Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp (AUB)

ITEM 2 – MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following discussion and analysis provides information about the major components of our results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, and capital resources. This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with our “Consolidated Financial Statements,” our “Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements,” and the other financial data included in this report, as well as our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 (the “2025 Form 10-K”), including the section entitled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” section therein. Our results of operations for the interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results that may be expected for the full year or for any other period. Amounts are rounded for presentation purposes; however, some of the percentages presented are computed based on unrounded amounts.

In the following discussion and analysis, we provide certain financial information determined by methods other than in accordance with GAAP. These non-GAAP financial measures are a supplement to GAAP, which we use to prepare our financial statements, and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for comparable measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. In addition, our non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to non-GAAP financial measures of other companies. We use the non-GAAP financial measures discussed herein in our analysis of our performance. Management believes that these non-GAAP financial measures provide additional understanding of our ongoing operations, enhance the comparability of our results of operations with prior periods and show the effects of significant gains and charges in the periods presented without the impact of items or events that may obscure trends in our underlying performance. Non-GAAP financial measures may be identified with the symbol (+) and may be labeled as adjusted. Refer to the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section within this Item 2 for more information about these non-GAAP financial measures, including a reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

Certain statements in this Quarterly Report may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are statements that include, without limitation, statements regarding our strategic expansion into North Carolina; statements regarding our future ability to recognize the benefits of certain tax assets; business, financial and operating results, including our deposit base and funding; the impact of changes in economic conditions, the interest rate environment, economic, fiscal or trade policy and the potential related impacts on our business and loan demand; management’s beliefs regarding our liquidity, capital resources, asset quality, CRE loan portfolio and our customer relationships; and statements that include other projections, predictions, expectations, or beliefs about future events or results or otherwise are not statements of historical fact. Such forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions as of the time they are made, and are inherently subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors, some of which cannot be predicted or quantified, that may cause actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are often characterized by the use of qualified words (and their derivatives) such as “expect,” “believe,” “estimate,” “plan,” “project,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “will,” “may,” “view,” “opportunity,” “seek to,” “potential,” “continue,” “confidence,” or words of similar meaning or other statements concerning opinions or judgment of the Company and our management about future events. Although we believe that our expectations with respect to forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions within the bounds of our existing knowledge of our business and operations, there can be no assurance that actual future results, performance, or achievements of, or trends affecting, us will not differ materially from any projected future results, performance, achievements or trends expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Actual future results, performance, achievements or trends may differ materially from historical results or those anticipated depending on a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, the effects of or changes in

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More information on factors that could affect our forward-looking statements is discussed throughout Part I, Item 1A. “Risk Factors” and P

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ITEM 7. - MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS.

The following discussion and analysis provides information about the major components of our results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, and capital resources. This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with our “Consolidated Financial Statements,” our “Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements,” and the other financial data included in this report, which include our significant accounting policies, presented in Item 8 “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” contained in this Form 10-K. Amounts are rounded for presentation purposes; however, some of the percentages presented are computed based on unrounded amounts.

In the following discussion and analysis, we provide certain financial information determined by methods other than in accordance with GAAP. These non-GAAP financial measures are a supplement to GAAP, which we use to prepare our financial statements, and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for comparable measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. In addition, our non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to non-GAAP financial measures of other companies. We use the non-GAAP financial measures discussed herein in our analysis of our performance. Management believes that these non-GAAP financial measures provide additional understanding of our ongoing operations, enhance the comparability of our results of operations with prior periods and show the effects of significant gains and charges in the periods presented without the impact of items or events that may obscure trends in our underlying performance. Non-GAAP financial measures may be identified with the symbol (+) and may be labeled as adjusted. Refer to the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section within this Item 7 for more information about these non-GAAP financial measures, including a reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

We prepare our consolidated financial statements based on the application of accounting and reporting policies in accordance with GAAP and general practices within the banking industry. Our financial position and results of operations are affected by management’s application of accounting policies, which require the use of estimates, assumptions, and judgments, which may prove inaccurate or are subject to variations. Changes in underlying factors, estimates, assumptions, or judgements could result in material changes in our consolidated financial position and/or results of operations.

Certain accounting policies inherently have a greater reliance on the use of estimates, assumptions and judgments and, as such, have a greater possibility of producing results that could be materially different than originally reported. We have identified the allowance for loan and lease losses, fair value measurements, valuation of deferred tax assets, and valuation of acquired assets and liabilities as accounting policies that require the most difficult, subjective or complex judgments and, as such, could be most subject to revision as new or additional information becomes available or circumstances change. Therefore, we evaluate these accounting policies and related critical accounting estimates on an ongoing basis and update them as needed. Management has discussed these accounting policies and the critical accounting estimates summarized below with the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors.

We provide additional information about our critical accounting estimates below in “Critical Accounting Estimates” in this Item 7 “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of this Form 10-K.

Our significant accounting policies are discussed in detail in Note 1 “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in the “Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements” contained in Item 8 “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” of this Form 10-K.

Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses

The ALLL represents the estimated balance that we consider adequate to absorb expected credit losses over the expected contractual life of the loan portfolio. We estimate our ALLL using a loan-level probability of default/loss given default methodology for all loans and also consider the need to qualitatively adjust the expected credit losses for information not already captured in the loan-level probability of default/loss given default methodology based on a qualitative framework that adheres to the Interagency Policy Statement on Allowances for Credit Losses.

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Determining the appropriateness of the ALLL is complex and requires judgment by management about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain. Subsequent evaluations of the then-existing loan portfolio, in light of the factors then prevailing, may result in significant changes in the ALLL in future periods. There are both internal factors (i.e., loan balances, credit quality, and the contractual lives of loans) and external factors (i.e., economic conditions such as trends in housing prices, interest rates, gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment) that can impact the ALLL estimate.

We consider a number of external economic variables in developing the ALLL. We consider various national economic variables in developing the ALLL, including the national unemployment rate, national gross domestic product, the national commercial real estate pricing index, the national home price index, and national retail sales. We use the national unemployment rate in all of our models regardless of the loan portfolio type, and we use a second economic variable in each cohort model depending on the loan portfolio type. The ALLL quantitative estimate is sensitive to changes in the economic variable forecasts during the two-year reasonable and supportable forecast period with a straight-line reversion over the next two years to long-term average loss factors. In determining forecasted expected losses, we use Moody’s economic variable forecasts and apply probability weights to the related economic scenarios. Because current economic conditions and forecasts can change and future events are inherently difficult to predict, the anticipated amount of estimated credit losses on loans, and therefore the appropriateness of the ALLL, could change significantly. It is difficult to estimate how potential changes in any one economic factor or input might affect the overall ALLL because we consider a wide variety of factors and inputs in estimating the ALLL and changes in those factors and inputs may not occur at the same rate and may not be consistent across all loan types. Additionally, changes in factors and inputs may be directionally inconsistent, such that an improvement in one factor may offset deterioration in others.

We review the ALLL estimation process regularly for appropriateness as the economic and internal environment are constantly changing. While the ALLL estimate represents our current estimate of expected credit losses, due to uncertainty surrounding internal and external factors, there is potential that the estimate may not be adequate over time to cover credit losses in the portfolio. While we use available information to estimate expected losses on loans, future changes in the ALLL may be necessary based on changes in portfolio composition, portfolio credit quality, economic conditions and/or other factors.

Fair Value Measurements

We measure certain assets and liabilities at fair value on a recurring basis, including securities and derivative instruments. Fair value estimates are inherently subjective and involve significant assumptions, adjustments, and judgment including, among others, discount rates, rates of return on assets, cash flows, default rates, loss rates, terminal values and liquidation values. A significant change in assumptions may result in a significant change in fair value, which in turn, may result in a higher degree of financial statement volatility and could result in a significant impact on our results of operations, financial condition or disclosures of fair value information.

Under ASC 820, Fair Value Measurements, there is a three-level fair value hierarchy that requires the use of inputs that are observable or unobservable, when observable inputs are not available. Observable inputs reflect market data obtained from independent sources, while unobservable inputs reflect our market assumptions. As such, fair value measurements, particularly in level 2 and level 3 of the hierarchy, may require us to use significant assumptions that are subject to change. A change in one assumption could have a significant impact on the fair value estimate and certain assumptions may have offsetting impacts to one another. We prepare a supportable estimate in accordance with ASC 820 but changes in significant assumptions could have a significant impact on our Balance Sheet, Statements of Income, and/or fair value disclosures. For more information on our financial instruments and fair value assessment, refer to Note 1 “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” and Note 14 “Fair Value Measurements” in the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” contained in Item 8 “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” of this Form 10-K.

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Valuation of Deferred Tax Assets

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We account for income taxes in accordance with income tax accounting guidance (ASC 740, Income Taxes). Deferred income tax assets and liabilities are determined using the asset and liability (or balance sheet) method. Under this method, the net deferred tax asset or liability is determined based on the tax effects of the temporary differences between the book and tax basis of the various balance sheet assets and liabilities. Deferred income tax assets are also recorded for any tax attributes, such as net operating loss and tax credit carryforwards. Any changes in tax rates and laws are reflected

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in the period of the enactment date. A valuation allowance against the deferred tax assets is recorded when evidence supports it is more likely than not that some or all of the deferred tax assets will not be realized.

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We determine the realization of deferred tax assets by considering all relevant information, including the impact of recent operating results, future reversals of taxable temporary differences, future taxable income exclusive of reversing temporary differences and carryforwards and tax planning strategies. Determining whether deferred tax assets are realizable is subjective and requires the use of significant judgment.

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For more information on our income taxes, refer to Note 16 “Income Taxes” in the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” contained in Item 8 “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” of this Form 10-K.

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Valuation of Acquired Assets and Liabilities

We account for mergers and acquisitions that qualify as a business combination under ASC 805, Business Combinations, which requires the use of the acquisition method of accounting. Under the acquisition method, we record all identifiable assets acquired, including intangible assets and the liabilities assumed at their fair values as of the acquisition date. Determining fair values of net assets acquired often involves estimates based on third-party valuations, such as appraisals or internal valuations based on discounted cash flow analysis or other valuation techniques. These methodologies are inherently subjective and involve significant assumptions, adjustments, and judgement around the selection of assumptions including, among others, discount rates, future expected cash flows, market conditions, and other future events that are highly subjective in nature and subject to change. The determination of the useful lives over which an intangible asset will be amortize

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