ALLSTATE CORP (ALL)
SIC breadcrumb: Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate > Insurance Carriers > SIC 6331 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=899051. Latest filing source: 0000899051-26-000031.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 67,685,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-20 |
| Net income | 10,282,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-20 |
| Assets | 119,758,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-20 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-20. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000899051.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 37,399,000,000 | 39,407,000,000 | 39,815,000,000 | 41,541,000,000 | 41,909,000,000 | 50,601,000,000 | 51,411,000,000 | 57,094,000,000 | 64,106,000,000 | 67,685,000,000 |
| Net income | 1,877,000,000 | 3,554,000,000 | 2,160,000,000 | 4,847,000,000 | 5,576,000,000 | 1,614,000,000 | -1,289,000,000 | -188,000,000 | 4,667,000,000 | 10,282,000,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 4.67 | 9.35 | 5.70 | 14.03 | 17.31 | 5.01 | -5.14 | -1.20 | 16.99 | 38.06 |
| Operating cash flow | 3,993,000,000 | 4,314,000,000 | 5,175,000,000 | 5,129,000,000 | 5,491,000,000 | 5,116,000,000 | 5,121,000,000 | 4,228,000,000 | 8,931,000,000 | 10,110,000,000 |
| Capital expenditures | 313,000,000 | 299,000,000 | 277,000,000 | 433,000,000 | 308,000,000 | 345,000,000 | 420,000,000 | 267,000,000 | 210,000,000 | 228,000,000 |
| Dividends paid | 486,000,000 | 525,000,000 | 614,000,000 | 653,000,000 | 668,000,000 | 885,000,000 | 926,000,000 | 925,000,000 | 962,000,000 | 1,036,000,000 |
| Share buybacks | 1,337,000,000 | 1,495,000,000 | 2,303,000,000 | 1,735,000,000 | 1,737,000,000 | 3,120,000,000 | 2,520,000,000 | 335,000,000 | 2,000,000 | 1,233,000,000 |
| Assets | 108,610,000,000 | 112,422,000,000 | 112,249,000,000 | 119,950,000,000 | 125,987,000,000 | 99,440,000,000 | 97,989,000,000 | 103,362,000,000 | 111,617,000,000 | 119,758,000,000 |
| Liabilities | 88,037,000,000 | 89,871,000,000 | 90,937,000,000 | 93,952,000,000 | 95,770,000,000 | 74,313,000,000 | 80,626,000,000 | 85,732,000,000 | 90,250,000,000 | 89,169,000,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 20,573,000,000 | 22,551,000,000 | 21,312,000,000 | 25,998,000,000 | 30,217,000,000 | 24,944,000,000 | 17,488,000,000 | 17,770,000,000 | 21,442,000,000 | 30,610,000,000 |
| Free cash flow | 3,680,000,000 | 4,015,000,000 | 4,898,000,000 | 4,696,000,000 | 5,183,000,000 | 4,771,000,000 | 4,701,000,000 | 3,961,000,000 | 8,721,000,000 | 9,882,000,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 5.02% | 9.02% | 5.43% | 11.67% | 13.31% | 3.19% | -2.51% | -0.33% | 7.28% | 15.19% |
| Return on equity | 9.12% | 15.76% | 10.14% | 18.64% | 18.45% | 6.47% | -7.37% | -1.06% | 21.77% | 33.59% |
| Return on assets | 1.73% | 3.16% | 1.92% | 4.04% | 4.43% | 1.62% | -1.32% | -0.18% | 4.18% | 8.59% |
| Liabilities / equity | 4.28 | 3.99 | 4.27 | 3.61 | 3.17 | 2.98 | 4.61 | 4.82 | 4.21 | 2.91 |
Financial Charts
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-04-29. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000899051.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q2 | 2022-06-30 | -3.81 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | -2.58 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | -1.31 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 13,979,000,000 | -1,352,000,000 | -5.29 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 14,497,000,000 | -5,000,000 | -0.16 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 14,832,000,000 | 1,489,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 15,259,000,000 | 1,218,000,000 | 4.46 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 15,714,000,000 | 331,000,000 | 1.13 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 16,627,000,000 | 1,190,000,000 | 4.33 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 16,506,000,000 | 1,928,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 16,452,000,000 | 595,000,000 | 2.11 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 16,633,000,000 | 2,109,000,000 | 7.76 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 17,255,000,000 | 3,746,000,000 | 13.95 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 17,345,000,000 | 3,832,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 16,941,000,000 | 2,457,000,000 | 9.25 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0000899051-26-000075.
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Overview
The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate Corporation (referred to in this document as “we,” “our,” “us,” the “Company” or “Allstate”). It should be read in conjunction with the condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes thereto found under Part I. Item 1. contained herein, and with the discussion, analysis, consolidated financial statements and notes thereto in Part I. Item 1. and Part II. Item 7. and Item 8. of The Allstate Corporation annual report on Form 10-K for 2025.
Further analysis of our insurance segments Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability, together Property-Liability Operations, and Protection Services, is provided in Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”). The segments are consistent with the way in which the chief operating decision maker reviews financial performance and makes decisions about the allocation of resources.
Measuring segment profit or loss
The measure of segment profit or loss used in evaluating performance is underwriting income for the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments and adjusted net income for the Protection Services and Corporate segments. We use these measures in our evaluation of results of operations to analyze profitability.
Underwriting income (loss) is calculated as premiums earned and other revenue, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”), operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles and restructuring and related charges, as determined using GAAP.
Adjusted net income (loss) is net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders, excluding:
| • | Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives |
|---|---|
| • | Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses |
| • | Amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles |
| • | Gain or loss on disposition |
| • | Adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years |
| • | Income tax expense or benefit on reconciling items |
Macroeconomic impacts
Macroeconomic factors have and may continue to impact the results of our operations, financial condition and liquidity, such as U.S. government fiscal and monetary policies, major combat operations in Iran, the Russia/Ukraine conflict, supply chain disruptions, volatility in global energy markets and labor shortages. Increased oil prices may contribute to higher transportation, manufacturing and repair costs. If
sustained, these conditions may change claims frequency in auto coverages and may increase severity in auto and homeowners coverages and place additional pressure on operating costs and consumer affordability. We continue to monitor these conditions and reflect our current expectations in pricing and reserving; however, uncertainty remains regarding the extent and duration of these impacts.
Tariffs The U.S. implemented and continues to modify tariff measures and pursue additional trade actions, contributing to uncertainty in global trade policy, inflation and supply chains. These costs are embedded within overall claims severity and are influenced by energy and commodity input costs, supply chain conditions, labor availability and broader economic trends. We evaluate scenarios to understand the potential impact of tariffs on our businesses and incorporate estimates of the impact into our development of reserves for claims. The evolving and uncertain global trade environment makes it difficult to predict the full effect on our business, and it may take time for the impact of inflation to become evident. Adverse effects could include:
•Higher new and used vehicle pricing and replacement parts, increasing claims costs in Allstate Protection and Dealer Services
•Increases in building material costs, driving increases in homeowners claim costs
•Lack of availability of replacement parts from disruption in global trade broadly impacting all businesses
•Fewer auto new issued applications due to lower new and used vehicle sales
•Reduced demand in Dealer Services due to lower new vehicle sales
•Lower premiums written from reduced U.S. retail sales in Protection Plans
•Higher claims costs at Protection Plans
•Increased bad debt expense and credit allowance exposure as consumer financial conditions deteriorate
•Unfavorable impacts on investment valuations, liquidity and returns due to volatility in broader financial markets, interest rates and energy prices
This is not inclusive of all potential impacts and should not be treated as such.
Corporate strategy
Our strategy has two components: increase personal property-liability market share and expand protection offerings by leveraging the Allstate brand, customer base and capabilities.
Transformative Growth is a comprehensive plan to improve Allstate’s competitive position by providing affordable, simple and connected protection through multiple distribution methods. The ultimate objective is to enhance customer value to drive growth in all businesses.
40 www.allstate.com
In the personal property-liability businesses, this has five key components:
•Improving customer value
•Expanding customer access
•Increasing sophistication and investment in customer acquisition
•Deploying new technology ecosystems
•Driving organizational transformation
We are expanding Protection Services businesses internationally and by leveraging the Allstate brand, customer base and capabilities.
Financial Highlights
($ in millions)
Consolidated net income applicable to common shareholders increased $1.86 billion to $2.43 billion in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to higher underwriting income.
Total revenue increased 3.0% to $16.94 billion in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to higher auto and homeowners insurance policies in force and to a lesser extent homeowners premium rate increases.
Net investment income increased $84 million to $938 million in the first quarter of 2026, primarily due to higher market-based investment results.
Financial highlights
Investments totaled $85.16 billion as of March 31, 2026, increasing from $83.24 billion as of December 31, 2025.
Allstate shareholders’ equity was $31.61 billion as of March 31, 2026, increasing from $30.61 billion as of December 31, 2025, primarily due to net income, partially offset by common share repurchases, unrealized net capital losses and dividends to shareholders.
Book value per diluted common share (ratio of Allstate common shareholders’ equity to total common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares outstanding) was $113.52 as of March 31, 2026, an increase of 52.2% from $74.61 as of March 31, 2025, and an increase of 4.7% from $108.45 as of December 31, 2025.
Return on average Allstate common shareholders’ equity for the twelve months ended March 31, 2026, was 48.4%, an increase of 27.0 points from 21.4% for the twelve months ended March 31, 2025. The increase was primarily due to higher net income applicable to common shareholders for the trailing twelve-month period ending March 31, 2026.
First Quarter 2026 Form 10-Q 41
Property-Liability Operations
Property-Liability Operations
Overview Property-Liability operations consist of two reportable segments: Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability. These segments are consistent with the groupings of financial information that management uses to evaluate performance and to determine the allocation of resources.
We do not allocate Property-Liability investment income, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, or assets to the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments. Management reviews assets at the Property-Liability level for decision-making purposes.
For segment results, services provided by Protection Services to Allstate Protection are not eliminated as management considers those transactions in assessing the results of the respective segments. The effects of inter-segment transactions are eliminated in the consolidated results.
GAAP operating ratios are used to measure our profitability to enhance an investor’s understanding of our financial results and are calculated as follows:
•Loss ratio: the ratio of claims and claims expense (loss adjustment expenses), to premiums earned. Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.
•Expense ratio: the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles and restructuring and related charges, less other revenue to premiums earned.
•Combined ratio: the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
We have also calculated the following impacts of specific items on the GAAP operating ratios because of the volatility of these items between periods. The impacts are calculated by taking the specific items noted below divided by Property-Liability premiums earned:
•Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio: includes catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expense
•Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio
•Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio
•Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio
•Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio: includes claims and claims expense, restructuring and related charges and operating costs and expenses in the Run-off Property-Liability segment
Premium measures and statistics are used to analyze our premium trends and are calculated as follows:
•PIF: policy counts are based on items rather than customers. A multi-car customer would generate multiple item (policy) counts, even if all cars were insured under one policy. Lender-placed policies are excluded from policy counts.
•New issued applications: item counts of automobile or homeowner insurance applications for insurance policies that were issued during the period, regardless of whether the customer was previously insured by another Allstate brand.
•Average premium-gross written (“average premium”): gross premiums written divided by issued item count. Gross premiums written include the impacts from discounts, surcharges and ceded reinsurance premiums and exclude the impacts from mid-term premium adjustments and premium refund accruals. Average premiums represent the appropriate policy term for each line, typically six months for an auto policy and twelve months for a homeowners policy.
•Implemented rate changes: represents the impact in the locations (U.S. states, the District of Columbia or Canadian provinces) where rate changes were implemented during the period as a percentage of total prior year-end premiums written.
42 www.allstate.com
Property-Liability Operations
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[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Page | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Highlights | 35 | |
| Property-Liability Operations | 37 | |
| Allstate Protection | 39 | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 46 | |
| Protection Services | 49 | |
| Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense | 50 | |
| Investments | 57 | |
| Market Risk | 66 | |
| Capital Resources and Liquidity | 68 | |
| Enterprise Risk and Return Management | 73 | |
| Application of Critical Accounting Estimates | 76 | |
| Regulation and Legal Proceedings | 85 | |
| Pending Accounting Standards | 85 |
34 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K
2025 Highlights
Overview
The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate Corporation (referred to in this document as “we,” “our,” “us,” the “Company” or “Allstate”). It should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and related notes found under Item 8. contained herein.
A discussion of strategy, including updates to the multi-year Transformative Growth initiative, can be found in Part 1, Item 1. Business.
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2025 and 2024 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2025 and 2024. Discussions of 2023 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2024 and 2023 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) in Part II, Item 7. of our annual report on Form 10-K for 2024, filed February 24, 2025.
Further analysis of our insurance segments Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability, together Property-Liability Operations, and Protection Services, is provided in MD&A. The segments are consistent with the way in which the chief operating decision maker reviews financial performance and makes decisions about the allocation of resources. The dispositions of the employer voluntary benefits (“EVB”) and group health businesses did not qualify for discontinued operations. The Allstate Health and Benefits segment is no longer a reportable segment, with results of this segment recast to reflect only the results of the EVB and group health businesses. The retained individual health business, previously included in the Allstate Health and Benefits segment, is a non-reportable segment with results included in all other for all periods presented.
The most important factors we monitor to evaluate the financial condition and performance for the Company include:
•Allstate Protection: premium, policies in force (“PIF”), new business sales, price changes, claim frequency and severity, catastrophes, loss ratio, expenses, underwriting results and combined ratio
•Protection Services: revenues, premium written, PIF and adjusted net income
•Investments: exposure to market risk, asset allocation, credit quality, total return, net investment income, cash flows, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, unrealized capital gains and losses, long-term returns and fixed income portfolio duration
•Financial condition: liquidity, parent holding company deployable assets, financial strength ratings, operating leverage, debt levels, book value per share and return on equity
Measuring segment profit or loss
The measure of segment profit or loss used in evaluating performance is underwriting income for the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments and adjusted net income for the Protection Services and Corporate segments. We use these measures in our evaluation of results of operations to analyze profitability.
Underwriting income (loss) is calculated as premiums earned and other revenue, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”), operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, and restructuring and related charges, as determined using accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”).
Adjusted net income (loss) is net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders, excluding:
| • | Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives |
|---|---|
| • | Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses |
| • | Amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles |
| • | Gain or loss on disposition |
| • | Adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years |
| • | Income tax expense or benefit on reconciling items |
Macroeconomic impacts
Macroeconomic factors have and may continue to impact the results of our operations, financial condition and liquidity, such as U.S. government fiscal and monetary policies, the Russia/Ukraine conflict, supply chain disruptions and labor shortages. These factors should be considered when comparing the current period to prior periods. Macroeconomic impacts are disclosed in Part 1 “Item 1A. Risk Factors’’, including the risk factors titled “Widespread disruptive or destabilizing events may have an adverse effect on our business” and “Conditions in the global economy and capital markets could adversely affect the business and results of operations”.
Tariffs Beginning on April 2, 2025, the U.S. government announced additional tariffs on goods imported to the U.S. We regularly evaluate scenarios to understand the potential impact of tariffs on our businesses and incorporate estimates of the impact into our development of reserves for claims. The evolving and uncertain global trade environment makes it difficult to predict the full effect on our business and it may take time for the impact of inflation to become evident. The following factors may impact operations at levels beyond what we are currently observing:
•Higher new and used vehicle pricing and replacement parts, increasing claims costs in Allstate Protection and Dealer Services
The Allstate Corporation 35
2025 Form 10-K
•Increases in building material costs, driving increases in homeowners claim costs
•Lack of availability of replacement parts from disruption in global trade broadly impacting all businesses
•Fewer auto new issued applications due to lower new and used vehicle sales
•Reduced demand in Dealer Services due to lower new vehicle sales
•Lower premiums written from reduced U.S. retail sales in Protection Plans
•Higher claims costs at Protection Plans
•Bad debt and credit allowance exposure in all businesses
•Adverse impacts on investment valuations and liquidity for market-based and performance-based investments
This is not inclusive of all potential impacts and should not be treated as such.
Dispositions
On April 1, 2025, we closed the sale of American Heritage Life Insurance Company and American Heritage Service Company, comprising our employer voluntary benefits business. We recorded a gain on the sale of $888 million or $641 million, after-tax for the year ended December 31, 2025.
On July 1, 2025, we closed the sale of Direct General Life Insurance Company, NSM Sales Corporation and The Association Benefits Solution, LLC, comprising the group health business. We recorded a gain on sale of $715 million or $499 million, after-tax for the year ended December 31, 2025.
See Note 4 of the consolidated financial statements for further information on the EVB and group health dispositions.
Financial Highlights
($ in millions)
Consolidated net income applicable to common shareholders was $10.17 billion in 2025 compared to net income of $4.55 billion in 2024, primarily due to higher underwriting income and gains on dispositions.
Total revenue increased 5.6% to $67.69 billion in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to higher auto and homeowners insurance policies in force and premium rate increases.
Net investment income increased $357 million to $3.45 billion in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to higher market-based and performance-based investment results.
Financial Position
Investments totaled $83.24 billion as of December 31, 2025, increasing from $72.61 billion as of December 31, 2024.
Allstate shareholders’ equity was $30.61 billion as of December 31, 2025 and $21.44 billion as of December 31, 2024. The increase is primarily due to net income and an increase in unrealized net capital gains on investments in 2025, partially offset by common share repurchases and dividends to shareholders.
Book value per diluted common share (ratio of Allstate common shareholders’ equity to total common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares outstanding) was $108.45 as of December 31, 2025, an increase of 49.9% from $72.35 as of December 31, 2024.
Return on average Allstate common shareholders’ equity for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, was 42.3%, an increase of 16.5 points from 25.8% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024.
36 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K Property-Liability
Property-Liability Operations
Overview Property-Liability operations consist of two reportable segments: Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability. These segments are consistent with the groupings of financial information that management uses to evaluate performance and to determine the allocation of resources.
We do not allocate Property-Liability investment income, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, or assets to the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments. Management reviews assets at the Property-Liability level for decision-making purposes.
For segment results, services provided by Protection Services to Allstate Protection are not eliminated as management considers those transactions in assessing the results of the respective segments. The effects of inter-segment transactions are eliminated in the consolidated results.
GAAP operating ratios are used to measure our profitability to enhance an investor’s understanding of our financial results and are calculated as follows:
•Loss ratio: the ratio of claims and claims expense (loss adjustment expenses), to premiums earned. Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.
•Expense ratio: the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles and restructuring and related charges, less other revenue to premiums earned.
•Combined ratio: the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
We have also calculated the following impacts of specific items on the GAAP operating ratios because of the volatility of these items between periods. The impacts are calculated by taking the specific items noted below divided by Property-Liability premiums earned:
•Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio: includes catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expense
•Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio
•Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio
•Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio
•Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio: includes claims and claims expense, restructuring and related charges and operating costs and expenses in the Run-off Property-Liability segment
Premium measures and statistics are used to analyze our premium trends and are calculated as follows:
•PIF: policy counts are based on items rather than customers. A multi-car customer would generate multiple item (policy) counts, even if all cars were insured under one policy. Lender-placed policies are excluded from policy counts.
•New issued applications: item counts of automobile or homeowner insurance applications for insurance policies that were issued during the period, regardless of whether the customer was previously insured by another Allstate brand.
•Average premium-gross written (“average premium”): gross premiums written divided by issued item count. Gross premiums written include the impacts from discounts, surcharges and ceded reinsurance premiums and exclude the impacts from mid-term premium adjustments and premium refund accruals. Average premiums represent the appropriate policy term for each line, typically six months for an auto policy and twelve months for a homeowners policy.
•Implemented rate changes: represents the impact in the locations (U.S. states, the District of Columbia or Canadian provinces) where rate changes were implemented during the period as a percentage of total prior year-end premiums written.
The Allstate Corporation 37
2025 Form 10-K Property-Liability
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 59,546 | $ | 55,926 | $ | 50,347 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 57,682 | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 | |||||
| Other revenue | 2,051 | 1,895 | 1,545 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (36,777) | (39,118) | (40,453) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (7,003) | (6,676) | (6,070) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (7,176) | (6,630) | (5,255) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (54) | (51) | (143) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (183) | (206) | (235) | ||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 8,540 | $ | 3,080 | $ | (2,184) | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | |||||||||||
| Catastrophe losses, excluding reserve reestimates | $ | 4,959 | $ | 5,334 | $ | 5,660 | |||||
| Catastrophe reserve reestimates (1) | — | (370) | (24) | ||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | $ | 4,959 | $ | 4,964 | $ | 5,636 | |||||
| Non-catastrophe reserve reestimates (1) | $ | (1,810) | $ | 62 | $ | 574 | |||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates (1) | (1,810) | (308) | 550 | ||||||||
| GAAP operating ratios | |||||||||||
| Loss ratio | 63.8 | 72.6 | 83.5 | ||||||||
| Expense ratio (2) | 21.4 | 21.7 | 21.0 | ||||||||
| Combined ratio | 85.2 | 94.3 | 104.5 | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio | 8.6 | 9.2 | 11.6 | ||||||||
| Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | (3.1) | (0.5) | 1.2 | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | — | (0.7) | — | ||||||||
| Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | ||||||||
| Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | ||||||||
| Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
(1)Reserve releases are shown in parentheses.
(2)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
38 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Allstate Protection Segment
Private passenger auto, homeowners, and other personal lines insurance products are offered to consumers through exclusive agents, independent agents and directly to the consumer through contact centers and online. Our strategy is to offer products that allow customers to interact with us when, where and how they want affordable, simple and connected protection products. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 59,546 | $ | 55,926 | $ | 50,347 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 57,682 | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 | |||||
| Other revenue | 2,051 | 1,895 | 1,545 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (36,626) | (39,050) | (40,364) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (7,003) | (6,676) | (6,070) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (7,173) | (6,625) | (5,251) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (54) | (51) | (142) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (183) | (206) | (235) | ||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 8,694 | $ | 3,153 | $ | (2,090) | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | $ | 4,959 | $ | 4,964 | $ | 5,636 |
Underwriting income was $8.69 billion in 2025 compared to $3.15 billion in 2024, primarily due to increased premiums earned and the benefit of prior year reserve releases, partially offset by higher expenses.
| Underwriting income (loss) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 5,724 | $ | 1,810 | $ | (1,109) | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 2,393 | 1,319 | (803) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines (1) | 190 | 67 | (39) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 137 | (240) | (265) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines (2) | 239 | 185 | 115 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Answer Financial | 11 | 12 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 8,694 | $ | 3,153 | $ | (2,090) |
(1)Includes renters, condominium, landlord, boat, umbrella, manufactured home, scheduled personal property and valuable item protection products.
(2)Other business lines represents commissions earned from brokered property and casualty and life and annuity products, and lender-placed products.
| Change in underwriting results from 2024 to 2025 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
The Allstate Corporation 39
2025 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Change in underwriting results from 2023 to 2024 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Premium measures and statistics include PIF, new issued applications and average premiums. Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums are considered earned and are included in the financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired term of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.
| Premiums written | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 38,649 | $ | 37,296 | $ | 33,958 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 16,565 | 14,416 | 12,584 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 3,265 | 3,068 | 2,519 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 402 | 495 | 720 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 665 | 651 | 566 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 59,546 | $ | 55,926 | $ | 50,347 |
| Premiums earned | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 38,090 | $ | 36,475 | $ | 32,940 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 15,363 | 13,360 | 11,739 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 3,134 | 2,823 | 2,387 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 419 | 609 | 811 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 676 | 599 | 550 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 57,682 | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 |
| Policies in force | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| Auto | 25,504 | 24,936 | 25,283 | |||||
| Homeowners | 7,697 | 7,511 | 7,338 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 4,898 | 4,870 | 4,863 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 176 | 213 | 284 | |||||
| Total | 38,275 | 37,530 | 37,768 |
Auto insurance premiums written increased 3.6% or $1.35 billion in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to the following factors:
•Rate increases that moderated from the prior year. In 2025, rate increases of 3.5% were implemented resulting in a total insurance premium impact of 2.6%
•PIF increased 2.3% or 568 thousand to 25,504 thousand as of December 31, 2025 compared to December 31, 2024
•Increased new issued applications in all channels
•In states where we are achieving acceptable returns, we will focus on implementing rates to keep pace with increasing costs and explore opportunities for rate investments towards growth
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| Auto premium measures and statistics | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2025 vs. 2024 | ||||||||||||
| New issued applications (in thousands) | |||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by channel | |||||||||||||||
| Exclusive agency | 3,129 | 2,579 | 2,294 | 21.3 | % | ||||||||||
| Independent agency | 2,786 | 2,276 | 1,989 | 22.4 | |||||||||||
| Direct | 2,987 | 2,247 | 1,632 | 32.9 | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 8,902 | 7,102 | 5,915 | 25.3 | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 850 | $ | 843 | $ | 757 | 0.8 | % |
Homeowners insurance premiums written increased 14.9% or $2.15 billion in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to the following factors:
•Higher Allstate brand average premiums resulting from rate increases and inflation in insured home replacement costs, combined with policies in force growth
•In 2025, rate increases of 7.6% were implemented resulting in a total estimated insurance premium impact of 5.1%, excluding the impact of changes in insured home replacement costs
•PIF increased 2.5% or 186 thousand to 7,697 thousand as of December 31, 2025 compared to
December 31, 2024, primarily in the direct and exclusive agency channels, partially offset by a reduction in the independent agency channel
•Increased new issued applications in the exclusive agency and direct channels
In Florida, we are not writing new homeowners business and are substantially complete with the non-renewal of certain policies. We may not be able to grow in certain states without regulatory or legislative reforms that enable customers to be provided coverage at appropriate risk adjusted returns.
| Homeowners premium measures and statistics | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2025 vs. 2024 | ||||||||||||
| New issued applications (in thousands) | |||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by channel | |||||||||||||||
| Exclusive agency | 982 | 946 | 800 | 3.8 | % | ||||||||||
| Independent agency | 172 | 226 | 232 | (23.9) | |||||||||||
| Direct | 233 | 133 | 79 | 75.2 | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 1,387 | 1,305 | 1,111 | 6.3 | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 2,263 | $ | 2,021 | $ | 1,812 | 12.0 | % |
Other personal lines premiums written increased 6.4% or $197 million in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to increases in landlords and personal umbrella policies, partially offset by a decrease in auto assigned risk policies purchased from other carriers. We are not writing new condominium business in Florida.
Commercial lines premiums written decreased 18.8% or $93 million in 2025 compared to 2024, due to the strategic decision for the Allstate brand to stop writing new business and non-renew certain policies. We are offering comprehensive commercial products,
including brokered solutions, to customers through our exclusive agency, independent agency and direct channels.
Other business lines premiums written increased 2.2% or $14 million in 2025 compared to 2024, due to growth in the lender-placed homeowners business, partially offset by lower lender-placed auto premiums.
GAAP operating ratios include loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio to analyze our profitability trends. Frequency and severity changes are used to describe the trends in loss costs.
The Allstate Corporation 41
2025 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Combined ratios | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Expense ratio (3) | Combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 63.4 | 72.7 | 82.8 | 21.6 | 22.3 | 20.6 | 85.0 | 95.0 | 103.4 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 62.8 | 68.1 | 85.4 | 21.6 | 22.0 | 21.4 | 84.4 | 90.1 | 106.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines (1) | 77.4 | 85.9 | 82.0 | 16.5 | 11.7 | 19.6 | 93.9 | 97.6 | 101.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 40.3 | 111.5 | 105.8 | 27.0 | 27.9 | 26.9 | 67.3 | 139.4 | 132.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines (2) | 34.7 | 55.8 | 48.4 | 29.9 | 13.3 | 30.7 | 64.6 | 69.1 | 79.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | 63.5 | 72.4 | 83.3 | 21.4 | 21.7 | 21.0 | 84.9 | 94.1 | 104.3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Impact of restructuring and related charges | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
(1)Expense ratio includes other revenue of $185 million, $223 million and $57 million in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively, for fees on auto assigned risk policies.
(2)Expense ratio includes profit-sharing commissions on lender-placed business, which increased in 2025 as losses declined and decreased in 2024 due to higher losses.
(3)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
| Loss ratios | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Effect of catastrophe losses | Effect of prior year reserve reestimates | Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 63.4 | 72.7 | 82.8 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.1 | (4.9) | (1.0) | 0.7 | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 62.8 | 68.1 | 85.4 | 26.6 | 27.8 | 38.6 | (0.1) | (2.9) | 0.8 | 0.3 | (2.4) | 0.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 77.4 | 85.9 | 82.0 | 9.0 | 12.8 | 14.6 | 4.1 | 7.7 | 0.8 | (0.4) | (0.2) | (0.8) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 40.3 | 111.5 | 105.8 | — | 2.8 | 3.7 | (35.3) | 27.3 | 10.4 | (0.2) | (0.8) | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 34.7 | 55.8 | 48.4 | 9.5 | 11.9 | 7.5 | (6.7) | — | 2.2 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 63.5 | 72.4 | 83.3 | 8.6 | 9.2 | 11.6 | (3.4) | (0.7) | 1.0 | — | (0.7) | — |
Auto loss ratio decreased 9.3 points in 2025 compared to 2024 driven by increased earned premiums, lower claim frequency and the benefit of prior year non-catastrophe reserve releases. Estimated report year 2025 incurred claim severity for Allstate brand increased compared to report year 2024 for major coverages due to higher repair costs, mix of total loss frequency, medical consumption and attorney representation. We continue to enhance our claims practices to manage loss costs by increasing resources and expanding re-inspections and accelerating resolution of bodily injury claims.
Homeowners loss ratio decreased 5.3 points in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to increased premiums earned. Gross claim frequency, excluding catastrophes, decreased in 2025 compared to 2024 while paid claim severity, excluding catastrophes, increased due to a mix of fire and wind/hail perils. Homeowner paid claim severity can be impacted by both the mix of perils and the magnitude of specific losses paid during the period.
Other personal lines loss ratio decreased 8.5 points in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to increased premiums earned, partially offset by higher non-catastrophe losses.
Commercial lines loss ratio decreased 71.2 points in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to the benefit of
prior year reserve releases and lower losses, partially offset by a decrease in premiums earned driven by the strategic decision for the Allstate brand to stop writing new business and non-renew policies.
Other business lines loss ratio decreased 21.1 points in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to lower losses and the benefit of prior year non-catastrophe reserve releases.
Catastrophe losses decreased 0.1% or $5 million in 2025 compared to 2024.
We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first-party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes.
We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, civil unrest, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
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| Catastrophe losses by the type of event | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Number of events | 2025 | Number of events | 2024 | Number of events | 2023 | ||||||||||||||
| Hurricanes/tropical storms | — | $ | — | 5 | $ | 1,180 | 3 | $ | 66 | |||||||||||
| Tornadoes | — | — | 2 | 85 | 4 | 189 | ||||||||||||||
| Wind/hail | 110 | 3,952 | 113 | 3,832 | 136 | 5,065 | ||||||||||||||
| Wildfires | 4 | 1,049 | 10 | 71 | 4 | 335 | ||||||||||||||
| Freeze/other events | 1 | 2 | 2 | 166 | 2 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates (1) | 60 | (370) | (24) | |||||||||||||||||
| Prior year Nationwide aggregate reinsurance recoveries | (60) | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Current year Nationwide aggregate reinsurance recoveries | (44) | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | 115 | $ | 4,959 | (2) | 132 | $ | 4,964 | 149 | $ | 5,636 |
(1)Includes reinsurance recoveries.
(2)Gross losses before reinsurance recoverables and reinstatement premiums were $6.2 billion.
Catastrophe management
Historical catastrophe experience For the last ten years, the average annual impact of catastrophes on our loss ratio was 8.8 points, but it has varied from 7.1 points to 11.6 points. The impact of homeowners catastrophes on the homeowners loss ratio in 2025 was 26.6 points compared to the average annual impact for the last ten years of 28.1 points. Over time, we have limited our aggregate insurance exposure to catastrophe losses in certain regions of the country that are subject to high levels of natural catastrophes by our participation in various state facilities. For further discussion of these facilities, see Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements. However, the impact of these actions may be diminished by the growth in insured values, the effect of state insurance laws and regulations and we may not be able to maintain our current level of reinsurance or purchase new reinsurance protection in amounts we consider sufficient at acceptable prices. In addition, in various states we are required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers including the California FAIR Plan Association. Because of our participation in these and other state facilities such as wind pools, we may be exposed to losses that surpass the capitalization of these facilities and to assessments from these facilities.
We have continued to take actions to maintain an appropriate level of exposure to catastrophic events while continuing to meet the needs of our customers, including the following:
•Continuing to limit or not offer new homeowners, manufactured home and landlord package policy business in certain coastal geographies. Additionally, we:
–Reduced our exposure to high-risk areas, including California and Florida. We have decreased our overall homeowner exposure in California by more than 50% since 2007. Additionally, from 2016 to 2022 we wrote a
limited number of homeowners policies in select areas of California. We stopped writing new homeowners and condominium business in California in 2022. In Florida, we stopped writing new condominium business in 2022 and new homeowners business in 2023. As a result, since December 31, 2024, PIF has declined by approximately 5% and 15% in California and Florida, respectively.
–Continue to write homeowners coverage, excluding in Florida, through our excess and surplus lines carrier, North Light Specialty Insurance Company (“North Light”), for properties with a higher risk of catastrophes or where customers do not meet certain criteria. These policies can include earthquake coverage (other than fire following earthquakes) that is currently ceded via quota share reinsurance.
•Increased capacity in our brokerage platform for customers not offered an Allstate policy. As of December 31, 2025, Ivantage had $2.86 billion non-proprietary premiums under management.
•Ceded wind exposure related to insured property located in wind pool eligible areas in certain states.
•Generally require higher deductibles for tropical cyclone than all peril deductibles which are in place for a large portion of coastal insured properties.
•Include coverage for flood-related auto comprehensive losses within our reinsurance program to reduce the additional catastrophe exposure, beyond the property lines, for auto customers who have purchased comprehensive damage coverage.
•Provide options of coverage for roof damage, including graduated coverage and pricing based on roof type and age.
Hurricanes We consider the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to hurricanes to be major metropolitan centers along the eastern and gulf coasts of the United States. The average premium on a
The Allstate Corporation 43
2025 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
property policy near these coasts is generally greater than in other areas. However, average premiums are often not considered commensurate with the inherent risk of loss. In addition, as explained in Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements, in various states Allstate is subject to assessments from assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations providing insurance for wind related property losses.
We have addressed our risk of hurricane loss by, among other actions, purchasing reinsurance for specific states and on a countrywide basis for our personal lines property insurance in areas most exposed to hurricanes, limiting personal homeowners, landlord package policy and manufactured home new business writings in coastal areas in southern and eastern states, implementing tropical cyclone deductibles where appropriate, and not offering continuing coverage on certain policies in coastal counties in certain states. We continue to seek appropriate returns for the risks we write. This may require further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not getting appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Earthquakes We do not offer earthquake coverage in most states. We retain approximately 19,000 PIF with earthquake coverage, with the largest number of policies located in Kentucky, due to regulatory and other reasons. We purchase reinsurance in Kentucky and enter into arrangements in many states to make earthquake coverage available through our brokerage platform.
We continue to have exposure to earthquake risk on certain policies that do not specifically exclude coverage for earthquake losses, including our auto policies, and to homeowners insurance fire losses following earthquakes. Allstate homeowner policyholders in California are offered coverage for damage caused by an earthquake through the California Earthquake Authority (“CEA”), a privately financed, publicly managed state agency created to provide insurance coverage for earthquake damage. Allstate is subject to assessments from the CEA under certain circumstances as explained in Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements. While North Light writes property policies in California, which can include earthquake coverage, this coverage is 100% ceded via quota share reinsurance.
Fires following earthquakes Under a standard homeowners policy we cover fire losses, including those caused by an earthquake. Actions taken related to our risk of loss from fires following earthquakes include restrictive underwriting guidelines in California for new business writings, purchasing reinsurance for Kentucky personal lines property risks, and purchasing nationwide reinsurance coverage, excluding Florida.
Wildfires Actions taken related to managing our risk of loss from wildfires include purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, new and renewal inspection programs to identify and remediate wildfire risk as well as leveraging underwriting criteria. While these programs are designed to mitigate risk, the exposure to wildfires still exists. We continue to manage our exposure and seek appropriate returns. In addition, as explained in Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements, Allstate is subject to assessments from the California FAIR Plan Association providing insurance for property losses.
Severe convective storms We consider the areas of highest potential for catastrophic losses from wind, hail and tornado activity to be major metropolitan regions extending from the Great Plains through the Southeastern United States. We have mitigated our risk of severe convective storm loss by purchasing homeowners nationwide reinsurance coverage, utilized enhanced underwriting processes using aerial imagery, and have continued to provide options of coverage and price that are predicated on roof characteristics.
To manage the exposure, we may implement further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not achieving appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Catastrophe reinsurance The total cost of our property catastrophe reinsurance programs, excluding reinstatement premiums, during 2025 was $1.23 billion compared to $1.11 billion during 2024. Catastrophe placement premiums reduce net written and earned premium with approximately 83% of the reduction related to homeowners premium. A description of our current catastrophe reinsurance program appears in Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
Expense ratio decreased 0.3 points in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to higher earned premium growth relative to costs, partially offset by an increase in advertising costs.
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| Impact of specific costs and expenses on the expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2025 vs 2024 | 2024 vs 2023 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | $ | 7,003 | $ | 6,676 | $ | 6,070 | $ | 327 | $ | 606 | |||||||||
| Advertising expense | 2,100 | 1,863 | 638 | 237 | 1,225 | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses, net of other revenue | 3,022 | 2,867 | 3,068 | 155 | (201) | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 183 | 206 | 235 | (23) | (29) | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 54 | 51 | 142 | 3 | (91) | ||||||||||||||
| Total underwriting expenses | $ | 12,362 | $ | 11,663 | $ | 10,153 | $ | 699 | $ | 1,510 | |||||||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 57,682 | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 | $ | 3,816 | $ | 5,439 | |||||||||
| Expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 12.1 | 12.4 | 12.5 | (0.3) | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||
| Advertising expense | 3.6 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses, net of other revenue | 5.3 | 5.3 | 6.4 | — | (1.1) | ||||||||||||||
| Subtotal | 21.0 | 21.2 | 20.2 | (0.2) | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | — | (0.2) | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | (0.1) | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||
| Total expense ratio | 21.4 | 21.7 | 21.0 | (0.3) | 0.7 |
Deferred acquisition costs We establish a DAC asset for costs that are related directly to the acquisition of new or renewal insurance policies, principally agent, employee and broker remuneration, and premium taxes. DAC is amortized to income over the period in which premiums are earned.
| DAC balance as of December 31 by product type | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| Auto | $ | 1,319 | $ | 1,302 | |||
| Homeowners | 1,163 | 958 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 219 | 182 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 33 | 31 | |||||
| Other business lines | 69 | 75 | |||||
| Total DAC | $ | 2,803 | $ | 2,548 |
The Allstate Corporation 45
2025 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
Run-off Property-Liability Segment
The Run-off Property-Liability segment includes results from property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written from the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off lines claims arises principally from direct excess commercial insurance, assumed reinsurance coverage, direct primary commercial insurance and other businesses in run-off. We may pursue settlement agreements including policy buybacks on direct excess commercial business when appropriate to improve the certainty of the liabilities. Settlement agreements are negotiated contracts between Allstate and third parties that generally set forth the rights and obligations of the parties, including terms of payment for claims. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | (63) | $ | (19) | $ | (44) | |||||
| Environmental claims | (27) | (10) | (18) | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | (61) | (39) | (27) | ||||||||
| Total claims and claims expense | (151) | (68) | (89) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (3) | (5) | (5) | ||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (154) | $ | (73) | $ | (94) |
Underwriting losses in 2025 of $154 million and $73 million in 2024 primarily related to our annual reserve review using established industry and actuarial best practices and loss adjustment expenses. The reserve reestimates are included as part of claims and claims expense.
The reserve reestimates in 2025 primarily related to new reported information for asbestos claims, new reported claims for environmental and other mass tort claims and increased projections for claim expenses. The reserve reestimates in 2024 primarily related to new reported information for asbestos-related claims and adverse developments within the other run-off lines.
We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws, regulations, and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. However, as we progress with the resolution of disputed claims in the courts and arbitrations and with negotiations and settlements, our reported losses may be more variable.
| Reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | |||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,098 | $ | 1,124 | |||
| Reinsurance | (329) | (350) | |||||
| Net reserves | 769 | 774 | |||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 302 | 320 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (55) | (61) | |||||
| Net reserves | 247 | 259 | |||||
| Other run-off claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 452 | 439 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (36) | (58) | |||||
| Net reserves | 416 | 381 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,852 | 1,883 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (420) | (469) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,432 | $ | 1,414 |
46 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
| Reserves by type of exposure before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | |||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,063 | $ | 1,082 | |||
| Reinsurance | (341) | (363) | |||||
| Net reserves | 722 | 719 | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 584 | 581 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (54) | (54) | |||||
| Net reserves | 530 | 527 | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 98 | 133 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (24) | (51) | |||||
| Net reserves | 74 | 82 | |||||
| Unallocated loss adjustment expenses | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 107 | 87 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (1) | (1) | |||||
| Net reserves | 106 | 86 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,852 | 1,883 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (420) | (469) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,432 | $ | 1,414 |
| Percentage of gross and ceded reserves by case and incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | |||||||||||
| Case | IBNR | Case | IBNR | |||||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves (1) | 57 | % | 43 | % | 58 | % | 42 | % | ||||
| Ceded (2) | 66 | 34 | 62 | 38 | ||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 32 | 68 | 34 | 66 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 44 | 56 | 51 | 49 | ||||||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 38 | 62 | 54 | 46 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 72 | 28 | 87 | 13 |
(1)Approximately 66% and 65% of gross case reserves as of December 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively, are subject to settlement agreements that define and limit our obligations.
(2)Approximately 73% and 72% of ceded case reserves as of December 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively, are subject to settlement agreements that define and limit our obligations.
The Allstate Corporation 47
2025 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
| Gross payments from case reserves by type of exposure | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | For the years ended December 31, | ||||||
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross (1) | $ | 105 | $ | 67 | |||
| Ceded (2) | (36) | (25) | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross | 57 | 45 | |||||
| Ceded | (7) | (2) | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross | 6 | 6 | |||||
| Ceded | (3) | (2) |
(1) In 2025 and 2024, 91% and 87% of payments related to settlement agreements, respectively.
(2) In 2025 and 2024, 92% and 93% of payments related to settlement agreements, respectively.
Total net reserves as of December 31, 2025, included $761 million or 53% of estimated IBNR reserves compared to $723 million or 51% of estimated IBNR reserves as of December 31, 2024.
Total gross payments were $168 million and $118 million for 2025 and 2024, respectively. Payments primarily related to settlement agreements reached with several insureds on large claims, mainly asbestos-related losses, where the scope of coverages has been agreed upon. The claims associated with these settlement agreements are expected to be substantially paid out over the next several years as qualified claims are submitted by these insureds. Reinsurance collections were $38 million and $39 million for 2025 and 2024, respectively. The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables was $52 million and $61 million as of December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively. The allowance represents 10.7% and 11.3% of the related reinsurance recoverable balances as of December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.
48 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K Protection Services
Protection Services Segment
Protection Services is comprised of Protection Plans, Roadside, Dealer Services, Identity Protection and Arity. In 2025, Protection Services represented 81.6% of total PIF and 4.8% of premiums written. We offer consumer product protection plans, automotive protection and insurance products (including vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection, road hazard tire and wheel and paintless dent repair protection), roadside assistance, mobility intelligence services and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information and identity theft protection and remediation services. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 3,006 | $ | 2,797 | $ | 2,663 | |||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Premiums | $ | 2,821 | $ | 2,522 | $ | 2,243 | |||||
| Other revenue | 489 | 441 | 319 | ||||||||
| Intersegment insurance premiums and service fees (1) | 137 | 180 | 138 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 99 | 94 | 73 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (699) | (641) | (632) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (1,328) | (1,217) | (1,058) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (1,233) | (1,090) | (889) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (4) | (2) | (6) | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (65) | (71) | (83) | ||||||||
| Less: noncontrolling interest | (1) | (1) | (1) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 218 | $ | 217 | $ | 106 | |||||
| Protection Plans | $ | 179 | $ | 157 | $ | 117 | |||||
| Roadside | 46 | 39 | 24 | ||||||||
| Dealer Services | 21 | 21 | (15) | ||||||||
| Identity Protection | 6 | 8 | (2) | ||||||||
| Arity | (34) | (8) | (18) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 218 | $ | 217 | $ | 106 | |||||
| Policies in force | |||||||||||
| Protection Plans | 164,650 | 159,761 | 145,292 | ||||||||
| Roadside | 1,244 | 758 | 553 | ||||||||
| Dealer Services | 3,663 | 3,710 | 3,776 | ||||||||
| Identity Protection | 2,626 | 2,511 | 2,884 | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 172,183 | 166,740 | 152,505 |
(1)Primarily related to Arity and Roadside and are eliminated in our consolidated financial statements.
Premiums written increased 7.5% or $209 million in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to international growth at Protection Plans.
Adjusted net income increased 0.5% or $1 million in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to premium growth at Protection Plans, partially offset by increased claims and higher expenses at Arity.
PIF increased 3.3% or 5 million in 2025 compared to 2024 due to growth at Protection Plans.
Other revenue increased 10.9% or $48 million in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily driven by international growth at Protection Plans and higher lead generation revenue at Arity.
Intersegment premiums and service fees decreased 23.9% to $137 million in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily driven by Arity.
Claims and claims expense increased 9.0% or $58 million in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily driven by growth at Protection Plans.
Amortization of DAC increased 9.1% or $111 million in 2025 compared to 2024, driven by growth at Protection Plans.
Operating costs and expenses increased 13.1% or $143 million in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to expenses related to growth at Protection Plans.
The Allstate Corporation 49
2025 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of claims and claims expense reserves. The facts and circumstances leading to reestimates of reserves relate to claim activity and updates to the development factors used to predict how losses are likely to develop from the end of a reporting period until all claims have been paid. Reestimates occur when actual losses differ from those predicted by the estimated development factors used in prior reserve estimates. For a description of our reserve process, see Note 10 of the consolidated financial statements. For a description of our reserving policies and the potential variability in our reserve estimates, see the Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A. Reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including IBNR claims, as of the reporting date.
We believe the net loss reserves exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, laws and regulations.
| Total claims and claims expense reserves, net of recoverables (“net reserves”), as of December 31 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 31,573 | $ | 31,846 | $ | 29,969 | |||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 1,432 | 1,414 | 1,444 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 33,005 | 33,260 | 31,413 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 62 | 55 | 49 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 33,067 | $ | 33,315 | $ | 31,462 | |||||
| Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | $ | 41,079 | $ | 41,917 | $ | 39,858 | |||||
| Less: reinsurance and indemnification recoverables (1) | 8,012 | 8,602 | 8,396 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 33,067 | $ | 33,315 | $ | 31,462 |
(1)Includes $5.77 billion, $6.41 billion and $6.36 billion of unpaid indemnification recoverables related to the Michigan Catastrophic Claims Association (“MCCA”) as of December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
| Impact of reserve reestimates on combined ratio and net income applicable to common shareholders (1) (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (1,961) | (3.2) | $ | (376) | (0.7) | $ | 461 | 0.9 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 151 | 0.2 | 68 | 0.2 | 89 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | (1,810) | (3.0) | (308) | (0.5) | 550 | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | 1 | — | — | — | (1) | — | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (1,809) | $ | (308) | $ | 549 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates, after-tax | $ | (1,429) | $ | (243) | $ | 434 | ||||||||||||||
| Consolidated net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders | $ | 10,165 | $ | 4,550 | $ | (316) | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates as a % impact on consolidated net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders | 14.1 | % | 5.3 | % | NM | |||||||||||||||
| Property-Liability prior year reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses | $ | — | $ | (370) | $ | (24) |
(1)Reserve releases are shown in parentheses.
(2)Ratios are calculated using property and casualty premiums earned.
NM = not meaningful
50 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
The following tables reflect the accident years to which the reestimates shown above are applicable. Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
| Prior year reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 2020 & prior | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (37) | $ | (269) | $ | (293) | $ | (491) | $ | (871) | $ | (1,961) | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 151 | — | — | — | — | 151 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 114 | (269) | (293) | (491) | (871) | (1,810) | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 114 | $ | (269) | $ | (293) | $ | (491) | $ | (870) | $ | (1,809) | |||||||||||
| 2024 | 2019 & prior | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 228 | $ | 80 | $ | 276 | $ | 444 | $ | (1,404) | $ | (376) | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 68 | — | — | — | — | 68 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 296 | 80 | 276 | 444 | (1,404) | (308) | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 296 | $ | 80 | $ | 276 | $ | 444 | $ | (1,404) | $ | (308) | |||||||||||
| 2023 | 2018 & prior | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 230 | $ | 130 | $ | 84 | $ | 401 | $ | (384) | $ | 461 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 89 | — | — | — | — | 89 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 319 | 130 | 84 | 401 | (384) | 550 | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (1) | (1) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 319 | $ | 130 | $ | 84 | $ | 401 | $ | (385) | $ | 549 |
Allstate Protection
The table below shows Allstate Protection net reserves representing the estimated cost of outstanding claims as they were recorded at the beginning of years 2025, 2024, and 2023, and the effect of reestimates in each year.
| Impact of reserve reestimates by line on net reserves, combined ratio and underwriting income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 23,076 | $ | (1,880) | (3.3) | $ | 21,286 | $ | (364) | (0.7) | $ | 19,365 | $ | 244 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 4,520 | (16) | — | 4,754 | (395) | (0.7) | 3,520 | 102 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 2,417 | 128 | 0.2 | 1,736 | 217 | 0.4 | 1,653 | 19 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines and other | 1,833 | (193) | (0.3) | 2,193 | 166 | 0.3 | 2,338 | 96 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | $ | 31,846 | $ | (1,961) | (3.4) | $ | 29,969 | $ | (376) | (0.7) | $ | 26,876 | $ | 461 | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 8,694 | $ | 3,153 | $ | (2,090) |
Reserve reestimates, which decreased reserves by $1.96 billion in 2025 and represented 22.6% of underwriting income, were primarily due to favorable severity development of $1.18 billion in personal auto injury coverage and $671 million in all other personal auto coverages.
Reserve reestimates, which decreased reserves by $376 million in 2024 and represented 11.9% of the underwriting income, were primarily due to catastrophe reserve releases in homeowners and non-catastrophe reserve releases in personal auto lines, partially offset by increased reserves in other personal lines and commercial lines driven by transportation network company coverage no longer offered.
The Allstate Corporation 51
2025 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
Run-off Property-Liability
We conduct an annual review in the third quarter of each year to evaluate and establish asbestos, environmental and other run-off reserves. Reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by policyholders.
| Run-off Property-Liability net reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | 774 | $ | 63 | $ | 804 | $ | 19 | $ | 811 | $ | 44 | |||||||||||
| Environmental claims | 259 | 27 | 267 | 10 | 267 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 381 | 61 | 373 | 39 | 373 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,414 | $ | 151 | $ | 1,444 | $ | 68 | $ | 1,451 | $ | 89 | |||||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (154) | $ | (73) | $ | (94) |
Reserve reestimates in 2025 primarily related to our annual reserve review based on new reported information for asbestos claims, new reported claims for environmental and other mass tort claims and increased projections for claims expenses.
Reserve reestimates in 2024 primarily related to the annual reserve review based on new reported information for asbestos-related claims and adverse developments within the other run-off lines.
| Reserves and claim activity before (Gross) and after (Net) the effects of reinsurance | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 1,124 | $ | 774 | $ | 1,166 | $ | 804 | $ | 1,190 | $ | 811 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 70 | 63 | 28 | 19 | 56 | 44 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (96) | (68) | (70) | (49) | (80) | (51) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 1,098 | $ | 769 | $ | 1,124 | $ | 774 | $ | 1,166 | $ | 804 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 11.4 | 11.3 | 16.1 | 15.8 | 14.6 | 15.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 13.3 | 13.7 | 14.6 | 15.3 | 13.8 | 14.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 320 | $ | 259 | $ | 331 | $ | 267 | $ | 328 | $ | 267 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 31 | 27 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (49) | (39) | (22) | (18) | (20) | (18) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 302 | $ | 247 | $ | 320 | $ | 259 | $ | 331 | $ | 267 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 6.2 | 6.3 | 14.5 | 14.4 | 16.6 | 14.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 9.8 | 9.9 | 14.3 | 15.2 | 14.4 | 15.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Combined environmental and asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 9.7 | 9.5 | 15.7 | 15.4 | 15.0 | 15.5 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 12.4 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 15.3 | 13.9 | 14.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| Percentage of IBNR in ending reserves | 58.2 | % | 0 | 54.0 | % | 0 | 55.7 | % |
The survival ratio is calculated by taking our ending reserves divided by payments made during the year. This is a commonly used but simplistic and imprecise approach to measuring the adequacy of asbestos and environmental reserve levels. Many factors, such as mix of business, level of coverage provided and settlement procedures have significant impacts on the amount of environmental and asbestos claims and claims expense reserves, claim payments and the resultant ratio. As payments result in corresponding reserve reductions, survival ratios can be expected to vary over time. The combined asbestos and environmental net 3-year survival ratio in 2025 decreased from 2024 due to larger average payments.
52 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
| Net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | |||||||||||||||
| Direct: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Primary | $ | 8 | 1.0 | % | $ | 9 | 1.2 | % | $ | 9 | 1.1 | % | |||||||||
| Excess | 247 | 32.1 | 261 | 33.7 | 263 | 32.7 | |||||||||||||||
| Total direct | 255 | 33.1 | 270 | 34.9 | 272 | 33.8 | |||||||||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance | 83 | 10.8 | 90 | 11.6 | 91 | 11.3 | |||||||||||||||
| IBNR | 431 | 56.1 | 414 | 53.5 | 441 | 54.9 | |||||||||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 769 | 100.0 | % | $ | 774 | 100.0 | % | $ | 804 | 100.0 | % | |||||||||
| Total reserve additions | $ | 63 | $ | 19 | $ | 44 |
IBNR net reserves increased $17 million as of December 31, 2025 compared to December 31, 2024. IBNR provides for reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current policyholders and ceding companies.
Reinsurance and indemnification programs We purchase significant reinsurance to manage our aggregate countrywide exposure to an acceptable level. The price and terms of reinsurance and the credit quality of the reinsurer are considered in the purchase process. We utilize reinsurance to reduce exposure to catastrophe risk and manage capital, and to support the required statutory surplus and the insurance financial strength ratings of certain subsidiaries such as Castle Key Insurance Company (“CKIC”) and Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company (“ANJ”). We have also purchased reinsurance to mitigate exposures in our long-tail liability lines, including environmental, asbestos and other run-off lines as well as our commercial lines. We also participate in various indemnification mechanisms, including state-based
industry pool or facility programs mandating participation by insurers offering certain coverage in their state and the federal government National Flood Insurance Program (“NFIP”). See Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details on these programs.
Intercompany reinsurance We enter into certain intercompany insurance and reinsurance transactions in order to maintain underwriting control and manage insurance risk among various legal entities. These reinsurance agreements have been approved by the appropriate regulatory authorities. All significant intercompany transactions have been eliminated in consolidation.
Catastrophe reinsurance We anticipate completing the placement of our 2026 Nationwide Excess Catastrophe Reinsurance Program and Florida Excess Catastrophe reinsurance Program in the first half of 2026. For further details of the existing 2025 program, see Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 53
2025 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
| Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, net of the allowance established for uncollectible amounts | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial strength ratings S&P/ A.M. Best (1) | Reinsurance or indemnification recoverables on paid and unpaid claims, net | ||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA (2) | N/A | $ | 5,831 | $ | 6,478 | ||||||
| North Carolina Reinsurance Facility (“NCRF”) | N/A | 445 | 456 | ||||||||
| New Jersey Property-Liability Insurance Guaranty Association (“PLIGA”) | N/A | 347 | 370 | ||||||||
| Other | 89 | 386 | |||||||||
| Subtotal | 6,712 | 7,690 | |||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance recoverables | |||||||||||
| Renaissance Reinsurance Limited | A+ | 108 | 44 | ||||||||
| Sanders RE II Ltd. | N/A | 99 | 31 | ||||||||
| Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation | AA- / A+ | 81 | 24 | ||||||||
| Sanders RE III Ltd. | N/A | 56 | — | ||||||||
| DaVinci Reinsurance Limited | A+ / A | 53 | 31 | ||||||||
| Other | 503 | 247 | |||||||||
| Subtotal (3) | 900 | 377 | |||||||||
| Other reinsurance recoverables, net (4) | |||||||||||
| Lloyd’s of London | AA- / A+ | 156 | 175 | ||||||||
| Swiss Re Corporate Solutions America Insurance Corporation | AA- / A+ | 76 | 75 | ||||||||
| Other, including allowance for credit losses | 411 | 542 | |||||||||
| Subtotal | 643 | 792 | |||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability | 8,255 | 8,859 | |||||||||
| Protection Services | 24 | 28 | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 8,279 | $ | 8,887 |
(1)N/A reflects no S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) or A.M. Best ratings available.
(2)As of December 31, 2025 and 2024, MCCA includes $56 million and $71 million of reinsurance recoverable on paid claims, respectively, and $5.77 billion and $6.41 billion of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims, respectively.
(3)The increase of $523 million from $377 million at December 31, 2024 to $900 million at December 31, 2025, is primarily related to the January 2025 California wildfire event.
(4)Other reinsurance recoverables primarily relate to commercial lines, including shared economy, as well as asbestos, environmental and other liability exposures.
We regularly evaluate the reinsurers and the respective amounts of our reinsurance recoverables, and a provision for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables is recorded, if needed. The establishment of reinsurance recoverables and the related allowance for uncollectible reinsurance is also an inherently uncertain process involving estimates. Changes in estimates could result in additional changes to the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Indemnification recoverables are considered collectible based on the industry pool and facility enabling legislation. The Company has not had any credit losses related to these programs, and we do not anticipate losses in the foreseeable future. We also have not experienced credit losses on our catastrophe reinsurance programs, which include highly rated reinsurers.
The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance relates to other reinsurance programs primarily related to our Run-off Property-Liability segment. The allowance was $54 million and $63 million as of December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.
The allowance is based upon our ongoing review of amounts outstanding, length of collection periods, changes in reinsurer credit standing and other relevant factors. In addition, in the ordinary course of business, we may become involved in coverage disputes with certain of our reinsurers that may ultimately result in lawsuits and arbitrations brought by or against such reinsurers to determine the parties’ rights and obligations under the various reinsurance agreements. We employ dedicated specialists to manage reinsurance collections and disputes. We also consider recent developments in commutation activity between reinsurers and cedents, and recent trends in arbitration and litigation outcomes in disputes between cedents and reinsurers in seeking to maximize our reinsurance recoveries.
Adverse developments in the insurance industry have led to a decline in the financial strength of some of our reinsurance carriers, causing amounts recoverable from them and future claims ceded to them to be considered a higher risk. There has also been consolidation activity in the industry, which
54 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
causes reinsurance risk across the industry to be concentrated among fewer companies.
See Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements for a description of the methodology utilized to calculate the allowance for reinsurance recoverables.
For further details related to our reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, see the Regulation section in Part I and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Effects of reinsurance ceded and indemnification programs on premiums earned and claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection - Premiums | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| NCRF | $ | 479 | $ | 441 | $ | 323 | |||||
| MCCA | 22 | 26 | 29 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | 8 | 8 | 7 | ||||||||
| FHCF | 18 | 23 | 28 | ||||||||
| Other | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP (1) | 409 | 368 | 327 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 1,215 | 1,088 | 995 | ||||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 86 | 93 | 110 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 2,238 | 2,048 | 1,820 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 2,238 | 2,048 | 1,820 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 159 | 162 | 169 | ||||||||
| Total effect on premiums earned | $ | 2,397 | $ | 2,210 | $ | 1,989 | |||||
| Allstate Protection - Claims | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA | $ | (530) | $ | 180 | $ | (185) | |||||
| NCRF | 439 | 425 | 379 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | (8) | 60 | 14 | ||||||||
| FHCF | (28) | (1) | (6) | ||||||||
| Other | — | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP (1) | 111 | 618 | 102 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 1,157 | 198 | 32 | ||||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 62 | 97 | 151 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 1,203 | 1,578 | 488 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 8 | 2 | 29 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 1,211 | 1,580 | 517 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 137 | 136 | 116 | ||||||||
| Total effect on claims and claims expense | $ | 1,348 | $ | 1,716 | $ | 633 |
(1)See Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details on the National Flood Insurance Program.
In 2025, ceded premiums increased primarily due to catastrophe reinsurance, NFIP and NCRF. In 2024, ceded premiums increased primarily due to NCRF and catastrophe reinsurance.
In 2025, ceded claims and claims expenses decreased primarily due to better than expected auto injury claim emergence related to MCCA, partially
offset by catastrophe reinsurance driven by the California wildfires. In 2024, ceded claims and claims expenses increased $1.08 billion primarily due to NFIP reserves related to Hurricane Helene and catastrophe reinsurance. For further discussion of these items, see Regulation section in Part I and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 55
2025 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
| Michigan PIP reserve and claim activity before and after the effects of MCCA recoverables | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 7,028 | $ | 621 | $ | 7,003 | $ | 641 | $ | 7,393 | $ | 735 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense - current year | 261 | 76 | 284 | 78 | 307 | 102 | |||||||||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense - prior years | (705) | 17 | (38) | (14) | (455) | (60) | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid - current year | (19) | (19) | (21) | (21) | (21) | (20) | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid - prior years | (185) | (88) | (200) | (63) | (221) | (116) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves (1) | $ | 6,380 | $ | 607 | $ | 7,028 | $ | 621 | $ | 7,003 | $ | 641 |
(1)Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2025, comprise 77% case reserves and 23% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2024, comprise 70% case reserves and 30% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2023, comprise 77% case reserves and 23% IBNR.
Pending MCCA claims differ from most personal lines insurance pending claims as other personal lines policies incurred claims settle in shorter periods due to having a coverage limit. MCCA claims can be outstanding for a claimant’s lifetime, as there is no contractual limitation on any policy effective July 1, 2020 or prior, and on policies that selected the unlimited PIP benefits option on or after July 2, 2020. Many of these injuries are catastrophic in nature, resulting in serious permanent disabilities that require attendant and residential care for periods that may span decades. A significant portion of the ultimate incurred claim reserves and the recoverables can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims that occurred more than five years ago and continue to pay lifetime benefits.
As of December 31, 2025, approximately 95% of our 1,200 catastrophic claims that are eligible for reimbursement by the MCCA occurred more than 5 years ago and continue to incur costs. There are 64 claims with reserves in excess of $15 million as of December 31, 2025, which comprise approximately 25% of the gross ending reserves in the table above. As a result, significant developments with a single claimant can result in volatility in prior year incurred claims.
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2025 Form 10-K Investments
Investments
Overview and strategy
The return on our investment portfolios is an important component of our ability to offer value to customers, fund business improvements and create value for shareholders. Investment portfolios are held for Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability, Protection Services and Corporate operations. While taking into consideration the investment portfolio in aggregate, management of the underlying portfolios is influenced by the nature of each respective business and its corresponding liability profile. We identify a strategic asset allocation which considers both the nature of the liabilities and the risk and return characteristics of the various asset classes in which we invest. This allocation is informed by our long-term business and market expectations, as well as other considerations such as risk appetite, portfolio diversification, duration, desired liquidity and capital. Within appropriate ranges relative to strategic allocations, tactical allocations are made in consideration of prevailing and potential future market conditions. We manage risks that involve uncertainty related to interest rates, inflation, credit spreads, equity returns and currency exchange rates.
The Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability portfolio emphasizes protection of principal and consistent income generation within a total return framework. This approach has produced competitive returns over the long term and is designed to ensure financial strength and stability for paying claims, while maximizing economic value and surplus growth. Products with lower liquidity and capital needs, such as auto insurance and run-off lines, create capacity to invest in less liquid higher yielding fixed income securities, performance-based investments such as limited partnerships and equity securities. Products with higher liquidity needs, such as homeowners insurance, are invested primarily in high quality liquid fixed income securities.
The Protection Services portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities with a lesser allocation to equity securities and short-term investments.
The Corporate portfolio is primarily focused on liquidity needs and capital preservation within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of high-quality liquid fixed income securities and short-term investments with a lower allocation to performance-based and equity investments.
We utilize two primary strategies to manage risks and returns and to position our portfolio to take
advantage of market opportunities while attempting to mitigate adverse effects. As strategies and market conditions evolve, the asset allocation may change.
Market-based strategies seek to deliver predictable earnings aligned to business needs and provide flexibility to adjust investment risk profile based on enterprise objectives and market opportunities primarily through public and private fixed income investments and public equity securities.
Performance-based strategies seek to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns and supplement market risk with idiosyncratic risk. Consequently, return patterns can be more volatile than the market-based portfolio. Returns are impacted by a variety of factors including general macroeconomic and public market conditions as public market benchmarks are often used in the valuation of underlying investments. Variability in earnings will also result from the performance of the underlying assets or business and the timing of sales of those investments. Earnings from the sales of investments may be recorded as net investment income or net gains and losses on investments and derivatives. The portfolio, which primarily includes private equity (including infrastructure investments) and real estate with a majority being limited partnerships, is diversified across a number of characteristics, including managers or partners, vintage years, investment strategies, geographies (including international) and industry sectors or property types. These investments often have restrictions on transferability and redemption, making them inherently illiquid, often require specialized expertise, typically involve a third-party manager, and enhance returns and income through transformation at the company or property level. A portion of these investments seek returns in markets or asset classes that are dislocated or special situations, primarily in private markets.
Investments outlook
We utilize our integrated enterprise risk and return management framework to determine the amount of investment risk we are willing to accept.
Our focus is on the following priorities:
•Enhance investment portfolio after-tax returns through use of a dynamic capital allocation framework.
•Leverage our broad capabilities to proactively manage the portfolio to earn attractive risk-adjusted returns on capital.
•Invest for the specific needs and characteristics of Allstate’s businesses, including its corresponding liability profile.
The Allstate Corporation 57
2025 Form 10-K Investments
| Portfolio composition and strategy by reporting segment (1) | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2025 | |||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability | Protection Services | Corporateand all other | Total | |||||||||||
| Fixed income securities (2) | $ | 50,874 | $ | 1,739 | $ | 6,502 | $ | 59,115 | |||||||
| Equity securities (3) | 7,614 | 357 | 427 | 8,398 | |||||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 879 | — | — | 879 | |||||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 8,836 | — | 8 | 8,844 | |||||||||||
| Short-term investments (4) | 3,905 | 216 | 766 | 4,887 | |||||||||||
| Other investments, net | 1,114 | — | — | 1,114 | |||||||||||
| Total | $ | 73,222 | $ | 2,312 | $ | 7,703 | $ | 83,237 | |||||||
| Percentage to total | 88.0 | % | 2.8 | % | 9.2 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||
| Market-based | $ | 63,467 | $ | 2,274 | $ | 7,650 | $ | 73,391 | |||||||
| Performance-based | 9,755 | 38 | 53 | 9,846 | |||||||||||
| Total | $ | 73,222 | $ | 2,312 | $ | 7,703 | $ | 83,237 |
(1)Balances reflect the elimination of related party investments between segments.
(2)Fixed income securities are carried at fair value. Amortized cost, net for these securities was $50.52 billion, $1.72 billion, $6.49 billion and $58.73 billion for Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability, Protection Services, Corporate and all other, and in total, respectively.
(3)Equity securities are carried at fair value. The fair value of equity securities held as of December 31, 2025 was $372 million in excess of cost. Equity securities include $1.27 billion of funds with underlying investments in fixed income and short-term securities as of December 31, 2025.
(4)Short-term investments are carried at fair value.
Investments totaled $83.24 billion as of December 31, 2025, increasing from $72.61 billion as of December 31, 2024, primarily due to operating and investment cash flows.
| Portfolio composition by investment strategy | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2025 | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Market- based | Performance-based | Total | ||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 59,005 | $ | 110 | $ | 59,115 | |||||
| Equity securities | 8,009 | 389 | 8,398 | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 879 | — | 879 | ||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 146 | 8,698 | 8,844 | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | 4,884 | 3 | 4,887 | ||||||||
| Other investments, net | 468 | 646 | 1,114 | ||||||||
| Total | $ | 73,391 | $ | 9,846 | $ | 83,237 | |||||
| Percent to total | 88.2 | % | 11.8 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses | |||||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 385 | $ | — | $ | 385 | |||||
| Short-term investments | (1) | — | (1) | ||||||||
| Other investments | (2) | — | (2) | ||||||||
| Total | $ | 382 | $ | — | $ | 382 |
Strategic actions focused on optimizing portfolio yield, risk and return in the evolving market and macroeconomic environment. The fixed income portfolio duration ended 2025 at 5.1 years, inclusive of interest rate derivatives and security specific call features, compared to 5.3 years as of December 31, 2024. Equity securities were increased by $3.94 billion in 2025 and $2.05 billion in 2024 primarily funded through the sale of investment grade corporate bonds and short-term investments.
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2025 Form 10-K Investments
Fixed income securities
| Fixed income securities by type | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value as of December 31, | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 18,133 | $ | 11,108 | |||||
| Municipal | 5,643 | 8,842 | |||||||
| Corporate | 30,401 | 30,192 | |||||||
| Foreign government | 1,460 | 1,364 | |||||||
| Asset-backed securities (“ABS”) | 1,352 | 1,145 | |||||||
| Mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”) | 2,126 | 96 | |||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 59,115 | $ | 52,747 |
Fixed income securities are rated by third-party credit rating agencies or are internally rated. The Securities Valuation Office (“SVO”) of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) evaluates the fixed income securities of insurers for regulatory reporting and capital assessment purposes. The NAIC assigns securities to one of six credit quality categories defined as “NAIC designations”. In general, securities with NAIC designations of 1 and 2 are considered investment grade and securities with NAIC designations of 3 through 6 are considered below investment grade. The rating is either received from the SVO based on availability of applicable ratings from rating agencies on the NAIC Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations provider list, including Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”), S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”), Fitch Ratings or a comparable internal rating.
As a result of time lags between the funding of investments, the finalization of legal documents, and the completion of the SVO filing process, the portfolio includes certain securities that have not yet been designated by the SVO as of each balance sheet date and the categorization of these securities is based on the expected ratings indicated by internal analysis.
As of December 31, 2025, 92.1% of the consolidated fixed income securities portfolio was rated investment grade. Credit ratings below these designations are considered lower credit quality or below investment grade, which includes high yield bonds.
Market prices for certain securities may have credit spreads which imply higher or lower credit quality than the current third-party rating. Our initial investment decisions and ongoing monitoring procedures for fixed income securities are based on a due diligence process which includes, but is not limited to, an assessment of the credit quality, sector, structure and liquidity risks of each issuer.
Fixed income portfolio monitoring is a comprehensive process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance. The process includes a quarterly review of all securities to identify instances where the fair value of a security compared to its amortized cost is below internally established thresholds. For further detail on our fixed income portfolio monitoring process, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 59
2025 Form 10-K Investments
The following table presents total fixed income securities by the applicable NAIC designation and comparable S&P rating.
| Fair value and unrealized net capital gains (losses) for fixed income securities by credit rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| NAIC 1 | NAIC 2 | NAIC 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| A and above | BBB | BB | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | |||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 18,133 | $ | (32) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 5,517 | 23 | 124 | 1 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 6,391 | 94 | 12,952 | 114 | 493 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 2,673 | 28 | 3,769 | 51 | 2,572 | 37 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 9,064 | 122 | 16,721 | 165 | 3,065 | 41 | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | 1,460 | (4) | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1,258 | — | 37 | — | 14 | — | |||||||||||||||||
| MBS | 2,126 | 40 | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 37,558 | $ | 149 | $ | 16,882 | $ | 166 | $ | 3,079 | $ | 41 | |||||||||||
| NAIC 4 | NAIC 5-6 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||
| B | CCC and lower | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 18,133 | $ | (32) | |||||||||||
| Municipal | — | — | 2 | 2 | 5,643 | 26 | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 83 | 1 | — | — | 19,919 | 213 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 1,347 | 22 | 121 | — | 10,482 | 138 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 1,430 | 23 | 121 | — | 30,401 | 351 | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | — | — | — | — | 1,460 | (4) | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1 | — | 42 | 4 | 1,352 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| MBS | — | — | — | — | 2,126 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 1,431 | $ | 23 | $ | 165 | $ | 6 | $ | 59,115 | $ | 385 |
Municipal bonds, including tax-exempt and taxable securities, include general obligations of state and local issuers and revenue bonds.
Our practice for acquiring and monitoring municipal bonds is predominantly based on the underlying credit quality of the primary obligor. We currently rely on the primary obligor to pay all contractual cash flows and are not relying on bond insurers for payments.
Corporate bonds include publicly traded and privately placed securities. Privately placed securities primarily consist of corporate issued senior debt securities that are negotiated with the borrower or are issued by public entities in unregistered form under SEC Rule 144A which allows purchasers to more easily resell these securities under certain conditions.
Our $10.48 billion portfolio of privately placed securities, primarily 144A bonds, is diversified by issuer, industry sector and country. The portfolio is made up of 548 issuers. Privately placed corporate obligations may contain structural security features such as financial covenants and call protections that provide investors greater protection against credit deterioration, reinvestment risk or fluctuations in interest rates than those typically found in publicly registered debt securities. Additionally, investments in these securities are made after fundamental analysis of issuers and
sectors along with macro and asset class views. Ongoing monitoring includes continuous assessment of operating performance and financial position. Every issue not rated by an independent rating agency is internally rated with a formal rating affirmation at least once a year. $122 million of the portfolio is internally rated as of December 31, 2025. Liquidity of securities issued by public entities in unregistered form is similar to public debt markets.
Our corporate bond portfolio includes $4.62 billion of below investment grade bonds, $4.04 billion of which are privately placed, primarily 144A bonds. These securities are diversified by issuer and industry sector. The below investment grade corporate bonds portfolio is made up of 318 issuers. We employ fundamental analyses of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views to identify investment opportunities. This results in a portfolio with broad exposure to the high yield market with an emphasis on idiosyncratic positions reflective of our views of market conditions and opportunities.
Foreign government securities primarily consist of Canadian governmental and provincial securities (all of which are held by our Canadian companies).
ABS and MBS are structured securities that are primarily collateralized by consumer or corporate
60 www.allstate.com
2025 Form 10-K Investments
borrowings and residential and commercial real estate loans. The cash flows from the underlying collateral paid to the securitization trust are generally applied in a pre-determined order and are designed so that each security issued by the trust, typically referred to as a “class”, qualifies for a specific original rating.
The payment priority and class subordination included in these securities serves as credit enhancement for holders of the senior or top portions of the structures. These securities continue to retain the payment priority features that existed at the origination of the securitization trust. Other forms of credit enhancement may include structural features embedded in the securitization trust, such as overcollateralization, excess spread and bond insurance. The underlying collateral may contain fixed interest rates, variable interest rates (such as adjustable-rate mortgages), or both fixed and variable rate features.
ABS includes collateralized debt obligations, consumer and other ABS. Credit risk is managed by monitoring the performance of the underlying collateral. Many of the securities in the ABS portfolio have credit enhancement with features such as overcollateralization, subordinated structures, reserve funds, guarantees or insurance.
MBS includes residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”). RMBS is subject to interest rate risk, but unlike other fixed income securities, is additionally subject to prepayment risk from the underlying residential mortgage loans. RMBS primarily consists of a U.S. Agency portfolio having collateral issued or guaranteed by U.S. government agencies. CMBS investments are primarily traditional conduit transactions collateralized by commercial mortgage loans, broadly diversified across property types and geographical area.
Equity securities of $8.40 billion primarily include common stocks, exchange traded and mutual funds, non-redeemable preferred stocks and real estate investment trust (“REIT”) equity investments. Exchange traded and mutual funds that have fixed income and short-term securities as their underlying investments total $1.27 billion as of December 31, 2025. Sector exposure within exchange traded and mutual funds align with the respective tracked indices.
Mortgage loans of $879 million comprise loans secured by first mortgages on developed commercial real estate of $619 million and residential mortgage loans of $260 million. Key considerations used to manage our exposure include property type and geographic diversification. For further detail on our mortgage loan
portfolio, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
Limited partnership interests include $7.25 billion of interests in private equity funds, $1.45 billion of interests in real estate funds and $146 million of interests in other funds as of December 31, 2025. We have commitments to invest additional amounts in limited partnership interests totaling $3.24 billion as of December 31, 2025.
| Private equity limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2025 | ||
| Industrial | 23.8 | % | |
| Information technology | 12.1 | ||
| Consumer discretionary | 10.7 | ||
| Health care | 9.8 | ||
| Communication services | 9.0 | ||
| Other | 34.6 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
| Real estate limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2025 | ||
| Industrial | 31.6 | % | |
| Data centers | 27.6 | ||
| Health care | 12.5 | ||
| Residential | 10.1 | ||
| Consumer staples | 5.4 | ||
| Other | 12.8 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
Short-term investments of $4.89 billion primarily comprise money market funds, commercial paper, U.S. Treasury bills, fixed income securities with a contractual maturity of one year or less at time of acquisition and other short-term investments, including securities lending collateral of $1.47 billion.
Other investments primarily comprise $630 million of direct investments of real estate, $473 million of bank loans, net, and $10 million of derivatives as of December 31, 2025. For further detail on our use of derivatives, see Note 8 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Direct real estate investments by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2025 | ||
| Residential | 30.5 | % | |
| Agriculture | 28.7 | ||
| Industrial | 16.8 | ||
| Retail | 13.5 | ||
| Office | 9.5 | ||
| Other | 1.0 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
The Allstate Corporation 61
2025 Form 10-K Investments
| Unrealized net capital gains (losses) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | (32) | $ | (315) | |||
| Municipal | 26 | (143) | |||||
| Corporate | 351 | (438) | |||||
| Foreign government | (4) | 12 | |||||
| ABS | 4 | 15 | |||||
| MBS | 40 | — | |||||
| Fixed income securities | 385 | (869) | |||||
| Short-term investments | (1) | (2) | |||||
| Derivatives | (2) | (2) | |||||
| Investments classified as held for sale | — | (110) | |||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses, pre-tax | $ | 382 | $ | (983) |
| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2025 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost, net | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Banking | $ | 3,720 | $ | 83 | $ | (11) | $ | 3,792 | |||||||
| Basic industry | 1,028 | 19 | (9) | 1,038 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 3,142 | 64 | (22) | 3,184 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,195 | 38 | (21) | 2,212 | |||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | 6,097 | 124 | (42) | 6,179 | |||||||||||
| Energy | 2,715 | 55 | (17) | 2,753 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 2,430 | 39 | (21) | 2,448 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 2,956 | 40 | (47) | 2,949 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 831 | 14 | (6) | 839 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 4,465 | 104 | (27) | 4,542 | |||||||||||
| Other | 471 | 5 | (11) | 465 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 30,050 | 585 | (234) | 30,401 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 18,165 | 43 | (75) | 18,133 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 5,617 | 87 | (61) | 5,643 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 1,464 | 13 | (17) | 1,460 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,348 | 8 | (4) | 1,352 | |||||||||||
| MBS | 2,086 | 41 | (1) | 2,126 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 58,730 | $ | 777 | $ | (392) | $ | 59,115 |
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2025 Form 10-K Investments
| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2024 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost, net | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Banking | $ | 4,194 | $ | 38 | $ | (63) | $ | 4,169 | |||||||
| Basic industry | 833 | 6 | (21) | 818 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,706 | 25 | (62) | 2,669 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,364 | 16 | (73) | 2,307 | |||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | 6,674 | 51 | (165) | 6,560 | |||||||||||
| Energy | 2,771 | 32 | (50) | 2,753 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 2,104 | 17 | (53) | 2,068 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 2,613 | 18 | (94) | 2,537 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 815 | 7 | (19) | 803 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 5,125 | 56 | (89) | 5,092 | |||||||||||
| Other | 431 | 6 | (21) | 416 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 30,630 | 272 | (710) | 30,192 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 11,423 | 15 | (330) | 11,108 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 8,985 | 33 | (176) | 8,842 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 1,352 | 22 | (10) | 1,364 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,130 | 19 | (4) | 1,145 | |||||||||||
| MBS | 96 | — | — | 96 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 53,616 | $ | 361 | $ | (1,230) | $ | 52,747 |
In general, the gross unrealized losses are related to an increase in market yields, which may include increased risk-free interest rates and wider credit spreads since the time of initial purchase. Similarly, gross unrealized gains reflect a decrease in market yields since the time of initial purchase.
| Equity securities by sector | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | ||||||||||||||||||
| Banking | $ | 298 | $ | 58 | $ | 356 | $ | 119 | $ | 41 | $ | 160 | |||||||||||
| Basic industry | 105 | 7 | 112 | 39 | (2) | 37 | |||||||||||||||||
| Capital goods | 412 | 12 | 424 | 201 | (23) | 178 | |||||||||||||||||
| Communications | 333 | 19 | 352 | 142 | 25 | 167 | |||||||||||||||||
| Consumer goods | 1,107 | 22 | 1,129 | 462 | (25) | 437 | |||||||||||||||||
| Energy | 187 | 8 | 195 | 88 | 1 | 89 | |||||||||||||||||
| Financial services | 357 | 17 | 374 | 332 | 6 | 338 | |||||||||||||||||
| REITs | 163 | 24 | 187 | 159 | 17 | 176 | |||||||||||||||||
| Technology | 2,039 | 133 | 2,172 | 746 | 88 | 834 | |||||||||||||||||
| Transportation | 51 | 2 | 53 | 27 | 1 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||
| Utilities | 167 | (4) | 163 | 92 | 1 | 93 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 5 | (2) | 3 | 6 | (2) | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| Directly held equity securities | 5,224 | 296 | 5,520 | 2,413 | 128 | 2,541 | |||||||||||||||||
| Funds | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Equities | 1,544 | 67 | 1,611 | 1,077 | 22 | 1,099 | |||||||||||||||||
| Fixed income and short-term | 1,257 | 8 | 1,265 | 838 | (16) | 822 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total funds | 2,802 | 76 | 2,878 | 1,916 | 6 | 1,922 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total equity securities | $ | 8,026 | $ | 372 | $ | 8,398 | $ | 4,329 | $ | 134 | $ | 4,463 |
The Allstate Corporation 63
2025 Form 10-K Investments
| Net investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 2,509 | $ | 2,298 | $ | 1,761 | |||||
| Equity securities | 99 | 77 | 75 | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans | 41 | 36 | 35 | ||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 634 | 600 | 499 | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | 345 | 290 | 253 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 119 | 106 | 169 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | 3,747 | 3,407 | 2,792 | ||||||||
| Investment expense | |||||||||||
| Investee level expenses | (63) | (61) | (79) | ||||||||
| Securities lending expense | (82) | (103) | (93) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (153) | (151) | (142) | ||||||||
| Total investment expense | (298) | (315) | (314) | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 3,449 | $ | 3,092 | $ | 2,478 | |||||
| Market-based | $ | 3,036 | $ | 2,728 | $ | 2,219 | |||||
| Performance-based | 711 | 679 | 573 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | $ | 3,747 | $ | 3,407 | $ | 2,792 |
Net investment income increased 11.5% or $357 million in 2025 compared to 2024. Net investment income increase included higher market-based income resulting from higher average investment balances and improved fixed income yields. Performance-based investment results reflected higher real estate investment results, partially offset by lower private equity valuation increases.
| Performance-based investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Private equity | $ | 497 | $ | 583 | $ | 414 | |||||
| Real estate | 214 | 96 | 159 | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income before investee level expenses | $ | 711 | $ | 679 | $ | 573 | |||||
| Investee level expenses (1) | (63) | (61) | (74) | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income | $ | 648 | $ | 618 | $ | 499 |
(1)Investee level expenses include asset level operating expenses on directly held real estate and other consolidated investments reported in investment expense.
Performance-based investment income increased 4.9% or $30 million in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to higher real estate investment results, partially offset by lower private equity valuation increases.
Performance-based investment results and income can vary significantly between periods and are influenced by economic conditions, equity market performance, comparable public company earnings multiples, capitalization rates, operating performance of
the underlying investments and the timing of asset sales. The Company typically employs a lag in recording and recognizing changes in valuations of limited partnership interests due to the availability of investee financial statements. As a result, performance-based income may not reflect all economic conditions since the U.S.’s imposition of tariffs on goods imported to the U.S.
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2025 Form 10-K Investments
| Components of net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives and the related tax effect | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the year December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | (253) | $ | (160) | $ | (433) | |||||
| Credit losses (1) | (110) | (146) | (99) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments - appreciation (decline): | |||||||||||
| Equity securities | 241 | 84 | 234 | ||||||||
| Equity fund investments in fixed income securities and short-term investments | 16 | (2) | 48 | ||||||||
| Limited partnerships (2) | 14 | 13 | 34 | ||||||||
| Total valuation of equity investments | 271 | 95 | 316 | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | (76) | (14) | (84) | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | (168) | (225) | (300) | ||||||||
| Income tax benefit | 32 | 46 | 63 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | (136) | $ | (179) | $ | (237) | |||||
| Market-based (1) | $ | (141) | $ | (307) | $ | (352) | |||||
| Performance-based | (27) | 82 | 52 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | $ | (168) | $ | (225) | $ | (300) |
(1)2025 includes losses recorded for variable interests in Reciprocal Exchanges. 2024 includes losses related to the carrying value of surplus notes issued by Reciprocal Exchanges. See Note 9 for further details.
(2)Relates to limited partnerships where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities.
Net losses on investments and derivatives in 2025 related primarily to losses on sales of fixed income securities, credit losses primarily related to variable interests in Reciprocal Exchanges and certain real estate-related investments and losses on valuation change and settlements of derivatives, partially offset by valuation increases on equity investments. Net losses on investments and derivatives in 2024 related primarily to losses on sales of fixed income securities and a loss recognized related to surplus notes issued by the Reciprocal Exchanges, partially offset by valuation gains on equity investments.
Net losses on sales in 2025 related to sales of fixed income securities to support portfolio risk repositioning in the second and third quarters and ongoing portfolio
management. Net losses on sales in 2024 related primarily to sales of fixed income securities in connection with ongoing portfolio management.
Net losses on valuation change and settlements of derivatives of $76 million in 2025 primarily related to losses on foreign currency contracts used to manage foreign currency, losses on credit default contracts due to tightening credit spreads, losses on equity futures used to manage equity exposure and losses on interest rate futures used to manage duration. Net losses in 2024 primarily related to net losses on rate futures used to manage duration and equity futures used to manage equity exposure, partially offset by gains on foreign currency contracts used to manage foreign currency risk.
| Net gains (losses) on performance-based investments and derivatives | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | (42) | $ | 33 | $ | 76 | |||||
| Credit losses | (34) | (32) | (68) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments | 98 | 48 | 58 | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | (49) | 33 | (14) | ||||||||
| Total performance-based | $ | (27) | $ | 82 | $ | 52 |
Net losses on performance-based investments and derivatives in 2025 primarily related to sales of private equity investments, credit losses on real estate-related investments and decreased valuations and settlements of derivatives from losses on foreign currency contracts used to manage foreign currency risk. These losses were partially offset by valuation gains on equity investments. Net gains in 2024 primarily related to increased valuation of equity investments, gains on sales and valuation change and settlements of derivatives, partially offset by credit losses.
The Allstate Corporation 65
2025 Form 10-K Market Risk
Market Risk
Market risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices or foreign currency exchange rates. Adverse changes to these rates and prices may occur due to changes in fiscal policy, inflation, the economic climate, the liquidity of a market or market segment, insolvency or financial distress of key market makers or participants or changes in market perceptions of credit worthiness or risk tolerance. Our primary market risk exposures are to changes in interest rates, credit spreads and equity prices, and to a lesser extent, foreign currency exchange rates.
The active management of market risk is integral to our results of operations. We may use the following approaches to manage exposure to market risk within defined tolerance ranges:
1)Rebalance existing asset or liability portfolios
2)Change the type of investments purchased in the future
3)Use derivative instruments to modify the market risk characteristics of existing assets and liabilities or assets expected to be purchased
Overview In formulating and implementing guidelines for investing funds, we seek to earn attractive risk-adjusted returns that enhance our ability to offer competitive prices to customers while contributing to stable profits and long-term capital growth. Accordingly, our investment decisions and objectives are informed by underlying risks. Investment policies define the overall framework for managing market and other investment risks, including accountability and controls over risk management activities. Subsidiaries that conduct investment activities follow policies that have been approved by their respective boards of directors and which specify the investment limits and strategies that are appropriate given the liquidity, surplus, product profile and regulatory requirements of the subsidiary. Executive oversight of investment activities is conducted primarily through the subsidiaries’ boards of directors and legal entity investment committees. The Enterprise Risk and Return Council (“ERRC”) allocates a portion of enterprise risk and capital to the investment portfolio, determining enterprise risk tolerance, which is then cascaded to each subsidiary, as applicable, in conjunction with its board or investment committee.
We use widely accepted quantitative and qualitative approaches to measure, monitor and manage market risk. We evaluate our market risk exposure using multiple measures including but not limited to:
| • Duration, a measure of the price sensitivity of assets and liabilities to changes in interest rates |
|---|
| • Value-at-risk, a statistical estimate that the change in fair value of a portfolio will exceed a certain amount over a given time horizon, at a specified probability |
| • Scenario analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur under hypothetical market conditions defined by changes to multiple market risk factors: interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices or currency exchange rates |
| • Sensitivity analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur using hypothetical shocks to a market risk factor The selection of measures used in our sensitivity analysis should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but only as an illustration of the potential effect of such an event |
In general, we establish investment portfolio asset allocation and market risk limits based upon a combination of these measures. The asset allocation limits place restrictions on the total funds that may be invested within an asset class. Comprehensive day-to-day management of market risk within defined tolerance ranges occurs as portfolio managers buy and sell within their respective markets based upon the acceptable boundaries established by investment policies. Although we apply a similar overall philosophy to market risk, the underlying business frameworks and the accounting and regulatory environments may differ between our products and therefore affect investment decisions and risk parameters. Our actual experience may differ from the results of the sensitivity measurements provided below.
Interest rate risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in risk-free interest rates. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in interest-sensitive assets. Changes in interest rates can have favorable and unfavorable effects on our results. For example, increases in rates can improve investment income, but decrease the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio which may result in sales of assets at losses. Decreases in rates could increase the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio while decreasing future investment income due to reinvestment at lower market yields and accelerated pay-downs and prepayments of certain investments.
For our issued debt, we monitor market interest rates and evaluate refinancing opportunities as maturity dates approach. To mitigate this risk, we ladder the maturity dates of our debt. For our issued noncumulative perpetual preferred stock, we monitor market dividend rates and evaluate opportunities to redeem or refinance on or after specified dates. For further detail regarding our debt and our preferred stock, see Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements and the Capital Resources and Liquidity section of this Item.
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2025 Form 10-K Market Risk
Our assessment of interest rate risk reflects the effect of changing risk-free interest rates on interest-sensitive assets, including investments with callable or prepayable features. As of December 31, 2025, the fixed income portfolio duration, including the effects of interest rate derivatives, was 5.1 compared to 5.3 as of December 31, 2024.
| Change in fair value of interest-sensitive assets (1) (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| -100 bps interest rate change | $ | 3,252 | $ | 2,996 | |||
| +100 bps interest rate change | (3,021) | (2,765) | |||||
| +200 bps interest rate change | (5,812) | (5,298) |
(1)Includes the effects of interest rate derivatives.
(2)As of December 31, 2025, we held fixed income securities of $59.11 billion compared to $52.75 billion as of December 31, 2024.
Credit spread risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in credit spreads (“spreads”). A credit spread is the additional yield on fixed income securities and loans above the risk-free rate that market participants require to compensate them for assuming credit, liquidity or prepayment risks. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in spread-sensitive fixed income assets.
Our assessment of credit spread risk reflects the effect of changing credit spreads on spread-sensitive assets, including investments with callable or prepayable features. As of December 31, 2025 and 2024, the spread duration(1) was 4.6 and 4.7, respectively.
| Change in fair value of spread-sensitive assets (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| +100 bps credit spread change | $ | (2,125) | $ | (2,118) |
(1)Includes the effects of credit derivatives.
Equity price risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in the levels of equity indices, the value of individual stocks, or private market valuations related to our limited partnership interests.
Equity investments(1) As of December 31, 2025, we held $7.27 billion in equity investments that comprise equity securities, excluding those with interest-bearing securities as their underlying investments, and including limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities, compared to $4.00 billion as of December 31, 2024.
| Change in fair value of equity investments (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| -10% change in equity valuations | $ | (727) | $ | (399) |
(1)Includes the effects of equity derivatives.
Limited partnership interests As of December 31, 2025, we held $8.69 billion in limited partnership interests, excluding those limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities, compared to $8.95 billion as of December 31, 2024. These illiquid investments are primarily comprised of private equity and real estate funds, with valuation changes typically reflecting the idiosyncratic performance of the underlying asset.
| Change in fair value of limited partnership interests | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| -10% change in private market valuations | $ | (868) | $ | (895) |
For limited partnership interests, quarterly changes in fair values may not be highly correlated to equity indices in the short term.
Foreign currency exchange rate risk is the risk that we will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in foreign currency exchange rates. This risk primarily arises from our foreign equity investments, including common stocks, limited partnership interests, and our foreign operations. We use foreign currency derivative contracts to partially offset this risk.
As of December 31, 2025, we had $4.20 billion in foreign currency denominated investments, including the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts, and $1.53 billion net investment in our foreign subsidiaries, primarily related to our Canada operations. These amounts were $3.74 billion and $1.29 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2024.
| Change in fair value of foreign currency denominated investments | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| –10% change in foreign currency exchange rates (1) | $ | (420) | $ | (374) | |||
| –10% change in net investments in foreign subsidiaries (2) | (152) | (129) |
(1)Includes the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts and excludes the offset from liabilities in foreign currencies.
(2)Includes the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts and the offset from liabilities in foreign currencies.
The Allstate Corporation 67
2025 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital resources consist of shareholders’ equity and debt, representing funds deployed or available to be deployed to support business operations or for general corporate purposes.
| Capital resources | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Preferred stock, common stock, treasury stock, retained income and other shareholders’ equity items | $ | 30,355 | $ | 22,331 | $ | 18,470 | |||||
| Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (“AOCI”) | 255 | (889) | (700) | ||||||||
| Total Allstate shareholders’ equity | 30,610 | 21,442 | 17,770 | ||||||||
| Debt (1) | 7,490 | 8,085 | 7,942 | ||||||||
| Total capital resources | $ | 38,100 | $ | 29,527 | $ | 25,712 | |||||
| Ratio of debt to Allstate shareholders’ equity | 24.5 | % | 37.7 | % | 44.7 | % | |||||
| Ratio of debt to capital resources | 19.7 | % | 27.4 | % | 30.9 | % |
(1)Net of debt issuance costs of $51 million as of December 31, 2025 and $56 million as of both December 31, 2024 and 2023.
Allstate shareholders’ equity increased in 2025 primarily due to net income and an increase in unrealized net capital gains on investments in 2025, partially offset by common share repurchases and dividends to shareholders. In 2025, we paid dividends of $1.04 billion and $117 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively. Allstate shareholders’ equity increased in 2024, primarily due to net income, partially offset by dividends to shareholders. In 2024, we paid dividends of $962 million and $117 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively.
Repayment of debt On December 15, 2025, the Company repaid, at maturity, $600 million of 0.75% Senior Notes.
Common share repurchases On February 26, 2025, the Board of Directors authorized a $1.50 billion common share repurchase program that must be completed by September 30, 2026. As of December 31, 2025, there was $260 million remaining on the $1.50 billion common share repurchase program. On February 4, 2026, the Board authorized a new 24-month $4.00 billion common share repurchase program which will commence once the existing $1.50 billion program has been completed.
During 2025, we repurchased 6 million common shares, or 2.3% of total common shares outstanding as of December 31, 2024, for $1.24 billion.
Since 1995, we have acquired 799 million shares of our common stock at a cost of $44.51 billion, primarily as part of various stock repurchase programs. We have reissued 160 million common shares since 1995, primarily associated with our equity incentive plans, the 1999 acquisition of American Heritage Life Investment Corporation and the 2001 redemption of certain mandatorily redeemable preferred securities. Since 1995, total common shares outstanding has decreased by 639 million shares or 71.1%, primarily due to our repurchase programs.
Common shareholder dividend per share On January 2, 2025, April 1, 2025, July 1, 2025 and October 1, 2025 we paid a common shareholder dividend of $0.92, $1.00, $1.00 and $1.00 respectively. On November 20, 2025, we declared a common shareholder dividend of $1.00 payable on January 2, 2026.
On February 4, 2026, we announced that our common shareholder dividend will increase to $1.08 and will be payable in cash on April 1, 2026, to stockholders of record at the close of business on March 2, 2026.
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2025 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Financial ratings and strength
| Senior long-term debt, commercial paper and insurance financial strength ratings | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2025 | ||||||
| Moody’s | S&P Global Ratings | A.M. Best | ||||
| The Allstate Corporation (debt) | A3 | BBB+ | a- | |||
| The Allstate Corporation (short-term issuer) | P-2 | A-2 | AMB-1 | |||
| Allstate Insurance Company (insurance financial strength) | Aa3 | A+ | A+ |
Our ratings are influenced by many factors including our operating and financial performance, asset quality, liquidity, overall portfolio mix, financial leverage (i.e., debt), exposure to risks such as catastrophes and the current level of operating leverage. The preferred stock and subordinated debentures are viewed as having a common equity component by certain rating agencies and are given equity credit up to a pre-determined limit in our capital structure as determined by their respective methodologies. These respective methodologies consider the existence of certain terms and features in the instruments such as the noncumulative dividend feature in the preferred stock.
The Allstate Corporation (the “Corporation”) and Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”) In May 2025, Moody’s affirmed the Corporation’s senior debt and short-term issuer ratings of A3 and P-2, respectively, and AIC’s insurance financial strength rating of Aa3. The outlook for the ratings changed from negative to stable.
In May 2025, S&P affirmed the Corporation's senior debt and short-term issuer ratings of BBB+ and A-2, respectively, and AIC's insurance financial strength rating of A+. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
In August 2025, A.M. Best affirmed the Corporation’s senior debt and short-term issuer ratings of a- and AMB-1, respectively, and AIC’s insurance financial strength rating of A+. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
Other property and casualty companies We have distinct and separately capitalized groups of subsidiaries licensed to sell property and casualty insurance that maintain separate group ratings. The ratings of these groups are influenced by the risks that relate specifically to each group. Many mortgage companies require property owners to have property insurance from an insurance carrier with a secure financial strength rating from an accredited rating agency.
In August 2025, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength ratings of A- for the members of Allstate New Jersey Group (Allstate New Jersey
Insurance Company, Allstate New Jersey Property and Casualty Insurance Company, Encompass Insurance Company of New Jersey, Encompass Property and Casualty Insurance Company of New Jersey and Esurance Insurance Company of New Jersey). The outlook for the ratings is negative. ANJ writes auto and homeowners insurance in New Jersey, which has a financial strength rating of A’ from Demotech, that was affirmed in December 2025.
In August 2025, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for North Light, our excess and surplus lines carrier. The outlook for the rating is stable.
In August 2025, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength ratings of B for the members of Castle Key Group (Castle Key Insurance Company and Castle Key Indemnity Company). The outlook for the ratings is stable. CKIC also has a financial strength rating of A’ from Demotech that was affirmed in December 2025.
ANJ and North Light do not have support agreements with AIC.
Allstate’s domestic property and casualty and accident and health insurance subsidiaries prepare their statutory-basis financial statements in conformity with accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the insurance department of the applicable state of domicile. Statutory surplus is a measure that is often used as a basis for determining dividend paying capacity, operating leverage and premium growth capacity, and it is also reviewed by rating agencies in determining their ratings.
The property and casualty business is comprised of 57 insurance companies as of December 31, 2025, each of which has individual company dividend limitations. As of December 31, 2025, total estimated statutory surplus is $22.95 billion compared to $18.64 billion as of December 31, 2024. Property and casualty subsidiaries surplus was $22.85 billion as of December 31, 2025, compared to $18.24 billion as of December 31, 2024. As of December 31, 2025, our accident and health insurance subsidiary had surplus of $101 million.
The Allstate Corporation 69
2025 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Liquidity sources and uses Our potential sources and uses of funds principally include the following activities below.
| Activities for potential sources of funds | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Corporate and all other | ||||
| Receipt of insurance premiums | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Recurring service fees | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Reinsurance and indemnification program recoveries | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Receipts of principal, interest and dividends on investments | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Sales of investments | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Funds from securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||
| Intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Capital contributions from parent (1) | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Dividends or return of capital from subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Tax refunds/settlements | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Funds from periodic issuance of additional securities | ü | |||||
| Receipt of intercompany settlements related to employee benefit plans | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from dispositions | ü |
(1)Capital support is generally at management’s discretion unless contractual commitments are in place.
| Activities for potential uses of funds | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Corporate and all other | ||||
| Payment of claims and related expenses | ü | ü | ||||
| Reinsurance cessions and indemnification program payments | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Operating costs and expenses | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Purchase of investments | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Repayment of securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||
| Payment or repayment of intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Capital contributions to subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Dividends or return of capital to shareholders/parent company | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Tax payments/settlements | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Payments related to employee benefit plans | ü | ü | ||||
| Payments for acquisitions | ü | ü | ü | |||
| Payment of contract benefits | ü | |||||
| Common share repurchases | ü | |||||
| Debt service expenses and repayment | ü |
Contractual obligations and commitments We have short-term and long-term contractual obligations and commitments. We manage our short-term liquidity position to ensure the availability of a sufficient amount of liquid assets to extinguish short-term liabilities as they come due in the normal course of business, including utilizing potential sources of liquidity. Long-term obligations include known contractual commitments that require cash needs beyond 12 months.
Short-term contractual obligations are typically settled with cash or short-term investments and operating cash flows. Most of these obligations are paid within one year. These include unconditional purchase obligations, other liabilities and accrued
expenses, including liabilities for collateral and operating leases.
We actively manage our financial position and liquidity levels in light of changing market, economic, and business conditions. Liquidity is managed at both the entity and enterprise level across the Company and is assessed on both base and stressed level liquidity needs. We believe we have sufficient liquidity to meet these needs. Additionally, we have existing intercompany agreements in place that facilitate liquidity management across the Company to enhance flexibility.
As of December 31, 2025, we held $31.31 billion of cash, U.S. government and agencies fixed income securities, public equity securities and short-term investments, which we would expect to be able to
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2025 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
liquidate within one week. In addition, we regularly estimate how much of the total portfolio, which includes high quality corporate fixed income and municipal holdings, can be reasonably liquidated within one quarter. These estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty associated with evolving market conditions. As of December 31, 2025, cash and estimated liquidity available within one quarter, under normal market conditions and at current market prices, was $37.38 billion.
Certain remote events and circumstances could constrain our liquidity. Those events and circumstances include, for example, a catastrophe resulting in extraordinary losses, a liquidity decrease in securities markets, dramatic changes in security pricing, a cybersecurity breach, a downgrade in our senior long-term debt ratings to non-investment grade status, or a downgrade in AIC’s financial strength ratings. The rating agencies also consider the interdependence of our individually rated entities; therefore, a rating change in one entity could potentially affect the ratings of other related entities.
The Corporation is party to an Amended and Restated Intercompany Liquidity Agreement (“Liquidity Agreement”) with certain subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to AIC. The Liquidity Agreement allows for short-term advances of funds to be made between parties for liquidity and other general corporate purposes. The Liquidity Agreement does not establish a commitment to advance funds on the part of any party. AIC serves as a lender and borrower, certain other subsidiaries serve only as borrowers, and the Corporation serves only as a lender. The maximum amount of potential funding under each of these agreements is $1.00 billion.
In addition to the Liquidity Agreement, the Corporation also has an intercompany loan agreement with certain of its subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to, AIC. The amount of intercompany loans available to the Corporation’s subsidiaries is at the discretion of the Corporation. The maximum amount of loans the Corporation will have outstanding to all its eligible subsidiaries at any given point in time is limited to $1.00 billion. The Corporation may use commercial paper borrowings, bank lines of credit and securities lending to fund intercompany borrowings.
Parent company capital capacity At the parent holding company level, we have deployable assets totaling $7.52 billion as of December 31, 2025, primarily comprised of cash and short-term, fixed income and equity securities that are generally saleable within one quarter. The earnings capacity of the operating subsidiaries is the primary source of capital generation for the Corporation.
The payment of dividends by AIC to the Corporation is limited by Illinois insurance law to formula amounts based on statutory net income and statutory surplus, as well as the timing and amount of dividends paid in the preceding twelve months. The maximum amount of dividends that AIC will be able to pay, without prior Illinois Department of Insurance approval, at a given point in time in 2026, based on the
greater of 2025 statutory net income or 10% of actual 2025 statutory surplus. This is estimated to be $7.98 billion, less dividends paid during the preceding twelve months measured at that point in time. AIC paid dividends of $3.95 billion in 2025. For the year ended December 31, 2025, the maximum amount of dividends allowed to be paid by AIC was $3.95 billion. Notification and approval of intercompany lending activities are also required by the Illinois Department of Insurance for those transactions that exceed formula amounts based on statutory admitted assets and statutory surplus.
These holding company assets and subsidiary dividends provide funds for the parent company’s fixed charges and other corporate purposes.
Dividends may not be paid or declared on our common stock and shares of common stock may not be repurchased unless the full dividends for the latest completed dividend period on our preferred stock have been declared and paid or provided for.
The terms of our outstanding subordinated debentures also prohibit us from declaring or paying any dividends or distributions on our common or preferred stock or redeeming, purchasing, acquiring, or making liquidation payments on our common stock or preferred stock if we have elected to defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures, subject to certain limited exceptions. In 2025, we did not defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures.
Additional resources to support liquidity are as follows:
•The Corporation and AIC have access to a $750 million unsecured revolving credit facility that is available for short-term liquidity requirements. The maturity date of this facility is November 2027. The facility is fully subscribed among 11 lenders with the largest commitment being $95 million. The commitments of the lenders are several and no lender is responsible for any other lender’s commitment if such lender fails to make a loan under the facility. This facility contains an increase provision that would allow up to an additional $500 million of borrowing, subject to the lenders’ commitment. This facility has a financial covenant requiring that we not exceed a 37.5% debt to capitalization ratio as defined in the agreement. This ratio was 15.1% as of December 31, 2025. Although the right to borrow under the facility is not subject to a minimum rating requirement, the costs of maintaining the facility and borrowing under it are based on the ratings of our senior unsecured, unguaranteed long-term debt. There were no borrowings under the credit facility during 2025.
•To cover short-term cash needs, the Corporation has access to a commercial paper facility with a borrowing capacity limited to any undrawn credit facility balance up to $750 million. The total amount outstanding at any point in time under the combination of the credit facility and the commercial paper program cannot exceed the
The Allstate Corporation 71
2025 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
amount that can be borrowed under the credit facility.
•As of December 31, 2025, there were no balances outstanding for the credit facility or the commercial paper facility and therefore the remaining borrowing capacity was $750 million under each facility.
•The Corporation has access to a universal shelf registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission that was filed on April 30, 2024 and expires in 2027. We can use this shelf registration to issue an unspecified amount of debt securities, common stock (including 640 million shares of treasury stock as of December 31, 2025), preferred stock, depositary shares, warrants, stock purchase contracts and stock purchase units. The specific terms of any securities we issue under this registration statement will be provided in the applicable prospectus supplements.
Long-term contractual obligations
Defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans (“OPEB”) Pension plan obligations within the next 12 months represent our planned contributions to certain unfunded non-qualified plans where the benefit obligation exceeds the assets. Obligations beyond 12 months are projected based on the average remaining service period using the current underfunded status of the plans. The OPEB plans’ obligations are estimated based on the expected benefits to be paid. See Note 17 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Reserves for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense represent estimated amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including claims that have been IBNR as of the balance sheet date. Estimated timing of payments for reserves is based on our historical experience and our expectation of future payment patterns. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts that are our best estimates. See Note 10 of the consolidated financial statements and Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A for further information.
Contractual commitments represent investment commitments such as private placements, limited partnership interests and other loans. Limited partnership interests are typically funded over the commitment period, which is shorter than the contractual expiration date of the partnership and as a result, the actual timing of the funding may vary.
We have agreements in place for services we conduct, generally at cost, between subsidiaries relating to insurance, reinsurance, loans and capitalization. All material intercompany transactions have been appropriately eliminated in consolidation. Intercompany transactions among insurance subsidiaries and affiliates have been approved by the appropriate departments of insurance as required.
For a more detailed discussion of our off-balance sheet arrangements, see Note 8 of the consolidated financial statements.
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2025 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Allstate creates shareholder value while serving customers through a comprehensive risk and return framework. These risks are discussed in more detail in the Risk Factors section of this document.
We regularly identify, measure, manage, monitor and report significant risks and assess associated return considerations. Major categories include strategic, insurance, investment, financial, operational and culture risks.
Allstate manages these risks through an Enterprise Risk and Return Management (“ERRM”) framework built on a foundation of risk culture, taxonomy, capacity and governance. Our legal and capital structures are designed to manage capital and solvency on a legal entity basis.
Risk and return principles define how we operate and guide decision-making.
•We ensure a strong foundation by maintaining capital strength, solvency and liquidity, complying with laws, acting with integrity and protecting customers and proprietary information, assets and technology.
•We build strategic value by continually investing in our strategic position, creating flexibility to adapt our business model in a changing world and differentiating through innovation.
•We optimize risk and return through profitable growth, valuing customer relationships in operating and strategic decisions and developing new business offerings and investment opportunities while managing risk concentrations.
Governance ERRM governance includes board oversight, an executive management committee, and enterprise and market-facing business chief risk officers.
•The Allstate Corporation Board of Directors (“Allstate Board”) has overall responsibility for oversight of management’s design and implementation of Allstate’s ERRM framework, supported by the Audit Committee (“AC”) and the Risk and Return Committee (“RRC”).
•The RRC of the Allstate Board oversees the effectiveness of the ERRM program, governance
structure and risk-related decision-making, while focusing on the Company’s aggregate risk profile.
•The AC oversees the effectiveness of internal controls over financial reporting, disclosure controls and procedures, as well as management’s risk and control and cybersecurity program, and assists the Board in fulfilling certain oversight responsibilities as listed in the committee’s charter.
•The Enterprise Risk and Return Council (“ERRC”) directs ERRM activities by establishing risk and return targets, monitoring and targeting capital levels and overseeing integrated strategies and
The Allstate Corporation 73
2025 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
actions from an enterprise risk and return perspective. For example, such strategies include the deployment of artificial intelligence and the development of enterprise resilience capabilities that protect against cyber threats. The ERRC consists of Allstate’s chief executive officer, chief financial officer, chief risk officer, chief legal officer, chief resilience officer and other senior leaders.
•Other committees work with the ERRC to direct ERRM activities, including the Operational Risk and Return Council, the Information Security Council, the Internal Compliance and Control Committee, liability governance committees and investment committees.
Key risks are assessed and reported through comprehensive ERRM reports prepared for senior management and the RRC. These summary reports communicate the alignment of Allstate’s risk profile with risk and return principles, while providing a perspective on risk positioning. Discussion promotes active engagement with management and the RRC. Internal controls over key risks are managed and reported to senior management and the Audit Committee of the Company through a semi-annual risk control dashboard. Annually, we review risks related to the strategic plan, operating plan and incentive compensation programs with the Allstate Board.
Framework We apply risk and return principles using an integrated ERRM framework that focuses on assessment, transparency and dialogue, which provides a comprehensive view of risks and is used by senior management and business managers to drive risk-informed decisions. We continually validate and improve ERRM practices by benchmarking and obtaining external perspectives.
Management and the ERRC utilize internal and external perspectives to determine an appropriate level of target economic capital. Internal perspectives include enterprise solvency and volatility assessments, review of key operating and model assumptions and management judgment. Sensitivity testing and scenario analysis are used to gauge the robustness of Allstate’s risk, capital and liquidity positions. Analysis of extremely low-frequency scenarios is also used to assess the sufficiency of capital and contingency options under worst-case outcomes, including unlikely but impactful single events, as well as sequences of multiple tail events. External considerations include NAIC risk-based capital as well as S&P’s, Moody’s and A.M. Best’s capital adequacy measurements. Our economic capital reflects management’s view of the aggregate level of capital necessary to satisfy stakeholder interests, manage Allstate’s risk profile and maintain financial strength. The impact of strategic initiatives on enterprise risk is evaluated through this context.
The NAIC has adopted the Risk Management and Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Model Act (“ORSA Model Act”), which has been enacted by our insurance subsidiaries’ domiciliary states. The ORSA Model Act requires that insurers maintain a risk management framework and conduct an internal own risk and
solvency assessment of the insurer’s material risks in normal and stressed environments. Results of the assessment are filed annually.
Allstate’s risk appetite is measured through our economic capital framework, which establishes the amount of capital needed to support the current and projected enterprise risk profile and provides a methodology for measuring risk-adjusted returns and optimizing capital allocations. Enterprise risk appetite is cascaded into individual targets and limits for specific risk types, weighing expected returns, volatility, potential tail losses and impact on the enterprise portfolio.
Process We establish a basis for transparency and dialogue across the enterprise and for continuous learning by embedding risk and return management culture within the organization. Allstate designs strategies that seek to optimize risk-adjusted returns on capital, with risks managed at both the legal entity and enterprise level.
Many risk drivers impact more than one of the key risk categories. Examples include risks related to inflation and the impacts of climate change, which span Allstate’s major risk categories. Such risks are managed within Allstate’s integrated ERRM framework and the processes listed below, but the overall strategy is coordinated at the enterprise level, and holistic governance is provided by cross-functional committees such as the ERRC.
A summary of our process to manage each of our major risk and return categories follows:
Strategic risk and return management encompasses risks and opportunities associated with long-term business planning and strategy setting in the context of the evolving market environment.
Areas of focus include macroeconomic, regulatory and competitive conditions, as well as customer preferences and behavior, Allstate’s reputation and the continuous enhancement of internal capabilities that allow Allstate to compete effectively in chosen markets. Allstate manages strategic risks in part through Allstate Board and senior management reviews that include risk and return assessment of strategic plans and ongoing monitoring of strategic actions, key assumptions and the broader market environment.
Insurance risk and return management encompasses risks and opportunities associated with Allstate’s insurance activities, including expected trends and unanticipated fluctuations in premiums, claims and future profits. Focus areas include policy growth, loss frequency, severity trends and scenarios, severe weather and catastrophe exposures and claim handling processes. Allstate uses sophisticated mathematical modeling techniques to measure, monitor and manage associated risk exposures, including stochastic risk estimation and deterministic scenario analysis.
Investment risk and return management encompasses risks and opportunities associated with
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2025 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Allstate’s investment portfolio. Areas of focus include macroeconomic conditions and potential changes to key variables such as interest rates, credit spreads and equity price levels, as well as specific factors that may impact the returns associated with individual investments. Changes in such factors drive daily volatility in the valuations of portfolio holdings and could cause permanent impairments of capital due to credit defaults and equity write-downs.
Investment risk exposures are measured and monitored using tools such as sensitivity analysis, stochastic risk estimation and deterministic scenario analysis, which together are used to assess investment portfolio risk characteristics and how the investment portfolio contributes to the enterprise risk profile.
For further details on investment risk, see the Market Risk section of this Item.
Financial risk and return management addresses the sufficiency of capital and cash flow liquidity to meet enterprise, subsidiary and policyholder needs. We actively manage associated risks and opportunities in light of changing market, economic and business conditions using modeling frameworks and tools that assess potential sources and uses of capital and liquidity and help ensure strategic and financial flexibility.
We generally assess solvency on a statutory accounting basis, but also consider holding company capital and liquidity needs. Capital at the insurance companies significantly exceeds regulatory risk-based capital requirements and capital levels at the parent holding company provide liquidity and financial flexibility to meet enterprise requirements.
Operational risk and return management encompasses risks and opportunities associated with Allstate’s interconnected systems of people, processes and technology. Representative areas of focus include talent, privacy, regulatory compliance, ethics, fraud, system availability, cybersecurity and resilience, disaster recovery and business continuity.
Associated risks are managed using an integrated and iterative Operational Risk and Return Management framework that ensures dynamic and continuous learning process.
Culture risk and return management addresses risks and opportunities associated with company culture, which we define as a self-sustaining system of values, expectations, practices, and beliefs that people learn, follow and transmit that lead to priorities, decisions and outcomes. Allstate’s approach to culture risk and return management is grounded in its risk and return principles and organized by Our Shared Purpose, targeting continual alignment of culture with the company’s mission, values, operating standards and behaviors.
The Allstate Corporation 75
2025 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to adopt accounting policies and make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements. The most critical estimates, presented in the order they appear in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position, include those used in determining:
•Fair value of financial assets
•Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses
•Evaluation of goodwill
•Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation
•Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions
In making these determinations, management makes subjective and complex judgments that frequently require estimates about matters that are inherently uncertain. Many of these policies, estimates and related judgments are common in the insurance and financial services industries; others are specific to our businesses and operations. It is reasonably likely that changes in these estimates could occur from period to period and result in a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.
A summary of each of these critical accounting estimates follows. For a more detailed discussion of the effect of these estimates on our consolidated financial statements, and the judgments and assumptions related to these estimates, see the referenced sections of this document. For a more detailed summary of our significant accounting policies, see the notes to the consolidated financial statements.
Fair value of financial assets
Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We are responsible for the determination of fair value of financial assets and the supporting assumptions and methodologies. We use independent third-party valuation service providers, broker quotes and internal pricing methods to determine fair values for each financial instrument in our financial statements.
Our valuation hierarchy prioritizes the use of observable inputs. When available, fair values are based on unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in an active market that we can access. If unadjusted quoted prices are not available, fair values are based on quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets, quoted prices for identical or similar assets and liabilities in markets that are not active or valuation models with observable inputs. If observable inputs are not available or determinable, unobservable inputs or adjustments to observable
inputs requiring management judgment are used to determine the estimated fair value of the investment.
For additional information on fair value measurements, see Note 7 of the consolidated financial statements and the risk factor titled “Determination of the fair value and amount of credit losses for investments includes subjective judgments and could materially impact the results of operations and financial condition” disclosed in Part 1 “Item 1A. Risk Factors’’. A more detailed discussion of investments is presented in the Investments section of the MD&A and Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses
For fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale, the difference between amortized cost, net of credit loss allowance (“amortized cost, net”) and fair value, net of certain other items and deferred income taxes (as disclosed in Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements), is reported as a component of AOCI on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position and is not reflected in the operating results of any period until reclassified to net income upon the consummation of a transaction with an unrelated third party or when a credit loss allowance is recorded. We have a comprehensive portfolio monitoring process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance.
For each fixed income security in an unrealized loss position, we assess whether management with the appropriate authority has made the decision to sell or whether it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before recovery of the amortized cost basis for reasons such as liquidity, contractual or regulatory purposes. If a security meets either of these criteria, any existing credit loss allowance would be written-off against the amortized cost basis of the asset along with any remaining unrealized losses, with the incremental losses recorded in earnings.
If we have not made the decision to sell the fixed income security and it is not more likely than not we will be required to sell the fixed income security before recovery of its amortized cost basis, we evaluate whether we expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security. We calculate the estimated recovery value based on the best estimate of future cash flows considering past events, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. The estimated future cash flows are discounted at the security’s current effective rate and are compared to the amortized cost of the security. The determination of cash flow estimates is inherently subjective, and methodologies may vary depending on facts and circumstances specific to the security. All reasonably available information relevant to the collectability of the security are considered when developing the estimate of cash flows expected to be collected. That information generally includes, but is not limited to, as applicable, the remaining payment terms of the security, prepayment speeds,
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2025 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
the financial condition and future earnings potential of the issue or issuer, expected defaults, expected recoveries, the value of underlying collateral, origination vintage year, geographic concentration of underlying collateral, available reserves or escrows, current subordination levels, third-party guarantees and other credit enhancements. Other information, such as industry analyst reports and forecasts, sector credit ratings, and other market data relevant to the realizability of contractual cash flows, may also be considered. The estimated fair value of collateral will be used to estimate recovery value if we determine that the security is dependent on the liquidation of collateral for ultimate settlement.
If we do not expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the fixed income security, a credit loss allowance is recorded in earnings for the shortfall in expected cash flows; however, the amortized cost, net of the credit loss allowance, may not be lower than the fair value of the security. The portion of the unrealized loss related to factors other than credit remains classified in AOCI. If we determine that the fixed income security does not have sufficient cash flow or other information to estimate a recovery value for the security, we may conclude that the entire decline in fair value is deemed to be credit related and the loss is recorded in earnings.
When a security is sold or otherwise disposed or the security is deemed uncollectible and written off, we reverse amounts previously recognized in the credit loss allowance. Recoveries after write-offs are recognized when received.
For additional detail on investment impairments, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
Evaluation of goodwill
Goodwill impairment testing The Company performs its annual goodwill impairment testing at the reporting unit level during the fourth quarter of each year based upon data as of the close of the third quarter. Goodwill impairment is measured and recognized as the amount by which a reporting unit’s carrying value, including goodwill, exceeds its fair value, not to exceed the carrying amount of goodwill allocated to the reporting unit. The Company also reviews goodwill for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances, such as deteriorating or adverse market conditions, indicate that it is more likely than not that the carrying amount of the reporting unit including goodwill may exceed the fair value of the reporting unit.
Fair value estimation process Estimating the fair value of reporting units is subjective and involves the use of significant estimates by management. Changes in market inputs or other events impacting the fair value of these businesses could result in goodwill impairments, resulting in a charge to income. Key factors influencing market inputs include changes in: (1) discount rates; (2) operating results; (3) investment returns; (4) strategies; and (5) growth rate assumptions, including the risk of loss of key customers in the Protection Services segment.
Some reporting units comprise both legacy and acquired businesses, resulting in substantial internally generated and unrecognized intangibles and fair values that significantly exceed their carrying values.
Valuation techniques Upon acquisition, the purchase price of the acquired business is assumed to be its fair value. Subsequently, we estimate the fair value of our businesses in each goodwill reporting unit by utilizing a combination of these widely accepted valuation techniques:
•Stock price and market capitalization analysis take into consideration the quoted market price of our outstanding common stock and includes a control premium, derived from relevant historical acquisition activity, in determining the estimated fair value of the consolidated entity before allocating that fair value to individual reporting units.
•Discounted cash flow analysis utilizes long term assumptions for revenues, investment income, benefits, claims, other operating expenses and income taxes to produce projections of both income and cash flows available for dividends that are present valued using the weighted average cost of capital.
•Market to book multiples represent the mean market to book multiple for selected peer companies with operations similar to each goodwill reporting unit to which the multiple is applied.
The outputs from these methods are weighted based on the nature of the business and the relative amount of market observable assumptions supporting the estimates. The computed values are then weighted to reflect the fair value estimate based on the specific attributes of each goodwill reporting unit.
For additional detail on goodwill, see Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements.
Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation
Reserves are established to provide for the estimated costs of paying claims and claims expenses under insurance policies we have issued. These reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including estimates of all expenses associated with processing and settling incurred claims as of the financial statement date.
Auto and homeowners liability losses generally take an average of about two years to settle, while auto physical damage, homeowners property and other personal lines generally have an average settlement time of less than one year. Liability losses, especially those involving litigation, can take many years to resolve. Run-off Property-Liability involves long-tail losses, such as those related to asbestos and environmental claims, which often involve substantial reporting lags and extended times to settle.
Estimating the ultimate cost of claims and claims expenses is an inherently uncertain and complex process involving a high degree of judgment and is subject to the evaluation of numerous variables.
The Allstate Corporation 77
2025 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense reserves.
The actuarial methods used to develop reserve estimates Reserve estimates are derived by using several different actuarial estimation methods that are mostly variations on one primary actuarial technique known as a “chain ladder” estimation process. In this process, historical loss patterns are applied to actual paid losses and reported losses (paid losses plus individual case reserves established by claim adjusters) for an accident year or a report year to create an estimate of how losses are likely to develop over time.
In the chain ladder estimation technique, development factors are calculated which compare current period results to results in the prior period for each accident year or report year. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process, as development factors use historic data that incorporates inflation from recent prior periods in estimating future loss costs. The estimation methodology may require modification when data changes due to changing claim reporting practices, changing claim settlement patterns, external regulatory or financial influences, or contractual coverage changes. Changes in such items and inflation can result in increased variability in loss costs and reserve estimates. Actuarial judgment is then applied to develop a best estimate of gross ultimate losses. These developments are discussed further in the loss ratio disclosures within the Allstate Protection Segment and the Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense sections of the MD&A. See the Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates section for specific disclosures of industry and actuarial best practices for this segment.
How reserve estimates are established and updated Reserve estimates are developed at a detailed level, and the results are aggregated to form a consolidated reserve estimate. The detailed estimates include each line of insurance, major components of
losses (such as coverages and perils), major states or groups of states for reported losses and IBNR. The significant lines of business are auto, homeowners, and other personal lines for Allstate Protection, and asbestos, environmental, and other run-off lines for Run-off Property-Liability. Reserves are established for each business segment and line of business, independently of business segment management.
Development factors are calculated for data elements such as claim counts reported and settled, paid losses, and paid losses combined with case reserves. The historical development patterns for these data elements are used to calculate reserve estimates. Based on this review, our best estimate of required reserves is recorded.
Reserves are reestimated quarterly and periodically throughout the year, by combining historical results with current actual results to calculate new development factors. This process incorporates the historic and latest actual trends, and other underlying changes in the data elements used to calculate reserve estimates. New development factors are likely to differ from previous development factors used in prior reserve estimates because actual results occur differently than the assumptions contained in the previous development factor calculations. When actual development of these data elements is different than the historical development pattern used in a prior period reserve estimate, a new reserve is determined. The difference between indicated reserves based on new reserve estimates and recorded reserves (the previous estimate) is the amount of reserve reestimate. This amount, which could be material and vary significantly from period to period, is recognized as an increase or decrease in Property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
A more detailed discussion of reserve reestimates is presented in the Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense section of the MD&A.
| Net reserves by segment and line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | |||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 23,221 | $ | 23,076 | $ | 21,286 | |||||
| Homeowners | 4,349 | 4,520 | 4,754 | ||||||||
| Other lines | 4,003 | 4,250 | 3,929 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 31,573 | 31,846 | 29,969 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | |||||||||||
| Asbestos | 769 | 774 | 804 | ||||||||
| Environmental | 247 | 259 | 267 | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 416 | 381 | 373 | ||||||||
| Total Run-off Property-Liability | 1,432 | 1,414 | 1,444 | ||||||||
| Total Protection Services | 62 | 55 | 49 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 33,067 | $ | 33,315 | $ | 31,462 |
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| Reserve reestimates | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Reserve reestimates, after-tax (1) | $ | (1,429) | $ | (243) | $ | 434 | |||||
| Percentage impact on net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders - favorable (unfavorable) | 14.1 | % | 5.3 | % | NM |
(1)Reserve releases are shown in parentheses.
| 3-year average of net reserve reestimates as a percentage of total reserves for its segment (1) (2) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | |||
| Allstate Protection | (2.0) | % | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 7.2 | % |
(1)Reserve releases are shown in parentheses.
(2)Each of these results is consistent within a reasonable actuarial tolerance for the respective businesses.
Allstate Protection reserve estimate
Factors affecting reserve estimates Generally, reserves are informed by analysis of historical relationships to relevant loss development indicators such as inflation. These relationships guide the initial reserve setting for a new report year or accident year using actual claim frequency and severity assumptions across business segments, lines and coverages. For prior report years or accident years, reserve estimates are developed using similar historical relationships and statistical processes on holistic loss costs. These estimates are considered in conjunction with known facts and interpretations of circumstances, including our experience with similar cases, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, changes in laws and regulations, judicial decisions and economic conditions.
Changes in auto claim frequency may result from changes in mix of business, driving behaviors, miles driven or other macroeconomic factors. Changes in auto current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the medical and auto repair sectors, changes in attorney represented and litigated claim behavior, the effectiveness and efficiency of our claim settlements and changes in mix of claim types. Injury claims are affected largely by medical inflation, treatment trends, attorney representation and litigation costs, while physical damage claims are affected largely by auto repair cost inflation, used car prices, length of claim resolution and the timing of receipt of third-party carrier claims.
Changes in homeowners current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the cost of building materials, the cost of construction and property repair services, the cost of replacing home furnishings and other contents, the types of claims that qualify for coverage, deductibles, other economic and environmental factors and the effectiveness of our claim practices.
As loss experience for the current year develops for each type of loss, it is monitored relative to initial
assumptions until it is judged to have sufficient statistical credibility. From that point in time forward, reserves are reestimated using statistical actuarial processes to reflect the impact actual loss trends have on development factors incorporated into the actuarial estimation processes.
Loss experience and reserve variability are impacted by many factors, including but not limited to:
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages, changes in used car prices, labor and part cost increases, unemployment levels, changes in commuting activity and driving behavior have and may continue to lead to historical development trends being less predictive of future loss development, potentially creating additional reserve variability.
•If a legal change is expected to have a significant impact on the development of claim severity for a coverage which is part of a particular line of insurance in a specific state, judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors that will most accurately reflect the expected impact on that specific estimate.
•If a change in economic conditions, including the impacts from existing or future U.S. tariffs, is expected to affect the cost of repairs or replacement of damaged autos or property for a particular line, coverage, or state, actuarial judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors to use in the reserve estimate that will most accurately reflect the expected impacts on severity development.
Causes of reserve estimate uncertainty At each reporting date, the highest degree of uncertainty in estimates for most of our losses from ongoing businesses arises from claims remaining to be settled for the current accident year and the most recent preceding accident year. The greatest degree of uncertainty exists in the current accident year because the current accident year contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled as well as heightened uncertainty for claims that involve litigation or take longer to settle during periods of rapidly increasing loss costs but must be estimated as of the current reporting date. Most of these losses relate to damaged property such as automobiles and homes, and payments related to injuries from accidents. During the first year after the end of an accident year, a large portion of the total losses for that accident year are settled. When accident year losses paid through the end of the first year following the initial accident year are incorporated into updated actuarial estimates, the trends inherent in the settlement of claims emerge more clearly. After the second year, the losses that we pay for an accident year typically relate to claims that are more difficult to settle, such as those involving serious injuries or litigation. Private passenger auto insurance provides a good illustration of the uncertainty of future loss estimates: our typical annual percentage payout of reserves remaining at December 31 for an accident year is approximately 50% in the first year after the end
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of the accident year, 20% in the second year, 10% in the third year, 10% in the fourth year, and the remaining 10% thereafter.
Potential variability in reserve estimates Reserve estimates, by their nature, are very complex to determine, subject to significant judgment, may be subject to litigation and represent estimates rather than an exact determination for each outstanding claim, including claims incurred but not reported. Accordingly, as actual claims, paid losses, and case reserve results emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle will differ from previous estimates.
The reserve liability recorded in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position represents the aggregation of numerous analyses by each business segment, line of insurance, major types of losses (such as coverages and perils), and individual states or groups of states for reported losses and IBNR. Because of this detailed approach to our reserve analysis, there is not a single set of assumptions that determines our reserve estimates at the consolidated level or that management believes can produce a statistically credible or reliable actuarial reserve range that would be meaningful.
To develop a statistical measure of potential reserve variability, an actuarial technique (stochastic modeling) is applied to the countrywide data for paid losses combined with case reserves for each of auto liability, auto physical damage and homeowners insurance excluding catastrophes. Based on the combined historical variability of the development factors calculated for these data elements, an estimate of standard deviation around these reserve estimates is calculated within each accident year for the last twelve years for each type of loss. The variability of these reserve estimates within one standard deviation of the mean (a measure of frequency of dispersion often viewed to be an acceptable level of accuracy) is believed by management to represent a reasonable and statistically probable measure of potential variability.
Based on our products and coverages, historical experience, the statistical credibility of our extensive data and stochastic modeling of actuarial methodologies used to develop reserve estimates, we have derived standard deviations and the resulting pre-tax income for Allstate Protection reserves, excluding catastrophe losses, as shown below.
| Reserve estimate variability | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | ||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Carried reserves (1) | Standard deviation | Income effect, pre-tax | |||||||
| Auto insurance - liability coverage | $ | 27,820 | 7.0 | % | $ | 1,947 | ||||
| Auto insurance - physical damage coverage | 564 | 19.0 | 107 | |||||||
| Homeowners insurance | 3,226 | 8.5 | 274 |
(1) Excludes reserves related to catastrophes.
Although this evaluation reflects most reasonably likely outcomes, it is possible the final outcome may fall below or above these amounts. Historical variability of reserve estimates is reported in the Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense section of the MD&A.
Management believes that the reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense, net of recoverables, is appropriately established in the aggregate and adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of reported and unreported claims arising from losses which had occurred by the date of the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position based on available facts, laws and regulations.
Reserves for catastrophe losses Catastrophe losses are an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance industry that have contributed, and will continue to contribute, to potentially material year-to-year fluctuations in our results of operations and financial position. We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first-party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes.
We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, civil unrest, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
The estimation of claims and claims expense reserves for catastrophe losses also comprises estimates of losses from reported claims and IBNR, primarily for damage to property. In general, our estimates for catastrophe reserves are based on claim adjuster inspections and the application of historical loss development factors as described above. However, depending on the nature of the catastrophe, the estimation process can be further complicated.
For example, for hurricanes, complications could include the inability of insureds to promptly report losses, limitations placed on claims adjusting staff affecting their ability to inspect losses, determining whether losses are covered by our homeowners policy (generally for damage caused by wind or wind-driven rain) or specifically excluded coverage caused by flood, exposure to mold damage, and the effects of numerous other considerations. Additionally, the timing of a catastrophe in relation to other events, such as at or near the end of a financial reporting period, can affect the availability of information needed to estimate reserves for that reporting period. In these situations, we may need to adapt our practices to accommodate these circumstances in order to determine a best estimate of our losses from a catastrophe.
For example, to complete estimates for certain
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areas affected by catastrophes not yet inspected by our claims adjusting staff, or where we believed our historical loss development factors were not predictive, we rely on:
•Analysis of actual claim notices received compared to total PIF.
•Visual, governmental and third-party information, including aerial photos, using satellites, aircrafts and drones, area observations, and data on wind speed and flood depth to the extent available.
Reserves for Michigan and New Jersey unlimited PIP Claims and claims expense reserves include reserves for Michigan unlimited PIP coverage to insureds involved in qualifying motor vehicle accidents. The administration of this program is through the MCCA, a state-mandated, non-profit association of which all insurers actively writing automobile coverage in Michigan are members.
The process employed to estimate MCCA covered losses involves a number of activities including the comprehensive review and interpretation of MCCA actuarial reports, other MCCA members’ reports and our PIP loss trends which have increased in severity over time. A significant portion of incurred claim reserves can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims, and thus a large portion of the recoverable is similarly concentrated. We conduct comprehensive claim file reviews to develop case reserve type estimates of specific claims, which inform our view of future claim development and longevity of claimants. Each year, we update the actuarial estimate of our ultimate reserves and recoverables. We report our paid and unpaid claims based on MCCA requirements. The MCCA develops its own reserving estimates based on its own reserve methodologies, which may not align with our estimations. The MCCA does not provide member companies with its estimate of a company’s claim costs.
We provide similar PIP coverage in New Jersey for auto policies issued or renewed in New Jersey prior to 1991 that is administered by PLIGA. We use similar actuarial estimating techniques as for the MCCA exposures to estimate loss reserves for unlimited PIP coverage for policies covered by PLIGA. Unlimited coverage was not offered after 1991; therefore, no new claimants are being added.
For additional information related to indemnification recoverables, see Item 1 - Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates
Characteristics of Run-off exposure Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims arise principally from assumed reinsurance coverage written from the 1960s through the mid-1980s, including reinsurance on primary insurance written on large U.S. companies, and from direct excess commercial insurance written from 1972 through 1985, including substantial excess general liability coverages on large U.S. companies. Additional exposure stems
from direct primary commercial insurance written from the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Asbestos claims relate primarily to bodily injuries asserted by claimants who were exposed to asbestos or products containing asbestos. Environmental claims relate primarily to pollution and related clean-up costs. Other run-off claims exposures primarily relate to general liability and product liability mass tort claims, such as those for medical devices and other products, workers’ compensation claims and claims for various other coverage exposures other than asbestos and environmental.
In 1986, the general liability policy form used by us and others in the property and casualty industry was amended to introduce an “absolute pollution exclusion,” which excluded coverage for environmental damage claims, and to add an asbestos exclusion. Most general liability policies issued prior to 1987 contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage. General liability policies issued in 1987 and thereafter contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage and annual aggregate limits for all coverages. Our experience to date is that these policy form changes have limited the extent of our exposure to environmental and asbestos claim risks.
Our exposure to liability for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims losses manifests differently depending on whether it arises from assumed reinsurance coverage, direct excess commercial insurance or direct primary commercial insurance. Direct excess commercial insurance and reinsurance involve coverage written by us for specific layers of protection above retentions and other insurance plans and largely has resulted in asbestos, environmental and mass tort claims. The nature of excess coverage and reinsurance provided to other insurers limits our exposure to loss to specific layers of protection in excess of policyholder retention on their primary insurance plans. Our exposure is further limited by the significant reinsurance that we had purchased on our direct excess business.
Our assumed reinsurance business involved writing generally small participations in other insurers’ reinsurance programs. The reinsured losses in which we participate may be a proportion of all eligible losses or eligible losses in excess of defined retentions. Of the majority of our assumed reinsurance exposure, approximately 85% is for excess of loss coverage, while the remaining 15% is for pro-rata coverage.
Our direct primary commercial insurance business comprises a cross section of policyholders engaged in many diverse business sectors throughout the country and did not include coverage to large asbestos companies.
How reserve estimates are established and updated We conduct an annual review in the third quarter to evaluate, establish and adjust as necessary, asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims reserves. Changes to reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic
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environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines asbestos reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, and determines environmental reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g., environmental damages, respective shares of liability of potentially responsible parties, appropriateness and cost of remediation) to pollution and related clean-up costs. The number and cost of these claims are affected by advertising by trial lawyers seeking asbestos plaintiffs, and entities with asbestos exposure seeking bankruptcy protection as a result of asbestos liabilities, initially causing a delay in the reporting of claims, often followed by an acceleration and an increase in claims and claims expenses as settlements occur.
After evaluating our insureds’ probable liabilities for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims, we evaluate our insureds’ coverage programs for such claims. We consider our insureds’ total available insurance coverage, including the coverage we issued. We also consider relevant judicial interpretations of policy language and applicable coverage defenses or determinations, if any.
Evaluation of both the insureds’ estimated liabilities and our exposure to the insureds depends heavily on an analysis of the relevant legal issues and litigation environment. This analysis is conducted by our specialized claims adjusting staff and legal counsel. Based on these evaluations, case reserves are established by claims adjusting staff and actuarial analysis is employed to develop an IBNR reserve, which includes estimated potential reserve development and claims that have occurred but have not been reported. As of December 31, 2025 and 2024, IBNR was 58.2% and 54.0%, respectively, of combined net asbestos and environmental reserves.
For both asbestos and environmental reserves, we also evaluate our historical direct net loss and expense paid and incurred experience to assess any emerging trends, fluctuations or characteristics suggested by the aggregate paid and incurred activity. Other run-off claims reserves are based on considerations similar to those described above, as they relate to the characteristics of specific individual coverage exposures.
Potential reserve estimate variability Establishing net loss reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims is subject to uncertainties that are much greater than those presented by other types of property and casualty claims. Among the complications are lack of historical data, long reporting delays, uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds with potential exposure and unresolved legal issues regarding policy coverage; unresolved legal issues regarding the determination, availability and timing of exhaustion of policy limits; plaintiffs’ evolving and expanding theories of liability; availability and collectability of recoveries from reinsurance; retrospectively determined premiums and other contractual agreements; estimates of the extent and
timing of any contractual liability; the impact of bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos producers and other asbestos defendants; and other uncertainties.
There are also complex legal issues concerning the interpretation of various insurance policy provisions and whether those losses are covered, or were ever intended to be covered, and could be recoverable through retrospectively determined premium, reinsurance or other contractual agreements. Courts have reached different and sometimes inconsistent conclusions as to when losses are deemed to have occurred and which policies provide coverage; what types of losses are covered; whether there is an insurer obligation to defend; how policy limits are determined; how policy exclusions and conditions are applied and interpreted; and whether clean-up costs represent insured property damage.
Our reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off exposures could be affected by tort reform, class action litigation, and other potential legislation and judicial decisions. Environmental exposures could also be affected by a change in the existing federal Superfund law and similar state statutes. There can be no assurance that any reform legislation will be enacted or that any such legislation will provide for a fair, effective and cost-efficient system for settlement of asbestos or environmental claims. We believe these issues are not likely to be resolved in the near future, and the ultimate costs may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded resulting in material changes in loss reserves. Due to the uncertainties and factors described above, management believes it is not practicable to develop a meaningful net loss reserve range. Historical variability of reserve estimates is reported in the Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables
Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables include an estimate of the amount of insurance claims and claims expense reserves that are ceded under the terms of the agreements, including IBNR unpaid losses. We calculate our ceded reinsurance and indemnification estimates based on the terms of each applicable agreement, including an estimate of how IBNR losses will ultimately be ceded under the agreement. We also consider other limitations and coverage exclusions under our agreements. Accordingly, our estimate of recoverables is subject to similar risks and uncertainties as our estimate of reserves for claims and claims expense. We believe the recoverables are appropriately established; however, as our underlying reserves continue to develop, the amount ultimately recoverable may vary from amounts currently recorded. We regularly evaluate the reinsurers and the respective amounts of our reinsurance recoverables, and a provision for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables is recorded, if needed. The establishment of reinsurance recoverables and the related allowance for uncollectible reinsurance is also an inherently uncertain process involving estimates. Changes in estimates
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could result in additional changes to the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Adequacy of reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimates
We believe our net reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, laws and regulations and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. Additionally, we rely on historical claims experience to inform the level of the recorded reserve. We derive and record a single best reserve estimate, in conformance with generally accepted actuarial standards and practices, for each line of insurance, its components (coverages and perils) and state, for reported losses and for IBNR losses, and as a result we believe that no other estimate is better than our recorded amount. Due to the uncertainties involved, the ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates.
For further discussion of these estimates and quantification of the impact of reserve estimates, reserve reestimates and assumptions, see Note 10 and Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements and the Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense section of the MD&A.
Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions
Our pension and other postretirement benefit costs are calculated using various actuarial assumptions and methodologies. These assumptions include discount rates, health care cost trend rates, inflation, expected returns on plan assets, mortality and other factors. The assumptions utilized in recording the obligations under our defined benefit plans represent our best estimates, and we believe they are reasonable based on information as to historical experience and performance as well as other factors that might cause future expectations to differ from past trends. Approximately 89% of our benefit obligation relates to our U.S. qualified defined benefit pension plan.
Net costs for our defined benefit plans are recognized on the Consolidated Statements of
Operations and consist of two elements: 1) costs comprised of service and interest costs, expected return of plan assets, amortization of prior service credit and curtailment gains and losses which are reported in property and casualty claims and claims expense, operating costs and expenses, net investment income and, if applicable, restructuring and related charges and 2) remeasurement gains and losses comprised of changes in actuarial assumptions and the difference between actual and expected returns on plan assets which are recognized immediately in earnings as part of pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses.
We recognize expected returns on plan assets using an unadjusted fair value method. Our policy is to remeasure our pension and postretirement plans on a quarterly basis. We immediately recognize the remeasurement of the benefit obligation and plan assets in earnings as it provides greater transparency of our economic obligations in accounting results and better aligns the recognition of the effects of economic and interest rate changes on pension and other postretirement plan assets and liabilities in the year in which the gains and losses are incurred.
Differences in actual experience and changes in other assumptions affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and expenses. Differences between expected and actual returns on plan assets affect remeasurement gains and losses. The primary factors contributing to pension and postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are: 1) changes in the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement obligations as of the measurement date; 2) differences between the expected and the actual return on plan assets; 3) changes in demographic assumptions, including mortality and participant experience; and 4) changes in lump sum interest rates and cash balance interest crediting rates used to value pension obligations as of the measurement date.
Pension and other postretirement service cost, interest cost, expected return on plan assets and amortization of prior service credits are allocated to the Allstate Protection and Protection Services segments. The pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are reported in the Corporate segment.
| Pension and postretirement benefits remeasurement gains and losses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of benefit obligation (gains) losses: | |||||||||||
| Discount rate | $ | 62 | $ | (133) | $ | 104 | |||||
| Other assumptions | 34 | 4 | 17 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of plan assets (gains) losses | (131) | 92 | (112) | ||||||||
| Remeasurement (gains) losses | $ | (35) | $ | (37) | $ | 9 |
Impact of assumption changes to net cost for pension and other postretirement plans Remeasurement gains in 2025 primarily related to favorable asset performance compared to expected
return on plan assets, partially offset by a decrease in the liability discount rate and changes in actuarial assumptions. Remeasurement gains in 2024 primarily related to an increase in the liability discount rate and
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changes in other assumptions, partially offset by unfavorable asset performance compared to expected return on plan assets.
The discount rate is based on rates at which expected pension benefits attributable to past employee service could effectively be settled on a present value basis at the measurement date. We develop the assumed discount rate by utilizing the weighted average yield of a theoretical dedicated portfolio derived from non-callable bonds and callable bonds with a make-whole provision available or callable within 12 months of maturity in the Bloomberg corporate bond universe having ratings of “AA” by S&P or “Aa” by Moody’s on the measurement date with cash flows that match expected plan benefit requirements. Significant changes in discount rates, such as those caused by changes in the credit spreads, yield curve, the mix of bonds available in the market, the duration of selected bonds and expected benefit payments, may result in volatility in pension cost. The weighted average discount rate used to measure the benefit obligation decreased to 5.52% on December 31, 2025 compared to 5.71% on December 31, 2024, resulting in remeasurement losses for 2025.
The expected long-term rate of return on plan assets reflects the average rate of earnings expected on plan assets. While this rate reflects long-term assumptions and is consistent with long-term historical returns, sustained changes in the market or changes in the mix of plan assets may lead to revisions in the assumed long-term rate of return on plan assets that may result in variability of pension cost. Differences between the actual return on plan assets and the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets are immediately
recognized through earnings at each quarterly remeasurement date. Short-term asset performance can differ significantly from the expected rate of return, especially in volatile markets. In 2025, the actual return on plan assets was higher than the expected return primarily due to higher public equity valuations and higher fixed income valuations, partially offset by lower performance-based equity valuations. In 2024, the actual return on plan assets was lower than the expected return primarily due to lower fixed income valuations driven by higher rates, partially offset by higher equity valuations.
We complete periodic evaluations of demographic information and historical experience that affects our pension and other postretirement obligations to identify any required changes to long-term actuarial assumptions and methodologies. Demographic assumptions affect both our pension and postretirement plans and include elements such as retirement rates and participation rates in our postretirement programs, among other factors.
These actuarial assumption updates affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and are incorporated into our best estimates of these assumptions. Remeasurement losses for other assumptions in 2025 primarily related to plan experience and a decrease in the long-term lump sum interest rate, partially offset by gains from an experience study completed on final average pay retirement rates. Remeasurement losses for other assumptions in 2024 primarily related to an increase in the cash balance interest crediting rate, partially offset by gains from an experience study.
| Impact of assumption changes to net periodic pension cost as of December 31, 2025 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | Basis/percentage point change | Increase (decrease) to net cost, pre-tax | |||
| Pension plans discount rate | +100 basis points | $ | (395) | ||
| -100 basis points | 469 | ||||
| Expected long-term rate of return on assets | +100 basis points | (42) | |||
| -100 basis points | 42 |
See Note 17 of the consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our pension and other postretirement benefit plans and their effect on the consolidated financial statements.
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Regulation and Legal Proceedings
We are subject to extensive regulation and we are involved in various legal and regulatory actions, all of which have an effect on specific aspects of our business. For a detailed discussion of the legal and regulatory actions in which we are involved, see Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements.
Pending Accounting Standards
There are pending accounting standards that we have not implemented because the implementation dates have not yet occurred. For a discussion of these pending standards, see Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements.
MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000899051-25-000015.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Page | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Highlights | 35 | |
| Property-Liability Operations | 39 | |
| Allstate Protection | 41 | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 48 | |
| Protection Services | 51 | |
| Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense | 53 | |
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 60 | |
| Investments | 62 | |
| Market Risk | 71 | |
| Capital Resources and Liquidity | 73 | |
| Enterprise Risk and Return Management | 78 | |
| Application of Critical Accounting Estimates | 81 | |
| Regulation and Legal Proceedings | 91 | |
| Pending Accounting Standards | 91 |
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2024 Form 10-K
2024 Highlights
Overview
The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate Corporation (referred to in this document as “we,” “our,” “us,” the “Company” or “Allstate”). It should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and related notes found under Item 8. contained herein.
A discussion of strategy, including updates to the multi-year Transformative Growth initiative, can be found in Part 1, Item 1. Business.
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2024 and 2023 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2024 and 2023. Discussions of 2022 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) in Part II, Item 7 of our annual report on Form 10-K for 2023, filed February 21, 2024.
The most important factors we monitor to evaluate the financial condition and performance for the Company include:
•Allstate Protection: premium, policies in force (“PIF”), new business sales, price changes, claim frequency and severity, catastrophes, loss ratio, expenses, underwriting results and combined ratio
•Protection Services: revenues, premium written, PIF and adjusted net income
•Allstate Health and Benefits: premiums, other revenue, new business sales, PIF, benefit ratio, expenses and adjusted net income
•Investments: exposure to market risk, asset allocation, credit quality, total return, net investment income, cash flows, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, unrealized capital gains and losses, long-term returns and fixed income portfolio duration
•Financial condition: liquidity, parent holding company deployable assets, financial strength ratings, operating leverage, debt levels, book value per share and return on equity
Measuring segment profit or loss
The measure of segment profit or loss used in evaluating performance is underwriting income for the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments and adjusted net income for the Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits, and Corporate and Other segments.
Underwriting income (loss) is calculated as premiums earned and other revenue, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”), operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, and restructuring and related charges, as determined using accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”). We
use this measure in our evaluation of results of operations to analyze profitability.
Adjusted net income (loss) is net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders, excluding:
| • | Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives |
|---|---|
| • | Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses |
| • | Amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles |
| • | Gain or loss on disposition |
| • | Adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years |
| • | Income tax expense or benefit on reconciling items |
Macroeconomic impacts
Macroeconomic factors have and may continue to impact the results of our operations, financial condition and liquidity, such as U.S. government fiscal and monetary policies, conflict in the Middle East, the Russia/Ukraine conflict, supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and potential trade policy actions, such as tariffs and quotas. These factors should be considered when comparing the current period to prior periods. Macroeconomic impacts are disclosed in Part 1 “Item 1A. Risk Factors’’, including the risk factors titled “A large-scale pandemic, the occurrence of terrorism, military actions, political and social unrest or other disruptive or destabilizing events may have an adverse effect on our business” and “Conditions in the global economy and capital markets could adversely affect the business and results of operations”. This is not inclusive of all potential impacts and should not be treated as such. Within the MD&A, we have included further disclosures related to macroeconomic impacts on our 2024 results.
Dispositions
On August 13, 2024, we entered into a share purchase agreement with StanCorp Financial Group, Inc. to sell American Heritage Life Insurance Company and American Heritage Service Company, comprising our employer voluntary benefits business for approximately $2.0 billion in cash. The employer voluntary benefits business is reported in the Allstate Health and Benefits segment, and beginning in the third quarter of 2024, the assets and liabilities of the business were classified as held for sale. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2025, subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions.
On January 30, 2025, Allstate entered into an agreement with Nationwide Life Insurance Company to sell Direct General Life Insurance Company, NSM Sales Corporation and The Association Benefits Solution, LLC, comprising the group health business for approximately $1.25 billion in cash, adjusted for the closing balance sheet. The group health business is reported in the Allstate Health and Benefits segment, and beginning in the first quarter of 2025, the assets
The Allstate Corporation 35
2024 Form 10-K
and liabilities of the business will be classified as held for sale. The transaction is expected to close during 2025, subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions. The individual health business will either be retained or divested.
The transaction prices less costs to sell exceeds the carrying value of the net assets of both transactions, resulting in an expected gain that will be recognized at closing of each transaction. The ultimate amount of the anticipated gain on the sales will be impacted by purchase price adjustments associated with certain pre-close transactions, changes in the carrying value of net assets, changes in accumulated other comprehensive income and the related tax effects.
See Note 4 of the consolidated financial statements for further information on the employer voluntary benefits disposition.
2024 Operating priorities and results
Allstate continued to focus on its operating priorities while successfully executing a comprehensive plan to improve auto insurance profitability and making substantial progress in advancing Transformative Growth. The table below summarizes the results of our 2024 Operating Priorities.
| 2024 Operating priorities (1) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grow Customer Base | Achieve 2024 Plan Growth Objectives | Consolidated policies in force reached 208 million, a 7.2% increase from prior year. Allstate Protection policies in force decreased by 0.6% compared to the prior year, as continued growth in the homeowners insurance business was more than offset by declines in the auto insurance business. | ||
| Protection Services policies in force and revenue increased 9.3% and 16.7%, respectively, primarily due to growth at Allstate Protection Plans through expanding distribution relationships and protection offerings. | ||||
| Achieve Target Economic Returns on Capital | Achieve 2024 Plan Returns | Return on average Allstate common shareholders’ equity was 25.8% in 2024. | ||
| Total return on the $72.61 billion investment portfolio was 3.8% in 2024. Proactive portfolio management repositioned the fixed income portfolio into longer duration and higher-yielding assets to increase income. | ||||
| The Property-Liability combined ratio of 94.3 for the full year decreased compared to the prior year primarily reflecting successful execution of the Company’s comprehensive auto insurance profitability plan and lower catastrophe losses. | ||||
| Execute Transformative Growth | Improve Customer Value | Enterprise Net Promoter Score, which measures how likely customers are to recommend Allstate, finished below the prior year, reflecting the impact of substantial price increases necessary to offset higher loss costs. | ||
| Improved over 25 million customer interactions. | ||||
| Expand Customer Access | Increased auto insurance new issued applications in all channels. | |||
| National General continues to build a strong competitive position in independent agent distribution with successful expansion on non-standard auto sales and roll-out of our auto and home Custom360 product now available in 30 states. | ||||
| Increase Sophistication and Investment in Customer Acquisition | Increased advertising and reduced underwriting restrictions as higher average premium outpaced increased loss costs per policy. | |||
| Deploy New Technology Ecosystems | Continued roll-out of Affordable, Simple and Connected auto insurance offering now available in 31 states for auto, 28 states for renters and Affordable, Simple and Connected homeowners insurance offering now available in 4 states. | |||
| Continued to build a digital enterprise by expanding utilization of machine-based learning and artificial intelligence. | ||||
| Drive Organizational Transformation | Streamlined the organization by reducing bureaucracy, risk aversion and organizational silos. |
(1)2025 operating priorities will remain mostly consistent with the 2024 priorities.
36 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K
| Consolidated net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Consolidated net income applicable to common shareholders was $4.55 billion in 2024 compared to net loss of $316 million in 2023, primarily due to improved underwriting results from increased earned premium and improved loss trends.For the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, return on average Allstate common shareholders’ equity was 25.8% compared to (2.0)% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2023.
| Total revenue |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Total revenue increased 12.3% to $64.11 billion in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to premium rate increases and higher net investment income.
| Net investment income |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Net investment income increased $614 million to $3.09 billion in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to higher market-based investment results. Market-based results continue to benefit from portfolio repositioning into higher yielding fixed income securities and higher investment balances.
Financial highlights
Investments totaled $72.61 billion as of December 31, 2024, increasing from $66.68 billion as of December 31, 2023.
Allstate shareholders’ equity was $21.44 billion as of December 31, 2024 and $17.77 billion as of December 31, 2023. The increase is primarily due to net income, partially offset by dividends to shareholders.
Book value per diluted common share (ratio of Allstate common shareholders’ equity to total common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares outstanding) was $72.35 as of December 31, 2024, an increase of 21.8% from $59.39 as of December 31, 2023.
Return on average Allstate common shareholders’ equity For the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, return on Allstate common shareholders’ equity was 25.8%, an increase of 27.8 points from (2.0)% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to net income applicable to common shareholders.
The Allstate Corporation 37
2024 Form 10-K
Summarized financial results
| Years Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Property and casualty insurance premiums | $ | 56,388 | $ | 50,670 | $ | 45,904 | |||||
| Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges | 1,921 | 1,846 | 1,832 | ||||||||
| Other revenue | 2,930 | 2,400 | 2,344 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 3,092 | 2,478 | 2,403 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives | (225) | (300) | (1,072) | ||||||||
| Total revenues | 64,106 | 57,094 | 51,411 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | (39,735) | (41,070) | (37,264) | ||||||||
| Accident, health and other policy benefits | (1,241) | (1,071) | (1,042) | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | (8,039) | (7,278) | (6,634) | ||||||||
| Operating, restructuring and interest expenses | (9,087) | (7,685) | (7,832) | ||||||||
| Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains (losses) | 37 | (9) | (116) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (280) | (329) | (353) | ||||||||
| Total costs and expenses | (58,345) | (57,442) | (53,241) | ||||||||
| Income (loss) from operations before income tax expense | 5,761 | (348) | (1,830) | ||||||||
| Income tax (expense) benefit | (1,162) | 135 | 488 | ||||||||
| Net income (loss) | 4,599 | (213) | (1,342) | ||||||||
| Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | (68) | (25) | (53) | ||||||||
| Net income (loss) attributable to Allstate | 4,667 | (188) | (1,289) | ||||||||
| Preferred stock dividends | (117) | (128) | (105) | ||||||||
| Net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders | $ | 4,550 | $ | (316) | $ | (1,394) |
Segment highlights
Allstate Protection underwriting income was $3.15 billion in 2024 compared to an underwriting loss of $2.09 billion in 2023, primarily due to increased premiums earned, favorable reserve reestimates and lower losses, partially offset by higher advertising costs.
Premiums written increased 11.1% to $55.93 billion in 2024 compared to $50.35 billion in 2023, reflecting higher premiums in auto and homeowners insurance.
Protection Services adjusted net income was $217 million in 2024 compared to $106 million in 2023. The increase in 2024 was due to premium growth at Allstate Protection Plans, improved claim severity at Allstate Roadside, higher lead sales revenue at Arity and both growth and lower costs at Allstate Identity Protection. Prior year adjusted net income was also negatively impacted by an increase in state income taxes for Allstate Dealer Services.
Premiums and other revenues increased 15.7% or $401 million to $2.96 billion in 2024 from $2.56 billion in 2023 primarily due to Allstate Protection Plans.
Allstate Health and Benefits adjusted net income was $186 million in 2024 compared to $242 million in 2023. The decrease was primarily due to increased benefit utilization across all lines of business.
Premiums and contract charges totaled $1.92 billion in 2024, an increase of 4.1% from $1.85 billion in 2023, primarily due to growth in individual health and group health, partially offset by a decline in employer voluntary benefits.
Income taxes
The effective tax rate is the ratio of income tax expense (benefit) divided by income (loss) from operations before income tax expense. For the year ended December 31, 2024, we reported an effective tax rate of 20.2% based on total income tax expense of $1.16 billion on total income from operations before income tax expense of $5.76 billion. The effective rate in 2024 is lower than the federal statutory rate of 21%, primarily due to tax benefits derived from tax credits, tax-exempt interest income, and share-based payments, offset by state income tax expense.
For the year ended December 31, 2023, we reported an effective tax rate of 38.8% based on a total income tax benefit of $135 million on the loss from operations before income tax benefit of $348 million. The effective tax rate in 2023 was higher than the federal statutory rate of 21% due to the additional tax benefit derived from tax credits, tax-exempt interest income and shared-based payments, offset by a change in valuation allowance and uncertain tax positions.
For additional information, see Note 17 of the consolidated financial statements.
38 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Property-Liability
Property-Liability Operations
Overview Property-Liability operations consist of two reportable segments: Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability. These segments are consistent with the groupings of financial information that management uses to evaluate performance and to determine the allocation of resources.
We do not allocate Property-Liability investment income, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, or assets to the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments. Management reviews assets at the Property-Liability level for decision-making purposes.
GAAP operating ratios are used to measure our profitability to enhance an investor’s understanding of our financial results and are calculated as follows:
•Loss ratio: the ratio of claims and claims expense (loss adjustment expenses), to premiums earned. Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.
•Expense ratio: the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles and restructuring and related charges, less other revenue to premiums earned.
•Combined ratio: the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
We have also calculated the following impacts of specific items on the GAAP operating ratios because of the volatility of these items between periods. The impacts are calculated by taking the specific items noted below divided by Property-Liability premiums earned:
•Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio: includes catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expense
•Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio
•Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio
•Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio
•Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio: includes claims and claims expense, restructuring and related charges and operating costs and expenses in the Run-off Property-Liability segment
Premium measures and statistics are used to analyze our premium trends and are calculated as follows:
•PIF: policy counts are based on items rather than customers. A multi-car customer would generate multiple item (policy) counts, even if all cars were insured under one policy. Lender-placed policies are excluded from policy counts because relationships are with the lenders.
•New issued applications: item counts of automobile or homeowner insurance applications for insurance policies that were issued during the period, regardless of whether the customer was previously insured by another Allstate brand.
•Average premium-gross written (“average premium”): gross premiums written divided by issued item count. Gross premiums written include the impacts from discounts, surcharges and ceded reinsurance premiums and exclude the impacts from mid-term premium adjustments and premium refund accruals. Average premiums represent the appropriate policy term for each line.
•Implemented rate changes: represents the impact in the locations (U.S. states, the District of Columbia or Canadian provinces) where rate changes were implemented during the period as a percentage of total prior year-end premiums written.
The Allstate Corporation 39
2024 Form 10-K Property-Liability
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 55,926 | $ | 50,347 | $ | 45,787 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 | |||||
| Other revenue | 1,895 | 1,545 | 1,416 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (39,118) | (40,453) | (36,732) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (6,676) | (6,070) | (5,570) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (6,630) | (5,255) | (5,650) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges (1) | (51) | (143) | (44) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (206) | (235) | (240) | ||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 3,080 | $ | (2,184) | $ | (2,911) | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | |||||||||||
| Catastrophe losses, excluding reserve reestimates | $ | 5,334 | $ | 5,660 | $ | 3,094 | |||||
| Catastrophe reserve reestimates (2) | (370) | (24) | 18 | ||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | $ | 4,964 | $ | 5,636 | $ | 3,112 | |||||
| Non-catastrophe reserve reestimates (2) | $ | 62 | $ | 574 | $ | 1,726 | |||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates (2) | (308) | 550 | 1,744 | ||||||||
| GAAP operating ratios | |||||||||||
| Loss ratio | 72.6 | 83.5 | 83.6 | ||||||||
| Expense ratio (3) | 21.7 | 21.0 | 23.0 | ||||||||
| Combined ratio | 94.3 | 104.5 | 106.6 | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio | 9.2 | 11.6 | 7.1 | ||||||||
| Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | (0.5) | 1.2 | 3.9 | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | (0.7) | — | — | ||||||||
| Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio (1) | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | ||||||||
| Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | ||||||||
| Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
(1)Restructuring and related charges in 2024 primarily relate to the organizational transformation component of the Transformative Growth plan. See Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details.
(2)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(3)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
40 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Allstate Protection Segment
Private passenger auto, homeowners, and other personal lines insurance products are offered to consumers through exclusive agents, independent agents and directly to the consumer through contact centers and online. Our strategy is to offer products that allow customers to interact with us when, where and how they want affordable, simple and connected protection products. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 55,926 | $ | 50,347 | $ | 45,787 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 | |||||
| Other revenue | 1,895 | 1,545 | 1,416 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (39,050) | (40,364) | (36,607) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (6,676) | (6,070) | (5,570) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (6,625) | (5,251) | (5,646) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (51) | (142) | (44) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (206) | (235) | (240) | ||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 3,153 | $ | (2,090) | $ | (2,782) | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | $ | 4,964 | $ | 5,636 | $ | 3,112 |
Underwriting income was $3.15 billion in 2024 compared to underwriting loss of $2.09 billion in 2023, primarily due to increased premiums earned, favorable reserve reestimates and lower losses, partially offset by higher advertising costs.
| Change in underwriting results from 2023 to 2024 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
| Change in underwriting results from 2022 to 2023 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
The Allstate Corporation 41
2024 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Underwriting income (loss) by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 1,810 | $ | (1,109) | $ | (3,014) | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 1,319 | (803) | 671 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines (1) | 67 | (39) | (88) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | (240) | (265) | (464) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines (2) | 185 | 115 | 105 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Answer Financial | 12 | 11 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 3,153 | $ | (2,090) | $ | (2,782) |
(1)Include renters, condominium, landlord and other personal lines products.
(2)Other business lines represents commissions earned and other costs and expenses for Ivantage, non-proprietary life and annuity products, and lender-placed products.
Premium measures and statistics include PIF, new issued applications and average premiums to analyze our premium trends. Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums are considered earned and are included in the financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired term of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.
| Premiums written by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 37,296 | $ | 33,958 | $ | 30,666 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 14,416 | 12,584 | 11,209 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 3,068 | 2,519 | 2,249 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 495 | 720 | 1,124 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 651 | 566 | 539 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 55,926 | $ | 50,347 | $ | 45,787 |
| Premiums earned by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 36,475 | $ | 32,940 | $ | 29,715 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 13,360 | 11,739 | 10,418 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 2,823 | 2,387 | 2,159 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 609 | 811 | 1,123 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 599 | 550 | 494 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 |
| Reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 55,926 | $ | 50,347 | $ | 45,787 | |||||
| Increase in unearned premiums | (1,966) | (2,004) | (1,776) | ||||||||
| Other | (94) | 84 | (102) | ||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 |
| Unearned premium balance by line of business | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | As of December 31, | ||||||
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||||
| Auto | $ | 10,931 | $ | 10,116 | |||
| Homeowners | 8,060 | 6,986 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 1,473 | 1,333 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 248 | 349 | |||||
| Other business lines | 355 | 317 | |||||
| Total | $ | 21,067 | $ | 19,101 |
42 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Policies in force by line of business | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIF (thousands) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 24,936 | 25,283 | 26,034 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 7,511 | 7,338 | 7,260 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 4,870 | 4,863 | 4,936 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 213 | 284 | 311 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | 37,530 | 37,768 | 38,541 |
Auto insurance premiums written increased 9.8% or $3.34 billion in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to the following factors:
•Increased average premiums driven by rate increases. In 2024, rate increases of 10.4% were implemented in 55 locations, resulting in total insurance premium impact of 7.5%
•In 2024, we have removed underwriting restrictions in areas that represent the majority of Allstate brand countrywide premiums, which is expected to increase premiums written and PIF. In locations not achieving acceptable returns, we expect to
continue to pursue targeted rate increases. In states where we are not achieving acceptable returns, we plan to implement rates that keep pace with increasing costs. See Note 9 for additional details on actions taken related to Adirondack Insurance Exchange and New Jersey Skylands Insurance Association
•PIF decreased 1.4% or 347 thousand to 24,936 thousand as of December 31, 2024 compared to December 31, 2023
•Increased new issued applications in all channels
| Auto premium measures and statistics | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2024 vs. 2023 | ||||||||||||
| New issued applications (thousands) | |||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by channel | |||||||||||||||
| Exclusive agency | 2,579 | 2,294 | 2,401 | 12.4 | % | ||||||||||
| Independent agency | 2,276 | 1,989 | 1,718 | 14.4 | |||||||||||
| Direct | 2,247 | 1,632 | 2,202 | 37.7 | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 7,102 | 5,915 | 6,321 | 20.1 | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 843 | $ | 757 | $ | 659 | 11.4 | % |
Homeowners insurance premiums written increased 14.6% or $1.83 billion in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to the following factors:
•Higher Allstate brand average premiums from implemented rate increases, combined with policies in force growth
•In 2024 rate increases of 14.5% were implemented in 53 locations, resulting in total insurance premium impact of 11.0%
•Increased new issued applications in the exclusive agency and direct channels
Policy growth is being driven primarily by the Allstate brand and is geographically widespread. We
are not writing new homeowners business in California and Florida and we did not write new homeowners business in New Jersey in 2024. We are also non-renewing certain policies in Florida. We may not be able to grow in certain states without regulatory or legislative reforms that enable customers to be provided coverage at appropriate risk adjusted returns.
National General policy growth may be negatively impacted as we improve underwriting margins to targeted levels through underwriting and rate actions. See Note 9 for additional details on actions taken related to Adirondack Insurance Exchange and New Jersey Skylands Insurance Association.
| Homeowners premium measures and statistics | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2024 vs. 2023 | ||||||||||||
| New issued applications (thousands) | |||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by channel | |||||||||||||||
| Exclusive agency | 946 | 800 | 826 | 18.3 | % | ||||||||||
| Independent agency | 226 | 232 | 202 | (2.6) | |||||||||||
| Direct | 133 | 79 | 94 | 68.4 | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 1,305 | 1,111 | 1,122 | 17.5 | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 2,021 | $ | 1,812 | $ | 1,614 | 11.5 | % |
Other personal lines premiums written increased 21.8% or $549 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to involuntary auto policies purchased from other carriers by National General and Allstate brand landlords policies. We are not writing
condominium new business in California and Florida and we are non-renewing certain policies in Florida.
Commercial lines premiums written decreased 31.3% or $225 million in 2024 compared to 2023, due to the strategic decision for the Allstate brand to stop
The Allstate Corporation 43
2024 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
writing new business and non-renew certain policies. We are committed to offering comprehensive commercial products to customers through our exclusive agency, independent agency and direct channels, with solutions offered by the National General brand, NEXT Insurance and other brokered solutions.
Other business lines premiums written increased 15.0% or $85 million in 2024 compared to 2023 due to growth in the lender-placed business.
GAAP operating ratios include loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio to analyze our profitability trends. Frequency and severity changes are used to describe the trends in loss costs.
| Combined ratios by line of business | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Expense ratio (2) | Combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 72.7 | 82.8 | 87.2 | 22.3 | 20.6 | 22.9 | 95.0 | 103.4 | 110.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 68.1 | 85.4 | 71.1 | 22.0 | 21.4 | 22.5 | 90.1 | 106.8 | 93.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines (1) | 85.9 | 82.0 | 79.7 | 11.7 | 19.6 | 24.4 | 97.6 | 101.6 | 104.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 111.5 | 105.8 | 120.7 | 27.9 | 26.9 | 20.6 | 139.4 | 132.7 | 141.3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 55.8 | 48.4 | 39.5 | 13.3 | (3) | 30.7 | 39.2 | 69.1 | 79.1 | 78.7 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total | 72.4 | 83.3 | 83.3 | 21.7 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 94.1 | 104.3 | 106.3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Impact of restructuring and related charges | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
(1)Expense ratio includes other revenue of $223 million, $57 million, and $19 million in 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively, for fees on involuntary auto policies.
(2)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
(3)Includes anticipated return commissions on lender-placed business due to increased losses.
| Loss ratios by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Effect of catastrophe losses | Effect of prior year reserve reestimates | Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 72.7 | 82.8 | 87.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | (1.0) | 0.7 | 4.0 | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 68.1 | 85.4 | 71.1 | 27.8 | 38.6 | 21.6 | (2.9) | 0.8 | 1.9 | (2.4) | 0.3 | 0.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 85.9 | 82.0 | 79.7 | 12.8 | 14.6 | 12.3 | 7.7 | 0.8 | (1.5) | (0.2) | (0.8) | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 111.5 | 105.8 | 120.7 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 27.3 | 10.4 | 24.2 | (0.8) | 1.0 | (0.1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 55.8 | 48.4 | 39.5 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 9.1 | — | 2.2 | (1.2) | — | — | 0.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 72.4 | 83.3 | 83.3 | 9.2 | 11.6 | 7.1 | (0.7) | 1.0 | 3.6 | (0.7) | — | — |
| Auto underwriting results | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the periods ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 603 | $ | 486 | $ | 370 | $ | 351 | $ | 93 | $ | (178) | $ | (678) | $ | (346) | $ | (974) | $ | (1,315) | $ | (578) | $ | (147) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | 69.3 | 71.9 | 74.2 | 75.4 | 78.5 | 81.4 | 87.9 | 83.4 | 90.6 | 95.3 | 84.9 | 77.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates | (0.4) | (0.6) | (1.9) | (0.7) | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | (0.1) | 2.3 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
Frequency and severity are influenced by:
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages
•Mix of repairable losses and total losses
•Value of total losses due to changes in used car prices
•Changes in medical inflation and consumption
•Number of claims with attorney representation
•Labor and part cost increases
•Changes in commuting activity
•Driving behavior (e.g., speed, time of day) impacting severity and mix of claim types
•Organizational and process changes impacting claim opening and closing practices and shifts in timing, if any, can impact comparisons to prior periods
The quarterly auto loss ratio has been more variable due to these and additional factors discussed below.
44 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Auto loss ratio decreased 10.1 points in 2024 compared to 2023 driven by increased earned premiums and lower non-catastrophe losses compared to the prior year. Estimated report year 2024 incurred claim severity for Allstate increased compared to report year 2023 for major coverages due to higher repair costs, a higher mix of total losses, an increase in claims with attorney representation, higher medical consumption, and inflation. Gross claim frequency decreased relative to the prior year. We continue to enhance our claims practices to manage loss costs by increasing resources and expanding re-inspections, accelerating resolution of bodily injury claims, and negotiating improved vendor services and parts agreements.
Homeowners loss ratio decreased 17.3 points in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to increased premiums earned and lower losses.
Gross claim frequency decreased in 2024 compared to 2023 primarily due to fewer claims reported related to water and fire perils. Paid claim severity increased in 2024 compared to 2023 due to inflationary loss cost pressure driven by increases in labor and materials costs. Homeowner paid claim severity can be impacted by both the mix of perils and the magnitude of specific losses paid during the period.
Other personal lines loss ratio increased 3.9 points in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to higher losses and unfavorable reserve development, partially offset by increased premiums earned.
Commercial lines loss ratio increased 5.7 points in 2024 compared to 2023 primarily due to lower
premiums earned driven by Allstate brand strategy changes and unfavorable reserve development related to the shared economy business, partially offset by lower non-catastrophe losses.
Other business lines loss ratio increased 7.4 points in 2024 compared to 2023 primarily due to higher losses.
Catastrophe losses decreased 11.9% or $672 million in 2024 compared to 2023 primarily due to lower losses per event for wind and hail events, partially offset by higher losses from hurricanes. Favorable prior year reserve reestimates of $370 million in 2024 were primarily due to reserve reestimates in homeowners lines for 2023 events.
We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first-party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes.
We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, civil unrest, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
| Catastrophe losses by the type of event | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Number of events | 2024 | Number of events | 2023 | Number of events | 2022 | ||||||||||||||
| Hurricanes/tropical storms | 5 | $ | 1,180 | 3 | $ | 66 | 2 | $ | 399 | |||||||||||
| Tornadoes | 2 | 85 | 4 | 189 | 4 | 192 | ||||||||||||||
| Wind/hail | 113 | 3,832 | 136 | 5,065 | 106 | 1,936 | ||||||||||||||
| Wildfires | 10 | 71 | 4 | 335 | 9 | 52 | ||||||||||||||
| Freeze/other events | 2 | 166 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 515 | ||||||||||||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates (1) | (370) | (24) | 18 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | 132 | $ | 4,964 | 149 | $ | 5,636 | 124 | $ | 3,112 |
(1)Includes reinsurance recoveries.
Catastrophe management
Historical catastrophe experience For the last ten years, the average annual impact of catastrophes on our loss ratio was 8.6 points, but it has varied from 5.7 points to 11.6 points. The impact of catastrophes on the homeowners loss ratio in 2024 was 27.8 points compared to the average annual impact for the last ten years of 27.6 points. Over time, we have limited our aggregate insurance exposure to catastrophe losses in certain regions of the country that are subject to high levels of natural catastrophes by our participation in various state facilities. For further discussion of these facilities, see Note 16 of the consolidated financial statements. However, the impact of these actions may
be diminished by the growth in insured values, the effect of state insurance laws and regulations and we may not be able to maintain our current level of reinsurance or purchase new reinsurance protection in amounts we consider sufficient at acceptable prices. In addition, in various states we are required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers including the California FAIR Plan Association. Because of our participation in these and other state facilities such as wind pools, we may be
The Allstate Corporation 45
2024 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
exposed to losses that surpass the capitalization of these facilities and to assessments from these facilities.
We have continued to take actions to maintain an appropriate level of exposure to catastrophic events while continuing to meet the needs of our customers, including the following:
•Continuing to limit or not offer new homeowners, manufactured home and landlord package policy business in certain coastal geographies. Additionally, we:
–Reduced our exposure to high-risk areas, including California and Florida. We have decreased our overall homeowner exposure in California by more than 50% since 2007. Additionally, from 2016 to 2022 we wrote a limited number of homeowners policies in select areas of California. In 2022 we stopped writing new homeowners and condominium business in the states of California and Florida. As a result, since December 31, 2023, PIF has declined by approximately 5.0% and 21% in California and Florida, respectively.
–Write homeowners coverage, excluding in Florida, through our excess and surplus lines carrier, North Light Specialty Insurance Company (“North Light”), which can include earthquake coverage (other than fire following earthquakes) that is currently ceded via quota share reinsurance.
•Increased capacity in our brokerage platform for customers not offered an Allstate policy. As of December 31, 2024, Ivantage had $2.57 billion non-proprietary premiums under management.
•Ceded wind exposure related to insured property located in wind pool eligible areas in certain states.
•Generally require higher deductibles for tropical cyclone than all peril deductibles which are in place for a large portion of coastal insured properties.
•Include coverage for flood-related losses for auto comprehensive damage coverage since we have additional catastrophe exposure, beyond the property lines, for auto customers who have purchased comprehensive damage coverage.
•Provide options of coverage for roof damage, including graduated coverage and pricing based on roof type and age. In 2024, premiums written totaled $8.75 billion or 60.7% of homeowners premiums written.
Hurricanes We consider the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to hurricanes to be major metropolitan centers along the eastern and gulf coasts of the United States. The average premium on a property policy near these coasts is generally greater than in other areas. However, average premiums are often not considered commensurate with the inherent risk of loss. In addition, as explained in Note 16 of the consolidated financial statements, in various states Allstate is subject to assessments from assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting
associations providing insurance for wind related property losses.
We have addressed our risk of hurricane loss by, among other actions, purchasing reinsurance for specific states and on a countrywide basis for our personal lines property insurance in areas most exposed to hurricanes, limiting personal homeowners, landlord package policy and manufactured home new business writings in coastal areas in southern and eastern states, implementing tropical cyclone deductibles where appropriate, and not offering continuing coverage on certain policies in coastal counties in certain states. We continue to seek appropriate returns for the risks we write. This may require further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not getting appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Earthquakes We do not offer earthquake coverage in most states. We retain approximately 23,000 PIF with earthquake coverage, with the largest number of policies located in Kentucky, due to regulatory and other reasons. We purchase reinsurance in Kentucky and enter into arrangements in many states to make earthquake coverage available through our brokerage platform.
We continue to have exposure to earthquake risk on certain policies that do not specifically exclude coverage for earthquake losses, including our auto policies, and to homeowners insurance fire losses following earthquakes. Allstate homeowner policyholders in California are offered coverage for damage caused by an earthquake through the California Earthquake Authority (“CEA”), a privately financed, publicly managed state agency created to provide insurance coverage for earthquake damage. Allstate is subject to assessments from the CEA under certain circumstances as explained in Note 16 of the consolidated financial statements. While North Light writes property policies in California, which can include earthquake coverage, this coverage is 100% ceded via quota share reinsurance.
Fires following earthquakes Under a standard homeowners policy we cover fire losses, including those caused by an earthquake. Actions taken related to our risk of loss from fires following earthquakes include restrictive underwriting guidelines in California for new business writings, purchasing reinsurance for Kentucky personal lines property risks, and purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, excluding Florida.
Wildfires Actions taken related to managing our risk of loss from wildfires include purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, new and renewal inspection programs to identify and remediate wildfire risk as well as leveraging contemporary underwriting tools in select areas. While these programs are designed to mitigate risk, the exposure to wildfires still exists. We continue to manage our exposure and seek appropriate returns for the risks we write. In addition, as explained in Note 16 of the consolidated financial statements, Allstate is subject to assessments from
46 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
the California FAIR Plan Association providing insurance for property losses. Refer to Note 1 for more information on the impact of the California wildfires.
To manage the exposure, we may implement further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not achieving appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Catastrophe reinsurance The total cost of our property catastrophe reinsurance programs, excluding
reinstatement premiums, during 2024 was $1.11 billion compared to $1.02 billion during 2023. Catastrophe placement premiums reduce net written and earned premium with approximately 80% of the reduction related to homeowners premium. A description of our current catastrophe reinsurance program appears in Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements.
Expense ratio increased 0.7 points in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to an increase in advertising costs, partially offset by higher earned premium growth relative to fixed costs.
| Impact of specific costs and expenses on the expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2024 vs 2023 | 2023 vs 2022 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | $ | 6,676 | $ | 6,070 | $ | 5,570 | $ | 606 | $ | 500 | |||||||||
| Advertising expense | 1,863 | 638 | 934 | 1,225 | (296) | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses, net of other revenue | 2,867 | 3,068 | 3,296 | (201) | (228) | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 206 | 235 | 240 | (29) | (5) | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 51 | 142 | 44 | (91) | 98 | ||||||||||||||
| Total underwriting expenses | $ | 11,663 | $ | 10,153 | $ | 10,084 | $ | 1,510 | $ | 69 | |||||||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 53,866 | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 | $ | 5,439 | $ | 4,518 | |||||||||
| Expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 12.4 | 12.5 | 12.7 | (0.1) | (0.2) | ||||||||||||||
| Advertising expense | 3.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | (0.9) | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses, net of other revenue | 5.3 | 6.4 | 7.5 | (1.1) | (1.1) | ||||||||||||||
| Subtotal | 21.2 | 20.2 | 22.4 | 1.0 | (2.2) | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | (0.2) | — | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | (0.1) | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Total expense ratio | 21.7 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 0.7 | (2.0) |
Deferred acquisition costs We establish a DAC asset for costs that are related directly to the acquisition of new or renewal insurance policies, principally agent remuneration and premium taxes. DAC is amortized to income over the period in which premiums are earned.
| DAC balance as of December 31 by product type | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| Auto | $ | 1,302 | $ | 1,207 | |||
| Homeowners | 958 | 890 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 182 | 177 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 31 | 42 | |||||
| Other business lines | 75 | 63 | |||||
| Total DAC | $ | 2,548 | $ | 2,379 |
The Allstate Corporation 47
2024 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
Run-off Property-Liability Segment
The Run-off Property-Liability segment includes results from property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off lines claims arises principally from direct excess commercial insurance, assumed reinsurance coverage, direct primary commercial insurance and other businesses in run-off. We may pursue settlement agreements including policy buybacks on direct excess commercial business when appropriate to improve the certainty of the liabilities. Settlement agreements are negotiated contracts between Allstate and third parties that generally set forth the rights and obligations of the parties, including terms of payment for claims. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | (19) | $ | (44) | $ | (34) | |||||
| Environmental claims | (10) | (18) | (56) | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | (39) | (27) | (35) | ||||||||
| Total claims and claims expense | (68) | (89) | (125) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (5) | (5) | (4) | ||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (73) | $ | (94) | $ | (129) |
Underwriting losses in 2024 of $73 million and $94 million in 2023 primarily related to our annual reserve review using established industry and actuarial best practices and loss adjustment expenses. The annual review resulted in unfavorable reserve reestimates totaling $58 million and $80 million in 2024 and 2023, respectively. The reserve reestimates are included as part of claims and claims expense.
The reserve reestimates in 2024 primarily related to new reported information for asbestos related claims and adverse developments within the other run-off lines. The reserve reestimates in 2023 primarily related to new reported information and defense costs for asbestos related claims and other run-off exposures and higher than expected environmental reported losses.
We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws, regulations, and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. However, as we progress with the resolution of disputed claims in the courts and arbitrations and with negotiations and settlements, our reported losses may be more variable.
| Reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,124 | $ | 1,166 | |||
| Reinsurance | (350) | (362) | |||||
| Net reserves | 774 | 804 | |||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 320 | 331 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (61) | (64) | |||||
| Net reserves | 259 | 267 | |||||
| Other run-off claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 439 | 445 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (58) | (72) | |||||
| Net reserves | 381 | 373 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,883 | 1,942 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (469) | (498) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,414 | $ | 1,444 |
48 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
| Reserves by type of exposure before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,082 | $ | 1,114 | |||
| Reinsurance | (363) | (382) | |||||
| Net reserves | 719 | 732 | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 581 | 603 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (54) | (54) | |||||
| Net reserves | 527 | 549 | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 133 | 140 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (51) | (61) | |||||
| Net reserves | 82 | 79 | |||||
| Other run-off business | |||||||
| Gross reserves | — | 1 | |||||
| Reinsurance | — | — | |||||
| Net reserves | — | 1 | |||||
| Unallocated loss adjustment expenses | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 87 | 84 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (1) | (1) | |||||
| Net reserves | 86 | 83 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,883 | 1,942 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (469) | (498) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,414 | $ | 1,444 |
| Percentage of gross and ceded reserves by case and incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||
| Case | IBNR | Case | IBNR | |||||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves (1) | 58 | % | 42 | % | 57 | % | 43 | % | ||||
| Ceded (2) | 62 | 38 | 63 | 37 | ||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 34 | 66 | 32 | 68 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 51 | 49 | 43 | 57 | ||||||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 54 | 46 | 59 | 41 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 87 | 13 | 83 | 17 |
(1)Approximately 65% and 68% of gross case reserves as of December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively, are subject to settlement agreements that define and limit our obligations.
(2)Approximately 72% of ceded case reserves as of both December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 are subject to settlement agreements that define and limit our obligations.
The Allstate Corporation 49
2024 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
| Gross payments from case reserves by type of exposure | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | For the years ended December 31, | ||||||
| 2024 | 2023 | ||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross (1) | $ | 67 | $ | 72 | |||
| Ceded (2) | (25) | (27) | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross | 45 | 45 | |||||
| Ceded | (2) | (8) | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross | 6 | 7 | |||||
| Ceded | (2) | — |
(1) In 2024 and 2023, 87% and 85% of payments related to settlement agreements, respectively.
(2) In 2024 and 2023, 93% and 83% of payments related to settlement agreements, respectively.
Total net reserves as of December 31, 2024, included $723 million or 51% of estimated IBNR reserves compared to $762 million or 53% of estimated IBNR reserves as of December 31, 2023.
Total gross payments were $118 million and $124 million for 2024 and 2023, respectively. Payments primarily related to settlement agreements reached with several insureds on large claims, mainly asbestos related losses, where the scope of coverages has been agreed upon. The claims associated with these settlement agreements are expected to be substantially paid out over the next several years as qualified claims are submitted by these insureds. Reinsurance collections were $39 million and $35 million for 2024 and 2023, respectively. The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables was $61 million and $59 million as of December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The allowance represents 11.3% and 10.3% of the related reinsurance recoverable balances as of December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
50 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Protection Services
Protection Services Segment
Protection Services is comprised of Allstate Protection Plans, Allstate Dealer Services, Allstate Roadside, Arity and Allstate Identity Protection. In 2024, Protection Services represented 80.0% of total PIF and 4.8% of premiums written. We offer consumer product protection plans, automotive protection and insurance products (including vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection, road hazard tire and wheel and paintless dent repair protection), roadside assistance, mobility data collection services and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information and identity theft protection and remediation services. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 2,797 | $ | 2,663 | $ | 2,699 | |||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Premiums | $ | 2,522 | $ | 2,243 | $ | 1,995 | |||||
| Other revenue | 441 | 319 | 347 | ||||||||
| Intersegment insurance premiums and service fees (1) | 180 | 138 | 149 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 94 | 73 | 48 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (641) | (632) | (532) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (1,217) | (1,058) | (928) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (1,090) | (889) | (874) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (2) | (6) | (2) | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (71) | (83) | (35) | ||||||||
| Less: noncontrolling interest | (1) | (1) | (1) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 217 | $ | 106 | $ | 169 | |||||
| Allstate Protection Plans | $ | 157 | $ | 117 | $ | 150 | |||||
| Allstate Dealer Services | 21 | (15) | 35 | ||||||||
| Allstate Roadside | 39 | 24 | 7 | ||||||||
| Arity | (8) | (18) | (11) | ||||||||
| Allstate Identity Protection | 8 | (2) | (12) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 217 | $ | 106 | $ | 169 | |||||
| Policies in force | |||||||||||
| Allstate Protection Plans | 159,761 | 145,292 | 138,726 | ||||||||
| Allstate Dealer Services | 3,710 | 3,776 | 3,865 | ||||||||
| Allstate Roadside | 758 | 553 | 531 | ||||||||
| Allstate Identity Protection | 2,511 | 2,884 | 3,112 | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 166,740 | 152,505 | 146,234 |
(1)Primarily related to Arity and Allstate Roadside and are eliminated in our consolidated financial statements.
Premiums written increased 5.0% or $134 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to international growth at Allstate Protection Plans, partially offset by lower sales at Allstate Roadside.
Adjusted net income increased 104.7% or $111 million in 2024 compared to 2023, due to premium growth at Allstate Protection Plans, improved claim severity at Allstate Roadside, higher lead sales revenue at Arity and both growth and lower costs at Allstate Identity Protection. Prior year adjusted net income was
also negatively impacted by an increase in state income taxes for Allstate Dealer Services.
PIF increased 9.3% or 14 million in 2024 compared to 2023 due to growth at Allstate Protection Plans.
Other revenue increased 38.2% or $122 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to higher revenue from increased customer lead sale purchases at Arity.
The Allstate Corporation 51
2024 Form 10-K Protection Services
Intersegment premiums and service fees increased 30.4% to $180 million in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by increased lead sale purchases and higher software revenue at Arity.
Claims and claims expense increased 1.4% or $9 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily driven by growth at Allstate Protection Plans partially offset by improved margins at Allstate Protection Plans resulting from lower frequency and lower claim severity at Allstate Roadside.
Amortization of DAC increased 15.0% or $159 million in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by growth at Allstate Protection Plans.
Operating costs and expenses increased 22.6% or $201 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to expenses related to growth at Arity and Allstate Protection Plans, partially offset by lower expenses at Allstate Roadside and Allstate Identity Protection.
52 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of claims and claims expense reserves. The facts and circumstances leading to reestimates of reserves relate to claim activity and updates to the development factors used to predict how losses are likely to develop from the end of a reporting period until all claims have been paid. Reestimates occur when actual losses differ from those predicted by the estimated development factors used in prior reserve estimates. For a description of our reserve process, see Note 10 of the consolidated financial statements. For a description of our reserving policies and the potential variability in our reserve estimates, see the Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A. Reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including IBNR claims, as of the reporting date.
We believe the net loss reserves exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, laws and regulations.
| Total claims and claims expense reserves, net of recoverables (“net reserves”), as of December 31 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 31,846 | $ | 29,969 | $ | 26,876 | |||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 1,414 | 1,444 | 1,451 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 33,260 | 31,413 | 28,327 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 55 | 49 | 38 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 33,315 | $ | 31,462 | $ | 28,365 | |||||
| Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | $ | 41,917 | $ | 39,858 | $ | 37,541 | |||||
| Less: reinsurance and indemnification recoverables (1) | 8,602 | 8,396 | 9,176 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 33,315 | $ | 31,462 | $ | 28,365 |
(1)Includes $6.41 billion, $6.36 billion and $6.66 billion of unpaid indemnification recoverables related to the Michigan Catastrophic Claims Association (“MCCA”) as of December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively.
| Impact of reserve reestimates on combined ratio and net income applicable to common shareholders (1) (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (376) | (0.7) | $ | 461 | 0.9 | $ | 1,619 | 3.6 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 68 | 0.2 | 89 | 0.2 | 125 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | (308) | (0.5) | 550 | 1.1 | 1,744 | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | (1) | — | (3) | — | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (308) | $ | 549 | $ | 1,741 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates, after-tax | $ | (243) | $ | 434 | $ | 1,375 | ||||||||||||||
| Consolidated net (loss) income applicable to common shareholders | $ | 4,550 | $ | (316) | $ | (1,394) | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates as a % impact on consolidated net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders | 5.3 | % | NM | (98.6) | % | |||||||||||||||
| Property-Liability prior year reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses | $ | (370) | $ | (24) | $ | 18 |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)Ratios are calculated using property and casualty premiums earned.
NM = not meaningful
The Allstate Corporation 53
2024 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
The following tables reflect the accident years to which the reestimates shown above are applicable. Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
| Prior year reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 2019 & prior | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 228 | $ | 80 | $ | 276 | $ | 444 | $ | (1,404) | $ | (376) | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 68 | — | — | — | — | 68 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 296 | 80 | 276 | 444 | (1,404) | (308) | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 296 | $ | 80 | $ | 276 | $ | 444 | $ | (1,404) | $ | (308) | |||||||||||
| 2023 | 2018 & prior | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 230 | $ | 130 | $ | 84 | $ | 401 | $ | (384) | $ | 461 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 89 | — | — | — | — | 89 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 319 | 130 | 84 | 401 | (384) | 550 | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (1) | (1) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 319 | $ | 130 | $ | 84 | $ | 401 | $ | (385) | $ | 549 | |||||||||||
| 2022 | 2017 & prior | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 27 | $ | 161 | $ | 294 | $ | 345 | $ | 792 | $ | 1,619 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 125 | — | — | — | — | 125 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 152 | 161 | 294 | 345 | 792 | 1,744 | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (3) | (3) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 152 | $ | 161 | $ | 294 | $ | 345 | $ | 789 | $ | 1,741 |
Allstate Protection
The table below shows Allstate Protection net reserves representing the estimated cost of outstanding claims as they were recorded at the beginning of years 2024, 2023, and 2022, and the effect of reestimates in each year.
| Impact of reserve reestimates by line on net reserves, combined ratio and underwriting income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto (1) | $ | 21,286 | $ | (364) | (0.7) | $ | 19,365 | $ | 244 | 0.5 | $ | 16,078 | $ | 1,185 | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners (1) | 4,754 | (395) | (0.7) | 3,520 | 102 | 0.2 | 2,731 | 200 | 0.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 1,736 | 217 | 0.4 | 1,653 | 19 | 0.1 | 1,844 | (32) | (0.1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines and other (2) | 2,193 | 166 | 0.3 | 2,338 | 96 | 0.2 | 1,471 | 266 | 0.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | $ | 29,969 | $ | (376) | (0.7) | $ | 26,876 | $ | 461 | 1.0 | $ | 22,124 | $ | 1,619 | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 3,153 | $ | (2,090) | $ | (2,782) |
(1)2022 beginning reserves includes a $944 million reclassification of reserves from homeowners to auto.
(2)Includes the unamortized fair value adjustment related to the acquisition of National General.
Favorable reserve reestimates in 2024 totaled $376 million, representing 11.9% of underwriting income, were primarily due to catastrophe reserve reestimates in homeowners and non-catastrophe reserve reestimates in personal auto lines, partially offset by unfavorable reserve reestimates in other personal lines and commercial lines driven by transportation network company coverage no longer offered.
Unfavorable reserve reestimates in 2023 totaled $461 million and represented 22.1% of the underwriting loss and were primarily due to National General personal auto lines, homeowners and commercial lines.
54 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
Run-off Property-Liability
We conduct an annual review in the third quarter of each year to evaluate and establish asbestos, environmental and other run-off reserves. Reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by policyholders.
| Run-off Property-Liability net reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | 804 | $ | 19 | $ | 811 | $ | 44 | $ | 828 | $ | 34 | |||||||||||
| Environmental claims | 267 | 10 | 267 | 18 | 226 | 56 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 373 | 39 | 373 | 27 | 367 | 35 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,444 | $ | 68 | $ | 1,451 | $ | 89 | $ | 1,421 | $ | 125 | |||||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (73) | $ | (94) | $ | (129) |
Reserve reestimates in 2024 primarily related to our annual reserve review based on new reported information for asbestos related claims and adverse developments within the other run-off lines, and loss adjustment expenses.
Reserve reestimates in 2023 primarily related to the annual reserve review based on new reported information and defense costs for asbestos related claims and other run-off exposures and higher than expected environmental reported losses, and loss adjustment expenses.
| Reserves and claim activity before (Gross) and after (Net) the effects of reinsurance | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 1,166 | $ | 804 | $ | 1,190 | $ | 811 | $ | 1,210 | $ | 828 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 28 | 19 | 56 | 44 | 59 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (70) | (49) | (80) | (51) | (79) | (51) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 1,124 | $ | 774 | $ | 1,166 | $ | 804 | $ | 1,190 | $ | 811 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 16.1 | 15.8 | 14.6 | 15.8 | 15.1 | 15.9 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 14.6 | 15.3 | 13.8 | 14.8 | 13.1 | 14.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 331 | $ | 267 | $ | 328 | $ | 267 | $ | 273 | $ | 226 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 11 | 10 | 23 | 18 | 79 | 56 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (22) | (18) | (20) | (18) | (24) | (15) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 320 | $ | 259 | $ | 331 | $ | 267 | $ | 328 | $ | 267 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 14.5 | 14.4 | 16.6 | 14.8 | 13.7 | 17.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 14.3 | 15.2 | 14.4 | 15.1 | 14.5 | 15.4 | |||||||||||||||||
| Combined environmental and asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 15.7 | 15.4 | 15.0 | 15.5 | 14.7 | 16.3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 14.6 | 15.3 | 13.9 | 14.8 | 13.3 | 14.3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Percentage of IBNR in ending reserves | 54.0 | % | 0 | 55.7 | % | 0 | 55.9 | % |
The survival ratio is calculated by taking our ending reserves divided by payments made during the year. This is a commonly used but simplistic and imprecise approach to measuring the adequacy of asbestos and environmental reserve levels. Many factors, such as mix of business, level of coverage provided and settlement procedures have significant impacts on the amount of environmental and asbestos claims and claims expense reserves, claim payments and the resultant ratio. As payments result in corresponding reserve reductions, survival ratios can be expected to vary over time. The combined asbestos and environmental net 3-year survival ratio in 2024 increased from 2023 due to lower average payments.
The Allstate Corporation 55
2024 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
| Net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | |||||||||||||||
| Direct: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Primary | $ | 9 | 1.2 | % | $ | 9 | 1.1 | % | $ | 9 | 1.1 | % | |||||||||
| Excess | 261 | 33.7 | 263 | 32.7 | 257 | 31.7 | |||||||||||||||
| Total direct | 270 | 34.9 | 272 | 33.8 | 266 | 32.8 | |||||||||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance | 90 | 11.6 | 91 | 11.3 | 97 | 12.0 | |||||||||||||||
| IBNR | 414 | 53.5 | 441 | 54.9 | 448 | 55.2 | |||||||||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 774 | 100.0 | % | $ | 804 | 100.0 | % | $ | 811 | 100.0 | % | |||||||||
| Total reserve additions | $ | 19 | $ | 44 | $ | 34 |
IBNR net reserves decreased $27 million as of December 31, 2024 compared to December 31, 2023. IBNR provides for reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current policyholders and ceding companies.
Reinsurance and indemnification programs We purchase significant reinsurance to manage our aggregate countrywide exposure to an acceptable level. The price and terms of reinsurance and the credit quality of the reinsurer are considered in the purchase process. We utilize reinsurance to reduce exposure to catastrophe risk and manage capital, and to support the required statutory surplus and the insurance financial strength ratings of certain subsidiaries such as Castle Key Insurance Company (“CKIC”) and Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company (“ANJ”). We have also purchased reinsurance to mitigate exposures in our long-tail liability lines, including environmental, asbestos and other run-off lines as well as our commercial lines. We also participate in various indemnification mechanisms, including state-based
industry pool or facility programs mandating participation by insurers offering certain coverage in their state and the federal government National Flood Insurance Program (“NFIP”). See Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details on these programs.
Intercompany reinsurance We enter into certain intercompany insurance and reinsurance transactions in order to maintain underwriting control and manage insurance risk among various legal entities. These reinsurance agreements have been approved by the appropriate regulatory authorities. All significant intercompany transactions have been eliminated in consolidation.
Catastrophe reinsurance We anticipate completing the placement of our 2025 nationwide catastrophe reinsurance program in the first half of 2025. For further details of the existing 2024 program, see Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements.
56 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
| Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, net of the allowance established for uncollectible amounts | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P financial strength rating (1) | A.M. Best financial strength rating (1) | Reinsurance or indemnification recoverables on paid and unpaid claims, net | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA (2) | N/A | N/A | $ | 6,478 | $ | 6,424 | |||||
| North Carolina Reinsurance Facility (“NCRF”) | N/A | N/A | 456 | 382 | |||||||
| New Jersey Property-Liability Insurance Guaranty Association (“PLIGA”) | N/A | N/A | 370 | 326 | |||||||
| Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (“FHCF”) | N/A | N/A | 73 | 82 | |||||||
| Other | 34 | 32 | |||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | N/A | N/A | 279 | 76 | |||||||
| Subtotal | 7,690 | 7,322 | |||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance recoverables | |||||||||||
| Renaissance Reinsurance Limited | A+ | A+ | 44 | 31 | |||||||
| Sanders RE II Ltd. | N/A | N/A | 31 | 36 | |||||||
| DaVinci Reinsurance Limited | A+ | A | 31 | 19 | |||||||
| Other | 271 | 264 | |||||||||
| Subtotal | 377 | 350 | |||||||||
| Other reinsurance recoverables, net (3) | |||||||||||
| Lloyd’s of London | N/A | A+ | 175 | 180 | |||||||
| Pacific Valley Insurance Company, Inc. | N/A | N/A | 77 | 67 | |||||||
| Westport Insurance Corporation | AA- | A+ | 75 | 87 | |||||||
| Aleka Insurance Inc. | N/A | N/A | 62 | 113 | |||||||
| Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation | AA- | A+ | 35 | 47 | |||||||
| Other, including allowance for credit losses | 368 | 458 | |||||||||
| Subtotal | 792 | 952 | |||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 8,859 | 8,624 | |||||||||
| Protection Services | 28 | 26 | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 8,887 | $ | 8,650 |
(1)N/A reflects no S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) or A.M. Best ratings available.
(2)As of December 31, 2024 and 2023, MCCA includes $71 million and $62 million of reinsurance recoverable on paid claims, respectively, and $6.41 billion and $6.36 billion of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims, respectively.
(3)Other reinsurance recoverables primarily relate to commercial lines, including shared economy, as well as asbestos, environmental and other liability exposures.
Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables include an estimate of the amount of insurance claims and claims expense reserves that are ceded under the terms of the agreements, including IBNR unpaid losses. We calculate our ceded reinsurance and indemnification estimates based on the terms of each applicable agreement, including an estimate of how IBNR losses will ultimately be ceded under the agreement. We also consider other limitations and coverage exclusions under our agreements. Accordingly, our estimate of recoverables is subject to similar risks and uncertainties as our estimate of reserves for claims and claims expense. We believe the recoverables are appropriately established; however, as our underlying reserves continue to develop, the amount ultimately recoverable may vary from amounts currently recorded. We regularly evaluate the reinsurers and the respective amounts of our reinsurance recoverables, and a provision for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables is recorded, if needed. The establishment of reinsurance
recoverables and the related allowance for uncollectible reinsurance is also an inherently uncertain process involving estimates. Changes in estimates could result in additional changes to the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Indemnification recoverables are considered collectible based on the industry pool and facility enabling legislation. The Company has not had any credit losses related to these programs, and we do not anticipate losses in the foreseeable future. We also have not experienced credit losses on our catastrophe reinsurance programs, which include highly rated reinsurers.
The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance relates to other reinsurance programs primarily related to our Run-off Property-Liability segment. The allowance was $63 million and $62 million as of December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
The Allstate Corporation 57
2024 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
The allowance is based upon our ongoing review of amounts outstanding, length of collection periods, changes in reinsurer credit standing, and other relevant factors. In addition, in the ordinary course of business, we may become involved in coverage disputes with certain of our reinsurers that may ultimately result in lawsuits and arbitrations brought by or against such reinsurers to determine the parties’ rights and obligations under the various reinsurance agreements. We employ dedicated specialists to manage reinsurance collections and disputes. We also consider recent developments in commutation activity between reinsurers and cedents, and recent trends in arbitration and litigation outcomes in disputes between cedents and reinsurers in seeking to maximize our reinsurance recoveries.
Adverse developments in the insurance industry have led to a decline in the financial strength of some of our reinsurance carriers, causing amounts recoverable from them and future claims ceded to them to be considered a higher risk. There has also been consolidation activity in the industry, which causes reinsurance risk across the industry to be concentrated among fewer companies.
See Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements for a description of the methodology utilized to calculate the allowance for reinsurance recoverables.
For further details related to our reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, see the Regulation section in Part I and Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Effects of reinsurance ceded and indemnification programs on premiums earned and claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection - Premiums | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| NCRF | $ | 441 | $ | 323 | $ | 300 | |||||
| MCCA | 26 | 29 | 18 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | 8 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||
| FHCF | 23 | 28 | 24 | ||||||||
| Other | 1 | 1 | — | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP (1) | 368 | 327 | 319 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 1,088 | 995 | 764 | ||||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 93 | 110 | 261 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 2,048 | 1,820 | 1,693 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 2,048 | 1,820 | 1,693 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 162 | 169 | 176 | ||||||||
| Total effect on premiums earned | $ | 2,210 | $ | 1,989 | $ | 1,869 | |||||
| Allstate Protection - Claims | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA | $ | 180 | $ | (185) | $ | 116 | |||||
| NCRF | 425 | 379 | 294 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | 60 | 14 | (24) | ||||||||
| FHCF | (1) | (6) | 74 | ||||||||
| Other | 1 | 1 | — | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP (1) | 618 | 102 | 435 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 198 | 32 | 298 | ||||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 97 | 151 | 261 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 1,578 | 488 | 1,454 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 2 | 29 | 50 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 1,580 | 517 | 1,504 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 136 | 116 | 96 | ||||||||
| Total effect on claims and claims expense | $ | 1,716 | $ | 633 | $ | 1,600 |
(1)See Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details on the National Flood Insurance Program.
In 2024, ceded premiums earned increased primarily due to NCRF and catastrophe reinsurance. In 2023, ceded premiums earned increased primarily due to catastrophe reinsurance.
In 2024, ceded claims and claims expenses increased $1.08 billion primarily due to an increase in the IBNR loss reserve for NFIP related to Hurricane Helene, catastrophe reinsurance, and a prior year
reduction in gross reserves for Michigan Personal Injury Protection (“PIP”) coverage. In 2023, ceded claims and claims expenses decreased $967 million primarily due to lower amounts related to NFIP, and a reduction in gross reserves for Michigan PIP coverage. For further discussion of these items, see Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements.
58 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
| Michigan PIP reserve and claim activity before and after the effects of MCCA recoverables | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 7,003 | $ | 641 | $ | 7,393 | $ | 735 | $ | 7,387 | $ | 747 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense - current year | 284 | 78 | 307 | 102 | 451 | 175 | |||||||||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense - prior years | (38) | (14) | (455) | (60) | (159) | (15) | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid - current year | (21) | (21) | (21) | (20) | (26) | (26) | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid - prior years | (200) | (63) | (221) | (116) | (260) | (146) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves (1) | $ | 7,028 | $ | 621 | $ | 7,003 | $ | 641 | $ | 7,393 | $ | 735 |
(1)Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2024, comprise 70% case reserves and 30% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2023, comprise 77% case reserves and 23% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2022, comprise 76% case reserves and 24% IBNR. The MCCA does not require member companies to report ultimate case reserves.
Pending MCCA claims differ from most personal lines insurance pending claims as other personal lines policies incurred claims settle in shorter periods due to having a coverage limit. MCCA claims can be outstanding for a claimant’s lifetime, as there is no contractual limitation on any policy effective July 1, 2020 or prior, and on policies that selected the unlimited PIP benefits option on or after July 2, 2020. Many of these injuries are catastrophic in nature, resulting in serious permanent disabilities that require attendant and residential care for periods that may span decades. A significant portion of the ultimate incurred claim reserves and the recoverables can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims that occurred more than five years ago and continue to pay lifetime benefits.
As of December 31, 2024, approximately 90% of our 1,300 catastrophic claims that are eligible for reimbursement by the MCCA occurred more than 5 years ago and continue to incur costs. There are 63 claims with reserves in excess of $15 million as of December 31, 2024, which comprise approximately 24% of the gross ending reserves in the table above. As a result, significant developments with a single claimant can result in volatility in prior year incurred claims.
| Pending, new and closed claims for Michigan PIP exposure | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||
| Number of claims (1) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| Pending, beginning of year | 4,726 | 5,568 | 5,421 | |||||
| New | 6,612 | 6,496 | 8,059 | |||||
| Closed | (7,027) | (7,338) | (7,912) | |||||
| Pending, end of year | 4,311 | 4,726 | 5,568 |
(1)Total claims includes those covered and not covered by the MCCA indemnification.
The Allstate Corporation 59
2024 Form 10-K Allstate Health and Benefits
Allstate Health and Benefits Segment
Allstate Health and Benefits offers employer voluntary benefits, group health and individual health products, including life, accident, critical illness, hospital indemnity, short-term disability and other health products.
In 2024, Allstate Health and Benefits represented 2.0% of total PIF. Our target customers are small group employers and consumers with family and financial protection needs. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
On August 13, 2024, we entered into a share purchase agreement with StanCorp Financial Group, Inc. to sell American Heritage Life Insurance Company and American Heritage Service Company, comprising the Company’s employer voluntary benefits business, reported within this segment. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2025, subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions. For additional information on the disposition, see Note 4.
On January 30, 2025, Allstate entered into an agreement with Nationwide Life Insurance Company to sell Direct General Life Insurance Company, NSM Sales Corporation and The Association Benefits Solution, LLC, comprising the group health business. The transaction is expected to close during 2025, subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions. The individual health business will either be retained or divested.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges | $ | 1,921 | $ | 1,846 | $ | 1,832 | |||||
| Other revenue | 522 | 447 | 402 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 100 | 82 | 69 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Accident, health and other policy benefits | (1,241) | (1,071) | (1,042) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (146) | (150) | (136) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (915) | (842) | (814) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (3) | (7) | (2) | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (52) | (63) | (64) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 186 | $ | 242 | $ | 245 | |||||
| Benefit ratio (1) | 62.8 | 56.2 | 55.1 | ||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits (2) | $ | 85 | $ | 100 | $ | 124 | |||||
| Group health (3) | 71 | 95 | 90 | ||||||||
| Individual health (4) | 30 | $ | 47 | 31 | |||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 186 | $ | 242 | $ | 245 | |||||
| Policies in force | |||||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits (2) | 3,464 | 3,590 | 3,783 | ||||||||
| Group health (3) | 140 | 136 | 119 | ||||||||
| Individual health (4) | 471 | 417 | 394 | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 4,075 | 4,143 | 4,296 |
(1)Benefit ratio is calculated as accident, health and other policy benefits less interest credited to contractholder funds of $34 million, $33 million, and $33 million for the years ended December 31, 2024, 2023, and 2022, respectively, divided by premiums and contract charges.
(2)Employer voluntary benefits include supplemental life and health products offered through workplace enrollment.
(3)Group health includes health products and administrative services sold to employers.
(4)Individual health includes short-term medical and other health products sold directly to individuals.
Premiums and contract charges increased 4.1% or $75 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to growth in individual health and group health, partially offset by a decline in employer voluntary benefits.
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2024 Form 10-K Allstate Health and Benefits
| Premiums and contract charges by line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits | $ | 985 | $ | 1,001 | $ | 1,033 | |||||
| Group health | 481 | 440 | 385 | ||||||||
| Individual health | 455 | 405 | 414 | ||||||||
| Premiums and contract charges | $ | 1,921 | $ | 1,846 | $ | 1,832 |
Adjusted net income decreased $56 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to increased benefit utilization across all lines of business.
New annualized premium sales (annualized premiums at initial employer voluntary benefit customer enrollment or health policy sale) were $732 million in both 2024 and 2023.
Other revenue increased $75 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to increases in third party commission revenue for the individual health business and administrative fees in the group health business.
Accident, health and other policy benefits increased 15.9% or $170 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to higher benefit utilization in all
businesses and growth in group health and individual health.
Accident, health and other policy benefits include changes in the reserve for future policy benefits, expected development on reported claims, and reserves for incurred but not reported claims as shown in Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
Benefit ratio increased 6.6 points to 62.8 in 2024 compared to 56.2 in 2023, primarily due to higher claims experience across all lines of business.
Amortization of DAC decreased 2.7% or $4 million in 2024 compared to 2023. For information on changes in DAC, see Note 13 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Operating costs and expenses | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | Employer voluntary benefits | Group health | Individualhealth | Total | |||||||||||
| 2024 | |||||||||||||||
| Non-deferrable commissions | $ | 83 | $ | 108 | $ | 155 | $ | 346 | |||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | 212 | 174 | 183 | 569 | |||||||||||
| Total | $ | 295 | $ | 282 | $ | 338 | $ | 915 | |||||||
| 2023 | |||||||||||||||
| Non-deferrable commissions | $ | 87 | $ | 97 | $ | 135 | $ | 319 | |||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | 206 | 159 | 158 | 523 | |||||||||||
| Total | $ | 293 | $ | 256 | $ | 293 | $ | 842 | |||||||
| 2022 | |||||||||||||||
| Non-deferrable commissions | $ | 95 | $ | 83 | $ | 143 | $ | 321 | |||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | 191 | 133 | 169 | 493 | |||||||||||
| Total | $ | 286 | $ | 216 | $ | 312 | $ | 814 |
Operating costs and expenses increased $73 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to growth in individual health and group health.
The Allstate Corporation 61
2024 Form 10-K Investments
Investments
Overview and strategy
The return on our investment portfolios is an important component of our ability to offer value to customers, fund business improvements and create value for shareholders. Investment portfolios are held for Property-Liability, Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits and Corporate and Other operations. While taking into consideration the investment portfolio in aggregate, management of the underlying portfolios is significantly influenced by the nature of each respective business and its corresponding liability profile. For each business, we identify a strategic asset allocation which considers both the nature of the liabilities and the risk and return characteristics of the various asset classes in which we invest. This allocation is informed by our long-term business and market expectations, as well as other considerations such as risk appetite, portfolio diversification, duration, desired liquidity and capital. Within appropriate ranges relative to strategic allocations, tactical allocations are made in consideration of prevailing and potential future market conditions. We manage risks that involve uncertainty related to interest rates, inflation, credit spreads, equity returns and currency exchange rates.
The Property-Liability portfolio emphasizes protection of principal and consistent income generation within a total return framework. This approach has produced competitive returns over the long term and is designed to ensure financial strength and stability for paying claims, while maximizing economic value and surplus growth. Products with lower liquidity and capital needs, such as auto insurance and run-off lines, create capacity to invest in less liquid higher yielding fixed income securities, performance-based investments such as limited partnerships and equity securities. Products with higher liquidity needs, such as homeowners insurance, are invested primarily in high quality liquid fixed income securities.
The Protection Services portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities with a lesser allocation to equity securities and short-term investments.
The Allstate Health and Benefits portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities with a small allocation to short-term investments.
The Corporate and Other portfolio is primarily focused on liquidity needs and capital preservation within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of high-quality liquid fixed income securities and short-term investments with a lower allocation to performance-based and equity investments.
We utilize two primary strategies to manage risks and returns and to position our portfolio to take
advantage of market opportunities while attempting to mitigate adverse effects. As strategies and market conditions evolve, the asset allocation may change.
Market-based strategy seeks to deliver predictable earnings aligned to business needs and provide flexibility to adjust investment risk profile based on enterprise objectives and market opportunities primarily through public and private fixed income investments and public equity securities.
Performance-based strategy seeks to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns and supplement market risk with idiosyncratic risk. Consequently, return patterns can be more volatile than the market-based portfolio. Returns are impacted by a variety of factors including general macroeconomic and public market conditions as public benchmarks are often used in the valuation of underlying investments. Variability in earnings will also result from the performance of the underlying assets or business and the timing of sales of those investments. Earnings from the sales of investments may be recorded as net investment income or net gains and losses on investments and derivatives. The portfolio, which primarily includes private equity (including infrastructure investments) and real estate with a majority being limited partnerships, is diversified across a number of characteristics, including managers or partners, vintage years, investment strategies, geographies (including international) and industry sectors or property types. These investments are generally illiquid in nature, often require specialized expertise, typically involve a third-party manager, and enhance returns and income through transformation at the company or property level. A portion of these investments seek returns in markets or asset classes that are dislocated or special situations, primarily in private markets.
Investments outlook
Our focus is on the following priorities:
•Enhance investment portfolio returns through use of a dynamic capital allocation framework and focus on tax efficiency.
•Leverage our broad capabilities to manage the portfolio to earn higher risk-adjusted returns on capital.
•Invest for the specific needs and characteristics of Allstate’s businesses, including its corresponding liability profile.
We utilize our integrated enterprise risk and return management framework to determine the amount of investment risk we are willing to accept. Beginning in 2023, we extended the fixed income portfolio duration as the sustained higher market yields provided an opportunity to increase risk-adjusted returns. In 2024, we increased public equity securities by $2.05 billion primarily funded through the sale of investment grade corporate bonds and short-term investments.
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2024 Form 10-K Investments
| Portfolio composition and strategy by reporting segment (1) | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2024 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||||||
| Fixed income securities (2) | $ | 49,203 | $ | 1,868 | $ | 362 | $ | 1,314 | $ | 52,747 | |||||||||
| Equity securities (3) | 3,830 | 229 | — | 404 | 4,463 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 784 | — | — | — | 784 | ||||||||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 9,244 | — | — | 11 | 9,255 | ||||||||||||||
| Short-term investments (4) | 3,786 | 131 | 17 | 603 | 4,537 | ||||||||||||||
| Other investments, net | 824 | — | — | — | 824 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 67,671 | $ | 2,228 | $ | 379 | $ | 2,332 | $ | 72,610 | |||||||||
| Percentage to total | 93.2 | % | 3.1 | % | 0.5 | % | 3.2 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||
| Market-based | $ | 57,489 | $ | 2,228 | $ | 379 | $ | 2,054 | $ | 62,150 | |||||||||
| Performance-based | 10,182 | — | — | 278 | 10,460 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 67,671 | $ | 2,228 | $ | 379 | $ | 2,332 | $ | 72,610 |
(1)Balances reflect the elimination of related party investments between segments.
(2)Fixed income securities are carried at fair value. Amortized cost, net for these securities was $50.02 billion, $1.91 billion, $370 million, $1.32 billion and $53.62 billion for Property-Liability, Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits, Corporate and Other, and in total, respectively.
(3)Equity securities are carried at fair value. The fair value of equity securities held as of December 31, 2024 was $134 million in excess of cost. These net gains were primarily concentrated in the technology and banking sectors. Equity securities include $750 million of funds with underlying investments in fixed income securities as of December 31, 2024.
(4)Short-term investments are carried at fair value.
Investments totaled $72.61 billion as of December 31, 2024, increasing from $66.68 billion as of December 31, 2023, primarily due to positive operating and investment cash flows.
| Portfolio composition by investment strategy | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2024 | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Market- based | Performance-based | Total | ||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 52,610 | $ | 137 | $ | 52,747 | |||||
| Equity securities | 3,797 | 666 | 4,463 | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 784 | — | 784 | ||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 285 | 8,970 | 9,255 | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | 4,537 | — | 4,537 | ||||||||
| Other investments, net | 137 | 687 | 824 | ||||||||
| Total | $ | 62,150 | $ | 10,460 | $ | 72,610 | |||||
| Percent to total | 85.6 | % | 14.4 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses | |||||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | (867) | $ | (2) | $ | (869) | |||||
| Limited partnership interests | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | (2) | — | (2) | ||||||||
| Other investments | (2) | — | (2) | ||||||||
| Total | $ | (871) | $ | (2) | $ | (873) |
During 2024, strategic actions focused on optimizing portfolio yield, risk and return in the evolving market and macroeconomic environment. The sustained higher market yields provided an opportunity to increase risk-adjusted returns, so we extended the fixed income portfolio duration to 5.3 years (including the effect of interest rate derivatives and any call features associated with the securities) during 2024 from 4.8 years as of December 31, 2023. We increased public equity securities by $2.05 billion in 2024.
The Allstate Corporation 63
2024 Form 10-K Investments
Fixed income securities
| Fixed income securities by type | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value as of December 31, | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 11,108 | $ | 8,619 | |||||
| Municipal | 8,842 | 6,006 | |||||||
| Corporate | 30,192 | 31,205 | |||||||
| Foreign government | 1,364 | 1,290 | |||||||
| Asset-backed securities (“ABS”) | 1,241 | 1,745 | |||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 52,747 | $ | 48,865 |
Fixed income securities are rated by third-party credit rating agencies or are internally rated. The Securities Valuation Office (“SVO”) of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) evaluates the fixed income securities of insurers for regulatory reporting and capital assessment purposes. The NAIC assigns securities to one of six credit quality categories defined as “NAIC designations”. In general, securities with NAIC designations of 1 and 2 are considered investment grade and securities with NAIC designations of 3 through 6 are considered below investment grade. The rating is either received from the SVO based on availability of applicable ratings from rating agencies on the NAIC Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations provider list, including Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”), S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”), Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”) or a comparable internal rating.
As a result of time lags between the funding of investments, the finalization of legal documents, and the completion of the SVO filing process, the portfolio includes certain securities that have not yet been designated by the SVO as of each balance sheet date and the categorization of these securities is based on the expected ratings indicated by internal analysis.
As of December 31, 2024, 91.3% of the consolidated fixed income securities portfolio was rated investment grade. Credit ratings below these designations are considered lower credit quality or below investment grade, which includes high yield bonds.
Market prices for certain securities may have credit spreads which imply higher or lower credit quality than the current third-party rating. Our initial investment decisions and ongoing monitoring procedures for fixed income securities are based on a due diligence process which includes, but is not limited to, an assessment of the credit quality, sector, structure and liquidity risks of each issuer.
Fixed income portfolio monitoring is a comprehensive process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance. The process includes a quarterly review of all securities to identify instances where the fair value of a security compared to its amortized cost is below internally established thresholds. For further detail on our fixed income portfolio monitoring process, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
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2024 Form 10-K Investments
The following table presents total fixed income securities by the applicable NAIC designation and comparable S&P rating.
| Fair value and unrealized net capital gains (losses) for fixed income securities by credit rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2024 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| NAIC 1 | NAIC 2 | NAIC 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| A and above | BBB | BB | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | |||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 11,108 | $ | (315) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 8,709 | (143) | 131 | (2) | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 6,089 | (29) | 14,529 | (299) | 525 | (8) | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 1,769 | (22) | 3,315 | (56) | 2,427 | (19) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 7,858 | (51) | 17,844 | (355) | 2,952 | (27) | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | 1,364 | 12 | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1,138 | 1 | 22 | — | 27 | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 30,177 | $ | (496) | $ | 17,997 | $ | (357) | $ | 2,979 | $ | (27) | |||||||||||
| NAIC 4 | NAIC 5-6 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||
| B | CCC and lower | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 11,108 | $ | (315) | |||||||||||
| Municipal | — | — | 2 | 2 | 8,842 | (143) | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 84 | (1) | 6 | — | 21,233 | (337) | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 1,337 | (2) | 111 | (2) | 8,959 | (101) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 1,421 | (3) | 117 | (2) | 30,192 | (438) | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | — | — | — | — | 1,364 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1 | — | 53 | 14 | 1,241 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 1,422 | $ | (3) | $ | 172 | $ | 14 | $ | 52,747 | $ | (869) |
Municipal bonds, including tax-exempt and taxable securities, include general obligations of state and local issuers and revenue bonds.
Our practice for acquiring and monitoring municipal bonds is predominantly based on the underlying credit quality of the primary obligor. We currently rely on the primary obligor to pay all contractual cash flows and are not relying on bond insurers for payments.
Corporate bonds include publicly traded and privately placed securities. Privately placed securities primarily consist of corporate issued senior debt securities that are negotiated with the borrower or are issued by entities in unregistered form under SEC Rule 144A which allows purchasers to more easily resell these securities under certain conditions.
Our $8.96 billion portfolio of privately placed securities, primarily 144A bonds, is diversified by issuer, industry sector and country. The portfolio is made up of 544 issuers. Privately placed corporate obligations may contain structural security features such as financial covenants and call protections that provide investors greater protection against credit deterioration, reinvestment risk or fluctuations in interest rates than those typically found in publicly registered debt securities. Additionally, investments in these securities are made after fundamental analysis of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views. Ongoing monitoring includes continuous assessment of
operating performance and financial position. Every issue not rated by an independent rating agency is internally rated with a formal rating affirmation at least once a year. $91 million of the portfolio is internally rated as of December 31, 2024. Liquidity of securities issued by public entities in unregistered form is similar to public debt markets.
Our corporate bond portfolio includes $4.49 billion of below investment grade bonds, $3.88 billion of which are privately placed, primarily 144A bonds. These securities are diversified by issuer and industry sector. The below investment grade corporate bonds portfolio is made up of 356 issuers. We employ fundamental analyses of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views to identify investment opportunities. This results in a portfolio with broad exposure to the high yield market with an emphasis on idiosyncratic positions reflective of our views of market conditions and opportunities.
Foreign government securities consist of Canadian governmental and provincial securities (all of which are held by our Canadian companies).
ABS are structured securities that are primarily collateralized by consumer or corporate borrowings and residential and commercial real estate loans. The cash flows from the underlying collateral paid to the securitization trust are generally applied in a pre-determined order and are designed so that each
The Allstate Corporation 65
2024 Form 10-K Investments
security issued by the trust, typically referred to as a “class”, qualifies for a specific original rating.
ABS includes collateralized debt obligations, consumer and other ABS. Credit risk is managed by monitoring the performance of the underlying collateral. Many of the securities in the ABS portfolio have credit enhancement with features such as overcollateralization, subordinated structures, reserve funds, guarantees or insurance. ABS also includes residential mortgage-backed securities and commercial mortgage-backed securities.
The payment priority and class subordination included in these securities serves as credit enhancement for holders of the senior or top portions of the structures. These securities continue to retain the payment priority features that existed at the origination of the securitization trust. Other forms of credit enhancement may include structural features embedded in the securitization trust, such as overcollateralization, excess spread and bond insurance. The underlying collateral may contain fixed interest rates, variable interest rates (such as adjustable-rate mortgages), or both fixed and variable rate features.
Equity securities of $4.46 billion primarily include common stocks, exchange traded and mutual funds, non-redeemable preferred stocks and real estate investment trust (“REIT”) equity investments. Certain exchange traded and mutual funds have fixed income securities as their underlying investments.
Mortgage loans of $784 million comprise loans secured by first mortgages on developed commercial real estate of $723 million and residential mortgage loans of $61 million. Key considerations used to manage our exposure include property type and geographic diversification. For further detail on our mortgage loan portfolio, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
Limited partnership interests include $7.73 billion of interests in private equity funds, $1.24 billion of interests in real estate funds and $285 million of interests in other funds as of December 31, 2024. We have commitments to invest additional amounts in limited partnership interests totaling $3.35 billion as of December 31, 2024.
| Private equity limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2024 | ||
| Industrial | 21.6 | % | |
| Healthcare | 13.0 | ||
| Information technology | 12.2 | ||
| Consumer discretionary | 12.0 | ||
| Communication services | 7.7 | ||
| Other | 33.5 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
| Real estate limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2024 | ||
| Industrial | 30.7 | % | |
| Data centers | 23.2 | ||
| Residential | 13.6 | ||
| Healthcare | 12.5 | ||
| Consumer staples | 5.3 | ||
| Other | 14.7 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
Short-term investments of $4.54 billion primarily comprise money market funds, commercial paper, U.S. Treasury bills, fixed income securities with a contractual maturity of one year or less at time of acquisition and other short-term investments, including securities lending collateral of $1.77 billion.
Other investments primarily comprise $201 million of bank loans, $620 million of real estate and $2 million of derivatives as of December 31, 2024. For further detail on our use of derivatives, see Note 8 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Direct real estate investments by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2024 | ||
| Agriculture | 32.4 | % | |
| Residential | 28.7 | ||
| Industrial | 17.4 | ||
| Retail | 14.0 | ||
| Office | 7.3 | ||
| Other | 0.2 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
| Unrealized net capital gains (losses) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | (315) | $ | (5) | |||
| Municipal | (143) | (43) | |||||
| Corporate | (438) | (746) | |||||
| Foreign government | 12 | 4 | |||||
| ABS | 15 | 6 | |||||
| Fixed income securities | (869) | (784) | |||||
| Short-term investments | (2) | (1) | |||||
| Derivatives | (2) | (2) | |||||
| Equity method of accounting (“EMA”) limited partnerships | — | (4) | |||||
| Investments classified as held for sale | (110) | — | |||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses, pre-tax | $ | (983) | $ | (791) |
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2024 Form 10-K Investments
| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2024 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost, net | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Banking | $ | 4,194 | $ | 38 | $ | (63) | $ | 4,169 | |||||||
| Basic industry | 833 | 6 | (21) | 818 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,706 | 25 | (62) | 2,669 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,364 | 16 | (73) | 2,307 | |||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | 6,674 | 51 | (165) | 6,560 | |||||||||||
| Energy | 2,771 | 32 | (50) | 2,753 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 2,104 | 17 | (53) | 2,068 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 2,613 | 18 | (94) | 2,537 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 815 | 7 | (19) | 803 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 5,125 | 56 | (89) | 5,092 | |||||||||||
| Other | 431 | 6 | (21) | 416 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 30,630 | 272 | (710) | 30,192 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 11,423 | 15 | (330) | 11,108 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 8,985 | 33 | (176) | 8,842 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 1,352 | 22 | (10) | 1,364 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,226 | 19 | (4) | 1,241 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 53,616 | $ | 361 | $ | (1,230) | $ | 52,747 |
| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost, net | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Banking | $ | 4,189 | $ | 31 | $ | (135) | $ | 4,085 | |||||||
| Basic industry | 1,007 | 7 | (42) | 972 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,800 | 33 | (97) | 2,736 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,767 | 33 | (115) | 2,685 | |||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | 6,813 | 93 | (251) | 6,655 | |||||||||||
| Energy | 2,645 | 35 | (63) | 2,617 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 2,111 | 17 | (88) | 2,040 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 2,800 | 21 | (153) | 2,668 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 1,104 | 13 | (45) | 1,072 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 5,330 | 109 | (123) | 5,316 | |||||||||||
| Other | 385 | 5 | (31) | 359 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 31,951 | 397 | (1,143) | 31,205 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 8,624 | 114 | (119) | 8,619 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 6,049 | 109 | (152) | 6,006 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 1,286 | 17 | (13) | 1,290 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,739 | 13 | (7) | 1,745 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 49,649 | $ | 650 | $ | (1,434) | $ | 48,865 |
In general, the gross unrealized losses are related to an increase in market yields, which may include increased risk-free interest rates and wider credit spreads since the time of initial purchase. Similarly, gross unrealized gains reflect a decrease in market yields since the time of initial purchase.
The Allstate Corporation 67
2024 Form 10-K Investments
| Equity securities by sector | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | ||||||||||||||||||
| Banking | $ | 119 | $ | 41 | $ | 160 | $ | 30 | $ | 38 | $ | 68 | |||||||||||
| Basic industry | 39 | (2) | 37 | 9 | 2 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| Capital goods | 201 | (23) | 178 | 77 | (27) | 50 | |||||||||||||||||
| Consumer goods | 462 | (25) | 437 | 89 | 17 | 106 | |||||||||||||||||
| Energy | 88 | 1 | 89 | 32 | 3 | 35 | |||||||||||||||||
| Financial services | 332 | 6 | 338 | 210 | 12 | 222 | |||||||||||||||||
| Funds | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Equities | 1,077 | 22 | 1,099 | 258 | 12 | 270 | |||||||||||||||||
| Fixed income | 764 | (14) | 750 | 1,038 | (15) | 1,023 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 75 | (2) | 73 | 58 | 5 | 63 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total funds | 1,916 | 6 | 1,922 | 1,354 | 2 | 1,356 | |||||||||||||||||
| REITs | 159 | 17 | 176 | 179 | 21 | 200 | |||||||||||||||||
| Technology | 746 | 88 | 834 | 138 | 50 | 188 | |||||||||||||||||
| Utilities | 92 | 1 | 93 | 59 | 1 | 60 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other (1) | 175 | 24 | 199 | 67 | 48 | 115 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total equity securities | $ | 4,329 | $ | 134 | $ | 4,463 | $ | 2,244 | $ | 167 | $ | 2,411 |
(1) Other is comprised of transportation and communications sectors.
| Net investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 2,298 | $ | 1,761 | $ | 1,255 | |||||
| Equity securities | 77 | 75 | 132 | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans | 36 | 35 | 33 | ||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 600 | 499 | 985 | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | 290 | 253 | 82 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 106 | 169 | 162 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | 3,407 | 2,792 | 2,649 | ||||||||
| Investment expense | |||||||||||
| Investee level expenses | (61) | (79) | (68) | ||||||||
| Securities lending expense | (103) | (93) | (30) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (151) | (142) | (148) | ||||||||
| Total investment expense | (315) | (314) | (246) | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 3,092 | $ | 2,478 | $ | 2,403 | |||||
| Property-Liability | $ | 2,810 | $ | 2,218 | $ | 2,190 | |||||
| Protection Services | 94 | 73 | 48 | ||||||||
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 100 | 82 | 69 | ||||||||
| Corporate and Other | 88 | 105 | 96 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 3,092 | $ | 2,478 | $ | 2,403 | |||||
| Market-based | $ | 2,728 | $ | 2,219 | $ | 1,566 | |||||
| Performance-based | 679 | 573 | 1,083 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | $ | 3,407 | $ | 2,792 | $ | 2,649 |
Net investment income increased 24.8% or $614 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to higher results for both the market-based and performance-based strategies. Market-based investment results continue to benefit from portfolio repositioning into higher yielding fixed income securities and higher investment balances.
68 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Investments
| Performance-based investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Private equity | $ | 583 | $ | 414 | $ | 798 | |||||
| Real estate | 96 | 159 | 285 | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income before investee level expenses | $ | 679 | $ | 573 | $ | 1,083 | |||||
| Investee level expenses (1) | (61) | (74) | (59) | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income | $ | 618 | $ | 499 | $ | 1,024 |
(1)Investee level expenses include asset level operating expenses on directly held real estate and other consolidated investments reported in investment expense.
Performance-based investment income increased 23.8% or $119 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to private equity valuation increases offset by lower real estate investment results, inclusive of investee level expenses.
Performance-based investment results and income can vary significantly between periods and are influenced by economic conditions, equity market
performance, comparable public company earnings multiples, capitalization rates, operating performance of the underlying investments and the timing of asset sales. The company typically employs a lag in recording and recognizing changes in valuations of limited partnership interests due to the availability of investee financial statements.
| Components of net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives and the related tax effect | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the year December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | (160) | $ | (433) | $ | (832) | |||||
| Credit losses (1) | (146) | (99) | (54) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments - appreciation (decline): | |||||||||||
| Equity securities | 78 | 239 | (772) | ||||||||
| Equity fund investments in fixed income securities | 4 | 43 | (128) | ||||||||
| Limited partnerships (2) | 13 | 34 | (160) | ||||||||
| Total valuation of equity investments | 95 | 316 | (1,060) | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | (14) | (84) | 874 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | (225) | (300) | (1,072) | ||||||||
| Income tax benefit | 46 | 63 | 230 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | (179) | $ | (237) | $ | (842) | |||||
| Property-Liability (1) | $ | (181) | $ | (230) | $ | (688) | |||||
| Protection Services | (11) | — | (40) | ||||||||
| Allstate Health and Benefits | (4) | 2 | (35) | ||||||||
| Corporate and Other | 17 | (9) | (79) | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | (179) | $ | (237) | $ | (842) | |||||
| Market-based (1) | $ | (307) | $ | (352) | $ | (1,083) | |||||
| Performance-based | 82 | 52 | 11 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | $ | (225) | $ | (300) | $ | (1,072) |
(1)2024 includes $123 million loss related to the carrying value of the surplus notes issued by Adirondack Insurance Exchange and New Jersey Skylands Insurance Association (together “Reciprocal Exchanges”). See Note 9 for further details.
(2)Relates to limited partnerships where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities.
Net losses on investments and derivatives in 2024 related primarily to losses on sales of fixed income securities and a loss recognized related to surplus notes issued by the Reciprocal Exchanges, partially offset by valuation gains on equity investments. Net losses on investments and derivatives in 2023 related primarily to losses on sales of fixed income securities, partially offset by valuation gains on equity investments.
Net losses on sales in 2024 and 2023 related primarily to sales of fixed income securities in connection with ongoing portfolio management.
Net losses on valuation change and settlements of derivatives of $14 million in 2024 primarily related to net losses on rate futures used to manage duration and equity futures used to manage equity exposure, partially offset by gains on foreign currency contracts used to manage foreign currency risk. Net losses in 2023 primarily related to net losses on equity futures used to manage equity exposure, losses on credit default swaps used to reduce credit risk and losses on foreign currency contracts used to manage foreign currency risk.
The Allstate Corporation 69
2024 Form 10-K Investments
| Net gains (losses) on performance-based investments and derivatives | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | 33 | $ | 76 | $ | 29 | |||||
| Credit losses | (32) | (68) | (30) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments | 48 | 58 | (35) | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | 33 | (14) | 47 | ||||||||
| Total performance-based | $ | 82 | $ | 52 | $ | 11 |
Net gains on performance-based investments and derivatives in 2024 primarily related to increased valuation of equity investments, gains on sales and valuation change and settlements of derivatives, partially offset by credit losses. 2023 primarily related to gains on sales and increased valuation of equity investments, partially offset by increased credit losses.
70 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Market Risk
Market Risk
Market risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices, commodity prices or foreign currency exchange rates. Adverse changes to these rates and prices may occur due to changes in fiscal policy, inflation, the economic climate, the liquidity of a market or market segment, insolvency or financial distress of key market makers or participants or changes in market perceptions of credit worthiness or risk tolerance. Our primary market risk exposures are to changes in interest rates, credit spreads and equity prices, and to a lesser extent, foreign currency exchange rates. We also have direct and indirect exposure to commodity price changes through our diversified investments in agriculture, infrastructure and energy primarily held in limited partnership interests and consolidated subsidiaries.
The active management of market risk is integral to our results of operations. We may use the following approaches to manage exposure to market risk within defined tolerance ranges:
1)Rebalance existing asset or liability portfolios
2)Change the type of investments purchased in the future
3)Use derivative instruments to modify the market risk characteristics of existing assets and liabilities or assets expected to be purchased
Overview In formulating and implementing guidelines for investing funds, we seek to earn attractive risk-adjusted returns that enhance our ability to offer competitive prices to customers while contributing to stable profits and long-term capital growth. Accordingly, our investment decisions and objectives are informed by underlying risks. Investment policies define the overall framework for managing market and other investment risks, including accountability and controls over risk management activities. Subsidiaries that conduct investment activities follow policies that have been approved by their respective boards of directors and which specify the investment limits and strategies that are appropriate given the liquidity, surplus, product profile and regulatory requirements of the subsidiary. Executive oversight of investment activities is conducted primarily through the subsidiaries’ boards of directors and legal entity investment committees. The Enterprise Risk and Return Council (“ERRC”) oversees the aggregate risk of Allstate and its subsidiaries. Working in conjunction with the board or the investment committee of each subsidiary, as applicable, the ERRC evaluates the risk tolerance of each subsidiary and determines the aggregate risk tolerance of the enterprise.
We use widely accepted quantitative and qualitative approaches to measure, monitor and manage market risk. We evaluate our market risk exposure using multiple measures including but not limited to:
| • Duration, a measure of the price sensitivity of assets and liabilities to changes in interest rates |
|---|
| • Value-at-risk, a statistical estimate that the change in fair value of a portfolio will exceed a certain amount over a given time horizon, at a specified probability |
| • Scenario analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur under hypothetical market conditions defined by changes to multiple market risk factors: interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices or currency exchange rates |
| • Sensitivity analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur using hypothetical shocks to a market risk factor The selection of measures used in our sensitivity analysis should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but only as an illustration of the potential effect of such an event |
In general, we establish investment portfolio asset allocation and market risk limits based upon a combination of these measures. The asset allocation limits place restrictions on the total funds that may be invested within an asset class. Comprehensive day-to-day management of market risk within defined tolerance ranges occurs as portfolio managers buy and sell within their respective markets based upon the acceptable boundaries established by investment policies. Although we apply a similar overall philosophy to market risk, the underlying business frameworks and the accounting and regulatory environments may differ between our products and therefore affect investment decisions and risk parameters. Our actual experience may differ from the results of the sensitivity measurements provided below.
Interest rate risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in risk-free interest rates. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in interest-sensitive assets. Changes in interest rates can have favorable and unfavorable effects on our results. For example, increases in rates can improve investment income, but decrease the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio which may result in sales of assets at losses. Decreases in rates could increase the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio while decreasing future investment income due to reinvestment at lower market yields and accelerated pay-downs and prepayments of certain investments.
For our issued debt, we monitor market interest rates and evaluate refinancing opportunities as maturity dates approach. To mitigate this risk, we ladder the maturity dates of our debt. For our issued noncumulative perpetual preferred stock, we monitor market dividend rates and evaluate opportunities to redeem or refinance on or after specified dates. For further detail regarding our debt and our preferred stock, see Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements and the Capital Resources and Liquidity section of this Item.
The Allstate Corporation 71
2024 Form 10-K Market Risk
Our assessment of interest rate risk reflects the effect of changing risk-free interest rates on interest-sensitive assets, including investments with callable or prepayable features. As of December 31, 2024, the fixed income portfolio duration, including the effects of interest rate derivatives, was 5.3 compared to 4.8 as of December 31, 2023.
| Change in fair value of interest-sensitive assets (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| -100 bps interest rate change | $ | 2,996 | $ | 2,530 | |||
| +100 bps interest rate change | (2,765) | (2,314) | |||||
| +200 bps interest rate change | (5,298) | (4,410) |
(1)Includes the effects of interest rate derivatives.
Credit spread risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in credit spreads (“spreads”). A credit spread is the additional yield on fixed income securities and loans above the risk-free rate that market participants require to compensate them for assuming credit, liquidity or prepayment risks. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in spread-sensitive fixed income assets.
Our assessment of credit spread risk reflects the effect of changing credit spreads on spread-sensitive assets, including investments with callable or prepayable features. As of December 31, 2024 and 2023, the spread duration(1) was 4.7.
| Change in fair value of spread-sensitive assets (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| +100 bps credit spread change | $ | (2,118) | $ | (1,898) |
(1)Includes the effects of credit derivatives.
Equity price risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in the levels of equity indices, the value of individual stocks, or private market valuations related to our limited partnership interests.
We periodically use derivatives to reduce equity price risk or to adjust our equity risk profile. Equity derivatives may also be utilized to replicate cash market positions to increase equity exposure.
Equity investments(1) As of December 31, 2024, we held $4.00 billion in equity investments that comprise equity securities, excluding those with fixed income securities as their underlying investments, and including limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities, compared to $1.52 billion as of December 31, 2023.
| Change in fair value of equity investments (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| -10% change in equity valuations | $ | (399) | $ | (127) |
(1)Includes the effects of equity derivatives.
Limited partnership interests As of December 31, 2024, we held $8.95 billion in limited partnership interests, excluding those limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities, compared to $8.24 billion as of December 31, 2023. These illiquid investments are primarily comprised of private equity and real estate funds, with valuation changes typically reflecting the idiosyncratic performance of the underlying asset.
| Change in fair value of limited partnership interests | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| -10% change in private market valuations | $ | (895) | $ | (824) |
For limited partnership interests, quarterly changes in fair values may not be highly correlated to equity indices in the short term and changes in value of these investments are generally recognized on a three-month delay due to the availability of the related investee financial statements.
Foreign currency exchange rate risk is the risk that we will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in foreign currency exchange rates. This risk primarily arises from our foreign equity investments, including common stocks, limited partnership interests, and our Canada, Northern Ireland, Europe and India operations. We use foreign currency derivative contracts to partially offset this risk.
As of December 31, 2024, we had $3.74 billion in foreign currency denominated investments, including the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts, and $1.29 billion net investment in our foreign subsidiaries, primarily related to our Canada operations. These amounts were $3.56 billion and $1.25 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2023.
| Change in fair value of foreign currency denominated investments | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| –10% change in foreign currency exchange rates (1) | $ | (374) | $ | (356) | |||
| –10% change in net investments in foreign subsidiaries (2) | (129) | (125) |
(1)Includes the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts and excludes the offset from liabilities in foreign currencies.
(2)Includes the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts and the offset from liabilities in foreign currencies.
72 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital resources consist of shareholders’ equity and debt, representing funds deployed or available to be deployed to support business operations or for general corporate purposes.
| Capital resources | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Preferred stock, common stock, treasury stock, retained income and other shareholders’ equity items | $ | 22,331 | $ | 18,470 | $ | 19,880 | |||||
| Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (“AOCI”) | (889) | (700) | (2,392) | ||||||||
| Total Allstate shareholders’ equity | 21,442 | 17,770 | 17,488 | ||||||||
| Debt | 8,085 | 7,942 | 7,964 | ||||||||
| Total capital resources | $ | 29,527 | $ | 25,712 | $ | 25,452 | |||||
| Ratio of debt to Allstate shareholders’ equity | 37.7 | % | 44.7 | % | 45.5 | % | |||||
| Ratio of debt to capital resources | 27.4 | % | 30.9 | % | 31.3 | % |
Allstate shareholders’ equity increased in 2024, primarily due to net income, partially offset by dividends to shareholders. In 2024, we paid dividends of $962 million and $117 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively. Allstate shareholders’ equity increased in 2023, primarily due to lower unrealized net capital losses on investments, partially offset by dividends paid to shareholders, common share repurchases and a net loss. In 2023, we paid dividends of $925 million and $107 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively.
Repayment of debt On May 15, 2024, the Company repaid, at maturity, $350 million of 6.75% Senior Notes.
Issuance of debt On June 24, 2024, the Company issued $500 million of 5.05% Senior Notes due 2029. Interest on the Senior Notes is payable semi-annually in arrears on June 24 and December 24 of each year, beginning on December 24, 2024. The Senior Notes are redeemable at any time at the applicable redemption price prior to the maturity date. The net proceeds of this issuance were used for general corporate purposes.
Common share repurchases On March 31, 2024, our $5.00 billion share repurchase authorization expired.
Since 1995, we have acquired 793 million shares of our common stock at a cost of $43.23 billion, primarily as part of various stock repurchase programs. We have reissued 159 million common shares since 1995, primarily associated with our equity incentive plans, the 1999 acquisition of American Heritage Life Investment Corporation and the 2001 redemption of certain mandatorily redeemable preferred securities. Since 1995, total common shares outstanding has decreased by 634 million shares or 70.5%, primarily due to our repurchase programs.
Common shareholder dividends On January 2, 2024, April 1, 2024, July 1, 2024 and October 1, 2024, we paid a common shareholder dividend of $0.89, $0.92, $0.92 and $0.92, respectively. On November 14, 2024, we declared a common shareholder dividend of $0.92 payable on January 2, 2025.
The Allstate Corporation 73
2024 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Financial ratings and strength
| Senior long-term debt, commercial paper and insurance financial strength ratings | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2024 | ||||||
| Moody’s | S&P Global Ratings | A.M. Best | ||||
| The Allstate Corporation (debt) | A3 | BBB+ | a- | |||
| The Allstate Corporation (short-term issuer) | P-2 | A-2 | AMB-1 | |||
| Allstate Insurance Company (insurance financial strength) | Aa3 | A+ | A+ |
Our ratings are influenced by many factors including our operating and financial performance, asset quality, liquidity, overall portfolio mix, financial leverage (i.e., debt), exposure to risks such as catastrophes and the current level of operating leverage. The preferred stock and subordinated debentures are viewed as having a common equity component by certain rating agencies and are given equity credit up to a pre-determined limit in our capital structure as determined by their respective methodologies. These respective methodologies consider the existence of certain terms and features in the instruments such as the noncumulative dividend feature in the preferred stock.
The Allstate Corporation (the “Corporation”) and Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”) In May 2024, S&P affirmed the Corporation’s senior debt and short-term issuer ratings of BBB+ and A-2, respectively, and AIC’s insurance financial strength rating of A+. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
In August 2024, A.M. Best affirmed the Corporation’s senior debt and short-term issuer ratings of a- and AMB-1, respectively, and AIC’s insurance financial strength rating of A+. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
In October 2024, Moody’s affirmed the Corporation’s senior debt and short-term issuer ratings of A3 and P-2, respectively, and AIC’s insurance financial strength rating of Aa3. The outlook for the ratings is negative.
American Heritage Life (“AHL”) In August 2024, subsequent to the announcement of the pending sale of the employer voluntary benefits business, A.M. Best placed under review with negative implications the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for AHL.
Other property and casualty companies We have distinct and separately capitalized groups of subsidiaries licensed to sell property and casualty insurance that maintain separate group ratings. The ratings of these groups are influenced by the risks that relate specifically to each group. Many mortgage companies require property owners to have insurance from an insurance carrier with a secure financial strength rating from an accredited rating agency.
In August 2024, A.M. Best downgraded the insurance financial strength rating of A- for the members of Allstate New Jersey Group (Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company, Allstate New Jersey Property and Casualty Insurance Company, Encompass Insurance Company of New Jersey, Encompass Property and Casualty Insurance Company of New Jersey and Esurance Insurance Company of New
Jersey). The outlook for the rating is negative. ANJ writes auto and homeowners insurance in New Jersey, which has a financial strength rating of A’ from Demotech, that was affirmed in December 2024.
In August 2024, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for North Light, our excess and surplus lines carrier. The outlook for the rating is stable.
In August 2024, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength ratings of B for the members of Castle Key Group (Castle Key Insurance Company, Castle Key Indemnity Company, Encompass Floridian Insurance Company and Encompass Floridian Indemnity Company). The outlook for the ratings is stable. CKIC also has a financial strength rating of A’ from Demotech that was affirmed in December 2024.
ANJ and North Light do not have support agreements with AIC.
Allstate’s domestic property and casualty and life insurance subsidiaries prepare their statutory-basis financial statements in conformity with accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the insurance department of the applicable state of domicile. Statutory surplus is a measure that is often used as a basis for determining dividend paying capacity, operating leverage and premium growth capacity, and it is also reviewed by rating agencies in determining their ratings.
The property and casualty business is comprised of 59 insurance companies as of December 31, 2024, each of which has individual company dividend limitations. As of December 31, 2024, total statutory surplus is $18.64 billion compared to $14.56 billion as of December 31, 2023. Property and casualty subsidiaries surplus was $18.24 billion as of December 31, 2024, compared to $14.25 billion as of December 31, 2023. Our three life, accident and health insurance subsidiaries had surplus of $392 million as of December 31, 2024, compared to $310 million as of December 31, 2023.
The NAIC has developed financial relationships or tests known as the Insurance Regulatory Information System to assist state insurance regulators in monitoring the financial condition of insurance companies and identifying companies that require special attention or actions by state insurance regulators. The NAIC analyzes financial data provided by insurance companies using prescribed ratios, each with defined “usual ranges”. Additional regulatory scrutiny may occur if a company’s ratios fall outside the usual ranges for four or more of the ratios.
74 www.allstate.com
2024 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Liquidity sources and uses Our potential sources and uses of funds principally include the following activities below.
| Activities for potential sources of funds | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporateand Other | |||||
| Receipt of insurance premiums | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Recurring service fees | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Contractholder fund deposits | ü | |||||||
| Reinsurance and indemnification program recoveries | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Receipts of principal, interest and dividends on investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Sales of investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||||
| Intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Capital contributions from parent (1) | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Dividends or return of capital from subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Tax refunds/settlements | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from periodic issuance of additional securities | ü | |||||||
| Receipt of intercompany settlements related to employee benefit plans | ü | |||||||
| Funds from dispositions | ü |
(1)Capital support is generally at management’s discretion unless contractual commitments are in place.
| Activities for potential uses of funds | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporateand Other | |||||
| Payment of claims and related expenses | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payment of contract benefits, surrenders and withdrawals | ü | |||||||
| Reinsurance cessions and indemnification program payments | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Operating costs and expenses | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Purchase of investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Repayment of securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payment or repayment of intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Capital contributions to subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Dividends or return of capital to shareholders/parent company | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Tax payments/settlements | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Common share repurchases | ü | |||||||
| Debt service expenses and repayment | ü | |||||||
| Payments related to employee benefit plans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Payments for acquisitions | ü | ü | ü | ü |
Contractual obligations and commitments We have short-term and long-term contractual obligations and commitments. We manage our short-term liquidity position to ensure the availability of a sufficient amount of liquid assets to extinguish short-term liabilities as they come due in the normal course of business, including utilizing potential sources of liquidity. Long-term obligations include known contractual commitments that require cash needs beyond 12 months.
Short-term contractual obligations are typically settled with cash or short-term investments and
operating cash flows. Most of these obligations are paid within one year. These include unconditional purchase obligations, other liabilities and accrued expenses, including liabilities for collateral and operating leases, and net unrecognized tax benefits.
We actively manage our financial position and liquidity levels in light of changing market, economic, and business conditions. Liquidity is managed at both the entity and enterprise level across the Company and is assessed on both base and stressed level liquidity needs. We believe we have sufficient liquidity to meet these needs. Additionally, we have existing
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2024 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
intercompany agreements in place that facilitate liquidity management across the Company to enhance flexibility.
As of December 31, 2024, we held $20.05 billion of cash, U.S. government and agencies fixed income securities, public equity securities and short-term investments, which we would expect to be able to liquidate within one week. In addition, we regularly estimate how much of the total portfolio, which includes high quality corporate fixed income and municipal holdings, can be reasonably liquidated within one quarter. These estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty associated with evolving market conditions. As of December 31, 2024, cash and estimated liquidity available within one quarter, under normal market conditions and at current market prices, was $28.20 billion.
Certain remote events and circumstances could constrain our liquidity. Those events and circumstances include, for example, a catastrophe resulting in extraordinary losses, a liquidity decrease in securities markets, dramatic changes in security pricing, a cybersecurity breach, a downgrade in our senior long-term debt ratings to non-investment grade status, or a downgrade in AIC’s financial strength ratings. The rating agencies also consider the interdependence of our individually rated entities; therefore, a rating change in one entity could potentially affect the ratings of other related entities.
The Corporation is party to an Amended and Restated Intercompany Liquidity Agreement (“Liquidity Agreement”) with certain subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to AIC. The Liquidity Agreement allows for short-term advances of funds to be made between parties for liquidity and other general corporate purposes. The Liquidity Agreement does not establish a commitment to advance funds on the part of any party. AIC serves as a lender and borrower, certain other subsidiaries serve only as borrowers, and the Corporation serves only as a lender. The maximum amount of potential funding under each of these agreements is $1.00 billion.
In addition to the Liquidity Agreement, the Corporation also has an intercompany loan agreement with certain of its subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to, AIC. The amount of intercompany loans available to the Corporation’s subsidiaries is at the discretion of the Corporation. The maximum amount of loans the Corporation will have outstanding to all its eligible subsidiaries at any given point in time is limited to $1.00 billion. The Corporation may use commercial paper borrowings, bank lines of credit and securities lending to fund intercompany borrowings.
Parent company capital capacity At the parent holding company level, we have deployable assets totaling $3.28 billion as of December 31, 2024, primarily comprised of cash and short-term, fixed income and equity securities that are generally saleable within one quarter. The earnings capacity of the operating subsidiaries is the primary source of capital generation for the Corporation.
The payment of dividends by AIC to The Allstate Corporation is limited by Illinois insurance law to formula amounts based on statutory net income and statutory surplus, as well as the timing and amount of dividends paid in the preceding twelve months. The maximum amount of dividends that AIC will be able to pay, without prior Illinois Department of Insurance approval, at a given point in time in 2025, based on the greater of 2024 statutory net income or 10% of actual 2024 statutory surplus. This is estimated to be $3.95 billion, less dividends paid during the preceding twelve months measured at that point in time. No dividends were paid in 2024. For the year ended December 31, 2024, the maximum amount of dividends allowed to be paid by AIC was $1.20 billion. Notification and approval of intercompany lending activities are also required by the Illinois Department of Insurance for those transactions that exceed formula amounts based on statutory admitted assets and statutory surplus.
These holding company assets and subsidiary dividends provide funds for the parent company’s fixed charges and other corporate purposes.
There were intercompany capital transactions in 2024, 2023 and 2022 between the following companies: AIC, Allstate Insurance Holdings, LLC (“AIH”), the Corporation, Allstate Non-Insurance Holdings, Inc. (“ANIHI”) and Allstate Financial Insurance Holdings Corporation (“AFIHC”).
| Intercompany capital transactions | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| AIC to AIH | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 4,203 | |||||
| AIH to the Corporation | — | — | 4,205 | ||||||||
| ANIHI to the Corporation | 325 | 175 | 145 | ||||||||
| AFIHC to the Corporation | 130 | 50 | 112 |
There were no capital contributions paid by the Corporation to AIC in 2024, 2023 or 2022.
Dividends may not be paid or declared on our common stock and shares of common stock may not be repurchased unless the full dividends for the latest completed dividend period on our preferred stock have been declared and paid or provided for.
The terms of our outstanding subordinated debentures also prohibit us from declaring or paying any dividends or distributions on our common or preferred stock or redeeming, purchasing, acquiring, or making liquidation payments on our common stock or preferred stock if we have elected to defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures, subject to certain limited exceptions. In 2024, we did not defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures.
Additional resources to support liquidity are as follows:
•The Corporation and AIC have access to a $750 million unsecured revolving credit facility that is available for short-term liquidity requirements. The maturity date of this facility is November 2027. The facility is fully subscribed among 11 lenders with the largest commitment being $95 million. The commitments of the lenders are several and
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2024 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
no lender is responsible for any other lender’s commitment if such lender fails to make a loan under the facility. This facility contains an increase provision that would allow up to an additional $500 million of borrowing, subject to the lenders’ commitment. This facility has a financial covenant requiring that we not exceed a 37.5% debt to capitalization ratio as defined in the agreement. This ratio was 20.8% as of December 31, 2024. Although the right to borrow under the facility is not subject to a minimum rating requirement, the costs of maintaining the facility and borrowing under it are based on the ratings of our senior unsecured, unguaranteed long-term debt. There were no borrowings under the credit facility during 2024.
•To cover short-term cash needs, the Corporation has access to a commercial paper facility with a borrowing capacity limited to any undrawn credit facility balance up to $750 million. The total amount outstanding at any point in time under the combination of the credit facility and the commercial paper program cannot exceed the amount that can be borrowed under the credit facility.
•As of December 31, 2024, there were no balances outstanding for the credit facility or the commercial paper facility and therefore the remaining borrowing capacity was $750 million under each facility.
•The Corporation has access to a universal shelf registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission that was filed on April 30, 2024 and expires in 2027. We can use this shelf registration to issue an unspecified amount of debt securities, common stock (including 635 million shares of treasury stock as of December 31, 2024), preferred stock, depositary shares, warrants, stock purchase contracts and stock purchase units. The specific terms of any securities we issue under this registration statement will be provided in the applicable prospectus supplements.
Long-term contractual obligations
Defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans (“OPEB”) Pension plan obligations within the next 12 months represent our planned contributions to certain unfunded non-qualified plans where the benefit obligation exceeds the assets. Obligations beyond 12 months are projected based on the average remaining service period using the current underfunded status of the plans. The OPEB plans’ obligations are estimated based on the expected benefits to be paid. See Note 19 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Reserves for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense represent estimated amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including claims that have been IBNR as of the balance sheet date. Estimated timing of payments for reserves is based on our historical experience and our
expectation of future payment patterns. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts that are our best estimates. See Note 10 of the consolidated financial statements and Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A for further information.
Reserve for future policy benefits and contractholder funds We estimate the present value of cash payments to be made to contractholders and policyholders. We are currently making payments for contracts where the timing of a portion or all of the payments has been determined by the contract. Contracts such as voluntary accident and health insurance, interest-sensitive life and traditional life insurance involve payment obligations where a portion or all of the amount and timing of future payments is uncertain. We have estimated the timing of payments related to these contracts based on historical experience and our expectation of future payment patterns. Uncertainties relating to these liabilities include mortality, morbidity, customer lapse and withdrawal activity, estimated additional deposits for interest-sensitive life contracts, and renewal premiums for life policies, which may significantly impact both the timing and amount of future payments. See Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Contractual commitments represent investment commitments such as private placements, limited partnership interests and other loans. Limited partnership interests are typically funded over the commitment period, which is shorter than the contractual expiration date of the partnership and as a result, the actual timing of the funding may vary.
We have agreements in place for services we conduct, generally at cost, between subsidiaries relating to insurance, reinsurance, loans and capitalization. All material intercompany transactions have been appropriately eliminated in consolidation. Intercompany transactions among insurance subsidiaries and affiliates have been approved by the appropriate departments of insurance as required.
For a more detailed discussion of our off-balance sheet arrangements, see Note 8 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 77
2024 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Allstate creates shareholder value while serving customers through a comprehensive risk and return framework. These risks are discussed in more detail in the Risk Factors section of this document.
We regularly identify, measure, manage, monitor and report all significant risks and assess likely returns. Major categories of enterprise risk are strategic, insurance, investment, financial, operational and culture.
Allstate manages these risks through an Enterprise Risk and Return Management (“ERRM”) framework that includes governance, processes, culture, and activities that are performed on an integrated, enterprise-wide basis, following our risk and return principles. Our legal and capital structures are designed to manage capital and solvency on a legal entity basis. Our risk-return
principles define how we operate and guide risk and return decision-making. These principles state that our priority is to maintain a strong foundation by maintaining capital strength, solvency and liquidity, complying with laws, acting with integrity and protecting customers and proprietary information, assets and technology. We strive to build strategic value by continually investing in enhancing our strategic position, creating flexibility to adapt our business model in a changing world and differentiating through innovation. We optimize risk and return through profitable growth, recognizing the value of customer relationships in operating and strategic decisions and developing new business offerings and investment opportunities while managing risk concentrations.
Governance ERRM governance includes board oversight, an executive management committee, and enterprise and market-facing business chief risk officers.
•The Allstate Corporation Board of Directors (“Allstate Board”) has overall responsibility for oversight of management’s design and implementation of Allstate’s ERRM framework, supported by the Audit Committee (“AC”) and the Risk and Return Committee (“RRC”).
•The RRC of the Allstate Board oversees effectiveness of the ERRM program, governance structure and risk-related decision-making, while focusing on the Company’s aggregate risk profile.
•The AC oversees the effectiveness of internal controls over financial reporting, disclosure controls and procedures, as well as management’s risk and control and cybersecurity program, and assists the Board in fulfilling certain oversight responsibilities as listed in the committee’s charter.
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•The ERRC directs ERRM activities by establishing risk and return targets, determining economic capital levels and monitoring integrated strategies and actions from an enterprise risk and return perspective. The ERRC consists of Allstate’s chief executive officer, chief financial officer, chief risk officer, chief legal officer and other senior leaders.
•Other key committees work with the ERRC to direct ERRM activities, including the Operational Risk and Return Council, the Information Security Council, the Internal Compliance and Control Committee, the Environmental, Social, and Governance (“ESG”) Steering Committee, liability governance committees, and investment committees.
Key risks are assessed and reported through comprehensive ERRM reports prepared for senior management and the RRC. These risk summary reports communicate the alignment of Allstate’s risk profile with risk and return principles, while providing a perspective on risk positioning. Discussion promotes active engagement with management and the RRC. Internal controls over key risks are managed and reported to senior management and the Audit Committee of the Company through a semi-annual risk control dashboard. Annually, we review risks related to the strategic plan, operating plan and incentive compensation programs with the Allstate Board.
Framework We apply risk and return principles using an integrated ERRM framework that focuses on assessment, transparency and dialogue, which provides a comprehensive view of risks and is used by senior management and business managers to drive risk-return based decisions. We continually validate and improve our ERRM practices by benchmarking and obtaining external perspectives.
Management and the ERRC utilize internal and external perspectives to determine an appropriate level of target economic capital. Internal perspectives include enterprise solvency and volatility assessments, review of key operating and model assumptions, and management judgment. Sensitivity testing and scenario analysis are used to gauge the robustness of Allstate’s risk, capital and liquidity positions. Analysis of extremely low-frequency scenarios is also used to assess the sufficiency of capital and contingency options under worst-case outcomes, including unlikely but impactful single events, as well as sequences of multiple tail events. External considerations include NAIC risk-based capital as well as S&P’s, Moody’s, and A.M. Best’s capital adequacy measurements. Our economic capital reflects management’s view of the aggregate level of capital necessary to satisfy stakeholder interests, manage Allstate’s risk profile and maintain financial strength. The impact of strategic initiatives on enterprise risk is evaluated through this context.
The NAIC has adopted the Risk Management and Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Model Act (“ORSA Model Act”), which has been enacted by our insurance subsidiaries’ domiciliary states. The ORSA Model Act requires that insurers maintain a risk management
framework and conduct an internal own risk and solvency assessment of the insurer’s material risks in normal and stressed environments. Results of the assessment are filed annually.
Allstate’s risk appetite is measured through our economic capital framework, which establishes the amount of capital needed to support the current and projected enterprise risk profile and provides a methodology for measuring risk-adjusted returns and optimizing capital allocations. The enterprise risk appetite is cascaded into individual risk limits which set boundaries on the amount of risk we are willing to accept from one specific risk category before escalating for further management discussion and action. Risk limits are established based upon expected returns, volatility, potential tail losses and impact on the enterprise portfolio. To effectively operate within risk limits and for risk-return optimization, Allstate establishes risk limits and capital targets specific to each business unit. Allstate’s risk management strategies adapt to changes in business and market environments.
Process We establish a basis for transparency and dialogue across the enterprise and for continuous learning by embedding our risk and return management culture of identifying, assessing, managing, monitoring and reporting risks within the organization. Allstate designs business and enterprise strategies that seek to optimize risk-adjusted returns on capital. Risks are managed at both the legal entity and enterprise level.
Many risk drivers impact more than one of the key risk categories. Examples include risks related to inflation and the impacts of climate change, which span Allstate’s major risk categories. Such risks are managed within Allstate’s integrated ERRM framework and the processes listed below, but the overall strategy is coordinated at the enterprise level, and holistic governance is provided by cross-functional committees such as the ERRC.
A summary of our process to manage each of our major risk categories follows:
Strategic risk and return management encompasses risks and opportunities associated with long-term business planning and strategy setting in the context of the evolving market environment.
Areas of focus include macroeconomic, regulatory and competitive conditions, as well as customer preferences and behavior, Allstate’s reputation and the continuous enhancement of internal capabilities that allow Allstate to compete effectively in chosen markets. Allstate manages strategic risks in part through Allstate Board and senior management reviews that include risk and return assessment of strategic plans and ongoing monitoring of strategic actions, key assumptions and the broader market environment.
Insurance risk and return management encompasses risks and opportunities associated with Allstate’s insurance activities, including expected trends and unanticipated fluctuations in premiums,
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2024 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
claims and future profits. Focus areas include loss frequency and severity trends and scenarios, severe weather and catastrophe exposures and claim handling processes. Allstate uses sophisticated mathematical modeling techniques to measure, monitor and manage associated risk exposures, including stochastic risk estimation and deterministic scenario analysis.
Investment risk and return management encompasses risks and opportunities associated with Allstate’s investment portfolio. Areas of focus include macroeconomic conditions and potential changes to key variables such as interest rates, credit spreads and equity price levels, as well as specific factors that may impact the returns associated with individual investments. Changes in such factors drive daily volatility in the valuations of portfolio holdings and could cause permanent impairments of capital due to credit defaults and equity write-downs.
Investment risk exposures are measured and monitored using tools such as sensitivity analysis, stochastic risk estimation and deterministic scenario analysis, which together are used to assess investment portfolio risk characteristics and how the investment portfolio contributes to the enterprise risk profile.
Financial risk and return management addresses the sufficiency of capital and cash flow liquidity to meet enterprise, subsidiary and policyholder needs. We actively manage associated risks and opportunities in light of changing market, economic and business conditions using modeling frameworks and tools that assess potential sources and uses of capital and liquidity and help ensure strategic and financial flexibility.
We generally assess solvency on a statutory accounting basis, but also consider holding company capital and liquidity needs. Capital at the insurance companies significantly exceeds regulatory risk-based capital requirements and capital levels at the parent holding company provide liquidity and financial flexibility to meet enterprise requirements.
Operational risk and return management encompasses risks and opportunities associated with Allstate’s interconnected systems of people, processes and technology. Representative areas of focus include talent, privacy, regulatory compliance, ethics, fraud, system availability, cybersecurity, data quality, disaster recovery and business continuity.
Associated risks are managed using an integrated Operational Risk and Return Management framework anchored to the ERRM Learning Loop, a continual process which includes risk identification, measurement, management, monitoring, and reporting.
Culture risk and return management addresses risks and opportunities associated with company culture, which we define as our self-sustaining system of shared values, principles and priorities that shape beliefs, drive behavior and influence decision-making. Allstate’s approach to culture risk and return management is grounded in risk and return principles and organized by Our Shared Purpose, targeting continual alignment of culture with the company’s mission, values, operating standards and behaviors.
Both operational and culture risk and return measurements and reviews are shared with key stakeholders and governance committees throughout the year.
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2024 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to adopt accounting policies and make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements. The most critical estimates, presented in the order they appear in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position, include those used in determining:
•Fair value of financial assets
•Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses
•Evaluation of goodwill
•Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation
•Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions
In making these determinations, management makes subjective and complex judgments that frequently require estimates about matters that are inherently uncertain. Many of these policies, estimates and related judgments are common in the insurance and financial services industries; others are specific to our businesses and operations. It is reasonably likely that changes in these estimates could occur from period to period and result in a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.
A summary of each of these critical accounting estimates follows. For a more detailed discussion of the effect of these estimates on our consolidated financial statements, and the judgments and assumptions related to these estimates, see the referenced sections of this document. For a more detailed summary of our significant accounting policies, see the notes to the consolidated financial statements.
Fair value of financial assets
Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We are responsible for the determination of fair value of financial assets and the supporting assumptions and methodologies. We use independent third-party valuation service providers, broker quotes and internal pricing methods to determine fair values. We utilize one quote or price to value each financial instrument in our financial statements.
Valuation service providers typically obtain data about market transactions and other key valuation model inputs from multiple sources and, through the use of proprietary models, produce valuation information in the form of a single fair value for individual fixed income and other securities for which a fair value has been requested under the terms of our agreements. The inputs used by the valuation service providers include, but are not limited to, market prices from recently completed transactions and transactions of comparable securities, interest rate yield curves,
credit spreads, liquidity spreads, currency rates, and other information, as applicable. Credit and liquidity spreads are typically implied from completed transactions and transactions of comparable securities. Valuation service providers also use proprietary discounted cash flow models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry and similar to those used by other market participants to value the same financial instruments. The valuation models take into account, among other things, market observable information (as described above) as of the measurement date, as well as the specific attributes of the security being valued including its term, interest rate, credit rating, industry sector, and where applicable, collateral quality and other issue or issuer specific information. Executing valuation models effectively requires seasoned professional judgment and experience. For certain equity securities, valuation service providers provide market quotations for completed transactions on the measurement date. In cases where market transactions or other market observable data is limited, the extent to which judgment is applied varies inversely with the availability of market observable information.
For certain of our financial assets measured at fair value, where our valuation service providers cannot provide fair value determinations, we obtain a single non-binding price quote from a broker familiar with the security who, similar to our valuation service providers, may consider transactions or activity in similar securities among other information. The brokers providing price quotes are generally from the brokerage divisions of financial institutions with market making, underwriting and distribution expertise regarding the security subject to valuation.
The fair value of certain financial assets, including privately placed corporate fixed income securities and free-standing derivatives, for which our valuation service providers or brokers do not provide fair value determinations, is developed using valuation methods and models widely accepted in the financial services industry. Our internal pricing methods are primarily based on models using discounted cash flow methodologies that develop a single best estimate of fair value. Our models generally incorporate inputs that we believe are representative of inputs other market participants would use to determine fair value of the same instruments, including yield curves, quoted market prices of comparable securities or instruments, published credit spreads, and other applicable market data as well as instrument-specific characteristics that include, but are not limited to, coupon rates, expected cash flows, sector of the issuer, and call provisions. Because judgment is required in developing the fair values of these financial assets, they may differ from the amount actually received to sell an asset in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Moreover, the use of different valuation assumptions may have a material effect on the financial assets’ fair values.
For most of our financial assets measured at fair value, all significant inputs are based on or
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2024 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
corroborated by market observable data, and significant management judgment does not affect the periodic determination of fair value. The determination of fair value using discounted cash flow models involves management judgment when significant model inputs are not based on or corroborated by market observable data. However, where market observable data is available, it takes precedence, and as a result, no range of reasonably likely inputs exists from which the basis of a sensitivity analysis could be constructed.
We gain assurance that our financial assets are appropriately valued through the execution of various processes and controls designed to ensure the overall reasonableness and consistent application of valuation methodologies, including inputs and assumptions, and compliance with accounting standards. For fair values received from third parties or internally estimated, our processes and controls are designed to ensure that the valuation methodologies are appropriate and consistently applied, the inputs and assumptions are reasonable and consistent with the objective of determining fair value, and the fair values are accurately recorded. For example, on a continuing basis, we assess the reasonableness of individual fair values that have stale security prices or that exceed certain thresholds as compared to previous fair values received from valuation service providers or brokers or derived from internal models. We perform procedures to understand and assess the methodologies, processes and controls of valuation service providers. In addition, we may validate the reasonableness of fair
values by comparing information obtained from valuation service providers or brokers to other third-party valuation sources for selected securities. We perform ongoing price validation procedures such as back-testing of actual sales, which corroborate the various inputs used in internal models to market observable data. When fair value determinations are expected to be more variable, we validate them through reviews by members of management who have relevant expertise and who are independent of those charged with executing investment transactions.
During periods of high volatility or market disruption, we may perform an analysis to determine whether there has been a significant decrease in the volume and level of activity for the asset when compared to normal market activity, and if so, whether transactions may not be orderly. Among the indicators we consider in determining whether a significant decrease in the volume and level of market activity for a specific asset has occurred include the level of new issuances in the primary market, trading volume in the secondary market, level of credit spreads over historical levels, bid-ask spread, and price consensuses among market participants and sources. If evidence indicates that prices are based on transactions that are not orderly, we place little, if any, weight on the transaction price and will estimate fair value using an internal model. As of December 31, 2024 and 2023, we did not adjust fair values provided by our valuation service providers or brokers or substitute them with an internal model for such securities.
| Fixed income, equity securities and short-term investments by source of fair value determination | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2024 | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fair value | Percent to total | |||||
| Fair value based on internal sources | $ | 563 | 0.9 | % | |||
| Fair value based on external sources (1) | 61,184 | 99.1 | |||||
| Total | $ | 61,747 | 100.0 | % |
(1)Includes $129 million that are valued using broker quotes and $341 million that are valued using quoted prices or quoted net asset values from deal sponsors.
For additional detail on fair value measurements, see Note 7 of the consolidated financial statements.
Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses
For fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale, the difference between amortized cost, net of credit loss allowance (“amortized cost, net”) and fair value, net of certain other items and deferred income taxes (as disclosed in Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements), is reported as a component of AOCI on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position and is not reflected in the operating results of any period until reclassified to net income upon the consummation of a transaction with an unrelated third party or when a credit loss allowance is recorded. We have a comprehensive portfolio monitoring process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance.
For each fixed income security in an unrealized loss position, we assess whether management with the
appropriate authority has made the decision to sell or whether it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before recovery of the amortized cost basis for reasons such as liquidity, contractual or regulatory purposes. If a security meets either of these criteria, any existing credit loss allowance would be written-off against the amortized cost basis of the asset along with any remaining unrealized losses, with the incremental losses recorded in earnings.
If we have not made the decision to sell the fixed income security and it is not more likely than not we will be required to sell the fixed income security before recovery of its amortized cost basis, we evaluate whether we expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security. We calculate the estimated recovery value based on the best estimate of future cash flows considering past events, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. The estimated future cash flows are discounted at the security’s current effective rate and are compared to the amortized cost of the
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security. The determination of cash flow estimates is inherently subjective, and methodologies may vary depending on facts and circumstances specific to the security. All reasonably available information relevant to the collectability of the security are considered when developing the estimate of cash flows expected to be collected. That information generally includes, but is not limited to, as applicable, the remaining payment terms of the security, prepayment speeds, the financial condition and future earnings potential of the issue or issuer, expected defaults, expected recoveries, the value of underlying collateral, origination vintage year, geographic concentration of underlying collateral, available reserves or escrows, current subordination levels, third-party guarantees and other credit enhancements. Other information, such as industry analyst reports and forecasts, sector credit ratings, and other market data relevant to the realizability of contractual cash flows, may also be considered. The estimated fair value of collateral will be used to estimate recovery value if we determine that the security is dependent on the liquidation of collateral for ultimate settlement.
If we do not expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the fixed income security, a credit loss allowance is recorded in earnings for the shortfall in expected cash flows; however, the amortized cost, net of the credit loss allowance, may not be lower than the fair value of the security. The portion of the unrealized loss related to factors other than credit remains classified in AOCI. If we determine that the fixed income security does not have sufficient cash flow or other information to estimate a recovery value for the security, we may conclude that the entire decline in fair value is deemed to be credit related and the loss is recorded in earnings.
When a security is sold or otherwise disposed or the security is deemed uncollectible and written off, we reverse amounts previously recognized in the credit loss allowance. Recoveries after write-offs are recognized when received.
For additional detail on investment impairments, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
Evaluation of goodwill
Goodwill represents the excess of amounts paid for acquiring businesses over the fair value of the net assets acquired, less any impairment of goodwill recognized. Goodwill is recognized when acquired and allocated to reporting units based on which unit is expected to benefit from the synergies of the business combination. Our goodwill reporting units are equivalent to our reportable segments to which goodwill has been assigned: Allstate Protection, Protection Services, and Allstate Health and Benefits.
The goodwill balance was $3.25 billion at December 31, 2024 and $3.50 billion at December 31, 2023. The decrease was related to the reclassification of goodwill as held for sale as of December 31, 2024 due to the pending sale of the employer voluntary benefits business.
Upon acquisition, the purchase price of the acquired business is assumed to be its fair value. Subsequently, we estimate the fair value of our businesses in each goodwill reporting unit, utilizing a combination of widely accepted valuation techniques including a stock price and market capitalization analysis, discounted cash flow (“DCF”) calculations and an estimate of a business’s fair value using market to book multiples derived from peer company analysis. The stock price and market capitalization analysis take into consideration the quoted market price of our outstanding common stock and includes a control premium, derived from relevant historical acquisition activity, in determining the estimated fair value of the consolidated entity before allocating that fair value to individual reporting units. The DCF analysis utilizes long term assumptions for revenues, investment income, benefits, claims, other operating expenses and income taxes to produce projections of both income and cash flows available for dividends that are present valued using the weighted average cost of capital. Market to book multiples represent the mean market to book multiple for selected peer companies with operations similar to each goodwill reporting unit to which the multiple is applied. The outputs from these methods are weighted based on the nature of the business and the relative amount of market observable assumptions supporting the estimates. The computed values are then weighted to reflect the fair value estimate based on the specific attributes of each goodwill reporting unit.
Estimating the fair value of reporting units is a subjective process that involves the use of significant estimates by management. Changes in market inputs or other events impacting the fair value of these businesses, including discount rates, operating results, investment returns, strategies and growth rate assumptions, among other factors, could result in goodwill impairments, resulting in a charge to income. Certain of our goodwill reporting units are comprised of a combination of legacy and acquired businesses and as a result have substantial internally generated and unrecognized intangibles and fair values that significantly exceed their carrying values.
Changes in our growth assumptions, including the risk of loss of key customers in the Protection Services segment, or adverse changes in discount rates could result in a decline in fair value and result in a goodwill impairment charge.
Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation
Reserves are established to provide for the estimated costs of paying claims and claims expenses under insurance policies we have issued. These reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including estimates of all expenses associated with processing and settling incurred claims as of the financial statement date.
Allstate Protection’s current period claims are typically reported promptly with relatively little lag between the date of occurrence and the date the loss is reported. Auto and homeowners liability losses
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2024 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
generally take an average of about two years to settle, while auto physical damage, homeowners property and other personal lines generally have an average settlement time of less than one year. Liability losses, especially those involving litigation, can take many years to resolve. Run-off Property-Liability involves long-tail losses, such as those related to asbestos and environmental claims, which often involve substantial reporting lags and extended times to settle.
Estimating the ultimate cost of claims and claims expenses is an inherently uncertain and complex process involving a high degree of judgment and is subject to the evaluation of numerous variables. Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense reserves.
The actuarial methods used to develop reserve estimates Reserve estimates are derived by using several different actuarial estimation methods that are variations on one primary actuarial technique known as a “chain ladder” estimation process. In this process, historical loss patterns are applied to actual paid losses and reported losses (paid losses plus individual case reserves established by claim adjusters) for an accident year or a report year to create an estimate of how losses are likely to develop over time.
In the chain ladder estimation technique, development factors are calculated which compare current period results to results in the prior period for each accident year or report year. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process, as development factors use historic data that incorporates inflation from recent prior periods in estimating future loss costs. The estimation methodology may require modification when data changes due to changing claim reporting practices, changing claim settlement patterns, external regulatory or financial influences, or contractual coverage changes. Changes in such items and inflation can result in increased variability in loss costs and reserve estimates. Actuarial judgment is then applied to develop a best estimate of gross ultimate losses. These developments are discussed further in the loss ratio disclosures within the Allstate Protection Segment and the Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense sections of the MD&A. See the Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates section for specific disclosures of industry and actuarial best practices for this segment.
How reserve estimates are established and updated Reserve estimates are developed at a detailed level, and the results are aggregated to form a consolidated reserve estimate. The detailed estimates include each line of insurance, major components of losses (such as coverages and perils), major states or groups of states and for reported losses and IBNR. The significant lines of business are auto, homeowners, and other personal lines for Allstate Protection, and asbestos, environmental, and other run-off lines for Run-off Property-Liability. Reserves are established for each business segment and line of business, independently of business segment management.
Development factors are calculated for data elements such as claim counts reported and settled, paid losses, and paid losses combined with case reserves. The historical development patterns for these data elements are used to calculate reserve estimates. Based on this review, our best estimate of required reserves is recorded.
Reserves are reestimated quarterly and periodically throughout the year, by combining historical results with current actual results to calculate new development factors. This process continuously incorporates the historic and latest actual trends, and other underlying changes in the data elements used to calculate reserve estimates. New development factors are likely to differ from previous development factors used in prior reserve estimates because actual results occur differently than the assumptions contained in the previous development factor calculations. When actual development of these data elements is different than the historical development pattern used in a prior period reserve estimate, a new reserve is determined. The difference between indicated reserves based on new reserve estimates and recorded reserves (the previous estimate) is the amount of reserve reestimate. This amount, which could be material and vary significantly from period to period, is recognized as an increase or decrease in Property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
A more detailed discussion of reserve reestimates is presented in the Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense section of the MD&A.
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| Net reserves by segment and line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | |||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 23,076 | $ | 21,286 | $ | 19,365 | |||||
| Homeowners | 4,520 | 4,754 | 3,520 | ||||||||
| Other lines (1) | 4,250 | 3,929 | 3,991 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 31,846 | 29,969 | 26,876 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | |||||||||||
| Asbestos | 774 | 804 | 811 | ||||||||
| Environmental | 259 | 267 | 267 | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 381 | 373 | 373 | ||||||||
| Total Run-off Property-Liability | 1,414 | 1,444 | 1,451 | ||||||||
| Total Protection Services | 55 | 49 | 38 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 33,315 | $ | 31,462 | $ | 28,365 |
(1)Includes the unamortized fair value adjustment related to the acquisition of National General.
| Reserve reestimates | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Reserve reestimates, after-tax (1) | $ | (243) | $ | 434 | $ | 1,375 | |||||
| Percentage impact on net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders - favorable (unfavorable) | 5.3 | % | NM | (98.6) | % |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
| 3-year average of net reserve reestimates as a percentage of total reserves for its segment (1) (2) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | |||
| Allstate Protection | 1.9 | % | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 6.5 |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)Each of these results is consistent within a reasonable actuarial tolerance for the respective businesses.
Allstate Protection reserve estimate
Factors affecting reserve estimates Generally, the initial reserves for a new accident year or report year are established based on actual claim frequency and severity assumptions for different business segments, lines and coverages based on historical relationships to relevant inflation indicators. Reserves for prior accident years are statistically determined using processes described above. These estimates are considered in conjunction with known facts and interpretations of circumstances, including our experience with similar cases, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, changes in laws and regulations, judicial decisions, and economic conditions.
Changes in auto claim frequency may result from changes in mix of business, driving behaviors, miles driven or other macroeconomic factors. Changes in auto current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the medical and auto repair sectors, changes in attorney represented and litigated claim behavior, the effectiveness and efficiency of our claim settlements and changes in mix of claim types. Injury claims are affected largely by medical inflation,
treatment trends, attorney representation and litigation costs while physical damage claims are affected largely by auto repair cost inflation, used car prices, length of claim resolution and the timing of receipt of third-party carrier claims.
Changes in homeowners current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the cost of building materials, the cost of construction and property repair services, the cost of replacing home furnishings and other contents, the types of claims that qualify for coverage, deductibles, other economic and environmental factors and the effectiveness of our claim practices.
As loss experience for the current year develops for each type of loss, it is monitored relative to initial assumptions until it is judged to have sufficient statistical credibility. From that point in time forward, reserves are reestimated using statistical actuarial processes to reflect the impact actual loss trends have on development factors incorporated into the actuarial estimation processes.
Loss experience and reserve variability are impacted by many factors, including but not limited to:
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages, changes in used car prices, labor and part cost increases, unemployment levels, changes in commuting activity and driving behavior have and may continue to lead to historical development trends being less predictive of future loss development, potentially creating additional reserve variability.
•If a legal change is expected to have a significant impact on the development of claim severity for a coverage which is part of a particular line of insurance in a specific state, judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors that will most accurately reflect the expected impact on that specific estimate.
•If a change in economic conditions is expected to affect the cost of repairs to damaged autos or property for a particular line, coverage, or state, actuarial judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors to use in the
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reserve estimate that will most accurately reflect the expected impacts on severity development.
Causes of reserve estimate uncertainty At each reporting date, the highest degree of uncertainty in estimates for most of our losses from ongoing businesses arise from claims remaining to be settled for the current accident year and the most recent preceding accident year. The greatest degree of uncertainty exists in the current accident year because the current accident year contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled as well as heightened uncertainty for claims that involve litigation or take longer to settle during periods of rapidly increasing loss costs but must be estimated as of the current reporting date. Most of these losses relate to damaged property such as automobiles and homes, and medical care for injuries from accidents. During the first year after the end of an accident year, a large portion of the total losses for that accident year are settled. When accident year losses paid through the end of the first year following the initial accident year are incorporated into updated actuarial estimates, the trends inherent in the settlement of claims emerge more clearly. After the second year, the losses that we pay for an accident year typically relate to claims that are more difficult to settle, such as those involving serious injuries or litigation. Private passenger auto insurance provides a good illustration of the uncertainty of future loss estimates: our typical annual percentage payout of reserves remaining at December 31 for an accident year is approximately 50% in the first year after the end of the accident year, 20% in the second year, 10% in the third year, 10% in the fourth year, and the remaining 10% thereafter.
Potential variability in reserve estimates Reserve estimates, by their nature, are very complex to determine, subject to significant judgment, and represent estimates rather than an exact determination for each outstanding claim, including claims incurred but not reported. Accordingly, as actual claims, paid losses, and case reserve results emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle will differ from previous estimates.
The reserve liability recorded in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position represents the aggregation of numerous analyses by each business segment, line of insurance, major types of losses (such as coverages and perils), and individual states or groups of states for reported losses and IBNR. Because of this detailed approach to our reserve analysis, there is not a single set of assumptions that determines our reserve estimates at the consolidated level or that management believes can produce a statistically credible or reliable actuarial reserve range that would be meaningful.
To develop a statistical measure of potential reserve variability, an actuarial technique (stochastic modeling) is applied to the countrywide data for paid losses combined with case reserves for each of auto liability, auto physical damage, and homeowners insurance excluding catastrophes. Based on the combined historical variability of the development
factors calculated for these data elements, an estimate of standard deviation around these reserve estimates is calculated within each accident year for the last twelve years for each type of loss. The variability of these reserve estimates within one standard deviation of the mean (a measure of frequency of dispersion often viewed to be an acceptable level of accuracy) is believed by management to represent a reasonable and statistically probable measure of potential variability.
Based on our Allstate brand products and coverages, historical experience, the statistical credibility of our extensive data and stochastic modeling of actuarial methodologies used to develop reserve estimates, we have derived standard deviations and the resulting pre-tax income for Allstate Protection reserves, excluding catastrophe losses, as shown below.
| Reserve estimate variability | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2024 | ||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Carried reserves (1) | Standard deviation | Income effect, pre-tax | |||||||
| Auto insurance - liability coverage | $ | 28,800 | 6.5 | % | $ | 1,872 | ||||
| Auto insurance - physical damage coverage | 755 | 15.5 | 117 | |||||||
| Homeowners insurance | 3,475 | 8.0 | 278 |
(1) Excludes reserves related to catastrophes.
Although this evaluation reflects most reasonably likely outcomes, it is possible the final outcome may fall below or above these amounts. Historical variability of reserve estimates is reported in the Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense section of the MD&A.
Management believes that the reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense, net of recoverables, is appropriately established in the aggregate and adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of reported and unreported claims arising from losses which had occurred by the date of the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position based on available facts, laws and regulations.
Reserves for catastrophe losses Catastrophe losses are an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance industry that have contributed, and will continue to contribute, to potentially material year-to-year fluctuations in our results of operations and financial position. We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first-party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes.
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We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, civil unrest, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
The estimation of claims and claims expense reserves for catastrophe losses also comprises estimates of losses from reported claims and IBNR, primarily for damage to property. In general, our estimates for catastrophe reserves are based on claim adjuster inspections and the application of historical loss development factors as described above. However, depending on the nature of the catastrophe, the estimation process can be further complicated.
For example, for hurricanes, complications could include the inability of insureds to promptly report losses, limitations placed on claims adjusting staff affecting their ability to inspect losses, determining whether losses are covered by our homeowners policy (generally for damage caused by wind or wind-driven rain) or specifically excluded coverage caused by flood, exposure to mold damage, and the effects of numerous other considerations. Additionally, the timing of a catastrophe in relation to other events, such as at or near the end of a financial reporting period, can affect the availability of information needed to estimate reserves for that reporting period. In these situations, we may need to adapt our practices to accommodate these circumstances in order to determine a best estimate of our losses from a catastrophe.
For example, to complete estimates for certain areas affected by catastrophes not yet inspected by our claims adjusting staff, or where we believed our historical loss development factors were not predictive, we rely on:
•Analysis of actual claim notices received compared to total PIF.
•Visual, governmental and third-party information, including aerial photos, using satellites, aircrafts and drones, area observations, and data on wind speed and flood depth to the extent available.
Reserves for Michigan and New Jersey unlimited PIP Claims and claims expense reserves include reserves for Michigan unlimited PIP coverage to insureds involved in qualifying motor vehicle accidents. The administration of this program is through the MCCA, a state-mandated, non-profit association of which all insurers actively writing automobile coverage in Michigan are members.
The process employed to estimate MCCA covered losses involves a number of activities including the comprehensive review and interpretation of MCCA actuarial reports, other MCCA members’ reports and our PIP loss trends which have increased in severity over time. A significant portion of incurred claim reserves can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims and thus a large portion of the recoverable is similarly concentrated. We conduct comprehensive claim file reviews to develop case
reserve type estimates of specific claims, which inform our view of future claim development and longevity of claimants. Each year, we update the actuarial estimate of our ultimate reserves and recoverables. We report our paid and unpaid claims based on MCCA requirements. The MCCA develops its own reserving estimates based on its own reserve methodologies, which may not align with our estimations. The MCCA does not provide member companies with its estimate of a company’s claim costs.
We provide similar PIP coverage in New Jersey for auto policies issued or renewed in New Jersey prior to 1991 that is administered by PLIGA. We use similar actuarial estimating techniques as for the MCCA exposures to estimate loss reserves for unlimited PIP coverage for policies covered by PLIGA. Unlimited coverage was not offered after 1991; therefore, no new claimants are being added.
Reserve estimates are confidential and proprietary and by their nature are very complex to determine and subject to significant judgments. Reserve estimates do not represent an exact determination for each outstanding claim. Claims may be subject to litigation. As actual claims, paid losses and case reserve results emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle may be materially greater or less than previously estimated amounts.
For additional information related to indemnification recoverables, see Item 1 - Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements.
Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates
Characteristics of Run-off exposure Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims arise principally from assumed reinsurance coverage written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s, including reinsurance on primary insurance written on large U.S. companies, and from direct excess commercial insurance written from 1972 through 1985, including substantial excess general liability coverages on large U.S. companies. Additional exposure stems from direct primary commercial insurance written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Asbestos claims relate primarily to bodily injuries asserted by claimants who were exposed to asbestos or products containing asbestos. Environmental claims relate primarily to pollution and related clean-up costs. Other run-off claims exposures primarily relate to general liability and product liability mass tort claims, such as those for medical devices and other products, workers’ compensation claims and claims for various other coverage exposures other than asbestos and environmental.
In 1986, the general liability policy form used by us and others in the property and casualty industry was amended to introduce an “absolute pollution exclusion,” which excluded coverage for environmental damage claims, and to add an asbestos exclusion. Most general liability policies issued prior to 1987 contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage. General liability policies issued in 1987 and thereafter contain annual aggregate limits for product
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liability coverage and annual aggregate limits for all coverages. Our experience to date is that these policy form changes have limited the extent of our exposure to environmental and asbestos claim risks.
Our exposure to liability for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims losses manifests differently depending on whether it arises from assumed reinsurance coverage, direct excess commercial insurance or direct primary commercial insurance. Direct excess commercial insurance and reinsurance involve coverage written by us for specific layers of protection above retentions and other insurance plans and largely has resulted in asbestos, environmental and mass tort claims. The nature of excess coverage and reinsurance provided to other insurers limits our exposure to loss to specific layers of protection in excess of policyholder retention on their primary insurance plans. Our exposure is further limited by the significant reinsurance that we had purchased on our direct excess business.
Our assumed reinsurance business involved writing generally small participations in other insurers’ reinsurance programs. The reinsured losses in which we participate may be a proportion of all eligible losses or eligible losses in excess of defined retentions. Of the majority of our assumed reinsurance exposure, approximately 85% is for excess of loss coverage, while the remaining 15% is for pro-rata coverage.
Our direct primary commercial insurance business comprises a cross section of policyholders engaged in many diverse business sectors throughout the country and did not include coverage to large asbestos manufacturers.
How reserve estimates are established and updated We conduct an annual review in the third quarter to evaluate, establish and adjust as necessary, asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims reserves. Changes to reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines asbestos reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, and determines environmental reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g., environmental damages, respective shares of liability of potentially responsible parties, appropriateness and cost of remediation) to pollution and related clean-up costs. The number and cost of these claims are affected by advertising by trial lawyers seeking asbestos plaintiffs, and entities with asbestos exposure seeking bankruptcy protection as a result of asbestos liabilities, initially causing a delay in the reporting of claims, often followed by an acceleration and an increase in claims and claims expenses as settlements occur.
After evaluating our insureds’ probable liabilities for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims, we evaluate our insureds’ coverage programs for such
claims. We consider our insureds’ total available insurance coverage, including the coverage we issued. We also consider relevant judicial interpretations of policy language and applicable coverage defenses or determinations, if any.
Evaluation of both the insureds’ estimated liabilities and our exposure to the insureds depends heavily on an analysis of the relevant legal issues and litigation environment. This analysis is conducted by our specialized claims adjusting staff and legal counsel. Based on these evaluations, case reserves are established by claims adjusting staff and actuarial analysis is employed to develop an IBNR reserve, which includes estimated potential reserve development and claims that have occurred but have not been reported. As of December 31, 2024 and 2023, IBNR was 54.0% and 55.7%, respectively, of combined net asbestos and environmental reserves.
For both asbestos and environmental reserves, we also evaluate our historical direct net loss and expense paid and incurred experience to assess any emerging trends, fluctuations or characteristics suggested by the aggregate paid and incurred activity. Other run-off claims reserves are based on considerations similar to those described above, as they relate to the characteristics of specific individual coverage exposures.
Potential reserve estimate variability Establishing net loss reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims is subject to uncertainties that are much greater than those presented by other types of property and casualty claims. Among the complications are lack of historical data, long reporting delays, uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds with potential exposure and unresolved legal issues regarding policy coverage; unresolved legal issues regarding the determination, availability and timing of exhaustion of policy limits; plaintiffs’ evolving and expanding theories of liability; availability and collectability of recoveries from reinsurance; retrospectively determined premiums and other contractual agreements; estimates of the extent and timing of any contractual liability; the impact of bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos producers and other asbestos defendants; and other uncertainties.
There are also complex legal issues concerning the interpretation of various insurance policy provisions and whether those losses are covered, or were ever intended to be covered, and could be recoverable through retrospectively determined premium, reinsurance or other contractual agreements. Courts have reached different and sometimes inconsistent conclusions as to when losses are deemed to have occurred and which policies provide coverage; what types of losses are covered; whether there is an insurer obligation to defend; how policy limits are determined; how policy exclusions and conditions are applied and interpreted; and whether clean-up costs represent insured property damage.
Our reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off exposures could be affected by tort
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reform, class action litigation, and other potential legislation and judicial decisions. Environmental exposures could also be affected by a change in the existing federal Superfund law and similar state statutes. There can be no assurance that any reform legislation will be enacted or that any such legislation will provide for a fair, effective and cost-efficient system for settlement of asbestos or environmental claims. We believe these issues are not likely to be resolved in the near future, and the ultimate costs may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded resulting in material changes in loss reserves. Due to the uncertainties and factors described above, management believes it is not practicable to develop a meaningful net loss reserve range. Historical variability of reserve estimates is reported in the Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Adequacy of reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimates
We believe our net reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, laws and regulations and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. Additionally, we rely on historical claims experience to inform the level of the recorded reserve. We calculate and record a single best reserve estimate, in conformance with generally accepted actuarial standards and practices, for each line of insurance, its components (coverages and perils) and state, for reported losses and for IBNR losses, and as a result we believe that no other estimate is better than our recorded amount. Due to the uncertainties involved, the ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates.
For further discussion of these estimates and quantification of the impact of reserve estimates, reserve reestimates and assumptions, see Note 10 and Note 16 of the consolidated financial statements and the Reserve for Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense section of the MD&A.
Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions
Our pension and other postretirement benefit costs are calculated using various actuarial assumptions and methodologies. These assumptions include discount rates, health care cost trend rates, inflation, expected returns on plan assets, mortality and other factors. The assumptions utilized in recording the obligations under our defined benefit plans represent our best estimates, and we believe they are reasonable based on information as to historical experience and performance as well as other
factors that might cause future expectations to differ from past trends. Approximately 90% of our benefit obligation relates to our U.S. qualified defined benefit pension plan.
See Note 19 of the consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our pension and other postretirement benefit plans and their effect on the consolidated financial statements.
Net costs for our defined benefit plans are recognized on the Consolidated Statements of Operations and consist of two elements: 1) costs comprised of service and interest costs, expected return of plan assets, amortization of prior service credit and curtailment gains and losses which are reported in property and casualty claims and claims expense, operating costs and expenses, net investment income and, if applicable, restructuring and related charges and 2) remeasurement gains and losses comprised of changes in actuarial assumptions and the difference between actual and expected returns on plan assets which are recognized immediately in earnings as part of pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses.
We recognize expected returns on plan assets using an unadjusted fair value method. Our policy is to remeasure our pension and postretirement plans on a quarterly basis. We immediately recognize the remeasurement of the benefit obligation and plan assets in earnings as it provides greater transparency of our economic obligations in accounting results and better aligns the recognition of the effects of economic and interest rate changes on pension and other postretirement plan assets and liabilities in the year in which the gains and losses are incurred.
Differences in actual experience and changes in other assumptions affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and expenses. Differences between expected and actual returns on plan assets affect remeasurement gains and losses. The primary factors contributing to pension and postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are: 1) changes in the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement obligations as of the measurement date; 2) differences between the expected and the actual return on plan assets; 3) changes in demographic assumptions, including mortality and participant experience; and 4) changes in lump sum interest rates and cash balance interest crediting rates used to value pension obligations as of the measurement date.
Pension and other postretirement service cost, interest cost, expected return on plan assets and amortization of prior service credits are allocated to our reportable segments. The pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are reported in the Corporate and Other segment.
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| Pension and postretirement benefits remeasurement gains and losses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of benefit obligation (gains) losses: | |||||||||||
| Discount rate | $ | (133) | $ | 104 | $ | (1,268) | |||||
| Other assumptions | 4 | 17 | (176) | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of plan assets (gains) losses | 92 | (112) | 1,560 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement (gains) losses | $ | (37) | $ | 9 | $ | 116 |
Impact of assumption changes to net cost for pension and other postretirement plans Remeasurement gains in 2024 primarily related to an increase in the liability discount rate and changes in other assumptions, partially offset by unfavorable asset performance compared to expected return on plan assets. Remeasurement losses in 2023 primarily related to losses on the remeasurement of the projected benefit obligation driven by a decrease in the liability discount rate, partially offset by gains due to favorable asset performance compared to expected return on plan assets.
The discount rate is based on rates at which expected pension benefits attributable to past employee service could effectively be settled on a present value basis at the measurement date. We develop the assumed discount rate by utilizing the weighted average yield of a theoretical dedicated portfolio derived from non-callable bonds and callable bonds with a make-whole provision available in the Bloomberg corporate bond universe having ratings of “AA” by S&P or “Aa” by Moody’s on the measurement date with cash flows that match expected plan benefit requirements. Significant changes in discount rates, such as those caused by changes in the credit spreads, yield curve, the mix of bonds available in the market, the duration of selected bonds and expected benefit payments, may result in volatility in pension cost. The weighted average discount rate used to measure the benefit obligation increased to 5.71% on December 31, 2024 compared to 5.35% on December 31, 2023, resulting in remeasurement gains for 2024.
The expected long-term rate of return on plan assets reflects the average rate of earnings expected on plan assets. While this rate reflects long-term assumptions and is consistent with long-term historical returns, sustained changes in the market or changes in
the mix of plan assets may lead to revisions in the assumed long-term rate of return on plan assets that may result in variability of pension cost. Differences between the actual return on plan assets and the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets are immediately recognized through earnings at each quarterly remeasurement date. Short-term asset performance can differ significantly from the expected rate of return, especially in volatile markets. In 2024, the actual return on plan assets was lower than the expected return primarily due to lower fixed income valuations driven by higher rates, partially offset by higher equity valuations. In 2023, the actual return on plan assets was higher than the expected return primarily due to positive equity returns and higher fixed income valuations from lower interest rates and tighter credit spreads.
We complete periodic evaluations of demographic information and historical experience that affects our pension and other postretirement obligations to identify any required changes to long-term actuarial assumptions and methodologies. Demographic assumptions affect both our pension and postretirement plans and include elements such as retirement rates and participation rates in our postretirement programs, among other factors.
These actuarial assumption updates affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and are incorporated into our best estimates of these assumptions. Remeasurement losses for other assumptions in 2024 primarily related to an increase in the cash balance interest crediting rate, partially offset by gains from an experience study. Remeasurement losses for other assumptions in 2023 primarily related to a decrease in the long-term lump sum interest rate, partially offset by gains from mortality updates.
| Impact of assumption changes to net periodic pension cost as of December 31, 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | Basis/percentage point change | Increase (decrease) to net cost, pre-tax | |||
| Pension plans discount rate | +100 basis points | $ | (392) | ||
| -100 basis points | 467 | ||||
| Expected long-term rate of return on assets | +100 basis points | (41) | |||
| -100 basis points | 41 |
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Regulation and Legal Proceedings
We are subject to extensive regulation and we are involved in various legal and regulatory actions, all of which have an effect on specific aspects of our business. For a detailed discussion of the legal and regulatory actions in which we are involved, see Note 16 of the consolidated financial statements.
Pending Accounting Standards
There are pending accounting standards that we have not implemented because the implementation dates have not yet occurred. For a discussion of these pending standards, see Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements.
The effect of implementing certain accounting standards on our financial results and financial condition is often based in part on market conditions at the time of implementation of the standard and other factors we are unable to determine prior to implementation. For this reason, we are sometimes unable to estimate the effect of certain pending accounting standards until the relevant authoritative body finalizes these standards or until we implement them.
FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000899051-24-000013.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Page | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2023 Highlights | 36 | |
| Property-Liability Operations | 41 | |
| Allstate Protection | 43 | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 51 | |
| Protection Services | 54 | |
| Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves | 56 | |
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 63 | |
| Investments | 65 | |
| Market Risk | 74 | |
| Capital Resources and Liquidity | 77 | |
| Enterprise Risk and Return Management | 82 | |
| Application of Critical Accounting Estimates | 85 | |
| Regulation and Legal Proceedings | 96 | |
| Pending Accounting Standards | 96 |
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2023 Form 10-K
2023 Highlights
Overview
The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate Corporation (referred to in this document as “we,” “our,” “us,” the “Company” or “Allstate”). It should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and related notes found under Item 8. contained herein.
A discussion of strategy, including updates to the multi-year Transformative Growth initiative, can be found in Part 1, Item 1. Business.
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2023 and 2022 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022. Discussions of 2021 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) in Part II, Item 7 of our annual report on Form 10-K for 2022, filed February 16, 2023. Certain amounts have been reclassified or recast to reflect the application of the new guidance to all in-scope long-duration insurance contracts and to conform to current year presentation.
The most important factors we monitor to evaluate the financial condition and performance for our reportable segments and the Company include:
•Allstate Protection: premium, policies in force (“PIF”), new business sales, policy retention, price changes, claim frequency and severity, catastrophes, loss ratio, expenses, underwriting results and combined ratio
•Protection Services: revenues, premium written, PIF and adjusted net income
•Allstate Health and Benefits: premiums, other revenue, new business sales, PIF, benefit ratio, expenses and adjusted net income
•Investments: exposure to market risk, asset allocation, credit quality, total return, net investment income, cash flows, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, unrealized capital gains and losses, long-term returns and asset duration
•Financial condition: liquidity, parent holding company deployable assets, financial strength ratings, operating leverage, debt levels, book value per share and return on equity
Measuring segment profit or loss
The measure of segment profit or loss used in evaluating performance is underwriting income for the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments and adjusted net income for the Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits, and Corporate and Other segments.
Underwriting income is calculated as premiums earned and other revenue, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), Shelter-in-Place Payback expense, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”), operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, and restructuring and related charges, as determined using accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”). We use this measure in our evaluation of results of operations to analyze profitability.
Adjusted net income is net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders, excluding:
| • | Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives |
|---|---|
| • | Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses |
| • | Business combination expenses and the amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles |
| • | Income or loss from discontinued operations |
| • | Gain or loss on disposition |
| • | Adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years |
| • | Income tax expense or benefit on reconciling items |
36 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K
Macroeconomic Impacts
Macroeconomic factors have and may continue to impact the results of our operations, financial condition and liquidity, such as U.S. government fiscal and monetary policies, banking system instability, the Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Hamas conflicts and the remaining impacts of the Novel Coronavirus Pandemic or COVID-19 (“Coronavirus”), such as supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and other macroeconomic factors that have increased inflation.
Inflation continues to remain elevated, which led to increases in interest rates by the Federal Reserve and many foreign governmental authorities and central banks. These actions could create significant economic uncertainty. Market volatility resulting from these factors and from disruptions in the banking industry have and may continue to impact our investment valuations and returns.
These factors have affected our operations and may continue to significantly affect our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and should be considered when comparing the current period to prior periods. Macroeconomic impacts are disclosed in Part 1 “Item 1A. Risk Factors’’, including the risk factors titled “A large-scale pandemic, the occurrence of terrorism, military actions, social unrest or other actions may have an adverse effect on our business” and “Conditions in the global economy and capital markets could adversely affect our business and results
of operations”. This is not inclusive of all potential impacts and should not be treated as such. Within the MD&A, we have included further disclosures related to macroeconomic impacts on our 2023 results.
Israel/Hamas Conflict
As of December 31, 2023, we have approximately $47 million investment exposure in the Middle East, of which approximately $43 million is held in Israel, which is primarily indirect exposure through funds managed by external asset managers.
Russia/Ukraine Conflict
The Russia-Ukraine war and related sanctions imposed as a result of this conflict have increased global economic and political uncertainty, including inflationary pressures and an increased risk of cybersecurity incidents. Allstate does not have operations or direct investments in Russia, Belarus or Ukraine, but we could experience significant indirect impacts on the investment portfolio, financial position, or results of operations.
2023 Operating Priorities and Results
Allstate continued to focus on its operating priorities while executing a comprehensive plan to improve auto insurance profitability. The table below summarizes the results of our 2023 Operating Priorities.
| 2023 Operating Priorities (1) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Improve Customer Value | Enterprise Net Promoter Score, which measures how likely customers are to recommend Allstate, finished below the prior year, reflecting the impact of substantial price increases necessary to offset higher loss costs. | |
| Grow Customer Base | Consolidated policies in force reached 194 million, a 2.8% increase from prior year. Property-Liability policies in force decreased by 2.0% compared to the prior year, as continued growth at National General was more than offset by the Allstate brand and renewals declined in the auto insurance business. | |
| Protection Services policies in force increased 4.3%, primarily due to growth at Allstate Protection Plans. | ||
| Achieve Target Economic Returns on Capital | Return on average Allstate common shareholders’ equity was (2.0)% in 2023. | |
| The Property-Liability combined ratio of 104.5 for the full year decreased compared to the prior year primarily reflecting increased premiums earned, partially offsetting continued high loss costs. A comprehensive profitability plan is being executed. | ||
| Proactively Manage Investments | Net investment income of $2.48 billion in 2023 was $75 million higher than prior year as higher market-based investment income was partially offset by lower performance-based results. | |
| Total return on the $66.68 billion investment portfolio was 6.7% in 2023. Proactive portfolio management repositioned the fixed income portfolio into longer duration and higher-yielding assets that sustainably increase income. | ||
| Execute Transformative Growth | Allstate made substantial progress in advancing Transformative Growth in 2023, including continued cost reductions, deploying a new property-liability technology platform and a new Affordable, Simple and Connected auto insurance offering in seven states. | |
| National General is building a strong competitive position in independent agent distribution. | ||
| Build a digital enterprise by expanding utilization of machine-based learning and artificial intelligence. |
(1)2024 operating priorities will remain mostly consistent with the 2023 priorities.
The Allstate Corporation 37
2023 Form 10-K
| Consolidated net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Consolidated net loss applicable to common shareholders was $316 million in 2023 compared to net loss of $1.39 billion in 2022, primarily due to improved underwriting results and net gains on equity valuations compared to losses in 2022.For the twelve months ended December 31, 2023, return on Allstate common shareholders’ equity was (2.0)% compared to (7.2)% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2022.
| Total revenue |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Total revenue increased 11.1% to $57.09 billion in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to a 10.4% increase in property and casualty insurance premiums earned and net gains on equity valuations in 2023 compared to losses in 2022.
| Net investment income |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Net investment income increased $75 million to $2.48 billion in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to higher market-based income reflecting increased fixed income portfolio yields and investment balances, partially offset by lower performance-based investment results.
38 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K
Summarized financial results
| Years Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Property and casualty insurance premiums | $ | 50,670 | $ | 45,904 | $ | 42,218 | |||||
| Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges | 1,846 | 1,832 | 1,834 | ||||||||
| Other revenue | 2,400 | 2,344 | 2,172 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 2,478 | 2,403 | 3,293 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives | (300) | (1,072) | 1,084 | ||||||||
| Total revenues | 57,094 | 51,411 | 50,601 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | (41,070) | (37,264) | (29,318) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | (29) | ||||||||
| Accident, health and other policy benefits | (1,071) | (1,042) | (1,060) | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | (7,278) | (6,634) | (6,236) | ||||||||
| Operating, restructuring and interest expenses | (7,685) | (7,832) | (7,760) | ||||||||
| Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains (losses) | (9) | (116) | 644 | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (329) | (353) | (376) | ||||||||
| Total costs and expenses | (57,442) | (53,241) | (44,135) | ||||||||
| (Loss) income from operations before income tax expense | (348) | (1,830) | 6,466 | ||||||||
| Income tax benefit (expense) | 135 | 488 | (1,292) | ||||||||
| Net (loss) income from continuing operations | (213) | (1,342) | 5,174 | ||||||||
| Loss from discontinued operations, net of tax | — | — | (3,593) | ||||||||
| Net (loss) income | (213) | (1,342) | 1,581 | ||||||||
| Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | (25) | (53) | (33) | ||||||||
| Net (loss) income attributable to Allstate | (188) | (1,289) | 1,614 | ||||||||
| Preferred stock dividends | (128) | (105) | (114) | ||||||||
| Net (loss) income applicable to common shareholders | $ | (316) | $ | (1,394) | $ | 1,500 |
Segment Highlights
Allstate Protection underwriting loss was $2.09 billion in 2023 compared to underwriting loss of $2.78 billion in 2022, due to increased premiums earned and lower unfavorable non-catastrophe reserve reestimates, partially offset by higher incurred losses and higher catastrophe losses of $5.64 billion in 2023 compared to $3.11 billion in 2022.
Premiums written increased 10.0% to $50.35 billion in 2023 compared to $45.79 billion in 2022, reflecting higher premiums in both Allstate and National General brands.
Protection Services adjusted net income was $106 million in 2023 compared to $169 million in 2022. The decrease in 2023 was due to higher appliance and furniture claim severity at Allstate Protection Plans and lower third-party lead sales at Arity, partially offset by improved margins at Allstate Roadside and lower expenses at Allstate Identity Protection. Adjusted net income was also impacted by an increase in state income taxes and deferred tax liabilities for Allstate Dealer Services.
Premiums and other revenues increased 9.4% or $220 million to $2.56 billion in 2023 from $2.34 billion in 2022 primarily due to Allstate Protection Plans.
Allstate Health and Benefits adjusted net income was $242 million in 2023 compared to $245 million in 2022. The decrease was primarily due to a decline in employer voluntary benefits, partially offset by increases in individual and group health.
Premiums and contract charges totaled $1.85 billion in 2023, an increase of 0.8% from $1.83 billion in 2022 primarily due to growth in group health, partially offset by a decline in employer voluntary benefits and individual health.
Income Taxes
The effective tax rate is the ratio of income tax (benefit) expense divided by (loss) income from operations before income tax expense. The effective tax rate for 2023 was 38.8% compared to 26.7% in 2022 due to the total income tax benefit measured against a lower loss from operations before income tax expense of $348 million in 2023 compared to a loss of $1.83 billion in 2022.
In both years, the effective tax rate was higher than the 21% federal statutory income tax rate, primarily due to tax credits, tax-exempt interest income and excess tax benefits on shared-based payments, offset by a change in valuation allowance and uncertain tax positions. In addition, in 2023, the Company recorded an additional tax benefit arising from the liquidation of a foreign subsidiary and the remeasurement of state deferred income taxes. The
The Allstate Corporation 39
2023 Form 10-K
impact of the state deferred income taxes was not material to the consolidated results of operations but resulted in a tax expense to Protection Services and a tax benefit to Allstate Protection.
For additional information, see Note 16 of the consolidated financial statements.
Financial Highlights
Investments totaled $66.68 billion as of December 31, 2023, increasing from $61.83 billion as of December 31, 2022.
Allstate shareholders’ equity was $17.77 billion as of December 31, 2023 and $17.49 billion as of December 31, 2022. The increase is primarily due to lower unrealized net capital losses on investments, partially offset by dividends paid to shareholders, common share repurchases and a net loss.
Book value per diluted common share (ratio of Allstate common shareholders’ equity to total common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares outstanding) was $59.39 as of December 31, 2023, an increase of 2.2% from $58.12 as of December 31, 2022.
Return on average common Allstate shareholders’ equity For the twelve months ended December 31, 2023, return on Allstate common shareholders’ equity was (2.0)%, an increase of 5.2 points from (7.2)% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2022, primarily due to lower net loss applicable to common shareholders.
Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses We recorded pension and other postretirement remeasurement losses of $9 million in 2023, primarily related to losses on the remeasurement of the projected benefit obligation driven by a decrease in the liability discount rate, partially offset by gains due to favorable asset performance compared to expected return on plan assets. See Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements and Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A for further information.
Adopted accounting standard
Accounting for Long-Duration Insurance Contracts Effective January 1, 2023, the Company adopted the Financial Accounting Standards Board (”FASB”) guidance revising the accounting for certain long-duration insurance contracts using the modified retrospective approach to the transition date of January 1, 2021.
Under the new guidance, measurement assumptions, including those for mortality, morbidity and policy lapses, are required to be reviewed at least annually, and updated as appropriate. In addition, reserves under the new guidance are required to be discounted using an upper-medium grade fixed income instrument yield that is updated through other comprehensive income (“OCI”) at each reporting date. Additionally, deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”) for all long-duration products are amortized on a simplified basis. Also, the Company’s reserve for future policy benefits and DAC are subject to new disclosure guidance.
In addition, the Company met the conditions included in Accounting Standards Update No. 2022-05, Transition for Sold Contracts, and elected to not apply the new guidance for contracts that were part of the 2021 sales of Allstate Life Insurance Company (“ALIC”) and Allstate Life Insurance Company of New York (“ALNY”).
| After-tax cumulative effect of change in accounting principle on transition date | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | January 1, 2021 | ||||||
| Decrease in retained income | $ | 21 | |||||
| Decrease in accumulated other comprehensive income (“AOCI”) | 277 | ||||||
| Total decrease in equity | $ | 298 |
The decrease in AOCI was primarily attributable to a change in the discount rate used in measuring the reserve for future policy benefits for traditional life contracts and other long-term products with guaranteed terms from a portfolio-based rate at contract issuance to an upper-medium grade fixed income-based rate at the transition date. The decrease in retained income primarily related to certain cohorts of long-term contracts whose expected net premiums exceeded expected gross premiums which resulted in an increase in reserves and a decrease in retained income equal to the present value of expected future benefits less the present value of expected future premiums at the transition date.
40 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Property-Liability
Property-Liability Operations
Overview Property-Liability operations consist of two reportable segments: Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability. These segments are consistent with the groupings of financial information that management uses to evaluate performance and to determine the allocation of resources.
We do not allocate Property-Liability investment income, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, or assets to the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments. Management reviews assets at the Property-Liability level for decision-making purposes.
GAAP operating ratios are used to measure our profitability to enhance an investor’s understanding of our financial results and are calculated as follows:
•Loss ratio: the ratio of claims and claims expense (loss adjustment expenses), to premiums earned. Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.
•Expense ratio: the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, restructuring and related charges and Shelter-in-Place Payback expense, less other revenue to premiums earned.
•Combined ratio: the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
We have also calculated the following impacts of specific items on the GAAP operating ratios because of the volatility of these items between periods. The impacts are calculated by taking the specific items noted below divided by Property-Liability premiums earned:
•Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio: includes catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expense
•Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio
•Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio
•Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio
•Effect of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense on combined and expense ratios
•Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio: includes claims and claims expense, restructuring and related charges and operating costs and expenses in the Run-off Property-Liability segment
Premium measures and statistics are used to analyze our premium trends and are calculated as follows:
•PIF: policy counts are based on items rather than customers. A multi-car customer would generate multiple item (policy) counts, even if all cars were insured under one policy. Commercial lines PIF counts for shared economy agreements typically reflect contracts that cover multiple rather than individual drivers. Lender-placed policies are excluded from policy counts because relationships are with the lenders.
•New issued applications: item counts of automobile or homeowner insurance applications for insurance policies that were issued during the period, regardless of whether the customer was previously insured by another Allstate brand.
•Average premium-gross written (“average premium”): gross premiums written divided by issued item count. Gross premiums written include the impacts from discounts, surcharges and ceded reinsurance premiums and exclude the impacts from mid-term premium adjustments and premium refund accruals. Average premiums represent the appropriate policy term for each line.
•Renewal ratio: renewal policy item counts issued during the period, based on contract effective dates, divided by the total policy item counts issued generally 6 months prior for auto or 12 months prior for homeowners.
•Implemented rate changes: represents the impact in the locations (U.S. states, the District of Columbia or Canadian provinces) where rate changes were implemented during the period as a percentage of total brand prior year-end premiums written.
Frequency and severity statistics, which are influenced by driving patterns, inflation and other factors, are provided to describe the trends in loss costs. Our reserving process incorporates changes in loss patterns, operational statistics and changes in claims reporting processes to determine our best estimate of recorded reserves. We use the following statistics to evaluate losses:
•Gross claim frequency is calculated as annualized notice counts, excluding counts associated with catastrophe events, received in the period divided by the average of PIF with the applicable coverage during the period. Gross claim frequency includes all actual notice counts, regardless of their current status (open or closed) or their ultimate disposition (closed with a payment or closed without payment).
•Report year incurred claim severity is calculated by dividing the sum of recorded estimated incurred losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses, excluding catastrophes, by the reported notice counts during that report year. Report year incurred claim severity does not include incurred
The Allstate Corporation 41
2023 Form 10-K Property-Liability
but not reported (“IBNR”) losses or benefits from subrogation and salvage.
•Paid claim severity is calculated by dividing the sum of paid losses and loss expenses by claims closed with a payment during the period.
•Percent change in frequency or paid claim severity statistics are calculated as the amount of increase or decrease in gross claim frequency or paid claim severity in the current period compared to the
same period in the prior year divided by the prior year gross claim frequency or paid claim severity.
•Percent change in report year incurred claim severity statistic is calculated as the amount of increase or decrease in report year incurred claim severity recorded in the current year divided by the current estimate of the prior report year incurred claim severity.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 50,347 | $ | 45,787 | $ | 41,358 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 | |||||
| Other revenue | 1,545 | 1,416 | 1,437 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (40,453) | (36,732) | (28,876) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | (29) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (6,070) | (5,570) | (5,313) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (5,255) | (5,650) | (5,622) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges (1) | (143) | (44) | (145) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (235) | (240) | (241) | ||||||||
| Underwriting (loss) income | $ | (2,184) | $ | (2,911) | $ | 1,665 | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | |||||||||||
| Catastrophe losses, excluding reserve reestimates | $ | 5,660 | $ | 3,094 | $ | 3,541 | |||||
| Catastrophe reserve reestimates (2) | (24) | 18 | (202) | ||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | $ | 5,636 | $ | 3,112 | $ | 3,339 | |||||
| Non-catastrophe reserve reestimates (2) | $ | 574 | $ | 1,726 | $ | 326 | |||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates (2) | 550 | 1,744 | 124 | ||||||||
| GAAP operating ratios | |||||||||||
| Loss ratio | 83.5 | 83.6 | 71.4 | ||||||||
| Expense ratio (3) | 21.0 | 23.0 | 24.5 | ||||||||
| Combined ratio | 104.5 | 106.6 | 95.9 | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio | 11.6 | 7.1 | 8.3 | ||||||||
| Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | 1.2 | 3.9 | 0.3 | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | — | — | (0.5) | ||||||||
| Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio (1) | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | ||||||||
| Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | ||||||||
| Effect of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense on combined and expense ratios | — | — | 0.1 | ||||||||
| Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
(1)Restructuring and related charges in 2023 primarily relate to implementing actions to streamline the organization and outsource operations, and real estate costs related to facilities being vacated. See Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details.
(2)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(3)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
42 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Allstate Protection Segment
Private passenger auto, homeowners, and other personal lines insurance products are offered to consumers through agents, directly through contact centers and online. Our strategy is to offer products that allow customers to interact with us when, where and how they want with affordable, simple and connected protection products. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 50,347 | $ | 45,787 | $ | 41,358 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 | |||||
| Other revenue | 1,545 | 1,416 | 1,437 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (40,364) | (36,607) | (28,760) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | (29) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (6,070) | (5,570) | (5,313) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (5,251) | (5,646) | (5,618) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (142) | (44) | (145) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (235) | (240) | (241) | ||||||||
| Underwriting (loss) income | $ | (2,090) | $ | (2,782) | $ | 1,785 | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | $ | 5,636 | $ | 3,112 | $ | 3,339 |
Underwriting loss improved to $2.09 billion in 2023 compared to $2.78 billion in 2022, primarily due to increased premiums earned and lower unfavorable non-catastrophe reserve reestimates, partially offset by higher losses. We are executing a comprehensive plan to improve auto insurance profitability, by raising rates, reducing operating expenses and advertising, implementing underwriting restrictions in underperforming states and enhancing claims processes to manage loss costs.
| Change in underwriting results from 2022 to 2023 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
| Change in underwriting results from 2021 to 2022 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
The Allstate Corporation 43
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Underwriting income (loss) by brand and by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto (1) | $ | (829) | $ | (2,846) | $ | 1,208 | $ | (280) | $ | (168) | $ | 54 | $ | (1,109) | $ | (3,014) | $ | 1,262 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners (2) | (624) | 701 | 411 | (179) | (30) | (98) | (803) | 671 | 313 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines (3) | (37) | (85) | 216 | (2) | (3) | 17 | (39) | (88) | 233 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | (277) | (478) | (158) | 12 | 14 | — | (265) | (464) | (158) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines (4) | 106 | 95 | 115 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 115 | 105 | 121 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Answer Financial | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 8 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (1,661) | $ | (2,613) | $ | 1,792 | $ | (440) | $ | (177) | $ | (21) | $ | (2,090) | $ | (2,782) | $ | 1,785 |
(1)2021 results include certain National General commercial lines insurance products.
(2)2021 results include National General packaged policies, which include auto, and commercial lines insurance products.
(3)Include renters, condominium, landlord and other personal lines products.
(4)Primarily represents revenue and direct operating expenses of Ivantage, distribution of non-proprietary life and annuity products and lender-placed products. Ivantage, a general agency for Allstate exclusive agents, provides agents a solution for their customers when coverage through Allstate brand underwritten products is not available. In the first quarter of 2023, National General lender-placed products results were reclassified to other business lines. Historical results have been updated to conform with this presentation.
Premium measures and statistics include PIF, new issued applications, average premiums and renewal ratio to analyze our premium trends. Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums are considered earned and are included in the financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired term of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.
| Premiums written by brand and line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 27,894 | $ | 25,946 | $ | 24,102 | $ | 6,064 | $ | 4,720 | $ | 3,763 | $ | 33,958 | $ | 30,666 | $ | 27,865 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 11,018 | 9,936 | 8,717 | 1,566 | 1,273 | 1,365 | 12,584 | 11,209 | 10,082 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 2,290 | 2,096 | 2,001 | 229 | 153 | 155 | 2,519 | 2,249 | 2,156 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 473 | 917 | 848 | 247 | 207 | — | 720 | 1,124 | 848 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | — | — | — | 566 | 539 | 407 | 566 | 539 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 41,675 | $ | 38,895 | $ | 35,668 | $ | 8,672 | $ | 6,892 | $ | 5,690 | $ | 50,347 | $ | 45,787 | $ | 41,358 |
| Premiums earned by brand and line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 27,384 | $ | 25,286 | $ | 24,088 | $ | 5,556 | $ | 4,429 | $ | 3,535 | $ | 32,940 | $ | 29,715 | $ | 27,623 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 10,333 | 9,249 | 8,272 | 1,406 | 1,169 | 1,280 | 11,739 | 10,418 | 9,552 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 2,179 | 2,016 | 1,925 | 208 | 143 | 152 | 2,387 | 2,159 | 2,077 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 593 | 919 | 827 | 218 | 204 | — | 811 | 1,123 | 827 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | — | — | — | 550 | 494 | 375 | 550 | 494 | 375 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 40,489 | $ | 37,470 | $ | 35,112 | $ | 7,938 | $ | 6,439 | $ | 5,342 | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 |
| Reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 50,347 | $ | 45,787 | $ | 41,358 | |||||
| Increase in unearned premiums | (2,004) | (1,776) | (1,143) | ||||||||
| Other | 84 | (102) | 239 | ||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 |
44 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Unearned premium balance by line of business | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | As of December 31, | ||||||
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||||
| Allstate brand: | |||||||
| Auto | $ | 7,569 | $ | 7,039 | |||
| Homeowners | 6,187 | 5,495 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 1,264 | 1,151 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 194 | 314 | |||||
| Total Allstate brand | 15,214 | 13,999 | |||||
| National General: | |||||||
| Auto | 2,547 | 2,017 | |||||
| Homeowners | 799 | 651 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 69 | 62 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 155 | 129 | |||||
| Other business lines | 317 | 294 | |||||
| Total National General | 3,887 | 3,153 | |||||
| Allstate Protection unearned premiums | $ | 19,101 | $ | 17,152 |
| Policies in force by brand and by line of business | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allstate brand | National General | Allstate Protection | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| PIF (thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 20,326 | 21,658 | 21,972 | 4,957 | 4,376 | 3,944 | 25,283 | 26,034 | 25,916 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 6,652 | 6,622 | 6,525 | 686 | 638 | 634 | 7,338 | 7,260 | 7,159 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 4,522 | 4,636 | 4,578 | 341 | 300 | 288 | 4,863 | 4,936 | 4,866 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 152 | 204 | 210 | 132 | 107 | 105 | 284 | 311 | 315 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | 31,652 | 33,120 | 33,285 | 6,116 | 5,421 | 4,971 | 37,768 | 38,541 | 38,256 |
Auto insurance premiums written increased 10.7% or $3.29 billion in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to the following factors:
•Increased average premiums driven by 2022 and 2023 rate increases. In the year ended December 31, 2023:
–Rate increases of 17.9% were taken for Allstate brand in 55 locations, resulting in total Allstate brand insurance premium impact of 16.4%
–Rate increases of 18.8% were taken for National General brand in 48 locations, resulting in total National General brand insurance premium impact of 12.8%
•We expect to continue to pursue rate increases for both Allstate and National General brands into 2024 to improve auto insurance profitability
•PIF decreased 2.9% or 751 thousand to 25,283 thousand as of December 31, 2023 compared to December 31, 2022
•Renewal ratio decreased 1.6 points as of December 31, 2023 compared to December 31, 2022
•Decreased new issued applications driven by the direct and exclusive agency channels, partially offset by growth in the independent agency channel
•The impact of the ongoing rate increases, underwriting restrictions in markets with returns below target levels and temporary reductions in advertising have and may continue to have an adverse effect on the renewal ratio, premiums and future PIF growth
| Auto premium measures and statistics | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2022 vs. 2021 | ||||||||||||||
| New issued applications (thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by brand | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate brand | 2,915 | 3,644 | 3,616 | (20.0) | % | 0.8 | % | |||||||||||
| National General | 3,000 | 2,677 | 2,057 | 12.1 | % | 30.1 | % | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 5,915 | 6,321 | 5,673 | (6.4) | % | 11.4 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by channel | ||||||||||||||||||
| Exclusive agency channel | 2,294 | 2,401 | 2,387 | (4.5) | % | 0.6 | % | |||||||||||
| Direct channel | 1,632 | 2,202 | 1,773 | (25.9) | % | 24.2 | % | |||||||||||
| Independent agency channel | 1,989 | 1,718 | 1,513 | 15.8 | % | 13.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 5,915 | 6,321 | 5,673 | (6.4) | % | 11.4 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 757 | $ | 659 | $ | 605 | 14.9 | % | 8.9 | % | ||||||||
| Allstate brand renewal ratio (%) | 85.4 | 87.0 | 87.0 | (1.6) | — |
The Allstate Corporation 45
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Homeowners insurance premiums written increased 12.3% or $1.38 billion in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to the following factors:
•Higher Allstate brand average premiums from implemented rate increases taken in 2022 and 2023 and inflation in insured home replacement costs, combined with policies in force growth
•In 2023 rate increases of 15.0% were taken for Allstate brand in 49 locations, resulting in total Allstate brand insurance premium impact of 11.3%
•National General policy growth may be negatively impacted in future quarters as we improve underwriting margins to targeted levels in the current books of business through underwriting and rate actions. In 2023 rate increases of 23.4% were taken for National General brand in 32 locations, resulting in total National General brand insurance premium impact of 11.0%
•Decreased new issued applications in the direct and exclusive agency channels, partially offset by growth in the independent agency channel
•Policy growth is being reduced in states and lines of business that are underperforming. We are no longer writing new homeowners business in California and Florida, and we are non-renewing certain policies in Florida to reduce our exposure, which have and will continue to negatively impact premiums
•The impact of the ongoing rate increases, underwriting restrictions in markets with returns below target levels and temporary reductions in advertising have and may continue to have an adverse effect on the renewal ratio, premiums and future PIF growth
| Homeowners premium measures and statistics | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2022 vs. 2021 | ||||||||||||||
| New issued applications (thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by brand | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate brand | 934 | 986 | 962 | (5.3) | % | 2.5 | % | |||||||||||
| National General | 177 | 136 | 102 | 30.1 | % | 33.3 | % | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 1,111 | 1,122 | 1,064 | (1.0) | % | 5.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by channel | ||||||||||||||||||
| Exclusive agency channel | 800 | 826 | 840 | (3.1) | % | (1.7) | % | |||||||||||
| Direct channel | 79 | 94 | 84 | (16.0) | % | 11.9 | % | |||||||||||
| Independent agency channel | 232 | 202 | 140 | 14.9 | % | 44.3 | % | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 1,111 | 1,122 | 1,064 | (1.0) | % | 5.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 1,812 | $ | 1,614 | $ | 1,426 | 12.3 | % | 13.2 | % | ||||||||
| Allstate brand renewal ratio (%) | 86.7 | 86.8 | 87.1 | (0.1) | (0.3) |
Other personal lines premiums written increased 12.0% or $270 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to increases in landlords, condominiums and personal umbrella for Allstate brand. We are no longer writing condominium new business in California and Florida and we are non-renewing certain policies in Florida, which will continue to negatively impact premiums.
Commercial lines premiums written decreased 35.9% or $404 million in 2023 compared to 2022, due to profitability actions taken to no longer offer coverage to transportation network companies unless the contracts utilize telematics-based pricing and the Allstate brand exiting traditional commercial insurance in five states, which will continue to negatively impact premiums.
The Allstate brand commercial insurance strategy is being advanced through an equity investment and commercial partnership with NEXT Insurance, a high-growth, digital platform for small business insurance which will expand the availability of our commercial lines offerings via NEXT product portfolio.
Other business lines premiums written increased 5.0% or $27 million in 2023 compared to 2022.
GAAP operating ratios include loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio to analyze our profitability trends. Frequency and severity statistics are used to describe the trends in loss costs.
46 www.allstate.com
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| Combined ratios by line of business | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Expense ratio (1) | Combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 82.8 | 87.2 | 70.5 | 20.6 | 22.9 | 24.9 | 103.4 | 110.1 | 95.4 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | 0.1 | — | — | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 85.4 | 71.1 | 73.5 | 21.4 | 22.5 | 23.2 | 106.8 | 93.6 | 96.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 82.0 | 79.7 | 62.9 | 19.6 | 24.4 | 25.9 | 101.6 | 104.1 | 88.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 105.8 | 120.7 | 97.5 | 26.9 | 20.6 | 21.6 | 132.7 | 141.3 | 119.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 48.4 | 39.5 | 38.4 | 30.7 | 39.2 | 29.3 | 79.1 | 78.7 | 67.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | 83.3 | 83.3 | 71.1 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 24.5 | 104.3 | 106.3 | 95.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | 0.1 | — | — | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Impact of restructuring and related charges | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
(1)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
| Loss ratios by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Effect of catastrophe losses | Effect of prior year reserve reestimates | Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 82.8 | 87.2 | 70.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 0.5 | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 85.4 | 71.1 | 73.5 | 38.6 | 21.6 | 27.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | (1.4) | 0.3 | 0.7 | (1.7) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 82.0 | 79.7 | 62.9 | 14.6 | 12.3 | 11.0 | 0.8 | (1.5) | (5.1) | (0.8) | 0.1 | (0.5) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 105.8 | 120.7 | 97.5 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 10.4 | 24.2 | 14.4 | 1.0 | (0.1) | 0.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 48.4 | 39.5 | 38.4 | 7.5 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 2.2 | (1.2) | (4.8) | — | 0.8 | 0.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 83.3 | 83.3 | 71.1 | 11.6 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 3.6 | — | — | — | (0.5) |
| Auto underwriting results | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the periods ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 93 | $ | (178) | $ | (678) | $ | (346) | $ | (974) | $ | (1,315) | $ | (578) | $ | (147) | $ | (300) | $ | (159) | $ | 394 | $ | 1,327 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | 78.5 | 81.4 | 87.9 | 83.4 | 90.6 | 95.3 | 84.9 | 77.6 | 78.9 | 76.9 | 68.7 | 57.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | (0.1) | 2.3 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | (0.4) | (0.2) |
Frequency and severity are influenced by:
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages
•Mix of repairable losses and total losses
•Value of total losses due to changes in used car prices
•Changes in medical inflation and consumption
•Number of claims with attorney representation
•Labor and part costs
•Changes in commuting activity
•Driving behavior (e.g., speed, time of day) impacting severity and mix of claim types
•Organizational and process changes impacting claim opening and closing practices and shifts in timing, if any, can impact comparisons to prior periods
The quarterly auto loss ratio has been more variable due to these and additional factors discussed below.
Auto loss ratio decreased 4.4 points in 2023 compared to 2022 driven by increased earned premium compared to the prior year. Estimated report year 2023 incurred claim severity for Allstate brand, excluding Esurance and Canada, had a weighted average increase of between 8% to 9% compared to report year 2022 for major coverages due to higher part costs and labor rates for repairable vehicles, a higher mix of total losses, higher costs for claims with attorney representation, higher medical consumption and inflation. Gross claim frequency increased relative to the prior year. We are enhancing our claims practices to manage loss costs by increasing resources and expanding re-inspections, accelerating resolution of bodily injury claims, and negotiating improved vendor services and parts agreements.
The Allstate Corporation 47
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Homeowners loss ratio increased 14.3 points in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to higher catastrophe losses and severity, partially offset by increased premiums earned.
| Allstate brand homeowners frequency and severity statistics (excluding catastrophe losses) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% change year-over-year) | |||
| For the year ended December 31, 2023 | |||
| Gross claim frequency | (4.2) | % | |
| Paid claim severity | 11.8 |
Gross claim frequency decreased in 2023 compared to 2022 primarily due to fire and water perils. Paid claim severity increased in 2023 compared to 2022 due to inflationary loss cost pressure driven by increases in labor and materials costs. Homeowner paid claim severity can be impacted by both the mix of perils and the magnitude of specific losses paid during the period.
Other personal lines loss ratio increased 2.3 points in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to higher catastrophe losses and increased severity, partially offset by increased premiums earned.
Commercial lines loss ratio decreased 14.9 points in 2023 compared to 2022 primarily due to the result of profitability actions taken and lower unfavorable reserve reestimates, partially offset by continued elevated frequency and severity.
Other business lines loss ratio increased 8.9 points in 2023 compared to 2022 primarily due to higher non-catastrophe losses and unfavorable prior year reserve reestimates.
Catastrophe losses increased 81.1% or $2.52 billion in 2023 compared to 2022 primarily related to an increased number of wind/hail events and larger losses per event.
Reinsurance recoveries in 2021 related to the Nationwide Aggregate Reinsurance Program for aggregate catastrophe losses occurring between April 1, 2020 and December 31, 2020, which primarily impacted homeowners prior year reserve reestimates.
We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes.
We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, civil unrest, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
| Catastrophe losses by the type of event | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Number of events | 2023 | Number of events | 2022 | Number of events | 2021 | ||||||||||||||
| Hurricanes/tropical storms | 3 | $ | 66 | 2 | $ | 399 | 6 | $ | 742 | |||||||||||
| Tornadoes | 4 | 189 | 4 | 192 | 3 | 107 | ||||||||||||||
| Wind/hail | 136 | 5,065 | 106 | 1,936 | 85 | 1,878 | ||||||||||||||
| Wildfires | 4 | 335 | 9 | 52 | 5 | 269 | ||||||||||||||
| Freeze/other events | 2 | 5 | 3 | 515 | 2 | 611 | ||||||||||||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates | (24) | 28 | 35 | |||||||||||||||||
| Prior year aggregate reinsurance recoveries | — | (10) | (237) | |||||||||||||||||
| Current year aggregate reinsurance recoveries | — | — | (66) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses (1) | 149 | $ | 5,636 | 124 | $ | 3,112 | 101 | $ | 3,339 |
(1)2021 includes approximately $250 million of reinstatement premiums for the year ended December 31, 2021, related to the Nationwide Catastrophe Reinsurance Program, primarily due to Hurricane Ida.
Catastrophe management
Historical catastrophe experience For the last ten years, the average annual impact of catastrophes on our loss ratio was 8.3 points, but it has varied from 5.7 points to 11.6 points. The average annual impact of catastrophes on the homeowners loss ratio for the last ten years was 27.1 points. Over time, we have limited our aggregate insurance exposure to catastrophe losses in certain regions of the country that are subject to high levels of natural catastrophes by our participation in various state facilities. For further discussion of these facilities, see Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements. However, the impact of these actions may be diminished by the growth in insured values, the effect of state insurance
laws and regulations and we may not be able to maintain our current level of reinsurance or purchase new reinsurance protection in amounts we consider sufficient at acceptable prices. In addition, in various states we are required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers. Because of our participation in these and other state facilities such as wind pools, we may be exposed to losses that surpass the capitalization of these facilities and to assessments from these facilities.
48 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
We have continued to take actions to maintain an appropriate level of exposure to catastrophic events while continuing to meet the needs of our customers, including the following:
•Continuing to limit or not offer new homeowners, manufactured home and landlord package policy business in certain coastal geographies. Additionally, we:
–Wrote a limited number of homeowners policies in select areas of California from 2016 to 2022, but are no longer writing new homeowners and condominium business in the state of California. We may take further action to reduce our exposure.
–Reduced our exposure to high risk areas, including California and Florida. Since December 31, 2022, PIF has declined by an average of approximately 7% in those two states.
–Write homeowners coverage, excluding in Florida, through our excess and surplus lines carrier, North Light Specialty Insurance Company (“North Light”), which includes earthquake coverage (other than fire following earthquakes) that is currently ceded via quota share reinsurance.
•Increased capacity in our brokerage platform for customers not offered an Allstate policy. As of December 31, 2023, Ivantage had $2.19 billion non-proprietary premiums under management.
•Ceded wind exposure related to insured property located in wind pool eligible areas in certain states.
•Generally require higher deductibles for tropical cyclone than all peril deductibles and are in place for a large portion of coastal insured properties.
•Include coverage for flood-related losses for auto comprehensive damage coverage since we have additional catastrophe exposure, beyond the property lines, for auto customers who have purchased comprehensive damage coverage.
•Offer a homeowners policy in 43 states. Allstate House and Home® provides options of coverage for roof damage, including graduated coverage and pricing based on roof type and age. In 2023, premiums written totaled $6.84 billion or 54.3% of homeowners premiums written compared to $5.60 billion or 49.9% in 2022.
Hurricanes We consider the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to hurricanes to be major metropolitan centers in counties along the eastern and gulf coasts of the United States. The average premium on a property policy near these coasts is generally greater than in other areas. However, average premiums are often not considered commensurate with the inherent risk of loss. In addition, as explained in Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements, in various states Allstate is subject to assessments from assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations providing insurance for wind related property losses.
We have addressed our risk of hurricane loss by, among other actions, purchasing reinsurance for specific states and on a countrywide basis for our personal lines property insurance in areas most exposed to hurricanes, limiting personal homeowners, landlord package policy and manufactured home new business writings in coastal areas in southern and eastern states, implementing tropical cyclone deductibles where appropriate, and not offering continuing coverage on certain policies in coastal counties in certain states. We continue to seek appropriate returns for the risks we write. This may require further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not getting appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Earthquakes We do not offer earthquake coverage in most states. We retain approximately 25,000 PIF with earthquake coverage, with the largest number of policies located in Kentucky, due to regulatory and other reasons. We purchase reinsurance in Kentucky and enter into arrangements in many states to make earthquake coverage available through our brokerage platform.
We continue to have exposure to earthquake risk on certain policies that do not specifically exclude coverage for earthquake losses, including our auto policies, and to fires following earthquakes. Allstate homeowner policyholders in California are offered coverage for damage caused by an earthquake through the California Earthquake Authority (“CEA”), a privately-financed, publicly-managed state agency created to provide insurance coverage for earthquake damage. Allstate is subject to assessments from the CEA under certain circumstances as explained in Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements. While North Light writes property policies in California, which can include earthquake coverage, this coverage is 100% ceded via quota share reinsurance.
Fires following earthquakes Under a standard homeowners policy we cover fire losses, including those caused by an earthquake. Actions taken related to our risk of loss from fires following earthquakes include restrictive underwriting guidelines in California for new business writings, purchasing reinsurance for Kentucky personal lines property risks, and purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, excluding Florida.
Wildfires Actions taken related to managing our risk of loss from wildfires include purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, new and renewal inspection programs to identify and remediate wildfire risk as well as leveraging contemporary underwriting tools in select areas. While these programs are designed to mitigate risk, the exposure to wildfires still exists. We continue to manage our exposure and seek appropriate returns for the risks we write.
To manage the exposure, we may implement further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not achieving appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically
The Allstate Corporation 49
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Catastrophe reinsurance The total cost of our property catastrophe reinsurance programs, excluding reinstatement premiums, during 2023 was $1.02 billion compared to $788 million during 2022. Catastrophe placement premiums are a reduction of premium with approximately 74% related to homeowners. The increases were driven by higher Nationwide program
costs. A description of our current catastrophe reinsurance program appears in Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
Expense ratio decreased 2.0 points in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to higher earned premium growth relative to fixed costs and lower advertising costs, partially offset by higher restructuring costs.
| Impact of specific costs and expenses on the expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 vs 2022 | 2022 vs 2021 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | $ | 6,070 | $ | 5,570 | $ | 5,313 | $ | 500 | $ | 257 | |||||||||
| Advertising expense | 638 | 934 | 1,249 | (296) | (315) | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 235 | 240 | 241 | (5) | (1) | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses, net of other revenue | 3,068 | 3,296 | 2,952 | (228) | 344 | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 142 | 44 | 145 | 98 | (101) | ||||||||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | 29 | — | (29) | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Special Payment plan bad debt expense | — | — | (20) | — | 20 | ||||||||||||||
| Total underwriting expenses | $ | 10,153 | $ | 10,084 | $ | 9,909 | $ | 69 | $ | 175 | |||||||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 48,427 | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 | $ | 4,518 | $ | 3,455 | |||||||||
| Expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 12.5 | 12.7 | 13.1 | (0.2) | (0.4) | ||||||||||||||
| Advertising expense | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.1 | (0.9) | (0.9) | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | 6.4 | 7.5 | 7.2 | (1.1) | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Subtotal | 20.2 | 22.4 | 23.4 | (2.2) | (1.0) | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | — | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | (0.3) | ||||||||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | 0.1 | — | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Special Payment plan bad debt expense | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Total expense ratio | 21.0 | 23.0 | 24.5 | (2.0) | (1.5) |
Deferred acquisition costs We establish a DAC asset for costs that are related directly to the acquisition of new or renewal insurance policies, principally agent remuneration and premium taxes. DAC is amortized to income over the period in which premiums are earned.
| DAC balance as of December 31 by product type | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| Auto | $ | 1,207 | $ | 1,089 | |||
| Homeowners | 890 | 788 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 177 | 164 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 42 | 54 | |||||
| Other business lines | 63 | 51 | |||||
| Total DAC | $ | 2,379 | $ | 2,146 |
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2023 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
Run-off Property-Liability Segment
The Run-off Property-Liability segment includes results from property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off lines claims arises principally from direct excess commercial insurance, assumed reinsurance coverage, direct primary commercial insurance and other businesses in run-off. We may pursue settlement agreements including policy buybacks on direct excess commercial business when appropriate to improve the certainty of the liabilities. Settlement agreements are negotiated contracts between Allstate and third parties that generally set forth the rights and obligations of the parties, including terms of payment for claims. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | (44) | $ | (34) | $ | (63) | |||||
| Environmental claims | (18) | (56) | (40) | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | (27) | (35) | (13) | ||||||||
| Total claims and claims expense | (89) | (125) | (116) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (5) | (4) | (4) | ||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (94) | $ | (129) | $ | (120) |
Underwriting losses in 2023 and 2022 primarily related to our annual reserve review using established industry and actuarial best practices. The annual review resulted in unfavorable reserve reestimates totaling $80 million and $118 million in 2023 and 2022, respectively. The reserve reestimates are included as part of claims and claims expense.
The reserve reestimates in 2023 primarily related to new reported information and defense costs for asbestos and other run-off exposures and higher than expected environmental reported losses. The reserve reestimates in 2022 primarily related to new reported information and defense costs for asbestos and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures.
We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws, regulations, and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. However, as we progress with the resolution of disputed claims in the courts and arbitrations and with negotiations and settlements, our reported losses may be more variable.
| Reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,166 | $ | 1,190 | |||
| Reinsurance | (362) | (379) | |||||
| Net reserves | 804 | 811 | |||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 331 | 328 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (64) | (61) | |||||
| Net reserves | 267 | 267 | |||||
| Other run-off claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 445 | 437 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (72) | (64) | |||||
| Net reserves | 373 | 373 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,942 | 1,955 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (498) | (504) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,444 | $ | 1,451 |
The Allstate Corporation 51
2023 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
| Reserves by type of exposure before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,114 | $ | 1,106 | |||
| Reinsurance | (382) | (385) | |||||
| Net reserves | 732 | 721 | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 603 | 618 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (54) | (56) | |||||
| Net reserves | 549 | 562 | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 140 | 148 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (61) | (62) | |||||
| Net reserves | 79 | 86 | |||||
| Other run-off business | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Reinsurance | — | — | |||||
| Net reserves | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Unallocated loss adjustment expenses | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 84 | 82 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (1) | (1) | |||||
| Net reserves | 83 | 81 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,942 | 1,955 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (498) | (504) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,444 | $ | 1,451 |
| Percentage of gross and ceded reserves by case and IBNR | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||
| Case | IBNR | Case | IBNR | |||||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves (1) | 57 | % | 43 | % | 58 | % | 42 | % | ||||
| Ceded (2) | 63 | 37 | 63 | 37 | ||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 32 | 68 | 31 | 69 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 43 | 57 | 33 | 67 | ||||||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 59 | 41 | 57 | 43 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 83 | 17 | 81 | 19 |
(1)Approximately 68% and 64% of gross case reserves as of December 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively, are subject to settlement agreements.
(2)Approximately 72% and 70% of ceded case reserves as of December 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively, are subject to settlement agreements.
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2023 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
| Gross payments from case reserves by type of exposure | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | For the years ended December 31, | ||||||
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross (1) | $ | 72 | $ | 82 | |||
| Ceded (2) | (27) | (35) | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross | 45 | 35 | |||||
| Ceded | (8) | (3) | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross | 7 | 7 | |||||
| Ceded | — | (1) |
(1) In 2023 and 2022, 85% and 88% of payments related to settlement agreements, respectively.
(2) In 2023 and 2022, 83% and 94% of payments related to settlement agreements, respectively.
Total net reserves as of December 31, 2023, included $762 million or 53% of estimated IBNR reserves compared to $765 million or 53% of estimated IBNR reserves as of December 31, 2022.
Total gross payments were $124 million and $125 million for 2023 and 2022, respectively. Payments primarily related to settlement agreements reached with several insureds on large claims, mainly asbestos related losses, where the scope of coverages has been agreed upon. The claims associated with these settlement agreements are expected to be substantially paid out over the next several years as qualified claims are submitted by these insureds.
Reinsurance collections were $35 million and $37 million for 2023 and 2022, respectively. The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables was $59 million and $58 million as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. The allowance represents 10.3% and 10.0% of the related reinsurance recoverable balances as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively.
The Allstate Corporation 53
2023 Form 10-K Protection Services
Protection Services Segment
Protection Services comprise Allstate Protection Plans, Allstate Dealer Services, Allstate Roadside, Arity and Allstate Identity Protection. In 2023, Protection Services represented 78.5% of total PIF and 5.0% of premiums written. We offer consumer product protection plans, protection and insurance products (including vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection, road hazard tire and wheel and paintless dent repair protection), roadside assistance, device and mobile data collection services and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information, identity theft protection and remediation services. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 2,663 | $ | 2,699 | $ | 2,642 | |||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Premiums | $ | 2,243 | $ | 1,995 | $ | 1,764 | |||||
| Other revenue | 319 | 347 | 354 | ||||||||
| Intersegment insurance premiums and service fees (1) | 138 | 149 | 175 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 73 | 48 | 43 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (632) | (532) | (458) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (1,058) | (928) | (795) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (889) | (874) | (837) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (6) | (2) | (14) | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (83) | (35) | (52) | ||||||||
| Less: noncontrolling interest | (1) | (1) | 1 | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 106 | $ | 169 | $ | 179 | |||||
| Allstate Protection Plans | $ | 117 | $ | 150 | $ | 142 | |||||
| Allstate Dealer Services | (15) | 35 | 34 | ||||||||
| Allstate Roadside | 24 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||
| Arity | (18) | (11) | 3 | ||||||||
| Allstate Identity Protection | (2) | (12) | (7) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 106 | $ | 169 | $ | 179 | |||||
| Allstate Protection Plans | 145,292 | 138,726 | 141,073 | ||||||||
| Allstate Dealer Services | 3,776 | 3,865 | 3,956 | ||||||||
| Allstate Roadside | 553 | 531 | 525 | ||||||||
| Allstate Identity Protection | 2,884 | 3,112 | 2,802 | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 152,505 | 146,234 | 148,356 |
(1)Primarily related to Arity and Allstate Roadside and are eliminated in our consolidated financial statements.
Adjusted net income decreased 37.3% or $63 million in 2023 compared to 2022, due to an increase in state income taxes and deferred tax liabilities for Allstate Dealer Services, higher appliance and furniture claim severity at Allstate Protection Plans and lower third-party lead sales at Arity, partially offset by improved margins at Allstate Roadside and lower expenses at Allstate Identity Protection.
Premiums written decreased 1.3% or $36 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to a decrease at Allstate Dealer Services and lower rescue volumes at
Allstate Roadside, partially offset by international growth at Allstate Protection Plans.
PIF increased 4.3% or 6 million in 2023 compared to 2022 due to an increase at Allstate Protection Plans.
Other revenue decreased 8.1% or $28 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to reductions in third-party lead sales at Arity.
Intersegment premiums and service fees decreased 7.4% to $138 million in 2023 compared to 2022, driven by decreased device sales for the
54 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Protection Services
Drivewise® offering at Arity due to a shift from devices to a lower cost mobile phone program.
Claims and claims expense increased 18.8% or $100 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily driven by higher levels of claims at Allstate Protection Plans driven by growth in the business and higher severity at both Allstate Protection Plans and Allstate Dealer Services, partially offset by lower frequency at Allstate Roadside.
Amortization of DAC increased 14.0% or $130 million in 2023 compared to 2022, driven by revenue growth at both Allstate Protection Plans and Allstate Dealer Services.
Operating costs and expenses increased 1.7% or $15 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to growth at Allstate Protection Plans, partially offset by lower expenses at Arity.
Restructuring and related charges increased $4 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to restructuring charges at Allstate Roadside.
The Allstate Corporation 55
2023 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of claims and claims expense reserves. For a description of our reserve process, see Note 9 of the consolidated financial statements. Further, for a description of our reserving policies and the potential variability in our reserve estimates, see the Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A. These reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including IBNR claims, as of the reporting date.
The facts and circumstances leading to reestimates of reserves relate to changes in claim activity and revisions to the development factors used to predict how losses are likely to develop from the end of a reporting period until all claims have been paid. Reestimates occur when actual losses differ from those predicted by the estimated development factors used in prior reserve estimates.
We believe the net loss reserves exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, laws and regulations.
| Total reserves, net of recoverables (“net reserves”), as of December 31 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 29,969 | $ | 26,876 | $ | 22,124 | |||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 1,444 | 1,451 | 1,421 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 31,413 | 28,327 | 23,545 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 49 | 38 | 36 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 31,462 | $ | 28,365 | $ | 23,581 | |||||
| Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | $ | 39,858 | $ | 37,541 | $ | 33,060 | |||||
| Less: reinsurance and indemnification recoverables (1) | 8,396 | 9,176 | 9,479 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 31,462 | $ | 28,365 | $ | 23,581 |
(1)Includes $6.36 billion, $6.66 billion and $6.64 billion of unpaid indemnification recoverables related to the Michigan Catastrophic Claims Association (“MCCA”) as of December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
| Impact of reserve reestimates by brand on combined ratio and net income applicable to common shareholders(1) (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 461 | 0.9 | $ | 1,619 | 3.6 | $ | 8 | — | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 89 | 0.2 | 125 | 0.3 | 116 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 550 | 1.1 | 1,744 | 3.9 | 124 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | (1) | — | (3) | — | (2) | — | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 549 | $ | 1,741 | $ | 122 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates, after-tax | $ | 434 | $ | 1,375 | $ | 96 | ||||||||||||||
| Consolidated net (loss) income applicable to common shareholders | $ | (316) | $ | (1,394) | $ | 1,500 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates as a % impact on consolidated net (loss) income applicable to common shareholders | NM | (98.6) | % | (6.4) | % | |||||||||||||||
| Property-Liability prior year reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses | $ | (24) | $ | 18 | $ | (202) |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)Ratios are calculated using property and casualty premiums earned.
NM = not meaningful
56 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
The following tables reflect the accident years to which the reestimates shown above are applicable. Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
| Prior year reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 2018 & prior | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 230 | $ | 130 | $ | 84 | $ | 401 | $ | (384) | $ | 461 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 89 | — | — | — | — | 89 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 319 | 130 | 84 | 401 | (384) | 550 | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (1) | (1) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 319 | $ | 130 | $ | 84 | $ | 401 | $ | (385) | $ | 549 | |||||||||||
| 2022 | 2017 & prior | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 27 | $ | 161 | $ | 294 | $ | 345 | $ | 792 | $ | 1,619 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 125 | — | — | — | — | 125 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 152 | 161 | 294 | 345 | 792 | 1,744 | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (3) | (3) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 152 | $ | 161 | $ | 294 | $ | 345 | $ | 789 | $ | 1,741 | |||||||||||
| 2021 | 2016 & prior | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (130) | $ | 100 | $ | (67) | $ | 231 | $ | (126) | $ | 8 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 116 | — | — | — | — | 116 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | (14) | 100 | (67) | 231 | (126) | 124 | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (2) | (2) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (14) | $ | 100 | $ | (67) | $ | 231 | $ | (128) | $ | 122 |
Allstate Protection
The tables below show Allstate Protection net reserves representing the estimated cost of outstanding claims as they were recorded at the beginning of years 2023, 2022, and 2021, and the effect of reestimates in each year.
| Net reserves by line | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 1 reserves | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Auto (1) | $ | 19,365 | $ | 16,078 | $ | 14,164 | |||||
| Homeowners (1) | 3,520 | 2,731 | 2,315 | ||||||||
| Other personal lines | 1,653 | 1,844 | 1,463 | ||||||||
| Commercial lines and other (2) | 2,338 | 1,471 | 1,194 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | $ | 26,876 | $ | 22,124 | $ | 19,136 |
(1)2022 includes a $944 million reclassification of reserves from homeowners to auto.
(2)2023 and 2022 include the unamortized fair value adjustment related to the acquisition of National General.
| Impact of reserve reestimates by line on combined ratio and underwriting income | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | ||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 244 | 0.5 | $ | 1,185 | 2.7 | $ | 149 | 0.4 | |||||||||||
| Homeowners | 102 | 0.2 | 200 | 0.4 | (135) | (0.3) | ||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 19 | 0.1 | (32) | (0.1) | (107) | (0.3) | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 84 | 0.2 | 272 | 0.6 | 119 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Other business lines | 12 | — | (6) | — | (18) | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | $ | 461 | 1.0 | $ | 1,619 | 3.6 | $ | 8 | — | |||||||||||
| Underwriting (loss) income | $ | (2,090) | $ | (2,782) | $ | 1,785 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates as a % impact on underwriting (loss) income - favorable (unfavorable) | (22.1) | % | (58.2) | % | (0.4) | % |
Unfavorable reserve reestimates in 2023 were primarily due to National General personal auto lines, homeowners and commercial lines.
Unfavorable reserve reestimates for personal auto in 2022 were primarily from bodily injury and physical damage coverages. Increases in injury coverages reflected recent data and updated assumptions related to severity of third-party bodily injury claims,
The Allstate Corporation 57
2023 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
increased claims with attorney representation, litigation costs, increased medical treatment utilization and higher medical inflation. Increases in physical damage reflected the ongoing inflationary factors and supply chain shortages impacting used vehicle and parts prices, labor rates and length of claim resolution. Delays in the receipt of claims, including third-party carrier claims also contributed to the adverse development of claims reported in prior years. Unfavorable reserve reestimates for commercial were primarily from auto injury coverages for both shared economy and traditional segments with a large portion of the traditional segment increase related to states where the Company will no longer be selling new business.
Run-off Property-Liability
We conduct an annual review in the third quarter of each year to evaluate and establish asbestos, environmental and other run-off reserves. Reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by policyholders.
| Run-off Property-Liability net reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | 811 | $ | 44 | $ | 828 | $ | 34 | $ | 827 | $ | 63 | |||||||||||
| Environmental claims | 267 | 18 | 226 | 56 | 206 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 373 | 27 | 367 | 35 | 375 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,451 | $ | 89 | $ | 1,421 | $ | 125 | $ | 1,408 | $ | 116 | |||||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (94) | $ | (129) | $ | (120) |
Reserve reestimates in 2023 primarily related to new reported information and defense costs for asbestos and other run-off exposures and higher than expected environmental reported losses.
Reserve reestimates in 2022 primarily related to new reported information and defense costs for asbestos and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures.
| Reserves and claim activity before (Gross) and after (Net) the effects of reinsurance | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 1,190 | $ | 811 | $ | 1,210 | $ | 828 | $ | 1,204 | $ | 827 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 56 | 44 | 59 | 34 | 100 | 63 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (80) | (51) | (79) | (51) | (94) | (62) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 1,166 | $ | 804 | $ | 1,190 | $ | 811 | $ | 1,210 | $ | 828 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 14.6 | 15.8 | 15.1 | 15.9 | 12.9 | 13.4 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 13.8 | 14.8 | 13.1 | 14.0 | 11.1 | 12.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 328 | $ | 267 | $ | 273 | $ | 226 | $ | 249 | $ | 206 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 23 | 18 | 79 | 56 | 50 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (20) | (18) | (24) | (15) | (26) | (20) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 331 | $ | 267 | $ | 328 | $ | 267 | $ | 273 | $ | 226 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 16.6 | 14.8 | 13.7 | 17.8 | 10.5 | 11.3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 14.4 | 15.1 | 14.5 | 15.4 | 10.6 | 10.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| Combined environmental and asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 15.0 | 15.5 | 14.7 | 16.3 | 12.4 | 12.9 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 13.9 | 14.8 | 13.3 | 14.3 | 11.0 | 11.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Percentage of IBNR in ending reserves | 55.7 | % | 0 | 55.9 | % | 0 | 54.8 | % |
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2023 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
The survival ratio is calculated by taking our ending reserves divided by payments made during the year. This is a commonly used but simplistic and imprecise approach to measuring the adequacy of asbestos and environmental reserve levels. Many factors, such as mix of business, level of coverage provided and settlement procedures have significant impacts on the amount of environmental and asbestos claims and claims expense reserves, claim payments and the resultant ratio. As payments result in corresponding reserve reductions, survival ratios can be expected to vary over time. The asbestos and environmental net 3-year survival ratio in 2023 increased from 2022 due to lower average payments.
| Net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | |||||||||||||||
| Direct: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Primary | $ | 9 | 1 | % | $ | 9 | 1 | % | $ | 8 | 1 | % | |||||||||
| Excess | 263 | 33 | 257 | 32 | 275 | 33 | |||||||||||||||
| Total direct | 272 | 34 | 266 | 33 | 283 | 34 | |||||||||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance | 91 | 11 | 97 | 12 | 104 | 13 | |||||||||||||||
| IBNR | 441 | 55 | 448 | 55 | 441 | 53 | |||||||||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 804 | 100 | % | $ | 811 | 100 | % | $ | 828 | 100 | % | |||||||||
| Total reserve additions | $ | 44 | $ | 34 | $ | 63 |
IBNR net reserves decreased $7 million as of December 31, 2023 compared to December 31, 2022. IBNR provides for reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current policyholders and ceding companies.
Reinsurance and indemnification programs We utilize reinsurance to reduce exposure to catastrophe risk and manage capital, and to support the required statutory surplus and the insurance financial strength ratings of certain subsidiaries such as Castle Key Insurance Company (“CKIC”) and Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company (“ANJ”). We purchase significant reinsurance to manage our aggregate countrywide exposure to an acceptable level. The price and terms of reinsurance and the credit quality of the reinsurer are considered in the purchase process. We have also purchased reinsurance to mitigate exposures in our long-tail liability lines, including environmental, asbestos and other run-off lines as well as our commercial lines, including shared economy. We also participate in various indemnification mechanisms,
including state-based industry pool or facility programs mandating participation by insurers offering certain coverage in their state and the federal government National Flood Insurance Program (“NFIP”). See Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details on these programs.
Intercompany reinsurance We enter into certain intercompany insurance and reinsurance transactions in order to maintain underwriting control and manage insurance risk among various legal entities. These reinsurance agreements have been approved by the appropriate regulatory authorities. All significant intercompany transactions have been eliminated in consolidation.
Catastrophe reinsurance We anticipate completing the placement of our 2024 nationwide catastrophe reinsurance program in the first half of 2024. For further details of the existing 2023 program, see Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 59
2023 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
| Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, net of the allowance established for uncollectible amounts | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P financial strength rating (1) | A.M. Best financial strength rating (1) | Reinsurance or indemnification recoverables on paid and unpaid claims, net | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA (2) | N/A | N/A | $ | 6,424 | $ | 6,722 | |||||
| New Jersey Property-Liability Insurance Guaranty Association (“PLIGA”) | N/A | N/A | 326 | 330 | |||||||
| North Carolina Reinsurance Facility (“NCRF”) | N/A | N/A | 382 | 292 | |||||||
| Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (“FHCF”) | N/A | N/A | 82 | 96 | |||||||
| Other | 32 | 7 | |||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | N/A | N/A | 76 | 145 | |||||||
| Subtotal | 7,322 | 7,592 | |||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance recoverables | |||||||||||
| Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation | AA- | A+ | 37 | 64 | |||||||
| Sanders RE II LTD. | N/A | N/A | 36 | 85 | |||||||
| Renaissance Reinsurance Limited | A+ | A+ | 31 | 56 | |||||||
| Other | 246 | 558 | |||||||||
| Subtotal | 350 | 763 | |||||||||
| Other reinsurance recoverables, net (3) | |||||||||||
| Lloyd’s of London (“Lloyd’s”) | AA- | A | 180 | 180 | |||||||
| Aleka Insurance Inc. | N/A | N/A | 113 | 183 | |||||||
| Pacific Valley Insurance Company, Inc. | N/A | N/A | 67 | 88 | |||||||
| Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation | AA- | A+ | 47 | 67 | |||||||
| Other, including allowance for credit losses | 545 | 575 | |||||||||
| Subtotal | 952 | 1,093 | |||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 8,624 | 9,448 | |||||||||
| Protection Services | 26 | 19 | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 8,650 | $ | 9,467 |
(1)N/A reflects no S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) or A.M. Best ratings available.
(2)As of December 31, 2023 and 2022, MCCA includes $62 million of reinsurance recoverable on paid claims and $6.36 billion and $6.66 billion of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims, respectively.
(3)Other reinsurance recoverables primarily relate to commercial lines, including shared economy, as well as asbestos, environmental and other liability exposures.
Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables include an estimate of the amount of insurance claims and claims expense reserves that are ceded under the terms of the agreements, including IBNR unpaid losses. We calculate our ceded reinsurance and indemnification estimates based on the terms of each applicable agreement, including an estimate of how IBNR losses will ultimately be ceded under the agreement. We also consider other limitations and coverage exclusions under our agreements. Accordingly, our estimate of recoverables is subject to similar risks and uncertainties as our estimate of reserves for claims and claims expense. We believe the recoverables are appropriately established; however, as our underlying reserves continue to develop, the amount ultimately recoverable may vary from amounts currently recorded. We regularly evaluate the reinsurers and the respective amounts of our reinsurance recoverables, and a provision for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables is recorded, if needed. The establishment of reinsurance recoverables and the related allowance for
uncollectible reinsurance is also an inherently uncertain process involving estimates. Changes in estimates could result in additional changes to the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Indemnification recoverables are considered collectible based on the industry pool and facility enabling legislation and the Company has not had any credit losses related to these programs and we do not anticipate losses in the foreseeable future. We also have not experienced credit losses on our catastrophe reinsurance programs, which include highly rated reinsurers.
The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance relates to other reinsurance programs primarily related to our Run-off Property-Liability segment. The allowance was $62 million as of December 31, 2023 and 2022.
The allowance is based upon our ongoing review of amounts outstanding, length of collection periods, changes in reinsurer credit standing, and other relevant factors. In addition, in the ordinary course of
60 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
business, we may become involved in coverage disputes with certain of our reinsurers that may ultimately result in lawsuits and arbitrations brought by or against such reinsurers to determine the parties’ rights and obligations under the various reinsurance agreements. We employ dedicated specialists to manage reinsurance collections and disputes. We also consider recent developments in commutation activity between reinsurers and cedents, and recent trends in arbitration and litigation outcomes in disputes between cedents and reinsurers in seeking to maximize our reinsurance recoveries.
Adverse developments in the insurance industry have led to a decline in the financial strength of some of our reinsurance carriers, causing amounts
recoverable from them and future claims ceded to them to be considered a higher risk. There has also been consolidation activity in the industry, which causes reinsurance risk across the industry to be concentrated among fewer companies.
See Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements for a description of the methodology utilized to calculate the allowance for reinsurance recoverables.
For further details related to our reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, see the Regulation section in Part I and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Effects of reinsurance ceded and indemnification programs on our premiums earned and claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection - Premiums | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| NCRF | $ | 323 | $ | 300 | $ | 310 | |||||
| MCCA | 29 | 18 | 20 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | 7 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||
| FHCF | 28 | 24 | 15 | ||||||||
| Other | 1 | — | 420 | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | 327 | 319 | 350 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 995 | 764 | 541 | ||||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 110 | 261 | 60 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 1,820 | 1,693 | 1,723 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 1,820 | 1,693 | 1,723 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 169 | 176 | 181 | ||||||||
| Total effect on premiums earned | $ | 1,989 | $ | 1,869 | $ | 1,904 | |||||
| Allstate Protection - Claims | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA | $ | (185) | $ | 116 | $ | 611 | |||||
| NCRF | 379 | 294 | 279 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | 14 | (24) | — | ||||||||
| FHCF | (6) | 74 | 13 | ||||||||
| Other | 1 | — | 359 | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | 102 | 435 | 267 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 32 | 298 | 1,719 | ||||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 151 | 261 | 85 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 488 | 1,454 | 3,333 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 29 | 50 | 60 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 517 | 1,504 | 3,393 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 116 | 96 | 91 | ||||||||
| Total effect on claims and claims expense | $ | 633 | $ | 1,600 | $ | 3,484 |
In 2023, ceded premiums earned increased primarily due to catastrophe reinsurance. In 2022, ceded premiums earned decreased primarily due to the expiration of legacy National General reinsurance programs.
In 2023, ceded claims and claims expenses decreased $967 million primarily due to lower amounts related to NFIP, and a reduction in gross reserves for
Michigan personal injury protection coverage. In 2022, ceded claims and claims expenses decreased $1.88 billion primarily due to higher gross catastrophe losses in 2021 that resulted in reinsurance activity. For further discussion of these items, see Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 61
2023 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
| Michigan personal injury protection reserve and claim activity before and after the effects of MCCA recoverables | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 7,393 | $ | 735 | $ | 7,387 | $ | 747 | $ | 6,282 | $ | 670 | |||||||||||
| National General acquisition as of January 4, 2021 | — | — | — | — | 566 | 31 | |||||||||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense - current year | 307 | 102 | 451 | 175 | 398 | 132 | |||||||||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense - prior years | (455) | (60) | (159) | (15) | 403 | 59 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid - current year (1) | (21) | (20) | (26) | (26) | (35) | (35) | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid - prior years (1) | (221) | (116) | (260) | (146) | (227) | (110) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves (2) | $ | 7,003 | $ | 641 | $ | 7,393 | $ | 735 | $ | 7,387 | $ | 747 |
(1)Paid claims and claims expenses reported in the table for the current and prior years, recovered from the MCCA totaled $106 million, $114 million and $117 million in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
(2)Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2023, comprise 77% case reserves and 23% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2022, comprise 76% case reserves and 24% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2021, comprise 74% case reserves and 26% IBNR. The MCCA does not require member companies to report ultimate case reserves.
Pending MCCA claims differ from most personal lines insurance pending claims as other personal lines policies incurred claims settle in shorter periods due to having a coverage limit. MCCA claims can be outstanding for a claimant’s lifetime, as there is no contractual limitation. Many of these injuries are catastrophic in nature, resulting in serious permanent disabilities that require attendant and residential care for periods that may span decades. A significant portion of the ultimate incurred claim reserves and the recoverables can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims that occurred more than five years ago and continue to pay lifetime benefits.
As of December 31, 2023, approximately 1,350 of our catastrophic claims that are eligible for reimbursement are pending with the MCCA, of which approximately 80% represents claims that occurred more than 5 years ago. There are 74 claims with reserves in excess of $15 million as of December 31, 2023, which comprise approximately 30% of the gross ending reserves in the table above. As a result, significant developments with a single claimant can result in volatility in prior year incurred claims.
| Pending, new and closed claims for Michigan personal injury protection exposure | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||
| Number of claims (1) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| Pending, beginning of year | 5,568 | 5,421 | 4,857 | |||||
| National General acquisition as of January 4, 2021 | — | — | 525 | |||||
| New | 6,496 | 8,059 | 8,616 | |||||
| Closed | (7,338) | (7,912) | (8,577) | |||||
| Pending, end of year | 4,726 | 5,568 | 5,421 |
(1)Total claims includes those covered and not covered by the MCCA indemnification.
62 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Health and Benefits
Allstate Health and Benefits Segment
Allstate Health and Benefits offers employer voluntary benefits, group health and individual health products, including life, accident, critical illness, hospital indemnity, short-term disability and other health products.
In 2023, Allstate Health and Benefits represented 2.1% of total PIF. Our target customers are consumers with family and financial protection needs. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
Effective January 1, 2023, we adopted the FASB guidance revising the accounting for certain long-duration insurance contracts in the Allstate Health and Benefits segment using the modified retrospective approach at the transition date of January 1, 2021. See Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements for further information regarding the impact of the adopted accounting standard on our consolidated financial statements.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges | $ | 1,846 | $ | 1,832 | $ | 1,834 | |||||
| Other revenue | 447 | 402 | 359 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 82 | 69 | 74 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Accident, health and other policy benefits | (1,071) | (1,042) | (1,060) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (150) | (136) | (128) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (842) | (814) | (787) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (7) | (2) | (9) | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (63) | (64) | (60) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 242 | $ | 245 | $ | 223 | |||||
| Benefit ratio (1) | 56.2 | 55.1 | 55.9 | ||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits (2) | 3,590 | 3,783 | 3,804 | ||||||||
| Group health (3) | 136 | 119 | 122 | ||||||||
| Individual health (4) | 417 | 394 | 407 | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 4,143 | 4,296 | 4,333 |
(1)Benefit ratio is calculated as accident, health and other policy benefits less interest credited to contractholder funds of $33 million, $33 million, and $34 million for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively, divided by premiums and contract charges.
(2)Employer voluntary benefits include supplemental life and health products offered through workplace enrollment.
(3)Group health includes health products and administrative services sold to employers.
(4)Individual health includes short-term medical and other health products sold directly to individuals.
Adjusted net income decreased $3 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to a decline in employer voluntary benefits, partially offset by increases in individual and group health.
Premiums and contract charges increased 0.8% or $14 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to growth in group health, partially offset by a decline in employer voluntary benefits and individual health.
| Premiums and contract charges by line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits | $ | 1,001 | $ | 1,033 | $ | 1,040 | |||||
| Group health | 440 | 385 | 350 | ||||||||
| Individual health | 405 | 414 | 444 | ||||||||
| Premiums and contract charges | $ | 1,846 | $ | 1,832 | $ | 1,834 |
The Allstate Corporation 63
2023 Form 10-K Allstate Health and Benefits
New annualized premium sales (annualized premiums at initial employer voluntary benefits customer enrollment or health policy sale) decreased by $2 million to $732 million in 2023. The decrease in 2023 primarily relates to a decline in employer voluntary benefits, partially offset by growth in group health and individual health businesses.
Other revenue increased $45 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to an increase in group health administrative fees.
Accident, health and other policy benefits increased 2.8% or $29 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to growth in group health, partially offset by lower benefit utilization in individual health.
Accident, health and other policy benefits include changes in the reserve for future policy benefits,
expected development on reported claims, and reserves for incurred but not reported claims as shown in Note 10 of the consolidated financial statements.
Benefit ratio increased 1.1 points to 56.2 in 2023 compared to 55.1 in 2022, primarily due to higher benefit utilization in employer voluntary benefits and group health, partially offset by lower benefit utilization in individual health.
Amortization of DAC increased 10.3% or $14 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to higher amortization related to growth in individual health. For information on changes in DAC, see Note 12 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Operating costs and expenses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Non-deferrable commissions | $ | 319 | $ | 321 | $ | 316 | |||||
| General and administrative expenses | 523 | 493 | 471 | ||||||||
| Total operating costs and expenses | $ | 842 | $ | 814 | $ | 787 |
Operating costs and expenses increased $28 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to growth in group health and investments in the employer voluntary benefits business.
Allstate Health and Benefits reinsurance ceded
The vast majority of reinsurance relates to the disposition of long-term care and other closed blocks of business. We retain primary liability as a direct insurer for all risks ceded to reinsurers.
| Reinsurance recoverables by reinsurer, net | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P financial strength rating | A.M. Best financial strength rating | Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid benefits | |||||||||
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||
| Mutual of Omaha Insurance | A+ | A+ | $ | 70 | $ | 65 | |||||
| Everlake Life Insurance Company | NR | A+ | 33 | 35 | |||||||
| Argo Capital Group Ltd. | NR | NR | 24 | 20 | |||||||
| General Re Life Corporation | AA+ | A++ | 15 | 13 | |||||||
| Midlands Casualty Insurance Company | NR | NR | 15 | 16 | |||||||
| Other (1) | 5 | 6 | |||||||||
| Credit loss allowance | (3) | (3) | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 159 | $ | 152 |
(1)As of December 31, 2023, the other category includes $4 million and $5 million of recoverables due from reinsurers rated A- or better by S&P and A.M. Best, respectively. As of December 31, 2022, the other category includes $3 million and $4 million of recoverables due from reinsurers rated A- or better by S&P and A.M. Best, respectively.
We continuously monitor the creditworthiness of reinsurers in order to determine our risk of recoverability on an individual and aggregate basis. No reinsurance recoverables have been written off in the three-years ended December 31, 2023.
64 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Investments
Investments
Overview and strategy
The return on our investment portfolios is an important component of our ability to offer good value to customers, fund business improvements and create value for shareholders. Investment portfolios are held for Property-Liability, Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits and Corporate and Other operations. While taking into consideration the investment portfolio in aggregate, management of the underlying portfolios is significantly influenced by the nature of each respective business and its corresponding liability profile. For each business, we identify a strategic asset allocation which considers both the nature of the liabilities and the risk and return characteristics of the various asset classes in which we invest. This allocation is informed by our long-term business and market expectations, as well as other considerations such as risk appetite, portfolio diversification, duration, desired liquidity and capital. Within appropriate ranges relative to strategic allocations, tactical allocations are made in consideration of prevailing and potential future market conditions. We manage risks that involve uncertainty related to interest rates, inflation, credit spreads, equity returns and currency exchange rates.
The Property-Liability portfolio emphasizes protection of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. This approach has produced competitive returns over the long term and is designed to ensure financial strength and stability for paying claims, while maximizing economic value and surplus growth. Products with lower liquidity needs, such as auto insurance and run-off lines, and capital create capacity to invest in less liquid higher yielding fixed income securities, performance-based investments such as limited partnerships and equity securities. Products with higher liquidity needs, such as homeowners insurance, are invested primarily in high quality liquid fixed income securities.
The Protection Services portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities with a lesser allocation to equity securities and short-term investments.
The Allstate Health and Benefits portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation while targeting an appropriate return on capital. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities with a small allocation to commercial mortgage loans and equity securities.
The Corporate and Other portfolio is focused on liquidity needs and capital preservation within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of high-quality liquid fixed income securities and short-term investments.
We utilize two primary strategies to manage risks and returns and to position our portfolio to take advantage of market opportunities while attempting to mitigate adverse effects. As strategies and market conditions evolve, the asset allocation may change.
Market-based strategy seeks to deliver predictable earnings aligned to business needs and provide flexibility to adjust investment risk profile based on enterprise objectives and market opportunities primarily through public and private fixed income investments and public equity securities.
Performance-based strategy seeks to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns and supplement market risk with idiosyncratic risk. Returns are impacted by a variety of factors including general macroeconomic and public market conditions as public benchmarks are often used in the valuation of underlying investments. Variability in earnings will also result from the performance of the underlying assets or business and the timing of sales of those investments. Earnings from the sales of investments may be recorded as net investment income or net gains and losses on investments and derivatives. The portfolio, which primarily includes private equity (including infrastructure investments) and real estate with a majority being limited partnerships, is diversified across a number of characteristics, including managers or partners, vintage years, investment strategies, geographies (including international) and industry sectors or property types. These investments are generally illiquid in nature, often require specialized expertise, typically involve a third-party manager, and enhance returns and income through transformation at the company or property level. A portion of these investments seek returns in markets or asset classes that are dislocated or special situations, primarily in private markets.
Investments in the Middle East As of December 31, 2023, we have approximately $47 million investment exposure in the Middle East, of which approximately $43 million is held in Israel, which is primarily indirect exposure through funds managed by external asset managers.
Investments in Russia and Ukraine As of December 31, 2023, we do not have any direct or indirect investments in Russia, Belarus or Ukraine.
The Allstate Corporation 65
2023 Form 10-K Investments
Investments Outlook
We plan to focus on the following priorities:
•Enhance investment portfolio returns through use of a dynamic capital allocation framework and focus on tax efficiency.
•Leverage our broad capabilities to manage the portfolio to earn higher risk-adjusted returns on capital.
•Invest for the specific needs and characteristics of Allstate’s businesses, including its corresponding liability profile.
We utilize our integrated enterprise risk and return management framework to determine the amount of investment risk we are willing to accept. After reducing interest rate risk by shortening the portfolio duration beginning in late 2021, during 2023 we extended the fixed income portfolio duration as the sustained higher
market yields provide an opportunity to increase risk-adjusted returns. As recession risks remain elevated, we also retained defensive positioning to equity risk and credit risk in the portfolio through a reduced allocation to public equity, high yield bonds and bank loans. We expect to maintain performance-based investments in our portfolio, consistent with our strategy to have a greater proportion of return derived from idiosyncratic assets or operating performance.
| Contractual maturities and yields of fixed income securities for the next three years | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed income securities | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | Carrying value | Investment yield | |||||
| 2024 | $ | 3,374 | 3.0 | % | |||
| 2025 | 6,288 | 3.5 | |||||
| 2026 | 5,565 | 3.5 |
| Portfolio composition and strategy by reporting segment (1) | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||||||
| Fixed income securities (2) | $ | 43,466 | $ | 1,796 | $ | 1,806 | $ | 1,797 | $ | 48,865 | |||||||||
| Equity securities (3) | 1,516 | 254 | 44 | 597 | 2,411 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 701 | — | 121 | — | 822 | ||||||||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 8,366 | — | — | 14 | 8,380 | ||||||||||||||
| Short-term investments (4) | 4,555 | 130 | 92 | 367 | 5,144 | ||||||||||||||
| Other investments, net | 936 | — | 119 | — | 1,055 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 59,540 | $ | 2,180 | $ | 2,182 | $ | 2,775 | $ | 66,677 | |||||||||
| Percentage to total | 89.3 | % | 3.3 | % | 3.3 | % | 4.1 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||
| Market-based | $ | 50,019 | $ | 2,180 | $ | 2,182 | $ | 2,553 | $ | 56,934 | |||||||||
| Performance-based | 9,521 | — | — | 222 | 9,743 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 59,540 | $ | 2,180 | $ | 2,182 | $ | 2,775 | $ | 66,677 |
(1)Balances reflect the elimination of related party investments between segments.
(2)Fixed income securities are carried at fair value. Amortized cost, net for these securities was $44.06 billion, $1.85 billion, $1.91 billion, $1.83 billion and $49.65 billion for Property-Liability, Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits, Corporate and Other, and in total, respectively.
(3)Equity securities are carried at fair value. The fair value of equity securities held as of December 31, 2023 was $167 million in excess of cost. These net gains were primarily concentrated in the technology and banking sectors. Equity securities include $1.02 billion of funds with underlying investments in fixed income securities as of December 31, 2023.
(4)Short-term investments are carried at fair value.
Investments totaled $66.68 billion as of December 31, 2023, increasing from $61.83 billion as of December 31, 2022, primarily due to positive operating cash flows, higher fixed income valuations and to support higher reserves, partially offset by dividends paid to shareholders and common share repurchases.
66 www.allstate.com
2023 Form 10-K Investments
| Portfolio composition by investment strategy | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Market- based | Performance-based | Total | ||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 48,749 | $ | 116 | $ | 48,865 | |||||
| Equity securities | 1,768 | 643 | 2,411 | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 822 | — | 822 | ||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 141 | 8,239 | 8,380 | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | 5,144 | — | 5,144 | ||||||||
| Other investments, net | 310 | 745 | 1,055 | ||||||||
| Total | $ | 56,934 | $ | 9,743 | $ | 66,677 | |||||
| Percent to total | 85.4 | % | 14.6 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses | |||||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | (784) | $ | — | $ | (784) | |||||
| Limited partnership interests | — | (4) | (4) | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | (1) | — | (1) | ||||||||
| Other investments | (2) | — | (2) | ||||||||
| Total | $ | (787) | $ | (4) | $ | (791) |
During 2023, strategic actions focused on optimizing portfolio yield, return and risk in the more volatile and rising interest rate environment. The sustained higher market yields provide an opportunity to increase risk-adjusted returns, so we extended the fixed income portfolio duration to 4.8 years (including the effect of interest rate derivatives and any call
features associated with the securities) during 2023 from 3.4 years as of December 31, 2022. Considering the ongoing risk of recession, we retained a lower allocation to high-yield bonds, bank loans and public equity relative to year-end 2022. We maintained performance-based investments in the Property-Liability portfolio.
Fixed income securities
| Fixed income securities by type | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value as of December 31, | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 8,619 | $ | 7,898 | |||||
| Municipal | 6,006 | 6,210 | |||||||
| Corporate | 31,205 | 26,263 | |||||||
| Foreign government | 1,290 | 957 | |||||||
| Asset-backed securities (“ABS”) | 1,745 | 1,157 | |||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 48,865 | $ | 42,485 |
Fixed income securities are rated by third-party credit rating agencies or are internally rated. The Securities Valuation Office (“SVO”) of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) evaluates the fixed income securities of insurers for regulatory reporting and capital assessment purposes. The NAIC assigns securities to one of six credit quality categories defined as “NAIC designations”. In general, securities with NAIC designations of 1 and 2 are considered investment grade and securities with NAIC designations of 3 through 6 are considered below investment grade. The rating is either received from the SVO based on availability of applicable ratings from rating agencies on the NAIC Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations provider list, including Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”), S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”), Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”), or a comparable internal rating.
As a result of time lags between the funding of investments, the finalization of legal documents, and the completion of the SVO filing process, the portfolio includes certain securities that have not yet been designated by the SVO as of each balance sheet date
and the categorization of these securities is based on the expected ratings indicated by internal analysis.
As of December 31, 2023, 91.5% of the consolidated fixed income securities portfolio was rated investment grade. Credit ratings below these designations are considered lower credit quality or below investment grade, which includes high yield bonds.
Market prices for certain securities may have credit spreads which imply higher or lower credit quality than the current third-party rating. Our initial investment decisions and ongoing monitoring procedures for fixed income securities are based on a due diligence process which includes, but is not limited to, an assessment of the credit quality, sector, structure and liquidity risks of each issuer.
Fixed income portfolio monitoring is a comprehensive process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance. The process includes a quarterly review of all securities to identify instances where the fair value of a security compared to its amortized cost is below internally established thresholds. For further detail on
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2023 Form 10-K Investments
our fixed income portfolio monitoring process, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
The following table presents total fixed income securities by the applicable NAIC designation and comparable S&P rating.
| Fair value and unrealized net capital gains (losses) for fixed income securities by credit rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| NAIC 1 | NAIC 2 | NAIC 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| A and above | BBB | BB | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | |||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 8,619 | $ | (5) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 5,963 | (43) | 34 | (1) | 7 | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 7,019 | (55) | 15,560 | (392) | 611 | (28) | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 1,651 | (54) | 2,867 | (92) | 1,890 | (45) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 8,670 | (109) | 18,427 | (484) | 2,501 | (73) | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | 1,289 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1,669 | (1) | 16 | — | 10 | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 26,210 | $ | (154) | $ | 18,478 | $ | (485) | $ | 2,518 | $ | (73) | |||||||||||
| NAIC 4 | NAIC 5-6 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||
| B | CCC and lower | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 8,619 | $ | (5) | |||||||||||
| Municipal | — | — | 2 | 1 | 6,006 | (43) | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 108 | (3) | — | — | 23,298 | (478) | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 1,358 | (59) | 141 | (18) | 7,907 | (268) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 1,466 | (62) | 141 | (18) | 31,205 | (746) | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | — | — | — | — | 1,290 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | — | — | 50 | 7 | 1,745 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 1,466 | $ | (62) | $ | 193 | $ | (10) | $ | 48,865 | $ | (784) |
Municipal bonds, including tax exempt and taxable securities, include general obligations of state and local issuers and revenue bonds.
Our practice for acquiring and monitoring municipal bonds is predominantly based on the underlying credit quality of the primary obligor. We currently rely on the primary obligor to pay all contractual cash flows and are not relying on bond insurers for payments. As a result of downgrades in the insurers’ credit ratings, the ratings of the insured municipal bonds generally reflect the underlying ratings of the primary obligor.
Corporate bonds include publicly traded and privately placed securities. Privately placed securities primarily consist of corporate issued senior debt securities that are negotiated with the borrower or are issued by entities in unregistered form under SEC Rule 144A which allows purchasers to more easily resell these securities under certain conditions.
Our $7.91 billion portfolio of privately placed securities, primarily 144A bonds, is diversified by issuer, industry sector and country. The portfolio is made up of 455 issuers. Privately placed corporate obligations may contain structural security features such as financial covenants and call protections that provide investors greater protection against credit deterioration, reinvestment risk or fluctuations in interest rates than those typically found in publicly registered debt
securities. Additionally, investments in these securities are made after fundamental analysis of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views. Ongoing monitoring includes continuous assessment of operating performance and financial position. Every issue not rated by an independent rating agency is internally rated with a formal rating affirmation at least once a year. Liquidity of securities issued by public entities in unregistered form is similar to public debt markets.
Our corporate bond portfolio includes $4.11 billion of below investment grade bonds, $3.39 billion of which are privately placed, primarily 144A bonds. These securities are diversified by issuer and industry sector. The below investment grade corporate bonds portfolio is made up of 317 issuers. We employ fundamental analyses of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views to identify investment opportunities. This results in a portfolio with broad exposure to the high yield market with an emphasis on idiosyncratic positions reflective of our views of market conditions and opportunities.
Foreign government securities consist of Canadian governmental and provincial securities (all of which are held by our Canadian companies).
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ABS are structured securities that are primarily collateralized by consumer or corporate borrowings and residential and commercial real estate loans. The cash flows from the underlying collateral paid to the securitization trust are generally applied in a pre-determined order and are designed so that each security issued by the trust, typically referred to as a “class”, qualifies for a specific original rating.
ABS includes collateralized debt obligations, consumer and other ABS. Credit risk is managed by monitoring the performance of the underlying collateral. Many of the securities in the ABS portfolio have credit enhancement with features such as overcollateralization, subordinated structures, reserve funds, guarantees or insurance. ABS also includes residential mortgage-backed securities and commercial mortgage-backed securities.
For example, the “senior” portion or “top” of the capital structure, or rating class, which would originally qualify for a rating of Aaa typically has priority in receiving principal repayments on the underlying collateral and retains this priority until the class is paid in full. In a sequential structure, underlying collateral principal repayments are directed to the most senior rated Aaa class in the structure until paid in full, after which principal repayments are directed to the next most senior Aaa class in the structure until it is paid in full. Senior Aaa classes generally share any losses from the underlying collateral on a pro-rata basis after losses are absorbed by classes with lower original ratings.
The payment priority and class subordination included in these securities serves as credit enhancement for holders of the senior or top portions of the structures. These securities continue to retain the payment priority features that existed at the origination of the securitization trust. Other forms of credit enhancement may include structural features embedded in the securitization trust, such as overcollateralization, excess spread and bond insurance. The underlying collateral may contain fixed interest rates, variable interest rates (such as adjustable rate mortgages), or both fixed and variable rate features.
Equity securities of $2.41 billion primarily include common stocks, exchange traded and mutual funds, non-redeemable preferred stocks and real estate investment trust (“REIT”) equity investments. Certain exchange traded and mutual funds have fixed income securities as their underlying investments.
Mortgage loans of $822 million mainly comprise loans secured by first mortgages on developed commercial real estate. Key considerations used to manage our
exposure include property type and geographic diversification. For further detail on our mortgage loan portfolio, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
Limited partnership interests include $7.15 billion of interests in private equity funds, $1.09 billion of interests in real estate funds and $141 million of interests in other funds as of December 31, 2023. We have commitments to invest additional amounts in limited partnership interests totaling $2.94 billion as of December 31, 2023.
| Private equity limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2023 | ||
| Industrial | 20.8 | % | |
| Healthcare | 12.5 | ||
| Information technology | 11.3 | ||
| Consumer discretionary | 10.9 | ||
| Consumer staples | 8.8 | ||
| Other | 35.7 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
| Real estate limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2023 | ||
| Industrial | 28.8 | % | |
| Residential | 19.1 | ||
| Data centers | 19.0 | ||
| Healthcare | 11.4 | ||
| Consumer staples | 5.1 | ||
| Other | 16.6 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
Short-term investments of $5.14 billion primarily comprise money market funds, commercial paper, U.S. Treasury bills and other short-term investments, including securities lending collateral of $1.59 billion.
Other investments primarily comprise $224 million of bank loans, $709 million of real estate, $119 million of policy loans and $1 million of derivatives as of December 31, 2023. For further detail on our use of derivatives, see Note 7 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Direct real estate investments by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2023 | ||
| Agriculture | 28.6 | % | |
| Industrial | 23.7 | ||
| Residential | 20.6 | ||
| Retail | 18.5 | ||
| Other | 8.6 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
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2023 Form 10-K Investments
| Unrealized net capital gains (losses) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | (5) | $ | (225) | |||
| Municipal | (43) | (290) | |||||
| Corporate | (746) | (2,299) | |||||
| Foreign government | 4 | (40) | |||||
| ABS | 6 | (31) | |||||
| Fixed income securities | (784) | (2,885) | |||||
| Short-term investments | (1) | (1) | |||||
| Derivatives | (2) | (3) | |||||
| Equity method of accounting (“EMA”) limited partnerships | (4) | 2 | |||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses, pre-tax | $ | (791) | $ | (2,887) |
| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost, net | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Banking (1) | $ | 4,189 | $ | 31 | $ | (135) | $ | 4,085 | |||||||
| Basic industry | 1,007 | 7 | (42) | 972 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,800 | 33 | (97) | 2,736 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,767 | 33 | (115) | 2,685 | |||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | 6,813 | 93 | (251) | 6,655 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 2,111 | 17 | (88) | 2,040 | |||||||||||
| Energy | 2,645 | 35 | (63) | 2,617 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 2,800 | 21 | (153) | 2,668 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 1,104 | 13 | (45) | 1,072 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 5,330 | 109 | (123) | 5,316 | |||||||||||
| Other | 385 | 5 | (31) | 359 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 31,951 | 397 | (1,143) | 31,205 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 8,624 | 114 | (119) | 8,619 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 6,049 | 109 | (152) | 6,006 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 1,286 | 17 | (13) | 1,290 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,739 | 13 | (7) | 1,745 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 49,649 | $ | 650 | $ | (1,434) | $ | 48,865 |
(1) As of December 31, 2023, we have exposure of approximately $90 million to regional banks primarily through investment grade corporate bonds.
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| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost, net | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Banking | $ | 5,153 | $ | 16 | $ | (314) | $ | 4,855 | |||||||
| Basic industry | 1,019 | 2 | (75) | 946 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,288 | 3 | (197) | 2,094 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,422 | 1 | (261) | 2,162 | |||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | 5,984 | 6 | (531) | 5,459 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 2,243 | 4 | (176) | 2,071 | |||||||||||
| Energy | 2,364 | 2 | (156) | 2,210 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 3,137 | 4 | (298) | 2,843 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 959 | 1 | (73) | 887 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 2,633 | 7 | (203) | 2,437 | |||||||||||
| Other | 360 | — | (61) | 299 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 28,562 | 46 | (2,345) | 26,263 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 8,123 | 6 | (231) | 7,898 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 6,500 | 36 | (326) | 6,210 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 997 | — | (40) | 957 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,188 | 4 | (35) | 1,157 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 45,370 | $ | 92 | $ | (2,977) | $ | 42,485 |
In general, the gross unrealized losses are related to an increase in market yields, which may include increased risk-free interest rates and wider credit spreads since the time of initial purchase. Similarly, gross unrealized gains reflect a decrease in market yields since the time of initial purchase.
| Equity securities by sector | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | ||||||||||||||||||
| Banking | $ | 30 | $ | 38 | $ | 68 | $ | 135 | $ | 56 | $ | 191 | |||||||||||
| Basic Industry | 9 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 16 | 73 | |||||||||||||||||
| Capital Goods | 77 | (27) | 50 | 196 | 3 | 199 | |||||||||||||||||
| Energy | 32 | 3 | 35 | 110 | 44 | 154 | |||||||||||||||||
| Funds | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Equities | 258 | 12 | 270 | 904 | (19) | 885 | |||||||||||||||||
| Fixed income | 1,038 | (15) | 1,023 | 1,067 | (84) | 983 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 58 | 5 | 63 | 3 | — | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total funds | 1,354 | 2 | 1,356 | 1,974 | (103) | 1,871 | |||||||||||||||||
| Transportation | 16 | $ | 23 | 39 | 48 | 19 | 67 | ||||||||||||||||
| Utilities | 59 | 1 | 60 | 67 | 12 | 79 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other (1) | 667 | 125 | 792 | 1,666 | 267 | 1,933 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total equity securities | $ | 2,244 | $ | 167 | $ | 2,411 | $ | 4,253 | $ | 314 | $ | 4,567 |
(1) Other is comprised of consumer goods, technology, REITs, financial services and communications sectors.
The Allstate Corporation 71
2023 Form 10-K Investments
| Net investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 1,761 | $ | 1,255 | $ | 1,148 | |||||
| Equity securities | 75 | 132 | 100 | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans | 35 | 33 | 43 | ||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 499 | 985 | 1,973 | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | 253 | 82 | 5 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 169 | 162 | 195 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | 2,792 | 2,649 | 3,464 | ||||||||
| Investment expense | |||||||||||
| Investee level expenses | (79) | (68) | (60) | ||||||||
| Securities lending expense | (93) | (30) | — | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (142) | (148) | (111) | ||||||||
| Total investment expense | (314) | (246) | (171) | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 2,478 | $ | 2,403 | $ | 3,293 | |||||
| Property-Liability | $ | 2,218 | $ | 2,190 | $ | 3,118 | |||||
| Protection Services | 73 | 48 | 43 | ||||||||
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 82 | 69 | 74 | ||||||||
| Corporate and Other | 105 | 96 | 58 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 2,478 | $ | 2,403 | $ | 3,293 | |||||
| Market-based | $ | 2,219 | $ | 1,566 | $ | 1,429 | |||||
| Performance-based | 573 | 1,083 | 2,035 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | $ | 2,792 | $ | 2,649 | $ | 3,464 |
Net investment income increased 3.1% or $75 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to higher market-based results driven by reinvesting into fixed income securities with higher yields and to a lesser extent, the reinvestment of proceeds from sales of equity securities into fixed income securities, partially offset by lower performance-based results, mainly from limited partnerships.
| Performance-based investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Private equity | $ | 414 | $ | 798 | $ | 1,660 | |||||
| Real estate | 159 | 285 | 375 | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income before investee level expenses | $ | 573 | $ | 1,083 | $ | 2,035 | |||||
| Investee level expenses (1) | (74) | (59) | (55) | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income | $ | 499 | $ | 1,024 | $ | 1,980 |
(1)Investee level expenses include asset level operating expenses on directly held real estate and other consolidated investments reported in investment expense.
Performance-based investment income decreased 51.3% or $525 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to lower valuation increases compared to the prior year and lower income from the sales of underlying investments.
Performance-based investment results and income can vary significantly between periods and are influenced by economic conditions, equity market performance, comparable public company earnings multiples, capitalization rates, operating performance of the underlying investments and the timing of asset sales. The company typically employs a lag in recording and recognizing changes in valuations of limited partnership interests due to the availability of investee financial statements.
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| Components of net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives and the related tax effect | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the year December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | (433) | $ | (832) | $ | 578 | |||||
| Credit losses | (99) | (54) | (42) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments - appreciation (decline): | |||||||||||
| Equity securities | 239 | (772) | 544 | ||||||||
| Equity fund investments in fixed income securities | 43 | (128) | (24) | ||||||||
| Limited partnerships (1) | 34 | (160) | (21) | ||||||||
| Total valuation of equity investments | 316 | (1,060) | 499 | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | (84) | 874 | 49 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | (300) | (1,072) | 1,084 | ||||||||
| Income tax benefit (expense) | 63 | 230 | (237) | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | (237) | $ | (842) | $ | 847 | |||||
| Property-Liability | $ | (230) | $ | (688) | $ | 798 | |||||
| Protection Services | — | (40) | 19 | ||||||||
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 2 | (35) | 5 | ||||||||
| Corporate and Other | (9) | (79) | 25 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | (237) | $ | (842) | $ | 847 | |||||
| Market-based | $ | (352) | $ | (1,083) | $ | 917 | |||||
| Performance-based | 52 | 11 | 167 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | $ | (300) | $ | (1,072) | $ | 1,084 |
(1)Relates to limited partnerships where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities.
Net losses on investments and derivatives in 2023 related primarily to losses on sales, partially offset by higher valuation on equity investments. Net losses on investments and derivatives in 2022 related primarily to decreased valuation on equity investments and losses on sales of fixed income securities, partially offset by increased valuation change and settlements of derivatives.
Net losses on sales in 2023 and 2022 related primarily to sales of fixed income securities in connection with ongoing portfolio management.
Net losses on valuation change and settlements of derivatives of $84 million in 2023 primarily related to net losses on equity futures used to manage equity exposure, losses on credit default swaps used to reduce credit risk and losses on foreign currency contracts used to manage foreign currency risk. Net gains in 2022 primarily comprised of gains on interest rate futures used to mitigate the impact of increases in interest rates, gains on foreign currency contracts due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and gains on equity futures used to manage exposure to equity markets.
| Net gains (losses) on performance-based investments and derivatives | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | 76 | $ | 29 | $ | 111 | |||||
| Credit losses | (68) | (30) | (43) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments | 58 | (35) | 71 | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | (14) | 47 | 28 | ||||||||
| Total performance-based | $ | 52 | $ | 11 | $ | 167 |
Net gains on performance-based investments and derivatives in 2023 primarily related to gains on sales and increased valuation of equity investments, partially offset by increased credit losses. 2022 primarily related to increased valuation change and settlements of derivatives and gains on sales, partially offset by decreased valuation of equity investments.
The Allstate Corporation 73
2023 Form 10-K Market Risk
Market Risk
Market risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices, commodity prices or foreign currency exchange rates. Adverse changes to these rates and prices may occur due to changes in fiscal policy, inflation, the economic climate, the liquidity of a market or market segment, insolvency or financial distress of key market makers or participants or changes in market perceptions of credit worthiness or risk tolerance. Our primary market risk exposures are to changes in interest rates, credit spreads and equity prices, and to a lesser extent, foreign currency exchange rates. We also have direct and indirect exposure to commodity price changes through our diversified investments in agriculture, infrastructure and energy primarily held in limited partnership interests and consolidated subsidiaries.
The active management of market risk is integral to our results of operations. We may use the following approaches to manage exposure to market risk within defined tolerance ranges:
1)Rebalance existing asset or liability portfolios
2)Change the type of investments purchased in the future
3)Use derivative instruments to modify the market risk characteristics of existing assets and liabilities or assets expected to be purchased
Overview In formulating and implementing guidelines for investing funds, we seek to earn attractive risk-adjusted returns that enhance our ability to offer competitive prices to customers while contributing to stable profits and long-term capital growth. Accordingly, our investment decisions and objectives are informed by underlying risks. Investment policies define the overall framework for managing market and other investment risks, including accountability and controls over risk management activities. Subsidiaries that conduct investment activities follow policies that have been approved by their respective boards of directors and which specify the investment limits and strategies that are appropriate given the liquidity, surplus, product profile and regulatory requirements of the subsidiary. Executive oversight of investment activities is conducted primarily through the subsidiaries’ boards of directors and legal entity investment committees. The Enterprise Risk and Return Council (“ERRC”) oversees the aggregate risk of Allstate and its subsidiaries. Working in conjunction with the board or the investment committee of each subsidiary, as applicable, the ERRC evaluates the risk tolerance of each subsidiary and determines the aggregate risk tolerance of the enterprise.
We use widely-accepted quantitative and qualitative approaches to measure, monitor and manage market risk. We evaluate our market risk exposure using multiple measures including but not limited to:
| • Duration, a measure of the price sensitivity of assets and liabilities to changes in interest rates |
|---|
| • Value-at-risk, a statistical estimate that the change in fair value of a portfolio will exceed a certain amount over a given time horizon, at a specified probability |
| • Scenario analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur under hypothetical market conditions defined by changes to multiple market risk factors: interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices or currency exchange rates |
| • Sensitivity analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur using hypothetical shocks to a market risk factor The selection of measures used in our sensitivity analysis should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but only as an illustration of the potential effect of such an event |
In general, we establish investment portfolio asset allocation and market risk limits based upon a combination of these measures. The asset allocation limits place restrictions on the total funds that may be invested within an asset class. Comprehensive day-to-day management of market risk within defined tolerance ranges occurs as portfolio managers buy and sell within their respective markets based upon the acceptable boundaries established by investment policies. Although we apply a similar overall philosophy to market risk, the underlying business frameworks and the accounting and regulatory environments may differ between our products and therefore affect investment decisions and risk parameters. Our actual experience may differ from the results of the sensitivity measurements provided below.
Interest rate risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in risk-free interest rates. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in interest-sensitive assets. Changes in interest rates can have favorable and unfavorable effects on our results. For example, increases in rates can improve investment income, but decrease the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio which may result in sales of assets at losses. Decreases in rates could increase the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio while decreasing future investment income due to reinvestment at lower market yields and accelerated pay-downs and prepayments of certain investments.
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2023 Form 10-K Market Risk
For our issued debt, we monitor market interest rates and evaluate refinancing opportunities as maturity dates approach. To mitigate this risk, we ladder the maturity dates of our debt. For our issued noncumulative perpetual preferred stock, we monitor market dividend rates and evaluate opportunities to redeem or refinance on or after specified dates. For further detail regarding our debt and our preferred stock, see Note 13 of the consolidated financial statements and the Capital Resources and Liquidity section of this Item.
Our assessment of interest rate risk reflects the effect of changing risk-free interest rates on interest-sensitive assets, including investments with callable or prepayable features. As of December 31, 2023, the fixed income portfolio duration(1) was 4.8 compared to 3.4 as of December 31, 2022.
| Change in fair value of interest-sensitive assets (1) (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| -100 bps change | $ | 2,530 | $ | 1,549 | |||
| +100 bps change | (2,314) | (1,471) | |||||
| +200 bps change | (4,410) | (2,864) |
(1)Includes the effects of interest rate derivatives and any call features associated with the securities.
(2)Represents an immediate, parallel increase or decrease based on information and assumptions used in the duration calculations.
To the extent that conditions differ from the assumptions we used in these calculations, duration and rate shock measures could be significantly impacted. These calculations may not fully capture the effect of non-parallel changes in the term structure of interest rates or large changes in interest rates.
Credit spread risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in credit spreads (“spreads”). A credit spread is the additional yield on fixed income securities and loans above the risk-free rate that market participants require to compensate them for assuming credit, liquidity or prepayment risks. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in spread-sensitive fixed income assets. We assess credit spread risk by evaluating spread duration which measures the price sensitivity of the assets to changes in spreads.
As of December 31, 2023, the spread duration(1) was 4.7 compared to 4.0 as of December 31, 2022.
| Change in fair value of spread-sensitive assets (1) (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| +100 bps change | $ | (1,898) | $ | (1,462) |
(1)Includes the effects of credit derivatives and any call features associated with the securities.
(2)Represents an immediate, parallel increase based on information and assumptions used in the spread duration calculations.
Equity price risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in the levels of equity indices, the value of individual stocks, or private market valuations related to our limited partnership interests.
Equity investments(1) As of December 31, 2023, we held $1.52 billion in equity investments that comprise equity securities, excluding those with fixed income securities as their underlying investments, and including limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities, compared to $4.06 billion as of December 31, 2022.
| Change in fair value of equity investments (1) (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| -10% change in equity valuations | $ | (127) | $ | (402) |
(1)Includes the effects of equity derivatives.
(2)Represents an immediate change in equity valuations for investments.
We periodically use derivatives to reduce equity price risk or to adjust our equity risk profile. Derivatives provide an offset to changes in equity market values.
Limited partnership interests As of December 31, 2023, we held $8.24 billion in limited partnership interests excluding those limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities compared to $7.64 billion as of December 31, 2022. These illiquid investments are primarily comprised of private equity and real estate funds, with valuation changes typically reflecting the idiosyncratic performance of the underlying asset.
| Change in fair value of limited partnership interests (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| -10% change in private market valuations | $ | (824) | $ | (764) |
(1)Represents an immediate change in the value of limited partnership interests.
For limited partnership interests, quarterly changes in fair values may not be highly correlated to equity indices in the short term and changes in value of these investments are generally recognized on a three-month delay due to the availability of the related investee financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 75
2023 Form 10-K Market Risk
Foreign currency exchange rate risk is the risk that we will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in foreign currency exchange rates. This risk primarily arises from our foreign equity investments, including common stocks, limited partnership interests, and our Canada, Northern Ireland, Europe and India operations. We use foreign currency derivative contracts to partially offset this risk.
As of December 31, 2023, we had $3.56 billion in foreign currency denominated investments, including the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts, and $1.25 billion net investment in our foreign subsidiaries, primarily related to our Canada operations. These amounts were $3.10 billion and $1.14 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2022.
| Change in fair value of foreign currency denominated investments (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| -10% change in foreign currency exchange rates | $ | (356) | $ | (310) | |||
| -10% change in net investments in foreign subsidiaries | (125) | (114) |
(1)Represents an immediate, simultaneous depreciation in each of the foreign currency exchange rates to which we are exposed compared to the U.S. dollar, including the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts and excludes the offset from liabilities in foreign currencies.
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2023 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital resources consist of shareholders’ equity and debt, representing funds deployed or available to be deployed to support business operations or for general corporate purposes.
| Capital resources | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Preferred stock, common stock, treasury stock, retained income and other shareholders’ equity items | $ | 18,470 | $ | 19,880 | $ | 24,518 | |||||
| Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) | (700) | (2,392) | 426 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate shareholders’ equity | 17,770 | 17,488 | 24,944 | ||||||||
| Debt | 7,942 | 7,964 | 7,976 | ||||||||
| Total capital resources | $ | 25,712 | $ | 25,452 | $ | 32,920 | |||||
| Ratio of debt to Allstate shareholders’ equity | 44.7 | % | 45.5 | % | 32.0 | % | |||||
| Ratio of debt to capital resources | 30.9 | % | 31.3 | % | 24.2 | % |
Allstate shareholders’ equity increased in 2023, primarily due to lower unrealized net capital losses on investments, partially offset by dividends paid to shareholders, common share repurchases and a net loss. In 2023, we paid dividends of $925 million and $107 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively. Allstate shareholders’ equity decreased in 2022, primarily due to net unrealized capital losses on investments in 2022 compared to gains in 2021, common share repurchases, a net loss and dividends paid to shareholders. In 2022, we paid dividends of $926 million and $105 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively.
Repayment of debt On March 29, 2023, the Company repaid, at maturity, $250 million of Floating Rate Senior Notes that bear interest at a floating rate equal to three-month London Interbank Offered Rate (“LIBOR”) plus 0.63% per year. On June 15, 2023, the Company repaid, at maturity, $500 million of 3.15% Senior Notes.
Issuance of debt On March 31, 2023, the Company issued $750 million of 5.25% Senior Notes due 2033. Interest on the Senior Notes is payable semi-annually in arrears on March 30 and September 30 of each year, beginning on September 30, 2023. The Senior Notes are redeemable at any time at the applicable redemption price prior to the maturity date. The net proceeds of this issuance were used to repay the $500 million senior debt maturity and for general corporate purposes.
Redemption of preferred stock On April 17, 2023, the Company redeemed all 23,000 shares of Fixed Rate Noncumulative Preferred Stock, Series G, par value $1.00 per share and liquidation preference $25,000 per share, and the corresponding depositary shares for a total redemption payment of $575 million. The Company recognized $18 million of original issuance costs in preferred stock dividends on the Consolidated Statements of Operations and Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity.
Issuance of preferred stock On May 18, 2023, the Company issued 24,000 shares of Fixed Rate Noncumulative Preferred Stock, Series J, par value
$1.00 per share and liquidation preference amount of $25,000 per share, and the corresponding depositary shares for gross proceeds of $600 million. The preferred stock is perpetual and has no maturity date. The preferred stock is redeemable at the Company’s option in whole or in part, on or after July 15, 2028 at a redemption price of $25,000 per share, plus declared and unpaid dividends. Prior to July 15, 2028, the preferred stock is redeemable at the Company’s option, in whole but not in part, within 90 days of the occurrence of certain rating agency events at a redemption price equal to $25,500 per share, plus declared and unpaid dividends, or in whole but not in part, within 90 days after the occurrence of a regulatory capital event, at a redemption price equal to $25,000 per share, plus declared and unpaid dividends.
Common share repurchases In July 2023, we suspended repurchasing shares under the current authorization. As of December 31, 2023, there was $472 million remaining of the $5.00 billion program. The authorization for the share repurchase program expires on March 31, 2024.
During 2023, we repurchased 2.8 million common shares, or 1.1% of total common shares outstanding as of December 31, 2022, for $330 million.
Since 1995, we have acquired 792 million shares of our common stock at a cost of $43.18 billion, primarily as part of various stock repurchase programs. We have reissued 156 million common shares since 1995, primarily associated with our equity incentive plans, the 1999 acquisition of American Heritage Life Investment Corporation and the 2001 redemption of certain mandatorily redeemable preferred securities. Since 1995, total common shares outstanding has decreased by 636 million shares or 70.8%, primarily due to our repurchase programs.
Common shareholder dividends On January 3, 2023, April 3, 2023, July 3, 2023 and October 2, 2023, we paid a common shareholder dividend of $0.85, $0.89, $0.89 and $0.89, respectively. On November 15, 2023, we declared a common shareholder dividend of $0.89 payable on January 2, 2024.
The Allstate Corporation 77
2023 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Financial ratings and strength
| Senior long-term debt, commercial paper and insurance financial strength ratings | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2023 | ||||||
| Moody’s | S&P Global Ratings | A.M. Best | ||||
| The Allstate Corporation (debt) | A3 | BBB+ | a- | |||
| The Allstate Corporation (short-term issuer) | P-2 | A-2 | AMB-1 | |||
| Allstate Insurance Company (insurance financial strength) | Aa3 | A+ | A+ |
Our ratings are influenced by many factors including our operating and financial performance, asset quality, liquidity, overall portfolio mix, financial leverage (i.e., debt), exposure to risks such as catastrophes and the current level of operating leverage. The preferred stock and subordinated debentures are viewed as having a common equity component by certain rating agencies and are given equity credit up to a pre-determined limit in our capital structure as determined by their respective methodologies. These respective methodologies consider the existence of certain terms and features in the instruments such as the noncumulative dividend feature in the preferred stock.
The Allstate Corporation (the “Corporation”) and Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”) In March 2023, Moody’s affirmed The Allstate Corporation’s (the “Corporation”) senior debt and short-term issuer ratings of A3 and P-2, respectively, and AIC’s insurance financial strength rating of Aa3. The outlook for the ratings was changed from stable to negative.
In August 2023, A.M. Best downgraded the Corporation’s senior debt and short-term issuer ratings to a- and AMB-1, respectively, and affirmed AIC’s insurance financial strength rating of A+. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
In August 2023, S&P downgraded the Corporation’s senior debt rating to BBB+ and affirmed the short-term issuer rating of A-2, and downgraded AIC’s insurance financial strength rating to A+. The outlook for the ratings changed from negative to stable.
American Heritage Life (“AHL”) In August 2023, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for AHL. The outlook for the rating is stable.
Other property and casualty companies We have distinct and separately capitalized groups of subsidiaries licensed to sell property and casualty insurance that maintain separate group ratings. The ratings of these groups are influenced by the risks that relate specifically to each group. Many mortgage companies require property owners to have insurance from an insurance carrier with a secure financial strength rating from an accredited rating agency.
In August 2023, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength rating of A of the members of Allstate New Jersey Group (Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company, Allstate New Jersey Property and Casualty Insurance Company, Encompass Insurance Company of New Jersey, Encompass Property and
Casualty Insurance Company of New Jersey, Esurance Insurance Company of New Jersey). The outlook for the rating changed from stable to negative. ANJ writes auto and homeowners insurance in New Jersey. Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company also has a financial strength rating of A” from Demotech, which was affirmed in December 2023.
In August 2023, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for North Light, our excess and surplus lines carrier. The outlook for the North Light rating is stable.
In August 2023, A.M. Best downgraded the insurance financial strength ratings of the members of Castle Key Group (Castle Key Insurance Company, Castle Key Indemnity Company, Encompass Floridian Insurance Company, Encompass Floridian Indemnity Company) to B. The outlook for the ratings changed from negative to stable. CKIC also has a financial strength rating of A’ from Demotech that was affirmed in December 2023.
ANJ and North Light do not have support agreements with AIC.
Allstate’s domestic property and casualty and life insurance subsidiaries prepare their statutory-basis financial statements in conformity with accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the insurance department of the applicable state of domicile. Statutory surplus is a measure that is often used as a basis for determining dividend paying capacity, operating leverage and premium growth capacity, and it is also reviewed by rating agencies in determining their ratings.
The property and casualty business is comprised of 59 insurance companies as of December 31, 2023, each of which has individual company dividend limitations. As of December 31, 2023, total statutory surplus is $14.56 billion compared to $15.28 billion as of December 31, 2022. Property and casualty subsidiaries surplus was $14.25 billion as of December 31, 2023, compared to $15.00 billion as of December 31, 2022. Life, accident and health insurance subsidiaries surplus was $310 million as of December 31, 2023, compared to $279 million as of December 31, 2022.
The NAIC has developed financial relationships or tests known as the Insurance Regulatory Information System to assist state insurance regulators in monitoring the financial condition of insurance companies and identifying companies that require special attention or actions by state insurance regulators. The NAIC analyzes financial data provided by insurance companies using prescribed ratios, each
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2023 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
with defined “usual ranges”. Additional regulatory scrutiny may occur if a company’s ratios fall outside the usual ranges for four or more of the ratios. Nine of our domestic insurance companies have four or more
ratios outside the usual ranges due to higher written premiums and net losses in 2023.
Liquidity sources and uses Our potential sources and uses of funds principally include the following activities below.
| Activities for potential sources of funds | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporateand Other | |||||
| Receipt of insurance premiums | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Recurring service fees | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Contractholder fund deposits | ü | |||||||
| Reinsurance and indemnification program recoveries | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Receipts of principal, interest and dividends on investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Sales of investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||||
| Intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Capital contributions from parent (1) | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Dividends or return of capital from subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Tax refunds/settlements | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from periodic issuance of additional securities | ü | |||||||
| Receipt of intercompany settlements related to employee benefit plans | ü |
(1)Capital support is generally at management’s discretion unless contractual commitments are in place.
| Activities for potential uses of funds | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporateand Other | |||||
| Payment of claims and related expenses | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payment of contract benefits, surrenders and withdrawals | ü | |||||||
| Reinsurance cessions and indemnification program payments | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Operating costs and expenses | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Purchase of investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Repayment of securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payment or repayment of intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Capital contributions to subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Dividends or return of capital to shareholders/parent company | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Tax payments/settlements | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Common share repurchases | ü | |||||||
| Debt service expenses and repayment | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payments related to employee benefit plans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Payments for acquisitions | ü | ü | ü | ü |
Contractual obligations and commitments We have short-term and long-term contractual obligations and commitments. We manage our short-term liquidity position to ensure the availability of a sufficient amount of liquid assets to extinguish short-term liabilities as they come due in the normal course of business, including utilizing potential sources of liquidity. Long-term obligations include known
contractual commitments that require cash needs beyond 12 months.
Short-term contractual obligations are typically settled with cash or short-term investments and operating cash flows. Most of these obligations are paid within one year. These include unconditional purchase obligations, other liabilities and accrued expenses, including liabilities for collateral and operating leases, and net unrecognized tax benefits.
The Allstate Corporation 79
2023 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
We actively manage our financial position and liquidity levels in light of changing market, economic, and business conditions. Liquidity is managed at both the entity and enterprise level across the Company and is assessed on both base and stressed level liquidity needs. We believe we have sufficient liquidity to meet these needs. Additionally, we have existing intercompany agreements in place that facilitate liquidity management across the Company to enhance flexibility.
As of December 31, 2023, we held $16.20 billion of cash, U.S. government and agencies fixed income securities, public equity securities and short-term investments, which we would expect to be able to liquidate within one week. In addition, we regularly estimate how much of the total portfolio, which includes high quality corporate fixed income and municipal holdings, can be reasonably liquidated within one quarter. These estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty associated with evolving market conditions. As of December 31, 2023, cash and estimated liquidity available within one quarter, under normal market conditions and at current market prices, was $23.52 billion.
Certain remote events and circumstances could constrain our liquidity. Those events and circumstances include, for example, a catastrophe resulting in extraordinary losses, a decrease in market liquidity, dramatic changes in security pricing, a cybersecurity breach, a downgrade in our senior long-term debt ratings to non-investment grade status, or a downgrade in AIC’s financial strength ratings. The rating agencies also consider the interdependence of our individually rated entities; therefore, a rating change in one entity could potentially affect the ratings of other related entities.
The Corporation is party to an Amended and Restated Intercompany Liquidity Agreement (“Liquidity Agreement”) with certain subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to AIC. The Liquidity Agreement allows for short-term advances of funds to be made between parties for liquidity and other general corporate purposes. The Liquidity Agreement does not establish a commitment to advance funds on the part of any party. AIC serves as a lender and borrower, certain other subsidiaries serve only as borrowers, and the Corporation serves only as a lender. The maximum amount of potential funding under each of these agreements is $1.00 billion.
In addition to the Liquidity Agreement, the Corporation also has an intercompany loan agreement with certain of its subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to, AIC. The amount of intercompany loans available to the Corporation’s subsidiaries is at the discretion of the Corporation. The maximum amount of loans the Corporation will have outstanding to all its eligible subsidiaries at any given point in time is limited to $1.00 billion. The Corporation may use commercial paper borrowings, bank lines of credit and securities lending to fund intercompany borrowings.
Parent company capital capacity At the parent holding company level, we have deployable assets totaling $3.41 billion as of December 31, 2023, primarily comprised of cash and short-term, fixed income and equity securities that are generally saleable within one quarter. The earnings capacity of the operating subsidiaries is the primary source of capital generation for the Corporation.
The payment of dividends by AIC to The Allstate Corporation is limited by Illinois insurance law to formula amounts based on statutory net income and statutory surplus, as well as the timing and amount of dividends paid in the preceding twelve months. The maximum amount of dividends that AIC will be able to pay, without prior Illinois Department of Insurance approval, at a given point in time in 2024, based on 10% of actual 2023 statutory surplus, is estimated at $1.20 billion, less dividends paid during the preceding twelve months measured at that point in time. For the year ended December 31, 2023, the maximum amount of dividends allowed to be paid by AIC was $1.22 billion. No dividends were paid in 2023. Notification and approval of intercompany lending activities are also required by the Illinois Department of Insurance for those transactions that exceed formula amounts based on statutory admitted assets and statutory surplus.
These holding company assets and subsidiary dividends provide funds for the parent company’s fixed charges and other corporate purposes.
Intercompany dividends were paid in 2023, 2022 and 2021 between the following companies: AIC, Allstate Insurance Holdings, LLC (“AIH”), the Corporation, ALIC, American Heritage Life Insurance Company (“AHL”) and Allstate Financial Insurance Holdings Corporation (“AFIHC”).
| Intercompany dividends | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| AIC to AIH | $ | — | $ | 4,203 | $ | 5,946 | |||||
| AIH to the Corporation | — | 4,205 | 5,586 | ||||||||
| ALIC to AIC | — | — | 1,642 | ||||||||
| AHL to AFIHC | 40 | 110 | 90 | ||||||||
| AFIHC to the Corporation | 50 | 112 | 128 |
There were no capital contributions paid by the Corporation to AIC in 2023, 2022 or 2021.
Dividends may not be paid or declared on our common stock and shares of common stock may not be repurchased unless the full dividends for the latest completed dividend period on our preferred stock have been declared and paid or provided for.
The terms of our outstanding subordinated debentures also prohibit us from declaring or paying any dividends or distributions on our common or preferred stock or redeeming, purchasing, acquiring, or making liquidation payments on our common stock or preferred stock if we have elected to defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures, subject to certain limited exceptions. In 2023, we did not defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures.
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2023 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Additional resources to support liquidity are as follows:
•The Corporation and AIC have access to a $750 million unsecured revolving credit facility that is available for short-term liquidity requirements. In November 2022, the maturity date of this facility was extended to November 2027 and the U.S. dollar benchmark rate was amended from London Interbank Offered Rate to Secured Overnight Financing Rate. The facility is fully subscribed among 11 lenders with the largest commitment being $95 million. The commitments of the lenders are several and no lender is responsible for any other lender’s commitment if such lender fails to make a loan under the facility. This facility contains an increase provision that would allow up to an additional $500 million of borrowing, subject to the lenders’ commitment. This facility has a financial covenant requiring that we not exceed a 37.5% debt to capitalization ratio as defined in the agreement. This ratio was 23.4% as of December 31, 2023. Although the right to borrow under the facility is not subject to a minimum rating requirement, the costs of maintaining the facility and borrowing under it are based on the ratings of our senior unsecured, unguaranteed long-term debt. There were no borrowings under the credit facility during 2023.
•To cover short-term cash needs, the Corporation has access to a commercial paper facility with a borrowing capacity limited to any undrawn credit facility balance up to $750 million.
•As of December 31, 2023, there were no balances outstanding for the credit facility or the commercial paper facility and therefore the remaining borrowing capacity was $750 million under each facility.
•The Corporation has access to a universal shelf registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission that expires in 2024. We can use this shelf registration to issue an unspecified amount of debt securities, common stock (including 638 million shares of treasury stock as of December 31, 2023), preferred stock, depository shares, warrants, stock purchase contracts, stock purchase units and securities of trust subsidiaries. The specific terms of any securities we issue under this registration statement will be provided in the applicable prospectus supplements.
Long-term contractual obligations
Defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans (“OPEB”) Pension plan obligations within the next 12 months represent our planned contributions to certain unfunded non-qualified plans where the benefit obligation exceeds the assets. Obligations beyond 12 months are projected based on the average remaining service period using the current underfunded status of the plans. The OPEB plans’ obligations are estimated based on the expected benefits to be paid. See
Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Reserves for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense represent estimated amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including claims that have been IBNR as of the balance sheet date. Estimated timing of payments for reserves is based on our historical experience and our expectation of future payment patterns. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts that are our best estimates. See Note 9 of the consolidated financial statements and Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A for further information.
Reserve for future policy benefits and contractholder funds We estimate the present value of cash payments to be made to contractholders and policyholders. We are currently making payments for contracts where the timing of a portion or all of the payments has been determined by the contract. Contracts such as voluntary accident and health insurance, interest-sensitive life and traditional life insurance involve payment obligations where a portion or all of the amount and timing of future payments is uncertain. We have estimated the timing of payments related to these contracts based on historical experience and our expectation of future payment patterns. Uncertainties relating to these liabilities include mortality, morbidity, customer lapse and withdrawal activity, estimated additional deposits for interest-sensitive life contracts, and renewal premium for life policies, which may significantly impact both the timing and amount of future payments. See Note 10 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Contractual commitments represent investment commitments such as private placements, limited partnership interests and other loans. Limited partnership interests are typically funded over the commitment period which is shorter than the contractual expiration date of the partnership and as a result, the actual timing of the funding may vary.
We have agreements in place for services we conduct, generally at cost, between subsidiaries relating to insurance, reinsurance, loans and capitalization. All material intercompany transactions have been appropriately eliminated in consolidation. Intercompany transactions among insurance subsidiaries and affiliates have been approved by the appropriate departments of insurance as required.
For a more detailed discussion of our off-balance sheet arrangements, see Note 7 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 81
2023 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Allstate is subject to significant risks as an insurer and a provider of protection products and services. These risks are discussed in more detail in the Risk Factors section of this document.
We regularly identify, measure, manage, monitor and report all significant risks. Major categories of enterprise risk are strategic, insurance, investment, financial, operational and culture.
Allstate manages these risks through an Enterprise Risk and Return Management (“ERRM”) framework that includes governance, processes, culture, and activities
that are performed on an integrated, enterprise-wide basis, following our risk and return principles. Our legal and capital structures are designed to manage capital and solvency on a legal entity basis. Our risk-return principles define how we operate and guide risk and return decision making. These principles state that our priority is to maintain a strong foundation by protecting solvency, complying with laws and acting with integrity. We strive to build strategic value and optimize risk and return.
Governance ERRM governance includes board oversight, an executive management committee, and enterprise and market-facing business chief risk officers.
•The Allstate Corporation Board of Directors (“Allstate Board”) has overall responsibility for oversight of management’s design and implementation of ERRM.
•The Risk and Return Committee (“RRC”) of the Allstate Board oversees effectiveness of the ERRM program, governance structure and risk-related decision-making, while focusing on the Company’s overall risk profile.
•The Audit Committee oversees the effectiveness of internal controls over financial reporting, disclosure controls and procedures as well as
management’s risk control framework and cybersecurity program.
•The ERRC directs ERRM activities by establishing risk and return targets, determining economic capital levels and monitoring integrated strategies and actions from an enterprise risk and return perspective. The ERRC consists of Allstate’s chief executive officer, chief financial officer, chief risk officer, chief legal officer and other senior leaders.
•Other key committees work with the ERRC to direct ERRM activities, including the Operating Committee, the Operational Risk and Return Council, the Information Security Council, the Internal Compliance and Control Committee, the Environmental, Social, and Governance (“ESG”)
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2023 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Steering Committee, liability governance committees, and investment committees.
Key risks are assessed and reported through comprehensive ERRM reports prepared for senior management and the RRC. The risk summary report communicates the alignment of Allstate’s risk profile with risk and return principles, while providing a perspective on risk positioning. Discussion promotes active engagement with management and the RRC. Internal controls over key risks are managed and reported to senior management and the Audit Committee of the Company through a semi-annual risk control dashboard. Annually, we review risks related to the strategic plan, operating plan and incentive compensation programs with the Allstate Board.
Framework We apply risk and return principles using an integrated ERRM framework that focuses on assessment, transparency and dialogue. Our framework provides a comprehensive view of risks and is used by senior management and business managers to drive risk-return based decisions. We continually validate and improve our ERRM practices by benchmarking and obtaining external perspectives.
Management and the ERRC rely on internal and external perspectives to determine an appropriate level of target economic capital. Internal perspectives include enterprise solvency and volatility assessments, review of key operating and model assumptions, and management judgment. Sensitivity testing and scenario analysis are used to gauge the robustness of Allstate’s risk, capital and liquidity positions. Analysis of extremely low frequency scenarios is used to assess the sufficiency of capital and contingency options under worst-case outcomes, including unlikely but impactful single events, as well as sequences of multiple tail events. External considerations include NAIC risk-based capital as well as S&P’s, Moody’s, and A.M. Best’s capital adequacy measurement. Our economic capital reflects management’s view of the aggregate level of capital necessary to satisfy stakeholder interests, manage Allstate’s risk profile and maintain financial strength. The impact of strategic initiatives on enterprise risk is evaluated through the economic capital framework.
The NAIC has adopted the Risk Management and Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Model Act (“ORSA Model Act”), which has been enacted by our insurance subsidiaries’ domiciliary states. The ORSA Model Act requires that insurers maintain a risk management framework and conduct an internal own risk and solvency assessment of the insurer’s material risks in normal and stressed environments. Results of the assessment are filed annually.
Allstate’s risk appetite is measured through our economic capital framework. The enterprise risk appetite is cascaded into individual risk limits which set boundaries on the amount of risk we are willing to accept from one specific risk category before escalating for further management discussion and action. Risk limits are established based upon expected returns, volatility, potential tail losses and impact on the enterprise portfolio. To effectively
operate within risk limits and for risk-return optimization, Allstate establishes risk limits and capital targets specific to each business unit. Allstate’s risk management strategies adapt to changes in business and market environments.
Process Our ERRM framework establishes a basis for transparency and dialogue across the enterprise and for continuous learning by embedding our risk and return management culture of identifying, assessing, managing, monitoring and reporting risks within the organization. Allstate designs business and enterprise strategies that seek to optimize risk-adjusted returns on capital. Risks are managed at both the legal entity and enterprise level.
A summary of our process to manage each of our major risk categories follows:
Strategic risk and return management addresses loss associated with inadequate or flawed business planning or strategy setting, including product mix, mergers or acquisitions and market positioning, and unexpected changes within the market or regulatory environment in which Allstate operates. This includes reputational risk, which is the potential for negative publicity regarding a company’s conduct or business practices to adversely impact its profitability, operations, or consumer base, or to require costly litigation and other defensive measures.
We manage strategic risk in part through Allstate Board and senior management strategy reviews that include risk and return assessment of our strategic plans and ongoing monitoring of strategic actions, key assumptions and the external competitive environment. Using the ERRM framework, Allstate designs strategies that seek to optimize risk-adjusted returns associated with taking insurance, investment, and other business risks.
Insurance risk and return management addresses fluctuations in the timing, frequency and severity of benefits, expenses, and premiums relative to the return expectations inclusive of systemic risk, concentration of insurance exposures, policy terms, reinsurance coverage, and claims handling practices.
Insurance risk is the potential for loss due to adverse changes in actual or anticipated insurance claims experience (including claims adjustment expenses), net of reinsurance, and lost future profits. Insurance risk exposures include our operating results and financial condition, claims frequency and severity, and catastrophe and severe weather.
Insurance risk exposures are measured and monitored with different approaches including:
•Stochastic methods: measure and monitor risks such as natural catastrophes and severe weather. We develop probabilistic estimates of risk based on our exposures, historical observed volatility or industry-recognized models in the case of catastrophe risk.
•Scenario analysis: measures and monitors risks and estimated losses due to extreme low frequency events that include combined multiple
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event scenarios across risk categories and time periods.
Investment risk and return management addresses financial loss due to changes in the valuations of assets held in the Allstate investment portfolio. Such losses may be caused by macro developments, such as changes to interest rates, credit spreads and equity price levels, or could be specific to individual investments in the portfolio. These losses can encompass both daily market volatility and permanent impairments of capital due to credit defaults and equity write-downs.
Investment risk exposures include interest rate risk, credit spread risk, equity price risk and foreign currency exchange rate risk.
Investment risk exposures are measured, monitored and limited in a number of ways including:
•Sensitivity analysis: measures the impact from a unit change in a market risk input.
•Stochastic and probabilistic estimation of potential losses: combines portfolio risk exposures with historical or recent market volatilities and correlations to assess the potential range of future investment results.
•Contributions to economic capital: measure the percentage allocations of investment risk and risk types within enterprise economic capital.
•Scenario analysis: measures material adverse outcomes such as shock scenarios applied to credit, public and private equity markets.
Some of the stress scenarios are a combination of multiple scenarios across risk categories and over multiple time periods, considering the effects of macroeconomic conditions.
Financial risk and return management addresses the risk of insufficient cash flows to meet corporate or policyholder needs, risk of inadequate aggregate capital or capital within any subsidiary, inability to access capital markets, credit risk that arises when an external party fails to meet a contractual obligation such as reinsurance for ceded claims, or risk associated with a business counterparty default.
We actively manage our capital and liquidity levels in light of changing market, economic and business conditions. Our capital position, capital generation capacity, and targeted risk profile provide strategic and financial flexibility.
We generally assess solvency on a statutory accounting basis, but also consider holding company capital and liquidity needs. Capital at the insurance companies significantly exceeds regulatory risk-based capital requirements and capital levels at the parent holding company provide liquidity and financial flexibility to meet enterprise capital and liquidity requirements.
Operational risk and return management addresses loss as a result of the failure of people, processes, or systems. Operational risk exposures include human capital, privacy, regulatory compliance, ethics, fraud, system availability, cybersecurity, data quality, disaster recovery and business continuity.
Operational risk is managed at the enterprise and market-facing business levels, through an integrated Operational Risk and Return Management (“ORRM”) framework that is anchored to the ERRM Learning Loop, which depicts the five components of effective risk management. The Learning Loop is a continual process which includes risk identification, measurement, management, monitoring, and reporting of risk.
From time to time, we engage independent advisers to assess and consult on operational risks. We also perform internal risk reviews of the quality of our operational risk program and identify opportunities to strengthen our internal controls.
Culture risk and return management addresses the potential for loss of stakeholder value from a suboptimal work environment, missed opportunities, or ineffective risk management practices. Allstate defines organization culture as a self-sustaining system of shared values, principles and priorities that shape beliefs, drive behavior and influence decision-making within an organization. Allstate’s approach is grounded in its Risk and Return Principles and organized by Our Shared Purpose.
Culture is managed using a set of cultural risk categories established as a basis for assessment and measurement, and the Learning Loop is applied to ensure continuous improvement. Culture risk assessments, informed by both quantitative metrics and qualitative judgment, are shared and discussed with the ERRC, RRC and Compensation and Human Capital Committee throughout the year. To strengthen oversight, the Culture Risk and Return Management (“CRRM”) team partners with Human Resources and the broader organization to enhance the sophistication of the CRRM framework, including the following key components:
•Key risk categories, defining the most important areas of culture to track and enhance.
•Key risk indicators, reflecting the health of the system, providing early warnings, and helping Allstate prioritize risk and return activities.
•Governance, ensuring timely discussion, escalation, and prioritization of issues, as well as identification of opportunities.
Many risk drivers impact more than one of these key risk categories. Examples include risks related to inflation and ESG factors. Such risks are managed within processes listed above, but overall strategy is coordinated at the enterprise level, and holistic governance is provided by cross-functional committees such as the ERRC.
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Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to adopt accounting policies and make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements. The most critical estimates, presented in the order they appear in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position, include those used in determining:
•Fair value of financial assets
•Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses
•Evaluation of goodwill
•Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation
•Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions
In making these determinations, management makes subjective and complex judgments that frequently require estimates about matters that are inherently uncertain. Many of these policies, estimates and related judgments are common in the insurance and financial services industries; others are specific to our businesses and operations. It is reasonably likely that changes in these estimates could occur from period to period and result in a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.
A summary of each of these critical accounting estimates follows. For a more detailed discussion of the effect of these estimates on our consolidated financial statements, and the judgments and assumptions related to these estimates, see the referenced sections of this document. For a more detailed summary of our significant accounting policies, see the notes to the consolidated financial statements.
Fair value of financial assets Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We are responsible for the determination of fair value of financial assets and the supporting assumptions and methodologies. We use independent third-party valuation service providers, broker quotes and internal pricing methods to determine fair values. We utilize only one single quote or price to value each financial instrument in our financial statements.
Valuation service providers typically obtain data about market transactions and other key valuation model inputs from multiple sources and, through the use of proprietary models, produce valuation information in the form of a single fair value for individual fixed income and other securities for which a fair value has been requested under the terms of our agreements. The inputs used by the valuation service providers include, but are not limited to, market prices from recently completed transactions and transactions of comparable securities, interest rate yield curves, credit spreads, liquidity spreads, currency rates, and
other information, as applicable. Credit and liquidity spreads are typically implied from completed transactions and transactions of comparable securities. Valuation service providers also use proprietary discounted cash flow models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry and similar to those used by other market participants to value the same financial instruments. The valuation models take into account, among other things, market observable information (as described above) as of the measurement date, as well as the specific attributes of the security being valued including its term, interest rate, credit rating, industry sector, and where applicable, collateral quality and other issue or issuer specific information. Executing valuation models effectively requires seasoned professional judgment and experience. For certain equity securities, valuation service providers provide market quotations for completed transactions on the measurement date. In cases where market transactions or other market observable data is limited, the extent to which judgment is applied varies inversely with the availability of market observable information.
For certain of our financial assets measured at fair value, where our valuation service providers cannot provide fair value determinations, we obtain a single non-binding price quote from a broker familiar with the security who, similar to our valuation service providers, may consider transactions or activity in similar securities among other information. The brokers providing price quotes are generally from the brokerage divisions of financial institutions with market making, underwriting and distribution expertise regarding the security subject to valuation.
The fair value of certain financial assets, including privately placed corporate fixed income securities and free-standing derivatives, for which our valuation service providers or brokers do not provide fair value determinations, is developed using valuation methods and models widely accepted in the financial services industry. Our internal pricing methods are primarily based on models using discounted cash flow methodologies that develop a single best estimate of fair value. Our models generally incorporate inputs that we believe are representative of inputs other market participants would use to determine fair value of the same instruments, including yield curves, quoted market prices of comparable securities or instruments, published credit spreads, and other applicable market data as well as instrument-specific characteristics that include, but are not limited to, coupon rates, expected cash flows, sector of the issuer, and call provisions. Because judgment is required in developing the fair values of these financial assets, they may differ from the amount actually received to sell an asset in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Moreover, the use of different valuation assumptions may have a material effect on the financial assets’ fair values.
For most of our financial assets measured at fair value, all significant inputs are based on or corroborated by market observable data, and
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significant management judgment does not affect the periodic determination of fair value. The determination of fair value using discounted cash flow models involves management judgment when significant model inputs are not based on or corroborated by market observable data. However, where market observable data is available, it takes precedence, and as a result, no range of reasonably likely inputs exists from which the basis of a sensitivity analysis could be constructed.
We gain assurance that our financial assets are appropriately valued through the execution of various processes and controls designed to ensure the overall reasonableness and consistent application of valuation methodologies, including inputs and assumptions, and compliance with accounting standards. For fair values received from third parties or internally estimated, our processes and controls are designed to ensure that the valuation methodologies are appropriate and consistently applied, the inputs and assumptions are reasonable and consistent with the objective of determining fair value, and the fair values are accurately recorded. For example, on a continuing basis, we assess the reasonableness of individual fair values that have stale security prices or that exceed certain thresholds as compared to previous fair values received from valuation service providers or brokers or derived from internal models. We perform procedures to understand and assess the methodologies, processes and controls of valuation service providers. In addition, we may validate the reasonableness of fair values by comparing information obtained from
valuation service providers or brokers to other third-party valuation sources for selected securities. We perform ongoing price validation procedures such as back-testing of actual sales, which corroborate the various inputs used in internal models to market observable data. When fair value determinations are expected to be more variable, we validate them through reviews by members of management who have relevant expertise and who are independent of those charged with executing investment transactions.
During periods of high volatility or market disruption, we may perform an analysis to determine whether there has been a significant decrease in the volume and level of activity for the asset when compared to normal market activity, and if so, whether transactions may not be orderly. Among the indicators we consider in determining whether a significant decrease in the volume and level of market activity for a specific asset has occurred include the level of new issuances in the primary market, trading volume in the secondary market, level of credit spreads over historical levels, bid-ask spread, and price consensuses among market participants and sources. If evidence indicates that prices are based on transactions that are not orderly, we place little, if any, weight on the transaction price and will estimate fair value using an internal model. As of December 31, 2023 and 2022, we did not adjust fair values provided by our valuation service providers or brokers or substitute them with an internal model for such securities.
| Fixed income, equity securities and short-term investments by source of fair value determination | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2023 | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fair value | Percent to total | |||||
| Fair value based on internal sources | $ | 424 | 0.8 | % | |||
| Fair value based on external sources (1) | 55,996 | 99.2 | |||||
| Total | $ | 56,420 | 100.0 | % |
(1)Includes $21 million that are valued using broker quotes and $354 million that are valued using quoted prices or quoted net asset values from deal sponsors.
For additional detail on fair value measurements, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses For fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale, the difference between amortized cost, net of credit loss allowance (“amortized cost, net”) and fair value, net of certain other items and deferred income taxes (as disclosed in Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements), is reported as a component of AOCI on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position and is not reflected in the operating results of any period until reclassified to net income upon the consummation of a transaction with an unrelated third party or when a credit loss allowance is recorded. We have a comprehensive portfolio monitoring process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance.
For each fixed income security in an unrealized loss position, we assess whether management with the
appropriate authority has made the decision to sell or whether it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before recovery of the amortized cost basis for reasons such as liquidity, contractual or regulatory purposes. If a security meets either of these criteria, any existing credit loss allowance would be written-off against the amortized cost basis of the asset along with any remaining unrealized losses, with the incremental losses recorded in earnings.
If we have not made the decision to sell the fixed income security and it is not more likely than not we will be required to sell the fixed income security before recovery of its amortized cost basis, we evaluate whether we expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security. We calculate the estimated recovery value based on the best estimate of future cash flows considering past events, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. The estimated future cash flows are discounted at the security’s current effective rate, and are compared to the amortized cost of the
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security. The determination of cash flow estimates is inherently subjective, and methodologies may vary depending on facts and circumstances specific to the security. All reasonably available information relevant to the collectability of the security are considered when developing the estimate of cash flows expected to be collected. That information generally includes, but is not limited to, as applicable, the remaining payment terms of the security, prepayment speeds, the financial condition and future earnings potential of the issue or issuer, expected defaults, expected recoveries, the value of underlying collateral, origination vintage year, geographic concentration of underlying collateral, available reserves or escrows, current subordination levels, third-party guarantees and other credit enhancements. Other information, such as industry analyst reports and forecasts, sector credit ratings, financial condition of the bond insurer for insured fixed income securities, and other market data relevant to the realizability of contractual cash flows, may also be considered. The estimated fair value of collateral will be used to estimate recovery value if we determine that the security is dependent on the liquidation of collateral for ultimate settlement.
If we do not expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the fixed income security, a credit loss allowance is recorded in earnings for the shortfall in expected cash flows; however, the amortized cost, net of the credit loss allowance, may not be lower than the fair value of the security. The portion of the unrealized loss related to factors other than credit remains classified in AOCI. If we determine that the fixed income security does not have sufficient cash flow or other information to estimate a recovery value for the security, we may conclude that the entire decline in fair value is deemed to be credit related and the loss is recorded in earnings.
When a security is sold or otherwise disposed or the security is deemed uncollectible and written off, we remove amounts previously recognized in the credit loss allowance. Recoveries after write-offs are recognized when received.
For additional detail on investment impairments, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
Evaluation of goodwill Goodwill represents the excess of amounts paid for acquiring businesses over the fair value of the net assets acquired, less any impairment of goodwill recognized. Goodwill is recognized when acquired and allocated to reporting units based on which unit is expected to benefit from the synergies of the business combination. Our goodwill reporting units are equivalent to our reportable segments to which goodwill has been assigned: Allstate Protection, Protection Services, and Allstate Health and Benefits.
The goodwill balance was $3.50 billion at both December 31, 2023 and 2022.
Upon acquisition, the purchase price of the acquired business is assumed to be its fair value. Subsequently, we estimate the fair value of our businesses in each goodwill reporting unit, utilizing a
combination of widely accepted valuation techniques including a stock price and market capitalization analysis, discounted cash flow (“DCF”) calculations and an estimate of a business’s fair value using market to book multiples derived from peer company analysis. The stock price and market capitalization analysis takes into consideration the quoted market price of our outstanding common stock and includes a control premium, derived from relevant historical acquisition activity, in determining the estimated fair value of the consolidated entity before allocating that fair value to individual reporting units. The DCF analysis utilizes long term assumptions for revenues, investment income, benefits, claims, other operating expenses and income taxes to produce projections of both income and cash flows available for dividends that are present valued using the weighted average cost of capital. Market to book multiples represent the mean market to book multiple for selected peer companies with operations similar to each goodwill reporting unit to which the multiple is applied. The outputs from these methods are weighted based on the nature of the business and the relative amount of market observable assumptions supporting the estimates. The computed values are then weighted to reflect the fair value estimate based on the specific attributes of each goodwill reporting unit.
Estimating the fair value of reporting units is a subjective process that involves the use of significant estimates by management. Changes in market inputs or other events impacting the fair value of these businesses, including discount rates, operating results, investment returns, strategies and growth rate assumptions, among other factors, could result in goodwill impairments, resulting in a charge to income. Certain of our goodwill reporting units are comprised of a combination of legacy and acquired businesses and as a result have substantial internally generated and unrecognized intangibles and fair values that significantly exceed their carrying values.
The most significant assumptions utilized in the determination of the estimated fair value of the Protection Services reporting unit are the earnings growth rate and discount rate. The earnings growth rate in the DCF projection period is based on the business strategy for the reporting unit.
The discount rate, which is consistent with the weighted average cost of capital expected by a market participant, is based upon industry specific required rates of return, including consideration of both debt and equity components of the capital structure. Our discount rate may be impacted by changes in the risk-free rate, cost of debt, equity risk premium and entity specific risks.
Changes in our growth assumptions, including the risk of loss of key customers, or adverse changes in the discount rates could result in a decline in fair value and result in a goodwill impairment charge.
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2023 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation Reserves are established to provide for the estimated costs of paying claims and claims expenses under insurance policies we have issued. These reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including estimates of all expenses associated with processing and settling incurred claims and IBNR, less the amount of paid losses, as of the financial statement date. Total reserves comprise three major components: case (established by claim adjusters), supplemental, and IBNR. Estimating the ultimate cost of claims and claims expenses is an inherently uncertain and complex process involving a high degree of judgment and is subject to the evaluation of numerous variables. Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense reserves.
Reserves are established for each business segment and line of business, independently of business segment management. The significant lines of business are auto, homeowners, and other personal lines for Allstate Protection, and asbestos, environmental, and other run-off lines for Run-off Property-Liability. Allstate Protection’s current period claims are typically reported promptly with relatively little reporting lag between the date of occurrence and the date the loss is reported. Auto and homeowners liability losses generally take an average of about two years to settle, while auto physical damage, homeowners property and other personal lines generally have an average settlement time of less than one year. Liability losses, especially those involving litigation, can take several years to resolve. Run-off Property-Liability involves long-tail losses, such as those related to asbestos and environmental claims, which often involve substantial reporting lags and extended times to settle.
We update most of our reserve estimates quarterly and as new data and information become available or as events emerge that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in prior reserve estimates (reserve reestimates), which may be material, are determined by comparing updated estimates of ultimate losses to prior estimates, with the differences recorded as property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the period such changes are determined.
The actuarial methods used to develop reserve estimates Reserve estimates are derived by using several different actuarial estimation methods that are variations on one primary actuarial technique. The actuarial technique is known as a “chain ladder” estimation process in which historical loss patterns are applied to actual paid losses and reported losses (paid losses plus individual case reserves established by claim adjusters) for an accident year or a report year to create an estimate of how losses are likely to develop over time. An accident year refers to classifying claims based on the year in which the claims occurred. A report year refers to classifying claims based on the year in which the claims are reported. Both
classifications are used to prepare estimates of required reserves for payments to be made in the future. The key assumptions affecting our reserve estimates comprise data elements including claim counts, paid losses, case reserves, and development factors calculated with this data.
In the chain ladder estimation technique, a ratio (development factor) is calculated which compares current period results to results in the prior period for each accident year. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process, as development factors use historic data that incorporates inflation from recent prior periods in estimating future loss costs. The development factor estimation methodology may require modification when data changes due to changing claim reporting practices, changing claim settlement patterns, external regulatory or financial influences, or contractual coverage changes. Changes in such items and inflation can result in increased variability in loss costs and reserve estimates. Actuarial judgment is then applied to develop a best estimate of gross ultimate losses. These developments are discussed further in the loss ratio disclosures within the Allstate Protection Segment and the Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves sections of the MD&A. See the Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates section for specific disclosures of industry and actuarial best practices for this segment.
How reserve estimates are established and updated Reserve estimates are developed at a detailed level, and the results are aggregated to form a consolidated reserve estimate. The detailed estimates include each line of insurance, major components of losses (such as coverages and perils), major states or groups of states and for reported losses and IBNR. Development factors are calculated for data elements such as claim counts reported and settled, paid losses, and paid losses combined with case reserves. The historical development patterns for these data elements are used to calculate reserve estimates. Based on this review, our best estimate of required reserves is recorded.
Reserves are reestimated quarterly and periodically throughout the year, by combining historical results with current actual results to calculate new development factors. This process continuously incorporates the historic and latest actual trends, and other underlying changes in the data elements used to calculate reserve estimates. New development factors are likely to differ from previous development factors used in prior reserve estimates because actual results occur differently than the assumptions contained in the previous development factor calculations. When actual development of these data elements is different than the historical development pattern used in a prior period reserve estimate, a new reserve is determined. The difference between indicated reserves based on new reserve estimates and recorded reserves (the previous estimate) is the amount of reserve reestimate. This amount, which could be material and vary significantly from period to period is recognized as an increase or decrease in Property and casualty
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insurance claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. A more detailed discussion of reserve reestimates is presented
in the Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
| Net claims and claims expense reserves by segment and line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | |||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 21,286 | $ | 19,365 | $ | 16,078 | |||||
| Homeowners | 4,754 | 3,520 | 2,731 | ||||||||
| Other lines (1) | 3,929 | 3,991 | 3,315 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 29,969 | 26,876 | 22,124 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | |||||||||||
| Asbestos | 804 | 811 | 828 | ||||||||
| Environmental | 267 | 267 | 226 | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 373 | 373 | 367 | ||||||||
| Total Run-off Property-Liability | 1,444 | 1,451 | 1,421 | ||||||||
| Total Protection Services | 49 | 38 | 36 | ||||||||
| Total net claims and claims expense reserves | $ | 31,462 | $ | 28,365 | $ | 23,581 |
(1)Includes the unamortized fair value adjustment related to the acquisition of National General.
| Reserve reestimates | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Reserve reestimates, after-tax (1) | $ | 434 | $ | 1,375 | $ | 96 | |||||
| Percentage impact on net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders - favorable (unfavorable) | NM | (98.6) | % | (6.4) | % |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
| 3-year average of net reserve reestimates as a percentage of total reserves for each segment (1) (2) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | |||
| Allstate Protection | 2.6 | % | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 7.6 | ||
| Protection Services | (4.9) |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)Each of these results is consistent within a reasonable actuarial tolerance for the respective businesses.
Allstate Protection reserve estimate
Factors affecting reserve estimates Reserve estimates are developed based on the processes and historical development trends described above. These estimates are considered in conjunction with known facts and interpretations of circumstances and factors including our experience with similar cases, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, changes in laws and regulations, judicial decisions, and economic conditions. When we experience changes of the type previously mentioned, we apply actuarial judgment in the determination and selection of development factors considered more reflective of the new trends, such as combining shorter or longer periods of historical results with current actual results to produce development factors used to reestimate our reserves. For example:
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages, higher used car prices, labor and part cost increases, unemployment levels, changes in commuting activity and driving behavior have and may continue to lead to historical development trends being less predictive of future loss development, potentially creating additional reserve variability.
•If a legal change is expected to have a significant impact on the development of claim severity for a coverage which is part of a particular line of insurance in a specific state, judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors that will most accurately reflect the expected impact on that specific estimate.
•A change in economic conditions is expected to affect the cost of repairs to damaged autos or property for a particular line, coverage, or state, actuarial judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors to use in the reserve estimate that will most accurately reflect the expected impacts on severity development.
Case and supplemental reserves
•As claims are reported, for certain liability claims of sufficient size and complexity, the field adjusting staff establishes case reserve estimates of ultimate cost, based on their assessment of facts and circumstances related to each individual claim.
•For other claims which occur in large volumes and settle in a relatively short time frame, it is not practical or efficient to set case reserves for each claim, and a statistical case reserve is set for these claims based on estimation techniques described above.
•In the normal course of business, we may also supplement our claims processes by utilizing third-party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, and other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe and non-catastrophe related claims.
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2023 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
•Historically, the case reserves set by the field adjusting staff have not proven to be an entirely accurate estimate of the ultimate cost of claims. To provide for this, a development reserve is estimated using the processes described above and allocated to pending claims as a supplement to case reserves.
•Typically, the case, including statistical case, and supplemental development reserves comprise about 90% of total reserves.
Incurred but not reported (“IBNR”)
•IBNR can be a small percentage of reserves for relatively short-term claims, such as auto physical damage claims, or a large percentage of reserves for claims that have uncertain payout requirements over a long period of time, such as auto injury and MCCA claims.
•Comprises about 10% of total reserves.
Generally, the initial reserves for a new accident year are established based on actual claim frequency and severity assumptions for different business segments, lines and coverages based on historical relationships to relevant inflation indicators. Reserves for prior accident years are statistically determined using processes described above. Changes in auto claim frequency may result from changes in mix of business, driving behaviors, miles driven or other macroeconomic factors. Changes in auto current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the medical and auto repair sectors of the economy, the effectiveness and efficiency of our claim settlements and changes in mix of claim type. Injury claims are affected largely by medical inflation, treatment trends, attorney representation and litigation costs while physical damage claims are affected largely by auto repair cost inflation, used car prices, length of claim resolution and the timing of receipt of third-party carrier claims.
We mitigate these effects through various loss management programs. For auto physical damage coverages, we monitor our rate of increase in average cost per claim against the auto maintenance, repair, parts and equipment price indices. We believe our claim settlement initiatives, such as improvements to the claim review and settlement process, the use of special investigative units to detect fraud and handle suspect claims, litigation management and defense strategies, as well as various other loss management initiatives underway, contribute to the mitigation of injury and physical damage severity trends.
Changes in homeowners current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the cost of building materials, the cost of construction and property repair services, the cost of replacing home furnishings and other contents, the types of claims that qualify for coverage, deductibles, other economic and environmental factors and the effectiveness of our claim practices.
As loss experience for the current year develops for each type of loss, it is monitored relative to initial assumptions until it is judged to have sufficient statistical credibility. From that point in time forward,
reserves are reestimated using statistical actuarial processes to reflect the impact actual loss trends have on development factors incorporated into the actuarial estimation processes.
Causes of reserve estimate uncertainty Since reserves are estimates of unpaid portions of claims and claims expenses for claims that have occurred, including IBNR losses, the establishment of appropriate reserves, including reserves for catastrophe losses, requires regular reevaluation and refinement of estimates to determine our ultimate loss estimate.
At each reporting date, the highest degree of uncertainty in estimates for most of our losses from ongoing businesses arise from claims remaining to be settled for the current accident year and the most recent preceding accident year. The greatest degree of uncertainty exists in the current accident year because the current accident year contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled as well as heightened uncertainty for claims that involve litigation or take longer to settle during periods of rapidly increasing loss costs, but must be estimated as of the current reporting date. Most of these losses relate to damaged property such as automobiles and homes, and medical care for injuries from accidents. During the first year after the end of an accident year, a large portion of the total losses for that accident year are settled. When accident year losses paid through the end of the first year following the initial accident year are incorporated into updated actuarial estimates, the trends inherent in the settlement of claims emerge more clearly. After the second year, the losses that we pay for an accident year typically relate to claims that are more difficult to settle, such as those involving serious injuries or litigation. Private passenger auto insurance provides a good illustration of the uncertainty of future loss estimates: our typical annual percentage payout of reserves remaining at December 31 for an accident year is approximately 50% in the first year after the end of the accident year, 20% in the second year, 10% in the third year, 10% in the fourth year, and the remaining 10% thereafter.
Reserves for catastrophe losses Catastrophe losses are an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance industry that have contributed, and will continue to contribute, to potentially material year-to-year fluctuations in our results of operations and financial position. We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes.
We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, civil unrest, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of
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catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
The estimation of claims and claims expense reserves for catastrophe losses also comprises estimates of losses from reported claims and IBNR, primarily for damage to property. In general, our estimates for catastrophe reserves are based on claim adjuster inspections and the application of historical loss development factors as described above. However, depending on the nature of the catastrophe, the estimation process can be further complicated. For example, for hurricanes, complications could include the inability of insureds to promptly report losses, limitations placed on claims adjusting staff affecting their ability to inspect losses, determining whether losses are covered by our homeowners policy (generally for damage caused by wind or wind driven rain) or specifically excluded coverage caused by flood, exposure to mold damage, and the effects of numerous other considerations, including the timing of a catastrophe in relation to other events, such as at or near the end of a financial reporting period, which can affect the availability of information needed to estimate reserves for that reporting period. In these situations, we may need to adapt our practices to accommodate these circumstances in order to determine a best estimate of our losses from a catastrophe. For example, to complete estimates for certain areas affected by catastrophes not yet inspected by our claims adjusting staff, or where we believed our historical loss development factors were not predictive, we rely on analysis of actual claim notices received compared to total PIF, as well as visual, governmental and third-party information, including aerial photos, using satellites, aircrafts and drones, area observations, and data on wind speed and flood depth to the extent available.
Potential variability in reserve estimates Reserve estimates, by their nature, are very complex to determine, subject to significant judgment, and represent approximations rather than an exact determination for each outstanding claim, including claims incurred but not reported. Accordingly, as actual claims, paid losses, and case reserve results emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle will differ from previous estimates.
The reserve liability recorded in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position represents the aggregation of numerous analyses by each business segment, line of insurance, major types of losses (such as coverages and perils), and individual states or groups of states for reported losses and IBNR. Because of this detailed approach to our reserve analysis, there is not a single set of assumptions that determines our reserve estimates at the consolidated level or that management believes can produce a statistically credible or reliable actuarial reserve range that would be meaningful.
To develop a statistical indication of potential reserve variability within reasonably likely possible outcomes, an actuarial technique (stochastic modeling) is applied to the countrywide consolidated data elements for paid losses and paid losses combined
with case reserves separately for injury losses, auto physical damage losses, and homeowners insurance losses excluding catastrophe losses. Based on the combined historical variability of the development factors calculated for these data elements, an estimate of the standard error or standard deviation around these reserve estimates is calculated within each accident year for the last twelve years for each type of loss. The variability of these reserve estimates within one standard deviation of the mean (a measure of frequency of dispersion often viewed to be an acceptable level of accuracy) is believed by management to represent a reasonable and statistically probable measure of potential variability. Based on our products and coverages, historical experience, the statistical credibility of our extensive data and stochastic modeling of actuarial chain ladder methodologies used to develop reserve estimates, we have derived the potential standard deviation and impact to net income to our Allstate Protection reserves, excluding catastrophe losses, as shown below. Catastrophe losses are also an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance industry that have contributed, and will continue to contribute, to potentially material year-to-year fluctuations in our results of operations and financial position.
| Reserve estimate variability | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2023 | ||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Carried reserves (1) | Standard deviation | Net income effect, pre-tax | |||||||
| Auto insurance - liability coverage | $ | 27,730 | 7.0 | % | $ | 1,941 | ||||
| Auto insurance - physical damage coverage | 846 | 14.0 | 118 | |||||||
| Homeowners insurance | 3,342 | 8.5 | 284 |
(1) Excludes reserves related to catastrophes.
Although this evaluation reflects most reasonably likely outcomes, it is possible the final outcome may fall below or above these amounts. Historical variability of reserve estimates is reported in the Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
The Company regularly updates its reserve estimates as new information becomes available and as events unfold that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in reserve estimates, which may be material, are reported in property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the period such changes are determined. Management believes that the reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense, net of recoverables, is appropriately established in the aggregate and adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of reported and unreported claims arising from losses which had occurred by the date of the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position based on available facts, laws and regulations.
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Reserves for Michigan and New Jersey unlimited personal injury protection Claims and claims expense reserves include reserves for Michigan mandatory unlimited personal injury protection coverage to insureds involved in qualifying motor vehicle accidents. The administration of this program is through the MCCA, a state-mandated, non-profit association of which all insurers actively writing automobile coverage in Michigan are members.
The process employed to estimate MCCA covered losses involves a number of activities including the comprehensive review and interpretation of MCCA actuarial reports, other MCCA members’ reports and our personal injury protection loss trends which have increased in severity over time. A significant portion of incurred claim reserves can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims and thus a large portion of the recoverable is similarly concentrated. We conduct comprehensive claim file reviews to develop case reserve type estimates of specific claims, which inform our view of future claim development and longevity of claimants. Each year, we update the actuarial estimate of our ultimate reserves and recoverables. We report our paid and unpaid claims based on MCCA requirements. The MCCA develops its own reserving estimates based on its own reserve methodologies, which may not align with our estimations. The MCCA does not provide member companies with its estimate of a company’s claim costs.
We provide similar personal injury protection coverage in New Jersey for auto policies issued or renewed in New Jersey prior to 1991 that is administered by PLIGA. We use similar actuarial estimating techniques as for the MCCA exposures to estimate loss reserves for unlimited personal injury protection coverage for policies covered by PLIGA. Unlimited coverage was not offered after 1991; therefore, no new claimants are being added.
Reserve estimates are confidential and proprietary and by their nature are very complex to determine and subject to significant judgments. Reserve estimates do not represent an exact determination for each outstanding claim. Claims may be subject to litigation. As actual claims, paid losses and case reserve results emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle may be materially greater or less than previously estimated amounts.
For additional information related to indemnification recoverables, see Item 1 - Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
Adequacy of reserve estimates We believe our net claims and claims expense reserves are appropriately established based on available methodologies, facts, laws and regulations. Additionally, we rely on historical claims experience to inform the level of the recorded reserve. We calculate and record a single best reserve estimate, in conformance with generally accepted actuarial standards and practices, for each line of insurance, its components (coverages and perils) and state, for reported losses and for IBNR losses, and as a
result we believe that no other estimate is better than our recorded amount. Due to the uncertainties involved, the ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates.
Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates
Characteristics of Run-off exposure Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims arise principally from assumed reinsurance coverage written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s, including reinsurance on primary insurance written on large U.S. companies, and from direct excess commercial insurance written from 1972 through 1985, including substantial excess general liability coverages on large U.S. companies. Additional exposure stems from direct primary commercial insurance written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Asbestos claims relate primarily to bodily injuries asserted by claimants who were exposed to asbestos or products containing asbestos. Environmental claims relate primarily to pollution and related clean-up costs. Other run-off claims exposures primarily relate to general liability and product liability mass tort claims, such as those for medical devices and other products, workers’ compensation claims and claims for various other coverage exposures other than asbestos and environmental.
In 1986, the general liability policy form used by us and others in the property and casualty industry was amended to introduce an “absolute pollution exclusion,” which excluded coverage for environmental damage claims, and to add an asbestos exclusion. Most general liability policies issued prior to 1987 contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage. General liability policies issued in 1987 and thereafter contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage and annual aggregate limits for all coverages. Our experience to date is that these policy form changes have limited the extent of our exposure to environmental and asbestos claim risks.
Our exposure to liability for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims losses manifests differently depending on whether it arises from assumed reinsurance coverage, direct excess commercial insurance or direct primary commercial insurance.
Direct excess commercial insurance and reinsurance involve coverage written by us for specific layers of protection above retentions and other insurance plans and largely has resulted in asbestos, environmental and mass tort claims. The nature of excess coverage and reinsurance provided to other insurers limits our exposure to loss to specific layers of protection in excess of policyholder retention on their primary insurance plans. Our exposure is further limited by the significant reinsurance that we had purchased on our direct excess business.
Our assumed reinsurance business involved writing generally small participations in other insurers’ reinsurance programs. The reinsured losses in which we participate may be a proportion of all eligible losses or eligible losses in excess of defined retentions. Of the
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majority of our assumed reinsurance exposure, approximately 85%, is for excess of loss coverage, while the remaining 15% is for pro-rata coverage.
Our direct primary commercial insurance business comprises a cross section of policyholders engaged in many diverse business sectors throughout the country and did not include coverage to large asbestos manufacturers.
How reserve estimates are established and updated We conduct an annual review in the third quarter to evaluate, establish and adjust as necessary, asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims reserves. Changes to reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines asbestos reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (i.e. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, and determines environmental reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (i.e. environmental damages, respective shares of liability of potentially responsible parties, appropriateness and cost of remediation) to pollution and related clean-up costs. The number and cost of these claims are affected by advertising by trial lawyers seeking asbestos plaintiffs, and entities with asbestos exposure seeking bankruptcy protection as a result of asbestos liabilities, initially causing a delay in the reporting of claims, often followed by an acceleration and an increase in claims and claims expenses as settlements occur.
After evaluating our insureds’ probable liabilities for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims, we evaluate our insureds’ coverage programs for such claims. We consider our insureds’ total available insurance coverage, including the coverage we issued. We also consider relevant judicial interpretations of policy language and applicable coverage defenses or determinations, if any.
Evaluation of both the insureds’ estimated liabilities and our exposure to the insureds depends heavily on an analysis of the relevant legal issues and litigation environment. This analysis is conducted by our specialized claims adjusting staff and legal counsel. Based on these evaluations, case reserves are established by claims adjusting staff and actuarial analysis is employed to develop an IBNR reserve, which includes estimated potential reserve development and claims that have occurred but have not been reported. As of December 31, 2023 and 2022, IBNR was 55.7% and 55.9%, respectively, of combined net asbestos and environmental reserves.
For both asbestos and environmental reserves, we also evaluate our historical direct net loss and expense paid and incurred experience to assess any emerging trends, fluctuations or characteristics suggested by the aggregate paid and incurred activity. Other run-off claims reserves are based on considerations similar to those described above, as they relate to the
characteristics of specific individual coverage exposures.
Potential reserve estimate variability Establishing net loss reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims is subject to uncertainties that are much greater than those presented by other types of property and casualty claims. Among the complications are lack of historical data, long reporting delays, uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds with potential exposure and unresolved legal issues regarding policy coverage; unresolved legal issues regarding the determination, availability and timing of exhaustion of policy limits; plaintiffs’ evolving and expanding theories of liability; availability and collectability of recoveries from reinsurance; retrospectively determined premiums and other contractual agreements; estimates of the extent and timing of any contractual liability; the impact of bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos producers and other asbestos defendants; and other uncertainties. There are also complex legal issues concerning the interpretation of various insurance policy provisions and whether those losses are covered, or were ever intended to be covered, and could be recoverable through retrospectively determined premium, reinsurance or other contractual agreements. Courts have reached different and sometimes inconsistent conclusions as to when losses are deemed to have occurred and which policies provide coverage; what types of losses are covered; whether there is an insurer obligation to defend; how policy limits are determined; how policy exclusions and conditions are applied and interpreted; and whether clean-up costs represent insured property damage. Our reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off exposures could be affected by tort reform, class action litigation, and other potential legislation and judicial decisions. Environmental exposures could also be affected by a change in the existing federal Superfund law and similar state statutes. There can be no assurance that any reform legislation will be enacted or that any such legislation will provide for a fair, effective and cost-efficient system for settlement of asbestos or environmental claims. We believe these issues are not likely to be resolved in the near future, and the ultimate costs may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded resulting in material changes in loss reserves. Historical variability of reserve estimates is demonstrated in the Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Adequacy of reserve estimates Management believes its net loss reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, laws, regulations, and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (i.e. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. Due to the uncertainties and factors described above, management believes it is not practicable to develop a
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meaningful range for any such additional net loss reserves that may be required.
For further discussion of these estimates and quantification of the impact of reserve estimates, reserve reestimates and assumptions, see Note 9 and Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements and the Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions Our defined benefit pension plans cover most U.S. employees. Benefits are provided to plan participants based on a cash balance formula. Certain participants also have a significant portion of their benefits attributable to a former final average pay formula. 79% of the projected benefit obligation (“PBO”) of our primary qualified employee plan is related to the former final average pay formula. See Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements for a discussion of these plans and their effect on the consolidated financial statements.
Our pension and other postretirement benefit costs are calculated using various actuarial assumptions and methodologies. These assumptions include discount rates, health care cost trend rates, inflation, expected returns on plan assets, mortality and other factors. The assumptions utilized in recording the obligations under our pension plans represent our best estimates and we believe they are reasonable based on information as to historical experience and performance as well as other factors that might cause future expectations to differ from past trends.
Net costs for our defined benefit plans are recognized on the Consolidated Statements of Operations and consist of two elements: 1) costs comprised of service and interest costs, expected return of plan assets, amortization of prior service credit and curtailment gains and losses which are reported in property and casualty claims and claims expense, operating costs and expenses, net
investment income and, if applicable, restructuring and related charges and 2) remeasurement gains and losses comprised of changes in actuarial assumptions and the difference between actual and expected returns on plan assets which are recognized immediately in earnings as part of pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses.
We recognize expected returns on plan assets using an unadjusted fair value method. Our policy is to remeasure our pension and postretirement plans on a quarterly basis. We immediately recognize the remeasurement of the projected benefit obligation and plan assets in earnings as it provides greater transparency of our economic obligations in accounting results and better aligns the recognition of the effects of economic and interest rate changes on pension and other postretirement plan assets and liabilities in the year in which the gains and losses are incurred.
Differences in actual experience and changes in other assumptions affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and expenses. Differences between expected and actual returns on plan assets affect remeasurement gains and losses. The primary factors contributing to pension and postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are: 1) changes in the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement obligations as of the measurement date; 2) differences between the expected and the actual return on plan assets; 3) changes in demographic assumptions, including mortality and participant experience; and 4) changes in lump sum interest rates used to value pension obligations as of the measurement date.
Pension and other postretirement service cost, interest cost, expected return on plan assets and amortization of prior service credits are allocated to our reportable segments. The pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are reported in the Corporate and Other segment.
| Pension and postretirement benefits remeasurement gains and losses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of projected benefit obligation (gains) losses: | |||||||||||
| Discount rate | $ | 104 | $ | (1,268) | $ | (285) | |||||
| Other assumptions | 17 | (176) | (40) | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of plan assets (gains) losses | (112) | 1,560 | (319) | ||||||||
| Remeasurement (gains) losses | $ | 9 | $ | 116 | $ | (644) |
Impact of assumption changes to net cost for pension and other postretirement plans Remeasurement losses in 2023 primarily related to losses on the remeasurement of the projected benefit obligation driven by a decrease in the liability discount rate, partially offset by gains due to favorable asset performance compared to expected return on plan assets. Remeasurement losses in 2022 primarily related to unfavorable asset performance compared to the expected return on plan assets, partially offset by a reduction in the projected benefit obligation due to an increase in the liability discount rate and changes in
other assumptions, primarily related to an increase in the long-term lump sum interest rate.
The discount rate is based on rates at which expected pension benefits attributable to past employee service could effectively be settled on a present value basis at the measurement date. We develop the assumed discount rate by utilizing the weighted average yield of a theoretical dedicated portfolio derived from non-callable bonds and callable bonds with a make-whole provision available in the Bloomberg corporate bond universe having ratings of at least “AA” by S&P or at least “Aa” by Moody’s on the
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measurement date with cash flows that match expected plan benefit requirements. Significant changes in discount rates, such as those caused by changes in the credit spreads, yield curve, the mix of bonds available in the market, the duration of selected bonds and expected benefit payments, may result in volatility in pension cost. The weighted average discount rate used to measure the benefit obligation decreased to 5.35% at December 31, 2023 compared to 5.64% at December 31, 2022, resulting in remeasurement losses for 2023.
The expected long-term rate of return on plan assets reflects the average rate of earnings expected on plan assets. While this rate reflects long-term assumptions and is consistent with long-term historical returns, sustained changes in the market or changes in the mix of plan assets may lead to revisions in the assumed long-term rate of return on plan assets that may result in variability of pension cost. Differences between the actual return on plan assets and the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets are immediately recognized through earnings upon remeasurement. Short-term asset performance can differ significantly from the expected rate of return, especially in volatile markets. In 2023, the actual return on plan assets was higher than the expected return
primarily due to positive equity returns and higher fixed income valuations from lower interest rates and tighter credit spreads. In 2022, the actual return on plan assets was lower than the expected return primarily due to higher interest rates, widening credit spreads and weak equity market performance.
We complete periodic evaluations of demographic information and historical experience that affects our pension and other postretirement obligations to identify any required changes to long-term actuarial assumptions and methodologies. Demographic assumptions affect both our pension and postretirement plans and include elements such as retirement rates and participation rates in our postretirement programs, among other factors.
These actuarial assumption updates affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and are incorporated into our best estimates of these assumptions. Remeasurement losses for other assumptions in 2023 primarily related to a decrease in the long-term lump sum interest rate, partially offset by gains from mortality updates. Remeasurement gains for other assumptions in 2022 primarily related to an increase in the long-term lump sum interest rate.
| Impact of assumption changes to net periodic pension cost as of December 31, 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | Basis/percentage point change | Increase (decrease) to net cost, pre-tax | |||
| Pension plans discount rate | +100 basis points | $ | (398) | ||
| -100 basis points | 476 | ||||
| Expected long-term rate of return on assets | +100 basis points | (42) | |||
| -100 basis points | 42 |
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2023 Form 10-K
Regulation and Legal Proceedings
We are subject to extensive regulation and we are involved in various legal and regulatory actions, all of which have an effect on specific aspects of our business. For a detailed discussion of the legal and regulatory actions in which we are involved, see Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements.
Pending Accounting Standards
There are pending accounting standards that we have not implemented because the implementation dates have not yet occurred. For a discussion of these pending standards, see Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements.
The effect of implementing certain accounting standards on our financial results and financial condition is often based in part on market conditions at the time of implementation of the standard and other factors we are unable to determine prior to implementation. For this reason, we are sometimes unable to estimate the effect of certain pending accounting standards until the relevant authoritative body finalizes these standards or until we implement them.
FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000899051-23-000020.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Page | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Highlights | 35 | |
| Property-Liability Operations | 40 | |
| Allstate Protection | 42 | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 50 | |
| Protection Services | 53 | |
| Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves | 55 | |
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 62 | |
| Investments | 65 | |
| Market Risk | 74 | |
| Capital Resources and Liquidity | 77 | |
| Enterprise Risk and Return Management | 82 | |
| Application of Critical Accounting Estimates | 85 | |
| Regulation and Legal Proceedings | 96 | |
| Pending Accounting Standards | 96 |
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2022 Highlights
Overview
The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate Corporation (referred to in this document as “we,” “our,” “us,” the “Company” or “Allstate”). It should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and related notes found under Item 8. contained herein.
A discussion of strategy, including updates to the multi-year Transformative Growth initiative, can be found in Part 1, Item 1. Business.
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2022 and 2021 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021. Discussions of 2020 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2021 and 2020 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) in Part II, Item 7 of our annual report on Form 10-K for 2021, filed February 18, 2022. Certain amounts have been reclassified to conform to current year presentation.
The most important factors we monitor to evaluate the financial condition and performance for our reportable segments and the Company include:
•Allstate Protection: premium, policies in force (“PIF”), new business sales, policy retention, price changes, claim frequency and severity, catastrophes, loss ratio, expenses, underwriting results, combined ratio and relative competitive position
•Protection Services: revenues, premium written, PIF and adjusted net income
•Allstate Health and Benefits: premiums, new business sales, PIF, benefit ratio, expenses and adjusted net income
•Investments: exposure to market risk, asset allocation, credit quality, total return, net investment income, cash flows, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, unrealized capital gains and losses, long-term returns and asset duration
•Financial condition: liquidity, parent holding company deployable assets, financial strength ratings, operating leverage, debt levels, book value per share and return on equity
Measuring segment profit or loss
The measure of segment profit or loss used in evaluating performance is underwriting income for the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments and adjusted net income for the Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits, and Corporate and Other segments.
Underwriting income is calculated as premiums earned and other revenue, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), Shelter-in-Place Payback expense, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”), operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, and restructuring and related charges, as determined using accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”). We use this measure in our evaluation of results of operations to analyze profitability.
Adjusted net income is net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders, excluding:
| • | Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives |
|---|---|
| • | Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses |
| • | Business combination expenses and the amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles |
| • | Income or loss from discontinued operations |
| • | Gain or loss on disposition |
| • | Adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years |
| • | Income tax expense or benefit on reconciling items |
The Allstate Corporation 35
2022 Form 10-K
Sale of Headquarters
On October 18, 2022, Allstate closed the sale of its headquarters for $232 million resulting in a gain of approximately $99 million, pre-tax in the fourth quarter of 2022. $16 million of the gain was classified in Property-Liability net gains and losses on investments and derivatives and $83 million was classified as other revenue within the Corporate and Other segment. The sale reduces real estate expenses and further advances Allstate’s multi-year Transformative Growth initiative.
Acquisitions and Dispositions
Acquisitions On January 4, 2021, we completed the acquisition of National General Holdings Corp. (“National General”), significantly enhancing our strategic position in the independent agency channel.
Discontinued operations and held for sale On October 1, 2021, we closed the sale of Allstate Life Insurance Company of New York (“ALNY”) to Wilton Reassurance Company for $400 million. On November 1, 2021, we closed the sale of Allstate Life Insurance Company (“ALIC”) and certain affiliates to entities managed by Blackstone for total proceeds of $4 billion, including a pre-close dividend of $1.25 billion paid by ALIC. In 2021, the assets and liabilities of the businesses were reclassified as held for sale and results are presented as discontinued operations. This change was applied on a retrospective basis.
In connection with the sale of ALIC and certain affiliates in 2021, the sale agreement includes a provision related to contingent consideration that may be earned over a ten-year period with the first potential payment date commencing on January 1, 2026 and a final potential payment date of January 1, 2035. The contingent consideration is determined annually based on the average ten-year Treasury rate over the preceding three-year period compared to a designated rate. The contingent consideration meets the definition of a derivative and is accounted for on a fair value basis with periodic changes in fair value reflected in earnings.
See Note 3 of the consolidated financial statements for further information on acquisitions and dispositions.
Macroeconomic Impacts
The Novel Coronavirus Pandemic or COVID-19 (“Coronavirus”) resulted in governments worldwide enacting emergency measures to combat the spread of the virus, including travel restrictions, government-imposed shelter-in-place orders, quarantine periods, social distancing, and restrictions on large gatherings. These measures have moderated significantly, but new variants of the Coronavirus could result in further economic volatility. We continue to closely monitor and proactively adapt to developments and changing conditions. Currently, it is not possible to reliably estimate the continuing impact to operations, but the effects have been and could be material.
Certain growth and profitability comparisons to the prior year were impacted, in part, by the effects the
Coronavirus had on prior year results. Beginning in March 2020, when shelter-in-place orders and other restrictions were initiated, and throughout 2021, we experienced lower auto accident claim frequency and different claim patterns than historically experienced. Total auto claim frequency has since increased, but remains below pre-pandemic levels.
The Coronavirus has affected operations and may continue to significantly affect results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. The impact from the pandemic should be considered when comparing the current year to the prior years, including:
•Sales of new and retention of existing policies
•Rate changes and average gross premiums
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages impacts on the cost of settling claims
•Premium for transportation network products
•Driving behavior and auto accident frequency
•Hospital and outpatient claim costs
•Investment valuations and returns
•Bad debt and credit allowance exposure
•Consumer utilization of Milewise®, our pay-per-mile insurance product
•Retail sales in Allstate Protection Plans
A pandemic such as the Coronavirus and its impacts are disclosed in Part 1 “Item 1A. Risk Factors’’, including the risk factors titled “A large-scale pandemic, the occurrence of terrorism, military actions, social unrest or other actions may have an adverse effect on our business” and “Conditions in the global economy and capital markets could continue to adversely affect our business and results of operations”.
Supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and other macroeconomic factors have increased inflation, which may have an adverse impact on investment valuations and returns. As inflation continued to remain elevated, the Federal Reserve significantly increased interest rates and credit spreads widened reflecting ongoing recession concerns. These factors along with other ongoing impacts from the pandemic create significant economic uncertainty and the resulting market volatility may continue to impact our investment valuations and returns.
This list is not inclusive of all potential impacts and should not be treated as such. Within the MD&A we have included further disclosures related to macroeconomic impacts on our 2022 results.
Russia/Ukraine Conflict
The Russia-Ukraine war and related sanctions imposed as a result of this conflict have increased global economic and political uncertainty, including inflationary pressures and an increased risk of cybersecurity incidents. Allstate does not have operations or direct investments in Russia, Belarus or Ukraine, but we could experience significant indirect impacts on the investment portfolio, financial position, or results of operations.
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| Allstate Delivered on 2022 Operating Priorities (1) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Better Service Customers | Enterprise Net Promoter Score, which measures how likely customers are to recommend us, finished below the prior year, reflecting substantial price increases necessary to offset higher loss costs. | |
| Grow Customer Base | Consolidated policies in force reached 189.1 million, a 1.0% decrease from prior year. Property-Liability policies in force increased by 0.7% compared to the prior year, as continued growth at National General was substantially offset by the Allstate brand as new business was limited in many states. | |
| Protection Services policies in force declined 1.4%, primarily due to expiring low average premium policies from a major retail account that ended in 2019. | ||
| Achieve Target Economic Returns on Capital | Return on average Allstate common shareholders’ equity was (7.3)% in 2022. | |
| The Property-Liability combined ratio of 106.6 for the full year increased compared to the prior year primarily driven by higher auto losses. We continued to reduce expenses by lowering direct sales and advertising spend and are reducing exposure in states with unacceptable auto and home insurance margins through underwriting restrictions. Our claims organization is executing a plan to manage the impacts of a higher loss cost environment. | ||
| Proactively Manage Investments | Net investment income of $2.40 billion in 2022 was $890 million below prior year as higher market-based investment income was more than offset by lower performance-based results. | |
| Total return on the $61.83 billion investment portfolio was (4.0)% in 2022 and compares favorably to full year 2022 performance of the S&P 500 of (18.1)% and the Bloomberg Intermediate Bond return of (9.4)%. Proactive portfolio actions to reduce inflation and economic risk by shortening fixed income duration mitigated portfolio losses by approximately $2 billion this year. | ||
| Build Long-Term Growth Platforms | Allstate made substantial progress in advancing Transformative Growth initiatives in 2022, including continued cost reductions, deploying a new property-liability technology platform and a new Affordable, Simple and Connected auto insurance offering in two states. | |
| National General is meeting or exceeding acquisition performance targets with the objective of building a strong competitive position in independent agent distribution. | ||
| Protection Services has increased revenues, particularly Allstate Protection Plans. Arity continued to expand its data acquisition platform with more than one trillion miles of traffic data and launched Arity IQ, a product to improve new business profitability for auto insurers. |
(1)2023 operating priorities will remain mostly consistent with the 2022 priorities, with “Building Long-Term Growth Platforms” expanding to “Execute Transformative Growth” to fully integrate Transformative Growth goals.
| Consolidated Net Income |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Consolidated net loss applicable to common shareholders was $1.42 billion in 2022 compared to net income of $1.49 billion in 2021, primarily due to an underwriting loss, equity valuation decreases and losses on investment sales, partially offset by the absence of the 2021 loss on sale of the life and annuities business.For the twelve months ended December 31, 2022, return on Allstate common shareholders’ equity was (7.3)% compared to 5.8% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2021.
| Total Revenue |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Total revenue increased 1.6% to $51.41 billion in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to an 8.7% increase in property and casualty insurance premiums earned, partially offset by net losses on investments and derivatives in 2022 compared to net gains in 2021 and a decrease in net investment income.
| Net Investment Income |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Net investment income decreased $890 million to $2.40 billion in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to lower performance-based investment results, mainly from limited partnerships, partially offset by higher market-based fixed income portfolio yields.
The Allstate Corporation 37
2022 Form 10-K
Summarized financial results
| Years Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Property and casualty insurance premiums | $ | 45,904 | $ | 42,218 | $ | 37,073 | |||||
| Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges | 1,833 | 1,821 | 1,094 | ||||||||
| Other revenue | 2,344 | 2,172 | 1,065 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 2,403 | 3,293 | 1,590 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives | (1,072) | 1,084 | 1,087 | ||||||||
| Total revenues | 51,412 | 50,588 | 41,909 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | (37,264) | (29,318) | (22,001) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | (29) | (948) | ||||||||
| Accident, health and other policy benefits | (1,061) | (1,049) | (549) | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | (6,644) | (6,252) | (5,477) | ||||||||
| Operating, restructuring and interest expenses | (7,832) | (7,760) | (6,065) | ||||||||
| Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains (losses) | (116) | 644 | 51 | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (353) | (376) | (118) | ||||||||
| Total costs and expenses | (53,270) | (44,140) | (35,107) | ||||||||
| (Loss) income from operations before income tax expense | (1,858) | 6,448 | 6,802 | ||||||||
| Income tax benefit (expense) | 494 | (1,289) | (1,373) | ||||||||
| Net (loss) income from continuing operations | (1,364) | 5,159 | 5,429 | ||||||||
| (Loss) income from discontinued operations, net of tax | — | (3,593) | 147 | ||||||||
| Net (loss) income | (1,364) | 1,566 | 5,576 | ||||||||
| Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | (53) | (33) | — | ||||||||
| Net (loss) income attributable to Allstate | (1,311) | 1,599 | 5,576 | ||||||||
| Preferred stock dividends | (105) | (114) | (115) | ||||||||
| Net (loss) income applicable to common shareholders | $ | (1,416) | $ | 1,485 | $ | 5,461 |
Segment Highlights
Allstate Protection underwriting loss was $2.78 billion in 2022 compared to income of $1.79 billion in 2021, primarily due to higher auto insurance losses and unfavorable reserve reestimates, both excluding catastrophes, partially offset by increased premiums earned. We are executing a comprehensive plan to improve auto insurance profitability, including broadly raising rates, reducing operating expenses and advertising, implementing underwriting restrictions in underperforming states and executing claims operating actions to manage loss costs.
Catastrophe losses were $3.11 billion in 2022 compared to $3.34 billion in 2021.
Premiums written increased 10.7% to $45.79 billion in 2022 compared to $41.36 billion in 2021, reflecting higher premiums in both Allstate and National General brands.
Protection Services adjusted net income was $169 million in 2022 compared to $179 million in 2021. The decrease in 2022 was primarily due to higher technology expenses at Allstate Identity Protection and lower revenue at Arity.
Premiums and other revenues increased 10.6% or $224 million to $2.34 billion in 2022 from $2.12 billion in 2021 primarily due to Allstate Protection Plans.
Allstate Health and Benefits adjusted net income was $222 million in 2022 compared to $208 million in 2021. The increase was primarily due to increases in group health revenues, partially offset by higher operating costs and expenses and group health contract benefits.
Premiums and contract charges totaled $1.83 billion in 2022, an increase of 0.7% from $1.82 billion in 2021 primarily due to growth in group health, partially offset by a decline in individual health.
38 www.allstate.com
2022 Form 10-K
Financial Highlights
Investments totaled $61.83 billion as of December 31, 2022, decreasing from $64.70 billion as of December 31, 2021.
Allstate shareholders’ equity was $17.48 billion as of December 31, 2022 and $25.18 billion as of December 31, 2021. The decrease is primarily due to net unrealized capital losses on investments in 2022 compared to gains at 2021, common share repurchases, a net loss and dividends paid to shareholders.
Book value per diluted common share (ratio of Allstate common shareholders’ equity to total common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares outstanding) was $58.07 as of December 31, 2022, a decrease of 28.8% from $81.52 as of December 31, 2021.
Return on average common Allstate shareholders’ equity For the twelve months ended December 31, 2022, return on Allstate common shareholders’ equity was (7.3)%, a decrease of 13.1 points from 5.8% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to net loss applicable to common shareholders.
Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses We recorded pension and other postretirement remeasurement losses of $116 million in 2022, primarily related to unfavorable asset performance compared to the expected return on plan assets, partially offset by a reduction in the projected benefit obligation due to an increase in the liability discount rate. See Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements and Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A for further information.
The Allstate Corporation 39
2022 Form 10-K Property-Liability
Property-Liability Operations
Overview Property-Liability operations consist of two reportable segments: Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability. These segments are consistent with the groupings of financial information that management uses to evaluate performance and to determine the allocation of resources.
We do not allocate Property-Liability investment income, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, or assets to the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments. Management reviews assets at the Property-Liability level for decision-making purposes.
GAAP operating ratios are used to measure our profitability to enhance an investor’s understanding of our financial results and are calculated as follows:
•Loss ratio: the ratio of claims and claims expense (loss adjustment expenses), to premiums earned. Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.
•Expense ratio: the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, restructuring and related charges and Shelter-in-Place Payback expense, less other revenue to premiums earned.
•Combined ratio: the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
We have also calculated the following impacts of specific items on the GAAP operating ratios because of the volatility of these items between periods. The impacts are calculated by taking the specific items noted below divided by Property-Liability premiums earned:
•Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio: includes catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expense
•Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio
•Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio
•Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio
•Effect of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense on combined and expense ratios
•Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio: includes claims and claims expense, restructuring and related charges and operating costs and expenses in the Run-off Property-Liability segment
Premium measures and statistics are used to analyze our premium trends and are calculated as follows:
•PIF: policy counts are based on items rather than customers. A multi-car customer would generate multiple item (policy) counts, even if all cars were insured under one policy. Commercial lines PIF counts for shared economy agreements typically reflect contracts that cover multiple rather than individual drivers.
•New issued applications: item counts of automobile or homeowner insurance applications for insurance policies that were issued during the period, regardless of whether the customer was previously insured by another Allstate brand.
•Average premium-gross written (“average premium”): gross premiums written divided by issued item count. Gross premiums written include the impacts from discounts, surcharges and ceded reinsurance premiums and exclude the impacts from mid-term premium adjustments and premium refund accruals. Average premiums represent the appropriate policy term for each line.
•Renewal ratio: renewal policy item counts issued during the period, based on contract effective dates, divided by the total policy item counts issued generally 6 months prior for auto or 12 months prior for homeowners.
•Implemented rate changes: represents the impact in the locations (U.S. states, the District of Columbia or Canadian provinces) where rate changes were implemented during the period as a percentage of total brand prior year-end premiums written.
Frequency and severity statistics, which are influenced by driving patterns, inflation and other factors, are provided to describe the trends in loss costs. Our reserving process incorporates changes in loss patterns, operational statistics and changes in claims reporting processes to determine our best estimate of recorded reserves. We use the following statistics to evaluate losses:
•Gross claim frequency is calculated as annualized notice counts, excluding counts associated with catastrophe events, received in the period divided by the average of PIF with the applicable coverage during the period. Gross claim frequency includes all actual notice counts, regardless of their current status (open or closed) or their ultimate disposition (closed with a payment or closed without payment).
•Report year incurred claim severity is calculated by dividing the sum of recorded estimated incurred losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses, excluding catastrophes, by the reported notice counts during that report year. Report year incurred claim severity does not include incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) losses or benefits from subrogation and salvage.
40 www.allstate.com
Property-Liability 2022 Form 10-K
•Paid claim severity is calculated by dividing the sum of paid losses and loss expenses by claims closed with a payment during the period.
•Percent change in frequency or paid claim severity statistics are calculated as the amount of increase or decrease in gross claim frequency or paid claim severity in the current period compared to the same period in the prior year divided by the prior year gross claim frequency or paid claim severity.
•Percent change in report year incurred claim severity statistic is calculated as the amount of increase or decrease in report year incurred claim severity recorded in the current report year divided by the current estimate of the prior report year incurred claim severity.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 45,787 | $ | 41,358 | $ | 35,768 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 | |||||
| Other revenue | 1,416 | 1,437 | 857 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (36,732) | (28,876) | (21,626) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | (29) | (948) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (5,570) | (5,313) | (4,642) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (5,650) | (5,622) | (4,549) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges (1) | (44) | (145) | (235) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (240) | (241) | (12) | ||||||||
| Underwriting (loss) income | $ | (2,911) | $ | 1,665 | $ | 4,425 | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | |||||||||||
| Catastrophe losses, excluding reserve reestimates | $ | 3,094 | $ | 3,541 | $ | 3,314 | |||||
| Catastrophe reserve reestimates (2) | 18 | (202) | (503) | ||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | $ | 3,112 | $ | 3,339 | $ | 2,811 | |||||
| Non-catastrophe reserve reestimates (2) | 1,726 | 326 | 68 | ||||||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates (2) | 1,744 | 124 | (435) | ||||||||
| GAAP operating ratios | |||||||||||
| Loss ratio | 83.6 | 71.4 | 60.8 | ||||||||
| Expense ratio (3) | 23.0 | 24.5 | 26.8 | ||||||||
| Combined ratio | 106.6 | 95.9 | 87.6 | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio | 7.1 | 8.3 | 7.9 | ||||||||
| Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | 3.9 | 0.3 | (1.2) | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | — | (0.5) | (1.4) | ||||||||
| Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio (1) | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | ||||||||
| Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | ||||||||
| Effect of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense on combined and expense ratios | — | 0.1 | 2.7 | ||||||||
| Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
(1)Restructuring and related charges in 2022 primarily related to future work environment and employee costs. See Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details.
(2)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(3)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
The Allstate Corporation 41
2022 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Allstate Protection Segment
Private passenger auto, homeowners, and other personal lines insurance products are offered to consumers through exclusive and independent agents, directly through contact centers and online. The Encompass brand was combined into National General beginning in the first quarter of 2021, and results prior to 2021 reflect Encompass brand results only. Our strategy is to offer products that allow customers to interact with us when, where and how they want with affordable, simple and connected protection products. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 45,787 | $ | 41,358 | $ | 35,768 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 | |||||
| Other revenue | 1,416 | 1,437 | 857 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (36,607) | (28,760) | (21,485) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | (29) | (948) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (5,570) | (5,313) | (4,642) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (5,646) | (5,618) | (4,546) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (44) | (145) | (235) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (240) | (241) | (12) | ||||||||
| Underwriting (loss) income | $ | (2,782) | $ | 1,785 | $ | 4,569 | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | $ | 3,112 | $ | 3,339 | $ | 2,811 |
| Change in underwriting results from 2021 to 2022 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
| Change in underwriting results from 2020 to 2021 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
42 www.allstate.com
Allstate Protection 2022 Form 10-K
| Underwriting income (loss) by brand and by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto (1) | $ | (2,846) | $ | 1,208 | $ | 3,404 | $ | (168) | $ | 54 | $ | 40 | $ | (3,014) | $ | 1,262 | $ | 3,444 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners (2) (3) | 701 | 411 | 798 | (20) | (92) | 26 | 681 | 319 | 824 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines (4) | (85) | 216 | 255 | (3) | 17 | 9 | (88) | 233 | 264 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | (478) | (158) | (36) | 14 | — | — | (464) | (158) | (36) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines (5) | 95 | 115 | 70 | — | — | — | 95 | 115 | 70 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Answer Financial | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 14 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (2,613) | $ | 1,792 | $ | 4,491 | $ | (177) | $ | (21) | $ | 75 | $ | (2,782) | $ | 1,785 | $ | 4,569 |
(1)2021 results include certain National General commercial lines insurance products.
(2)2021 results include National General packaged policies, which include auto, and commercial lines insurance products.
(3)Includes lender-placed property.
(4)Other personal lines include renters, condominium, landlord and other personal lines products.
(5)Other business lines primarily represents revenue and direct operating expenses of Ivantage and distribution of non-proprietary life and annuity products. Ivantage, a general agency for Allstate exclusive agents, provides agents a solution for their customers when coverage through Allstate brand underwritten products is not available.
Underwriting loss was $2.78 billion in 2022 compared to underwriting income of $1.79 billion in 2021, primarily due to higher auto insurance losses and unfavorable reserve reestimates, both excluding catastrophes, partially offset by increased premiums earned. We are executing a comprehensive plan to improve auto insurance profitability, including broadly raising rates, reducing operating expenses and advertising, implementing underwriting restrictions in underperforming states and executing claims operating actions to manage loss costs. In 2023, Allstate brand will exit traditional commercial insurance in five states. Additionally, starting in the fourth quarter of 2022, coverage to transportation network companies will no longer be offered unless the contracts utilize telematics-based pricing.
Premium measures and statistics include PIF, new issued applications, average premiums and renewal ratio to analyze our premium trends. Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums are considered earned and are included in the financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired term of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.
| Premiums written by brand and line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 25,946 | $ | 24,102 | $ | 24,103 | $ | 4,720 | $ | 3,763 | $ | 508 | $ | 30,666 | $ | 27,865 | $ | 24,611 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 9,936 | 8,717 | 8,012 | 1,812 | 1,772 | 388 | 11,748 | 10,489 | 8,400 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 2,096 | 2,001 | 1,889 | 153 | 155 | 76 | 2,249 | 2,156 | 1,965 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 917 | 848 | 792 | 207 | — | — | 1,124 | 848 | 792 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 38,895 | $ | 35,668 | $ | 34,796 | $ | 6,892 | $ | 5,690 | $ | 972 | $ | 45,787 | $ | 41,358 | $ | 35,768 |
| Premiums earned by brand and line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 25,286 | $ | 24,088 | $ | 24,115 | $ | 4,429 | $ | 3,535 | $ | 525 | $ | 29,715 | $ | 27,623 | $ | 24,640 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 9,249 | 8,272 | 7,858 | 1,663 | 1,655 | 396 | 10,912 | 9,927 | 8,254 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 2,016 | 1,925 | 1,841 | 143 | 152 | 78 | 2,159 | 2,077 | 1,919 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 919 | 827 | 767 | 204 | — | — | 1,123 | 827 | 767 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 37,470 | $ | 35,112 | $ | 34,581 | $ | 6,439 | $ | 5,342 | $ | 999 | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 |
| Reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 45,787 | $ | 41,358 | $ | 35,768 | |||||
| Increase in unearned premiums | (1,776) | (1,143) | (205) | ||||||||
| Other | (102) | 239 | 17 | ||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 |
The Allstate Corporation 43
2022 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Unearned premium balance by line of business | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | As of December 31, | ||||||
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
| Allstate brand: | |||||||
| Auto | $ | 7,039 | $ | 6,426 | |||
| Homeowners | 5,495 | 4,825 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 1,151 | 1,078 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 314 | 315 | |||||
| Total Allstate brand | 13,999 | 12,644 | |||||
| National General: | |||||||
| Auto | 2,016 | 1,764 | |||||
| Homeowners | 378 | 451 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 317 | 306 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 442 | 177 | |||||
| Total National General | 3,153 | 2,698 | |||||
| Allstate Protection unearned premiums | $ | 17,152 | $ | 15,342 |
| Policies in force by brand and by line of business | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allstate brand | National General | Allstate Protection | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| PIF (thousands) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 21,658 | 21,972 | 21,809 | 4,376 | 3,944 | 451 | 26,034 | 25,916 | 22,260 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 6,622 | 6,525 | 6,427 | 638 | 634 | 216 | 7,260 | 7,159 | 6,643 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 4,636 | 4,578 | 4,459 | 300 | 288 | 71 | 4,936 | 4,866 | 4,530 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 204 | 210 | 216 | 107 | 105 | — | 311 | 315 | 216 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | 33,120 | 33,285 | 32,911 | 5,421 | 4,971 | 738 | 38,541 | 38,256 | 33,649 |
Auto insurance premiums written increased 10.1% or $2.80 billion in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to the following factors:
•Increase in average premiums driven by rate increases. In the twelve months ended, December 31, 2022, implemented rate increases of 19.8% were taken for Allstate brand in 54 locations, resulting in total Allstate brand insurance premium impact of 16.9%
•Rate increases of 13.7% were taken for National General brand in 35 locations, resulting in total National General brand insurance premium impact of 10.0%, to improve underwriting results
•Allstate expects to continue to pursue rate increases for both Allstate and National General brands into 2023 to improve auto insurance profitability
•Renewal ratio for Allstate brand in 2022 was comparable to 2021
•PIF increased 0.5% or 118 thousand to 26,034 thousand as of December 31, 2022 compared to December 31, 2021 due to growth in National General
•Increased new issued applications driven by direct channel, including the acquisition of SafeAuto, and growth in the independent agency channel
•The impact of the ongoing rate actions and temporary reductions in advertising may have an adverse effect on the renewal ratio, new issued applications and future PIF growth
| Auto premium measures and statistics | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 vs. 2021 | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||||||||||||||
| New issued applications (thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by brand | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate brand | 3,644 | 3,616 | 3,467 | 0.8 | % | 4.3 | % | |||||||||||
| National General | 2,677 | 2,057 | 60 | 30.1 | % | NM | ||||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 6,321 | 5,673 | 3,527 | 11.4 | % | 60.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by channel | ||||||||||||||||||
| Exclusive agency channel | 2,401 | 2,387 | 2,502 | 0.6 | % | (4.6) | % | |||||||||||
| Direct channel | 2,202 | 1,773 | 846 | 24.2 | % | 109.6 | % | |||||||||||
| Independent agency channel | 1,718 | 1,513 | 179 | 13.5 | % | NM | ||||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 6,321 | 5,673 | 3,527 | 11.4 | % | 60.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 659 | $ | 605 | $ | 617 | 8.9 | % | (1.9) | % | ||||||||
| Allstate brand renewal ratio (%) | 87.0 | 87.0 | 87.5 | — | (0.5) |
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Homeowners insurance premiums written increased 12.0% or $1.26 billion in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to the following factors:
•Higher Allstate brand average premiums from inflation in insured home replacement costs and implemented rate increases, combined with policies in force growth. National General premiums and policy growth negatively impacted as we focus on improving underwriting margins to targeted levels through underwriting and rate actions
•Increased new issued applications driven by growth in the independent agency channel in 2022 compared to 2021
•Policy growth is being reduced in states and lines of business that are underperforming. Starting in the fourth quarter of 2022, we no longer write new homeowners business in the state of California, although we will offer continuing coverage to existing customers. We also reduced homeowners new business in Florida. These actions have negatively impacted premiums starting in the fourth quarter
| Homeowners premium measures and statistics | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 vs. 2021 | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||||||||||||||
| New issued applications (thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by brand | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate brand | 986 | 962 | 899 | 2.5 | % | 7.0 | % | |||||||||||
| National General | 136 | 102 | 34 | 33.3 | % | NM | ||||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 1,122 | 1,064 | 933 | 5.5 | % | 14.0 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate Protection by channel | ||||||||||||||||||
| Exclusive agency channel | 826 | 840 | 810 | (1.7) | % | 3.7 | % | |||||||||||
| Direct channel | 94 | 84 | 62 | 11.9 | % | 35.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Independent agency channel | 202 | 140 | 61 | 44.3 | % | 129.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 1,122 | 1,064 | 933 | 5.5 | % | 14.0 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 1,614 | $ | 1,426 | $ | 1,328 | 13.2 | % | 7.4 | % | ||||||||
| Allstate brand renewal ratio (%) | 86.8 | 87.1 | 87.5 | (0.3) | (0.4) |
Other personal lines premiums written increased 4.3% or $93 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to increases in landlords, personal umbrella and condominiums premiums for Allstate brand. Starting in the fourth quarter of 2022, we will no longer write condominium new business in California and Florida.
Commercial lines premiums written increased 32.5% or $276 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to higher miles driven and increased average premium in our shared economy business in part due to higher rates. In 2023, Allstate brand will exit traditional commercial insurance in five states. These five states combined made up 47% and 36% of
2022 Allstate brand commercial new issued applications and net written premium, respectively. Additionally, starting in the fourth quarter of 2022, coverage to transportation network companies will no longer be offered unless the contracts utilize telematics-based pricing. This contributed to a decline in premiums in the fourth quarter.
GAAP operating ratios include loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio to analyze our profitability trends. Frequency and severity statistics are used to describe the trends in loss costs.
| Combined ratios by line of business | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Expense ratio (1) | Combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 87.2 | 70.5 | 57.5 | 22.9 | 24.9 | 28.5 | 110.1 | 95.4 | 86.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | — | — | 0.1 | 3.8 | — | 0.1 | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 69.6 | 72.2 | 67.3 | 24.2 | 24.6 | 22.7 | 93.8 | 96.8 | 90.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 79.7 | 62.9 | 58.7 | 24.4 | 25.9 | 27.5 | 104.1 | 88.8 | 86.2 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 120.7 | 97.5 | 82.4 | 20.6 | 21.6 | 22.3 | 141.3 | 119.1 | 104.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | — | — | — | 0.5 | — | — | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | 83.3 | 71.1 | 60.4 | 23.0 | 24.5 | 26.8 | 106.3 | 95.6 | 87.2 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | — | — | 0.1 | 2.7 | — | 0.1 | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of restructuring and related charges | — | — | — | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Allstate Special Payment plan bad debt expense | — | — | — | — | — | 0.2 | — | — | 0.2 |
(1)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
The Allstate Corporation 45
2022 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Loss ratios by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Effect of catastrophe losses | Effect of prior year reserve reestimates | Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 87.2 | 70.5 | 57.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | (0.4) | (0.2) | (0.1) | (0.1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 69.6 | 72.2 | 67.3 | 21.1 | 26.3 | 27.9 | 1.8 | (1.5) | (5.3) | 0.8 | (1.7) | (5.1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 79.7 | 62.9 | 58.7 | 12.3 | 11.0 | 10.4 | (1.5) | (5.1) | (3.5) | 0.1 | (0.5) | (2.0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 120.7 | 97.5 | 82.4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 24.2 | 14.4 | 4.7 | (0.1) | 0.4 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 83.3 | 71.1 | 60.4 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 3.6 | — | (1.6) | — | (0.5) | (1.4) |
(1)2020 includes approximately $495 million of favorable reserve reestimates related to the PG&E Corporation and Southern California Edison subrogation settlements.
| Auto underwriting results | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the periods ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | |||||||||||||||
| Underwriting income (loss) | (974) | (1,315) | (578) | (147) | (300) | (159) | 394 | 1,327 | |||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | 90.6 | 95.3 | 84.9 | 77.6 | 78.9 | 76.9 | 68.7 | 57.2 | |||||||||||||||
| Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates | 2.3 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | (0.4) | (0.2) |
Frequency and severity statistics are provided to describe the trends in loss patterns and are influenced by:
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages
•Value of total losses due to higher used car prices
•Labor and part cost increases
•Changes in commuting activity
•Driving behavior (e.g., speed, time of day) impacting severity and mix of claim types
•Organizational and process changes impacting claim opening and closing practices and shifts in timing, if any, can impact comparisons to prior periods
The quarterly auto loss ratio has been more variable over the last eight quarters due to these and additional factors discussed below
Auto loss ratio increased 16.7 points in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to:
•Higher gross claim frequency in all coverages, as miles driven has rebounded toward pre-pandemic levels. While total frequency increased relative to the prior year, it remains below pre-pandemic levels
•Increased severity for most coverages, driven by inflationary pressures in both physical damage and bodily injury claims. As loss cost pressure continued throughout 2022, our estimates of the year-to-date report year incurred claim severity variance to prior full year increased, partially reflecting higher losses from claims in prior quarters than initially expected
•Unfavorable prior year reserve reestimates, excluding catastrophes, was $1.25 billion primarily in both bodily injury and physical damage coverages. Increases in injury coverages reflect recent data and updated assumptions related to severity with third-party bodily injury claims, increased claims with attorney representation, litigation costs and higher medical inflation. Increases in physical damage
costs reflect the ongoing inflationary factors and supply chain shortages impacting used vehicle and parts prices and labor rates. Delays in the receipt of third-party carrier claims also contributed to the adverse development of claims reported in prior years. Late reported claim frequency attributable to prior accident years also impacted reserve reestimates
Property damage gross claim frequency for Allstate brand increased 8.2% in 2022 compared to 2021 due to factors including:
•Increases in miles driven compared to 2021
•While gross claim frequency has rebounded from the low in 2020, it is 13.2% below pre-pandemic levels of 2019
Collision gross claim frequency for Allstate brand increased 5.0% in 2022 compared to 2021. While gross claim frequency has rebounded from the low in 2020, it is 9.2% below pre-pandemic levels of 2019.
Property damage estimated report year 2022 incurred claim severity for Allstate brand, excluding Esurance and Canada, increased approximately 21% compared to report year 2021.
Collision estimated report year 2022 incurred claim severity for Allstate brand, excluding Esurance and Canada, increased approximately 17% compared to report year 2021.
The increase in estimated report year 2022 incurred claim severity for both coverages is due to rising inflationary factors and supply chain shortages impacting both repairable vehicles and total losses, including higher used car values, replacement part costs and labor rates and length of time to claim resolution.
Bodily injury estimated report year 2022 incurred claim severity for Allstate brand, excluding Esurance and Canada, increased approximately 14% compared to
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report year 2021. The increase is due to recent data and updated assumptions related to more severe accidents, increased claims with attorney representation, litigation costs, higher medical consumption and inflation.
Homeowners loss ratio decreased 2.6 points in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to lower catastrophe losses and increased premiums earned, partially offset by higher severity.
| Allstate brand homeowners frequency and severity statistics (excluding catastrophe losses) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (% change year-over-year) | |||||
| For the year ended December 31, 2022 | |||||
| Gross claim frequency | (2.9) | % | |||
| Paid claim severity | 21.6 |
Gross claim frequency decreased in 2022 compared to 2021 primarily due to a decline in the wind/hail and water perils. Paid claim severity increased in 2022 compared to 2021 due to inflationary loss cost pressure driven by increases in labor and materials costs and time to repair. Homeowner paid claim severity can be impacted by both the mix of perils and the magnitude of specific losses paid during the quarter.
Other personal lines loss ratio increased 16.8 points in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to higher losses, excluding catastrophes, partially offset by increased premiums earned.
Commercial lines loss ratio increased 23.2 points in 2022 compared to 2021 due to higher unfavorable prior year reserve reestimates, excluding catastrophes, primarily in bodily injury coverage for both shared economy and traditional segments with a large portion of the traditional segment increase related to states
we are exiting, and higher auto severity, partially offset by increased premiums earned.
Catastrophe losses decreased 6.8% or $227 million in 2022 compared to 2021. Catastrophe losses in 2022 included gross losses of $1.13 billion and net losses of $843 million related to Hurricane Ian and Winter Storm Elliott. Approximately 75% of Hurricane Ian net estimated losses relate to auto coverages. Auto policyholders generally have coverage for physical damage due to flood if they have purchased optional auto comprehensive coverage. Homeowners policies specifically exclude coverage for losses caused by flood.
Reinsurance recoveries in 2021 related to the Nationwide Aggregate Reinsurance Program for aggregate catastrophe losses occurring between April 1, 2020 and December 31, 2020, which primarily impacted homeowners prior year reserve reestimates.
We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes. We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, civil unrest, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
| Catastrophe losses by the type of event | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Number of events | 2022 | Number of events | 2021 | Number of events | 2020 | ||||||||||||||
| Hurricanes/tropical storms | 2 | $ | 399 | 6 | $ | 742 | 9 | $ | 1,001 | |||||||||||
| Tornadoes | 4 | 192 | 3 | 107 | 3 | 43 | ||||||||||||||
| Wind/hail | 106 | 1,936 | 85 | 1,878 | 73 | 1,940 | ||||||||||||||
| Wildfires | 9 | 52 | 5 | 269 | 17 | 300 | ||||||||||||||
| Freeze/other events | 3 | 515 | 2 | 611 | 3 | 30 | ||||||||||||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates | 28 | 35 | (503) | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
| Prior year aggregate reinsurance recoveries | (10) | (237) | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Current year aggregate reinsurance recoveries | — | (66) | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses (1) | 124 | $ | 3,112 | 101 | $ | 3,339 | 105 | $ | 2,811 |
(1)2021 includes approximately $250 million of reinstatement premiums for the year ended December 31, 2021, related to the Nationwide Catastrophe Reinsurance Program, primarily due to Hurricane Ida.
(2)2020 includes approximately $495 million of favorable reserve reestimates related to the PG&E Corporation and Southern California Edison subrogation settlements.
Catastrophe management
Historical catastrophe experience For the last ten years, the average annual impact of catastrophes on our loss ratio was 7.6 points, but it has varied from 4.9 points to 9.6 points. The average annual impact of catastrophes on the homeowners loss ratio for the last ten years was 24.2 points. Over time, we have limited
our aggregate insurance exposure to catastrophe losses in certain regions of the country that are subject to high levels of natural catastrophes by our participation in various state facilities. For further discussion of these facilities, see Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements. However, the
The Allstate Corporation 47
2022 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
impact of these actions may be diminished by the growth in insured values, the effect of state insurance laws and regulations and we may not be able to maintain our current level of reinsurance or purchase new reinsurance protection in amounts we consider sufficient at acceptable prices. In addition, in various states we are required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers. Because of our participation in these and other state facilities such as wind pools, we may be exposed to losses that surpass the capitalization of these facilities and to assessments from these facilities.
We have continued to take actions to maintain an appropriate level of exposure to catastrophic events while continuing to meet the needs of our customers, including the following:
•Continuing to limit or not offer new homeowners, manufactured home and landlord package policy business in certain coastal geographies. Additionally, we:
–Wrote a limited number of homeowners policies in select areas of California from 2016 to 2022, but have discontinued new homeowners and condominium business in the state of California starting the fourth quarter of 2022.
–Will continue to renew current policyholders and allow replacement policies for existing customers who buy a new home or change their residence to rental property.
–Write homeowners coverage through our excess and surplus lines carrier, North Light Specialty Insurance Company (“North Light”), which includes earthquake coverage (other than fire following earthquakes) that is currently ceded via quota share reinsurance.
•Increased capacity in our brokerage platform for customers not offered an Allstate policy. As of December 31, 2022, Ivantage had $1.99 billion non-proprietary premiums under management.
•In certain states, we have been ceding wind exposure related to insured property located in wind pool eligible areas.
•Starting in the second quarter of 2017, we began writing a limited number of homeowners policies in select areas of Florida and continue to support existing customers who replace their currently-insured home with an acceptable property. Encompass withdrew from property lines in Florida in 2009.
•Tropical cyclone deductibles are generally higher than all peril deductibles and are in place for a large portion of coastal insured properties.
•Auto comprehensive damage coverage generally includes coverage for flood-related loss. We have additional catastrophe exposure, beyond the property lines, for auto customers who have purchased comprehensive damage coverage.
•We offer a homeowners policy available in 43 states, Allstate House and Home®, that provides options of coverage for roof damage, including graduated coverage and pricing based on roof type and age. In 2022, premiums written totaled $5.60 billion or 47.7% of homeowners premiums written compared to $4.56 billion or 46.0% in 2021.
Hurricanes We consider the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to hurricanes to be major metropolitan centers in counties along the eastern and gulf coasts of the United States. The average premium on a property policy near these coasts is generally greater than in other areas. However, average premiums are often not considered commensurate with the inherent risk of loss. In addition, as explained in Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements, in various states Allstate is subject to assessments from assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations providing insurance for wind related property losses.
We have addressed our risk of hurricane loss by, among other actions, purchasing reinsurance for specific states and on a countrywide basis for our personal lines property insurance in areas most exposed to hurricanes, limiting personal homeowners, landlord package policy and manufactured home new business writings in coastal areas in southern and eastern states, implementing tropical cyclone deductibles where appropriate, and not offering continuing coverage on certain policies in coastal counties in certain states. We continue to seek appropriate returns for the risks we write. This may require further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not getting appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Earthquakes We do not offer earthquake coverage in most states. We retain approximately 38,000 PIF with earthquake coverage, with the largest number of policies located in Kentucky, due to regulatory and other reasons. We purchase reinsurance in Kentucky and enter into arrangements in many states to make earthquake coverage available through our brokerage platform.
We continue to have exposure to earthquake risk on certain policies that do not specifically exclude coverage for earthquake losses, including our auto policies, and to fires following earthquakes. Allstate homeowner policyholders in California are offered coverage for damage caused by an earthquake through the California Earthquake Authority (“CEA”), a privately-financed, publicly-managed state agency created to provide insurance coverage for earthquake damage. Allstate is subject to assessments from the CEA under certain circumstances as explained in Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements. While North Light writes property policies in California, which can include earthquake coverage, this coverage is 100% ceded via quota share reinsurance.
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Fires following earthquakes Under a standard homeowners policy we cover fire losses, including those caused by an earthquake. Actions taken related to our risk of loss from fires following earthquakes include restrictive underwriting guidelines in California for new business writings, purchasing reinsurance for Kentucky personal lines property risks, and purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, excluding Florida.
Wildfires Actions taken related to managing our risk of loss from wildfires include purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, new and renewal inspection programs to identify and remediate wildfire risk as well as leveraging contemporary underwriting tools in select areas. While these programs are designed to mitigate risk, the exposure to wildfires still exists. We continue to manage our exposure and seek appropriate returns for the risks we write.
To manage the exposure, we may implement further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not achieving appropriate
returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Catastrophe Reinsurance The total cost of our property catastrophe reinsurance programs, excluding reinstatement premiums, during 2022 was $788 million compared to $556 million during 2021. Catastrophe placement premiums are a reduction of premium with approximately 72% related to homeowners. The increases were driven by higher Nationwide and Florida program costs. A description of our current catastrophe reinsurance program appears in Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
Expense ratio decreased 1.5 points in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to higher earned premium growth relative to fixed costs and lower advertising and restructuring costs, partially offset by higher operating costs, primarily due to employee-related costs.
| Impact of specific costs and expenses on the expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 vs 2021 | 2021 vs 2020 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | $ | 5,570 | $ | 5,313 | $ | 4,642 | $ | 257 | $ | 671 | |||||||||
| Advertising expense | 934 | 1,249 | 941 | (315) | 308 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 240 | 241 | 12 | (1) | 229 | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses, net of other revenue | 3,296 | 2,952 | 2,688 | 344 | 264 | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 44 | 145 | 235 | (101) | (90) | ||||||||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | 29 | 948 | (29) | (919) | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Special Payment plan bad debt expense | — | (20) | 60 | 20 | (80) | ||||||||||||||
| Total underwriting expenses | $ | 10,084 | $ | 9,909 | $ | 9,526 | $ | 175 | $ | 383 | |||||||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 43,909 | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 | $ | 3,455 | $ | 4,874 | |||||||||
| Expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 12.7 | 13.1 | 13.0 | (0.4) | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Advertising expense | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.6 | (0.9) | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | 7.5 | 7.2 | 7.5 | 0.3 | (0.3) | ||||||||||||||
| Subtotal | 22.4 | 23.4 | 23.1 | (1.0) | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | (0.1) | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | (0.3) | (0.3) | ||||||||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | 0.1 | 2.7 | (0.1) | (2.6) | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Special Payment plan bad debt expense | — | — | 0.2 | — | (0.2) | ||||||||||||||
| Total expense ratio | 23.0 | 24.5 | 26.8 | (1.5) | (2.3) |
Deferred acquisition costs We establish a DAC asset for costs that are related directly to the acquisition of new or renewal insurance policies, principally agent remuneration and premium taxes. DAC is amortized to income over the period in which premiums are earned.
| DAC balance as of December 31 by product type | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| Auto | $ | 1,114 | $ | 1,023 | |||
| Homeowners | 786 | 700 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 184 | 169 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 62 | 59 | |||||
| Total DAC | $ | 2,146 | $ | 1,951 |
The Allstate Corporation 49
2022 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
Run-off Property-Liability Segment
The Run-off Property-Liability segment includes results from property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off lines claims arises principally from direct excess commercial insurance, assumed reinsurance coverage, direct primary commercial insurance and other businesses in run-off. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | (34) | $ | (63) | $ | (78) | |||||
| Environmental claims | (56) | (40) | (44) | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | (35) | (13) | (19) | ||||||||
| Total claims and claims expense | (125) | (116) | (141) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (4) | (4) | (3) | ||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (129) | $ | (120) | $ | (144) |
Underwriting losses in 2022 and 2021 primarily related to our annual reserve review using established industry and actuarial best practices. The annual review resulted in unfavorable reserve reestimates totaling $118 million and $111 million in 2022 and 2021, respectively. The reserve reestimates are included as part of claims and claims expense.
Reserve reestimates in 2022 primarily related to new reported information and defense costs for asbestos and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures. Reserve reestimates in 2021 primarily related to new reported information for asbestos and environmental and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures.
We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, laws, regulations, and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. However, as we progress with the resolution of disputed claims in the courts and arbitrations and with negotiations and settlements, our reported losses may be more variable.
| Reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,190 | $ | 1,210 | |||
| Reinsurance | (379) | (382) | |||||
| Net reserves | 811 | 828 | |||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 328 | 273 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (61) | (47) | |||||
| Net reserves | 267 | 226 | |||||
| Other run-off claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 437 | 433 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (64) | (66) | |||||
| Net reserves | 373 | 367 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,955 | 1,916 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (504) | (495) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,451 | $ | 1,421 |
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| Reserves by type of exposure before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,106 | $ | 1,050 | |||
| Reinsurance | (385) | (363) | |||||
| Net reserves | 721 | 687 | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 618 | 617 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (56) | (56) | |||||
| Net reserves | 562 | 561 | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 148 | 168 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (62) | (75) | |||||
| Net reserves | 86 | 93 | |||||
| Other run-off business | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Reinsurance | — | — | |||||
| Net reserves | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Unallocated loss adjustment expenses | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 82 | 80 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (1) | (1) | |||||
| Net reserves | 81 | 79 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,955 | 1,916 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (504) | (495) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,451 | $ | 1,421 |
| Percentage of gross and ceded reserves by case and IBNR | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||
| Case | IBNR | Case | IBNR | |||||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves (1) | 58 | % | 42 | % | 61 | % | 39 | % | ||||
| Ceded (2) | 63 | 37 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 31 | 69 | 33 | 67 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 33 | 67 | 38 | 62 | ||||||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 57 | 43 | 53 | 47 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 81 | 19 | 71 | 29 |
(1)Approximately 64% of gross case reserves as of December 31, 2022 are subject to settlement agreements.
(2)Approximately 70% of ceded case reserves as of December 31, 2022 are subject to settlement agreements.
The Allstate Corporation 51
2022 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
| Gross payments from case reserves by type of exposure | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | For the years ended December 31, | ||||||
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross (1) | $ | 82 | $ | 91 | |||
| Ceded (2) | (35) | (39) | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross | 35 | 43 | |||||
| Ceded | (3) | (4) | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross | 7 | 7 | |||||
| Ceded | (1) | (2) | |||||
| Other run-off business | |||||||
| Gross | — | 1 | |||||
| Ceded | — | — |
(1) In 2022, 88% of payments related to settlement agreements.
(2) In 2022, 94% of payments related to settlement agreements.
Total net reserves as of December 31, 2022, included $765 million or 53% of estimated IBNR reserves compared to $733 million or 52% of estimated IBNR reserves as of December 31, 2021.
Total gross payments were $125 million and $142 million for 2022 and 2021, respectively. Payments mainly related to settlement agreements reached with several insureds on large claims, mainly asbestos related losses, where the scope of liability has been agreed upon. The claims associated with these settlement agreements are expected to be substantially paid out over the next several years as qualified claims are submitted by these insureds.
Reinsurance collections were $37 million and $39 million for 2022 and 2021, respectively. The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables was $58 million and $63 million as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The allowance represents 10.0% and 11.0% of the related reinsurance recoverable balances as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
52 www.allstate.com
Protection Services 2022 Form 10-K
Protection Services Segment
Protection Services comprise Allstate Protection Plans, Allstate Dealer Services, Allstate Roadside, Arity and Allstate Identity Protection. Protection Services include National General’s LeadCloud and Transparent.ly’s results within Arity starting in the first quarter of 2021. These businesses provide marketing and integration platforms connecting data buyers and sellers. Results prior to 2021 reflect historical Arity results only.
In 2022, Protection Services represented 77.3% of total PIF and 5.6% of premiums written. We offer consumer product protection plans, finance and insurance products (including vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection waivers, road hazard tire and wheel and paintless dent repair protection), roadside assistance, device and mobile data collection services and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information and identity protection. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 2,699 | $ | 2,642 | $ | 1,890 | |||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Premiums | $ | 1,995 | $ | 1,764 | $ | 1,493 | |||||
| Other revenue | 347 | 354 | 208 | ||||||||
| Intersegment insurance premiums and service fees (1) | 149 | 175 | 147 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 48 | 43 | 44 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (532) | (458) | (386) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (928) | (795) | (658) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (874) | (837) | (651) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (2) | (14) | (3) | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (35) | (52) | (41) | ||||||||
| Less: noncontrolling interest | (1) | 1 | — | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 169 | $ | 179 | $ | 153 | |||||
| Allstate Protection Plans | $ | 150 | $ | 142 | $ | 137 | |||||
| Allstate Dealer Services | 35 | 34 | 29 | ||||||||
| Allstate Roadside | 7 | 7 | 12 | ||||||||
| Arity | (11) | 3 | (11) | ||||||||
| Allstate Identity Protection | (12) | (7) | (14) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 169 | $ | 179 | $ | 153 | |||||
| Allstate Protection Plans | 138,726 | 141,073 | 128,982 | ||||||||
| Allstate Dealer Services | 3,865 | 3,956 | 4,042 | ||||||||
| Allstate Roadside | 531 | 525 | 548 | ||||||||
| Allstate Identity Protection | 3,112 | 2,802 | 2,700 | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 146,234 | 148,356 | 136,272 |
(1)Primarily related to Arity and Allstate Roadside and are eliminated in our consolidated financial statements.
Adjusted net income decreased 5.6% or $10 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily driven by higher technology expenses at Allstate Identity Protection and lower revenue at Arity.
Premiums written increased 2.2% or $57 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to international growth at Allstate Protection Plans, partially offset by a decrease in sales at Allstate Dealer Services.
PIF decreased 1.4% or 2 million in 2022 compared to 2021 due to a decline in Allstate Protection Plans .
Other revenue decreased 2.0% or $7 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to lower revenue at Arity, partially offset by growth at Allstate Identity Protection.
Intersegment premiums and service fees decreased 14.9% to $149 million in 2022 compared to 2021, driven by decreased Arity device sales due to a
The Allstate Corporation 53
2022 Form 10-K Protection Services
shift from devices to a mobile program for the Drivewise® offering.
Claims and claims expense increased 16.2% or $74 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to higher levels of claims at Allstate Protection Plans driven by growth in the business and higher severity at both Allstate Protection Plans and Allstate Roadside.
Amortization of DAC increased 16.7% or $133 million in 2022 compared to 2021, driven by business growth at Allstate Protection Plans and Allstate Dealer Services.
Operating costs and expenses increased 4.4% or $37 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to investments in technology and geographic and product expansion at Allstate Protection Plans and investments in technology at Allstate Identity Protection, partially offset by lower expenses at Arity.
Restructuring and related charges decreased $12 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to a facility closure at Allstate Identity Protection and accelerated lease costs at Allstate Protection Plans in 2021.
54 www.allstate.com
Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 2022 Form 10-K
Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of claims and claims expense reserves. For a description of our reserve process, see Note 9 of the consolidated financial statements. Further, for a description of our reserving policies and the potential variability in our reserve estimates, see the Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A. These reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including IBNR claims, as of the reporting date.
The facts and circumstances leading to reestimates of reserves relate to changes in claim activity and revisions to the development factors used to predict how losses are likely to develop from the end of a reporting period until all claims have been paid. Reestimates occur when actual losses differ from those predicted by the estimated development factors used in prior reserve estimates.
We believe the net loss reserves exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, laws and regulations.
| Total reserves, net of recoverables (“net reserves”), as of December 31 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 26,876 | $ | 22,124 | $ | 19,136 | |||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 1,451 | 1,421 | 1,408 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 28,327 | 23,545 | 20,544 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 38 | 36 | 33 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 28,365 | $ | 23,581 | $ | 20,577 | |||||
| Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | $ | 37,541 | $ | 33,060 | $ | 27,610 | |||||
| Less: reinsurance and indemnification recoverables (1) | 9,176 | 9,479 | 7,033 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 28,365 | $ | 23,581 | $ | 20,577 |
(1)Includes $6.66 billion, $6.64 billion and $5.61 billion of unpaid indemnification recoverables related to the Michigan Catastrophic Claims Association (“MCCA”) as of December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
| Impact of reserve reestimates by brand on combined ratio and net income applicable to common shareholders(1) (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 1,619 | 3.6 | $ | 8 | — | $ | (576) | (1.6) | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 125 | 0.3 | 116 | 0.3 | 141 | 0.4 | ||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 1,744 | 3.9 | 124 | 0.3 | (435) | (1.2) | ||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | (3) | — | (2) | — | (1) | — | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,741 | $ | 122 | $ | (436) | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates, after-tax | $ | 1,375 | $ | 96 | $ | (344) | ||||||||||||||
| Consolidated net (loss) income applicable to common shareholders | $ | (1,416) | $ | 1,485 | $ | 5,461 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates as a % impact on consolidated net (loss) income applicable to common shareholders | (97.1) | % | (6.5) | % | 6.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
| Property-Liability prior year reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses | $ | 18 | $ | (202) | $ | (503) |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)Ratios are calculated using property and casualty premiums earned.
The Allstate Corporation 55
2022 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
The following tables reflect the accident years to which the reestimates shown above are applicable. Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
| Prior year reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 2017 & prior | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 27 | $ | 161 | $ | 294 | $ | 345 | $ | 792 | $ | 1,619 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 125 | — | — | — | — | 125 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 152 | 161 | 294 | 345 | 792 | 1,744 | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (3) | (3) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 152 | $ | 161 | $ | 294 | $ | 345 | $ | 789 | $ | 1,741 | |||||||||||
| 2021 | 2016 & prior | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (130) | $ | 100 | $ | (67) | $ | 231 | $ | (126) | $ | 8 | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 116 | — | — | — | — | 116 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | (14) | 100 | (67) | 231 | (126) | 124 | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (2) | (2) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (14) | $ | 100 | $ | (67) | $ | 231 | $ | (128) | $ | 122 | |||||||||||
| 2020 | 2015 & prior | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Total | |||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (56) | $ | 42 | $ | (199) | $ | (353) | $ | (10) | $ | (576) | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 141 | — | — | — | — | 141 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 85 | 42 | (199) | (353) | (10) | (435) | |||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (1) | (1) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 85 | $ | 42 | $ | (199) | $ | (353) | $ | (11) | $ | (436) |
Allstate Protection
The tables below show Allstate Protection net reserves representing the estimated cost of outstanding claims as they were recorded at the beginning of years 2022, 2021, and 2020, and the effect of reestimates in each year.
| Net reserves by line | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 1 reserves | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Auto (1) | $ | 16,078 | $ | 14,164 | $ | 14,728 | |||||
| Homeowners (1) | 2,797 | 2,315 | 2,138 | ||||||||
| Other personal lines | 1,844 | 1,463 | 1,459 | ||||||||
| Commercial lines and other (2) | 1,405 | 1,194 | 1,071 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | $ | 22,124 | $ | 19,136 | $ | 19,396 |
(1)2022 includes a $944 million reclassification of reserves from homeowners to auto.
(2)2022 includes the unamortized fair value adjustment related to the acquisition of National General.
| Impact of reserve reestimates by line on combined ratio and underwriting income | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | ||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 1,185 | 2.7 | $ | 149 | 0.4 | $ | (107) | (0.3) | |||||||||||
| Homeowners | 194 | 0.4 | (153) | (0.4) | (439) | (1.2) | ||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | (32) | (0.1) | (107) | (0.3) | (66) | (0.2) | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 272 | 0.6 | 119 | 0.3 | 36 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | $ | 1,619 | 3.6 | $ | 8 | — | $ | (576) | (1.6) | |||||||||||
| Underwriting (loss) income | $ | (2,782) | $ | 1,785 | $ | 4,569 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates as a % impact on underwriting (loss) income | (58.2) | % | (0.4) | % | 12.6 | % |
Unfavorable reserve reestimates for personal auto are primarily from bodily injury and physical damage coverages. Increases in injury coverages reflect recent data and updated assumptions related to severity of third-party bodily injury claims, increased claims with attorney representation, litigation costs, increased medical treatment utilization and higher medical
inflation. Increases in physical damage reflect the ongoing inflationary factors and supply chain shortages impacting used vehicle and parts prices, labor rates and length of claim resolution. Delays in the receipt of claims, including third-party carrier claims also contributed to the adverse development of claims reported in prior years. The estimate of the year-to-
56 www.allstate.com
Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 2022 Form 10-K
date current report year claim severity increased in the fourth quarter for bodily injury and physical damage coverages to reflect continued increases in loss costs.
Personal auto insurance claim frequency has continued to increase, but remains below 2019 levels. Late reported claim frequency attributable to prior accident years also impacted reserve reestimates.
Unfavorable reserve reestimates for commercial are primarily from auto injury coverages for both shared economy and traditional segments with a large
portion of the traditional segment increase related to states where the Company will no longer be selling new business.
Favorable results for homeowners insurance in 2021 were primarily due to catastrophe reserve reestimates driven by estimated recoveries related to our aggregate reinsurance coverage and wildfire subrogation settlements. Unfavorable reserve reestimates for auto and commercial lines in 2021 primarily related to auto liability coverages.
Run-off Property-Liability
We conduct an annual review in the third quarter of each year to evaluate and establish asbestos, environmental and other run-off reserves. Reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by policyholders.
| Run-off Property-Liability net reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | 828 | $ | 34 | $ | 827 | $ | 63 | $ | 810 | $ | 78 | |||||||||||
| Environmental claims | 226 | 56 | 206 | 40 | 179 | 44 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 367 | 35 | 375 | 13 | 376 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,421 | $ | 125 | $ | 1,408 | $ | 116 | $ | 1,365 | $ | 141 | |||||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (129) | $ | (120) | $ | (144) |
Reserve reestimates in 2022 primarily related to new reported information and defense costs for asbestos and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures.
Reserve reestimates in 2021 primarily related to new reported information for asbestos and environmental and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures.
| Reserves and claim activity before (Gross) and after (Net) the effects of reinsurance | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 1,210 | $ | 828 | $ | 1,204 | $ | 827 | $ | 1,172 | $ | 810 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 59 | 34 | 100 | 63 | 132 | 78 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (79) | (51) | (94) | (62) | (100) | (61) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 1,190 | $ | 811 | $ | 1,210 | $ | 828 | $ | 1,204 | $ | 827 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 15.1 | 15.9 | 12.9 | 13.4 | 12.0 | 13.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 13.1 | 14.0 | 11.1 | 12.0 | 10.3 | 12.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 273 | $ | 226 | $ | 249 | $ | 206 | $ | 219 | $ | 179 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 79 | 56 | 50 | 40 | 49 | 44 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (24) | (15) | (26) | (20) | (19) | (17) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 328 | $ | 267 | $ | 273 | $ | 226 | $ | 249 | $ | 206 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 13.7 | 17.8 | 10.5 | 11.3 | 13.1 | 12.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 14.5 | 15.4 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Combined environmental and asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 14.7 | 16.3 | 12.4 | 12.9 | 12.2 | 13.2 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 13.3 | 14.3 | 11.0 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 11.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| Percentage of IBNR in ending reserves | 55.9 | % | 0 | 54.8 | % | 0 | 50.3 | % |
The Allstate Corporation 57
2022 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
The survival ratio is calculated by taking our ending reserves divided by payments made during the year. This is a commonly used but simplistic and imprecise approach to measuring the adequacy of asbestos and environmental reserve levels. Many factors, such as mix of business, level of coverage provided and settlement procedures have significant impacts on the amount of environmental and asbestos claims and claims expense reserves, claim payments and the resultant ratio. As payments result in corresponding reserve reductions, survival ratios can be expected to vary over time. The asbestos and environmental net 3-year survival ratio in 2022 increased from 2021 due to lower claim payments associated with settlement agreements.
| Net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | |||||||||||||||
| Direct: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Primary | $ | 9 | 1 | % | $ | 8 | 1 | % | $ | 10 | 1 | % | |||||||||
| Excess | 257 | 32 | 275 | 33 | 291 | 35 | |||||||||||||||
| Total direct | 266 | 33 | 283 | 34 | 301 | 36 | |||||||||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance | 97 | 12 | 104 | 13 | 122 | 15 | |||||||||||||||
| IBNR | 448 | 55 | 441 | 53 | 404 | 49 | |||||||||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 811 | 100 | % | $ | 828 | 100 | % | $ | 827 | 100 | % | |||||||||
| Total reserve additions | $ | 34 | $ | 63 | $ | 78 |
IBNR net reserves increased $7 million as of December 31, 2022 compared to December 31, 2021. IBNR provides for reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current policyholders and ceding companies.
Reinsurance and indemnification programs We utilize reinsurance to reduce exposure to catastrophe risk and manage capital, and to support the required statutory surplus and the insurance financial strength ratings of certain subsidiaries such as Castle Key Insurance Company (“CKIC”) and Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company (“ANJ”). We purchase significant reinsurance to manage our aggregate countrywide exposure to an acceptable level. The price and terms of reinsurance and the credit quality of the reinsurer are considered in the purchase process. We have also purchased reinsurance to mitigate exposures in our long-tail liability lines, including environmental, asbestos and other run-off lines as well as our commercial lines, including shared economy. We also participate in various indemnification mechanisms, including state-based industry pool or facility programs mandating participation by insurers offering certain coverage in their state and the federal government National Flood Insurance Program (“NFIP”). See Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details on these programs.
58 www.allstate.com
Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 2022 Form 10-K
| Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, net of the allowance established for uncollectible amounts | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P financial strength rating (1) | A.M. Best financial strength rating (1) | Reinsurance or indemnification recoverables on paid and unpaid claims, net | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA (2) | N/A | N/A | $ | 6,722 | $ | 6,695 | |||||
| New Jersey Property-Liability Insurance Guaranty Association (“PLIGA”) | N/A | N/A | 330 | 371 | |||||||
| North Carolina Reinsurance Facility (“NCRF”) | N/A | N/A | 292 | 279 | |||||||
| Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (“FHCF”) | N/A | N/A | 96 | 25 | |||||||
| Other | 7 | 7 | |||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | N/A | N/A | 145 | 34 | |||||||
| Subtotal | 7,592 | 7,411 | |||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance recoverables | |||||||||||
| Sanders RE II LTD. | N/A | N/A | 85 | 303 | |||||||
| Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation | AA- | A+ | 64 | 88 | |||||||
| Renaissance Reinsurance Limited | N/A | A+ | 56 | 106 | |||||||
| Other | 558 | 873 | |||||||||
| Subtotal | 763 | 1,370 | |||||||||
| Other reinsurance recoverables, net (3) | |||||||||||
| Aleka Insurance Inc. | N/A | N/A | 183 | 187 | |||||||
| Lloyd’s of London (“Lloyd’s”) | A+ | A | 180 | 165 | |||||||
| Pacific Valley Insurance Company, Inc. | N/A | N/A | 88 | 35 | |||||||
| Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation | AA- | A+ | 67 | 75 | |||||||
| Other, including allowance for credit losses | 575 | 611 | |||||||||
| Subtotal | 1,093 | 1,073 | |||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 9,448 | 9,854 | |||||||||
| Protection Services | 19 | 16 | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 9,467 | $ | 9,870 |
(1)N/A reflects no S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) or A.M. Best ratings available.
(2)As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, MCCA includes $62 million and $51 million of reinsurance recoverable on paid claims, respectively, and $6.66 billion and $6.64 billion of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims, respectively.
(3)Other reinsurance recoverables primarily relate to commercial lines, including shared economy, as well as asbestos, environmental and other liability exposures.
Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables include an estimate of the amount of insurance claims and claims expense reserves that are ceded under the terms of the agreements, including IBNR unpaid losses. We calculate our ceded reinsurance and indemnification estimates based on the terms of each applicable agreement, including an estimate of how IBNR losses will ultimately be ceded under the agreement. We also consider other limitations and coverage exclusions under our agreements. Accordingly, our estimate of recoverables is subject to similar risks and uncertainties as our estimate of reserves claims and claims expense. We believe the recoverables are appropriately established; however, as our underlying reserves continue to develop, the amount ultimately recoverable may vary from amounts currently recorded. We regularly evaluate the reinsurers and the respective amounts of our reinsurance recoverables, and a provision for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables is recorded, if needed. The establishment of reinsurance recoverables and the related allowance for
uncollectible reinsurance is also an inherently uncertain process involving estimates. Changes in estimates could result in additional changes to the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Indemnification recoverables are considered collectible based on the industry pool and facility enabling legislation and the Company has not had any credit losses related to these programs and we do not anticipate losses in the foreseeable future. We also have not experienced credit losses on our catastrophe reinsurance programs, which include highly rated reinsurers.
The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance relates to other reinsurance programs primarily related to our Run-off Property-Liability segment. The allowance was $62 million and $66 million as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
The allowance is based upon our ongoing review of amounts outstanding, length of collection periods, changes in reinsurer credit standing, and other
The Allstate Corporation 59
2022 Form 10-K Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
relevant factors. In addition, in the ordinary course of business, we may become involved in coverage disputes with certain of our reinsurers that may ultimately result in lawsuits and arbitrations brought by or against such reinsurers to determine the parties’ rights and obligations under the various reinsurance agreements. We employ dedicated specialists to manage reinsurance collections and disputes. We also consider recent developments in commutation activity between reinsurers and cedents, and recent trends in arbitration and litigation outcomes in disputes between cedents and reinsurers in seeking to maximize our reinsurance recoveries.
Adverse developments in the insurance industry have led to a decline in the financial strength of some of our reinsurance carriers, causing amounts
recoverable from them and future claims ceded to them to be considered a higher risk. There has also been consolidation activity in the industry, which causes reinsurance risk across the industry to be concentrated among fewer companies.
See Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements for a description of the methodology utilized to calculate the allowance for reinsurance recoverables.
For further details related to our reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, see the Regulation section in Part I and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Effects of reinsurance ceded and indemnification programs on our premiums earned and claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection - Premiums | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| NCRF | $ | 300 | $ | 310 | $ | 63 | |||||
| MCCA | 18 | 20 | 61 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | 7 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||
| FHCF | 24 | 15 | 9 | ||||||||
| Other | — | 420 | 34 | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | 319 | 350 | 261 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 764 | 541 | 416 | ||||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 261 | 60 | 110 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 1,693 | 1,723 | 961 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 1,693 | 1,723 | 961 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 176 | 181 | 180 | ||||||||
| Total effect on premiums earned | $ | 1,869 | $ | 1,904 | $ | 1,141 | |||||
| Allstate Protection - Claims | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA | $ | 116 | $ | 611 | $ | 256 | |||||
| NCRF | 294 | 279 | 47 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | (24) | — | (40) | ||||||||
| FHCF | 74 | 13 | 15 | ||||||||
| Other | — | 359 | 16 | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | 435 | 267 | 87 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 298 | 1,719 | (105) | (1) | |||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 261 | 85 | 88 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 1,454 | 3,333 | 364 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 50 | 60 | 75 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 1,504 | 3,393 | 439 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 96 | 91 | 91 | ||||||||
| Total effect on claims and claims expense | $ | 1,600 | $ | 3,484 | $ | 530 |
(1)Reflects reestimates in claims and claims expense related subrogation settlements.
In 2022, ceded premiums earned decreased primarily due to the expiration of legacy National General reinsurance programs. In 2021, ceded premiums earned increased primarily due to the addition of National General into our program and increased catastrophe reinsurance premium rates. In 2022, ceded claims and claims expenses decreased
$1.88 billion primarily due to higher gross catastrophe losses in 2021 that resulted in reinsurance activity. In 2021, ceded claims and claims expenses increased $2.95 billion primarily due to Hurricane Ida and Winter Storm Uri. For further discussion of these items, see Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
60 www.allstate.com
Property and Casualty Insurance Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 2022 Form 10-K
| Michigan personal injury protection reserve and claim activity before and after the effects of MCCA recoverables | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 7,387 | $ | 747 | $ | 6,282 | $ | 670 | $ | 6,106 | $ | 647 | |||||||||||
| National General acquisition as of January 4, 2021 | — | — | 566 | 31 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense-current year | 451 | 175 | 398 | 132 | 312 | 98 | |||||||||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense-prior years | (159) | (15) | 403 | 59 | 107 | 65 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid-current year (1) | (26) | (26) | (35) | (35) | (47) | (42) | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid-prior years (1) | (260) | (146) | (227) | (110) | (196) | (98) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves (2) | $ | 7,393 | $ | 735 | $ | 7,387 | $ | 747 | $ | 6,282 | $ | 670 |
(1)Paid claims and claims expenses reported in the table for the current and prior years, recovered from the MCCA totaled $114 million, $117 million and $103 million in 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
(2)Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2022, comprise 76% case reserves and 24% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2021, comprise 74% case reserves and 26% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2020, comprise 82% case reserves and 18% IBNR. The MCCA does not require member companies to report ultimate case reserves.
Pending MCCA claims differ from most personal lines insurance pending claims as other personal lines policies incurred claims settle in shorter periods due to having a coverage limit. MCCA claims can be outstanding for a claimant’s lifetime, as there is no contractual limitation. Many of these injuries are catastrophic in nature, resulting in serious permanent disabilities that require attendant and residential care for periods that may span decades. A significant portion of the ultimate incurred claim reserves and the recoverables can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims that occurred more than five years ago and continue to pay lifetime benefits.
| Pending, new and closed claims for Michigan personal injury protection exposure | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||
| Number of claims (1) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Pending, beginning of year | 5,421 | 4,857 | 4,942 | |||||
| National General acquisition as of January 4, 2021 | — | 525 | — | |||||
| New | 8,059 | 8,616 | 5,896 | |||||
| Closed | (7,912) | (8,577) | (5,981) | |||||
| Pending, end of year | 5,568 | 5,421 | 4,857 |
(1)Total claims includes those covered and not covered by the MCCA indemnification.
As of December 31, 2022, approximately 1,450 of our pending claims have been reported to the MCCA, of which approximately 75% represents claims that occurred more than 5 years ago. There are 52 Allstate brand claims with reserves in excess of $15 million as of December 31, 2022, which comprise approximately 20% of the gross ending reserves in the table above. As a result, significant developments with a single claimant can result in volatility in prior year incurred claims.
Intercompany reinsurance We enter into certain intercompany insurance and reinsurance transactions in order to maintain underwriting control and manage insurance risk among various legal entities. These reinsurance agreements have been approved by the appropriate regulatory authorities. All significant intercompany transactions have been eliminated in consolidation.
Catastrophe reinsurance Our catastrophe reinsurance program is designed to address our exposure to catastrophes nationwide, utilizing our risk management methodology. Our program is designed to provide reinsurance protection for catastrophes resulting from multiple perils including hurricanes, windstorms, hail, tornadoes, earthquakes, wildfires, and fires following earthquakes. These reinsurance agreements are part of our catastrophe management strategy, which is intended to provide our shareholders an acceptable return on the risks assumed in our property business, while providing protection to our customers.
We anticipate completing the placement of our 2023 nationwide catastrophe reinsurance program in the first half of 2023. For further details of the existing 2022 program, see Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 61
2022 Form 10-K Allstate Health and Benefits
Allstate Health and Benefits Segment
Allstate Health and Benefits offers employer voluntary benefits, group health and individual health products, including life, accident, critical illness, hospital, short-term disability and other health products. Allstate Health and Benefits results include National General’s accident and health business, starting in the first quarter of 2021. Results prior to 2021 reflect historical Allstate Benefits results only.
In 2022, Allstate Health and Benefits represented 2.3% of total PIF. Our target customers are middle market consumers with family and financial protection needs. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges | $ | 1,833 | $ | 1,821 | $ | 1,094 | |||||
| Other revenue | 402 | 359 | — | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 69 | 74 | 78 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Accident, health and other policy benefits | (1,061) | (1,049) | (549) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (147) | (144) | (177) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (814) | (787) | (322) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (2) | (9) | (1) | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (58) | (57) | (27) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 222 | $ | 208 | $ | 96 | |||||
| Benefit ratio (1) | 56.1 | 55.7 | 47.2 | ||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits (2) | 3,783 | 3,804 | 3,950 | ||||||||
| Group health (3) | 119 | 122 | — | ||||||||
| Individual health (4) | 394 | 407 | — | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 4,296 | 4,333 | 3,950 |
(1)Benefit ratio is calculated as accident, health and other policy benefits less interest credited to contractholder funds of $33 million, $34 million, and $33 million for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020, respectively, divided by premiums and contract charges.
(2)Employer voluntary benefits include supplemental life and health products offered through workplace enrollment.
(3)Group health includes health products and administrative services sold to employers.
(4)Individual health includes short-term medical and other health products sold directly to individuals.
Adjusted net income increased $14 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to increases in group health revenues, partially offset by higher operating costs and expenses and group health contract benefits.
Premiums and contract charges increased 0.7% or $12 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to growth in group health, partially offset by a decline in individual health.
| Premiums and contract charges by line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits | $ | 1,036 | $ | 1,031 | $ | 1,094 | |||||
| Group health | 385 | 350 | — | ||||||||
| Individual health | 412 | 440 | — | ||||||||
| Premiums and contract charges | $ | 1,833 | $ | 1,821 | $ | 1,094 |
62 www.allstate.com
Allstate Health and Benefits 2022 Form 10-K
New annualized premium sales (annualized premiums at initial employer voluntary benefits customer enrollment or health policy sale) decreased to $734 million in 2022. The decrease in 2022 primarily relates to a decline in employer voluntary benefits and individual health business, partially offset by growth in group health.
Other revenue increased $43 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to an increase in group health administrative fees.
Accident, health and other policy benefits increased 1.1% or $12 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to increased contract benefits for group health, partially offset by employer voluntary benefits and individual health.
Benefit ratio increased to 56.1 in 2022 compared to 55.7 in 2021, primarily due to a higher benefit ratio in group and individual health, partially offset by a lower benefit ratio in employer voluntary benefits. Accident, health and other policy benefits include changes in estimated reserves for future policy benefits, expected development on reported claims, and reserves for incurred but not reported claims as discussed in Note 10.
| Changes in DAC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| Balance, beginning of year | $ | 477 | $ | 470 | |||
| National General acquisition | — | 3 | |||||
| Acquisition costs deferred | 170 | 146 | |||||
| Amortization of DAC before amortization relating to changes in assumptions (1) | (146) | (146) | |||||
| Amortization relating to net gains and losses on investments and derivatives (1) | (1) | — | |||||
| Amortization acceleration for DAC unlocking (1) | 1 | 2 | |||||
| Effect of unrealized capital gains and losses (2) | 3 | 2 | |||||
| Ending balance | $ | 504 | $ | 477 |
(1)Included as a component of amortization of DAC on the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
(2)Represents the change in the DAC adjustment for unrealized capital gains and losses. The DAC adjustment represents the amount by which the amortization of DAC would increase or decrease if the unrealized gains and losses in the respective product portfolios were realized.
| Operating costs and expenses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Non-deferrable commissions | $ | 321 | $ | 316 | $ | 99 | |||||
| General and administrative expenses | 493 | 471 | 223 | ||||||||
| Total operating costs and expenses | $ | 814 | $ | 787 | $ | 322 |
Operating costs and expenses increased $27 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to higher professional services and employee related expenses.
The Allstate Corporation 63
2022 Form 10-K Allstate Health and Benefits
Allstate Health and Benefits reinsurance ceded
The vast majority of reinsurance relates to the disposition of long-term care and other closed blocks of business. We retain primary liability as a direct insurer for all risks ceded to reinsurers.
| Reinsurance recoverables by reinsurer, net | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P financial strength rating | A.M. Best financial strength rating | Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid benefits | |||||||||
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Mutual of Omaha Insurance | A+ | A+ | $ | 55 | $ | 55 | |||||
| Everlake Life Insurance Company | NR | A+ | 35 | 39 | |||||||
| Argo Capital Group Ltd. | NR | NR | 20 | 19 | |||||||
| General Re Life Corporation | AA+ | A++ | 10 | 16 | |||||||
| Midlands Casualty Insurance Company | NR | NR | 16 | 16 | |||||||
| Other (1) | 6 | 17 | |||||||||
| Credit loss allowance | (3) | (8) | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 139 | $ | 154 |
(1)As of December 31, 2022, the other category includes $3 million and $4 million of recoverables due from reinsurers rated A- or better by S&P and A.M. Best, respectively. As of December 31, 2021, the other category includes $8 million and $5 million of recoverables due from reinsurers rated A- or better by S&P and A.M. Best, respectively.
We continuously monitor the creditworthiness of reinsurers in order to determine our risk of recoverability on an individual and aggregate basis. No reinsurance recoverables have been written off in the three-years ended December 31, 2022.
64 www.allstate.com
Investments 2022 Form 10-K
Investments
Overview and strategy
The return on our investment portfolios is an important component of our ability to offer good value to customers, fund business improvements and create value for shareholders. Investment portfolios are held for Property-Liability, Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits and Corporate and Other operations. While taking into consideration the investment portfolio in aggregate, management of the underlying portfolios is significantly influenced by the nature of each respective business and its corresponding liability profile. For each business, we identify a strategic asset allocation which considers both the nature of the liabilities and the risk and return characteristics of the various asset classes in which we invest. This allocation is informed by our long-term business and market expectations, as well as other considerations such as risk appetite, portfolio diversification, duration, desired liquidity and capital. Within appropriate ranges relative to strategic allocations, tactical allocations are made in consideration of prevailing and potential future market conditions. We manage risks that involve uncertainty related to interest rates, inflation, credit spreads, equity returns and currency exchange rates.
The Property-Liability portfolio emphasizes protection of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. This approach has produced competitive returns over the long term and is designed to ensure financial strength and stability for paying claims, while maximizing economic value and surplus growth. Products with lower liquidity needs, such as auto insurance and run-off lines, and capital create capacity to invest in less liquid higher yielding fixed income securities, performance-based investments such as limited partnerships and equity securities. Products with higher liquidity needs, such as homeowners insurance, are invested primarily in high quality liquid fixed income securities.
The Protection Services portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities with a lesser allocation to equity securities and short-term investments.
The Allstate Health and Benefits portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation while targeting an appropriate return on capital. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities with a small allocation to commercial mortgage loans and equity securities.
The Corporate and Other portfolio is focused on liquidity needs and capital preservation within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of high-quality liquid fixed income securities and short-term investments.
We utilize two primary strategies to manage risks and returns and to position our portfolio to take advantage of market opportunities while attempting to mitigate adverse effects. As strategies and market conditions evolve, the asset allocation may change.
Market-based strategy seeks to deliver predictable earnings aligned to business needs and provide flexibility to adjust investment risk profile based on enterprise objectives and market opportunities primarily through public and private fixed income investments and public equity securities.
Performance-based strategy seeks to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns and supplement market risk with idiosyncratic risk. Returns are impacted by a variety of factors including general macroeconomic and public market conditions as public benchmarks are often used in the valuation of underlying investments. Variability in earnings will also result from the performance of the underlying assets or business and the timing of sales of those investments. Earnings from the sales of investments may be recorded as net investment income or net gains and losses on investments and derivatives. The portfolio, which primarily includes private equity (including infrastructure investments) and real estate with a majority being limited partnerships, is diversified across a number of characteristics, including managers or partners, vintage years, investment strategies, geographies (including international) and industry sectors or property types. These investments are generally illiquid in nature, often require specialized expertise, typically involve a third-party manager, and enhance returns and income through transformation at the company or property level. A portion of these investments seek returns in markets or asset classes that are dislocated or special situations, primarily in private markets.
The Allstate Corporation 65
2022 Form 10-K Investments
Macroeconomic impacts Supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and other macroeconomic factors have increased inflation, which may have an adverse impact on investment valuations and returns. As inflation continued to remain elevated, the Federal Reserve significantly increased interest rates and credit spreads widened reflecting ongoing recession concerns. These factors along with other ongoing impacts from the pandemic create significant economic uncertainty and the resulting market volatility may continue to impact our investment valuations and returns.
Investments in Russia and Ukraine As of December 31, 2022, we do not have any direct investments in Russia, Belarus or Ukraine. We have indirect exposure of less than $1 million in Russia and Ukraine through broad-based, global funds managed by external asset managers.
Investments Outlook
We plan to focus on the following priorities:
•Enhance investment portfolio returns through use of a dynamic capital allocation framework and focus on tax efficiency.
•Leverage our broad capabilities to manage the portfolio to earn higher risk-adjusted returns on capital.
•Invest for the specific needs and characteristics of Allstate’s businesses, including its corresponding liability profile.
Through our integrated enterprise risk and return management framework, we concluded in late 2021 that due to increasing enterprise risks from elevated inflation, the amount of investment risk we were willing to accept had declined. As a result, we decreased the allocation of economic capital to the investment portfolio. This decision led to a reduction in interest rate risk by shortening the portfolio duration beginning in the fourth quarter of 2021, primarily through the sale of long corporate and municipal bonds and the use of derivatives. These proactive actions mitigated portfolio losses by approximately $2 billion in 2022. As recession risks increased during 2022, we also reduced the amount of equity risk and credit risk in the portfolio through a reduction in public equity, high yield bonds and bank loans. We expect to maintain performance-based investments in our portfolio, consistent with our strategy to have a greater proportion of return derived from idiosyncratic asset or operating performance. The portfolio remains defensively positioned to interest rate, equity and credit risk at year-end relative to our positioning prior to these risk-reducing actions.
| Contractual maturities and yields of fixed income securities for the next three years | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed income securities | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | Carrying value | Investment yield | |||||
| 2023 | $ | 2,836 | 2.9 | % | |||
| 2024 | 7,504 | 2.9 | |||||
| 2025 | 7,331 | 3.2 |
| Portfolio composition and strategy by reporting segment (1) | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||||||
| Fixed income securities (2) | $ | 36,133 | $ | 1,694 | $ | 1,556 | $ | 3,102 | $ | 42,485 | |||||||||
| Equity securities (3) | 3,807 | 127 | 63 | 570 | 4,567 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 661 | — | 101 | — | 762 | ||||||||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 8,106 | — | — | 8 | 8,114 | ||||||||||||||
| Short-term investments (4) | 3,698 | 96 | 32 | 347 | 4,173 | ||||||||||||||
| Other investments, net | 1,606 | — | 120 | 2 | 1,728 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 54,011 | $ | 1,917 | $ | 1,872 | $ | 4,029 | $ | 61,829 | |||||||||
| Percent to total | 87.4 | % | 3.1 | % | 3.0 | % | 6.5 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||
| Market-based | $ | 44,929 | $ | 1,917 | $ | 1,872 | $ | 4,027 | $ | 52,745 | |||||||||
| Performance-based | 9,082 | — | — | 2 | 9,084 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 54,011 | $ | 1,917 | $ | 1,872 | $ | 4,029 | $ | 61,829 |
(1)Balances reflect the elimination of related party investments between segments.
(2)Fixed income securities are carried at fair value. Amortized cost, net for these securities was $38.59 billion, $1.83 billion, $1.73 billion, $3.22 billion and $45.37 billion for Property-Liability, Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits, Corporate and Other, and in total, respectively.
(3)Equity securities are carried at fair value. The fair value of equity securities, held as of December 31, 2022, was $314 million in excess of cost. These net gains were primarily concentrated in the consumer goods, technology and banking sectors. Equity securities include $983 million of funds with underlying investments in fixed income securities as of December 31, 2022.
(4)Short-term investments are carried at fair value.
66 www.allstate.com
Investments 2022 Form 10-K
Investments totaled $61.83 billion as of December 31, 2022, decreasing from $64.70 billion as of December 31, 2021, primarily due to lower fixed income and equity valuations, common share repurchases and dividends paid to shareholders, partially offset by positive operating cash flows.
| Portfolio composition by investment strategy | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Market- based | Performance-based | Total | ||||||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 42,390 | $ | 95 | $ | 42,485 | |||||||||
| Equity securities | 4,112 | 455 | 4,567 | ||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 762 | — | 762 | ||||||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 483 | 7,631 | 8,114 | ||||||||||||
| Short-term investments | 4,173 | — | 4,173 | ||||||||||||
| Other investments, net | 825 | 903 | 1,728 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 52,745 | $ | 9,084 | $ | 61,829 | |||||||||
| Percent to total | 85.3 | % | 14.7 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses | |||||||||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | (2,884) | $ | (1) | $ | (2,885) | |||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | — | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| Short-term investments | (1) | — | (1) | ||||||||||||
| Other investments | (3) | — | (3) | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (2,888) | $ | 1 | $ | (2,887) |
During 2022, strategic actions focused on optimizing portfolio yield, return and risk in the more volatile and rising interest rate environment. In the first quarter, we continued to shorten the maturity profile of our fixed income portfolio through the sale of bonds and use of derivatives, to further reduce its sensitivity to higher interest rates. The sustained higher market yields provide an opportunity to increase risk-adjusted returns, so in the fourth quarter, we extended the duration to 3.4 years (including the effect of interest
rate derivatives and any call features associated with the securities), and removed approximately half of the interest rate derivatives that we entered into in the first quarter of 2022. Considering the ongoing risk of recession, we retained a lower allocation to high-yield bonds, bank loans and public equity relative to year-end 2021. We maintained performance-based investments in the Property-Liability portfolio.
Fixed income securities
| Fixed income securities by type | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value as of December 31, | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 7,898 | $ | 6,273 | |||||
| Municipal | 6,210 | 6,393 | |||||||
| Corporate | 26,263 | 27,330 | |||||||
| Foreign government | 957 | 985 | |||||||
| Asset-backed securities (“ABS”) | 1,157 | 1,155 | |||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 42,485 | $ | 42,136 |
Fixed income securities are rated by third-party credit rating agencies or are internally rated. The Securities Valuation Office (“SVO”) of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) evaluates the fixed income securities of insurers for regulatory reporting and capital assessment purposes. The NAIC assigns securities to one of six credit quality categories defined as “NAIC designations”. In general, securities with NAIC designations of 1 or 2 are considered investment grade and securities with NAIC designations of 3 through 6 are considered below investment grade. The rating is either received from the SVO based on availability of applicable ratings from rating agencies on the NAIC Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations (“NRSRO”) provider list, including Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”), S&P
Global Ratings (“S&P”), Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”), or a comparable internal rating.
As a result of time lags between the funding of investments, the finalization of legal documents, and the completion of the SVO filing process, the portfolio includes certain securities that have not yet been designated by the SVO as of each balance sheet date and the categorization of these securities is based on the expected ratings indicated by internal analysis.
As of December 31, 2022, 90.4% of the consolidated fixed income securities portfolio was rated investment grade. Credit ratings below these designations are considered lower credit quality or below investment grade, which includes high yield bonds.
The Allstate Corporation 67
2022 Form 10-K Investments
Market prices for certain securities may have credit spreads which imply higher or lower credit quality than the current third-party rating. Our initial investment decisions and ongoing monitoring procedures for fixed income securities are based on a due diligence process which includes, but is not limited to, an assessment of the credit quality, sector, structure and liquidity risks of each issuer.
Fixed income portfolio monitoring is a comprehensive process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance. The process includes a quarterly review of all securities to identify instances where the fair value of a security compared to its amortized cost is below internally established thresholds. For further detail on our fixed income portfolio monitoring process, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Fair value and unrealized net capital gains (losses) for fixed income securities by credit rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| NAIC 1 | NAIC 2 | NAIC 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| A and above | BBB | BB | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | |||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 7,898 | $ | (225) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 5,883 | (264) | 313 | (29) | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 5,646 | (301) | 11,868 | (1,039) | 958 | (101) | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 1,684 | (120) | 3,052 | (289) | 1,533 | (197) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 7,330 | (421) | 14,920 | (1,328) | 2,491 | (298) | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | 956 | (40) | 1 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1,078 | (30) | 13 | (1) | 9 | (1) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 23,145 | $ | (980) | $ | 15,247 | $ | (1,358) | $ | 2,500 | $ | (299) | |||||||||||
| NAIC 4 | NAIC 5-6 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||
| B | CCC and lower | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 7,898 | $ | (225) | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 8 | — | 6 | 3 | 6,210 | (290) | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 144 | (14) | — | — | 18,616 | (1,455) | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 1,257 | (204) | 121 | (34) | 7,647 | (844) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 1,401 | (218) | 121 | (34) | 26,263 | (2,299) | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | — | — | — | — | 957 | (40) | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1 | — | 56 | 1 | 1,157 | (31) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 1,410 | $ | (218) | $ | 183 | $ | (30) | $ | 42,485 | $ | (2,885) |
Municipal bonds, including tax exempt and taxable securities, include general obligations of state and local issuers and revenue bonds.
Our practice for acquiring and monitoring municipal bonds is predominantly based on the underlying credit quality of the primary obligor. We currently rely on the primary obligor to pay all contractual cash flows and are not relying on bond insurers for payments. As a result of downgrades in the insurers’ credit ratings, the ratings of the insured municipal bonds generally reflect the underlying ratings of the primary obligor.
Corporate bonds include publicly traded and privately placed securities. Privately placed securities primarily consist of corporate issued senior debt securities that are negotiated with the borrower or are issued by entities in unregistered form under SEC Rule 144A which allows purchasers to more easily resell these securities under certain conditions.
Our $7.65 billion portfolio of privately placed securities, primarily 144A bonds, is diversified by issuer, industry sector and country. The portfolio is made up of 463 issuers. Privately placed corporate obligations may contain structural security features such as financial covenants and call protections that provide investors greater protection against credit deterioration, reinvestment risk or fluctuations in interest rates than those typically found in publicly registered debt securities. Additionally, investments in these securities are made after fundamental analysis of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views. Ongoing monitoring includes continuous assessment of operating performance and financial position. Every issue not rated by an independent rating agency is internally rated with a formal rating affirmation at least once a year. Liquidity of securities issued by public entities in unregistered form is similar to public debt markets.
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Investments 2022 Form 10-K
Our corporate bonds portfolio includes $4.01 billion of below investment grade bonds, $2.91 billion of which are privately placed primarily 144A bonds. These securities are diversified by issuer and industry sector. The below investment grade corporate bonds portfolio is made up of 328 issuers. We employ fundamental analyses of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views to identify investment opportunities. This results in a portfolio with broad exposure to the high yield market with an emphasis on idiosyncratic positions reflective of our views of market conditions and opportunities.
Foreign government securities consist of Canadian governmental and provincial securities (all of which are held by our Canadian companies).
ABS are structured securities that are primarily collateralized by consumer or corporate borrowings and residential and commercial real estate loans. The cash flows from the underlying collateral paid to the securitization trust are generally applied in a pre-determined order and are designed so that each security issued by the trust, typically referred to as a “class”, qualifies for a specific original rating.
ABS includes collateralized debt obligations, consumer and other ABS. Credit risk is managed by monitoring the performance of the underlying collateral. Many of the securities in the ABS portfolio have credit enhancement with features such as overcollateralization, subordinated structures, reserve funds, guarantees or insurance. ABS also includes residential mortgage-backed securities and commercial mortgage-backed securities.
For example, the “senior” portion or “top” of the capital structure, or rating class, which would originally qualify for a rating of Aaa typically has priority in receiving principal repayments on the underlying collateral and retains this priority until the class is paid in full. In a sequential structure, underlying collateral principal repayments are directed to the most senior rated Aaa class in the structure until paid in full, after which principal repayments are directed to the next most senior Aaa class in the structure until it is paid in full. Senior Aaa classes generally share any losses from the underlying collateral on a pro-rata basis after losses are absorbed by classes with lower original ratings.
The payment priority and class subordination included in these securities serves as credit enhancement for holders of the senior or top portions of the structures. These securities continue to retain the payment priority features that existed at the origination of the securitization trust. Other forms of credit enhancement may include structural features embedded in the securitization trust, such as overcollateralization, excess spread and bond insurance. The underlying collateral may contain fixed interest rates, variable interest rates (such as adjustable rate mortgages), or both fixed and variable rate features.
Equity securities of $4.57 billion primarily include common stocks, exchange traded and mutual funds,
non-redeemable preferred stocks and real estate investment trust (“REIT”) equity investments. Certain exchange traded and mutual funds have fixed income securities as their underlying investments.
Mortgage loans of $762 million mainly comprise loans secured by first mortgages on developed commercial real estate. Key considerations used to manage our exposure include property type and geographic diversification. For further detail on our mortgage loan portfolio, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
Limited partnership interests include $6.59 billion of interests in private equity funds, $1.04 billion of interests in real estate funds and $483 million of interests in other funds as of December 31, 2022. We have commitments to invest additional amounts in limited partnership interests totaling $2.78 billion as of December 31, 2022.
| Private equity limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2022 | ||
| Industrial | 18.8 | % | |
| Healthcare | 12.1 | ||
| Consumer discretionary | 11.0 | ||
| Information technology | 11.0 | ||
| Consumer staples | 9.5 | ||
| Other | 37.6 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
| Real estate limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2022 | ||
| Industrial | 27.7 | % | |
| Residential | 22.0 | ||
| Data centers | 14.2 | ||
| Healthcare | 11.1 | ||
| Consumer staples | 7.0 | ||
| Other | 18.0 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
Short-term investments of $4.17 billion primarily comprise money market funds, commercial paper, U.S. Treasury bills and other short-term investments, including securities lending collateral of $1.50 billion.
Other investments primarily comprise $686 million of bank loans, $813 million of real estate, $120 million of policy loans and $1 million of derivatives as of December 31, 2022. For further detail on our use of derivatives, see Note 7 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Direct real estate investments by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2022 | ||
| Residential | 28.0 | % | |
| Agriculture | 22.3 | ||
| Industrial | 17.5 | ||
| Retail | 16.4 | ||
| Other | 15.8 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
The Allstate Corporation 69
2022 Form 10-K Investments
| Unrealized net capital gains (losses) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | (225) | $ | (14) | |||
| Municipal | (290) | 263 | |||||
| Corporate | (2,299) | 496 | |||||
| Foreign government | (40) | 3 | |||||
| ABS | (31) | 12 | |||||
| Fixed income securities | (2,885) | 760 | |||||
| Short-term investments | (1) | — | |||||
| Derivatives | (3) | (3) | |||||
| Equity method of accounting (“EMA”) limited partnerships | 2 | (1) | |||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses, pre-tax | $ | (2,887) | $ | 756 |
| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost, net | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | $ | 5,984 | $ | 6 | $ | (531) | $ | 5,459 | |||||||
| Banking | 5,153 | 16 | (314) | 4,855 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 2,633 | 7 | (203) | 2,437 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 3,137 | 4 | (298) | 2,843 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,422 | 1 | (261) | 2,162 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 2,243 | 4 | (176) | 2,071 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,288 | 3 | (197) | 2,094 | |||||||||||
| Basic industry | 1,019 | 2 | (75) | 946 | |||||||||||
| Energy | |||||||||||||||
| Midstream | 1,725 | 1 | (110) | 1,616 | |||||||||||
| Integrated | 67 | — | (4) | 63 | |||||||||||
| Independent/upstream | 354 | 1 | (29) | 326 | |||||||||||
| Other | 218 | — | (13) | 205 | |||||||||||
| Total energy | 2,364 | 2 | (156) | 2,210 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 959 | 1 | (73) | 887 | |||||||||||
| Other | 360 | — | (61) | 299 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 28,562 | 46 | (2,345) | 26,263 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 8,123 | 6 | (231) | 7,898 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 6,500 | 36 | (326) | 6,210 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 997 | — | (40) | 957 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,188 | 4 | (35) | 1,157 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 45,370 | $ | 92 | $ | (2,977) | $ | 42,485 |
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| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | $ | 6,817 | $ | 176 | $ | (42) | $ | 6,951 | |||||||
| Banking | 3,975 | 54 | (31) | 3,998 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 2,009 | 43 | (28) | 2,024 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 2,947 | 80 | (23) | 3,004 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,077 | 58 | (21) | 2,114 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 1,936 | 41 | (14) | 1,963 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,615 | 75 | (12) | 2,678 | |||||||||||
| Basic industry | 1,249 | 56 | (6) | 1,299 | |||||||||||
| Energy | |||||||||||||||
| Midstream | 1,132 | 37 | (4) | 1,165 | |||||||||||
| Integrated | 119 | 6 | — | 125 | |||||||||||
| Independent/upstream | 312 | 18 | (1) | 329 | |||||||||||
| Other | 224 | 6 | (1) | 229 | |||||||||||
| Total energy | 1,787 | 67 | (6) | 1,848 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 976 | 35 | (5) | 1,006 | |||||||||||
| Other | 446 | 3 | (4) | 445 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 26,834 | 688 | (192) | 27,330 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 6,287 | 12 | (26) | 6,273 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 6,130 | 279 | (16) | 6,393 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 982 | 9 | (6) | 985 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,143 | 14 | (2) | 1,155 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 41,376 | $ | 1,002 | $ | (242) | $ | 42,136 |
In general, the gross unrealized losses are related to an increase in market yields, which may include increased risk-free interest rates and wider credit spreads since the time of initial purchase. Similarly, gross unrealized gains reflect a decrease in market yields since the time of initial purchase.
| Equity securities by sector | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | ||||||||||||||||||
| Transportation | $ | 48 | $ | 19 | $ | 67 | $ | 74 | $ | 22 | $ | 96 | |||||||||||
| Energy | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Midstream | 33 | (2) | 31 | 39 | 7 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||
| Integrated | 39 | 26 | 65 | 62 | 8 | 70 | |||||||||||||||||
| Independent/upstream | 30 | 12 | 42 | 44 | 5 | 49 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 8 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total energy | 110 | 44 | 154 | 159 | 23 | 182 | |||||||||||||||||
| Utilities | 67 | 12 | 79 | 122 | 23 | 145 | |||||||||||||||||
| Basic Industry | 57 | 16 | 73 | 119 | 30 | 149 | |||||||||||||||||
| Capital Goods | 196 | 3 | 199 | 376 | 37 | 413 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other (1) | 1,801 | 323 | 2,124 | 3,413 | 811 | 4,224 | |||||||||||||||||
| Funds | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed income | 1,067 | (84) | 983 | 1,108 | 24 | 1,132 | |||||||||||||||||
| Equities | 904 | (19) | 885 | 645 | 75 | 720 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total funds | 1,974 | (103) | 1,871 | 1,753 | 99 | 1,852 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total equity securities | $ | 4,253 | $ | 314 | $ | 4,567 | $ | 6,016 | $ | 1,045 | $ | 7,061 |
(1) Other is comprised of consumer goods, technology, REITs, financial services, banking, and communications sectors.
The Allstate Corporation 71
2022 Form 10-K Investments
| Net investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 1,255 | $ | 1,148 | $ | 1,232 | |||||
| Equity securities | 132 | 100 | 78 | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans | 33 | 43 | 34 | ||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 985 | 1,973 | 238 | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | 82 | 5 | 17 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 162 | 195 | 124 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | 2,649 | 3,464 | 1,723 | ||||||||
| Investment expense | |||||||||||
| Investee level expenses | (68) | (60) | (36) | ||||||||
| Securities lending expense | (30) | — | (4) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (148) | (111) | (93) | ||||||||
| Total investment expense | (246) | (171) | (133) | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 2,403 | $ | 3,293 | $ | 1,590 | |||||
| Property-Liability | $ | 2,190 | $ | 3,118 | $ | 1,421 | |||||
| Protection Services | 48 | 43 | 44 | ||||||||
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 69 | 74 | 78 | ||||||||
| Corporate and Other | 96 | 58 | 47 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 2,403 | $ | 3,293 | $ | 1,590 | |||||
| Market-based | $ | 1,566 | $ | 1,429 | $ | 1,444 | |||||
| Performance-based | 1,083 | 2,035 | 279 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | $ | 2,649 | $ | 3,464 | $ | 1,723 |
Net investment income decreased 27.0% or $890 million in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to lower performance-based results, mainly from limited partnerships, partially offset by higher market-based fixed income portfolio yields. We expect market-based net investment income to increase as we continue to reinvest at market yields that are above the current market-based portfolio yield.
| Performance-based investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Private equity | $ | 798 | $ | 1,660 | $ | 206 | |||||
| Real estate | 285 | 375 | 73 | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income before investee level expenses | $ | 1,083 | $ | 2,035 | $ | 279 | |||||
| Investee level expenses (1) | (59) | (55) | (32) | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income | $ | 1,024 | $ | 1,980 | $ | 247 |
(1)Investee level expenses include asset level operating expenses on directly held real estate and other consolidated investments reported in investment expense.
Performance-based investment income decreased 48.3% or $956 million in 2022 compared to strong results in 2021, primarily due to lower valuation increases for private equity investments in 2022.
Performance-based investment results and income can vary significantly between periods and are influenced by economic conditions, equity market performance, comparable public company earnings multiples, capitalization rates, operating performance of the underlying investments and the timing of asset sales. The company typically employs a lag in recording and recognizing changes in valuations of limited partnership interests due to the availability of investee financial statements.
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Investments 2022 Form 10-K
| Components of net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives and the related tax effect | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the year December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | (832) | $ | 578 | $ | 974 | |||||
| Credit losses | (54) | (42) | (32) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments - appreciation (decline): | |||||||||||
| Equity securities | (772) | 544 | 139 | ||||||||
| Equity fund investments in fixed income securities | (128) | (24) | (22) | ||||||||
| Limited partnerships (1) | (160) | (21) | (21) | ||||||||
| Total valuation of equity investments | (1,060) | 499 | 96 | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | 874 | 49 | 49 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | (1,072) | 1,084 | 1,087 | ||||||||
| Income tax benefit (expense) | 230 | (237) | (236) | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | (842) | $ | 847 | $ | 851 | |||||
| Property-Liability | $ | (688) | $ | 798 | $ | 774 | |||||
| Protection Services | (40) | 19 | 23 | ||||||||
| Allstate Health and Benefits | (35) | 5 | 7 | ||||||||
| Corporate and Other | (79) | 25 | 47 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | (842) | $ | 847 | $ | 851 | |||||
| Market-based | $ | (1,083) | $ | 917 | $ | 1,033 | |||||
| Performance-based | 11 | 167 | 54 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | $ | (1,072) | $ | 1,084 | $ | 1,087 |
(1)Relates to limited partnerships where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities.
Net losses on investments and derivatives in 2022 related primarily to decreased valuation on equity investments and losses on sales of fixed income securities, partially offset by increased valuation change and settlements of derivatives. Net gains on investments and derivatives in 2021 related primarily to gains on sales and higher valuation on equity investments.
Sales in 2022 related primarily to sales of fixed income securities in connection with ongoing portfolio management. Sales in 2021 related primarily to fixed income securities in connection with ongoing portfolio management and sales of real estate investments.
Valuation change and settlements of derivatives of $874 million in 2022 primarily comprised of gains on interest rate futures used to mitigate the impact of increases in interest rates, gains on foreign currency contracts due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and gains on equity futures used to manage exposure to equity markets. 2021 primarily comprised gains on foreign currency contracts due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and gains on interest rate futures used to manage asset duration and reduce exposure to increases in interest rates.
| Net gains (losses) on performance-based investments and derivatives | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | 29 | $ | 111 | $ | 49 | |||||
| Credit losses | (30) | (43) | (6) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments | (35) | 71 | 24 | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | 47 | 28 | (13) | ||||||||
| Total performance-based | $ | 11 | $ | 167 | $ | 54 |
Net gains on performance-based investments and derivatives in 2022 primarily related to increased valuation change and settlements of derivatives and gains on sales, partially offset by decreased valuation of equity investments. 2021 primarily related to gains on sales of real estate investments, increased valuation of equity investments, and gains on valuation and settlements of derivatives.
The Allstate Corporation 73
2022 Form 10-K Market Risk
Market Risk
Market risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices, commodity prices or foreign currency exchange rates. Adverse changes to these rates and prices may occur due to changes in fiscal policy, inflation, the economic climate, the liquidity of a market or market segment, insolvency or financial distress of key market makers or participants or changes in market perceptions of credit worthiness or risk tolerance. Our primary market risk exposures are to changes in interest rates, credit spreads and equity prices, and to a lesser extent, foreign currency exchange rates. We also have direct and indirect exposure to commodity price changes through our diversified investments in timber, agriculture, infrastructure and energy primarily held in limited partnership interests and consolidated subsidiaries.
The active management of market risk is integral to our results of operations. We may use the following approaches to manage exposure to market risk within defined tolerance ranges:
1)Rebalance existing asset or liability portfolios
2)Change the type of investments purchased in the future
3)Use derivative instruments to modify the market risk characteristics of existing assets and liabilities or assets expected to be purchased
Overview In formulating and implementing guidelines for investing funds, we seek to earn attractive risk-adjusted returns that enhance our ability to offer competitive prices to customers while contributing to stable profits and long-term capital growth. Accordingly, our investment decisions and objectives are informed by underlying risks. Investment policies define the overall framework for managing market and other investment risks, including accountability and controls over risk management activities. Subsidiaries that conduct investment activities follow policies that have been approved by their respective boards of directors and which specify the investment limits and strategies that are appropriate given the liquidity, surplus, product profile and regulatory requirements of the subsidiary. Executive oversight of investment activities is conducted primarily through the subsidiaries’ boards of directors and legal entity investment committees. The Enterprise Risk and Return Council (“ERRC”) oversees the aggregate risk of Allstate and its subsidiaries. Working in conjunction with the board or the investment committee of each subsidiary, as applicable, the ERRC evaluates the risk tolerance of each subsidiary and determines the aggregate risk tolerance of the enterprise.
We use widely-accepted quantitative and qualitative approaches to measure, monitor and manage market risk. We evaluate our market risk exposure using multiple measures including but not limited to:
| • Duration, a measure of the price sensitivity of assets and liabilities to changes in interest rates |
|---|
| • Value-at-risk, a statistical estimate that the change in fair value of a portfolio will exceed a certain amount over a given time horizon, at a specified probability |
| • Scenario analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur under hypothetical market conditions defined by changes to multiple market risk factors: interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices or currency exchange rates |
| • Sensitivity analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur using hypothetical shocks to a market risk factor The selection of measures used in our sensitivity analysis should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but only as an illustration of the potential effect of such an event |
In general, we establish investment portfolio asset allocation and market risk limits based upon a combination of these measures. The asset allocation limits place restrictions on the total funds that may be invested within an asset class. Comprehensive day-to-day management of market risk within defined tolerance ranges occurs as portfolio managers buy and sell within their respective markets based upon the acceptable boundaries established by investment policies. Although we apply a similar overall philosophy to market risk, the underlying business frameworks and the accounting and regulatory environments may differ between our products and therefore affect investment decisions and risk parameters. Our actual experience may differ from the results of the sensitivity measurements provided below.
Interest rate risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in risk-free interest rates. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in interest-sensitive assets. Changes in interest rates can have favorable and unfavorable effects on our results. For example, increases in rates can improve investment income, but decrease the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio which may result in sales of assets at losses. Decreases in rates could increase the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio while decreasing investment income due to reinvestment at lower market yields and accelerated pay-downs and prepayments of certain investments.
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For our issued debt, we monitor market interest rates and evaluate refinancing opportunities as maturity dates approach. To mitigate this risk, we ladder the maturity dates of our debt. For our issued noncumulative perpetual preferred stock, we monitor market dividend rates and evaluate opportunities to redeem or refinance on or after specified dates. For further detail regarding our debt and our preferred stock, see Note 13 of the consolidated financial statements and the Capital Resources and Liquidity section of this Item.
Our assessment of interest rate risk reflects the effect of changing risk-free interest rates on interest-sensitive assets, including investments with callable or prepayable features. As of December 31, 2022, the fixed income portfolio duration(1) was 3.4 compared to 3.8 as of December 31, 2021.
| Change in fair value of interest-sensitive assets (1) (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| -100 bps change | $ | 1,549 | $ | 1,625 | |||
| +100 bps change | (1,471) | (1,638) | |||||
| +200 bps change | (2,864) | (3,215) |
(1)Includes the effects of interest rate derivatives and any call features associated with the securities.
(2)Represents an immediate, parallel increase or decrease based on information and assumptions used in the duration calculations.
To the extent that conditions differ from the assumptions we used in these calculations, duration and rate shock measures could be significantly impacted. These calculations may not fully capture the effect of non-parallel changes in the term structure of interest rates or large changes in interest rates.
Credit spread risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in credit spreads (“spreads”). A credit spread is the additional yield on fixed income securities and loans above the risk-free rate that market participants require to compensate them for assuming credit, liquidity or prepayment risks. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in spread-sensitive fixed income assets. We assess credit spread risk by evaluating spread duration which measures the price sensitivity of the assets to changes in spreads.
As of December 31, 2022, the spread duration(1) was 4.0 compared to 4.6 as of December 31, 2021.
| Change in fair value of spread-sensitive assets (1) (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| +100 bps change | $ | (1,462) | $ | (1,767) |
(1)Includes the effects of credit derivatives and any call features associated with the securities.
(2)Represents an immediate, parallel increase based on information and assumptions used in the spread duration calculations.
Equity price risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in the levels of equity indices, the value of individual stocks, or private market valuations related to our limited partnership interests.
Equity investments(1) As of December 31, 2022, we held $4.06 billion in equity investments that comprise equity securities, excluding those with fixed income securities as their underlying investments, and including limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities, compared to $6.67 billion as of December 31, 2021.
| Change in fair value of equity investments (1) (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| -10% change in equity valuations | $ | (402) | $ | (670) |
(1)Includes the effects of equity derivatives.
(2)Represents an immediate change in equity valuations for investments.
We periodically use derivatives to reduce equity price risk or to adjust our equity risk profile. Derivatives provide an offset to changes in equity market values.
Limited partnership interests As of December 31, 2022, we held $7.64 billion in limited partnership interests excluding those limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities compared to $7.26 billion as of December 31, 2021. These illiquid investments are primarily comprised of private equity and real estate funds, with valuation changes typically reflecting the idiosyncratic performance of the underlying asset.
| Change in fair value of limited partnership interests (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| -10% change in private market valuations | $ | (764) | $ | (726) |
(1)Represents an immediate change in the value of limited partnership interests.
For limited partnership interests, quarterly changes in fair values may not be highly correlated to equity indices in the short term and changes in value of these investments are generally recognized on a three-month delay due to the availability of the related investee financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 75
2022 Form 10-K Market Risk
Foreign currency exchange rate risk is the risk that we will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in foreign currency exchange rates. This risk primarily arises from our foreign equity investments, including common stocks, limited partnership interests, and our Canada, Northern Ireland and India operations. We use foreign currency derivative contracts to partially offset this risk.
As of December 31, 2022, we had $3.10 billion in foreign currency denominated investments, including the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts, and $1.14 billion net investment in our foreign subsidiaries, primarily related to our Canada operations. These amounts were $3.79 billion and $1.30 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2021.
| Change in fair value of foreign currency denominated investments(1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| -10% change in foreign currency exchange rates | $ | (310) | $ | (379) | |||
| -10% change in net investments in foreign subsidiaries | (114) | (130) |
(1)Represents an immediate, simultaneous depreciation in each of the foreign currency exchange rates to which we are exposed compared to the U.S. dollar, including the effects of foreign currency derivative contracts and excludes the offset from liabilities in foreign currencies.
76 www.allstate.com
Capital Resources and Liquidity 2022 Form 10-K
Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital resources consist of shareholders’ equity and debt, representing funds deployed or available to be deployed to support business operations or for general corporate purposes.
| Capital resources | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Preferred stock, common stock, treasury stock, retained income and other shareholders’ equity items | $ | 19,864 | $ | 24,524 | $ | 26,913 | |||||
| Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income | (2,389) | 655 | 3,304 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate shareholders’ equity | 17,475 | 25,179 | 30,217 | ||||||||
| Debt | 7,964 | 7,976 | 7,825 | ||||||||
| Total capital resources | $ | 25,439 | $ | 33,155 | $ | 38,042 | |||||
| Ratio of debt to Allstate shareholders’ equity | 45.6 | % | 31.7 | % | 25.9 | % | |||||
| Ratio of debt to capital resources | 31.3 | % | 24.1 | % | 20.6 | % |
Allstate shareholders’ equity decreased in 2022, primarily due to net unrealized capital losses on investments in 2022 compared to gains at 2021, common share repurchases, a net loss and dividends paid to shareholders. In 2022, we paid dividends of $926 million and $105 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively. Allstate shareholders’ equity decreased in 2021, primarily due to loss on disposition from the sales of ALIC, ALNY and certain affiliates, common share repurchases, decreased net unrealized capital gains on investments, partially offset by net income. In 2021, we paid dividends of $885 million and $114 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively.
Common share repurchases As of December 31, 2022, there was $802 million remaining in the $5.00 billion program. We expect the program to be completed by September 30, 2023, as we moderate the pace of share repurchases.
During 2022, we repurchased 19.7 million common shares, or 7.0% of total common shares outstanding as of December 31, 2021, for $2.50 billion.
Since 1995, we have acquired 789 million shares of our common stock at a cost of $42.80 billion, primarily as part of various stock repurchase programs. We have reissued 154 million common shares since 1995, primarily associated with our equity incentive plans, the 1999 acquisition of American Heritage Life Investment Corporation and the 2001 redemption of certain mandatorily redeemable preferred securities. Since 1995, total common shares outstanding has decreased by 635 million shares or 70.7%, primarily due to our repurchase programs.
Common shareholder dividends On January 3, 2022, April 1, 2022, July 1, 2022 and October 3, 2022, we paid a common shareholder dividend of $0.81, $0.85, $0.85 and $0.85, respectively. On November 18, 2022, we declared a common shareholder dividend of $0.85, payable on January 3, 2023.
The Allstate Corporation 77
2022 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Financial ratings and strength
| Senior long-term debt, commercial paper and insurance financial strength ratings | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2022 | ||||||
| Moody’s | S&P Global Ratings | A.M. Best | ||||
| The Allstate Corporation (debt) | A3 | A- | a | |||
| The Allstate Corporation (short-term issuer) | P-2 | A-2 | AMB-1+ | |||
| Allstate Insurance Company (insurance financial strength) | Aa3 | AA- | A+ |
Our ratings are influenced by many factors including our operating and financial performance, asset quality, liquidity, overall portfolio mix, financial leverage (i.e., debt), exposure to risks such as catastrophes and the current level of operating leverage. The preferred stock and subordinated debentures are viewed as having a common equity component by certain rating agencies and are given equity credit up to a pre-determined limit in our capital structure as determined by their respective methodologies. These respective methodologies consider the existence of certain terms and features in the instruments such as the noncumulative dividend feature in the preferred stock.
The Allstate Corporation (the “Corporation”) and Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”) In May 2022, Moody’s affirmed The Allstate Corporation’s (the “Corporation’s”) debt and short-term issuer ratings of A3 and P-2, respectively, and the insurance financial strength rating of Aa3 for AIC. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
In November 2022, S&P affirmed the Corporation’s debt and short-term issuer ratings of A- and A-2, respectively, and the insurance financial strength rating of AA- for AIC. The outlook for the ratings changed from stable to negative.
In August 2022, A.M. Best affirmed the Corporation’s debt and short-term issuer ratings of a and AMB-1+, respectively, and the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for AIC. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
American Heritage Life (“AHL”) In August 2022, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for AHL. The outlook for the rating is stable.
Other property and casualty companies We have distinct and separately capitalized groups of subsidiaries licensed to sell property and casualty insurance that maintain separate group ratings. The ratings of these groups are influenced by the risks that relate specifically to each group. Many mortgage companies require property owners to have insurance from an insurance carrier with a secure financial strength rating from an accredited rating agency. In August 2022, A.M. Best affirmed the A rating of ANJ,
which writes auto and homeowners insurance in New Jersey, and the A+ rating of North Light, our excess and surplus lines carrier. The outlook for both the ANJ and North Light ratings is stable. ANJ also has a Financial Stability Rating® of A" from Demotech, which was affirmed in December 2022. In August 2022, A.M. Best affirmed the B+ rating of CKIC, which underwrites personal lines property insurance in Florida. CKIC also has a Financial Stability Rating of A’ from Demotech that was affirmed in December 2022. ANJ, North Light and CKIC do not have support agreements with AIC.
Allstate’s domestic property and casualty and life insurance subsidiaries prepare their statutory-basis financial statements in conformity with accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the insurance department of the applicable state of domicile. Statutory surplus is a measure that is often used as a basis for determining dividend paying capacity, operating leverage and premium growth capacity, and it is also reviewed by rating agencies in determining their ratings.
The property and casualty business is comprised of 58 insurance companies as of December 31, 2022, each of which has individual company dividend limitations. As of December 31, 2022, total statutory surplus is $15.28 billion compared to $21.51 billion as of December 31, 2021. Property and casualty subsidiaries surplus was $15.00 billion as of December 31, 2022, compared to $21.19 billion as of December 31, 2021. Life, accident and health insurance subsidiaries surplus was $279 million as of December 31, 2022, compared to $322 million as of December 31, 2021.
The NAIC has developed financial relationships or tests known as the Insurance Regulatory Information System to assist state insurance regulators in monitoring the financial condition of insurance companies and identifying companies that require special attention or actions by state insurance regulators. The NAIC analyzes financial data provided by insurance companies using prescribed ratios, each with defined “usual ranges”. Additional regulatory scrutiny may occur if a company’s ratios fall outside the usual ranges for four or more of the ratios. Two of our domestic insurance companies have more than four ratios outside the usual ranges.
78 www.allstate.com
Capital Resources and Liquidity 2022 Form 10-K
Liquidity sources and uses Our potential sources and uses of funds principally include the following activities below.
| Activities for potential sources of funds | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporateand Other | |||||
| Receipt of insurance premiums | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Recurring service fees | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Contractholder fund deposits | ü | |||||||
| Reinsurance and indemnification program recoveries | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Receipts of principal, interest and dividends on investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Sales of investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||||
| Intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Capital contributions from parent | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Dividends or return of capital from subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Tax refunds/settlements | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from periodic issuance of additional securities | ü | |||||||
| Receipt of intercompany settlements related to employee benefit plans | ü |
| Activities for potential uses of funds | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporateand Other | |||||
| Payment of claims and related expenses | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payment of contract benefits, surrenders and withdrawals | ü | |||||||
| Reinsurance cessions and indemnification program payments | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Operating costs and expenses | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Purchase of investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Repayment of securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payment or repayment of intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Capital contributions to subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Dividends or return of capital to shareholders/parent company | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Tax payments/settlements | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Common share repurchases | ü | |||||||
| Debt service expenses and repayment | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payments related to employee benefit plans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Payments for acquisitions | ü | ü | ü | ü |
Contractual obligations and commitments We have short-term and long-term contractual obligations and commitments. We manage our short-term liquidity position to ensure the availability of a sufficient amount of liquid assets to extinguish short-term liabilities as they come due in the normal course of business, including utilizing potential sources of liquidity. Long-term obligations include known contractual commitments that require cash needs beyond 12 months.
Short-term contractual obligations are typically settled with cash or short-term investments and operating cash flows. Most of these obligations are paid within one year. These include unconditional purchase obligations, other liabilities and accrued
expenses, including liabilities for collateral and operating leases, and net unrecognized tax benefits.
We actively manage our financial position and liquidity levels in light of changing market, economic, and business conditions. Liquidity is managed at both the entity and enterprise level across the Company and is assessed on both base and stressed level liquidity needs. We believe we have sufficient liquidity to meet these needs. Additionally, we have existing intercompany agreements in place that facilitate liquidity management across the Company to enhance flexibility.
As of December 31, 2022, we held $12.66 billion of cash, U.S. government and agencies fixed income securities, and public equity securities which we would
The Allstate Corporation 79
2022 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
expect to be able to liquidate within one week. In addition, we regularly estimate how much of the total portfolio, which includes high quality corporate fixed income and municipal holdings, can be reasonably liquidated within one quarter. These estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty associated with evolving market conditions. As of December 31, 2022, cash and estimated liquidity available within one quarter, under normal market conditions and at current market prices, was $23.44 billion.
Certain remote events and circumstances could constrain our liquidity. Those events and circumstances include, for example, a catastrophe resulting in extraordinary losses, a decrease in market liquidity, dramatic changes in security pricing, a cybersecurity breach, a downgrade in our senior long-term debt ratings to non-investment grade status, or a downgrade in AIC’s financial strength ratings. The rating agencies also consider the interdependence of our individually rated entities; therefore, a rating change in one entity could potentially affect the ratings of other related entities.
The Corporation is party to an Amended and Restated Intercompany Liquidity Agreement (“Liquidity Agreement”) with certain subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to AIC. The Liquidity Agreement allows for short-term advances of funds to be made between parties for liquidity and other general corporate purposes. The Liquidity Agreement does not establish a commitment to advance funds on the part of any party. AIC serves as a lender and borrower, certain other subsidiaries serve only as borrowers, and the Corporation serves only as a lender. The maximum amount of potential funding under each of these agreements is $1.00 billion.
In addition to the Liquidity Agreement, the Corporation also has an intercompany loan agreement with certain of its subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to, AIC. The amount of intercompany loans available to the Corporation’s subsidiaries is at the discretion of the Corporation. The maximum amount of loans the Corporation will have outstanding to all its eligible subsidiaries at any given point in time is limited to $1.00 billion. The Corporation may use commercial paper borrowings, bank lines of credit and securities lending to fund intercompany borrowings.
Parent company capital capacity At the parent holding company level, we have deployable assets totaling $4.02 billion as of December 31, 2022, primarily comprised of cash and investments that are generally saleable within one quarter. The earnings capacity of the operating subsidiaries is the primary source of capital generation for the Corporation.
The payment of dividends by AIC to The Allstate Corporation is limited by Illinois insurance law to formula amounts based on statutory net income and statutory surplus, as well as the timing and amount of dividends paid in the preceding twelve months. The maximum amount of dividends that AIC will be able to pay, without prior Illinois Department of Insurance approval, at a given point in time in 2023, based on 10% of actual 2022 statutory surplus, is estimated at $1.22
billion, less dividends paid during the preceding twelve months measured at that point in time. For the year ended December 31, 2022, the total amount of dividends AIC paid remained under the maximum amount of $5.51 billion allowed in 2022. Notification and approval of intercompany lending activities are also required by the Illinois Department of Insurance for those transactions that exceed formula amounts based on statutory admitted assets and statutory surplus.
These holding company assets and subsidiary dividends provide funds for the parent company’s fixed charges and other corporate purposes.
Intercompany dividends were paid in 2022, 2021 and 2020 between the following companies: AIC, Allstate Insurance Holdings, LLC (“AIH”), the Corporation, ALIC, American Heritage Life Insurance Company (“AHL”) and Allstate Financial Insurance Holdings Corporation (“AFIHC”).
| Intercompany dividends | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| AIC to AIH | $ | 4,203 | $ | 5,946 | $ | 4,435 | |||||
| AIH to the Corporation | 4,205 | 5,586 | 4,443 | ||||||||
| ALIC to AIC | — | 1,642 | — | ||||||||
| AHL to AFIHC | 110 | 90 | 80 | ||||||||
| AFIHC to the Corporation | 112 | 128 | 115 |
There were no capital contributions paid by the Corporation to AIC in 2022, 2021 or 2020.
Dividends may not be paid or declared on our common stock and shares of common stock may not be repurchased unless the full dividends for the latest completed dividend period on our preferred stock have been declared and paid or provided for.
We are prohibited from declaring or paying dividends on our Series G preferred stock if we fail to meet specified capital adequacy, net income or shareholders’ equity levels, except out of the net proceeds of common stock issued during the 90 days prior to the date of declaration. As of December 31, 2022, we satisfied all the requirements with no current restrictions on the payment of preferred stock dividends.
The terms of our outstanding subordinated debentures also prohibit us from declaring or paying any dividends or distributions on our common or preferred stock or redeeming, purchasing, acquiring, or making liquidation payments on our common stock or preferred stock if we have elected to defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures, subject to certain limited exceptions. In 2022, we did not defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures.
Additional resources to support liquidity are as follows:
•The Corporation and AIC have access to a $750 million unsecured revolving credit facility that is available for short-term liquidity requirements. In November 2022, the maturity date of this facility was extended to November 2027 and the USD
80 www.allstate.com
Capital Resources and Liquidity 2022 Form 10-K
benchmark rate was amended from London Interbank Offered Rate to Secured Overnight Financing Rate. The facility is fully subscribed among 11 lenders with the largest commitment being $95 million. The commitments of the lenders are several and no lender is responsible for any other lender’s commitment if such lender fails to make a loan under the facility. This facility contains an increase provision that would allow up to an additional $500 million of borrowing, subject to the lenders’ commitment. This facility has a financial covenant requiring that we not exceed a 37.5% debt to capitalization ratio as defined in the agreement. This ratio was 22.2% as of December 31, 2022. Although the right to borrow under the facility is not subject to a minimum rating requirement, the costs of maintaining the facility and borrowing under it are based on the ratings of our senior unsecured, unguaranteed long-term debt. There were no borrowings under the credit facility during 2022.
•To cover short-term cash needs, the Corporation has access to a commercial paper facility with a borrowing capacity limited to any undrawn credit facility balance up to $750 million.
•As of December 31, 2022, there were no balances outstanding for the credit facility or the commercial paper facility and therefore the remaining borrowing capacity was $750 million.
•The Corporation has access to a universal shelf registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission that expires in 2024. We can use this shelf registration to issue an unspecified amount of debt securities, common stock (including 637 million shares of treasury stock as of December 31, 2022), preferred stock, depository shares, warrants, stock purchase contracts, stock purchase units and securities of trust subsidiaries. The specific terms of any securities we issue under this registration statement will be provided in the applicable prospectus supplements.
Long-term contractual obligations
Defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans (“OPEB”) Pension plan obligations within the next 12 months represent our planned contributions to certain unfunded non-qualified plans where the benefit obligation exceeds the assets. Obligations beyond 12 months are projected based on the average remaining service period using the current underfunded status of the plans. The OPEB plans’ obligations are estimated based on the expected benefits to be paid. See Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Reserves for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense represent estimated amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including claims that have been IBNR as of the balance sheet date. Estimated timing of payments for reserves is based on our historical experience and our expectation of future payment patterns. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts that are our best estimates. See Note 9 of the consolidated financial statements and Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A for further information.
Reserve for future policy benefits We estimate the present value of cash payments to be made to contractholders and policyholders. We are currently making payments for contracts where the timing of a portion or all of the payments has been determined by the contract. Contracts such as voluntary accident and health insurance, interest-sensitive life and traditional life insurance involve payment obligations where a portion or all of the amount and timing of future payments is uncertain. We have estimated the timing of payments related to these contracts based on historical experience and our expectation of future payment patterns. Uncertainties relating to these liabilities include mortality, morbidity, expenses, customer lapse and withdrawal activity, estimated additional deposits for interest-sensitive life contracts, and renewal premium for life policies, which may significantly impact both the timing and amount of future payments. See Note 10 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Contractual commitments represent investment commitments such as private placements, limited partnership interests and other loans. Limited partnership interests are typically funded over the commitment period which is shorter than the contractual expiration date of the partnership and as a result, the actual timing of the funding may vary.
We have agreements in place for services we conduct, generally at cost, between subsidiaries relating to insurance, reinsurance, loans and capitalization. All material intercompany transactions have been appropriately eliminated in consolidation. Intercompany transactions among insurance subsidiaries and affiliates have been approved by the appropriate departments of insurance as required.
For a more detailed discussion of our off-balance sheet arrangements, see Note 7 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 81
2022 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Allstate is subject to significant risks as an insurer and a provider of other products and services. These risks are discussed in more detail in the Risk Factors section of this document.
We regularly identify, measure, manage, monitor and report all significant risks. Major categories of enterprise risk are strategic, insurance, investment, financial, operational and culture.
Allstate manages these risks through an Enterprise Risk and Return Management (“ERRM”) framework that includes governance, processes, culture, and activities
that are performed on an integrated, enterprise-wide basis, following our risk and return principles. Our legal and capital structures are designed to manage capital and solvency on a legal entity basis. Our risk-return principles define how we operate and guide risk and return decision making. These principles state that our priority is to maintain a strong foundation by protecting solvency, complying with laws and acting with integrity. We strive to build strategic value and optimize risk and return.
Governance ERRM governance includes board oversight, an executive management committee, and enterprise and market-facing business chief risk officers.
•The Allstate Corporation Board of Directors (“Allstate Board”) has overall responsibility for oversight of Management’s design and implementation of ERRM.
•The Risk and Return Committee (“RRC”) of the Allstate Board oversees effectiveness of the ERRM program, governance structure and risk-related decision-making, while focusing on the Company’s overall risk profile.
•The Audit Committee oversees the effectiveness of internal controls over financial reporting, disclosure controls and procedures as well as
management’s risk control framework and cybersecurity program.
•The ERRC directs ERRM activities by establishing risk and return targets, determining economic capital levels and monitoring integrated strategies and actions from an enterprise risk and return perspective. The ERRC consists of Allstate’s chief executive officer, chief financial officer, chief risk officer and other senior leaders.
•Other key committees work with the ERRC to direct ERRM activities, including the Operating Committee, the Operational Risk and Return Council, the Information Security Council, the ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) Steering Committee, liability governance committees, and investment committees.
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Enterprise Risk and Return Management 2022 Form 10-K
Key risks are assessed and reported through comprehensive ERRM reports prepared for senior management and the RRC. The risk summary report communicates the alignment of Allstate’s risk profile with risk and return principles, while providing a perspective on risk positioning. Discussion promotes active engagement with management and the RRC. Internal controls over key risks are managed and reported to senior management and the Audit Committee of the Company through a semi-annual risk control dashboard. Annually, we review risks related to the strategic plan, operating plan and incentive compensation programs with the Allstate Board.
Framework We apply risk and return principles using an integrated ERRM framework that focuses on assessment, transparency and dialogue. Our framework provides a comprehensive view of risks and is used by senior management and business managers to drive risk-return based decisions. We continually validate and improve our ERRM practices by benchmarking and obtaining external perspectives.
Management and the ERRC rely on internal and external perspectives to determine an appropriate level of target economic capital. Internal perspectives include enterprise solvency and volatility assessments, review of key operating and model assumptions, and management judgment. Sensitivity testing and scenario analysis are used to gauge the robustness of Allstate’s risk, capital and liquidity positions. Analysis of extremely low frequency scenarios is used to assess the sufficiency of capital and contingency options under worst-case outcomes, including unlikely but impactful single events, as well as sequences of multiple tail events. External considerations include NAIC risk-based capital as well as S&P’s, Moody’s, and A.M. Best’s capital adequacy measurement. Our economic capital reflects management’s view of the aggregate level of capital necessary to satisfy stakeholder interests, manage Allstate’s risk profile and maintain financial strength. The impact of strategic initiatives on enterprise risk is evaluated through the economic capital framework.
The NAIC has adopted the Risk Management and Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Model Act (“ORSA Model Act”), which has been enacted by our insurance subsidiaries’ domiciliary states. The ORSA Model Act requires that insurers maintain a risk management framework and conduct an internal own risk and solvency assessment of the insurer’s material risks in normal and stressed environments. Results of the assessment are filed annually.
Allstate’s risk appetite is measured through our economic capital framework. The enterprise risk appetite is cascaded into individual risk limits which set boundaries on the amount of risk we are willing to accept from one specific risk category before escalating for further management discussion and action. Risk limits are established based upon expected returns, volatility, potential tail losses and impact on the enterprise portfolio. To effectively operate within risk limits and for risk-return optimization, Allstate establishes risk limits and capital
targets specific to each business unit. Allstate’s risk management strategies adapt to changes in business and market environments.
Process Our ERRM framework establishes a basis for transparency and dialogue across the enterprise and for continuous learning by embedding our risk and return management culture of identifying, assessing, managing, monitoring and reporting risks within the organization. Allstate designs business and enterprise strategies that seek to optimize risk-adjusted returns on capital. Risks are managed at both the legal entity and enterprise level.
A summary of our process to manage each of our major risk categories follows:
Strategic risk and return management addresses loss associated with inadequate or flawed business planning or strategy setting, including product mix, mergers or acquisitions and market positioning, and unexpected changes within the market or regulatory environment in which Allstate operates. This includes reputational risk, which is the potential for negative publicity regarding a company’s conduct or business practices to adversely impact its profitability, operations, or consumer base, or to require costly litigation and other defensive measures.
We manage strategic risk in part through Allstate Board and senior management strategy reviews that include risk and return assessment of our strategic plans and ongoing monitoring of strategic actions, key assumptions and the external competitive environment. Using the ERRM framework, Allstate designs strategies that seek to optimize risk-adjusted returns associated with taking insurance, investment, and other business risks.
Insurance risk and return management addresses fluctuations in the timing, frequency and severity of benefits, expenses, and premiums relative to the return expectations inclusive of systemic risk, concentration of insurance exposures, policy terms, reinsurance coverage, and claims handling practices.
Insurance risk is the potential for loss due to adverse changes in actual or anticipated insurance claims experience (including claims adjustment expenses), net of reinsurance, and lost future profits. Insurance risk exposures include our operating results and financial condition, claims frequency and severity, and catastrophe and severe weather.
Insurance risk exposures are measured and monitored with different approaches including:
•Stochastic methods: measure and monitor risks such as natural catastrophes and severe weather. We develop probabilistic estimates of risk based on our exposures, historical observed volatility or industry-recognized models in the case of catastrophe risk.
•Scenario analysis: measures and monitors risks and estimated losses due to extreme low frequency events that include combined multiple event scenarios across risk categories and time periods.
The Allstate Corporation 83
2022 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Investment risk and return management addresses financial loss due to changes in the valuations of assets held in the Allstate investment portfolio. Such losses may be caused by macro developments, such as changes to interest rates, credit spreads and equity price levels, or could be specific to individual investments in the portfolio. These losses can encompass both daily market volatility and permanent impairments of capital due to credit defaults and equity write-downs.
Investment risk exposures include interest rate risk, credit spread risk, equity price risk and foreign currency exchange rate risk.
Investment risk exposures are measured, monitored and limited in a number of ways including:
•Sensitivity analysis: measures the impact from a unit change in a market risk input.
•Stochastic and probabilistic estimation of potential losses: combines portfolio risk exposures with historical or recent market volatilities and correlations to assess the potential range of future investment results.
•Contributions to economic capital: measure the percentage allocations of investment risk and risk types within enterprise economic capital.
•Scenario analysis: measures material adverse outcomes such as shock scenarios applied to credit, public and private equity markets.
Some of the stress scenarios are a combination of multiple scenarios across risk categories and over multiple time periods, considering the effects of macroeconomic conditions.
Financial risk and return management addresses the risk of insufficient cash flows to meet corporate or policyholder needs, risk of inadequate aggregate capital or capital within any subsidiary, inability to access capital markets, credit risk that arises when an external party fails to meet a contractual obligation such as reinsurance for ceded claims, or risk associated with a business counterparty default.
We actively manage our capital and liquidity levels in light of changing market, economic and business conditions. Our capital position, capital generation capacity, and targeted risk profile provide strategic and financial flexibility.
We generally assess solvency on a statutory accounting basis, but also consider holding company capital and liquidity needs. Current enterprise capital, which exceeds economic targeted levels, is based on a combination of statutory surplus and deployable assets at the parent holding company level.
Operational risk and return management addresses loss as a result of the failure of people, processes, or systems. Operational risk exposures include human capital, privacy, regulatory compliance, ethics, fraud, system availability, cybersecurity, data quality, disaster recovery and business continuity.
Operational risk is managed at the enterprise and market-facing business levels, through an integrated Operational Risk and Return Management (“ORRM”) framework that is anchored to the ERRM Learning Loop, which depicts the five components of effective risk management. The Learning Loop is a continual process which includes risk identification, measurement, management, monitoring, and reporting of risk.
From time to time, we engage independent advisers to assess and consult on operational risks. We also perform internal risk reviews of the quality of our operational risk program and identify opportunities to strengthen our internal controls.
Culture risk and return management addresses the potential for loss of stakeholder value from a suboptimal work environment, missed opportunities, or ineffective risk management practices. Allstate defines organization culture as a self-sustaining system of shared values, principles and priorities that shape beliefs, drive behavior and influence decision-making within an organization. Allstate’s approach is grounded in its Risk and Return Principles and organized by Our Shared Purpose.
Culture is managed using a set of cultural risk categories established as a basis for assessment and measurement, and the Learning Loop is applied to ensure continuous improvement. Results of culture risk assessments are reported to the ERRC and RRC throughout the year. To strengthen oversight, the Culture Risk and Return Management (“CRRM”) team partners with Human Resources and the broader organization to enhance the sophistication of the CRRM framework, including the following key components:
•Key risk categories, defining the most important areas of culture to track and enhance.
•Key risk indicators, reflecting the health of the system, providing early warnings, and helping Allstate prioritize risk and return activities.
•Governance, ensuring timely discussion, escalation, and prioritization of issues, as well as identification of opportunities.
Many risk drivers impact more than one of these key risk categories. Examples include risks related to the Coronavirus, inflation, and ESG factors. Such risks are managed within processes listed above, but overall strategy is coordinated at the enterprise level, and holistic governance is provided by cross-functional committees such as the ERRC and ESG Steering Committee.
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Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to adopt accounting policies and make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements. The most critical estimates, presented in the order they appear in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position, include those used in determining:
•Fair value of financial assets
•Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses
•Business combinations and purchase price allocations
•Evaluation of goodwill
•Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation
•Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions
In making these determinations, management makes subjective and complex judgments that frequently require estimates about matters that are inherently uncertain. Many of these policies, estimates and related judgments are common in the insurance and financial services industries; others are specific to our businesses and operations. It is reasonably likely that changes in these estimates could occur from period to period and result in a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.
A summary of each of these critical accounting estimates follows. For a more detailed discussion of the effect of these estimates on our consolidated financial statements, and the judgments and assumptions related to these estimates, see the referenced sections of this document. For a more detailed summary of our significant accounting policies, see the notes to the consolidated financial statements.
Fair value of financial assets Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We are responsible for the determination of fair value of financial assets and the supporting assumptions and methodologies. We use independent third-party valuation service providers, broker quotes and internal pricing methods to determine fair values. We utilize only one single quote or price to value each financial instrument in our financial statements.
Valuation service providers typically obtain data about market transactions and other key valuation model inputs from multiple sources and, through the use of proprietary models, produce valuation information in the form of a single fair value for individual fixed income and other securities for which a fair value has been requested under the terms of our agreements. The inputs used by the valuation service providers include, but are not limited to, market prices from recently completed transactions and transactions
of comparable securities, interest rate yield curves, credit spreads, liquidity spreads, currency rates, and other information, as applicable. Credit and liquidity spreads are typically implied from completed transactions and transactions of comparable securities. Valuation service providers also use proprietary discounted cash flow models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry and similar to those used by other market participants to value the same financial instruments. The valuation models take into account, among other things, market observable information as of the measurement date, as described above, as well as the specific attributes of the security being valued including its term, interest rate, credit rating, industry sector, and where applicable, collateral quality and other issue or issuer specific information. Executing valuation models effectively requires seasoned professional judgment and experience. For certain equity securities, valuation service providers provide market quotations for completed transactions on the measurement date. In cases where market transactions or other market observable data is limited, the extent to which judgment is applied varies inversely with the availability of market observable information.
For certain of our financial assets measured at fair value, where our valuation service providers cannot provide fair value determinations, we obtain a single non-binding price quote from a broker familiar with the security who, similar to our valuation service providers, may consider transactions or activity in similar securities among other information. The brokers providing price quotes are generally from the brokerage divisions of financial institutions with market making, underwriting and distribution expertise regarding the security subject to valuation.
The fair value of certain financial assets, including privately placed corporate fixed income securities and free-standing derivatives, for which our valuation service providers or brokers do not provide fair value determinations, is developed using valuation methods and models widely accepted in the financial services industry. Our internal pricing methods are primarily based on models using discounted cash flow methodologies that develop a single best estimate of fair value. Our models generally incorporate inputs that we believe are representative of inputs other market participants would use to determine fair value of the same instruments, including yield curves, quoted market prices of comparable securities or instruments, published credit spreads, and other applicable market data as well as instrument-specific characteristics that include, but are not limited to, coupon rates, expected cash flows, sector of the issuer, and call provisions. Because judgment is required in developing the fair values of these financial assets, they may differ from the amount actually received to sell an asset in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Moreover, the use of different valuation assumptions may have a material effect on the financial assets’ fair values.
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For most of our financial assets measured at fair value, all significant inputs are based on or corroborated by market observable data, and significant management judgment does not affect the periodic determination of fair value. The determination of fair value using discounted cash flow models involves management judgment when significant model inputs are not based on or corroborated by market observable data. However, where market observable data is available, it takes precedence, and as a result, no range of reasonably likely inputs exists from which the basis of a sensitivity analysis could be constructed.
We gain assurance that our financial assets are appropriately valued through the execution of various processes and controls designed to ensure the overall reasonableness and consistent application of valuation methodologies, including inputs and assumptions, and compliance with accounting standards. For fair values received from third parties or internally estimated, our processes and controls are designed to ensure that the valuation methodologies are appropriate and consistently applied, the inputs and assumptions are reasonable and consistent with the objective of determining fair value, and the fair values are accurately recorded. For example, on a continuing basis, we assess the reasonableness of individual fair values that have stale security prices or that exceed certain thresholds as compared to previous fair values received from valuation service providers or brokers or derived from internal models. We perform procedures to understand and assess the methodologies, processes and controls of valuation service providers.
In addition, we may validate the reasonableness of fair values by comparing information obtained from valuation service providers or brokers to other third-party valuation sources for selected securities. We perform ongoing price validation procedures such as back-testing of actual sales, which corroborate the various inputs used in internal models to market observable data. When fair value determinations are expected to be more variable, we validate them through reviews by members of management who have relevant expertise and who are independent of those charged with executing investment transactions.
During periods of high volatility or market disruption, we may perform an analysis to determine whether there has been a significant decrease in the volume and level of activity for the asset when compared to normal market activity, and if so, whether transactions may not be orderly. Among the indicators we consider in determining whether a significant decrease in the volume and level of market activity for a specific asset has occurred include the level of new issuances in the primary market, trading volume in the secondary market, level of credit spreads over historical levels, bid-ask spread, and price consensuses among market participants and sources. If evidence indicates that prices are based on transactions that are not orderly, we place little, if any, weight on the transaction price and will estimate fair value using an internal model. As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, we did not adjust fair values provided by our valuation service providers or brokers or substitute them with an internal model for such securities.
| Fixed income, equity securities and short-term investments by source of fair value determination | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2022 | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fair value | Percent to total | |||||
| Fair value based on internal sources | $ | 257 | 0.5 | % | |||
| Fair value based on external sources (1) | 50,968 | 99.5 | |||||
| Total | $ | 51,225 | 100.0 | % |
(1)Includes $76 million that are valued using broker quotes and $278 million that are valued using quoted prices or quoted net asset values from deal sponsors.
For additional detail on fair value measurements, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses For fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale, the difference between amortized cost, net of credit loss allowance (“amortized cost, net”) and fair value, net of certain other items and deferred income taxes (as disclosed in Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements), is reported as a component of AOCI on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position and is not reflected in the operating results of any period until reclassified to net income upon the consummation of a transaction with an unrelated third party or when a credit loss allowance is recorded. We have a comprehensive portfolio monitoring process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance.
For each fixed income security in an unrealized loss position, we assess whether management with the appropriate authority has made the decision to sell or whether it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before recovery of the amortized cost basis for reasons such as liquidity, contractual or regulatory purposes. If a security meets either of these criteria, any existing credit loss allowance would be written-off against the amortized cost basis of the asset along with any remaining unrealized losses, with the incremental losses recorded in earnings.
If we have not made the decision to sell the fixed income security and it is not more likely than not we will be required to sell the fixed income security before recovery of its amortized cost basis, we evaluate whether we expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security. We calculate the estimated recovery value based on the best estimate of future cash flows considering past events, current conditions and reasonable and
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supportable forecasts. The estimated future cash flows are discounted at the security’s current effective rate, and are compared to the amortized cost of the security. The determination of cash flow estimates is inherently subjective, and methodologies may vary depending on facts and circumstances specific to the security. All reasonably available information relevant to the collectability of the security are considered when developing the estimate of cash flows expected to be collected. That information generally includes, but is not limited to, as applicable, the remaining payment terms of the security, prepayment speeds, the financial condition and future earnings potential of the issue or issuer, expected defaults, expected recoveries, the value of underlying collateral, origination vintage year, geographic concentration of underlying collateral, available reserves or escrows, current subordination levels, third-party guarantees and other credit enhancements. Other information, such as industry analyst reports and forecasts, sector credit ratings, financial condition of the bond insurer for insured fixed income securities, and other market data relevant to the realizability of contractual cash flows, may also be considered. The estimated fair value of collateral will be used to estimate recovery value if we determine that the security is dependent on the liquidation of collateral for ultimate settlement.
If we do not expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the fixed income security, a credit loss allowance is recorded in earnings for the shortfall in expected cash flows; however, the amortized cost, net of the credit loss allowance, may not be lower than the fair value of the security. The portion of the unrealized loss related to factors other than credit remains classified in AOCI. If we determine that the fixed income security does not have sufficient cash flow or other information to estimate a recovery value for the security, we may conclude that the entire decline in fair value is deemed to be credit related and the loss is recorded in earnings.
When a security is sold or otherwise disposed or the security is deemed uncollectible and written off, we remove amounts previously recognized in the credit loss allowance. Recoveries after write-offs are recognized when received.
For additional detail on investment impairments, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
Business combinations and purchase price allocations We have acquired significant intangible assets through acquisitions of businesses. Intangible assets (reported in other assets in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position) consist of capitalized costs, primarily of the estimated fair value of distribution and customer relationships, trade names, licenses and technology assets. The estimated useful lives of these assets generally range from 3 to 10 years.
On January 4, 2021, the Company completed the acquisition of National General Holdings Corp. (“National General”), an insurance holding company serving customers predominantly through independent agents for property and casualty and
accident and health products. The estimated fair value of distribution and customer relationship intangible assets was determined using an income approach that considered cash flows and profits expected to be generated by the acquired relationships, a weighted-average cost of capital discount rate reflecting the relative risk of achieving the anticipated cash flows, profits, the time value of money, and other relevant inputs. Technology and trade names were valued using estimated useful lives and market licensing rates discounted at a weighted-average cost of capital. Licenses are primarily insurance licenses which were valued using the median value of market transactions executed over an extended observation period.
Value of business acquired (reported in DAC in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position) recognized in connection with the acquisition of National General represents the value of future profits expected to be earned over the lives of the contracts acquired determined using a weighted-average cost of capital discount rate and other relevant assumptions. These costs are amortized over the policy term of the contracts in force at the acquisition date, generally over six or twelve months.
Evaluation of goodwill Goodwill represents the excess of amounts paid for acquiring businesses over the fair value of the net assets acquired, less any impairment of goodwill recognized. Goodwill is recognized when acquired and allocated to reporting units based on which unit is expected to benefit from the synergies of the business combination. Our goodwill reporting units are equivalent to our reportable segments to which goodwill has been assigned: Allstate Protection, Protection Services, and Allstate Health and Benefits.
The goodwill balance was $3.50 billion at both December 31, 2022 and 2021.
Upon acquisition, the purchase price of the acquired business is assumed to be its fair value. Subsequently, we estimate the fair value of our businesses in each goodwill reporting unit, utilizing a combination of widely accepted valuation techniques including a stock price and market capitalization analysis, discounted cash flow (“DCF”) calculations and an estimate of a business’s fair value using market to book multiples derived from peer company analysis. The stock price and market capitalization analysis takes into consideration the quoted market price of our outstanding common stock and includes a control premium, derived from relevant historical acquisition activity, in determining the estimated fair value of the consolidated entity before allocating that fair value to individual reporting units. The DCF analysis utilizes long term assumptions for revenues, investment income, benefits, claims, other operating expenses and income taxes to produce projections of both income and cash flows available for dividends that are present valued using the weighted average cost of capital. Market to book multiples represent the mean market to book multiple for selected peer companies with operations similar to each goodwill reporting unit to which the multiple is applied. The outputs from these methods are weighted based on the nature of the
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business and the relative amount of market observable assumptions supporting the estimates. The computed values are then weighted to reflect the fair value estimate based on the specific attributes of each goodwill reporting unit.
Estimating the fair value of reporting units is a subjective process that involves the use of significant estimates by management. Changes in market inputs or other events impacting the fair value of these businesses, including discount rates, operating results, investment returns, strategies and growth rate assumptions, among other factors, could result in goodwill impairments, resulting in a charge to income. Certain of our goodwill reporting units are comprised of a combination of legacy and acquired businesses and as a result have substantial internally generated and unrecognized intangibles and fair values that significantly exceed their carrying values.
The most significant assumptions utilized in the determination of the estimated fair value of the Protection Services reporting unit are the earnings growth rate and discount rate. The growth rate utilized in our fair value estimates is consistent with our plans to grow these businesses more rapidly over the near-term with more moderated growth rates in later years.
The discount rate, which is consistent with the weighted average cost of capital expected by a market participant, is based upon industry specific required rates of return, including consideration of both debt and equity components of the capital structure. Our discount rate may be impacted by changes in the risk-free rate, cost of debt, equity risk premium and entity specific risks.
Changes in our growth assumptions, including the risk of loss of key customers, or adverse changes in the discount rates could result in a decline in fair value and result in a goodwill impairment charge.
Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation Reserves are established to provide for the estimated costs of paying claims and claims expenses under insurance policies we have issued. Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense reserves. These reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including IBNR, as of the financial statement date.
Characteristics of reserves Reserves are established independently of business segment management for each business segment and line of business based on estimates of the ultimate cost to settle claims, less losses that have been paid. The significant lines of business are auto, homeowners, and other personal lines for Allstate Protection, and asbestos, environmental, and other run-off lines for Run-off Property-Liability. Allstate Protection’s claims are typically reported promptly with relatively little reporting lag between the date of occurrence and the date the loss is reported. Auto and homeowners liability losses generally take an average of about two years to settle, while auto physical damage, homeowners property and other personal lines
generally have an average settlement time of less than one year. Liability losses, especially those involving litigation, can take several years to resolve. Run-off Property-Liability involves long-tail losses, such as those related to asbestos and environmental claims, which often involve substantial reporting lags and extended times to settle.
Reserves are the difference between the estimated ultimate cost of losses incurred and the amount of paid losses as of the reporting date. Reserves are estimated for both reported and unreported claims, and include estimates of all expenses associated with processing and settling all incurred claims. We update most of our reserve estimates quarterly and as new data and information become available or as events emerge that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in prior reserve estimates (reserve reestimates), which may be material, are determined by comparing updated estimates of ultimate losses to prior estimates, with the differences recorded as property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the period such changes are determined. Estimating the ultimate cost of claims and claims expenses is an inherently uncertain and complex process involving a high degree of judgment and is subject to the evaluation of numerous variables.
The actuarial methods used to develop reserve estimates Reserve estimates are derived by using several different actuarial estimation methods that are variations on one primary actuarial technique. The actuarial technique is known as a “chain ladder” estimation process in which historical loss patterns are applied to actual paid losses and reported losses (paid losses plus individual case reserves established by claim adjusters) for an accident year or a report year to create an estimate of how losses are likely to develop over time. An accident year refers to classifying claims based on the year in which the claims occurred. A report year refers to classifying claims based on the year in which the claims are reported. Both classifications are used to prepare estimates of required reserves for payments to be made in the future. The key assumptions affecting our reserve estimates comprise data elements including claim counts, paid losses, case reserves, and development factors calculated with this data.
In the chain ladder estimation technique, a ratio (development factor) is calculated which compares current period results to results in the prior period for each accident year. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process, as a development factor. Historic data incorporates inflation from recent prior periods in estimating future loss costs. The development factor estimation methodology may require modification when data changes due to changing claim reporting practices, changing claim settlement patterns, external regulatory or financial influences, or contractual coverage changes. Changes in such items and inflation can result in increased variability in loss costs and reserve estimates. Actuarial judgment is then applied
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to develop a best estimate of gross ultimate losses. These developments are discussed further in the loss ratio disclosures within the Allstate Protection Segment and the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves sections of the MD&A.
See Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates section for specific disclosures of industry and actuarial best practices for this segment.
How reserve estimates are established and updated Reserve estimates are developed at a very detailed level, and the results are aggregated to form a consolidated reserve estimate. The detailed estimates include each line of insurance, major components of losses (such as coverages and perils), major states or groups of states and for reported losses and IBNR. Development factors are calculated for data elements such as claim counts reported and settled, paid losses, and paid losses combined with case reserves. The historical development patterns for these data elements are used to calculate reserve estimates. Based on this review our best estimate of required reserves is recorded.
Reserves are reestimated quarterly and periodically throughout the year, by combining historical results with current actual results to calculate new development factors. This process continuously incorporates the historic and latest actual trends, and other underlying changes in the data elements used to calculate reserve estimates. New development factors are likely to differ from previous development factors used in prior reserve estimates because actual results occur differently than the assumptions contained in
the previous development factor calculations. When actual development of these data elements is different than the historical development pattern used in a prior period reserve estimate, a new reserve is determined. The difference between indicated reserves based on new reserve estimates and recorded reserves (the previous estimate) is the amount of reserve reestimate. This amount, which could be material and vary significantly from period to period is recognized as an increase or decrease in claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. A more detailed discussion of reserve reestimates is presented in the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
| Favorable (unfavorable) impact of reserve reestimates on net income applicable to common shareholders | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||
| Net reserve reestimates, after-tax | (97.1) | % | (6.5) | % | 6.3 | % |
| 3-year average of net reserve reestimates as a percentage of total reserves for each segment (1) (2) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | |||
| Allstate Protection | 1.5 | % | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 8.9 | % | |
| Protection Services | (5.7) | % |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)Each of these results is consistent within a reasonable actuarial tolerance for the respective businesses.
| Net claims and claims expense reserves by segment and line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | |||||||||||
| Auto (1) | $ | 19,365 | $ | 16,078 | $ | 14,164 | |||||
| Homeowners (1) | 3,595 | 2,797 | 2,315 | ||||||||
| Other lines (2) | 3,916 | 3,249 | 2,657 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 26,876 | 22,124 | 19,136 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | |||||||||||
| Asbestos | 811 | 828 | 827 | ||||||||
| Environmental | 267 | 226 | 206 | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 373 | 367 | 375 | ||||||||
| Total Run-off Property-Liability | 1,451 | 1,421 | 1,408 | ||||||||
| Total Protection Services | 38 | 36 | 33 | ||||||||
| Total net claims and claims expense reserves | $ | 28,365 | $ | 23,581 | $ | 20,577 |
(1)2021 includes a $944 million reclassification of reserves from homeowners to auto.
(2)2022 and 2021 include the unamortized fair value adjustment related to the acquisition of National General.
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Allstate Protection reserve estimate
Factors affecting reserve estimates Reserve estimates are developed based on the processes and historical development trends described above. These estimates are considered in conjunction with known facts and interpretations of circumstances and factors including our experience with similar cases, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, changes in law and regulation, judicial decisions, and economic conditions. When we experience changes of the type previously mentioned, we apply actuarial judgment in the determination and selection of development factors considered more reflective of the new trends, such as combining shorter or longer periods of historical results with current actual results to produce development factors based on two-year, three-year, or longer development periods to reestimate our reserves. For example:
•The Coronavirus has had a significant impact on driving patterns and auto frequency and severity, including supply chain disruptions and labor shortages, higher used car prices, labor and part cost increases, unemployment levels, changes in commuting activity and driving behavior that may lead to historical development trends being less predictive of future loss development, potentially creating additional reserve variability.
•If a legal change is expected to have a significant impact on the development of claim severity for a coverage which is part of a particular line of insurance in a specific state, judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors that will most accurately reflect the expected impact on that specific estimate.
•A change in economic conditions is expected to affect the cost of repairs to damaged autos or property for a particular line, coverage, or state, actuarial judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors to use in the reserve estimate that will most accurately reflect the expected impacts on severity development.
Case and supplemental reserves
•Typically, the case, including statistical case, and supplemental development reserves comprise about 90% of total reserves.
•As claims are reported, for certain liability claims of sufficient size and complexity, the field adjusting staff establishes case reserve estimates of ultimate cost, based on their assessment of facts and circumstances related to each individual claim.
•For other claims which occur in large volumes and settle in a relatively short time frame, it is not practical or efficient to set case reserves for each claim, and a statistical case reserve is set for these claims based on estimation techniques described above.
•In the normal course of business, we may also supplement our claims processes by utilizing third-party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, and other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe and non-catastrophe related claims.
•Historically, the case reserves set by the field adjusting staff have not proven to be an entirely accurate estimate of the ultimate cost of claims. To provide for this, a development reserve is estimated using the processes described above and allocated to pending claims as a supplement to case reserves.
Incurred but not reported (“IBNR”)
•Comprises about 10% of total reserves.
•IBNR can be a small percentage of reserves for relatively short-term claims, such as auto physical damage claims, or a large percentage of reserves for claims that have uncertain payout requirements over a long period of time, such as auto injury and MCCA claims.
All major components of reserves are affected by changes in claim frequency as well as claim severity.
Generally, the initial reserves for a new accident year are established based on actual claim frequency and severity assumptions for different business segments, lines and coverages based on historical relationships to relevant inflation indicators. Reserves for prior accident years are statistically determined using processes described above. Changes in auto claim frequency may result from changes in mix of business, driving behaviors, miles driven or other macroeconomic factors. Changes in auto current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the medical and auto repair sectors of the economy, the effectiveness and efficiency of our claim practices and changes in mix of claim type. Injury claims are affected largely by medical inflation, treatment trends, attorney representation and litigation costs while physical damage claims are affected largely by auto repair cost inflation, used car prices, length of claim resolution and the timing of receipt of third-party carrier claims.
We mitigate these effects through various loss management programs. For auto physical damage coverages, we monitor our rate of increase in average cost per claim against the auto maintenance, repair, parts and equipment price indices. We believe our claim settlement initiatives, such as improvements to the claim review and settlement process, the use of special investigative units to detect fraud and handle suspect claims, litigation management and defense strategies, as well as various other loss management initiatives underway, contribute to the mitigation of injury and physical damage severity trends.
Changes in homeowners current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the cost of building materials, the cost of construction and property repair services, the cost of replacing home
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furnishings and other contents, the types of claims that qualify for coverage, deductibles, other economic and environmental factors and the effectiveness of our claim practices.
As loss experience for the current year develops for each type of loss, it is monitored relative to initial assumptions until it is judged to have sufficient statistical credibility. From that point in time forward, reserves are reestimated using statistical actuarial processes to reflect the impact actual loss trends have on development factors incorporated into the actuarial estimation processes.
Causes of reserve estimate uncertainty Since reserves are estimates of unpaid portions of claims and claims expenses for claims that have occurred, including IBNR losses, the establishment of appropriate reserves, including reserves for catastrophe losses, requires regular reevaluation and refinement of estimates to determine our ultimate loss estimate.
At each reporting date, the highest degree of uncertainty in estimates for most of our losses from ongoing businesses arise from claims remaining to be settled for the current accident year and the most recent preceding accident year. The greatest degree of uncertainty exists in the current accident year because the current accident year contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled as well as heightened uncertainty for claims that involve litigation or take longer to settle during periods of rapidly increasing loss costs, but must be estimated as of the current reporting date. Most of these losses relate to damaged property such as automobiles and homes, and medical care for injuries from accidents. During the first year after the end of an accident year, a large portion of the total losses for that accident year are settled. When accident year losses paid through the end of the first year following the initial accident year are incorporated into updated actuarial estimates, the trends inherent in the settlement of claims emerge more clearly. After the second year, the losses that we pay for an accident year typically relate to claims that are more difficult to settle, such as those involving serious injuries or litigation. Private passenger auto insurance provides a good illustration of the uncertainty of future loss estimates: our typical annual percentage payout of reserves remaining at December 31 for an accident year is approximately 50% in the first year after the end of the accident year, 20% in the second year, 10% in the third year, 10% in the fourth year, and the remaining 10% thereafter.
Reserves for catastrophe losses Catastrophe losses are an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance industry that have contributed, and will continue to contribute, to potentially material year-to-year fluctuations in our results of operations and financial position. We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring
within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes. We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, civil unrest, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
The estimation of claims and claims expense reserves for catastrophe losses also comprises estimates of losses from reported claims and IBNR, primarily for damage to property. In general, our estimates for catastrophe reserves are based on claim adjuster inspections and the application of historical loss development factors as described above. However, depending on the nature of the catastrophe, the estimation process can be further complicated. For example, for hurricanes, complications could include the inability of insureds to promptly report losses, limitations placed on claims adjusting staff affecting their ability to inspect losses, determining whether losses are covered by our homeowners policy (generally for damage caused by wind or wind driven rain) or specifically excluded coverage caused by flood, exposure to mold damage, and the effects of numerous other considerations, including the timing of a catastrophe in relation to other events, such as at or near the end of a financial reporting period, which can affect the availability of information needed to estimate reserves for that reporting period. In these situations, we may need to adapt our practices to accommodate these circumstances in order to determine a best estimate of our losses from a catastrophe. For example, to complete estimates for certain areas affected by catastrophes not yet inspected by our claims adjusting staff, or where we believed our historical loss development factors were not predictive, we rely on analysis of actual claim notices received compared to total PIF, as well as visual, governmental and third-party information, including aerial photos, using satellites, aircrafts and drones, area observations, and data on wind speed and flood depth to the extent available.
Potential reserve estimate variability The aggregation of numerous components for each business segment, line of insurance, major types of losses (such as coverages and perils), and major states or groups of states for reported losses and IBNR forms the reserve liability recorded in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. Because of this detailed approach to developing our reserve estimates, there is not a single set of assumptions that determines our reserve estimates at the consolidated level. Given the numerous estimates for reported losses and IBNR, management does not believe the processes that we follow will produce a statistically credible or reliable actuarial reserve range that would be meaningful. Reserve estimates, by their very nature, are very complex to determine and subject to significant judgment, and do not represent an exact determination for each outstanding claim. Accordingly, as actual claims, paid losses, and case reserve results
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2022 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle will be different than previously estimated.
To develop a statistical indication of potential reserve variability within reasonably likely possible outcomes, an actuarial technique (stochastic modeling) is applied to the countrywide consolidated data elements for paid losses and paid losses combined with case reserves separately for injury losses, auto physical damage losses, and homeowners losses excluding catastrophe losses. Based on the combined historical variability of the development factors calculated for these data elements, an estimate of the standard error or standard deviation around these reserve estimates is calculated within each accident year for the last twelve years for each type of loss. The variability of these reserve estimates within one standard deviation of the mean (a measure of frequency of dispersion often viewed to be an acceptable level of accuracy) is believed by management to represent a reasonable and statistically probable measure of potential variability. Based on our products and coverages, historical experience, the statistical credibility of our extensive data and stochastic modeling of actuarial chain ladder methodologies used to develop reserve estimates, we estimate that the potential variability of our Allstate Protection reserves, excluding reserves for catastrophe losses, within a reasonable possibility of other outcomes, may be approximately plus or minus 5.5%, or plus or minus $1.4 billion in net income applicable to common shareholders. Although this evaluation reflects most reasonably likely outcomes, it is possible the final outcome may fall below or above these amounts. Historical variability of reserve estimates is reported in the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
The Company regularly updates its reserve estimates as new information becomes available and as events unfold that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in reserve estimates, which may be material, are reported in property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the period such changes are determined. Management believes that the reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense, net of recoverables, is appropriately established in the aggregate and adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of reported and unreported claims arising from losses which had occurred by the date of the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position based on available facts, laws and regulations.
Reserves for Michigan and New Jersey unlimited personal injury protection Claims and claims expense reserves include reserves for Michigan mandatory unlimited personal injury protection coverage to insureds involved in qualifying motor vehicle accidents. The administration of this program is through the MCCA, a state-mandated, non-profit association of which all insurers actively writing automobile coverage in Michigan are members.
The process employed to estimate MCCA covered losses involves a number of activities including the
comprehensive review and interpretation of MCCA actuarial reports, other MCCA members’ reports and our personal injury protection loss trends which have increased in severity over time. A significant portion of incurred claim reserves can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims and thus a large portion of the recoverable is similarly concentrated. We conduct comprehensive claim file reviews to develop case reserve type estimates of specific claims, which inform our view of future claim development and longevity of claimants. Each year, we update the actuarial estimate of our ultimate reserves and recoverables. We report our paid and unpaid claims based on MCCA requirements. The MCCA develops its own reserving estimates based on its own reserve methodologies, which may not align with our estimations. The MCCA does not provide member companies with its estimate of a company’s claim costs. We continue to update each comprehensive claim file case reserve estimate when there is a significant change in the status of the claimant, or once every three years if there have been no significant changes.
We provide similar personal injury protection coverage in New Jersey for auto policies issued or renewed in New Jersey prior to 1991 that is administered by PLIGA. We use similar actuarial estimating techniques as for the MCCA exposures to estimate loss reserves for unlimited personal injury protection coverage for policies covered by PLIGA. We continue to update our estimates for these claims as the status of claimant’s changes. However, unlimited coverage was no longer offered after 1991; therefore, no new claimants are being added.
Reserve estimates are confidential and proprietary and by their nature are very complex to determine and subject to significant judgments. Reserve estimates do not represent an exact determination for each outstanding claim. Claims may be subject to litigation. As actual claims, paid losses and case reserve results emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle may be materially greater or less than previously estimated amounts.
For additional information related to indemnification recoverables, see Item 1 - Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
Adequacy of reserve estimates We believe our net claims and claims expense reserves are appropriately established based on available methodologies, facts, laws and regulations. Additionally, we rely on historical claims experience to inform the level of the recorded reserve. We calculate and record a single best reserve estimate, in conformance with generally accepted actuarial standards and practices, for each line of insurance, its components (coverages and perils) and state, for reported losses and for IBNR losses, and as a result we believe that no other estimate is better than our recorded amount. Due to the uncertainties involved, the ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates.
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Application of Critical Accounting Estimates 2022 Form 10-K
Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates
Characteristics of Run-off exposure Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims arise principally from assumed reinsurance coverage written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s, including reinsurance on primary insurance written on large U.S. companies, and from direct excess commercial insurance written from 1972 through 1985, including substantial excess general liability coverages on large U.S. companies. Additional exposure stems from direct primary commercial insurance written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Asbestos claims relate primarily to bodily injuries asserted by claimants who were exposed to asbestos or products containing asbestos. Environmental claims relate primarily to pollution and related clean-up costs. Other run-off claims exposures primarily relate to general liability and product liability mass tort claims, such as those for medical devices and other products, workers’ compensation claims and claims for various other coverage exposures other than asbestos and environmental.
In 1986, the general liability policy form used by us and others in the property and casualty industry was amended to introduce an “absolute pollution exclusion,” which excluded coverage for environmental damage claims, and to add an asbestos exclusion. Most general liability policies issued prior to 1987 contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage. General liability policies issued in 1987 and thereafter contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage and annual aggregate limits for all coverages. Our experience to date is that these policy form changes have limited the extent of our exposure to environmental and asbestos claim risks.
Our exposure to liability for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims losses manifests differently depending on whether it arises from assumed reinsurance coverage, direct excess commercial insurance or direct primary commercial insurance.
Direct excess commercial insurance and reinsurance involve coverage written by us for specific layers of protection above retentions and other insurance plans and largely has resulted in asbestos, environmental and mass tort claims. The nature of excess coverage and reinsurance provided to other insurers limits our exposure to loss to specific layers of protection in excess of policyholder retention on their primary insurance plans. Our exposure is further limited by the significant reinsurance that we had purchased on our direct excess business.
Our assumed reinsurance business involved writing generally small participations in other insurers’ reinsurance programs. The reinsured losses in which we participate may be a proportion of all eligible losses or eligible losses in excess of defined retentions. Of the majority of our assumed reinsurance exposure, approximately 85%, is for excess of loss coverage, while the remaining 15% is for pro-rata coverage.
Our direct primary commercial insurance business comprises a cross section of policyholders engaged in
many diverse business sectors throughout the country and did not include coverage to large asbestos manufacturers.
How reserve estimates are established and updated We conduct an annual review in the third quarter to evaluate, establish and adjust as necessary, asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims reserves. Changes to reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines asbestos reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (i.e. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, and determines environmental reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (i.e. environmental damages, respective shares of liability of potentially responsible parties, appropriateness and cost of remediation) to pollution and related clean-up costs. The number and cost of these claims are affected by advertising by trial lawyers seeking asbestos plaintiffs, and entities with asbestos exposure seeking bankruptcy protection as a result of asbestos liabilities, initially causing a delay in the reporting of claims, often followed by an acceleration and an increase in claims and claims expenses as settlements occur.
After evaluating our insureds’ probable liabilities for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims, we evaluate our insureds’ coverage programs for such claims. We consider our insureds’ total available insurance coverage, including the coverage we issued. We also consider relevant judicial interpretations of policy language and applicable coverage defenses or determinations, if any.
Evaluation of both the insureds’ estimated liabilities and our exposure to the insureds depends heavily on an analysis of the relevant legal issues and litigation environment. This analysis is conducted by our specialized claims adjusting staff and legal counsel. Based on these evaluations, case reserves are established by claims adjusting staff and actuarial analysis is employed to develop an IBNR reserve, which includes estimated potential reserve development and claims that have occurred but have not been reported. As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, IBNR was 55.9% and 54.8%, respectively, of combined net asbestos and environmental reserves.
For both asbestos and environmental reserves, we also evaluate our historical direct net loss and expense paid and incurred experience to assess any emerging trends, fluctuations or characteristics suggested by the aggregate paid and incurred activity. Other run-off claims reserves are based on considerations similar to those described above, as they relate to the characteristics of specific individual coverage exposures.
Potential reserve estimate variability Establishing Run-off Property-Liability net loss reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims is
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2022 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
subject to uncertainties that are much greater than those presented by other types of property and casualty claims. Among the complications are lack of historical data, long reporting delays, uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds with potential exposure and unresolved legal issues regarding policy coverage; unresolved legal issues regarding the determination, availability and timing of exhaustion of policy limits; plaintiffs’ evolving and expanding theories of liability; availability and collectability of recoveries from reinsurance; retrospectively determined premiums and other contractual agreements; estimates of the extent and timing of any contractual liability; the impact of bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos producers and other asbestos defendants; and other uncertainties. There are also complex legal issues concerning the interpretation of various insurance policy provisions and whether those losses are covered, or were ever intended to be covered, and could be recoverable through retrospectively determined premium, reinsurance or other contractual agreements. Courts have reached different and sometimes inconsistent conclusions as to when losses are deemed to have occurred and which policies provide coverage; what types of losses are covered; whether there is an insurer obligation to defend; how policy limits are determined; how policy exclusions and conditions are applied and interpreted; and whether clean-up costs represent insured property damage. Our reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off exposures could be affected by tort reform, class action litigation, and other potential legislation and judicial decisions. Environmental exposures could also be affected by a change in the existing federal Superfund law and similar state statutes. There can be no assurance that any reform legislation will be enacted or that any such legislation will provide for a fair, effective and cost-efficient system for settlement of asbestos or environmental claims. We believe these issues are not likely to be resolved in the near future, and the ultimate costs may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded resulting in material changes in loss reserves. Historical variability of reserve estimates is demonstrated in the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Adequacy of reserve estimates Management believes its net loss reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, laws, regulations, and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (i.e. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. Due to the uncertainties and factors described above, management believes it is not practicable to develop a meaningful range for any such additional net loss reserves that may be required.
Further discussion of reserve estimates For further discussion of these estimates and quantification of the impact of reserve estimates, reserve reestimates and assumptions, see Note 9 and Note 15 of the
consolidated financial statements and the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions Our defined benefit pension plans cover most full-time employees, certain part-time employees and employee-agents. Benefits are provided to plan participants based on a cash balance formula. Certain participants also have a significant portion of their benefits attributable to a former final average pay formula. 80% of the projected benefit obligation (“PBO”) of our primary qualified employee plan is related to the former final average pay formula. See Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements for a discussion of these plans and their effect on the consolidated financial statements.
Our pension and other postretirement benefit costs are calculated using various actuarial assumptions and methodologies. These assumptions include discount rates, health care cost trend rates, inflation, expected returns on plan assets, mortality and other factors. The assumptions utilized in recording the obligations under our pension plans represent our best estimates and we believe they are reasonable based on information as to historical experience and performance as well as other factors that might cause future expectations to differ from past trends.
Net costs for our defined benefit plans are recognized on the Consolidated Statements of Operations and consist of two elements: 1) costs comprised of service and interest costs, expected return of plan assets, amortization of prior service credit and curtailment gains and losses which are reported in property and casualty claims and claims expense, operating costs and expenses, net investment income and, if applicable, restructuring and related charges and 2) remeasurement gains and losses comprised of changes in actuarial assumptions and the difference between actual and expected returns on plan assets which are recognized immediately in earnings as part of pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses.
We recognize expected returns on plan assets using an unadjusted fair value method. Our policy is to remeasure our pension and postretirement plans on a quarterly basis. We immediately recognize remeasurement of projected benefit obligation and plan assets in earnings as it provides greater transparency of our economic obligations in accounting results and better aligns the recognition of the effects of economic and interest rate changes on pension and other postretirement plan assets and liabilities in the year in which the gains and losses are incurred.
Differences in actual experience and changes in other assumptions affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and expenses. Differences between expected and actual returns on plan assets affect remeasurement gains and losses. The primary factors contributing to pension and postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are: 1) changes in the discount rate used to value pension and
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Application of Critical Accounting Estimates 2022 Form 10-K
postretirement obligations as of the measurement date; 2) differences between the expected and the actual return on plan assets; 3) changes in demographic assumptions, including mortality and participant experience; and 4) changes in lump sum interest rates used to value pension obligations as of the measurement date.
Pension and other postretirement service cost, interest cost, expected return on plan assets and amortization of prior service credits are allocated to our reportable segments. The pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are reported in the Corporate and Other segment.
| Pension and postretirement benefits remeasurement gains and losses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of projected benefit obligation (gains) losses: | |||||||||||
| Discount rate | $ | (1,268) | $ | (285) | $ | 553 | |||||
| Other assumptions | (176) | (40) | 282 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of plan assets (gains) losses | 1,560 | (319) | (886) | ||||||||
| Remeasurement (gains) losses | $ | 116 | $ | (644) | $ | (51) |
Impact of assumption changes to net cost for pension and other postretirement plans Remeasurement losses in 2022 primarily related to unfavorable asset performance compared to the expected return on plan assets, partially offset by a reduction in the projected benefit obligation due to an increase in the liability discount rate and changes in other assumptions, primarily related to an increase in the long-term lump sum interest rate. Remeasurement gains in 2021 primarily related to favorable asset performance compared to the expected return on plan assets and an increase in the liability discount rate.
The discount rate is based on rates at which expected pension benefits attributable to past employee service could effectively be settled on a present value basis at the measurement date. We develop the assumed discount rate by utilizing the weighted average yield of a theoretical dedicated portfolio derived from non-callable bonds and callable bonds with a make-whole provision available in the Bloomberg corporate bond universe having ratings of at least “AA” by S&P or at least “Aa” by Moody’s on the measurement date with cash flows that match expected plan benefit requirements. Significant changes in discount rates, such as those caused by changes in the credit spreads, yield curve, the mix of bonds available in the market, the duration of selected bonds and expected benefit payments, may result in volatility in pension cost. Due to increased corporate bond yields in 2022, the weighted average discount rate used to measure the benefit obligation increased to 5.64% in 2022 compared to 2.93% in 2021, resulting in remeasurement gains for 2022.
The expected long-term rate of return on plan assets reflects the average rate of earnings expected on plan assets. While this rate reflects long-term assumptions and is consistent with long-term historical returns, sustained changes in the market or changes in the mix of plan assets may lead to revisions in the assumed long-term rate of return on plan assets that may result in variability of pension cost. Differences between the actual return on plan assets and the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets are immediately recognized through earnings upon remeasurement. Short-term asset performance can differ significantly from the expected rate of return, especially in volatile markets. In 2022, the actual return on plan assets was lower than the expected return primarily due to higher interest rates, widening credit spreads and weak equity market performance. In 2021, the actual return on plan assets was higher than the expected return primarily due to strong equity market performance.
We complete periodic evaluations of demographic information and historical experience that affects our pension and other postretirement obligations to identify any required changes to long-term actuarial assumptions and methodologies. Demographic assumptions affect both our pension and postretirement plans and include elements such as retirement rates and participation rates in our postretirement programs, among other factors.
These actuarial assumption updates affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and are incorporated into our best estimates of these assumptions. Remeasurement gains for other assumptions in 2022 primarily related to an increase in the long-term lump sum interest rate.
| Impact of assumption changes to net periodic pension cost as of December 31, 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | Basis/percentage point change | Increase (decrease) to net cost, pre-tax | |||
| Pension plans discount rate | +100 basis points | $ | (404) | ||
| -100 basis points | 485 | ||||
| Expected long-term rate of return on assets | +100 basis points | (42) | |||
| -100 basis points | 42 |
The Allstate Corporation 95
2022 Form 10-K
Regulation and Legal Proceedings
We are subject to extensive regulation and we are involved in various legal and regulatory actions, all of which have an effect on specific aspects of our business. For a detailed discussion of the legal and regulatory actions in which we are involved, see Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements.
Pending Accounting Standard
There is a pending accounting standard that we have not implemented because the implementation date has not yet occurred. For a discussion of this pending standard, see Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements.
The effect of implementing certain accounting standards on our financial results and financial condition is often based in part on market conditions at the time of implementation of the standard and other factors we are unable to determine prior to implementation. For this reason, we are sometimes unable to estimate the effect of certain pending accounting standards until the relevant authoritative body finalizes these standards or until we implement them.
FY 2021 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000899051-22-000015.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Page | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2021 Highlights | 33 | |
| Property-Liability Operations | 38 | |
| Allstate Protection | 40 | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 48 | |
| Protection Services | 51 | |
| Claims and Claims Expense Reserves | 53 | |
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 60 | |
| Investments | 63 | |
| Market Risk | 72 | |
| Capital Resources and Liquidity | 75 | |
| Enterprise Risk and Return Management | 80 | |
| Application of Critical Accounting Estimates | 83 | |
| Regulation and Legal Proceedings | 94 | |
| Pending Accounting Standards | 94 |
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2021 Form 10-K
2021 Highlights
Overview
The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate Corporation (referred to in this document as “we,” “our,” “us,” the “Company” or “Allstate”). It should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and related notes found under Item 8. contained herein.
A discussion of strategy, including updates to the multi-year Transformative Growth initiative, can be found in Part 1, Item 1. Business.
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2021 and 2020 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2021 and 2020. Discussions of 2019 results and year-to-year comparisons between 2020 and 2019 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) in Part II, Item 7 of our annual report on Form 10-K for 2020, filed February 19, 2021.
The most important factors we monitor to evaluate the financial condition and performance for our reportable segments and the Company include:
•Allstate Protection: premium, policies in force (“PIF”), new business sales, policy retention, price changes, claim frequency and severity, catastrophes, loss ratio, expenses, underwriting results, and relative competitive position.
•Protection Services: revenues, premium written, PIF and adjusted net income.
•Allstate Health and Benefits: premiums, new business sales, PIF, benefit ratio, expenses and adjusted net income.
•Investments: exposure to market risk, asset allocation, credit quality/experience, total return, net investment income, cash flows, net gains and losses on investments and derivative instruments, unrealized capital gains and losses, long-term returns, and asset and liability duration.
•Financial condition: liquidity, parent holding company deployable assets, financial strength ratings, operating leverage, debt levels, book value per share and return on equity.
Measuring segment profit or loss
The measure of segment profit or loss used in evaluating performance is underwriting income for the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments and adjusted net income for the Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits, and Corporate and Other segments.
Underwriting income is calculated as premiums earned and other revenue, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), Shelter-in-Place Payback expense, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”), operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, and restructuring and related charges, as determined using accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”). We use this measure in our evaluation of results of operations to analyze profitability.
Adjusted net income is net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders, excluding:
| • | Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which are reported with net gains and losses on investments and derivatives but included in adjusted net income |
|---|---|
| • | Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses |
| • | Business combination expenses and the amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles |
| • | Income or loss from discontinued operations |
| • | Adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years |
| • | Income tax expense or benefit on reconciling items |
The Allstate Corporation 33
2021 Form 10-K
Acquisitions and Dispositions
Acquisitions On January 4, 2021, we completed the acquisition of National General Holdings Corp. (“National General”), significantly enhancing our strategic position in the independent agency channel. The transaction increased our market share in personal property-liability by over one percentage point and enhanced our independent agent-facing technology.
On June 1, 2021, we announced an agreement to acquire Safe Auto Insurance Group, Inc. (“SafeAuto”), a non-standard auto insurance carrier. On October 1, 2021, we completed the acquisition for $262 million in cash.
Discontinued operations and held for sale During the first quarter of 2021, we announced the pending sales of Allstate Life Insurance Company (“ALIC”), Allstate Life Insurance Company of New York (“ALNY”) and certain affiliates. On October 1, 2021, we closed the sale of ALNY to Wilton Reassurance Company for $400 million. On November 1, 2021, we closed the sale of ALIC and certain affiliates to entities managed by Blackstone for total proceeds of $4 billion, including a pre-close dividend of $1.25 billion paid by ALIC.
In 2021, the loss on disposition was $4.09 billion, after-tax, and reflects purchase price adjustments associated with certain pre-close transactions specified in the stock purchase agreements, changes in statutory capital and surplus prior to the closing dates and the closing date equity of the sold entities determined under GAAP, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (“AOCI”) derecognized related to the dispositions.
Beginning in the first quarter of 2021, the assets and liabilities of the business were reclassified as held for sale and results are presented as discontinued operations. This change was applied on a retrospective basis.
See Note 3 of the consolidated financial statements for further information on acquisitions and dispositions.
The Novel Coronavirus Pandemic or COVID-19 (“Coronavirus”)
The Coronavirus resulted in governments worldwide enacting emergency measures to combat the spread of the virus, including travel restrictions, government-imposed shelter-in-place orders, quarantine periods, social distancing, and restrictions on large gatherings. These measures moderated in 2021 as vaccines have become more widely available in the United States and Canada. There is no way of predicting with certainty how long the pandemic might last. We continue to closely monitor and proactively adapt to developments and changing conditions. Currently, it is not possible to reliably estimate the impact to our operations, but the effects have been and could be material.
Certain growth and profitability comparisons to the prior year were impacted, in part, by the effects the Coronavirus had on our prior year results. Beginning in March 2020, when shelter-in-place orders and other restrictions were initiated, and throughout 2020, we experienced lower accident claim frequency and different claim patterns than historically experienced. Claim frequency increased in 2021, but remains below pre-pandemic levels.
The Coronavirus has affected our operations and may continue to significantly affect our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. The impact from the pandemic should be considered when comparing the current year to the prior year, including:
•Sales of new and retention of existing policies
•Premium for transportation network products
•Driving behavior and auto accident frequency
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages impacts on the cost of settling claims
•Hospital and outpatient claim costs
•Investment valuations and returns
•Bad debt and credit allowance exposure
•Consumer utilization of Milewise®, our pay-per-mile insurance product
•Retail sales in Allstate Protection Plans
A pandemic such as the Coronavirus and its impacts are disclosed in Part 1 “Item 1A. Risk Factors’’, including the risk factors titled “A large-scale pandemic, the occurrence of terrorism, military actions, social unrest or other actions may have an adverse effect on our business” and “Conditions in the global economy and capital markets could adversely affect our business and results of operations”.
This list is not inclusive of all potential impacts and should not be treated as such. Within the MD&A we have included further disclosures related to the impacts of the Coronavirus on our 2021 results.
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2021 Form 10-K
| Allstate Delivered on 2021 Operating Priorities (1) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Better Serve Customers | Allstate made substantial progress in advancing Transformative Growth initiatives in 2021, which includes improving the competitive price position in auto insurance through continued cost reductions. | |
| Enterprise Net Promoter Score, which measures how likely customers are to recommend us, finished slightly below the prior year. | ||
| Grow Customer Base | Consolidated policies in force reached 190.9 million, a 9.8% increase from prior year. Property-Liability policies in force increased by 13.7% compared to the prior year driven by expanded customer access from the acquisition of National General and Allstate brand growth. | |
| Protection Services policies in force grew to 148.4 million, an 8.9% increase to the prior year, driven by continued expansion in Allstate Protection Plans. | ||
| Achieve Target Returns on Capital | Return on average common shareholders’ equity was 5.8% in 2021, primarily driven by the loss on the dispositions of ALIC, ALNY and certain affiliates, partially offset by increased net investment income from strong performance-based results. | |
| The Property-Liability combined ratio of 95.9 for the full year increased compared to the prior year primarily driven by higher auto losses. Allstate responded quickly to address the impact of higher severity through rate increases, continued commitment to cost reductions and claims loss cost management. | ||
| Proactively Manage Investments | Net investment income of $3.3 billion in 2021 exceeded prior year by $1.7 billion due to strong performance-based results. | |
| Total return on the $64.7 billion investment portfolio was 4.4% in 2021 reflecting higher performance-based income and equity returns, partially offset by fixed income valuation declines. | ||
| Build Long-Term Growth Platforms | Allstate’s personal property-liability market share increased by approximately one percentage point primarily through the acquisition of National General, which, consistent with our Transformative Growth objectives, expanded customer access and our strategic positioning in the independent agent channel. | |
| Allstate closed on the sale of lower growth and return life and annuity businesses. Protection Services increased its customer base and total addressable market through an expanded network of products and partners. |
(1)2022 operating priorities will remain consistent with the 2021 priorities.
| Consolidated Net Income |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Consolidated net income applicable to common shareholders decreased 72.8% or $3.98 billion to $1.49 billion in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to a loss from discontinued operations and higher non-catastrophe losses. Partially offsetting were higher property and casualty insurance premiums, net investment income, and pension and other postretirement gains.For the twelve months ended December 31, 2021, return on common shareholders’ equity was 5.8% compared to 21.0% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2020.
| Total Revenue |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Total revenue increased 20.7% to $50.59 billion in 2021 compared to 2020, driven by a 13.9% increase in property and casualty insurance premiums earned and higher net investment income.Insurance premiums increased in both Property-Liability, primarily due to the acquisition of National General, and Protection Services (Allstate Protection Plans, Allstate Dealer Services and Allstate Roadside).
| Net Investment Income |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
Net investment income increased 107.1% to $3.29 billion in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to increases in performance-based income results, mainly from limited partnerships.
The Allstate Corporation 35
2021 Form 10-K
Summarized financial results
| Years Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Property and casualty insurance premiums | $ | 42,218 | $ | 37,073 | $ | 36,076 | |||||
| Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges | 1,821 | 1,094 | 1,145 | ||||||||
| Other revenue | 2,172 | 1,065 | 1,054 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 3,293 | 1,590 | 1,728 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives | 1,084 | 1,087 | 1,538 | ||||||||
| Total revenues | 50,588 | 41,909 | 41,541 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | (29,318) | (22,001) | (23,976) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | (29) | (948) | — | ||||||||
| Accident and health insurance policy benefits | (1,015) | (516) | (601) | ||||||||
| Interest credited to contractholder funds | (34) | (33) | (34) | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | (6,252) | (5,477) | (5,353) | ||||||||
| Operating, restructuring and interest expenses | (7,760) | (6,065) | (5,788) | ||||||||
| Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains (losses) | 644 | 51 | (114) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (376) | (118) | (126) | ||||||||
| Impairment of purchased intangibles | — | — | (106) | ||||||||
| Total costs and expenses | (44,140) | (35,107) | (36,098) | ||||||||
| Income from operations before income tax expense | 6,448 | 6,802 | 5,443 | ||||||||
| Income tax expense | (1,289) | (1,373) | (1,116) | ||||||||
| Net income from continuing operations | 5,159 | 5,429 | 4,327 | ||||||||
| (Loss) income from discontinued operations, net of tax | (3,593) | 147 | 520 | ||||||||
| Net income | 1,566 | 5,576 | 4,847 | ||||||||
| Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | (33) | — | — | ||||||||
| Net income attributable to Allstate | 1,599 | 5,576 | 4,847 | ||||||||
| Preferred stock dividends | (114) | (115) | (169) | ||||||||
| Net income applicable to common shareholders | $ | 1,485 | $ | 5,461 | $ | 4,678 |
Segment Highlights
Allstate Protection underwriting income totaled $1.79 billion in 2021, a 60.9% decrease from $4.57 billion in 2020, primarily due to higher auto and homeowners non-catastrophe and catastrophe losses and increased underwriting expenses, partially offset by increased premiums earned in Allstate brand and lower Shelter-in-Place Payback expense.
Catastrophe losses were $3.34 billion in 2021 compared $2.81 billion in 2020.
Premiums written increased 15.6% to $41.36 billion in 2021 compared to 2020, reflecting the acquisition of National General and higher Allstate brand homeowners premiums.
Protection Services adjusted net income was $179 million in 2021 compared to $153 million in 2020. The improvement in 2021 was primarily due to growth of Allstate Protection Plans, lower claims costs at Allstate Dealer Services, growth and lower levels of investment at both Arity and Allstate Identity Protection, partially offset by higher severity and rescue volumes in Allstate Roadside.
Premiums and other revenues increased 24.5% or $417 million to $2.12 billion in 2021 from $1.70 billion in 2020 primarily due to Allstate Protection Plan’s growth through its U.S. retail and international channels and the addition of LeadCloud and Transparent.ly, which were acquired as part of the National General acquisition.
Allstate Health and Benefits adjusted net income was $208 million in 2021 compared to $96 million in 2020. The increase was primarily due to the acquisition of National General’s group health and individual health business, which resulted in higher premiums and contract charges, partially offset by higher policy benefits and operating costs and expenses.
Premiums and contract charges totaled $1.82 billion in 2021, an increase of 66.5% from $1.09 billion in 2020.
36 www.allstate.com
2021 Form 10-K
Financial Highlights
Investments totaled $64.70 billion as of December 31, 2021, increasing from $59.54 billion as of December 31, 2020.
Shareholders’ equity As of December 31, 2021, shareholders’ equity was $25.18 billion.
Book value per diluted common share (ratio of common shareholders’ equity to total common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares outstanding) was $81.52 as of December 31, 2021, a decrease of 10.9% from $91.50 as of December 31, 2020.
Return on average common shareholders’ equity For the twelve months ended December 31, 2021, return on common shareholders’ equity was 5.8%, a decrease of 15.2 points from 21.0% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to lower net income applicable to common shareholders.
Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses We recorded pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains of $644 million in 2021, primarily related to favorable asset performance compared to the expected return on plan assets and an increase in the liability discount rate. See Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements and Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A for further information.
The Allstate Corporation 37
2021 Form 10-K Property-Liability
Property-Liability Operations
Overview Property-Liability operations consist of two reportable segments: Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability. These segments are consistent with the groupings of financial information that management uses to evaluate performance and to determine the allocation of resources.
We do not allocate Property-Liability investment income, net gains and losses on investments and derivatives, or assets to the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability segments. Management reviews assets at the Property-Liability level for decision-making purposes.
GAAP operating ratios are used to measure our profitability to enhance an investor’s understanding of our financial results and are calculated as follows:
•Loss ratio: the ratio of claims and claims expense (loss adjustment expenses), to premiums earned. Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.
•Expense ratio: the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses, amortization or impairment of purchased intangibles, restructuring and related charges and Shelter-in-Place Payback expense, less other revenue to premiums earned.
•Combined ratio: the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
We have also calculated the following impacts of specific items on the GAAP operating ratios because of the volatility of these items between periods. The impacts are calculated by taking the specific items noted below divided by Property-Liability premiums earned:
•Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio: includes catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expense
•Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio
•Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio
•Effect of impairment of purchased intangibles on combined ratio
•Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio
•Effect of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense on combined and expense ratios
•Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio: includes claims and claims expense, restructuring and related charges and operating costs and expenses in the Run-off Property-Liability segment
Premium measures and statistics are used to analyze our premium trends and are calculated as follows:
•PIF: Policy counts are based on items rather than customers. A multi-car customer would generate multiple item (policy) counts, even if all cars were insured under one policy. Commercial lines PIF counts for shared economy agreements typically reflect contracts that cover multiple rather than individual drivers.
•New issued applications: Item counts of automobile or homeowner insurance applications for insurance policies that were issued during the period, regardless of whether the customer was previously insured by another Allstate brand.
•Average premium-gross written (“average premium”): Gross premiums written divided by issued item count. Gross premiums written include the impacts from discounts, surcharges and ceded reinsurance premiums and exclude the impacts from mid-term premium adjustments and premium refund accruals. Average premiums represent the appropriate policy term for each line.
•Renewal ratio: Renewal policy item counts issued during the period, based on contract effective dates, divided by the total policy item counts issued generally 6 months prior for auto or 12 months prior for homeowners.
Frequency and severity statistics, which are influenced by driving patterns, inflation and other factors, are provided to describe the trends in loss costs. Our reserving process incorporates changes in loss patterns, operational statistics and changes in claims reporting processes to determine our best estimate of recorded reserves. We use the following statistics to evaluate losses:
•Gross claim frequency is calculated as annualized notice counts, excluding counts associated with catastrophe events, received in the period divided by the average of PIF with the applicable coverage during the period. Gross claim frequency includes all actual notice counts, regardless of their current status (open or closed) or their ultimate disposition (closed with a payment or closed without payment).
•Paid claim severity is calculated by dividing the sum of paid losses and loss expenses by claims closed with a payment during the period.
•Percent change in frequency or severity statistics is calculated as the amount of increase or decrease in gross claim frequency or paid claim severity in the current period compared to the same period in the prior year divided by the prior year gross claim frequency or paid claim severity.
38 www.allstate.com
Property-Liability 2021 Form 10-K
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 41,358 | $ | 35,768 | $ | 35,419 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 | $ | 34,843 | |||||
| Other revenue | 1,437 | 857 | 866 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (28,876) | (21,626) | (23,622) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | (29) | (948) | — | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (5,313) | (4,642) | (4,649) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (5,622) | (4,549) | (4,532) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges (1) | (145) | (235) | (38) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (241) | (12) | (4) | ||||||||
| Impairment of purchased intangibles | — | — | (51) | ||||||||
| Underwriting income | $ | 1,665 | $ | 4,425 | $ | 2,813 | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | |||||||||||
| Catastrophe losses, excluding reserve reestimates | $ | 3,541 | $ | 3,314 | $ | 2,509 | |||||
| Catastrophe reserve reestimates (2) | (202) | (503) | 48 | ||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses | $ | 3,339 | $ | 2,811 | $ | 2,557 | |||||
| Non-catastrophe reserve reestimates (2) | 326 | 68 | (176) | ||||||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates (2) | 124 | (435) | (128) | ||||||||
| GAAP operating ratios | |||||||||||
| Loss ratio | 71.4 | 60.8 | 67.8 | ||||||||
| Expense ratio (3) | 24.5 | 26.8 | 24.1 | ||||||||
| Combined ratio | 95.9 | 87.6 | 91.9 | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio | 8.3 | 7.9 | 7.3 | ||||||||
| Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | 0.3 | (1.2) | (0.4) | ||||||||
| Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio | (0.5) | (1.4) | 0.1 | ||||||||
| Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio (1) | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | ||||||||
| Effect of amortization of purchased intangibles on combined ratio | 0.6 | 0.1 | — | ||||||||
| Effect of impairment of purchased intangibles on combined ratio | — | — | 0.2 | ||||||||
| Effect of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense on combined and expense ratios | 0.1 | 2.7 | — | ||||||||
| Effect of Run-off Property-Liability business on combined ratio | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
(1)Restructuring and related charges in 2021 primarily related to reductions in real estate. See Note 14 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details.
(2)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(3)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
The Allstate Corporation 39
2021 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Allstate Protection Segment
Private passenger auto, homeowners, and other personal lines insurance products are offered to consumers through both exclusive and independent agents and directly through contact centers and online. The Encompass brand was combined into National General beginning in the first quarter of 2021, and results prior to 2021 reflect Encompass brand results only. Our strategy is to offer products in an open access, digital first model that allows customers to interact with us when, where and how they want with affordable, simple and connected protection products. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 41,358 | $ | 35,768 | $ | 35,419 | |||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 | $ | 34,843 | |||||
| Other revenue | 1,437 | 857 | 866 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (28,760) | (21,485) | (23,517) | ||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | (29) | (948) | — | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (5,313) | (4,642) | (4,649) | ||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | (5,618) | (4,546) | (4,529) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (145) | (235) | (38) | ||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | (241) | (12) | (4) | ||||||||
| Impairment of purchased intangibles | — | — | (51) | ||||||||
| Underwriting income | $ | 1,785 | $ | 4,569 | $ | 2,921 | |||||
| Catastrophe losses | $ | 3,339 | $ | 2,811 | $ | 2,557 |
| Change in underwriting results from 2020 to 2021 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
| Change in underwriting results from 2019 to 2020 |
|---|
| ($ in millions) |
40 www.allstate.com
Allstate Protection 2021 Form 10-K
| Underwriting income (loss) by brand and by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto (1) | $ | 1,208 | $ | 3,404 | $ | 1,680 | $ | 54 | $ | 40 | $ | 8 | $ | 1,262 | $ | 3,444 | $ | 1,688 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners (2) | 411 | 798 | 912 | (92) | 26 | 2 | 319 | 824 | 914 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines (3) | 216 | 255 | 227 | 17 | 9 | (3) | 233 | 264 | 224 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | (158) | (36) | 14 | — | — | — | (158) | (36) | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other business lines (4) | 115 | 70 | 84 | — | — | — | 115 | 70 | 84 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Answer Financial | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 3 | (3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,792 | $ | 4,491 | $ | 2,917 | $ | (21) | $ | 75 | $ | 7 | $ | 1,785 | $ | 4,569 | $ | 2,921 |
(1)2021 results include National General commercial lines insurance products.
(2)2021 results include National General packaged policies, which include auto and other personal lines insurance products.
(3)Other personal lines include renters, condominium, landlord and other personal lines products.
(4)Other business lines primarily represents revenue and direct operating expenses of Ivantage and distribution of non-proprietary life and annuity products. Ivantage, a general agency for Allstate exclusive agents, provides agents a solution for their customers when coverage through Allstate brand underwritten products is not available.
Underwriting income decreased 60.9% or $2.78 billion in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to higher auto and homeowners non-catastrophe and catastrophe losses and increased underwriting expenses, partially offset by increased premiums earned in Allstate brand and lower Shelter-in-Place Payback expense.
Premium measures and statistics include PIF, new issued applications, average premiums and renewal ratio to analyze our premium trends. Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums are considered earned and are included in the financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired term of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.
| Premiums written by brand and line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 24,102 | $ | 24,103 | $ | 23,922 | $ | 3,763 | $ | 508 | $ | 540 | $ | 27,865 | $ | 24,611 | $ | 24,462 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 8,717 | 8,012 | 7,764 | 1,772 | 388 | 401 | 10,489 | 8,400 | 8,165 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 2,001 | 1,889 | 1,811 | 155 | 76 | 79 | 2,156 | 1,965 | 1,890 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 848 | 792 | 902 | — | — | — | 848 | 792 | 902 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 35,668 | $ | 34,796 | $ | 34,399 | $ | 5,690 | $ | 972 | $ | 1,020 | $ | 41,358 | $ | 35,768 | $ | 35,419 |
| Premiums earned by brand and line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Brand | National General | Allstate Protection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 24,088 | $ | 24,115 | $ | 23,649 | $ | 3,535 | $ | 525 | $ | 539 | $ | 27,623 | $ | 24,640 | $ | 24,188 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 8,272 | 7,858 | 7,513 | 1,655 | 396 | 399 | 9,927 | 8,254 | 7,912 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 1,925 | 1,841 | 1,781 | 152 | 78 | 80 | 2,077 | 1,919 | 1,861 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 827 | 767 | 882 | — | — | — | 827 | 767 | 882 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 35,112 | $ | 34,581 | $ | 33,825 | $ | 5,342 | $ | 999 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 | $ | 34,843 |
| Reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Total premiums written | $ | 41,358 | $ | 35,768 | $ | 35,419 | |||||
| Increase in unearned premiums | (1,143) | (205) | (614) | ||||||||
| Other | 239 | 17 | 38 | ||||||||
| Total premiums earned | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 | $ | 34,843 |
The Allstate Corporation 41
2021 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
| Unearned premium balance by line of business | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | As of December 31, | ||||||
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
| Allstate brand: | |||||||
| Auto | $ | 6,426 | $ | 6,409 | |||
| Homeowners | 4,825 | 4,379 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 1,078 | 1,001 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 315 | 295 | |||||
| Total Allstate brand | 12,644 | 12,084 | |||||
| National General: | |||||||
| Auto | 1,764 | 258 | |||||
| Homeowners | 451 | 207 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 306 | 39 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 177 | — | |||||
| Total National General | 2,698 | 504 | |||||
| Allstate Protection unearned premiums | 15,342 | 12,588 |
| Policies in force by brand and by line of business | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allstate brand | National General | Allstate Protection | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| PIF (thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 21,972 | 21,809 | 21,913 | 3,944 | 451 | 493 | 25,916 | 22,260 | 22,406 | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 6,525 | 6,427 | 6,359 | 634 | 216 | 234 | 7,159 | 6,643 | 6,593 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 4,578 | 4,459 | 4,390 | 288 | 71 | 76 | 4,866 | 4,530 | 4,466 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 210 | 216 | 227 | 105 | — | — | 315 | 216 | 227 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | 33,285 | 32,911 | 32,889 | 4,971 | 738 | 803 | 38,256 | 33,649 | 33,692 |
Auto insurance premiums written increased 13.2% or $3.25 billion in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the following factors:
•Acquisition of National General
•Increased new issued applications in the Allstate brand driven by increased advertising and higher close rates
•Decreased Allstate brand average premium driven by rate decreases taken late in 2020 and the first half of 2021 partially offset by rate increases in the second half of 2021
•Rate increases are being implemented broadly to improve underwriting results given the higher inflationary trends adversely impacting loss costs; new rates become effective at the beginning of the
next policy term and are earned over the coverage period
•PIF increased 16.4% or 3,656 thousand to 25,916 thousand as of December 31, 2021 compared to December 31, 2020 due to increases in Allstate brand and the acquisition of National General
–PIF increased by 262 thousand as of December 31, 2021 compared to September 30, 2021, with increases in both National General and Allstate brand
| Auto premium measures and statistics | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 vs. 2020 | 2020 vs. 2019 | ||||||||||||||
| New issued applications (thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Agency channel | 2,531 | 2,621 | 2,697 | (3.4) | % | (2.8) | % | |||||||||||
| Direct channel | 1,085 | 846 | 838 | 28.3 | % | 1.0 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand | 3,616 | 3,467 | 3,535 | 4.3 | % | (1.9) | % | |||||||||||
| National General | 2,057 | 60 | 82 | NM | (26.8) | % | ||||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 5,673 | 3,527 | 3,617 | 60.8 | % | (2.5) | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 605 | $ | 617 | $ | 603 | (1.9) | % | 2.3 | % | ||||||||
| Allstate brand renewal ratio (%) | 87.0 | 87.5 | 88.0 | (0.5) | (0.5) |
42 www.allstate.com
Allstate Protection 2021 Form 10-K
Homeowners insurance premiums written increased 24.9% or $2.09 billion in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the following factors:
•Acquisition of National General
•Higher Allstate brand average premiums from approved rate increases and inflation adjustments to premium due to higher insured home valuations
•Increased new issued applications in the Allstate brand driven by higher quote volumes and improved close rates
| Homeowners premium measures and statistics | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 vs. 2020 | 2020 vs. 2019 | ||||||||||||||
| New issued applications (thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Agency channel | 879 | 837 | 821 | 5.0 | % | 1.9 | % | |||||||||||
| Direct channel | 83 | 62 | 56 | 33.9 | % | 10.7 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand | 962 | 899 | 877 | 7.0 | % | 2.5 | % | |||||||||||
| National General | 102 | 34 | 42 | NM | (19.0) | % | ||||||||||||
| Total new issued applications | 1,064 | 933 | 919 | 14.0 | % | 1.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Allstate brand average premium | $ | 1,426 | $ | 1,328 | $ | 1,291 | 7.4 | % | 2.9 | % | ||||||||
| Allstate brand renewal ratio (%) | 87.1 | 87.5 | 88.2 | (0.4) | (0.7) |
Other personal lines premiums written increased 9.7% or $191 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the acquisition of National General and increases in condominiums and personal umbrella premiums for Allstate brand.
Commercial lines premiums written increased 7.1% or $56 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the addition of a large transportation network
company, higher miles driven in our shared economy business as the impacts of the Coronavirus decrease and an increase in average premiums.
GAAP operating ratios include loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio to analyze our profitability trends. Frequency and severity statistics are used to describe the trends in loss costs.
| Combined ratios by line of business | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Expense ratio (1) | Combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 70.5 | 57.5 | 68.2 | 24.9 | 28.5 | 24.8 | 95.4 | 86.0 | 93.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | — | 0.1 | 3.8 | — | 0.1 | 3.8 | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 72.2 | 67.3 | 65.1 | 24.6 | 22.7 | 23.3 | 96.8 | 90.0 | 88.4 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 62.9 | 58.7 | 61.1 | 25.9 | 27.5 | 26.9 | 88.8 | 86.2 | 88.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 97.5 | 82.4 | 81.3 | 21.6 | 22.3 | 17.1 | 119.1 | 104.7 | 98.4 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | — | — | 0.5 | — | — | 0.5 | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | 71.1 | 60.4 | 67.5 | 24.5 | 26.8 | 24.1 | 95.6 | 87.2 | 91.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of restructuring and related charges (2) | — | — | — | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | — | — | — | 0.1 | 2.7 | — | 0.1 | 2.7 | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Impact of Allstate Special Payment plan bad debt expense | — | — | — | — | 0.2 | — | — | 0.2 | — |
(1)Other revenue is deducted from operating costs and expenses in the expense ratio calculation.
(2)Restructuring and related charges in 2021 primarily related to reductions in real estate.
| Loss ratios by line of business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss ratio | Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio | Effect of prior year reserve reestimates | Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Auto | 70.5 | 57.5 | 68.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | (0.4) | (1.4) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Homeowners | 72.2 | 67.3 | 65.1 | 26.3 | 27.9 | 24.8 | (1.5) | (5.3) | 0.8 | (1.7) | (5.1) | 0.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | 62.9 | 58.7 | 61.1 | 11.0 | 10.4 | 9.0 | (5.1) | (3.5) | 0.5 | (0.5) | (2.0) | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 97.5 | 82.4 | 81.3 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 14.4 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | (0.1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 71.1 | 60.4 | 67.5 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 7.3 | — | (1.6) | (0.7) | (0.5) | (1.4) | 0.1 |
(1)2020 includes approximately $495 million of favorable reserve reestimates related to the PG&E Corporation and Southern California Edison subrogation settlements.
The Allstate Corporation 43
2021 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
Auto loss ratio increased 13.0 points in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to:
•Higher gross claim frequency in all coverages, as miles driven continue to rebound toward pre-pandemic levels
•While frequency increased relative to the prior year, it remains below pre-pandemic levels
•Increased severity for all coverages, driven by inflationary pressures and increased attorney representation and medical service utilization for bodily injury claims
•Adverse prior year reserve reestimates
The impacts of the Coronavirus affect frequency and severity statistics including:
•Shelter-in-place and travel restrictions, which have moderated in 2021 as vaccines have become more widely available in the US and Canada
•Unemployment levels
•Changes in commuting activity
•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages
•Shifts in the frequency environment may impact the speed claims are settled
•Driving behavior (e.g., speed, time of day) impacting mix of claim types
•Value of total losses due to higher used car prices
•Labor and part cost increases
| Allstate brand frequency and paid claim severity statistics (excluding catastrophe losses) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (% change year-over-year) | |||||
| For the year ended December 31, 2021 | |||||
| Property damage gross claim frequency | 13.0 | % | |||
| Property damage paid claim severity | 8.8 |
Property damage gross claim frequency increased in 2021 compared to 2020 due to factors including:
•Increases in miles driven compared to 2020 which was impacted by shelter-in-place restrictions due to the Coronavirus
•Gross claim frequency decreased 19.8% in 2021 when compared to pre-pandemic levels of 2019 as auto miles driven, particularly during peak commuting hours, remains lower than pre-pandemic levels
Property damage paid claim severity increased in 2021 compared to 2020.
•When compared to pre-pandemic levels of 2019, property damage paid claim severity increased 19.6% in 2021
•The increases are due to rising inflationary factors impacting both repairable vehicles and total losses, including higher used car values, replacement part costs and labor rates, and higher costs to repair more sophisticated newer model vehicles
Collision severity increased in 2021 compared to 2020 due to inflationary pressures from higher used car values that increased total losses and also increased parts and labor costs associated with repairs.
Bodily injury severity increased in 2021 compared to 2020 due to higher consumption of medical treatment, increased percentage of claimants represented by attorneys and higher medical care inflation.
Homeowners loss ratio increased 4.9 points in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to increased non-catastrophe claim frequency and severity and lower favorable catastrophe reserve reestimates driven by subrogation settlements in 2020, partially offset by increased premiums earned.
| Allstate brand homeowners frequency and severity statistics (excluding catastrophe losses) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (% change year-over-year) | |||||
| For the year ended December 31, 2021 | |||||
| Gross claim frequency | 8.3 | % | |||
| Paid claim severity | 10.0 |
Gross claim frequency increased in 2021 compared to 2020 primarily due to increases in wind/hail, water and fire perils. Paid claim severity increased in 2021 compared to 2020 due to inflationary loss cost pressure driven by increases in labor and materials costs. Homeowner paid claim severity can be impacted by both the mix of perils and the magnitude of specific losses paid during the quarter.
Other personal lines loss ratio increased 4.2 points in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to higher non-catastrophe losses, partially offset by increased premiums earned.
Commercial lines loss ratio increased 15.1 points in 2021 compared to 2020 due to higher auto frequency and severity and higher unfavorable non-catastrophe prior year reserves reestimates, partially offset by increased premiums earned.
Catastrophe losses increased 18.8% or $528 million in 2021 compared to 2020. Catastrophe losses in 2021 included gross losses of $2.4 billion and net losses of $1.3 billion related to Hurricane Ida and Winter Storm Uri. Net losses include reinsurance recoveries of $1.3 billion and reinstatement premiums of $208 million.
We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, tsunamis, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes. We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as certain types of terrorism, wildfires or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
44 www.allstate.com
Allstate Protection 2021 Form 10-K
| Catastrophe losses by the type of event | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Number of events | 2021 | Number of events | 2020 | Number of events | 2019 | ||||||||||||||
| Hurricanes/Tropical storms | 6 | $ | 742 | 9 | $ | 1,001 | 3 | $ | 86 | |||||||||||
| Tornadoes | 3 | 107 | 3 | 43 | 6 | 551 | ||||||||||||||
| Wind/Hail | 85 | 1,878 | 73 | 1,940 | 91 | 1,721 | ||||||||||||||
| Wildfires | 5 | 269 | 17 | 300 | 4 | 28 | ||||||||||||||
| Other events | 2 | 611 | 3 | 30 | 6 | 123 | ||||||||||||||
| Prior year reserve reestimates | 35 | (503) | 48 | |||||||||||||||||
| Prior year aggregate reinsurance cover | (237) | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Current year aggregate reinsurance cover | (66) | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total catastrophe losses (1) | 101 | $ | 3,339 | 105 | $ | 2,811 | 110 | $ | 2,557 |
(1)Includes approximately $250 million of reinstatement premiums for the year ended December 31, 2021, related to the Nationwide Catastrophe Reinsurance Program, primarily due to Hurricane Ida.
Catastrophe management
Historical catastrophe experience For the last ten years, the average annual impact of catastrophes on our loss ratio was 7.7 points, but it has varied from 4.5 points to 10.3 points. The average annual impact of catastrophes on the homeowners loss ratio for the last ten years was 24.6 points. Over time, we have limited our aggregate insurance exposure to catastrophe losses in certain regions of the country that are subject to high levels of natural catastrophes by our participation in various state facilities. For further discussion of these facilities, see Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements. However, the impact of these actions may be diminished by the growth in insured values, and the effect of state insurance laws and regulations. In addition, in various states we are required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers. Because of our participation in these and other state facilities such as wind pools, we may be exposed to losses that surpass the capitalization of these facilities and to assessments from these facilities.
We have continued to take actions to maintain an appropriate level of exposure to catastrophic events while continuing to meet the needs of our customers, including the following:
•Continuing to limit or not offer new homeowners, manufactured home and landlord package policy business in certain coastal geographies.
•Increased capacity in our brokerage platform for customers not offered an Allstate policy.
•We began to write a limited number of homeowners policies in select areas of California in 2016, additionally we:
–Continue to renew current policyholders and allow replacement policies for existing customers who buy a new home or change their residence to rental property
–Have decreased our overall homeowner exposures in California by more than 50% since 2007
–Write homeowners coverage through our excess and surplus lines carrier, North Light Specialty Insurance Company (“North Light”), which includes earthquake coverage (other than fire following earthquakes) that is currently ceded via quota share reinsurance.
•In certain states, we have been ceding wind exposure related to insured property located in wind pool eligible areas.
•Starting in the second quarter of 2017, we began writing a limited number of homeowners policies in select areas of Florida and continue to support existing customers who replace their currently-insured home with an acceptable property. Encompass withdrew from property lines in Florida in 2009.
•Tropical cyclone deductibles are generally higher than all peril deductibles and are in place for a large portion of coastal insured properties.
•Auto comprehensive damage coverage generally includes coverage for flood-related loss. We have additional catastrophe exposure, beyond the property lines, for auto customers who have purchased comprehensive damage coverage.
•We offer a homeowners policy available in 43 states, Allstate House and Home®, that provides options of coverage for roof damage, including graduated coverage and pricing based on roof type and age. In 2021, premiums written totaled $4.56 billion or 46.0% of homeowners premiums written compared to $3.92 billion or 46.7% in 2020.
Hurricanes We consider the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to hurricanes generally to be major metropolitan centers in counties along the eastern and gulf coasts of the United States. The average premium on a property policy near these coasts is generally greater than in other areas. However, average premiums are often not considered commensurate with the inherent risk of loss. In addition, as explained in Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements, in various states Allstate is subject to assessments from assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting
The Allstate Corporation 45
2021 Form 10-K Allstate Protection
associations providing insurance for wind related property losses.
We have addressed our risk of hurricane loss by, among other actions, purchasing reinsurance for specific states and on a countrywide basis for our personal lines property insurance in areas most exposed to hurricanes, limiting personal homeowners, landlord package policy and manufactured home new business writings in coastal areas in southern and eastern states, implementing tropical cyclone deductibles where appropriate, and not offering continuing coverage on certain policies in coastal counties in certain states. We continue to seek appropriate returns for the risks we write. This may require further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not getting appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Earthquakes We do not offer earthquake coverage in most states. We retain approximately 40,000 PIF with earthquake coverage, with the largest number of policies located in Kentucky, due to regulatory and other reasons. We purchase reinsurance in Kentucky and enter into arrangements in many states to make earthquake coverage available through our brokerage platform.
We continue to have exposure to earthquake risk on certain policies that do not specifically exclude coverage for earthquake losses, including our auto policies, and to fires following earthquakes. Allstate homeowner policyholders in California are offered coverage for damage caused by an earthquake through the California Earthquake Authority (“CEA”), a privately-financed, publicly-managed state agency created to provide insurance coverage for earthquake damage. Allstate is subject to assessments from the CEA under certain circumstances as explained in Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements. While North Light writes property policies in California, which can include earthquake coverage, this coverage is 100% ceded via quota share reinsurance.
Fires following earthquakes Under a standard homeowners policy we cover fire losses, including those caused by an earthquake. Actions taken related to our risk of loss from fires following earthquakes include restrictive underwriting guidelines in California for new business writings, purchasing reinsurance for Kentucky personal lines property risks, and purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, excluding Florida.
Wildfires Actions taken related to managing our risk of loss from wildfires include purchasing nationwide occurrence reinsurance, new and renewal inspection programs to identify and remediate wildfire risk as well as leveraging contemporary underwriting tools in select areas. While these programs are designed to mitigate risk, the exposure to wildfires still exists. We continue to manage our exposure and seek appropriate returns for the risks we write.
To manage the exposure, we may implement further actions, similar to those already taken, in geographies where we are not achieving appropriate returns. However, we may maintain or opportunistically increase our presence in areas where adequate risk adjusted returns can be achieved.
Reinsurance The total cost of our property catastrophe reinsurance programs, excluding reinstatement premiums, during 2021 was $556 million compared to $425 million during 2020. Catastrophe placement premiums are a reduction of premium with approximately 74% related to homeowners. The increases were driven by higher Nationwide and Florida program costs due to program expansion for growth in policies, including National General exposures. In the third quarter of 2021, our catastrophe reinsurance program risk tolerance framework that targets less than a 1% likelihood of annual aggregate catastrophe losses from hurricanes, earthquakes and wildfires, excluding other catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, increased from $2 billion to $2.5 billion, reflecting the addition of wildfires to the target. A description of our current catastrophe reinsurance program appears in Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
46 www.allstate.com
Allstate Protection 2021 Form 10-K
Expense ratio decreased 2.3 points in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily related to lower Shelter-in-Place Payback expense, operating costs and expenses, restructuring and related charges, partially offset by increased advertising and amortization of purchased intangibles and DAC related to the acquisition of National General.
| Impact of specific costs and expenses on the expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2021 vs 2020 | 2020 vs 2019 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | $ | 5,313 | $ | 4,642 | $ | 4,649 | $ | 671 | $ | (7) | |||||||||
| Advertising expense | 1,249 | 941 | 851 | 308 | 90 | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 241 | 12 | 4 | 229 | 8 | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses, net of other revenue | 2,952 | 2,688 | 2,812 | 264 | (124) | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 145 | 235 | 38 | (90) | 197 | ||||||||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | 29 | 948 | — | (919) | 948 | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Special Payment plan bad debt expense | (20) | 60 | — | (80) | 60 | ||||||||||||||
| Impairment of purchased intangibles | — | — | 51 | — | (51) | ||||||||||||||
| Total underwriting expenses | $ | 9,909 | $ | 9,526 | $ | 8,405 | $ | 383 | $ | 1,121 | |||||||||
| Premiums earned | $ | 40,454 | $ | 35,580 | $ | 34,843 | $ | 4,874 | $ | 737 | |||||||||
| Expense ratio | |||||||||||||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | 13.1 | 13.0 | 13.4 | 0.1 | (0.4) | ||||||||||||||
| Advertising expense | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Other costs and expenses | 7.2 | 7.5 | 8.0 | (0.3) | (0.5) | ||||||||||||||
| Subtotal | 23.4 | 23.1 | 23.8 | 0.3 | (0.7) | ||||||||||||||
| Amortization of purchased intangibles | 0.6 | 0.1 | — | 0.5 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | (0.3) | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Shelter-in-Place Payback expense | 0.1 | 2.7 | — | (2.6) | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Special Payment plan bad debt expense | — | 0.2 | — | (0.2) | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Impairment of purchased intangibles | — | — | 0.2 | — | (0.2) | ||||||||||||||
| Total expense ratio | 24.5 | 26.8 | 24.1 | (2.3) | 2.7 |
Deferred acquisition costs We establish a DAC asset for costs that are related directly to the acquisition of new or renewal insurance policies, principally agent remuneration and premium taxes. DAC is amortized to income over the period in which premiums are earned.
| DAC balance as of December 31 by product type | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Auto | $ | 1,023 | $ | 826 | |||
| Homeowners | 700 | 602 | |||||
| Other personal lines | 169 | 144 | |||||
| Commercial lines | 59 | 36 | |||||
| Total DAC | $ | 1,951 | $ | 1,608 |
The Allstate Corporation 47
2021 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
Run-off Property-Liability Segment
The Run-off Property-Liability segment includes results from property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off lines claims arises principally from direct excess commercial insurance, assumed reinsurance coverage, direct primary commercial insurance and other businesses in run-off. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Underwriting results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | (63) | $ | (78) | $ | (28) | |||||
| Environmental claims | (40) | (44) | (36) | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | (13) | (19) | (41) | ||||||||
| Total claims and claims expense | (116) | (141) | (105) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (4) | (3) | (3) | ||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (120) | $ | (144) | $ | (108) |
Underwriting losses in 2021 and 2020 primarily related to our annual reserve review using established industry and actuarial best practices. The annual review resulted in unfavorable reserve reestimates totaling $111 million and $132 million in 2021 and 2020, respectively. The reserve reestimates are included as part of claims and claims expense.
Reserve reestimates in 2021 primarily related to new reported information for asbestos and environmental and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures. Reserve reestimates in 2020 primarily related to new reported information, court decisions and policy buyback settlements for asbestos exposures and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures.
We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws, regulations, and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g., claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. However, as we progress with the resolution of disputed claims in the courts and arbitrations and with negotiations and settlements, our reported losses may be more variable.
| Reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | |||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,210 | $ | 1,204 | |||
| Reinsurance | (382) | (377) | |||||
| Net reserves | 828 | 827 | |||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 273 | 249 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (47) | (43) | |||||
| Net reserves | 226 | 206 | |||||
| Other run-off claims | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 433 | 435 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (66) | (60) | |||||
| Net reserves | 367 | 375 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,916 | 1,888 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (495) | (480) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,421 | $ | 1,408 |
48 www.allstate.com
Run-off Property-Liability 2021 Form 10-K
| Reserves by type of exposure before and after the effects of reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | |||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | $ | 1,050 | $ | 1,011 | |||
| Reinsurance | (363) | (358) | |||||
| Net reserves | 687 | 653 | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 617 | 636 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (56) | (58) | |||||
| Net reserves | 561 | 578 | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 168 | 160 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (75) | (63) | |||||
| Net reserves | 93 | 97 | |||||
| Other run-off business | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1 | 2 | |||||
| Reinsurance | — | — | |||||
| Net reserves | 1 | 2 | |||||
| Unallocated loss adjustment expenses | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 80 | 79 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (1) | (1) | |||||
| Net reserves | 79 | 78 | |||||
| Total | |||||||
| Gross reserves | 1,916 | 1,888 | |||||
| Reinsurance | (495) | (480) | |||||
| Net reserves | $ | 1,421 | $ | 1,408 |
| Percentage of gross and ceded reserves by case and incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | |||||||||||
| Case | IBNR | Case | IBNR | |||||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves (1) | 61 | % | 39 | % | 65 | % | 35 | % | ||||
| Ceded (2) | 67 | 33 | 71 | 29 | ||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 33 | 67 | 34 | 66 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 38 | 62 | 35 | 65 | ||||||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | ||||||||||||
| Gross reserves | 53 | 47 | 55 | 45 | ||||||||
| Ceded | 71 | 29 | 79 | 21 |
(1)Approximately 70% of gross case reserves as of December 31, 2021 are subject to settlement agreements.
(2)Approximately 77% of ceded case reserves as of December 31, 2021 are subject to settlement agreements.
The Allstate Corporation 49
2021 Form 10-K Run-off Property-Liability
| Gross payments from case reserves by type of exposure | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | For the years ended December 31, | ||||||
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
| Direct excess commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross (1) | $ | 91 | $ | 88 | |||
| Ceded (2) | (39) | (37) | |||||
| Assumed reinsurance coverage | |||||||
| Gross | 43 | 40 | |||||
| Ceded | (4) | (7) | |||||
| Direct primary commercial insurance | |||||||
| Gross | 7 | 8 | |||||
| Ceded | (2) | (5) | |||||
| Other run-off business | |||||||
| Gross | 1 | — | |||||
| Ceded | — | — |
(1) In 2021 70% of payments related to settlement agreements.
(2) In 2021 72% of payments related to settlement agreements.
Total net reserves as of December 31, 2021, included $733 million or 52% of estimated IBNR reserves compared to $695 million or 49% of estimated IBNR reserves as of December 31, 2020.
Total gross payments were $142 million and $137 million for 2021 and 2020, respectively, primarily related to settlement agreements reached with several insureds on large claims, mainly asbestos, where the scope of coverages has been agreed upon. The claims associated with these settlement agreements are expected to be substantially paid out
over the next several years as qualified claims are submitted by these insureds.
Reinsurance collections were $39 million and $53 million for 2021 and 2020, respectively. The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables was $66 million and $59 million as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. The allowance represents 11.0% and 10.5% of the related reinsurance recoverable balances as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
50 www.allstate.com
Protection Services 2021 Form 10-K
Protection Services Segment
Protection Services comprise Allstate Protection Plans, Allstate Dealer Services, Allstate Roadside, Arity and Allstate Identity Protection. Protection Services include National General’s LeadCloud and Transparent.ly’s results within Arity starting in the first quarter of 2021. These businesses provide marketing and integration platforms connecting data buyers and sellers. Results prior to 2021 reflect historical Arity results only.
In 2021, Protection Services represented 77.7% of total PIF, 6.0% of premiums written and 4.4% of total adjusted net income. We offer consumer product protection plans, finance and insurance products (including vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection waivers, road hazard tire and wheel and paintless dent repair protection), roadside assistance, device and mobile data collection services and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information and identity protection. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Premiums written | $ | 2,642 | $ | 1,890 | $ | 1,535 | |||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Premiums | $ | 1,764 | $ | 1,493 | $ | 1,233 | |||||
| Other revenue | 354 | 208 | 188 | ||||||||
| Intersegment insurance premiums and service fees (1) | 175 | 147 | 154 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 43 | 44 | 42 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense | (458) | (386) | (363) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (795) | (658) | (543) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (837) | (651) | (661) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (14) | (3) | — | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (52) | (41) | (12) | ||||||||
| Less: noncontrolling interest | 1 | — | — | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 179 | $ | 153 | $ | 38 | |||||
| Allstate Protection Plans | $ | 142 | $ | 137 | $ | 60 | |||||
| Allstate Dealer Services | 34 | 29 | 26 | ||||||||
| Allstate Roadside | 7 | 12 | (15) | ||||||||
| Arity | 3 | (11) | (7) | ||||||||
| Allstate Identity Protection | (7) | (14) | (26) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 179 | $ | 153 | $ | 38 | |||||
| Allstate Protection Plans | 141,073 | 128,982 | 99,632 | ||||||||
| Allstate Dealer Services | 3,956 | 4,042 | 4,205 | ||||||||
| Allstate Roadside | 525 | 548 | 599 | ||||||||
| Allstate Identity Protection | 2,802 | 2,700 | 1,511 | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 148,356 | 136,272 | 105,947 |
(1)Primarily related to Arity and Allstate Roadside and are eliminated in our consolidated financial statements.
Adjusted net income increased 17.0% or $26 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to growth of Allstate Protection Plans, lower claims costs at Allstate Dealer Services, growth and lower levels of investment at both Arity and Allstate Identity Protection, partially offset by higher severity and rescue volumes in Allstate Roadside.
Premiums written increased 39.8% or $752 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to growth at
Allstate Protection Plans and increased sales at Allstate Dealer Services.
PIF increased 8.9% or 12 million in 2021 compared to 2020 due to continued growth at Allstate Protection Plans and Allstate Identity Protection.
Other revenue increased 70.2% or $146 million in 2021 compared to 2020, reflecting the addition of LeadCloud and Transparent.ly, which were acquired as part of the National General acquisition.
The Allstate Corporation 51
2021 Form 10-K Protection Services
Intersegment premiums and service fees increased 19.0% to $175 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily related to increased device sales through Arity driven by growth in the Allstate brand Milewise® product and growth in automotive rescue services provided by Allstate Roadside for Allstate brand auto customers.
Claims and claims expense increased 18.7% or $72 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to higher levels of claims at Allstate Protection Plans driven by growth of the business and increased claims costs at Allstate Roadside due to higher severity and rescue volumes.
Amortization of DAC increased 20.8% or $137 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the growth experienced at Allstate Protection Plans and Allstate Dealer Services.
Operating costs and expenses increased 28.6% or $186 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to higher operating costs at Arity driven by the addition of LeadCloud and Transparent.ly and growth experienced at Allstate Protection Plans.
Restructuring and related charges increased $11 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to a facility closure at Allstate Identity Protection in the first quarter of 2021 and accelerated lease costs at Allstate Protection Plans.
52 www.allstate.com
Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 2021 Form 10-K
Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of claims and claims expense reserves. For a description of our reserve process, see Note 9 of the consolidated financial statements. Further, for a description of our reserving policies and the potential variability in our reserve estimates, see the Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A. These reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including IBNR claims, as of the reporting date.
The facts and circumstances leading to reestimates of reserves relate to changes in claim activity and revisions to the development factors used to predict how losses are likely to develop from the end of a reporting period until all claims have been paid. Reestimates occur when actual losses differ from those predicted by the estimated development factors used in prior reserve estimates.
We believe the net loss reserves exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws and regulations.
| Total reserves, net of recoverables (“net reserves”), as of December 31, by line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 22,124 | $ | 19,136 | $ | 19,396 | |||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 1,421 | 1,408 | 1,365 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 23,545 | 20,544 | 20,761 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 36 | 33 | 39 | ||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 23,581 | $ | 20,577 | $ | 20,800 |
The year-end 2021 gross reserves of $33.06 billion for insurance claims and claims expense were $11.15 billion more than the net reserve balance of $21.91 billion recorded on the basis of statutory accounting practices for reports provided to state regulatory authorities. The principal differences are recoverables from third parties totaling $9.48 billion, including $6.64 billion of indemnification recoverables related to the Michigan Catastrophic Claims Association (“MCCA”), that reduce reserves for statutory reporting, but are recorded as assets for GAAP reporting, and a liability for the reserves of the Canadian subsidiaries for $1.55 billion that are a component of our consolidated reserves, but not included in our U.S. statutory reserves.
| Impact of reserve reestimates by brand on combined ratio and net income applicable to common shareholders(1) (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Reserve reestimate | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimate | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimate | Effect on combined ratio | ||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | 8 | — | $ | (576) | (1.6) | $ | (233) | (0.7) | |||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 116 | 0.3 | 141 | 0.4 | 105 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 124 | 0.3 | (435) | (1.2) | (128) | (0.4) | ||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | (2) | — | (1) | — | (2) | — | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 122 | $ | (436) | $ | (130) | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates, after-tax | $ | 96 | $ | (344) | $ | (103) | ||||||||||||||
| Consolidated net income applicable to common shareholders | $ | 1,485 | $ | 5,461 | $ | 4,678 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates as a % impact on consolidated net income applicable to common shareholders | (6.5) | % | 6.3 | % | 2.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
| Property-Liability prior year reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses | $ | (202) | $ | (503) | $ | 48 |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)Ratios are calculated using property and casualty premiums earned.
The Allstate Corporation 53
2021 Form 10-K Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
The following tables reflect the accident years to which the reestimates shown above are applicable. Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
| Prior year reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 2016 & prior | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (130) | $ | 100 | $ | (67) | $ | 231 | $ | (126) | $ | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 116 | — | — | — | — | 116 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | (14) | 100 | (67) | 231 | (126) | 124 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (2) | (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (14) | $ | 100 | $ | (67) | $ | 231 | $ | (128) | $ | 122 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2020 | 2015 & prior | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (56) | $ | 42 | $ | (199) | $ | (353) | $ | (10) | $ | (576) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 141 | — | — | — | — | 141 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 85 | 42 | (199) | (353) | (10) | (435) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (1) | (1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 85 | $ | 42 | $ | (199) | $ | (353) | $ | (11) | $ | (436) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 2014 & prior | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allstate Protection | $ | (140) | $ | (44) | $ | (28) | $ | (95) | $ | 74 | $ | (233) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 105 | — | — | — | — | 105 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | (35) | (44) | (28) | (95) | 74 | (128) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Protection Services | — | — | — | — | (2) | (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | (35) | $ | (44) | $ | (28) | $ | (95) | $ | 72 | $ | (130) |
Allstate Protection
The tables below show Allstate Protection net reserves representing the estimated cost of outstanding claims as they were recorded at the beginning of years 2021, 2020, and 2019, and the effect of reestimates in each year.
| Net reserves by line | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 1 reserves | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Auto | $ | 14,164 | $ | 14,728 | $ | 14,378 | |||||
| Homeowners | 2,315 | 2,138 | 2,157 | ||||||||
| Other personal lines | 1,463 | 1,459 | 1,489 | ||||||||
| Commercial lines | 1,194 | 1,071 | 801 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | $ | 19,136 | $ | 19,396 | $ | 18,825 |
| Impact of reserve reestimates by line on combined ratio and underwriting income | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | Reserve reestimates | Effect on combined ratio | ||||||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 149 | 0.4 | $ | (107) | (0.3) | $ | (323) | (0.9) | |||||||||||
| Homeowners | (153) | (0.4) | (439) | (1.2) | 65 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||
| Other personal lines | (107) | (0.3) | (66) | (0.2) | 8 | — | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial lines | 119 | 0.3 | 36 | 0.1 | 17 | — | ||||||||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | $ | 8 | — | $ | (576) | (1.6) | $ | (233) | (0.7) | |||||||||||
| Underwriting income | $ | 1,785 | $ | 4,569 | $ | 2,921 | ||||||||||||||
| Reserve reestimates as a % impact on underwriting income | (0.4) | % | 12.6 | % | 8.0 | % |
Favorable results for homeowners lines in 2021 were primarily due to catastrophe reserve reestimates driven by estimated recoveries related to our aggregate reinsurance coverage and wildfire subrogation settlements. Unfavorable reserve reestimates for auto and commercial lines in 2021 primarily related to auto liability coverages.
Favorable results for homeowners lines in 2020 were primarily due to catastrophe reserve reestimates
driven by wildfire subrogation settlements. Favorable reserve reestimates for auto in 2020 primarily related to favorable non-catastrophe reserve reestimates in personal lines auto, partially offset by strengthening in commercial lines auto reserves.
Estimating the ultimate cost of claims and claims expenses is an inherently uncertain and complex process involving a high degree of judgment and is subject to the evaluation of numerous variables.
54 www.allstate.com
Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 2021 Form 10-K
Run-off Property-Liability
We conduct an annual review in the third quarter of each year to evaluate and establish asbestos, environmental and other run-off reserves. Reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by policyholders.
| Run-off Property-Liability reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | January 1 reserves | Reserve reestimates | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | $ | 827 | $ | 63 | $ | 810 | $ | 78 | $ | 866 | $ | 28 | |||||||||||
| Environmental claims | 206 | 40 | 179 | 44 | 170 | 36 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 375 | 13 | 376 | 19 | 355 | 41 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,408 | $ | 116 | $ | 1,365 | $ | 141 | $ | 1,391 | $ | 105 | |||||||||||
| Underwriting loss | $ | (120) | $ | (144) | $ | (108) |
Reserve reestimates in 2021 primarily related to new reported information for asbestos and environmental and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures.
Reserve reestimates in 2020 primarily related to new reported information, court decisions and policy buyback settlements for asbestos exposures and higher than expected reported losses for environmental and other run-off exposures.
| Reserves and claim activity before (Gross) and after (Net) the effects of reinsurance | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions, except ratios) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 1,204 | $ | 827 | $ | 1,172 | $ | 810 | $ | 1,266 | $ | 866 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 100 | 63 | 132 | 78 | 39 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (94) | (62) | (100) | (61) | (133) | (84) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 1,210 | $ | 828 | $ | 1,204 | $ | 827 | $ | 1,172 | $ | 810 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 12.9 | 13.4 | 12.0 | 13.6 | 8.8 | 9.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 11.1 | 12.0 | 10.3 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Environmental claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 249 | $ | 206 | $ | 219 | $ | 179 | $ | 209 | $ | 170 | |||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense | 50 | 40 | 49 | 44 | 42 | 36 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid | (26) | (20) | (19) | (17) | (32) | (27) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves | $ | 273 | $ | 226 | $ | 249 | $ | 206 | $ | 219 | $ | 179 | |||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 10.5 | 11.3 | 13.1 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 10.6 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.3 | 8.1 | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Combined environmental and asbestos claims | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Annual survival ratio | 12.4 | 12.9 | 12.2 | 13.2 | 8.4 | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3-year survival ratio | 11.0 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||
| Percentage of IBNR in ending reserves | 54.8 | % | 0 | 50.3 | % | 0 | 48.8 | % |
The survival ratio is calculated by taking our ending reserves divided by payments made during the year. This is a commonly used but simplistic and imprecise approach to measuring the adequacy of asbestos and environmental reserve levels. Many factors, such as mix of business, level of coverage provided and settlement procedures have significant impacts on the amount of environmental and asbestos claims and claims expense reserves, claim payments and the resultant ratio. As payments result in corresponding reserve reductions, survival ratios can be expected to vary over time. The asbestos and environmental net 3-year survival ratio in 2021 was comparable to 2020.
The Allstate Corporation 55
2021 Form 10-K Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
| Net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | December 31, 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | Net reserves | % of reserves | |||||||||||||||
| Direct: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Primary | $ | 8 | 1 | % | $ | 10 | 1 | % | $ | 12 | 1 | % | |||||||||
| Excess | 275 | 33 | 291 | 35 | 292 | 36 | |||||||||||||||
| Total direct | 283 | 34 | 301 | 36 | 304 | 37 | |||||||||||||||
| Assumed reinsurance | 104 | 13 | 122 | 15 | 127 | 16 | |||||||||||||||
| IBNR | 441 | 53 | 404 | 49 | 379 | 47 | |||||||||||||||
| Total net reserves | $ | 828 | 100 | % | $ | 827 | 100 | % | $ | 810 | 100 | % | |||||||||
| Total reserve additions | $ | 63 | $ | 78 | $ | 28 |
IBNR net reserves increased $37 million as of December 31, 2021 compared to December 31, 2020. IBNR provides for reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current policyholders and ceding companies.
Reinsurance and indemnification programs We utilize reinsurance to reduce exposure to catastrophe risk and manage capital, and to support the required statutory surplus and the insurance financial strength ratings of certain subsidiaries such as Castle Key Insurance Company (“CKIC”) and Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company (“ANJ”). We purchase significant reinsurance to manage our aggregate countrywide exposure to an acceptable level. The price and terms of reinsurance and the credit quality of the reinsurer are considered in the purchase process. We have also purchased reinsurance to mitigate exposures in our long-tail liability lines, including environmental, asbestos and other run-off lines as well as our commercial lines, including shared economy. We also participate in various indemnification mechanisms, including state-based industry pool or facility programs mandating participation by insurers offering certain coverage in their state and the federal government National Flood Insurance Program (“NFIP”). See Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements for additional details on these programs.
56 www.allstate.com
Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 2021 Form 10-K
| Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, net of the allowance established for uncollectible amounts | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P financial strength rating (1) | Reinsurance or indemnificationrecoverable on paid and unpaid claims, net | ||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||
| MCCA (2) | N/A | $ | 6,695 | $ | 5,646 | ||||
| New Jersey Property-Liability Insurance Guaranty Association (“PLIGA”) | N/A | 371 | 389 | ||||||
| North Carolina Reinsurance Facility (“NCRF”) | N/A | 279 | 67 | ||||||
| Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (“FHCF”) | N/A | 25 | 32 | ||||||
| Other | 7 | 8 | |||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | N/A | 34 | 30 | ||||||
| Subtotal | 7,411 | 6,172 | |||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance recoverables | |||||||||
| Sanders RE II LTD. | N/A | 303 | — | ||||||
| Renaissance Reinsurance Limited | A+ | 106 | 17 | ||||||
| Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation | AA- | 88 | 12 | ||||||
| Other | 873 | 168 | |||||||
| Subtotal | 1,370 | 197 | |||||||
| Other reinsurance recoverables, net (3) | |||||||||
| Aleka Insurance Inc. | N/A | 187 | 165 | ||||||
| Lloyd’s of London (“Lloyd’s”) (4) | N/A | 165 | 166 | ||||||
| Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation | AA- | 75 | 20 | ||||||
| Westport Insurance Corporation (4) | N/A | 70 | 59 | ||||||
| Other, including allowance for credit losses | 576 | 337 | |||||||
| Subtotal | 1,073 | 747 | |||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 9,854 | 7,116 | |||||||
| Protection Services | 16 | 18 | |||||||
| Total | $ | 9,870 | $ | 7,134 |
(1)N/A reflects no S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) rating available.
(2)As of December 31, 2021 and 2020, MCCA includes $51 million and $34 million of reinsurance recoverable on paid claims, respectively, and $6.64 billion and $5.61 billion of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims, respectively.
(3)Other reinsurance recoverables primarily relate to commercial lines, including shared economy, as well as asbestos, environmental and other liability exposures.
(4)A.M. Best ratings for Lloyd’s and Westport Insurance Corporation are A and A+, respectively.
Reinsurance and indemnification recoverables include an estimate of the amount of insurance claims and claims expense reserves that are ceded under the terms of the agreements, including IBNR unpaid losses. We calculate our ceded reinsurance and indemnification estimates based on the terms of each applicable agreement, including an estimate of how IBNR losses will ultimately be ceded under the agreement. We also consider other limitations and coverage exclusions under our agreements. Accordingly, our estimate of recoverables is subject to similar risks and uncertainties as our estimate of reserves claims and claims expense. We believe the recoverables are appropriately established; however, as our underlying reserves continue to develop, the amount ultimately recoverable may vary from amounts currently recorded. We regularly evaluate the reinsurers and the respective amounts of our reinsurance recoverables, and a provision for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables is recorded, if needed. The establishment of reinsurance recoverables and the related allowance for
uncollectible reinsurance is also an inherently uncertain process involving estimates. Changes in estimates could result in additional changes to the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Indemnification recoverables are considered collectible based on the industry pool and facility enabling legislation and the Company has not had any credit losses related to these programs and we do not anticipate losses in the foreseeable future. We also have not experienced credit losses on our catastrophe reinsurance programs, which include highly rated reinsurers.
The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance relates to other reinsurance programs primarily related to our Run-off Property-Liability segment. This allowance was $66 million and $59 million as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
The allowance is based upon our ongoing review of amounts outstanding, length of collection periods, changes in reinsurer credit standing, and other
The Allstate Corporation 57
2021 Form 10-K Claims and Claims Expense Reserves
relevant factors. In addition, in the ordinary course of business, we may become involved in coverage disputes with certain of our reinsurers that may ultimately result in lawsuits and arbitrations brought by or against such reinsurers to determine the parties’ rights and obligations under the various reinsurance agreements. We employ dedicated specialists to manage reinsurance collections and disputes. We also consider recent developments in commutation activity between reinsurers and cedents, and recent trends in arbitration and litigation outcomes in disputes between cedents and reinsurers in seeking to maximize our reinsurance recoveries.
Adverse developments in the insurance industry have led to a decline in the financial strength of some of our reinsurance carriers, causing amounts
recoverable from them and future claims ceded to them to be considered a higher risk. There has also been consolidation activity in the industry, which causes reinsurance risk across the industry to be concentrated among fewer companies.
See Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements for a description of the methodology utilized to calculate the allowance for reinsurance recoverables.
For further details related to our reinsurance and indemnification recoverables, see the Regulation section in Part I and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Effects of reinsurance ceded and indemnification programs on our premiums earned and claims and claims expense | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection - Premiums | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| NCRF | $ | 310 | $ | 63 | $ | 67 | |||||
| MCCA | 20 | 61 | 89 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | 7 | 7 | 8 | ||||||||
| FHCF | 15 | 9 | 9 | ||||||||
| Other | 420 | 34 | 18 | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | 350 | 261 | 258 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 541 | 416 | 377 | ||||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 60 | 110 | 121 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 1,723 | 961 | 947 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | — | — | — | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 1,723 | 961 | 947 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 181 | 180 | 175 | ||||||||
| Total effect on premiums earned | $ | 1,904 | $ | 1,141 | $ | 1,122 | |||||
| Allstate Protection - Claims | |||||||||||
| Indemnification programs | |||||||||||
| State-based industry pool or facility programs | |||||||||||
| MCCA | $ | 611 | $ | 256 | $ | 208 | |||||
| NCRF | 279 | 47 | 55 | ||||||||
| PLIGA | — | (40) | 3 | ||||||||
| FHCF | 13 | 15 | 31 | ||||||||
| Other | 359 | 16 | 12 | ||||||||
| Federal Government - NFIP | 267 | 87 | 150 | ||||||||
| Catastrophe reinsurance | 1,719 | (105) | (1) | (166) | (2) | ||||||
| Other reinsurance programs | 85 | 88 | 94 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 3,333 | 364 | 387 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | 60 | 75 | 39 | ||||||||
| Total Property-Liability | 3,393 | 439 | 426 | ||||||||
| Protection Services | 91 | 91 | 98 | ||||||||
| Total effect on claims and claims expense | $ | 3,484 | $ | 530 | $ | 524 |
(1)Decline reflects reestimates in claims and claims expense related subrogation settlements.
(2)Decline reflects reestimates in claims and claims expense related to the 2018 Camp Fire.
In 2021, ceded premiums earned increased primarily due to the addition of National General into our program and increased catastrophe reinsurance premium rates. In 2020, ceded premiums earned increased primarily due to increased catastrophe reinsurance premium rates. In 2021, ceded claims and
claims expenses increased $2.95 billion primarily due to Hurricane Ida and Winter Storm Uri. In 2020, ceded claims and claims expenses decreased $6 million. For further discussion of these items, see Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
58 www.allstate.com
Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 2021 Form 10-K
| Michigan personal injury protection reserve and claim activity before and after the effects of MCCA recoverables | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||
| Beginning reserves | $ | 6,282 | $ | 670 | $ | 6,106 | $ | 647 | $ | 5,975 | $ | 605 | |||||||||||
| National General acquisition as of January 4, 2021 | 566 | 31 | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense-current year | 398 | 132 | 312 | 98 | 446 | 202 | |||||||||||||||||
| Incurred claims and claims expense-prior years | 403 | 59 | 107 | 65 | (16) | 20 | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid-current year (1) | (35) | (35) | (47) | (42) | (55) | (53) | |||||||||||||||||
| Claims and claims expense paid-prior years (1) | (227) | (110) | (196) | (98) | (244) | (127) | |||||||||||||||||
| Ending reserves (2) | $ | 7,387 | $ | 747 | $ | 6,282 | $ | 670 | $ | 6,106 | $ | 647 |
(1)Paid claims and claims expenses reported in the table for the current and prior years, recovered from the MCCA totaled $117 million, $103 million and $119 million in 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively.
(2)Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2021, comprise 74% case reserves and 26% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2020, comprise 82% case reserves and 18% IBNR. Gross reserves for the year ended December 31, 2019, comprise 85% case reserves and 15% IBNR. The MCCA does not require member companies to report ultimate case reserves.
Pending MCCA claims differ from most personal lines insurance pending claims as other personal lines policies have coverage limits and incurred claims settle in shorter periods. Claims are considered pending as long as payments are continuing pursuant to an outstanding MCCA claim, which can be for a claimant’s lifetime. Many of these injuries are catastrophic in nature, resulting in serious permanent disabilities that require attendant and residential care for periods that may span decades. A significant portion of the ultimate incurred claim reserves and the recoverables can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims that occurred more than five years ago and continue to pay lifetime benefits.
| Pending, new and closed claims for Michigan personal injury protection exposure | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | ||||||||
| Number of claims (1) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||
| Pending, beginning of year | 4,857 | 4,942 | 4,812 | |||||
| National General acquisition as of January 4, 2021 | 525 | — | — | |||||
| New | 8,616 | 5,896 | 7,807 | |||||
| Closed | (8,577) | (5,981) | (7,677) | |||||
| Pending, end of year | 5,421 | 4,857 | 4,942 |
(1)Total claims includes those covered and not covered by the MCCA indemnification.
As of December 31, 2021, approximately 1,570 of our pending claims have been reported to the MCCA, of which approximately 70% represents claims that occurred more than 5 years ago. There are 59 Allstate brand claims with reserves in excess of $15 million as of December 31, 2021, which comprise approximately 21% of the gross ending reserves in the table above. As a result, significant developments with a single claimant can result in volatility in prior year incurred claims.
Intercompany reinsurance We enter into certain intercompany insurance and reinsurance transactions in order to maintain underwriting control and manage insurance risk among various legal entities. These reinsurance agreements have been approved by the appropriate regulatory authorities. All significant intercompany transactions have been eliminated in consolidation.
Catastrophe reinsurance Our catastrophe reinsurance program is designed to address our exposure to catastrophes nationwide, utilizing our risk management methodology. Our program is designed to provide reinsurance protection for catastrophes resulting from multiple perils including hurricanes, windstorms, hail, tornadoes, earthquakes, wildfires, and fires following earthquakes. These reinsurance agreements are part of our catastrophe management strategy, which is intended to provide our shareholders an acceptable return on the risks assumed in our property business, while providing protection to our customers.
We anticipate completing the placement of our 2022 nationwide catastrophe reinsurance program in the second quarter of 2022. For further details of the existing 2021 program, see Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 59
2021 Form 10-K Allstate Health and Benefits
Allstate Health and Benefits Segment
Allstate Health and Benefits offers employer voluntary benefits, group health and individual health products, including life, accident, critical illness, hospital, short-term disability and other health products. Allstate Health and Benefits results include National General’s accident and health business, starting in the first quarter of 2021. Results prior to 2021 reflect historical Allstate Benefits results only.
In 2021, Allstate Health and Benefits represented 2.3% of total PIF and 5.2% of total adjusted net income. Our target customers are middle market consumers with family and financial protection needs. For additional information on our strategy and outlook, see Part I, Item 1. Business - Strategy and Segment Information.
| Summarized financial information | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Revenues | |||||||||||
| Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges | $ | 1,821 | $ | 1,094 | $ | 1,145 | |||||
| Other revenue | 359 | — | — | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 74 | 78 | 83 | ||||||||
| Costs and expenses | |||||||||||
| Accident and health insurance policy benefits | (1,015) | (516) | (601) | ||||||||
| Interest credited to contractholder funds | (34) | (33) | (34) | ||||||||
| Amortization of DAC | (144) | (177) | (161) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (787) | (322) | (285) | ||||||||
| Restructuring and related charges | (9) | (1) | — | ||||||||
| Income tax expense on operations | (57) | (27) | (32) | ||||||||
| Adjusted net income | $ | 208 | $ | 96 | $ | 115 | |||||
| Benefit ratio (1) | 55.7 | 47.2 | 52.5 | ||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits (2) | 3,804 | 3,950 | 4,183 | ||||||||
| Group health (3) | 122 | — | — | ||||||||
| Individual health (4) | 407 | — | — | ||||||||
| Policies in force as of December 31 (in thousands) | 4,333 | 3,950 | 4,183 |
(1)Benefit ratio is calculated as accident and health insurance policy benefits divided by premiums and contract charges.
(2)Employer voluntary benefits include supplemental life and health products offered through workplace enrollment.
(3)Group health includes health products and administrative services sold to employers.
(4)Individual health includes short-term medical and other health products sold directly to individuals.
Adjusted net income increased $112 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the acquisition of National General’s group health and individual health business, which resulted in higher premiums and contract charges, partially offset by higher policy benefits and operating costs and expenses. Results for 2020 included an after-tax charge of $32 million related to the write-off of previously capitalized software.
Premiums and contract charges increased 66.5% or $727 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the addition of group health and individual health business.
| Premiums and contract charges by line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Employer voluntary benefits | $ | 1,031 | $ | 1,094 | $ | 1,145 | |||||
| Group health | 350 | — | — | ||||||||
| Individual health | 440 | — | — | ||||||||
| Premiums and contract charges | $ | 1,821 | $ | 1,094 | $ | 1,145 |
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Allstate Health and Benefits 2021 Form 10-K
New annualized premium sales (annualized premiums at initial customer enrollment) increased to $778 million in 2021. The increase in 2021 primarily relates to the addition of group health and individual health business.
Other revenue of $359 million in 2021 reflects commission revenue, administrative fees, agency fees and technology fees from the group health and individual health business.
Accident and health insurance policy benefits increased 96.7% or $499 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the addition of the group health and individual health products and increased benefit utilization compared to the prior year.
Benefit ratio increased to 55.7 in 2021 compared to 47.2 in 2020 primarily due to a higher benefit ratio associated with group and individual health products
added in 2021 and a higher benefit ratio for employer voluntary benefit products due to higher life mortality and lower accident and health claim experience in the prior year.
Amortization of DAC decreased 18.6% or $33 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to unfavorable adjustments associated with our annual review of assumptions in 2020 compared to favorable adjustments in 2021, and lower policy and certificate lapses for employer voluntary benefits.
Our annual comprehensive review of assumptions underlying estimated future gross profits for our interest-sensitive life contracts resulted in a deceleration of DAC amortization (increase to income) of $2 million of the unamortized DAC asset balance in 2021 compared to $28 million acceleration of DAC amortization (decrease to income) in 2020.
| Changes in DAC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Balance, beginning of year | $ | 470 | $ | 527 | |||
| National General acquisition | 3 | — | |||||
| Acquisition costs deferred | 146 | 120 | |||||
| Amortization of DAC before amortization relating to changes in assumptions (1) | (146) | (148) | |||||
| Amortization relating to net gains and losses on investments and derivatives (1) | — | (1) | |||||
| Amortization acceleration for DAC unlocking (1) | 2 | (28) | |||||
| Effect of unrealized capital gains and losses (2) | 2 | — | |||||
| Ending balance | $ | 477 | $ | 470 |
(1)Included as a component of amortization of DAC on the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
(2)Represents the change in the DAC adjustment for unrealized capital gains and losses. The DAC adjustment represents the amount by which the amortization of DAC would increase or decrease if the unrealized gains and losses in the respective product portfolios were realized.
| Operating costs and expenses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Non-deferrable commissions | $ | 316 | $ | 99 | $ | 104 | |||||
| General and administrative expenses | 471 | 223 | 181 | ||||||||
| Total operating costs and expenses | $ | 787 | $ | 322 | $ | 285 |
Operating costs and expenses increased $465 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to the addition of the group health and individual health business in 2021. Results for 2020 included a write-off of capitalized software costs associated with a billing system.
Analysis of reserves
| Reserve for future policy benefits | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Traditional life insurance and other | $ | 313 | $ | 299 | |||
| Accident and health insurance | 960 | 729 | |||||
| Reserve for future policy benefits | $ | 1,273 | $ | 1,028 |
The Allstate Corporation 61
2021 Form 10-K Allstate Health and Benefits
Allstate Health and Benefits reinsurance ceded
The vast majority of reinsurance relates to the disposition of long-term care and other closed blocks of business. We retain primary liability as a direct insurer for all risks ceded to reinsurers.
| Reinsurance recoverables by reinsurer, net | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P financial strength rating | Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid benefits | ||||||||
| As of December 31, | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||
| Mutual of Omaha Insurance | A+ | $ | 55 | $ | 60 | ||||
| Everlake Life Insurance Company (1) | NR | 39 | — | ||||||
| Argo Capital Group Ltd. | NR | 19 | — | ||||||
| General Re Life Corporation | AA+ | 16 | 17 | ||||||
| Midlands Casualty Insurance Company | NR | 16 | — | ||||||
| Other (2) | 17 | 5 | |||||||
| Credit loss allowance | (8) | (1) | |||||||
| Total | $ | 154 | $ | 81 |
(1)A.M. Best rating is A+.
(2)As of December 31, 2021 and 2020, the other category includes $8 million and $4 million of recoverables due from reinsurers rated A- or better by S&P, respectively.
We continuously monitor the creditworthiness of reinsurers in order to determine our risk of recoverability on an individual and aggregate basis. No reinsurance recoverables have been written off in the three-years ended December 31, 2021.
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Investments 2021 Form 10-K
Investments
Overview and strategy
The return on our investment portfolios is an important component of our ability to offer good value to customers, fund business improvements and create value for shareholders. Investment portfolios are held for Property-Liability, Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits and Corporate and Other operations. While taking into consideration the investment portfolio in aggregate, management of the underlying portfolios is significantly influenced by the nature of each respective business and its corresponding liability profile. For each business, we identify a strategic asset allocation which considers both the nature of the liabilities and the risk and return characteristics of the various asset classes in which we invest. This allocation is informed by our long-term business and market expectations, as well as other considerations such as risk appetite, portfolio diversification, duration, desired liquidity and capital. Within appropriate ranges relative to strategic allocations, tactical allocations are made in consideration of prevailing and potential future market conditions. We manage risks that involve uncertainty related to interest rates, credit spreads, equity returns and currency exchange rates.
The Property-Liability portfolio emphasizes protection of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. This approach has produced competitive returns over the long term and is designed to ensure financial strength and stability for paying claims, while maximizing economic value and surplus growth. Products with lower liquidity needs, such as auto insurance and run-off lines, and capital create capacity to invest in less liquid higher yielding fixed income securities, performance-based investments such as limited partnerships and equity securities. Products with higher liquidity needs, such as homeowners insurance, are invested primarily in high quality liquid fixed income securities.
The Protection Services portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities with a lesser allocation to equity securities and short-term investments.
The Allstate Health and Benefits portfolio is focused on protection of principal and consistent income generation while targeting an appropriate return on capital. The portfolio is largely comprised of fixed income securities and commercial mortgage loans with a small allocation to equity securities.
The Corporate and Other portfolio balances liquidity needs related to the corporate capital structure with the pursuit of returns.
We utilize two primary strategies to manage risks and returns and to position our portfolio to take advantage of market opportunities while attempting to mitigate adverse effects. As strategies and market conditions evolve, the asset allocation may change.
Market-based strategy seeks to deliver predictable earnings aligned to business needs and take advantage of short-term opportunities primarily through public and private fixed income investments and public equity securities.
Performance-based strategy seeks to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns and supplement market risk with idiosyncratic risk. Returns are impacted by a variety of factors including general macroeconomic and public market conditions as public benchmarks are often used in the valuation of underlying investments. Variability in earnings will also result from the performance of the underlying assets or business and the timing of sales of those investments. Earnings from the sales of investments may be recorded as net investment income or net gains and losses on investments and derivatives. The portfolio, which primarily includes private equity and real estate with a majority being limited partnerships, is diversified across a number of characteristics, including managers or partners, vintage years, strategies, geographies (including international) and industry sectors or property types. These investments are generally illiquid in nature, often require specialized expertise, typically involve a third-party manager, and often enhance returns and income through transformation at the company or property level. A portion of these investments seek returns in markets or asset classes that are dislocated or special situations, primarily in private markets.
The Allstate Corporation 63
2021 Form 10-K Investments
Coronavirus impacts
Future investment results will be influenced by the magnitude and duration of the global pandemic and the impact of actions taken by governmental authorities, businesses and consumers, including the availability, utilization rate and effectiveness of vaccines, to mitigate health risks, which creates significant uncertainty. Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages have increased inflation, which may have an adverse impact on investment valuations and returns.
Investments Outlook
We plan to focus on the following priorities:
•Enhance investment portfolio returns through use of a dynamic capital allocation framework and focus on tax efficiency.
•Leverage our broad capabilities to manage the portfolio to earn higher risk-adjusted returns on capital.
•Invest for the specific needs and characteristics of Allstate’s businesses, including its corresponding liability profile.
We expect to maintain performance-based investments in our Property-Liability portfolio, consistent with our strategy to have a greater proportion of return derived from idiosyncratic asset or operating performance. Income related to performance-based investments will result in variability of earnings for the Property-Liability portfolio.
To reduce exposure to an increasing interest rate environment, we shortened the duration of the Property-Liability fixed income portfolio by selling longer duration corporate and municipal bonds and reinvesting in shorter duration fixed income and public equity securities, as well as through the use of derivatives. These actions to shorten duration, coupled with continued reinvestment at market yields below the current market-based portfolio yield, will result in lower net investment income in future periods, but will reduce the adverse portfolio valuation impact of rising interest rates.
| Contractual maturities and yields of fixed income securities for the next three years | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed income securities | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | Carrying value | Investment yield | |||||
| 2022 | $ | 1,111 | 2.1 | % | |||
| 2023 | 6,114 | 1.3 | |||||
| 2024 | 4,702 | 2.1 |
| Portfolio composition and strategy by reporting segment (1) | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporate and Other | Total | ||||||||||||||
| Fixed income securities (2) | $ | 36,397 | $ | 1,559 | $ | 1,825 | $ | 2,355 | $ | 42,136 | |||||||||
| Equity securities (3) | 6,185 | 180 | 74 | 622 | 7,061 | ||||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 728 | — | 93 | — | 821 | ||||||||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 8,018 | — | — | — | 8,018 | ||||||||||||||
| Short-term investments (4) | 3,424 | 151 | 51 | 383 | 4,009 | ||||||||||||||
| Other investments, net | 2,506 | — | 148 | 2 | 2,656 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 57,258 | $ | 1,890 | $ | 2,191 | $ | 3,362 | $ | 64,701 | |||||||||
| Percent to total | 88.5 | % | 2.9 | % | 3.4 | % | 5.2 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||
| Market-based | $ | 48,642 | $ | 1,890 | $ | 2,191 | $ | 3,360 | $ | 56,083 | |||||||||
| Performance-based | 8,616 | — | — | 2 | 8,618 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 57,258 | $ | 1,890 | $ | 2,191 | $ | 3,362 | $ | 64,701 |
(1)Balances reflect the elimination of related party investments between segments.
(2)Fixed income securities are carried at fair value. Amortized cost, net for these securities was $35.74 billion, $1.54 billion, $1.76 billion, $2.34 billion and $41.38 billion for Property-Liability, Protection Services, Allstate Health and Benefits, Corporate and Other, and in total, respectively.
(3)Equity securities are carried at fair value. The fair value of equity securities, held as of December 31, 2021, was $1.05 billion in excess of cost. These net gains were primarily concentrated in the technology, consumer goods, and banking sectors. Equity securities include $1.13 billion of funds with underlying investments in fixed income securities as of December 31, 2021.
(4)Short-term investments are carried at fair value.
Investments totaled $64.70 billion as of December 31, 2021, increasing from $59.54 billion as of December 31, 2020, primarily due to positive operating cash flows, proceeds from the sales of ALIC, ALNY and certain affiliates and National General acquisition, partially
offset by lower fixed income valuations, common share repurchases and dividends paid to shareholders.
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| Portfolio composition by investment strategy | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Market- based | Performance-based | Total | ||||||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 42,049 | $ | 87 | $ | 42,136 | |||||||||
| Equity securities | 6,689 | 372 | 7,061 | ||||||||||||
| Mortgage loans, net | 821 | — | 821 | ||||||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 759 | 7,259 | 8,018 | ||||||||||||
| Short-term investments | 4,009 | — | 4,009 | ||||||||||||
| Other investments, net | 1,756 | 900 | 2,656 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 56,083 | $ | 8,618 | $ | 64,701 | |||||||||
| Percent to total | 86.7 | % | 13.3 | % | 100.0 | % | |||||||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses | |||||||||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 759 | $ | 1 | $ | 760 | |||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | — | (1) | (1) | ||||||||||||
| Other investments | (3) | — | (3) | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 756 | $ | — | $ | 756 |
During 2021, strategic actions focused on optimizing portfolio yield, return and risk in the more volatile and rising interest rate environment. We continued to increase performance-based investments in the Property-Liability portfolio including the addition of retained private equity and real estate investments from the sale of ALIC, ALNY and certain affiliates. We shortened the maturity profile of fixed income securities in our Property-Liability portfolio to 4.3 years to reduce exposure to an increasing interest rate environment.
Fixed income securities
| Fixed income securities by type | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value as of December 31, | |||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 6,273 | $ | 2,107 | |||||
| Municipal | 6,393 | 7,578 | |||||||
| Corporate | 27,330 | 31,017 | |||||||
| Foreign government | 985 | 958 | |||||||
| Asset-backed securities (“ABS”) | 1,155 | 905 | |||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 42,136 | $ | 42,565 |
Fixed income securities are rated by third-party credit rating agencies or are internally rated. As of December 31, 2021, 82.2% of the consolidated fixed income securities portfolio was rated investment grade, which is defined as a security having a rating of Aaa, Aa, A or Baa from Moody’s, a rating of AAA, AA, A or BBB from S&P, a comparable rating from another nationally recognized rating agency, or a comparable internal rating if an externally provided rating is not available. Credit ratings below these designations are considered lower credit quality or below investment grade, which includes high yield bonds. Market prices for certain securities may have credit spreads which imply higher or lower credit quality than the current third-party rating. Our initial investment decisions and ongoing
monitoring procedures for fixed income securities are based on a due diligence process which includes, but is not limited to, an assessment of the credit quality, sector, structure and liquidity risks of each issuer.
Fixed income portfolio monitoring is a comprehensive process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance. The process includes a quarterly review of all securities to identify instances where the fair value of a security compared to its amortized cost is below internally established thresholds. For further detail on our fixed income portfolio monitoring process, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 65
2021 Form 10-K Investments
| Fair value and unrealized net capital gains (losses) for fixed income securities by credit rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| A and above | BBB | BB | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | |||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | 6,273 | $ | (14) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 6,124 | 257 | 254 | 5 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 4,179 | 63 | 10,477 | 258 | 1,649 | 72 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 1,624 | 10 | 3,631 | 42 | 2,777 | 42 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 5,803 | 73 | 14,108 | 300 | 4,426 | 114 | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | 984 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1,088 | 3 | 11 | — | 9 | — | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 20,272 | $ | 322 | $ | 14,374 | $ | 305 | $ | 4,435 | $ | 114 | |||||||||||
| B | CCC and lower | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | Fairvalue | Unrealized gain (loss) | ||||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 6,273 | $ | (14) | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 10 | — | 5 | 1 | 6,393 | 263 | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public | 273 | 3 | 11 | (6) | 16,589 | 390 | |||||||||||||||||
| Privately placed | 2,394 | 17 | 315 | (5) | 10,741 | 106 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total corporate | 2,667 | 20 | 326 | (11) | 27,330 | 496 | |||||||||||||||||
| Foreign government | — | — | — | — | 985 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| ABS | 1 | — | 46 | 9 | 1,155 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 2,678 | $ | 20 | $ | 377 | $ | (1) | $ | 42,136 | $ | 760 |
Municipal bonds, including tax exempt and taxable securities, include general obligations of state and local issuers and revenue bonds.
Our practice for acquiring and monitoring municipal bonds is predominantly based on the underlying credit quality of the primary obligor. We currently rely on the primary obligor to pay all contractual cash flows and are not relying on bond insurers for payments. As a result of downgrades in the insurers’ credit ratings, the ratings of the insured municipal bonds generally reflect the underlying ratings of the primary obligor.
Corporate bonds include publicly traded and privately placed securities. Privately placed securities primarily consist of corporate issued senior debt securities that are negotiated with the borrower or are issued by public entities in unregistered form.
Our $10.7 billion portfolio of privately placed securities is diversified by issuer, industry sector and country. The portfolio is made up of 553 issuers. Privately placed corporate obligations may contain structural security features such as financial covenants and call protections that provide investors greater protection against credit deterioration, reinvestment risk or fluctuations in interest rates than those typically found in publicly registered debt securities. Additionally, investments in these securities are made after fundamental analysis of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views. Ongoing monitoring includes continuous assessment of operating performance and financial position. Every issue not rated by an independent rating agency is internally rated with a formal rating affirmation at least once a
year. Liquidity of securities issued by public entities in unregistered form is similar to public debt markets.
Our corporate bonds portfolio includes $7.42 billion of below investment grade bonds, $5.49 billion of which are privately placed. These securities are diversified by issuer and industry sector. The below investment grade corporate bonds portfolio is made up of 416 issuers. We employ fundamental analyses of issuers and sectors along with macro and asset class views to identify investment opportunities. This results in a portfolio with broad exposure to the high yield market with an emphasis on idiosyncratic positions reflective of our views of market conditions and opportunities.
Foreign government securities consist of Canadian governmental and provincial securities (all of which are held by our Canadian companies).
ABS are structured securities that are primarily collateralized by consumer or corporate borrowings and residential and commercial real estate loans. The cash flows from the underlying collateral paid to the securitization trust are generally applied in a pre-determined order and are designed so that each security issued by the trust, typically referred to as a “class”, qualifies for a specific original rating.
ABS includes collateralized debt obligations, consumer and other ABS. Credit risk is managed by monitoring the performance of the underlying collateral. Many of the securities in the ABS portfolio have credit enhancement with features such as overcollateralization, subordinated structures, reserve funds, guarantees or insurance. ABS also includes
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Investments 2021 Form 10-K
residential mortgage-backed securities and commercial mortgage-backed securities.
For example, the “senior” portion or “top” of the capital structure, or rating class, which would originally qualify for a rating of Aaa typically has priority in receiving principal repayments on the underlying collateral and retains this priority until the class is paid in full. In a sequential structure, underlying collateral principal repayments are directed to the most senior rated Aaa class in the structure until paid in full, after which principal repayments are directed to the next most senior Aaa class in the structure until it is paid in full. Senior Aaa classes generally share any losses from the underlying collateral on a pro-rata basis after losses are absorbed by classes with lower original ratings.
The payment priority and class subordination included in these securities serves as credit enhancement for holders of the senior or top portions of the structures. These securities continue to retain the payment priority features that existed at the origination of the securitization trust. Other forms of credit enhancement may include structural features embedded in the securitization trust, such as overcollateralization, excess spread and bond insurance. The underlying collateral may contain fixed interest rates, variable interest rates (such as adjustable rate mortgages), or both fixed and variable rate features.
Equity securities of $7.06 billion primarily include common stocks, exchange traded and mutual funds, non-redeemable preferred stocks and real estate investment trust (“REIT”) equity investments. Certain exchange traded and mutual funds have fixed income securities as their underlying investments.
Mortgage loans of $821 million mainly comprise loans secured by first mortgages on developed commercial real estate. Key considerations used to manage our exposure include property type and geographic diversification. For further detail on our mortgage loan portfolio, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
Limited partnership interests include $6.34 billion of interests in private equity funds, $920 million of interests in real estate funds and $759 million of interests in other funds as of December 31, 2021. We
have commitments to invest additional amounts in limited partnership interests totaling $2.72 billion as of December 31, 2021.
| Private equity limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2021 | ||
| Industrial | 19.4 | % | |
| Healthcare | 12.2 | ||
| Information Technology | 11.9 | ||
| Consumer staples | 10.5 | ||
| Consumer discretionary | 9.6 | ||
| Utilities | 8.8 | ||
| Other | 27.6 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
| Real estate limited partnerships by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2021 | ||
| Residential | 25.5 | % | |
| Industrial | 23.6 | ||
| Office | 14.5 | ||
| Other | 36.4 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
Short-term investments of $4.01 billion primarily comprise money market funds, commercial paper, U.S. Treasury bills and other short-term investments, including securities lending collateral of $1.40 billion.
Other investments primarily comprise $1.57 billion of bank loans, $809 million of real estate, $148 million of policy loans and $12 million of derivatives as of December 31, 2021. For further detail on our use of derivatives, see Note 7 of the consolidated financial statements.
| Direct real estate investments by sector | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% of carrying value) | December 31, 2021 | ||
| Residential | 29.9 | % | |
| Agriculture | 17.7 | ||
| Retail | 16.7 | ||
| Industrial | 15.2 | ||
| Timber | 12.6 | ||
| Other | 7.9 | ||
| Total | 100.0 | % |
| Unrealized net capital gains (losses) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| U.S. government and agencies | $ | (14) | $ | 49 | |||
| Municipal | 263 | 478 | |||||
| Corporate | 496 | 1,960 | |||||
| Foreign government | 3 | 37 | |||||
| ABS | 12 | 7 | |||||
| Fixed income securities | 760 | 2,531 | |||||
| Derivatives | (3) | (3) | |||||
| Equity method of accounting (“EMA”) limited partnerships | (1) | (1) | |||||
| Unrealized net capital gains and losses, pre-tax | $ | 756 | $ | 2,527 |
The Allstate Corporation 67
2021 Form 10-K Investments
| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost, net | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | $ | 6,817 | $ | 176 | $ | (42) | $ | 6,951 | |||||||
| Banking | 3,975 | 54 | (31) | 3,998 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 2,009 | 43 | (28) | 2,024 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 2,947 | 80 | (23) | 3,004 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,077 | 58 | (21) | 2,114 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 1,936 | 41 | (14) | 1,963 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,615 | 75 | (12) | 2,678 | |||||||||||
| Basic industry | 1,249 | 56 | (6) | 1,299 | |||||||||||
| Energy | |||||||||||||||
| Midstream | 1,132 | 37 | (4) | 1,165 | |||||||||||
| Integrated | 119 | 6 | — | 125 | |||||||||||
| Independent/upstream | 312 | 18 | (1) | 329 | |||||||||||
| Other | 224 | 6 | (1) | 229 | |||||||||||
| Total energy | 1,787 | 67 | (6) | 1,848 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 976 | 35 | (5) | 1,006 | |||||||||||
| Other | 446 | 3 | (4) | 445 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 26,834 | 688 | (192) | 27,330 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 6,287 | 12 | (26) | 6,273 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 6,130 | 279 | (16) | 6,393 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 982 | 9 | (6) | 985 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 1,143 | 14 | (2) | 1,155 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 41,376 | $ | 1,002 | $ | (242) | $ | 42,136 |
| Gross unrealized gains (losses) on fixed income securities by type and sector | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
| Amortized cost | Gross unrealized | Fair value | |||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | Gains | Losses | |||||||||||||
| Corporate | |||||||||||||||
| Consumer goods (cyclical and non-cyclical) | $ | 7,820 | $ | 516 | $ | (2) | $ | 8,334 | |||||||
| Banking | 4,353 | 244 | — | 4,597 | |||||||||||
| Utilities | 2,749 | 156 | (2) | 2,903 | |||||||||||
| Technology | 2,443 | 191 | (1) | 2,633 | |||||||||||
| Communications | 2,529 | 201 | (4) | 2,726 | |||||||||||
| Financial services | 1,785 | 116 | (2) | 1,899 | |||||||||||
| Capital goods | 2,906 | 205 | — | 3,111 | |||||||||||
| Basic industry | 1,512 | 136 | — | 1,648 | |||||||||||
| Energy | |||||||||||||||
| Midstream | 1,095 | 72 | (1) | 1,166 | |||||||||||
| Integrated | 270 | 27 | — | 297 | |||||||||||
| Independent/upstream | 186 | 21 | (1) | 206 | |||||||||||
| Other | 139 | 9 | (2) | 146 | |||||||||||
| Total energy | 1,690 | 129 | (4) | 1,815 | |||||||||||
| Transportation | 1,055 | 84 | (11) | 1,128 | |||||||||||
| Other | 215 | 8 | — | 223 | |||||||||||
| Total corporate fixed income portfolio | 29,057 | 1,986 | (26) | 31,017 | |||||||||||
| U.S. government and agencies | 2,058 | 50 | (1) | 2,107 | |||||||||||
| Municipal | 7,100 | 480 | (2) | 7,578 | |||||||||||
| Foreign government | 921 | 37 | — | 958 | |||||||||||
| ABS | 898 | 10 | (3) | 905 | |||||||||||
| Total fixed income securities | $ | 40,034 | $ | 2,563 | $ | (32) | $ | 42,565 |
In general, the gross unrealized losses are related to an increase in market yields, which may include increased risk-free interest rates and wider credit spreads since the time of initial purchase. Similarly, gross unrealized gains reflect a decrease in market yields since the time of initial purchase.
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Investments 2021 Form 10-K
| Equity securities by sector | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | December 31, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | Cost | Over (under) cost | Fair value | ||||||||||||||||||
| Transportation | 74 | 22 | 96 | 24 | 7 | 31 | |||||||||||||||||
| Energy | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Midstream | 39 | 7 | 46 | 65 | (2) | 63 | |||||||||||||||||
| Integrated | 62 | 8 | 70 | 10 | — | 10 | |||||||||||||||||
| Independent/upstream | 44 | 5 | 49 | 7 | — | 7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 14 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total energy | 159 | 23 | 182 | 84 | (1) | 83 | |||||||||||||||||
| Utilities | 122 | 23 | 145 | 37 | 3 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||
| Basic Industry | 119 | 30 | 149 | 29 | 10 | 39 | |||||||||||||||||
| Capital Goods | $ | 376 | $ | 37 | $ | 413 | $ | 92 | $ | (4) | $ | 88 | |||||||||||
| Other (1) | 3,413 | 811 | 4,224 | 823 | 211 | 1,034 | |||||||||||||||||
| Funds | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fixed income | 1,108 | 24 | 1,132 | 804 | 55 | 859 | |||||||||||||||||
| Equities | 645 | 75 | 720 | 847 | 147 | 994 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total funds | 1,753 | 99 | 1,852 | 1,651 | 202 | 1,853 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total equity securities | $ | 6,016 | $ | 1,045 | $ | 7,061 | $ | 2,740 | $ | 428 | $ | 3,168 |
(1) Other is comprised of communications, financial services, REITs, banking, consumer goods and technology sectors.
| Net investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Fixed income securities | $ | 1,148 | $ | 1,232 | $ | 1,201 | |||||
| Equity securities | 100 | 78 | 175 | ||||||||
| Mortgage loans | 43 | 34 | 27 | ||||||||
| Limited partnership interests | 1,973 | 238 | 296 | ||||||||
| Short-term investments | 5 | 17 | 70 | ||||||||
| Other investments | 195 | 124 | 131 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | 3,464 | 1,723 | 1,900 | ||||||||
| Investment expense | |||||||||||
| Investee level expenses | (60) | (36) | (51) | ||||||||
| Securities lending expense | — | (4) | (27) | ||||||||
| Operating costs and expenses | (111) | (93) | (94) | ||||||||
| Total investment expense | (171) | (133) | (172) | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 3,293 | $ | 1,590 | $ | 1,728 | |||||
| Property-Liability | $ | 3,118 | $ | 1,421 | $ | 1,533 | |||||
| Protection Services | 43 | 44 | 42 | ||||||||
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 74 | 78 | 83 | ||||||||
| Corporate and Other | 58 | 47 | 70 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 3,293 | $ | 1,590 | $ | 1,728 | |||||
| Market-based | $ | 1,429 | $ | 1,444 | $ | 1,557 | |||||
| Performance-based | 2,035 | 279 | 343 | ||||||||
| Investment income, before expense | $ | 3,464 | $ | 1,723 | $ | 1,900 |
Net investment income increased 107.1% or $1.70 billion in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to increases in performance-based income results, mainly from limited partnerships.
The Allstate Corporation 69
2021 Form 10-K Investments
| Performance-based investment income | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Private equity | $ | 1,660 | $ | 206 | $ | 212 | |||||
| Real estate | 375 | 73 | 131 | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income before investee level expenses | $ | 2,035 | $ | 279 | $ | 343 | |||||
| Investee level expenses (1) | (55) | (32) | (44) | ||||||||
| Total performance-based income | $ | 1,980 | $ | 247 | $ | 299 |
(1)Investee level expenses include asset level operating expenses reported in investment expense. In 2019, investee level expenses also included depreciation.
Performance-based investment income increased 701.6% or $1,733 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to increased valuations and net gains on sales of underlying investments. Performance-based investment income in 2021 includes income generated by certain investments which were classified as assets held for sale in 2020.
Performance-based investment results and income can vary significantly between periods and are influenced by economic conditions, equity market performance, comparable public company earnings multiples, capitalization rates, operating performance of the underlying investments and the timing of asset sales.
| Components of net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives and the related tax effect | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the year December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | 578 | 974 | $ | 519 | ||||||
| Credit losses | (42) | (32) | (26) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments - appreciation (decline): | |||||||||||
| Equity securities | 544 | 139 | 858 | ||||||||
| Equity fund investments in fixed income securities | (24) | (22) | 72 | ||||||||
| Limited partnerships (1) | (21) | (21) | 141 | ||||||||
| Total valuation of equity investments | 499 | 96 | 1,071 | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | 49 | 49 | (26) | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | 1,084 | 1,087 | 1,538 | ||||||||
| Income tax expense | (237) | (236) | (324) | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | 847 | $ | 851 | $ | 1,214 | |||||
| Property-Liability | $ | 798 | $ | 774 | $ | 1,161 | |||||
| Protection Services | 19 | 23 | 25 | ||||||||
| Allstate Health and Benefits | 5 | 7 | 9 | ||||||||
| Corporate and Other | 25 | 47 | 19 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, after-tax | $ | 847 | $ | 851 | $ | 1,214 | |||||
| Market-based | $ | 917 | $ | 1,033 | $ | 1,444 | |||||
| Performance-based | 167 | 54 | 94 | ||||||||
| Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives, pre-tax | $ | 1,084 | $ | 1,087 | $ | 1,538 |
(1)Relates to limited partnerships where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities.
Sales in 2021 related primarily to sales of fixed income securities in connection with ongoing portfolio management and sales of real estate investments. Sales in 2020 related primarily to fixed income securities in connection with ongoing portfolio management.
Valuation change and settlements of derivatives in 2021 primarily comprised gains on foreign currency contracts due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and gains on interest rate futures used to manage asset duration and reduce exposure to increases in interest rates. 2020 primarily comprised gains on interest rate futures used for asset replication and equity futures used for risk management due to a decrease in indices, partially offset by losses on interest rate futures used for risk management and foreign currency contracts due to weakening of the U.S. dollar.
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Investments 2021 Form 10-K
| Net gains (losses) on performance-based investments and derivatives | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Sales | $ | 111 | $ | 49 | $ | 79 | |||||
| Credit losses | (43) | (6) | (4) | ||||||||
| Valuation change of equity investments | 71 | 24 | 15 | ||||||||
| Valuation change and settlements of derivatives | 28 | (13) | 4 | ||||||||
| Total performance-based | $ | 167 | $ | 54 | $ | 94 |
Net gains on performance-based investments and derivatives in 2021 primarily related to gains on sales of real estate investments, increased valuation of equity investments, and gains on valuation and settlement of derivatives. 2020 primarily related to increased valuation of equity investments and gains on sales of real estate investments, partially offset by losses on valuation and settlement of derivatives.
The Allstate Corporation 71
2021 Form 10-K Market Risk
Market Risk
Market risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices, commodity prices or currency exchange rates. Adverse changes to these rates and prices may occur due to changes in fiscal policy, the economic climate, the liquidity of a market or market segment, insolvency or financial distress of key market makers or participants or changes in market perceptions of credit worthiness or risk tolerance. Our primary market risk exposures are to changes in interest rates, credit spreads and equity prices. We also have direct and indirect exposure to commodity price changes through our diversified investments in timber, agriculture, infrastructure and energy primarily held in limited partnership interests and consolidated subsidiaries.
The active management of market risk is integral to our results of operations. We may use the following approaches to manage exposure to market risk within defined tolerance ranges:
1)Rebalance existing asset or liability portfolios
2)Change the type of investments purchased in the future
3)Use derivative instruments to modify the market risk characteristics of existing assets and liabilities or assets expected to be purchased
Overview In formulating and implementing guidelines for investing funds, we seek to earn attractive risk-adjusted returns that enhance our ability to offer competitive prices to customers while contributing to stable profits and long-term capital growth. Accordingly, our investment decisions and objectives are informed by underlying risks. Investment policies define the overall framework for managing market and other investment risks, including accountability and controls over risk management activities. Subsidiaries that conduct investment activities follow policies that have been approved by their respective boards of directors and which specify the investment limits and strategies that are appropriate given the liquidity, surplus, product profile and regulatory requirements of the subsidiary. Executive oversight of investment activities is conducted primarily through the subsidiaries’ boards of directors and legal entity investment committees. The Enterprise Risk and Return Council (“ERRC”) oversees the aggregate risk of Allstate and its subsidiaries. Working in conjunction with the board or the investment committee of each subsidiary, as applicable, the ERRC evaluates the risk tolerance of each subsidiary and determines the aggregate risk tolerance of the enterprise.
We use widely-accepted quantitative and qualitative approaches to measure, monitor and manage market risk. We evaluate our market risk exposure using multiple measures including but not limited to:
| • Duration, a measure of the price sensitivity of assets and liabilities to changes in interest rates |
|---|
| • Value-at-risk, a statistical estimate of the probability that the change in fair value of a portfolio will exceed a certain amount over a given time horizon |
| • Scenario analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur under hypothetical market conditions defined by changes to multiple market risk factors: interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices or currency exchange rates |
| • Sensitivity analysis, an estimate of the potential changes in the fair value of a portfolio that could occur using hypothetical shocks to a market risk factor. The selection of measures used in our sensitivity analysis should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but only as an illustration of the potential effect of such an event. |
In general, we establish investment portfolio asset allocation and market risk limits based upon a combination of these measures. The asset allocation limits place restrictions on the total funds that may be invested within an asset class. Comprehensive day-to-day management of market risk within defined tolerance ranges occurs as portfolio managers buy and sell within their respective markets based upon the acceptable boundaries established by investment policies. Although we apply a similar overall philosophy to market risk, the underlying business frameworks and the accounting and regulatory environments may differ between our products and therefore affect investment decisions and risk parameters.
Interest rate risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in interest rates. Interest rate risk includes risks related to changes in U.S. Treasury yields and other key risk-free reference yields. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in interest-sensitive assets. Changes in interest rates can have favorable and unfavorable effects on our results. For example, increases in rates can improve investment income, but decrease the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio which may require us to liquidate assets at losses. Decreases in rates could increase the fair value of our fixed income securities portfolio while decreasing investment income due to reinvesting at lower market yields and accelerating pay-downs and prepayments of certain investments.
For our corporate debt, we monitor market interest rates and evaluate refinancing opportunities as maturity dates approach. To mitigate this risk, we ladder the maturity dates of our debt. For our noncumulative perpetual preferred stock, we monitor market dividend rates and evaluate opportunities to redeem or refinance on or after specified dates. For further detail regarding our debt and our preferred stock, see Note 13 of the consolidated financial
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Market Risk 2021 Form 10-K
statements and the Capital Resources and Liquidity section of this Item.
Our assessment of interest rate risk includes assumptions (based upon historical market experience and our experience) that reflect the effect of changing interest rates on the prepayment, leverage or option features of instruments, where applicable. The preceding assumptions relate primarily to callable municipal and corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities and municipal housing bonds. Additionally, the calculations include assumptions regarding the renewal of property and casualty products. As of December 31, 2021, the fixed income portfolio duration was 4.20 compared to 5.02 as of December 31, 2020.
| Interest rate shock analysis (1) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2021 | |||
| ($ in millions) | Fair Value of invested assets | ||
| -100 bps change | $ | 1,625 | |
| +100 bps change | (1,638) | ||
| +200 bps change | (3,215) |
(1)Represents an immediate, parallel increase or decrease based on information and assumptions used in the duration calculations and market interest rates as of December 31, 2021.
To the extent that conditions differ from the assumptions we used in these calculations, duration and rate shock measures could be significantly impacted. Additionally, our calculations assume the current relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates (the term structure of interest rates) will remain constant over time. As a result, these calculations may not fully capture the effect of non-parallel changes in the term structure of interest rates or large changes in interest rates.
Credit spread risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in credit spreads (“spreads”). Credit spread is the additional yield on fixed income securities and loans above the risk-free rate (typically referenced as the yield on U.S. Treasury securities) that market participants require to compensate them for assuming credit, liquidity or prepayment risks. The magnitude of the spread will depend on the likelihood that a particular issuer will default. This risk arises from many of our primary activities, as we invest substantial funds in spread-sensitive fixed income assets. We manage the spread risk in our assets. One of the measures used to quantify this exposure is spread duration. Spread duration measures the price sensitivity of the assets to changes in spreads. For example, if spreads increase 100 basis points, the fair value of an asset exhibiting a spread duration of 5 is expected to decrease in value by 5%.
Spread duration is calculated similarly to interest rate duration. As of December 31, 2021, the spread duration was 4.39 compared to 4.74 as of December 31, 2020.
| Credit spread shock analysis (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Decrease in net fair value of the assets (2) | $ | 1,731 | $ | 2,042 |
(1)Represents an immediate, parallel increase of 100 basis points across all asset classes, industry sectors and credit ratings based on information and assumptions used in the spread duration calculations and market interest rates as of December 31, 2021.
(2)Reflects effects of tactical positions that include the use of credit default swaps to manage spread risk.
Equity price risk is the risk that we will incur losses due to adverse changes in the general levels of the markets.
Equity investments As of December 31, 2021, we held $6.69 billion in equity securities, excluding those with fixed income securities as their underlying investments, and limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities, compared to $2.52 billion as of December 31, 2020. 97.7% of the common stocks and other investments with public equity risk supported property and casualty products as of December 31, 2021, compared to 95.5% as of December 31, 2020. As of December 31, 2021, these investments had an equity market portfolio beta of 1.06, compared to a beta of 1.07 as of December 31, 2020. Beta represents a widely used methodology to describe, quantitatively, an investment’s market risk characteristics relative to an index such as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Composite Price Index (“S&P 500”).
| Change in S&P 500 by 10% | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Change in net fair value of equity investments | $ | 708 | $ | 269 |
We periodically use put options to reduce equity price risk or call options to adjust our equity risk profile. Put options provide an offset to declines in equity market values below a targeted level, while call options provide participation in equity market appreciation above a targeted level. Options can expire, terminate early or the option can be exercised. If the equity index does not fall below the put’s strike price or rise above the call’s strike price, the maximum loss on purchased puts and calls is limited to the amount of the premium paid.
Limited partnership interests As of December 31, 2021, we held $7.26 billion in limited partnership interests excluding those limited partnership interests where the underlying assets are predominately public equity securities compared to $4.35 billion as of December 31, 2020. All of our limited partnership interests supported property and casualty products as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. These investments are primarily comprised of private equity and real estate funds. These investments are idiosyncratic in nature and a greater portion of the return is derived from asset operating performance. They are not actively
The Allstate Corporation 73
2021 Form 10-K Market Risk
traded, and valuation changes typically reflect the performance of the underlying asset.
| Change in private market valuations by 10% | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Change in net fair value of limited partnership interests | $ | 726 | $ | 435 |
For limited partnership interests, quarterly changes in fair values may not be highly correlated to equity indices in the short term and changes in value of these investments are generally recognized on a three-month delay due to the availability of the related investee financial statements. The illustrations noted above may not reflect our actual experience if the future composition of the portfolio (hence its beta) and correlation relationships differ from the historical relationships.
Foreign currency exchange rate risk is the risk that we will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in foreign currency exchange rates. This risk primarily arises from our foreign equity investments, including common stocks, limited partnership interests, and our Canada, Northern Ireland and India operations. We use foreign currency derivative contracts to partially offset this risk.
As of December 31, 2021, we had $2.04 billion in foreign currency denominated equity investments, including the impact of foreign currency derivative contracts, $1.30 billion net investment in our foreign subsidiaries, primarily related to our Canada operations, and $27 million in unhedged non-U.S. dollar fixed income securities. These amounts were $671 million, $1.30 billion, and $28 million, respectively, as of December 31, 2020.
| Change in foreign currency exchange rates (1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Decrease in value of foreign currency denominated instruments | $ | 396 | $ | 246 |
(1)Represents a 10% immediate unfavorable change in each of the foreign currency exchange rates to which we are exposed based on information and assumptions used, including the impact of foreign currency derivative contracts.
The modeling technique we use to report our currency exposure does not take into account correlation among foreign currency exchange rates. Even though we believe it is very unlikely that all of the foreign currency exchange rates that we are exposed to would simultaneously decrease by 10%, we nonetheless stress test our portfolio under this and other hypothetical extreme adverse market scenarios. Our actual experience may differ from these results because of assumptions we have used or because significant liquidity and market events could occur that we did not foresee.
74 www.allstate.com
Capital Resources and Liquidity 2021 Form 10-K
Capital Resources and Liquidity
Capital resources consist of shareholders’ equity and debt, representing funds deployed or available to be deployed to support business operations or for general corporate purposes.
| Capital resources | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Preferred stock, common stock, treasury stock, retained income and other shareholders’ equity items | $ | 24,524 | $ | 26,913 | $ | 24,048 | |||||
| Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income | 655 | 3,304 | 1,950 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate shareholders’ equity | 25,179 | 30,217 | 25,998 | ||||||||
| Debt | 7,976 | 7,825 | 6,631 | ||||||||
| Total capital resources | $ | 33,155 | $ | 38,042 | $ | 32,629 | |||||
| Ratio of debt to Allstate shareholders’ equity | 31.7 | % | 25.9 | % | 25.5 | % | |||||
| Ratio of debt to capital resources | 24.1 | % | 20.6 | % | 20.3 | % |
Shareholders’ equity decreased in 2021, primarily due to loss on disposition from the sales of ALIC, ALNY and certain affiliates, common share repurchases, decreased net unrealized capital gains on investments and dividends paid to shareholders, partially offset by net income. In 2021, we paid dividends of $885 million and $114 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively. Shareholders’ equity increased in 2020, primarily due to net income and increased net unrealized capital gains on investments, partially offset by common share repurchases, dividends paid to shareholders and redemption of preferred stock. In 2020, we paid dividends of $668 million and $108 million related to our common and preferred shares, respectively.
Common share repurchases In August 2021, the Board authorized a new $5.00 billion common share repurchase program that is expected to be completed by March 31, 2023. We also completed the $3.00 billion common share repurchase program that commenced in February 2020.
In August 2021, we entered into an accelerated share repurchase agreement (“ASR agreement”) with JP Morgan Chase Bank, to purchase $750 million of our outstanding common stock. Under the ASR agreement, we paid $750 million upfront and initially acquired 4.7 million shares. The ASR agreement concluded on September 17, 2021, and we repurchased a total of 5.6 million shares at an average price of $133.39.
As of December 31, 2021, there was $3.30 billion remaining in the $5.00 billion program.
During 2021, we repurchased 26.3 million common shares, or 8.7% of total common shares outstanding as of December 31, 2020, for $3.26 billion. The common share repurchases were completed through open market transactions and ASR agreements.
Since 1995, we have acquired 769 million shares of our common stock at a cost of $40.24 billion, primarily as part of various stock repurchase programs. We have reissued 151 million common shares since 1995, primarily associated with our equity incentive plans, the 1999 acquisition of American Heritage Life Investment Corporation and the 2001 redemption of certain mandatorily redeemable preferred securities. Since 1995, total common shares outstanding has decreased by 618 million shares or 68.8%, primarily due to our repurchase programs.
Common shareholder dividends On January 4, 2021, April 1, 2021, July 1, 2021, and October 1, 2021, we paid common shareholder dividends of $0.54, $0.81, $0.81 and $0.81, respectively. On November 19, 2021, we declared a common shareholder dividend of $0.81, payable on January 3, 2022.
Redemption of preferred stock On July 15, 2021, we redeemed all outstanding Depositary shares, representing 1/40th of a share of National General’s 7.50% Noncumulative Preferred Stock, Series C and the underlying shares of 7.50% Noncumulative Preferred Stock, Series C, par value $0.01 per share for a total redemption of $200 million.
The Allstate Corporation 75
2021 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
Financial ratings and strength
| Senior long-term debt, commercial paper and insurance financial strength ratings | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, 2021 | ||||||
| Moody’s | S&P Global Ratings | A.M. Best | ||||
| The Allstate Corporation (debt) | A3 | A- | a | |||
| The Allstate Corporation (short-term issuer) | P-2 | A-2 | AMB-1+ | |||
| Allstate Insurance Company (insurance financial strength) | Aa3 | AA- | A+ |
Our ratings are influenced by many factors including our operating and financial performance, asset quality, liquidity, overall portfolio mix, financial leverage (i.e., debt), exposure to risks such as catastrophes and the current level of operating leverage. The preferred stock and subordinated debentures are viewed as having a common equity component by certain rating agencies and are given equity credit up to a pre-determined limit in our capital structure as determined by their respective methodologies. These respective methodologies consider the existence of certain terms and features in the instruments such as the noncumulative dividend feature in the preferred stock.
The Allstate Corporation (the “Corporation”) and Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”) In January 2021, Moody’s affirmed The Allstate Corporation’s debt and short-term issuer ratings of A3 and P-2, respectively, and the insurance financial strength rating of Aa3 for Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”). The outlook for the ratings is stable.
In June 2021, S&P affirmed the Corporation’s debt and short-term issuer ratings of A- and A-2, respectively, and the insurance financial strength rating of AA- for AIC. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
In July 2021, A.M. Best affirmed the Corporation’s debt and short-term issuer ratings of a and AMB-1+, respectively, and the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for AIC. The outlook for the ratings is stable.
American Heritage Life (“AHL”) In July 2021, A.M. Best affirmed the insurance financial strength rating of A+ for AHL. The outlook for the rating is stable.
Other property and casualty companies We have distinct and separately capitalized groups of subsidiaries licensed to sell property and casualty insurance that maintain separate group ratings. The
ratings of these groups are influenced by the risks that relate specifically to each group. Many mortgage companies require property owners to have insurance from an insurance carrier with a secure financial strength rating from an accredited rating agency. In July 2021, A.M. Best affirmed the A rating of ANJ, which writes auto and homeowners insurance in New Jersey, and the A+ rating of North Light, our excess and surplus lines carrier. The outlook for the ANJ rating and North Light rating is stable. ANJ also has a Financial Stability Rating® of A" from Demotech, which was affirmed in September 2021. In July 2021, A.M. Best affirmed the B+ rating of CKIC, which underwrites personal lines property insurance in Florida. CKIC also has a Financial Stability Rating of A’ from Demotech that was affirmed in August 2021. ANJ, North Light and CKIC do not have support agreements with AIC.
Allstate’s domestic property and casualty and life insurance subsidiaries prepare their statutory-basis financial statements in conformity with accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the insurance department of the applicable state of domicile. Statutory surplus is a measure that is often used as a basis for determining dividend paying capacity, operating leverage and premium growth capacity, and it is also reviewed by rating agencies in determining their ratings.
The property and casualty business is comprised of 57 insurance companies as of December 31, 2021, each of which has individual company dividend limitations. As of December 31, 2021, total statutory surplus is $21.51 billion compared to $21.38 billion as of December 31, 2020. Property and casualty subsidiaries surplus was $21.19 billion as of December 31, 2021, compared to $17.13 billion as of December 31, 2020. Life insurance subsidiaries surplus was $322 million as of December 31, 2021, compared to $4.26 billion as of December 31, 2020.
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Capital Resources and Liquidity 2021 Form 10-K
The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) has developed financial relationships or tests known as the Insurance Regulatory Information System to assist state insurance regulators in monitoring the financial condition of insurance companies and identifying companies that require special attention or actions by state insurance regulators. The NAIC analyzes financial data provided by insurance companies using prescribed ratios, each with defined “usual ranges”. Additional regulatory scrutiny may occur if a company’s ratios fall outside the usual ranges for four or more of the ratios. Two of our domestic insurance companies have more than four ratios outside the usual ranges.
Liquidity sources and uses Our potential sources and uses of funds principally include the following activities below.
| Activities for potential sources of funds | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporateand Other | |||||
| Receipt of insurance premiums | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Recurring service fees | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Contractholder fund deposits | ü | |||||||
| Reinsurance and indemnification program recoveries | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Receipts of principal, interest and dividends on investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Sales of investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||||
| Intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Capital contributions from parent | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Dividends or return of capital from subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Tax refunds/settlements | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Funds from periodic issuance of additional securities | ü | |||||||
| Receipt of intercompany settlements related to employee benefit plans | ü |
| Activities for potential uses of funds | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property-Liability | Protection Services | Allstate Health and Benefits | Corporateand Other | |||||
| Payment of claims and related expenses | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payment of contract benefits, surrenders and withdrawals | ü | |||||||
| Reinsurance cessions and indemnification program payments | ü | ü | ü | |||||
| Operating costs and expenses | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Purchase of investments | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Repayment of securities lending, commercial paper and line of credit agreements | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payment or repayment of intercompany loans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Capital contributions to subsidiaries | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Dividends or return of capital to shareholders/parent company | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Tax payments/settlements | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Common share repurchases | ü | |||||||
| Debt service expenses and repayment | ü | ü | ||||||
| Payments related to employee benefit plans | ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||
| Payments for acquisitions | ü | ü | ü | ü |
Contractual obligations and commitments We have short-term and long-term contractual obligations and commitments. We manage our short-term liquidity position to ensure the availability of a sufficient amount of liquid assets to extinguish short-term liabilities as they come due in the normal course of business, including utilizing potential sources of liquidity. Long-term obligations include known
contractual commitments that require cash needs beyond 12 months.
Short-term contractual obligations are typically settled with cash or short-term investments and operating cash flows. Most of these obligations are paid within one year. These include unconditional purchase obligations, other liabilities and accrued
The Allstate Corporation 77
2021 Form 10-K Capital Resources and Liquidity
expenses, including liabilities for collateral and operating leases, and net unrecognized tax benefits.
We actively manage our financial position and liquidity levels in light of changing market, economic, and business conditions. Liquidity is managed at both the entity and enterprise level across the Company and is assessed on both base and stressed level liquidity needs. We believe we have sufficient liquidity to meet these needs. Additionally, we have existing intercompany agreements in place that facilitate liquidity management across the Company to enhance flexibility.
As of December 31, 2021, we held $13.27 billion of cash, U.S. government and agencies fixed income securities, and public equity securities which we would expect to be able to liquidate within one week. In addition, we regularly estimate how much of the total portfolio, which includes high quality corporate fixed income and municipal holdings, can be reasonably liquidated within one quarter. These estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty associated with evolving market conditions. As of December 31, 2021, cash and estimated liquidity available within one quarter, under normal market conditions and at current market prices, was $25.4 billion.
Certain remote events and circumstances could constrain our liquidity. Those events and circumstances include, for example, a catastrophe resulting in extraordinary losses, a downgrade in our senior long-term debt ratings to non-investment grade status, or a downgrade in AIC’s financial strength ratings. The rating agencies also consider the interdependence of our individually rated entities; therefore, a rating change in one entity could potentially affect the ratings of other related entities.
The Allstate Corporation is party to an Amended and Restated Intercompany Liquidity Agreement (“Liquidity Agreement”) with certain subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to AIC. The Liquidity Agreement allows for short-term advances of funds to be made between parties for liquidity and other general corporate purposes. The Liquidity Agreement does not establish a commitment to advance funds on the part of any party. AIC serves as a lender and borrower, certain other subsidiaries serve only as borrowers, and the Corporation serves only as a lender. The maximum amount of potential funding under each of these agreements is $1.00 billion.
In addition to the Liquidity Agreement, the Corporation also has an intercompany loan agreement with certain of its subsidiaries, which includes, but is not limited to, AIC. The amount of intercompany loans available to the Corporation’s subsidiaries is at the discretion of the Corporation. The maximum amount of loans the Corporation will have outstanding to all its eligible subsidiaries at any given point in time is limited to $1.00 billion. The Corporation may use commercial paper borrowings, bank lines of credit and securities lending to fund intercompany borrowings.
Parent company capital capacity At the parent holding company level, we have deployable assets
totaling $3.31 billion as of December 31, 2021, primarily comprised of cash and investments that are generally saleable within one quarter. The substantial earnings capacity of the operating subsidiaries is the primary source of capital generation for the Corporation.
The payment of dividends by AIC to The Allstate Corporation is limited by Illinois insurance law to formula amounts based on statutory net income and statutory surplus, as well as the timing and amount of dividends paid in the preceding twelve months. Based on the greater of 2021 statutory net income or 10% of statutory surplus, the maximum amount of dividends that AIC will be able to pay, without prior Illinois Department of Insurance approval, at a given point in time in 2022 is estimated at $5.51 billion, less dividends paid during the preceding twelve months measured at that point in time. Notification and approval of intercompany lending activities are also required by the Illinois Department of Insurance for those transactions that exceed formula amounts based on statutory admitted assets and statutory surplus.
These holding company assets and subsidiary dividends provide funds for the parent company’s fixed charges and other corporate purposes.
Intercompany dividends were paid in 2021, 2020 and 2019 between the following companies: AIC, Allstate Insurance Holdings, LLC (“AIH”), the Corporation, ALIC, American Heritage Life Insurance Company (“AHL”) and Allstate Financial Insurance Holdings Corporation (“AFIHC”).
| Intercompany dividends | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| AIC to AIH | $ | 5,946 | $ | 4,435 | $ | 2,732 | |||||
| AIH to the Corporation | 5,586 | 4,443 | 2,747 | ||||||||
| ALIC to AIC | 1,642 | — | 75 | ||||||||
| AHL to AFIHC | 90 | 80 | 80 | ||||||||
| AFIHC to the Corporation | 128 | 115 | 50 |
Dividends may not be paid or declared on our common stock and shares of common stock may not be repurchased unless the full dividends for the latest completed dividend period on our preferred stock have been declared and paid or provided for.
We are prohibited from declaring or paying dividends on our Series G preferred stock if we fail to meet specified capital adequacy, net income or shareholders’ equity levels, except out of the net proceeds of common stock issued during the 90 days prior to the date of declaration. As of December 31, 2021, we satisfied all the requirements with no current restrictions on the payment of preferred stock dividends. There were no capital contributions paid by the Corporation to AIC in 2021, 2020 or 2019.
The terms of our outstanding subordinated debentures also prohibit us from declaring or paying any dividends or distributions on our common or preferred stock or redeeming, purchasing, acquiring, or making liquidation payments on our common stock or preferred stock if we have elected to defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures, subject to
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certain limited exceptions. In 2021, we did not defer interest payments on the subordinated debentures.
Additional resources to support liquidity are as follows:
•The Corporation and AIC have access to a $750 million unsecured revolving credit facility that is available for short-term liquidity requirements. In November 2021, the maturity date of this facility was extended to November 2026. The facility is fully subscribed among 11 lenders with the largest commitment being $95 million. The commitments of the lenders are several and no lender is responsible for any other lender’s commitment if such lender fails to make a loan under the facility. This facility contains an increase provision that would allow up to an additional $500 million of borrowing, subject to the lenders’ commitment. This facility has a financial covenant requiring that we not exceed a 37.5% debt to capitalization ratio as defined in the agreement. This ratio was 19.0% as of December 31, 2021. Although the right to borrow under the facility is not subject to a minimum rating requirement, the costs of maintaining the facility and borrowing under it are based on the ratings of our senior unsecured, unguaranteed long-term debt. There were no borrowings under the credit facility during 2021.
•To cover short-term cash needs, the Corporation has access to a commercial paper facility with a borrowing capacity limited to any undrawn credit facility balance up to $750 million.
•As of December 31, 2021, there were no balances outstanding for the credit facility or the commercial paper facility and therefore the remaining borrowing capacity was $750 million.
•The Corporation has access to a universal shelf registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission that expires in 2024. We can use this shelf registration to issue an unspecified amount of debt securities, common stock (including 619 million shares of treasury stock as of December 31, 2021), preferred stock, depositary shares, warrants, stock purchase contracts, stock purchase units and securities of trust subsidiaries. The specific terms of any securities we issue under this registration statement will be provided in the applicable prospectus supplements.
Long-term contractual obligations
Defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans (“OPEB”) Pension plan obligations within the next 12 months represent our planned contributions to certain unfunded non-qualified plans where the benefit obligation exceeds the assets. Obligations beyond 12 months are projected based on the average remaining service period using the current underfunded status of the plans. The OPEB plans’ obligations are estimated based on the expected benefits to be paid. See Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Reserves for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense represent estimated amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including claims that have been IBNR as of the balance sheet date. Estimated timing of payments for reserves is based on our historical experience and our expectation of future payment patterns. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts that are our best estimates. See Note 9 of the consolidated financial statements and Application of Critical Accounting Estimates section of the MD&A for further information.
Reserve for future policy benefits and contractholder funds We estimate the present value of cash payments to be made to contractholders and policyholders. We are currently making payments for contracts where the timing of a portion or all of the payments has been determined by the contract. Contracts such as voluntary accident and health insurance, interest-sensitive life and traditional life insurance involve payment obligations where a portion or all of the amount and timing of future payments is uncertain. We have estimated the timing of payments related to these contracts based on historical experience and our expectation of future payment patterns. Uncertainties relating to these liabilities include mortality, morbidity, expenses, customer lapse and withdrawal activity, estimated additional deposits for interest-sensitive life contracts, and renewal premium for life policies, which may significantly impact both the timing and amount of future payments. See Note 10 of the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Contractual commitments represent investment commitments such as private placements, limited partnership interests and other loans. Limited partnership interests are typically funded over the commitment period which is shorter than the contractual expiration date of the partnership and as a result, the actual timing of the funding may vary.
We have agreements in place for services we conduct, generally at cost, between subsidiaries relating to insurance, reinsurance, loans and capitalization. All material intercompany transactions have been appropriately eliminated in consolidation. Intercompany transactions among insurance subsidiaries and affiliates have been approved by the appropriate departments of insurance as required.
For a more detailed discussion of our off-balance sheet arrangements, see Note 7 of the consolidated financial statements.
The Allstate Corporation 79
2021 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Allstate is subject to significant risks as an insurer and a provider of other products and services. These risks are discussed in more detail in the Risk Factors section of this document.
We regularly identify, measure, manage, monitor and report all significant risks. Major categories of enterprise risk are strategic, insurance, investment, financial, operational and culture.
Allstate manages these risks through an Enterprise Risk and Return Management (“ERRM”) framework that includes governance, processes, culture, and activities that are performed on an integrated, enterprise-wide basis, following our risk and return principles. Our legal and capital structures are designed to manage capital and solvency on a legal entity basis. Our risk-return principles define how we operate and guide risk and return decision making. These principles state that our priority is to maintain a strong foundation by protecting solvency, complying with laws and acting with integrity. We strive to build strategic value and optimize risk and return.
Governance ERRM governance includes board oversight, an executive management committee, and enterprise and market-facing business chief risk officers.
•The Allstate Corporation Board of Directors (“Allstate Board”) has overall responsibility for oversight of Management’s design and implementation of ERRM.
•The Risk and Return Committee (“RRC”) of the Allstate Board oversees effectiveness of the ERRM program, governance structure and risk-related decision-making, while focusing on the Company’s overall risk profile.
•The Audit Committee oversees the effectiveness of internal controls over financial reporting, disclosure controls and procedures as well as
management’s risk control framework and cybersecurity program.
•The Enterprise Risk and Return Council (“ERRC”), directs ERRM activities by establishing risk and return targets, determining economic capital levels and monitoring integrated strategies and actions from an enterprise risk and return perspective. The ERRC consists of Allstate’s chief executive officer, vice chair, chief financial officer, chief risk officer and other senior leaders.
•Other key committees work with the ERRC to direct ERRM activities, including the Operating Committee, the Operational Risk and Return Council, the Information Security Council, the ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) Steering
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Enterprise Risk and Return Management 2021 Form 10-K
Committee, liability governance committees, and investment committees.
Key risks are assessed and reported through comprehensive ERRM reports prepared for senior management and the RRC. The risk summary report communicates alignment of Allstate’s risk profile with risk and return principles while providing a perspective on risk positioning. Discussion promotes active engagement with management and the RRC. Internal controls over key risks are managed and reported to senior management and the Audit Committee of the Company through a semi-annual risk control dashboard. Annually, we review risks related to the strategic plan, operating plan and incentive compensation programs with the Allstate Board.
Framework We apply these principles using an integrated ERRM framework that focuses on assessment, transparency and dialogue. Our framework provides a comprehensive view of risks and is used by senior management and business managers to drive risk-return based decisions. We continually validate and improve our ERRM practices by benchmarking and obtaining external perspectives.
Management and the ERRC rely on internal and external perspectives to determine an appropriate level of target economic capital. Internal perspectives include enterprise solvency and volatility assessments, stress scenarios, model assumptions and management judgment. External considerations include NAIC risk-based capital as well as S&P’s, Moody’s, and A.M. Best’s capital adequacy measurement. Our economic capital reflects management’s view of the aggregate level of capital necessary to satisfy stakeholder interests, manage Allstate’s risk profile and maintain financial strength. The impact of strategic initiatives on enterprise risk is evaluated through the economic capital framework.
The NAIC has adopted the Risk Management and Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Model Act (“ORSA Model Act”), which has been enacted by our insurance subsidiaries’ domiciliary states. The ORSA Model Act requires that insurers maintain a risk management framework and conduct an internal own risk and solvency assessment of the insurer’s material risks in normal and stressed environments. Results of the assessment are filed annually.
Allstate’s risk appetite is measured through our economic capital framework. The enterprise risk appetite is cascaded into individual risk limits which set boundaries on the amount of risk we are willing to accept from one specific risk category before escalating for further management discussion and action. Risk limits are established based upon expected returns, volatility, potential tail losses and impact on the enterprise portfolio. To effectively operate within risk limits and for risk-return optimization, business units establish risk limits and capital targets specific to their businesses. Allstate’s risk management strategies adapt to changes in business and market environments.
Process Our ERRM framework establishes a basis for transparency and dialogue across the enterprise and for continuous learning by embedding our risk and return management culture of identifying, assessing, managing, monitoring and reporting risks within the organization. Allstate designs business and enterprise strategies that seek to optimize risk-adjusted returns on capital. Risks are managed at both the legal entity and enterprise level.
A summary of our process to manage each of our major risk categories follows:
Strategic risk and return management addresses loss associated with inadequate or flawed business planning or strategy setting, including product mix, mergers or acquisitions and market positioning, and unexpected changes within the market or regulatory environment in which Allstate operates. This includes reputational risk, which is the potential for negative publicity regarding a company’s conduct or business practices to adversely impact its profitability, operations, or consumer base, or to require costly litigation and other defensive measures.
We manage strategic risk in part through Allstate Board and senior management strategy reviews that include risk and return assessment of our strategic plans and ongoing monitoring of strategic actions, key assumptions and the external competitive environment. Using the ERRM framework, Allstate designs strategies that seek to optimize risk-adjusted returns on economic capital for risk types including interest rate risk, credit risk, equity investments, including those with idiosyncratic return potential, auto profitability and property risk exposure.
Insurance risk and return management addresses fluctuations in the timing, frequency and severity of benefits, expenses, and premiums relative to the return expectations inclusive of systemic risk, concentration of insurance exposures, policy terms, reinsurance coverage, and claims handling practices.
Insurance risk is the potential for loss due to adverse changes in actual or anticipated insurance claims experience (including claims adjustment expenses), net of reinsurance, and lost future profits. Insurance risk exposures include our operating results and financial condition, claims frequency and severity, and catastrophe and severe weather.
Insurance risk exposures are measured and monitored with different approaches including:
•Stochastic methods: measure and monitor risks such as natural catastrophes and severe weather. We develop probabilistic estimates of risk based on our exposures, historical observed volatility or industry-recognized models in the case of catastrophe risk.
•Scenario analysis: measures and monitors risks and estimated losses due to extreme low frequency events that include combined multiple event scenarios across risk categories and time periods.
The Allstate Corporation 81
2021 Form 10-K Enterprise Risk and Return Management
Investment risk and return management addresses financial loss due to changes in the valuations of assets held in the Allstate investment portfolio. Such losses may be caused by macro developments, such as changes to interest rates, credit spreads and equity price levels, or could be specific to individual investments in the portfolio. These losses can encompass both daily market volatility and permanent impairments of capital due to credit defaults and equity write-downs.
Investment risk exposures include interest rate risk, credit spread risk, equity price risk and foreign currency exchange rate risk.
Investment risk exposures are measured and monitored in a number of ways including:
•Sensitivity analysis: measures the impact from a unit change in a market risk input.
•Stochastic and probabilistic estimation of potential losses: combines portfolio risk exposures with historical or recent market volatilities and correlations to assess the potential range of future investment results.
•Scenario analysis: measures material adverse outcomes such as shock scenarios applied to credit, public and private equity markets.
Some of the stress scenarios are a combination of multiple scenarios across risk categories and over multiple time periods, considering the effects of macroeconomic conditions.
Financial risk and return management addresses the risk of insufficient cash flows to meet corporate or policyholder needs, risk of inadequate aggregate capital or capital within any subsidiary, inability to access capital markets, credit risk that arises when an external party fails to meet a contractual obligation such as reinsurance for ceded claims, or risk associated with a business counterparty default.
We actively manage our capital and liquidity levels in light of changing market, economic and business conditions. Our capital position, capital generation capacity, and targeted risk profile provide strategic and financial flexibility.
We generally assess solvency on a statutory accounting basis, but also consider holding company capital and liquidity needs. Current enterprise capital, which exceeds economic targeted levels, is based on a combination of statutory surplus and deployable assets at the parent holding company level.
Operational risk and return management addresses loss as a result of the failure of people, processes, or systems. Operational risk exposures include human capital, privacy, regulatory compliance, ethics, fraud, system availability, cybersecurity, data quality, disaster recovery and business continuity.
Operational risk is managed at the enterprise and market-facing business levels, through an integrated Operational Risk and Return Management (“ORRM”) program, with resources throughout the enterprise identifying, measuring, monitoring, managing, and reporting on operational risks at a detailed level.
From time to time, we engage independent advisers to assess and consult on operational risks. We also perform assessments of the quality of our operational risk program and identify opportunities to strengthen our internal controls.
Culture risk and return management addresses the potential for loss of stakeholder value from a suboptimal work environment, missed opportunities, or ineffective risk management practices. Allstate defines organization culture as a self-sustaining system of shared values, principles and priorities that shape beliefs, drive behavior and influence decision-making within an organization. Allstate’s approach is grounded in its Risk and Return Principles and organized by Our Shared Purpose.
Culture is managed using a set of cultural risk categories established as a basis for assessment and measurement, and the learning loop is applied to ensure continuous improvement. Results of culture risk assessments are reported to the ERRC and RRC throughout the year. To strengthen oversight, the Culture Risk and Return Management (“CRRM”) team partners with Human Resources and the broader organization to enhance the sophistication of the CRRM framework, including the following key components:
•Key risk categories, defining the most important areas of culture to track and enhance.
•Key risk indicators, reflecting the health of the system, providing early warnings, and helping Allstate prioritize risk and return activities.
•Governance, ensuring timely discussion, escalation, and prioritization of issues, as well as identification of opportunities.
Many risk drivers impact more than one of these key risk categories. Examples include risks related to the Coronavirus, inflation, and ESG factors. Such risks are managed within processes listed above, but overall strategy is coordinated at the enterprise level, and holistic governance is provided by cross-functional committees such as the Enterprise Risk and Return Council and ESG Steering Committee.
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Application of Critical Accounting Estimates 2021 Form 10-K
Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to adopt accounting policies and make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements. The most critical estimates, presented in the order they appear in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position, include those used in determining:
•Fair value of financial assets
•Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses
•Business combinations and purchase price allocations
•Evaluation of goodwill
•Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation
•Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions
In making these determinations, management makes subjective and complex judgments that frequently require estimates about matters that are inherently uncertain. Many of these policies, estimates and related judgments are common in the insurance and financial services industries; others are specific to our businesses and operations. It is reasonably likely that changes in these estimates could occur from period to period and result in a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.
A summary of each of these critical accounting estimates follows. For a more detailed discussion of the effect of these estimates on our consolidated financial statements, and the judgments and assumptions related to these estimates, see the referenced sections of this document. For a more detailed summary of our significant accounting policies, see the notes to the consolidated financial statements.
Fair value of financial assets Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We are responsible for the determination of fair value of financial assets and the supporting assumptions and methodologies. We use independent third-party valuation service providers, broker quotes and internal pricing methods to determine fair values. We obtain or calculate only one single quote or price for each financial instrument.
Valuation service providers typically obtain data about market transactions and other key valuation model inputs from multiple sources and, through the use of proprietary models, produce valuation information in the form of a single fair value for individual fixed income and other securities for which a fair value has been requested under the terms of our agreements. The inputs used by the valuation service providers include, but are not limited to, market prices from recently completed transactions and transactions
of comparable securities, interest rate yield curves, credit spreads, liquidity spreads, currency rates, and other information, as applicable. Credit and liquidity spreads are typically implied from completed transactions and transactions of comparable securities. Valuation service providers also use proprietary discounted cash flow models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry and similar to those used by other market participants to value the same financial instruments. The valuation models take into account, among other things, market observable information as of the measurement date, as described above, as well as the specific attributes of the security being valued including its term, interest rate, credit rating, industry sector, and where applicable, collateral quality and other issue or issuer specific information. Executing valuation models effectively requires seasoned professional judgment and experience. For certain equity securities, valuation service providers provide market quotations for completed transactions on the measurement date. In cases where market transactions or other market observable data is limited, the extent to which judgment is applied varies inversely with the availability of market observable information.
For certain of our financial assets measured at fair value, where our valuation service providers cannot provide fair value determinations, we obtain a single non-binding price quote from a broker familiar with the security who, similar to our valuation service providers, may consider transactions or activity in similar securities among other information. The brokers providing price quotes are generally from the brokerage divisions of financial institutions with market making, underwriting and distribution expertise regarding the security subject to valuation.
The fair value of certain financial assets, including privately placed corporate fixed income securities and free-standing derivatives, for which our valuation service providers or brokers do not provide fair value determinations, is developed using valuation methods and models widely accepted in the financial services industry. Our internal pricing methods are primarily based on models using discounted cash flow methodologies that develop a single best estimate of fair value. Our models generally incorporate inputs that we believe are representative of inputs other market participants would use to determine fair value of the same instruments, including yield curves, quoted market prices of comparable securities or instruments, published credit spreads, and other applicable market data as well as instrument-specific characteristics that include, but are not limited to, coupon rates, expected cash flows, sector of the issuer, and call provisions. Because judgment is required in developing the fair values of these financial assets, they may differ from the amount actually received to sell an asset in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Moreover, the use of different valuation assumptions may have a material effect on the financial assets’ fair values.
The Allstate Corporation 83
2021 Form 10-K Application of Critical Accounting Estimates
For most of our financial assets measured at fair value, all significant inputs are based on or corroborated by market observable data, and significant management judgment does not affect the periodic determination of fair value. The determination of fair value using discounted cash flow models involves management judgment when significant model inputs are not based on or corroborated by market observable data. However, where market observable data is available, it takes precedence, and as a result, no range of reasonably likely inputs exists from which the basis of a sensitivity analysis could be constructed.
We gain assurance that our financial assets are appropriately valued through the execution of various processes and controls designed to ensure the overall reasonableness and consistent application of valuation methodologies, including inputs and assumptions, and compliance with accounting standards. For fair values received from third parties or internally estimated, our processes and controls are designed to ensure that the valuation methodologies are appropriate and consistently applied, the inputs and assumptions are reasonable and consistent with the objective of determining fair value, and the fair values are accurately recorded. For example, on a continuing basis, we assess the reasonableness of individual fair values that have stale security prices or that exceed certain thresholds as compared to previous fair values received from valuation service providers or brokers or derived from internal models. We perform procedures to understand and assess the methodologies, processes and controls of valuation service providers.
In addition, we may validate the reasonableness of fair values by comparing information obtained from valuation service providers or brokers to other third-party valuation sources for selected securities. We perform ongoing price validation procedures such as back-testing of actual sales, which corroborate the various inputs used in internal models to market observable data. When fair value determinations are expected to be more variable, we validate them through reviews by members of management who have relevant expertise and who are independent of those charged with executing investment transactions.
During periods of high volatility or market disruption, we may perform an analysis to determine whether there has been a significant decrease in the volume and level of activity for the asset when compared to normal market activity, and if so, whether transactions may not be orderly. Among the indicators we consider in determining whether a significant decrease in the volume and level of market activity for a specific asset has occurred include the level of new issuances in the primary market, trading volume in the secondary market, level of credit spreads over historical levels, bid-ask spread, and price consensuses among market participants and sources. If evidence indicates that prices are based on transactions that are not orderly, we place little, if any, weight on the transaction price and will estimate fair value using an internal model. As of December 31, 2021 and 2020, we did not adjust fair values provided by our valuation service providers or brokers or substitute them with an internal model for such securities.
| Fixed income, equity securities and short-term investments by source of fair value determination | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2021 | |||||||
| ($ in millions) | Fair value | Percent to total | |||||
| Fair value based on internal sources | $ | 275 | 0.5 | % | |||
| Fair value based on external sources (1) | 52,931 | 99.5 | |||||
| Total | $ | 53,206 | 100.0 | % |
(1)Includes $94 million that are valued using broker quotes and $290 million that are valued using quoted prices or quoted net asset values from deal sponsors.
For additional detail on fair value measurements, see Note 6 of the consolidated financial statements.
Impairment of fixed income securities with credit losses For fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale, the difference between amortized cost, net of credit loss allowance (“amortized cost, net”) and fair value, net of certain other items and deferred income taxes (as disclosed in Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements), is reported as a component of AOCI on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position and is not reflected in the operating results of any period until reclassified to net income upon the consummation of a transaction with an unrelated third party or when a credit loss allowance is recorded. We have a comprehensive portfolio monitoring process to identify and evaluate each fixed income security that may require a credit loss allowance.
For each fixed income security in an unrealized loss position, we assess whether management with the appropriate authority has made the decision to sell or whether it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before recovery of the amortized cost basis for reasons such as liquidity, contractual or regulatory purposes. If a security meets either of these criteria, any existing credit loss allowance would be written-off against the amortized cost basis of the asset along with any remaining unrealized losses, with the incremental losses recorded in earnings.
If we have not made the decision to sell the fixed income security and it is not more likely than not we will be required to sell the fixed income security before recovery of its amortized cost basis, we evaluate whether we expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security. We calculate the estimated recovery value based on the best estimate of future cash flows considering past events, current conditions and reasonable and
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supportable forecasts. The estimated future cash flows are discounted at the security’s current effective rate, and are compared to the amortized cost of the security. The determination of cash flow estimates is inherently subjective, and methodologies may vary depending on facts and circumstances specific to the security. All reasonably available information relevant to the collectability of the security are considered when developing the estimate of cash flows expected to be collected. That information generally includes, but is not limited to, the remaining payment terms of the security, prepayment speeds, the financial condition and future earnings potential of the issue or issuer, expected defaults, expected recoveries, the value of underlying collateral, origination vintage year, geographic concentration of underlying collateral, available reserves or escrows, current subordination levels, third-party guarantees and other credit enhancements. Other information, such as industry analyst reports and forecasts, sector credit ratings, financial condition of the bond insurer for insured fixed income securities, and other market data relevant to the realizability of contractual cash flows, may also be considered. The estimated fair value of collateral will be used to estimate recovery value if we determine that the security is dependent on the liquidation of collateral for ultimate settlement.
If we do not expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the fixed income security, a credit loss allowance is recorded in earnings for the shortfall in expected cash flows; however, the amortized cost, net of the credit loss allowance, may not be lower than the fair value of the security. The portion of the unrealized loss related to factors other than credit remains classified in AOCI. If we determine that the fixed income security does not have sufficient cash flow or other information to estimate a recovery value for the security, we may conclude that the entire decline in fair value is deemed to be credit related and the loss is recorded in earnings.
When a security is sold or otherwise disposed or the security is deemed uncollectible and written off, we remove amounts previously recognized in the credit loss allowance. Recoveries after write-offs are recognized when received.
For additional detail on investment impairments, see Note 5 of the consolidated financial statements.
Business combinations and purchase price allocations We have acquired significant intangible assets through acquisitions of businesses. Intangible assets (reported in other assets in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position) consist of capitalized costs, primarily of the estimated fair value of distribution and customer relationships, trade names, licenses and technology assets. The estimated useful lives of these assets generally range from 3 to 10 years.
On January 4, 2021, the Company completed the acquisition of National General Holdings Corp. (“National General”), an insurance holding company serving customers predominantly through independent agents for property and casualty and
accident and health products. The estimated fair value of distribution and customer relationship intangible assets was determined using an income approach that considered cash flows and profits expected to be generated by the acquired relationships, a weighted-average cost of capital discount rate reflecting the relative risk of achieving the anticipated cash flows, profits, the time value of money, and other relevant inputs. Technology and trade names were valued using estimated useful lives and market licensing rates discounted at a weighted-average cost of capital. Licenses are primarily insurance licenses which were valued using the median value of market transactions executed over an extended observation period.
Value of business acquired (reported in DAC in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position) recognized in connection with the acquisition of National General represents the value of future profits expected to be earned over the lives of the contracts acquired determined using a weighted-average cost of capital discount and other relevant assumptions. These costs are amortized over the policy term of the contracts in force at the acquisition date, generally over six or twelve months.
Evaluation of goodwill Goodwill represents the excess of amounts paid for acquiring businesses over the fair value of the net assets acquired, less any impairment of goodwill recognized. Goodwill is recognized when acquired and allocated to reporting units based on which unit is expected to benefit from the synergies of the business combination. Our goodwill reporting units are equivalent to our reportable segments: Allstate Protection, Protection Services, and Allstate Health and Benefits to which goodwill has been assigned.
The goodwill balance was $3.50 billion and $2.37 billion at December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. During 2021, our goodwill increased primarily reflecting the acquisition of National General and SafeAuto.
Upon acquisition, the purchase price of the acquired business is assumed to be its fair value. Subsequently, we estimate the fair value of our businesses in each goodwill reporting unit, utilizing a combination of widely accepted valuation techniques including a stock price and market capitalization analysis, discounted cash flow (“DCF”) calculations and an estimate of a business’s fair value using market to book multiples derived from peer company analysis. The stock price and market capitalization analysis takes into consideration the quoted market price of our outstanding common stock and includes a control premium, derived from relevant historical acquisition activity, in determining the estimated fair value of the consolidated entity before allocating that fair value to individual reporting units. The DCF analysis utilizes long term assumptions for revenues, investment income, benefits, claims, other operating expenses and income taxes to produce projections of both income and cash flows available for dividends that are present valued using the weighted average cost of capital. Market to book multiples represent the mean market to book multiple for selected peer companies with operations similar to our goodwill reporting units to
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which the multiple is applied. The outputs from these methods are weighted based on the nature of the business and the relative amount of market observable assumptions supporting the estimates. The computed values are then weighted to reflect the fair value estimate based on the specific attributes of each goodwill reporting unit.
Estimating the fair value of reporting units is a subjective process that involves the use of significant estimates by management. Changes in market inputs or other events impacting the fair value of these businesses, including discount rates, operating results, investment returns, strategies and growth rate assumptions, among other factors, could result in goodwill impairments, resulting in a charge to income. Certain of our goodwill reporting units are comprised of a combination of legacy and acquired businesses and as a result have substantial internally generated and unrecognized intangibles and fair values that significantly exceed their carrying values.
Our Protection Services goodwill reporting unit is more heavily comprised of newly acquired businesses and as a result does not have a significant excess of fair value over its carrying value attributable to internally generated unrecognized intangibles. Therefore, this reporting unit may be more susceptible to potential future goodwill impairment based on changes to growth or margin assumptions.
The most significant assumptions utilized in the determination of the estimated fair value of the Protection Services reporting unit are the earnings growth rate and discount rate. The growth rate utilized in our fair value estimates is consistent with our plans to grow these businesses more rapidly over the near-term with more moderated growth rates in later years.
The discount rate, which is consistent with the weighted average cost of capital expected by a market participant, is based upon industry specific required rates of return, including consideration of both debt and equity components of the capital structure. Our discount rate may be impacted by changes in the risk-free rate, cost of debt, equity risk premium and entity specific risks.
Changes in our growth assumptions, including the risk of loss of key customers, or adverse changes in the discount rates could result in a decline in fair value and result in a goodwill impairment charge.
Reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense estimation Reserves are established to provide for the estimated costs of paying claims and claims expenses under insurance policies we have issued. Underwriting results are significantly influenced by estimates of property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense reserves. These reserves are an estimate of amounts necessary to settle all outstanding claims, including IBNR, as of the financial statement date.
Characteristics of reserves Reserves are established independently of business segment management for each business segment and line of business based on estimates of the ultimate cost to
settle claims, less losses that have been paid. The significant lines of business are auto, homeowners, and other personal lines for Allstate Protection, and asbestos, environmental, and other run-off lines for Run-off Property-Liability. Allstate Protection’s claims are typically reported promptly with relatively little reporting lag between the date of occurrence and the date the loss is reported. Auto and homeowners liability losses generally take an average of about two years to settle, while auto physical damage, homeowners property and other personal lines have an average settlement time of less than one year. Run-off Property-Liability involves long-tail losses, such as those related to asbestos and environmental claims, which often involve substantial reporting lags and extended times to settle.
Reserves are the difference between the estimated ultimate cost of losses incurred and the amount of paid losses as of the reporting date. Reserves are estimated for both reported and unreported claims, and include estimates of all expenses associated with processing and settling all incurred claims. We update most of our reserve estimates quarterly and as new information becomes available or as events emerge that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in prior reserve estimates (reserve reestimates), which may be material, are determined by comparing updated estimates of ultimate losses to prior estimates, with the differences recorded as property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the period such changes are determined. Estimating the ultimate cost of claims and claims expenses is an inherently uncertain and complex process involving a high degree of judgment and is subject to the evaluation of numerous variables.
The actuarial methods used to develop reserve estimates Reserve estimates are derived by using several different actuarial estimation methods that are variations on one primary actuarial technique. The actuarial technique is known as a “chain ladder” estimation process in which historical loss patterns are applied to actual paid losses and reported losses (paid losses plus individual case reserves established by claim adjusters) for an accident year or a report year to create an estimate of how losses are likely to develop over time. An accident year refers to classifying claims based on the year in which the claims occurred. A report year refers to classifying claims based on the year in which the claims are reported. Both classifications are used to prepare estimates of required reserves for payments to be made in the future. The key assumptions affecting our reserve estimates comprise data elements including claim counts, paid losses, case reserves, and development factors calculated with this data.
See Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates section for specific disclosures of industry and actuarial best practices for this segment.
In the chain ladder estimation technique, a ratio (development factor) is calculated which compares current period results to results in the prior period for
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each accident year. Typically, a multi-year average development factor, based on historical results, is used to estimate the development of losses of each accident year into the next time period. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process, the implicit assumption being that a development factor includes an adequate provision. The development factor estimation methodology may require modification when data changes due to changing claim reporting practices, changing claim settlement patterns, external regulatory or financial influences, or contractual coverage changes. The modifications include exclusion of unusual losses or aberrations and adjustment of historical data to present conditions. Actuarial judgment is then applied to develop a best estimate of gross ultimate losses. These developments are discussed further in the loss ratio disclosures within the Allstate Protection Segment and the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves sections of the MD&A.
How reserve estimates are established and updated Reserve estimates are developed at a very detailed level, and the results are aggregated to form a consolidated reserve estimate. The detailed estimates include each line of insurance, major components of losses (such as coverages and perils), major states or groups of states and for reported losses and IBNR. The actuarial methods described above are used to analyze the settlement patterns of claims used in the reserve estimation process. Development factors are calculated for data elements such as claim counts reported and settled, paid losses, and paid losses combined with case reserves. The calculation of development factors from changes in these data elements also impacts claim severity trends. The historical development patterns for these data elements are used to calculate reserve estimates.
Estimates are prepared for each detailed component, incorporating alternative analyses of changing claim settlement patterns and other influences on losses, from which we select our best estimate. Actuarial judgments that may be applied to these components generally do not have a material impact on the consolidated level of reserves. Based on this review our best estimate of required reserves is
recorded.
Reserves are reestimated quarterly and periodically throughout the year, by combining historical results with current actual results to calculate new development factors. This process continuously incorporates the historic and latest actual trends, and other underlying changes in the data elements used to calculate reserve estimates. New development factors are likely to differ from previous development factors used in prior reserve estimates because actual results (claims reported or settled, losses paid, or changes to case reserves) occur differently than the assumptions contained in the previous development factor calculations. When actual development of these data elements is different than the historical development pattern used in a prior period reserve estimate, a new reserve is determined. The difference between indicated reserves based on new reserve estimates and recorded reserves (the previous estimate) is the amount of reserve reestimate and is recognized as an increase or decrease in claims and claims expense in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. A more detailed discussion of reserve reestimates is presented in the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
| Favorable (unfavorable) impact of reserve reestimates on net income applicable to common shareholders (1) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||
| Net reserve reestimates, after-tax | (6.5) | % | 6.3 | % | 2.2 | % |
(1)2020 includes approximately $495 million of favorable reserve reestimates related to the PG&E Corporation and Southern California Edison subrogation settlements.
| 3-year average of net reserve reestimates as a percentage of total reserves for each segment (1) (2) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | |||
| Allstate Protection | (1.3) | % | |
| Run-off Property-Liability | 8.7 | % | |
| Protection Services | (4.7) | % |
(1)Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2)Each of these results is consistent within a reasonable actuarial tolerance for the respective businesses.
| Net claims and claims expense reserves by segment and line of business | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Allstate Protection | |||||||||||
| Auto | $ | 15,134 | $ | 14,164 | $ | 14,728 | |||||
| Homeowners | 3,741 | 2,315 | 2,138 | ||||||||
| Other lines (1) | 3,249 | 2,657 | 2,530 | ||||||||
| Total Allstate Protection | 22,124 | 19,136 | 19,396 | ||||||||
| Run-off Property-Liability | |||||||||||
| Asbestos | 828 | 827 | 810 | ||||||||
| Environmental | 226 | 206 | 179 | ||||||||
| Other run-off lines | 367 | 375 | 376 | ||||||||
| Total Run-off Property-Liability | 1,421 | 1,408 | 1,365 | ||||||||
| Total Protection Services | 36 | 33 | 39 | ||||||||
| Total net claims and claims expense reserves | $ | 23,581 | $ | 20,577 | $ | 20,800 |
(1)2021 includes the unamortized fair value adjustment related to the acquisition of National General.
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Allstate Protection reserve estimate
Factors affecting reserve estimates Reserve estimates are developed based on the processes and historical development trends described above. These estimates are considered in conjunction with known facts and interpretations of circumstances and factors including our experience with similar cases, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, changes in law and regulation, judicial decisions, and economic conditions. When we experience changes of the type previously mentioned, we may need to apply actuarial judgment in the determination and selection of development factors considered more reflective of the new trends, such as combining shorter or longer periods of historical results with current actual results to produce development factors based on two-year, three-year, or longer development periods to reestimate our reserves. For example:
•The Coronavirus has had a significant impact on driving patterns and auto frequency that may lead to historical development trends being less predictive of future loss development, potentially creating additional reserve variability.
•If a legal change is expected to have a significant impact on the development of claim severity for a coverage which is part of a particular line of insurance in a specific state, actuarial judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors that will most accurately reflect the expected impact on that specific estimate.
•A change in economic conditions is expected to affect the cost of repairs to damaged autos or property for a particular line, coverage, or state, actuarial judgment is applied to determine appropriate development factors to use in the reserve estimate that will most accurately reflect the expected impacts on severity development.
As claims are reported, for certain liability claims of sufficient size and complexity, the field adjusting staff establishes case reserve estimates of ultimate cost, based on their assessment of facts and circumstances related to each individual claim. For other claims which occur in large volumes and settle in a relatively short time frame, it is not practical or efficient to set case reserves for each claim, and a statistical case reserve is set for these claims based on estimation techniques described above. In the normal course of business, we may also supplement our claims processes by utilizing third-party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, and other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe and non-catastrophe related claims.
Historically, the case reserves set by the field adjusting staff have not proven to be an entirely accurate estimate of the ultimate cost of claims. To provide for this, a development reserve is estimated using the processes described above and allocated to pending claims as a supplement to case reserves. Typically, the case, including statistical case, and
supplemental development reserves comprise about 90% of total reserves.
Another major component of reserves is IBNR, which comprises about 10% of total reserves. IBNR can be a small percentage of reserves for relatively short-term claims, such as auto physical damage claims, or a large percentage of reserves for claims that have uncertain payout requirements over a long period of time, such as auto injury and MCCA claims. All major components of reserves are affected by changes in claim frequency as well as claim severity.
Generally, the initial reserves for a new accident year are established based on actual claim frequency and severity assumptions for different business segments, lines and coverages based on historical relationships to relevant inflation indicators. Reserves for prior accident years are statistically determined using processes described above. Changes in auto claim frequency may result from changes in mix of business, the rate of distracted driving, miles driven or other macroeconomic factors. Changes in auto current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the medical and auto repair sectors of the economy, the effectiveness and efficiency of our claim practices and changes in mix of claim type. We mitigate these effects through various loss management programs. Injury claims are affected largely by medical cost inflation while physical damage claims are affected largely by auto repair cost inflation and used car prices. For auto physical damage coverages, we monitor our rate of increase in average cost per claim against the auto maintenance, repair, parts and equipment price indices. We believe our claim settlement initiatives, such as improvements to the claim review and settlement process, the use of special investigative units to detect fraud and handle suspect claims, litigation management and defense strategies, as well as various other loss management initiatives underway, contribute to the mitigation of injury and physical damage severity trends.
Changes in homeowners current year claim severity are generally influenced by inflation in the cost of building materials, the cost of construction and property repair services, the cost of replacing home furnishings and other contents, the types of claims that qualify for coverage, deductibles, other economic and environmental factors and the effectiveness and efficiency of our claim practices.
As loss experience for the current year develops for each type of loss, it is monitored relative to initial assumptions until it is judged to have sufficient statistical credibility. From that point in time and forward, reserves are reestimated using statistical actuarial processes to reflect the impact actual loss trends have on development factors incorporated into the actuarial estimation processes.
The very detailed processes for developing reserve estimates, and the lack of a need and existence of a common set of assumptions or development factors, limits aggregate reserve level testing for variability of data elements. However, by applying standard
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actuarial methods to consolidated historic accident year loss data for major loss types, comprising auto injury losses, auto physical damage losses and homeowner losses, we develop variability analyses consistent with the way we develop reserves by measuring the potential variability of development factors, as described in the section titled “Potential Reserve Estimate Variability” below.
Causes of reserve estimate uncertainty Since reserves are estimates of unpaid portions of claims and claims expenses that have occurred, including IBNR losses, the establishment of appropriate reserves, including reserves for catastrophe losses, requires regular reevaluation and refinement of estimates to determine our ultimate loss estimate.
At each reporting date, the highest degree of uncertainty in estimates for most of our losses from ongoing businesses arise from claims remaining to be settled for the current accident year and the most recent preceding accident year. The greatest degree of uncertainty exists in the current accident year because the current accident year contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled but must be estimated as of the current reporting date. Most of these losses relate to damaged property such as automobiles and homes, and medical care for injuries from accidents. During the first year after the end of an accident year, a large portion of the total losses for that accident year are settled. When accident year losses paid through the end of the first year following the initial accident year are incorporated into updated actuarial estimates, the trends inherent in the settlement of claims emerge more clearly. Consequently, this is the point in time at which we tend to make our largest reestimates of losses for an accident year. After the second year, the losses that we pay for an accident year typically relate to claims that are more difficult to settle, such as those involving serious injuries or litigation. Private passenger auto insurance provides a good illustration of the uncertainty of future loss estimates: our typical annual percentage payout of reserves remaining at December 31 for an accident year is approximately 45% in the first year after the end of the accident year, 20% in the second year, 15% in the third year, 10% in the fourth year, and the remaining 10% thereafter.
Reserves for catastrophe losses Catastrophe losses are an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance industry that have contributed, and will continue to contribute, to potentially material year-to-year fluctuations in our results of operations and financial position. We define a “catastrophe” as an event that produces pre-tax losses before reinsurance in excess of $1 million and involves multiple first party policyholders, or a winter weather event that produces a number of claims in excess of a preset, per-event threshold of average claims in a specific area, occurring within a certain amount of time following the event. Catastrophes are caused by various natural events including high winds, winter storms and freezes, tornadoes, hailstorms, wildfires, tropical storms, hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes. We are also exposed to man-made catastrophic events, such as
certain types of terrorism or industrial accidents. The nature and level of catastrophes in any period cannot be reliably predicted.
The estimation of claims and claims expense reserves for catastrophe losses also comprises estimates of losses from reported claims and IBNR, primarily for damage to property. In general, our estimates for catastrophe reserves are based on claim adjuster inspections and the application of historical loss development factors as described above. However, depending on the nature of the catastrophe, the estimation process can be further complicated. For example, for hurricanes, complications could include the inability of insureds to promptly report losses, limitations placed on claims adjusting staff affecting their ability to inspect losses, determining whether losses are covered by our homeowners policy (generally for damage caused by wind or wind driven rain) or specifically excluded coverage caused by flood, estimating additional living expenses, and assessing the impact of demand surge, exposure to mold damage, and the effects of numerous other considerations, including the timing of a catastrophe in relation to other events, such as at or near the end of a financial reporting period, which can affect the availability of information needed to estimate reserves for that reporting period. In these situations, we may need to adapt our practices to accommodate these circumstances in order to determine a best estimate of our losses from a catastrophe. For example, to complete estimates for certain areas affected by catastrophes not yet inspected by our claims adjusting staff, or where we believed our historical loss development factors were not predictive, we rely on analysis of actual claim notices received compared to total PIF, as well as visual, governmental and third-party information, including aerial photos, using satellites, aircrafts and drones, area observations, and data on wind speed and flood depth to the extent available.
Potential reserve estimate variability The aggregation of numerous micro-level estimates for each business segment, line of insurance, major components of losses (such as coverages and perils), and major states or groups of states for reported losses and IBNR forms the reserve liability recorded in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. Because of this detailed approach to developing our reserve estimates, there is not a single set of assumptions that determines our reserve estimates at the consolidated level. Given the numerous micro-level estimates for reported losses and IBNR, management does not believe the processes that we follow will produce a statistically credible or reliable actuarial reserve range that would be meaningful. Reserve estimates, by their very nature, are very complex to determine and subject to significant judgment, and do not represent an exact determination for each outstanding claim. Accordingly, as actual claims, paid losses, and case reserve results emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle will be different than previously estimated.
To develop a statistical indication of potential
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reserve variability within reasonably likely possible outcomes, an actuarial technique (stochastic modeling) is applied to the countrywide consolidated data elements for paid losses and paid losses combined with case reserves separately for injury losses, auto physical damage losses, and homeowners losses excluding catastrophe losses. Based on the combined historical variability of the development factors calculated for these data elements, an estimate of the standard error or standard deviation around these reserve estimates is calculated within each accident year for the last twelve years for each type of loss. The variability of these reserve estimates within one standard deviation of the mean (a measure of frequency of dispersion often viewed to be an acceptable level of accuracy) is believed by management to represent a reasonable and statistically probable measure of potential variability. Based on our products and coverages, historical experience, the statistical credibility of our extensive data and stochastic modeling of actuarial chain ladder methodologies used to develop reserve estimates, we estimate that the potential variability of our Allstate Protection reserves, excluding reserves for catastrophe losses, within a reasonable probability of other possible outcomes, may be approximately plus or minus 4%, or plus or minus $900 million in net income applicable to common shareholders. A lower level of variability exists for auto injury losses, which comprise approximately 80% of reserves, due to their relatively stable development patterns over a longer duration of time required to settle claims. Other types of losses, such as auto physical damage, homeowners losses and other personal lines losses, which comprise about 20% of reserves, tend to have greater variability but are settled in a much shorter period of time. Although this evaluation reflects most reasonably likely outcomes, it is possible the final outcome may fall below or above these amounts. Historical variability of reserve estimates is reported in the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Reserves for Michigan and New Jersey unlimited personal injury protection Claims and claims expense reserves include reserves for Michigan mandatory unlimited personal injury protection coverage to insureds involved in qualifying motor vehicle accidents. The administration of this program is through the MCCA, a state-mandated, non-profit association of which all insurers actively writing automobile coverage in Michigan are members.
The process employed to estimate MCCA covered losses involves a number of activities including the comprehensive review and interpretation of MCCA actuarial reports, other MCCA members’ reports and our personal injury protection loss trends which have increased in severity over time. A significant portion of incurred claim reserves can be attributed to a small number of catastrophic claims and thus a large portion of the recoverable is similarly concentrated. We conduct comprehensive claim file reviews to develop case reserve type estimates of specific claims, which inform our view of future claim development and longevity of claimants. Each year, we update the actuarial estimate of our ultimate reserves and
recoverables. We report our paid and unpaid claims based on MCCA requirements. The MCCA develops its own reserving estimates based on its own reserve methodologies, which may not align with our estimations. The MCCA does not provide member companies with its estimate of a company’s claim costs. We continue to update each comprehensive claim file case reserve estimate when there is a significant change in the status of the claimant, or once every three years if there have been no significant changes.
We provide similar personal injury protection coverage in New Jersey for auto policies issued or renewed in New Jersey prior to 1991 that is administered by PLIGA. We use similar actuarial estimating techniques as for the MCCA exposures to estimate loss reserves for unlimited personal injury protection coverage for policies covered by PLIGA. We continue to update our estimates for these claims as the status of claimant’s changes. However, unlimited coverage was no longer offered after 1991; therefore, no new claimants are being added.
Reserve estimates are confidential and proprietary and by their nature are very complex to determine and subject to significant judgments. Reserve estimates do not represent an exact determination for each outstanding claim. Claims may be subject to litigation. As actual claims, paid losses and case reserve results emerge, our estimate of the ultimate cost to settle may be materially greater or less than previously estimated amounts.
For additional information related to indemnification recoverables, see Item 1 - Regulation, Indemnification Programs and Note 11 of the consolidated financial statements.
Adequacy of reserve estimates We believe our net claims and claims expense reserves are appropriately established based on available methodologies, facts, technology, laws and regulations. We calculate and record a single best reserve estimate, in conformance with generally accepted actuarial standards and practices, for each line of insurance, its components (coverages and perils) and state, for reported losses and for IBNR losses, and as a result we believe that no other estimate is better than our recorded amount. Due to the uncertainties involved, the ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates.
Run-off Property-Liability reserve estimates
Characteristics of Run-off exposure Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims arise principally from assumed reinsurance coverage written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s, including reinsurance on primary insurance written on large U.S. companies, and from direct excess commercial insurance written from 1972 through 1985, including substantial excess general liability coverages on large U.S. companies. Additional exposure stems from direct primary commercial insurance written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. Asbestos claims relate primarily to bodily injuries asserted by claimants who were exposed to asbestos or products
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containing asbestos. Environmental claims relate primarily to pollution and related clean-up costs. Other run-off claims exposures primarily relate to general liability and product liability mass tort claims, such as those for medical devices and other products, workers’ compensation claims and claims for various other coverage exposures other than asbestos and environmental.
In 1986, the general liability policy form used by us and others in the property and casualty industry was amended to introduce an “absolute pollution exclusion,” which excluded coverage for environmental damage claims, and to add an asbestos exclusion. Most general liability policies issued prior to 1987 contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage. General liability policies issued in 1987 and thereafter contain annual aggregate limits for product liability coverage and annual aggregate limits for all coverages. Our experience to date is that these policy form changes have limited the extent of our exposure to environmental and asbestos claim risks.
Our exposure to liability for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims losses manifests differently depending on whether it arises from assumed reinsurance coverage, direct excess commercial insurance or direct primary commercial insurance. The direct insurance coverage we provided that covered asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims was substantially “excess” in nature.
Direct excess commercial insurance and reinsurance involve coverage written by us for specific layers of protection above retentions and other insurance plans. The nature of excess coverage and reinsurance provided to other insurers limits our exposure to loss to specific layers of protection in excess of policyholder retention on primary insurance plans. Our exposure is further limited by the significant reinsurance that we had purchased on our direct excess business.
Our assumed reinsurance business involved writing generally small participations in other insurers’ reinsurance programs. The reinsured losses in which we participate may be a proportion of all eligible losses or eligible losses in excess of defined retentions. Of the majority of our assumed reinsurance exposure, approximately 85%, is for excess of loss coverage, while the remaining 15% is for pro-rata coverage.
Our direct primary commercial insurance business did not include coverage to large asbestos manufacturers. This business comprises a cross section of policyholders engaged in many diverse business sectors throughout the country.
How reserve estimates are established and updated We conduct an annual review in the third quarter to evaluate, establish and adjust as necessary, asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims reserves. Changes to reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive methodology determines asbestos reserves based on
assessments of the characteristics of exposure (i.e. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, and determines environmental reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (i.e. environmental damages, respective shares of liability of potentially responsible parties, appropriateness and cost of remediation) to pollution and related clean-up costs. The number and cost of these claims are affected by advertising by trial lawyers seeking asbestos plaintiffs, and entities with asbestos exposure seeking bankruptcy protection as a result of asbestos liabilities, initially causing a delay in the reporting of claims, often followed by an acceleration and an increase in claims and claims expenses as settlements occur.
After evaluating our insureds’ probable liabilities for asbestos and environmental claims, we evaluate our insureds’ coverage programs for such claims. We consider our insureds’ total available insurance coverage, including the coverage we issued. We also consider relevant judicial interpretations of policy language and applicable coverage defenses or determinations, if any.
Evaluation of both the insureds’ estimated liabilities and our exposure to the insureds depends heavily on an analysis of the relevant legal issues and litigation environment. This analysis is conducted by our specialized claims adjusting staff and legal counsel. Based on these evaluations, case reserves are established by claims adjusting staff and actuarial analysis is employed to develop an IBNR reserve, which includes estimated potential reserve development and claims that have occurred but have not been reported. As of December 31, 2021 and 2020, IBNR was 54.8% and 50.3%, respectively, of combined net asbestos and environmental reserves.
For both asbestos and environmental reserves, we also evaluate our historical direct net loss and expense paid and incurred experience to assess any emerging trends, fluctuations or characteristics suggested by the aggregate paid and incurred activity. Other run-off claims reserves are based on considerations similar to those described above, as they relate to the characteristics of specific individual coverage exposures.
Potential reserve estimate variability Establishing Run-off Property-Liability net loss reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims is subject to uncertainties that are much greater than those presented by other types of property and casualty claims. Among the complications are lack of historical data, long reporting delays, uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds with potential exposure and unresolved legal issues regarding policy coverage; unresolved legal issues regarding the determination, availability and timing of exhaustion of policy limits; plaintiffs’ evolving and expanding theories of liability; availability and collectability of recoveries from reinsurance; retrospectively determined premiums and other contractual agreements; estimates of the extent and timing of any contractual liability; the impact of bankruptcy protection sought by
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various asbestos producers and other asbestos defendants; and other uncertainties. There are also complex legal issues concerning the interpretation of various insurance policy provisions and whether those losses are covered, or were ever intended to be covered, and could be recoverable through retrospectively determined premium, reinsurance or other contractual agreements. Courts have reached different and sometimes inconsistent conclusions as to when losses are deemed to have occurred and which policies provide coverage; what types of losses are covered; whether there is an insurer obligation to defend; how policy limits are determined; how policy exclusions and conditions are applied and interpreted; and whether clean-up costs represent insured property damage. Our reserves for asbestos and environmental exposures could be affected by tort reform, class action litigation, and other potential legislation and judicial decisions. Environmental exposures could also be affected by a change in the existing federal Superfund law and similar state statutes. There can be no assurance that any reform legislation will be enacted or that any such legislation will provide for a fair, effective and cost-efficient system for settlement of asbestos or environmental claims. We believe these issues are not likely to be resolved in the near future, and the ultimate costs may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded resulting in material changes in loss reserves. Historical variability of reserve estimates is demonstrated in the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Adequacy of reserve estimates Management believes its net loss reserves for asbestos, environmental and other run-off claims exposures are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws, regulations, and assessments of other pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (i.e. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. Due to the uncertainties and factors described above, management believes it is not practicable to develop a meaningful range for any such additional net loss reserves that may be required.
Further discussion of reserve estimates For further discussion of these estimates and quantification of the impact of reserve estimates, reserve reestimates and assumptions, see Note 9 and Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements and the Claims and Claims Expense Reserves section of the MD&A.
Pension and other postretirement plans net costs and assumptions Our defined benefit pension plans cover most full-time employees, certain part-time employees and employee-agents. Benefits are provided to plan participants based on a cash balance formula. Certain participants have a significant portion of their benefits attributable to a former final average pay formula. 84% of the projected benefit obligation (“PBO”) of our primary qualified employee plan is related to the former final average pay formula. See
Note 18 of the consolidated financial statements for a discussion of these plans and their effect on the consolidated financial statements.
Our pension and other postretirement benefit costs are calculated using various actuarial assumptions and methodologies. These assumptions include discount rates, health care cost trend rates, inflation, expected returns on plan assets, mortality and other factors. The assumptions utilized in recording the obligations under our pension plans represent our best estimates and we believe they are reasonable based on information as to historical experience and performance as well as other factors that might cause future expectations to differ from past trends.
Net costs for our defined benefit plans are recognized on the Consolidated Statements of Operations and consist of two elements: 1) costs comprised of service and interest costs, expected return of plan assets, amortization of prior service credit and curtailment gains and losses which are reported in property and casualty claims and claims expense, operating costs and expenses, net investment income and, if applicable, restructuring and related charges and 2) remeasurement gains and losses comprised of changes in actuarial assumptions and the difference between actual and expected returns on plan assets which are recognized immediately in earnings as part of pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses.
We recognize expected returns on plan assets using an unadjusted fair value method. Our policy is to remeasure our pension and postretirement plans on a quarterly basis. We immediately recognize remeasurement of projected benefit obligation and plan assets in earnings as it provides greater transparency of our economic obligations in accounting results and better aligns the recognition of the effects of economic and interest rate changes on pension and other postretirement plan assets and liabilities in the year in which the gains and losses are incurred.
Differences in actual experience or changes in assumptions affect our pension and other postretirement obligations, plan assets and expenses. The primary factors contributing to pension and postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are 1) changes in the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement obligations as of the measurement date, 2) differences between the expected and the actual return on plan assets and 3) changes in demographic assumptions, including mortality and participant experience.
Pension and other postretirement service cost, interest cost, expected return on plan assets and amortization of prior service credits are allocated to our reportable segments. The pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses are reported in the Corporate and Other segment.
92 www.allstate.com
Application of Critical Accounting Estimates 2021 Form 10-K
| Pension and postretirement benefits remeasurement gains and losses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the years ended December 31, | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of projected benefit obligation (gains) losses: | |||||||||||
| Discount rate | $ | (285) | $ | 553 | $ | 633 | |||||
| Other assumptions | (40) | 282 | 313 | ||||||||
| Remeasurement of plan assets (gains) losses | (319) | (886) | (832) | ||||||||
| Remeasurement (gains) losses | $ | (644) | $ | (51) | $ | 114 |
Impact of assumption changes to net cost for pension and other postretirement plans Remeasurement gains in 2021 primarily related to favorable asset performance compared to the expected return on plan assets and an increase in the liability discount rate. Remeasurement gains in 2020 primarily related to favorable asset performance compared to the expected return on plan assets, partially offset by a decrease in the discount rate and changes in actuarial assumptions.
The discount rate is based on rates at which expected pension benefits attributable to past employee service could effectively be settled on a present value basis at the measurement date. We develop the assumed discount rate by utilizing the weighted average yield of a theoretical dedicated portfolio derived from non-callable bonds and callable bonds with a make-whole provision available in the Bloomberg corporate bond universe having ratings of at least “AA” by S&P or at least “Aa” by Moody’s on the measurement date with cash flows that match expected plan benefit requirements. Significant changes in discount rates, such as those caused by changes in the credit spreads, yield curve, the mix of bonds available in the market, the duration of selected bonds and expected benefit payments, may result in volatility in pension cost. The weighted average discount rate used to measure the benefit obligation increased to 2.93% in 2021 compared to 2.51% in 2020, resulting in gains for 2021.
The expected long-term rate of return on plan assets reflects the average rate of earnings expected on plan assets. While this rate reflects long-term assumptions and is consistent with long-term historical returns, sustained changes in the market or changes in
the mix of plan assets may lead to revisions in the assumed long-term rate of return on plan assets that may result in variability of pension cost. Differences between the actual return on plan assets and the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets are immediately recognized through earnings upon remeasurement. Short-term asset performance can differ significantly from the expected rate of return, especially in volatile markets. In 2021, the actual return on plan assets was higher than the expected return primarily due to strong equity market performance. In 2020, the actual return on plan assets was higher than the expected return primarily due to a decline in interest rates which increased the fair value of our fixed income investments and strong equity market performance.
We complete periodic evaluations of demographic information and historical experience that affects our pension and other postretirement obligations to identify any required changes to long-term actuarial assumptions and methodologies. Demographic assumptions affect both our pension and postretirement plans and include elements such as retirement rates and participation rates in our postretirement programs, among other factors.
These actuarial assumption updates affect our pension and other postretirement obligations and are incorporated into our best estimates of these assumptions. Remeasurement losses for other assumptions in 2020 primarily related to a decrease in lump sum interest rates and changes in the estimated percentage of employees taking lump sum distributions.
| Sensitivity of assumption changes included in the calculation of net cost as of December 31, 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | Basis/percentage point change | Increase (decrease) to net cost | |||
| Pension plans discount rate | +100 basis points | $ | (755) | ||
| -100 basis points | 928 | ||||
| Expected long-term rate of return on assets | +100 basis points | (62) | |||
| -100 basis points | 62 |
The Allstate Corporation 93
2021 Form 10-K
Regulation and Legal Proceedings
We are subject to extensive regulation and we are involved in various legal and regulatory actions, all of which have an effect on specific aspects of our business. For a detailed discussion of the legal and regulatory actions in which we are involved, see Note 15 of the consolidated financial statements.
Pending Accounting Standard
There is a pending accounting standard that we have not implemented because the implementation date has not yet occurred. For a discussion of this pending standard, see Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements.
The effect of implementing certain accounting standards on our financial results and financial condition is often based in part on market conditions at the time of implementation of the standard and other factors we are unable to determine prior to implementation. For this reason, we are sometimes unable to estimate the effect of certain pending accounting standards until the relevant authoritative body finalizes these standards or until we implement them.