change in value of each investment is recorded as a reduction to net investment income. Tax credits generated by these investments are recorded as an income tax benefit in the consolidated statement of earnings.
50
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
In 2020, the Company purchased newly issued common stock of Trupanion, Inc., a provider of medical insurance for pets in the United States and Canada, resulting in the Company owning approximately 9% of the outstanding common stock of Trupanion, Inc. The shares were registered for resale and, pursuant to the Shareholder Agreement, subject to certain exceptions, the Company has agreed that it will not transfer its shares of Trupanion, Inc. common stock during a restricted period ending on November 13, 2023. The Company also entered into an alliance agreement with Trupanion, Inc. to sell pet insurance in worksites in the U.S., subject to certain exceptions, and to explore on an exclusive basis potential distribution opportunities for pet insurance in Japan.
INVESTMENTS
The Company’s investment strategy utilizes disciplined asset and liability management while seeking long-term risk-adjusted investment returns and the delivery of stable income within regulatory and capital objectives, and preserving shareholder value. In attempting to optimally balance these objectives, the Company seeks to maintain on behalf of Aflac Japan a diversified portfolio of yen-denominated investment assets, U.S. dollar-denominated investment portfolio hedged back to yen and a portfolio of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated assets. As part of the Company's portfolio management and asset allocation process, Aflac U.S. invests in fixed maturity investments and growth assets, including public equity securities and alternative investments in limited partnerships. Aflac U.S. invests in both publicly traded and privately originated investment-grade and below-investment-grade fixed maturity securities and loans. Additionally, on November 17, 2021, the Company became a signatory to the Principles for Responsible Investment, a global framework for incorporating environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations into investment and ownership decisions.
For additional information concerning the Company's investments, see Notes 3, 4, and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The following tables detail investments by segment as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Segment
| 2021 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Available for sale, fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 81,793 | $ | 14,910 | $ | 1,993 | $ | 98,696 | ||||||
| Held to maturity, fixed maturity securities, at amortized cost (1) | 22,000 | 0 | 0 | 22,000 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 714 | 226 | 663 | 1,603 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (1) | 4,226 | 1,020 | 45 | 5,291 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans (1) | 1,217 | 669 | 8 | 1,894 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans (1) | 4,297 | 304 | 0 | 4,601 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 216 | 20 | 0 | 236 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 590 | 302 | 834 | 1,726 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 1,534 | 169 | 155 | 1,858 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 116,587 | 17,642 | 3,698 | 137,927 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,053 | 681 | 2,317 | 5,051 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 118,640 | $ | 18,323 | $ | 6,015 | $ | 142,978 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
51
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| 2020 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Aflac Japan | Aflac U.S. | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Available for sale, fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 88,757 | $ | 15,133 | $ | 1,992 | $ | 105,882 | ||||||
| Held to maturity, fixed maturity securities, at amortized cost (1) | 24,464 | 0 | 0 | 24,464 | ||||||||||
| Equity securities | 674 | 66 | 543 | 1,283 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (1) | 4,331 | 900 | 0 | 5,231 | ||||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans (1) | 1,268 | 420 | 0 | 1,688 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans (1) | 3,365 | 270 | 0 | 3,635 | ||||||||||
| Other investments: | ||||||||||||||
| Policy loans | 242 | 18 | 0 | 260 | ||||||||||
| Short-term investments (2) | 449 | 242 | 448 | 1,139 | ||||||||||
| Limited partnerships | 828 | 91 | 85 | 1,004 | ||||||||||
| Other | 0 | 26 | 0 | 26 | ||||||||||
| Total investments | 124,378 | 17,166 | 3,068 | 144,612 | ||||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,001 | 785 | 2,355 | 5,141 | ||||||||||
| Total investments and cash | $ | 126,379 | $ | 17,951 | $ | 5,423 | $ | 149,753 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Includes securities lending collateral
The ratings of the Company's securities referenced in the table below are based on the ratings designations provided by major rating organizations such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch or, if not rated, are determined based on the Company's internal analysis of such securities. When the ratings issued by the rating agencies differ, the Company utilizes the second lowest rating when three or more rating agency ratings are available or the lowest rating when only two rating agency ratings are available.
The distributions of fixed maturity securities the Company owns, by credit rating, as of December 31 were as follows:
Composition of Fixed Maturity Securities by Credit Rating
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||
| AAA | 1.0 | % | .9 | % | 1.0 | % | .9 | % | ||||||||||
| AA | 5.1 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||
| A | 68.9 | 68.5 | 69.3 | 69.5 | ||||||||||||||
| BBB | 22.5 | 22.8 | 21.9 | 21.9 | ||||||||||||||
| BB or lower | 2.5 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
As of December 31, 2021, the Company's direct and indirect exposure to securities in its investment portfolio that were guaranteed by third parties was immaterial both individually and in the aggregate.
The following table presents the 10 largest unrealized loss positions in the Company's portfolio as of December 31, 2021.
52
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| (In millions) | Credit Rating | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Unrealized Loss | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | B | $ | 146 | $ | 128 | $ | (18) | ||||||||||||
| Commonwealth of the Bahamas | B | 42 | 36 | (6) | |||||||||||||||
| Intesa Sanpaolo Spa | BBB | 135 | 129 | (6) | |||||||||||||||
| Nippon Prologis REIT Inc. | A | 87 | 82 | (5) | |||||||||||||||
| Grenke Finance PLC | BBB | 61 | 56 | (5) | |||||||||||||||
| Kommunal Landspensjonskasse (KLP) | BBB | 130 | 126 | (4) | |||||||||||||||
| Lloyds Banking Group PLC | A | 200 | 196 | (4) | |||||||||||||||
| Banco de Chile | A | 174 | 170 | (4) | |||||||||||||||
| Mitsui Fudosan Co. Ltd. | A | 91 | 88 | (3) | |||||||||||||||
| Heathrow Funding Ltd. | BBB | 87 | 84 | (3) |
Generally, declines in fair values can be a result of changes in interest rates, yen/dollar exchange rate, and changes in net spreads driven by a broad market move or a change in the issuer's underlying credit quality. The Company believes these issuers have the ability to continue making timely payments of principal and interest. See the Unrealized Investment Gains and Losses section in Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further discussions of unrealized losses related to financial institutions and other corporate investments.
Below-Investment-Grade Securities
The Company's portfolio of below-investment-grade securities includes debt securities purchased while the issuer was rated investment grade plus other loans and bonds purchased as part of an allocation to that segment of the market. The following is the Company's below-investment-grade exposure at December 31.
Below-Investment-Grade Investments
| 2021 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Par Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | ||||||||||
| Investcorp Capital Limited | $ | 372 | $ | 371 | $ | 373 | $ | 2 | ||||||
| Commerzbank | 348 | 245 | 397 | 152 | ||||||||||
| Pemex Project Funding Master Trust | 261 | 261 | 268 | 7 | ||||||||||
| Autostrade Per Litalia Spa | 174 | 172 | 203 | 31 | ||||||||||
| KLM Royal Dutch Airlines | 174 | 146 | 128 | (18) | ||||||||||
| Telecom Italia SpA | 174 | 174 | 218 | 44 | ||||||||||
| Apache Corporation | 138 | 121 | 170 | 49 | ||||||||||
| IKB Deutsche Industriebank AG | 113 | 52 | 104 | 52 | ||||||||||
| Arconic Inc. | 100 | 81 | 118 | 37 | ||||||||||
| Generalitat de Catalunya | 70 | 27 | 86 | 59 | ||||||||||
| Other Issuers | 252 | 250 | 277 | 27 | ||||||||||
| Subtotal (2) | 2,176 | 1,900 | 2,342 | 442 | ||||||||||
| High yield corporate bonds | 842 | 806 | 872 | 66 | ||||||||||
| Middle market loans | 4,394 | 4,260 | 4,316 | 56 | ||||||||||
| Grand Total | $ | 7,412 | $ | 6,966 | $ | 7,530 | $ | 564 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Securities initially purchased as investment grade, but have subsequently been downgraded to below investment grade
The Company invests in middle market loans primarily to U.S. corporate borrowers, most of which have below-investment-grade ratings. The objectives of this program include enhancing the yield on invested assets, achieving further diversification of credit risk, and mitigating the risk of rising interest rates and hedge costs through the acquisition of floating rate assets.
53
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company maintains an allocation to higher yielding corporate bonds within the Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. portfolios. Most of these securities were rated below-investment-grade at the time of purchase, but the Company also purchased several that were rated investment grade which, because of market pricing, offer yields commensurate with below-investment-grade risk profiles. The objective of this allocation was to enhance the Company's yield on invested assets and further diversify credit risk. All investments in this program must have a minimum rating at purchase of low BB using the Company's above described rating methodology and are managed by the Company's internal credit portfolio management team.
Fixed Maturity Securities by Sector
The Company maintains diversification in investments by sector to avoid concentrations to any one sector, thus managing exposure risk. The following table shows the distribution of fixed maturities by sector classification as of December 31.
| 2021 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | AmortizedCost (1) | Gross Unrealized Gains | Gross Unrealized Losses | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||||||
| Government and agencies | $ | 51,617 | $ | 7,964 | $ | (61) | $ | 59,520 | 48.0 | % | |||||
| Municipalities | 2,867 | 613 | (7) | 3,473 | 2.7 | ||||||||||
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 1,197 | 52 | (3) | 1,246 | 1.1 | ||||||||||
| Public utilities | 8,286 | 1,827 | (6) | 10,106 | 7.8 | ||||||||||
| Electric | 6,723 | 1,508 | (4) | 8,228 | 6.3 | ||||||||||
| Natural Gas | 287 | 52 | 0 | 338 | .3 | ||||||||||
| Other | 599 | 127 | (1) | 725 | .6 | ||||||||||
| Utility/Energy | 677 | 140 | (1) | 815 | .6 | ||||||||||
| Sovereign and Supranational | 1,496 | 275 | (6) | 1,764 | 1.4 | ||||||||||
| Banks/financial institutions | 10,132 | 1,534 | (76) | 11,591 | 9.5 | ||||||||||
| Banking | 6,034 | 994 | (30) | 6,999 | 5.6 | ||||||||||
| Insurance | 1,881 | 367 | (21) | 2,227 | 1.8 | ||||||||||
| Other | 2,217 | 173 | (25) | 2,365 | 2.1 | ||||||||||
| Other corporate | 31,774 | 6,170 | (80) | 37,865 | 29.5 | ||||||||||
| Basic Industry | 2,844 | 692 | (6) | 3,531 | 2.5 | ||||||||||
| Capital Goods | 3,340 | 576 | (8) | 3,908 | 3.1 | ||||||||||
| Communications | 3,258 | 775 | (2) | 4,031 | 3.0 | ||||||||||
| Consumer Cyclical | 2,688 | 523 | (2) | 3,210 | 2.5 | ||||||||||
| Consumer Non-Cyclical | 6,986 | 1,288 | (10) | 8,264 | 6.5 | ||||||||||
| Energy | 3,411 | 754 | (12) | 4,153 | 3.2 | ||||||||||
| Other | 1,452 | 204 | (3) | 1,652 | 1.4 | ||||||||||
| Technology | 4,162 | 530 | (13) | 4,679 | 3.9 | ||||||||||
| Transportation | 3,633 | 828 | (24) | 4,437 | 3.4 | ||||||||||
| Total fixed maturity securities | $ | 107,369 | $ | 18,435 | $ | (239) | $ | 125,565 | 100.0 | % |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
Securities by Type of Issuance
The Company has investments in both publicly and privately issued securities. The Company's ability to sell either type of security is a function of overall market liquidity which is impacted by, among other things, the amount of outstanding securities of a particular issuer or issuance, trading history of the issue or issuer, overall market conditions, and idiosyncratic events affecting the specific issue or issuer.
54
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table details investment securities by type of issuance as of December 31.
Investment Securities by Type of Issuance
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | AmortizedCost (1) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||
| Publicly issued securities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities | $ | 88,552 | $ | 103,034 | $ | 95,545 | $ | 111,479 | |||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 950 | 950 | 740 | 740 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total publicly issued | 89,502 | 103,984 | 96,285 | 112,219 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately issued securities: (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities (3) | 18,817 | 22,531 | 20,511 | 24,802 | |||||||||||||||||
| Equity securities | 653 | 653 | 543 | 543 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total privately issued | 19,470 | 23,184 | 21,054 | 25,345 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total investment securities | $ | 108,972 | $ | 127,168 | $ | 117,339 | $ | 137,564 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
(2) Primarily consists of securities owned by Aflac Japan
(3) Excludes Rule 144A securities
The following table details the Company's reverse-dual currency securities as of December 31.
Reverse-Dual Currency Securities(1)
| (Amortized cost, in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privately issued reverse-dual currency securities | $ | 4,784 | $ | 5,300 | ||
| Publicly issued collateral structured as reverse-dual currency securities | 1,596 | 1,775 | ||||
| Total reverse-dual currency securities | $ | 6,380 | $ | 7,075 | ||
| Reverse-dual currency securities as a percentage of total investment securities | 5.9 | % | 6.0 | % |
(1)Principal payments in yen and interest payments in dollars
Aflac Japan has a portfolio of privately issued securities to better match liability characteristics and secure higher yields than those available on Japanese government or other public corporate bonds. Aflac Japan’s investments in yen-denominated privately issued securities consist primarily of non-Japanese issuers, are rated investment grade at purchase and have longer maturities, thereby allowing the Company to improve asset/liability matching and overall investment returns. These securities are generally either privately negotiated arrangements or issued under medium-term note programs and have standard documentation commensurate with credit ratings of the issuer, except when internal credit analysis indicates that additional protective and/or event-risk covenants were required. Many of these investments have protective covenants appropriate to the specific investment. These may include a prohibition of certain activities by the borrower, maintenance of certain financial measures, and specific conditions impacting the payment of the Company's notes.
HEDGING ACTIVITIES
The Company uses derivative contracts to hedge foreign currency exchange rate risk and interest rate risk. The Company uses various strategies, including derivatives, to manage these risks. See Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk for more information about market risk and the Company’s use of derivatives.
Derivatives are designed to reduce risk on an economic basis while minimizing the impact on financial results. The Company’s derivatives programs vary depending on the type of risk being hedged. See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for:
•A description of the Company's derivatives, hedging strategies and underlying risk exposure.
•Information about the notional amount and fair market value of the Company's derivatives.
•The unrealized and realized gains and losses impact on adjusted earnings of derivatives in cash flow, fair value, net investments in foreign operations, or non-qualifying hedging relationships.
55
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Foreign Currency Exchange Rate Risk Hedge Program
The Company has deployed the following hedging strategies to mitigate exposure to foreign currency exchange rate risk:
•Aflac Japan hedges U.S. dollar-denominated investments back to yen (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•Aflac Japan maintains certain unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated securities, which serve as an economic currency hedge of a portion of the Company's investment in Aflac Japan (see Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program below).
•The Parent Company designates yen-denominated liabilities (notes payable and loans) as non-derivative hedging instruments and designates certain foreign currency forwards and options as derivative hedges of the Company’s net investment in Aflac Japan (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
•The Parent Company enters into forward and option contracts to accomplish a dual objective of hedging foreign currency exchange rate risk related to dividend payments by its subsidiary, ALIJ, and reducing enterprise-wide hedge costs. (see Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program below).
The following table presents metrics related to Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated hedge program and the Parent Company's enterprise corporate hedging program, including associated amortized hedge costs/income, for the years ended December 31. See the Results of Operations section of this MD&A for the Company's definition of amortized hedge costs/income.
| 2021 | 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan: | |||
| FX Forwards | |||
| FX forward (sell USD, buy yen) notional at end of period (in billions) (1) | $6.4 | $6.4 | |
| Weighted average remaining tenor (in months) (2) | 2.6 | 12.7 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(55) | $(197) | |
| FX Options | |||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $11.6 | $13.1 | |
| Weighted average remaining tenor (in months) (2) | 6.0 | 5.3 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(22) | $(9) | |
| Corporate and Other (Parent Company): | |||
| FX Forwards | |||
| FX forward (buy USD, sell yen) notional at end of period (in billions)(1) | $5.0 | $5.0 | |
| Weighted average remaining tenor (in months)(2) | 11.5 | 12.1 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $62 | $102 | |
| FX Options | |||
| FX option notional at the end of period (in billions) (1) | $1.9 | $2.0 | |
| Weighted average remaining tenor (in months) (2) | 7.3 | 7.2 | |
| Amortized hedge income (cost) for period (in millions) | $(5) | $(5) |
(1) Notional is reported net of any offsetting positions within Aflac Japan or the Parent Company, respectively.
(2) Tenor based on period reporting date to settlement date
Amortized hedge costs/income can fluctuate based upon many factors, including the derivative notional amount, the length of time of the derivative contract, changes in both U.S. and Japan interest rates, and supply and demand for dollar funding. Amortized hedge costs/income have fluctuated in recent periods due to changes in the previously mentioned factors.
Aflac Japan’s U.S. Dollar-Denominated Hedge Program (U.S. Dollar Program)
Aflac Japan buys U.S. dollar-denominated investments, typically corporate bonds, and hedges them back to yen with foreign currency forwards and options to hedge foreign currency exchange rate risk. This economically creates yen assets that match yen liabilities during the life of the derivative and provides favorable capital treatment under the Japan SMR
56
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
calculations. The currency risk being hedged is generally based on fair value of hedged investments. The following table summarizes the U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan as of December 31.
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In millions) | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | Amortized Cost (1) | Fair Value | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities (excluding bank loans) | $ | 17,615 | $ | 20,478 | $ | 19,249 | $ | 21,108 | ||||
| Fixed maturity securities - bank loans (floating rate) | 0 | 0 | 319 | 283 | ||||||||
| Equity securities | 24 | 24 | 20 | 20 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage and other loans: | ||||||||||||
| Transitional real estate loans (floating rate) | 4,226 | 4,293 | 4,331 | 4,298 | ||||||||
| Commercial mortgage loans | 1,217 | 1,265 | 1,268 | 1,365 | ||||||||
| Middle market loans (floating rate) | 4,297 | 4,352 | 3,365 | 3,377 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 1,534 | 1,534 | 828 | 828 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. Dollar Program | 28,913 | 31,946 | 29,380 | 31,279 | ||||||||
| Available-for-sale securities: | ||||||||||||
| Fixed maturity securities - economically converted to yen | 2,236 | 3,328 | 2,085 | 3,094 | ||||||||
| Total U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan | $ | 31,149 | $ | 35,274 | $ | 31,465 | $ | 34,373 |
(1) Net of allowance for credit losses
The U.S. Dollar Program includes all U.S. dollar-denominated investments in Aflac Japan other than the investments in certain consolidated VIEs where the instrument is economically converted to yen as a result of a derivative in the consolidated VIE. The Company uses one-sided foreign currency put options to mitigate the settlement risk on U.S. dollar-denominated assets related to extreme foreign currency rate changes. From time to time, Aflac Japan also maintains a collar program on a portion of its U.S. Dollar Program to mitigate against more extreme moves in foreign exchange and therefore support SMR. As of December 31, 2021, there were no collars in Aflac Japan, and none of the Company's foreign currency options hedging Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar-denominated assets were in-the-money.
In 2021, the Company moved to a strategy that contains one-sided put options, fewer foreign currency forwards and no collars. The Company believes that the new strategy will reduce its exposure to pricing volatility and the related risk of negative settlements should there be a material weakening in the yen. Depending on further developments, including the possibility of further market volatility, there may be additional costs associated with maintaining the options program. The Company is continually evaluating other adjustments, including the possibility of changing the level of hedging employed with the U.S. dollar-denominated investments.
As of December 31, 2021, the fair value of Aflac Japan's unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated portfolio was $11.4 billion (excluding certain U.S. dollar-denominated assets shown in the table above as a result of consolidation that have been economically converted to yen using derivatives).
Foreign exchange derivatives used for hedging are periodically settled, which results in cash receipt or payment at maturity or early termination. The following table presents the settlements associated with the Company's currency derivatives used for hedging Aflac Japan’s U.S. dollar-denominated investments for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash inflows (outflows) | $ | 66 | $ | (21) |
Enterprise Corporate Hedging Program
The Company has designated certain yen-denominated liabilities and foreign currency forwards and options of the Parent Company as accounting hedges of its net investment in Aflac Japan. The Company's consolidated yen-denominated net asset position was partially hedged at $10.2 billion as of December 31, 2021, with hedging instruments comprised of $3.3 billion of yen-denominated debt and $6.9 billion of foreign currency forwards and options, compared with $9.9 billion as of December 31, 2020, with hedging instruments comprised of $2.9 billion of yen-denominated debt and $7.0 billion of foreign currency forwards and options.
57
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company makes its accounting designation of net investment hedge at the beginning of each quarter. If the total of the designated Parent Company non-derivative and derivative notional is equal to or less than the Company's net investment in Aflac Japan, the hedge is deemed to be effective, and the currency exchange effect on the yen-denominated liabilities and the change in estimated fair value of the derivatives are reported in the unrealized foreign currency component of other comprehensive income. The Company's net investment hedge was effective during the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. For additional information on the Company's net investment hedging strategy, see Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
In order to economically mitigate risks associated with the enterprise-wide exposure to the yen and the level and volatility of hedge costs, the Parent Company enters into foreign exchange forward and option contracts. By buying U.S. dollars and selling yen, the Parent Company is effectively lowering its overall economic exposure to the yen, while Aflac Japan's U.S. dollar exposure remains reduced as a result of Aflac Japan's U.S. Dollar Program that economically creates yen assets. Among other objectives, this strategy is intended to offset the enterprise-wide amortized hedge costs by generating amortized hedge income. This activity is reported in Corporate and Other. The Company continually evaluates the program’s efficacy.
Interest Rate Risk Hedge Program
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. use interest rate swaps from time to time to mitigate the risk of investment income volatility for certain variable-rate investments. Additionally, to manage interest rate risk associated with its U.S. dollar-denominated investments held by Aflac Japan, from time to time the Company utilizes interest rate swaptions.
For additional discussion of the risks associated with the foreign currency exposure refer to the Currency Risk section in Item 7A., Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk, and Item 1A, specifically to the Risk Factors titled “The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate“ and “Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity."
See Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's hedging activities.
POLICY LIABILITIES
The following table presents policy liabilities by segment and in total for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | $ | 81,176 | $ | 88,652 | ||
| Unpaid policy claims | 2,903 | 3,177 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 9,534 | 11,299 | ||||
| Total Japan policy liabilities | 93,613 | 103,128 | ||||
| U.S. segment: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 9,865 | 9,674 | ||||
| Unpaid policy claims | 1,933 | 2,010 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 119 | 126 | ||||
| Total U.S. policy liabilities | 11,916 | 11,810 | ||||
| Consolidated: | ||||||
| Future policy benefits | 90,588 | 97,783 | ||||
| Unpaid policy claims | 4,836 | 5,187 | ||||
| Other policy liabilities | 9,648 | 11,421 | ||||
| Total consolidated policy liabilities (1) | $ | 105,072 | $ | 114,391 |
(1) The sum of the Japan and U.S. segments exceeds the total due to reinsurance and retrocession activity.
See Note 7 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's policy liabilities.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
BENEFIT PLANS
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. have various benefit plans. For additional information on the Company's Japanese and U.S. plans, see Note 14 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
POLICYHOLDER PROTECTION
Policyholder Protection Corporation
The Japanese insurance industry has a policyholder protection system that provides funds for the policyholders of insolvent insurers. Legislation enacted regarding the framework of the Life Insurance Policyholder Protection Corporation (LIPPC) included government fiscal measures supporting the LIPPC. In November 2016, Japan's Diet passed legislation that again extends the government's fiscal support of the LIPPC through March 2022. On February 1, 2022, the FSA submitted legislation to Japan's Diet that would extend the government's fiscal support of the LIPPC through March 2027, subject to final approval in the Diet. Effective April 2014, the annual LIPPC contribution amount for the total life industry was lowered from ¥40 billion to ¥33 billion. Aflac Japan recognized an expense of ¥1.8 billion and ¥1.9 billion for LIPPC assessments in the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
Guaranty Fund Assessments
Under U.S. state guaranty association laws, certain insurance companies can be assessed (up to prescribed limits) for certain obligations to the policyholders and claimants of impaired or insolvent insurance companies that write the same line or similar lines of business. The amount of the guaranty fund assessment that an insurer is assessed is based on its proportionate share of premiums in that state. See Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on guaranty fund assessments.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Liquidity refers to the ability to generate sufficient cash resources to meet the payment obligations of the Company. Capital refers to the long-term financial resources available to support the operations of the businesses, fund business growth and provide for an ability to withstand adverse circumstances. Financial leverage (leverage) refers to an investment strategy of using debt to increase the potential ROE. The Company targets and actively manages liquidity, capital and leverage in the context of a number of considerations, including:
•business investment and growth needs
•strategic growth objectives
•financial flexibility and obligations
•capital support for hedging activity
•a constantly evolving business and economic environment
•a balanced approach to capital allocation and shareholder deployment.
The governance framework supporting liquidity, capital and leverage includes global senior management and board committees that review and approve all significant capital related decisions.
The Company's cash and cash equivalents include unrestricted cash on hand, money market instruments, and other debt instruments with a maturity of 90 days or less when purchased, all of which has minimal market, settlement or other risk exposure. The target minimum amount for the Parent Company’s cash and cash equivalents is approximately $2.0 billion to provide a capital buffer and liquidity support at the holding company. This amount excludes $400 million of proceeds from the issuance of senior sustainability notes discussed below, unallocated proceeds of which contribute to total cash but are not intended to support holding company liquidity. Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company remains committed to prudent liquidity and capital management. At December 31, 2021, the Company held $5.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents for stress conditions, which includes the Parent Company's target minimum amount of $2.0 billion.
Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. generate cash flows from their operations and provide the primary sources of liquidity to the Parent Company through management fees and dividends, with Aflac Japan being the largest contributor. The primary uses of cash by the Parent Company are shareholder dividends, the repurchase of its common stock, interest on its outstanding indebtedness and operating expenses.
59
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table presents the amounts provided to the Parent Company for the years ended December 31.
Liquidity Provided by Subsidiaries to Parent Company
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management fees paid by subsidiaries | $ | 130 | $ | 131 | ||
| Dividends declared or paid by subsidiaries | 2,791 | 2,068 |
The following table details Aflac Japan remittances, which are included in the totals above, for the years ended December 31.
Aflac Japan Remittances
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Japan management fees paid to Parent Company | $ | 59 | $ | 71 | ||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in dollars) | 2,138 | 1,215 | ||||
| Aflac Japan dividends declared or paid to Parent Company (in yen) | ¥ | 236.7 | ¥ | 129.8 |
The Company intends to maintain higher than historical levels of liquidity and capital at the Parent Company for stress conditions and with the goals of addressing the Company’s hedge costs and related potential need for collateral and mitigating against long-term weakening of the Japanese yen. Further, the Company plans to continue to maintain a portfolio of unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments at Aflac Japan and to consider whether the amount of such investments should be increased or decreased relative to the Company’s view of economic equity surplus in Aflac Japan in light of potentially rising hedge costs and other factors. See the Hedging Activity subsection of this MD&A for more information.
The Company believes that its balance of cash and cash equivalents and cash generated by operations will be sufficient to satisfy both its short-term and long-term cash requirements and plans for cash, including material cash requirements from known contractual obligations and returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
The following table presents the estimated payments of the Company's material cash requirements from known contractual obligations as of December 31, 2021. The Company translated its yen-denominated obligations using the December 31, 2021, exchange rate. Actual future payments as reported in dollars will fluctuate with changes in the yen/dollar exchange rate.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| (In millions) | Total Liability(1) | Total Payments | Short-term Payments | Long-term Payments | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Future policy benefits liability (Note 7)(2) | $ | 90,588 | $ | 223,537 | $ | 8,967 | $ | 214,570 | ||||||
| Unpaid policy claims liability (Note 7)(3) | 4,836 | 4,836 | 3,081 | 1,755 | ||||||||||
| Other policyholders' funds (Note 7)(4) | 7,072 | 8,885 | 367 | 8,518 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – principal (Note 9) | 7,839 | 7,898 | 0 | 7,898 | ||||||||||
| Long-term debt – interest (Note 9) | 52 | 2,832 | 204 | 2,628 | ||||||||||
| Cash collateral on loaned securities (Note 3) | 2,162 | 2,162 | 2,162 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Operating service agreements (Note 15) | N/A | 517 | 176 | 341 | ||||||||||
| Operating lease obligations (Note 9) | 105 | 111 | 48 | 63 | ||||||||||
| Finance lease obligations (Note 9) | 12 | 12 | 4 | 8 | ||||||||||
| Total contractual obligations | $ | 112,666 | $ | 250,790 | $ | 15,009 | $ | 235,781 |
(1) Liability amounts are those reported on the consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2021.
(2) The estimated payments reflect future estimated cash payments to be made to policyholders and others for future policy benefits. These projected cash outflows are based on assumptions for future policy persistency, mortality, morbidity, and other assumptions comparable with the Company's experience, consider future premium receipts on current policies in force and assume market growth and interest crediting consistent with assumptions used in amortizing deferred acquisition costs. These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest and, as a result, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount. Due to the significance of the assumptions used, actual cash outflow amounts and timing will differ, possibly materially, from these estimates.
(3) The estimated payments include assumptions as to the timing of policyholders reporting claims for prior periods and the amount of those claims. Actual amounts and timing of unpaid policy claims payments may differ significantly from the estimates above.
(4) These cash outflows are undiscounted with respect to interest and, as a result, the sum of the cash outflows exceeds the corresponding liability amount.
In addition to cash and cash equivalents, the Company also maintains credit facilities, both intercompany and with external partners, and a number of other available tools to support liquidity needs on a global basis. In September 2021, the Parent Company filed a shelf registration statement with the SEC that allows the Company to issue an indefinite amount of debt securities, in one or more series, from time to time until September 2024. The Company believes outside sources for additional debt and equity capital, if needed, will continue to be available. Additionally, as of December 31, 2021, the Parent Company and Aflac had four lines of credit with third parties and ten intercompany lines of credit. The Company was in compliance with all of the covenants of its notes payable and lines of credit at December 31, 2021. For additional information, see Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company's consolidated financial statements convey its financing arrangements during the periods presented. The Company has not engaged in material intra-period short-term financings during the periods presented that are not otherwise reported in its balance sheet or disclosed therein. As of December 31, 2021, the Company had no material letters of credit, standby letters of credit, guarantees or standby repurchase obligations. The Company has not entered into transactions involving the transfer of financial assets with an obligation to repurchase financial assets that have been accounted for as a sale under applicable accounting standards, including securities lending transactions. See Notes 1, 3, and 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the Company's securities lending and derivative activities. With the exception of disclosed activities in those referenced footnotes and the Risk Factors entitled, "The Company is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate" and "Lack of availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations, financial position or liquidity," the Company is not aware of any trend, demand, commitment, event or uncertainty that would reasonably result in its liquidity increasing or decreasing by a material amount.
Consolidated Cash Flows
The Company consistently generates positive cash flows from operations, and has the ability to adjust cash flow management from other sources of liquidity including reinvestment cash flows and selling investments in order to meet short-term cash needs.
The Company translates cash flows for Aflac Japan's yen-denominated items into U.S. dollars using weighted-average exchange rates. In years when the yen weakens, translating yen into dollars causes fewer dollars to be reported. When the yen strengthens, translating yen into dollars causes more dollars to be reported.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following table summarizes consolidated cash flows by activity for the years ended December 31.
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating activities | $ | 5,051 | $ | 5,958 | ||
| Investing activities | (2,378) | (4,619) | ||||
| Financing activities | (2,739) | (1,115) | ||||
| Exchange effect on cash and cash equivalents | (24) | 21 | ||||
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (90) | $ | 245 |
Operating Activities
The principal cash inflows for the Company's insurance activities come from insurance premiums and investment income. The principal cash outflows are the result of policy claims, operating expenses, income tax, as well as interest expense. As a result of policyholder aging, claims payments are expected to gradually increase over the life of a policy. Therefore, future policy benefit reserves are accumulated in the early years of a policy and are designed to help fund future claims payments.
The Company expects its future cash flows from premiums and investment portfolios to be sufficient to meet its cash needs for benefits and expenses. Consolidated cash flow from operations decreased 15.2% in 2021, compared with 2020.
Investing Activities
The Company's investment objectives provide for liquidity primarily through the purchase of publicly traded investment-grade debt securities. Prudent portfolio management dictates that the Company attempts to match the duration of its assets with the duration of its liabilities. Currently, when the Company's fixed maturity securities mature, the proceeds may be reinvested at a yield below that required for the accretion of policy benefit liabilities on policies issued in earlier years. However, the long-term nature of the Company's business and its strong cash flows provide the Company with the ability to minimize the effect of mismatched durations and/or yields identified by various asset adequacy analyses. From time to time or when market opportunities arise, the Company disposes of selected fixed maturity securities that are available for sale to improve the duration matching of assets and liabilities, improve future investment yields, and/or re-balance its portfolio. As a result, dispositions before maturity can vary significantly from year to year.
As part of its overall corporate strategy, the Company has committed $400 million to Aflac Ventures, LLC (Aflac Ventures), as opportunities emerge. Aflac Ventures is a subsidiary of Aflac Global Ventures, LLC (Aflac Global Ventures) which is reported in Corporate and other. The central mission of Aflac Global Ventures is to support the organic growth and business development needs of Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. with an emphasis on digital applications designed to improve the customer experience, gain efficiencies, and develop new markets in an effort to enhance and defend long-term shareholder value. Investments are included in equity securities or the other investments line in the consolidated balance sheets.
As part of an arrangement with Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta (FHLB), Aflac U.S. obtains low-cost funding from FHLB supported by acceptable forms of collateral pledged by Aflac U.S. In 2021, Aflac U.S. borrowed and repaid $309 million under this program. As of December 31, 2021, Aflac U.S. had outstanding borrowings of $400 million reported in its balance sheet.
See Note 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for details on certain investment commitments.
Financing Activities
Cash flows from financing activities consist primarily of share repurchases, dividends to shareholders and from time to time debt issuances and redemptions.
In April 2021, the Parent Company issued five series of senior notes totaling ¥82.0 billion through a public debt offering under its then existing U.S. shelf registration statement. The first series, which totaled ¥30.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .633% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2031. The second series, which totaled ¥12.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .844% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2033. The third series, which totaled ¥10.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.039% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2036. The fourth series, which totaled ¥10.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of 1.264% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2041. The fifth series, which totaled ¥20.0 billion, bears interest at a fixed
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
rate of 1.560% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2051. The notes are redeemable at the Parent Company’s option (i) at any time, in whole but not in part, upon the occurrence of certain changes affecting U.S. taxation, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the issuance or (ii) on or after the date that is six months prior to the stated maturity date of the series, in whole or in part, at a redemption price equal to the aggregate principal amount to be redeemed plus accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount to be redeemed to, but excluding, the date of redemption.
In May 2021, the Parent Company used a portion of the net proceeds from the April 2021 issuance of its various series of senior notes to redeem $700 million of its 3.625% senior notes due June 2023.
In March 2021, the Parent Company issued $400 million of senior sustainability notes through a U.S. public debt offering. The notes bear interest at a fixed rate of 1.125% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2026. The Company intends, but is not contractually committed, to allocate an amount at least equivalent to the net proceeds from this issuance exclusively to existing or future investments in, or financing of, assets, businesses or projects that meet the eligibility criteria of the Company's sustainability bond framework described in the offering documentation in connection with such notes. These notes are redeemable at the Parent Company's option in whole at any time or in part from time to time at a redemption price equal to the greater of: (i) the aggregate principal amount of the notes to be redeemed or (ii) the amount equal to the sum of the present values of the remaining scheduled payments for principal of and interest on the notes to be redeemed, not including any portion of the payments of interest accrued as of such redemption date, discounted to such redemption date on a semiannual basis at the yield to maturity for a U.S. Treasury security with a maturity comparable to the remaining term of the notes, plus 10 basis points, plus in each case, accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount of the notes to be redeemed to, but excluding, such redemption date.
In April 2020, the Parent Company issued $1.0 billion of senior notes through a U.S. public debt offering. The notes bear interest at a fixed rate of 3.60% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in April 2030. These notes are redeemable at the Parent Company's option in whole at any time or in part from time to time at a redemption price equal to the greater of: (i) the aggregate principal amount of the notes to be redeemed or (ii) the amount equal to the sum of the present values of the remaining scheduled payments for principal of and interest on the notes to be redeemed, not including any portion of the payments of interest accrued as of such redemption date, discounted to such redemption date on a semiannual basis at the yield to maturity for a U.S. Treasury security with a maturity comparable to the remaining term of the notes, plus 45 basis points, plus in each case, accrued and unpaid interest on the principal amount of the notes to be redeemed to, but excluding, such redemption date.
In March 2020, the Parent Company issued four series of senior notes totaling ¥57.0 billion through a public debt offering under its U.S. shelf registration statement. The first series, which totaled ¥12.4 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .300% per annum, payable semi-annually and will mature in September 2025. The second series, which totaled ¥13.3 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .550% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2030. The third series, which totaled ¥20.7 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .750% per annum, payable semi-annually and will mature in March 2032. The fourth series, which totaled ¥10.6 billion, bears interest at a fixed rate of .830% per annum, payable semi-annually, and will mature in March 2035. These notes may only be redeemed before maturity, in whole but not in part, upon the occurrence of certain changes affecting U.S. taxation, as specified in the indenture governing the terms of the issuance.
In January 2020, the Parent Company used the net proceeds from senior notes issued in December 2019 to redeem $350 million of its 4.00% fixed-rate senior notes due February 2022.
See Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the debt issuances discussed above.
Cash returned to shareholders through treasury stock purchases and dividends was $3.2 billion in 2021, compared with $2.3 billion in 2020.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following tables present a summary of treasury stock activity during the years ended December 31.
Treasury Stock Purchased
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treasury stock purchases | $ | 2,301 | $ | 1,537 | ||
| Number of shares purchased: | ||||||
| Share repurchase program | 43,327 | 37,899 | ||||
| Other | 437 | 542 | ||||
| Total shares purchased | 43,764 | 38,441 |
Treasury Stock Issued
| (In millions of dollars and thousands of shares) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock issued from treasury: | ||||||
| Cash financing | $ | 26 | $ | 34 | ||
| Noncash financing | 55 | 54 | ||||
| Total stock issued from treasury | $ | 81 | $ | 88 | ||
| Number of shares issued | 1,721 | 2,393 |
In August 2020, the Company's board of directors authorized the purchase of 100 million shares of its common stock. As of December 31, 2021, a remaining balance of 55.8 million shares of the Company's common stock was available for purchase under share repurchase authorizations by its board of directors. See Note 11 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Cash dividends paid to shareholders in 2021 of $1.32 per share increased 17.9% over 2020. The following table presents the dividend activity for the years ended December 31.
Dividends Paid to Shareholders
| (In millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividends paid in cash | $ | 855 | $ | 769 | ||
| Dividends through issuance of treasury shares | 32 | 29 | ||||
| Total dividends to shareholders | $ | 887 | $ | 798 |
In November 2021, the board of directors announced a 21.2% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, effective with the first quarter of 2022. The first quarter 2022 cash dividend of $.40 per share is payable on March 1, 2022, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 16, 2022.
Regulatory Restrictions
Aflac Japan
Aflac Japan is required to meet certain financial criteria as governed by Japanese corporate law in order to provide dividends to the Parent Company. Under these criteria, dividend capacity at the Japan subsidiary is basically defined as total equity excluding common stock, accumulated other comprehensive income amounts, capital reserves (representing statutorily required amounts in Japan) but reduced for net after-tax unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities. These dividend capacity requirements are generally aligned with the SMR. Japan's FSA maintains its own solvency standard which is quantified through the SMR. Aflac Japan's SMR is sensitive to interest rate, credit spread, and foreign exchange rate changes, therefore the Company continues to evaluate alternatives for reducing this sensitivity, including the reduction of subsidiary dividends paid to the Parent Company and Parent Company capital contributions. In the event of a rapid change in market risk conditions causing SMR to decline, the Company has one senior unsecured revolving credit facility in the amount of ¥100 billion and a committed reinsurance facility in the amount of approximately ¥120 billion as a capital contingency plan. Additionally, the Company could take action to enter into derivatives on unhedged U.S. dollar-denominated investments with foreign currency options or forwards. See Notes 8 and 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The Company has already undertaken various measures to mitigate the sensitivity of Aflac Japan's SMR. For example, the Company employs policy reserve matching (PRM) investment strategies, which is a Japan-specific accounting treatment that reduces SMR interest rate sensitivity since PRM-designated investments are carried at amortized cost consistent with corresponding liabilities. In order for a PRM-designated asset to be held at amortized cost, there are certain criteria that must be maintained. The primary criterion relates to maintaining the duration of designated assets and liabilities within a specified tolerance range. If the duration difference is not maintained within the specified range without rebalancing, then a certain portion of the assets must be re-classified as available for sale and held at fair value with any associated unrealized gain or loss recorded in surplus. To rebalance, assets may need to be sold in order to maintain the duration with the specified range, resulting in realizing a gain or loss from the sale. For U.S. GAAP, PRM investments are categorized as available for sale. The Company also uses foreign currency derivatives to hedge a portion of its U.S. dollar-denominated investments. See Notes 3, 4 and 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the Company's investment strategies, hedging activities, and reinsurance, respectively.
Aflac Japan's SMR ratio remains high and reflects a strong capital and surplus position. As of December 31, 2021, Aflac Japan's SMR was 1,012%, compared with 963% at December 31, 2020. The Company is committed to maintaining strong capital levels throughout the pandemic, consistent with maintaining current insurance financial strength and credit ratings.
The FSA is considering the introduction of an economic value-based solvency regime based on the Insurance Capital Standards (ICS) for insurance companies in Japan. The FSA is currently conducting field testing with insurance companies in Japan for the purpose of investigating the impact of the introduction of regulations. Provisional specifications are expected to be decided in 2022, and a new capital regime to replace the current solvency regime may be introduced as early as 2025.
Aflac U.S.
A life insurance company’s statutory capital and surplus is determined according to rules prescribed by the NAIC, as modified by the insurance department in the insurance company’s state of domicile. Statutory accounting rules are different from U.S. GAAP and are intended to emphasize policyholder protection and company solvency. The continued long-term growth of the Company's business may require increases in the statutory capital and surplus of its insurance operations. The Company's insurance operations may secure additional statutory capital through various sources, such as internally generated statutory earnings, reduced dividends paid to the Parent Company, capital contributions by the Parent Company from funds generated through debt or equity offerings, or reinsurance transactions. The NAIC’s RBC formula is used by insurance regulators to help identify inadequately capitalized insurance companies. The RBC formula quantifies insurance risk, business risk, asset risk and interest rate risk by weighing the types and mixtures of risks inherent in the insurer’s operations.
The combined RBC ratio for Aflac U.S. as of December 31, 2021 was 659%, compared with 550% as of December 31, 2020. The Company calculates its combined RBC ratio to include all U.S. regulated life insurance entities as if a single combined U.S. RBC entity net of intercompany items related to capital resources and risk.
The table below presents RBC ratios for the Company’s U.S. life insurance subsidiaries as of December 31, the most recently statutory fiscal year-end for the subsidiaries for which RBC was filed. The Company intends to maintain a target minimum RBC of approximately 400% for Aflac, consistent with the Company's risk management practices.
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac | 635 | % | 508 | % | |
| CAIC | 832 | 975 | |||
| TOIC | 5,829 | 6,964 | |||
| Aflac New York | 1,089 | 1,077 |
The NAIC completed its Solvency Modernization Initiative (SMI) process relating to updating the U.S. insurance solvency regulation framework. The SMI focused on key issues such as capital requirements, governance and risk management, group supervision, reinsurance, statutory accounting and financial reporting matters. The NAIC still has some ongoing initiatives related to SMI, such as monitoring the international efforts on group capital requirements as well as RBC. In 2020, the NAIC formally adopted a group capital calculation (GCC) that conceptually uses an RBC aggregation methodology for all entities within the insurance company holding system. The GCC is intended to be a regulatory tool used by regulators as a means to standardize group capital requirements. In 2021, the NAIC concluded its analysis of bond factor changes and formally adopted the new factors as proposed by Moody’s Analytics. This initiative expanded the
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RBC bond factors from six designations to 20 designations to more closely align with rating scales used by rating agencies. The adopted changes resulted in increased capital requirements. As of December 31, 2021, the updated bond factors did not have a significant impact on the combined RBC ratio for Aflac U.S.
Aflac, CAIC and TOIC are domiciled in Nebraska and are subject to its regulations. The NDOI imposes certain limitations and restrictions on payments of dividends, management fees, loans and advances to the Parent Company. Under Nebraska insurance law, prior approval of the NDOI is required for dividend distributions that exceed the greater of the net income from operations, which excludes net investment gains, for the previous year determined under statutory accounting principles, or 10% of statutory capital and surplus as of the previous year-end. Dividends declared by Aflac during 2022 in excess of $1.1 billion would be considered extraordinary and require such approval. Similar laws apply in New York, the domiciliary jurisdiction of Aflac New York.
Privacy and Cybersecurity Governance
The Company’s Board of Directors has adopted an information security policy directing management to establish and operate a global information security program with the goals of monitoring existing and emerging threats and ensuring that the Company’s information assets and data, and the data of its customers, are appropriately protected from loss or theft. The Board has delegated oversight of the Company’s information security program to the Audit and Risk Committee. The Company’s senior officers, including its Global Security and Chief Information Security Officer, are responsible for the operation of the global information security program and communicates quarterly with the Audit and Risk Committee on the program, including with respect to the state of the program, compliance with applicable regulations, current and evolving threats, and recommendations for changes in the information security program. The global information security program also includes a cybersecurity incident response plan that is designed to provide a management framework across Company functions for a coordinated assessment and response to potential security incidents. This framework establishes a protocol to report certain incidents to the Global Security and Chief Information Security Officer and other senior officers, with the goal of timely assessing such incidents, determining applicable disclosure requirements and communicating with the Audit and Risk Committee. The incident response plan directs the executive officers to report certain incidents immediately and directly to the Lead Non-Management Director.
Other
For information regarding commitments and contingent liabilities, see Note 15 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Additional Information
Investors should note that the Company announces material financial information in its SEC filings, press releases and public conference calls. In accordance with SEC guidance, the Company may also use the Investor Relations section of the Company's website (http://investors.aflac.com) to communicate with investors about the Company. It is possible that the financial and other information the Company posts there could be deemed to be material information. The information on the Company's website is not part of this document. Further, the Company's references to website URLs are intended to be inactive textual references only.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The Company prepares its financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These principles are established primarily by the FASB. In this MD&A, references to U.S. GAAP issued by the FASB are derived from the FASB Accounting Standards Codification™ (ASC). The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires the Company to make estimates based on currently available information when recording transactions resulting from business operations. The estimates that the Company deems to be most critical to an understanding of its results of operations and financial condition are those related to the valuation of investments and derivatives, DAC, liabilities for future policy benefits and unpaid policy claims, and income taxes. The preparation and evaluation of these critical accounting estimates involve the use of various assumptions developed from management’s analyses and judgments. The application of these critical accounting estimates determines the values at which 94% of the Company's assets and 80% of its liabilities are reported as of December 31, 2021, and thus has a direct effect on net earnings and shareholders' equity. Subsequent experience or use of other assumptions could produce significantly different results.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Valuation of Investments, Including Derivatives
The Company's investments, primarily consisting of debt and equity securities, include both publicly issued and privately issued securities. For publicly issued securities, the Company determines the fair values from quoted market prices readily available from public exchange markets and price quotes and valuations from third party pricing vendors. For the majority of privately issued securities within the Company's investment portfolio, a third party pricing vendor has developed valuation models that the Company utilizes to determine fair values. Starting in June 2021, these models and associated processes and controls were transitioned to and executed by Company personnel. For the remaining privately issued securities, the Company uses non-binding price quotes from outside brokers. In September 2020, the Company refined its valuation model for private placements to explicitly incorporate currency basis swap adjustments (market observable data) to assumed interest rate curves where appropriate as noted in Note 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company estimates the fair values of its securities on a monthly basis. The Company monitors the estimated fair values obtained from its pricing vendors and brokers for consistency from month to month, while considering current market conditions. The Company also periodically discusses with its pricing brokers and vendors the pricing techniques they use to monitor the consistency of their approach and periodically assess the appropriateness of the valuation level assigned to the values obtained from them. If a fair value appears unreasonable, the Company will re-examine the inputs and assess the reasonableness of the pricing data with the vendor. Additionally, the Company may compare the inputs to relevant market indices and other performance measurements. Based on management's analysis, the valuation is confirmed or may be revised if there is evidence of a more appropriate estimate of fair value based on available market data. The Company has performed verification of the inputs and calculations in any valuation models to confirm that the valuations represent reasonable estimates of fair value. Inputs used to value derivatives include, but are not limited to, interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency forward and spot rates, and interest volatility.
The Company estimates an expected lifetime credit loss on investments measured at amortized cost including held-to-maturity fixed maturity securities, loan receivables and loan commitments on a quarterly basis. For the Company’s available-for-sale fixed maturity securities, the Company evaluates estimated credit losses only when the fair value of the available-for-sale fixed maturity security is below its amortized cost basis
The Company’s approach to estimating credit losses is complex and incorporates significant judgments. In addition to a security, or an asset class, or an issuer-specific credit fundamentals, it considers past events, current economic conditions and forecasts of future economic conditions. The Company's estimates are revised as conditions change and new information becomes available.
See the tabular disclosure entitled "Sensitivity of Fair Values of Financial Instruments to Interest Rate Change" in Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk and Notes 1, 3, 4 and 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Policy Liabilities
Insurance premiums for most of the Company's health and life policies, including cancer, accident, hospital, critical illness, dental, vision, term life, whole life, long-term care and disability, are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods of the contracts when due from policyholders. When earned premiums are reported, the related amounts of benefits and expenses are charged against such revenues, so that profits are recognized in proportion to earned premiums during the period the policies are expected to remain in force. This association is accomplished by means of annual additions to the liability for future policy benefits and the deferral and subsequent amortization of policy acquisition costs.
Premiums from the Company's products with limited-pay features, including term life, whole life, WAYS, and child endowment, are collected over a significantly shorter period than the period over which benefits are provided. Premiums for these products are recognized as earned premiums over the premium-paying periods of the contracts when due from policyholders. Any gross premium in excess of the net premium is deferred and recorded in earnings, such that profits are recognized in a constant relationship with insurance in force. Benefits are recorded as an expense when they are incurred. A liability for future policy benefits is recorded when premiums are recognized using the net premium method.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
The calculation of DAC and the liability for future policy benefits requires the use of estimates based on sound actuarial valuation techniques. For new policy issues, the Company reviews its actuarial assumptions and deferrable acquisition
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
costs each year and revise them when necessary to more closely reflect recent experience and studies of actual acquisition costs. For policies in force, the Company evaluates DAC by major product groupings to determine that they are recoverable from future revenues, and any amounts determined not to be recoverable are charged against net earnings. See Note 6 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for a detail of the DAC activity for the past two years.
Policy Liabilities
The Company's policy liabilities, which are determined in accordance with applicable guidelines as defined under U.S. GAAP and Actuarial Standards of Practice, include two components that involve analysis and judgment: future policy benefits and unpaid policy claims, which accounted for 86% and 5% of total policy liabilities as of December 31, 2021, respectively.
Future policy benefits provide for claims that will occur in the future and are generally calculated as the present value of future expected benefits to be incurred less the present value of future expected net benefit premiums. The Company calculates future policy benefits based on assumptions of morbidity, mortality, persistency and interest. These assumptions are generally established and considered locked at the time a policy is issued. The assumptions used in the calculations are closely related to those used in developing the gross premiums for a policy. As required by U.S. GAAP, the Company also includes a provision for adverse deviation, which is intended to accommodate adverse fluctuations in actual experience. These assumptions may only be unlocked in certain circumstances based on the results of periodic DAC recoverability and premium deficiency testing.
Unpaid policy claims include those claims that have been incurred and are in the process of payment as well as an estimate of those claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. The Company computes unpaid policy claims on a non-discounted basis using statistical analyses of historical claims payments, adjusted for current trends and changed conditions. The Company updates the assumptions underlying the estimate of unpaid policy claims regularly and incorporates its historical experience as well as other data that provides information regarding the Company's outstanding liability.
The Company's insurance products provide fixed-benefit amounts per occurrence that are not subject to medical-cost inflation. Furthermore, the Company's business is widely dispersed in both the U.S. and Japan. This geographic dispersion and the nature of the Company's benefit structure mitigate the risk of a significant unexpected increase in claims payments due to localized epidemics and events of a catastrophic nature. Claims incurred under the Company's policies are generally reported and paid in a relatively short time frame. The unpaid claims liability is sensitive to morbidity assumptions, in particular, severity and frequency of claims. Severity is the ultimate size of a claim, and frequency is the number of claims incurred. The Company's claims experience is primarily related to the demographics of its policyholders.
As a part of its established financial reporting and accounting practices and controls, the Company performs detailed annual actuarial reviews of its policyholder liabilities (gross premium valuation analysis) and reflects the results of those reviews in its results of operations and financial condition as required by U.S. GAAP. For Aflac Japan, the Company’s annual reviews in 2021 and 2020 indicated no need to strengthen liabilities associated with policies in Japan. For Aflac U.S., the Company's annual reviews in 2021 and 2020 indicated no need to strengthen liabilities associated with policies in the U.S.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The table below reflects the growth of the future policy benefits liability for the years ended December 31.
Future Policy Benefits
| (In millions of dollars and billions of yen) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac U.S. | $ | 9,865 | $ | 9,674 | ||
| Growth rate | 2.0 | % | 2.9 | % | ||
| Aflac Japan | $ | 81,176 | $ | 88,652 | ||
| Growth rate | (8.4) | % | 8.8 | % | ||
| Consolidated | $ | 90,588 | $ | 97,783 | ||
| Growth rate | (7.4) | % | 8.2 | % | ||
| Yen/dollar exchange rate (end of period) | 115.02 | 103.50 | ||||
| Aflac Japan | ¥ | 9,337 | ¥ | 9,176 | ||
| Growth rate | 1.8 | % | 2.8 | % |
The growth of the future policy benefits liability in yen for Aflac Japan and in dollars for Aflac U.S. has been due to the aging of the Company's in-force block of business and the addition of new business.
The following table summarizes certain significant assumptions made in establishing reserves for the Company's products and the net impact that could result from changes in these assumptions should they occur. Under U.S. GAAP, the Company's reserves for its limited pay and long duration contracts are primarily calculated using locked-in assumptions. As such, the adverse hypothetical impacts illustrated in the table below are those that would increase the Company's best estimate reserves, but would not result in a premium deficiency requiring strengthening of reserves or write-off of DAC. The favorable hypothetical impacts in the table below would decrease the Company's best estimate reserves but they would not result in an immediate decrease to its U.S. GAAP reserves (given that the Company would be required to leave the current assumptions locked in); rather, the positive impacts would be recognized in net earnings over the life of the policies in force.
The information below is for illustrative purposes and includes the impacts of changes in a single assumption and not changes in any combination of assumptions. As a result of emerging experience, changes in current assumptions and the related impact that could result in the listed financial statement balances that are in excess of the amounts illustrated may occur in future periods.
| Assumption | Current Assumption | Assumption Change | Increase (Decrease) in Best Estimate Reserves (in millions) (1) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment return | Expected portfolio book yields over the life of the business | Increase 25 basis points / Decrease 25 basis points | $(2,600) to $2,800 | |||
| Expected future claim payments / base mortality | Pricing expectations adjusted to best estimate based on Company experience | Increase / Decrease Expected Future Claim Payments: +5% to -5% | $5,300 to $(5,300) | |||
| Total termination rates | Pricing expectations adjusted to best estimate based on Company experience | Increase / Decrease Expected Total Termination Rates: +5% to -5% | $(600) to $600 |
(1) Best estimate reserves are equal to the present value of claims, cash values, expenses, and commissions minus the present value of gross premiums, using current best estimate assumptions.
In computing the estimate of unpaid policy claims, the Company considers many factors, including the benefits and amounts available under the policy; the volume and demographics of the policies exposed to claims; and internal business practices, such as incurred date assignment and current claim administrative practices. The Company monitors these conditions closely and makes adjustments to the liability as actual experience emerges. Claim levels are generally stable from period to period; however, fluctuations in claim levels may occur. In calculating the unpaid policy claim liability, the Company does not calculate a range of estimates. The following table shows the expected sensitivity of the unpaid policy claims liability as of December 31, 2021, to changes in severity and frequency of claims.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Sensitivity of Unpaid Policy Claims Liability
| (In millions) | Total Severity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Frequency | Decrease by 2% | Decrease by 1% | Unchanged | Increase by 1% | Increase by 2% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Increase by 2% | $ | (1) | $ | 26 | $ | 52 | $ | 79 | $ | 106 | |||||||||||||||||
| Increase by 1% | (27) | 0 | 26 | 53 | 79 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Unchanged | (52) | (26) | 0 | 26 | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Decrease by 1% | (78) | (52) | (26) | 0 | 26 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Decrease by 2% | (104) | (78) | (52) | (27) | (1) |
Other policy liabilities, which accounted for 9% of total policy liabilities as of December 31, 2021, consisted primarily of annuity and unearned premium reserves, and discounted advance premiums on deposit from policyholders in conjunction with their purchase of certain Aflac Japan insurance products. These advanced premiums are deferred upon collection and recognized as earned premiums over the contractual premium payment period. Advanced premiums represented 15% and 19% of the December 31, 2021 and 2020 other policy liabilities balances, respectively. See the Aflac Japan segment subsection of this MD&A for further information.
Income Taxes
Income tax provisions are generally based on pretax earnings reported for financial statement purposes, which differ from those amounts used in preparing the Company's income tax returns. Deferred income taxes are recognized for temporary differences between the financial reporting basis and income tax basis of assets and liabilities, based on enacted tax laws and statutory tax rates applicable to the periods in which the Company expects the temporary differences to reverse. The evaluation of a tax position in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a two-step process. Under the first step, the enterprise determines whether it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The second step is measurement, whereby a tax position that meets the more-likely-than-not recognition threshold is measured to determine the amount of benefit to recognize in the financial statements. A valuation allowance is established for deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that an amount will not be realized. The determination of a valuation allowance for deferred tax assets requires management to make certain judgments and assumptions.
In evaluating the ability to recover deferred tax assets, the Company's management considers all available evidence, including taxable income in open carry back years, the existence of cumulative losses in the most recent years, forecasted earnings, future taxable income exclusive of reversing temporary differences and carryforwards, future taxable temporary difference reversals, and prudent and feasible tax planning strategies. In the event the Company determines it is not more likely than not that it will be able to realize all or part of its deferred tax assets in the future, a valuation allowance would be charged to earnings in the period such determination is made. Likewise, if it is later determined that it is more likely than not that those deferred tax assets would be realized, the previously provided valuation allowance would be reversed. Future economic conditions and market volatility, including increases in interest rates or widening credit spreads, can adversely impact the Company’s tax planning strategies and in particular the Company’s ability to utilize tax benefits on previously recognized capital losses. The Company's judgments and assumptions are subject to change given the inherent uncertainty in predicting future performance and specific industry and investment market conditions.
In September 2020, the U.S. Treasury and Internal Revenue Service issued Final and Proposed Regulations. Under the guidance of these regulations, the Company recognized a one-time income tax benefit of $1.4 billion due to the release of previously established valuation allowances related to deferred foreign tax credit benefits. The Company believes this will also reduce the effective tax rate in future periods, subject to any future changes in the U.S. tax policy.
An increase or decrease in the Company's effective tax rate by one percentage point would have resulted in an increase or decrease in the Company's 2021 income tax expense of $49 million.
For additional information on income tax, see Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements presented in this report.
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Future Adoption of Accounting Standard for Long-Duration Insurance Contracts
In August 2018, the FASB issued Accounting Standards Update 2018-12, “Financial Services - Insurance, Targeted Improvements to the Accounting for Long-Duration Contracts” (The ASU). The update significantly changes how insurers account for long-duration contracts, amends existing recognition, measurement, presentation, and disclosure requirements applicable to the Company. Issues addressed in the new guidance include: 1) a requirement to review and, if there is a change, update cash flow assumptions for the liability for future policy benefits at least annually, and to update the discount rate assumption quarterly, 2) accounting for market risk benefits at fair value, 3) simplified amortization for deferred acquisition costs, and 4) enhanced financial statement presentation and disclosures. The Company has no products with market risk benefits.
Since the initial issuance, the FASB has deferred the ASU effective date for two years, such that the amendments are now effective for the Company for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, beginning after December 15, 2022. Early application of the amendments is permitted, however, the Company will not early adopt the updated standard. The Company plans to use the additional time to educate investors and analysts on the adoption impact, conduct robust testing and analysis, enhance the control environment, and perform parallel financial reporting.
The Company continues to evaluate the impact of adoption and expects that the adoption will have a significant impact on the Company’s financial position, results of operations, and disclosures. The Company anticipates that the requirement to update assumptions for liability for future policy benefits (LFPB) will have a significant impact on its results of operations, systems, processes and controls and that the requirement to update discount rates will have a significant impact on its AOCI and equity.
The ultimate impact on these items from the Company’s implementation of the updated standard is subject to assessments that are dependent on many variables, including but not limited to (i) how certain aspects of the new standard will be interpreted and implemented by the Company and other similar companies, such as (but not limited to) amortization of deferred acquisition costs and selection of discounting methodologies and inputs, as well as establishment of policies, processes and controls for setting, monitoring and periodically updating reserve assumptions, and (ii) changes in the interest rate environment in the U.S. and Japan.
There are two permitted transition methods upon adoption and the Company has selected the modified retrospective transition method. The new guidance requires that discount rates used for the discounting of insurance liabilities be initially adjusted on the adoption date and subsequently at each reporting period to the market levels for the upper-medium-grade (low credit risk) fixed income instrument yields (single-A in the currency of the underlying insurance contract) reflecting the duration of the Company’s insurance liabilities.
The primary impact on transition under the modified retrospective method is driven by updating discount rates that increase reserves and lower AOCI by the corresponding amount, net of tax. The Company currently estimates that the January 1, 2021 transition date (Transition Date) impact from adoption is likely to result in a decrease in AOCI in a range between $18 billion and $20 billion. The preliminary impact results from updating discount rate assumptions from the rates locked in for reserves held as of the Transition Date to rates determined by reference to the Transition Date market level yields for upper-medium-grade (low credit risk) fixed income instruments (as of December 31, 2020). The variability around the impact of adoption results from the Company making certain estimates, primarily related to the determination of Transition Date market level yields. Based on the Company’s current discount rate methodology developed under the new ASU, if interest rates increased or decreased by 25 basis points as of December 31, 2020, the Company’s AOCI as of that date would increase or decrease by $1.0 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively.
As discussed in detail in Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements, the Company has advanced and continues to refine the design of its discount rate methodology for both the U.S. and Japan insurance business. Upon adoption of the new ASU, discount rates will be updated each reporting period.
The impact to the Company’s reported financial statements under U.S. GAAP is greatly influenced by the nature of the Company’s business model. Adoption of the new guidance reflects the Company’s concentration in Japan third-sector business, in particular cancer insurance, with respect to which the duration of liabilities is materially longer than asset durations, while Japan’s aggregate block of business continues to see favorable experience from mortality, morbidity, and expenses. The long duration of the Company’s third-sector insurance liabilities in Japan coupled with limited-to-no-liquidity of the Japanese long-dated fixed-income market creates challenges in application of the market-based discount rate guidance and will require the Company to apply significant judgments in designing discount rate methodologies for its Japanese third-sector liabilities. Under the modified retrospective method, the impact of a low discount rate applied to long-duration third sector liabilities is recognized at adoption, while associated favorable morbidity margins are recognized
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Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
over time thus driving a pronounced timing impact to U.S. GAAP equity. In addition, with respect to the Japan segment, the Company maintains a large portfolio of assets designated as held-to-maturity (HTM) as a strategy to reduce capital (solvency margin ratio or SMR) volatility. In a low interest rate environment, such as presently exists in Japan, assets designated as HTM that were purchased in a higher interest rate environment have significant embedded gains not reflected in AOCI (HTM securities are carried at amortized cost under U.S. GAAP), which serves as an economic offset to a low discount rate applied to policy liabilities. At December 31, 2021, the Company’s HTM portfolio was $22.0 billion at amortized cost and had $4.9 billion in net unrealized gains. After adoption of ASU 2018-12, the Company also expects net earnings and net earnings per share (which were $4.3 billion and $6.39 per diluted share, respectively, in 2021) to reflect larger quarterly fluctuations due to the new requirement to update assumptions for liability for future policy benefits.
In the near term, the expected impact on the Company’s key financial ratios is limited. Generally, benefit ratios are expected to be slightly higher as favorable experience is absorbed into reserves, while expense ratios are expected to be modestly lower due to amortizing deferred acquisition costs at a slower rate. This results in a slightly higher profit margin in Japan and an insignificant impact to the U.S. profit margin.
The Company has created a robust governance framework and a plan to support implementation of the updated standard. As part of its implementation plan, the Company has made preliminary policy elections on key accounting policy decisions (discount rate, cash flow assumptions, and deferred acquisition costs amortization). See Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on preliminary policy elections. The Company has also advanced the modernization of its actuarial technology platform to enhance its modeling, data management, experience study and analytical capabilities, increase the end-to-end automation of key reporting and analytical processes and optimize its control framework. The Company has also put in place internal controls related to the new processes created as part of implementing the updated standard and will continue to refine and maturate these internal controls until the formal implementation in the first quarter of 2023.
The Company expects that while the adoption of this new accounting guidance will affect the Company’s financial statements under U.S. GAAP, it will not impact financial statements for Aflac Japan under FSA requirements or for Aflac U.S. under applicable statutory requirements. Therefore, the Company does not expect adoption of the updated standard to impact its overall cash flows, subsidiaries’ dividend capacity or their ability to meet applicable regulatory capital standards, nor does the Company anticipate adoption to affect its existing debt covenants or strategies for capital deployment.
New Accounting Pronouncements
During the last three years, various accounting standard-setting bodies have been active in soliciting comments and issuing statements, interpretations and exposure drafts. For information on new accounting pronouncements and the impact, if any, on the Company's financial position or results of operations, see Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.