DOLLAR GENERAL CORP (DG)
SIC breadcrumb: Retail Trade > General Merchandise Stores > SIC 5331 Retail-Variety Stores
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=29534. Latest filing source: 0001104659-26-032325.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 42,724,369,000 | USD | 2026 | 2026-03-20 |
| Net income | 1,512,311,000 | USD | 2026 | 2026-03-20 |
| Assets | 30,963,730,000 | USD | 2026 | 2026-03-20 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-03-20. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000029534.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 21,986,598,000 | 23,470,967,000 | 25,625,043,000 | 27,753,973,000 | 33,746,839,000 | 34,220,449,000 | 37,844,863,000 | 38,691,609,000 | 40,612,308,000 | 42,724,369,000 |
| Net income | 1,251,133,000 | 1,538,960,000 | 1,589,472,000 | 1,712,555,000 | 2,655,050,000 | 2,399,232,000 | 2,415,989,000 | 1,661,274,000 | 1,125,253,000 | 1,512,311,000 |
| Operating income | 2,063,449,000 | 2,007,818,000 | 2,116,306,000 | 2,302,304,000 | 3,554,765,000 | 3,220,675,000 | 3,328,302,000 | 2,446,300,000 | 1,714,074,000 | 2,203,668,000 |
| Gross profit | 6,782,638,000 | 7,221,359,000 | 7,803,870,000 | 8,489,061,000 | 10,718,862,000 | 10,813,006,000 | 11,820,098,000 | 11,719,024,000 | 12,017,497,000 | 13,099,689,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 4.43 | 5.63 | 5.97 | 6.64 | 10.62 | 10.17 | 10.68 | 7.55 | 5.11 | 6.85 |
| Operating cash flow | 1,605,041,000 | 1,802,108,000 | 2,143,550,000 | 2,237,998,000 | 3,876,159,000 | 2,865,811,000 | 1,984,555,000 | 2,391,798,000 | 2,996,064,000 | 3,634,500,000 |
| Capital expenditures | 560,296,000 | 646,456,000 | 734,380,000 | 784,843,000 | 1,027,963,000 | 1,070,460,000 | 1,560,582,000 | 1,700,222,000 | 1,309,888,000 | 1,241,162,000 |
| Dividends paid | 281,135,000 | 282,931,000 | 306,523,000 | 327,568,000 | 355,926,000 | 392,188,000 | 493,726,000 | 517,979,000 | 518,983,000 | 519,510,000 |
| Assets | 11,672,298,000 | 12,516,911,000 | 13,204,038,000 | 22,825,084,000 | 25,862,624,000 | 26,327,371,000 | 29,083,367,000 | 30,795,591,000 | 31,132,733,000 | 30,963,730,000 |
| Liabilities | 23,719,026,000 | 22,451,768,000 | ||||||||
| Stockholders' equity | 5,406,294,000 | 6,125,774,000 | 6,417,393,000 | 6,702,500,000 | 6,661,238,000 | 6,261,986,000 | 5,541,772,000 | 6,749,119,000 | 7,413,707,000 | 8,511,962,000 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 187,915,000 | 267,441,000 | 235,487,000 | 240,320,000 | 1,376,577,000 | 344,829,000 | 381,576,000 | 537,283,000 | 932,576,000 | 1,138,501,000 |
| Free cash flow | 1,044,745,000 | 1,155,652,000 | 1,409,170,000 | 1,453,155,000 | 2,848,196,000 | 1,795,351,000 | 423,973,000 | 691,576,000 | 1,686,176,000 | 2,393,338,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 5.69% | 6.56% | 6.20% | 6.17% | 7.87% | 7.01% | 6.38% | 4.29% | 2.77% | 3.54% |
| Operating margin | 9.39% | 8.55% | 8.26% | 8.30% | 10.53% | 9.41% | 8.79% | 6.32% | 4.22% | 5.16% |
| Return on equity | 23.14% | 25.12% | 24.77% | 25.55% | 39.86% | 38.31% | 43.60% | 24.61% | 15.18% | 17.77% |
| Return on assets | 10.72% | 12.30% | 12.04% | 7.50% | 10.27% | 9.11% | 8.31% | 5.39% | 3.61% | 4.88% |
| Liabilities / equity | 3.20 | 2.64 | ||||||||
| Current ratio | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.55 | 1.14 | 1.21 | 1.05 | 1.29 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.13 |
Financial Charts
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-06-02. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000029534.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q2 | 2022-07-29 | 2.98 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-10-28 | 2.33 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-05-05 | 2.34 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-08-04 | 9,796,181,000 | 468,835,000 | 2.13 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-11-03 | 9,694,082,000 | 276,246,000 | 1.26 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2024-02-02 | 9,858,514,000 | 401,813,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-05-03 | 9,914,021,000 | 363,317,000 | 1.65 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-08-02 | 10,210,361,000 | 374,190,000 | 1.70 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-11-01 | 10,183,428,000 | 196,529,000 | 0.89 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2025-01-31 | 10,304,498,000 | 191,217,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-05-02 | 10,435,979,000 | 391,928,000 | 1.78 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-08-01 | 10,727,737,000 | 411,426,000 | 1.86 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-10-31 | 10,649,450,000 | 282,657,000 | 1.28 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2026-01-30 | 10,911,203,000 | 426,300,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-05-01 | 10,786,965,000 | 444,127,000 | 2.00 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0001104659-26-069205.
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS.
General
This discussion and analysis is based on, should be read with, and is qualified in its entirety by, the accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements and related notes, as well as our consolidated financial statements and the related Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations as contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 30, 2026. It also should be read in conjunction with the disclosure under “Cautionary Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” in this report.
Executive Overview
We are the largest discount retailer in the United States by number of stores, with 21,055 stores located in 48 U.S. states and Mexico as of May 1, 2026, with the greatest concentration of stores in the southern, southwestern, midwestern and eastern United States. We offer a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable products such as food, paper and cleaning products, health and beauty products and pet supplies, and non-consumable products such as seasonal merchandise, home decor and domestics, and basic apparel. Our merchandise includes national brands from leading manufacturers, as well as our own private brand selections with prices often at substantial discounts to national brands. We offer our customers these national brand and private brand products at everyday low prices (typically $10 or less) from our convenient small-box locations.
We believe our convenient store formats, locations, and broad selection of high-quality products at compelling values have driven our substantial growth and financial success over the years and through a variety of economic cycles. We are mindful that the majority of our customers are value-conscious, and many have low and/or fixed incomes. As a result, we are intensely focused on helping our customers make the most of their spending dollars. The primary macroeconomic factors that affect our core customers include unemployment and underemployment rates, inflation (including, but not limited to, high or rising gas prices), wage growth, changes in federal and state tax policies, interest rates, changes in U.S. and global trade policy (including resulting price increases), and changes in U.S. government policy and assistance programs (including cost of living adjustments and work requirements), such as SNAP, unemployment benefits, and economic stimulus programs. Finally, significant unseasonable or unusual weather patterns or extreme weather can impact customer shopping behaviors.
Uncertainty remains regarding the potential impact of tariffs on consumer behavior and our business. Tariff rates on both direct imports and domestic purchases did not materially impact our financial results for the first quarter of 2026. The tariff environment remains dynamic, and the specific tariffs applicable to goods imported by us and our suppliers into the U.S. may continue to evolve. Tariff rate increases or expansions of tariff coverage affecting the products that we sell could have a significant impact on our business and on our customers’ budgets. We continue to monitor developments and will evaluate the impact of any tariff rate changes on our business and take action to mitigate such impact. There can be no assurance we will be successful in our efforts, or that price increases, if they become necessary, will not adversely affect customer behavior. Following the February 20, 2026 decision by the United States Supreme Court invalidating certain tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, we submitted claims with U.S. Customs and Border Protection seeking refunds for such tariffs that we previously paid. The exact timing and amount of refunds remain subject to uncertainty.
Our core customers are often among the first to be affected by negative or uncertain economic conditions and among the last to feel the effects of improving economic conditions, particularly when trends are inconsistent and of an uncertain duration. Our customers continue to feel constrained in the current macroeconomic environment and to experience elevated expenses that generally comprise a large portion of their household budgets, such as rent, healthcare, energy and fuel prices, as well as cost inflation in frequently purchased household products (including food), which we expect will continue to pressure our customers’ spending overall.
We remain committed to our long-term operating priorities as we consistently strive to improve our performance while retaining our customer-centric focus. These priorities include: 1) driving profitable sales growth, 2) capturing growth opportunities, 3) enhancing our position as a low-cost operator, and 4) investing in the growth and development of our teams.
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We seek to drive profitable sales growth through initiatives aimed at increasing customer traffic and average transaction amount. Historically, sales in our consumables category, which tend to have lower gross margins, have been key drivers of net sales and customer traffic, while sales in our non-consumables categories, which tend to have higher gross margins, have been key drivers of more profitable sales growth and average transaction amount. Our sales mix remains heavily weighted towards consumables, although non-consumables have outpaced consumables in same-store sales growth for the last five consecutive quarters. Certain of our initiatives are intended to better optimize our sales mix; however, there can be no assurances that these efforts will be successful.
As we work to provide everyday low prices and meet our customers’ affordability needs, we remain focused on enhancing our margins through inventory shrink and damage reduction initiatives (which helped to partially mitigate our significant fuel costs), as well as pricing and markdown optimization, the DG Media Network (our platform that connects brand partners with our customers), effective category management and inventory reduction efforts, distribution and transportation efficiencies, private brands penetration and global sourcing strategies. Several of our strategic and other sales-driving initiatives are also designed to capture growth opportunities.
Inventory shrink has significantly improved from elevated levels in recent years, and although damages remain elevated, we have made progress reducing damages for the last five consecutive quarters. We continue to implement actions designed to drive sustained improvement in both shrink and damages.
We continue to implement and invest in certain strategic initiatives intended to drive profitable sales growth with both new and existing customers and capture long-term growth opportunities. Such initiatives include providing our customers with a variety of shopping access points and even greater value and convenience by leveraging and developing digital tools and technology, such as our Dollar General app, which contains a variety of tools to enhance the shopping experience. We remain focused on enhancing both the in-store and digital shopping experience, while driving operational efficiency. The delivery component of our digital initiatives contributes meaningfully to our comparable store sales performance. Third-party delivery services and myDG® Delivery are available in the majority of our stores, providing added convenience and incremental sales. We believe these digital efforts will contribute to the continued growth of our DG Media Network.
We have continued our efforts to improve the performance and profitability of our mature stores through our remodel program, which includes both full remodels under Project Renovate and partial remodels under Project Elevate. Together, these remodel programs are designed to refresh and optimize merchandising and store presentation, enhance the shopping experience for our customers, and potentially mitigate future repairs and maintenance expense.
We also remain focused on capturing growth opportunities. In 2026, we plan to open approximately 450 new stores (as well as approximately 10 stores in Mexico), remodel approximately 2,000 stores through Project Renovate, remodel approximately 2,250 stores through Project Elevate, and relocate approximately 20 stores, for a total of 4,730 real estate projects. As part of this plan, in the first quarter of 2026 we opened a total of 195 new stores, including 5 stores in Mexico, remodeled 659 stores through Project Renovate and 711 stores through Project Elevate, relocated 6 stores and closed 33 stores.
We expect store format innovation to allow us to capture additional growth opportunities as we continue to utilize the most productive of our various Dollar General store formats based on the specific market opportunity. In 2026, we are utilizing store formats averaging approximately 8,500 square feet of selling space for the significant majority of new stores. These formats allow for expanded high-capacity-cooler counts, an extended queue line, and a broader product assortment, including an enhanced non-consumable offering, a larger health and beauty section, and produce in select stores.
Finally, pOpshelf, our unique retail concept focused on categories such as seasonal and home décor, health and beauty, home cleaning supplies, and party and entertainment goods, represents an additional potential growth opportunity. At the end of the first quarter of 2026, we operated 180 standalone pOpshelf stores. We continue to take focused actions designed to improve the performance of pOpshelf stores, although there can be no assurances that our efforts will be successful.
We always seek ways to reduce or control costs that do not affect our customers’ shopping experiences. We plan to continue enhancing our position as a low-cost operator over time while employing ongoing cost discipline to reduce certain expenses as a percentage of sales. Nonetheless, we seek to maintain flexibility to invest in the business as
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necessary to enhance our long-term competitiveness and profitability. From time to time, our strategic initiatives, including without limitation those discussed above, have required and may continue to require us to incur upfront expenses for which there may not be an immediate return in terms of sales or enhanced profitability.
Certain of our operating expenses, such as wage rates and occupancy costs, have continued to increase in recent years due primarily to market forces such as labor availability, increases in minimum wage rates, inflation, property rents and interest rates. Significant or rapid increases to federal, state or local minimum wage rates or salary levels could significantly adversely affect our earnings if we are not able to otherwise offset these increased labor costs elsewhere in our business.
We believe ongoing inflationary pressures could continue to affect our vendors and customers and our operating results. Both inflation and higher interest rates have significantly increased new store opening costs and occupancy costs in recent years and, while new store returns remain strong, these increased costs have negatively impacted our projected new store returns and influenced our new store growth plans. Furthermore, we incurred significantly higher fuel costs in the first quarter of 2026, and we expect this trend to continue for an uncertain duration.
Our teams are a competitive advantage, and we proactively seek ways to continue investing in their development. Our goal is to create an environment that attracts, develops, and retains talented personnel, particularly at the store manager level, as employees who are promoted from within our company generally have longer tenures and are greater contributors to improvements in our financial performance. We are taking actions designed to
[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This discussion and analysis should be read with, and is qualified in its entirety by, the Consolidated Financial Statements and the notes thereto. It also should be read in conjunction with the Cautionary Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and the Risk Factors disclosures set forth in the Introduction and in Item 1A of this report, respectively.
Executive Overview
We are the largest discount retailer in the United States by number of stores, with 20,959 stores located in 48 U.S. states and Mexico as of February 27, 2026, with the greatest concentration of stores in the southern, southwestern, midwestern and eastern United States. We offer a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable products such as food, paper and cleaning products, health and beauty products and pet supplies, and non-consumable products such as seasonal merchandise, home decor and domestics, and basic apparel. Our merchandise includes national brands from leading manufacturers, as well as our own private brand selections with prices often at substantial discounts to national brands. We offer our customers these national brand and private brand products at everyday low prices (typically $10 or less) from our convenient small-box locations.
We believe our convenient store formats, locations, and broad selection of high-quality products at compelling values have driven our substantial growth and financial success over the years and through a variety of economic cycles. We are mindful that the majority of our customers are value-conscious, and many have low and/or fixed incomes. As a result, we are intensely focused on helping our customers make the most of their spending dollars. The primary macroeconomic factors that affect our core customers include unemployment and underemployment rates, inflation, wage growth, changes in federal and state tax policies, interest rates, changes in U.S. and global trade policy (including price increases resulting from tariffs), and changes in U.S. government policy and assistance programs (including cost of living adjustments and work requirements), such as SNAP, unemployment benefits, and economic stimulus programs. Finally, significant unseasonable or unusual weather patterns or extreme weather can impact customer shopping behaviors.
Uncertainty remains regarding the potential impact of tariffs on consumer behavior and our business. Tariff rates on both direct imports and domestic purchases did not materially impact our financial results in 2025. The tariff environment remains dynamic, and the specific tariffs applicable to goods imported by us and our suppliers into the U.S. may continue to evolve. Currently announced tariff rates, as well as any rate increases or expansions of tariff coverage affecting the products that we sell, could have a significant impact on our business and on our customers’ budgets. Further, on February 20, 2026, the United States Supreme Court invalidated the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). Significant uncertainty exists regarding potential tariff refunds and replacement tariffs under other statutes. We continue to monitor developments and to evaluate and implement mitigation strategies to address the potential sales and margin impact of current and potential future tariffs, as well as to take various actions designed to minimize price increases for our customers. There can be no assurance we will be successful in our efforts, or that price increases will not adversely affect customer behavior.
Our core customers are often among the first to be affected by negative or uncertain economic conditions and among the last to feel the effects of improving economic conditions, particularly when trends are inconsistent and of an uncertain duration. Our customers continue to feel constrained in the current macroeconomic environment and to experience elevated expenses that generally comprise a large portion of their household budgets, such as rent, healthcare, energy and fuel prices, as well as cost inflation in frequently purchased household products (including food), which we expect will continue to pressure our customers’ spending overall.
We remain committed to our long-term operating priorities as we consistently strive to improve our performance while retaining our customer-centric focus. These priorities include: 1) driving profitable sales growth, 2) capturing growth opportunities, 3) enhancing our position as a low-cost operator, and 4) investing in the growth and development of our teams.
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Table of Contents
We seek to drive profitable sales growth through initiatives aimed at increasing customer traffic and average transaction amount. Historically, sales in our consumables category, which tend to have lower gross margins, have been key drivers of net sales and customer traffic, while sales in our non-consumables categories, which tend to have higher gross margins, have been key drivers of more profitable sales growth and average transaction amount. Our sales mix remains heavily weighted towards consumables, although we saw slight improvement in our sales mix in 2025 compared to the prior year. Certain of our initiatives are intended to better optimize our sales mix; however, there can be no assurances that these efforts will be successful.
As we work to provide everyday low prices and meet our customers’ affordability needs, we remain focused on enhancing our margins through inventory shrink and damage reduction initiatives, as well as pricing and markdown optimization, the DG Media Network (our platform that connects brand partners with our customers), effective category management and inventory reduction efforts, distribution and transportation efficiencies, private brands penetration and global sourcing strategies. Several of our strategic and other sales-driving initiatives are also designed to capture growth opportunities.
Inventory shrink has significantly improved from prior elevated levels, and although damages remain elevated, we made progress reducing damages in 2025. We continue to implement actions designed to drive sustained improvement in both shrink and damages.
We continue to implement and invest in certain strategic initiatives intended to drive profitable sales growth with both new and existing customers and capture long-term growth opportunities. Such initiatives include providing our customers with a variety of shopping access points and even greater value and convenience by leveraging and developing digital tools and technology, such as our Dollar General app, which contains a variety of tools to enhance the shopping experience. We remain focused on enhancing both the in-store and digital shopping experience, while driving operational efficiency. The delivery component of our digital initiatives is becoming a meaningful contributor to our comparable store sales performance. Third-party delivery services and myDG® Delivery are available in the majority of our stores, providing added convenience and incremental sales. We believe these digital efforts will contribute to the continued growth of our DG Media Network.
In 2025, we expanded our efforts to improve the performance and profitability of our mature stores through the rollout of an incremental remodel program, Project Elevate. This partial-remodel initiative is designed to refresh and optimize the merchandising in our stores, and in turn, enhance the shopping experience for our customers, while also potentially mitigating future repairs and maintenance expense. Project Elevate remodels are incremental to our full-remodel program, Project Renovate.
We also remain focused on capturing growth opportunities. In 2025, we opened a total of 589 new stores, including 8 stores in Mexico, remodeled 2,000 stores through Project Renovate and 2,254 stores through Project Elevate, relocated 47 stores and closed 290 stores. In 2026, we plan to open approximately 450 new stores (as well as approximately 10 stores in Mexico), remodel approximately 2,000 stores through Project Renovate, remodel approximately 2,250 stores through Project Elevate, and relocate approximately 20 stores, for a total of 4,730 real estate projects.
pOpshelf, our unique retail concept focused on categories such as seasonal and home décor, health and beauty, home cleaning supplies, and party and entertainment goods, represents an additional potential growth opportunity. At the end of 2025, we operated 180 standalone pOpshelf stores. We continue to take focused actions designed to improve the performance of pOpshelf stores, although there can be no assurances that our efforts will be successful.
We expect store format innovation to allow us to capture additional growth opportunities as we continue to utilize the most productive of our various Dollar General store formats based on the specific market opportunity. In 2025, we began utilizing store formats averaging approximately 8,500 square feet of selling space for the significant majority of new stores. These formats allow for expanded high-capacity-cooler counts, an extended queue line, and a broader product assortment, including an enhanced non-consumable offering, a larger health and beauty section, and produce in select stores.
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Table of Contents
We always seek ways to reduce or control costs that do not affect our customers’ shopping experiences. We plan to continue enhancing our position as a low-cost operator over time while employing ongoing cost discipline to reduce certain expenses as a percentage of sales. Nonetheless, we seek to maintain flexibility to invest in the business as necessary to enhance our long-term competitiveness and profitability. From time to time, our strategic initiatives, including without limitation those discussed above, have required and may continue to require us to incur upfront expenses for which there may not be an immediate return in terms of sales or enhanced profitability.
Certain of our operating expenses, such as wage rates and occupancy costs have continued to increase in recent years, due primarily to market forces such as labor availability, increases in minimum wage rates, inflation, property rents and interest rates. Significant or rapid increases to federal, state or local minimum wage rates or salary levels could significantly adversely affect our earnings if we are not able to otherwise offset these increased labor costs elsewhere in our business.
We believe ongoing inflationary pressures could continue to affect our vendors and customers and our operating results. Both inflation and higher interest rates have significantly increased new store opening costs and occupancy costs in recent years and, while new store returns remain strong, these increased costs have negatively impacted our projected new store returns and influenced our new store growth plans.
Our teams are a competitive advantage, and we proactively seek ways to continue investing in their development. Our goal is to create an environment that attracts, develops, and retains talented personnel, particularly at the store manager level, as employees who are promoted from within our company generally have longer tenures and are greater contributors to improvements in our financial performance. We are taking actions designed to continue reducing our higher than targeted store manager turnover, including through budgeting and allocation of labor hours and simplifying in-store activities.
Key Performance Indicators
We utilize key performance indicators, which are defined below, in the management of our business including same-store sales, average sales per square foot, and inventory turnover. We use these measures to maximize profitability and for decisions about the allocation of resources. Each of these measures is commonly used by investors in retail companies to measure the health of the business.
Same-store sales are calculated based upon our stores that were open at least 13 full fiscal months and remain open at the end of the reporting period. We include stores that have been remodeled, expanded or relocated in our same-store sales calculation. Changes in same-store sales are calculated based on the comparable 52 calendar weeks in the current and prior years. The method of calculating same-store sales varies across the retail industry. As a result, our calculation of same-store sales is not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies.
| | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | 2025 | | 2024 | |||
| Same-store sales | | 3.0 | % | | 1.4 | % | |
Average sales per square foot is calculated based on total sales for the preceding four quarters as of the ending date of the reporting period divided by the average selling square footage as of the end of the most recent five quarters.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | January 30, | | January 31, | ||
| | | 2026 | | 2025 | ||
| Average sales per square foot | | $ | 270 | | $ | 263 |
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Inventory turnover is calculated based on total cost of goods sold for the preceding four quarters as of the ending date of the reporting period divided by the average inventory balance as of the end of the most recent five quarters.
| | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | January 30, | | January 31, |
| | | 2026 | | 2025 |
| Inventory turnover | | 4.5 | | 4.1 |
Results of Operations
Accounting Periods. The following text contains references to years 2025, 2024, and 2023, which represent fiscal years ended January 30, 2026, January 31, 2025, and February 2, 2024, respectively. Our fiscal year ends on the Friday closest to January 31. Fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023 were 52-week accounting periods.
Seasonality. The nature of our business is somewhat seasonal. Primarily because of sales of Christmas-related merchandise, operating profit in our fourth quarter (November, December and January) has historically been higher than operating profit achieved in each of the first three quarters of the fiscal year, although this was not the case in 2024 and 2023. Expenses, and to a greater extent operating profit, vary by quarter. Results of a period shorter than a full year may not be indicative of results expected for the entire year. Furthermore, the seasonal nature of our business may affect comparisons between periods.
The following table contains results of operations data for fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023, and the dollar and percentage variances among those years.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | 2025 vs. 2024 | | | 2024 vs. 2023 | |
| (amounts in millions, except | | | | | | | | | | | % | | | % | |
| per share amounts) | | 2025 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | Change | | Change | | ||||
| Net sales | | $ | 42,724.4 | | $ | 40,612.3 | | $ | 38,691.6 | | 5.2 | % | | 5.0 | % |
| Cost of goods sold | | 29,624.7 | | 28,594.8 | | 26,972.6 | | 3.6 | | | 6.0 | | |||
| Gross profit | | 13,099.7 | | 12,017.5 | | 11,719.0 | | 9.0 | | | 2.5 | | |||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | | 10,896.0 | | 10,303.4 | | 9,272.7 | | 5.8 | | | 11.1 | | |||
| Operating profit | | 2,203.7 | | 1,714.1 | | 2,446.3 | | 28.6 | | | (29.9) | | |||
| Interest expense, net | | 230.6 | | 274.3 | | 326.8 | | (15.9) | | | (16.1) | | |||
| Other (income) expense | | 8.5 | | — | | — | | — | | | — | | |||
| Income before income taxes | | 1,964.6 | | 1,439.8 | | 2,119.5 | | 36.5 | | | (32.1) | | |||
| Income tax expense | | 452.3 | | 314.5 | | 458.2 | | 43.8 | | | (31.4) | | |||
| Net income | | $ | 1,512.3 | | $ | 1,125.3 | | $ | 1,661.3 | | 34.4 | % | | (32.3) | % |
| Diluted earnings per share | | $ | 6.85 | | $ | 5.11 | | $ | 7.55 | | 34.1 | % | | (32.3) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | 2025 vs. 2024 | 2024 vs. 2023 | | ||
| | | | | | | | Basis Point | | Basis Point | | |
| (Percent of Net Sales) | 2025 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | Change | Change | | ||
| Net sales | | 100.00 | % | 100.00 | % | 100.00 | % | | | | |
| Cost of goods sold | | 69.34 | | 70.41 | | 69.71 | | (107) | | 70 | |
| Gross profit | | 30.66 | | 29.59 | | 30.29 | | 107 | | (70) | |
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | | 25.50 | | 25.37 | | 23.97 | | 13 | | 140 | |
| Operating profit | | 5.16 | | 4.22 | | 6.32 | | 94 | | (210) | |
| Interest expense, net | | 0.54 | | 0.68 | | 0.84 | | (14) | | (16) | |
| Other (income) expense | | 0.02 | | 0.00 | | 0.00 | | 2 | | - | |
| Income before income taxes | | 4.60 | | 3.55 | | 5.48 | | 105 | | (193) | |
| Income tax expense | | 1.06 | | 0.77 | | 1.18 | | 28 | | (41) | |
| Net income | | 3.54 | % | 2.77 | % | 4.29 | % | 77 | | (152) | |
Net Sales. Net sales in 2025 increased 5.2% primarily due to an increase in same-store sales of 3.0% compared to 2024 and sales from new stores, partially offset by the impact of store closures. The increase in same-store sales reflects a 1.6% increase in customer traffic and a 1.4% increase in average transaction amount. The increase in average transaction amount reflects higher average item retail prices and flat items per transaction. Same-
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store sales increased in the consumables, seasonal, home products and apparel categories. In 2025, our 20,268 same-stores accounted for sales of $41.2 billion.
Net sales in 2024 increased 5.0% primarily due to sales from new stores and an increase in same-store sales of 1.4% compared to 2023, partially offset by the impact of store closures. The increase in same-store sales reflects a 1.1% increase in customer traffic and a 0.3% increase in average transaction amount. The increase in average transaction amount was driven by higher average item retail prices and an increase in items per transaction. Same-store sales increased in the consumables category and declined in the home products, seasonal and apparel categories. In 2024, our 19,633 same-stores accounted for sales of $38.8 billion.
The amount of net sales represented by each of our product categories for fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, as well as the percentage change between such periods, were as follows:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | 2025 vs. 2024 | | 2024 vs. 2023 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | % | | | % | |
| (amounts in millions) | | 2025 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | Change | | Change | | ||||
| Net sales by category: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Consumables | | $ | 35,053.2 | | $ | 33,370.9 | | $ | 31,342.6 | | 5.0 | % | | 6.5 | % |
| Seasonal | | 4,327.4 | | 4,073.3 | | 4,083.8 | | 6.2 | | | (0.3) | | |||
| Home products | | 2,213.5 | | 2,074.4 | | 2,163.8 | | 6.7 | | | (4.1) | | |||
| Apparel | | 1,130.3 | | 1,093.7 | | 1,101.4 | | 3.3 | | | (0.7) | | |||
| Net sales | | $ | 42,724.4 | | $ | 40,612.3 | | $ | 38,691.6 | | 5.2 | % | | 5.0 | % |
The percentage of net sales represented by each of our product categories for fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, were as follows:
| | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | 2025 | | 2024 | | 2023 | |
| Net sales by category: | | | | | | | |
| Consumables | | 82.04 | % | 82.17 | % | 81.01 | % |
| Seasonal | | 10.13 | | 10.03 | | 10.55 | |
| Home products | | 5.18 | | 5.11 | | 5.59 | |
| Apparel | | 2.65 | | 2.69 | | 2.85 | |
| Net sales | | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
Gross Profit. In 2025, gross profit increased by 9.0%, and as a percentage of net sales increased by 107 basis points to 30.7%, compared to 2024, primarily driven by lower shrink, higher inventory markups and lower inventory damages, partially offset by an increased LIFO provision.
In 2024, gross profit increased by 2.5%, and as a percentage of net sales decreased by 70 basis points to 29.6%, compared to 2023, primarily driven by increased markdowns, a greater proportion of sales coming from the consumables category and increased inventory damages, partially offset by decreased transportation costs.
SG&A. SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 25.5% in 2025 compared to 25.4% in 2024, an increase of 13 basis points. The primary expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2025 were incentive compensation and repairs and maintenance, partially offset by lower impairment charges primarily due to the store portfolio optimization review completed in 2024 as discussed in Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements.
SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 25.4% in 2024 compared to 24.0% in 2023, an increase of 140 basis points. The increase reflects fourth quarter impairment charges totaling $214.2 million related to the store portfolio optimization review as discussed in Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements. Other expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2024 were retail labor, depreciation and amortization, store occupancy costs and incentive compensation.
Interest Expense, net. Interest expense, net decreased $43.8 million to $230.6 million in 2025 compared to 2024 primarily due to lower average debt balances from the repayment of long-term debt. Interest expense, net, decreased $52.5 million to $274.3 million in 2024 compared to 2023 due to higher average cash balances and the repayment of long-term debt. See the detailed discussion under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” regarding the
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financing of various long-term obligations.
Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate for 2025 was 23.0% compared to a rate of 21.8% for 2024 which represents a net increase of 1.2 percentage points. The effective tax rate was higher in 2025 primarily due to a higher state effective tax rate, enactment of Pillar Two minimum tax, and a decreased benefit from jobs-based tax credits due to higher earnings before taxes diluting the rate impact of the credits.
We receive a significant income tax benefit from wages paid to certain newly hired employees who qualify for federal jobs credits, principally the Work Opportunity Tax Credit (“WOTC”). The WOTC program previously authorized under the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2021 expired for employees hired after December 31, 2025. For 2025, the expiration of the WOTC program had an immaterial impact on our effective tax rate. Absent reauthorization, we will experience a significant negative impact to the effective tax rate in future years.
The effective income tax rate for 2024 was 21.8% compared to a rate of 21.6% for 2023 which represents a net increase of 0.2 percentage points. The effective tax rate was higher in 2024 primarily due to a higher state effective tax rate and a decreased benefit from stock-based compensation partially offset by the effect of certain rate-impacting items on lower earnings before taxes.
Effects of Inflation
In 2025, 2024 and 2023, we experienced increases in product costs due to modest inflationary pressure. In addition, we continued to experience elevated but relatively stable costs of building materials and certain of our other capital costs.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Current Financial Condition and Recent Developments
During the past three years, we have generated an aggregate of approximately $9.0 billion in cash flows from operating activities and incurred approximately $4.3 billion in capital expenditures. During that period, we expanded the number of stores we operate by 1,789, representing store growth of approximately 9%, and we remodeled or relocated 8,143 stores, or approximately 43% of the stores we operated as of the beginning of the three-year period. In 2026, we intend to pursue accelerated growth in remodels, including Projects Elevate and Renovate, with slower growth for new stores and fewer relocations.
At January 30, 2026, we had a $2.375 billion unsecured revolving credit agreement (the “Revolving Facility”), $4.5 billion aggregate principal amount of senior notes, and a commercial paper program that may provide borrowing availability of up to $2.0 billion. At January 30, 2026, we had total consolidated outstanding debt (including the current portion of long-term obligations) of $4.6 billion, most of which was in the form of senior notes. All of our material borrowing arrangements are described in greater detail below. Our borrowing availability under the Revolving Facility may be effectively limited by our commercial paper notes (“CP Notes”) as further described below. The information contained in Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Part II, Item 8 of this report is incorporated herein by reference.
We believe our cash flow from operations, and our existing cash balances, combined with availability under the Revolving Facility, CP Notes and access to the debt markets, will provide sufficient liquidity to fund our current obligations, projected working capital requirements, capital spending and anticipated dividend payments for a period that includes the next twelve months as well as the next several years. However, our ability to maintain sufficient liquidity may be affected by numerous factors, many of which are outside of our control. Depending on our liquidity levels, conditions in the capital markets and other factors, we may from time to time consider the issuance of debt, equity or other securities, the proceeds of which could provide additional liquidity for our operations.
For fiscal 2026, we anticipate potential combined borrowings under the Revolving Facility and CP Notes to be a maximum of approximately $400 million outstanding at any one time.
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Revolving Facility
On September 3, 2024, we entered into an amended and restated credit agreement which provides for a $2.375 billion unsecured five-year revolving credit facility and allows for a subfacility for letters of credit of up to $100 million, of which $70 million is currently committed and $30 million is currently uncommitted. The Revolving Facility also includes a subfacility with an available borrowing capacity of up to $50 million for short-term borrowings referred to as swingline loans. The Revolving Facility is scheduled to mature on September 3, 2029.
Borrowings under the Revolving Facility bear interest at a rate equal to an applicable interest rate margin plus, at our option, either (a) Adjusted Term SOFR (which is Term SOFR (as published by CME Group Benchmark Administration Limited) plus a credit spread adjustment of 0.10%) or (b) a base rate (which is usually equal to the prime rate). The applicable interest rate margin for borrowings as of January 30, 2026 was 1.015% for Adjusted Term SOFR borrowings and 0.015% for base-rate borrowings. We must also pay a facility fee, payable on any used and unused commitment amounts of the Revolving Facility, and customary fees on letters of credit issued under the Revolving Facility. As of January 30, 2026, the facility fee rate was 0.11%. The applicable interest rate margins for borrowings, the facility fees and the letter of credit fees under the Revolving Facility are subject to adjustment from time to time based on our long-term senior unsecured debt ratings.
The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility contains a number of customary affirmative and negative covenants that, among other things, restrict, subject to certain exceptions, our (and our subsidiaries’) ability to: incur additional liens; sell all or substantially all of our assets; consummate certain fundamental changes or change in our lines of business; and incur additional subsidiary indebtedness. The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility also contains financial covenants which require the maintenance of a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio and a maximum leverage ratio. On March 11, 2025, we amended the credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility to increase the maximum leverage ratio and decrease the minimum fixed charge ratio through January 30, 2026, or earlier at our option upon achieving certain financial covenant milestones (“Covenant Relief Period”). During the Covenant Relief Period, we were restricted from repurchasing shares of our common stock and the ability to incur certain additional liens and subsidiary debt was reduced. The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility also contains customary events of default. As of January 30, 2026, we were in compliance with all such covenants.
As of January 30, 2026, we had no outstanding borrowings, no outstanding letters of credit, and borrowing availability of $2.375 billion under the Revolving Facility that, due to our intention to maintain borrowing availability related to the commercial paper program described below, could contribute liquidity of $2.18 billion. In addition, we had outstanding letters of credit of $58.2 million which were issued pursuant to separate agreements.
Commercial Paper
We may issue the CP Notes from time to time in an aggregate amount not to exceed $2.0 billion outstanding at any time. The CP Notes may have maturities of up to 364 days from the date of issue and rank equal in right of payment with all of our other unsecured and unsubordinated indebtedness. We intend to maintain available commitments under the Revolving Facility in an amount at least equal to the amount of CP Notes outstanding at any time. As of January 30, 2026, our consolidated balance sheet reflected no outstanding unsecured CP Notes. CP Notes totaling $195.0 million were held by a wholly owned subsidiary and therefore are not reflected in the consolidated balance sheets.
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Senior Notes
Our Senior Notes consist of the following issuances:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | (In millions) | | | | Annual | | |||
| | | Interest | | | | Aggregate | | | | | Issuance | | Interest | |
| Maturity | | Rate | | | | Principal | | | Discount | | Date | | Schedule | |
| May 2028 | | 4.125 | % | | $ | 500.0 | | $ | 0.5 | | April 2018 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| July 2028 | | 5.200 | | | | 500.0 | | | 0.1 | | June 2023 | | January 5 and July 5 | |
| April 2030 | | 3.500 | | | | 1,000.0 | | | 0.7 | | April 2020 | | April 3 and October 3 | |
| November 2032 | | 5.000 | | | | 700.0 | | | 2.4 | | September 2022 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| July 2033 | | 5.450 | | | | 1,000.0 | | | 1.6 | | June 2023 | | January 5 and July 5 | |
| April 2050 | | 4.125 | | | | 500.0 | | | 5.0 | | April 2020 | | April 3 and October 3 | |
| November 2052 | | 5.500 | | | | 300.0 | | | 0.3 | | September 2022 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
The table above is comprised of what is collectively referred to as the Senior Notes, each of which were issued pursuant to an indenture as supplemented and amended by supplemental indentures relating to each series of Senior Notes (as so supplemented and amended, the “Senior Indenture”).
We may redeem some or all of the Senior Notes at any time at redemption prices set forth in the Senior Indenture. Upon the occurrence of a change of control triggering event, which is defined in the Senior Indenture, each holder of our Senior Notes has the right to require us to repurchase some or all of such holder’s Senior Notes at a purchase price in cash equal to 101% of the principal amount thereof, plus accrued and unpaid interest, if any, to, but excluding, the repurchase date.
In April 2025, we redeemed the $500.0 million aggregate principal amount of outstanding 4.15% senior notes due November 2025. In September 2025, we redeemed the $600.0 million aggregate principal amount of the outstanding 3.875% senior notes due April 2027. In December 2025, we redeemed the $550.0 million aggregate principal amount of the outstanding 4.625% senior notes due November 2027.
The Senior Indenture contains covenants limiting, among other things, our ability (subject to certain exceptions) to consolidate, merge, or sell or otherwise dispose of all or substantially all of our assets; and our ability and the ability of our subsidiaries to incur or guarantee indebtedness secured by liens on any shares of voting stock of significant subsidiaries.
The Senior Indenture also provides for events of default which, if any of them occurs, would permit or require the principal of and accrued interest on our Senior Notes to become or to be declared due and payable, as applicable.
Rating Agencies
Our credit ratings, as well as future rating agency actions, could (i) impact our ability to finance our operations on satisfactory terms; (ii) affect our financing costs; and (iii) affect our insurance premiums and collateral requirements necessary for our self-insured programs. There can be no assurance that we will maintain or improve our current credit ratings, particularly, if we are unable to lower our leverage ratios to levels and within time frames deemed acceptable to the rating agencies. The credit ratings for our borrowings are as follows:
| | | | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating Agency | | Senior unsecured debt rating | | Commercial paper rating | | Outlook |
| Moody’s | | Baa3 | | P-3 | | Stable outlook |
| Standard & Poor’s | | BBB | | A-2 | | Stable outlook |
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Future Cash Requirements
The following table summarizes significant estimated future cash requirements under our various contractual obligations and other commitments at January 30, 2026, in total and disaggregated into current (1 year) and long-term (1 or more years) obligations (in thousands):
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments Due by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Contractual obligations | | Total | | 1 year | | 1 - 3 years | | 3 - 5 years | | 5+ years | ||||||
| Long-term debt obligations | | $ | 4,648,666 | | $ | 14,401 | | $ | 1,025,359 | | $ | 1,014,018 | | $ | 2,594,888 | |
| Interest(a) | | 2,041,024 | | 221,261 | | 417,675 | | 324,352 | | 1,077,736 | | |||||
| Self-insurance liabilities(b) | | 377,601 | | 182,770 | | | 132,870 | | | 50,230 | | | 11,731 | | ||
| Operating lease obligations | | 13,671,277 | | 2,006,108 | | | 3,621,984 | | | 2,812,980 | | | 5,230,205 | | ||
| Subtotal | | $ | 20,738,568 | | $ | 2,424,540 | | $ | 5,197,888 | | $ | 4,201,580 | | $ | 8,914,560 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Commitments Expiring by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial commitments(c) | | Total | | 1 year | | 1 - 3 years | | 3 - 5 years | | 5+ years | ||||||
| Letters of credit | | $ | 7,415 | | $ | 7,415 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Purchase obligations(d) | | 2,117,964 | | 1,732,459 | | 385,505 | | — | | — | | |||||
| Subtotal | | $ | 2,125,379 | | $ | 1,739,874 | | $ | 385,505 | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Total contractual obligations and commercial commitments | | $ | 22,863,947 | | $ | 4,164,414 | | $ | 5,583,393 | | $ | 4,201,580 | | $ | 8,914,560 | |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (a) | Represents obligations for interest payments on long-term debt and includes projected interest on variable rate long-term debt using 2025 year-end rates and balances. Variable rate long-term debt includes the Revolving Facility (although such facility had a balance of zero as of January 30, 2026), the CP Notes (which had a balance of zero as of January 30, 2026, and which amount is net of $195.0 million held by a wholly owned subsidiary), and interest rate swaps being accounted for as fair value hedges. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (b) | We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, auto liability, and certain third-party landlord claims exposures. As these obligations do not have scheduled maturities, these amounts represent undiscounted estimates based upon actuarial assumptions. Substantially all amounts are reflected on an undiscounted basis in our consolidated balance sheets. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (c) | Commercial commitments include information technology license and support agreements, supplies, fixtures, letters of credit for import merchandise, and other inventory purchase obligations. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (d) | Purchase obligations include legally binding agreements for software licenses and support, supplies, fixtures, and merchandise purchases (excluding such purchases subject to letters of credit). |
Share Repurchase Program
Our common stock repurchase program had a total remaining authorization of approximately $1.38 billion at January 30, 2026. The authorization allows repurchases from time to time in open market transactions, including pursuant to trading plans adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or in privately negotiated transactions. The repurchase authorization has no expiration date, and future repurchases will depend on a variety of factors, including price, market conditions, compliance with the covenants and restrictions under our debt agreements, cash requirements, excess debt capacity, results of operations, financial condition and other factors. The repurchase program may be modified or terminated from time to time at the discretion of our Board of Directors. Although we have not repurchased shares under this program since 2022, it remains an important part of our broader capital allocation strategy, and we anticipate resuming share repurchases at the appropriate time. For more detail, see Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements.
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Other Considerations
In March 2026, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.59 per share which is payable on or before April 21, 2026 to shareholders of record of our common stock on April 7, 2026. We paid quarterly cash dividends of $0.59 per share in 2025. The Board expects to continue regular quarterly cash dividends, although the declaration and amount of future cash dividends ultimately are subject to the Board’s sole discretion and will depend upon, among other factors, our results of operations, cash requirements, financial condition, contractual restrictions, excess debt capacity and other factors that our Board may deem relevant in its sole discretion.
Our inventory balance represented approximately 44% of our total assets exclusive of operating lease assets, goodwill, and other intangible assets as of January 30, 2026. Our ability to effectively manage our inventory balances can have a significant impact on our cash flows from operations during a given fiscal year as discussed further below. Inventory purchases are often somewhat seasonal in nature, such as the purchase of warm-weather or Christmas-related merchandise. Efficient management of our inventory has been and continues to be an area of focus for us.
As described in Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements, we are involved in a number of legal actions and claims, some of which could potentially result in material cash payments. Adverse developments in those actions could materially and adversely affect our liquidity.
Cash Flows
Cash flows from operating activities. Cash flows from operating activities were $3.6 billion in 2025, which represents a $638.4 million increase compared to 2024. Net income increased to $1.5 billion in 2025 as compared to $1.1 billion in 2024. Changes in income taxes resulted in a $199.2 million increase in 2025 compared to a $15.4 million decrease in 2024 primarily due to the increase in pre-tax earnings in 2025 and the timing of payments for income taxes. Changes in accrued expenses resulted in a $250.0 million increase in 2025 compared to a $91.8 million increase in 2024, due primarily to an increase in accrued incentive compensation. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $185.3 million increase in our working capital in 2025 compared to a $302.9 million increase in 2024, due primarily to the timing of inventory receipts and related payments. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $178.5 million increase in our working capital in 2025 compared to the increase of $230.2 million in 2024 as described in greater detail below.
Cash flows from operating activities were $2.996 billion in 2024, which represents a $604.3 million increase compared to 2023. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $230.2 million increase in our working capital in 2024 compared to the decrease of $299.1 million in 2023 as described in greater detail below. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $302.9 million increase in our working capital in 2024 compared to a $36.9 million increase in 2023, due primarily to the timing of inventory receipts and related payments. Changes in accrued expenses resulted in a $91.8 million increase in 2024 compared to a $39.2 million decrease in 2023. Net income decreased to $1.1 billion in 2024 as compared to $1.7 billion in 2023. Changes in other noncash losses resulted in a $296.2 million increase as compared to a $89.0 million increase in 2023 primarily due to impairment charges in 2024. Changes in income taxes paid in 2024 compared to 2023 are primarily due to the decrease in pre-tax earnings in 2024 and the timing of payments for income taxes.
On an ongoing basis, we closely monitor and manage our inventory balances, and they may fluctuate from period to period based on new store openings, the timing of purchases, and other factors. Merchandise inventories decreased by 6% in 2025, decreased by 4% in 2024 and increased by 3% in 2023. The decrease in the 2025 period primarily reflects a decrease in the consumables, seasonal and home products categories due to inventory reduction efforts and core SKU reductions. Offsetting the inventory decreases was an increase in the apparel category primarily due to an increase in overall store count and improvements to inventory in-stock. Percent and dollar changes in our four inventory categories for the past three years were as follows:
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | For the Year Ended | ||||||||||||||||
| | | January 30, | | | January 31, | | | February 2, | | |||||||||
| Increase (decrease) | | 2026 | | | 2025 | | 2024 | |||||||||||
| Consumables | | $ | (239.4) | | (6) | % | | $ | (287.4) | | (6) | % | | $ | 744.5 | | 20 | % |
| Seasonal | | | (88.9) | | (7) | | | | 14.7 | | 1 | | | | (207.1) | | (13) | |
| Home products | | | (69.6) | | (9) | | | | (18.3) | | (2) | | | | (291.3) | | (28) | |
| Apparel | | | 18.5 | | 5 | | | | 8.0 | | 2 | | | | (12.6) | | (4) | |
On a per store basis, inventories at January 30, 2026, decreased by 7.0% compared to the balances at January 31, 2025.
Cash flows from investing activities. Significant components of property and equipment purchases included the following approximate amounts:
| | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | For the Year Ended | | |||||||
| | | January 30, | | January 31, | | February 2, | | |||
| (amounts in millions, except store count amounts) | | 2026 | | 2025 | | 2024 | ||||
| Existing stores improvements, upgrades, remodels, and relocations | | $ | 732.0 | | $ | 605.3 | | $ | 683.4 | |
| Distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures | | | 215.3 | | | 342.9 | | | 542.4 | |
| New stores primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment | | 203.5 | | 295.9 | | 390.2 | | |||
| Information systems upgrades and technology-related projects | | 64.4 | | 52.2 | | 67.1 | | |||
| Other | | 26.0 | | 13.6 | | 17.1 | | |||
| Total purchases of property and equipment | | $ | 1,241.2 | | $ | 1,309.9 | | $ | 1,700.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Store Counts | | | | | | | | | | |
| New stores | | | 589 | | | 725 | | | 987 | |
| Remodeled or relocated (a) | | | 4,301 | | | 1,706 | | | 2,136 | |
(a) Remodeled store counts include 2,000 stores through Project Renovate and 2,254 stores through Project Elevate.
Capital expenditures during 2026 are projected to be in the range of $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion. We anticipate funding 2026 capital requirements with a combination of some or all of the following: existing cash balances, cash flows from operations, availability under our Revolving Facility and/or the issuance of additional CP Notes. We plan to continue to invest in store growth and development with approximately 450 new stores in the United States and approximately 10 new stores in Mexico and approximately 4,270 remodels or relocations, including remodeling approximately 2,000 stores through Project Renovate, remodeling approximately 2,250 through Project Elevate, and relocating approximately 20 stores. Capital expenditures in 2026 are anticipated to support our store growth as well as our remodel and relocation initiatives, including capital outlays for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment; the construction of new stores; costs to support and enhance our supply chain initiatives for existing distribution center facilities and replacement of certain transportation related assets; technology initiatives; as well as routine and ongoing capital requirements.
Cash flows from financing activities. During the 2025 period, we had repayments of long-term obligations of $1.7 billion. We paid cash dividends of $519.5 million and did not repurchase shares of our common stock.
During the 2024 period, we had repayments of long-term obligations of $770.2 million. We paid cash dividends of $519.0 million and did not repurchase shares of our common stock.
In 2023, we received proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt of $1.5 billion. Net commercial paper borrowings decreased by $1.5 billion, and we received and repaid $500.0 million under the 364-Day Revolving Facility. We paid cash dividends of $518.0 million and did not repurchase shares of our common stock.
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Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“U.S. GAAP”) requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect reported amounts and related disclosures. In addition to the estimates presented below, there are other items within our financial statements that require estimation but are not deemed critical as defined below. We believe these estimates are reasonable and appropriate. However, if actual experience differs from the assumptions and other considerations used, the resulting changes could have a material effect on the financial statements taken as a whole.
Management believes the following policies and estimates are critical because they involve significant judgments, assumptions, and estimates. Management has discussed the development and selection of the critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors, and the Audit Committee has reviewed the disclosures presented below relating to those policies and estimates. See Note 1 to the consolidated financial statements for a detailed discussion of our principal accounting policies.
Merchandise Inventories. Merchandise inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market (“LCM”) with cost determined using the retail last in, first out (“LIFO”) method. We use the retail inventory method (“RIM”) to calculate gross profit and the resulting valuation of inventories at cost, which are computed utilizing a calculated cost-to-retail inventory ratio to the retail value of sales at an inventory department level. We apply the RIM to these departments, which are groups of products that are fairly uniform in terms of cost, selling price relationship and turnover. The RIM will result in valuing inventories at LCM if permanent markdowns are recorded timely as a reduction of the retail value of inventories. Inherent in the RIM calculation are certain management judgments and estimates that may impact the ending inventory valuation at cost, as well as the gross profit recognized. These judgments include ensuring departments consist of similar products, recording estimated shrinkage between physical inventories, and timely recording of markdowns needed to sell inventory.
Factors considered in the determination of markdowns include current and anticipated demand based on changes in competitors’ practices, consumer preferences, consumer spending, significant weather events and unseasonable weather patterns. Certain of these factors are outside of our control and may result in greater than estimated markdowns to entice consumer purchases of excess inventory. The amount and timing of markdowns may vary significantly from year to year.
We perform physical inventories in a significant majority of our stores on an annual basis. We calculate our shrink provision based on actual physical inventory results during the fiscal period and an accrual for estimated shrink occurring subsequent to a physical inventory through the end of the fiscal reporting period. This accrual is calculated as a percentage of sales at each retail store, at a department level, based on the store’s most recent historical shrink rate. From time to time as circumstances may warrant, we consider more recent shrink experience in the calculation of our shrink accrual. The impact of doing so has not been material. To the extent that subsequent physical inventories yield different results than the estimated accrual, our effective shrink rate for a given reporting period will include the impact of adjusting to the actual results.
We believe our estimates and assumptions related to the application of the RIM results in a merchandise inventory valuation that reasonably approximates cost on a consistent basis.
We perform an annual LIFO analysis whereby all merchandise units are considered for inclusion in the index formulation. An actual valuation of inventory under the LIFO method is made at the end of each year based on the inventory levels and costs at that time. In contrast, interim LIFO calculations are based on management’s annual estimates of sales, the rate of inflation or deflation, and year-end inventory levels. We also perform analyses for determining obsolete inventory, adjusting inventory on a quarterly basis to an LCM value based on various management assumptions including estimated below cost markdowns not yet recorded, but required to liquidate such inventory in future periods.
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Impairment of Long-lived Assets. Long-lived assets, including right of use assets, are reviewed for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amounts may not be recoverable. The evaluation is performed primarily at the store level, which is the lowest level of identifiable cash flows that are largely independent of cash flows of other assets and liabilities. Impairment of long-lived assets results when the carrying value of the assets exceeds the estimated undiscounted future cash flows generated by the assets. Our estimate of undiscounted future store cash flows is based upon historical operations of the stores and estimates of future profitability which encompasses many factors that are subject to variability and are difficult to predict. If a long-lived asset is found to be impaired, the amount recognized for impairment is equal to the difference between the carrying value and the asset’s estimated fair value. The fair value is estimated based primarily upon projected future cash flows (discounted at our credit adjusted risk-free rate) or other reasonable estimates of fair market value. Changes in these estimates, assumptions or projections could materially affect the determination of fair value or impairment.
Insurance Liabilities. We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, auto liability and certain third-party landlord claim exposures. These represent significant costs primarily due to our large employee base and number of stores and fleet vehicles. Provisions are made for these liabilities on an undiscounted basis. Certain of these liabilities are based on actual claim data and estimates of incurred but not reported claims developed using actuarial methodologies based on historical claim trends, which have been and are anticipated to continue to be materially accurate. If future claim trends deviate from recent historical patterns, or other unanticipated events affect the number and significance of future claims, we may be required to record additional expenses or expense reductions, which could be material to our future financial results.
Contingent Liabilities – Income Taxes. Income tax reserves are determined using the methodology established by accounting standards relating to uncertainty in income taxes. These standards require companies to assess each income tax position taken using a two-step process. A determination is first made as to whether it is more likely than not that the position will be sustained, based upon the technical merits, upon examination by the taxing authorities. If the tax position is expected to meet the more likely than not criteria, the benefit recorded for the tax position equals the largest amount that is greater than 50% likely to be realized upon ultimate settlement of the respective tax position. Uncertain tax positions require determinations and liabilities to be estimated based on provisions of the tax law which may be subject to change or varying interpretation. If our determinations and estimates prove to be inaccurate, the resulting adjustments could be material to our future financial results.
Lease Accounting. Lease liabilities are recorded at a discount based upon our estimated collateralized incremental borrowing rate which involves significant judgments and estimates. Factors incorporated into the calculation of lease discount rates include the valuations and yields of our senior notes, their credit spread over comparable U.S. Treasury rates, and an index of the credit spreads for all North American investment grade companies by rating. To determine an indicative secured rate, we use the estimated credit spread improvement that would result from an upgrade of one ratings classification by tenor. Many of our stores typically carry a primary lease term of up to 15 years with multiple renewal options. We also have stores subject to shorter-term leases and many of these leases also have renewal options. We record single lease expense on a straight-line basis over the lease term including any option periods that are reasonably certain to be renewed, commencing on the date that we take physical possession of the property from the landlord. Tenant allowances, to the extent received, are recorded as a reduction of the right of use asset. Improvements of leased properties are amortized over the shorter of the life of the applicable lease term or the estimated useful life of the asset.
MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2025 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001558370-25-003413.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This discussion and analysis should be read with, and is qualified in its entirety by, the Consolidated Financial Statements and the notes thereto. It also should be read in conjunction with the Cautionary Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and the Risk Factors disclosures set forth in the Introduction and in Item 1A of this report, respectively.
Executive Overview
We are the largest discount retailer in the United States by number of stores, with 20,662 stores located in 48 U.S. states and Mexico as of February 28, 2025, with the greatest concentration of stores in the southern, southwestern, midwestern and eastern United States. Our first stores in Mexico opened in 2023. We offer a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable products such as food, paper and cleaning products, health and beauty products and pet supplies, and non-consumable products such as seasonal merchandise, home decor and domestics, and basic apparel. Our merchandise includes national brands from leading manufacturers, as well as our own private brand selections with prices often at substantial discounts to national brands. We offer our customers these national brand and private brand products at everyday low prices (typically $10 or less) in our convenient small-box locations.
We believe our convenient store formats, locations, and broad selection of high-quality products at compelling values have driven our substantial growth and financial success over the years and through a variety of economic cycles. We are mindful that the majority of our customers are value-conscious, and many have low and/or fixed incomes. As a result, we are intensely focused on helping our customers make the most of their spending dollars. The primary macroeconomic factors that affect our core customers include unemployment and underemployment rates, inflation, wage growth, changes in U.S. and global trade policy, and changes in U.S. government policy and assistance programs (including cost of living adjustments), such as SNAP, unemployment benefits, and economic stimulus programs. Finally, significant unseasonable or unusual weather patterns or extreme weather can impact customer shopping behaviors.
Our core customers are often among the first to be affected by negative or uncertain economic conditions and among the last to feel the effects of improving economic conditions, particularly when trends are inconsistent and of an uncertain duration. Our customers continue to feel constrained in the current macroeconomic environment and to experience elevated expenses that generally comprise a large portion of their household budgets, such as rent, healthcare, energy and fuel prices, as well as cost inflation in frequently purchased household products (including food), which we expect will continue to pressure our customers’ spending overall and particularly in our non-consumables categories. This pressure contributed to a heavier promotional environment in the second half of 2024 compared to the prior year, and we expect a promotional environment in 2025 similar to that in 2024.
We remain committed to our long-term operating priorities as we consistently strive to improve our performance while retaining our customer-centric focus. These priorities include: 1) driving profitable sales growth, 2) capturing growth opportunities, 3) enhancing our position as a low-cost operator, and 4) investing in the growth and development of our teams.
We seek to drive profitable sales growth through initiatives aimed at increasing customer traffic and average transaction amount. Historically, sales in our consumables category, which tend to have lower gross margins, have been the key drivers of net sales and customer traffic, while sales in our non-consumables categories, which tend to have higher gross margins, have been the key drivers of more profitable sales growth and average transaction amount. Our sales mix has continued to shift toward consumables, which currently constitutes a historically high proportion of our sales mix. Certain of our initiatives are intended to address this sales mix trend; however, there can be no assurances that these efforts will be successful.
As we work to provide everyday low prices and meet our customers’ affordability needs, we remain focused on enhancing our margins through inventory shrink and damage reduction initiatives, as well as pricing and markdown optimization, effective category management and inventory reduction efforts, distribution and
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transportation efficiencies, private brands penetration and global sourcing. Several of our strategic and other sales-driving initiatives are also designed to capture growth opportunities and are discussed in more detail below.
Throughout 2024, we continued to experience significant levels of inventory shrink and damages. While we anticipate that both shrink and damages will remain elevated in 2025, particularly when compared to fiscal years immediately preceding fiscal year 2023, we continue to take actions designed to reduce their impact and believe we will make progress in reducing our shrink and damages levels in 2025.
We continue to implement and invest in certain strategic initiatives that we believe will help drive profitable sales growth with both new and existing customers and capture long-term growth opportunities. Such opportunities include providing our customers with a variety of shopping access points and even greater value and convenience by leveraging and developing digital tools and technology, such as our Dollar General app, which contains a variety of tools to enhance the in-store shopping experience. We remain focused on enhancing both the in-store and digital shopping experience, while driving operational efficiency. Our partnership with a third-party delivery service is available in the majority of our stores, providing added convenience and incremental sales. Additionally, in September 2024, we partnered with the same third-party provider to fully execute a same-day home delivery offering through our DG app and website in a limited number of stores. We believe we can significantly expand this offering to additional stores in 2025. Furthermore, we believe these efforts will contribute to the continued to growth of our DG Media Network, our platform that connects brand partners with our customers.
In 2025, we are expanding our efforts to improve the performance and profitability of our mature stores through the rollout of an incremental remodel program, Project Elevate. This partial-remodel initiative is designed to refresh and optimize the merchandising in our stores, and in turn, enhance the shopping experience for our customers, while also mitigating future repairs and maintenance expense. Project Elevate remodels are incremental to our full-remodel program, Project Renovate.
We also remain focused on capturing growth opportunities. In 2024, we opened a total of 725 new stores, including five stores in Mexico, remodeled 1,621 stores, and relocated 85 stores. In 2025, we plan to open approximately 575 new stores (as well as up to 15 stores in Mexico), fully remodel approximately 2,000 stores through Project Renovate, partially remodel 2,250 stores through Project Elevate, and relocate approximately 45 stores, for a total of 4,885 real estate projects.
During the fourth quarter of 2024, we initiated a store portfolio optimization review of our Dollar General and pOpshelf bannered stores, which involved identifying stores for closure or re-bannering based on an evaluation of individual store performance, expected future performance, and operating conditions, among other factors. As a result of this review, we plan to close 96 Dollar General stores and 45 pOpshelf stores, and convert an additional six pOpshelf stores to Dollar General stores in the first quarter of 2025. See Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for more detail on the store portfolio optimization, impairment and related charges.
pOpshelf is a unique retail concept focused on categories such as seasonal and home décor, health and beauty, home cleaning supplies, and party and entertainment goods. In light of the softer discretionary sales environment, we previously converted certain pOpshelf stores to Dollar General stores, and do not believe opening new stores in 2025 is a prudent use of capital. At the end of 2024, we operated 231 standalone pOpshelf stores. Following the completion of the pOpshelf store closures and conversions discussed above, we will operate 180 pOpshelf stores. In addition, we recorded a significant impairment expense to reflect the updated fair value of pOpshelf assets. We are taking focused action in 2025 to improve the performance of pOpshelf stores, and will continue to evaluate the brand and whether we are seeing the desired impact of these activities and optimization, although there can be no assurances that our efforts will be successful.
We expect store format innovation to allow us to capture additional growth opportunities as we continue to utilize the most productive of our various Dollar General store formats based on the specific market opportunity. In 2025 we expect the significant majority of the stores to be predominantly in one of our 8,500 square foot formats. This format allows for expanded high-capacity-cooler counts, an extended queue line, and a broader product assortment, including an enhanced non-consumable offering, a larger health and beauty section, and produce in select stores.
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We are always seeking ways to reduce or control costs that do not affect our customers’ shopping experiences. We plan to continue enhancing this position over time while employing ongoing cost discipline to reduce certain expenses as a percentage of sales. Nonetheless, we seek to maintain flexibility to invest in the business as necessary to enhance our long-term competitiveness and profitability. From time to time, our strategic initiatives, including without limitation those discussed above, have required and may continue to require us to incur upfront expenses for which there may not be an immediate return in terms of sales or enhanced profitability.
Certain of our operating expenses, such as wage rates, occupancy costs and depreciation and amortization, have continued to increase in recent years, due primarily to market forces such as labor availability, increases in minimum wage rates, inflation and increases in property rents and interest rates. Significant or rapid increases to federal, state or local minimum wage rates or salary levels could significantly adversely affect our earnings if we are not able to otherwise offset these increased labor costs elsewhere in our business.
While the overall growth rate of inflation moderated over the second half of 2024, we believe ongoing inflationary pressures could continue to affect our operating results and our vendors and customers. Moreover, increases in market interest rates have had a negative impact on our interest expense. Both inflation and higher interest rates have significantly increased new store opening costs and occupancy costs, and while we continue to have strong new store returns and plan to grow our store base significantly in 2025, these increased costs have negatively impacted our projected new store returns and influenced our new store growth plans.
Our teams are a competitive advantage, and we proactively seek ways to continue investing in their development. Our goal is to create an environment that attracts, develops, and retains talented personnel, particularly at the store manager level, as employees who are promoted from within our company generally have longer tenures and are greater contributors to improvements in our financial performance. We are taking actions designed to reduce our higher than targeted store manager turnover, including through budgeting and allocation of labor hours, simplifying in-store activities, and reducing excess inventory.
To further enhance shareholder returns, we pay a quarterly cash dividend. The declaration and amount of future dividends are subject to Board discretion and approval, although we currently expect to continue paying quarterly cash dividends. As planned, to preserve our investment grade credit rating and maintain financial flexibility, we did not repurchase any shares during 2024 under our share repurchase program and do not plan to repurchase shares during 2025.
We utilize key performance indicators, which are defined below, in the management of our business including same-store sales, average sales per square foot, and inventory turnover. We use these measures to maximize profitability and for decisions about the allocation of resources. Each of these measures is commonly used by investors in retail companies to measure the health of the business.
Same-store sales. Same-store sales are calculated based upon our stores that were open at least 13 full fiscal months and remain open at the end of the reporting period. We include stores that have been remodeled, expanded or relocated in our same-store sales calculation. Changes in same-store sales are calculated based on the comparable 52 calendar weeks in the current and prior years. The method of calculating same-store sales varies across the retail industry. As a result, our calculation of same-store sales is not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies.
Average sales per square foot. Average sales per square foot is calculated based on total sales for the preceding 12 months as of the ending date of the reporting period divided by the average selling square footage during the period, including the end of the fiscal year, the beginning of the fiscal year, and the end of each of our three interim fiscal quarters.
Inventory turnover. Inventory turnover is calculated based on total cost of goods sold for the preceding four quarters divided by the average inventory balance as of the ending date of the reporting period, including the end of the fiscal year, the beginning of the fiscal year, and the end of each of our three interim fiscal quarters.
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A continued focus on our four operating priorities as discussed above, and other impacts as discussed below, resulted in the following overall operating and financial performance in 2024 as compared to 2023. Basis points, as referred to below, are equal to 0.01% as a percentage of net sales.
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Net sales in 2024 increased 5.0%. Sales in same-stores increased 1.4%, primarily due to an increase in customer traffic. Average sales per square foot in 2024 and 2023 were $263 and $264, respectively. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | The gross profit rate decreased by 70 basis points due primarily to increased inventory markdowns, a greater proportion of sales coming from the consumables category and increased inventory damages. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | SG&A as a percentage of sales increased by 140 basis points primarily due to impairment charges totaling $214.2 million related to the store portfolio optimization review and increases in retail labor, depreciation and amortization and store occupancy costs. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operating profit decreased 29.9% to $1.71 billion in 2024 compared to $2.45 billion in 2023. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Interest expense, net decreased by $52.5 million in 2024 primarily due to higher average cash balances and the repayment of long-term debt. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | The change in the effective income tax rate to 21.8% in 2024 from 21.6% in 2023 was primarily due to a higher state effective tax rate and a decreased benefit from stock-based compensation partially offset by the effect of certain rate-impacting items on lower earnings before taxes compared to 2023. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We reported net income of $1.13 billion, or $5.11 per diluted share, for 2024 compared to net income of $1.66 billion, or $7.55 per diluted share, for 2023. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We generated approximately $2.996 billion of cash flows from operating activities in 2024, an increase of 25.3% compared to 2023. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Inventory turnover was 4.1 times, and inventories decreased 6.9% on a per store basis compared to 2023. |
Readers should refer to the detailed discussion of our operating results below for additional comments on financial performance in the current year as compared with the prior years presented.
Results of Operations
Accounting Periods. The following text contains references to years 2024, 2023, and 2022, which represent fiscal years ended January 31, 2025, February 2, 2024, and February 3, 2023, respectively. Our fiscal year ends on the Friday closest to January 31. Fiscal years 2024 and 2023 were 52-week accounting periods and fiscal year 2022 was a 53-week accounting period.
Seasonality. The nature of our business is somewhat seasonal. Primarily because of sales of Christmas-related merchandise, operating profit in our fourth quarter (November, December and January) has historically been higher than operating profit achieved in each of the first three quarters of the fiscal year. However, more recently, and in particular fiscal years 2023 and 2024, this has not been the case. Expenses, and to a greater extent operating profit, vary by quarter. Results of a period shorter than a full year may not be indicative of results expected for the entire year. Furthermore, the seasonal nature of our business may affect comparisons between periods.
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The following table contains results of operations data for fiscal years 2024, 2023, and 2022, and the dollar and percentage variances among those years.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | 2024 vs. 2023 | 2023 vs. 2022 | | |||||||
| (amounts in millions, except | | | | | | | | Amount | % | Amount | % | | |||||||||
| per share amounts) | | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2022 | | Change | | Change | Change | | Change | | ||||||
| Net sales by category: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Consumables | | | $ | 33,370.9 | | $ | 31,342.6 | | $ | 30,155.2 | | $ | 2,028.3 | | 6.5 | % | $ | 1,187.4 | | 3.9 | % |
| % of net sales | | | 82.17 | % | 81.01 | % | 79.68 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Seasonal | | | 4,073.3 | | 4,083.8 | | 4,182.8 | | (10.5) | | (0.3) | | (99.0) | | (2.4) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 10.03 | % | 10.55 | % | 11.05 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Home products | | | 2,074.4 | | 2,163.8 | | 2,332.4 | | (89.4) | | (4.1) | | (168.6) | | (7.2) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 5.11 | % | 5.59 | % | 6.16 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Apparel | | | 1,093.7 | | 1,101.4 | | 1,174.4 | | (7.7) | | (0.7) | | (73.0) | | (6.2) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 2.69 | % | 2.85 | % | 3.10 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Net sales | | | $ | 40,612.3 | | $ | 38,691.6 | | $ | 37,844.9 | | $ | 1,920.7 | | 5.0 | % | $ | 846.7 | | 2.2 | % |
| Cost of goods sold | | | 28,594.8 | | 26,972.6 | | 26,024.8 | | 1,622.2 | | 6.0 | | 947.8 | | 3.6 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 70.41 | % | 69.71 | % | 68.77 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Gross profit | | | 12,017.5 | | 11,719.0 | | 11,820.1 | | 298.5 | | 2.5 | | (101.1) | | (0.9) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 29.59 | % | 30.29 | % | 31.23 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | | | 10,303.4 | | 9,272.7 | | 8,491.8 | | 1,030.7 | | 11.1 | | 780.9 | | 9.2 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 25.37 | % | 23.97 | % | 22.44 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Operating profit | | | 1,714.1 | | 2,446.3 | | 3,328.3 | | (732.2) | | (29.9) | | (882.0) | | (26.5) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 4.22 | % | 6.32 | % | 8.79 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Interest expense, net | | | 274.3 | | 326.8 | | 211.3 | | (52.5) | | (16.1) | | 115.5 | | 54.7 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 0.68 | % | 0.84 | % | 0.56 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Other (income) expense | | | — | | — | | 0.4 | | — | | — | | (0.4) | | — | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Income before income taxes | | | 1,439.8 | | 2,119.5 | | 3,116.6 | | (679.8) | | (32.1) | | (997.1) | | (32.0) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 3.55 | % | 5.48 | % | 8.24 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Income tax expense | | | 314.5 | | 458.2 | | 700.6 | | (143.7) | | (31.4) | | (242.4) | | (34.6) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | | 0.77 | % | 1.18 | % | 1.85 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Net income | | | $ | 1,125.3 | | $ | 1,661.3 | | $ | 2,416.0 | | $ | (536.0) | | (32.3) | % | $ | (754.7) | | (31.2) | % |
| % of net sales | | | 2.77 | % | 4.29 | % | 6.38 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Diluted earnings per share | | | $ | 5.11 | | $ | 7.55 | | $ | 10.68 | | $ | (2.44) | | (32.3) | % | $ | (3.13) | | (29.3) | % |
Net Sales. The net sales increase in 2024 was primarily due to sales from new stores and an increase in same-store sales of 1.4% compared to 2023, partially offset by the impact of store closures. The increase in same-store sales reflects a 1.1% increase in customer traffic and a 0.3% increase in average transaction amount. The increase in average transaction amount was driven by higher average item retail prices and an increase in items per transaction. Same-store sales increased in the consumables category and declined in the home products, seasonal and apparel categories. In 2024, our 19,633 same-stores accounted for sales of $38.8 billion.
The net sales increase in 2023 was primarily due to sales from new stores and an increase in same-store sales of 0.2% compared to 2022, partially offset by the impact of store closures. Net sales for the 53rd week of fiscal 2022 were $678.1 million. The increase in same-store sales reflects an increase in customer traffic, partially offset by a decrease in the average transaction amount. The decrease in average transaction amount was driven by a decline in items per transaction, partially offset by higher average item retail prices. Same-store sales increased in the consumables category, and declined in the home products, seasonal and apparel categories. In 2023, our 18,763 same-stores accounted for sales of $36.9 billion.
Gross Profit. In 2024, gross profit increased by 2.5%, and as a percentage of net sales decreased by 70 basis points to 29.6% compared to 2023, primarily driven by increased markdowns, a greater proportion of sales coming from the consumables category and increased inventory damages, partially offset by decreased transportation costs.
In 2023, gross profit decreased by 0.9%, and as a percentage of net sales decreased by 94 basis points to
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30.3% compared to 2022, primarily driven by increased shrink and inventory markdowns, lower inventory markups, a higher proportion of lower margin consumables sales, and increased damages. Partially offsetting the factors which decreased our overall gross profit rate were a lower LIFO provision and decreased transportation costs.
SG&A. SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 25.4% in 2024 compared to 24.0% in 2023, an increase of 140 basis points. The increase reflects fourth quarter impairment charges totaling $214.2 million related to the store portfolio optimization review as discussed above in the Executive Summary and Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements. Other expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2024 were retail labor, depreciation and amortization, store occupancy costs and incentive compensation.
SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 24.0% in 2023 compared to 22.4% in 2022, an increase of 153 basis points. The primary expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2023 were retail labor, store occupancy costs, depreciation and amortization, repairs and maintenance, and other services purchased, including debt and credit card transaction fees, which were partially offset by a decrease in incentive compensation.
Interest Expense, net. Interest expense, net decreased $52.5 million to $274.3 million in 2024 compared to 2023 due to higher average cash balances and the repayment of long-term debt. Interest expense, net increased $115.5 million to $326.8 million in 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to higher outstanding borrowings and higher interest rates. See the detailed discussion under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” regarding the financing of various long-term obligations.
Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate for 2024 was 21.8% compared to a rate of 21.6% for 2023 which represents a net increase of 0.2 percentage points. The effective tax rate was higher in 2024 primarily due to a higher state effective tax rate and a decreased benefit from stock-based compensation partially offset by the effect of certain rate-impacting items on lower earnings before taxes.
The effective income tax rate for 2023 was 21.6% compared to a rate of 22.5% for 2022 which represents a net decrease of 0.9 percentage points. The effective tax rate was lower in 2023 primarily due to the effect of certain rate-impacting items (such as federal tax credits) on lower earnings before taxes and a lower state effective rate resulting from increased recognition of state tax credits.
Effects of Inflation
In 2024 and 2023, we experienced moderate increases in product costs due to lower rates of inflation. In addition, we continued to experience elevated but relatively stable costs of building materials and certain of our other capital costs. In 2022, we experienced higher rates of inflation affecting product costs, the costs of building materials and certain of our other capital costs.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Current Financial Condition and Recent Developments
During the past three years, we have generated an aggregate of approximately $7.4 billion in cash flows from operating activities and incurred approximately $4.6 billion in capital expenditures. During that period, we expanded the number of stores we operate by 2,464, representing store growth of approximately 14%, and we remodeled or relocated 5,764 stores, or approximately 32% of the stores we operated as of the beginning of the three-year period. In 2025, we intend to pursue accelerated growth in remodels, including Project Elevate, with slower growth for new stores and fewer relocations.
At January 31, 2025, we had a $2.375 billion unsecured revolving credit agreement (the “Revolving Facility”), $6.2 billion aggregate principal amount of senior notes, and a commercial paper program that may provide borrowing availability of up to $2.0 billion. At January 31, 2025, we had total consolidated outstanding debt (including the current portion of long-term obligations) of $6.2 billion, most of which was in the form of senior notes. All of our material borrowing arrangements are described in greater detail below. Our borrowing availability under the Revolving Facility may be effectively limited by our commercial paper notes (“CP Notes”) as further
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described below. The information contained in Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Part II, Item 8 of this report is incorporated herein by reference.
We believe our cash flow from operations, and our existing cash balances, combined with availability under the Revolving Facility, CP Notes and access to the debt markets, will provide sufficient liquidity to fund our current obligations, projected working capital requirements, capital spending and anticipated dividend payments for a period that includes the next twelve months as well as the next several years. However, our ability to maintain sufficient liquidity may be affected by numerous factors, many of which are outside of our control. Depending on our liquidity levels, conditions in the capital markets and other factors, we may from time to time consider the issuance of debt, equity or other securities, the proceeds of which could provide additional liquidity for our operations.
For fiscal 2025, we anticipate potential combined borrowings under the Revolving Facility and CP Notes to be a maximum of approximately $400 million outstanding at any one time.
Revolving Facility
On September 3, 2024, we entered into an amended and restated credit agreement which provides for a $2.375 billion unsecured five-year revolving credit facility (the “Revolving Facility”) and allows for a subfacility for letters of credit of up to $100 million, of which $70 million is currently committed and $30 million is currently uncommitted. The Revolving Facility also includes a subfacility with an available borrowing capacity of up to $50 million for short-term borrowings referred to as swingline loans. The Revolving Facility is scheduled to mature on September 3, 2029.
Borrowings under the Revolving Facility bear interest at a rate equal to an applicable interest rate margin plus, at our option, either (a) Adjusted Term SOFR (which is Term SOFR (as published by CME Group Benchmark Administration Limited) plus a credit spread adjustment of 0.10%) or (b) a base rate (which is usually equal to the prime rate). The applicable interest rate margin for borrowings as of January 31, 2025 was 1.015% for Adjusted Term SOFR borrowings and 0.015% for base-rate borrowings. We must also pay a facility fee, payable on any used and unused commitment amounts of the Revolving Facility, and customary fees on letters of credit issued under the Revolving Facility. As of January 31, 2025, the facility fee rate was 0.11%. The applicable interest rate margins for borrowings, the facility fees and the letter of credit fees under the Revolving Facility are subject to adjustment from time to time based on our long-term senior unsecured debt ratings.
The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility contains a number of customary affirmative and negative covenants that, among other things, restrict, subject to certain exceptions, our (and our subsidiaries’) ability to: incur additional liens; sell all or substantially all of our assets; consummate certain fundamental changes or change in our lines of business; and incur additional subsidiary indebtedness. The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility also contains financial covenants which require the maintenance of a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio and a maximum leverage ratio. As of January 31, 2025, we were in compliance with all such covenants. On March 11, 2025, we amended the credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility to increase the maximum leverage ratio and decrease the minimum fixed charge ratio until January 30, 2026, or earlier at our option upon achieving certain financial covenant milestones (“Covenant Relief Period”). During the Covenant Relief Period, we are restricted from repurchasing shares of our common stock and the ability to incur certain additional liens and subsidiary debt is reduced. The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility also contains customary events of default.
As of January 31, 2025, we had no outstanding borrowings, no outstanding letters of credit, and borrowing availability of $2.375 billion under the Revolving Facility that, due to our intention to maintain borrowing availability related to the commercial paper program described below, could contribute liquidity of $2.18 billion. In addition, we had outstanding letters of credit of $50.9 million which were issued pursuant to separate agreements.
364-Day Revolving Facility
The Company had a 364-day $750 million unsecured revolving credit facility (the “364-Day Revolving
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Facility”) which expired on January 30, 2024.
Commercial Paper
We may issue the CP Notes from time to time in an aggregate amount not to exceed $2.0 billion outstanding at any time. The CP Notes may have maturities of up to 364 days from the date of issue and rank equal in right of payment with all of our other unsecured and unsubordinated indebtedness. We intend to maintain available commitments under the Revolving Facility in an amount at least equal to the amount of CP Notes outstanding at any time. As of January 31, 2025, our consolidated balance sheet reflected no outstanding unsecured CP Notes. CP Notes totaling $195.0 million were held by a wholly-owned subsidiary and therefore are not reflected in the consolidated balance sheets.
Senior Notes
Our Senior Notes consist of the following issuances:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | (In millions) | | | | Annual | | |||
| | | Interest | | | | Aggregate | | | | | Issuance | | Interest | |
| Maturity | | Rate | | | | Principal | | | Discount | | Date | | Schedule | |
| November 2025 | | 4.150 | % | | $ | 500.0 | | $ | 0.8 | | October 2015 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| April 2027 | | 3.875 | | | | 600.0 | | | 0.4 | | April 2017 | | April 15 and October 15 | |
| November 2027 | | 4.625 | | | | 550.0 | | | 0.5 | | September 2022 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| May 2028 | | 4.125 | | | | 500.0 | | | 0.5 | | April 2018 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| July 2028 | | 5.200 | | | | 500.0 | | | 0.1 | | June 2023 | | January 5 and July 5 | |
| April 2030 | | 3.500 | | | | 1,000.0 | | | 0.7 | | April 2020 | | April 3 and October 3 | |
| November 2032 | | 5.000 | | | | 700.0 | | | 2.4 | | September 2022 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| July 2033 | | 5.450 | | | | 1,000.0 | | | 1.6 | | June 2023 | | January 5 and July 5 | |
| April 2050 | | 4.125 | | | | 500.0 | | | 5.0 | | April 2020 | | April 3 and October 3 | |
| November 2052 | | 5.500 | | | | 300.0 | | | 0.3 | | September 2022 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
The table above is comprised of what is collectively referred to as the Senior Notes, each of which were issued pursuant to an indenture as supplemented and amended by supplemental indentures relating to each series of Senior Notes (as so supplemented and amended, the “Senior Indenture”).
We may redeem some or all of the Senior Notes at any time at redemption prices set forth in the Senior Indenture. Upon the occurrence of a change of control triggering event, which is defined in the Senior Indenture, each holder of our Senior Notes has the right to require us to repurchase some or all of such holder’s Senior Notes at a purchase price in cash equal to 101% of the principal amount thereof, plus accrued and unpaid interest, if any, to, but excluding, the repurchase date. We have provided notice to the trustees of our $500.0 million senior unsecured notes scheduled to mature on November 1, 2025, that we intend to redeem the entire principal amount of such notes on April 29, 2025. We expect to use cash on hand for the redemption.
The Senior Indenture contains covenants limiting, among other things, our ability (subject to certain exceptions) to consolidate, merge, or sell or otherwise dispose of all or substantially all of our assets; and our ability and the ability of our subsidiaries to incur or guarantee indebtedness secured by liens on any shares of voting stock of significant subsidiaries.
The Senior Indenture also provides for events of default which, if any of them occurs, would permit or require the principal of and accrued interest on our Senior Notes to become or to be declared due and payable, as applicable.
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Rating Agencies
Our credit ratings, as well as future rating agency actions, could (i) impact our ability to finance our operations on satisfactory terms; (ii) affect our financing costs; and (iii) affect our insurance premiums and collateral requirements necessary for our self-insured programs. There can be no assurance that we will maintain or improve our current credit ratings, particularly, if we are unable to lower our leverage ratios to levels and within time frames deemed acceptable to the rating agencies. The credit ratings for our borrowings are as follows:
| | | | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating Agency | | Senior unsecured debt rating | | Commercial paper rating | | Outlook |
| Moody’s | | Baa2 | | P-2 | | Negative outlook |
| Standard & Poor’s | | BBB | | A-2 | | Negative outlook |
Future Cash Requirements
The following table summarizes significant estimated future cash requirements under our various contractual obligations and other commitments at January 31, 2025, in total and disaggregated into current (1 year) and long-term (1 or more years) obligations (in thousands):
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments Due by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Contractual obligations | Total | 1 year | 1 - 3 years | 3 - 5 years | 5+ years | |||||||||||
| Long-term debt obligations | | $ | 6,331,076 | | $ | 519,463 | | $ | 1,183,315 | | $ | 1,023,667 | | $ | 3,604,631 | |
| Interest(a) | | 2,460,357 | | 294,311 | | 533,208 | | 398,432 | | 1,234,406 | | |||||
| Self-insurance liabilities(b) | | 334,425 | | 165,085 | | | 121,100 | | | 45,790 | | | 2,450 | | ||
| Operating lease obligations | | 13,761,782 | | 1,921,426 | | | 3,521,529 | | | 2,846,911 | | | 5,471,916 | | ||
| Subtotal | | $ | 22,887,640 | | $ | 2,900,285 | | $ | 5,359,152 | | $ | 4,314,800 | | $ | 10,313,403 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Commitments Expiring by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial commitments(c) | Total | 1 year | 1 - 3 years | 3 - 5 years | 5+ years | |||||||||||
| Letters of credit | | $ | 10,458 | | $ | 10,458 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Purchase obligations(d) | | 1,295,661 | | 1,153,619 | | 134,975 | | 7,067 | | — | | |||||
| Subtotal | | $ | 1,306,119 | | $ | 1,164,077 | | $ | 134,975 | | $ | 7,067 | | $ | — | |
| Total contractual obligations and commercial commitments | | $ | 24,193,759 | | $ | 4,064,362 | | $ | 5,494,127 | | $ | 4,321,867 | | $ | 10,313,403 | |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (a) | Represents obligations for interest payments on long-term debt and includes projected interest on variable rate long-term debt using 2024 year-end rates and balances. Variable rate long-term debt includes the Revolving Facility (although such facility had a balance of zero as of January 31, 2025), the CP Notes (which had a balance of zero as of January 31, 2025, and which amount is net of $195.0 million held by a wholly-owned subsidiary), and interest rate swaps being accounted for as fair value hedges. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (b) | We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, auto liability, and certain third-party landlord claims exposures. As these obligations do not have scheduled maturities, these amounts represent undiscounted estimates based upon actuarial assumptions. Substantially all amounts are reflected on an undiscounted basis in our consolidated balance sheets. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (c) | Commercial commitments include information technology license and support agreements, supplies, fixtures, letters of credit for import merchandise, and other inventory purchase obligations. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (d) | Purchase obligations include legally binding agreements for software licenses and support, supplies, fixtures, and merchandise purchases (excluding such purchases subject to letters of credit). |
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Share Repurchase Program
Our common stock repurchase program had a total remaining authorization of approximately $1.38 billion at January 31, 2025. The authorization allows repurchases from time to time in open market transactions, including pursuant to trading plans adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or in privately negotiated transactions. The repurchase authorization has no expiration date, and future repurchases will depend on a variety of factors, including price, market conditions, compliance with the covenants and restrictions under our debt agreements, cash requirements, excess debt capacity, results of operations, financial condition and other factors. The repurchase program may be modified or terminated from time to time at the discretion of our Board of Directors. To preserve our investment grade credit rating and maintain financial flexibility, we did not repurchase any shares under this program in 2024 and do not plan to repurchase shares during fiscal 2025. For more detail, see Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements.
Other Considerations
In March 2025, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.59 per share which is payable on or before April 22, 2025 to shareholders of record of our common stock on April 8, 2025. We paid quarterly cash dividends of $0.59 per share in 2024. Although the Board currently expects to continue regular quarterly cash dividends, the declaration and amount of future cash dividends are subject to the Board’s sole discretion and will depend upon, among other factors, our results of operations, cash requirements, financial condition, contractual restrictions, excess debt capacity and other factors that our Board may deem relevant in its sole discretion.
Our inventory balance represented approximately 47% of our total assets exclusive of operating lease assets, goodwill, and other intangible assets as of January 31, 2025. Our ability to effectively manage our inventory balances can have a significant impact on our cash flows from operations during a given fiscal year as discussed further below. Inventory purchases are often somewhat seasonal in nature, such as the purchase of warm-weather or Christmas-related merchandise. Efficient management of our inventory has been and continues to be an area of focus for us.
As described in Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements, we are involved in a number of legal actions and claims, some of which could potentially result in material cash payments. Adverse developments in those actions could materially and adversely affect our liquidity.
Cash Flows
Cash flows from operating activities. Cash flows from operating activities were $2.996 billion in 2024, which represents a $604.3 million increase compared to 2023. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $230.2 million increase in our working capital in 2024 compared to the decrease of $299.1 million in 2023 as described in greater detail below. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $302.9 million increase in our working capital in 2024 compared to a $36.9 million increase in 2023, due primarily to the timing of inventory receipts and related payments. Changes in accrued expenses resulted in a $91.8 million increase in 2024 compared to a $39.2 million decrease in 2023. Net income decreased to $1.1 billion in 2024 as compared to $1.7 billion in 2023. Changes in other noncash losses resulted in a $296.2 million increase as compared to a $89.0 million increase in 2023 primarily due to impairment charges in 2024. Changes in income taxes paid in 2024 compared to 2023 are primarily due to the decrease in pre-tax earnings in 2024 and the timing of payments for income taxes.
Cash flows from operating activities were $2.4 billion in 2023, which represents a $407.2 million increase compared to 2022. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $299.1 million decrease in our working capital in 2023 compared to the decrease of $1.7 billion in 2022 as described in greater detail below. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $36.9 million increase in our working capital in 2023 compared to a $194.7 million decrease in 2022, due primarily to the timing of inventory receipts and related payments. Net income decreased to $1.7 billion in 2023 as compared to $2.4 billion in 2022. Changes in other noncash losses resulted in a $89.0 million increase as compared to a $530.5 million increase in 2022 primarily due to a lower LIFO provision in 2023. Changes in income
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taxes including a decrease in cash paid for income taxes in 2023 compared to 2022 are primarily due to the decrease in pre-tax earnings in 2023.
On an ongoing basis, we closely monitor and manage our inventory balances, and they may fluctuate from period to period based on new store openings, the timing of purchases, and other factors. Merchandise inventories decreased by 4% in 2024 and increased by 3% in 2023 and 20% in 2022. The decrease in the 2024 period primarily reflects a decrease in the consumables and home products categories due to inventory reduction efforts and core SKU reductions. Offsetting the inventory decrease in consumables and home products were increases in the seasonal and apparel categories primarily due to an increase in overall store count. Percent and dollar changes in our four inventory categories for the past three years were as follows:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | For the Year Ended | ||||||||||||||||
| | | January 31, | | | February 2, | | | February 3, | | |||||||||
| Increase (decrease) | | 2025 | | | 2024 | | 2023 | |||||||||||
| Consumables | | $ | (287.4) | | (6) | % | | $ | 744.5 | | 20 | % | | $ | 367.8 | | 11 | % |
| Seasonal | | | 14.7 | | 1 | | | | (207.1) | | (13) | | | | 455.5 | | 42 | |
| Home products | | | (18.3) | | (2) | | | | (291.3) | | (28) | | | | 315.4 | | 43 | |
| Apparel | | | 8.0 | | 2 | | | | (12.6) | | (4) | | | | 7.8 | | 2 | |
Cash flows from investing activities. Significant components of property and equipment purchases included the following approximate amounts:
| | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | For the Year Ended | | |||||||
| | | January 31, | | February 2, | | February 3, | | |||
| (amounts in millions, except store count amounts) | 2025 | | 2024 | | 2023 | |||||
| Existing stores improvements, upgrades, remodels, and relocations | | $ | 605.3 | | $ | 683.4 | | $ | 588.5 | |
| Distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures | | | 342.9 | | | 542.4 | | | 478.7 | |
| New stores primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment | | 295.9 | | 390.2 | | 372.6 | | |||
| Information systems upgrades and technology-related projects | | 52.2 | | 67.1 | | 62.2 | | |||
| Other | | 13.6 | | 17.1 | | 58.6 | | |||
| Total purchases of property and equipment | | $ | 1,309.9 | | $ | 1,700.2 | | $ | 1,560.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Store Counts | | | | | | | | | | |
| New stores | | | 725 | | | 987 | | | 1,039 | |
| Remodeled or relocated | | | 1,706 | | | 2,136 | | | 1,922 | |
Capital expenditures during 2025 are projected to be in the range of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion. We anticipate funding 2025 capital requirements with a combination of some or all of the following: existing cash balances, cash flows from operations, availability under our Revolving Facility and/or the issuance of additional CP Notes. We plan to continue to invest in store growth and development with approximately 575 new stores in the United States and up to 15 new stores in Mexico and approximately 4,295 remodels or relocations, including fully remodeling approximately 2,000 stores through Project Renovate, remodeling approximately 2,250 through Project Elevate, and relocating approximately 45 stores. Capital expenditures in 2025 are anticipated to support our store growth as well as our remodel and relocation initiatives, including capital outlays for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment; the construction of new stores; costs to support and enhance our supply chain initiatives for existing distribution center facilities and replacement of certain transportation related assets; technology initiatives; as well as routine and ongoing capital requirements.
Cash flows from financing activities. During the 2024 period we had repayments of long-term obligations of $770.2 million. We paid cash dividends of $519.0 million and did not repurchase shares of our common stock.
In 2023, we received proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt of $1.5 billion. Net commercial paper borrowings decreased by $1.5 billion, and we received and repaid $500.0 million under the 364-Day Revolving Facility. We paid cash dividends of $518.0 million and did not repurchase shares of our common stock.
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In 2022, we received proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt of $2.3 billion, and our repayments of long-term debt totaled $911.3 million. Net commercial paper borrowings increased by $1.4 billion, and we had no borrowings or repayments under the Revolving Facility or the 364-Day Revolving Facility. We repurchased 11.6 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $2.7 billion and paid cash dividends of $493.7 million.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“U.S. GAAP”) requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect reported amounts and related disclosures. In addition to the estimates presented below, there are other items within our financial statements that require estimation but are not deemed critical as defined below. We believe these estimates are reasonable and appropriate. However, if actual experience differs from the assumptions and other considerations used, the resulting changes could have a material effect on the financial statements taken as a whole.
Management believes the following policies and estimates are critical because they involve significant judgments, assumptions, and estimates. Management has discussed the development and selection of the critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors, and the Audit Committee has reviewed the disclosures presented below relating to those policies and estimates. See Note 1 to the consolidated financial statements for a detailed discussion of our principal accounting policies.
Merchandise Inventories. Merchandise inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market (“LCM”) with cost determined using the retail last in, first out (“LIFO”) method. We use the retail inventory method (“RIM”) to calculate gross profit and the resulting valuation of inventories at cost, which are computed utilizing a calculated cost-to-retail inventory ratio to the retail value of sales at an inventory department level. We apply the RIM to these departments, which are groups of products that are fairly uniform in terms of cost, selling price relationship and turnover. The RIM will result in valuing inventories at LCM if permanent markdowns are recorded timely as a reduction of the retail value of inventories. Inherent in the RIM calculation are certain management judgments and estimates that may impact the ending inventory valuation at cost, as well as the gross profit recognized. These judgments include ensuring departments consist of similar products, recording estimated shrinkage between physical inventories, and timely recording of markdowns needed to sell inventory.
Factors considered in the determination of markdowns include current and anticipated demand based on changes in competitors’ practices, consumer preferences, consumer spending, significant weather events and unseasonable weather patterns. Certain of these factors are outside of our control and may result in greater than estimated markdowns to entice consumer purchases of excess inventory. The amount and timing of markdowns may vary significantly from year to year.
We perform physical inventories in a significant majority of our stores on an annual basis. We calculate our shrink provision based on actual physical inventory results during the fiscal period and an accrual for estimated shrink occurring subsequent to a physical inventory through the end of the fiscal reporting period. This accrual is calculated as a percentage of sales at each retail store, at a department level, based on the store’s most recent historical shrink rate. From time to time as circumstances may warrant, we consider more recent shrink experience in the calculation of our shrink accrual. The impact of doing so has not been material. To the extent that subsequent physical inventories yield different results than the estimated accrual, our effective shrink rate for a given reporting period will include the impact of adjusting to the actual results.
We believe our estimates and assumptions related to the application of the RIM results in a merchandise inventory valuation that reasonably approximates cost on a consistent basis.
We perform an annual LIFO analysis whereby all merchandise units are considered for inclusion in the index formulation. An actual valuation of inventory under the LIFO method is made at the end of each year based on the inventory levels and costs at that time. In contrast, interim LIFO calculations are based on management’s annual estimates of sales, the rate of inflation or deflation, and year-end inventory levels. We also perform analyses for determining obsolete inventory, adjusting inventory on a quarterly basis to an LCM value based on various
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management assumptions including estimated below cost markdowns not yet recorded, but required to liquidate such inventory in future periods.
Impairment of Long-lived Assets. Long-lived assets, including right of use assets, are reviewed for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amounts may not be recoverable. The evaluation is performed primarily at the store level, which is the lowest level of identifiable cash flows that are largely independent of cash flows of other assets and liabilities. Impairment of long-lived assets results when the carrying value of the assets exceeds the estimated undiscounted future cash flows generated by the assets. Our estimate of undiscounted future store cash flows is based upon historical operations of the stores and estimates of future profitability which encompasses many factors that are subject to variability and are difficult to predict. If a long-lived asset is found to be impaired, the amount recognized for impairment is equal to the difference between the carrying value and the asset’s estimated fair value. The fair value is estimated based primarily upon projected future cash flows (discounted at our credit adjusted risk-free rate) or other reasonable estimates of fair market value. Changes in these estimates, assumptions or projections could materially affect the determination of fair value or impairment.
Insurance Liabilities. We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, auto liability and certain third-party landlord claim exposures. These represent significant costs primarily due to our large employee base and number of stores. Provisions are made for these liabilities on an undiscounted basis. Certain of these liabilities are based on actual claim data and estimates of incurred but not reported claims developed using actuarial methodologies based on historical claim trends, which have been and are anticipated to continue to be materially accurate. If future claim trends deviate from recent historical patterns, or other unanticipated events affect the number and significance of future claims, we may be required to record additional expenses or expense reductions, which could be material to our future financial results.
Contingent Liabilities – Income Taxes. Income tax reserves are determined using the methodology established by accounting standards relating to uncertainty in income taxes. These standards require companies to assess each income tax position taken using a two-step process. A determination is first made as to whether it is more likely than not that the position will be sustained, based upon the technical merits, upon examination by the taxing authorities. If the tax position is expected to meet the more likely than not criteria, the benefit recorded for the tax position equals the largest amount that is greater than 50% likely to be realized upon ultimate settlement of the respective tax position. Uncertain tax positions require determinations and liabilities to be estimated based on provisions of the tax law which may be subject to change or varying interpretation. If our determinations and estimates prove to be inaccurate, the resulting adjustments could be material to our future financial results.
Lease Accounting. Lease liabilities are recorded at a discount based upon our estimated collateralized incremental borrowing rate which involves significant judgments and estimates. Factors incorporated into the calculation of lease discount rates include the valuations and yields of our senior notes, their credit spread over comparable U.S. Treasury rates, and an index of the credit spreads for all North American investment grade companies by rating. To determine an indicative secured rate, we use the estimated credit spread improvement that would result from an upgrade of one ratings classification by tenor. Many of our stores typically carry a primary lease term of up to 15 years with multiple renewal options. We also have stores subject to shorter-term leases and many of these leases also have renewal options. We record single lease expense on a straight-line basis over the lease term including any option periods that are reasonably certain to be renewed, commencing on the date that we take physical possession of the property from the landlord. Tenant allowances, to the extent received, are recorded as a reduction of the right of use asset. Improvements of leased properties are amortized over the shorter of the life of the applicable lease term or the estimated useful life of the asset.
Share-Based Payments. Our stock option awards are valued on an individual grant basis using the Black-Scholes-Merton closed form option pricing model. We believe that this model fairly estimates the value of our stock option awards. The application of this valuation model involves assumptions that are judgmental in the valuation of stock options, which affects compensation expense related to these options. These assumptions include the term that the options are expected to be outstanding, the historical volatility of our stock price, applicable interest rates and the dividend yield of our stock. Other factors involving judgments that affect the expensing of share-based payments include estimated forfeiture rates of share-based awards. Historically, these estimates have been materially accurate;
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however, if our estimates differ materially from actual experience, we may be required to record additional expense or reductions of expense, which could be material to our future financial results.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001558370-24-003813.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This discussion and analysis should be read with, and is qualified in its entirety by, the Consolidated Financial Statements and the notes thereto. It also should be read in conjunction with the Cautionary Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and the Risk Factors disclosures set forth in the Introduction and in Item 1A of this report, respectively.
Executive Overview
We are the largest discount retailer in the United States by number of stores, with 20,022 stores located in 48 U.S. states and Mexico as of March 1, 2024, with the greatest concentration of stores in the southern, southwestern, midwestern and eastern United States. Our first stores in Mexico opened in 2023. We offer a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable products such as food, paper and cleaning products, health and beauty products and pet supplies, and non-consumable products such as seasonal merchandise, home decor and domestics, and basic apparel. Our merchandise includes national brands from leading manufacturers, as well as our own private brand selections with prices often at substantial discounts to national brands. We offer our customers these national brand and private brand products at everyday low prices (typically $10 or less) in our convenient small-box locations.
We believe our convenient store formats, locations, and broad selection of high-quality products at compelling values have driven our substantial growth and financial success over the years and through a variety of economic cycles. We are mindful that the majority of our customers are value-conscious, and many have low and/or fixed incomes. As a result, we are intensely focused on helping our customers make the most of their spending dollars. Our customers continue to feel constrained in the current macroeconomic environment, and accordingly we expect their spending to continue to be pressured, particularly in our non-consumables categories. Our core customers are often among the first to be affected by negative or uncertain economic conditions and among the last to feel the effects of improving economic conditions, particularly when trends are inconsistent and of an uncertain duration. The primary macroeconomic factors that affect our core customers include unemployment and underemployment rates, inflation, wage growth, changes in U.S. and global trade policy, and changes in U.S. government policy and assistance programs (including cost of living adjustments), such as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (“SNAP”), unemployment benefits, and economic stimulus programs. Our customers were impacted by the elimination of the emergency allotment of SNAP benefits and lower tax refunds resulting from the elimination of COVID-related stimulus programs, each of which occurred in the first quarter of 2023, and continue to be impacted by the overall macroeconomic environment. Additionally, our customers continue to experience higher expenses that generally comprise a large portion of their household budgets, such as rent, healthcare, energy and fuel prices, as well as cost inflation in frequently purchased household products (including food). In addition, the Department of Education’s COVID-19 pandemic student loan forbearance program ended in September 2023, and payment obligations generally resumed in October 2023. The impact of this program’s conclusion on our customer and our business has not been material, although we can make no assurance that it will not be material in the future. Finally, significant unseasonable or unusual weather patterns or extreme weather can impact customer shopping behaviors, although we did not identify any such impact to any significant degree in 2023.
We remain committed to our long-term operating priorities as we consistently strive to improve our performance while retaining our customer-centric focus. These priorities include: 1) driving profitable sales growth, 2) capturing growth opportunities, 3) enhancing our position as a low-cost operator, and 4) investing in our diverse teams through development, empowerment and inclusion.
We seek to drive profitable sales growth through initiatives aimed at increasing customer traffic and average transaction amount. Historically, sales in our consumables category, which tend to have lower gross margins, have been the key drivers of net sales and customer traffic, while sales in our non-consumables categories, which tend to have higher gross margins, have contributed to more profitable sales growth and an increase in average transaction amount. Our sales mix has continued to shift toward consumables and is currently at historic
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highs. Certain of our initiatives are intended to address this sales mix trend; however, there can be no assurances that these efforts will be successful.
As we work to provide everyday low prices and meet our customers’ affordability needs, we remain focused on enhancing our margins through inventory shrink and damage reduction initiatives, as well as pricing and markdown optimization, effective category management and inventory reduction efforts, distribution and transportation efficiencies, private brands penetration and global sourcing. Several of our strategic and other sales-driving initiatives are also designed to capture growth opportunities and are discussed in more detail below.
We experienced higher damages in the first half of 2023, as well as significantly higher shrink throughout 2023. We believe that our shrink results in 2023 were due to a number of factors, including materially higher inventory levels in the first half of the year, store standards and other operational challenges such as self-checkout and store manager turnover, as well as the macroeconomic environment. As of fiscal year-end, and discussed further below, we have materially reduced inventory levels. To address challenges presented by self-checkout as well as to enhance the overall customer and associate experience in our stores, we are revising our self-checkout strategy, including limiting self-checkout to transactions of five items or fewer, converting some or all self-checkout registers in approximately 9,000 stores to assisted checkout options, and removing self-checkout from approximately 300 stores. As discussed further below, we also have invested in retail labor to help drive improved store standards and have plans in place to improve store manager turnover rates.
We continue to implement and invest in certain strategic initiatives that we believe will help drive profitable sales growth with both new and existing customers and capture long-term growth opportunities. Such opportunities include providing our customers with a variety of shopping access points and even greater value and convenience by leveraging and developing digital tools and technology, such as our Dollar General app, which contains a variety of tools to enhance the in-store shopping experience. Additionally, our partnership with a third-party delivery service is available in the majority of our stores, and we continue to grow our DG Media Network, which is our platform for connecting brand partners with our customers to drive even greater value for each.
Further, we are continuing to evaluate and evolve the pOpshelf concept, including expanding at a more measured pace in the softer discretionary sales environment, as well as converting some locations to Dollar General store locations. pOpshelf is a unique retail concept focused on categories such as seasonal and home décor, health and beauty, home cleaning supplies, and party and entertainment goods. At the end of 2023, we operated 216 standalone pOpshelf locations.
Our “DG Fresh” initiative, a self-distribution model for frozen and refrigerated products that is designed to reduce product costs, enhance item assortment, improve our in-stock position, and enhance sales, has positively contributed to our sales and gross margin performance since we completed the initial rollout in 2021. Moving forward, we plan to focus on additional optimization of the distribution footprint and product assortment within DG Fresh with the goal to further drive profitable sales growth.
We also remain focused on capturing growth opportunities. In 2023, we opened a total of 987 new stores, including our first three stores in Mexico, remodeled 2,007 stores, and relocated 129 stores. In fiscal 2024, we plan to open approximately 800 new stores (including any new pOpshelf stores or stores in Mexico), remodel approximately 1,500 stores, and relocate approximately 85 stores, for a total of 2,385 real estate projects.
We expect store format innovation to allow us to capture additional growth opportunities within our existing markets as we continue to utilize the most productive of our various Dollar General store formats based on the specific market opportunity. We are using two larger format stores (approximately 8,500 square feet and 9,500 square feet, respectively), and consistent with 2023, expect the 8,500 square foot format, along with our existing Dollar General Plus format of a similar size, to continue as our base prototypes for the majority of new stores in 2024, replacing our traditional 7,300 square foot format and higher-cooler count Dollar General Traditional Plus format. The larger formats allow for expanded high-capacity-cooler counts, an extended queue line, and a broader product assortment, including an enhanced non-consumable offering, a larger health and beauty section, and produce in select stores.
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We have established a position as a low-cost operator, always seeking ways to reduce or control costs that do not affect our customers’ shopping experiences. We plan to continue enhancing this position over time while employing ongoing cost discipline to reduce certain expenses as a percentage of sales. Nonetheless, we seek to maintain flexibility to invest in the business as necessary to enhance our long-term competitiveness and profitability. From time to time, our strategic initiatives, including without limitation those discussed above, have required and may continue to require us to incur upfront expenses for which there may not be an immediate return in terms of sales or enhanced profitability.
To further optimize our cost structure and facilitate greater operational control within our supply chain, we further expanded our private fleet in 2023 from 1,600 tractors at the end of fiscal 2022 to more than 2,000 tractors at the end of 2023, representing the majority of all outbound trucks delivering from our distribution centers.
Certain of our operating expenses, such as wage rates and occupancy costs, have continued to increase in recent years, due primarily to market forces such as labor availability, increases in minimum wage rates and increases in property rents and interest rates. Further, significant and/or rapid increases to federal and further increases to state and/or local minimum wage rates/salary levels could adversely affect our earnings if we are not able to otherwise offset these increased labor costs elsewhere in our business. Furthermore, in 2023 we invested approximately $150 million in retail labor, primarily through labor hours, to further enhance our store standards, including on-shelf availability, and compliance efforts as well as the customer and associate experience in our stores.
In addition to the labor investment in 2023, we took additional actions to support our customers, stores and distribution centers. Most significantly, we accelerated the pace of our inventory reduction efforts, including additional promotional markdowns, in an effort to return to more optimal inventory levels sooner than we believed the current pace would deliver. These investments in retail labor, markdowns, and other areas, had a materially negative impact on our operating profit in 2023.
While we believe the overall growth rate of inflation has moderated, we expect some inflationary pressures will continue to affect our operating results and our vendors and customers. Moreover, increases in market interest rates have had, and will likely continue to have, a negative impact on our interest expense, both with respect to issuances of commercial paper notes, if any, and other indebtedness. Further, both inflation and higher interest rates have significantly increased new store opening costs and occupancy costs, and while we continue to have strong new store returns and grow our store base significantly in 2024, these increased costs have negatively impacted our projected new store returns and influenced our 2024 new store growth plans.
Our diverse teams are a competitive advantage, and we proactively seek ways to continue investing in their development. Our goal is to create an environment that attracts, develops, and retains talented personnel, particularly at the store manager level, because employees who are promoted from within our company generally have longer tenures and are greater contributors to improvements in our financial performance. We are taking actions designed to reduce our store manager turnover, which was higher than targeted in 2023, including through our labor investment and allocation of labor hours, simplifying in-store activities, and reducing excess inventory.
To further enhance shareholder returns, we have continued to pay quarterly cash dividends. The declaration and amount of future dividends are subject to Board discretion and approval, although we currently expect to continue paying quarterly cash dividends. As planned, to preserve our investment grade credit rating and maintain financial flexibility, we did not repurchase any shares during 2023 under our share repurchase program and do not plan to repurchase shares during 2024. The repurchase authorization has no expiration date, and future repurchases will depend on a variety of factors, including price, market conditions, compliance with the covenants and restrictions under our debt agreements, cash requirements, excess debt capacity, results of operations, financial condition and other factors.
We utilize key performance indicators, which are defined below, in the management of our business including same-store sales, average sales per square foot, and inventory turnover. We use these measures to maximize profitability and for decisions about the allocation of resources. Each of these measures is commonly used by investors in retail companies to measure the health of the business.
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Same-store sales. Same-store sales are calculated based upon our stores that were open at least 13 full fiscal months and remain open at the end of the reporting period. We include stores that have been remodeled, expanded or relocated in our same-store sales calculation. Changes in same-store sales are calculated based on the comparable 52 calendar weeks in the current and prior years. The method of calculating same-store sales varies across the retail industry. As a result, our calculation of same-store sales is not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies.
Average sales per square foot. Average sales per square foot is calculated based on total sales for the preceding 12 months as of the ending date of the reporting period divided by the average selling square footage during the period, including the end of the fiscal year, the beginning of the fiscal year, and the end of each of our three interim fiscal quarters.
Inventory turnover. Inventory turnover is calculated based on total cost of goods sold for the preceding four quarters divided by the average inventory balance as of the ending date of the reporting period, including the end of the fiscal year, the beginning of the fiscal year, and the end of each of our three interim fiscal quarters.
A continued focus on our four operating priorities as discussed above, and other impacts as discussed below, resulted in the following overall operating and financial performance in 2023 as compared to 2022. Basis points, as referred to below, are equal to 0.01% as a percentage of net sales.
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Net sales in 2023 increased 2.2%. Sales in same-stores increased 0.2%, primarily due to an increase in customer traffic. Average sales per square foot in 2023 were $264. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | The gross profit rate decreased by 94 basis points due primarily to increased shrink and inventory markdowns and lower inventory markups. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | SG&A as a percentage of sales increased by 153 basis points primarily due to increases in retail labor including the $150 million retail labor investment, store occupancy costs, and depreciation and amortization. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operating profit decreased 26.5% to $2.45 billion in 2023 compared to $3.33 billion in 2022. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Interest expense increased by $115.5 million in 2023 primarily due to higher average borrowings and higher interest rates. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | The change in the effective income tax rate to 21.6% in 2023 from 22.5% in 2022 was primarily due to the effect of certain rate-impacting items (such as federal tax credits) on lower earnings before taxes and a lower state effective rate resulting from increased recognition of state tax credits compared to 2022. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We reported net income of $1.66 billion, or $7.55 per diluted share, for 2023 compared to net income of $2.42 billion, or $10.68 per diluted share, for 2022. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We generated approximately $2.4 billion of cash flows from operating activities in 2023, an increase of 20.5% compared to 2022. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Inventory turnover was 3.7 times, and inventories decreased 1.1% on a per store basis compared to 2022. |
Readers should refer to the detailed discussion of our operating results below for additional comments on financial performance in the current year as compared with the prior years presented.
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Results of Operations
Accounting Periods. The following text contains references to years 2023, 2022, and 2021, which represent fiscal years ended February 2, 2024, February 3, 2023, and January 28, 2022, respectively. Our fiscal year ends on the Friday closest to January 31. Fiscal years 2023 and 2021 were 52-week accounting periods and fiscal year 2022 was a 53-week accounting period.
Seasonality. The nature of our business is somewhat seasonal. Primarily because of sales of Christmas-related merchandise, operating profit in our fourth quarter (November, December and January) has historically been higher than operating profit achieved in each of the first three quarters of the fiscal year. Expenses, and to a greater extent operating profit, vary by quarter. Results of a period shorter than a full year may not be indicative of results expected for the entire year. Furthermore, the seasonal nature of our business may affect comparisons between periods.
The following table contains results of operations data for fiscal years 2023, 2022, and 2021, and the dollar and percentage variances among those years.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | 2023 vs. 2022 | 2022 vs. 2021 | | |||||||
| (amounts in millions, except | | | | | | | Amount | % | Amount | % | | |||||||||
| per share amounts) | | 2023 | | 2022 | | 2021 | | Change | | Change | Change | | Change | | ||||||
| Net sales by category: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Consumables | | $ | 31,342.6 | | $ | 30,155.2 | | $ | 26,258.6 | | $ | 1,187.4 | | 3.9 | % | $ | 3,896.6 | | 14.8 | % |
| % of net sales | | 81.01 | % | 79.68 | % | 76.73 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Seasonal | | 4,083.8 | | 4,182.8 | | 4,182.2 | | (99.0) | | (2.4) | | 0.6 | | 0.0 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 10.55 | % | 11.05 | % | 12.22 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Home products | | 2,163.8 | | 2,332.4 | | 2,322.4 | | (168.6) | | (7.2) | | 10.0 | | 0.4 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 5.59 | % | 6.16 | % | 6.79 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Apparel | | 1,101.4 | | 1,174.4 | | 1,457.3 | | (73.0) | | (6.2) | | (282.9) | | (19.4) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 2.85 | % | 3.10 | % | 4.26 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Net sales | | $ | 38,691.6 | | $ | 37,844.9 | | $ | 34,220.4 | | $ | 846.7 | | 2.2 | % | $ | 3,624.4 | | 10.6 | % |
| Cost of goods sold | | 26,972.6 | | 26,024.8 | | 23,407.4 | | 947.8 | | 3.6 | | 2,617.3 | | 11.2 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 69.71 | % | 68.77 | % | 68.40 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Gross profit | | 11,719.0 | | 11,820.1 | | 10,813.0 | | (101.1) | | (0.9) | | 1,007.1 | | 9.3 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 30.29 | % | 31.23 | % | 31.60 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | | 9,272.7 | | 8,491.8 | | 7,592.3 | | 780.9 | | 9.2 | | 899.5 | | 11.8 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 23.97 | % | 22.44 | % | 22.19 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Operating profit | | 2,446.3 | | 3,328.3 | | 3,220.7 | | (882.0) | | (26.5) | | 107.6 | | 3.3 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 6.32 | % | 8.79 | % | 9.41 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Interest expense | | 326.8 | | 211.3 | | 157.5 | | 115.5 | | 54.7 | | 53.7 | | 34.1 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 0.84 | % | 0.56 | % | 0.46 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Other (income) expense | | — | | 0.4 | | — | | (0.4) | | — | | 0.4 | | — | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Income before income taxes | | 2,119.5 | | 3,116.6 | | 3,063.1 | | (997.1) | | (32.0) | | 53.5 | | 1.7 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 5.48 | % | 8.24 | % | 8.95 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Income tax expense | | 458.2 | | 700.6 | | 663.9 | | (242.4) | | (34.6) | | 36.7 | | 5.5 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 1.18 | % | 1.85 | % | 1.94 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Net income | | $ | 1,661.3 | | $ | 2,416.0 | | $ | 2,399.2 | | $ | (754.7) | | (31.2) | % | $ | 16.8 | | 0.7 | % |
| % of net sales | | 4.29 | % | 6.38 | % | 7.01 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Diluted earnings per share | | $ | 7.55 | | $ | 10.68 | | $ | 10.17 | | $ | (3.13) | | (29.3) | % | $ | 0.51 | | 5.0 | % |
Net Sales. The net sales increase in 2023 was primarily due to sales from new stores and an increase in same-store sales of 0.2% compared to 2022, partially offset by the impact of store closures. Net sales for the 53rd week of fiscal 2022 were $678.1 million. The increase in same-store sales reflects an increase in customer traffic, partially offset by a decrease in the average transaction amount. The decrease in average transaction amount was driven by a decline in items per transaction, partially offset by higher average item retail prices. Same-store sales increased in the consumables category, and declined in the home products, seasonal and apparel categories. In 2023, our 18,763 same-stores accounted for sales of $36.9 billion.
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The net sales increase in 2022 was primarily due to sales from new stores, and an increase in same-store sales of 4.3% compared to 2021, partially offset by the impact of store closures. The increase in same-store sales reflects an increase in average transaction amount which was driven by higher average item retail prices as a result of higher inflation, partially offset by a decline in customer traffic. Same-store sales increased in the consumables category, and declined in the apparel, seasonal, and home products categories. In 2022, our 17,886 same-stores accounted for sales of $35.3 billion.
Gross Profit. In 2023, gross profit decreased by 0.9%, and as a percentage of net sales decreased by 94 basis points to 30.3% compared to 2022, primarily driven by increased shrink and inventory markdowns, lower inventory markups, a higher proportion of lower margin consumables sales, and increased damages. Partially offsetting the factors which decreased our overall gross profit rate were a lower LIFO provision and decreased transportation costs.
In 2022, gross profit increased by 9.3%, and as a percentage of net sales decreased by 37 basis points to 31.2% compared to 2021. A greater LIFO provision which was driven by higher product costs, a higher proportion of lower margin consumables sales, and increases in inventory markdowns, damages and shrink each contributed to the decrease in the gross profit rate. These factors were partially offset by higher inventory markups and improvements in transportation costs.
SG&A. SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 24.0% in 2023 compared to 22.4% in 2022, an increase of 153 basis points. The primary expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2023 were retail labor, store occupancy costs, depreciation and amortization, repairs and maintenance, and other services purchased, including debt and credit card transaction fees, which were partially offset by a decrease in incentive compensation.
SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 22.4% in 2022 compared to 22.2% in 2021, an increase of 25 basis points. The primary expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2022 were utilities, retail labor, and repairs and maintenance, partially offset by incentive compensation expenses and store occupancy costs.
Interest Expense. Interest expense increased $115.5 million to $326.8 million in 2023 compared to 2022 and increased $53.7 million to $211.3 million in 2022 compared to 2021, in each case primarily due to higher outstanding borrowings and higher interest rates. See the detailed discussion under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” regarding the financing of various long-term obligations.
Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate for 2023 was 21.6% compared to a rate of 22.5% for 2022 which represents a net decrease of 0.9 percentage points. The effective tax rate was lower in 2023 primarily due to the effect of certain rate-impacting items (such as federal tax credits) on lower earnings before taxes and a lower state effective rate resulting from increased recognition of state tax credits.
The effective income tax rate for 2022 was 22.5% compared to a rate of 21.7% for 2021 which represents a net increase of 0.8 percentage points. The effective income tax rate was higher in 2022 primarily due to decreased income tax benefits associated with stock-based compensation compared to 2021.
Effects of Inflation
In 2023, we experienced moderate increases in product costs due to lower rates of inflation. In addition, we continued to experience elevated but relatively stable costs of building materials and certain of our other capital costs. In 2022, we experienced higher rates of inflation affecting product costs, the costs of building materials and certain of our other capital costs. In 2021, we experienced increases in product costs due in part to higher rates of inflation.
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
Current Financial Condition and Recent Developments
During the past three years, we have generated an aggregate of approximately $7.2 billion in cash flows from operating activities and incurred approximately $4.3 billion in capital expenditures. During that period, we expanded the number of stores we operate by 2,809, representing store growth of approximately 16%, and we remodeled or relocated 5,910 stores, or approximately 34% of the stores we operated as of the beginning of the three-year period. In 2024, we intend to continue our current strategy of pursuing store growth, remodels and relocations although at a slower pace than the past three years.
At February 2, 2024, we had a $2.0 billion unsecured revolving credit agreement (the “Revolving Facility”), $6.9 billion aggregate principal amount of senior notes, and a commercial paper program that may provide borrowing availability of up to $2.0 billion. At February 2, 2024, we had total consolidated outstanding debt (including the current portion of long-term obligations) of $7.0 billion, most of which was in the form of senior notes. All of our material borrowing arrangements are described in greater detail below. Our borrowing availability under the Revolving Facility may be effectively limited by our commercial paper notes (“CP Notes”) as further described below. The information contained in Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Part II, Item 8 of this report is incorporated herein by reference.
We believe our cash flow from operations, and our existing cash balances, combined with availability under the Revolving Facility, CP Notes and access to the debt markets, will provide sufficient liquidity to fund our current obligations, projected working capital requirements, capital spending and anticipated dividend payments for a period that includes the next twelve months as well as the next several years. However, our ability to maintain sufficient liquidity may be affected by numerous factors, many of which are outside of our control. Depending on our liquidity levels, conditions in the capital markets and other factors, we may from time to time consider the issuance of debt, equity or other securities, the proceeds of which could provide additional liquidity for our operations.
For fiscal 2024, we anticipate potential combined borrowings under the Revolving Facility and CP Notes to be a maximum of approximately $500 million outstanding at any one time.
Revolving Facility
Our Revolving Facility consists of a $2.0 billion senior unsecured revolving credit facility of which up to $100.0 million is available for the issuance of letters of credit and which is scheduled to mature on December 2, 2026.
Borrowings under the Revolving Facility bear interest at a rate equal to an applicable interest rate margin plus, at our option, either (a) Adjusted Term SOFR (which is Term SOFR (as published by CME Group Benchmark Administration Limited) plus a credit spread adjustment of 0.10%) or (b) a base rate (which is usually equal to the prime rate). The applicable interest rate margin for borrowings as of February 2, 2024 was 1.015% for Adjusted Term SOFR borrowings and 0.015% for base-rate borrowings. We must also pay a facility fee, payable on any used and unused commitment amounts of the Revolving Facility, and customary fees on letters of credit issued under the Revolving Facility. As of February 2, 2024, the facility fee rate was 0.11%. The applicable interest rate margins for borrowings, the facility fees and the letter of credit fees under the Revolving Facility are subject to adjustment from time to time based on our long-term senior unsecured debt ratings.
The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility contains a number of customary affirmative and negative covenants that, among other things, restrict, subject to certain exceptions, our (and our subsidiaries’) ability to: incur additional liens; sell all or substantially all of our assets; consummate certain fundamental changes or change in our lines of business; and incur additional subsidiary indebtedness. The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility also contains financial covenants which require the maintenance of a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio and a maximum leverage ratio. As of February 2, 2024, we were in compliance with all such covenants. On February 13, 2024, we amended the credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility to increase the
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maximum leverage ratio for the four quarters of fiscal 2024. The credit agreement governing the Revolving Facility also contains customary events of default.
As of February 2, 2024, we had no outstanding borrowings, no outstanding letters of credit, and borrowing availability of $2.0 billion under the Revolving Facility that, due to our intention to maintain borrowing availability related to the commercial paper program described below, could contribute liquidity of $1.8 billion. In addition, we had outstanding letters of credit of $45.9 million which were issued pursuant to separate agreements.
364-Day Revolving Facility
The Company had a 364-day $750 million unsecured revolving credit facility (the “364-Day Revolving Facility”) which expired on January 30, 2024. Borrowings under the 364-Day Revolving Facility bore interest at a rate equal to an applicable interest rate margin plus, at the Company’s option, either (a) Adjusted Term SOFR (which is Term SOFR, as published by CME Group Benchmark Administration Limited, plus a credit spread adjustment of 0.10%) or (b) a base rate (which is usually equal to the prime rate). The Company was also required to pay a facility fee to the lenders under the 364-Day Revolving Facility for any used and unused commitments. Prior to its expiration, the applicable interest rate margin for Adjusted Term SOFR loans was 1.035% and the facility fee rate was 0.09%. The applicable interest rate margins for borrowings and the facility fees under the 364-Day Revolving Facility were subject to adjustment from time to time based on the Company’s long-term senior unsecured debt ratings.
Commercial Paper
We may issue the CP Notes from time to time in an aggregate amount not to exceed $2.0 billion outstanding at any time. The CP Notes may have maturities of up to 364 days from the date of issue and rank equal in right of payment with all of our other unsecured and unsubordinated indebtedness. We intend to maintain available commitments under the Revolving Facility in an amount at least equal to the amount of CP Notes outstanding at any time. As of February 2, 2024, our consolidated balance sheet reflected no outstanding unsecured CP Notes. CP Notes totaling $197.7 million were held by a wholly-owned subsidiary and therefore are not reflected in the consolidated balance sheets.
Senior Notes
Our Senior Notes consist of the following issuances:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | (In millions) | | | | Annual | | |||
| | | Interest | | | | Aggregate | | | | | Issuance | | Interest | |
| Maturity | | Rate | | | | Principal | | | Discount | | Date | | Schedule | |
| September 2024 | | 4.250 | % | | $ | 750.0 | | $ | 0.7 | | September 2022 | | March 20 and September 20 | |
| November 2025 | | 4.150 | | | | 500.0 | | | 0.8 | | October 2015 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| April 2027 | | 3.875 | | | | 600.0 | | | 0.4 | | April 2017 | | April 15 and October 15 | |
| November 2027 | | 4.625 | | | | 550.0 | | | 0.5 | | September 2022 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| May 2028 | | 4.125 | | | | 500.0 | | | 0.5 | | April 2018 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| July 2028 | | 5.200 | | | | 500.0 | | | 0.1 | | June 2023 | | January 5 and July 5 | |
| April 2030 | | 3.500 | | | | 1,000.0 | | | 0.7 | | April 2020 | | April 3 and October 3 | |
| November 2032 | | 5.000 | | | | 700.0 | | | 2.4 | | September 2022 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
| July 2033 | | 5.450 | | | | 1,000.0 | | | 1.6 | | June 2023 | | January 5 and July 5 | |
| April 2050 | | 4.125 | | | | 500.0 | | | 5.0 | | April 2020 | | April 3 and October 3 | |
| November 2052 | | 5.500 | | | | 300.0 | | | 0.3 | | September 2022 | | May 1 and November 1 | |
The table above is comprised of what is collectively referred to as the Senior Notes, each of which were issued pursuant to an indenture as supplemented and amended by supplemental indentures relating to each series of Senior Notes (as so supplemented and amended, the “Senior Indenture”).
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We may redeem some or all of the Senior Notes at any time at redemption prices set forth in the Senior Indenture. Upon the occurrence of a change of control triggering event, which is defined in the Senior Indenture, each holder of our Senior Notes has the right to require us to repurchase some or all of such holder’s Senior Notes at a purchase price in cash equal to 101% of the principal amount thereof, plus accrued and unpaid interest, if any, to, but excluding, the repurchase date.
The Senior Indenture contains covenants limiting, among other things, our ability (subject to certain exceptions) to consolidate, merge, or sell or otherwise dispose of all or substantially all of our assets; and our ability and the ability of our subsidiaries to incur or guarantee indebtedness secured by liens on any shares of voting stock of significant subsidiaries.
The Senior Indenture also provides for events of default which, if any of them occurs, would permit or require the principal of and accrued interest on our Senior Notes to become or to be declared due and payable, as applicable.
Rating Agencies
Our senior unsecured debt is rated “Baa2,” by Moody’s with a stable outlook and “BBB” by Standard & Poor’s with a negative outlook, and our commercial paper program is rated “P-2” by Moody’s and “A-2” by Standard and Poor’s. Our current credit ratings, as well as future rating agency actions, could (i) impact our ability to finance our operations on satisfactory terms; (ii) affect our financing costs; and (iii) affect our insurance premiums and collateral requirements necessary for our self-insured programs. There can be no assurance that we will maintain or improve our current credit ratings.
Future Cash Requirements
The following table summarizes significant estimated future cash requirements under our various contractual obligations and other commitments at February 2, 2024, in total and disaggregated into current (1 year) and long-term (1 or more years) obligations (in thousands):
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments Due by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Contractual obligations | Total | 1 year | 1 - 3 years | 3 - 5 years | 5+ years | |||||||||||
| Long-term debt obligations | | $ | 7,100,418 | | $ | 768,645 | | $ | 536,447 | | $ | 2,181,139 | | $ | 3,614,187 | |
| Interest(a) | | 2,790,945 | | 330,483 | | 574,071 | | 466,926 | | 1,419,465 | | |||||
| Self-insurance liabilities(b) | | 307,957 | | 151,318 | | | 111,430 | | | 42,590 | | | 2,619 | | ||
| Operating lease obligations | | 13,479,370 | | 1,822,383 | | | 3,366,138 | | | 2,809,367 | | | 5,481,482 | | ||
| Subtotal | | $ | 23,678,690 | | $ | 3,072,829 | | $ | 4,588,086 | | $ | 5,500,022 | | $ | 10,517,753 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Commitments Expiring by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial commitments(c) | Total | 1 year | 1 - 3 years | 3 - 5 years | 5+ years | |||||||||||
| Letters of credit | | $ | 45,928 | | $ | 45,928 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Purchase obligations(d) | | 1,365,407 | | 1,249,868 | | 115,539 | | — | | — | | |||||
| Subtotal | | $ | 1,411,335 | | $ | 1,295,796 | | $ | 115,539 | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Total contractual obligations and commercial commitments | | $ | 25,090,025 | | $ | 4,368,625 | | $ | 4,703,625 | | $ | 5,500,022 | | $ | 10,517,753 | |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (a) | Represents obligations for interest payments on long-term debt and includes projected interest on variable rate long-term debt using 2023 year-end rates and balances. Variable rate long-term debt includes the Revolving Facility (although such facility had a balance of zero as of February 2, 2024), the CP Notes (which had a balance of $0 as of February 2, 2024, and which amount is net of $197.7 million held by a wholly-owned subsidiary), and interest rate swaps being accounted for as fair value hedges. |
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| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (b) | We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, auto liability, and certain third-party landlord claims exposures. As these obligations do not have scheduled maturities, these amounts represent undiscounted estimates based upon actuarial assumptions. Substantially all amounts are reflected on an undiscounted basis in our consolidated balance sheets. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (c) | Commercial commitments include information technology license and support agreements, supplies, fixtures, letters of credit for import merchandise, and other inventory purchase obligations. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (d) | Purchase obligations include legally binding agreements for software licenses and support, supplies, fixtures, and merchandise purchases (excluding such purchases subject to letters of credit). |
Share Repurchase Program
Our common stock repurchase program had a total remaining authorization of approximately $1.38 billion at February 2, 2024. The authorization allows repurchases from time to time in open market transactions, including pursuant to trading plans adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or in privately negotiated transactions. The timing, manner and number of shares repurchased will depend on a variety of factors, including price, market conditions, compliance with the covenants and restrictions under our debt agreements, cash requirements, excess debt capacity, results of operations, financial condition and other factors. The repurchase program has no expiration date and may be modified or terminated from time to time at the discretion of our Board of Directors. To preserve our investment grade credit rating and maintain financial flexibility, we do not plan to repurchase shares during fiscal 2024. For more detail about our share repurchase program, see Part II, Item 5 of this report and Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Part II, Item 8 of this report.
Other Considerations
In March 2024, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.59 per share which is payable on or before April 23, 2024 to shareholders of record of our common stock on April 9, 2024. We paid quarterly cash dividends of $0.59 per share in 2023. Although the Board currently expects to continue regular quarterly cash dividends, the declaration and amount of future cash dividends are subject to the Board’s sole discretion and will depend upon, among other factors, our results of operations, cash requirements, financial condition, contractual restrictions, excess debt capacity and other factors that our Board may deem relevant in its sole discretion.
Our inventory balance represented approximately 49% of our total assets exclusive of operating lease assets, goodwill, and other intangible assets as of February 2, 2024. Our ability to effectively manage our inventory balances can have a significant impact on our cash flows from operations during a given fiscal year as discussed further below. Inventory purchases are often somewhat seasonal in nature, such as the purchase of warm-weather or Christmas-related merchandise. Efficient management of our inventory has been and continues to be an area of focus for us.
As described in Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements, we are involved in a number of legal actions and claims, some of which could potentially result in material cash payments. Adverse developments in those actions could materially and adversely affect our liquidity.
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Cash Flows
Cash flows from operating activities. Cash flows from operating activities were $2.4 billion in 2023, which represents a $407.2 million increase compared to 2022. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $299.1 million decrease in our working capital in 2023 compared to the decrease of $1.7 billion in 2022 as described in greater detail below. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $36.9 million increase in our working capital in 2023 compared to a $194.7 million decrease in 2022, due primarily to the timing of inventory receipts and related payments. Net income decreased to $1.7 billion in 2023 as compared to $2.4 billion in 2022. Changes in other noncash losses resulted in a $89.0 million increase as compared to a $530.5 million increase in 2022 primarily due to a lower LIFO provision in 2023. Changes in income taxes including a decrease in cash paid for income taxes in 2023 compared to 2022 are primarily due to the decrease in pre-tax earnings in 2023.
Cash flows from operating activities were $1.98 billion in 2022, which represents a $881.3 million decrease compared to 2021. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $1.7 billion decrease in our working capital in 2022 compared to the decrease of $550.1 million in 2021 as described in greater detail below. Changes in other noncash losses resulted in a $530.5 million increase as compared to a $191.0 million increase in 2021 primarily due to an increase in the LIFO provision. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $194.7 million decrease in our working capital in 2022 compared to a $98.7 million increase in 2021, due primarily to the timing of inventory receipts and related payments. Changes in accrued expenses resulted in a $25.4 million decrease in our working capital in 2022 compared to a $37.3 million decrease in 2021, due primarily to the timing of accruals and payments for freight, payroll taxes and incentive compensation. Changes in income taxes in 2022 compared to 2021 are primarily due to the timing of payments for income taxes.
On an ongoing basis, we closely monitor and manage our inventory balances, and they may fluctuate from period to period based on new store openings, the timing of purchases, and other factors. Merchandise inventories increased by 3% in 2023, 20% in 2022 and 7% in 2021. The increase in the 2023 period primarily reflects an increase in the consumables category due mostly to a lower than planned level of consumables at the end of 2022 and initiatives to improve on-shelf availability. Offsetting the inventory increase in consumables were decreases in the seasonal, home products, and apparel categories primarily due to our inventory reduction efforts.
Inventory levels in the consumables category increased by $744.5 million, or 20%, in 2023, increased by $367.8 million, or 11%, in 2022, and decreased by $1.8 million, or 0% in 2021. The seasonal category decreased by $207.1 million, or 13%, in 2023, increased by $455.5 million, or 42%, in 2022, and increased by $177.8 million, or 20%, in 2021. The home products category decreased by $291.3 million, or 28%, in 2023, increased by $315.4 million, or 43%, in 2022, and increased by $230.0 million, or 45%, in 2021. The apparel category decreased by $12.6 million, or 4%, in 2023, increased by $7.8 million, or 2%, in 2022, and decreased by $39.2 million, or 10%, in 2021.
Cash flows from investing activities. Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2023 included the following approximate amounts: $683 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $542 million for distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures; $390 million related to store facilities, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment in new stores; and $67 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. The timing of new, remodeled and relocated store openings along with other factors may affect the relationship between such openings and the related property and equipment purchases in any given period. During 2023, we opened 987 new stores and remodeled or relocated 2,136 stores.
Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2022 included the following approximate amounts: $589 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $443 million for distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures; $373 million related to store facilities, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment in new stores; and $62 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. The timing of new, remodeled and relocated store openings along with other factors may affect the relationship between such openings and the related property and equipment purchases in any given period. During 2022, we opened 1,039 new stores and remodeled or relocated 1,922 stores.
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Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2021 included the following approximate amounts: $510 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $268 million for distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures; $244 million related to store facilities, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment in new stores; and $44 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. During 2021, we opened 1,050 new stores and remodeled or relocated 1,852 stores.
Capital expenditures during 2024 are projected to be in the range of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion. We anticipate funding 2024 capital requirements with a combination of some or all of the following: existing cash balances, cash flows from operations, availability under our Revolving Facility and/or the issuance of additional CP Notes. We plan to continue to invest in store growth and development of approximately 800 new stores and approximately 1,585 stores to be remodeled or relocated. Capital expenditures in 2024 are anticipated to support our store growth as well as our remodel and relocation initiatives, including capital outlays for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment; the construction of new stores; costs to support and enhance our supply chain initiatives including new and existing distribution center facilities and replacement of certain transportation related assets; technology initiatives; as well as routine and ongoing capital requirements.
Cash flows from financing activities. During the 2023 period we received proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt of $1.5 billion. Net commercial paper borrowings decreased by $1.5 billion, and we received and repaid $500.0 million under the 364-Day Revolving Facility. We paid cash dividends of $518.0 million and did not repurchase shares of our common stock.
In 2022, we received proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt of $2.3 billion, and our repayments of long-term debt totaled $911.3 million. Net commercial paper borrowings increased by $1.4 billion, and we had no borrowings or repayments under the Revolving Facility or the 364-Day Revolving Facility. We repurchased 11.6 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $2.7 billion and paid cash dividends of $493.7 million.
In 2021, net commercial paper borrowings increased by $54.3 million. and we had no borrowings or repayments under the Revolving Facility. We repurchased 12.1 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $2.5 billion and paid cash dividends of $392.2 million.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“U.S. GAAP”) requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect reported amounts and related disclosures. In addition to the estimates presented below, there are other items within our financial statements that require estimation but are not deemed critical as defined below. We believe these estimates are reasonable and appropriate. However, if actual experience differs from the assumptions and other considerations used, the resulting changes could have a material effect on the financial statements taken as a whole.
Management believes the following policies and estimates are critical because they involve significant judgments, assumptions, and estimates. Management has discussed the development and selection of the critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors, and the Audit Committee has reviewed the disclosures presented below relating to those policies and estimates. See Note 1 to the consolidated financial statements for a detailed discussion of our principal accounting policies.
Merchandise Inventories. Merchandise inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market (“LCM”) with cost determined using the retail last in, first out (“LIFO”) method. We use the retail inventory method (“RIM”) to calculate gross profit and the resulting valuation of inventories at cost, which are computed utilizing a calculated cost-to-retail inventory ratio to the retail value of sales at an inventory department level. We apply the RIM to these departments, which are groups of products that are fairly uniform in terms of cost, selling price relationship and turnover. The RIM will result in valuing inventories at LCM if permanent markdowns are currently taken as a reduction of the retail value of inventories. Inherent in the RIM calculation are certain management judgments and estimates that may impact the ending inventory valuation at cost, as well as the gross profit recognized. These judgments include ensuring departments consist of similar products, recording estimated shrinkage between physical inventories, and timely recording of markdowns needed to sell inventory.
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We perform an annual LIFO analysis whereby all merchandise units are considered for inclusion in the index formulation. An actual valuation of inventory under the LIFO method is made at the end of each year based on the inventory levels and costs at that time. In contrast, interim LIFO calculations are based on management’s annual estimates of sales, the rate of inflation or deflation, and year-end inventory levels. We also perform analyses for determining obsolete inventory, adjusting inventory on a quarterly basis to an LCM value based on various management assumptions including estimated below cost markdowns not yet recorded, but required to liquidate such inventory in future periods.
Factors considered in the determination of markdowns include current and anticipated demand based on changes in competitors’ practices, consumer preferences, consumer spending, significant weather events and unseasonable weather patterns. Certain of these factors are outside of our control and may result in greater than estimated markdowns to entice consumer purchases of excess inventory. The amount and timing of markdowns may vary significantly from year to year.
We perform physical inventories in a significant majority of our stores on an annual basis. We calculate our shrink provision based on actual physical inventory results during the fiscal period and an accrual for estimated shrink occurring subsequent to a physical inventory through the end of the fiscal reporting period. This accrual is calculated as a percentage of sales at each retail store, at a department level, based on the store’s most recent historical shrink rate. From time to time as circumstances may warrant, we consider more recent shrink experience in the calculation of our shrink accrual. The impact of doing so has not been material. To the extent that subsequent physical inventories yield different results than the estimated accrual, our effective shrink rate for a given reporting period will include the impact of adjusting to the actual results.
We believe our estimates and assumptions related to the application of the RIM results in a merchandise inventory valuation that reasonably approximates cost on a consistent basis.
Impairment of Long-lived Assets. Impairment of long-lived assets results when the carrying value of the assets exceeds the estimated undiscounted future cash flows generated by the assets. Our estimate of undiscounted future store cash flows is based upon historical operations of the stores and estimates of future profitability which encompasses many factors that are subject to variability and are difficult to predict. If our estimates of future cash flows are not materially accurate, our impairment analysis could be impacted accordingly. If a long-lived asset is found to be impaired, the amount recognized for impairment is equal to the difference between the carrying value and the asset’s estimated fair value. The fair value is estimated based primarily upon projected future cash flows (discounted at our credit adjusted risk-free rate) or other reasonable estimates of fair market value. Although not currently anticipated, changes in these estimates, assumptions or projections could materially affect the determination of fair value or impairment.
Insurance Liabilities. We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, auto liability and certain third-party landlord claim exposures. These represent significant costs primarily due to our large employee base and number of stores. Provisions are made for these liabilities on an undiscounted basis. Certain of these liabilities are based on actual claim data and estimates of incurred but not reported claims developed using actuarial methodologies based on historical claim trends, which have been and are anticipated to continue to be materially accurate. If future claim trends deviate from recent historical patterns, or other unanticipated events affect the number and significance of future claims, we may be required to record additional expenses or expense reductions, which could be material to our future financial results.
Contingent Liabilities – Income Taxes. Income tax reserves are determined using the methodology established by accounting standards relating to uncertainty in income taxes. These standards require companies to assess each income tax position taken using a two-step process. A determination is first made as to whether it is more likely than not that the position will be sustained, based upon the technical merits, upon examination by the taxing authorities. If the tax position is expected to meet the more likely than not criteria, the benefit recorded for the tax position equals the largest amount that is greater than 50% likely to be realized upon ultimate settlement of the respective tax position. Uncertain tax positions require determinations and liabilities to be estimated based on
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provisions of the tax law which may be subject to change or varying interpretation. If our determinations and estimates prove to be inaccurate, the resulting adjustments could be material to our future financial results.
Lease Accounting. Lease liabilities are recorded at a discount based upon our estimated collateralized incremental borrowing rate which involves significant judgments and estimates. Factors incorporated into the calculation of lease discount rates include the valuations and yields of our senior notes, their credit spread over comparable U.S. Treasury rates, and an index of the credit spreads for all North American investment grade companies by rating. To determine an indicative secured rate, we use the estimated credit spread improvement that would result from an upgrade of one ratings classification by tenor. Many of our stores are subject to build-to-suit arrangements with landlords, which typically carry a primary lease term of up to 15 years with multiple renewal options. We also have stores subject to shorter-term leases and many of these leases have renewal options. We record single lease expense on a straight-line basis over the lease term including any option periods that are reasonably certain to be renewed, commencing on the date that we take physical possession of the property from the landlord. Tenant allowances, to the extent received, are recorded as a reduction of the right of use asset. Improvements of leased properties are amortized over the shorter of the life of the applicable lease term or the estimated useful life of the asset.
Share-Based Payments. Our stock option awards are valued on an individual grant basis using the Black-Scholes-Merton closed form option pricing model. We believe that this model fairly estimates the value of our stock option awards. The application of this valuation model involves assumptions that are judgmental in the valuation of stock options, which affects compensation expense related to these options. These assumptions include the term that the options are expected to be outstanding, the historical volatility of our stock price, applicable interest rates and the dividend yield of our stock. Other factors involving judgments that affect the expensing of share-based payments include estimated forfeiture rates of share-based awards. Historically, these estimates have been materially accurate; however, if our estimates differ materially from actual experience, we may be required to record additional expense or reductions of expense, which could be material to our future financial results.
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FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001558370-23-004574.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This discussion and analysis should be read with, and is qualified in its entirety by, the Consolidated Financial Statements and the notes thereto. It also should be read in conjunction with the Cautionary Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and the Risk Factors disclosures set forth in the Introduction and in Item 1A of this report, respectively.
Executive Overview
We are the largest discount retailer in the United States by number of stores, with 19,147 stores located in 47 U.S. states and Mexico as of March 3, 2023, with the greatest concentration of stores in the southern, southwestern, midwestern and eastern United States. Our first store in Mexico opened in February of 2023. We offer a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable products such as food, paper and cleaning products, health and beauty products and pet supplies, and non-consumable products such as seasonal merchandise, home decor and domestics, and basic apparel. Our merchandise includes national brands from leading manufacturers, as well as our own private brand selections with prices at substantial discounts to national brands. We offer our customers these national brand and private brand products at everyday low prices (typically $10 or less) in our convenient small-box locations.
We believe our convenient store formats, locations, and broad selection of high-quality products at compelling values have driven our substantial growth and financial success over the years and through a variety of economic cycles. We are mindful that the majority of our customers are value-conscious, and many have low and/or fixed incomes. As a result, we are intensely focused on helping our customers make the most of their spending dollars. Our core customers are often among the first to be affected by negative or uncertain economic conditions and among the last to feel the effects of improving economic conditions, particularly when trends are inconsistent and of an uncertain duration. The primary macroeconomic factors that affect our core customers include unemployment and underemployment rates, wage growth, changes in U.S. and global trade policy, and changes to certain government assistance programs (including cost of living adjustments), such as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (“SNAP”), unemployment benefits, and economic stimulus payments. Additionally, our customers are impacted by increases in those expenses that generally comprise a large portion of their household budgets, such as rent, healthcare, energy and fuel prices, as well as cost inflation in frequently purchased household products (including food), such as that which we have continued to experience as further discussed below. Finally, significant unseasonable or unusual weather patterns or extreme weather, such as that discussed below, can impact customer shopping behaviors.
We remain committed to our long-term operating priorities as we consistently strive to improve our performance while retaining our customer-centric focus. These priorities include: 1) driving profitable sales growth, 2) capturing growth opportunities, 3) enhancing our position as a low-cost operator, and 4) investing in our diverse teams through development, empowerment and inclusion.
We seek to drive profitable sales growth through initiatives aimed at increasing customer traffic and average transaction amount. As we work to provide everyday low prices and meet our customers’ affordability needs, we remain focused on enhancing our margins through pricing and markdown optimization, effective category management, distribution and transportation efficiencies, private brands penetration, global sourcing, and inventory shrink and damage reduction initiatives. Several of our strategic and other sales-driving initiatives are also designed to capture growth opportunities and are discussed in more detail below.
During the second half of 2022, we experienced higher inventory damages and shrink than we anticipated. We believe these increases are due to multiple factors, including the challenging macroeconomic environment, materially higher inventory levels, and, as to damages, Winter Storm Elliott in December. In addition, we believe some portion of the increase in damages is a residual impact of the warehouse capacity constraints and associated store and supply chain inefficiencies we faced, which are discussed in more detail below. While we anticipate shrink and damages may continue to pressure our results through the first half of 2023, we believe we are taking actions that we believe will reduce the impact of these challenges to our business as we move throughout the year.
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Historically, sales in our consumables category, which tend to have lower gross margins, have been the key drivers of net sales and customer traffic, while sales in our non-consumables categories, which tend to have higher gross margins, have contributed to more profitable sales growth and an increase in average transaction amount. Prior to 2020, our sales mix had continued to shift toward consumables, and, within consumables, toward lower margin departments such as perishables. This trend did not occur in 2020 or the first quarter of 2021, as we saw a significant increase in demand in many non-consumable products, including home, seasonal and apparel, resulting in an overall significant mix shift into non-consumable categories during those periods. Beginning in the second quarter of 2021 and continuing thereafter, we began to see reversion toward the historical mix trends. We continue to expect sales mix challenges to persist as the mix trend reversion toward consumables returned to pre-pandemic levels in the fourth quarter of 2021 and has exceeded pre-pandemic levels since the first quarter of 2022. Several of our initiatives, including certain of those discussed below, are intended to address these mix challenges; however, there can be no assurances that these efforts will be successful.
In 2022, we saw continued growth in average transaction amount, which was driven primarily by inflation, and we believe, to a lesser degree, our merchandising efforts. In the second and third quarters of 2022, we experienced a slight to modest increase in customer traffic, respectively. In addition, although we believe our sales growth in the first half of 2022 was negatively impacted by the global and domestic supply chain challenges and disruptions discussed further below, primarily in the form of lower merchandise in-stock levels in our stores, we have seen some improvement in our in-stock levels and in the global supply chain environment. However, in the second half of 2022, we experienced what we believe to be temporary warehouse capacity constraints and inefficiencies within our internal supply chain, including unanticipated temporary delays in opening or securing additional storage facilities, all of which is discussed further below.
We continue to implement and invest in certain strategic initiatives that we believe will help drive profitable sales growth with both new and existing customers and capture long-term growth opportunities. Such opportunities include providing our customers with additional shopping access points and even greater convenience by leveraging and developing digital tools and technology, such as our Dollar General app, which contains a variety of tools to enhance the in-store shopping experience. Additionally, we launched a partnership with a third party delivery service during 2021, which is now available in the majority of our stores, and we continue to grow our DG Media Network, which is our platform for connecting brand partners with our customers to drive even greater value for each.
Further, our non-consumables initiative, which offers a new, differentiated and limited assortment that will change throughout the year, continues to contribute to improved overall sales and gross margin performance in stores where it has been deployed. We have completed the rollout in the vast majority of our Dollar General stores.
Additionally, we are continuing to grow the footprint of pOpshelf, a unique retail concept that incorporates certain of the lessons learned from the non-consumables initiative in a differentiated format that is focused on categories such as seasonal and home décor, health and beauty, home cleaning supplies, and party and entertainment goods. At the end of fiscal 2022, we operated 140 standalone pOpshelf locations and 40 pOpshelf store-within-a-store concepts within existing Dollar General Market stores. We believe this concept represents a significant growth opportunity and are targeting nearly 300 standalone pOpshelf stores by the end of fiscal 2023, and approximately 1,000 stores by the end of fiscal 2025.
Our “DG Fresh” initiative, a self-distribution model for frozen and refrigerated products that is designed to reduce product costs, enhance item assortment, improve our in-stock position, and enhance sales, has positively contributed to our sales performance since we completed the initial rollout in the second quarter of 2021, driven by higher in-stock levels and the introduction of new products in select stores. DG Fresh now wholly or partially serves essentially all stores across the chain and has benefitted gross profit through improved initial markups on inventory purchases, which were partially offset by increased distribution and transportation costs. Moving forward, we plan to focus on additional optimization of the distribution footprint and product assortment within DG Fresh to further drive profitable sales growth.
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We also have a health initiative, branded as “DG Well Being”, with the goal of increasing access to basic healthcare products, and ultimately services over time, particularly in rural communities. The initial focus of this initiative is a significantly expanded health product assortment in certain stores, primarily those in our larger formats.
To support our other operating priorities, we remain focused on capturing growth opportunities. In fiscal 2022, we opened a total of 1,039 new stores, remodeled 1,795 stores, and relocated 127 stores. In fiscal 2023, we plan to open approximately 1,050 new stores in the United States (including any pOpshelf stores), remodel approximately 2,000 stores, and relocate approximately 120 stores, for a total of 3,170 real estate projects. We opened our first store in Mexico in the first quarter of fiscal 2023. Our goal is to operate approximately 20 stores in Mexico by the end of 2023, all of which would be incremental to our planned 1,050 new store openings.
We continue to innovate within our channel and utilize the most productive of our various Dollar General store formats based on the specific market opportunity. We expect store format innovation to allow us to capture additional growth opportunities within our existing markets. We are now using two larger format stores (approximately 8,500 square feet and 9,500 square feet, respectively), and expect the 8,500 square foot format, along with our existing Dollar General Plus format of a similar size, to continue as our base prototypes for the majority of new stores, replacing our traditional 7,300 square foot format and higher-cooler count Dollar General Traditional Plus format. The larger formats allow for expanded high-capacity-cooler counts; an extended queue line; and a broader product assortment, including the non-consumable initiative, a larger health and beauty section, and produce in select stores. We continue to incorporate lessons learned from our various store formats and layouts into our existing store base. These lessons contribute to innovation in developing new formats, with a goal of driving increased customer traffic, average transaction amount, same-store sales and overall store productivity.
We have established a position as a low-cost operator, always seeking ways to reduce or control costs that do not affect our customers’ shopping experiences. We plan to continue enhancing this position over time while employing ongoing cost discipline to reduce certain expenses as a percentage of sales. Nonetheless, we seek to maintain flexibility to invest in the business as necessary to enhance our long-term competitiveness and profitability.
We are continuing to deploy “Fast Track,” an initiative aimed at further enhancing our convenience proposition and in-stock position as well as creating labor efficiencies within our stores. The completed portion of the first phase of Fast Track involved sorting process optimization within our non-refrigerated distribution centers, as well as increased shelf-ready packaging, to allow for greater store-level stocking efficiencies, while the current focus involves adding a self-checkout option, which we now have in the majority of our stores. These and the other strategic initiatives discussed above have required and will require us to incur upfront expenses for which there may not be an immediate return in terms of sales or enhanced profitability.
To further optimize our cost structure and facilitate greater operational control within our supply chain, we more-than-doubled the size of our private tractor fleet in 2022 to more than 1,600 tractors. We plan to continue expanding the size of our fleet to drive additional savings, and our goal is to have more than 2,000 tractors in the fleet by the end of fiscal 2023.
Certain of our operating expenses, such as wage rates and occupancy costs, have continued to increase in recent years, due primarily to market forces, including labor availability, increases in minimum wage rates and increases in property rents. Further federal, state and/or local minimum wage increases could have a material negative impact on our operating expenses, although the magnitude and timing of such impact is uncertain. In 2023, we plan to make an investment of approximately $100 million to further enhance our store standards and compliance efforts as well as the customer and associate experience in our stores, primarily through incremental labor hours. We believe these investments will also elevate consistency of experience in our stores, and amplify the potential of our strategic initiatives, while driving greater on-shelf availability and market share gains.
In addition, we have experienced challenges such as increased costs and disruptions in our business as a result of various global events, including the COVID-19 pandemic and its associated impacts. Such challenges include incremental transportation, distribution, and payroll costs, as well as supply chain disruptions. While we have begun to see some improvement in the overall global supply chain environment, we experienced some
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unanticipated delays in acquiring additional temporary warehouse space sufficient for our inventory needs, which caused delays and inefficiencies within our internal supply chain in the second half of fiscal 2022. These challenges resulted in materially higher than anticipated supply chain costs, including detention fees incurred for delays in returning shipping containers and higher temporary storage and transportation costs and labor. We have made significant progress in acquiring additional temporary and permanent warehouse capacity and plan to add a significant amount of additional warehouse capacity in fiscal 2023. We believe these additional facilities will support greater efficiencies throughout our supply chain.
In addition, while we believe the growth rate of inflation is beginning to moderate, we expect continued inflationary pressures in the near term due to higher input costs and that higher energy and fuel prices will continue to affect us as well as our vendors and customers, resulting in higher commodity, transportation and other costs, including product costs, all of which may result in continued pressure to our operating results. To the extent that these inflationary pressures result in a recessionary environment, we may experience adverse effects on our business, results of operations and cash flows. Certain of our initiatives and plans are intended to help offset these inflation-driven challenges; however, they are somewhat dependent on the scale and timing of any increased costs, among other factors. There can be no assurance that our mitigation efforts will be successful. Moreover, recent increases in market interest rates have had a negative impact on our interest expense, both with respect to issuances of commercial paper notes and other indebtedness.
Our diverse teams are a competitive advantage, and we proactively seek ways to continue investing in their development. Our goal is to create an environment that attracts, develops, and retains talented personnel, particularly at the store manager level, because employees who are promoted from within our company generally have longer tenures and are greater contributors to improvements in our financial performance.
To further enhance shareholder returns, we repurchased shares of our common stock and paid quarterly cash dividends in 2022, and our Board of Directors recently increased the quarterly cash dividend, beginning with the dividend to be paid on or before April 25, 2023. We expect to continue our share repurchase activity and to pay quarterly cash dividends for the foreseeable future, subject to Board discretion and approval.
During the fourth quarter of 2022, Winter Storm Elliott significantly impacted our operations during the month of December, resulting in negative impacts to customer traffic, sales growth and associated gross margin, as well as incremental damages and repairs and maintenance expense.
We utilize key performance indicators (“KPIs”) in the management of our business. Our KPIs include same-store sales, average sales per square foot, and inventory turnover. Same-store sales are calculated based upon our stores that were open at least 13 full fiscal months and remain open at the end of the reporting period. We include stores that have been remodeled, expanded or relocated in our same-store sales calculation. Changes in same-store sales are calculated based on the comparable 52 calendar weeks in the current and prior years. The method of calculating same-store sales varies across the retail industry. As a result, our calculation of same-store sales is not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Average sales per square foot is calculated based on total sales for the preceding 12 months as of the ending date of the reporting period divided by the average selling square footage during the period, including the end of the fiscal year, the beginning of the fiscal year, and the end of each of our three interim fiscal quarters. Inventory turnover is calculated based on total cost of goods sold for the preceding four quarters divided by the average inventory balance as of the ending date of the reporting period, including the end of the fiscal year, the beginning of the fiscal year, and the end of each of our three interim fiscal quarters. Each of these measures is commonly used by investors in retail companies to measure the health of the business. We use these measures to maximize profitability and for decisions about the allocation of resources.
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A continued focus on our four operating priorities as discussed above, and other impacts as discussed below, resulted in the following overall operating and financial performance in 2022 as compared to 2021. Basis points, as referred to below, are equal to 0.01% as a percentage of net sales.
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Net sales in 2022 increased 10.6% over 2021. Sales in same-stores increased 4.3%, primarily due to an increase in average transaction amount. Average sales per square foot in 2022 were $273, including a $5 contribution from the 53rd week. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | The gross profit rate decreased by 37 basis points due primarily to an increased LIFO provision and a greater proportion of lower margin consumables sales. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | SG&A as a percentage of sales increased by 25 basis points primarily due to increases in utilities, retail labor, and repairs and maintenance. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operating profit increased 3.3% to $3.33 billion in 2022 compared to $3.22 billion in 2021. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Interest expense increased by $53.7 million in 2022 primarily due to higher average borrowings and higher interest rates. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | The change in the effective income tax rate to 22.5% in 2022 from 21.7% in 2021 was primarily due to decreased income tax benefits associated with stock-based compensation compared to 2021. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We reported net income of $2.42 billion, or $10.68 per diluted share, for 2022 compared to net income of $2.40 billion, or $10.17 per diluted share, for 2021. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We generated approximately $1.98 billion of cash flows from operating activities in 2022, a decrease of 30.8% compared to 2021. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Inventory turnover was 4.0 times, and inventories increased 14.3% on a per store basis compared to 2021. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We repurchased approximately 11.6 million shares of our outstanding common stock for $2.7 billion. |
Readers should refer to the detailed discussion of our operating results below for additional comments on financial performance in the current year as compared with the prior years presented.
Results of Operations
Accounting Periods. The following text contains references to years 2022, 2021, and 2020, which represent fiscal years ended February 3, 2023, January 28, 2022, and January 29, 2021, respectively. Our fiscal year ends on the Friday closest to January 31. Fiscal year 2022 was a 53-week accounting period and fiscal years 2021 and 2020 were 52-week accounting periods.
Seasonality. The nature of our business is somewhat seasonal. Primarily because of sales of Christmas-related merchandise, operating profit in our fourth quarter (November, December and January) has historically been higher than operating profit achieved in each of the first three quarters of the fiscal year. Expenses, and to a greater extent operating profit, vary by quarter. Results of a period shorter than a full year may not be indicative of results expected for the entire year. Furthermore, the seasonal nature of our business may affect comparisons between periods.
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The following table contains results of operations data for fiscal years 2022, 2021 and 2020, and the dollar and percentage variances among those years.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | 2022 vs. 2021 | 2021 vs. 2020 | | |||||||
| (amounts in millions, except | | | | | | | Amount | % | Amount | % | | |||||||||
| per share amounts) | | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | | Change | | Change | Change | | Change | | ||||||
| Net sales by category: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Consumables | | $ | 30,155.2 | | $ | 26,258.6 | | $ | 25,906.7 | | $ | 3,896.6 | | 14.8 | % | $ | 351.9 | | 1.4 | % |
| % of net sales | | 79.68 | % | 76.73 | % | 76.77 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Seasonal | | 4,182.8 | | 4,182.2 | | 4,083.7 | | 0.6 | | 0.0 | | 98.5 | | 2.4 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 11.05 | % | 12.22 | % | 12.10 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Home products | | 2,332.4 | | 2,322.4 | | 2,210.0 | | 10.0 | | 0.4 | | 112.4 | | 5.1 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 6.16 | % | 6.79 | % | 6.55 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Apparel | | 1,174.4 | | 1,457.3 | | 1,546.6 | | (282.9) | | (19.4) | | (89.2) | | (5.8) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 3.10 | % | 4.26 | % | 4.58 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Net sales | | $ | 37,844.9 | | $ | 34,220.4 | | $ | 33,746.8 | | $ | 3,624.4 | | 10.6 | % | $ | 473.6 | | 1.4 | % |
| Cost of goods sold | | 26,024.8 | | 23,407.4 | | 23,028.0 | | 2,617.3 | | 11.2 | | 379.5 | | 1.6 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 68.77 | % | 68.40 | % | 68.24 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Gross profit | | 11,820.1 | | 10,813.0 | | 10,718.9 | | 1,007.1 | | 9.3 | | 94.1 | | 0.9 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 31.23 | % | 31.60 | % | 31.76 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | | 8,491.8 | | 7,592.3 | | 7,164.1 | | 899.5 | | 11.8 | | 428.2 | | 6.0 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 22.44 | % | 22.19 | % | 21.23 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Operating profit | | 3,328.3 | | 3,220.7 | | 3,554.8 | | 107.6 | | 3.3 | | (334.1) | | (9.4) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 8.79 | % | 9.41 | % | 10.53 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Interest expense | | 211.3 | | 157.5 | | 150.4 | | 53.7 | | 34.1 | | 7.1 | | 4.7 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 0.56 | % | 0.46 | % | 0.45 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Other (income) expense | | 0.4 | | — | | — | | 0.4 | | — | | — | | — | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Income before income taxes | | 3,116.6 | | 3,063.1 | | 3,404.4 | | 53.5 | | 1.7 | | (341.2) | | (10.0) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 8.24 | % | 8.95 | % | 10.09 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Income tax expense | | 700.6 | | 663.9 | | 749.3 | | 36.7 | | 5.5 | | (85.4) | | (11.4) | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 1.85 | % | 1.94 | % | 2.22 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Net income | | $ | 2,416.0 | | $ | 2,399.2 | | $ | 2,655.1 | | $ | 16.8 | | 0.7 | % | $ | (255.8) | | (9.6) | % |
| % of net sales | | 6.38 | % | 7.01 | % | 7.87 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Diluted earnings per share | | $ | 10.68 | | $ | 10.17 | | $ | 10.62 | | $ | 0.51 | | 5.0 | % | $ | (0.45) | | (4.2) | % |
Net Sales. The net sales increase in 2022 was primarily due to sales from new stores, and an increase in same-store sales of 4.3% compared to 2021, partially offset by the impact of store closures. In 2022, our 17,886 same-stores accounted for sales of $35.3 billion. The increase in same-store sales reflects an increase in average transaction amount which was driven by higher average item retail prices as a result of higher inflation, partially offset by a decline in customer traffic. Same-store sales decreased in each of our product categories except consumables, with the largest percentage decrease in the apparel category. Net sales for the 53rd week of 2022 totaled $678.1 million.
The net sales increase in 2021 was primarily due to sales from new stores, partially offset by a decrease in same-store sales of 2.8% compared to 2020 as well as the impact of store closures. In 2021, our 16,954 same-stores accounted for sales of $32.4 billion. The decrease in same-store sales reflects a decline in customer traffic partially offset by an increase in average transaction amount which was driven by higher average item retail prices. Same-store sales decreased in each of our product categories, with the largest percentage decrease in the apparel category.
Gross Profit. In 2022, gross profit increased by 9.3%, and as a percentage of net sales decreased by 37 basis points to 31.2% compared to 2021. A greater LIFO provision which was driven by higher product costs, a higher proportion of lower margin consumables sales, and increases in inventory markdowns, damages and shrink each contributed to the decrease in the gross profit rate. These factors were partially offset by higher inventory markups and improvements in transportation costs.
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In 2021, gross profit increased by 0.9%, and as a percentage of net sales decreased by 16 basis points to 31.6% compared to 2020. Increased transportation costs, a greater LIFO provision which was driven by higher product costs, increased inventory damages and higher distribution costs each contributed to the decrease in the gross profit rate. These factors were partially offset by higher inventory markups, a reduction in markdowns as a percentage of net sales, and a lower inventory shrink rate. In 2021, consumables and non-consumables sales increased at approximately the same rate when compared to 2020.
SG&A. SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 22.4% in 2022 compared to 22.2% in 2021, an increase of 25 basis points. The primary expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2022 were utilities, retail labor, and repairs and maintenance, partially offset by incentive compensation expenses and store occupancy costs.
SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 22.2% in 2021 compared to 21.2% in 2020, an increase of 96 basis points. The primary expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2021 were retail labor, store occupancy costs, depreciation and amortization, employee benefits, utilities, and workers’ compensation and general liability expenses, partially offset by reductions in discretionary employee bonus and other miscellaneous COVID-related expenses and incentive compensation expenses.
Interest Expense. Interest expense increased $53.7 million to $211.3 million in 2022 compared to 2021 and increased $7.1 million to $157.5 million in 2021 compared to 2020 primarily due to higher outstanding borrowings and higher interest rates. See the detailed discussion under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” regarding the financing of various long-term obligations.
Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate for 2022 was 22.5% compared to a rate of 21.7% for 2021 which represents a net increase of 0.8 percentage points. The effective income tax rate was higher in 2022 primarily due to decreased income tax benefits associated with stock-based compensation compared to 2021.
The effective income tax rate for 2021 was 21.7% compared to a rate of 22.0% for 2020 which represents a net decrease of 0.3 percentage points. The effective income tax rate was lower in 2021 primarily due to increased income tax benefits associated with federal tax credits partially offset by a higher state effective tax rate compared to 2020.
Effects of Inflation
In 2022 and 2021, we experienced increases in product costs due in part to higher rates of inflation, particularly to the global supply chain as well as our own internal supply chain. In 2022, higher rates of inflation affected the costs of building materials and certain of our other capital costs.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Current Financial Condition and Recent Developments
During the past three years, we have generated an aggregate of approximately $8.7 billion in cash flows from operating activities and incurred approximately $3.7 billion in capital expenditures. During that period, we expanded the number of stores we operate by 2,826, representing growth of approximately 17%, and we remodeled or relocated 5,554 stores, or approximately 34% of the stores we operated as of the beginning of the three-year period. In 2023, we intend to continue our current strategy of pursuing store growth, remodels and relocations.
At February 3, 2023, we had a $2.0 billion unsecured revolving credit agreement (the “Revolving Facility”), $750.0 million 364-day unsecured revolving credit facility (the “364-Day Revolving Facility”), $5.4 billion aggregate principal amount of senior notes, and a commercial paper program that may provide borrowing availability of up to $2.0 billion. At February 3, 2023, we had total consolidated outstanding debt (including the current portion of long-term obligations) of $7.0 billion, most of which was in the form of senior notes. All of our material borrowing arrangements are described in greater detail below. Our borrowing availability under the Revolving Facility may be effectively limited by our commercial paper notes (“CP Notes”) as further described
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below. The information contained in Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Part II, Item 8 of this report is incorporated herein by reference.
We believe our cash flow from operations, and our existing cash balances, combined with availability under the Revolving Facility, 364-Day Revolving Facility, CP Notes and access to the debt markets, will provide sufficient liquidity to fund our current obligations, projected working capital requirements, capital spending and anticipated dividend payments for a period that includes the next twelve months as well as the next several years. However, our ability to maintain sufficient liquidity may be affected by numerous factors, many of which are outside of our control. Depending on our liquidity levels, conditions in the capital markets and other factors, we may from time to time consider the issuance of debt, equity or other securities, the proceeds of which could provide additional liquidity for our operations.
For fiscal 2023, we anticipate potential combined borrowings under the Revolving Facility, 364-Day Revolving Facility, and CP Notes to be a maximum of approximately $2.0 billion outstanding at any one time, including any anticipated borrowings to fund repurchases of common stock.
Revolving Credit Facilities
Our Revolving Facility consists of a $2.0 billion senior unsecured revolving credit facility of which up to $100.0 million is available for the issuance of letters of credit and which is scheduled to mature on December 2, 2026.
Borrowings under the Revolving Facility bear interest at a rate equal to an applicable interest rate margin plus, at our option, either (a) Adjusted Term SOFR (which is Term SOFR (as published by CME Group Benchmark Administration Limited) plus a credit spread adjustment of 0.10%) or (b) a base rate (which is usually equal to the prime rate). The applicable interest rate margin for borrowings as of February 3, 2023 was 1.015% for Adjusted Term SOFR borrowings and 0.015% for base-rate borrowings. We must also pay a facility fee, payable on any used and unused commitment amounts of the Revolving Facility, and customary fees on letters of credit issued under the Revolving Facility. As of February 3, 2023, the facility fee rate was 0.11%. The applicable interest rate margins for borrowings, the facility fees and the letter of credit fees under the Revolving Facility are subject to adjustment from time to time based on our long-term senior unsecured debt ratings.
We entered into the 364-Day Revolving Facility on January 31, 2023, which will expire on January 30, 2024. At February 3, 2023, the 364-Day Revolving Facility had no outstanding borrowings.
Borrowings under the 364-Day Revolving Facility bear interest at a rate equal to an applicable interest rate margin plus, at our option, either (a) Adjusted Term SOFR (which is Term SOFR (as published by CME Group Benchmark Administration Limited) plus a credit spread adjustment of 0.10%) or (b) a base rate (which is usually equal to the prime rate). We are also required to pay a facility fee to the lenders under the 364-Day Revolving Facility for any used and unused commitments. As of February 3, 2023, the applicable interest rate margin for Adjusted Term SOFR loans was 1.035% and the facility fee rate was 0.09% per annum. The applicable interest rate margins for borrowings and the facility fees under the 364-Day Revolving Facility are subject to adjustment from time to time based on our long-term senior unsecured debt ratings.
The Revolving Facility and the 364-Day Revolving Facility contain a number of customary affirmative and negative covenants that, among other things, restrict, subject to certain exceptions, our (and our subsidiaries’) ability to: incur additional liens; sell all or substantially all of the our assets; consummate certain fundamental changes or change in the our lines of business; and incur additional subsidiary indebtedness. The Revolving Facility and the 364-Day Revolving Facility also contain financial covenants which require the maintenance of a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio and a maximum leverage ratio. As of February 3, 2023, we were in compliance with all such covenants. Both facilities also contain customary events of default.
As of February 3, 2023, we had no outstanding borrowings, no outstanding letters of credit, and borrowing availability of $2.0 billion under the Revolving Facility that, due to our intention to maintain borrowing availability related to the commercial paper program described below, could contribute liquidity of $0.3 billion. As of February
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3, 2023, under the 364-Day Revolving Facility, we had no outstanding borrowings and borrowing availability of $750 million. At February 3, 2023 we had combined availability under the credit facilities of $1.0 billion. In addition, we had outstanding letters of credit of $39.7 million which were issued pursuant to separate agreements.
Commercial Paper
We may issue the CP Notes from time to time in an aggregate amount not to exceed $2.0 billion outstanding at any time. The CP Notes may have maturities of up to 364 days from the date of issue and rank equal in right of payment with all of our other unsecured and unsubordinated indebtedness. We intend to maintain available commitments under the Revolving Facility in an amount at least equal to the amount of CP Notes outstanding at any time. As of February 3, 2023, our consolidated balance sheet reflected outstanding unsecured CP Notes of $1.5 billion. CP Notes totaling $230.8 million were held by a wholly-owned subsidiary and therefore are not reflected in the consolidated balance sheets.
Senior Notes
In October 2015 we issued $500.0 million aggregate principal amount of 4.150% senior notes due 2025 (the “2025 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $0.8 million, which are scheduled to mature on November 1, 2025. In April 2017 we issued $600.0 million aggregate principal amount of 3.875% senior notes due 2027 (the “2027 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $0.4 million, which are scheduled to mature on April 15, 2027. In April 2018 we issued $500.0 million aggregate principal amount of 4.125% senior notes due 2028 (the “2028 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $0.5 million, which are scheduled to mature on May 1, 2028. In April 2020 we issued $1.0 billion aggregate principal amount of 3.5% senior notes due 2030 (the “2030 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $0.7 million, which are scheduled to mature on April 3, 2030, and $500.0 million aggregate principal amount of 4.125% senior notes due 2050 (the “2050 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $5.0 million, which are scheduled to mature on April 3, 2050. In September 2022, we issued $750.0 million aggregate principal amount of 4.25% senior notes due 2024 (the “2024 Senior Notes”), net of discount of $0.7 million, which are scheduled to mature on September 20, 2024, $550.0 million aggregate principal amount of 4.625% senior notes due 2027 (the “November 2027 Senior Notes”), net of discount of $0.5 million, which are scheduled to mature on November 1, 2027, $700.0 million aggregate principal amount of 5.0% senior notes due 2032 (the “2032 Senior Notes”), net of discount of $2.4 million which are scheduled to mature on November 1, 2032, and $300.0 million aggregate principal amount of 5.50% senior notes due 2052 (the “2052 Senior Notes”), net of discount of $0.3 million, which are scheduled to mature on November 1, 2052. Collectively, the 2024 Senior Notes, 2025 Senior Notes, 2027 Senior Notes, November 2027 Senior Notes, 2028 Senior Notes, 2030 Senior Notes, 2032 Senior Notes, 2050 Senior Notes, and 2052 Senior Notes, comprise the “Senior Notes”, each of which were issued pursuant to an indenture as supplemented and amended by supplemental indentures relating to each series of Senior Notes (as so supplemented and amended, the “Senior Indenture”). Interest on the 2027 Senior Notes is payable in cash on April 15 and October 15 of each year. Interest on the 2025 Senior Notes and the 2028 Senior Notes is payable in cash on May 1 and November 1 of each year. Interest on the 2030 Senior Notes and the 2050 Senior Notes is payable in cash on April 3 and October 3 of each year. Interest on the 2024 Senior Notes is payable in cash on March 20 and September 20 of each year, commencing on March 20, 2023. Interest on the November 2027 Senior Notes, the 2032 Senior Notes and the 2052 Senior Notes is payable in cash on May 1 and November 1 of each year, commencing on May 1, 2023.
We may redeem some or all of the Senior Notes at any time at redemption prices set forth in the Senior Indenture. Upon the occurrence of a change of control triggering event, which is defined in the Senior Indenture, each holder of our Senior Notes has the right to require us to repurchase some or all of such holder’s Senior Notes at a purchase price in cash equal to 101% of the principal amount thereof, plus accrued and unpaid interest, if any, to, but excluding, the repurchase date. In October 2022 we redeemed $900.0 million aggregate principal amount of 3.25% senior notes due 2023 and incurred a loss on redemption of $0.4 million.
The Senior Indenture contains covenants limiting, among other things, our ability (subject to certain exceptions) to consolidate, merge, or sell or otherwise dispose of all or substantially all of our assets; and our ability and the ability of our subsidiaries to incur or guarantee indebtedness secured by liens on any shares of voting stock of significant subsidiaries.
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The Senior Indenture also provides for events of default which, if any of them occurs, would permit or require the principal of and accrued interest on our Senior Notes to become or to be declared due and payable, as applicable.
Rating Agencies
Our senior unsecured debt is rated “Baa2,” by Moody’s with a stable outlook and “BBB” by Standard & Poor’s with a stable outlook, and our commercial paper program is rated “P-2” by Moody’s and “A-2” by Standard and Poor’s. Our current credit ratings, as well as future rating agency actions, could (i) impact our ability to finance our operations on satisfactory terms; (ii) affect our financing costs; and (iii) affect our insurance premiums and collateral requirements necessary for our self-insured programs. There can be no assurance that we will maintain or improve our current credit ratings.
Future Cash Requirements
The following table summarizes significant estimated future cash requirements under our various contractual obligations and other commitments at February 3, 2023, in total and disaggregated into current (1 year) and long-term (1 or more years) obligations (in thousands):
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments Due by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Contractual obligations | Total | 1 year | 1 - 3 years | 3 - 5 years | 5+ years | |||||||||||
| Long-term debt obligations | | $ | 7,102,596 | | $ | 1,516,478 | | $ | 1,278,878 | | $ | 1,178,910 | | $ | 3,128,329 | |
| Interest(a) | | 2,385,726 | | 317,474 | | 443,478 | | 359,908 | | 1,264,866 | | |||||
| Self-insurance liabilities(b) | | 274,160 | | 136,611 | | | 94,560 | | | 34,630 | | | 8,359 | | ||
| Operating lease obligations | | 12,737,264 | | 1,675,193 | | | 3,138,929 | | | 2,651,776 | | | 5,271,366 | | ||
| Subtotal | | $ | 22,499,745 | | $ | 3,645,756 | | $ | 4,955,845 | | $ | 4,225,224 | | $ | 9,672,920 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Commitments Expiring by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial commitments(c) | Total | 1 year | 1 - 3 years | 3 - 5 years | 5+ years | |||||||||||
| Letters of credit | | $ | 39,838 | | $ | 39,838 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Purchase obligations(d) | | 2,465,087 | | 2,409,635 | | 55,452 | | — | | — | | |||||
| Subtotal | | $ | 2,504,925 | | $ | 2,449,473 | | $ | 55,452 | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Total contractual obligations and commercial commitments | | $ | 25,004,670 | | $ | 6,095,229 | | $ | 5,011,297 | | $ | 4,225,224 | | $ | 9,672,920 | |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (a) | Represents obligations for interest payments on long-term debt and includes projected interest on variable rate long-term debt using 2022 yearend rates and balances. Variable rate long-term debt includes the Revolving Facility (although such facility had a balance of zero as of February 3, 2023), the 364-Day Revolving Facility (although such facility had a balance of zero as of February 3, 2023), the CP Notes (which had a balance of $1.5 billion as of February 3, 2023, and which amount is net of $230.8 million held by a wholly-owned subsidiary), and interest rate swaps being accounted for as fair value hedges. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (b) | We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, automobile, and certain third-party landlord claims exposures. As these obligations do not have scheduled maturities, these amounts represent undiscounted estimates based upon actuarial assumptions. Substantially all amounts are reflected on an undiscounted basis in our consolidated balance sheets. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (c) | Commercial commitments include information technology license and support agreements, supplies, fixtures, letters of credit for import merchandise, and other inventory purchase obligations. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (d) | Purchase obligations include legally binding agreements for software licenses and support, supplies, fixtures, and merchandise purchases (excluding such purchases subject to letters of credit). |
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Share Repurchase Program
Our common stock repurchase program had a total remaining authorization of approximately $1.38 billion at February 3, 2023. The authorization allows repurchases from time to time in open market transactions, including pursuant to trading plans adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or in privately negotiated transactions. The timing, manner and number of shares repurchased will depend on a variety of factors, including price, market conditions, compliance with the covenants and restrictions under our debt agreements and other factors. The repurchase program has no expiration date and may be modified or terminated from time to time at the discretion of our Board of Directors. For more detail about our share repurchase program, see Part II, Item 5 of this report and Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Part II, Item 8 of this report.
Other Considerations
In March 2023, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.59 per share which is payable on or before April 25, 2023 to shareholders of record of our common stock on April 11, 2023. We paid quarterly cash dividends of $0.55 per share in 2022. Although the Board currently expects to continue regular quarterly cash dividends, the declaration and amount of future cash dividends are subject to the Board’s sole discretion and will depend upon, among other factors, our results of operations, cash requirements, financial condition, contractual restrictions and other factors that our Board may deem relevant in its sole discretion.
Our inventory balance represented approximately 53% of our total assets exclusive of operating lease assets, goodwill, and other intangible assets as of February 3, 2023. Our ability to effectively manage our inventory balances can have a significant impact on our cash flows from operations during a given fiscal year as discussed further below. Inventory purchases are often somewhat seasonal in nature, such as the purchase of warm-weather or Christmas-related merchandise. Efficient management of our inventory has been and continues to be an area of focus for us.
We utilize supply chain finance programs whereby qualifying suppliers may elect at their sole discretion to sell our payment obligations to designated third party financial institutions. While the terms of these agreements are between the supplier and the financial institution, the supply chain finance financial institutions allow the participating suppliers to utilize our creditworthiness in establishing credit spreads and associated costs. As of February 3, 2023, the amount due to suppliers participating in these supply chain finance programs was $300.9 million.
As described in Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements, we are involved in a number of legal actions and claims, some of which could potentially result in material cash payments. Adverse developments in those actions could materially and adversely affect our liquidity.
Cash Flows
Cash flows from operating activities. Cash flows from operating activities were $1.98 billion in 2022, which represents a $881.3 million decrease compared to 2021. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $1.7 billion decrease in our working capital in 2022 compared to the decrease of $550.1 million in 2021 as described in greater detail below. Changes in other noncash losses resulted in a $530.5 million increase as compared to a $191.0 million increase in 2021 primarily due to an increase in the LIFO provision. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $194.7 million decrease in our working capital in 2022 compared to a $98.7 million increase in 2021, due primarily to the timing of inventory receipts and related payments. Changes in accrued expenses resulted in a $25.4 million decrease in our working capital in 2022 compared to a $37.3 million decrease in 2021, due primarily to the timing of accruals and payments for freight, payroll taxes and incentive compensation. Changes in income taxes in 2022 compared to 2021 are primarily due to the timing of payments for income taxes.
Cash flows from operating activities were $2.87 billion in 2021, which represents a $1.01 billion decrease compared to 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significantly increased sales, gross profit, and operating income in 2020, and our net income decreased $255.8 million in 2021 compared to 2020. Changes in accounts
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payable resulted in a $98.7 million increase in our working capital in 2021 compared to a $745.6 million increase in 2020, due primarily to the timing of receipts and payments. Changes in accrued expenses resulted in a $37.3 million decrease in our working capital in 2021 compared to a $388.6 million increase in 2020, due primarily to the timing of accruals and payments for payroll taxes and incentive compensation. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $550.1 million decrease in our working capital in 2021 which was similar to the decrease of $575.8 million in 2020 as described in greater detail below. Changes in income taxes in 2021 compared to 2020 are primarily due to the timing of payments for income taxes.
On an ongoing basis, we closely monitor and manage our inventory balances, and they may fluctuate from period to period based on new store openings, the timing of purchases, and other factors. Merchandise inventories increased by 20% in 2022, by 7% in 2021 and by 12% in 2020. The increase in the 2022 period primarily reflects the impact of product cost inflation, as well as a greater mix of higher-value products, particularly in the home products and seasonal categories, primarily due to the continued rollout of our non-consumables initiative. Inventory levels in the consumables category increased by $367.8 million, or 11%, in 2022, decreased by $1.8 million, or 0%, in 2021, and increased by $455.6 million, or 15% in 2020. The seasonal category increased by $455.5 million, or 42%, in 2022, by $177.8 million, or 20%, in 2021, and by $35.7 million, or 4%, in 2020. The home products category increased by $315.4 million, or 43%, in 2022, by $230.0 million, or 45%, in 2021, and by $66.3 million, or 15%, in 2020. The apparel category increased by $7.8 million, or 2%, in 2022, decreased by $39.2 million, or 10%, in 2021, and increased by $12.9 million, or 3%, in 2020.
Cash flows from investing activities. Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2022 included the following approximate amounts: $589 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $443 million for distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures; $373 million related to store facilities, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment in new stores; and $62 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. The timing of new, remodeled and relocated store openings along with other factors may affect the relationship between such openings and the related property and equipment purchases in any given period. During 2022, we opened 1,039 new stores and remodeled or relocated 1,922 stores.
Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2021 included the following approximate amounts: $510 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $268 million for distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures; $244 million related to store facilities, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment in new stores; and $44 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. During 2021, we opened 1,050 new stores and remodeled or relocated 1,852 stores.
Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2020 included the following approximate amounts: $447 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $271 million for distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures; $250 million related to store facilities, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment in new stores; and $50 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. During 2020, we opened 1,000 new stores and remodeled or relocated 1,780 stores.
Capital expenditures during 2023 are projected to be in the range of $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion. We anticipate funding 2023 capital requirements with a combination of some or all of the following: existing cash balances, cash flows from operations, availability under our Revolving Facility and 364-Day Revolving Facility and/or the issuance of additional senior notes and CP Notes. We plan to continue to invest in store growth and development of approximately 1,050 new stores and approximately 2,120 stores to be remodeled or relocated. Capital expenditures in 2023 are anticipated to support our store growth as well as our remodel and relocation initiatives, including capital outlays for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment; the construction of new stores; costs to support and enhance our supply chain initiatives including new and existing distribution center facilities and our private fleet; technology initiatives; as well as routine and ongoing capital requirements.
Cash flows from financing activities. During the 2022 period we had proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt of $2.3 billion, and our repayments of long-term debt totaled $911.3 million. Net commercial paper borrowings increased by $1.4 billion and we had no borrowings or repayments under the Revolving Facility or the
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364-Day Revolving Facility. We repurchased 11.6 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $2.7 billion and paid cash dividends of $493.7 million.
In 2021, net commercial paper borrowings increased by $54.3 million. and we had no borrowings or repayments under the Revolving Facility. We repurchased 12.1 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $2.5 billion and paid cash dividends of $392.2 million.
In 2020, net proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt totaled $1.5 billion, net commercial paper borrowings decreased by $425.2 million, and borrowings and repayments under the Revolving Facility were $300.0 million each. We repurchased 12.3 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $2.5 billion and paid cash dividends of $355.9 million.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“U.S. GAAP”) requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect reported amounts and related disclosures. In addition to the estimates presented below, there are other items within our financial statements that require estimation but are not deemed critical as defined below. We believe these estimates are reasonable and appropriate. However, if actual experience differs from the assumptions and other considerations used, the resulting changes could have a material effect on the financial statements taken as a whole.
Management believes the following policies and estimates are critical because they involve significant judgments, assumptions, and estimates. Management has discussed the development and selection of the critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors, and the Audit Committee has reviewed the disclosures presented below relating to those policies and estimates. See Note 1 to the consolidated financial statements for a detailed discussion of our principal accounting policies.
Merchandise Inventories. Merchandise inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market (“LCM”) with cost determined using the retail last in, first out (“LIFO”) method. We use the retail inventory method (“RIM”) to calculate gross profit and the resulting valuation of inventories at cost, which are computed utilizing a calculated cost-to-retail inventory ratio to the retail value of sales at an inventory department level. We apply the RIM to these departments, which are groups of products that are fairly uniform in terms of cost, selling price relationship and turnover. The RIM will result in valuing inventories at LCM if permanent markdowns are currently taken as a reduction of the retail value of inventories. Inherent in the RIM calculation are certain management judgments and estimates that may impact the ending inventory valuation at cost, as well as the gross profit recognized. These judgments include ensuring departments consist of similar products, recording estimated shrinkage between physical inventories, and timely recording of markdowns needed to sell inventory.
We perform an annual LIFO analysis whereby all merchandise units are considered for inclusion in the index formulation. An actual valuation of inventory under the LIFO method is made at the end of each year based on the inventory levels and costs at that time. In contrast, interim LIFO calculations are based on management’s annual estimates of sales, the rate of inflation or deflation, and year-end inventory levels. We also perform analyses for determining obsolete inventory, adjusting inventory on a quarterly basis to an LCM value based on various management assumptions including estimated below cost markdowns not yet recorded, but required to liquidate such inventory in future periods.
Factors considered in the determination of markdowns include current and anticipated demand based on changes in competitors’ practices, consumer preferences, consumer spending, significant weather events and unseasonable weather patterns. Certain of these factors are outside of our control and may result in greater than estimated markdowns to entice consumer purchases of excess inventory. The amount and timing of markdowns may vary significantly from year to year.
We perform physical inventories in a significant majority of our stores on an annual basis. We calculate our shrink provision based on actual physical inventory results during the fiscal period and an accrual for estimated shrink occurring subsequent to a physical inventory through the end of the fiscal reporting period. This accrual is
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calculated as a percentage of sales at each retail store, at a department level, based on the store’s most recent historical shrink rate. To the extent that subsequent physical inventories yield different results than the estimated accrual, our effective shrink rate for a given reporting period will include the impact of adjusting to the actual results.
We believe our estimates and assumptions related to the application of the RIM results in a merchandise inventory valuation that reasonably approximates cost on a consistent basis.
Impairment of Long-lived Assets. Impairment of long-lived assets results when the carrying value of the assets exceeds the estimated undiscounted future cash flows generated by the assets. Our estimate of undiscounted future store cash flows is based upon historical operations of the stores and estimates of future profitability which encompasses many factors that are subject to variability and are difficult to predict. If our estimates of future cash flows are not materially accurate, our impairment analysis could be impacted accordingly. If a long-lived asset is found to be impaired, the amount recognized for impairment is equal to the difference between the carrying value and the asset’s estimated fair value. The fair value is estimated based primarily upon projected future cash flows (discounted at our credit adjusted risk-free rate) or other reasonable estimates of fair market value. Although not currently anticipated, changes in these estimates, assumptions or projections could materially affect the determination of fair value or impairment.
Insurance Liabilities. We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, automobile and certain third-party landlord claim exposures. These represent significant costs primarily due to our large employee base and number of stores. Provisions are made for these liabilities on an undiscounted basis. Certain of these liabilities are based on actual claim data and estimates of incurred but not reported claims developed using actuarial methodologies based on historical claim trends, which have been and are anticipated to continue to be materially accurate. If future claim trends deviate from recent historical patterns, or other unanticipated events affect the number and significance of future claims, we may be required to record additional expenses or expense reductions, which could be material to our future financial results.
Contingent Liabilities – Income Taxes. Income tax reserves are determined using the methodology established by accounting standards relating to uncertainty in income taxes. These standards require companies to assess each income tax position taken using a two-step process. A determination is first made as to whether it is more likely than not that the position will be sustained, based upon the technical merits, upon examination by the taxing authorities. If the tax position is expected to meet the more likely than not criteria, the benefit recorded for the tax position equals the largest amount that is greater than 50% likely to be realized upon ultimate settlement of the respective tax position. Uncertain tax positions require determinations and liabilities to be estimated based on provisions of the tax law which may be subject to change or varying interpretation. If our determinations and estimates prove to be inaccurate, the resulting adjustments could be material to our future financial results.
Lease Accounting. Lease liabilities are recorded at a discount based upon our estimated collateralized incremental borrowing rate which involves significant judgments and estimates. Factors incorporated into the calculation of lease discount rates include the valuations and yields of our senior notes, their credit spread over comparable U.S. Treasury rates, and an index of the credit spreads for all North American investment grade companies by rating. To determine an indicative secured rate, we use the estimated credit spread improvement that would result from an upgrade of one ratings classification by tenor. Many of our stores are subject to build-to-suit arrangements with landlords, which typically carry a primary lease term of up to 15 years with multiple renewal options. We also have stores subject to shorter-term leases and many of these leases have renewal options. We record single lease expense on a straight-line basis over the lease term including any option periods that are reasonably certain to be renewed, commencing on the date that we take physical possession of the property from the landlord. Tenant allowances, to the extent received, are recorded as a reduction of the right of use asset. Improvements of leased properties are amortized over the shorter of the life of the applicable lease term or the estimated useful life of the asset.
Share-Based Payments. Our stock option awards are valued on an individual grant basis using the Black-Scholes-Merton closed form option pricing model. We believe that this model fairly estimates the value of our stock option awards. The application of this valuation model involves assumptions that are judgmental in the valuation of stock options, which affects compensation expense related to these options. These assumptions include the term that
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the options are expected to be outstanding, the historical volatility of our stock price, applicable interest rates and the dividend yield of our stock. Other factors involving judgments that affect the expensing of share-based payments include estimated forfeiture rates of share-based awards. Historically, these estimates have been materially accurate; however, if our estimates differ materially from actual experience, we may be required to record additional expense or reductions of expense, which could be material to our future financial results.
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FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001558370-22-003921.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This discussion and analysis should be read with, and is qualified in its entirety by, the Consolidated Financial Statements and the notes thereto. It also should be read in conjunction with the Cautionary Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and the Risk Factors disclosures set forth in the Introduction and in Item 1A of this report, respectively.
Impact of COVID-19
The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic continues to have a widespread impact on the global economy as well as our business, customers, suppliers, and other business partners. As an essential business in all locations where we operate, our stores have generally remained open to serve our customers. In responding to the pandemic and its effects, the health and safety of our employees and customers remains a priority.
We expect to continue to be affected, although the extent and duration is unknown, by the COVID-19 pandemic and its effects on the economy in a variety of ways, including changes in consumer demand (whether higher or lower) in certain product categories (or overall), supply chain interruptions or disruptions, increased distribution and transportation costs, increased product costs and increased payroll expenses. We also may experience adverse effects on our business, results of operations and cash flows from a recessionary economic environment that may occur after the COVID-19 pandemic and government response thereto and their effects on the economy has moderated. As a result, the quarterly cadence of our results of operations, which has varied from historical patterns during the pandemic, may continue to do so in fiscal 2022.
Due to the significant uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic and its effects, there may be consequences that we do not anticipate at this time or that develop in unexpected ways. We will continue to monitor the evolving situation and take actions as necessary to serve our employees, customers, communities and shareholders.
Executive Overview
We are the largest discount retailer in the United States by number of stores, with 18,190 stores located in 47 states as of February 25, 2022, with the greatest concentration of stores in the southern, southwestern, midwestern and eastern United States. We offer a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable products such as food, paper and cleaning products, health and beauty products and pet supplies, and non-consumable products such as seasonal merchandise, home decor and domestics, and basic apparel. Our merchandise includes national brands from leading manufacturers, as well as our own private brand selections with prices at substantial discounts to national brands. We offer our customers these national brand and private brand products at everyday low prices (typically $10 or less) in our convenient small-box locations.
We believe our convenient store formats, locations, and broad selection of high-quality products at compelling values have driven our substantial growth and financial success over the years and through a variety of economic cycles. We are mindful that the majority of our customers are value-conscious, and many have low and/or fixed incomes. As a result, we are intensely focused on helping our customers make the most of their spending dollars. Our core customers are often among the first to be affected by negative or uncertain economic conditions and among the last to feel the effects of improving economic conditions, particularly when trends are inconsistent and of an uncertain duration. The primary macroeconomic factors that affect our core customers include unemployment and underemployment rates, wage growth, changes in U.S. and global trade policy, and changes to certain government assistance programs, such as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (“SNAP”), unemployment benefits, economic stimulus payments, and the child tax credit. In fiscal 2020 and 2021, our customers were affected both positively and negatively by many of these factors in connection with the pandemic and its associated impacts. We continue to monitor the potential impact of reductions in SNAP benefits and unemployment benefit programs, as well as changes in the payments of the child tax credit, although these programs did not result in a material impact on our business or financial results in fiscal 2021. Additionally, our customers are impacted by increases in those expenses that generally comprise a large portion of their household budgets, such as
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rent, healthcare, and fuel prices; as well as cost inflation in frequently purchased household products, such as that which we experienced in 2021 and continue to experience as further discussed below. Finally, significant unseasonable or unusual weather patterns can impact customer shopping behaviors.
We remain committed to our long-term operating priorities as we consistently strive to improve our performance while retaining our customer-centric focus. These priorities include: 1) driving profitable sales growth, 2) capturing growth opportunities, 3) enhancing our position as a low-cost operator, and 4) investing in our diverse teams through development, empowerment and inclusion.
We seek to drive profitable sales growth through initiatives aimed at increasing customer traffic and average transaction amount. As we work to provide everyday low prices and meet our customers’ affordability needs, we remain focused on enhancing our margins through effective category management, inventory shrink reduction initiatives, private brands penetration, distribution and transportation efficiencies, global sourcing, and pricing and markdown optimization. Several of our strategic and other sales-driving initiatives are also designed to capture growth opportunities and are discussed in more detail below.
Historically, our sales in our consumables category, which tend to have lower gross margins, have been the key drivers of net sales and customer traffic, while sales in our non-consumables categories, which tend to have higher gross margins, have contributed to more profitable sales growth and an increase in average transaction amount. Prior to 2020, our sales mix had continued to shift toward consumables, and, within consumables, toward lower margin departments such as perishables. This trend did not occur in fiscal 2020 or the first quarter of fiscal 2021, as we saw a significant increase in demand in many non-consumable products, including home, seasonal and apparel, resulting in an overall significant mix shift into non-consumable categories during those periods. Beginning in the second quarter of fiscal 2021 and continuing thereafter, we began to see some reversion toward the prior mix trends. We continue to expect some sales mix challenges to persist and that the mix trend reversion toward consumables will continue. Several of our initiatives, including certain of those discussed below, are intended to address these mix challenges; however, there can be no assurances that these efforts will be successful.
We have also experienced a shift in customer behavior toward trip consolidation, as customers shopped our stores less frequently in fiscal 2020 and 2021 than in fiscal 2019 but had a larger average transaction amount. We have seen a continuation of these general trends toward trip consolidation and larger transaction amount, and there can be no assurance that our sales growth initiatives will be effective at reversing them. In addition, we believe our sales have been negatively impacted as a result of supply chain disruptions, primarily due to lower merchandise in-stock levels in our stores.
We continue to implement and invest in certain strategic initiatives that we believe will help drive profitable sales growth, both with new and existing customers, and capture long-term growth opportunities. Such opportunities include providing our customers with additional shopping access points and even greater convenience by leveraging and developing digital tools and technology, such as our Dollar General app, which contains a variety of tools to enhance the in-store shopping experience. Additionally, we launched a partnership with a third party delivery service during 2021, which is now available in more than 10,700 stores, and we also continue to grow our DG Media Network, which is our platform for connecting brand partners with our customers to drive even greater value for each.
Further, our non-consumables initiative, which offers a new, differentiated and limited assortment that will change throughout the year, continues to contribute to improved overall sales and gross margin performance in stores where it has been deployed. We significantly expanded the number of stores with either the full or the “lite” version of our non-consumables initiative offering in 2021 and plan to complete the rollout in the vast majority of our Dollar General stores by the end of fiscal 2022.
Additionally, in 2020, we introduced pOpshelf, a unique retail concept that incorporates certain of the lessons learned from the non-consumables initiative in a differentiated format that is focused on categories such as seasonal and home décor, health and beauty, home cleaning supplies, and party and entertainment goods. At the end of fiscal 2021, we operated 55 standalone pOpshelf locations and 25 pOpshelf store-within-a-store concepts within existing Dollar General Market stores. Our goal is to operate approximately 155 pOpshelf locations, as well as
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approximately 50 pOpshelf store-within-a-store concepts, by the end of fiscal 2022. We believe this concept represents a significant growth opportunity, and are targeting approximately 1,000 stores by the end of fiscal 2025.
In the second quarter of fiscal 2021, we completed our rollout of the “DG Fresh” initiative, a self-distribution model for frozen and refrigerated products that is designed to reduce product costs, enhance item assortment, improve our in-stock position, and enhance sales. DG Fresh contributed to our strong sales performance in 2021, driven by higher in-stock levels and the introduction of new products in select stores. In addition, DG Fresh benefitted gross profit in 2021 through improved initial markups on inventory purchases, which were partially offset by increased distribution and transportation costs. DG Fresh now wholly or partially serves essentially all stores across the chain, and we expect the overall net benefit to our financial results to continue throughout 2022. Moving forward, we plan to focus on additional optimization of the distribution footprint and product assortment within DG Fresh to further drive profitable sales growth.
To support our other operating priorities, we remain focused on capturing growth opportunities. In 2021, we opened 1,050 new stores, remodeled 1,752 stores, and relocated 100 stores. In 2022, we plan to open approximately 1,110 new stores (including planned pOpshelf stores and up to ten stores in Mexico), remodel approximately 1,750 stores, and relocate approximately 120 stores, for a total of 2,980 real estate projects. We expect stores in Mexico, which will represent our first store locations outside the United States, to open in the second half of 2022.
We continue to innovate within our channel and are able to utilize the most productive of our various Dollar General store formats based on the specific market opportunity. We expect store format innovation to allow us to capture additional growth opportunities within our existing markets. We recently introduced two new larger format stores (approximately 8,500 square feet and 9,500 square feet, respectively), and expect the 8,500 square foot format, along with our existing Dollar General Plus format of a similar size, to become our base prototypes for the majority of new stores, replacing our traditional 7,300 square foot format and higher-cooler count Dollar General Traditional Plus format. The larger formats allow for expanded high-capacity-cooler counts; an extended queue line; and a broader product assortment, including the non-consumable initiative, a larger health and beauty section, and produce in select stores. We continue to incorporate lessons learned from our various store formats and layouts into our existing store base. These lessons contribute to innovation in developing new formats, with a goal of driving increased customer traffic, average transaction amount, same-store sales and overall store productivity.
We have established a position as a low-cost operator, always seeking ways to reduce or control costs that do not affect our customers’ shopping experiences. We plan to continue enhancing this position over time while employing ongoing cost discipline to reduce certain expenses as a percentage of sales. Nonetheless, we seek to maintain flexibility to invest in the business as necessary to enhance our long-term competitiveness and profitability.
We are also deploying “Fast Track”, an initiative aimed at further enhancing our convenience proposition and in-stock position as well as increasing labor efficiencies within our stores. The completed first phase of Fast Track involved sorting process optimization within our non-refrigerated distribution centers, as well as increased shelf-ready packaging, to allow for greater store-level stocking efficiencies, while the ongoing second phase involves adding a self-checkout option, which we plan to have in up to 11,000 stores by the end of fiscal 2022. These and the other strategic initiatives discussed above have required and will require us to incur upfront expenses for which there may not be an immediate return in terms of sales or enhanced profitability.
Certain of our operating expenses, such as wage rates and occupancy costs, have continued to increase in recent years, due primarily to market forces, including labor availability, increases in minimum wage rates and increases in property rents. Further federal, state and/or local minimum wage increases could have a material negative impact on our operating expenses, although the magnitude and timing of such impact is uncertain. We have experienced incremental payroll, distribution and transportation costs related to the COVID-19 pandemic and its associated impacts. We continue to experience materially higher supply chain costs and, in some instances, shipping delays, as a result of shipping capacity shortages, port congestion and labor shortages. We expect continued inflationary pressures due to higher input costs and higher fuel prices will continue to affect us as well as our vendors and customers, including higher commodity, transportation and other costs, all of which may result in continued pressure to our operating results, and their duration is unknown. While we expect these challenges to
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persist, certain of our initiatives and plans are intended to help offset these challenges; however, they are somewhat dependent on the scale and timing of the increased costs, among other factors. There can be no assurance that our mitigation efforts will be successful.
Our diverse teams are a competitive advantage, and we proactively seek ways to continue investing in their development. Our goal is to create an environment that attracts, develops, and retains talented personnel, particularly at the store manager level, because employees who are promoted from within our company generally have longer tenures and are greater contributors to improvements in our financial performance.
To further enhance shareholder returns, we repurchased shares of our common stock and paid quarterly cash dividends in 2021. We expect to continue our share repurchase activity and to pay quarterly cash dividends for the foreseeable future, subject to Board discretion and approval.
We utilize key performance indicators (“KPIs”) in the management of our business. Our KPIs include same-store sales, average sales per square foot, and inventory turnover. Same-store sales are calculated based upon stores that were open at least 13 full fiscal months and remain open at the end of the reporting period. We include stores that have been remodeled, expanded or relocated in our same-store sales calculation. Changes in same-store sales are calculated based on the comparable 52 calendar weeks in the current and prior years. The method of calculating same-store sales varies across the retail industry. As a result, our calculation of same-store sales is not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Average sales per square foot is calculated based on total sales for the preceding 12 months as of the ending date of the reporting period divided by the average selling square footage during the period, including the end of the fiscal year, the beginning of the fiscal year, and the end of each of our three interim fiscal quarters. Inventory turnover is calculated based on total cost of goods sold for the preceding four quarters divided by the average inventory balance as of the ending date of the reporting period, including the end of the fiscal year, the beginning of the fiscal year, and the end of each of our three interim fiscal quarters. Each of these measures is commonly used by investors in retail companies to measure the health of the business. We use these measures to maximize profitability and for decisions about the allocation of resources.
A continued focus on our four operating priorities as discussed above, coupled with pandemic-related sales and other impacts (additional discussion below) and strong cash flow management resulted in strong overall operating and financial performance in 2021 as compared to 2020, as set forth below. Basis points, as referred to below, are equal to 0.01% as a percentage of net sales.
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Net sales in 2021 increased 1.4% over 2020. Sales in same-stores decreased 2.8%, primarily due to a decrease in customer traffic. Average sales per square foot in 2021 were $262. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Our gross profit rate decreased by 16 basis points due primarily to higher transportation costs and a greater LIFO provision. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | SG&A as a percentage of sales increased by 96 basis points primarily due to increases in retail labor and store occupancy costs. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operating profit decreased 9.4% to $3.22 billion in 2021 compared to $3.55 billion in 2020. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Interest expense increased by $7.1 million in 2021 primarily due to higher average outstanding debt balances. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | The decrease in the effective income tax rate to 21.7% in 2021 from 22.0% in 2020 was due primarily to increased income tax benefits associated with federal tax credits. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We reported net income of $2.40 billion, or $10.17 per diluted share, for 2021 compared to net income of $2.66 billion, or $10.62 per diluted share, for 2020. |
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| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We generated approximately $2.87 billion of cash flows from operating activities in 2021, a decrease of 26.1% compared to 2020. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Inventory turnover was 4.4 times, and inventories increased 1.4% on a per store basis compared to 2020. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | We repurchased approximately 12.1 million shares of our outstanding common stock for $2.5 billion. |
Readers should refer to the detailed discussion of our operating results below for additional comments on financial performance in the current year as compared with the prior years presented.
Results of Operations
Accounting Periods. The following text contains references to years 2021, 2020, and 2019, which represent fiscal years ended January 28, 2022, January 29, 2021, and January 31, 2020, respectively. Our fiscal year ends on the Friday closest to January 31. Fiscal years 2021, 2020 and 2019 were each 52-week accounting periods.
Seasonality. The nature of our business is somewhat seasonal. Primarily because of sales of Christmas-related merchandise, operating profit in our fourth quarter (November, December and January) has historically been higher than operating profit achieved in each of the first three quarters of the fiscal year. Expenses, and to a greater extent operating profit, vary by quarter. Results of a period shorter than a full year may not be indicative of results expected for the entire year. Furthermore, the seasonal nature of our business may affect comparisons between periods. Consumer behavior driven by the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in a departure from seasonal norms we have experienced in recent years and may continue to disrupt the historical quarterly cadence of our results of operations for an unknown period of time.
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The following table contains results of operations data for fiscal years 2021, 2020 and 2019, and the dollar and percentage variances among those years.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | | | | 2021 vs. 2020 | 2020 vs. 2019 | | |||||||
| (amounts in millions, except | | | | | | | Amount | % | Amount | % | | |||||||||
| per share amounts) | | 2021 | | 2020 | | 2019 | | Change | | Change | Change | | Change | | ||||||
| Net sales by category: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Consumables | | $ | 26,258.6 | | $ | 25,906.7 | | $ | 21,635.9 | | $ | 351.9 | | 1.4 | % | $ | 4,270.8 | | 19.7 | % |
| % of net sales | | 76.73 | % | 76.77 | % | 77.96 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Seasonal | | 4,182.2 | | 4,083.7 | | 3,258.9 | | 98.5 | | 2.4 | | 824.8 | | 25.3 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 12.22 | % | 12.10 | % | 11.74 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Home products | | 2,322.4 | | 2,210.0 | | 1,611.9 | | 112.4 | | 5.1 | | 598.1 | | 37.1 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 6.79 | % | 6.55 | % | 5.81 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Apparel | | 1,457.3 | | 1,546.6 | | 1,247.3 | | (89.2) | | (5.8) | | 299.2 | | 24.0 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 4.26 | % | 4.58 | % | 4.49 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Net sales | | $ | 34,220.4 | | $ | 33,746.8 | | $ | 27,754.0 | | $ | 473.6 | | 1.4 | % | $ | 5,992.9 | | 21.6 | % |
| Cost of goods sold | | 23,407.4 | | 23,028.0 | | 19,264.9 | | 379.5 | | 1.6 | | 3,763.1 | | 19.5 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 68.40 | % | 68.24 | % | 69.41 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Gross profit | | 10,813.0 | | 10,718.9 | | 8,489.1 | | 94.1 | | 0.9 | | 2,229.8 | | 26.3 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 31.60 | % | 31.76 | % | 30.59 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | | 7,592.3 | | 7,164.1 | | 6,186.8 | | 428.2 | | 6.0 | | 977.3 | | 15.8 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 22.19 | % | 21.23 | % | 22.29 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Operating profit | | 3,220.7 | | 3,554.8 | | 2,302.3 | | (334.1) | | (9.4) | | 1,252.5 | | 54.4 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 9.41 | % | 10.53 | % | 8.30 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Interest expense | | 157.5 | | 150.4 | | 100.6 | | 7.1 | | 4.7 | | 49.8 | | 49.5 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 0.46 | % | 0.45 | % | 0.36 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Income before income taxes | | 3,063.1 | | 3,404.4 | | 2,201.7 | | (341.2) | | (10.0) | | 1,202.7 | | 54.6 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 8.95 | % | 10.09 | % | 7.93 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Income tax expense | | 663.9 | | 749.3 | | 489.2 | | (85.4) | | (11.4) | | 260.2 | | 53.2 | | |||||
| % of net sales | | 1.94 | % | 2.22 | % | 1.76 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Net income | | $ | 2,399.2 | | $ | 2,655.1 | | $ | 1,712.6 | | $ | (255.8) | | (9.6) | % | $ | 942.5 | | 55.0 | % |
| % of net sales | | 7.01 | % | 7.87 | % | 6.17 | % | | | | | | | | | | ||||
| Diluted earnings per share | | $ | 10.17 | | $ | 10.62 | | $ | 6.64 | | $ | (0.45) | | (4.2) | % | $ | 3.98 | | 59.9 | % |
Net Sales. The net sales increase in 2021 was primarily due to sales from new stores, partially offset by a decrease in same-store sales of 2.8% compared to 2020 as well as the impact of store closures. In 2021, our 16,954 same-stores accounted for sales of $32.4 billion. The decrease in same-store sales reflects a decline in customer traffic partially offset by an increase in average transaction amount which was driven by higher average item retail prices. Same-store sales decreased in each of our product categories, with the largest percentage decrease in the apparel category.
The net sales increase in 2020 reflects a same-store sales increase of 16.3% compared to 2019. In 2020, our 16,050 same-stores accounted for sales of $31.9 billion. The increase in same-store sales reflects an increase in average transaction amount driven by a significant increase in items per transaction and, to a lesser degree, higher average item retail prices, which were offset in part by a decline in customer traffic. Same-store sales increased in each of the consumables, seasonal, home products and apparel categories, with the largest percentage increase in the home products category. The 2020 net sales increase was positively affected by new stores, modestly offset by sales from closed stores.
Gross Profit. In 2021, gross profit increased by 0.9%, and as a percentage of net sales decreased by 16 basis points to 31.6% compared to 2020. Increased transportation costs, a greater LIFO provision which was driven by higher product costs, increased inventory damages and higher distribution costs each contributed to the decrease in the gross profit rate. These factors were partially offset by higher inventory markups, a reduction in markdowns as a percentage of net sales, and a lower inventory shrink rate. In 2021, consumables and non-consumables sales increased at approximately the same rate when compared to 2020.
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In 2020, gross profit increased by 26.3%, and as a percentage of net sales increased by 117 basis points to 31.8%, compared to 2019. A reduction in markdowns as a percentage of net sales and higher initial markups on inventory purchases each contributed to the increase in the gross profit rate. In addition, non-consumables sales increased at a higher rate than consumables sales in 2020, which contributed to the increase in the gross profit rate. We also experienced a lower rate of inventory shrink in 2020 compared to 2019. These factors were partially offset by increased distribution and transportation costs which were impacted by increased volume, some of which was attributable to the COVID-19 pandemic, and discretionary employee bonus expense. We believe the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on consumer behavior had a significant positive effect on net sales, and also had a positive effect on our gross profit in 2020.
SG&A. SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 22.2% in 2021 compared to 21.2% in 2020, an increase of 96 basis points. The primary expenses that were higher as a percentage of net sales in 2021 were retail labor, store occupancy costs, depreciation and amortization, employee benefits, utilities, and workers’ compensation and general liability expenses, partially offset by reductions in discretionary employee bonus and other miscellaneous COVID-related expenses and incentive compensation expenses.
SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 21.2% in 2020 compared to 22.3% in 2019, a decrease of 106 basis points. Although we incurred certain incremental costs associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, including discretionary employee bonus expense, they were more than offset by the significant increase in net sales during the period as discussed above. Among the expenses that were a lower percentage of net sales in 2020 were retail labor, store occupancy costs, utilities, and depreciation and amortization. In addition, we recorded expenses of $31.0 million in 2019 reflecting our estimate for the settlement of significant legal matters. These items were partially offset by 2020 increases in incentive compensation and hurricane-related expenses.
Interest Expense. Interest expense increased $7.1 million to $157.5 million in 2021 compared to 2020, and increased $49.8 million to $150.4 million in 2020 compared to 2019 primarily due to higher average outstanding debt balances in connection with the issuance of debt in the first quarter of 2020. The majority of our debt is fixed rate debt. See the detailed discussion under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” regarding the financing of various long-term obligations.
Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate for 2021 was 21.7% compared to a rate of 22.0% for 2020 which represents a net decrease of 0.3 percentage points. The effective income tax rate was lower in 2021 primarily due to increased income tax benefits associated with federal tax credits partially offset by a higher state effective tax rate compared to 2020.
The effective income tax rate for 2020 was 22.0% compared to a rate of 22.2% for 2019 which represents a net decrease of 0.2 percentage points. The effective income tax rate was lower in 2020 primarily due to increased tax benefits associated with share-based compensation and a larger income tax rate benefit from state taxes offset by a lower income tax rate benefit from federal income tax credits due primarily to higher pre-tax earnings in 2020 compared to 2019.
Effects of Inflation
In 2021, 2020 and 2019, we experienced increases in product costs due in part to the COVID-19 pandemic and its effect on the global economy, particularly to the global supply chain, and tariffs on certain items imported from China.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Current Financial Condition and Recent Developments
During the past three years, we have generated an aggregate of approximately $9.0 billion in cash flows from operating activities and incurred approximately $2.9 billion in capital expenditures. During that period, we expanded the number of stores we operate by 2,760, representing growth of approximately 18%, and we remodeled
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or relocated 4,756 stores, or approximately 31% of the stores we operated as of the beginning of the three-year period. In 2022, we intend to continue our current strategy of pursuing store growth, remodels and relocations.
At January 28, 2022, we had a $2.0 billion unsecured revolving credit agreement (the “Revolving Facility”), $4.0 billion aggregate principal amount of senior notes, and a commercial paper program that may provide borrowing availability of up to $2.0 billion. At January 28, 2022, we had total consolidated outstanding debt (including the current portion of long-term obligations) of $4.2 billion, most of which was in the form of senior notes. All of our material borrowing arrangements are described in greater detail below. Our borrowing availability under the Revolving Facility may be effectively limited by our commercial paper notes (“CP Notes”) as further described below. The information contained in Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Part II, Item 8 of this report is incorporated herein by reference.
We believe our cash flow from operations, and our existing cash balances, combined with availability under the Revolving Facility, CP Notes and access to the debt markets, will provide sufficient liquidity to fund our current obligations, projected working capital requirements, capital spending and anticipated dividend payments for a period that includes the next twelve months as well as the next several years. However, our ability to maintain sufficient liquidity may be affected by numerous factors, many of which are outside of our control. Depending on our liquidity levels, conditions in the capital markets and other factors, we may from time to time consider the issuance of debt, equity or other securities, the proceeds of which could provide additional liquidity for our operations.
For fiscal 2022, we anticipate potential combined borrowings under the Revolving Facility and CP Notes to be a maximum of approximately $1.5 billion outstanding at any one time, including any anticipated borrowings to fund repurchases of common stock.
Revolving Credit Facility
Effective December 2, 2021, we amended and extended our Revolving Facility, which consists of a $2.0 billion senior unsecured revolving credit facility of which up to $100.0 million is available for the issuance of letters of credit and which is scheduled to mature on December 2, 2026.
Borrowings under the Revolving Facility bear interest at a rate equal to an applicable interest rate margin plus, at our option, either (a) LIBOR or (b) a base rate (which is usually equal to the prime rate). The Revolving Facility includes customary LIBOR replacement provisions. The applicable interest rate margin for borrowings as of January 28, 2022 was 1.015% for LIBOR borrowings and 0.015% for base-rate borrowings. We must also pay a facility fee, payable on any used and unused commitment amounts of the Revolving Facility, and customary fees on letters of credit issued under the Revolving Facility. As of January 28, 2022, the facility fee rate was 0.11%. The applicable interest rate margins for borrowings, the facility fees and the letter of credit fees under the Revolving Facility are subject to adjustment from time to time based on our long-term senior unsecured debt ratings.
The Revolving Facility contains a number of customary affirmative and negative covenants that, among other things, restrict, subject to certain exceptions, our (including our subsidiaries’) ability to: incur additional liens; sell all or substantially all of our assets; consummate certain fundamental changes or change in our lines of business; and incur additional subsidiary indebtedness. The Revolving Facility also contains financial covenants that require the maintenance of a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio and a maximum leverage ratio. As of January 28, 2022, we were in compliance with all such covenants. The Revolving Facility also contains customary events of default.
As of January 28, 2022, under the Revolving Facility, we had no outstanding borrowings, outstanding letters of credit of $1.9 million, and borrowing availability of $2.0 billion that, due to our intention to maintain borrowing availability related to the commercial paper program described below, could contribute incremental liquidity of $1.76 billion at January 28, 2022. In addition, as of January 28, 2022 we had outstanding letters of credit of $48.6 million which were issued pursuant to separate agreements.
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Commercial Paper
We may issue the CP Notes from time to time in an aggregate amount not to exceed $2.0 billion outstanding at any time. The CP Notes may have maturities of up to 364 days from the date of issue and rank equal in right of payment with all of our other unsecured and unsubordinated indebtedness. We intend to maintain available commitments under the Revolving Facility in an amount at least equal to the amount of CP Notes outstanding at any time. As of January 28, 2022, our consolidated balance sheet reflected outstanding unsecured CP Notes of $54.3 million. CP Notes totaling $181.0 million were held by a wholly-owned subsidiary and therefore are not reflected in the consolidated balance sheets.
Senior Notes
In April 2013 we issued $900.0 million aggregate principal amount of 3.25% senior notes due 2023 (the “2023 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $2.4 million, which are scheduled to mature on April 15, 2023. In October 2015 we issued $500.0 million aggregate principal amount of 4.150% senior notes due 2025 (the “2025 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $0.8 million, which are scheduled to mature on November 1, 2025. In April 2017 we issued $600.0 million aggregate principal amount of 3.875% senior notes due 2027 (the “2027 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $0.4 million, which are scheduled to mature on April 15, 2027. In April 2018 we issued $500.0 million aggregate principal amount of 4.125% senior notes due 2028 (the “2028 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $0.5 million, which are scheduled to mature on May 1, 2028. In April 2020 we issued $1.0 billion aggregate principal amount of 3.5% senior notes due 2030 (the “2030 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $0.7 million, which are scheduled to mature on April 3, 2030, and $500.0 million aggregate principal amount of 4.125% senior notes due 2050 (the “2050 Senior Notes”) at a discount of $5.0 million, which are scheduled to mature on April 3, 2050. Collectively, the 2023 Senior Notes, 2025 Senior Notes, 2027 Senior Notes, 2028 Senior Notes, 2030 Senior Notes and 2050 Senior Notes comprise the “Senior Notes”, each of which were issued pursuant to an indenture as supplemented and amended by supplemental indentures relating to each series of Senior Notes (as so supplemented and amended, the “Senior Indenture”). Interest on the 2023 Senior Notes and the 2027 Senior Notes is payable in cash on April 15 and October 15 of each year. Interest on the 2025 and 2028 Senior Notes is payable in cash on May 1 and November 1 of each year. Interest on the 2030 and 2050 Senior Notes is payable in cash on April 3 and October 3 of each year.
We may redeem some or all of the Senior Notes at any time at redemption prices set forth in the Senior Indenture. Upon the occurrence of a change of control triggering event, which is defined in the Senior Indenture, each holder of our Senior Notes has the right to require us to repurchase some or all of such holder’s Senior Notes at a purchase price in cash equal to 101% of the principal amount thereof, plus accrued and unpaid interest, if any, to, but excluding, the repurchase date.
The Senior Indenture contains covenants limiting, among other things, our ability (subject to certain exceptions) to consolidate, merge, or sell or otherwise dispose of all or substantially all of our assets; and our ability and the ability of our subsidiaries to incur or guarantee indebtedness secured by liens on any shares of voting stock of significant subsidiaries.
The Senior Indenture also provides for events of default which, if any of them occurs, would permit or require the principal of and accrued interest on our Senior Notes to become or to be declared due and payable, as applicable.
Rating Agencies
Our senior unsecured debt is rated “Baa2,” by Moody’s with a stable outlook and “BBB” by Standard & Poor’s with a stable outlook, and our commercial paper program is rated “P-2” by Moody’s and “A-2” by Standard and Poor’s. Our current credit ratings, as well as future rating agency actions, could (i) impact our ability to finance our operations on satisfactory terms; (ii) affect our financing costs; and (iii) affect our insurance premiums and collateral requirements necessary for our self-insured programs. There can be no assurance that we will maintain or improve our current credit ratings.
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Future Cash Requirements
The following table summarizes significant estimated future cash requirements under our various contractual obligations and other commitments at January 28, 2022, in total and disaggregated into current (1 year) and long-term (1 or more years) obligations (in thousands):
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments Due by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Contractual obligations | Total | 1 year | 1 - 3 years | 3 - 5 years | 5+ years | |||||||||||
| Long-term debt obligations | | $ | 4,213,826 | | $ | 61,774 | | $ | 913,278 | | $ | 512,700 | | $ | 2,726,074 | |
| Interest(a) | | 1,241,977 | | 149,460 | | 245,855 | | 213,147 | | 633,515 | | |||||
| Self-insurance liabilities(b) | | 257,411 | | 127,719 | | | 91,420 | | | 30,890 | | | 7,382 | | ||
| Operating lease obligations | | 11,941,185 | | 1,529,978 | | | 2,885,518 | | | 2,462,492 | | | 5,063,197 | | ||
| Subtotal | | $ | 17,654,399 | | $ | 1,868,931 | | $ | 4,136,071 | | $ | 3,219,229 | | $ | 8,430,168 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Commitments Expiring by Period | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial commitments(c) | Total | 1 year | 1 - 3 years | 3 - 5 years | 5+ years | |||||||||||
| Letters of credit | | $ | 15,476 | | $ | 15,476 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Purchase obligations(d) | | 2,124,249 | | 2,120,271 | | 3,978 | | — | | — | | |||||
| Subtotal | | $ | 2,139,725 | | $ | 2,135,747 | | $ | 3,978 | | $ | — | | $ | — | |
| Total contractual obligations and commercial commitments | | $ | 19,794,124 | | $ | 4,004,678 | | $ | 4,140,049 | | $ | 3,219,229 | | $ | 8,430,168 | |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (a) | Represents obligations for interest payments on long-term debt and includes projected interest on variable rate long-term debt using 2021 year end rates and balances. Variable rate long-term debt includes the Revolving Facility (although such facility had a balance of zero as of January 28, 2022), the CP Notes (which had a balance of $54.3 million as of January 28, 2022, and which amount is net of $181 million held by a wholly-owned subsidiary), interest rate swaps being accounted for as fair value hedges, and the balance of an outstanding tax increment financing of $1.9 million. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (b) | We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, automobile, and certain third-party landlord claims exposures. As these obligations do not have scheduled maturities, these amounts represent undiscounted estimates based upon actuarial assumptions. Substantially all amounts are reflected on an undiscounted basis in our consolidated balance sheets. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (c) | Commercial commitments include information technology license and support agreements, supplies, fixtures, letters of credit for import merchandise, and other inventory purchase obligations. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (d) | Purchase obligations include legally binding agreements for software licenses and support, supplies, fixtures, and merchandise purchases (excluding such purchases subject to letters of credit). |
Share Repurchase Program
Our common stock repurchase program had a total remaining authorization of approximately $2.13 billion at January 28, 2022. The authorization allows repurchases from time to time in open market transactions, including pursuant to trading plans adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or in privately negotiated transactions. The timing, manner and number of shares repurchased will depend on a variety of factors, including price, market conditions, compliance with the covenants and restrictions under our debt agreements and other factors. The repurchase program has no expiration date and may be modified or terminated from time to time at the discretion of our Board of Directors. For more detail about our share repurchase program, see Part II, Item 5 of this report and Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Part II, Item 8 of this report.
Other Considerations
On March 16, 2022, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.55 per share which is payable on or before April 19, 2022 to shareholders of record of our common stock on April 5, 2022. We paid
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quarterly cash dividends of $0.42 per share in 2021. Although the Board currently expects to continue regular quarterly cash dividends, the declaration and amount of future cash dividends are subject to the Board’s sole discretion and will depend upon, among other factors, our results of operations, cash requirements, financial condition, contractual restrictions and other factors that our Board may deem relevant in its sole discretion.
Our inventory balance represented approximately 52% of our total assets exclusive of goodwill, operating lease assets, and other intangible assets as of January 28, 2022. Our ability to effectively manage our inventory balances can have a significant impact on our cash flows from operations during a given fiscal year. Inventory purchases are often somewhat seasonal in nature, such as the purchase of warm-weather or Christmas-related merchandise. Efficient management of our inventory has been and continues to be an area of focus for us.
We utilize supply chain finance programs whereby qualifying suppliers may elect at their sole discretion to sell our payment obligations to designated third party financial institutions. While the terms of these agreements are between the supplier and the financial institution, the supply chain finance financial institutions allow the participating suppliers to utilize our creditworthiness in establishing credit spreads and associated costs. As of January 28, 2022, the amount due to suppliers participating in these supply chain finance programs was $328.2 million.
As described in Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements, we are involved in a number of legal actions and claims, some of which could potentially result in material cash payments. Adverse developments in those actions could materially and adversely affect our liquidity.
Cash Flows
Cash flows from operating activities. Cash flows from operating activities were $2.87 billion in 2021, which represents a $1.01 billion decrease compared to 2020. As noted above, the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significantly increased sales, gross profit, and operating income in 2020, and our net income decreased $255.8 million in 2021 compared to 2020. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $98.7 million increase in our working capital in 2021 compared to a $745.6 million increase in 2020, due primarily to the timing of receipts and payments. Changes in accrued expenses resulted in a $37.3 million decrease in our working capital in 2021 compared to a $388.6 million increase in 2020, due primarily to the timing of accruals and payments for payroll taxes and incentive compensation. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $550.1 million decrease in our working capital in 2021 which was similar to the decrease of $575.8 million in 2020 as described in greater detail below. Changes in income taxes in 2021 compared to 2020 are primarily due to the timing of payments for income taxes.
Cash flows from operating activities were $3.88 billion in 2020, which represents a $1.64 billion increase compared to 2019. The increased sales, gross profit, and operating income driven by the COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the increase in net income of $942.5 million in 2020 over 2019. Changes in accounts payable resulted in a $745.6 million increase in our working capital in 2020 compared to a $428.6 million increase in 2019, due primarily to the timing of receipts and payments. Changes in accrued expenses resulted in a $388.6 million increase in our working capital in 2020 compared to a $100.3 million increase in 2019, due primarily to increased accruals for incentive compensation and non-income taxes. Changes in merchandise inventories resulted in a $575.8 million decrease in our working capital in 2020 which was similar to the decrease of $578.8 million in 2019 as described in greater detail below. Changes in income taxes including an increase in cash paid for income taxes in 2020 compared to 2019 are primarily due to the increase in pre-tax earnings in 2020.
On an ongoing basis, we closely monitor and manage our inventory balances, and they may fluctuate from period to period based on new store openings, the timing of purchases, and other factors. Merchandise inventories increased by 7% in 2021, by 12% in 2020 and by 14% in 2019. Inventory levels in the consumables category decreased by $1.8 million, or 0%, in 2021, increased by $455.6 million, or 15%, in 2020, and increased by $371.9 million, or 14% in 2019. The seasonal category increased by $177.8 million, or 20%, in 2021, by $35.7 million, or 4%, in 2020, and by $127.3 million, or 17%, in 2019. The home products category increased by $230.0 million, or 45%, in 2021, by $66.3 million, or 15%, in 2020, and by $82.8 million, or 23%, in 2019. The apparel category decreased by $39.2 million, or 10%, in 2021, increased by $12.9 million, or 3%, in 2020, and decreased by $2.1 million, or 1%, in 2019.
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Cash flows from investing activities. Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2021 included the following approximate amounts: $510 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $268 million for distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures; $244 million related to store facilities, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment in new stores; and $44 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. The timing of new, remodeled and relocated store openings along with other factors may affect the relationship between such openings and the related property and equipment purchases in any given period. During 2021, we opened 1,050 new stores and remodeled or relocated 1,852 stores.
Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2020 included the following approximate amounts: $447 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $271 million for distribution and transportation-related capital expenditures; $250 million related to store facilities, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment in new stores; and $50 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. During 2020, we opened 1,000 new stores and remodeled or relocated 1,780 stores.
Significant components of property and equipment purchases in 2019 included the following approximate amounts: $338 million for improvements, upgrades, remodels and relocations of existing stores; $217 million for distribution and transportation-related projects; $149 million for new leased stores, primarily for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment; and $59 million for information systems upgrades and technology-related projects. During 2019, we opened 975 new stores and remodeled or relocated 1,124 stores.
Capital expenditures during 2022 are projected to be in the range of $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion. We anticipate funding 2022 capital requirements with a combination of some or all of the following: existing cash balances, cash flows from operations, availability under our Revolving Facility and/or the issuance of additional senior notes and CP Notes. We plan to continue to invest in store growth and development of approximately 1,110 new stores and approximately 1,870 stores to be remodeled or relocated. Capital expenditures in 2022 are anticipated to support our store growth as well as our remodel and relocation initiatives, including capital outlays for leasehold improvements, fixtures and equipment; the construction of new stores; costs to support and enhance our supply chain initiatives including new and existing distribution center facilities and our private fleet; technology initiatives; as well as routine and ongoing capital requirements.
Cash flows from financing activities. In 2021, net commercial paper borrowings increased by $54.3 million. and we had no borrowings or repayments under the Revolving Facility. We repurchased 12.1 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $2.5 billion and paid cash dividends of $392.2 million.
In 2020, net proceeds from the issuance of the 2030 Senior Notes and 2050 Senior Notes totaled $1.5 billion, net commercial paper borrowings decreased by $425.2 million, and borrowings and repayments under the Revolving Facility were $300.0 million each. We repurchased 12.3 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $2.5 billion and paid cash dividends of $355.9 million.
In 2019, we had a net increase in consolidated commercial paper borrowings of $58.3 million and had no borrowings or repayments under the Revolving Facility. We repurchased 8.3 million outstanding shares of our common stock in 2019 at a total cost of $1.2 billion and paid cash dividends of $327.6 million.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“U.S. GAAP”) requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect reported amounts and related disclosures. In addition to the estimates presented below, there are other items within our financial statements that require estimation, but are not deemed critical as defined below. We believe these estimates are reasonable and appropriate. However, if actual experience differs from the assumptions and other considerations used, the resulting changes could have a material effect on the financial statements taken as a whole.
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Management believes the following policies and estimates are critical because they involve significant judgments, assumptions, and estimates. Management has discussed the development and selection of the critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors, and the Audit Committee has reviewed the disclosures presented below relating to those policies and estimates. See Note 1 to the consolidated financial statements for a detailed discussion of our principal accounting policies.
Merchandise Inventories. Merchandise inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market (“LCM”) with cost determined using the retail last in, first out (“LIFO”) method. We use the retail inventory method (“RIM”) to calculate gross profit and the resulting valuation of inventories at cost, which are computed utilizing a calculated cost-to-retail inventory ratio to the retail value of sales at an inventory department level. We apply the RIM to these departments, which are groups of products that are fairly uniform in terms of cost, selling price relationship and turnover. The RIM will result in valuing inventories at LCM if permanent markdowns are currently taken as a reduction of the retail value of inventories. Inherent in the RIM calculation are certain management judgments and estimates that may impact the ending inventory valuation at cost, as well as the gross profit recognized. These judgments include ensuring departments consist of similar products, recording estimated shrinkage between physical inventories, and timely recording of markdowns needed to sell inventory.
We perform an annual LIFO analysis whereby all merchandise units are considered for inclusion in the index formulation. An actual valuation of inventory under the LIFO method is made at the end of each year based on the inventory levels and costs at that time. In contrast, interim LIFO calculations are based on management’s annual estimates of sales, the rate of inflation or deflation, and year-end inventory levels. We also perform analyses for determining obsolete inventory, adjusting inventory on a quarterly basis to an LCM value based on various management assumptions including estimated below cost markdowns not yet recorded, but required to liquidate such inventory in future periods.
Factors considered in the determination of markdowns include current and anticipated demand based on changes in competitors’ practices, consumer preferences, consumer spending, significant weather events and unseasonable weather patterns. Certain of these factors are outside of our control and may result in greater than estimated markdowns to entice consumer purchases of excess inventory. The amount and timing of markdowns may vary significantly from year to year.
We perform physical inventories in virtually all of our stores on an annual basis. We calculate our shrink provision based on actual physical inventory results during the fiscal period and an accrual for estimated shrink occurring subsequent to a physical inventory through the end of the fiscal reporting period. This accrual is calculated as a percentage of sales at each retail store, at a department level, based on the store’s most recent historical shrink rate. To the extent that subsequent physical inventories yield different results than the estimated accrual, our effective shrink rate for a given reporting period will include the impact of adjusting to the actual results.
We believe our estimates and assumptions related to the application of the RIM results in a merchandise inventory valuation that reasonably approximates cost on a consistent basis.
Impairment of Long-lived Assets. Impairment of long-lived assets results when the carrying value of the assets exceeds the estimated undiscounted future cash flows generated by the assets. Our estimate of undiscounted future store cash flows is based upon historical operations of the stores and estimates of future profitability which encompasses many factors that are subject to variability and are difficult to predict. If our estimates of future cash flows are not materially accurate, our impairment analysis could be impacted accordingly. If a long-lived asset is found to be impaired, the amount recognized for impairment is equal to the difference between the carrying value and the asset’s estimated fair value. The fair value is estimated based primarily upon projected future cash flows (discounted at our credit adjusted risk-free rate) or other reasonable estimates of fair market value. Although not currently anticipated, changes in these estimates, assumptions or projections could materially affect the determination of fair value or impairment.
Insurance Liabilities. We retain a significant portion of the risk for our workers’ compensation, employee health, general liability, property loss, automobile and certain third-party landlord claim exposures. These represent significant costs primarily due to our large employee base and number of stores. Provisions are made for these
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liabilities on an undiscounted basis. Certain of these liabilities are based on actual claim data and estimates of incurred but not reported claims developed using actuarial methodologies based on historical claim trends, which have been and are anticipated to continue to be materially accurate. If future claim trends deviate from recent historical patterns, or other unanticipated events affect the number and significance of future claims, we may be required to record additional expenses or expense reductions, which could be material to our future financial results.
Contingent Liabilities – Income Taxes. Income tax reserves are determined using the methodology established by accounting standards relating to uncertainty in income taxes. These standards require companies to assess each income tax position taken using a two-step process. A determination is first made as to whether it is more likely than not that the position will be sustained, based upon the technical merits, upon examination by the taxing authorities. If the tax position is expected to meet the more likely than not criteria, the benefit recorded for the tax position equals the largest amount that is greater than 50% likely to be realized upon ultimate settlement of the respective tax position. Uncertain tax positions require determinations and liabilities to be estimated based on provisions of the tax law which may be subject to change or varying interpretation. If our determinations and estimates prove to be inaccurate, the resulting adjustments could be material to our future financial results.
Lease Accounting. Lease liabilities are recorded at a discount based upon our estimated collateralized incremental borrowing rate which involves significant judgments and estimates. Factors incorporated into the calculation of lease discount rates include the valuations and yields of our senior notes, their credit spread over comparable U.S. Treasury rates, and an index of the credit spreads for all North American investment grade companies by rating. To determine an indicative secured rate, we use the estimated credit spread improvement that would result from an upgrade of one ratings classification by tenor. Many of our stores are subject to build-to-suit arrangements with landlords, which typically carry a primary lease term of up to 15 years with multiple renewal options. We also have stores subject to shorter-term leases and many of these leases have renewal options. We record single lease expense on a straight-line basis over the lease term including any option periods that are reasonably certain to be renewed, commencing on the date that we take physical possession of the property from the landlord. Tenant allowances, to the extent received, are recorded as a reduction of the right of use asset. Improvements of leased properties are amortized over the shorter of the life of the applicable lease term or the estimated useful life of the asset.
Share-Based Payments. Our stock option awards are valued on an individual grant basis using the Black-Scholes-Merton closed form option pricing model. We believe that this model fairly estimates the value of our stock option awards. The application of this valuation model involves assumptions that are judgmental in the valuation of stock options, which affects compensation expense related to these options. These assumptions include the term that the options are expected to be outstanding, the historical volatility of our stock price, applicable interest rates and the dividend yield of our stock. Other factors involving judgments that affect the expensing of share-based payments include estimated forfeiture rates of share-based awards. Historically, these estimates have been materially accurate; however, if our estimates differ materially from actual experience, we may be required to record additional expense or reductions of expense, which could be material to our future financial results.
Fair Value Measurements. Accounting standards for the measurement of fair value of assets and liabilities establish a fair value hierarchy that distinguishes between market participant assumptions based on market data obtained from sources independent of the reporting entity (observable inputs that are classified within Levels 1 and 2 of the hierarchy) and the reporting entity’s own assumptions about market participant assumptions (unobservable inputs classified within Level 3 of the hierarchy). Therefore, Level 3 inputs are typically based on an entity’s own assumptions, as there is little, if any, related market activity, and thus require the use of significant judgment and estimates. Currently, we have no assets or liabilities that are valued based solely on Level 3 inputs. Our fair value measurements are primarily associated with our outstanding debt instruments. We use various valuation models in determining the values of these liabilities. We believe that in recent years these methodologies have produced materially accurate valuations.
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