grepcent / static financial knowledge base

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG)

CIK: 0001058090. SIC: 5812 Retail-Eating Places. Latest 10-K as of: 2026-02-04.

SIC breadcrumb: Retail Trade > Eating And Drinking Places > SIC 5812 Retail-Eating Places

SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1058090. Latest filing source: 0001058090-26-000009.

Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.

Selected Fundamentals

MetricValueUnitFYFiled
Revenue11,925,601,000USD20252026-02-04
Net income1,535,761,000USD20252026-02-04
Assets8,994,531,000USD20252026-02-04

Financials

Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-04. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001058090.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.

Flow metrics use full-year FY periods from 10-K/10-K/A filings; balance-sheet metrics use FY-end instants. Free cash flow = operating cash flow - capital expenditures. Missing metrics are omitted rather than fabricated.

Metric2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3,904,384,0004,476,412,0004,864,985,0005,586,369,0005,984,634,0007,547,061,0008,634,652,0009,871,649,00011,313,853,00011,925,601,000
Net income22,938,000176,253,000176,553,000350,158,000355,766,000652,984,000899,101,0001,228,737,0001,534,110,0001,535,761,000
Operating income34,567,000270,794,000258,368,000443,958,000290,164,000804,943,0001,160,403,0001,557,813,0001,916,333,0001,935,798,000
Diluted EPS0.776.176.3112.3812.5222.900.640.891.111.14
Operating cash flow355,160,000468,216,000621,552,000721,632,000663,847,0001,282,081,0001,323,179,0001,783,477,0002,105,076,0002,113,926,000
Capital expenditures258,842,000216,777,000287,390,000333,912,000373,352,000442,475,000479,164,000560,731,000593,603,000666,336,000
Share buybacks836,760,000285,218,000160,937,000190,617,00054,401,000466,462,000830,140,000592,349,0001,001,559,0002,425,516,000
Assets2,026,103,0002,045,692,0002,265,518,0005,104,604,0005,982,896,0006,652,958,0006,927,504,0008,044,362,0009,204,374,0008,994,531,000
Liabilities623,610,000681,247,000824,179,0003,421,578,0003,962,761,0004,355,584,0004,559,481,0004,982,155,0005,548,828,0006,163,924,000
Stockholders' equity1,402,493,0001,364,445,0001,441,339,0001,683,026,0002,020,135,0002,297,374,0002,368,023,0003,062,207,0003,655,546,0002,830,607,000
Cash and cash equivalents87,880,000184,569,000249,953,000480,626,000607,987,000815,374,000384,000,000560,609,000748,537,000350,545,000
Free cash flow96,318,000251,439,000334,162,000387,720,000290,495,000839,606,000844,015,0001,222,746,0001,511,473,0001,447,590,000

Ratios

ROE and ROA use period-end equity/assets. Liabilities / equity uses total liabilities divided by stockholders' equity. Current ratio uses current assets divided by current liabilities when both are reported.

Metric2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net margin0.59%3.94%3.63%6.27%5.94%8.65%10.41%12.45%13.56%12.88%
Operating margin0.89%6.05%5.31%7.95%4.85%10.67%13.44%15.78%16.94%16.23%
Return on equity1.64%12.92%12.25%20.81%17.61%28.42%37.97%40.13%41.97%54.26%
Return on assets1.13%8.62%7.79%6.86%5.95%9.81%12.98%15.27%16.67%17.07%
Liabilities / equity0.440.500.572.031.961.901.931.631.522.18
Current ratio1.851.941.811.611.731.581.281.571.521.23

Financial Charts

Quarterly

Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-04-30. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001058090.json.

Flow metrics use discrete quarter-length periods from 10-Q/10-Q/A filings. Q4 revenue and net income are derived only when annual FY and nine-month YTD facts exist for the same fiscal year; derived Q4 values are labeled. EPS Q4 is not derived.

QuarterEnd DateRevenueNet IncomeDiluted EPSMethod
2022-Q22022-06-309.25reported discrete quarter
2022-Q32022-09-309.20reported discrete quarter
2023-Q12023-03-3110.50reported discrete quarter
2023-Q22023-03-31291,644,000reported discrete quarter
2023-Q22023-06-302,514,801,00012.32reported discrete quarter
2023-Q32023-06-30341,790,000reported discrete quarter
2023-Q32023-09-302,471,948,00011.32reported discrete quarter
2023-Q42023-12-312,516,320,000282,086,000derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD
2024-Q12024-03-312,701,848,000359,287,00013.01reported discrete quarter
2024-Q22024-03-31359,287,000reported discrete quarter
2024-Q22024-06-302,973,117,0000.33reported discrete quarter
2024-Q32024-06-30455,671,000reported discrete quarter
2024-Q32024-09-302,793,576,0000.28reported discrete quarter
2024-Q42024-12-312,845,310,000331,764,000derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD
2025-Q12025-03-312,875,253,000386,599,0000.28reported discrete quarter
2025-Q22025-03-31386,599,000reported discrete quarter
2025-Q22025-06-303,063,393,0000.32reported discrete quarter
2025-Q32025-06-30436,127,000reported discrete quarter
2025-Q32025-09-303,003,444,0000.29reported discrete quarter
2025-Q42025-12-312,983,511,000330,932,000derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD
2026-Q12026-03-313,088,242,000302,824,0000.23reported discrete quarter

Quarterly Charts

Macro Cross-References

Latest quarter (10-Q)

Latest 10-Q source: 0001058090-26-000028.

Extracted structurally from real Item 2 body heading to real Item 3/4 boundary. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2026-04-30. Report date: 2026-03-31.

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this report are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements about the number of new restaurants we expect to open in 2026, and the number with Chipotlanes, the number of new international partner-operated restaurants we expect to open, our anticipated comparable restaurant sales for 2026, the expected impact of tariffs on our food, beverage and packaging costs during the 2026 second quarter and on an ongoing basis, our expectation to generate positive cash flow for the foreseeable future, our expectations for utilization of cash flow from operations, our ability to manage prices, risks and volatility in our supply chain, our plans for continuing stock buybacks and the volume of buybacks, and the period of time during which our cash and short-term investment will fund our operations. We use words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “could”, “should”, “may”, “approximately”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “project”, “target”, "goal" and similar terms and phrases, including references to assumptions, to identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this report are based on currently available operating, financial and competitive information available to us as of the date of this filing and we assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the statements, including but not limited to: wage inflation and state or local regulations mandating higher minimum wages; the competitive labor market, which impacts our ability to attract and retain qualified employees; the impact of any union organizing efforts and our responses to such efforts; increases in ingredient and other operating costs due to inflation, global conflicts, severe weather, our Food with Integrity philosophy, tariffs or trade restrictions; intermittent supply shortages relating to our Food with Integrity philosophy, rapid expansion and supply chain disruptions; risks of food safety incidents and food-borne illnesses; our reliance on certain information technology systems and potential material failures, interruptions or outages; risks that our investments in new technology and technological innovations may not generate returns; privacy and cyber security risks, including breaches, unauthorized access, theft, modification, destruction or ransom of guest or employee personal or confidential information stored on our network or the network of third party providers; the impact of competition, including from sources outside the restaurant industry; the impact of government regulations relating to our employees, employment practices, restaurant design and construction, and the sale of food or alcoholic beverages; our ability to achieve our planned growth, such as the costs and availability of suitable new restaurant sites, construction materials and contractors and restaurant equipment; the expected costs and risks related to our international expansion, including through partner-operated restaurants in the Middle East, Asia and Mexico; our ability to achieve expected levels of comparable restaurant sales due to factors such as changes in guests' perceptions of our brand, including as a result of negative publicity or social media posts and decreased consumer spending, or the inability to increase menu prices or realize the benefits of menu price increases; failure to meet market expectations for our financial performance or any announced guidance and the impact thereof; the potential impact of activist shareholder actions or tactics; failure to attract or retain key executive talent; the impact of our brand, marketing, promotional, advertising and pricing strategies, digital platform and menu innovations; our reliance on third party delivery services and the IT infrastructure; litigation risks, including possible governmental actions and potential class action litigation related to food safety incidents, cybersecurity incidents, employment or privacy laws, advertising claims, contract disputes or other matters. In addition, many of the foregoing risks and uncertainties are, or could be, exacerbated by any worsening of the global business and macroeconomic environment. These statements also are subject to other risk factors described from time to time in our SEC reports, including our annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, all of which are available on the investor relations page of our website at ir.Chipotle.com.

As of March 31, 2026, we owned 3,983 Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States and 107 international Chipotle restaurants. Additionally, we had 14 international partner-operated restaurants. We manage our U.S. operations based on 12 regions and aggregate our operations to one reportable segment.

Throughout “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” we discuss the following key operating metrics which we believe will drive our financial results and long-term growth model. We believe these metrics are useful to investors because management uses these metrics to assess the growth of our business and the effectiveness of our marketing and operational strategies:

•Comparable restaurant sales

•Food, beverage, and packaging as a percentage of total revenue

•Labor as a percentage of total revenue

•Occupancy as a percentage of total revenue

•Other operating costs as a percentage of total revenue

•New restaurant openings

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First Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights, year-over-year:

•Total revenue increased 7.4% to $3.1 billion

•Comparable restaurant sales increased 0.5%

•Diluted earnings per share was $0.23, a 17.9% decrease from $0.28

Sales Trends. Comparable restaurant sales increased 0.5% for the three months ended March 31, 2026. The increase is attributable to an increase in transactions of 0.6%, partially offset by a 0.1% decrease in average check. Comparable restaurant sales represent the change in period-over-period total revenue for company-owned restaurants in operation for at least 13 full calendar months. Digital sales represented 38.6% of total food and beverage revenue. For full-year 2026, management is anticipating comparable restaurant sales to be about flat.

Restaurant Development. During the three months ended March 31, 2026, we opened 49 company-owned restaurants, which included 42 restaurants with a Chipotlane. We expect to open approximately 350 to 370 restaurants in 2026, which includes 10 to 15 international partner-operated restaurants. We expect around 80% of our new company-owned restaurants will include a Chipotlane.

Restaurant Activity

The following table details company-owned restaurant unit data for the periods indicated.

Three months ended March 31,
20262025
Beginning of period4,0423,726
Openings4957
Permanent closures(1)(2)
Total at end of period4,0903,781

The following table details partner-operated restaurant unit data for the periods indicated.

Three months ended March 31,
20262025
Beginning of period143
Openings-2
Total at end of period145

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Results of Operations

Our results of operations as a percentage of total revenue and period-over-period change are discussed in the following section.

Revenue

Three months ended March 31,Percentage
20262025change
(dollars in millions)
Food and beverage revenue$3,072.7$2,859.87.4%
Delivery service revenue15.515.40.6%
Total revenue$3,088.2$2,875.37.4%
Average restaurant sales (1)$3.094$3.186(2.9%)
Comparable restaurant sales increase/(decrease)0.5%(0.4%)
Transactions0.6%(2.3%)
Average check(0.1%)1.9%
Menu price increase0.9%2.9%
Check mix(1.0%)(1.0%)

(1)Average restaurant sales refers to the average trailing 12-month food and beverage revenue for company-owned restaurants in operation for at least 12 full calendar months.

The following is a summary of the change in restaurant sales for the period indicated:

Three months ended
(dollars in millions)
For the period ended March 31, 2025$2,875.3
Change from:
Comparable restaurant sales14.0
Restaurants not yet in comparable base opened in 202614.1
Restaurants not yet in comparable base opened in 2025192.0
Closures(9.1)
Other1.9
For the period ended March 31, 2026$3,088.2

Food, Beverage and Packaging Costs

Three months ended March 31,Percentage
20262025change
(dollars in millions)
Food, beverage and packaging$913.3$838.48.9%
As a percentage of total revenue29.6%29.2%0.4%

Food, beverage and packaging costs increased 0.4% as a percentage of total revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025. The increase was driven by 0.9% of inflation, primarily from beef and freight, and 0.4% of higher produce usage. These increases were partially offset by 0.7% of lower dairy and avocado costs and, to a lesser extent, a 0.3% benefit from menu price increases.

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Labor Costs

Three months ended March 31,Percentage
20262025change
(dollars in millions)
Labor costs$805.4$718.212.1%
As a percentage of total revenue26.1%25.0%1.1%

Labor costs increased 1.1% as a percentage of total revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025. The increase was primarily driven by a 0.4% impact from costs related to certain legal proceedings, 0.3% from wage inflation, 0.3% from lower average restaurant sales volumes, and 0.2% from higher benefits expense, including performance-based bonuses. These increases were partially offset by a 0.2% benefit from menu price increases.

Occupancy Costs

Three months ended March 31,Percentage
20262025change
(dollars in millions)
Occupancy costs$169.9$149.813.4%
As a percentage of total revenue5.5%5.2%0.3%

Occupancy costs increased 0.3% as a percentage of total revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025. The increase was due to 0.2% of expense associated with new restaurants and 0.1% of expense from existing restaurants.

Other Operating Costs

Three months ended March 31,Percentage
20262025change
(dollars in millions)
Other operating costs$480.6$415.215.8%
As a percentage of total revenue15.6%14.4%1.2%

Other operating costs increased 1.2% as a percentage of total revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025. The increase was due to the impact from several items, primarily 0.4% increase in marketing and promotional activities, 0.2% increase in utilities, and 0.2% higher delivery expense associated wit

[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]

Latest 10-K MD&A

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2026-02-04. Report date: 2025-12-31.

ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

You should read the following discussion together with our consolidated financial statements and related notes included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This section of the Form 10-K generally discusses 2025 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2025 to 2024. Discussions of 2023 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2024 and 2023 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 on our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024. The discussion contains forward-looking statements involving risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause our results to differ materially from expectations. See “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements.” Factors that might cause such differences include those described in Item 1A. “Risk Factors”, 7A. "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk", and elsewhere in this report.

Overview

As of December 31, 2025, we owned 3,938 Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, and 104 international Chipotle restaurants. Additionally, we had 14 international partner-operated restaurants. We manage our U.S. operations based on 11 regions and aggregate our operations to one reportable segment.

Throughout “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” we discuss the following key operating metrics which we believe will drive our financial results and long-term growth model. We believe these metrics are useful to investors because management uses these metrics to assess the growth of our business and the effectiveness of our marketing and operational strategies:

•Comparable restaurant sales

•Food, beverage, and packaging as a percentage of total revenue

•Labor as a percentage of total revenue

•Occupancy as a percentage of total revenue

•Other operating costs as a percentage of total revenue

•New restaurant openings

2025 Financial Highlights, year-over-year:

•Total revenue increased 5.4% to $11.9 billion

•Comparable restaurant sales decreased 1.7%

•Diluted earnings per share was $1.14, a 2.7% increase from $1.11

Sales Trends. Comparable restaurant sales decreased 1.7% for the year ended December 31, 2025. The decrease is attributable to lower transactions of 2.9%, partially offset by a 1.2% increase in average check. Comparable restaurant sales represent the change in period-over-period total revenue for company-owned restaurants in operation for at least 13 full calendar months. Digital sales represented 36.7% of total food and beverage revenue. For 2026, management is anticipating comparable restaurant sales to be about flat.

Restaurant Development. During the year ended December 31, 2025, we opened 334 company-owned restaurants, which included 257 restaurants with a Chipotlane. We expect to open approximately 350 to 370 restaurants in 2026, which includes 10 to 15 international partner-operated restaurants. We expect around 80% of our new company-owned restaurants will include a Chipotlane.

Partner-Operated Restaurants. During the year ended December 31, 2025, 11 partner-operated restaurants were opened in the Middle East.

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Restaurant Activity

The following table details company-owned restaurant unit data for the years indicated.

Year ended December 31,
20252024
Beginning of period3,7263,437
Openings334304
Permanent closures(13)(7)
Relocations(5)(8)
Total at end of period4,0423,726

The following table details partner-operated restaurant unit data for the years indicated.

Year ended December 31,
20252024
Beginning of period3-
Openings113
Total at end of period143

Results of Operations

Our results of operations as a percentage of total revenue and period-over-period change are discussed in the following section.

Revenue

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
Food and beverage revenue$11,866.1$11,247.45.5%
Delivery service revenue59.666.5(10.4%)
Total revenue$11,925.6$11,313.95.4%
Average restaurant sales (1)$3.104$3.213(3.4%)
Comparable restaurant sales increase/(decrease)(1.7%)7.4%
Transactions(2.9%)5.3%
Average check1.2%2.1%
Menu price increase2.1%2.9%
Check mix(0.9%)(0.8%)

(1)Average restaurant sales refers to the average trailing 12-month food and beverage revenue for company-owned restaurants in operation for at least 12 full calendar months.

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The following is a summary of the change in restaurant sales for the period indicated:

Year ended
(dollars in millions)
For the period ended December 31, 2024$11,313.9
Change from:
Comparable restaurant sales(191.3)
Restaurants not yet in comparable base opened in 2025327.0
Restaurants not yet in comparable base opened in 2024481.8
Closures(31.6)
Other (1)25.8
For the period ended December 31, 2025$11,925.6

(1)Other includes the impact of gift card breakage adjustments, as $20.1 million of additional gift card breakage revenue was recorded during the year ended December 31, 2025 as compared to the year ended December 31, 2024.

Food, Beverage and Packaging Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
Food, beverage and packaging$3,527.0$3,374.54.5%
As a percentage of total revenue29.6%29.8%(0.2%)

Food, beverage and packaging costs decreased 0.2% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the year ended December 31, 2024. The decrease was primarily due to a 0.6% benefit from menu price increases and, to a lesser extent, cost of sales efficiencies. These decreases were partially offset by 0.4% of inflation, primarily beef and chicken, and a 0.2% impact from tariffs enacted in 2025.

We estimate that the tariffs enacted in 2025 will impact food, beverage and packaging costs by about 15 basis points on an ongoing basis. These estimates could vary based on future tariff policy changes.

Labor Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
Labor costs$2,991.7$2,789.87.2%
As a percentage of total revenue25.1%24.7%0.4%

Labor costs increased 0.4% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the year ended December 31, 2024. The increase was primarily due to a 0.7% impact from lower sales volumes and 0.4% from restaurant wage inflation. This increase is partially offset by a 0.5% benefit from menu price increases.

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Occupancy Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
Occupancy costs$624.9$563.410.9%
As a percentage of total revenue5.2%5.0%0.2%

Occupancy costs increased 0.2% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the year ended December 31, 2024. The increase was due to the impact from lower sales volumes, as a 0.1% benefit from menu price increases was offset by expenses associated with new restaurants.

Other Operating Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
Other operating costs$1,755.8$1,568.511.9%
As a percentage of total revenue14.7%13.9%0.8%

Other operating costs increased 0.8% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the year ended December 31, 2024. The increase was due to the impact from several items, primarily 0.5% of higher marketing and promotional activities, 0.2% of lower sales volumes, and 0.2% of inflation in natural gas and electricity. This increase was partially offset by a 0.2% benefit from menu price increases.

General and Administrative Expenses

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
General and administrative expenses$652.0$697.5(6.5%)
As a percentage of total revenue5.5%6.2%(0.7%)

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The following is a summary of the change in general and administrative expenses for the period indicated:

Year ended
(dollars in millions)
For the period ended December 31, 2024$697.5
Change from:
Stock-based compensation, excluding August 2024 retention awards(31.8)
Performance bonuses(28.0)
Legal contingencies(22.5)
Conferences, primarily biennial All Managers’ Conference(16.2)
Legal services4.3
Outside services related to corporate initiatives11.1
Wages17.6
Stock-based compensation, August 2024 retention awards17.7
Other2.4
For the period ended December 31, 2025$652.0

Depreciation and Amortization

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
Depreciation and amortization$361.4$335.07.9%
As a percentage of total revenue3.0%3.0%-%

Depreciation and amortization remained flat as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the year ended December 31, 2024. Increased depreciation expense associated with existing restaurants and the impact from lower sales volumes was offset by the benefit of menu price increases.

Interest and Other Income, Net

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
Interest and other income, net$73.7$93.9(21.5%)
As a percentage of total revenue0.6%0.8%(0.2%)

Interest and other income, net decreased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the year ended December 31, 2024, primarily due to lower investment balances in U.S. Treasury securities and money market funds and decreased interest income due to lower interest rates in the current year.

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Provision for Income Taxes

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20252024change
(dollars in millions)
Provision for income taxes$473.8$476.1(0.5%)
Effective income tax rate23.6%23.7%(0.1%)

The effective income tax rate decreased 0.1% for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the year ended December 31, 2024, primarily due to increases in U.S. federal income tax credits of 0.3% and lower nondeductible expenses of 0.2%. These decreases were partially offset by a 0.4% reduction in tax benefits related to option exercises and equity vesting.

Quarterly Financial Data/Seasonality

Seasonal factors cause our profitability to fluctuate from quarter to quarter. Historically, our average daily restaurant sales and net income are lower in the first and fourth quarters due, in part, to the holiday season and because fewer people eat out during periods of inclement weather (the winter months) than during periods of mild or warm weather (the spring, summer and fall months). Other factors also have a seasonal effect on our results. For example, restaurants located near colleges and universities generally do more business during the academic year. Seasonal factors, however, might be moderated or outweighed by other factors that may influence our quarterly results, such as unexpected publicity impacting our business in a positive or negative way, disease outbreak, epidemic or endemic, the impact of inflation and consumer sentiment on consumer spending, fluctuations in food or packaging costs, the timing of holidays, or the timing of menu price increases or promotional activities and other marketing initiatives. The number of trading days in a quarter can also affect our results, although, on an overall annual basis, changes in trading days do not have a significant impact.

Our quarterly results are also affected by other factors such as the amount and timing of non-cash stock-based compensation expense and related tax rate impacts, litigation, settlement costs and related legal expenses, impairment charges and non-operating costs, timing of marketing or promotional expenses, the number and timing of new restaurants opened in a quarter, and closure of restaurants. New restaurants typically have higher operating costs following opening because of the expenses associated with their opening and operating inefficiencies in the months immediately following opening. Accordingly, results for a particular quarter are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for any other quarter or for any year.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Cash and Investments

As of December 31, 2025, we had a cash and marketable investments balance of $1.1 billion, non-marketable investments of $106.0 million, and $35.4 million of restricted cash. After funding the current operations in our restaurants and support centers, the first planned use of our cash flow from operations is to provide capital for the continued investment in new restaurant construction. In addition to continuing to invest in our restaurant expansion, we expect to utilize cash flow from operations to: repurchase additional shares of our common stock subject to market conditions; invest in, maintain, and refurbish our existing restaurants; and for general corporate purposes. As of December 31, 2025, $1.7 billion remained available for repurchases of shares of our common stock. Under the remaining repurchase authorizations, shares may be purchased from time to time in open market transactions, subject to market conditions.

Borrowing Capacity

As of December 31, 2025, we had $500.0 million of undrawn borrowing capacity under a revolving credit facility.

Use of Cash

We believe that cash from operations, together with our cash and investment balances, will be sufficient to meet ongoing capital expenditures, working capital requirements and other cash needs for the foreseeable future. Assuming no significant declines in comparable restaurant sales, we expect we will generate positive cash flow for the foreseeable future.

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We have not required significant working capital because guests generally pay using cash or credit and debit cards and because our operations do not require significant receivables or significant inventories, partly due to our use of various fresh ingredients. In addition, we generally have the right to pay for the purchase of food, beverages and supplies sometime after the receipt of those items, generally within ten days, thereby reducing the need for incremental working capital to support our growth.

Our total capital expenditures for 2025 were $666.3 million. In 2025, we spent on average about $1.5 million in development and construction costs per new restaurant, or about $1.3 million net of landlord reimbursements of $0.2 million. In 2026, we expect to incur about $834.1 million in total capital expenditures. We expect approximately $531.8 million in capital expenditures related to our construction of new restaurants, before any reductions for landlord reimbursements. We expect the average investment cost for new restaurants opening in 2026 will be slightly higher than the average investment costs for those opened in 2025. We expect approximately $266.9 million in capital expenditures related to investments in existing restaurants including remodeling and similar improvements, new equipment and hardware, and technology to optimize efficiencies. Finally, we expect a portion of our incurred capital expenditures to be for additional corporate initiatives including investments in technology to boost innovation, enhance the guest experience, and improve operations.

The following table summarizes current and long-term material cash requirements as of December 31, 2025, which we expect to fund primarily with operating cash flows:

Payments Due by Fiscal Year
Total20262027-20282029-2030Thereafter
(dollars in millions)
Operating leases(1)$8,309$569$1,228$1,157$5,355
Purchase obligations(2)1,8871,1357013417
Total$10,196$1,704$1,929$1,191$5,372

(1)See Note 9. “Leases” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This includes commitments related to reasonably certain renewal periods for leases that have commenced and includes legally binding lease payments for leases signed but not yet commenced.

(2)Purchase obligations include agreements to purchase goods or services that are enforceable and legally binding on us and that specify all significant terms. We have excluded agreements that are cancellable without penalty. The majority of our purchase obligations relate to food, beverage and packaging, capital projects, information technology, marketing initiatives and corporate sponsorships, and other miscellaneous items.

The above table does not include income tax liabilities for uncertain tax positions for which we are not able to make a reasonably reliable estimate of the amount and period of related future payments. Additionally, we have excluded our estimated loss contingencies, due to uncertainty regarding the timing and amount of payment. See Note 11. “Commitments and Contingencies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

Cash Flows

Cash provided by operating activities was $2.1 billion for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $2.1 billion for the year ended December 31, 2024. The balance was flat as an increase in operating cash flows due to the timing of tax-related payments, including the impacts of H.R.1 - One Big Beautiful Bill Act, was offset by other changes in non-tax operating assets and liabilities.

Cash used in investing activities was $35.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $837.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2024. The change was primarily associated with an $895.3 million decrease in investment purchases net of investment maturities. This was partially offset by increased capital expenditures of $72.7 million primarily related to costs associated with new restaurant development.

Cash used in financing activities was $2.5 billion for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $1.1 billion for the year ended December 31, 2024. The change was primarily due to increased repurchases of common stock of $1.4 billion.

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Critical Accounting Estimates

We describe our significant accounting policies in Note 1. “Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Critical accounting estimates are those that we believe are both significant and that require us to make difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because we need to estimate the effect of inherently uncertain matters. We base our estimates and judgments on historical experiences and various other factors that we believe to be appropriate under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates, and we might obtain different estimates if we used different assumptions or factors.

Leases

The majority of our operating leases consist of restaurant locations and office space. We determine if a contract contains a lease at inception. Our leases generally have remaining terms of 1-20 years and most include options to extend the leases for additional 5-year periods. Generally, the lease term is the minimum of the noncancelable period of the lease or the lease term inclusive of reasonably certain renewal periods up to a term of 20 years. If the estimate of our reasonably certain lease term was changed, our depreciation and rent expense could differ materially.

Operating lease assets and liabilities are recognized at the lease commencement date, which is the date we control the use of the property. Operating lease liabilities represent the present value of lease payments not yet paid. We made the policy election to combine lease and non-lease components. We consider fixed common area maintenance (“CAM”) part of our fixed future lease payments; therefore, fixed CAM is also included in our operating lease liability. Operating lease assets represent our right to use an underlying asset and are based upon the operating lease liabilities adjusted for initial direct costs, lease incentives, and impairment of operating lease assets. To determine the present value of lease payments not yet paid, we estimate incremental borrowing rates corresponding to the reasonably certain lease term. As we have no outstanding debt, we estimate this rate based on prevailing financial market conditions, comparable company and credit analysis, and management judgment. If the estimate of our incremental borrowing rate was changed, our operating lease assets and liabilities could differ materially.

Impairment of Long-Lived Assets

Long-lived assets are reviewed for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. Long-lived assets are grouped at the lowest level for which identifiable cash flows are largely independent of the cash flows of other assets and liabilities. For restaurant assets, we test impairment at the individual restaurant asset group level, which includes leasehold improvements, property and equipment and operating lease assets.

The fair value measurement for asset impairment is generally based on Level 3 inputs. We first compare the carrying value of the asset (or asset group, referred interchangeably throughout as asset) to the asset’s estimated future undiscounted cash flows. If the estimated undiscounted future cash flows are less than the carrying value of the asset, we determine if we have an impairment loss by comparing the carrying value of the asset to the asset's estimated fair value. The estimated fair value of the asset is generally determined using the income approach to measure the fair value, which is based on the present value of estimated future cash flows. Key inputs to the income approach for restaurant assets include the discount rate, projected revenue and expenses, and sublease income to the extent applicable. In certain cases, management uses other market information, when available, to estimate the fair value of an asset. The impairment charges represent the excess of each asset’s carrying amount over its estimated fair value and are allocated among the long-lived asset or assets of the group.

Our estimates of future revenues and expenses are highly subjective judgments based on internal projections and knowledge of our operations, historical performance, and trends in sales and restaurant operating costs, and can be significantly impacted by changes in our business or economic conditions. The determination of asset fair value is also subject to significant judgment and utilizes valuation techniques including discounting estimated future cash flows and market-based analyses to determine fair value. If our estimates or underlying assumptions, including discount rate and sublease income change in the future, our operating results may be materially impacted.

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Stock-based Compensation

We recognize compensation expense for equity awards over the requisite service period based on the award’s fair value. Under our stock incentive plans, we issue stock-only stock appreciation rights ("SOSARs"), restricted stock units ("RSUs"), and performance stock units ("PSUs"). We use the Black-Scholes valuation model to determine the fair value of our SOSARs, and we use a Monte Carlo simulation model to determine the fair value of PSUs that contain market conditions. Both of these models require assumptions to be made regarding our stock price volatility, the expected life of the award and expected dividend rates. The volatility and the expected life assumptions are based on our historical data. Similarly, the compensation expense of PSUs is based in part on the estimated probability of achieving levels of performance associated with particular levels of payout for PSUs. We determine the probability of achievement of future levels of performance by comparing the relevant performance level with our internal estimates of future performance. Those estimates are based on a number of assumptions, including but not limited to growth in restaurant cash flow dollars, average restaurant level operating margin, and growth in new restaurant openings, and different assumptions may have resulted in different conclusions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance relevant to the payout levels for the awards. If we change our estimates of stock price volatility or expected lives of our SOSARs, or if we change our assumptions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance with respect to PSUs, our stock-based compensation expense and results of operations may be materially impacted.

Income Taxes

Our provision for income taxes, deferred tax assets and liabilities and any related valuation allowance requires the use of estimates based on our management’s interpretation and application of complex tax laws and accounting guidance. The majority of our income tax liability is incurred in the U.S. We establish reserves for uncertain tax positions for material, known tax exposures relating to deductions, transactions and other matters involving some uncertainty as to the measurement and recognition of the item. We may adjust these reserves when our judgment changes as a result of the evaluation of new information not previously available and will be reflected in the period in which the new information is available, or due to the expiration of any applicable statute of limitations. While we believe that our reserves are adequate, issues raised by a tax authority may be resolved at an amount different than the related reserve and could materially increase or decrease our income tax provision in future periods.

MD&A history

Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.

FY 2024 10-K MD&A

SEC filing source: 0001058090-25-000014.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2025-02-05. Report date: 2024-12-31.

ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

You should read the following discussion together with our consolidated financial statements and related notes included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This section of the Form 10-K generally discusses 2024 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2024 to 2023. Discussions of 2022 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2023 and 2022 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 on our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023. The discussion contains forward-looking statements involving risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause our results to differ materially from expectations. See “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements.” Factors that might cause such differences include those described in Item 1A. “Risk Factors”, 7A. "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk", and elsewhere in this report.

Overview

As of December 31, 2024, we owned 3,644 Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, and 82 international Chipotle restaurants. Additionally, we had three international licensed restaurants. We manage our U.S. operations based on ten regions and aggregate our operations to one reportable segment.

Throughout “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” we commonly discuss the following key operating metrics which we believe will drive our financial results and long-term growth model. We believe these metrics are useful to investors because management uses these metrics to assess the growth of our business and the effectiveness of our marketing and operational strategies:

•Comparable restaurant sales

•Food, beverage, and packaging as a percentage of total revenue

•Labor as a percentage of total revenue

•Occupancy as a percentage of total revenue

•Other operating costs as a percentage of total revenue

•New restaurant openings

2024 Financial Highlights, year-over-year:

•Total revenue increased 14.6% to $11.3 billion

•Comparable restaurant sales increased 7.4%

•Diluted earnings per share was $1.11, a 24.7% increase from $0.89

Sales Trends. Comparable restaurant sales increased 7.4% for the year ended December 31, 2024. The increase is attributable to higher transactions of 5.3% and a 2.1% increase in average check. Comparable restaurant sales represent the change in period-over-period total revenue for restaurants in operation for at least 13 full calendar months. Digital sales represented 35.1% of total food and beverage revenue. For 2025, management is anticipating comparable restaurant sales growth in the low to mid-single digit range.

Restaurant Development. During the year ended December 31, 2024, we opened 304 restaurants, which included 257 restaurants with a Chipotlane. We expect to open approximately 315 to 345 company-owned restaurants in 2025. We expect that at least 80% of our new company-owned restaurants will include a Chipotlane.

Licensing. During the year ended December 31, 2024, three licensed restaurants were opened in the Middle East.

Cultivate Next Fund. Our Cultivate Next Fund is a venture formed to make early-stage investments into strategically aligned companies that further our purpose to Cultivate a Better World. The Fund is authorized to invest up to $100.0 million, which is financed almost entirely by Chipotle. As of December 31, 2024, we have made $63.0 million in investments through this Fund.

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Restaurant Activity

The following table details company-owned restaurant unit data for the years indicated.

Year ended December 31,
20242023
Beginning of period3,4373,187
Chipotle openings304270
Non-Chipotle openings-1
Chipotle permanent closures(7)(3)
Chipotle relocations(8)(12)
Non-Chipotle permanent closures-(6)
Total at end of period3,7263,437

The following table details licensed restaurant unit data for the years indicated.

Year ended December 31,
20242023
Beginning of period--
Licensed restaurant openings3-
Total at end of period3-

Results of Operations

Our results of operations as a percentage of total revenue and period-over-period change are discussed in the following section.

Revenue

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
Food and beverage revenue$11,247.4$9,804.114.7%
Delivery service revenue66.567.5(1.6%)
Total revenue$11,313.9$9,871.614.6%
Average restaurant sales (1)$3.213$3.0186.5%
Comparable restaurant sales increase7.4%7.9%
Transactions5.3%5.0%
Average check2.1%2.9%
Menu price increase2.9%5.2%
Check mix(0.8%)(2.3%)

(1)Average restaurant sales refers to the average trailing 12-month food and beverage revenue for restaurants in operation for at least 12 full calendar months.

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The following is a summary of the change in restaurant sales for the period indicated:

Year ended
(dollars in millions)
For the period ended December 31, 2023$9,871.6
Change from:
Comparable restaurant sales695.4
Restaurants not yet in comparable base opened in 2024290.4
Restaurants not yet in comparable base opened in 2023453.7
Other2.8
For the period ended December 31, 2024$11,313.9

Food, Beverage and Packaging Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
Food, beverage and packaging$3,374.5$2,912.615.9%
As a percentage of total revenue29.8%29.5%0.3%

Food, beverage and packaging costs increased 0.3% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the year ended December 31, 2023. The increase was due to higher usage of ingredients as we focused on ensuring consistent and generous portions, inflation across several ingredient costs, primarily avocados, and a protein mix shift from the Smoked Brisket limited time offering and a Braised Beef Barbacoa marketing initiative. This increase was partially offset by a 1.0% benefit from menu price increases.

Labor Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
Labor costs$2,789.8$2,441.014.3%
As a percentage of total revenue24.7%24.7%-%

Labor costs remained flat as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the year ended December 31, 2023. The 1.1% benefit from sales leverage was mostly offset by 0.9% due to restaurant wage inflation, of which 0.4% was due to minimum wage increases for our restaurants in California.

Occupancy Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
Occupancy costs$563.4$503.311.9%
As a percentage of total revenue5.0%5.1%(0.1%)

Occupancy costs decreased 0.1% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to 0.3% of sales leverage partially offset by 0.2% of increased occupancy expense, of which 0.1% was associated with existing restaurants and 0.1% was associated with new restaurants.

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Other Operating Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
Other operating costs$1,568.5$1,428.79.8%
As a percentage of total revenue13.9%14.5%(0.6%)

Other operating costs decreased 0.6% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to 0.5% of sales leverage and 0.2% of lower delivery expenses.

General and Administrative Expenses

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
General and administrative expenses$697.5$633.610.1%
As a percentage of total revenue6.2%6.4%(0.2%)

The following is a summary of the change in general and administrative expenses for the period indicated:

Year ended
(dollars in millions)
For the period ended December 31, 2023$633.6
Change from:
Wages20.5
Conferences, primarily the biennial All Managers’ Conference17.7
Legal contingencies16.6
Outside services related to corporate initiatives8.1
Stock-based compensation5.3
Restructuring costs(6.5)
Other2.2
For the period ended December 31, 2024$697.5

Impairment, Closure Costs, and Asset Disposals

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
Impairment, closure costs, and asset disposals$26.9$38.4(29.8%)
As a percentage of total revenue0.2%0.4%(0.2%)

Impairment, closure costs, and asset disposals decreased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to a gain on the sale of corporate equipment and higher charges related to the replacement of certain leasehold improvements in the comparable period.

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Interest and Other Income, Net

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
Interest and other income, net$93.9$62.749.8%
As a percentage of total revenue0.8%0.6%0.2%

Interest and other income, net increased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to increased interest income from higher investment balances in U.S. Treasury securities, money market funds and time deposits.

Provision for Income Taxes

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20242023change
(dollars in millions)
Provision for income taxes$476.1$391.821.5%
Effective income tax rate23.7%24.2%(0.5%)

The effective income tax rate decreased 0.5% for the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to lower nondeductible expenses of 0.6% and income tax reserves of 0.4%. These decreases were partially offset by a 0.6% reduction in tax benefits related to option exercise and equity vesting.

Quarterly Financial Data/Seasonality

Seasonal factors cause our profitability to fluctuate from quarter to quarter. Historically, our average daily restaurant sales and net income are lower in the first and fourth quarters due, in part, to the holiday season and because fewer people eat out during periods of inclement weather (the winter months) than during periods of mild or warm weather (the spring, summer and fall months). Other factors also have a seasonal effect on our results. For example, restaurants located near colleges and universities generally do more business during the academic year. Seasonal factors, however, might be moderated or outweighed by other factors that may influence our quarterly results, such as unexpected publicity impacting our business in a positive or negative way, disease outbreak, epidemic or endemic, the impact of inflation on consumer spending, fluctuations in food or packaging costs, or the timing of menu price increases or promotional activities and other marketing initiatives. The number of trading days in a quarter can also affect our results, although, on an overall annual basis, changes in trading days do not have a significant impact.

Our quarterly results are also affected by other factors such as the amount and timing of non-cash stock-based compensation expense and related tax rate impacts, litigation, settlement costs and related legal expenses, impairment charges and non-operating costs, timing of marketing or promotional expenses, the number and timing of new restaurants opened in a quarter, and closure of restaurants. New restaurants typically have higher operating costs following opening because of the expenses associated with their opening and operating inefficiencies in the months immediately following opening. Accordingly, results for a particular quarter are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for any other quarter or for any year.

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Liquidity and Capital Resources

Cash and Investments

As of December 31, 2024, we had a cash and marketable investments balance of $2.2 billion, non-marketable investments of $85.2 million, and $29.8 million of restricted cash. After funding the current operations in our restaurants and support centers, the first planned use of our cash flow from operations is to provide capital for the continued investment in new restaurant construction. In addition to continuing to invest in our restaurant expansion, we expect to utilize cash flow from operations to: repurchase additional shares of our common stock subject to market conditions; invest in, maintain, and refurbish our existing restaurants; and for general corporate purposes. As of December 31, 2024, $1.0 billion remained available for repurchases of shares of our common stock, which includes the $300.0 million additional authorization approved by our Board of Directors on December 17, 2024. Under the remaining repurchase authorizations, shares may be purchased from time to time in open market transactions, subject to market conditions.

Borrowing Capacity

As of December 31, 2024, we had $500.0 million of undrawn borrowing capacity under a line of credit facility.

Use of Cash

We believe that cash from operations, together with our cash and investment balances, will be sufficient to meet ongoing capital expenditures, working capital requirements and other cash needs for the foreseeable future. Assuming no significant declines in comparable restaurant sales, we expect we will generate positive cash flow for the foreseeable future.

We have not required significant working capital because guests generally pay using cash or credit and debit cards and because our operations do not require significant receivables, nor do they require significant inventories due, in part, to our use of various fresh ingredients. In addition, we generally have the right to pay for the purchase of food, beverages and supplies sometime after the receipt of those items, generally within ten days, thereby reducing the need for incremental working capital to support our growth.

Our total capital expenditures for 2024 were $593.6 million. In 2024, we spent on average about $1.5 million in development and construction costs per new restaurant, or about $1.3 million net of landlord reimbursements of $0.2 million. In 2025, we expect to incur about $683.7 million in total capital expenditures. We expect approximately $502.7 million in capital expenditures related to our construction of new restaurants, before any reductions for landlord reimbursements. We expect the average investment cost for new restaurants opening in 2025 will be slightly higher than the average investment costs for those opened in 2024. We expect approximately $149.0 million in capital expenditures related to investments in existing restaurants including remodeling and similar improvements, new equipment and hardware, and technology to optimize efficiencies. Finally, we expect a portion of our incurred capital expenditures to be for additional corporate initiatives including investments in technology to boost innovation, enhance the guest experience, and improve operations.

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The following table summarizes current and long-term material cash requirements as of December 31, 2024, which we expect to fund primarily with operating cash flows:

Payments Due by Fiscal Year
Total20252026-20272028-2029Thereafter
(dollars in millions)
Operating leases(1)$7,204$502$1,089$1,036$4,577
Purchase obligations(2)2,2891,161766362-
Total$9,493$1,663$1,855$1,398$4,577

(1)See Note 9. “Leases” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This includes commitments related to reasonably certain renewal periods for leases that have commenced and includes legally binding lease payments for leases signed but not yet commenced.

(2)Purchase obligations include agreements to purchase goods or services that are enforceable and legally binding on us and that specify all significant terms. We have excluded agreements that are cancellable without penalty. The majority of our purchase obligations relate to food, beverage and packaging, capital projects, information technology, marketing initiatives and corporate sponsorships, and other miscellaneous items.

The above table does not include income tax liabilities for uncertain tax positions for which we are not able to make a reasonably reliable estimate of the amount and period of related future payments. Additionally, we have excluded our estimated loss contingencies, due to uncertainty regarding the timing and amount of payment. See Note 11. “Commitments and Contingencies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

Cash Flows

Cash provided by operating activities was $2.1 billion for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $1.8 billion for the year ended December 31, 2023. The increase was primarily due to higher net earnings and, to a lesser extent, net cash changes in operating assets and liabilities.

Cash used in investing activities was $837.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $946.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2023. The change was primarily associated with a $121.2 million decrease in investment purchases net of investment maturities. This was partially offset by increased capital expenditures of $32.9 million primarily related to costs associated with new restaurant development.

Cash used in financing activities was $1.1 billion for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $660.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2023. The change was primarily due to increased repurchases of common stock of $409.2 million.

Critical Accounting Estimates

We describe our significant accounting policies in Note 1. “Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Critical accounting estimates are those that we believe are both significant and that require us to make difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because we need to estimate the effect of inherently uncertain matters. We base our estimates and judgments on historical experiences and various other factors that we believe to be appropriate under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates, and we might obtain different estimates if we used different assumptions or factors.

Leases

The majority of our operating leases consist of restaurant locations and office space. We determine if a contract contains a lease at inception. Our leases generally have remaining terms of 1-20 years and most include options to extend the leases for additional 5-year periods. Generally, the lease term is the minimum of the noncancelable period of the lease or the lease term inclusive of reasonably certain renewal periods up to a term of 20 years. If the estimate of our reasonably certain lease term was changed, our depreciation and rent expense could differ materially.

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Operating lease assets and liabilities are recognized at the lease commencement date, which is the date we control the use of the property. Operating lease liabilities represent the present value of lease payments not yet paid. We made the policy election to combine lease and non-lease components. We consider fixed common area maintenance (“CAM”) part of our fixed future lease payments; therefore, fixed CAM is also included in our operating lease liability. Operating lease assets represent our right to use an underlying asset and are based upon the operating lease liabilities adjusted for prepayments, initial direct costs, lease incentives, and impairment of operating lease assets. To determine the present value of lease payments not yet paid, we estimate incremental borrowing rates corresponding to the reasonably certain lease term. As we have no outstanding debt nor committed credit facilities, secured or otherwise, we estimate this rate based on prevailing financial market conditions, comparable company and credit analysis, and management judgment. If the estimate of our incremental borrowing rate was changed, our operating lease assets and liabilities could differ materially.

Impairment of Long-Lived Assets

Long-lived assets are reviewed for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. Long-lived assets are grouped at the lowest level for which identifiable cash flows are largely independent of the cash flows of other assets and liabilities. For restaurant assets, we test impairment at the individual restaurant asset group level, which includes leasehold improvements, property and equipment and operating lease assets.

The fair value measurement for asset impairment is generally based on Level 3 inputs. We first compare the carrying value of the asset (or asset group, referred interchangeably throughout as asset) to the asset’s estimated future undiscounted cash flows. If the estimated undiscounted future cash flows are less than the carrying value of the asset, we determine if we have an impairment loss by comparing the carrying value of the asset to the asset's estimated fair value. The estimated fair value of the asset is generally determined using the income approach to measure the fair value, which is based on the present value of estimated future cash flows. Key inputs to the income approach for restaurant assets include the discount rate, projected revenue and expenses, and sublease income if we are closing the restaurant. In certain cases, management uses other market information, when available, to estimate the fair value of an asset. The impairment charges represent the excess of each asset’s carrying amount over its estimated fair value and are allocated among the long-lived asset or assets of the group.

Our estimates of future revenues and expenses are highly subjective judgments based on internal projections and knowledge of our operations, historical performance, and trends in sales and restaurant operating costs, and can be significantly impacted by changes in our business or economic conditions. The determination of asset fair value is also subject to significant judgment and utilizes valuation techniques including discounting estimated future cash flows and market-based analyses to determine fair value. If our estimates or underlying assumptions, including discount rate and sublease income change in the future, our operating results may be materially impacted.

Stock-based Compensation

We recognize compensation expense for equity awards over the requisite service period based on the award’s fair value. Under our stock incentive plans, we issue stock-only stock appreciation rights ("SOSARs"), restricted stock units ("RSUs"), and performance stock units ("PSUs"). We use the Black-Scholes valuation model to determine the fair value of our SOSARs, and we use the Monte Carlo simulation model to determine the fair value of PSUs that contain market conditions. Both of these models require assumptions to be made regarding our stock price volatility, the expected life of the award and expected dividend rates. The volatility and the expected life assumptions are based on our historical data. Similarly, the compensation expense of performance share awards is based in part on the estimated probability of achieving levels of performance associated with particular levels of payout for performance shares. We determine the probability of achievement of future levels of performance by comparing the relevant performance level with our internal estimates of future performance. Those estimates are based on a number of assumptions, including but not limited to growth in restaurant cash flow dollars, average restaurant level operating margin, and growth in new restaurant openings, and different assumptions may have resulted in different conclusions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance relevant to the payout levels for the awards. If we change our estimates of stock price volatility or expected lives of our SOSARs, or if we change our assumptions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance with respect to performance share awards, our stock-based compensation expense and results of operations may be materially impacted.

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Income Taxes

Our provision for income taxes, deferred tax assets and liabilities and any related valuation allowance requires the use of estimates based on our management’s interpretation and application of complex tax laws and accounting guidance. The majority of our income tax liability is incurred in the U.S. We establish reserves for uncertain tax positions for material, known tax exposures relating to deductions, transactions and other matters involving some uncertainty as to the measurement and recognition of the item. We may adjust these reserves when our judgment changes as a result of the evaluation of new information not previously available and will be reflected in the period in which the new information is available, or due to the expiration of any applicable statute of limitations. While we believe that our reserves are adequate, issues raised by a tax authority may be resolved at an amount different than the related reserve and could materially increase or decrease our income tax provision in future periods.

FY 2023 10-K MD&A

SEC filing source: 0001562762-24-000023.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2024-02-08. Report date: 2023-12-31.

ITEM 7.  MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

You should read the following discussion together with our consolidated financial statements and related notes included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This section of the Form 10-K generally discusses 2023 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2023 to 2022. Discussions of 2021 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2022 and 2021 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 on our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022. The discussion contains forward-looking statements involving risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause our results to differ materially from expectations. See “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements.” Factors that might cause such differences include those described in Item 1A. “Risk Factors” and elsewhere in this report.

Overview

As of December 31, 2023, we operated 3,371 Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, and 66 international Chipotle restaurants. We manage our U.S. operations based on eight regions and aggregate our operations to one reportable segment.

Throughout “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” we commonly discuss the following key operating metrics which we believe will drive our financial results and long-term growth model. We believe these metrics are useful to investors because management uses these metrics to assess the growth of our business and the effectiveness of our marketing and operational strategies:

Comparable restaurant sales

Restaurant operating costs as a percentage of total revenue

New restaurant openings

2023 Financial Highlights, year-over-year:

Total revenue increased 14.3% to $9.9 billion

Comparable restaurant sales increased 7.9%

Diluted earnings per share was $44.34, a 38.4% increase from $32.04, which includes a $0.52 after-tax impact from expenses related to restaurant and corporate level impairment and closure costs, accelerated depreciation and corporate restructuring, partially offset by a reduction in contingencies related to certain legal proceedings.

Sales Trends. Comparable restaurant sales increased 7.9% for the year ended December 31, 2023. The increase is primarily attributable to higher transactions and, to a lesser extent, an increase in average check. Comparable restaurant sales represent the change in period-over-period total revenue for restaurants in operation for at least 13 full calendar months. Digital sales represented 37.4% of total food and beverage revenue.

Restaurant Operating Costs. During the year ended December 31, 2023, our restaurant operating costs (food, beverage and packaging; labor; occupancy; and other operating costs) were 73.8% of total revenue, a decrease from 76.1% during the year ended December 31, 2022. The decrease was driven primarily by sales leverage and, to a lesser extent, lower avocado prices. These decreases were partially offset by higher inflation across several food ingredients and, to a lesser extent, wage inflation.

Restaurant Development. During the year ended December 31, 2023, we opened 271 new restaurants, which included 238 restaurants with a Chipotlane. We expect to open approximately 285-315 new restaurants in 2024 (including 5 to 10 relocations), which assumes developer, permit, inspection, and utility delays do not worsen. We expect that at least 80% of our new restaurants will include a Chipotlane.

Cultivate Next Fund. Our Cultivate Next Fund is a venture formed to make early-stage investments into strategically aligned companies that further our mission to Cultivate a Better World. The Fund has an initial size of $50.0 million, which is financed almost entirely by Chipotle. As of December 31, 2023, we have made $33.0 million in investments through this Fund. In December 2023, our Board approved an additional $50.0 million financial commitment to this Fund. As of December 31, 2023, none of this additional $50.0 million has been invested.

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Restaurant Activity

The following table details restaurant unit data for the years indicated.

Year ended December 31,
20232022
Beginning of period3,1872,966
Chipotle openings270235
Non-Chipotle openings11
Chipotle permanent closures(3)(3)
Chipotle relocations(12)(12)
Non-Chipotle permanent closures(6)-
Total restaurants at end of period3,4373,187

Results of Operations

Our results of operations as a percentage of total revenue and period-over-period change are discussed in the following section.

Revenue

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Food and beverage revenue$9,804.1$8,558.014.6%
Delivery service revenue67.576.7(11.9%)
Total revenue$9,871.6$8,634.714.3%
Average restaurant sales (1)$3.0$2.86.9%
Comparable restaurant sales increase7.9%8.0%
Transactions5.0%0.9%
Average check2.9%7.1%
Menu price increase5.2%12.0%
Check mix(2.3%)(4.9%)
(1) Average restaurant sales refer to the average trailing 12-month food and beverage sales for restaurants in operation for at least 12 full calendar months.

The following is a summary of the change in restaurant sales for the period indicated:

Year ended
(dollars in millions)
For the period ending December 31, 2022$8,634.7
Change from:
Comparable restaurant sales636.3
Restaurant not yet in comparable base opened in 2023242.1
Restaurant not yet in comparable base opened in 2022356.3
Other2.2
For the period ending December 31, 2023$9,871.6

Food, Beverage and Packaging Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Food, beverage and packaging$2,912.6$2,602.211.9%
As a percentage of total revenue29.5%30.1%(0.6%)

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Food, beverage and packaging costs decreased 0.6% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, including 1.6% from menu price increases and 0.6% from lower avocado costs, partially offset by 1.6% due to inflation across several ingredient costs, primarily beef, tortillas and queso.

Labor Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Labor costs$2,441.0$2,198.011.1%
As a percentage of total revenue24.7%25.5%(0.8%)

Labor costs decreased 0.8% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, including 1.4% from sales leverage, partially offset by 0.8% due to restaurant wage inflation.

Beginning in April 2024, California legislation will require national restaurant chains, including Chipotle, to pay a minimum $20 per hour wage to restaurant workers in California This will increase wages in California nearly 20% and will result in wage inflation increasing from the low to mid-single digit range to the mid-single-digit range. We expect to increase menu prices in California to mitigate higher wage costs resulting from this legislation.

Occupancy Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Occupancy costs$503.3$460.49.3%
As a percentage of total revenue5.1%5.3%(0.2%)

Occupancy costs decreased 0.2% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily due to sales leverage, partially offset by increased rent expense associated with new restaurants.

Other Operating Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Other operating costs$1,428.7$1,311.98.9%
As a percentage of total revenue14.5%15.2%(0.7%)

Other operating costs decreased 0.7% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, including 0.6% of sales leverage and 0.2% of lower delivery expenses, partially offset by 0.1% of higher maintenance costs.

General and Administrative Expenses

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
General and administrative expense$633.6$564.212.3%
As a percentage of total revenue6.4%6.5%(0.1%)

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Following is a summary of the change in General and administrative expense for the periods indicated:

Year ended
(dollars in millions)
For the period ending December 31, 2022$564.2
Change from:
Performance bonuses31.1
Stock-based compensation, primarily performance-based awards24.3
Outside services related to corporate initiatives14.5
Wages, primarily due to headcount growth10.9
Conferences, primarily biennial All Managers’ Conference(8.9)
Other(2.5)
For the period ending December 31, 2023$633.6

Depreciation and Amortization

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Depreciation and amortization$319.4$286.811.4%
As a percentage of total revenue3.2%3.3%(0.1%)

Depreciation and amortization decreased 0.1% as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily due to sales leverage, partially offset by increased depreciation expense associated with new restaurants and, to a lesser extent, the reduction of useful lives for certain leasehold improvements.

Impairment, Closure Costs, and Asset Disposals

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Impairment, closure costs, and asset disposals$38.4$21.181.5%
As a percentage of total revenue0.4%0.2%0.2%

Impairment, closure costs, and asset disposals increased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily due to elevated impairment of operating lease assets and leasehold improvements and higher charges related to the replacement of certain leasehold improvements and, to a lesser extent, the replacement of certain kitchen equipment. These elevated impairments include the impact of closing all Pizzeria Locale restaurants.

Interest and Other Income, Net

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Interest and other income, net$62.7$21.1196.7%
As a percentage of total revenue0.6%0.2%0.4%

Interest and other income, net increased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily due to increased interest income on our investments in U.S. Treasury securities, money market funds and time deposits, partially offset by a gain on our investments in Tractor Beverages, Inc. of $10.4 million recognized in the second quarter of 2022.

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Provision for Income Taxes

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20232022change
(dollars in millions)
Provision for income taxes$(391.8)$(282.4)38.7%
Effective income tax rate24.2%23.9%n/m*
*Not meaningful

The effective income tax rate increased 0.3% for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily due to a 0.4% decrease in excess tax benefits from equity vesting and exercises.

Quarterly Financial Data/Seasonality

Seasonal factors cause our profitability to fluctuate from quarter to quarter. Historically, our average daily restaurant sales and net income are lower in the first and fourth quarters due, in part, to the holiday season and because fewer people eat out during periods of inclement weather (the winter months) than during periods of mild or warm weather (the spring, summer and fall months). Other factors also have a seasonal effect on our results. For example, restaurants located near colleges and universities generally do more business during the academic year. Seasonal factors, however, might be moderated or outweighed by other factors that may influence our quarterly results, such as unexpected publicity impacting our business in a positive or negative way, worldwide health pandemics, impact of inflation on consumer spending, fluctuations in food or packaging costs, or the timing of menu price increases or promotional activities and other marketing initiatives. The number of trading days in a quarter can also affect our results, although, on an overall annual basis, changes in trading days do not have a significant impact.

Our quarterly results are also affected by other factors such as the amount and timing of non-cash stock-based compensation expense and related tax rate impacts, litigation, settlement costs and related legal expenses, impairment charges and non-operating costs, timing of marketing or promotional expenses, the number and timing of new restaurants opened in a quarter, and closure of restaurants. New restaurants typically have higher operating costs following opening because of the expenses associated with their opening and operating inefficiencies in the months immediately following opening. Accordingly, results for a particular quarter are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for any other quarter or for any year.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Cash and Investments

As of December 31, 2023, we had a cash and marketable investments balance of $1.8 billion, non-marketable investments of $75.4 million, and $25.6 million of restricted cash. After funding the current operations in our restaurants and support centers, the first planned use of our cash flow from operations is to provide capital for the continued investment in new restaurant construction. In addition to continuing to invest in our restaurant expansion, we expect to utilize cash flow from operations to: repurchase additional shares of our common stock subject to market conditions; invest in, maintain, and refurbish our existing restaurants; and for general corporate purposes. As of December 31, 2023, $424.1 million remained available for repurchases of shares of our common stock, which includes the $200.0 million additional authorization approved by our Board of Directors on December 14, 2023. Under the remaining repurchase authorizations, shares may be purchased from time to time in open market transactions, subject to market conditions.

Borrowing Capacity

As of December 31, 2023, we had $500.0 million of undrawn borrowing capacity under a line of credit facility.

Use of Cash

We believe that cash from operations, together with our cash and investment balances, will be sufficient to meet ongoing capital expenditures, working capital requirements and other cash needs for the foreseeable future. Assuming no significant declines in comparable restaurant sales, we expect we will generate positive cash flow for the foreseeable future.

We have not required significant working capital because customers generally pay using cash or credit and debit cards and because our operations do not require significant receivables, nor do they require significant inventories due, in part, to our use of various fresh ingredients. In addition, we generally have the right to pay for the purchase of food, beverages and supplies sometime after the receipt of those items, generally within ten days, thereby reducing the need for incremental working capital to support our growth.

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Our total capital expenditures for 2023 were $560.7 million. In 2023, we spent on average about $1.4 million in development and construction costs per new restaurant, or about $1.2 million net of landlord reimbursements of $0.2 million. In 2024, we expect to incur about $635.0 million in total capital expenditures. We expect approximately $430.0 million in capital expenditures related to our construction of new restaurants, before any reductions for landlord reimbursements. For new restaurants to be opened in 2024, we anticipate average development costs will remain consistent with 2023. We expect approximately $130.0 million in capital expenditures related to investments in existing restaurants including remodeling and similar improvements, new equipment and hardware, technology to optimize efficiencies. Finally, we expect a portion of our incurred capital expenditures to be for additional corporate initiatives including investments in technology to boost innovation, enhance the guest experience, and improve operations.

The following table summarizes current and long-term material cash requirements as of December 31, 2023, which we expect to fund primarily with operating cash flows:

Payments Due by Fiscal Year
Total20242025-20262027-2028Thereafter
(dollars in millions)
Operating leases(1)$6,343$447$971$938$3,987
Purchase obligations(2)2,0909697683521
Total$8,433$1,416$1,739$1,290$3,988

(1)See Note 9. “Leases” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This includes commitments related to reasonably certain renewal periods.

(2)Purchase obligations include agreements to purchase goods or services that are enforceable and legally binding on us and that specify all significant terms. We have excluded agreements that are cancelable without penalty. The majority of our purchase obligations relate to food, beverage and packaging, capital projects, information technology, marketing initiatives and corporate sponsorships, and other miscellaneous items.

The above table does not include income tax liabilities for uncertain tax positions for which we are not able to make a reasonably reliable estimate of the amount and period of related future payments. Additionally, we have excluded our estimated loss contingencies, due to uncertainty regarding the timing and amount of payment. See Note 11. “Commitments and Contingencies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

Cash Flows

Cash provided by operating activities was $1.8 billion for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $1.3 billion for the year ended December 31, 2022. The increase was primarily due to higher net earnings and, to a lesser extent, net cash changes in non-tax operating assets and liabilities.

Cash used in investing activities was $946.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $830.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. The change was primarily associated with increased capital expenditures of $81.6 million primarily related to costs associated with new restaurant development and, to a lesser extent, a $34.4 million increase in investment purchases net of investment maturities.

Cash used in financing activities was $660.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $929.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. The change was primarily due to decreased treasury stock repurchases of $237.8 million and, to a lesser extent, $29.8 million of lower payments of tax withholdings related to stock-based compensation.

Critical Accounting Estimates

We describe our significant accounting policies in Note 1. “Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Critical accounting estimates are those that we believe are both significant and that require us to make difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because we need to estimate the effect of inherently uncertain matters. We base our estimates and judgments on historical experiences and various other factors that we believe to be appropriate under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates, and we might obtain different estimates if we used different assumptions or factors.

Leases

The majority of our operating leases consist of restaurant locations and office space. We determine if a contract contains a lease at inception. Our leases generally have remaining terms of 1-20 years and most include options to extend the leases for additional 5-year periods. Generally, the lease term is the minimum of the noncancelable period of the lease or the lease term inclusive of reasonably certain renewal periods up to a term of 20 years. If the estimate of our reasonably certain lease term was changed, our depreciation and rent expense could differ materially.

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Operating lease assets and liabilities are recognized at the lease commencement date, which is the date we control the use of the property. Operating lease liabilities represent the present value of lease payments not yet paid. We made the policy election to combine lease and non-lease components. We consider fixed common area maintenance (“CAM”) part of our fixed future lease payments; therefore, fixed CAM is also included in our operating lease liability. Operating lease assets represent our right to use an underlying asset and are based upon the operating lease liabilities adjusted for prepayments, initial direct costs, lease incentives, and impairment of operating lease assets. To determine the present value of lease payments not yet paid, we estimate incremental borrowing rates corresponding to the reasonably certain lease term. As we have no outstanding debt nor committed credit facilities, secured or otherwise, we estimate this rate based on prevailing financial market conditions, comparable company and credit analysis, and management judgment. If the estimate of our incremental borrowing rate was changed, our operating lease assets and liabilities could differ materially.

Deferred Revenue

Chipotle Rewards

Eligible customers who enroll in the Chipotle Rewards loyalty program generally earn points for every dollar spent. After accumulating the required number of points, the customer may select a reward. Earned rewards generally expire one to two months after they are issued, and points generally expire if an account is inactive for a period of six months.

The estimation of the standalone selling price of points and other rewards issued to customers involves several assumptions, primarily the estimated value of product for which the reward is expected to be redeemed and the probability that the points or reward will expire. Our estimate of points and other rewards we expect to be redeemed is based on historical company specific data. These inputs are subject to change over time due to factors such as menu price increases, changes in point redemption options and changes in customer behavior. A relative increase of 100 basis points in our estimated ultimate redemption rate for future redemptions would have resulted in a reduction of food and beverage revenue on our consolidated statement of income and comprehensive income of approximately $0.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023.

Gift Cards

We sell gift cards, which do not have expiration dates, and we do not deduct non-usage fees from outstanding gift card balances. Gift card balances are initially recorded as unearned revenue. We recognize revenue from gift cards when the gift card is redeemed by the customer. Historically, the majority of gift cards are redeemed within one year. In addition, a portion of gift cards are not expected to be redeemed and will be recognized as breakage over time in proportion to gift card redemptions (“gift card breakage rate”). The gift card breakage rate is based on company and program specific information, including historical redemption patterns, and expected remittance to government agencies under unclaimed property laws, if applicable. We evaluate our gift card breakage rate estimate annually, or more frequently as circumstances warrant, and apply that rate to gift card redemptions. A relative decrease of 100 basis points to our gift card breakage rate would have resulted in a reduction of food and beverage revenue on our consolidated statement of income and comprehensive income of approximately $0.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2023.

Impairment of Long-Lived Assets

Long-lived assets are reviewed for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. Long-lived assets are grouped at the lowest level for which identifiable cash flows are largely independent of the cash flows of other assets and liabilities. For restaurant assets, we test impairment at the individual restaurant asset group level, which includes leasehold improvements, property and equipment and operating lease assets.

The fair value measurement for asset impairment is generally based on Level 3 inputs. We first compare the carrying value of the asset (or asset group, referred interchangeably throughout as asset) to the asset’s estimated future undiscounted cash flows. If the estimated undiscounted future cash flows are less than the carrying value of the asset, we determine if we have an impairment loss by comparing the carrying value of the asset to the asset's estimated fair value. The estimated fair value of the asset is generally determined using the income approach to measure the fair value, which is based on the present value of estimated future cash flows. Key inputs to the income approach for restaurant assets include the discount rate, projected revenue and expenses, and sublease income if we are closing the restaurant. In certain cases, management uses other market information, when available, to estimate the fair value of an asset. The impairment charges represent the excess of each asset’s carrying amount over its estimated fair value and are allocated among the long-lived asset or assets of the group.

Our estimates of future revenues and expenses are highly subjective judgments based on internal projections and knowledge of our operations, historical performance, and trends in sales and restaurant operating costs, and can be significantly impacted by changes in our business or economic conditions. The determination of asset fair value is also subject to significant judgment and utilizes valuation techniques including discounting estimated future cash flows and market-based analyses to determine fair value. If our estimates or underlying assumptions, including discount rate and sublease income change in the future, our operating results may be materially impacted.

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Stock-based Compensation

We recognize compensation expense for equity awards over the requisite service period based on the award’s fair value. We use the Black-Scholes valuation model to determine the fair value of our stock-only stock appreciation rights (“SOSARs”), and we use the Monte Carlo simulation model to determine the fair value of stock awards that contain market conditions. Both of these models require assumptions to be made regarding our stock price volatility, the expected life of the award and expected dividend rates. The volatility and the expected life assumptions were based on our historical data. Similarly, the compensation expense of performance share awards is based in part on the estimated probability of achieving levels of performance associated with particular levels of payout for performance shares. We determine the probability of achievement of future levels of performance by comparing the relevant performance level with our internal estimates of future performance. Those estimates are based on a number of assumptions, including but not limited to growth in restaurant cash flow dollars, growth in comparable restaurant sales and average restaurant level operating margin, and different assumptions may have resulted in different conclusions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance relevant to the payout levels for the awards. If we change our estimates of stock price volatility or expected lives of our SOSARs, or if we change our assumptions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance with respect to performance share awards, our stock-based compensation expense and results of operations may be materially impacted.

Insurance Liability

We are self-insured for a significant portion of our employee health benefits programs. We carry significant retentions for risks and associated liabilities with respect to workers’ compensation, general liability, property and auto damage, employment practices liability, cyber liability and directors’ and officers’ liability. Predetermined loss limits have been arranged with third-party insurance companies to limit exposure to these claims. We record a liability that represents our estimated cost of claims incurred and unpaid as of the balance sheet date. Our estimated liability is not discounted and is based on a number of assumptions and factors, including historical trends, actuarial assumptions and economic conditions, and is closely monitored and adjusted when warranted by changing circumstances. If a greater amount of claims occurs compared to what we have estimated, or if medical costs increase beyond what we expected, our accrued liabilities might not be sufficient. Actual claims experience could also be more favorable than estimated. If we change our estimates for the cost of claims incurred and unpaid, or if actual claims differ from these estimates, our insurance expense and results of operations may be materially impacted.

Reserves/Contingencies for Litigation and Other Matters

We are involved in various claims and legal actions that arise in the ordinary course of business. We record an accrual for legal contingencies when we determine that it is probable that we have incurred a liability and we can reasonably estimate the amount of the loss. Although we have recorded liabilities related to a number of legal actions, our estimates used to determine the amount of these liabilities may not be accurate, and there are other legal actions for which we have not recorded a liability. As a result, in the event legal actions for which we have not accrued a liability or for which our accrued liabilities are not accurate are resolved, such resolution may affect our operating results and cash flows.

Income Taxes

Our provision for income taxes, deferred tax assets and liabilities and any related valuation allowance requires the use of estimates based on our management’s interpretation and application of complex tax laws and accounting guidance. We are primarily subject to income taxes in the U.S. We establish reserves for uncertain tax positions for material, known tax exposures relating to deductions, transactions and other matters involving some uncertainty as to the measurement and recognition of the item. We may adjust these reserves when our judgment changes as a result of the evaluation of new information not previously available and will be reflected in the period in which the new information is available, or due to the expiration of any applicable statute of limitations. While we believe that our reserves are adequate, issues raised by a tax authority may be resolved at an amount different than the related reserve and could materially increase or decrease our income tax provision in future periods.

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FY 2022 10-K MD&A

SEC filing source: 0001058090-23-000010.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2023-02-09. Report date: 2022-12-31.

ITEM 7.  MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

You should read the following discussion together with our consolidated financial statements and related notes included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This section of the Form 10-K generally discusses 2022 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2022 to 2021. Discussions of 2020 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2021 and 2020 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 on our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021. The discussion contains forward-looking statements involving risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause our results to differ materially from expectations. See “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements.” Factors that might cause such differences include those described in Item 1A. “Risk Factors” and elsewhere in this report.

Overview

As of December 31, 2022, we operated 3,129 Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, 53 international Chipotle restaurants, and five non-Chipotle restaurants. We manage our U.S. operations based on eight regions and have aggregated our operations to one reportable segment.

Throughout “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” we commonly discuss the following key operating metrics which we believe will drive our financial results and long-term growth model. We believe these metrics are useful to investors because management uses these metrics to assess the growth of our business and the effectiveness of our marketing and operational strategies:

Comparable restaurant sales

Restaurant operating costs as a percentage of total revenue

New restaurant openings

2022 Financial Highlights, year-over-year:

Total revenue increased 14.4% to $8.6 billion

Comparable restaurant sales increased 8.0%

Diluted earnings per share was $32.04, a 39.9% increase from $22.90, which includes a $0.74 after-tax impact from expenses related to certain legal proceedings, expenses related to the 2018 performance share COVID-19 related modification, corporate restructuring costs, employee separation costs, restaurant asset impairment and closure costs, and other costs, partially offset by an unrealized gain on investments

Sales Trends. Comparable restaurant sales increased 8.0% for the year ended December 31, 2022. The increase is primarily attributable to an increase in menu prices and, to a lesser extent, an increase in transactions, partially offset by a decrease in group size from the continued resurgence of our in-restaurant business. Comparable restaurant sales represent the change in period-over-period total revenue for restaurants in operation for at least 13 full calendar months.

In-restaurant sales increased 26.4% for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021. The increase was primarily due to menu price increases, a shift in consumer behaviors related to COVID-19 from digital sales to in-restaurant sales across the country, and new restaurant openings. In-restaurant sales represent food and beverage revenue generated on-premise and include revenue deferrals associated with Chipotle Rewards.

Digital sales represented 39.4% of food and beverage revenue for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to 45.0% of food and beverage revenue for the year ended December 31, 2021. The decrease in digital sales as a percentage of food and beverage revenue is primarily related to the increase of in-restaurant sales discussed above. Digital sales represent food and beverage revenue generated through the Chipotle website, Chipotle app or third-party delivery aggregators and includes revenue deferrals associated with Chipotle Rewards. We updated the definition of digital sales in the first quarter of 2022 to include revenue deferrals related to Chipotle Rewards. We made this change to allow for a reconciliation to total food and beverage revenue as we now present in-restaurant sales.

Restaurant Operating Costs. During the year ended December 31, 2022, our restaurant operating costs (food, beverage and packaging; labor; occupancy; and other operating costs) were 76.1% of total revenue, a decrease from 77.4% during the year ended December 31, 2021. The decrease was driven primarily by sales leverage and, to a lesser extent, lower delivery expenses associated with lower volume of delivery transactions, partially offset by wage inflation and higher commodity inflation primarily from avocados, packaging, dairy, beef and chicken.

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Restaurant Development. During the year ended December 31, 2022, we opened 236 new restaurants, which included 202 restaurants with a Chipotlane. We expect to open approximately 255-285 new restaurants in 2023 (including 10 to 15 relocations), which assumes utility, construction, permit and material supply delays do not worsen. We expect that at least 80% of our new restaurants will include a Chipotlane.

Cultivate Next Fund. In April 2022 we announced the formation of the Cultivate Next Fund, a venture that will make early-stage investments into strategically aligned companies that further our mission to Cultivate a Better World. The venture fund has an initial size of $50.0 million and will be financed almost entirely by Chipotle. As of December 31, 2022, we have made $11.0 million in investments through this fund.

Restaurant Activity

The following table details restaurant unit data for the years indicated.

Year ended December 31,
20222021
Beginning of period2,9662,768
Chipotle openings235215
Pizzeria Locale openings1-
Chipotle permanent closures(3)(10)
Chipotle relocations(12)(7)
Total restaurants at end of period3,1872,966

Results of Operations

Our results of operations as a percentage of total revenue and period-over-period change are discussed in the following section.

Revenue

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
(dollars in millions)
Food and beverage revenue$8,558.0$7,457.214.8%
Delivery service revenue76.789.9(14.7%)
Total revenue$8,634.7$7,547.114.4%
Average restaurant sales (1)$2.8$2.66.1%
Comparable restaurant sales increase8.0%19.3%
(1) Average restaurant sales refer to the average trailing 12-month food and beverage sales for restaurants in operation for at least 12 full calendar months.

The significant factors contributing to the total revenue increase for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, were comparable restaurant sales increases and new restaurant openings. Total revenue increased due to comparable restaurant sales increase of $568.6 million and restaurants not yet in the comparable base of $519.4 million, of which $210.5 million was due to restaurants opened in 2022.

Food, Beverage and Packaging Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
(dollars in millions)
Food, beverage and packaging$2,602.2$2,308.612.7%
As a percentage of total revenue30.1%30.6%(0.5%)

Food, beverage and packaging costs decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to the benefit of menu price increases. This decrease was partially offset by inflation across the menu, primarily related to higher costs for avocados, packaging, dairy, beef and chicken.

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Labor Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
(dollars in millions)
Labor costs$2,198.0$1,917.814.6%
As a percentage of total revenue25.5%25.4%0.1%

Labor costs increased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to wage inflation, mostly offset by sales leverage.

Occupancy Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
(dollars in millions)
Occupancy costs$460.4$416.610.5%
As a percentage of total revenue5.3%5.5%(0.2%)

Occupancy costs decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to sales leverage, partially offset by increased rent expense associated with new restaurants.

Other Operating Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
(dollars in millions)
Other operating costs$1,311.9$1,197.19.6%
As a percentage of total revenue15.2%15.9%(0.7%)

Other operating costs include, among other items, marketing and promotional costs, delivery expense, bank and credit card processing fees, restaurant utilities, technology costs, and maintenance costs. Other operating costs decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to lower delivery expenses associated with lower volume of delivery transactions and, to a lesser extent, sales leverage. These decreases were partially offset by higher costs across several expenses, most notably higher utilities primarily related to inflation in natural gas and electricity and higher maintenance costs.

General and Administrative Expenses

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
(dollars in millions)
General and administrative expense$564.2$606.9(7.0%)
As a percentage of total revenue6.5%8.0%(1.5%)

General and administrative expenses decreased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to the following: a $81.5 million decrease in stock-based compensation and related taxes, primarily attributable to the timing of vesting of the December 2020 modification of 2018 performance awards related to COVID-19; a $13.7 million decrease in performance bonuses and related taxes; and a $12.4 million decrease in litigation expense in 2022 compared to 2021. These decreases were partially offset by a $21.5 million increase in employee wages primarily due to headcount growth; $20.5 million increase in outside services expense related to corporate initiatives; and $12.5 million associated with the biennial All Managers’ Conference that was held in March 2022.

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Depreciation and Amortization

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
(dollars in millions)
Depreciation and amortization$286.8$254.712.6%
As a percentage of total revenue3.3%3.4%(0.1%)

Depreciation and amortization decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to sales leverage, partially offset by increased depreciation expense associated with new restaurants.

Pre-opening costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
Pre-opening costs$29.6$21.339.0%
As a percentage of total revenue0.3%0.3%0.0%

Pre-opening costs increased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to higher wages and rent on increased openings of 236 new restaurants of in 2022 compared to 215 in 2021.

Interest and Other Income, Net

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
Interest and other income (expense), net$21.1$7.8170.2%
As a percentage of total revenue0.2%0.1%0.1%

Interest and other income (expense), net increased for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to a gain on our investments in Tractor Beverages, Inc. of $10.4 recognized in the second quarter of 2022, and, to a lesser extent, increased interest income on our investments in US Treasury securities, money market funds and time deposits due to increased interest rates in 2022 as compared to 2021.

Benefit/(Provision) for Income Taxes

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20222021change
(dollars in millions)
Benefit/(provision) for income taxes$(282.4)$(159.8)76.8%
Effective income tax rate23.9%19.7%n/m*
*Not meaningful

The effective income tax rate for the year ended December 31, 2022, was higher than the effective income tax rate for the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to a decrease in tax benefits related to option exercises and equity vesting, a reduction in return to provision benefits, and a net increase in uncertain tax position reserves.

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Quarterly Financial Data/Seasonality

Seasonal factors cause our profitability to fluctuate from quarter to quarter. Historically, our average daily restaurant sales and net income are lower in the first and fourth quarters due, in part, to the holiday season and because fewer people eat out during periods of inclement weather (the winter months) than during periods of mild or warm weather (the spring, summer and fall months). Other factors also have a seasonal effect on our results. For example, restaurants located near colleges and universities generally do more business during the academic year. Seasonal factors, however, might be moderated or outweighed by other factors that may influence our quarterly results, such as unexpected publicity impacting our business in a positive or negative way, worldwide health pandemics, fluctuations in food or packaging costs, or the timing of menu price increases or promotional activities and other marketing initiatives. The number of trading days in a quarter can also affect our results, although, on an overall annual basis, changes in trading days do not have a significant impact.

Our quarterly results are also affected by other factors such as the amount and timing of non-cash stock-based compensation expense and related tax rate impacts, litigation, settlement costs and related legal expenses, impairment charges and non-operating costs, timing of marketing or promotional expenses, the number and timing of new restaurants opened in a quarter, and closure of restaurants. New restaurants typically have higher operating costs following opening because of the expenses associated with their opening and operating inefficiencies in the months immediately following opening. Accordingly, results for a particular quarter are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for any other quarter or for any year.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

As of December 31, 2022, we had a cash and marketable investments balance of $1.2 billion, excluding restricted cash of $25.0 million and non-marketable investments of $55.8 million. After funding the current operations in our restaurants and support centers, the first planned use of our cash flow from operations is to provide capital for the continued investment in new restaurant construction. In addition to continuing to invest in our restaurant expansion, we expect to utilize cash flow from operations to: repurchase additional shares of our common stock subject to market conditions; invest in, maintain, and refurbish our existing restaurants; and for general corporate purposes. As of December 31, 2022, $413.9 million remained available for repurchases of shares of our common stock, which includes the $200.0 million additional authorization approved by our Board of Directors on December 7, 2022. Under the remaining repurchase authorizations, shares may be purchased from time to time in open market transactions, subject to market conditions. Additionally, as of December 31, 2022, we had $500.0 million of undrawn borrowing capacity under a line of credit facility.

We believe that cash from operations, together with our cash and investment balances, will be sufficient to meet ongoing capital expenditures, working capital requirements and other cash needs for the foreseeable future. Assuming no significant declines in comparable restaurant sales, we expect we will generate positive cash flow for the foreseeable future. Should our business deteriorate due to changing conditions, there are actions we can take to further conserve liquidity.

We have not required significant working capital because customers generally pay using cash or credit and debit cards and because our operations do not require significant receivables, nor do they require significant inventories due, in part, to our use of various fresh ingredients. In addition, we generally have the right to pay for the purchase of food, beverages and supplies sometime after the receipt of those items, within ten days, thereby reducing the need for incremental working capital to support our growth.

Our total capital expenditures for 2022 were $479.2 million. In 2022, we spent on average about $1.2 million in development and construction costs per new restaurant, or about $1.1 million net of landlord reimbursements of $0.1 million. In 2023, we expect to incur about $485 million in total capital expenditures. We expect approximately $350 million in capital expenditures related to our construction of new restaurants, before any reductions for landlord reimbursements. For new restaurants to be opened in 2023, we anticipate average development costs will remain consistent with 2022 due to a significant portion including Chipotlanes. We expect approximately $135 million in capital expenditures related to investments in existing restaurants including remodeling and similar improvements, new equipment and hardware, technology to optimize efficiencies. Finally, we expect a portion of our incurred capital expenditures to be for additional corporate initiatives including investments in technology to boost innovation, enhance the guest experience, and improve operations.

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The following table summarizes current and long-term material cash requirements as of December 31, 2022, which we expect to fund primarily with operating cash flows:

Payments Due by Fiscal Year
Total20232024-20252026-2027Thereafter
(dollars in millions)
Operating leases(1)$5,430$394$842$815$3,379
Purchase obligations(2)2,174870663641-
Total$7,604$1,264$1,505$1,456$3,379

(1)See Note 9. “Leases” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This includes commitments related to reasonably certain renewal periods.

(2)Purchase obligations include agreements to purchase goods or services that are enforceable and legally binding on us and that specify all significant terms. We have excluded agreements that are cancelable without penalty. The majority of our purchase obligations relate to food, beverage and packaging, capital projects, information technology, marketing initiatives and corporate sponsorships, and other miscellaneous items.

The above table does not include income tax liabilities for uncertain tax positions for which we are not able to make a reasonably reliable estimate of the amount and period of related future payments. Additionally, we have excluded our estimated loss contingencies, due to uncertainty regarding the timing and amount of payment. See Note 11. “Commitments and Contingencies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

Cash Flows

Cash provided by operating activities was $1.32 billion for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $1.28 billion for the year ended December 31, 2021. The increase was primarily due to higher net earnings partially offset by net cash used by changes in operating assets and liabilities.

Cash used in investing activities was $830.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $522.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2021. The change was primarily associated with a $267.3 million increase in U.S. Treasury security purchases net of U.S. Treasury security maturities and, to a lesser extent, increased capital expenditures of $36.7 million primarily related to costs associated with new restaurant development.

Cash used in financing activities was $929.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $548.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2021. The change was primarily due to increased treasury stock repurchases of $363.7 million and, to a lesser extent, $19.1 million of elevated payments of tax withholdings related to stock compensation for the year ended December 31, 2022.

Critical Accounting Estimates

We describe our significant accounting policies in Note 1. “Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Critical accounting estimates are those that we believe are both significant and that require us to make difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because we need to estimate the effect of inherently uncertain matters. We base our estimates and judgments on historical experiences and various other factors that we believe to be appropriate under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates, and we might obtain different estimates if we used different assumptions or factors.

Leases

We determine if a contract contains a lease at inception. Our material operating leases consist of restaurant locations and office space. Our leases generally have remaining terms of 1-20 years and most include options to extend the leases for additional 5-year periods. Generally, the lease term is the minimum of the noncancelable period of the lease or the lease term inclusive of reasonably certain renewal periods up to a term of 20 years. If the estimate of our reasonably certain lease term was changed, our depreciation and rent expense could differ materially.

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Operating lease assets and liabilities are recognized at time of lease inception. Operating lease liabilities represent the present value of lease payments not yet paid. We made the policy election to combine lease and non-lease components, we also consider fixed common area maintenance (“CAM”) part of our fixed future lease payments. Fixed CAM is also included in our operating lease liability. Operating lease assets represent our right to use an underlying asset and are based upon the operating lease liabilities adjusted for prepayments, initial direct costs, lease incentives, and impairment of operating lease assets. To determine the present value of lease payments not yet paid, we estimate incremental borrowing rates corresponding to the reasonably certain lease term. As we have no outstanding debt nor committed credit facilities, secured or otherwise, we estimate this rate based on prevailing financial market conditions, comparable company and credit analysis, and management judgment. If the estimate of our incremental borrowing rate was changed, our operating lease assets and liabilities could differ materially.

Deferred Revenue

Chipotle Rewards

Eligible customers who enroll in the Chipotle Rewards loyalty program generally earn points for every dollar spent. After accumulating the required number of points, the customer may select a reward. Earned rewards generally expire one to two months after they are issued, and points generally expire if an account is inactive for a period of six months.

The estimation of the standalone selling price of points and other rewards issued to customers involves several assumptions, primarily the estimated value of product for which the reward is expected to be redeemed and the probability that the points or reward will expire. Our estimate of points and other rewards we expect to be redeemed is based on historical company specific data. These inputs are subject to change over time due to factors such as menu price increases, changes in point redemption options and changes in customer behavior. A relative increase of 100 basis points in our estimated ultimate redemption rate for future redemptions would have resulted in a reduction of food and beverage revenue on our consolidated statement of income and comprehensive income of approximately $0.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2022.

Gift Cards

We sell gift cards, which do not have expiration dates, and we do not deduct non-usage fees from outstanding gift card balances. Gift card balances are initially recorded as unearned revenue. We recognize revenue from gift cards when the gift card is redeemed by the customer. Historically, the majority of gift cards are redeemed within one year. In addition, a portion of gift cards are not expected to be redeemed and will be recognized as breakage over time in proportion to gift card redemptions (“gift card breakage rate”). The gift card breakage rate is based on company and program specific information, including historical redemption patterns, and expected remittance to government agencies under unclaimed property laws, if applicable. We evaluate our gift card breakage rate estimate annually, or more frequently as circumstances warrant, and apply that rate to gift card redemptions. A relative decrease of 100 basis points to our gift card breakage rate would have resulted in a reduction of food and beverage revenue on our consolidated statement of income and comprehensive income of approximately $0.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2022.

Impairment of Long-Lived Assets

Long-lived assets are reviewed for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. For the purpose of reviewing restaurant assets to be held and used for potential impairment, assets are grouped together at the market level, or in the case of a potential relocation or closure, at the restaurant level. We manage our restaurants as a group with common costs and promotional activities; as such, an individual restaurant’s cash flows are not generally independent of the cash flows of others in a market.

The fair value measurement for asset impairment is generally based on Level 3 inputs. We first compare the carrying value of the asset (or asset group, referred interchangeably throughout as asset) to the asset’s estimated future undiscounted cash flows. If the estimated undiscounted future cash flows are less than the carrying value of the asset, we determine if we have an impairment loss by comparing the carrying value of the asset to the asset's estimated fair value. The estimated fair value of the asset is generally determined using the income approach to measure the fair value, which is based on the present value of estimated future cash flows. Key inputs to the income approach for restaurant assets include the discount rate, projected revenue and expenses, and sublease income if we are closing the restaurant. In certain cases, management uses other market information, when available, to estimate the fair value of an asset. The impairment charges represent the excess of each asset’s carrying amount over its estimated fair value and are allocated among the long-lived asset or assets of the group.

Our estimates of future revenues and expenses are highly subjective judgments based on internal projections and knowledge of our operations, historical performance, and trends in sales and restaurant operating costs, and can be significantly impacted by changes in our business or economic conditions. The determination of asset fair value is also subject to significant judgment and utilizes valuation techniques including discounting estimated future cash flows and market-based analyses to determine fair value. If our estimates or underlying assumptions, including discount rate and sublease income change in the future, our operating results may be materially impacted.

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Stock-based Compensation

We recognize compensation expense for equity awards over the requisite service period based on the award’s fair value. We use the Black-Scholes valuation model to determine the fair value of our stock-only stock appreciation rights (“SOSARs”), and we use the Monte Carlo simulation model to determine the fair value of stock awards that contain market conditions. Both of these models require assumptions to be made regarding our stock price volatility, the expected life of the award and expected dividend rates. The volatility and the expected life assumptions were based on our historical data. Similarly, the compensation expense of performance share awards is based in part on the estimated probability of achieving levels of performance associated with particular levels of payout for performance shares. We determine the probability of achievement of future levels of performance by comparing the relevant performance level with our internal estimates of future performance. Those estimates are based on a number of assumptions, including but not limited to growth in restaurant cash flow dollars, growth in comparable restaurant sales and average restaurant level margin, and different assumptions may have resulted in different conclusions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance relevant to the payout levels for the awards. Had we arrived at different assumptions of stock price volatility or expected lives of our SOSARs, or if we changed our assumptions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance with respect to performance share awards, our stock-based compensation expense and results of operations may be materially different. A relative increase of 100 basis points in our performance payout percentage estimates for all active performance share awards as of December 31, 2022 would have resulted in increased general and administrative expense on our consolidated statement of income and comprehensive income of approximately $0.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2022.

Insurance Liability

We are self-insured for a significant portion of our employee health benefits programs. We carry significant retentions for risks and associated liabilities with respect to workers’ compensation, general liability, property and auto damage, employment practices liability, cyber liability and directors’ and officers’ liability. Predetermined loss limits have been arranged with third-party insurance companies to limit exposure to these claims. We record a liability that represents our estimated cost of claims incurred and unpaid as of the balance sheet date. Our estimated liability is not discounted and is based on a number of assumptions and factors, including historical trends, actuarial assumptions and economic conditions, and is closely monitored and adjusted when warranted by changing circumstances. If a greater amount of claims occurs compared to what we have estimated, or if medical costs increase beyond what we expected, our accrued liabilities might not be sufficient. Actual claims experience could also be more favorable than estimated. Unanticipated changes may produce materially different amounts of expense than that reported under these programs.

Reserves/Contingencies for Litigation and Other Matters

We are involved in various claims and legal actions that arise in the ordinary course of business. We record an accrual for legal contingencies when we determine that it is probable that we have incurred a liability and we can reasonably estimate the amount of the loss. Although we have recorded liabilities related to a number of legal actions, our estimates used to determine the amount of these liabilities may not be accurate, and there are other legal actions for which we have not recorded a liability. As a result, in the event legal actions for which we have not accrued a liability or for which our accrued liabilities are not accurate are resolved, such resolution may affect our operating results and cash flows.

Income Taxes

Our provision for income taxes, deferred tax assets and liabilities and any related valuation allowance requires the use of estimates based on our management’s interpretation and application of complex tax laws and accounting guidance. We are primarily subject to income taxes in the United States. We establish reserves for uncertain tax positions for material, known tax exposures relating to deductions, transactions and other matters involving some uncertainty as to the measurement and recognition of the item. We may adjust these reserves when our judgment changes as a result of the evaluation of new information not previously available and will be reflected in the period in which the new information is available, or due to the expiration of any applicable statute of limitations. While we believe that our reserves are adequate, issues raised by a tax authority may be resolved at an amount different than the related reserve and could materially increase or decrease our income tax provision in future periods.

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FY 2021 10-K MD&A

SEC filing source: 0001058090-22-000011.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2022-02-11. Report date: 2021-12-31.

ITEM 7.  MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

You should read the following discussion together with our consolidated financial statements and related notes included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This section of the Form 10-K generally discusses 2021 and 2020 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2021 to 2020. Discussions of 2019 items and year-to-year comparisons of 2020 and 2019 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 on our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020. The discussion contains forward-looking statements involving risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause our results to differ materially from expectations. See “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements.” Factors that might cause such differences include those described in Item 1A. “Risk Factors” and elsewhere in this report.

Overview

As of December 31, 2021, we operated 2,918 Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, 44 international Chipotle restaurants, and four non-Chipotle restaurants. We manage our U.S. operations based on eight regions and have aggregated our operations to one reportable segment.

Throughout “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” we commonly discuss the following key operating metrics which we believe will drive our financial results and long-term growth model. We believe these metrics are useful to investors because management uses these metrics to assess the growth of our business and the effectiveness of our marketing and operational strategies:

Comparable restaurant sales

Restaurant operating costs as a percentage of total revenue

New restaurant openings

The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected, and may continue to adversely affect, our operations and financial results for the foreseeable future. We continue to follow guidance from health officials in determining the appropriate restrictions to put in place for each restaurant. Our restaurant operations have been and could continue to be disrupted by COVID-19 related employee absences or due to changes in the availability and cost of labor. We remain in regular contact with our major suppliers and to date we have not experienced significant disruptions in our supply chain; however, we have experienced inflationary pressures in freight and the costs of some of our ingredients and temporary shortages in equipment and other goods, which could increase and/or spread to more categories as the impacts of COVID-19 continue across the global supply chain. We anticipate the restaurant wage increases implemented in June 2021 and any future wage increases in the U.S. along with increased supply chain costs, primarily related to inflationary pressures that began in the latter half of 2021 will have an impact on restaurant operating costs in 2022. However, these should be offset to some extent by benefits from pricing actions, leverage from revenue growth and supply chain initiatives.

2021 Financial Highlights

Sales Trends. Average restaurant sales were $2.641 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase from $2.223 million for the year ended December 31, 2020. We define average restaurant sales as the average trailing 12-month food and beverage sales for restaurants in operation for at least 12 full calendar months.

Total revenue was $7.5 billion for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase of 26.1% from $6.0 billion for the year ended December 31, 2020. The increase was attributable to comparable restaurant sales and, to a lesser extent, new restaurant openings. Comparable restaurant sales increased 19.3% for the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to a 10.3% increase in transactions and an 8.5% benefit from menu price increases implemented in late 2020 and during 2021. Comparable restaurant sales represent the change in period-over-period sales or transactions for restaurants in operation for at least 13 full calendar months.

Digital sales, which includes delivery and customer pick-up, were $3.4 billion for the year ended December 31, 2021, and represented 45.6% of total revenue compared to 46.2% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2020. Higher volumes of in-store transactions in 2021 contributed to the decrease in digital sales as a percentage of total revenue. Order ahead sales were 50.9% and 49.9% of digital sales for the years ended December 31, 2021, and 2020, respectively.

During 2021, we completed several company initiatives which we believe contributed to sales growth. These initiatives included the launch of cauliflower rice in January 2021, digital launch of quesadillas in March 2021 and smoked brisket in September 2021. Additionally, in June 2021, we enhanced our loyalty program, Chipotle Rewards, by introducing new redemption options and personalized offers primarily targeted at new and at-risk customers.

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Restaurant Operating Costs. During the year ended December 31, 2021, our restaurant operating costs (food, beverage and packaging; labor; occupancy; and other operating costs) were 77.4% of total revenue, a decrease from 82.6% during the year ended December 31, 2020. The decrease was driven primarily by higher comparable restaurant sales, partially offset by wage inflation, higher commodity inflation primarily from freight and beef and, to a lesser extent, increased delivery fees.

Diluted Earnings Per Share. During the year ended December 31, 2021, our diluted earnings per share were $22.90, an 82.9% increase from $12.52 in 2020.

Restaurant Development. For the full year 2021, we opened 215 new restaurants, which included 174 restaurants with a Chipotlane. We expect to open approximately 235-250 new restaurants in 2022, including five to 10 relocations, of which we are targeting 80% with a Chipotlane.

Restaurant Activity

The following table details restaurant unit data for the years indicated.

Year ended December 31,
20212020
Beginning of period2,7682,622
Chipotle openings215160
Pizzeria Locale openings-1
Chipotle permanent closures(10)(9)
Chipotle relocations(7)(6)
Total restaurants at end of period2,9662,768

Results of Operations

Our results of operations as a percentage of total revenue and period-over-period change are discussed in the following section.

Revenue

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
Food and beverage revenue$7,457.2$5,920.526.0%
Delivery service revenue89.964.140.3%
Total revenue$7,547.1$5,984.626.1%
Average restaurant sales (1)$2.6$2.218.8%
Comparable restaurant sales increase19.3%1.8%
(1) Average restaurant sales refer to the average trailing 12-month food and beverage sales for restaurants in operation for at least 12 full calendar months.

The significant factors contributing to the total revenue increase for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020, were comparable restaurant sales increases and new restaurant openings. Comparable restaurant sales increased $1,128.2 million and total revenue from restaurants not yet in the comparable base contributed $434.1 million to the total revenue increase, of which $201.9 million was due to restaurants opened in 2021.

Food, Beverage and Packaging Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
Food, beverage and packaging$2,308.6$1,932.819.4%
As a percentage of total revenue30.6%32.3%(1.7%)

Food, beverage and packaging costs decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to sales leverage from menu price increases. This decrease was partially offset by higher costs for freight and beef and, to a lesser extent, higher costs for avocados.

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Labor Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
Labor costs$1,917.8$1,593.020.4%
As a percentage of total revenue25.4%26.6%(1.2%)

Labor costs decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to sales leverage and, to a lesser extent, lower COVID-19 related pay for restaurant employees. This decrease was partially offset primarily by wage inflation from increasing restaurant wages to a $15.00 national average hourly wage for our restaurant employees implemented across all restaurants by June 30, 2021.

Occupancy Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
Occupancy costs$416.6$387.87.4%
As a percentage of total revenue5.5%6.5%(1.0%)

Occupancy costs decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to sales leverage, partially offset by increased rent expense associated with new restaurants.

Other Operating Costs

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
Other operating costs$1,197.1$1,030.016.2%
As a percentage of total revenue15.9%17.2%(1.3%)

Other operating costs include, among other items, marketing and promotional costs, delivery expense, bank and credit card processing fees, restaurant utilities, and maintenance costs. Other operating costs decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to sales leverage and, to a lesser extent, lower marketing and promotional expense. These decreases were partially offset by higher delivery and technology expense.

General and Administrative Expenses

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
General and administrative expense$606.9$466.330.1%
As a percentage of total revenue8.0%7.8%0.2%

General and administrative expenses increased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to the following: a $92.8 million increase in stock-based compensation, primarily attributable to the December 2020 modification of 2018 performance awards related to COVID-19; a $23.2 million increase in outside services expense related to corporate initiatives; an $11.8 million increase in performance bonuses; and a $9.6 million increase in employee wages primarily due to headcount growth. These increases were partially offset by a $17.1 million decrease in estimated loss contingencies related to legal matters in 2021 compared to 2020.

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Depreciation and Amortization

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
Depreciation and amortization$254.7$238.56.8%
As a percentage of total revenue3.4%4.0%(0.6%)

Depreciation and amortization decreased as a percentage of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to sales leverage.

Impairment, Closure Costs, and Asset Disposals

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
Impairment, closure costs, and asset disposals$19.3$30.6(36.9%)
As a percentage of total revenue0.3%0.5%(0.2%)

Impairment, closure costs, and asset disposals decreased in dollar terms for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to a comparison against elevated impairments of operating lease assets and leasehold improvements in 2020. These elevated impairments in 2020 were primarily the result of the COVID-19 pandemic negatively impacting our near-term restaurant level cash flow forecasts.

Benefit/(Provision) for Income Taxes

Year ended December 31,Percentage
20212020change
(dollars in millions)
Benefit/(Provision) for income taxes$(159.8)$62.0n/m*
Effective income tax rate19.7%(21.1%)n/m*
*Not meaningful

The effective income tax rate for the year ended December 31, 2021, was higher than the effective income tax rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to comparing against the federal net operating loss for tax year 2020, which had a statutory federal income tax rate of 21%, that was carried back to tax years 2015-2017, which had a statutory federal income tax rate of 35%. There is a further increase in the effective income tax rate due to the proportionality of the excess tax benefits from equity vesting and exercises relative to profit before tax in each respective year. This was partially offset by a net reduction in the 2021 effective income tax rate primarily related to the write-off of uncertain tax positions reserves for the year ended December 31, 2021.

Quarterly Financial Data/Seasonality

Seasonal factors cause our profitability to fluctuate from quarter to quarter. Historically, our average daily restaurant sales and net income are lower in the first and fourth quarters due, in part, to the holiday season and because fewer people eat out during periods of inclement weather (the winter months) than during periods of mild or warm weather (the spring, summer and fall months). Other factors also have a seasonal effect on our results. For example, restaurants located near colleges and universities generally do more business during the academic year. Seasonal factors, however, might be moderated or outweighed by other factors that may influence our quarterly results, such as unexpected publicity impacting our business in a positive or negative way, worldwide health pandemics, fluctuations in food or packaging costs, or the timing of menu price increases or promotional activities and other marketing initiatives. The number of trading days in a quarter can also affect our results, although, on an overall annual basis, changes in trading days do not have a significant impact.

Our quarterly results are also affected by other factors such as the amount and timing of non-cash stock-based compensation expense and related tax rate impacts, litigation, settlement costs and related legal expenses, impairment charges and non-operating costs, timing of marketing or promotional expenses, the number and timing of new restaurants opened in a quarter, and closure of restaurants. New restaurants typically have higher operating costs following opening because of the expenses associated with their opening and operating inefficiencies in the months immediately following opening. Accordingly, results for a particular quarter are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for any other quarter or for any year.

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Liquidity and Capital Resources

As of December 31, 2021, we had a cash and marketable investments balance of $1.3 billion, excluding restricted cash of $30.9 million and non-marketable investments of $43.2 million. After funding the current operations in our restaurants and support centers, the first planned use of our cash flow from operations is to provide capital for the continued investment in new restaurant construction. In addition to continuing to invest in our restaurant expansion, we expect to utilize cash flow from operations to: repurchase additional shares of our common stock subject to market conditions; invest in, maintain, and refurbish our existing restaurants; and for general corporate purposes. As of December 31, 2021, $240.9 million remained available for repurchases of shares of our common stock, which includes the $200.0 million additional authorization approved by our Board of Directors and announced on February 8, 2022. Under the remaining repurchase authorizations, shares may be purchased in open market transactions, subject to market conditions. Additionally, as of December 31, 2021, we had $500.0 million of undrawn borrowing capacity under a line of credit facility.

We believe that cash from operations, together with our cash and investment balances, will be sufficient to meet ongoing capital expenditures, working capital requirements and other cash needs for the foreseeable future. Assuming no significant declines in comparable restaurant sales, we expect we will generate positive cash flow for the foreseeable future. Should our business deteriorate due to changing conditions, there are actions we can take to further conserve liquidity.

We have not required significant working capital because customers generally pay using cash or credit and debit cards and because our operations do not require significant receivables, nor do they require significant inventories due, in part, to our use of various fresh ingredients. In addition, we generally have the right to pay for the purchase of food, beverages and supplies sometime after the receipt of those items, within ten days, thereby reducing the need for incremental working capital to support our growth.

Our total capital expenditures for 2021 were $442.5 million. In 2021, we spent on average about $1.1 million in development and construction costs per new restaurant, or about $1.0 million net of landlord reimbursements of $0.1 million. In 2022, we expect to incur about $450 million in total capital expenditures. We expect approximately $260 million in capital expenditures related to our construction of new restaurants, before any reductions for landlord reimbursements. For new restaurants to be opened in 2022, we anticipate average development costs will remain consistent with 2021 due to a significant portion including Chipotlanes. We expect approximately $150 million in capital expenditures related to investments in existing restaurants including new equipment and hardware, technology to optimize efficiencies, remodeling and similar improvements. Finally, we expect a portion of our incurred capital expenditures to be for additional corporate initiatives including investments in technology for support centers to boost innovation, enhance the customer experience, and improve operations.

The following table summarizes current and long-term material cash requirements as of December 31, 2021, which we expect to fund primarily with operating cash flows:

Payments Due by Fiscal Year
Total20222023-20242025-2026Thereafter
(dollars in millions)
Operating leases(1)$5,066$366$785$752$3,163
Purchase obligations(2)1,743573472465233
Deemed landlord financing(1)2-11-
Total$6,811$939$1,258$1,218$3,396

(1)See Note 10. “Leases” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” This includes commitments related to reasonably certain renewal periods.

(2)Purchase obligations include agreements to purchase goods or services that are enforceable and legally binding on us and that specify all significant terms. We have excluded agreements that are cancelable without penalty. The majority of our purchase obligations relate to amounts owed for produce and other ingredients and supplies, orders submitted for equipment for restaurants under construction and planned remodels, information technology, and marketing initiatives and corporate sponsorships.

The above table does not include income tax liabilities for uncertain tax positions for which we are not able to make a reasonably reliable estimate of the amount and period of related future payments. Additionally, we have excluded our estimated loss contingencies, due to uncertainty regarding the timing and amount of payment. See Note 12. “Commitments and Contingencies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

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Critical Accounting Estimates

We describe our significant accounting policies in Note 1. “Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of our consolidated financial statements included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Critical accounting estimates are those that we believe are both significant and that require us to make difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because we need to estimate the effect of inherently uncertain matters. We base our estimates and judgments on historical experiences and various other factors that we believe to be appropriate under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates, and we might obtain different estimates if we used different assumptions or factors.

Leases

We determine if a contract contains a lease at inception. Our material operating leases consist of restaurant locations and office space. Our leases generally have remaining terms of 1-20 years and most include options to extend the leases for additional 5-year periods. Generally, the lease term is the minimum of the noncancelable period of the lease or the lease term inclusive of reasonably certain renewal periods up to a term of 20 years. If the estimate of our reasonably certain lease term was changed, our depreciation and rent expense could differ materially.

Operating lease assets and liabilities are recognized at time of lease inception. Operating lease liabilities represent the present value of lease payments not yet paid. We made the policy election to combine lease and non-lease components, we also consider fixed common area maintenance (“CAM”) part of our fixed future lease payments. Fixed CAM is also included in our operating lease liability. Operating lease assets represent our right to use an underlying asset and are based upon the operating lease liabilities adjusted for prepayments, initial direct costs, lease incentives, and impairment of operating lease assets. To determine the present value of lease payments not yet paid, we estimate incremental borrowing rates corresponding to the reasonably certain lease term. As we have no outstanding debt nor committed credit facilities, secured or otherwise, we estimate this rate based on prevailing financial market conditions, comparable company and credit analysis, and management judgment. If the estimate of our incremental borrowing rate was changed, our operating lease assets and liabilities could differ materially.

Chipotle Rewards

Eligible customers who enroll in the Chipotle Rewards loyalty program generally earn points for every dollar spent. After accumulating the required number of points, the customer may select a reward. Earned rewards generally expire one to two months after they are issued, and points generally expire if an account is inactive for a period of six months.

The estimation of the standalone selling price of points and other rewards issued to customers involves several assumptions, primarily the estimated value of product for which the reward is expected to be redeemed and the probability that the points or reward will expire. Our estimate of points and other rewards we expect to be redeemed is based on historical company specific data. These inputs are subject to change over time due to factors such as menu price increases, changes in point redemption options and changes in customer behavior. Increasing our estimated ultimate redemption rate for estimated future redemptions by 100 basis points would have resulted in a reduction of food and beverage revenue on our consolidated statement of income of approximately $0.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2021.

Gift Cards

We sell gift cards, which do not have expiration dates, and we do not deduct non-usage fees from outstanding gift card balances. Gift card balances are initially recorded as unearned revenue. We recognize revenue from gift cards when the gift card is redeemed by the customer. Historically, the majority of gift cards are redeemed within one year. In addition, a portion of gift cards are not expected to be redeemed and will be recognized as breakage over time in proportion to gift card redemptions (“gift card breakage rate”). The gift card breakage rate is based on company and program specific information, including historical redemption patterns, and expected remittance to government agencies under unclaimed property laws, if applicable. We evaluate our gift card breakage rate estimate annually, or more frequently as circumstances warrant, and apply that rate to gift card redemptions. Decreasing our gift card breakage rate by 50 basis points would have resulted in a reduction of food and beverage revenue on our consolidated statement of income of approximately $5.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2021.

Impairment of Long-Lived Assets

Long-lived assets are reviewed for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. For the purpose of reviewing restaurant assets to be held and used for potential impairment, assets are grouped together at the market level, or in the case of a potential relocation or closure, at the restaurant level. We manage our restaurants as a group with significant common costs and promotional activities; as such, an individual restaurant’s cash flows are not generally independent of the cash flows of others in a market.

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The fair value measurement for asset impairment is based on Level 3 inputs. We first compare the carrying value of the asset (or asset group, referred interchangeably throughout as asset) to the asset’s estimated future undiscounted cash flows. If the estimated undiscounted future cash flows are less than the carrying value of the asset, we determine if we have an impairment loss by comparing the carrying value of the asset to the asset's estimated fair value. The estimated fair value of the asset is generally determined using the income approach to measure the fair value, which is based on the present value of estimated future cash flows. Key inputs to the income approach for restaurant assets include the discount rate, projected revenue and expenses, and sublease income if we are closing the restaurant. In certain cases, management uses other market information, when available, to estimate the fair value of an asset. The impairment charges represent the excess of each asset’s carrying amount over its estimated fair value and are allocated among the long-lived asset or assets of the group.

Our estimates of future revenues and expenses are highly subjective judgments based on internal projections and knowledge of our operations, historical performance, and trends in sales and restaurant operating costs, and can be significantly impacted by changes in our business or economic conditions. The determination of asset fair value is also subject to significant judgment and utilizes valuation techniques including discounting estimated future cash flows and market-based analyses to determine fair value. If our estimates or underlying assumptions, including discount rate and sublease income change in the future, our operating results may be materially impacted.

Stock-based Compensation

We recognize compensation expense for equity awards over the requisite service period based on the award’s fair value. We use the Black-Scholes valuation model to determine the fair value of our stock-only stock appreciation rights (“SOSARs”), and we use the Monte Carlo simulation model to determine the fair value of stock awards that contain market conditions. Both of these models require assumptions to be made regarding our stock price volatility, the expected life of the award and expected dividend rates. The volatility and the expected life assumptions were based on our historical data. Similarly, the compensation expense of performance share awards is based in part on the estimated probability of achieving levels of performance associated with particular levels of payout for performance shares. We determine the probability of achievement of future levels of performance by comparing the relevant performance level with our internal estimates of future performance. Those estimates are based on a number of assumptions, including but not limited to growth in comparable restaurant sales and average restaurant level margin, and different assumptions may have resulted in different conclusions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance relevant to the payout levels for the awards. Had we arrived at different assumptions of stock price volatility or expected lives of our SOSARs, or if we changed our assumptions regarding the probability of achieving future levels of performance with respect to performance share awards, our stock-based compensation expense and results of operations may be materially different. As a result of changing our assumptions for the estimated payout of our various performance base awards during the year ended December 31, 2021 relative to these estimated payouts as of December 31, 2020, we incurred an additional $21.1 million of stock-based compensation expense during the year ended December 31, 2021.

Insurance Liability

We are self-insured for a significant portion of our employee health benefits programs. We carry significant retentions for risks and associated liabilities with respect to workers’ compensation, general liability, property and auto damage, employment practices liability, cyber liability and directors’ and officers’ liability. Predetermined loss limits have been arranged with third-party insurance companies to limit exposure to these claims. We record a liability that represents our estimated cost of claims incurred and unpaid as of the balance sheet date. Our estimated liability is not discounted and is based on a number of assumptions and factors, including historical trends, actuarial assumptions and economic conditions, and is closely monitored and adjusted when warranted by changing circumstances. If a greater amount of claims occurs compared to what we have estimated, or if medical costs increase beyond what we expected, our accrued liabilities might not be sufficient. Actual claims experience could also be more favorable than estimated. Unanticipated changes may produce materially different amounts of expense than that reported under these programs.

Reserves/Contingencies for Litigation and Other Matters

We are involved in various claims and legal actions that arise in the ordinary course of business. We record an accrual for legal contingencies when we determine that it is probable that we have incurred a liability and we can reasonably estimate the amount of the loss. Although we have recorded liabilities related to a number of legal actions, our estimates used to determine the amount of these liabilities may not be accurate, and there are other legal actions for which we have not recorded a liability. As a result, in the event legal actions for which we have not accrued a liability or for which our accrued liabilities are not accurate are resolved, such resolution may affect our operating results and cash flows.

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Income Taxes

Our benefit/(provision) for income taxes, deferred tax assets and liabilities and any related valuation allowance requires the use of estimates based on our management’s interpretation and application of complex tax laws and accounting guidance. We are primarily subject to income taxes in the United States. We establish reserves for uncertain tax positions for material, known tax exposures relating to deductions, transactions and other matters involving some uncertainty as to the measurement and recognition of the item. We may adjust these reserves when our judgment changes as a result of the evaluation of new information not previously available and will be reflected in the period in which the new information is available, or due to the expiration of any applicable statute of limitations. While we believe that our reserves are adequate, issues raised by a tax authority may be resolved at an amount different than the related reserve and could materially increase or decrease our income tax provision in future periods.

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