SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO (LUV)
SIC breadcrumb: Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services > SIC Major Group 45 > SIC 4512 Air Transportation, Scheduled
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=92380. Latest filing source: 0000092380-26-000004.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 28,063,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-05 |
| Net income | 441,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-05 |
| Assets | 29,061,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-05 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-05. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000092380.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 20,289,000,000 | 21,146,000,000 | 21,965,000,000 | 22,428,000,000 | 9,048,000,000 | 15,790,000,000 | 23,814,000,000 | 26,091,000,000 | 27,483,000,000 | 28,063,000,000 |
| Net income | 2,183,000,000 | 3,357,000,000 | 2,465,000,000 | 2,300,000,000 | -3,074,000,000 | 977,000,000 | 539,000,000 | 465,000,000 | 465,000,000 | 441,000,000 |
| Operating income | 3,522,000,000 | 3,407,000,000 | 3,206,000,000 | 2,957,000,000 | -3,816,000,000 | 1,721,000,000 | 1,017,000,000 | 224,000,000 | 321,000,000 | 428,000,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 3.45 | 5.57 | 4.29 | 4.27 | -5.44 | 1.61 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| Operating cash flow | 4,293,000,000 | 3,929,000,000 | 4,893,000,000 | 3,987,000,000 | -1,127,000,000 | 2,322,000,000 | 3,790,000,000 | 3,164,000,000 | 462,000,000 | 1,842,000,000 |
| Capital expenditures | 2,038,000,000 | 2,123,000,000 | 1,922,000,000 | 1,027,000,000 | 515,000,000 | 505,000,000 | 3,924,000,000 | 3,520,000,000 | 2,054,000,000 | 2,673,000,000 |
| Dividends paid | 222,000,000 | 274,000,000 | 332,000,000 | 372,000,000 | 188,000,000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 428,000,000 | 430,000,000 | 399,000,000 |
| Share buybacks | 1,750,000,000 | 1,600,000,000 | 2,000,000,000 | 2,000,000,000 | 451,000,000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 250,000,000 | 2,550,000,000 |
| Assets | 23,286,000,000 | 25,110,000,000 | 26,243,000,000 | 25,895,000,000 | 34,588,000,000 | 36,320,000,000 | 35,369,000,000 | 36,487,000,000 | 33,750,000,000 | 29,061,000,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 7,784,000,000 | 9,641,000,000 | 9,853,000,000 | 9,832,000,000 | 8,876,000,000 | 10,414,000,000 | 10,687,000,000 | 10,515,000,000 | 10,350,000,000 | 7,981,000,000 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,680,000,000 | 1,495,000,000 | 1,854,000,000 | 2,548,000,000 | 11,063,000,000 | 12,480,000,000 | 9,492,000,000 | 9,288,000,000 | 7,509,000,000 | 3,231,000,000 |
| Free cash flow | 2,255,000,000 | 1,806,000,000 | 2,971,000,000 | 2,960,000,000 | -1,642,000,000 | 1,817,000,000 | -134,000,000 | -356,000,000 | -1,592,000,000 | -831,000,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 10.76% | 15.88% | 11.22% | 10.26% | -33.97% | 6.19% | 2.26% | 1.78% | 1.69% | 1.57% |
| Operating margin | 17.36% | 16.11% | 14.60% | 13.18% | -42.18% | 10.90% | 4.27% | 0.86% | 1.17% | 1.53% |
| Return on equity | 28.04% | 34.82% | 25.02% | 23.39% | -34.63% | 9.38% | 5.04% | 4.42% | 4.49% | 5.53% |
| Return on assets | 9.37% | 13.37% | 9.39% | 8.88% | -8.89% | 2.69% | 1.52% | 1.27% | 1.38% | 1.52% |
| Current ratio | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 2.02 | 1.97 | 1.43 | 1.14 | 0.92 | 0.52 |
Financial Charts
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-04-23. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000092380.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q2 | 2022-06-30 | 1.20 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | 0.44 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | -0.27 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 7,037,000,000 | 683,000,000 | 1.08 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 6,525,000,000 | 193,000,000 | 0.31 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 6,823,000,000 | -252,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 6,329,000,000 | -231,000,000 | -0.39 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 7,354,000,000 | 367,000,000 | 0.58 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 6,870,000,000 | 67,000,000 | 0.11 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 6,930,000,000 | 261,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 6,428,000,000 | -149,000,000 | -0.26 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 7,244,000,000 | 213,000,000 | 0.39 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 6,949,000,000 | 54,000,000 | 0.10 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 7,442,000,000 | 323,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 7,249,000,000 | 227,000,000 | 0.45 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0000092380-26-000047.
Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Relevant comparative operating statistics for the three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025 are included below. The Company provides these operating statistics because they are commonly used in the airline industry and, as such, allow readers to compare the Company’s performance against its results for the prior year period, as well as against the performance of the Company’s peers.
| Three months ended March 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2025 | Change | |||||||||
| Revenue passengers carried (000s) | 29,175 | 29,990 | (2.7) | % | |||||||
| Enplaned passengers (000s) | 37,277 | 37,139 | 0.4 | % | |||||||
| Revenue passenger miles (RPMs) (in millions)(a) | 31,151 | 30,629 | 1.7 | % | |||||||
| Available seat miles (ASMs) (in millions)(b) | 42,049 | 41,432 | 1.5 | % | |||||||
| Load factor(c) | 74.1 | % | 73.9 | % | 0.2 | pts. | |||||
| Average length of passenger haul (miles) | 1,068 | 1,021 | 4.6 | % | |||||||
| Average aircraft stage length (miles) | 778 | 771 | 0.9 | % | |||||||
| Trips flown | 330,371 | 331,886 | (0.5) | % | |||||||
| Seats flown (000s)(d) | 53,030 | 53,237 | (0.4) | % | |||||||
| Seats per trip(e) | 160.5 | 160.4 | 0.1 | % | |||||||
| Average passenger fare | $ | 225.93 | $ | 193.75 | 16.6 | % | |||||
| Passenger revenue yield per RPM (cents)(f) | 21.16 | 18.97 | 11.5 | % | |||||||
| Operating revenues per ASM (cents)(g) | 17.24 | 15.51 | 11.2 | % | |||||||
| Passenger revenue per ASM (cents)(h) | 15.68 | 14.02 | 11.8 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents)(i) | 16.46 | 16.05 | 2.6 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel (cents) | 13.23 | 13.04 | 1.5 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel and profit sharing (cents) | 13.11 | 13.04 | 0.5 | % | |||||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax | $ | 2.73 | $ | 2.49 | 9.6 | % | |||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax (economic) | $ | 2.73 | $ | 2.49 | 9.6 | % | |||||
| Fuel consumed, in gallons (millions) | 496 | 500 | (0.8) | % | |||||||
| Active fulltime equivalent Employees | 73,401 | 71,506 | 2.7 | % | |||||||
| Aircraft at end of period | 800 | 800 | — | % |
(a)A revenue passenger mile is one paying passenger flown one mile. Also referred to as "traffic," which is a measure of demand for a given period.
(b)An available seat mile is one seat (empty or full) flown one mile. Also referred to as "capacity," which is a measure of supply or the space available to carry passengers in a given period.
(c)Revenue passenger miles divided by available seat miles.
(d)Seats flown is calculated using total number of seats available by aircraft type multiplied by the total trips flown by the same aircraft type during a particular period.
(e)Seats per trip is calculated by dividing seats flown by trips flown.
(f)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by revenue passenger miles. Also referred to as "yield," this is the average cost paid by a paying passenger to fly one mile, which is a measure of revenue production and fares.
(g)Calculated as operating revenues divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "operating unit revenues" or "RASM," this is a measure of operating revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(h)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "passenger unit revenues", this is a measure of passenger revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(i)Calculated as operating expenses divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "unit costs" or "cost per available seat mile" or "CASM," this is the average cost to fly an aircraft seat (empty or full) one mile, which is a measure of cost efficiency.
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Financial Highlights
The Company reports its results in accordance with GAAP. The Company also provides certain non-GAAP financial measures which the Company's management also utilizes to evaluate its ongoing financial performance, and the Company believes provides additional insight to investors as supplemental information to its GAAP results, as noted in the following tables. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
| Three months ended March 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | ||||||||||
| GAAP | 2026 | 2025 | % Change | |||||||
| Operating income (loss) | $ | 330 | $ | (223) | n.m. | |||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | 227 | $ | (149) | n.m. | |||||
| Net income (loss) per share, diluted | $ | 0.45 | $ | (0.26) | n.m. | |||||
| Non-GAAP | ||||||||||
| Operating income (loss) | $ | 330 | $ | (128) | n.m. | |||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | 227 | $ | (77) | n.m. | |||||
| Net income (loss) per share, diluted | $ | 0.45 | $ | (0.13) | n.m. |
The Company recorded first quarter 2026 operating revenues of $7.2 billion, a first quarter Company record. This increase was driven primarily by additional ancillary revenues as a result of the Company's previously announced transformational initiatives, resulting in a year-over-year increase in operating revenues of $821 million. Despite the highly volatile fuel environment, the Company's Operating income and Net income for the three months ended March 31, 2026, on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis, improved significantly compared to the same prior year period aided by the record first quarter revenue performance, partially offset by higher Salaries, wages, and benefits expense.
Company Overview
First Quarter 2026 Transformational Initiative Highlights
The Company is focused on executing its previously announced transformational initiatives, which were planned and designed to attract new Customers and improve both the Company's operational and financial performance. The Company began operation of assigned and extra legroom seating flights on January 27, 2026, which required retrofitting 780 aircraft in the months leading up to the change. In addition, the Company entered into a new partnership with All Nippon Airways, which will enable jointly operated itineraries connecting through the carriers' shared gateway airports in Honolulu, San Francisco, Seattle-Tacoma, and Los Angeles. Since February 13, 2025, the Company has implemented and/or announced strategic partnerships with a total of seven carriers, through which Customers can book itineraries that connect the Company's vast domestic network to destinations around the world.
The Company's strategic initiatives have resulted in significant earnings improvement to its financial results. During the quarter, the Company experienced upsell revenue opportunities from close-in bookings, which are more closely affiliated with business and price-flexible Customers, as well as growth in business and leisure Customer segments driven by the Company's more-attractive new product offerings. The Company has also continued to enhance its onboard offerings, with improvements such as in-seat power, larger overhead bins, and upgraded WiFi, including the planned integration of at least 300 Starlink-equipped aircraft into the Company's fleet by the end of 2026. Work is well underway on a refreshed cabin design, including new, more comfortable RECARO seats. As of April 22, 2026, 84 aircraft retrofitted with RECARO seats have been placed into service.
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Other Initiatives and Quarterly Developments
The Company delivered strong financial performance and significant margin improvement for first quarter 2026 despite significantly higher fuel costs. Results reflect continued progress on the Company’s transformational initiatives, resilient Customer demand during the quarter, and disciplined cost management. While the external environment remains uncertain, the Company remains focused on driving revenue, managing costs, and executing at a high level across the business.
The escalation of geopolitical developments in the Middle East has impacted the market prices of products that are derived from crude oil, including jet fuel. The Company’s first quarter Aircraft fuel and related taxes expense was $1.4 billion, or $2.73 per gallon, which was approximately $164 million higher than it had originally forecasted for the period. However, since the rapid rise primarily took place in March, the impacts to second quarter 2026 results and beyond could be more significant if prices remain elevated. The forward curve on April 16, 2026 implied a second quarter 2026 fuel cost per gallon, including related taxes, between $4.10 and $4.15. The Company currently expects to utilize approximately 555 million gallons of jet fuel during second quarter 2026.
In first quarter 2026, the Company returned over $1.3 billion to Shareholders through a combination of share repurchases and dividends. See "Liquidity and Capital Resources" below and Part II, Item 2 - Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities for further information on the Company's share repurchases.
To improve its financial performance, the Company has also intensified its network optimization efforts. In first quarter 2026, the Company announced plans to suspend operations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport and Washington Dulles International Airport and reduce staffing at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport, and Philadelphia International Airport, effective June 4, 2026. A majority of affected Employees were offered the ability to bid for vacant positions across the Company's network and were able to remain employed by the Company.
On February 9, 2026, C. David Cush and Gregg A. Saretsky each submitted his resignation from the Company's Board of Directors (the "Board"), effective February 23, 2026. In connection with the resignations and in accordance with the Company's Fifth Amended and Restated Bylaws, the Board decreased the size of the Board to 11 members effective February 23, 2026.
On April 7, 2026, the Company's 34 Network Operations Control Customer Planners represented by the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers ("IAM") voted to ratify the tentative agreement reached on March 27, 2026, as part of the accretion process to join an existing IAM-represented collective bargaining unit. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in December 2027.
Material Changes in Results of Operations
Comparison of the three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025
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Table of Contents
| Three months ended March 31, | Increase (Decrease) | Percent change | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | 2026 | 2025 | ||||||||||||
| Passenger | $ | 6,591 | $ | 5,811 | $ | 780 | 13.4 | % | ||||||
| Freight | 44 | 41 | 3 | 7.3 | ||||||||||
| Other | 614 | 576 | 38 | 6.6 | ||||||||||
| Total operating revenues | $ | 7,249 | $ | 6,428 | $ | 821 | 12.8 | % | ||||||
| Salaries, wages, and benefits | $ | 3,297 | $ | 3,102 | $ | 195 | 6.3 | % | ||||||
| Aircraft fuel and related taxes | 1,356 | 1,249 | 107 | 8.6 | ||||||||||
| Maintenance materials and repairs | 259 | 292 | (33) | (11.3) | ||||||||||
| Landing fees and airport rentals | 572 | 522 | 50 | 9.6 | ||||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 398 | 396 | 2 | 0.5 | ||||||||||
| Other operating expenses | 1,037 | 1,090 | (53) | (4.9) | ||||||||||
| Total operating expenses | $ | 6,919 | $ | 6,651 | $ | 268 | 4.0 | % |
Operating Revenues
Total operating revenues
[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
YEAR IN REVIEW
The Company had a record full year revenue performance in 2025, producing operating revenues of $28.1 billion, due in part to continued strong domestic travel demand, as well as the execution of transformational initiatives, which has resulted in strong financial performance and driven incremental Shareholder value.
The Company recorded results for 2025 and 2024, on an accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP") and non-GAAP basis, as noted in the following tables. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | Year ended December 31, | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP | 2025 | 2024 | Change | |||||||
| Operating income | $ | 428 | $ | 321 | 33.3 | |||||
| Net income | $ | 441 | $ | 465 | (5.2) | |||||
| Net income per share, diluted | $ | 0.79 | $ | 0.76 | 3.9 | |||||
| Non-GAAP | ||||||||||
| Operating income | $ | 539 | $ | 457 | 17.9 | |||||
| Net income | $ | 512 | $ | 597 | (14.2) | |||||
| Net income per share, diluted | $ | 0.93 | $ | 0.96 | (3.1) |
The Company's operating income, as shown above on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2025, increased compared to the same prior year period primarily driven by revenue initiatives, including the Company's policy change related to certain Customers' first and second checked bags that became effective May 28, 2025. This increase was combined with outperformance of cost reduction goals and lower year-over-year Fuel and oil expense primarily driven by lower jet fuel prices, partially offset by higher salaries, wages, and benefits expense. Despite the negative impacts to bookings and travel associated with the government shutdown during a portion of fourth quarter 2025, the Company earned an outsized portion of its 2025 operating income during the period. On a GAAP basis, the Company achieved in excess of 90 percent, and on a non-GAAP basis, achieved in excess of 70 percent, of its annual operating income during the fourth quarter of the year, both primarily as a result of the ramp-up of its transformational and revenue initiatives over the course of the year. The Company's net income, as shown above on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2025, decreased compared to the same prior year period primarily due to a decrease in interest income driven by a lower cash and investment balance. Additionally, on a GAAP basis, the Company’s results for the year ended December 31, 2024, included a reversal of $116 million of breakage revenue recorded in prior years related to a portion of flight credits issued to Customers during 2022 and prior that either were redeemed or are expected to be redeemed in future periods. The majority of these flight credits were issued during the COVID-19 pandemic as the Company was making significant changes to its flight schedules based on fluctuating demand. This adjustment was treated as a special item and excluded from the Company's presentation of non-GAAP results. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
Operating Statistics
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The Company provides the operating data below for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024 because these statistics are commonly used in the airline industry and, therefore, allow readers to compare the Company’s performance against its results for the prior year period, as well as against the performance of the Company’s peers.
| Year ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | Change | |||||||||
| Operating Data: | |||||||||||
| Revenue passengers carried (000s) | 134,110 | 140,023 | (4.2) | % | |||||||
| Enplaned passengers (000s) | 168,334 | 175,466 | (4.1) | % | |||||||
| Revenue passenger miles (RPMs) (in millions)(a) | 139,443 | 142,515 | (2.2) | % | |||||||
| Available seat miles (ASMs) (in millions)(b) | 180,046 | 177,250 | 1.6 | % | |||||||
| Load factor(c) | 77.4 | % | 80.4 | % | (3.0) pts. | ||||||
| Average length of passenger haul (miles) | 1,040 | 1,018 | 2.2 | % | |||||||
| Average aircraft stage length (miles) | 780 | 763 | 2.2 | % | |||||||
| Trips flown | 1,415,822 | 1,443,866 | (1.9) | % | |||||||
| Seats flown (000s)(d) | 228,193 | 230,187 | (0.9) | % | |||||||
| Seats per trip(e) | 161.2 | 159.4 | 1.1 | % | |||||||
| Average passenger fare(k) | $ | 190.41 | $ | 178.40 | 6.7 | % | |||||
| Passenger revenue yield per RPM (cents)(f)(k) | 18.31 | 17.53 | 4.4 | % | |||||||
| Operating revenues per ASM (cents)(g)(k) | 15.59 | 15.51 | 0.5 | % | |||||||
| Passenger revenue per ASM (cents)(h)(k) | 14.18 | 14.09 | 0.6 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents)(i) | 15.35 | 15.32 | 0.2 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel (cents) | 12.44 | 12.05 | 3.2 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel and profit sharing (cents) | 12.38 | 11.99 | 3.3 | % | |||||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax | $ | 2.41 | $ | 2.64 | (8.7) | % | |||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax, economic | $ | 2.41 | $ | 2.66 | (9.4) | % | |||||
| Fuel consumed, in gallons (millions) | 2,169 | 2,194 | (1.1) | % | |||||||
| Active full-time equivalent Employees | 72,790 | 72,450 | 0.5 | % | |||||||
| Aircraft at end of period(j) | 803 | 803 | — | % |
(a)A revenue passenger mile is one paying passenger flown one mile. Also referred to as "traffic," which is a measure of demand for a given period.
(b)An available seat mile is one seat (empty or full) flown one mile. Also referred to as "capacity," which is a measure of the space available to carry passengers in a given period.
(c)Revenue passenger miles divided by available seat miles.
(d)Seats flown is calculated using total number of seats available by aircraft type multiplied by the total trips flown by the same aircraft type during a particular period.
(e)Seats per trip is calculated by dividing seats flown by trips flown.
(f)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by revenue passenger miles. Also referred to as "yield," this is the average cost paid by a paying passenger to fly one mile, which is a measure of revenue production and fares.
(g)Calculated as operating revenues divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "operating unit revenues" or "RASM," this is a measure of operating revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(h)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "passenger unit revenues," this is a measure of passenger revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(i)Calculated as operating expenses divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "unit costs" or "cost per available seat mile" or "CASM," this is the average cost to fly an aircraft seat (empty or full) one mile, which is a measure of cost efficiencies.
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(j)Included three Boeing 737 Next Generation aircraft in temporary storage as of December 31, 2024.
(k)The 2024 Passenger and Operating revenue metrics include the impact of the $116 million breakage revenue adjustment recorded as a change in estimate and reduction in Passenger revenue during fourth quarter 2024. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Company Overview
2025 Transformational Initiative Highlights
The Company experienced a year of meaningful transformation and execution as it implemented its transformational initiatives, which were planned and designed to attract new Customers and improve both the Company's operational and financial performance. During 2025, the Company:
•Changed its product offering, including the implementation of bag fees for most fare products, addition of a Basic fare product, and transition to new fare products, Choice, Choice Preferred, and Choice Extra;
•Updated its flight credit policy for tickets purchased on or after May 28, 2025;
•Began selling assigned and extra legroom seating for travel beginning January 27, 2026;
•Expanded distribution channels through new partnerships with online travel agencies, Expedia and Priceline;
•Better optimized its Rapid Rewards® program, including variable earn and burn rates;
•Amended its co-brand credit card agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (“Chase”), including new benefits and improved economics;
•Launched Getaways by Southwest™, an in-house packaged vacations product;
•Announced free Wi-Fi sponsored by T-Mobile for all Rapid Rewards Members beginning October 24, 2025;
•Added redeye flying to increase aircraft utilization and network connectivity;
•Reduced turn time to increase aircraft utilization;
•Deployed new technology boosting operational reliability, a key enabler of the Company's #1 rank in The Wall Street Journal Best U.S. Airlines of 2025;
•Launched a partnership with Hahnair to expand its global ticketing reach; and
•Announced six strategic partnerships with Icelandair, EVA Air, China Airlines, Philippine Airlines, Condor, and Turkish Airlines.
In January 2026, the Company began operating assigned and extra legroom seating for travel beginning on January 27, 2026, which required retrofitting 780 aircraft. With assigned and extra legroom seating becoming operational, Southwest expects future earnings upside based on how booking behavior related to these initiatives unfolds. This includes upsell revenue from close-in bookings, which are more closely affiliated with business and price-flexible Customers, as well as growth in business and leisure Customer segments driven by the more attractive new product offering.
The Company has also continued to enhance its onboard offerings, with improvements such as faster WiFi, in-seat power, and larger overhead bins, and work is well underway on a refreshed cabin design, including new, more comfortable RECARO seats. The first Boeing 737-8 (“-8”) aircraft with an updated cabin was delivered and entered service on October 16, 2025.
Other Initiatives and Developments
The Company has also announced its intention to commence new service at multiple locations in an effort to grow its network and provide more destinations for Customers. These locations include:
•Cyril E. King International Airport on St. Thomas beginning early 2026;
•McGhee Tyson Airport in Knoxville, Tennessee beginning March 5, 2026;
•Princess Juliana International Airport on St. Maarten beginning April 7, 2026;
•Charles M. Schulz Sonoma County Airport in Santa Rosa, California beginning April 7, 2026; and
•Ted Stevens Anchorage International Airport in Anchorage, Alaska beginning in the first half of 2026.
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During 2025, the Company continued to deliver value to its Shareholders by returning $2.9 billion to Shareholders through $399 million in dividend payments and $2.6 billion through accelerated share repurchase programs entered into by the Company with third party financial institutions. In addition, under a forward contract entered into by the Company in December 2025, the Company committed $750 million for an accelerated share repurchase program with a third party financial institution (the “January 2026 ASR Program”) under which the Company paid $750 million in January 2026 and received total delivery of 17,965,193 shares to the Company as settlement in full. Additionally, the Company launched a $400 million accelerated share repurchase program in January 2026 (the "First Quarter 2026 ASR Program") that is scheduled to be completed by the end of April 2026. All of the Company's share repurchases will be recorded as treasury share repurchases for purposes of calculating earnings per share. Upon completion of the Company's January 2026 share repurchase activity, the Company will have $550 million remaining under its July 2025 $2.0 billion share repurchase authorization. See Part II, Item 5 for further information on the Company’s share repurchase authorizations.
In December 2025, the U.S. Department of Transportation ("DOT") amended a December 2023 order assessing a civil penalty of $140 million on the Company resulting from its December 2022 operational disruption by waiving the final cash installment that was due January 31, 2026, and issuing the Company an $11 million credit for the Company significantly improving its ontime performance and completion factor.
In February 2025, the Company implemented a reduction in workforce that provided for the reduction of approximately 1,750 Employee roles, or 15 percent of corporate positions. As a result of the reduction in workforce, the Company incurred a one-time expense of $62 million during first quarter 2025, achieved 2025 savings of approximately $230 million, and estimates 2026 savings of approximately $310 million. Separations were substantially complete by the end of second quarter 2025. See Note 16 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Fleet Information
As a result of The Boeing Company's ("Boeing") delivery delays, the Company has previously replanned its capacity and delivery expectations multiple times and will continue to closely monitor the ongoing aircraft delivery delays with Boeing and further adjust expectations as needed.
The Company ended 2025 with 803 Boeing 737 aircraft, including 300 -8 aircraft. During 2025, the Company retired 55 aircraft (including 48 Boeing 737-700 ("-700") aircraft, and seven Boeing 737-800 ("-800") aircraft, inlcuding the sale of five -800 aircraft) and took delivery of 55 -8 aircraft. The Company also completed the sale-leaseback of one -800 aircraft in January 2025. The Company's order book with Boeing as of January 29, 2026, consists of a total of 467 MAX firm orders (271 Boeing 737-7 ("-7") aircraft and 196 -8 aircraft) for the years 2026 through 2031, including 27 -7 aircraft that were contractually committed for 2024, and 54 -8s that were contractually committed for 2025, but were not received, and 150 MAX options (-7s or -8s) for the years 2027 through 2031. The Company expects 66 -8 aircraft deliveries in 2026, which differs from its contractual order book, as Boeing continues to ramp up production and works to certify the -7. This expectation supports the Company's plans to retire approximately 60 aircraft in 2026. The Company's aircraft delivery and retirement expectations for 2026 and beyond are fluid and subject to Boeing's production capability.
As of February 5, 2026, the Company has published its flight schedule through September 30, 2026.
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2025 Compared with 2024
The selected financial data presented below is derived from the Company's Consolidated Statement of Income and should be read in conjunction with those financial statements and the related notes thereto.
| Year ended December 31, | Increase (Decrease) | Percent change | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||||||||
| Passenger | $ | 25,535 | $ | 24,980 | $ | 555 | 2.2 | ||||||
| Freight | 171 | 175 | (4) | (2.3) | |||||||||
| Other | 2,357 | 2,328 | 29 | 1.2 | |||||||||
| Total operating revenues | $ | 28,063 | $ | 27,483 | $ | 580 | 2.1 | ||||||
| Salaries, wages, and benefits | $ | 12,963 | $ | 12,240 | $ | 723 | 5.9 | ||||||
| Fuel and oil | 5,240 | 5,812 | (572) | (9.8) | |||||||||
| Maintenance materials and repairs | 1,227 | 1,353 | (126) | (9.3) | |||||||||
| Landing fees and airport rentals | 2,178 | 1,962 | 216 | 11.0 | |||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 1,560 | 1,657 | (97) | (5.9) | |||||||||
| Other operating expenses | 4,467 | 4,138 | 329 | 8.0 | |||||||||
| Total operating expenses | $ | 27,635 | $ | 27,162 | $ | 473 | 1.7 |
Operating Revenues
Passenger revenues for 2025 increased by $555 million, or 2.2 percent, compared with 2024, to achieve an all-time full year Company record of $25.5 billion. On a unit basis, Passenger revenues increased 0.6 percent, year-over-year. On both a dollar basis and a per unit basis, the increase was primarily due to an increase in bag fee revenues driven by the Company's policy change, coupled with an increase in the portion of the Company's co-brand credit card benefits that are now classified within Passenger revenues as a result of the amended and restated co-brand agreement with Chase.
Other revenues for 2025 increased by $29 million, or 1.2 percent, compared with 2024. On both a dollar basis and a per unit basis, the increase was primarily due to a $30 million increase in loyalty revenues due to a higher portion of revenues recognized sooner associated with the Company's co-brand agreement with Chase, as a result of the contract amendments with Chase in 2025. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for 2025 increased by $473 million, or 1.7 percent, compared with 2024, and capacity increased 1.6 percent over the same prior year period. A majority of the operating expenses increase was due to higher Salaries, wages, and benefits expense, partially offset by outperforming cost reduction goals, including the Company's first quarter 2025 workforce reduction, and lower Fuel and oil expense. The following table presents the Company's Operating expenses per ASM for 2025 and 2024, followed by explanations of these changes on a dollar basis.
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| Year ended December 31, | Per ASM | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in cents, except for percentages) | 2025 | 2024 | change | change | |||||||
| Salaries, wages, and benefits | 7.21 | ¢ | 6.91 | ¢ | 0.30 | ¢ | 4.3 | % | |||
| Fuel and oil | 2.91 | 3.27 | (0.36) | (11.0) | |||||||
| Maintenance materials and repairs | 0.68 | 0.76 | (0.08) | (10.5) | |||||||
| Landing fees and airport rentals | 1.21 | 1.11 | 0.10 | 9.0 | |||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 0.87 | 0.93 | (0.06) | (6.5) | |||||||
| Other operating expenses | 2.47 | 2.34 | 0.13 | 5.6 | |||||||
| Total | 15.35 | ¢ | 15.32 | ¢ | 0.03 | ¢ | 0.2 | % |
Operating expenses per ASM for 2025 increased by 0.2 percent, compared with 2024, primarily driven by higher Salaries, wages, and benefits expense, offset by the decrease in the Company's fuel cost per gallon. Operating expenses per ASM for 2025, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (a non-GAAP financial measure), increased 3.1 percent, year-over-year. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2025 increased by $723 million, or 5.9 percent, compared with 2024. On a per ASM basis, Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2025 increased 4.3 percent, compared with 2024. On a dollar and per ASM basis, the majority of the increase was due to net step/pay rate increases and related benefits for the Company's workforce.
On May 16, 2025, the Company's 35 Network Operations Control Customer Planners, added to the existing Passenger Service Employees craft or class to be represented by the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (“IAM”), entered into a tentative agreement as part of the accretion process to join an existing collective-bargaining agreement. The vote to ratify a contract amendment with the Company failed, and the Company is continuing negotiations with the IAM.
On September 3, 2025, the Company and Transport Workers of America Union Local 557 ("TWU 557"), representing the Company's approximately 216 Flight Instructors, reached a tentative agreement on a three year extension of their collective-bargaining agreement from 2027 to 2030. The vote to ratify the extension with the Company failed, and the Company and TWU 557 are preparing to open full negotiations in 2026.
Fuel and oil expense for 2025 decreased by $572 million, or 9.8 percent, compared with 2024. On a per ASM basis, Fuel and oil expense for 2025 decreased 11.0 percent. On a dollar and per ASM basis, the decrease was primarily attributable to a decrease in fuel prices. The Company's 2025 average economic fuel cost was $2.41 per gallon with no cash settlements from hedging activities compared with an average economic fuel cost of $2.66 per gallon, which was net of approximately $53 million in cash settlements from hedging activities, in 2024. During second quarter 2025, the Company terminated its remaining portfolio of fuel hedging contracts, which were scheduled to settle through 2027, to effectively close its fuel hedging portfolio and program. However, this termination had no impact on the Company's Fuel and oil expense, as all hedge positions were out of the money and just consisted of remaining time value. The following table provides more information on the Company's economic fuel cost per gallon, including the impact of fuel hedging premium expense and fuel derivative contracts:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon | $ | 2.41 | $ | 2.66 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense (in millions) | $ | 145 | (a) | $ | 157 | |
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gain (in millions) | $ | — | $ | 53 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $ | 0.07 | (a) | $ | 0.07 | |
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $ | — | $ | 0.03 |
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(a) Includes amounts reclassified from Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income associated with hedges previously terminated. See Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
The Company's 2025 available seat miles per gallon ("fuel efficiency") improved 2.7 percent, year-over-year, due to operating more -8 aircraft, the Company's most fuel-efficient aircraft, as a percentage of its fleet. The continued deliveries of MAX aircraft are expected to remain critical to the Company's efforts to modernize its fleet.
As a result of applying hedge accounting in prior periods, the Company has amounts in Accumulated other comprehensive income ("AOCI") that will be recognized in the Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income in the periods the originally forecasted transactions occur, including deferred losses of $115 million in 2026 and $22 million in 2027 as of December 31, 2025 (net of tax). See Note 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on AOCI.
Maintenance materials and repairs expense for 2025 decreased by $126 million, or 9.3 percent, compared with 2024. On a per ASM basis, Maintenance materials and repairs expense decreased 10.5 percent, compared with 2024. On a dollar and per ASM basis, approximately 70 percent of the decrease was driven by fewer airframes in routine heavy check compared to 2024 as a result of the early retirement of a portion of the -700 fleet, and approximately 20 percent of the decrease was due to less routine bulk purchases of materials for the Company's seat refurbishment efforts.
Landing fees and airport rentals expense for 2025 increased by $216 million, or 11.0 percent, compared with 2024. On a per ASM basis, Landing fees and airport rentals expense increased 9.0 percent, compared with 2024. On a dollar and per ASM basis, approximately 50 percent of the increase was primarily attributable to an increase in airport rental expense throughout the network driven by higher rates charged by airports for leased space, 30 percent of the increase was primarily due to higher landing fees throughout the network, primarily driven by increased usage of the heavier -8 aircraft and higher rates, and 20 percent of the increase was due to receiving fewer favorable settlements and credits from various airports in 2025.
Depreciation and amortization expense for 2025 decreased by $97 million, or 5.9 percent, compared with 2024. On a per ASM basis, Depreciation and amortization expense decreased by 6.5 percent, compared with 2024. On a dollar and per ASM basis, this decrease was primarily due to a $109 million decrease from accelerating depreciation of fewer -700 aircraft planned for early retirement in 2025 compared to 2024, a $41 million decrease due to the fleet transactions completed during the December 2024 and January 2025 timeframe, and a $37 million decrease due to a change in estimate for the residual values of the Company's -700 airframes and -700, -800, and -8 engines. These decreases were partially offset by a $47 million increase from new technology assets being placed into service and a $41 million increase from the acquisition of 55 -8 aircraft during 2025.
Other operating expenses for 2025 increased by $329 million, or 8.0 percent, compared with 2024. Included within this line item was aircraft rentals expense in the amount of $322 million and $220 million for 2025 and 2024, respectively. On a per ASM basis, Other operating expenses increased 5.6 percent, compared with 2024. On a dollar and per ASM basis, the increase was due to (i) a $102 million increase in aircraft rental expense associated with fleet transactions completed during the December 2024 and January 2025 timeframe, (ii) a $92 million gain on the sale-leaseback of 35 -800 aircraft in 2024, (iii) a $77 million increase in Employee related expenses driven by higher travel expenses due to inflation in lodging rates and utilization of rooms as a result of redeye flying in 2025, and (iv) a $64 million increase in third party software maintenance agreement expense driven by expanded cloud-based services. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the sale-leaseback transaction.
Non-Operating Expenses (Income)
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Interest expense for 2025 decreased by $82 million, or 32.9 percent, compared with 2024, primarily due to the Company's significant debt repayments in late 2024 and throughout 2025. These decreases were partially offset by the issuance of the 5.25% unsecured notes and 4.375% unsecured notes in November 2025. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Capitalized interest for 2025 increased by $19 million, or 54.3 percent, compared with 2024, primarily due to an increase in various technology projects, facilities projects, and aircraft under construction.
Interest income for 2025 decreased by $292 million, or 58.8 percent compared with 2024, primarily due to lower cash and investment balances and a lower interest rate in the Company's total investment portfolio.
Other (gains) losses, net, primarily includes amounts recorded as a result of the Company's deferred compensation and hedging activities. See Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's hedging activities. The following table displays the components of Other (gains) losses, net, for 2025 and 2024:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current period | $ | — | $ | 34 | ||
| Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | 9 | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact from deferred compensation plan investments | (33) | (36) | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact from forward contract | (8) | — | ||||
| Other | (2) | (1) | ||||
| $ | (43) | $ | 6 |
Income Taxes
The Company's annual 2025 effective tax rate was 21.7 percent, compared with 22.2 percent in 2024. The year-over-year decrease in the tax rate is primarily due to lower state deferred tax rates in 2025 and a decrease in non-deductible expenses. The tax rate decrease was partially offset by a reduction in federal tax credits generated in 2025.
2024 Compared with 2023
The Company's comparison of 2024 results to 2023 results is included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, under Part II Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
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Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures (excluding special items) (unaudited) (in millions, except per share amounts and per ASM amounts)
| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | Change | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, unhedged | $ | 5,095 | $ | 5,750 | ||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts designated as hedges (a) | 145 | 148 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge gains included in Fuel and oil expense, net | — | (86) | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, as reported | $ | 5,240 | $ | 5,812 | ||||||
| Add: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (b) | — | 34 | ||||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | 9 | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | $ | 5,240 | $ | 5,855 | (10.5) | % | ||||
| Total operating expenses, as reported | $ | 27,635 | $ | 27,162 | ||||||
| Deduct: Voluntary Employee programs | — | (5) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Labor contract adjustment | — | (9) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Contract Termination Charge | (7) | — | ||||||||
| Add: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (b) | — | 34 | ||||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | 9 | ||||||||
| Add: DOT settlement waiver | 11 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Impairment of long-lived assets | (8) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Litigation accruals | (19) | (7) | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Professional advisory fees/reimbursement | 7 | (37) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Transformation costs | (33) | (5) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Severance and related costs (c) | (62) | — | ||||||||
| Total operating expenses, excluding special items | $ | 27,524 | $ | 27,142 | 1.4 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | (5,240) | (5,855) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense and special items | $ | 22,284 | $ | 21,287 | 4.7 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Profit-sharing expense | (97) | (103) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense, special items, and profit sharing | $ | 22,187 | $ | 21,184 | 4.7 | % | ||||
| Operating income, as reported | $ | 428 | $ | 321 | ||||||
| Add: Breakage revenue adjustment (d) | — | 116 | ||||||||
| Add: Voluntary Employee programs | — | 5 | ||||||||
| Add: Labor contract adjustment | — | 9 | ||||||||
| Add: Contract Termination Charge | 7 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which gains were reclassified from AOCI (b) | — | (34) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | (9) | ||||||||
| Deduct: DOT settlement waiver | (11) | — | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 8 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation accruals | 19 | 7 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Professional advisory fees/reimbursement | (7) | 37 | ||||||||
| Add: Transformation costs | 33 | 5 | ||||||||
| Add: Severance and related costs (c) | 62 | — | ||||||||
| Operating income, excluding special items | $ | 539 | $ | 457 | 17.9 | % | ||||
| Other (gains) losses, net, as reported | $ | (43) | $ | 4 | ||||||
| Deduct: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods | — | (34) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | (9) | ||||||||
| Add: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on forward contract | 8 | — | ||||||||
| Other gains, net, excluding special items | $ | (35) | $ | (39) | (10.3) | % | ||||
| Income before income taxes, as reported | $ | 563 | $ | 598 | ||||||
| Add: Breakage revenue adjustment (d) | — | 116 | ||||||||
| Add: Voluntary Employee programs | — | 5 | ||||||||
| Add: Labor contract adjustment | — | 9 | ||||||||
| Add: Contract Termination Charge | 7 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which gains were reclassified from AOCI (b) | — | (34) | ||||||||
| Add: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods | — | 34 | ||||||||
| Deduct: DOT settlement waiver | (11) | — | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 8 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation accruals | 19 | 7 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Professional advisory fees/reimbursement | (7) | 37 | ||||||||
| Add: Transformation costs | 33 | 5 | ||||||||
| Add: Severance and related costs (c) | 62 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on forward contract | (8) | — | ||||||||
| Income before income taxes, excluding special items | $ | 666 | $ | 777 | (14.3) | % |
| Provision for income taxes, as reported | $ | 122 | $ | 133 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Add: Net income tax impact of fuel and special items (e) | 32 | 47 | ||||||||
| Provision for income taxes, net, excluding special items | $ | 154 | $ | 180 | (14.4) | % | ||||
| Net income, as reported | $ | 441 | $ | 465 | ||||||
| Add: Breakage revenue adjustment (d) | — | 116 | ||||||||
| Add: Voluntary Employee programs | — | 5 | ||||||||
| Add: Labor contract adjustment | — | 9 | ||||||||
| Add: Contract termination charge | 7 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which gains were reclassified from AOCI (b) | — | (34) | ||||||||
| Add: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods | — | 34 | ||||||||
| Deduct: DOT settlement waiver | (11) | — | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 8 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation accruals | 19 | 7 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Professional advisory fees/reimbursement | (7) | 37 | ||||||||
| Add: Transformation costs | 33 | 5 | ||||||||
| Add: Severance and related costs (c) | 62 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on forward contract | (8) | — | ||||||||
| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||||
| 2025 | 2024 | Change | ||||||||
| Deduct: Net income tax impact of special items (e) | (32) | (47) | ||||||||
| Net income, excluding special items | $ | 512 | $ | 597 | (14.2) | % | ||||
| Net income per share, diluted, as reported | $ | 0.79 | $ | 0.76 | ||||||
| Add: Impact of special items | 0.20 | 0.27 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Net income tax impact of special items (e) | (0.06) | (0.07) | ||||||||
| Net income per share, diluted, excluding special items | $ | 0.93 | $ | 0.96 | (3.1) | % | ||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents), as reported | 15.35 | ¢ | 15.32 | ¢ | ||||||
| Deduct: Impact of special items | (0.06) | (0.04) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense divided by ASMs | (2.91) | (3.27) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Profit-sharing expense divided by ASMs | (0.06) | (0.06) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (cents) | 12.32 | ¢ | 11.95 | ¢ | 3.1 | % |
(a) Includes amounts reclassified from Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income associated with hedges previously terminated. See Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(b) See Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(c) Represents Employee severance payments and related professional fees resulting from the workforce reduction in February 2025 ($53 million in Salaries, wages, and benefits and $9 million in Other operating expenses). See Note 16 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(d) Represents a change in breakage revenue estimate related to flight credits the Company issued to Passengers during 2022 and prior. On July 28, 2022, the Company modified its policy and announced that all unexpired flight credits as of that date, including a significant volume of such credits issued to impacted Customers during the COVID-19 pandemic as the Company was making significant changes to its schedules based on fluctuating demand, will no longer have an expiration date and thus will be able to be redeemed by Customers indefinitely. This change in policy was considered a contract modification under ASC 606, Revenue from Contracts with Customers, and the Company accounted for such change prospectively in third quarter 2022. At that time, based on historical Customer behavior, the Company estimated that redemptions of these flight credits would have been reduced to an immaterial amount during 2024 and recognized breakage revenue in prior periods for these flight credits accordingly; however, based on actual Customer redemptions throughout 2024, as well as projected redemptions beyond 2024, the Company determined a reversal of a portion of this prior breakage revenue was warranted in 2024. This adjustment is not reflective of base business revenue trends in fourth quarter 2024 or beyond. See the Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for further information.
(e) Tax amounts for each individual special item are calculated at the Company's effective rate for the applicable period and totaled in this line item.
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Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The Company's Consolidated Financial Statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. These GAAP financial statements may include (i) unrealized noncash adjustments and reclassifications, which can be significant, as a result of accounting requirements and elections made under accounting pronouncements relating to derivative instruments and hedging and (ii) other charges and benefits the Company believes are unusual and/or infrequent in nature and thus may make comparisons to its prior or future performance difficult.
As a result, the Company also provides financial information in this filing that was not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to the information prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company provides supplemental non-GAAP financial information (also referred to as "excluding special items"), including results that it refers to as "economic," which the Company's management utilizes to evaluate its ongoing financial performance and the Company believes provides additional insight to investors as supplemental information to its GAAP results. The non-GAAP measures provided that relate to the Company’s performance on an economic fuel cost basis include Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profit sharing; Operating income, non-GAAP; Other gains, net, non-GAAP; Income before income taxes, non-GAAP; Provision for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net income, non-GAAP; Net income per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profit sharing (cents). For periods in which fuel hedge contracts are utilized, the Company's economic Fuel and oil expense results may differ from GAAP results in that they only include the actual cash settlements from fuel hedge contracts - all reflected within Fuel and oil expense in the period of settlement. Thus, Fuel and oil expense on an economic basis has historically been utilized by the Company, as well as some of the other airlines that utilize fuel hedging, as it reflects the Company’s actual net cash outlays for fuel during the applicable period, inclusive of settled fuel derivative contracts. Any net premium costs paid related to option contracts that are designated as hedges are reflected as a component of Fuel and oil expense, for both GAAP and non-GAAP (including economic) purposes in the period of contract settlement. The Company believes these economic results provide further insight into the impact of the Company's fuel hedges on its operating performance and liquidity since they exclude the unrealized, noncash adjustments and reclassifications that are recorded in GAAP results in accordance with accounting guidance relating to derivative instruments, and they reflect all cash settlements related to fuel derivative contracts within Fuel and oil expense. This enables the Company's management, as well as investors and analysts, to consistently assess the Company's operating performance on a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter basis after considering all efforts in place to manage fuel expense. However, because these measures are not determined in accordance with GAAP, such measures are susceptible to varying calculations, and not all companies calculate the measures in the same manner. As a result, the aforementioned measures, as presented, may not be directly comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies.
Further information on (i) the Company's fuel hedging program, (ii) the requirements of accounting for derivative instruments, (iii) the causes of hedge ineffectiveness and/or mark-to-market gains or losses from derivative instruments, and (iv) the Company's termination of its remaining fuel hedge derivative instruments is included in Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company’s GAAP results in the applicable periods may include other charges or benefits that are also deemed "special items," that the Company believes make its results difficult to compare to prior periods, anticipated future periods, or industry trends. Financial measures identified as non-GAAP (or as excluding special items) have been adjusted to exclude special items. For the periods presented, in addition to the items discussed above, special items include:
1.Reversal of breakage revenue previously recorded related to a portion of flight credits issued to Customers during 2022 and prior that have either been redeemed or are expected to be redeemed in future periods. The majority of these flight credits were issued during the COVID-19 pandemic as the Company was making significant changes to its flight schedules based on fluctuating demand, which made it difficult to estimate future redemption patterns when compared against historical Customer behavior;
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2.Incremental expense associated with a voluntary separation program that allowed eligible Employees the opportunity to voluntarily separate from the Company in exchange for severance, medical/dental coverage for a specified period of time, and travel privileges based on years of service;
3.Incremental expense associated with contract ratification bonuses for various workgroups related to additional compensation for services performed by Employees outside the applicable fiscal period;
4.A credit received from the DOT regarding a settlement reached for the Company's December 2022 operational disruption in light of the Company significantly improving its on-time performance and completion factor through the Company's investment in its Network Operations Control;
5.Expenses and/or reimbursements for incremental professional advisory fees related to activist investor activities, which were not budgeted by the Company, are not associated with the ongoing operation of the airline, and are difficult to predict in future periods;
6.Charges associated with tentative litigation settlements regarding paid short-term military leave to certain Employees and an arbitration award in favor of the Company's Pilots relating to a collective-bargaining matter;
7.Expenses associated with professional advisory fees related to the Company's implementation of its comprehensive transformational plan;
8.Charges associated with severance, post-employment benefits, and professional fees as a result of the Company's reduction in workforce;
9.Non-cash impairment charges to remove certain assets from the Consolidated Balance Sheet that are no longer in use;
10.Expenses associated with a contract termination charge related to one of the Company's health insurance providers; and
11.Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment associated with a forward contract entered into in fourth quarter 2025.
Because management believes special items can distort the trends associated with the Company’s ongoing performance as an airline, the Company believes that evaluation of its financial performance can be enhanced by a supplemental presentation of results that exclude the impact of special items in order to enhance consistency and comparativeness with results in prior periods that do not include such items and as a basis for evaluating operating results in future periods. The following measures are often provided, excluding special items, and utilized by the Company’s management, analysts, and investors to enhance comparability of year-over-year results, as well as to industry trends: Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profit sharing; Operating income, non-GAAP; Other gains, net, non-GAAP; Income before income taxes, non-GAAP; Provision for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net income, non-GAAP; Net income per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profit sharing (cents).
The Company has also provided its target for leverage, which is a non-GAAP measure of financial performance. Management believes this supplemental measure can provide a more accurate view of the Company's leverage and risk, since it considers the Company’s debt and debt-like obligation profile and capital. Leverage ratios are widely used by investors, analysts, and rating agencies in the valuation, comparison, rating, and investment recommendations of companies. Although leverage ratios are commonly-used financial measures, definitions differ. The Company calculates leverage as adjusted debt divided by trailing twelve month adjusted EBITDAR. Adjusted EBITDAR is calculated as earnings before interest and taxes, and non-operating other (gains) losses, net, excluding special items, and adjusted by adding depreciation and amortization and the fixed portion of operating lease expense ("adjusted EBITDAR"). Adjusted debt includes current and long-term debt, finance lease obligations, and operating lease liabilities (including fleet, ground, and other). Projections do not reflect the potential impact of fuel and oil expense, special items, and profit sharing because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate those items or expenses or their impact to its financial statements in future periods, especially considering the significant volatility of the fuel and oil expense line item. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for these projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort.
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
Net cash provided by operating activities for 2025 was $1.8 billion, and net cash provided by operating activities for 2024 was $462 million. Operating cash inflows are historically primarily derived from selling tickets and providing air transportation to Customers. The vast majority of tickets are purchased prior to the day on which travel is provided and, in some cases, several months before the anticipated travel date. Operating cash outflows are related to the recurring expenses of airline operations. The operating cash flows for 2025 were largely impacted by the Company's net results (as adjusted for noncash items), a $103 million profit-sharing contribution for 2024 pursuant to the Company's Retirement Savings Plan, and a $1.1 billion decrease in Air traffic liability primarily driven by immediate recognition of a larger portion of revenues (and thus lower revenue deferred) associated with the Company's co-brand agreement with Chase from 2025 modifications to the agreement. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. Operating cash flows for 2024 were largely impacted by the Company's net results (as adjusted for noncash items, primarily Depreciation and amortization and the gain on the sale-leaseback transaction), the approximately $1.9 billion paid to Pilots, Flight Attendants, and Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, and Cargo Agents as bonuses upon the ratification of the labor contract agreements with SWAPA, TWU 556, and TWU 555, respectively, and a $123 million decrease related to the purchase of fuel derivative instruments, which is included within Other, net operating cash flows in the accompanying Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows. Net cash provided by operating activities is primarily used to finance capital expenditures, repay debt, provide Shareholder returns, and provide working capital.
Net cash used in investing activities for 2025 was $1.4 billion, and net cash used in investing activities for 2024 was $261 million. Investing activities in both years included Capital expenditures and changes in the balance of the Company's short-term and noncurrent investments. Capital expenditures, net were $2.7 billion for 2025, compared with $2.1 billion in the same prior year period, and increased year-over-year largely due to an increase in payments for scheduled aircraft deliveries. Capital expenditures during 2024 included approximately $22 million associated with the Company's purchase of finance leased aircraft. The Company also raised $871 million in 2024 from the sale-leaseback of 35 aircraft. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company estimates its 2026 net capital spending to be in the range of $3.0 billion to $3.5 billion based on its expectation of 66 -8 aircraft deliveries in 2026, with the remainder representing non-aircraft capital spending, partially offset by proceeds from planned fleet sales. The Company's opportunities to lower net capital spending from its fleet monetization strategy are dependent on aircraft market conditions and Boeing's ability to deliver aircraft pursuant to the Company's contractual order book.
Net cash used in financing activities for 2025 was $4.7 billion, and net cash used in financing activities for 2024 was $2.0 billion. During the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, the Company paid $399 million in cash dividends to Shareholders related to the first, second, and third quarter 2025 and fourth quarter 2024 declarations. Additionally, the Company expended $2.6 billion to repurchase the Company's outstanding common stock through authorized share repurchases during the twelve months ended December 31, 2025. The Company may engage in early debt repurchases from time to time at its discretion; however, no potential early future repurchases are included in the Company's current maturities of long-term debt as of December 31, 2025. During 2025, the Company repaid the Convertible Notes, the PSP1 Payroll Support Program loan, and the PSP2 Payroll Support Program loan in the amounts of $1.6 billion, $976 million, and $566 million, respectively. During fourth quarter 2025, the Company made an early partial prepayment of the PSP3 Payroll Support Program loan in the amount of $100 million utilizing available cash on hand. Additionally, during 2025 the Company issued $750 million senior unsecured notes due 2035 and $750 million senior unsecured notes due 2028. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's debt repayments, issuances, and future debt maturities. The Company paid $430 million in cash dividends to Shareholders and repaid $1.3 billion in debt and finance lease obligations during the year ended December 31, 2024.
The Company repurchased $2.6 billion of its common stock in 2025 through a series of accelerated share repurchase programs, completing its September 2024 $2.5 billion authorization and leaving $1.7 billion remaining under its July 2025 $2.0 billion authorization as of December 31, 2025. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements
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for further information on the Company's share repurchases. These purchases were recorded as treasury share repurchases for purposes of calculating earnings per share. Under a forward contract entered into by the Company with a third-party financial institution in fourth quarter 2025, the Company committed $750 million for an Accelerated Share Repurchase Program (“ASR”) to be completed in January 2026 (the "January 2026 ASR Program"). On January 2, 2026, the Company paid $750 million and, upon settlement, the third-party financial institution delivered 17,965,193 shares of the Company’s common stock to the Company. Upon completion of the January 2026 ASR, the Company had $950 million remaining under its July 2025 $2.0 billion share repurchase authorization. The Company also entered into another agreement to repurchase $400 million of its outstanding common stock through an ASR program entered into in January 2026 (the "First Quarter 2026 ASR Program") under its current $2.0 billion authorization. Final settlement is scheduled to occur by the end of April 2026, and the Company will have $550 million remaining under its $2.0 billion authorization. Subject to certain conditions, repurchases may be made in accordance with applicable securities laws in open market or private, including accelerated repurchase transactions from time to time, depending on market conditions.
A discussion of the Company's most significant drivers impacting cash flow for 2023 are included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, under Part II Item 7, Liquidity and Capital Resources.
The Company is a "well-known seasoned issuer" and currently has an effective shelf registration statement registering an indeterminate amount of debt and equity securities for future sales. The Company currently intends to use the proceeds from any future securities sales off this shelf registration statement for general corporate purposes.
Additional detail regarding the Company's available liquidity is provided in the table below.
| (in millions) | December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 3,231 | $ | 7,509 | ||
| Short-term investments | — | 1,216 | ||||
| Undrawn facilities | 1,500 | 1,000 | ||||
| Total available liquidity | 4,731 | $ | 9,725 |
On July 22, 2025, the Company exercised the accordion feature under its amended and restated revolving credit facility (the "Amended Credit Agreement"), increasing the size of the facility to $1.5 billion. As of December 31, 2025, the Company had access to $1.5 billion under the Amended Credit Agreement, which expires in August 2028. There were no amounts outstanding under the Amended Credit Agreement as of December 31, 2025. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
As of December 31, 2025, the Company carried a working capital deficit of approximately $5 billion, in which its current liabilities exceed its current assets. This is common within the airline industry and is primarily due to the nature of the Air traffic liability account, which is related to advance ticket sales, unused flight credits available to Customers, and loyalty deferred revenue, which are performance obligations for future Customer flights, do not require future settlement in cash, and are mostly nonrefundable. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company believes it has various options available to meet its capital and operating commitments, including unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $3.2 billion as of December 31, 2025, and anticipated future internally generated funds from operations. The Company regularly evaluates its capital structure to efficiently manage financial risks, liquidity access, and cost of capital. The Company may consider, from time-to-time, additional financing arrangements, including secured or unsecured debt, as appropriate. The Company continues to have a large base of unencumbered aircraft and other related assets with a net book value of approximately $17.0 billion. In addition, the Company continues to maintain investment-grade credit ratings by all three major credit agencies (Moody's, S&P Global, and Fitch). As of December 31, 2025, the Company had the following corporate credit ratings:
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| Moody's | S&P Global | Fitch | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines Co. | Baa2 | BBB | BBB+ |
The Company's capital allocation framework supports its continued commitment to a strong and efficient investment-grade balance sheet. The Company is currently targeting liquidity of approximately $4.5 billion, comprised of cash and cash equivalents, short-term investments, and a revolving credit line, which was recently increased to $1.5 billion. The Company will also target leverage in the range of 1.0 times to 2.5 times, which it calculates as adjusted debt to adjusted EBITDAR.
The following discussion includes various short-term and long-term material cash requirements from known contractual and other obligations, but does not include amounts that are contingent upon events or other factors that are uncertain or unknown at this time. Given the Company's current liquidity position, available resources, and prevailing outlook, it expects to be able to fulfill both its short-term and long-term material cash requirements. The amounts disclosed are based on various estimates, including estimates regarding the timing of payments, prevailing interest rates, volumes purchased, the occurrence of certain events and other factors. Accordingly, the actual results may vary materially from the amounts discussed herein.
Debt
As detailed in Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, in connection with the major negative impact of COVID-19 on air carriers, the Company received significant financial assistance from the United States Department of the Treasury ("Treasury") in the form of payroll support, and this assistance had a significant impact on the Company's reported GAAP financial results through 2021. During 2025, cash flows were impacted through the early repayment of payroll support loans. The Company has approximately $426 million in such loans that will have to be repaid to Treasury in future periods.
See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail on the Company's debt and the timing of expected and future principal payments. The Company also has significant future obligations associated with fixed interest payments associated with its debt. As of December 31, 2025, future interest payments associated with its fixed rate unsecured notes were $162 million in 2026, $104 million in 2027, $46 million in 2028, $13 million in 2029, and $7 million in 2030. During fourth quarter 2025, the Company issued $750 million 4.375 percent senior unsecured notes due 2028 and $750 million 5.25 percent senior unsecured notes due 2035. The Company entered into a fixed-to-floating interest rate swap to convert the interest on the 5.25 percent senior unsecured notes due 2035 to a floating rate until their maturity. As of December 31, 2025, based on prevailing forward market interest rates, future interest payments associated with its floating rate unsecured notes were $41 million in 2026, $37 million in 2027, $38 million in 2028, $40 million in 2029, $41 million in 2030, and $223 million thereafter.
Leases
The Company enters into leases for aircraft, airports and other real property, and other types of equipment in the normal course of business. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail.
Aircraft purchase commitments
The Company is required to make cash deposits toward the purchase of aircraft in advance. These deposits are classified as Deposits on flight equipment purchase contracts in the Consolidated Balance Sheet until the aircraft is delivered, at which time deposits previously made are deducted from the final purchase price of aircraft and are reclassified as Flight equipment. See Part I, Item 2 for a complete table of the Company's contractual firm deliveries and options for -7 and -8 aircraft, and Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the financial commitments related to these firm deliveries.
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Other
The Company's other material cash requirements primarily consist of outlays associated with normal operating expenses of the airline, including payroll, fuel, airport costs, etc. While many of these expenses are variable in nature, some of the expenditures can be somewhat fixed in the short-term due to the lead-time involved in publishing the Company's flight schedule in advance and providing for resources to be available to operate those schedules.
The Company has a large net deferred tax liability on its Consolidated Balance Sheet. The deferral of income taxes has resulted in a significant benefit to the Company and its liquidity position. Since the Company purchases the majority of the aircraft it acquires, it has been able to utilize accelerated depreciation methods (including bonus depreciation) available under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, in 2025 and in previous years, which has enabled the Company to accelerate cash tax benefits of depreciation. Based on the Company’s scheduled future aircraft deliveries from Boeing and existing tax laws in effect, the Company will continue to accelerate the cash income tax benefits related to aircraft purchases. The Company has federal and state operating loss carryforwards of $504 million and $66 million (tax-effected), respectively, to reduce taxable income in future periods. See Note 14 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. The Company has paid in the past, and will continue to pay in the future, cash taxes to the various taxing jurisdictions where it operates. The Company expects to be able to continue to meet such obligations utilizing cash and investments on hand, as well as cash generated from its ongoing operations.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
The Company’s Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company’s significant accounting policies are described in Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires the Company’s management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying footnotes. The Company’s estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience and changes in the business environment. However, actual results may differ from estimates under different conditions, sometimes materially. Critical accounting policies and estimates are defined as those that both (i) are most important to the portrayal of the Company’s financial condition and results and (ii) require management’s most subjective judgments. The Company’s critical accounting policies and estimates are described below.
Revenue Recognition
Tickets sold for Passenger air travel are initially deferred as Air traffic liability. Passenger revenue is recognized and Air traffic liability is reduced when the service is provided (i.e., when the flight takes place). Air traffic liability primarily represents tickets sold for future travel dates, flight credits that are expected to be used in the future, and loyalty program benefits that are expected to be redeemed in the future. Air traffic liability typically fluctuates throughout the year based on seasonal travel patterns, fare sale activity, and activity associated with the Company’s loyalty program. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for information about the Company's revenue recognition policies.
For air travel on Southwest, the amount of tickets (which includes flight credits—also referred to as partial tickets) that will go unused, referred to as breakage, is estimated and recognized in Passenger revenue once the scheduled flight date has passed, in proportion to the pattern of rights exercised by the Customer, in accordance with Accounting Standards Codification 606, Revenue From Contracts With Customers ("ASC 606"). Estimating the amount of tickets that will ultimately go unused involves some level of subjectivity and judgment. A significant amount of the Company's tickets sold are nonrefundable, although flight credits created when a Customer cancels or modifies an existing flight itinerary can be applied towards the purchase of future travel. Unused flight credits are the primary source of breakage. Breakage estimates are based on historical experience over many years. Fully refundable tickets rarely go unused.
On July 28, 2022, the Company modified its flight credit policy and announced that all $1.9 billion of unexpired flight credits outstanding as of that date, the majority of which were associated with travel disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, would no longer have an expiration date and thus will be able to be redeemed by Customers indefinitely. This change in policy was considered a contract modification under ASC 606 and the Company accounted for such change prospectively in third quarter 2022. Based on actual Customer redemptions of these flight credits throughout 2024, as well as projected redemptions beyond 2024, the Company determined a reversal of a portion of this prior breakage revenue in the amount of $116 million was warranted in fourth quarter 2024. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding this adjustment and Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding these extended flight credits. As of December 31, 2025, redemptions of these extended flight credits had declined to an immaterial amount on a monthly basis and the Company has determined that future redemptions of these credits will be immaterial.
On May 28, 2025, the Company again modified its flight credit policy. However, flight credits issued between July 28, 2022, and May 27, 2025 (including those issued subsequent to May 27, 2025, but which related to travel that had already been booked as of that date), do not have an expiration date. For non-expiring flight credits issued during this period, the Company has also been recording breakage for the amount of such flight credits that it does not expect to be redeemed. However, redemptions of these credits are expected to continue for an extended period of time into the future. Although the Company does not currently expect to incur significant breakage adjustments associated with this population of flight credits in future periods, Customer behavior could be different than expected and from prior experience and could thus result in future adjustments, including by a material amount. For every hypothetical one percentage point change in redemption and/or breakage amounts versus what has been
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already recorded associated with these non-expiring flight credits, it would lead to an approximate $79 million change in Passenger revenues.
The majority of flight credits created from reservations booked and ticketed or voluntarily changed on or after May 28, 2025, have a specified expiration date of one year or less, depending on the type of fare purchased. However, with the launch of the new Getaways by Southwest™ ("Getaways") product, the Company has begun to issue vacation travel credits for cancelled bookings, with an 18-month expiration period from the original booking date. The Company is also recording breakage for such credits with expiration dates to the extent it expects them to not be redeemed prior to expiration. Through December 31, 2025, based on actual redemptions and redemption patterns exhibited by Customers thus far, the Company believes its breakage estimates are materially accurate and does not expect future material adjustments associated with these flight credits.
Assumptions about Customer behavior are reviewed frequently and corresponding adjustments are made to breakage estimates, as needed, when observed behaviors differ from historical experience or expectations. Assumptions about Customer behavior can be impacted by several factors including, but not limited to: fare increases, fare sales, changes to the Company's ticketing policies, changes to the Company’s refund, exchange, and unused flight credit policies, seat availability, and economic factors. Although the Company’s process for estimating breakage has been consistently applied from year to year, it continues to update and refine its analysis and techniques to take into consideration the differing attributes of flight credits as the Company's policies have changed over time. As with any estimates, actual ticket breakage may vary from estimated amounts.
Loyalty Accounting
The Company utilizes estimates in the recognition of revenues and liabilities associated with its loyalty program. These estimates primarily include the liability associated with Rapid Rewards loyalty member ("Member") account balances that are expected to be redeemed for travel or other products at a future date. Loyalty account balances include points earned through flights taken, points sold to Customers, or points earned through business partners participating in the loyalty program.
Under the Southwest Rapid Rewards loyalty program, Members earn points for every dollar spent on eligible Southwest fare purchases. The amount of points earned under the program is based on the fare amount and fare type, with higher fare types (e.g., Choice Extra) earning more points than lower fare types (e.g., Basic). Each fare type is associated with a points earning multiplier, and points for flights are calculated by multiplying the fare amount for the flight by the fare type multiplier. Likewise, the amount of points required to be redeemed for a flight can vary depending on destination, time, day of travel, demand, fare type, point redemption rate, and other factors, and is subject to change at any time until the booking is confirmed. Under the program, (i) Members are able to redeem their points for every available seat, every day, on every flight, with no blackout dates; and (ii) points do not expire. In addition, Members are able to redeem their points for items other than travel on Southwest Airlines, such as international flights on other airlines, cruises, hotel stays, rental cars, gift cards, event tickets, and more. In addition to earning points for revenue flights and qualifying purchases with Rapid Rewards Partners, Members also have the ability to purchase, gift, and transfer points, as well as the ability to donate points to selected charities.
The Company utilizes the deferred revenue method of accounting for points earned through flights taken in its loyalty program. The Company also sells points and related services to business partners participating in the loyalty program. Liabilities are recorded for the relative standalone selling price of the Rapid Rewards points which are awarded each period. The liabilities recorded represent the total number of points expected to be redeemed by Members, regardless of whether the Members may have enough to qualify for a full travel award. As of December 31, 2025, the loyalty liabilities were approximately $4.3 billion, including $3.1 billion classified within Air traffic liability and $1.2 billion classified as Air traffic liability – noncurrent.
In order to determine the value of each loyalty point, certain assumptions must be made at the time of measurement, which include an allocation of passenger revenue between the flight and loyalty points earned by passengers, and the fair value of Rapid Rewards points, which are generally based on their redemption value to the Customer. See
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Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on determining the estimated fair value of each loyalty point.
The majority of the points sold to business partners are through the Southwest co-branded credit card agreement ("Agreement") with Chase. Consideration received as part of this Agreement is subject to ASC 606. For periods presented in the Consolidated Financial Statements, the most recent instance in which the Agreement was amended was in 2025. The Company and Chase amended the co-brand credit card agreement in the first quarter of 2025 to extend the term of the agreement and add enhanced airline benefits for Cardmembers associated with the Company's planned assigned seating and premium seating initiative, and again in the second quarter of 2025 to add benefits to Cardmembers related to the Company's changes in its checked bag policy that went into effect on May 28, 2025. Agreements with Chase have the following multiple elements: travel points to be awarded, use of the Southwest Airlines’ brand and access to Rapid Rewards Member lists, advertising elements, the use of the Company’s resource team, and other airline benefits. These elements are combined into three performance obligations: transportation, marketing, and airline benefits, and consideration from the Agreement is allocated based on the relative selling price of each performance obligation.
Significant management judgment was used to estimate the selling price of each of the performance obligations in the Agreement at inception, including each time in which the Agreement has been materially amended. The objective is to determine the price at which the Company would transact a sale if the product or service was sold on a stand-alone basis. The Company determines the best estimate of selling price by considering multiple inputs and methods including, but not limited to, the estimated selling price of comparable travel, discounted cash flows, brand value, published selling prices, number of points awarded, and the number of points redeemed. The Company estimates the selling prices and volumes over the term of the Agreement in order to determine the allocation of proceeds to each of the multiple performance obligations. The Company records revenue related to air transportation when the travel is delivered, revenue related to marketing elements when the performance obligations related to those services are satisfied, which is generally the same period consideration is received from Chase, and revenue related to airline benefits when they are provided. A hypothetical one percent increase or decrease in the Company's estimate of the standalone selling prices, implemented as of January 1, 2025, causing a change to the allocation of proceeds to air transportation would not have had a material impact on the Company's Operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025.
Under its current program, Southwest estimates the portion of loyalty points that will not be redeemed. In estimating breakage revenue, the Company takes into account the Member’s past behavior, as well as several factors related to the Member’s account that are expected to be indicative of the likelihood of future point redemption. These factors are typically representative of a Member’s level of engagement in the loyalty program. They include, but are not limited to, tenure with the program, points accrued in the program, and points redeemed in the program. The Company believes it has obtained sufficient historical behavioral data to develop a predictive statistical model to analyze the amount of breakage expected for all loyalty points. The Company updates this model at least annually, and applies the new breakage rates effective October 1 each year, or more frequently if required by changes in the business. Changes in the breakage rates applied annually in recent years have not had a material impact on Passenger revenues. For the year ended December 31, 2025, based on actual redemptions of points sold to business partners and earned through flights, a hypothetical one percentage point change in the estimated breakage rate would have resulted in a change to Passenger revenue of approximately $256 million (an increase in breakage would have resulted in an increase in revenue and a decrease in breakage would have resulted in a decrease in revenue). Given that Member behavior may fluctuate over time, the Company expects the current estimates may change in future periods. However, the Company believes its current estimates are reasonable given current facts and circumstances.
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MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000092380-25-000024.
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
YEAR IN REVIEW
The Company had a record full year 2024 revenue performance, producing operating revenues of $27.5 billion, due to continued demand strength and the benefits from the execution of tactical actions related to initiatives announced by the Company in 2024 designed to elevate the Customer Experience on its flights, improve financial performance, and drive Shareholder value. Additional drivers included record ancillary revenue and passengers carried.
During 2024, the Company continued to return value to its Shareholders. The Company returned $680 million to Shareholders through $430 million in dividend payments and $250 million through an accelerated share repurchase program entered into by the Company with a third party financial institution in fourth quarter 2024. The Company subsequently received 6.8 million shares of common stock in October 2024, representing an estimated 80 percent of the shares to be purchased by the Company under the Fourth Quarter 2024 ASR Program, and an additional one million shares in January 2025 in final settlement of the Fourth Quarter 2024 ASR Program. The number of shares that the Company ultimately repurchased under the Fourth Quarter 2024 ASR Program was determined based generally on a discount to the volume-weighted average price per share of the Company's common stock during a
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calculation period completed in January 2025. See "Liquidity and Capital Resources" below for further information on the Company's 2024 share repurchases. The Company has $2.25 billion remaining under its September 2024 $2.5 billion share repurchase authorization. On December 5, 2024, the Company announced its intention to launch a $750 million accelerated share repurchase program in first quarter 2025. See Part II, Item 5 for further information on the Company's share repurchase authorizations.
The Company recorded results for 2024 and 2023, on an accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP") and non-GAAP basis, as noted in the following tables. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | Year ended December 31, | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP | 2024 | 2023 | Change | |||||||
| Operating income | $ | 321 | $ | 224 | 43.3 | |||||
| Net income | $ | 465 | $ | 465 | — | |||||
| Net income per share, diluted | $ | 0.76 | $ | 0.76 | — | |||||
| Non-GAAP | ||||||||||
| Operating income | $ | 457 | $ | 893 | (48.8) | |||||
| Net income | $ | 597 | $ | 980 | (39.1) | |||||
| Net income per share, diluted | $ | 0.96 | $ | 1.56 | (38.5) |
The Company's financial results, as shown above on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2024 versus the year ended December 31, 2023, were affected by higher salaries, wages, and benefits expense, partially offset by lower Fuel and oil expense, primarily driven by lower jet fuel prices. On a GAAP basis, the Company’s results for the year ended December 31, 2024, included a reversal of $116 million of breakage revenue recorded in prior years related to a portion of flight credits issued to Customers during 2022 and prior that have either been redeemed or are expected to be redeemed in future periods. The majority of these flight credits were issued during the COVID-19 pandemic as the Company was making significant changes to its flight schedules based on fluctuating demand. This adjustment was treated as a special item and excluded from the Company's presentation of non-GAAP results. On a GAAP basis, the Company's results for the year ended December 31, 2023 included incremental expense of $180 million for changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company's Flight Attendants as part of a tentative agreement reached in October 2023 and an incremental expense of $354 million for changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company's Pilots as part of a tentative agreement reached in December 2023, both of which were treated as special items and excluded from the Company's presentation of non-GAAP results. Additionally, due to the December 2022 operational disruption, as described below, the financial results on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2023 included a negative financial impact of approximately $380 million on a pre-tax basis in first quarter 2023 and, on a GAAP basis, a $107 million charge on a pre-tax basis for the Department of Transportation ("DOT") settlement in fourth quarter 2023. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
In late December 2022, the Company experienced a wide-scale operational disruption as extreme winter weather across a significant portion of the United States impacted its operational plan and flight schedules. This disruption and subsequent recovery efforts resulted in the cancellation of more than 16,700 flights during the period from December 21 through December 31, 2022. For first quarter 2023, these events also created a deceleration in bookings, largely isolated to January and February 2023, as well as additional expenses primarily in the form of reimbursing Customers for costs incurred as a result of the flight cancellations. The financial impact of this disruption on first quarter 2023 results was approximately $380 million on a pre-tax basis. Other than a fourth quarter 2023 charge associated with a DOT settlement of $107 million, there were no material impacts to operating
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revenues or expenses as a result of this disruption beyond first quarter 2023. See Note 1 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Operating Statistics
The Company provides the operating data below for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023 because these statistics are commonly used in the airline industry and, therefore, allow readers to compare the Company’s performance against its results for the prior year period, as well as against the performance of the Company’s peers.
| Year ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | Change | |||||||||
| Operating Data: | |||||||||||
| Revenue passengers carried (000s) | 140,023 | 137,279 | 2.0 | % | |||||||
| Enplaned passengers (000s) | 175,466 | 171,817 | 2.1 | % | |||||||
| Revenue passenger miles (RPMs) (in millions)(a) | 142,515 | 136,256 | 4.6 | % | |||||||
| Available seat miles (ASMs) (in millions)(b) | 177,250 | 170,323 | 4.1 | % | |||||||
| Load factor(c) | 80.4 | % | 80.0 | % | 0.4 pts. | ||||||
| Average length of passenger haul (miles) | 1,018 | 993 | 2.5 | % | |||||||
| Average aircraft stage length (miles) | 763 | 730 | 4.5 | % | |||||||
| Trips flown | 1,443,866 | 1,459,427 | (1.1) | % | |||||||
| Seats flown (000s)(d) | 230,187 | 231,409 | (0.5) | % | |||||||
| Seats per trip(e) | 159.4 | 158.6 | 0.5 | % | |||||||
| Average passenger fare(k) | $ | 178.40 | $ | 172.18 | 3.6 | % | |||||
| Passenger revenue yield per RPM (cents)(f)(k) | 17.53 | 17.35 | 1.0 | % | |||||||
| Operating revenues per ASM (cents)(g)(k) | 15.51 | 15.32 | 1.2 | % | |||||||
| Passenger revenue per ASM (cents)(h)(k) | 14.09 | 13.88 | 1.5 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents)(i) | 15.32 | 15.19 | 0.9 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel (cents) | 12.05 | 11.54 | 4.4 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel and profitsharing (cents) | 11.99 | 11.47 | 4.5 | % | |||||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax | $ | 2.64 | $ | 2.89 | (8.7) | % | |||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax, economic | $ | 2.66 | $ | 2.89 | (8.0) | % | |||||
| Fuel consumed, in gallons (millions) | 2,194 | 2,143 | 2.4 | % | |||||||
| Active full-time equivalent Employees | 72,450 | 74,806 | (3.1) | % | |||||||
| Aircraft at end of period(j) | 803 | 817 | (1.7) | % |
(a)A revenue passenger mile is one paying passenger flown one mile. Also referred to as "traffic," which is a measure of demand for a given period.
(b)An available seat mile is one seat (empty or full) flown one mile. Also referred to as "capacity," which is a measure of the space available to carry passengers in a given period.
(c)Revenue passenger miles divided by available seat miles.
(d)Seats flown is calculated using total number of seats available by aircraft type multiplied by the total trips flown by the same aircraft type during a particular period.
(e)Seats per trip is calculated by dividing seats flown by trips flown.
(f)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by revenue passenger miles. Also referred to as "yield," this is the average cost paid by a paying passenger to fly one mile, which is a measure of revenue production and fares.
(g)Calculated as operating revenues divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "operating unit revenues" or "RASM," this is a measure of operating revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
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(h)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "passenger unit revenues," this is a measure of passenger revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(i)Calculated as operating expenses divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "unit costs" or "cost per available seat mile" or "CASM," this is the average cost to fly an aircraft seat (empty or full) one mile, which is a measure of cost efficiencies.
(j)Included three Boeing 737 Next Generation aircraft in temporary storage as of December 31, 2024.
(k)The 2024 Passenger and Operating revenue metrics include the impact of the $116 million breakage revenue adjustment recorded as a change in estimate and reduction in Passenger revenue during fourth quarter 2024. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
2025 Outlook
The following tables provide selected financial guidance for first quarter 2025, as well as select full year 2025 guidance and 2027 targets, as applicable:
| 1Q 2025 Estimation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RASM (a), year-over-year | Up 5% to 7% | ||
| ASMs (b), year-over-year | Down 2% to 3% | ||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon (c) (d) | $2.50 to $2.60 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $0.07 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $— | ||
| ASMs per gallon (fuel efficiency) | 81 to 83 | ||
| CASM-X (e), year-over-year (c) (f) | Up 7% to 9% | ||
| Scheduled debt repayments (millions) | ~$5 | ||
| Interest expense (millions) | ~$45 |
| 2025 Estimation | 2027 Targets | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating margin, excluding special items (c) (g) | 3% to 5% | ≥ 10% | |
| Return on invested capital ("ROIC") after-tax (h) (i) | 5% to 8% | ≥ 15% | |
| ASMs (b), year-over-year | Up 1% to 2% | Up 1% to 2% |
(a) Operating revenue per available seat mile ("RASM" or "unit revenues").
(b) Available seat miles ("ASMs" or "capacity"). The Company currently expects second quarter 2025 capacity to increase in the range of 1 percent to 2 percent, year-over-year.
(c) See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information on special items. In addition, information regarding special items and economic results is included in the accompanying table Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Items (also referred to as "excluding special items").
(d) Based on the Company's existing fuel derivative contracts and market prices as of January 21, 2025, first quarter 2025 economic fuel costs per gallon are estimated to be in the range of $2.50 to $2.60. Economic fuel cost projections do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate the hedge accounting impact associated with the volatility of the energy markets, or the impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
(e) Operating expenses per available seat mile, excluding fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing ("CASM-X").
(f) Projections do not reflect the potential impact of fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate those items or expenses or their impact to its financial statements in future periods, especially considering the significant volatility of the fuel and oil expense line item. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for these projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort.
(g) Operating margin, excluding special items, is calculated as operating income, excluding special items, divided by operating revenues, excluding special items. Projections and targets do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate those items or expenses or their impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for these projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort.
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(h) See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information on ROIC. In addition, information regarding ROIC and economic results is included in the accompanying table Non-GAAP Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). Projections and targets do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate those items or expenses or their impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for these projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort.
(i) The Company estimates its full year 2025 effective tax rate to be in the range of 22 percent to 24 percent.
The Company expects first quarter 2025 RASM to increase in the range of 5 percent to 7 percent, year-over-year. The expected year-over-year improvement is driven primarily by a focus on capacity rationalization and the Company's continued focus on the execution of its tactical initiatives. The Company also anticipates continued strength in the demand environment.
The Company currently expects its first quarter 2025 CASM-X to increase in the range of 7 percent to 9 percent, year-over-year, driven primarily by the continuation of inflationary pressures, including those associated with labor contracts ratified in 2024, and from capacity moderation efforts. Year-over-year unit cost trends are expected to improve throughout the year as labor comparisons ease, efficiency initiatives generate modest capacity growth, and cost plan benefits are aggressively pursued. Based on its current plan, the Company expects to exit 2025 with year-over-year CASM-X growth in the low-single digits. Improving cost performance is a key focus. The Company is urgently working to accelerate and exceed the $500 million cost initiative announced at its 2024 Investor Day to help mitigate cost inflation by minimizing hiring, optimizing scheduling efficiency, capitalizing on supply chain opportunities, and aggressively improving corporate overhead.
Company Overview
As part of the Company's ongoing modernization efforts, during 2024, the Company announced several new initiatives designed to elevate the Customer Experience on its flights, improve financial performance, and drive Shareholder value. As part of its ongoing focus on product evolution, the Company is moving forward with plans to assign seats, offer premium seating options, redesign the boarding model, and introduce redeye (i.e., overnight) flying. The Company has been known for its open seating model for more than 50 years, which was unique in the airline industry and has been popular with Southwest Customers for decades. Open seating served the Company well as a primarily short-haul carrier. The open seating design, combined with historically lower load factors, contributed to the efficiency of turning aircraft quickly. The Company’s low-cost model enabled low fares and, combined with great Customer Service, allowed the Company to grow across the country and eventually become the nation’s largest domestic carrier.
However, as the domestic travel market has matured and structural changes have reduced the demand for short-haul travel, especially post-pandemic, the Company has increased its proportion of longer-haul flights. The importance of having an assigned seat grows among Customers as the length of flight gets longer. In addition, Customer travel frequency and preferences have evolved—for both frequent flyers, as well as those of more infrequent travelers who are not accustomed to the open seating policy currently utilized by the Company—especially as Southwest has opened several new markets and expanded its route network during the past few years. The Company has continually monitored Customer feedback regarding seating preferences for decades, and Customer travel patterns and preferences have evolved and a seat assignment is generally preferred. Recent research conducted by the Company indicates that a vast majority of both existing Southwest Customers and potential Customers prefer an assigned seat, which supports the Company’s decision to now evolve its boarding and seating processes. In addition to assigning seats, the Company plans to offer a premium, extended legroom portion of the cabin that research shows many Customers also prefer. The Company expects to offer extended legroom, in-line with that offered by industry peers on narrowbody aircraft.
The decision to update the seating and boarding model is part of the Company's continued modernization and Customer Experience transformation. Following a Customer study regarding the inflight experience, the Company has continued to enhance its onboard offerings during the past two years with both completed and ongoing
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improvements being made, such as faster WiFi, in-seat power, and larger overhead bins. Work is well underway on a refreshed cabin design, including new, more comfortable RECARO seats.
The move to assigned and premium seating will be a significant undertaking by the Company. In addition to incorporating new technologies and procedures for a seamless transition, the new cabin layout will require approvals from the FAA. The Company currently expects to make assigned seat and extended legroom bookings available in the second half of 2025, with related flights occurring in the first half of 2026. The Company also announced it is adding 24-hour operation capabilities with the introduction of redeye flights. Booking of redeye flying on initial routes became available starting July 25, 2024 through Southwest.com, with the first redeye flights scheduled on February 13, 2025 in five initial nonstop markets: Las Vegas to Baltimore and Orlando; Los Angeles to Baltimore and Nashville; and Phoenix to Baltimore.
These and other initiatives are designed to improve the Company’s financial performance and metrics, including return on invested capital and operating margins, over the next three years. The Company plans to continue to focus on the following tactical initiatives: Continual network optimization and maturation; Marketing and distribution evolution; and Revenue management maturation. Continual network optimization and maturation includes (i) reduced short-haul flying and redistributing resources to long-haul flying in profitable markets, (ii) reduced flying on weekdays with lower travel demand, (iii) restructured service and network connectivity in stations with lower demand, and (iv) taking a cross-functional, methodical approach to market maturation efforts. Marketing and distribution evolution includes (i) a new advertising campaign to highlight the unique, flexible value Southwest offers and target a new generation of travelers, (ii) partnerships with flight search engines, including Google Flights, Kayak, and Skyscanner intended to increase visibility and drive traffic for bookings to Southwest.com, and (iii) creating the option for Customers to use a combination of cash and Rapid Rewards® points to pay for travel, providing more ways to take advantage of the Company's loyalty program. Revenue management maturation efforts include (i) refinements to the Company's revenue management system, designed to achieve better, more customized results based on the Company's primarily domestic network, (ii) additional staffing to the Company's Revenue Management team to support focusing on driving results, and (iii) recalibrating probability curves, which are expected to improve yields by capturing more demand at higher fares.
The Company has also summarized recently announced strategic initiatives into three broad categories: Monetize the Company's value proposition; Increase efficiency and lower costs; and Optimize capital allocation.
Monetize the Customer value proposition
In addition to the assigned seating and extended legroom changes discussed above, the Company also plans to offer an in-house vacation package product to Customers beginning in 2025 called “Getaways by Southwest”, versus the outsourced product it has historically offered. This new vacation booking platform is expected to be designed to allow the Company to appeal directly to its significant existing Customer base with an enhanced offering that includes both lodging and excursions, which is expected to drive growth with leisure travelers and grow higher-margin revenues with a relatively low capital and headcount investment. The Company also announced it will pursue partnerships with other airlines in order to further expand the reach of the Company’s network and connect Customers with more global destinations to generate additional demand. The Company launched its first such partnership in first quarter 2025 with transatlantic connectivity with Icelandair and plans to add at least one more partner during 2025.
Increase efficiency and lower costs
In addition to the aforementioned introduction of redeye flights, which is designed to maximize or increase asset utilization, another one of the Company's efficiency initiatives includes investments that will decrease the amount of time it takes to turn an aircraft (unload Passengers from an arriving flight and load Passengers on the same aircraft for its subsequent flight). Examples of such investments include moving to a fully digital (i.e., paperless) process, improved communication tools for Employees, and better visual and real-time information to assist both Customers and Employees. These efforts are rolling out and are expected to be fully implemented in November 2025. These initiatives are expected to result in a lowering of unit costs, as the Company is expected to be able to generate either the same number of ASMs with fewer aircraft, or produce more ASMs utilizing the same number of aircraft in its
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fleet, respectively. The Company also continues to invest in various technologies and digital products designed to improve the Customer travel experience. In addition, the Company is targeting other cost initiatives that are expected to result in savings, including minimizing hiring in order to right-size staffing to current operations and match the Company’s lower expected growth rates in the near term, capitalizing on identified supply chain opportunities, and improving its corporate efficiency through automation and better allocation of resources. These and other initiatives are currently expected to deliver more than $500 million in annual cost savings by 2027.
Optimize capital allocation
In addition, the Company intends to focus on prudent capital deployment by minimizing fleet capital expenditures, continuing to invest in infrastructure, managing debt levels, and providing returns to Shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The Company continues to have favorable pricing in its order book with Boeing for new 737 MAX aircraft that allows additional flexibility in being able to replace certain aircraft in its existing fleet, given current market conditions, with more fuel efficient and less-maintenance intensive models over the near term. The Company has pursued, and plans to continue to pursue, opportunities to take advantage of current market conditions through the sale and/or sale-leaseback of certain aircraft, with the intention of replacing most, if not all, of such aircraft with new MAX aircraft from Boeing by the end of 2031, assuming that Boeing is able to meet aircraft delivery expectations. As a result of these efforts, the Company’s expected net fleet capital expenditures during the near term are expected to moderate significantly from recent levels, with the added benefit of further accelerating the modernization of its fleet. The Company also intends to preserve the strength of its balance sheet with manageable debt maturities, with the goal of retaining investment-grade ratings. Finally, the Company intends to return value back to its Shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and will continually review its return of capital program based in large part upon the Company's free cash flow and leverage, and fleet monetization strategy, taking into account potential impacts to its investment grade ratings.
Through these initiatives, the Company expects to return to historical levels of financial performance in which its return on invested capital exceeds its weighted-average cost of capital. The targets the Company has set through 2027 include the following:
•Annual capacity growth in the range of one to two percent, year-over-year, beginning in 2025
•Annual Operating margins of at least 10 percent, in 2027
•Free cash flow exceeding $1 billion per year in 2027
•Return on invested capital, after-tax, of at least 15 percent in 2027
•Financial leverage in the low to mid 30’s percent range in 2027
•Continue to maintain an investment-grade credit rating
The Company's Board of Directors (“the Board”) received a letter dated June 10, 2024, from Elliott Investment Management L.P. ("Elliott") stating that Elliott had made an investment of approximately $1.9 billion in the Company, representing an approximately 11 percent economic interest in the Company, and advocating for changes to the Company's management, the Board, and the Company's corporate strategy. On October 23, 2024 (the "Effective Date"), the Company entered into a Cooperation Agreement (the "Cooperation Agreement") with Elliott, Elliott Associates, L.P., Elliott International, L.P., and The Liverpool Limited Partnership. Pursuant to the Cooperation Agreement, the Company agreed to, among other things, (i) appoint David Cush, Sarah Feinberg, David Grissen, Gregg Saretsky and Patricia Watson (collectively, the “Cooperation Agreement Directors”) to the Board, effective 11:59 p.m. Central Time on November 1, 2024, each with an initial term expiring at the 2025 Annual Meeting; (ii) announce that two incumbent Directors as of the Effective Date will not stand for re-election to the Board at the 2025 Annual Meeting; and (iii) include the Cooperation Agreement Directors, together with the other persons recommended by the Board, in the Company’s slate of nominees for election as a Director at the 2025 Annual Meeting. On July 7, 2024, the Board appointed Rakesh Gangwal to the Board, and on September 26, 2024, the Company announced the addition of Robert L. Fornaro to the Board.
Pursuant to the Cooperation Agreement, effective 11:59 p.m. Central Time on November 1, 2024, Gary C. Kelly, Executive Chairman of the Board, David W. Biegler, J. Veronica Biggins, Roy Blunt, William H. Cunningham, Thomas W. Gilligan, and Jill A. Soltau each resigned from the Board. None of the departures were due to any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to the Company’s operations, policies, or practices.
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Additionally, the Board appointed Pierre Breber as a member of the Board, effective 11:59 p.m. Central Time on November 1, 2024, with an initial term expiring at the 2025 Annual Meeting. On November 4, 2024, the Company announced the appointment of Rakesh Gangwal as independent Chair of the Board and named new Board Committee Chairs.
The Cooperation Agreement includes certain voting commitments, customary standstill restrictions, and mutual non-disparagement provisions that remain in place until the earlier of (x) the date that is 30 days prior to the notice deadline under the Company's Fourth Amended and Restated Bylaws for the nomination of non-proxy access Director candidates for election to the Board at the Company's 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders and (y) February 14, 2026 (such period, the "Cooperation Period"). The foregoing description of the Cooperation Agreement does not purport to be complete and is qualified in its entirety by reference to the full text of the Cooperation Agreement, which is filed as Exhibit 10.31 to this Form 10-K.
Because of this activist activity, the Company has incurred increased professional advisory fees and other costs related to Shareholder activism matters.
Additionally, in order to provide the Board with time to make informed decisions in the best interests of the Company and its Shareholders, on July 2, 2024, the Board adopted a shareholder rights plan (the "Rights Agreement") and declared a dividend of one right in respect of each of the Company’s issued and outstanding shares of common stock (the “Rights”), which would have caused substantial dilution to any person or group acquiring 12.5 percent or more of the Company’s outstanding common stock without the prior approval of the Board. The Rights Agreement was designed to deter the acquisition of actual, de facto, or negative control of the Company by any person or group without appropriately compensating its Shareholders for that control. On October 25, 2024, pursuant to the Cooperation Agreement, the Company and Equiniti Trust Company, LLC entered into the Amendment to the Rights Agreement, which amended and terminated the Rights Agreement by advancing the expiration time of the Rights to 5:00 p.m., New York City time, on October 25, 2024. At the time of the termination of the Rights Agreement, all of the Rights, which were previously distributed to holders of the Company’s Common Stock, pursuant to the Rights Agreement, expired.
In January 2025, the Company reached an amended co-brand agreement with Chase Bank USA, N.A. ("Chase"). The amendment includes enhanced Cardmember benefits associated with the Company's assigned and premium seating initiative and supports the multi-year financial targets announced at the Company's Investor Day in September 2024.
During 2024, as a result of Boeing's ongoing delivery delays, the Company conservatively re-planned its capacity and delivery expectations for both 2024 and 2025. The Company will continue to closely monitor the ongoing aircraft delivery delays with Boeing and adjust expectations as needed.
The Company ended 2024 with 803 Boeing 737 aircraft, including 245 Boeing 737-8 ("-8") aircraft. During 2024, the Company retired 34 Boeing 737-700 ("-700") aircraft and two Boeing 737-800 ("-800") aircraft and took delivery of 22 -8 aircraft. The Company also completed the sale-leaseback of 35 -800 aircraft in December 2024, and completed the sale-leaseback of an additional -800 aircraft in late January 2025. The Company's order book with Boeing as of January 30, 2025, consists of a total of 496 MAX firm orders (300 Boeing 737-7 ("-7") aircraft and 196 -8 aircraft) for the years 2025 through 2031, including 63 MAX aircraft that were contractually committed for 2024, but were not received, and 176 MAX options (-7s or -8s) for the years 2026 through 2031. The Company is currently using a planning assumption of 38 -8 aircraft deliveries in 2025, which differs from its contractual order book, as Boeing continues to ramp up production and works to certify the -7. This planning assumption supports the Company's plans to retire approximately 51 aircraft in 2025, including 49 -700s and two -800s, ending 2025 with roughly 790 aircraft in its fleet. Based on recent discussions, the Company is optimistic that Boeing can exceed 38 aircraft deliveries in 2025, and plans to use any additional aircraft deliveries to support its fleet monetization and capital allocation strategies. The Company's aircraft delivery and retirement expectations for 2025 and beyond are fluid and subject to Boeing's production capability.
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The Company has published its flight schedule through October 1, 2025. The Company continues to focus on its goals of operational excellence and reliability, regaining efficiencies, increasing productivity, and returning financial margins back to historical levels.
For the year ended December 31, 2024, the Company ended with approximately 72,450 full-time equivalent Employees, which was a reduction of 2,356 full-time equivalent Employees versus year-end 2023. The Company's number of active full-time equivalent Employees decreased primarily through controlled hiring, attrition, and offering voluntary time off programs in order to right-size staffing to current operations and achieve labor cost stability.
As part of its commitment to corporate sustainability, the Company published its 2023 One Report on May 8, 2024. The report describes the Company's sustainability strategies, which include the Company’s fuel conservation and emissions mitigation initiatives and other efforts to minimize greenhouse gas emissions and address other environmental matters such as energy and water conservation, waste minimization, and recycling. Information contained in the Southwest One Report as published from time to time is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Form 10-K. While the Company believes that the disclosures contained in the Southwest One Report and other voluntary disclosures regarding environmental, social, and governance (“ESG”) matters are responsive to various areas of investor interest, the Company believes that certain of these disclosures address matters that are currently not material to the Company’s near-term operations, strategy, financial condition, or financial results, although this view may change in the future based on new information that could materially alter the estimates, assumptions, or timelines used to create these disclosures. Given the estimates, assumptions, and timelines used to create the Southwest One Report and other voluntary disclosures, the materiality of these disclosures is inherently difficult to assess.
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2024 Compared with 2023
The selected financial data presented below is derived from the Company's Consolidated Statement of Income and should be read in conjunction with those financial statements and the related notes thereto.
| Year ended December 31, | Increase (Decrease) | Percent change | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||
| Passenger | $ | 24,980 | $ | 23,637 | $ | 1,343 | 5.7 | ||||||
| Freight | 175 | 175 | — | — | |||||||||
| Other | 2,328 | 2,279 | 49 | 2.2 | |||||||||
| Total operating revenues | $ | 27,483 | $ | 26,091 | $ | 1,392 | 5.3 | ||||||
| Salaries, wages, and benefits | $ | 12,240 | $ | 11,152 | $ | 1,088 | 9.8 | ||||||
| Fuel and oil | 5,812 | 6,217 | (405) | (6.5) | |||||||||
| Maintenance materials and repairs | 1,353 | 1,188 | 165 | 13.9 | |||||||||
| Landing fees and airport rentals | 1,962 | 1,789 | 173 | 9.7 | |||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 1,657 | 1,522 | 135 | 8.9 | |||||||||
| Other operating expenses | 4,138 | 3,999 | 139 | 3.5 | |||||||||
| Total operating expenses | $ | 27,162 | $ | 25,867 | $ | 1,295 | 5.0 |
Operating Revenues
Passenger revenues for 2024 increased by $1.3 billion, or 5.7 percent, compared with 2023, to achieve an all-time full year Company record of $25.0 billion. On a unit basis, Passenger revenues increased 1.5 percent, year-over-year. The dollar increase was primarily due to a 4.1 percent increase in capacity and continued demand strength, combined with strong operational performance and completion factor throughout 2024 versus 2023. For 2024, the year-over-year Passenger revenue yield per ASM increase was primarily driven by strong domestic demand and the realization of benefits from the Company’s execution of tactical actions, such as improving network optimization and capacity rationalization, marketing and distribution evolution, and continued efforts to advance revenue management techniques, particularly during the second half of the year.
Other revenues for 2024 increased by $49 million, or 2.2 percent, compared with 2023. On a dollar basis, the increase was primarily driven by improved retail spend on the Company's co-brand credit cards.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for 2024 increased by $1.3 billion, or 5.0 percent, compared with 2023, and capacity increased 4.1 percent over the same prior year period. A majority of the operating expenses increase was due to higher Salaries, wages, and benefits expense, partially offset by lower Fuel and oil expense. Historically, except for changes in the price of fuel, changes in Operating expenses for airlines have been largely driven by changes in capacity, or ASMs. The following table presents the Company's Operating expenses per ASM for 2024 and 2023, followed by explanations of these changes on a dollar basis.
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| Year ended December 31, | Per ASM | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in cents, except for percentages) | 2024 | 2023 | change | change | |||||||
| Salaries, wages, and benefits | 6.91 | ¢ | 6.55 | ¢ | 0.36 | ¢ | 5.5 | % | |||
| Fuel and oil | 3.27 | 3.65 | (0.38) | (10.4) | |||||||
| Maintenance materials and repairs | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.06 | 8.6 | |||||||
| Landing fees and airport rentals | 1.11 | 1.05 | 0.06 | 5.7 | |||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 0.93 | 0.89 | 0.04 | 4.5 | |||||||
| Other operating expenses | 2.34 | 2.35 | (0.01) | (0.4) | |||||||
| Total | 15.32 | ¢ | 15.19 | ¢ | 0.13 | ¢ | 0.9 | % |
Operating expenses per ASM for 2024 increased by 0.9 percent, compared with 2023. The majority of the year-over-year unit cost increase was driven by higher Salaries, wages, and benefits expense. This was despite the prior year including incremental expense of $180 million in 2023 for changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company's Flight Attendants as part of a tentative agreement reached in October 2023 and an incremental expense of $354 million in 2023 for changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company's Pilots as part of a tentative agreement reached in December 2023. This increase was mostly offset by the decrease in the Company's fuel cost per gallon. Operating expenses per ASM for 2024, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (a non-GAAP financial measure), increased 7.8 percent, year-over-year. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2024 increased by $1.1 billion, or 9.8 percent, compared with 2023. On a per ASM basis, Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2024 increased 5.5 percent, compared with 2023. On a dollar basis, the majority of the increase was due to net step/pay rate increases for certain workgroups (including the ratified labor contracts with the Company's Pilots, Flight Attendants, and Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, and Cargo Agents), and the remainder of the increase was primarily due to various other benefits, including health care coverage and other benefits associated with higher pay rates.
On January 22, 2024, the Company's nearly 11,000 Pilots, represented by Southwest Airlines Pilots Association ("SWAPA"), voted to ratify a five-year contract extension with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in January 2029.
On March 21, 2024, the Company's nearly 18,000 Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, and Cargo Agents, represented by the Transport Workers Union Local 555 ("TWU 555"), voted to ratify a five-year contract extension with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in March 2029.
On April 24, 2024, the Company's nearly 20,000 Flight Attendants, represented by the Transport Workers of America Union Local 556 ("TWU 556"), voted to ratify a four-year contract extension with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in May 2028.
On September 16, 2024, the Company announced its more than 50 Flight Simulator Technicians, represented by the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, had voted to ratify a four-year contract extension with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in September 2028. With this result, as of December 2024, all the Company's collective bargaining labor contracts subject to Section 6 of the Railway Labor Act are closed until October 2026 when the next labor contract becomes amendable. Since October 2022, each of the 12 union-represented workgroups, which collectively represent approximately 82 percent of the Company's Employees, have ratified new contracts.
Fuel and oil expense for 2024 decreased by $405 million, or 6.5 percent, compared with 2023. On a per ASM basis, Fuel and oil expense for 2024 decreased 10.4 percent. On a dollar basis, the decrease was primarily attributable to a decrease in fuel prices, partially offset by an increase in fuel gallons consumed. The Company's 2024 average economic fuel cost of $2.66 per gallon is net of approximately $53 million in cash settlements from hedging
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activities compared with an average economic fuel cost of $2.89 per gallon, which was net of approximately $267 million in cash settlements from hedging activities in 2023. On a per ASM basis, the majority of the change was due to lower jet fuel prices. The following table provides more information on the Company's economic fuel cost per gallon, including the impact of fuel hedging premium expense and fuel derivative contracts:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon | $ | 2.66 | $ | 2.89 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense (in millions) | $ | 157 | $ | 121 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gain (in millions) | $ | 53 | $ | 267 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $ | 0.07 | $ | 0.06 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $ | 0.03 | $ | 0.12 |
See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
The Company's 2024 available seat miles per gallon ("fuel efficiency") improved 1.6 percent, year-over-year, due to operating more -8 aircraft, the Company's most fuel-efficient aircraft, as a percentage of its fleet. The continued deliveries of MAX aircraft are expected to remain critical to the Company's efforts to modernize its fleet, reduce carbon emissions intensity, and achieve its near-term environmental sustainability goals.
As of December 31, 2024, the Company has fuel derivative contracts in place through 2027. Based on the current geopolitical and market dynamics, higher premium costs over time, and aggressive cost reductions underway, the Company does not intend to add new hedging positions to its current hedge book. The Company is providing its maximum percentage of estimated fuel consumption covered by fuel derivative contracts in the following table:
| Period | Maximum fuel hedged percentage (a)(b) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 47% |
| 2026 | 43% |
| 2027 | 13% |
(a) Based on the Company's current available seat mile plans. The Company is currently 51 percent hedged in first quarter 2025, 45 percent hedged in second quarter 2025, and 46 percent hedged in second half 2025.
(b) The Company's maximum fuel hedged percentage is calculated using the maximum number of gallons that are covered by derivative contracts divided by the Company's estimate of total fuel gallons to be consumed for each respective period. The Company's maximum number of gallons that are covered by derivative contracts may be at different strike prices and at strike prices materially higher than the current market prices. The volume of gallons covered by derivative contracts that ultimately get exercised in any given period may vary significantly from the volumes used to calculate the Company's maximum fuel hedged percentages, as market prices and the Company's fuel consumption fluctuate.
As a result of applying hedge accounting in prior periods, the Company has amounts in Accumulated other comprehensive income ("AOCI") that will be recognized in earnings in future periods when the underlying fuel derivative contracts settle. The following table displays the Company's estimated fair value of remaining fuel derivative contracts (not considering the impact of the cash collateral provided to or received from counterparties - see Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information), as well as the deferred amounts in AOCI as of December 31, 2024, and the expected future periods in which these items are expected to settle and/or be recognized in earnings (in millions):
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| Year | Fair value of fuel derivative contracts at December 31, 2024 | Amount of gains (losses) deferred in AOCI at December 31, 2024 (net of tax) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $ | 22 | $ | (96) | |||
| 2026 | 72 | (49) | |||||
| 2027 | 36 | (3) | |||||
| Total | $ | 130 | $ | (148) |
The Company's current fuel derivative contracts contain instruments based in Brent crude oil. The economic fuel price per gallon sensitivities provided in the table below assume the relationship between Brent crude oil and refined products based on market prices as of January 21, 2025.
| Estimated economic fuel price per gallon, including taxes and fuel hedging premiums (b) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Average Brent Crude Oil price per barrel | First Quarter 2025 | Full Year 2025 |
| $60 | $2.05 to $2.15 | $2.00 to $2.10 |
| $70 | $2.35 to $2.45 | $2.30 to $2.40 |
| Current market (a) | $2.50 to $2.60 | $2.45 to $2.55 |
| $80 | $2.65 to $2.75 | $2.65 to $2.75 |
| $90 | $3.00 to $3.10 | $2.95 to $3.05 |
| $100 | $3.20 to $3.30 | $3.20 to $3.30 |
| Fair market value of fuel derivative contracts settling in period | $1 million | $23 million |
| Estimated premium costs | $37 million | $148 million |
(a) Brent crude oil average market prices as of January 21, 2025, were $78 and $76 per barrel for first quarter and full year 2025, respectively.
(b) Based on the Company's existing fuel derivative contracts and market prices as of January 21, 2025, first quarter and full year 2025 economic fuel costs per gallon are estimated to be in the range of $2.50 to $2.60 and $2.45 to $2.55, respectively. Economic fuel cost projections do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate the hedge accounting impact associated with the volatility of the energy markets, or the impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
Maintenance materials and repairs expense for 2024 increased by $165 million, or 13.9 percent, compared with 2023. On a per ASM basis, Maintenance materials and repairs expense increased 8.6 percent, compared with 2023. On a dollar and per ASM basis, approximately 50 percent of the increase was primarily due to increases in engine shop visits and other engine expenses for the Company's -700 and -800 fleet, approximately 20 percent of the increase was driven by airframe repairs due to a higher average cost per event and the timing of regular maintenance events, and approximately 15 percent of the increase was due to bulk purchases of materials for the Company's seat refurbishment efforts on its entire fleet.
Landing fees and airport rentals expense for 2024 increased by $173 million, or 9.7 percent, compared with 2023. On a per ASM basis, Landing fees and airport rentals expense increased 5.7 percent, compared with 2023. On a dollar and per ASM basis, the increase was primarily attributable to an increase in airport rental expense and higher landing fees throughout the network driven by higher rates charged by airports, partially offset by more favorable settlements and credits from various airports received in 2024.
Depreciation and amortization expense for 2024 increased by $135 million, or 8.9 percent, compared with 2023. On a per ASM basis, Depreciation and amortization expense increased by 4.5 percent, compared with 2023. On a dollar and per ASM basis, approximately 55 percent of the increase was primarily due to the acquisition of 22 -8 aircraft
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since fourth quarter 2023 and approximately 45 percent of the increase was due to accelerating the depreciation for certain -700 aircraft planned for early retirement in 2024 and 2025. See Note 1 for further information on early retirement dates and the corresponding impact to depreciation expense.
Other operating expenses for 2024 increased by $139 million, or 3.5 percent, compared with 2023. Included within this line item was aircraft rentals expense in the amount of $220 million and $198 million for 2024 and 2023, respectively. On a per ASM basis, Other operating expenses decreased 0.4 percent, compared with 2023. On a dollar basis, the increase was due to (i) approximately $80 million in higher advertising expense, (ii) approximately $60 million in higher maintenance agreement expense driven by expanded cloud-based services, (iii) approximately $57 million in higher professional fees, primarily driven by an increase in spend on technology enhancements and replacement projects, and (iv) approximately $47 million in higher per diem rates paid to Flight crews, primarily driven by the new Pilot and Flight Attendant ratified agreements. These increases were partially offset due to (i) recording the $107 million DOT settlement in December 2023 and (ii) a $92 million gain on a sale-leaseback transaction involving 35 -800 aircraft during 2024. See Note 7 for further information.
Non-Operating Expenses (Income)
Interest expense for 2024 decreased by $10 million, or 3.9 percent, compared with 2023, primarily due to prepaying the 5.25% senior unsecured notes due May 2025 in December 2024.
Capitalized interest for 2024 increased by $12 million, or 52.2 percent, compared with 2023, primarily due to an increase in various technology projects, facilities projects, and aircraft under construction.
Interest income for 2024 decreased by $86 million, or 14.8 percent compared with 2023, primarily due to lower cash and investment balances and a lower interest rate in the total investment portfolio.
Other (gains) losses, net, primarily includes amounts recorded as a result of the Company's deferred compensation and hedging activities. See Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's hedging activities. The following table displays the components of Other (gains) losses, net, for 2024 and 2023:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current period | $ | 34 | $ | (17) | ||
| Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | 9 | — | ||||
| Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | — | (4) | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact on deferred compensation plan investments | (36) | (39) | ||||
| Other | (3) | (2) | ||||
| $ | 4 | $ | (62) |
Income Taxes
The Company's annual 2024 effective tax rate was 22.2 percent, compared with 26.5 percent in 2023. The year-over-year decrease in the tax rate is primarily due to the DOT settlement, which was treated as a disallowed tax deduction in 2023.
2023 Compared with 2022
The Company's comparison of 2023 results to 2022 results is included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, under Part II Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
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Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures (excluding special items) (unaudited) (in millions, except per share amounts and per ASM amounts)
| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | Change | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, unhedged | $ | 5,750 | $ | 6,346 | ||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts designated as hedges | 148 | 121 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge gains included in Fuel and oil expense, net | (86) | (250) | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, as reported | $ | 5,812 | $ | 6,217 | ||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which (gains) losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | 34 | (16) | ||||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | 9 | — | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | $ | 5,855 | $ | 6,201 | (5.6) | % | ||||
| Total operating expenses, as reported | $ | 27,162 | $ | 25,867 | ||||||
| Deduct: Voluntary Employee programs | (5) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Labor contract adjustment (b) | (9) | (180) | ||||||||
| Deduct: SWAPA Labor contract adjustment (c) | — | (354) | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which (gains) losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | 34 | (16) | ||||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | 9 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: DOT settlement | — | (107) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Litigation settlements | (7) | (12) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Professional advisory fees | (37) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Transformation costs | (5) | — | ||||||||
| Total operating expenses, excluding special items | $ | 27,142 | $ | 25,198 | 7.7 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | (5,855) | (6,201) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense and special items | $ | 21,287 | $ | 18,997 | 12.1 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Profitsharing expense | (103) | (110) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing | $ | 21,184 | $ | 18,887 | 12.2 | % | ||||
| Operating income, as reported | $ | 321 | $ | 224 | ||||||
| Add: Breakage revenue adjustment (d) | 116 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Voluntary Employee programs | 5 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Labor contract adjustment (b) | 9 | 180 | ||||||||
| Add: SWAPA contract adjustment (c) | — | 354 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which (gains) losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (34) | 16 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | (9) | — | ||||||||
| Add: DOT settlement | — | 107 | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation settlements | 7 | 12 | ||||||||
| Add: Professional advisory fees | 37 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Transformation costs | 5 | — | ||||||||
| Operating income, excluding special items | $ | 457 | $ | 893 | (48.8) | % | ||||
| Other (gains) losses, net, as reported | $ | 4 | $ | (62) | ||||||
| Add (Deduct): Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods (a) | (34) | 17 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | (9) | — | ||||||||
| Add: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | — | 4 | ||||||||
| Other gains, net, excluding special items | $ | (39) | $ | (41) | (4.9) | % | ||||
| Income before income taxes, as reported | $ | 598 | $ | 633 | ||||||
| Add: Breakage revenue adjustment (d) | 116 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Voluntary Employee programs | 5 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Labor contract adjustment (b) | 9 | 180 | ||||||||
| Add: SWAPA contract adjustment (c) | — | 354 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which (gains) losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (34) | 16 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods (a) | 34 | (17) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | — | (4) | ||||||||
| Add: DOT settlement | — | 107 | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation settlements | 7 | 12 | ||||||||
| Add: Professional advisory fees | 37 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Transformation costs | 5 | — | ||||||||
| Income before income taxes, excluding special items | $ | 777 | $ | 1,281 | (39.3) | % |
| Provision for income taxes, as reported | $ | 133 | $ | 168 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Add: Net income tax impact of fuel and special items (e) | 47 | 133 | ||||||||
| Provision for income taxes, net, excluding special items | $ | 180 | $ | 301 | (40.2) | % | ||||
| Net income, as reported | $ | 465 | $ | 465 | ||||||
| Add: Breakage revenue adjustment (d) | 116 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Voluntary Employee programs | 5 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Labor contract adjustment (b) | 9 | 180 | ||||||||
| Add: SWAPA contract adjustment (c) | — | 354 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which (gains) losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (34) | 16 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods (a) | 34 | (17) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | — | (4) | ||||||||
| Add: DOT settlement | — | 107 | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation settlements | 7 | 12 | ||||||||
| Add: Professional advisory fees | 37 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Transformation costs | 5 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Net income tax impact of special items (e) | (47) | (133) | ||||||||
| Net income, excluding special items | $ | 597 | $ | 980 | (39.1) | % | ||||
| Net income per share, diluted, as reported | $ | 0.76 | $ | 0.76 | ||||||
| Add: Impact of special items | 0.27 | 1.01 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Net income tax impact of special items (e) | (0.07) | (0.21) | ||||||||
| Net income per share, diluted, excluding special items | $ | 0.96 | $ | 1.56 | (38.5) | % | ||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents), as reported | 15.32 | ¢ | 15.19 | ¢ | ||||||
| Deduct: Impact of special items | (0.04) | (0.38) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense divided by ASMs | (3.27) | (3.65) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Profitsharing expense divided by ASMs | (0.06) | (0.07) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (cents) | 11.95 | ¢ | 11.09 | ¢ | 7.8 | % |
(a) See Note 10 to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(b) 2024 amounts represent changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonuses for the Company's Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, & Cargo Agents as part of the tentative agreement ratified in March 2024 with TWU 555. 2023 amounts represent changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company’s Flight Attendants as part of the tentative agreement reached in October 2023 with TWU 556. The Company began accruing for all of its open labor contracts on April 1, 2022, and this incremental $180 million expense extends the timeframe covered by the ratification bonus to the date the Flight Attendant contract became amendable on November 1, 2018, to compensate for missed wage increases over that time period. The Company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2023 included market rate wage accruals for all workgroups with open collective bargaining agreements. See the Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for further information.
(c) Represents changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company’s Pilots as part of the tentative agreement reached in December 2023 with SWAPA. The Company began accruing for all of its open labor contracts on April 1, 2022, and this incremental $354 million expense represented an increase in retroactive pay associated with wage rates for purposes of calculating the ratification bonus agreed to for Pilots for periods prior to 2023. See the Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for further information.
(d) Represents a change in breakage revenue estimate related to flight credits the Company issued to Passengers during 2022 and prior. On July 28, 2022, the Company modified its policy and announced that all unexpired flight credits as of that date, including a significant volume of such credits issued to impacted Customers during the COVID-19 pandemic as the Company was making significant changes to its schedules based on fluctuating demand, will no longer have an expiration date and thus will be able to be redeemed by Customers indefinitely. This change in policy was considered a contract modification under ASC 606, Revenue from Contracts with Customers, and the Company accounted for such change prospectively in third quarter 2022. At that time, based on historical Customer behavior, the Company estimated that redemptions of these flight credits would have been reduced to an immaterial amount during 2024 and recognized breakage revenue in prior periods for these flight credits accordingly; however, based on actual Customer redemptions throughout 2024, as well as currently projected redemptions beyond 2024, the Company determined a reversal of a portion of this prior breakage revenue was warranted in the current period. This adjustment is not reflective of base business revenue trends in fourth quarter 2024 or beyond. See the Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for further information.
(e) Tax amounts for each individual special item are calculated at the Company's effective rate for the applicable period and totaled in this line item.
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Non-GAAP Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) (in millions) (unaudited)
| Year Ended | Year Ended | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |||||
| Operating income, as reported | $ | 321 | $ | 224 | ||
| Breakage revenue adjustment | 116 | — | ||||
| Voluntary Employee programs | 5 | — | ||||
| TWU 555 contract adjustment | 9 | — | ||||
| TWU 556 contract adjustment | — | 180 | ||||
| SWAPA contract adjustment | — | 354 | ||||
| Net impact from fuel contracts | (34) | 16 | ||||
| Premium benefit of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | (9) | |||||
| Professional advisory fees | 37 | — | ||||
| Transformation costs | 5 | — | ||||
| DOT settlement | — | 107 | ||||
| Litigation settlements | 7 | 12 | ||||
| Operating income, non-GAAP | 457 | 893 | ||||
| Net adjustment for aircraft leases (a) | 134 | 128 | ||||
| Adjusted operating income, non-GAAP (A) | $ | 591 | $ | 1,021 | ||
| Non-GAAP tax rate (B) | 23.1 | % | (d) | 23.5 | % | (e) |
| Net operating profit after-tax (A* (1-B) = C) | $ | 454 | $ | 781 | ||
| Debt, including finance leases (b) | $ | 7,742 | $ | 8,033 | ||
| Equity (b) | 10,388 | 10,669 | ||||
| Net present value of aircraft operating leases (b) | 933 | 1,029 | ||||
| Average invested capital | $ | 19,063 | $ | 19,731 | ||
| Equity adjustment (c) | 13 | (168) | ||||
| Adjusted average invested capital (D) | $ | 19,076 | $ | 19,563 | ||
| Non-GAAP ROIC, pre-tax (A/D) | 3.1 | % | 5.2 | % | ||
| Non-GAAP ROIC, after-tax (C/D) | 2.4 | % | 4.0 | % |
(a) Net adjustment related to presumption that all aircraft in fleet are owned (i.e., the impact of eliminating aircraft rent expense and replacing with estimated depreciation expense for those same aircraft). The Company makes this adjustment to enhance comparability to other entities that have different capital structures by utilizing alternative financing decisions.
(b) Calculated as an average of the five most recent quarter end balances or remaining obligations. The Net present value of aircraft operating leases represents the assumption that all aircraft in the Company’s fleet are owned, as it reflects the remaining contractual commitments discounted at the Company's estimated incremental borrowing rate as of the time each individual lease was signed.
(c) The Equity adjustment in the denominator adjusts for the cumulative impacts, in Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) and Retained earnings, of gains and/or losses that will settle in future periods, including those associated with the Company's fuel hedges. The current period impact of these gains and/or losses is reflected in the Net impact from fuel contracts in the numerator.
(d) The GAAP full year tax rate as of December 31, 2024, was 22.2 percent, and the full year Non-GAAP tax rate was 23.1 percent. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information.
(e) The GAAP full year tax rate as of December 31, 2023, was 26.5 percent, and the full year Non-GAAP tax rate was 23.5 percent. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information.
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Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The Company's Consolidated Financial Statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. These GAAP financial statements may include (i) unrealized noncash adjustments and reclassifications, which can be significant, as a result of accounting requirements and elections made under accounting pronouncements relating to derivative instruments and hedging and (ii) other charges and benefits the Company believes are unusual and/or infrequent in nature and thus may make comparisons to its prior or future performance difficult.
As a result, the Company also provides financial information in this filing that was not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to the information prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company provides supplemental non-GAAP financial information (also referred to as "excluding special items"), including results that it refers to as "economic," which the Company's management utilizes to evaluate its ongoing financial performance and the Company believes provides additional insight to investors as supplemental information to its GAAP results. The non-GAAP measures provided that relate to the Company’s performance on an economic fuel cost basis include Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing; Operating income, non-GAAP; Other gains, net, non-GAAP; Income before income taxes, non-GAAP; Income tax rate, non-GAAP; Provision for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net income, non-GAAP; Net income per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing (cents). The Company's economic Fuel and oil expense results differ from GAAP results in that they only include the actual cash settlements from fuel hedge contracts - all reflected within Fuel and oil expense in the period of settlement. Thus, Fuel and oil expense on an economic basis has historically been utilized by the Company, as well as some of the other airlines that utilize fuel hedging, as it reflects the Company’s actual net cash outlays for fuel during the applicable period, inclusive of settled fuel derivative contracts. Any net premium costs paid related to option contracts that are designated as hedges are reflected as a component of Fuel and oil expense, for both GAAP and non-GAAP (including economic) purposes in the period of contract settlement. The Company believes these economic results provide further insight into the impact of the Company's fuel hedges on its operating performance and liquidity since they exclude the unrealized, noncash adjustments and reclassifications that are recorded in GAAP results in accordance with accounting guidance relating to derivative instruments, and they reflect all cash settlements related to fuel derivative contracts within Fuel and oil expense. This enables the Company's management, as well as investors and analysts, to consistently assess the Company's operating performance on a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter basis after considering all efforts in place to manage fuel expense. However, because these measures are not determined in accordance with GAAP, such measures are susceptible to varying calculations, and not all companies calculate the measures in the same manner. As a result, the aforementioned measures, as presented, may not be directly comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies.
Further information on (i) the Company's fuel hedging program, (ii) the requirements of accounting for derivative instruments, and (iii) the causes of hedge ineffectiveness and/or mark-to-market gains or losses from derivative instruments is included in Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company’s GAAP results in the applicable periods may include other charges or benefits that are also deemed "special items," that the Company believes make its results difficult to compare to prior periods, anticipated future periods, or industry trends. Financial measures identified as non-GAAP (or as excluding special items) have been adjusted to exclude special items. For the periods presented, in addition to the items discussed above, special items include:
1.Reversal of breakage revenue recorded in prior years related to a portion of flight credits issued to Customers during 2022 and prior that have either been redeemed or are expected to be redeemed in future periods. The majority of these flight credits were issued during the COVID-19 pandemic as the Company was making significant changes to its flight schedules based on fluctuating demand, which made it difficult to estimate future redemption patterns when compared against historical Customer behavior;
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2.Incremental expense associated with a voluntary separation program that allowed eligible Employees the opportunity to voluntarily separate from the Company in exchange for severance, medical/dental coverage for a specified period of time, and travel privileges based on years of service;
3.Incremental expense associated with contract ratification bonuses for various workgroups related to additional compensation for services performed by Employees outside the applicable fiscal period;
4.Expenses associated with incremental professional advisory fees related to activist investor activities, which were not budgeted by the Company, are not associated with the ongoing operation of the airline, and are difficult to predict in future periods;
5.A charge associated with a settlement reached with the DOT as a result of the Company's December 2022 operational disruption;
6.Charges associated with tentative litigation settlements regarding certain California state meal-and-rest-break regulations for flight attendants and an arbitration award in favor of the Company's Pilots relating to a collective-bargaining matter;
7.Expenses associated with professional advisory fees related to the Company's implementation of its comprehensive three-year "Southwest. Even Better." transformational plan; and
8.Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment associated with certain available for sale securities.
Because management believes special items can distort the trends associated with the Company’s ongoing performance as an airline, the Company believes that evaluation of its financial performance can be enhanced by a supplemental presentation of results that exclude the impact of special items in order to enhance consistency and comparativeness with results in prior periods that do not include such items and as a basis for evaluating operating results in future periods. The following measures are often provided, excluding special items, and utilized by the Company’s management, analysts, and investors to enhance comparability of year-over-year results, as well as to industry trends: Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing; Operating income, non-GAAP; Other gains, net, non-GAAP; Income before income taxes, non-GAAP; Income tax rate, non-GAAP; Provision for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net income, non-GAAP; Net income per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing (cents).
The Company has also provided its calculation of return on invested capital, which is a measure of financial performance used by management to evaluate its investment returns on capital. Return on invested capital is not a substitute for financial results as reported in accordance with GAAP and should not be utilized in place of such GAAP results. Although return on invested capital is not a measure defined by GAAP, it is calculated by the Company, in part, using non-GAAP financial measures. Those non-GAAP financial measures are utilized for the same reasons as those noted above for Net income, non-GAAP and Operating income, non-GAAP. The comparable GAAP measures include charges or benefits that are deemed "special items" that the Company believes make its results difficult to compare to prior periods, anticipated future periods, or industry trends, and the Company’s profitability targets and estimates, both internally and externally, are based on non-GAAP results since "special items" cannot be reliably predicted or estimated. The Company believes non-GAAP return on invested capital is a meaningful measure because it quantifies the Company's effectiveness in generating returns relative to the capital it has invested in its business. Although return on invested capital is commonly used as a measure of capital efficiency, definitions of return on invested capital differ; therefore, the Company is providing an explanation of its calculation for non-GAAP return on invested capital in the accompanying reconciliation in order to allow investors to compare and contrast its calculation to the calculations provided by other companies.
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
Net cash provided by operating activities for 2024 was $462 million, and net cash provided by operating activities for 2023 was $3.2 billion. Operating cash inflows are historically primarily derived from providing air transportation to Customers. The vast majority of tickets are purchased prior to the day on which travel is provided and, in some cases, several months before the anticipated travel date. Operating cash outflows are related to the recurring expenses of airline operations. The operating cash flows for 2024 were largely impacted by the Company's net income (as adjusted for noncash items, primarily Depreciation and amortization and the gain on the sale-leaseback transaction), the approximately $1.9 billion paid to Pilots, Flight Attendants, and Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, and Cargo Agents as bonuses upon the ratification of the labor contract agreements with SWAPA, TWU 556, and TWU 555, respectively, and a $123 million decrease related to the purchase of fuel derivative instruments, which is included within Other, net operating cash flows in the accompanying Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows (see Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information). Operating cash flows for 2023 included a $29 million increase in Air traffic liability driven by higher ticket sales related to an increase in travel demand, partially offset by a $273 million decrease related to the purchase of fuel derivative instruments, which is included within Other, net operating cash flows in the accompanying Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows, and a $215 million decrease due to the payment of Customer reimbursement expenses in first quarter 2023 related to the December 2022 operational disruption. Net cash provided by operating activities is primarily used to finance capital expenditures, repay debt, provide Shareholder returns, and provide working capital.
Net cash used in investing activities for 2024 was $261 million, and net cash used in investing activities for 2023 was $2.9 billion. Investing activities in both years included Capital expenditures and changes in the balance of the Company's short-term and noncurrent investments. The Company also raised $871 million in 2024 from the sale-leaseback of 35 aircraft (see Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more details on the sale-leaseback transactions). Capital expenditures were $2.1 billion for 2024, compared with $3.5 billion in the same prior year period, and decreased largely due to decreases in progress and delivery payments for aircraft received in 2024, as well as contractual progress payments made in 2024 associated with future aircraft deliveries. Capital expenditures during 2024 also included approximately $22 million associated with the Company's purchase of finance leased aircraft, compared to approximately $174 million associated with finance leased aircraft purchased during 2023. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company estimates its 2025 capital spending to be in the range of $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion, which includes approximately $1.2 billion in aircraft capital spending, based on the planning assumption of 38 -8 aircraft deliveries in 2025, and $1.6 billion in non-aircraft capital spending, but does not include the impact of potential future fleet sales or sale-leaseback transactions. The Company's opportunities to lower net capital spending from its fleet monetization strategy are dependent on aircraft market conditions and Boeing's ability to deliver aircraft pursuant to the Company's contractual order book.
Net cash used in financing activities for 2024 was $2.0 billion, and net cash used in financing activities for 2023 was $436 million. The Company paid $430 million in cash dividends to Shareholders and repaid $1.3 billion in debt and finance lease obligations, primarily as a prepayment for all of its outstanding 5.25% Notes due 2025 during the year ended December 31, 2024. The Company may engage in early debt repurchases from time to time at its discretion; however, any early future repurchases are not included in the Company's current maturities of long-term debt. The Company paid $428 million in cash dividends to Shareholders and repaid $85 million in finance lease obligations during the year ended December 31, 2023. The Company's purchase of finance leased aircraft in 2023 resulted in the elimination of the Company's remaining financial lease obligations for these aircraft of $191 million.
On May 15, 2019, the Company’s Board authorized the repurchase of up to $2.0 billion of the Company’s common stock, of which approximately $899 million remained as of September 2024. On September 25, 2024, the Board terminated and replaced this previous share repurchase authorization with a new $2.5 billion share repurchase authorization of the Company’s common stock. Subject to certain conditions, repurchases may be made in accordance with applicable securities laws in open market or private, including accelerated, repurchase transactions from time to time, depending on market conditions. The Company repurchased $250 million of its outstanding
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common stock through an accelerated share repurchase program entered into in fourth quarter 2024 under this new authorization, which also impacted net cash used in financing activities. The repurchases of common stock amounts in the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows may differ from the Consolidated Statement of Stockholder's Equity due to excise taxes incurred on share repurchases, net of issuances, payable in April 2025. On December 5, 2024, the Company announced its intention to launch an additional $750 million accelerated share repurchase program in first quarter 2025.
A discussion of the Company's most significant drivers impacting cash flow for 2022 are included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, under Part II Item 7, Liquidity and Capital Resources.
The Company is a "well-known seasoned issuer" and currently has an effective shelf registration statement registering an indeterminate amount of debt and equity securities for future sales. The Company currently intends to use the proceeds from any future securities sales off this shelf registration statement for general corporate purposes.
Additional detail regarding the Company's available liquidity is provided in the table below.
| (in millions) | December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 7,509 | $ | 9,288 | ||
| Short-term investments | 1,216 | 2,186 | ||||
| Undrawn facilities | 1,000 | 1,000 | ||||
| Total available liquidity | 9,725 | $ | 12,474 |
The Company has access to $1.0 billion under its amended and restated revolving credit facility (the "Amended Credit Agreement"). There were no amounts outstanding under the Amended Credit Agreement as of December 31, 2024. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
As of December 31, 2024, the Company carried a working capital deficit of approximately $1 billion, in which its current liabilities exceed its current assets. This is common within the airline industry and is primarily due to the nature of the Air traffic liability account, which is related to advance ticket sales, unused flight credits available to Customers, and loyalty deferred revenue, which are performance obligations for future Customer flights, do not require future settlement in cash, and are mostly nonrefundable. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company believes it has various options available to meet its capital and operating commitments, including unrestricted cash and short-term investments of $8.7 billion as of December 31, 2024, and anticipated future internally generated funds from operations. The Company continues to have a large base of unencumbered assets with a net book value of approximately $16 billion, including approximately $13 billion in aircraft value and approximately $3 billion in non-aircraft assets such as spare engines, ground equipment, and real estate. In addition, the Company continues to maintain investment-grade credit ratings by all three major credit agencies (Moody's, S&P Global, and Fitch). As of December 31, 2024, the Company had the following corporate credit ratings:
| Moody's | S&P Global | Fitch | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines Co. | Baa1 | BBB | BBB+ |
The following discussion includes various short-term and long-term material cash requirements from known contractual and other obligations, but does not include amounts that are contingent on events or other factors that are uncertain or unknown at this time. Given the Company's current liquidity position, available resources, and prevailing outlook, it expects to be able to fulfill both its short-term and long-term material cash requirements. The amounts disclosed are based on various estimates, including estimates regarding the timing of payments, prevailing interest rates, volumes purchased, the occurrence of certain events and other factors. Accordingly, the actual results may vary materially from the amounts discussed herein.
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Debt
As detailed in Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, in connection with the major negative impact of COVID-19 on air carriers, the Company received significant financial assistance from Treasury in the form of payroll support, and this assistance had a significant impact on the Company's reported GAAP financial results. Such impact ended in third quarter 2021, and the Company's 2022, 2023, and 2024 results do not reflect the benefit of this payroll support, and its future periods are not expected to benefit from such payroll support. However, future cash flows will be impacted through the portion of payroll support that was in the form of loans that remain outstanding and will have to be repaid to Treasury.
See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail on the Company's debt and the timing of expected and future principal payments. The Company also has significant future obligations associated with fixed interest payments associated with its debt. As of December 31, 2024, future interest payments associated with its fixed rate debt (excluding interest associated with finance leases) were $138 million in 2025, $128 million in 2026, $71 million in 2027, $13 million in 2028, $13 million in 2029, and $7 million thereafter.
The Company's Convertible Notes of $1.6 billion did not meet the criteria to be converted by holders as of the date of the financial statements, but are classified within Current maturities of long-term debt in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2024, due to their maturation date of May 1, 2025. Upon conversion, the Company will settle conversions in cash. Also, the Company has engaged in transactions with certain convertible debt holders to purchase their instruments in private transactions from time to time in cash, and may continue to do so in future periods. The Company considers its prevailing stock price, the trading price of its convertible debt instruments, and its available liquidity in determining how much of these instruments it may attempt to repurchase in such transactions.
Leases
The Company enters into leases for aircraft, airports and other real property, and other types of equipment in the normal course of business. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail.
Aircraft purchase commitments
The Company is required to make cash deposits toward the purchase of aircraft in advance. These deposits are classified as Deposits on flight equipment purchase contracts in the Consolidated Balance Sheet until the aircraft is delivered, at which time deposits previously made are deducted from the final purchase price of aircraft and are reclassified as Flight equipment. See Part I, Item 2 for a complete table of the Company's contractual firm deliveries and options for -7 and -8 aircraft, and Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the financial commitments related to these firm deliveries.
Other
The Company's other material cash requirements primarily consist of outlays associated with normal operating expenses of the airline, including payroll, fuel, airport costs, etc. While many of these expenses are variable in nature, some of the expenditures can be somewhat fixed in the short-term due to the lead-time involved in publishing the Company's flight schedule in advance and providing for resources to be available to operate those schedules.
The Company has a large net deferred tax liability on its Consolidated Balance Sheet. The deferral of income taxes has resulted in a significant benefit to the Company and its liquidity position. Since the Company purchases the majority of the aircraft it acquires, it has been able to utilize accelerated depreciation methods (including bonus depreciation) available under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, in 2024 and in previous years, which has enabled the Company to accelerate cash tax benefits of depreciation. Based on the Company’s scheduled future
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aircraft deliveries from Boeing and existing tax laws in effect, the Company will continue to accelerate the cash income tax benefits related to aircraft purchases. Due to the Company's net taxable loss incurred in 2020, and a provision within the CARES Act that allowed entities to carry back such 2020 losses to prior periods of up to five years, and claim refunds of federal taxes paid, the Company received a significant cash tax refund of $472 million associated with this taxable loss from the Internal Revenue Service during second quarter 2022. The Company has federal and state operating loss carryforwards, $253 million and $56 million (tax-effected), respectively, to reduce taxable income in future periods. See Note 14 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. The Company has paid in the past, and will continue to pay in the future, cash taxes to the various taxing jurisdictions where it operates. The Company expects to be able to continue to meet such obligations utilizing cash and investments on hand, as well as cash generated from its ongoing operations.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
The Company’s Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company’s significant accounting policies are described in Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires the Company’s management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying footnotes. The Company’s estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience and changes in the business environment. However, actual results may differ from estimates under different conditions, sometimes materially. Critical accounting policies and estimates are defined as those that both (i) are most important to the portrayal of the Company’s financial condition and results and (ii) require management’s most subjective judgments. The Company’s critical accounting policies and estimates are described below.
Revenue Recognition
Tickets sold for Passenger air travel are initially deferred as Air traffic liability. Passenger revenue is recognized and Air traffic liability is reduced when the service is provided (i.e., when the flight takes place). Air traffic liability primarily represents tickets sold for future travel dates, flight credits that are expected to be used in the future, and loyalty benefits that are expected to be redeemed in the future. Air traffic liability typically fluctuates throughout the year based on seasonal travel patterns, fare sale activity, and activity associated with the Company’s loyalty program. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for information about the Company's revenue recognition policies.
For air travel on Southwest, the amount of tickets (which includes flight credits—also referred to as partial tickets) that will go unused, referred to as breakage, is estimated and recognized in Passenger revenue once the scheduled flight date has passed, in proportion to the pattern of rights exercised by the Customer, in accordance with Accounting Standards Codification 606, Revenue From Contracts With Customers ("ASC 606"). Estimating the amount of tickets that will ultimately go unused involves some level of subjectivity and judgment. The majority of the Company's tickets sold are nonrefundable, although flight credits created when a Customer cancels or modifies an existing flight itinerary can be applied towards the purchase of future travel. Unused flight credits are the primary source of breakage. Breakage estimates are based on historical experience over many years. Fully refundable tickets rarely go unused.
As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, for all Customer flight credits created or scheduled to expire between March 1 and September 7, 2020 associated with flight cancellations, the Company initially extended the expiration date to September 7, 2022. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding these extended flight credits. Subsequently, on July 28, 2022, the Company modified its policy and announced that all unexpired flight credits as of that date, including these extended flight credits, will no longer have an expiration date and thus will be able to be redeemed by Customers indefinitely. This change in policy was considered a contract modification under ASC 606 and the Company accounted for such change prospectively in third quarter 2022. The Company’s balance of existing Customer flight credits as of the modification date was approximately $1.9 billion, including the extended flight credits that had been set to expire on September 7, 2022.
As a result of changes in observed Customer travel habits and behaviors during 2021 and 2022, the Company increased its estimates of “normal” Customer flight credits that were expected to go unused, as Customer redemptions of these "normal" credits had been at a slower rate than the Company’s historical data for similar credits in periods prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. At the time of the Company's policy change, based on historical Customer behavior, the Company estimated that redemptions of these pre-policy change issued flight credits would have been reduced to an immaterial amount during 2024 and recognized breakage revenue in prior periods for these flight credits accordingly; however, based on actual Customer redemptions throughout 2024, as well as currently projected redemptions beyond 2024, the Company determined a reversal of a portion of this prior breakage revenue in the amount of $116 million was warranted in the current period. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding this adjustment. Although the Company continues to believe a portion of Customer flight credits will go unused following the Company's change in policy, including a portion of flight
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credits issued after July 28, 2022, the Company's prospective long term breakage rate associated with such flight credits has been and is expected to continue to be lower and more stable than it had been previously. Although the Company's estimated breakage rate was consistent throughout 2024, a one percentage point change in the amount of breakage, as a factor of total flight credits issued, would have resulted in a change of Passenger revenues of approximately $25 million.
Observed Customer behavior that differs from historical experience can cause actual ticket breakage to differ significantly from estimates. Assumptions about Customer behavior are reviewed frequently and corresponding adjustments are made to breakage estimates, as needed, when observed behaviors differ from historical experience or expectations. Assumptions about Customer behavior can be impacted by several factors including, but not limited to: fare increases, fare sales, changes to the Company's ticketing policies, changes to the Company’s refund, exchange and unused flight credit policies, seat availability, and economic factors. The Company’s estimation techniques have been consistently applied from year to year; however, as with any estimates, actual ticket breakage may vary from estimated amounts.
Fair Value Measurements and Financial Derivative Instruments
The Company utilizes unobservable (Level 3) inputs in determining the fair value of certain assets and liabilities. As of December 31, 2024, these consisted of its fuel derivative option contracts, which were an asset of $130 million. The Company utilizes financial derivative instruments primarily to manage its risk associated with changing jet fuel prices. See "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk" for more information on these risk management activities, Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the Company’s fuel hedging program and financial derivative instruments, and Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about fair value measurements.
All derivatives are required to be reflected at fair value and recorded on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. As of December 31, 2024, the Company was a party to over 175 separate financial derivative instruments related to its fuel hedging program for future periods. Changes in the fair values of these instruments can vary dramatically based on changes in the underlying commodity prices. For example, during 2024, market "spot" prices for Brent crude oil peaked at a high average daily price of approximately $91 per barrel and hit a low average daily price of approximately $69 per barrel. During 2023, market spot prices ranged from a high average daily price of approximately $97 per barrel to a low average daily price of approximately $72 per barrel. Market price changes can be driven by factors such as supply and demand, inventory levels, weather events, refinery capacity, political agendas, the value of the U.S. dollar, geopolitical events, pandemics, and general economic conditions, among other items. Historically, the financial derivative instruments utilized by the Company primarily are a combination of collars, purchased call options, call spreads, put spreads, and fixed price swap agreements.
The Company enters into financial derivative instruments with third party institutions in "over-the-counter" markets. Since the majority of the Company’s financial derivative instruments are not traded on a market exchange, the Company estimates their fair values. Depending on the type of instrument, the values are determined by the use of present value methods or standard option value models with assumptions about commodity prices based on those observed in underlying markets.
The Company determines the fair value of fuel derivative option contracts utilizing an option pricing model based on inputs that are either readily available in public markets, can be derived from information available in publicly quoted markets, or are quoted by its counterparties. In situations where the Company obtains inputs via quotes from its counterparties, it verifies the reasonableness of these quotes via similar quotes from another counterparty as of each date for which financial statements are prepared. The Company has consistently applied these valuation techniques in all periods presented and believes it has obtained the most accurate information available for the types of derivative contracts it holds. Due to the fact that certain inputs used in determining the estimated fair value of its option contracts are considered unobservable (primarily implied volatility), the Company has categorized these option contracts as Level 3. Although implied volatility is not directly observable, it is derived primarily from changes in market prices, which are observable. Based on the Company’s portfolio of option contracts as of
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December 31, 2024, a 10 percent change in implied volatility, holding all other factors constant, would have resulted in a change in the fair value of this portfolio of less than $100 million.
Fair values for financial derivative instruments are estimated prior to the time that the financial derivative instruments settle. However, once settlement of the financial derivative instruments occurs and the hedged jet fuel is purchased and consumed, all values and prices are known and are recognized in the financial statements. Although the Company continues to use a prospective assessment to determine that commodities continue to qualify for hedge accounting in specific locations where the Company hedges, there are no assurances that these commodities will continue to qualify in the future. This is due to the fact that future price changes in these refined products may not be consistent with historical price changes. Increased volatility in these commodity markets for an extended period of time, especially if such volatility were to worsen, could cause the Company to lose hedge accounting altogether for the commodities used in its fuel hedging program. During third quarter 2024, the routine statistical analysis performed by the Company to determine which commodities qualify for special hedge accounting treatment on a prospective basis indicated that West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") crude oil-based derivatives no longer qualified for hedge accounting. This change was primarily due to the fact that the correlation between WTI crude oil prices and jet fuel prices during recent periods had not been as strong as in the past, and therefore the Company could no longer demonstrate that derivatives based on WTI crude oil prices would result in effective hedges on a prospective basis. As such, all WTI-based instruments were de-designated from their hedging relationships and the change in fair value of all of the Company's derivatives based in WTI was recorded to Other (gains) losses for third quarter and fourth quarter 2024. All WTI crude oil based derivatives in the Company's portfolio have settled as of December 31, 2024. The change in fair value of the Company's WTI derivative contracts during the second half 2024 was a decrease of $37 million which resulted in a corresponding loss in the Consolidated Statement of Income. Any amounts previously recorded to AOCI remained there until the original forecasted transaction occurred in accordance with hedge accounting requirements. Further, should the anticipated fuel purchases covered by the Company's fuel hedges no longer be probable of occurring, the Company would discontinue hedge accounting. The loss of hedge accounting would create further volatility in the Company’s GAAP financial results.
As discussed in Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, any changes in fair value of cash flow derivatives designated as hedges are offset within AOCI until the period in which the expected future cash flow impacts earnings. Any changes in the fair value of fuel derivatives that do not qualify for hedge accounting are reflected in earnings within Other (gains) losses, net, in the period of the change. Because the Company has extensive historical experience in valuing the derivative instruments it holds, and such experience is continually evaluated against its counterparties each period when such instruments expire and are settled for cash, the Company believes it is unlikely that an independent third party would value the Company’s derivative contracts at a significantly different amount than what is reflected in the Company’s financial statements. In addition, the Company also has bilateral credit provisions in some of its counterparty agreements, which provide for parties (or the Company) to provide cash collateral when the fair value of fuel derivatives with a single party exceeds certain threshold levels. Since this cash collateral is based on the estimated fair value of the Company’s outstanding fuel derivative contracts, this provides further validation to the Company’s estimate of fair values.
Loyalty Accounting
The Company utilizes estimates in the recognition of revenues and liabilities associated with its loyalty program. These estimates primarily include the liability associated with Rapid Rewards loyalty member ("Member") account balances that are expected to be redeemed for travel or other products at a future date. Loyalty account balances include points earned through flights taken, points sold to Customers, or points earned through business partners participating in the loyalty program.
Under the Southwest Rapid Rewards loyalty program, Members earn points for every dollar spent on eligible Southwest fare purchases. The amount of points earned under the program is based on the fare amount and fare type, with higher fare types (e.g., Business Select) earning more points than lower fare types (e.g., Wanna Get Away). Each fare type is associated with a points earning multiplier, and points for flights are calculated by multiplying the fare amount for the flight by the fare type multiplier. Likewise, the amount of points required to be redeemed for a flight can differ based on the fare type purchased. Under the program, (i) Members are able to
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redeem their points for every available seat, every day, on every flight, with no blackout dates; and (ii) points do not expire. In addition, Members are able to redeem their points for items other than travel on Southwest Airlines, such as international flights on other airlines, cruises, hotel stays, rental cars, gift cards, event tickets, and more. In addition to earning points for revenue flights and qualifying purchases with Rapid Rewards Partners, Members also have the ability to purchase, gift, and transfer points, as well as the ability to donate points to selected charities.
The Company utilizes the deferred revenue method of accounting for points earned through flights taken in its loyalty program. The Company also sells points and related services to business partners participating in the loyalty program. Liabilities are recorded for the relative standalone selling price of the Rapid Rewards points which are awarded each period. The liabilities recorded represent the total number of points expected to be redeemed by Members, regardless of whether the Members may have enough to qualify for a full travel award. As of December 31, 2024, the loyalty liabilities were approximately $4.8 billion, including $2.9 billion classified within Air traffic liability and $1.9 billion classified as Air traffic liability – noncurrent.
In order to determine the value of each loyalty point, certain assumptions must be made at the time of measurement, which include an allocation of passenger revenue between the flight and loyalty points earned by passengers, and the fair value of Rapid Rewards points, which are generally based on their redemption value to the Customer. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on determining the estimated fair value of each loyalty point.
The majority of the points sold to business partners are through the Southwest co-branded credit card agreement ("Agreement") with Chase. Consideration received as part of this Agreement is subject to ASC 606. For periods presented in the Consolidated Financial Statements, the most recent instance in which the Agreement was amended was in fourth quarter 2021. In January 2025, the Company reached an amended co-brand agreement with Chase. The amendment includes enhanced Cardmember benefits associated with the Company's assigned and premium seating initiative and supports the multi-year financial targets announced at the Company's Investor Day in September 2024. Agreements with Chase have the following multiple elements: travel points to be awarded, use of the Southwest Airlines’ brand and access to Rapid Rewards Member lists, advertising elements, and the Company’s resource team. These elements are combined into two performance obligations, transportation and marketing, and consideration from the Agreement is allocated based on the relative selling price of each performance obligation.
Significant management judgment was used to estimate the selling price of each of the performance obligations in the Agreement at inception, including each time in which the Agreement has been materially amended. The objective is to determine the price at which the Company would transact a sale if the product or service was sold on a stand-alone basis. The Company determines the best estimate of selling price by considering multiple inputs and methods including, but not limited to, the estimated selling price of comparable travel, discounted cash flows, brand value, published selling prices, number of points awarded, and the number of points redeemed. The Company estimates the selling prices and volumes over the term of the Agreement in order to determine the allocation of proceeds to each of the multiple performance obligations. The Company records revenue related to air transportation when the transportation is delivered and revenue related to marketing elements when the performance obligation is satisfied. A one percent increase or decrease in the Company's estimate of the standalone selling prices, implemented as of January 1, 2024, causing a change to the allocation of proceeds to air transportation would not have had a material impact on the Company's Operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2024.
Under its current program, Southwest estimates the portion of loyalty points that will not be redeemed. In estimating the breakage, the Company takes into account the Member’s past behavior, as well as several factors related to the Member’s account that are expected to be indicative of the likelihood of future point redemption. These factors are typically representative of a Member’s level of engagement in the loyalty program. They include, but are not limited to, tenure with the program, points accrued in the program, and points redeemed in the program. The Company believes it has obtained sufficient historical behavioral data to develop a predictive statistical model to analyze the amount of breakage expected for all loyalty points. The Company updates this model at least annually, and applies the new breakage rates effective October 1st each year, or more frequently if required by changes in the business. Changes in the breakage rates applied annually in recent years have not had a material impact on Passenger
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revenues. For the year ended December 31, 2024, based on actual redemptions of points sold to business partners and earned through flights, a hypothetical one percentage point change in the estimated breakage rate would have resulted in a change to Passenger revenue of approximately $252 million (an increase in breakage would have resulted in an increase in revenue and a decrease in breakage would have resulted in a decrease in revenue). Given that Member behavior may fluctuate over time, the Company expects the current estimates may change in future periods. However, the Company believes its current estimates are reasonable given current facts and circumstances.
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FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000092380-24-000027.
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
YEAR IN REVIEW
The Company had record full year 2023 revenue performance, producing operating revenues of $26.1 billion, due to healthy leisure demand and continued yield strength combined with record ancillary revenue, loyalty program revenue, and passengers carried. The Company’s 2022 results were somewhat impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, as the Omicron variant of COVID-19 both impacted travel demand and created staffing challenges for the Company, particularly during January and February 2022. However, strong travel demand, especially associated with leisure travel, accelerated during March 2022 and continued through 2023. In 2023, the Company was able to focus on completing a comprehensive winter action plan, restoring its network and operational stability, reaching full utilization of its fleet, and delivering on significant new capabilities for its Customers.
In late December 2022, the Company experienced a wide-scale operational disruption as extreme winter weather across a significant portion of the United States impacted its operational plan and flight schedules. Subsequent to Winter Storm Elliott, the Company was challenged to realign flight crews, flight schedules, and aircraft for a period of several days during this peak demand travel period. This disruption and subsequent recovery efforts resulted in the cancellation of more than 16,700 flights during the period from December 21 through December 31, 2022. For fourth quarter 2022, the Company estimated the financial impact of this disruption was approximately $800 million on a pre-tax basis. A significant portion of this impact in fourth quarter 2022 was due to the loss of Operating revenue associated with the flight cancellations that was estimated to be approximately $410 million, and the remaining impact primarily related to a net increase of approximately $390 million in operating expenses, primarily due to travel expense reimbursements to Customers, the estimated value of Rapid Rewards points offered as a gesture of goodwill to Customers that were expected to be redeemed, and premium pay and additional compensation for Employees, which were partially offset by lower fuel and oil and profitsharing expenses. For first quarter 2023, these events also created a deceleration in bookings, largely isolated to January and February 2023, as well as additional expenses primarily in the form of reimbursing Customers for costs incurred as a result of the flight cancellations. The financial impact of this disruption on first quarter 2023 results was approximately $380 million on a pre-tax basis. On October 27, 2023, the Department of Transportation ("DOT") notified the Company that it determined the Company had failed to provide adequate customer service assistance, prompt flight status notifications, and proper and prompt refunds and that the assessment of a civil penalty was warranted. During fourth quarter 2023, the Company accrued an expense of $107 million associated with a settlement reached with the DOT in December 2023 based on their investigation into the disruption, which includes a cash penalty and incorporates a future commitment for Southwest Customer care with a new Customer compensation policy. An additional $33 million penalty was also assessed by the DOT, but was able to be credited against the substantial value the Company had already provided to its Customers impacted by the disruption, and therefore did not result in further impact to the Company's financial results for 2023. Other than the fourth quarter 2023 charge associated with the DOT settlement, there were no material impacts to operating revenues or expenses as a result of this disruption beyond first quarter 2023.
To boost operational resiliency in key areas across the Company and to mitigate the risk of a recurrence, the Company developed a three-part tactical action plan focused on improving winter operations, accelerating
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operational-related investments, and enhancing cross-team collaboration. The Company's action plan was released in March 2023 and key winter operations steps were completed as of October 2023, as planned.
The Company recorded results for 2023 and 2022, on an accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP") and non-GAAP basis, as noted in the following tables. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | Year ended December 31, | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP | 2023 | 2022 | Change | |||||||
| Operating income | $ | 224 | $ | 1,017 | (78.0) | |||||
| Net income | $ | 465 | $ | 539 | (13.7) | |||||
| Net income per share, diluted | $ | 0.76 | $ | 0.87 | (12.6) | |||||
| Non-GAAP | ||||||||||
| Operating income | $ | 893 | $ | 1,120 | (20.3) | |||||
| Net income | $ | 980 | $ | 723 | 35.5 | |||||
| Net income per share, diluted | $ | 1.56 | $ | 1.16 | 34.5 |
The Company's financial results, as shown above on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2023 versus the year ended December 31, 2022, were affected by higher salaries, wages, and benefits expense and maintenance materials and repairs expense. On a GAAP basis, the Company's results for the year ended December 31, 2023 included incremental expense of $180 million for changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company's Flight Attendants as part of a tentative agreement reached in October 2023 and an incremental expense of $354 million for changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company's Pilots as part of a tentative agreement reached in December 2023, both of which were treated as special items and excluded from the Company's presentation of non-GAAP results. Additionally, due to the December 2022 operational disruption, as described above, the financial results on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2023 included a negative financial impact of approximately $380 million on a pre-tax basis in first quarter 2023 and, on a GAAP basis, a $107 million charge on a pre-tax basis for the DOT settlement in fourth quarter 2023. The expense related to the tentative agreement with Pilots combined with the charge related to the settlement with the DOT resulted in the Company reporting a net loss of $252 million on a GAAP basis for fourth quarter 2023. Furthermore, on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis, the financial results for the year ended December 31, 2022 included a negative financial impact of approximately $800 million on a pre-tax basis in fourth quarter 2022 related to the December 2022 operational disruption and, on a GAAP basis, the financial results for the year ended December 31, 2022 included a $193 million pre-tax loss on extinguishment of debt primarily due to the repurchase of a portion of the Company's May 1, 2020 public offering of $2.3 billion aggregate principal amount of Convertible Senior notes (the "Convertible Notes"). See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
Operating Statistics
The Company provides the operating data below for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022 because these statistics are commonly used in the airline industry and, therefore, allow readers to compare the Company’s performance against its results for the prior year period, as well as against the performance of the Company’s peers.
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | Change | ||||
| Operating Data: |
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| Revenue passengers carried (000s) | 137,279 | 126,586 | 8.4 | % | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enplaned passengers (000s) | 171,817 | 156,982 | 9.5 | % | |||||||
| Revenue passenger miles (RPMs) (in millions)(a) | 136,256 | 123,843 | 10.0 | % | |||||||
| Available seat miles (ASMs) (in millions)(b) | 170,323 | 148,467 | 14.7 | % | |||||||
| Load factor(c) | 80.0 | % | 83.4 | % | (3.4) pts. | ||||||
| Average length of passenger haul (miles) | 993 | 978 | 1.5 | % | |||||||
| Average aircraft stage length (miles) | 730 | 728 | 0.3 | % | |||||||
| Trips flown | 1,459,427 | 1,298,219 | 12.4 | % | |||||||
| Seats flown (000s)(d) | 231,409 | 201,913 | 14.6 | % | |||||||
| Seats per trip(e) | 158.6 | 155.5 | 2.0 | % | |||||||
| Average passenger fare | $ | 172.18 | $ | 169.12 | 1.8 | % | |||||
| Passenger revenue yield per RPM (cents)(f) | 17.35 | 17.29 | 0.3 | % | |||||||
| Operating revenues per ASM (cents)(g) | 15.32 | 16.04 | (4.5) | % | |||||||
| Passenger revenue per ASM (cents)(h) | 13.88 | 14.42 | (3.7) | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents)(i) | 15.19 | 15.36 | (1.1) | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel (cents) | 11.54 | 11.33 | 1.9 | % | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel and profitsharing (cents) | 11.47 | 11.25 | 2.0 | % | |||||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax | $ | 2.89 | $ | 3.10 | (6.8) | % | |||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax, economic | $ | 2.89 | $ | 3.07 | (5.9) | % | |||||
| Fuel consumed, in gallons (millions) | 2,143 | 1,922 | 11.5 | % | |||||||
| Active full-time equivalent Employees | 74,806 | 66,656 | 12.2 | % | |||||||
| Aircraft at end of period(j) | 817 | 770 | 6.1 | % |
(a)A revenue passenger mile is one paying passenger flown one mile. Also referred to as "traffic," which is a measure of demand for a given period.
(b)An available seat mile is one seat (empty or full) flown one mile. Also referred to as "capacity," which is a measure of the space available to carry passengers in a given period.
(c)Revenue passenger miles divided by available seat miles.
(d)Seats flown is calculated using total number of seats available by aircraft type multiplied by the total trips flown by the same aircraft type during a particular period.
(e)Seats per trip is calculated by dividing seats flown by trips flown.
(f)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by revenue passenger miles. Also referred to as "yield," this is the average cost paid by a paying passenger to fly one mile, which is a measure of revenue production and fares.
(g)Calculated as operating revenues divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "operating unit revenues" or "RASM," this is a measure of operating revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(h)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "passenger unit revenues," this is a measure of passenger revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(i)Calculated as operating expenses divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "unit costs" or "cost per available seat mile," this is the average cost to fly an aircraft seat (empty or full) one mile, which is a measure of cost efficiencies.
(j)Included four Boeing 737-700 ("700") Next Generation aircraft in temporary storage as of December 31, 2022.
2024 Outlook
The following tables present selected financial guidance for first quarter and full year 2024:
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| 1Q 2024 Estimation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RASM (a), year-over-year | Up 2.5% to 4.5% | ||
| ASMs (b), year-over-year | Up ~10% | ||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon (c) (d) | $2.70 to $2.80 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $0.08 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $0.02 | ||
| ASMs per gallon (fuel efficiency) | 79 to 81 | ||
| CASM-X (e), year-over-year (c) (f) | Up 5% to 6% | ||
| Scheduled debt repayments (millions) | ~$7 | ||
| Interest expense (millions) | ~$62 |
| 2024 Estimation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ASMs (b), year-over-year | Up ~6% | ||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon (c) (d) | $2.55 to $2.65 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $0.07 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $0.01 | ||
| CASM-X (e), year-over-year (c) (f) | Up 5.5% to 7% | ||
| Scheduled debt repayments (millions) | ~$29 | ||
| Interest expense (millions) | ~$249 | ||
| Aircraft (g) | 847 | ||
| Effective tax rate | 23% to 24% | ||
| Capital spending (billions) | $3.5 to $4.0 |
(a) Operating revenue per available seat mile ("RASM" or "unit revenues").
(b) Available seat miles ("ASMs" or "capacity"). The Company's flight schedule is currently published for sale through October 2, 2024. The Company currently expects second quarter 2024 capacity to increase in the range of 8 percent to 10 percent, year-over-year, and third quarter 2024 capacity to increase in the range of 3 percent to 5 percent, year-over-year.
(c) See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information on special items. In addition, information regarding special items and economic results is included in the accompanying table Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Items (also referred to as "excluding special items").
(d) Based on the Company's existing fuel derivative contracts and market prices as of January 17, 2024, first quarter and full year 2024 economic fuel costs per gallon are estimated to be in the range of $2.70 to $2.80 and $2.55 to $2.65, respectively. Economic fuel cost projections do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate the hedge accounting impact associated with the volatility of the energy markets, or the impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
(e) Operating expenses per available seat mile, excluding fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing ("CASM-X").
(f) Projections do not reflect the potential impact of fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate those items or expenses or their impact to its financial statements in future periods, especially considering the significant volatility of the fuel and oil expense line item. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for these projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort.
(g) Aircraft on property, end of period. The Company currently plans for approximately 79 Boeing 737 MAX ("MAX") aircraft deliveries and 49 aircraft retirements in 2024, including 45 Boeing 737-700s ("-700") and four Boeing 737-800s ("-800"). The delivery schedule for the 737-7 ("-7") is dependent on the Federal Aviation Administration ("FAA") issuing required certifications and approvals to The Boeing Company ("Boeing") and the Company. The FAA will ultimately determine the timing of the -7 certification and entry into service, and Boeing may continue to experience supply chain challenges, so the Company offers no assurances that current estimations and timelines will be met.
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The Company expects first quarter 2024 RASM to increase in the range of 2.5 percent to 4.5 percent, year-over-year. This increase includes an approximate five point tailwind due to the negative revenue impact incurred in first quarter 2023 associated with the December 2022 operational disruption. Sequentially, the performance represents a healthy improvement driven primarily by network optimization, market share contributions from the Company's Global Distribution System initiative, growth in the Rapid Rewards loyalty program, and continued strength in overall demand. The network optimization is materially complete with the March 2024 schedule, at which point the Company expects a return to profitability.
The Company currently expects its first quarter 2024 CASM-X to increase in the range of 5 percent to 6 percent, year-over-year. Approximately two to three points of the increase are driven by higher 2024 market wage rate accruals for Employee workgroups with open agreements and for overall 2024 labor cost increases, including the wage rate increases and agreed-upon work rule changes associated with the recently ratified Pilot contract. The majority of the remaining increase is driven by year-over-year pressure from maintenance expenses.
Furthermore, the Company currently expects similar cost pressures throughout the year, driving 2024 CASM-X to increase approximately 5.5 percent to 7 percent, year-over-year. Specifically, the Company expects approximately four to five points of the increase to be driven by higher year-over-year labor costs, and the balance of the increase is driven primarily by higher year-over-year maintenance expenses. Progressing through the year, the Company's focus will be on regaining efficiencies to counter inflationary cost pressures. To this end, the Company plans to end the year with headcount in the range of flat to down on a year-over-year basis.
The Company's 2024 plan leverages a set of initiatives, which most importantly, includes better aligning the route network to new demand patterns. The Company expects these initiatives to contribute roughly $1.5 billion in incremental year-over-year pre-tax profits. As a result, the Company expects double-digit year-over-year operating revenue growth and year-over-year operating margin expansion. The Company believes its 2024 plan provides a line of sight to improve profitability year-over-year, earn its cost of capital this year, and provide significant progress toward its long-term goal to exceed its cost of capital.
Company Overview
The Company ended 2023 with 817 Boeing 737 aircraft, including 223 Boeing 737-8 ("-8") aircraft. During 2023, the Company retired 39 -700 aircraft and took delivery of 86 -8 aircraft. On October 25, 2023, the Company secured an order book with Boeing that is expected to help modernize the Company's fleet with less carbon-intensive aircraft and enable the Company's long-term plan for orderly and measured growth. The Company's order book with Boeing as of January 25, 2024, consists of a total of 495 MAX firm orders (307 -7 aircraft and 188 -8 aircraft) for the years 2024 through 2031 and 199 MAX options (-7s or -8s) for the years 2025 through 2031. The Company is currently planning for approximately 79 MAX aircraft deliveries in 2024, which differs from its contractual order book due to Boeing's continued supply chain challenges and the current status of the -7 certification. The Company plans to retire approximately 49 aircraft, including 45 -700s and four -800s, ending 2024 with roughly 847 aircraft in its fleet. The timing of future deliveries could be affected by any potential or prolonged delays in the manufacturing process or with the -7 certification. The Company retains significant flexibility to manage its fleet size, including opportunities to accelerate fleet modernization efforts if growth opportunities do not materialize.
The Company has published its flight schedule through October 2, 2024. The Company continues to focus on operational excellence and reliability, regaining efficiencies, increasing productivity, and returning margins back to historical levels.
For the year ended December 31, 2023, the Company added approximately 8,100 Employees, net of attrition. The Company's number of active full-time equivalent Employees increased by 12.2 percent from December 31, 2022 to December 31, 2023, primarily to support the Company's restoration of its flight schedule after emerging from the pandemic, as well as the year-over-year growth in its fleet. The Company has made additional investments to attract
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and retain talent, including raising the Company's starting hourly pay rates for certain of its workgroups, subject, in each case, to acceptance of such change by the applicable union.
During third quarter 2023, the Company announced two new benefits as part of an ongoing commitment to provide Customers with more choices, more flexibility, and more value when they fly Southwest. Customers traveling on Wanna Get Away fares now are able to make same-day standby changes and add standby listings online or on the Southwest app. Previously, only Rapid Rewards Tier Members and Customers traveling on Business Select, Anytime, and Wanna Get Away Plus fares had flexibility to list on a different flight free of charge on their day of scheduled travel. This new offering expands the same-day standby benefit to all Southwest Customers. The Company also began offering free Inflight Internet for Customers who purchase a Business Select fare.
During October 2023, the Company announced enhancements to its Rapid Rewards loyalty program to reward loyal Members by making it easier for Customers to earn tier status, awarding A-List Preferred Members with up to two complimentary premium drinks, and, starting in spring of 2024, allowing Customers to pay for flights by using a combination of cash and Rapid Rewards points, starting with as few as 1,000 points.
The Company's Board of Directors (the "Board") reinstated and declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share on December 6, 2022, which was paid in first quarter 2023, and has continued to pay quarterly dividends through 2023. The Company previously suspended the payment of dividends in second quarter 2020 through September 30, 2022, pursuant to payroll funding support agreements with the U.S. Department of the Treasury ("Treasury"). The Company's current quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share, or $0.72 per share annualized, is equivalent to its quarterly dividend prior to the pandemic. During 2023, the Company returned $429 million to Shareholders in dividend payments.
On November 2, 2023, the Company announced an offtake agreement with USA BioEnergy, LLC, for up to 680 million gallons of neat sustainable aviation fuel ("SAF"). The Company plans to begin purchasing SAF from USA BioEnergy's facility near Bon Wier, Texas, as early as 2028. Additionally, as part of the offtake agreement, the Company and USA BioEnergy have established a long-term strategic relationship offering the Company the opportunity to purchase up to another projected 180 million gallons of SAF per year from future planned production facilities.
As part of its commitment to corporate sustainability, the Company published its 2022 One Report describing the Company's sustainability strategies on May 3, 2023, which include the Company’s fuel conservation and emissions mitigation initiatives and other efforts to minimize greenhouse gas emissions and address other environmental matters such as energy and water conservation, waste minimization, and recycling. The Company also published its Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion ("DEI") Report on May 3, 2023. A companion piece to the One Report, the DEI Report takes a deeper dive into the Company's DEI goals and initiatives and highlights the Company's DEI plans for the future. Information contained in the Southwest One Report and/or the DEI Report is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Form 10-K. While the Company believes that the disclosures contained in the Southwest One Report, the DEI Report, and other voluntary disclosures regarding environmental, social, and governance (“ESG”) matters are responsive to various areas of investor interest, the Company believes that certain of these disclosures do not currently address matters that are material in the near term to the Company’s operations, strategy, financial condition, or financial results, although this view may change in the future based on new information that could materially alter the estimates, assumptions, or timelines used to create these disclosures. Given the estimates, assumptions, and timelines used to create the Southwest One Report, the DEI Report, and other voluntary disclosures, the materiality of these disclosures is inherently difficult to assess.
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2023 Compared with 2022
Operating Revenues
Passenger revenues for 2023 increased by $2.2 billion, or 10.4 percent, compared with 2022. On a unit basis, Passenger revenues decreased 3.7 percent, year-over-year. The dollar increase was primarily due to a 14.7 percent increase in capacity, combined with healthy leisure demand and continued yield strength for 2023 versus 2022. For 2023, the year-over-year Passenger revenue yield per ASM decrease was primarily driven by a 3.4 point decrease in Load factor as the capacity growth of 14.7 percent outpaced the growth in Revenue passenger miles of 10.0 percent.
Other revenues for 2023 increased by $50 million, or 2.2 percent, compared with 2022. On a dollar basis, the increase was primarily due to additional marketing revenue from Chase Bank USA, N.A., driven by improved retail spend on the Company's co-brand credit cards.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for 2023 increased by $3.1 billion, or 13.5 percent, compared with 2022, and capacity increased 14.7 percent over the same prior year period. Approximately 60 percent of the operating expenses increase was due to higher Salaries, wages, and benefits expense (inclusive of accruals related to anticipated pay raises associated with open collective bargaining agreements) and approximately 10 percent was due to higher Maintenance, materials, and repairs expense. Historically, except for changes in the price of fuel, changes in Operating expenses for airlines have been largely driven by changes in capacity, or ASMs. The following table presents the Company's Operating expenses per ASM for 2023 and 2022, followed by explanations of these changes on a dollar basis. Unless otherwise specified, changes on a per ASM basis were driven by changes in capacity, which increased with the improvement in travel demand and the Company's focus on restoring its network, causing the Company's fixed costs to be spread over significantly more ASMs.
| Year ended December 31, | Per ASM | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in cents, except for percentages) | 2023 | 2022 | change | change | |||||||
| Salaries, wages, and benefits | 6.55 | ¢ | 6.31 | ¢ | 0.24 | ¢ | 3.8 | % | |||
| Fuel and oil | 3.65 | 4.03 | (0.38) | (9.4) | |||||||
| Maintenance materials and repairs | 0.70 | 0.58 | 0.12 | 20.7 | |||||||
| Landing fees and airport rentals | 1.05 | 1.02 | 0.03 | 2.9 | |||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 0.89 | 0.91 | (0.02) | (2.2) | |||||||
| Other operating expenses | 2.35 | 2.51 | (0.16) | (6.4) | |||||||
| Total | 15.19 | ¢ | 15.36 | ¢ | (0.17) | ¢ | (1.1) | % |
Operating expenses per ASM for 2023 decreased by 1.1 percent, compared with 2022. The majority of the year-over-year unit cost decrease was driven by a decrease in the Company's fuel cost per gallon, partially offset by higher salaries, wages, and benefits expense. Operating expenses per ASM for 2023, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (a non-GAAP financial measure), decreased 1.2 percent, year-over-year. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2023 increased by $1.8 billion, or 18.9 percent, compared with 2022. On a per ASM basis, Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2023 increased 3.8 percent, compared with 2022. On a dollar basis, approximately 45 percent of the increase was due to step/pay rate increases for certain workgroups, including market wage rate accruals for open collective bargaining agreements (inclusive of $180 million and $354 million on a GAAP basis in additional compensation related to past services negotiated as part of the tentative agreements reached with the Transport Workers Union 556 ("TWU 556") and SWAPA, respectively) and approximately 20 percent of the increase was driven by an increase in capacity and trips flown. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP measures.
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The following table sets forth the Company’s unionized Employee groups with contracts that are currently in negotiations on collective-bargaining agreements:
| Employee Group | Approximate Number of Full-time Equivalent Employees | Representatives | Amendable Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Flight Attendants | 19,883 | TWU 556 | November 2018 |
| Southwest Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, Freight Agents | 17,892 | Transport Workers Union Local 555 (“TWU 555”) | February 2021 |
| Southwest Flight Simulator Technicians | 54 | International Brotherhood of Teamsters (“IBT”) | May 2024 |
On January 31, 2023, the Company's 50 Facilities Maintenance Technicians, represented by the Aircraft Mechanics Fraternal Association ("AMFA"), ratified a new four-year collective bargaining agreement with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in November 2027.
On February 4, 2023, the Company's more than 470 Dispatchers, represented by the Transportation Workers of America, AFL-CIO, Local 550 ("TWU 550"), ratified a new four-year collective bargaining agreement with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in June 2027.
On April 30, 2023, the Company's 12 Meteorologists, represented by TWU 550, ratified a new five-year collective bargaining agreement with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in May 2028.
On July 27, 2023, the Company's 2,865 Mechanics & Related Employees, represented by AMFA, voted to ratify a four-year contract extension with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in August 2027.
On August 15, 2023, the Company reached a tentative collective-bargaining agreement with TWU 555, which represents the Company's nearly 18,000 Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, and Freight Agents. However, during September 2023, TWU 555 membership voted not to ratify the agreement. The Company will continue to engage in discussions on a new agreement with TWU 555.
On October 6, 2023, the Company's more than 480 Material Specialists, represented by IBT, voted to ratify a three-year contract extension with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in October 2026.
On October 25, 2023, the Company reached a tentative collective-bargaining agreement with TWU 556, which represents the Company's nearly 20,000 Flight Attendants. However, during December 2023, TWU 556 membership voted not to ratify the agreement. The Company will continue to engage in discussions on a new agreement with TWU 556.
On January 22, 2024, the Company's nearly 11,000 Pilots, represented by SWAPA, voted to ratify a five-year contract extension with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in January 2029.
Fuel and oil expense for 2023 increased by $242 million, or 4.1 percent, compared with 2022. On a per ASM basis, Fuel and oil expense for 2023 decreased 9.4 percent. On a dollar basis, the increase was primarily attributable to an increase in fuel gallons consumed, partially offset by a decrease in jet fuel prices per gallon. On a per ASM basis, the decrease was primarily due to lower jet fuel prices. The following table provides more information on the Company's economic fuel cost per gallon, including the impact of fuel hedging premium expense and fuel derivative contracts:
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| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon | $ | 2.89 | $ | 3.07 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense (in millions) | $ | 121 | $ | 78 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $ | 0.06 | $ | 0.04 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $ | 0.12 | $ | 0.49 |
See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
The Company's 2023 available seat miles per gallon ("fuel efficiency") improved 2.8 percent, year-over-year, due to lower load factors and more -8 aircraft, the Company's most fuel-efficient aircraft, as a percentage of its fleet. The continued deliveries of MAX aircraft are expected to remain critical to the Company's efforts to modernize its fleet, reduce carbon emissions intensity, and achieve its near-term environmental sustainability goals.
In addition, the Company is providing its maximum percentage of estimated fuel consumption covered by fuel derivative contracts in the following table:
| Period | Maximum fuel hedged percentage (a)(b) |
|---|---|
| 2024 | 57% |
| 2025 | 46% |
| 2026 | 18% |
(a) Based on the Company's current available seat mile plans. The Company is currently 60 percent hedged in first quarter 2024, 55 percent hedged in second quarter 2024, and 56 percent hedged in second half 2024.
(b) The Company's maximum fuel hedged percentage is calculated using the maximum number of gallons that are covered by derivative contracts divided by the Company's estimate of total fuel gallons to be consumed for each respective period. The Company's maximum number of gallons that are covered by derivative contracts may be at different strike prices and at strike prices materially higher than the current market prices. The volume of gallons covered by derivative contracts that ultimately get exercised in any given period may vary significantly from the volumes used to calculate the Company's maximum fuel hedged percentages, as market prices and the Company's fuel consumption fluctuate.
As a result of applying hedge accounting in prior periods, the Company has amounts in Accumulated other comprehensive income ("AOCI") that will be recognized in earnings in future periods when the underlying fuel derivative contracts settle. The following table displays the Company's estimated fair value of remaining fuel derivative contracts (not considering the impact of the cash collateral provided to or received from counterparties - see Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information), as well as the deferred amounts in AOCI as of December 31, 2023, and the expected future periods in which these items are expected to settle and/or be recognized in earnings (in millions):
| Year | Fair value of fuel derivative contracts at December 31, 2023 | Amount of gains deferred in AOCI at December 31, 2023 (net of tax) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $ | 86 | $ | 55 | |||
| 2025 | 91 | 43 | |||||
| 2026 | 46 | 4 | |||||
| Total | $ | 223 | $ | 102 |
The Company's multi-year fuel hedging program continues to provide protection against spikes in energy prices. The Company's current fuel derivative contracts contain a combination of instruments based in West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude oil. The economic fuel price per gallon sensitivities provided in the table below assume the relationship between Brent crude oil and refined products based on market prices as of January 17, 2024.
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| Estimated economic fuel price per gallon, including taxes and fuel hedging premiums (b) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Average Brent Crude Oil price per barrel | First Quarter 2024 | Full Year 2024 |
| $60 | $2.15 to $2.25 | $2.10 to $2.20 |
| $70 | $2.50 to $2.60 | $2.40 to $2.50 |
| Current market (a) | $2.70 to $2.80 | $2.55 to $2.65 |
| $80 | $2.80 to $2.90 | $2.70 to $2.80 |
| $90 | $3.10 to $3.20 | $3.00 to $3.10 |
| $100 | $3.35 to $3.45 | $3.25 to $3.35 |
| Fair market value of fuel derivative contracts settling in period | $12 million | $86 million |
| Estimated premium costs | $39 million | $158 million |
(a) Brent crude oil average market prices as of January 17, 2024, were approximately $77 and $76 per barrel for first quarter 2024 and full year 2024, respectively.
(b) Based on the Company's existing fuel derivative contracts and market prices as of January 17, 2024, first quarter and full year 2024 economic fuel costs per gallon are estimated to be in the range of $2.70 to $2.80 and $2.55 to $2.65, respectively. Economic fuel cost projections do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate the hedge accounting impact associated with the volatility of the energy markets, or the impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
Maintenance materials and repairs expense for 2023 increased by $336 million, or 39.4 percent, compared with 2022. On a per ASM basis, Maintenance materials and repairs expense increased 20.7 percent, compared with 2022. On a dollar and per ASM basis, approximately 70 percent of the increase was due to an increase in engine shop visits and the remainder of the increase was due to various other engine repairs. The number of engines inducted for planned performance restoration shop visits for the Company’s -700 fleet increased as a result of utilization. Planned shop visits for the -800 fleet increased as the -800 aircraft emerged from their maintenance “honeymoon” period during which the engines have required significantly lower levels of maintenance while in the early phases of their useful lives.
Landing fees and airport rentals expense for 2023 increased by $281 million, or 18.6 percent, compared with 2022. On a per ASM basis, Landing fees and airport rentals expense increased 2.9 percent, compared with 2022. On a dollar basis, approximately 45 percent of the increase was largely due to higher airport rental expense throughout the network, associated with both higher rates and additional space leased at airports, and approximately 40 percent of the increase was attributable to higher landing fees, primarily driven both by the increase in trips flown and higher rates charged by airports.
Depreciation and amortization expense for 2023 increased by $171 million, or 12.7 percent, compared with 2022. On a per ASM basis, Depreciation and amortization expense decreased by 2.2 percent, compared with 2022. On a dollar basis, approximately 65 percent of the increase was primarily due to the acquisition of 86 -8 aircraft since 2022. The majority of the remainder was due to accelerating the depreciation for certain -700 aircraft planned for early retirement in 2023 and 2024.
Other operating expenses for 2023 increased by $264 million, or 7.1 percent, compared with 2022. Included within this line item was aircraft rentals expenses in the amount of $198 million and $195 million for 2023 and 2022, respectively. On a per ASM basis, Other operating expenses decreased 6.4 percent, compared with 2022. On a dollar basis, the increase was due to (i) higher professional fees, driven by an increase in technology projects, (ii) higher personnel expenses, driven by an increase in Crew lodging expenses associated with the increase in capacity and inflationary pressure, and (iii) an increase driven by recording the $107 million DOT settlement in December
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2023. The majority of the remaining increase was due to various flight-driven expenses. These increases were partially offset by a decrease in costs associated with the Company's December 2022 Operational Disruption, the majority of which were accrued in 2022.
Other expenses (income)
Interest expense for 2023 decreased by $81 million, or 23.8 percent, compared with 2022, primarily due to various debt repurchases in 2022.
Capitalized interest for 2023 decreased by $16 million, or 41.0 percent, compared with 2022, primarily due to a significant amount of assets being placed into service, most notably 86 -8 aircraft being delivered since 2022.
Interest income for 2023 increased by $366 million, compared with 2022, primarily due to higher interest rates earned on the Company's cash and short-term investments.
Loss on extinguishment of debt for 2023 decreased by $193 million, compared with 2022, primarily due to the partial extinguishment of the Company's Convertible Notes in 2022, compared with none in 2023.
Other (gains) losses, net, primarily includes amounts recorded as a result of the Company's deferred compensation and hedging activities. See Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's hedging activities. The following table displays the components of Other (gains) losses, net, for 2023 and 2022:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods | $ | (17) | $ | (41) | ||
| Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | (28) | ||||
| Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | (4) | 4 | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact on deferred compensation plan investment | (39) | 74 | ||||
| Other | (2) | 3 | ||||
| $ | (62) | $ | 12 |
Income Taxes
The Company's annual 2023 effective tax rate was 26.5 percent, compared with 25.9 percent in 2022. The year-over-year increase in the tax rate is primarily due to the DOT settlement, which is treated as a disallowed tax deduction in 2023, and higher state taxes. The rate increases were partially offset by the absence of repurchases of the Convertible Notes which resulted in disallowed tax deductions and a higher tax rate in 2022.
2022 Compared with 2021
The Company's comparison of 2022 results to 2021 results is included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, under Part II Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures (excluding special items) (unaudited) (in millions, except per share amounts and per ASM amounts)
| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | Change | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, unhedged | $ | 6,346 | $ | 6,780 | ||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts designated as hedges | 121 | 105 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge gains included in Fuel and oil expense, net | (250) | (910) | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, as reported | $ | 6,217 | $ | 5,975 | ||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which gains were reclassified from AOCI (c) | (16) | (40) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Premium benefit of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | (28) | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | $ | 6,201 | $ | 5,907 | 5.0 | % | ||||
| Total operating expenses, as reported | $ | 25,867 | $ | 22,797 | ||||||
| Deduct: TWU 556 Labor contract adjustment (a) | (180) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: SWAPA Labor contract adjustment (b) | (354) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which gains were reclassified from AOCI (c) | (16) | (40) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Premium benefit of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | (28) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Impairment of long-lived assets | — | (35) | ||||||||
| Deduct: DOT settlement | (107) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Litigation settlement | (12) | — | ||||||||
| Total operating expenses, excluding special items | $ | 25,198 | $ | 22,694 | 11.0 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | (6,201) | (5,907) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense and special items | $ | 18,997 | $ | 16,787 | 13.2 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Profitsharing expense | (110) | (127) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing | $ | 18,887 | $ | 16,660 | 13.4 | % | ||||
| Operating income, as reported | $ | 224 | $ | 1,017 | ||||||
| Add: TWU 556 contract adjustment (a) | 180 | — | ||||||||
| Add: SWAPA contract adjustment (b) | 354 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which gains were reclassified from AOCI (c) | 16 | 40 | ||||||||
| Add: Premium benefit of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | 28 | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | — | 35 | ||||||||
| Add: DOT settlement | 107 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation settlement | 12 | — | ||||||||
| Operating income, excluding special items | $ | 893 | $ | 1,120 | (20.3) | % | ||||
| Other (gains) losses, net, as reported | $ | (62) | $ | 12 | ||||||
| Add: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods (c) | 17 | 41 | ||||||||
| Add: Premium benefit of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | — | 28 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | 4 | (4) | ||||||||
| Other (gains) losses, net, excluding special items | $ | (41) | $ | 77 | n.m. | |||||
| Income before income taxes, as reported | $ | 633 | $ | 728 | ||||||
| Add: TWU 556 contract adjustment (a) | 180 | — | ||||||||
| Add: SWAPA contract adjustment (b) | 354 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which gains were reclassified from AOCI (c) | 16 | 40 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods (c) | (17) | (41) | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | — | 35 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | (4) | 4 | ||||||||
| Add: Loss on extinguishment of debt | — | 193 | ||||||||
| Add: DOT settlement | 107 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation settlement | 12 | — | ||||||||
| Income before income taxes, excluding special items | $ | 1,281 | $ | 959 | 33.6 | % |
| Provision for income taxes, as reported | $ | 168 | $ | 189 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Add: Net income tax impact of fuel and special items (d) | 133 | 47 | ||||||||
| Provision for income taxes, net, excluding special items | $ | 301 | $ | 236 | 27.5 | % | ||||
| Net income, as reported | $ | 465 | $ | 539 | ||||||
| Add: TWU 556 contract adjustment (a) | 180 | — | ||||||||
| Add: SWAPA contract adjustment (b) | 354 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which gains were reclassified from AOCI (c) | 16 | 40 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current periods (c) | (17) | (41) | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | — | 35 | ||||||||
| Add: Loss on extinguishment of debt | — | 193 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | (4) | 4 | ||||||||
| Add: DOT settlement | 107 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Litigation settlement | 12 | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Net income tax impact of special items (d) | (133) | (47) | ||||||||
| Net income, excluding special items | $ | 980 | $ | 723 | 35.5 | % | ||||
| Net income per share, diluted, as reported | $ | 0.76 | $ | 0.87 | ||||||
| Add: Impact of special items | 1.01 | 0.36 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Net income tax impact of special items (d) | (0.21) | (0.07) | ||||||||
| Net income per share, diluted, excluding special items | $ | 1.56 | $ | 1.16 | 34.5 | % | ||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents) | 15.19 | ¢ | 15.36 | ¢ | ||||||
| Deduct: Impact of special items | (7.82) | (0.03) | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel and oil expense divided by ASMs | 3.65 | (4.03) | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Profitsharing expense divided by ASMs | 0.07 | (0.08) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (cents) | 11.09 | ¢ | 11.22 | ¢ | (1.2) | % |
(a) Represents changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company’s Flight Attendants as part of the tentative agreement reached in October 2023 with TWU 556. The Company began accruing for all of its open labor contracts on April 1, 2022, and this incremental $180 million expense extends the timeframe covered by the ratification bonus to the date the Flight Attendant contract became amendable on November 1, 2018, to compensate for missed wage increases over that time period. The Company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2023 include market rate wage accrual for all workgroups with open collective bargaining agreements. See the Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for further information.
(b) Represents changes in estimate related to the contract ratification bonus for the Company’s Pilots as part of the tentative agreement reached in December 2023 with SWAPA. The Company began accruing for all of its open labor contracts on April 1, 2022, and this incremental $354 million expense represents an increase in retroactive pay associated with wage rates for purposes of calculating the ratification bonus agreed to for Pilots for periods prior to 2023. See the Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for further information.
(c) See Note 11 to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(d) Tax amounts for each individual special item are calculated at the Company's effective rate for the applicable period and totaled in this line item.
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Non-GAAP Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) (in millions) (unaudited)
| Year Ended | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2023 | |||
| Operating income, as reported | $ | 224 | |
| TWU 556 contract adjustment | 180 | ||
| SWAPA contract adjustment | 354 | ||
| Net impact from fuel contracts | 16 | ||
| DOT settlement | 107 | ||
| Litigation settlement | 12 | ||
| Operating income, non-GAAP | 893 | ||
| Net adjustment for aircraft leases (a) | 128 | ||
| Adjusted operating income, non-GAAP (A) | $ | 1,021 | |
| Non-GAAP tax rate (B) | 23.5 | % | (d) |
| Net operating profit after-tax (A* (1-B) = C) | $ | 781 | |
| Debt, including finance leases (b) | $ | 8,033 | |
| Equity (b) | 10,669 | ||
| Net present value of aircraft operating leases (b) | 1,029 | ||
| Average invested capital | $ | 19,731 | |
| Equity adjustment (c) | (168) | ||
| Adjusted average invested capital (D) | $ | 19,563 | |
| Non-GAAP ROIC, pre-tax (A/D) | 5.2 | % | |
| Non-GAAP ROIC, after-tax (C/D) | 4.0 | % |
(a) Net adjustment related to presumption that all aircraft in fleet are owned (i.e., the impact of eliminating aircraft rent expense and replacing with estimated depreciation expense for those same aircraft). The Company makes this adjustment to enhance comparability to other entities that have different capital structures by utilizing alternative financing decisions.
(b) Calculated as an average of the five most recent quarter end balances or remaining obligations. The Net present value of aircraft operating leases represents the assumption that all aircraft in the Company’s fleet are owned, as it reflects the remaining contractual commitments discounted at the Company's estimated incremental borrowing rate as of the time each individual lease was signed.
(c) The Equity adjustment in the denominator adjusts for the cumulative impacts, in Accumulated other comprehensive income and Retained earnings, of gains and/or losses that will settle in future periods, including those associated with the Company's fuel hedges. The current period impact of these gains and/or losses is reflected in the Net impact from fuel contracts in the numerator.
(d) The GAAP full year tax rate as of December 31, 2023, was 26.5 percent, and the full year Non-GAAP tax rate was 23.5 percent. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information.
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Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The Company's Consolidated Financial Statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. These GAAP financial statements may include (i) unrealized noncash adjustments and reclassifications, which can be significant, as a result of accounting requirements and elections made under accounting pronouncements relating to derivative instruments and hedging and (ii) other charges and benefits the Company believes are unusual and/or infrequent in nature and thus may make comparisons to its prior or future performance difficult.
As a result, the Company also provides financial information in this filing that was not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to the information prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company provides supplemental non-GAAP financial information (also referred to as "excluding special items"), including results that it refers to as "economic," which the Company's management utilizes to evaluate its ongoing financial performance and the Company believes provides additional insight to investors as supplemental information to its GAAP results. The non-GAAP measures provided that relate to the Company’s performance on an economic fuel cost basis include Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing; Operating income, non-GAAP; Other (gains) losses, net, non-GAAP; Income before income taxes, non-GAAP; Provision for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net income, non-GAAP; Net income per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing (cents). The Company's economic Fuel and oil expense results differ from GAAP results in that they only include the actual cash settlements from fuel hedge contracts - all reflected within Fuel and oil expense in the period of settlement. Thus, Fuel and oil expense on an economic basis has historically been utilized by the Company, as well as some of the other airlines that utilize fuel hedging, as it reflects the Company’s actual net cash outlays for fuel during the applicable period, inclusive of settled fuel derivative contracts. Any net premium costs paid related to option contracts that are designated as hedges are reflected as a component of Fuel and oil expense, for both GAAP and non-GAAP (including economic) purposes in the period of contract settlement. The Company believes these economic results provide further insight into the impact of the Company's fuel hedges on its operating performance and liquidity since they exclude the unrealized, noncash adjustments and reclassifications that are recorded in GAAP results in accordance with accounting guidance relating to derivative instruments, and they reflect all cash settlements related to fuel derivative contracts within Fuel and oil expense. This enables the Company's management, as well as investors and analysts, to consistently assess the Company's operating performance on a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter basis after considering all efforts in place to manage fuel expense. However, because these measures are not determined in accordance with GAAP, such measures are susceptible to varying calculations, and not all companies calculate the measures in the same manner. As a result, the aforementioned measures, as presented, may not be directly comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies.
Further information on (i) the Company's fuel hedging program, (ii) the requirements of accounting for derivative instruments, and (iii) the causes of hedge ineffectiveness and/or mark-to-market gains or losses from derivative instruments is included in Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company’s GAAP results in the applicable periods may include other charges or benefits that are also deemed "special items," that the Company believes make its results difficult to compare to prior periods, anticipated future periods, or industry trends. Financial measures identified as non-GAAP (or as excluding special items) have been adjusted to exclude special items. For the periods presented, in addition to the items discussed above, special items include:
1.Incremental expense associated with the recently ratified Pilot contract and ongoing labor contract negotiations with TWU 556 which represents the Company's Flight Attendants. The change in estimate recognized in 2023 relates to additional compensation for services performed by Employees outside of the applicable fiscal period;
2.Noncash impairment charges, primarily associated with adjustments to the salvage values for previously retired airframes;
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3.A charge associated with a settlement reached with the DOT as a result of the Company's December 2022 operational disruption;
4.A charge associated with a tentative litigation settlement regarding certain California state meal-and-rest-break regulations for flight attendants;
5.Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment associated with certain available for sale securities; and
6.Losses associated with the partial extinguishment of the Company's Convertible Notes and early prepayment of debt. Such losses are incurred as a result of opportunistic decisions made by the Company to prepay portions of its debt, most of which was incurred during the pandemic in order to provide liquidity during the prolonged downturn in air travel.
Because management believes special items can distort the trends associated with the Company’s ongoing performance as an airline, the Company believes that evaluation of its financial performance can be enhanced by a supplemental presentation of results that exclude the impact of special items in order to enhance consistency and comparativeness with results in prior periods that do not include such items and as a basis for evaluating operating results in future periods. The following measures are often provided, excluding special items, and utilized by the Company’s management, analysts, and investors to enhance comparability of year-over-year results, as well as to industry trends: Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing; Operating income, non-GAAP; Other (gains) losses, net, non-GAAP; Income before income taxes, non-GAAP; Provision for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net income, non-GAAP; Net income per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing (cents).
The Company has also provided its calculation of return on invested capital, which is a measure of financial performance used by management to evaluate its investment returns on capital. Return on invested capital is not a substitute for financial results as reported in accordance with GAAP and should not be utilized in place of such GAAP results. Although return on invested capital is not a measure defined by GAAP, it is calculated by the Company, in part, using non-GAAP financial measures. Those non-GAAP financial measures are utilized for the same reasons as those noted above for Net income, non-GAAP and Operating income, non-GAAP. The comparable GAAP measures include charges or benefits that are deemed "special items" that the Company believes make its results difficult to compare to prior periods, anticipated future periods, or industry trends, and the Company’s profitability targets and estimates, both internally and externally, are based on non-GAAP results since "special items" cannot be reliably predicted or estimated. The Company believes non-GAAP return on invested capital is a meaningful measure because it quantifies the Company's effectiveness in generating returns relative to the capital it has invested in its business. Although return on invested capital is commonly used as a measure of capital efficiency, definitions of return on invested capital differ; therefore, the Company is providing an explanation of its calculation for non-GAAP return on invested capital in the accompanying reconciliation in order to allow investors to compare and contrast its calculation to the calculations provided by other companies.
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
The enormous impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S. travel industry created an urgent liquidity crisis for the entire airline industry, including the Company. However, due to the Company's pre-pandemic low balance sheet leverage, large base of unencumbered assets, and investment-grade credit ratings, the Company was able to quickly access additional liquidity during 2020, as Customer cancellations and ticket refunds spiked and sales and revenues dropped while the Company continued to experience significant fixed operating expenses. See Note 2 and Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the transactions completed and financial assistance obtained from Treasury under payroll support programs.
Net cash provided by operating activities for 2023 was $3.2 billion, and net cash provided by operating activities for 2022 was $3.8 billion. Operating cash inflows are historically primarily derived from providing air transportation to Customers. The vast majority of tickets are purchased prior to the day on which travel is provided and, in some cases, several months before the anticipated travel date. Operating cash outflows are related to the recurring expenses of airline operations. The operating cash flows for 2023 were largely impacted by the Company's net income (as adjusted for noncash items), a $29 million increase in Air traffic liability driven by higher ticket sales related to an increase in travel demand, partially offset by a $273 million decrease related to the purchase of fuel derivative instruments, which is included within Other, net operating cash flows in the accompanying Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows (see Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information), and a $215 million decrease due to the payment of Customer reimbursement expenses in first quarter 2023 related to the December 2022 operational disruption. Operating cash flows for 2022 included a $525 million increase in Air traffic liability driven by increased ticket sales related to an increase in leisure travel demand, a $472 million cash tax refund associated with the 2020 tax year, and a $139 million cash excise tax refund, partially offset by an $81 million decrease related to the purchase of fuel derivative instruments. Net cash provided by operating activities is primarily used to finance capital expenditures, repay debt, and provide working capital. Historically, the Company has also used Net cash provided by operating activities to fund stock repurchases and pay dividends. The Board reinstated and declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share on December 6, 2022, and has continued to pay quarterly dividends through 2023. The Company has suspended share repurchase activity until further notice.
Net cash used in investing activities for 2023 was $2.9 billion, and net cash used in investing activities for 2022 was $3.7 billion. Investing activities in both years included Capital expenditures and changes in the balance of the Company's short-term and noncurrent investments. Capital expenditures were $3.5 billion for 2023, compared with $3.9 billion in the same prior year period, and decreased largely due to a decrease in progress and delivery payments made for current period and future aircraft deliveries during 2023. Capital expenditures during 2023 also included approximately $79 million associated with the Company's purchase of finance leased aircraft, compared to approximately $174 million associated with finance leased aircraft purchased during 2022. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company estimates its 2024 capital spending to be in the range of $3.5 billion to $4.0 billion, which includes approximately $2.2 billion in aircraft capital spending, assuming approximately 79 MAX aircraft deliveries in 2024, and $1.6 billion in non-aircraft capital spending. Including both capital spending and operating expense budgets, the Company currently expects to spend approximately $1.7 billion in 2024 on technology investments, upgrades, and system maintenance. The Company currently estimates its average annual capital spending to be approximately $4 billion through 2027 and will continue to evaluate this level of capital spending based on the Company's performance compared with its long-term financial goals.
Net cash used in financing activities for 2023 was $436 million, and net cash used in financing activities for 2022 was $3.0 billion. The Company paid $428 million in cash dividends to Shareholders and repaid $85 million in finance lease obligations during the year ended December 31, 2023. The Company may engage in early debt repurchases from time to time at its discretion; however, any early future repurchases are not included in the Company's current maturities of long-term debt. During 2022, the Company's financing activities included repaying $3.1 billion in debt and finance lease obligations, including the prepayment of $1.3 billion for all of its outstanding 4.75% Notes due 2023, and the extinguishment of $486 million in principal of its Convertible Notes for cash
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payments totaling $648 million. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's purchase of finance leased aircraft, which resulted in the elimination of the Company’s remaining financial lease obligations for these aircraft of $191 million and $53 million in 2022 and 2023, respectively.
A discussion of the Company's most significant drivers impacting cash flow for 2021 are included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, under Part II Item 7, Liquidity and Capital Resources.
The Company is a "well-known seasoned issuer" and currently has an effective shelf registration statement registering an indeterminate amount of debt and equity securities for future sales. The Company currently intends to use the proceeds from any future securities sales off this shelf registration statement for general corporate purposes.
The Company has access to $1.0 billion under its amended and restated revolving credit facility (the "Amended Credit Agreement"). In August 2023, this facility was amended to, among other things, (i) extend the expiration date to August 2028, (ii) release all aircraft and other assets constituting collateral securing loans under the facility, (iii) eliminate the minimum liquidity covenant, (iv) add a Coverage Ratio financial covenant, and (v) amend the covenant requiring that a pool of lien-free specified aircraft and related assets have a minimum aggregate appraised value. There were no amounts outstanding under the Amended Credit Agreement as of December 31, 2023. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Although not the case at December 31, 2023 due to the Company's significant financing activities throughout the early stages of the pandemic, the Company has historically carried a working capital deficit, in which its current liabilities exceed its current assets. This is common within the airline industry and is primarily due to the nature of the Air traffic liability account, which is related to advance ticket sales, unused flight credits available to Customers, and loyalty deferred revenue, which are performance obligations for future Customer flights, do not require future settlement in cash, and are mostly nonrefundable. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company believes it has various options available to meet its capital and operating commitments, including unrestricted cash and short-term investments of $11.5 billion as of December 31, 2023, and anticipated future internally generated funds from operations. The Company continues to have a large base of unencumbered assets with a net book value of approximately $17.3 billion, including $14.5 billion in aircraft value and $2.8 billion in non-aircraft assets such as spare engines, ground equipment, and real estate. In addition, the Company continues to maintain investment-grade credit ratings by all three major credit agencies (Moody's, S&P Global, and Fitch).
The following discussion includes various short-term and long-term material cash requirements from known contractual and other obligations, but does not include amounts that are contingent on events or other factors that are uncertain or unknown at this time. Given the Company's current liquidity position, available resources, and prevailing outlook, it expects to be able to fulfill both its short-term and long-term material cash requirements. The amounts disclosed are based on various estimates, including estimates regarding the timing of payments, prevailing interest rates, volumes purchased, the occurrence of certain events and other factors. Accordingly, the actual results may vary materially from the amounts discussed herein.
Debt
As detailed in Notes 2 and 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, in connection with the major negative impact of COVID-19 on air carriers, the Company received significant financial assistance from Treasury in the form of payroll support, and this assistance had a significant impact on the Company's reported GAAP financial results in 2021. Such impact ended in third quarter 2021, and the Company's 2022 and 2023 results do not reflect the benefit of this payroll support, and its future periods are not expected to benefit from such payroll support. However, future cash flows will be impacted through the portion of payroll support that was in the form of loans that remain outstanding and will have to be repaid to Treasury.
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See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail on the Company's debt and the timing of expected and future principal payments. The Company also has significant future obligations associated with fixed interest payments associated with its debt. As of December 31, 2023, future interest payments associated with its fixed rate debt (excluding interest associated with finance leases) were $239 million in 2024, $198 million in 2025, $166 million in 2026, $114 million in 2027, $56 million in 2028, and $105 million thereafter.
The Company's Convertible Notes did not meet the criteria to be converted by holders as of the date of the financial statements, and thus are classified as Long-term debt in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2023. If the provisions were met to allow holders to exercise their conversion option on these instruments, all of the remaining Convertible Notes would be reclassified as a current obligation. Also, the Company has engaged in transactions with certain convertible debt holders to purchase their instruments in private transactions from time to time in cash, and may continue to do so in future periods. The Company considers its prevailing stock price, the trading price of its convertible debt instruments, and its available liquidity in determining how much of these instruments it may attempt to repurchase in such transactions.
Leases
The Company enters into leases for aircraft, airports and other real property, and other types of equipment in the normal course of business. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail.
Aircraft purchase commitments
The Company is required to make cash deposits toward the purchase of aircraft in advance. These deposits are classified as Deposits on flight equipment purchase contracts in the Consolidated Balance Sheet until the aircraft is delivered, at which time deposits previously made are deducted from the final purchase price of aircraft and are reclassified as Flight equipment. See Part I, Item 2 for a complete table of the Company's contractual firm deliveries and options for -7 and -8 aircraft, and Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the financial commitments related to these firm deliveries.
Other
The Company's other material cash requirements primarily consist of outlays associated with normal operating expenses of the airline, including payroll, fuel, airport costs, etc. While many of these expenses are variable in nature, some of the expenditures can be somewhat fixed in the short-term due to the lead-time involved in publishing the Company's flight schedule in advance and providing for resources to be available to operate those schedules.
As a result of the Company's Pilots ratifying a new labor contract in January 2024, the Company is scheduled to pay out contract ratification bonuses to its Pilots in first quarter 2024 totaling approximately $1.35 billion, which includes a contractual $1.28 billion in wages and Non-elective retirement contributions, plus the applicable payroll taxes on such amounts.
The Company has a large net deferred tax liability on its Consolidated Balance Sheet. The deferral of income taxes has resulted in a significant benefit to the Company and its liquidity position. Since the Company purchases the majority of the aircraft it acquires, it has been able to utilize accelerated depreciation methods (including bonus depreciation) available under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, in 2023 and in previous years, which has enabled the Company to accelerate cash tax benefits of depreciation. Based on the Company’s scheduled future aircraft deliveries from Boeing and existing tax laws in effect, the Company will continue to accelerate the cash income tax benefits related to aircraft purchases. Due to the Company's net taxable loss incurred in 2020, and a provision within the CARES Act that allowed entities to carry back such 2020 losses to prior periods of up to five years, and claim refunds of federal taxes paid, the Company received a significant cash tax refund of $472 million associated with this taxable loss from the Internal Revenue Service during second quarter 2022. The Company has federal and state operating loss carryforwards, $268 million and $36 million (tax-effected), respectively, to reduce
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taxable income in future periods. See Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. The Company has paid in the past, and will continue to pay in the future, cash taxes to the various taxing jurisdictions where it operates. The Company expects to be able to continue to meet such obligations utilizing cash and investments on hand, as well as cash generated from its ongoing operations.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
The Company’s Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company’s significant accounting policies are described in Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires the Company’s management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying footnotes. The Company’s estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience and changes in the business environment. However, actual results may differ from estimates under different conditions, sometimes materially. Critical accounting policies and estimates are defined as those that both (i) are most important to the portrayal of the Company’s financial condition and results and (ii) require management’s most subjective judgments. The Company’s critical accounting policies and estimates are described below.
Revenue Recognition
Tickets sold for Passenger air travel are initially deferred as Air traffic liability. Passenger revenue is recognized and Air traffic liability is reduced when the service is provided (i.e., when the flight takes place). Air traffic liability primarily represents tickets sold for future travel dates, flight credits that are expected to be used in the future, and loyalty benefits that are expected to be redeemed in the future. Air traffic liability typically fluctuates throughout the year based on seasonal travel patterns, fare sale activity, and activity associated with the Company’s loyalty program. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for information about the Company's revenue recognition policies.
For air travel on Southwest, the amount of tickets (which includes flight credits—also referred to as partial tickets) that will go unused, referred to as breakage, is estimated and recognized in Passenger revenue once the scheduled flight date has passed, in proportion to the pattern of rights exercised by the Customer, in accordance with Accounting Standards Codification 606, Revenue From Contracts With Customers ("ASC 606"). Estimating the amount of tickets that will ultimately go unused involves some level of subjectivity and judgment. The majority of the Company's tickets sold are nonrefundable, although flight credits created when a Customer cancels or modifies an existing flight itinerary can be applied towards the purchase of future travel. Unused flight credits are the primary source of breakage. Breakage estimates are based on historical experience over many years. Fully refundable tickets rarely go unused.
As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, for all Customer flight credits created or scheduled to expire between March 1 and September 7, 2020 associated with flight cancellations, the Company initially extended the expiration date to September 7, 2022. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding these extended flight credits. Since the Company did not have historical data to enable it to accurately estimate the pattern of usage of these extended credits, these credits have been classified as a current liability throughout their history. Subsequently, on July 28, 2022, the Company modified its policy and announced that all unexpired flight credits as of that date, including these extended flight credits, will no longer have an expiration date and thus will be able to be redeemed by Customers indefinitely. This change in policy was considered a contract modification under ASC 606 and the Company accounted for such change prospectively in third quarter 2022. The Company’s balance of existing Customer flight credits as of the modification date was approximately $1.9 billion, including the extended flight credits that had been set to expire on September 7, 2022.
As a result of changes in observed Customer travel habits and behaviors during 2021 and 2022, the Company increased its estimates of “normal” Customer flight credits that are expected to go unused, as Customer redemptions of these "normal" credits had been at a slower rate than the Company’s historical data for similar credits in periods prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the Company continues to believe a portion of Customer flight credits will go unused following the Company's change in policy, including a portion of flight credits issued after July 28, 2022, the Company expects its prospective breakage rate associated with such flight credits to be at or slightly lower than historical pre-pandemic levels due to the fact that such flight credits no longer have an expiration date. Although the Company's estimated breakage rate was consistent throughout 2023, a one percentage point change in the amount of breakage, as a factor of total flight credits issued, would have resulted in a change of Passenger
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revenues of approximately $26 million. The Company also does not currently anticipate any changes to its estimated breakage rate for 2024.
Observed Customer behavior that differs from historical experience can cause actual ticket breakage to differ significantly from estimates. Assumptions about Customer behavior are reviewed frequently and corresponding adjustments are made to breakage estimates, as needed, when observed behaviors differ from historical experience. Assumptions about Customer behavior can be impacted by several factors including, but not limited to: fare increases, fare sales, changes to the Company's ticketing policies, changes to the Company’s refund, exchange and unused flight credit policies, seat availability, and economic factors. The Company’s estimation techniques have been consistently applied from year to year; however, as with any estimates, actual ticket breakage may vary from estimated amounts.
Fair Value Measurements and Financial Derivative Instruments
The Company utilizes unobservable (Level 3) inputs in determining the fair value of certain assets and liabilities. As of December 31, 2023, these consisted of its fuel derivative option contracts, which were an asset of $223 million. The Company utilizes financial derivative instruments primarily to manage its risk associated with changing jet fuel prices. See "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk" for more information on these risk management activities, Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the Company’s fuel hedging program and financial derivative instruments, and Note 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about fair value measurements.
All derivatives are required to be reflected at fair value and recorded on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. As of December 31, 2023, the Company was a party to over 200 separate financial derivative instruments related to its fuel hedging program for future periods. Changes in the fair values of these instruments can vary dramatically based on changes in the underlying commodity prices. For example, during 2023, market "spot" prices for Brent crude oil peaked at a high average daily price of approximately $97 per barrel and hit a low average daily price of approximately $72 per barrel. During 2022, market spot prices ranged from a high average daily price of approximately $128 per barrel to a low average daily price of approximately $76 per barrel. Market price changes can be driven by factors such as supply and demand, inventory levels, weather events, refinery capacity, political agendas, the value of the U.S. dollar, geopolitical events, the extent of the COVID-19 pandemic, and general economic conditions, among other items. Historically, the financial derivative instruments utilized by the Company primarily are a combination of collars, purchased call options, call spreads, put spreads, and fixed price swap agreements.
The Company enters into financial derivative instruments with third party institutions in "over-the-counter" markets. Since the majority of the Company’s financial derivative instruments are not traded on a market exchange, the Company estimates their fair values. Depending on the type of instrument, the values are determined by the use of present value methods or standard option value models with assumptions about commodity prices based on those observed in underlying markets.
The Company determines the fair value of fuel derivative option contracts utilizing an option pricing model based on inputs that are either readily available in public markets, can be derived from information available in publicly quoted markets, or are quoted by its counterparties. In situations where the Company obtains inputs via quotes from its counterparties, it verifies the reasonableness of these quotes via similar quotes from another counterparty as of each date for which financial statements are prepared. The Company has consistently applied these valuation techniques in all periods presented and believes it has obtained the most accurate information available for the types of derivative contracts it holds. Due to the fact that certain inputs used in determining the estimated fair value of its option contracts are considered unobservable (primarily implied volatility), the Company has categorized these option contracts as Level 3. Although implied volatility is not directly observable, it is derived primarily from changes in market prices, which are observable. Based on the Company’s portfolio of option contracts as of December 31, 2023, a 10 percent change in implied volatility, holding all other factors constant, would have resulted in a change in the fair value of this portfolio of less than $34 million.
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Fair values for financial derivative instruments are estimated prior to the time that the financial derivative instruments settle. However, once settlement of the financial derivative instruments occurs and the hedged jet fuel is purchased and consumed, all values and prices are known and are recognized in the financial statements. Although the Company continues to use a prospective assessment to determine that commodities continue to qualify for hedge accounting in specific locations where the Company hedges, there are no assurances that these commodities will continue to qualify in the future. This is due to the fact that future price changes in these refined products may not be consistent with historical price changes. Increased volatility in these commodity markets for an extended period of time, especially if such volatility were to worsen, could cause the Company to lose hedge accounting altogether for the commodities used in its fuel hedging program. Further, should the anticipated fuel purchases covered by the Company's fuel hedges no longer be probable of occurring, the Company would discontinue hedge accounting. The loss of hedge accounting would create further volatility in the Company’s GAAP financial results.
As discussed in Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, any changes in fair value of cash flow derivatives designated as hedges are offset within AOCI until the period in which the expected future cash flow impacts earnings. Any changes in the fair value of fuel derivatives that do not qualify for hedge accounting are reflected in earnings within Other (gains) losses, net, in the period of the change. Because the Company has extensive historical experience in valuing the derivative instruments it holds, and such experience is continually evaluated against its counterparties each period when such instruments expire and are settled for cash, the Company believes it is unlikely that an independent third party would value the Company’s derivative contracts at a significantly different amount than what is reflected in the Company’s financial statements. In addition, the Company also has bilateral credit provisions in some of its counterparty agreements, which provide for parties (or the Company) to provide cash collateral when the fair value of fuel derivatives with a single party exceeds certain threshold levels. Since this cash collateral is based on the estimated fair value of the Company’s outstanding fuel derivative contracts, this provides further validation to the Company’s estimate of fair values.
Loyalty Accounting
The Company utilizes estimates in the recognition of revenues and liabilities associated with its loyalty program. These estimates primarily include the liability associated with Rapid Rewards loyalty member ("Member") account balances that are expected to be redeemed for travel or other products at a future date. Loyalty account balances include points earned through flights taken, points sold to Customers, or points earned through business partners participating in the loyalty program.
Under the Southwest Rapid Rewards loyalty program, Members earn points for every dollar spent on Southwest base fares. The amount of points earned under the program is based on the fare amount and fare type, with higher fare types (e.g., Business Select) earning more points than lower fare types (e.g., Wanna Get Away). Each fare type is associated with a points earning multiplier, and points for flights are calculated by multiplying the fare amount for the flight by the fare type multiplier. Likewise, the amount of points required to be redeemed for a flight can differ based on the fare type purchased. Under the program, (i) Members are able to redeem their points for every available seat, every day, on every flight, with no blackout dates; and (ii) points do not expire. In addition, Members are able to redeem their points for items other than travel on Southwest Airlines, such as international flights on other airlines, cruises, hotel stays, rental cars, gift cards, event tickets, and more. In addition to earning points for revenue flights and qualifying purchases with Rapid Rewards Partners, Members also have the ability to purchase, gift, and transfer points, as well as the ability to donate points to selected charities.
The Company utilizes the deferred revenue method of accounting for points earned through flights taken in its loyalty program. The Company also sells points and related services to business partners participating in the loyalty program. Liabilities are recorded for the relative standalone selling price of the Rapid Rewards points which are awarded each period. The liabilities recorded represent the total number of points expected to be redeemed by Members, regardless of whether the Members may have enough to qualify for a full travel award. As of December 31, 2023, the loyalty liabilities were approximately $4.9 billion, including $3.2 billion classified within Air traffic liability and $1.7 billion classified as Air traffic liability – noncurrent.
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In order to determine the value of each loyalty point, certain assumptions must be made at the time of measurement, which include an allocation of passenger revenue between the flight and loyalty points earned by passengers, and the fair value of Rapid Rewards points, which are generally based on their redemption value to the Customer. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on determining the estimated fair value of each loyalty point.
The majority of the points sold to business partners are through the Southwest co-branded credit card agreement ("Agreement") with Chase Bank USA, N.A. Consideration received as part of this Agreement is subject to ASC 606. The most recent instance in which the Agreement was amended was in fourth quarter 2021. The Agreement has the following multiple elements: travel points to be awarded, use of the Southwest Airlines’ brand and access to Rapid Rewards Member lists, advertising elements, and the Company’s resource team. These elements are combined into two performance obligations, transportation and marketing, and consideration from the Agreement is allocated based on the relative selling price of each performance obligation.
Significant management judgment was used to estimate the selling price of each of the performance obligations in the Agreement at inception, including each time in which the Agreement has been materially amended. The objective is to determine the price at which the Company would transact a sale if the product or service was sold on a stand-alone basis. The Company determines the best estimate of selling price by considering multiple inputs and methods including, but not limited to, the estimated selling price of comparable travel, discounted cash flows, brand value, published selling prices, number of points awarded, and the number of points redeemed. The Company estimates the selling prices and volumes over the term of the Agreement in order to determine the allocation of proceeds to each of the multiple performance obligations. The Company records revenue related to air transportation when the transportation is delivered and revenue related to marketing elements when the performance obligation is satisfied. A one percent increase or decrease in the Company's estimate of the standalone selling prices, implemented as of January 1, 2023, causing a change to the allocation of proceeds to air transportation would not have had a material impact on the Company's Operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Under its current program, Southwest estimates the portion of loyalty points that will not be redeemed. In estimating the breakage, the Company takes into account the Member’s past behavior, as well as several factors related to the Member’s account that are expected to be indicative of the likelihood of future point redemption. These factors are typically representative of a Member’s level of engagement in the loyalty program. They include, but are not limited to, tenure with the program, points accrued in the program, and points redeemed in the program. The Company believes it has obtained sufficient historical behavioral data to develop a predictive statistical model to analyze the amount of breakage expected for all loyalty points. The Company updates this model at least annually, and applies the new breakage rates effective October 1st each year, or more frequently if required by changes in the business. Changes in the breakage rates applied annually in recent years have not had a material impact on Passenger revenues. For the year ended December 31, 2023, based on actual redemptions of points sold to business partners and earned through flights, a hypothetical one percentage point change in the estimated breakage rate would have resulted in a change to Passenger revenue of approximately $235 million (an increase in breakage would have resulted in an increase in revenue and a decrease in breakage would have resulted in a decrease in revenue). Given that Member behavior may fluctuate over time, the Company expects the current estimates may change in future periods. However, the Company believes its current estimates are reasonable given current facts and circumstances.
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FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000092380-23-000010.
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
YEAR IN REVIEW
The Company's financial results in 2021 and 2022, on both an accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP") basis and non-GAAP basis, continued to be affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, which began in early 2020. The Omicron variant of COVID-19 both impacted travel demand and created staffing challenges for the Company, particularly during January and February 2022. However, strong travel demand, especially associated with leisure travel, accelerated during March 2022 and continued through the remainder of the year, producing record operating revenues of $23.8 billion for 2022. Managed business revenues improved during 2022, but remained below 2019 levels, including approximately 20 percent below fourth quarter 2019 levels in fourth quarter 2022.
In late December 2022, the Company experienced wide-scale operational disruptions as extreme winter weather across a significant portion of the United States impacted its operational plan and flight schedules. Subsequent to Winter Storm Elliott, the Company was challenged in its efforts to realign flight crews, flight schedules, and fleet for a period of several days during this peak demand travel period. The Company returned to a normal operating schedule on December 30, 2022. However, this disruption and subsequent recovery efforts resulted in the cancellation of more than 16,700 flights during the period from December 21 to December 31, 2022. The Company estimates the financial impact of this disruption was approximately $800 million on a pre-tax basis, and resulted in the Company reporting a net loss of $220 million for fourth quarter 2022. A significant portion of this impact was due to the loss of Operating revenue associated with the flight cancellations that is estimated to be approximately $410 million. The remaining impact primarily related to a net increase of approximately $390 million in operating expenses, primarily due to travel expense reimbursements to Customers, the estimated value of Rapid Rewards points offered as a gesture of goodwill to Customers that are expected to be redeemed, and premium pay and additional compensation for Employees, which were partially offset by lower fuel and oil and profitsharing expenses.
Following the disruption, the Company has put mitigation elements in place to reduce the risk of future operational disruptions that could impede the travel plans of its Customers. These elements, along with efforts that remain in progress, currently include:
•Creating an early indicator dashboard that closely monitors operational health and signals an alert if the Company approaches predefined operational thresholds,
•Establishing supplemental staffing that can quickly mobilize to support Crew recovery efforts,
•Enhancing its Crew engagement technology to better communicate with large numbers of Crew Members during frequent schedule changes, and
•Updating and upgrading the Company’s Crew recovery system to not only solve current and future schedules, but also provide the ability to optimize established schedules as they are being revised during irregular operations.
Going forward, the Company is also taking additional steps to understand and review the disruption, which will determine the Company's future actions. The Company has engaged Oliver Wyman, a third-party global aviation consulting firm, to complete an assessment of the event and make recommendations of additional mitigation steps for consideration. In addition, the Company’s Board of Directors has established an Operations Review Committee that is working with the Company's Management to help oversee the Company's response. The Company will continue to provide further information regarding these ongoing efforts in future periods.
The Company recorded year-to-date GAAP and non-GAAP results for 2022, 2021, and 2019 as noted in the following tables. The Company believes comparisons of current year financial results to 2019 are relevant and show how the Company has continued to recover from the pandemic. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
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| (in millions, except per share amounts) | Year ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP | 2022 | 2021 | 2022 Change to 2021 | 2019 | 2022 Change to 2019 | |||||||||||
| Operating income | $ | 1,017 | $ | 1,721 | (40.9) | $ | 2,957 | (65.6) | ||||||||
| Net income | $ | 539 | $ | 977 | (44.8) | $ | 2,300 | (76.6) | ||||||||
| Net income per share, diluted | $ | 0.87 | $ | 1.61 | (45.7) | $ | 4.27 | (79.5) | ||||||||
| Non-GAAP | ||||||||||||||||
| Operating income (loss) | $ | 1,120 | $ | (1,281) | n.m. | $ | 2,957 | (62.1) | ||||||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | 723 | $ | (1,271) | n.m. | $ | 2,300 | (68.6) | ||||||||
| Net income (loss) per share, diluted | $ | 1.16 | $ | (2.15) | n.m. | $ | 4.27 | (72.8) |
The comparison of the Company's financial results, as shown above on a GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2022, versus the year ended December 31, 2021, were impacted by the Company's receipt of $2.7 billion in grant allocations of payroll funding support ("Payroll Support") from the United States Department of the Treasury ("Treasury") in 2021 that significantly benefited 2021 results. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. Operating revenues for year ended December 31, 2022, increased 50.8 percent versus 2021 and operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2022, exceeded the comparative 2019 pre-pandemic levels and was a Company annual record primarily due to strong leisure demand and higher yields. Operating expenses for the year ended December 31, 2022, exceeded the comparative pre-pandemic 2019 levels primarily due to higher salaries, wages, and benefits expense and fuel prices.
On a non-GAAP basis, the Company's financial results improved significantly for the year ended December 31, 2022, versus the same prior year period due to the significant recovery in travel demand, which was aided by a reduction in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations, an increase in vaccinations, and a decline in travel-related restrictions across the United States. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
Operating Statistics
The Company provides the operating data below for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2019 because these statistics are commonly used in the airline industry and, therefore, allow readers to compare the Company’s performance against its results for prior periods, as well as against the performance of the Company’s peers.
For the year ended December 31, 2022, the Company believes a comparison of its 2022 to 2019 (pre-pandemic) operating statistics is relevant and useful as the Company continues to recover from the pandemic. For the twelve months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, most of these operating statistics were significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and decisions the Company made as a result of the pandemic although the effect in 2022 was primarily in first quarter. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
| Year ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2022 Change to 2021 | 2019 | 2022 Change to 2019 | |||||||||||
| Operating Data: | |||||||||||||||
| Revenue passengers carried (000s) | 126,586 | 99,111 | 27.7 | % | 134,056 | (5.6) | % |
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| Enplaned passengers (000s) | 156,982 | 123,264 | 27.4 | % | 162,681 | (3.5) | % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue passenger miles (RPMs) (in millions)(a) | 123,843 | 103,562 | 19.6 | % | 131,345 | (5.7) | % | |||||||||||
| Available seat miles (ASMs) (in millions)(b) | 148,467 | 132,006 | 12.5 | % | 157,254 | (5.6) | % | |||||||||||
| Load factor(c) | 83.4 | % | 78.5 | % | 26.1 pts. | 83.5 | % | (5.0) pts. | ||||||||||
| Average length of passenger haul (miles) | 978 | 1,045 | (6.4) | % | 980 | (0.2) | % | |||||||||||
| Average aircraft stage length (miles) | 728 | 790 | (7.8) | % | 748 | (2.7) | % | |||||||||||
| Trips flown | 1,298,219 | 1,066,934 | 21.7 | % | 1,367,727 | (5.1) | % | |||||||||||
| Seats flown (000s)(d) | 201,913 | 165,580 | 21.9 | % | 206,390 | (2.2) | % | |||||||||||
| Seats per trip(e) | 155.5 | 155.2 | 0.2 | % | 150.9 | 3.0 | % | |||||||||||
| Average passenger fare | $ | 169.12 | $ | 141.92 | 19.2 | % | $ | 154.98 | 9.1 | % | ||||||||
| Passenger revenue yield per RPM (cents)(f) | 17.29 | 13.58 | 27.3 | % | 15.82 | 9.3 | % | |||||||||||
| Operating revenues per ASM (cents)(g)(j) | 16.04 | 11.96 | 34.1 | % | 14.26 | 12.5 | % | |||||||||||
| Passenger revenue per ASM (cents)(h) | 14.42 | 10.66 | 35.3 | % | 13.21 | 9.2 | % | |||||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents)(i) | 15.36 | 10.66 | 44.1 | % | 12.38 | 24.1 | % | |||||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel (cents) | 11.33 | 8.15 | 39.0 | % | 9.62 | 17.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel and profitsharing (cents) | 11.25 | 7.98 | 41.0 | % | 9.19 | 22.4 | % | |||||||||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax | $ | 3.10 | $ | 1.98 | 56.6 | % | $ | 2.09 | 48.3 | % | ||||||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax, economic | $ | 3.07 | $ | 2.01 | 52.7 | % | $ | 2.09 | 46.9 | % | ||||||||
| Fuel consumed, in gallons (millions) | 1,922 | 1,668 | 15.2 | % | 2,077 | (7.5) | % | |||||||||||
| Active full-time equivalent Employees (j) | 66,656 | 55,093 | 21.0 | % | 60,767 | 9.7 | % | |||||||||||
| Aircraft at end of period (k) | 770 | 728 | 5.8 | % | 747 | 3.1 | % |
(a)A revenue passenger mile is one paying passenger flown one mile. Also referred to as "traffic," which is a measure of demand for a given period.
(b)An available seat mile is one seat (empty or full) flown one mile. Also referred to as "capacity," which is a measure of the space available to carry passengers in a given period.
(c)Revenue passenger miles divided by available seat miles.
(d)Seats flown is calculated using total number of seats available by aircraft type multiplied by the total trips flown by the same aircraft type during a particular period.
(e)Seats per trip is calculated by dividing seats flown by trips flown.
(f)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by revenue passenger miles. Also referred to as "yield," this is the average cost paid by a paying passenger to fly one mile, which is a measure of revenue production and fares.
(g)Calculated as operating revenues divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "operating unit revenues" or "RASM," this is a measure of operating revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(h)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "passenger unit revenues," this is a measure of passenger revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(i)Calculated as operating expenses divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "unit costs" or "cost per available seat mile," this is the average cost to fly an aircraft seat (empty or full) one mile, which is a measure of cost efficiencies.
(j)Included less than 250 Employees on Extended Emergency Time Off program as of December 31, 2021. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(k)Included four and six Boeing 737-700 ("700") Next Generation aircraft in temporary storage as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively. Also included 34 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft in long-term storage as of December 31, 2019. See Note 17 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
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2023 Outlook
The following tables present selected financial guidance for first quarter and full year 2023:
| 1Q 2023 Estimation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue, year-over-year | Up 20% to 24% | ||
| ASMs, year-over-year (a) | Up ~10% | ||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon (b) (c) | $3.25 to $3.35 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $0.06 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $0.16 | ||
| ASMs per gallon (fuel efficiency) | 78 to 80 | ||
| CASM-X, year-over-year (d) (e) | Up 2% to 4% | ||
| Scheduled debt repayments (millions) (f) | ~$60 | ||
| Interest expense (millions) | ~$65 |
| 2023 Estimation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ASMs, year-over-year (a) | Up 16% to 17% | ||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon (b) (c) | $2.90 to $3.00 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $0.06 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $0.14 | ||
| CASM-X, year-over-year (d) (e) | Down 6% to 8% | ||
| Scheduled debt repayments (millions) | ~$85 | ||
| Interest expense (millions) | ~$250 | ||
| Aircraft (g) | 843 | ||
| Effective tax rate | 23% to 24% | ||
| Capital spending (billions) (h) | $4.0 to $4.5 |
(a) Available seat miles (ASMs, or capacity). The Company's flight schedule is currently published for sale through August 14, 2023. The Company continues to expect second quarter 2023 capacity to increase approximately 14 percent, year-over-year.
(b) See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information on special items. In addition, information regarding special items and economic results is included in the accompanying table Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Items (also referred to as "excluding special items").
(c) Based on the Company's existing fuel derivative contracts and market prices as of January 20, 2023, first quarter and full year 2023 economic fuel costs per gallon are estimated to be in the range of $3.25 to $3.35 and $2.90 to $3.00, respectively, compared with the Company's previous estimations in the range of $3.00 to $3.10 and $2.85 to $2.95, respectively. Economic fuel cost projections do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate the hedge accounting impact associated with the volatility of the energy markets, or the impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
(d) Operating expenses per available seat mile, excluding fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing.
(e) Projections do not reflect the potential impact of fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate those items or expenses or their impact to its financial statements in future periods, especially considering the significant volatility of the fuel and oil expense line item. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for these projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort.
(f) The Company expects to retire approximately $50 million in principal related to a lease buyout transaction in first quarter 2023, shifting this payment forward from the previous monthly payments scheduled throughout the remainder of 2023 and beyond. Combined with the retirement of $191 million in principal related to a lease buyout transaction in fourth quarter 2022, the Company's full year 2023 scheduled debt repayments remained roughly the same as its previous guidance.
(g) Aircraft on property, end of period. The Company ended 2022 with 770 Boeing 737 aircraft. The Company continues to estimate approximately 100 Boeing 737 MAX ("MAX") aircraft deliveries in 2023, including 30 Boeing 737-8 ("-8") aircraft deliveries expected in first quarter 2023. The Company continues to expect to retire 27 Boeing -700 aircraft in 2023, including
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5 -700 retirements in first quarter 2023. As a result of receiving two additional -8 deliveries in fourth quarter 2022, as compared with the Company's previous estimation, the Company now expects to end 2023 with 843 aircraft, compared with its previous guidance of 841 aircraft. The delivery schedule for the Boeing 737-7 ("-7") is dependent on the Federal Aviation Administration ("FAA") issuing required certifications and approvals to The Boeing Company ("Boeing") and the Company. The FAA will ultimately determine the timing of the -7 certification and entry into service, and the Company therefore offers no assurances that current estimations and timelines are correct. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's aircraft commitments with Boeing.
(h) Represents the Company's current estimate which continues to assume approximately 100 Boeing MAX aircraft deliveries and $1.2 billion in non-aircraft capital spending in 2023.
Thus far in January 2023, the Company has experienced an increase in flight cancellations and a deceleration in bookings, primarily for January and February 2023 travel, which are assumed to be associated with the operational disruptions in December 2022. As a result, the Company currently estimates a negative revenue impact in the range of $300 million to $350 million in first quarter 2023. Encouragingly, booking trends have improved sequentially this month, including notable strength in Rapid Rewards® redemptions. Currently, March 2023 leisure booking and yield trends appear strong, and are trending in line with the Company's expectations at the time of its Investor Day in early December 2022. The recent improvements in close-in booking trends are encouraging, and the Company currently expects March 2023 managed business revenues to be roughly restored to March 2019 levels.
The Company continues to experience year-over-year inflationary and other cost pressures in first quarter 2023, in particular from higher labor rates and accruals for all Employee work groups, as well as higher rate estimates for benefits and airport costs. The Company currently expects its first quarter 2023 CASM-X to increase in the range of 2 percent to 4 percent, year-over-year—approximately two points higher than its previous guidance of flat to up 2 percent, year-over year. Half of the two-point increase is attributable to a continuation of premium pay in January 2023 related to the December 2022 operational disruptions, and the remainder of the increase is primarily due to an increase in labor accruals for the Company's open labor contracts.
The Company currently expects its full year 2023 CASM-X to decrease in the range of 6 percent to 8 percent, year-over-year—approximately five points lower than its previous guidance to decrease in the range of 1 percent to 3 percent, year-over-year. The vast majority of the five-point decrease in 2023 is due to the year-over-year impact from lower fourth quarter 2022 available seat miles and higher fourth quarter 2022 operating expenses than expected—both attributable to the December 2022 operational disruptions—offset slightly by an increase in 2023 labor accruals for the Company’s open labor contracts. The Company plans to hire more than 7,000 new Employees, net of attrition, in 2023, a nearly 40 percent decrease from 2022 net hiring levels.
COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
As detailed in Notes 2 and 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, in connection with the major negative impact of COVID-19 on air carriers, the Company received significant financial assistance from Treasury in the form of Payroll Support, and this assistance had a significant impact on the Company's reported GAAP financial results in 2021. Such impact ended in third quarter 2021, and the Company's 2022 results do not reflect the benefit of this Payroll Support, and its future periods are not expected to benefit from such Payroll Support. However, future cash flows will be impacted through the portion of Payroll Support that was in the form of loans that remain outstanding and will have to be repaid to Treasury.
During second quarter 2020, the Company introduced Voluntary Separation Program 2020 ("Voluntary Separation Program") and the Extended Emergency Time Off ("Extended ETO") program which helped closer align staffing to reduced flight schedules and enabled the Company to avoid involuntary furloughs and layoffs associated with the impacts of the pandemic. Approximately 16,000 Employees elected to participate in one of these programs. All Employees that elected to participate in the Extended ETO program have since returned or been recalled to work, or have chosen to permanently separate from the Company, and no Employees were on Extended ETO past March 31, 2022. The Company realized approximately $1.1 billion of full year 2021 cost savings from the Voluntary Separation Program and Extended ETO but experienced no material cost savings from these programs beyond 2021. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
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For the year ended December 31, 2022, the Company hired more than 11,500 Employees, net of attrition, and had returned to overall pre-pandemic staffing levels in May 2022. Thus, the Company's number of active full-time equivalents Employees increased by 21.0 percent from December 31, 2021 to December 31, 2022, while the year-over-year increase in capacity or ASMs was 12.5 percent. The Company has been making additional investments to attract and retain talent, including the decision in fourth quarter 2021 to further raise the Company's starting hourly pay rates from $15 per hour to $17 per hour for certain of its workgroups, subject, in each case, to acceptance of such change by the applicable union.
Company Overview
The Company has entered into supplemental agreements in 2022 with The Boeing Company ("Boeing") to increase aircraft orders and accelerate certain options with the goals of improving potential growth opportunities and frequencies to better align with the pre-pandemic operational route network, lowering operating costs, and further modernizing its fleet with less carbon-intensive aircraft. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. The Company expects that more than half of the MAX aircraft in its firm order book will replace a significant amount of its 426 -700 aircraft over the next 10 to 15 years to support the modernization of the Company's fleet, a key component of the Company's environmental sustainability efforts. The Company's order book with Boeing as of December 31, 2022, consists of a total of 417 MAX firm orders (182 -7 aircraft and 235 -8 aircraft) for the years 2023 through 2030 and 147 MAX options (-7s or -8s) for years 2024 through 2027. Given Boeing's supply chain challenges and the current status of the -7 certification, aircraft delivery delays are currently expected to extend into 2024.
The Company ended 2022 with 770 Boeing 737 aircraft, including 137 -8 aircraft. During 2022, the Company retired 26 -700 aircraft and took delivery of 68 -8 aircraft. The Company also completed the purchase of 31 finance lease -700 aircraft and is expecting to finalize the purchase of eight additional finance lease -700 aircraft by the end of February 2023. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail.
The Company has published its flight schedule through August 14, 2023. The Company is expected to be limited by Pilot staffing constraints for the majority of 2023; therefore, it is not expected that aircraft delivery delays would result in required changes to the Company's published flight schedules. During 2022, the Company has primarily focused on restoring its network, principally in cities with a very strong Customer base, by adding city pair frequencies and connecting new service with existing points-of-strength to increase Customer depth.
On March 24, 2022, the Company announced a new fare product, Wanna Get Away Plus™, which became available to Customers in May 2022. Wanna Get Away Plus provides Customers with more flexibility, choice, and rewards for a modest buy-up from the Company's Wanna Get Away® fare product. In addition to all of the usual day of travel benefits and booking flexibility offered to Customers across all of the Company's fares, Wanna Get Away Plus provides additional benefits as compared with the Wanna Get Away fare product, including:
•Transferable flight credit(s), a new benefit that generally enables Customers to make a one-time transfer of eligible unused flight credit(s) to a new traveler for future use;
•More flexibility through same-day confirmed change/same-day standby; and
•More earning power in the Company's Rapid Rewards® loyalty program, with 8X points awarded on flights instead of the 6X points awarded on Wanna Get Away fares.
In July 2022, the Company announced that flight credits will no longer expire. The Company expects that this policy change, combined with its other attractive brand attributes, will contribute to an increase in Customer loyalty. Flight credits resulting from canceling reservations previously were valid for no longer than one year from the date of original purchase. Flight credits for non-refundable fares will be issued as long as the reservation is cancelled more than 10 minutes prior to the scheduled departure. Flight credits or refunds for refundable fares will be issued regardless of cancellation time. Flight credits unexpired on, or created on or after July 28, 2022 do not expire and will show an expiration date (12/31/2040) until the Company's systems are updated. A flight credit with an
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expiration date on or before July 27, 2022, has expired in accordance with its previously stated expiration date. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
On December 6, 2022, the Company's Board of Directors reinstated and declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share to Shareholders of record at the close of business on January 10, 2023, on all shares then issued and outstanding, to be paid on January 31, 2023. The Company's quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share, or $0.72 per share annualized, is equivalent to its dividend prior to the pandemic.
In 2021, the Company announced near- and long-term environmental sustainability goals, in addition to a series of actions and initiatives designed to assist the Company in achieving these goals. The Company continually monitors developments related to climate change and evaluates its goals and progress against these developments. The Company expects its path toward achievement of these goals will depend on, among other things (i) increased use of sustainable aviation fuel (“SAF”), which is not presently available at scale or at prices competitive to jet fuel; (ii) improved fuel efficiency from fleet renewal or planned fuel efficiency initiatives; (iii) operational initiatives; and (iv) technological innovation.
During 2022, the Company joined the Vision 2045 campaign, a collaboration among multiple organizations and companies to share films and resources that aim to inspire businesses and people to take action toward a more sustainable future. In addition, during 2022, the Company invested in SAFFiRE Renewables, LLC (“SAFFiRE”), a company formed by D3MAX, LLC, as part of a Department of Energy (“DOE”)-backed project to develop and produce scalable, SAF. Funded with a DOE grant matched by the Company's investment, SAFFiRE intends to utilize technology developed by the DOE's National Renewable Energy Laboratory to convert corn stover, a widely available waste feedstock in the United States, into renewable ethanol that then would be upgraded into SAF.
As part of its commitment to corporate sustainability, on April 22, 2022, the Company published its 2021 One Report describing the Company's sustainability strategies, which include the Company’s fuel conservation and emissions mitigation initiatives and other efforts to minimize greenhouse gas emissions and address other environmental matters such as energy and water conservation, waste minimization, and recycling. The Company also published its first ever Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion ("DEI") Report on April 22, 2022. A companion piece to the One Report, the DEI Report takes a deeper dive into the Company's DEI goals, and initiatives and highlights the expected path forward. Information contained in the Southwest One Report and/or the DEI Report is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Form 10-K. While the Company believes that the disclosures contained in the Southwest One Report, the DEI Report, and other voluntary disclosures regarding environmental, social, and governance (“ESG”) matters are responsive to various areas of investor interest, the Company believes that certain of these disclosures do not currently address matters that are material in the near term to the Company’s operations, strategy, financial condition, or financial results, although this view may change in the future based on new information that could materially alter the estimates, assumptions, or timelines used to create these disclosures. Given the estimates, assumptions, and timelines used to create the Southwest One Report, the DEI Report, and other voluntary disclosures, the materiality of these disclosures is inherently difficult to assess.
2022 Compared with 2021
Operating Revenues
Passenger revenues for 2022 increased by $7.3 billion, or 52.2 percent, compared with 2021. On a unit basis, Passenger revenues increased 35.3 percent, year-over-year. The increase in Passenger revenues on both a dollar and unit basis was primarily due to the easing of negative impacts associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, which resulted in improvements in Passenger demand and bookings, the majority of which were for leisure oriented travel, in 2022, compared with the severe decline in demand and bookings resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic for the majority of 2021. For 2022, the year-over-year RASM increase was primarily driven by an increase in yield of 27.3 percent coupled with an increase in Load factor of 4.9 points.
Freight revenues for 2022 decreased by $10 million, or 5.3 percent, compared with 2021, primarily due to capacity challenges driven by an increase in Passenger demand resulting in reduced space for cargo shipments.
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Other revenues for 2022 increased by $692 million, or 45.0 percent, compared with 2021. On a dollar basis, approximately 55 percent of the increase was associated with additional revenues generated from the Company's new co-brand credit card agreement with Chase Bank USA, N.A. ("Chase") secured in December 2021. The remaining increase in Other revenues was primarily due to revenue from business partners, including Chase, as the rebound in travel demand also resulted in higher spend on the Company's co-brand credit card, as well as additional revenues earned through the Company's rental car and hotel partners.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for 2022 increased by $8.7 billion, or 62.0 percent, compared with 2021, while capacity increased 12.5 percent over the same prior year period. Approximately 30 percent of the operating expense increase was due to $2.7 billion in Payroll Support allocated to offset a portion of salaries, wages, and benefits in 2021, compared with no support received in 2022. In addition, approximately 30 percent of the increase was due to higher Fuel and oil expense and approximately 20 percent of the increase was due to higher Salaries, wages, and benefits. Historically, except for changes in the price of fuel, changes in Operating expenses for airlines have been largely driven by changes in capacity, or ASMs. The following table presents the Company's Operating expenses per ASM for 2022 and 2021, followed by explanations of these changes on a dollar basis. Unless otherwise specified, changes on a per ASM basis were driven by changes in capacity, which increased with the improvement of travel demand, causing the Company's fixed costs to be spread over significantly more ASMs.
| Year ended December 31, | Per ASM | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in cents, except for percentages) | 2022 | 2021 | change | change | |||||||
| Salaries, wages, and benefits | 6.31 | ¢ | 5.87 | ¢ | 0.44 | ¢ | 7.5 | % | |||
| Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | — | (2.24) | 2.24 | n.m. | |||||||
| Fuel and oil | 4.03 | 2.51 | 1.52 | 60.6 | |||||||
| Maintenance materials and repairs | 0.58 | 0.65 | (0.07) | (10.8) | |||||||
| Landing fees and airport rentals | 1.02 | 1.10 | (0.08) | (7.3) | |||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 0.91 | 0.96 | (0.05) | (5.2) | |||||||
| Other operating expenses | 2.51 | 1.81 | 0.70 | 38.7 | |||||||
| Total | 15.36 | ¢ | 10.66 | ¢ | 4.70 | ¢ | 44.1 | % |
Operating expenses per ASM for 2022 increased by 44.1 percent, compared with 2021. Approximately, 50 percent of the year-over-year unit cost increase was driven by Payroll Support received in 2021, including from the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 and the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021. Approximately, 30 percent of the increase was due to an increase in fuel expense. Operating expenses per ASM for 2022, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (a non-GAAP financial measure), increased, year-over-year primarily due to an increase in Other Operating Expense due to Winter Storm Elliott and the operation disruption. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2022 increased by $1.6 billion, or 21.1 percent, compared with 2021. On a per ASM basis, Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2022 increased 7.5 percent, compared with 2021. On a dollar basis, approximately 40 percent of the increase was driven by an increase in capacity and number of trips flown, approximately 30 percent of the increase was due to step/pay rate increases for certain workgroups, which included open labor contract accruals, and approximately 15 percent of the increase was a result of incentive, gratitude, and premium pay offered to the Company's Operations Employees in an effort to address available staffing challenges related to the Omicron variant in first quarter 2022 and challenges related to the operational disruption in December 2022.
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The following table sets forth the Company’s unionized Employee groups with amendable contracts that are currently in negotiations on collective-bargaining agreements:
| Employee Group | Approximate Number of Full-time Equivalent Employees | Representatives | Amendable Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Pilots | 9,342 | Southwest Airlines Pilots' Association ("SWAPA") | September 2020 |
| Southwest Flight Attendants | 18,105 | Transportation Workers of America, AFL-CIO, Local 556 ("TWU 556") | November 2018 |
| Southwest Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, Freight Agents | 15,260 | Transportation Workers of America, AFL-CIO, Local 555 ("TWU 555") | February 2021 |
| Southwest Meteorologists | 12 | TWU 550 | June 2019 |
On October 11, 2022, the Company's nearly 170 Aircraft Appearance Technicians, represented by the Aircraft Mechanics Fraternal Association ("AMFA"), ratified a new five-year collective-bargaining agreement with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amenable in July 2027.
On December 15, 2022, the Company's more than 8,000 Customer Service Agents, Customer Representatives, and Source of Support Representatives, represented by the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, AFL-CIO ("IAM"), ratified a new five-year collective-bargaining agreement with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in December 2027.
On December 30, 2022, the Company's more than 200 Flight Instructors, represented by the Transport Workers Union ("TWU"), ratified a new four-year collective bargaining agreement with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in January 2027.
On January 31, 2023, the Company's 50 Facilities Maintenance Technicians, represented by AMFA, ratified a new four-year collective bargaining agreement with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in November 2027.
On February 4, 2023, the Company's more than 400 Dispatchers, represented by the TWU, ratified a new four-year collective bargaining agreement with the Company. The newly ratified agreement becomes amendable in June 2027.
Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net had no amounts for 2022, and was a reduction to expense in 2021 and consisted primarily of the following items:
•$2.7 billion of Payroll Support proceeds allocated (credit to expense);
•$140 million net reduction in the Extended ETO liability (reduction to expense) relating to certain Employees being recalled prior to their previously elected return dates; and
•$117 million credit to expense associated with the Employee Retention Tax Credit for continuing to pay Employees' salaries during the time they were not working, as allowed under the CARES Act, and subsequent legislation.
See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Fuel and oil expense for 2022 increased by $2.7 billion, or 80.5 percent, compared with 2021. On a per ASM basis, Fuel and oil expense for 2022 increased 60.6 percent. On a dollar basis, approximately 80 percent of the increase was attributable to an increase in jet fuel prices per gallon, and the remainder of the increase was due to an increase in fuel gallons consumed. On a per ASM basis, the increase was primarily due to higher jet fuel prices. The
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following table provides more information on the Company's economic fuel cost per gallon, including the impact of fuel hedging premium expense and fuel derivative contracts:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (per gallon) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon | $ | 3.07 | $ | 2.01 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense (in millions) | $ | 78 | $ | 100 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $ | 0.04 | $ | 0.06 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $ | 0.49 | $ | 0.05 |
See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
The Company's 2022 available seat miles per gallon ("fuel efficiency") declined 2.4 percent, year-over-year, due to increased load factors and the removal from storage and increased usage of certain of the Company's least fuel-efficient aircraft, the -700, to support sequentially increasing flight schedules. When compared with 2019, fuel efficiency increased by 2.1 percent due to the March 2021 return to service of the Company's most fuel-efficient aircraft, the MAX. The MAX remains critical to the Company's efforts to modernize its fleet, reduce carbon emissions intensity, and achieve its near-term environmental sustainability goals. See Note 17 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
As of January 20, 2023, on an economic basis, the Company had derivative contracts in place related to expected future fuel consumption as follows:
| Period | Maximum fuel hedged percentage (a)(b) |
|---|---|
| 2023 | 50% |
| 2024 | 39% |
(a) Based on the Company's current available seat mile plans. The Company is currently 56 percent hedged in first quarter 2023, 51 percent hedged in second quarter 2023, and 47 percent hedged in second half 2023.
(b)The Company's maximum fuel hedged percentage is calculated using the maximum number of gallons that are covered by derivative contracts divided by the Company's estimate of total fuel gallons to be consumed for each respective period. The Company's maximum number of gallons that are covered by derivative contracts may be at different strike prices and at strike prices materially higher than the current market prices. The volume of gallons covered by derivative contracts that ultimately get exercised in any given period may vary significantly from the volumes used to calculate the Company's maximum fuel hedged percentages, as market prices and the Company's fuel consumption fluctuate.
As a result of applying hedge accounting in prior periods, the Company has amounts in Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) ("AOCI") that will be recognized in earnings in future periods when the underlying fuel derivative contracts settle. The following table displays the Company's estimated fair value of remaining fuel derivative contracts (not considering the impact of the cash collateral provided to or received from counterparties - see Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information), as well as the deferred amounts in AOCI at December 31, 2022, and the expected future periods in which these items are expected to settle and/or be recognized in earnings (in millions):
| Year | Fair value of fuel derivative contracts at December 31, 2022 | Amount of gains deferred in AOCI at December 31, 2022 (net of tax) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $ | 352 | $ | 177 | |||
| 2024 | 160 | 57 | |||||
| Total | $ | 512 | $ | 234 |
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Assuming no changes to the Company's current fuel derivative portfolio, but including all previous hedge activity for fuel derivatives that have not yet settled, and considering only the expected net cash receipts related to hedges that will settle, the Company is providing the below sensitivity table for first quarter 2023 and full year 2023 jet fuel prices at different crude oil assumptions as of January 20, 2023, and for expected premium costs associated with settling contracts each period, respectively.
| Estimated economic fuel price per gallon, including taxes and fuel hedging premiums (b) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Average Brent Crude Oil price per barrel | First Quarter 2023 | Full Year 2023 |
| $60 | $2.45 to $2.55 | $2.20 to $2.30 |
| $70 | $2.80 to $2.90 | $2.50 to $2.60 |
| $80 | $3.10 to $3.20 | $2.80 to $2.90 |
| Current Market (a) | $3.25 to $3.35 | $2.90 to $3.00 |
| $90 | $3.40 to $3.50 | $3.05 to $3.15 |
| $100 | $3.65 to $3.75 | $3.35 to $3.45 |
| $110 | $3.90 to $4.00 | $3.60 to $3.70 |
| Fair market value | $80 million | $363 million |
| Estimated premium costs | $30 million | $121 million |
(a) Brent crude oil average market prices as of January 20, 2023, were approximately $87 and $85 per barrel for first quarter 2023 and full year 2023, respectively.
(b) The Company's current fuel derivative contracts contain a combination of instruments based in West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") and Brent crude oil; however, the economic fuel price per gallon sensitivities provided, assume the relationship between Brent crude oil and refined products based on market prices as of January 20, 2023. Economic fuel cost projections do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate the hedge accounting impact associated with the volatility of the energy markets, or the impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
Maintenance materials and repairs expense for 2022 decreased by $2 million, or 0.2 percent, compared with 2021. On a per ASM basis, Maintenance materials and repairs expense decreased 10.8 percent, compared with 2021. On a dollar and per ASM basis, the decrease was primarily due to a decrease in engines and components expense driven by the Company's "power-by-the-hour" contract for the -700 engines expiring at the end of 2021, in which expense was incurred based primarily upon engine hours flown. At January 1, 2022, a time and materials contract commenced, pursuant to which -700 engine expense is based on actual repairs. This decrease was partially offset by an increase in the cost of various airframe and engine repairs as a result of maintenance vendor price escalation and an increase in heavy airframe check volume due to deferring costs and reduced operations in 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Landing fees and airport rentals expense for 2022 increased by $52 million, or 3.6 percent, compared with 2021. On a per ASM basis, Landing fees and airport rentals expense decreased 7.3 percent, compared with 2021. On a dollar basis, approximately 50 percent of the increase was due to an increase in landing fees from the increased number of trips flown and approximately 50 percent was due to an increase in space rental rates and usage at various stations throughout the network, partially offset by higher settlements received from various airports in 2022.
Depreciation and amortization expense for 2022 increased by $79 million, or 6.2 percent, compared with 2021. On a per ASM basis, Depreciation and amortization expense decreased by 5.2 percent, compared with 2021. On a dollar basis, approximately 50 percent of the increase was due to several technology assets being placed into service since 2021, 35 percent of the increase was primarily due to the purchase of 68 -8 aircraft since 2021, and the remainder
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was due to decreasing the airframe salvage value for the entire owned -700 fleet and accelerating the depreciation for certain -700 aircraft planned for early retirement in 2023.
Other operating expenses for 2022 increased by $1.3 billion, or 56.0 percent, compared with 2021. Included within this line item was aircraft rentals expenses in the amount of $195 million and $205 million for 2022 and 2021, respectively. On a per ASM basis, Other operating expenses increased 38.7 percent, compared with 2021. On a dollar and per ASM basis, approximately 40 percent of the increase was driven by costs associated with the December 2022 operational disruption, including estimated travel expense reimbursements being provided to impacted Customers and the estimated value of Rapid Rewards points offered as a gesture of goodwill to Customers that are expected to be redeemed. Approximately 20 percent of the increase was due to higher revenue related expenses (including credit card processing charges) associated with the significant increase in Passenger revenues versus 2021. The majority of the remainder of the year-over-year increases on a dollar and per ASM basis was due to various flight-driven expenses.
Other expenses (income)
Interest expense for 2022 decreased by $127 million, or 27 percent, compared with 2021. Approximately 60 percent of the decrease was due to elimination of the debt discount due to the adoption of ASU 2020-06, and 40 percent of the decrease was due to various debt repurchases throughout 2022, resulting in less fixed interest expense. See Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Capitalized interest for 2022 increased by $3 million, or 8.3 percent, compared with 2021, primarily due to an increase in average progress payment balances for scheduled future aircraft deliveries.
Interest income for 2022 increased by $204 million, compared with 2021, due to higher interest rates.
Loss on extinguishment of debt for 2022 increased by $165 million, compared with 2021, primarily due to repurchases of $486 million face value of the Company's 1.25% Convertible Notes due 2025 (the "Convertible Notes") during 2022. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Other (gains) losses, net, primarily includes amounts recorded as a result of the Company's hedging activities. See Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's hedging activities. The following table displays the components of Other (gains) losses, net, for 2022 and 2021:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods | $ | (41) | $ | (7) | ||
| Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | (28) | 43 | ||||
| Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | 4 | — | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact on deferred compensation plan investment | 74 | (33) | ||||
| Correction on investment gains related to prior periods | — | (60) | ||||
| Other | 3 | 7 | ||||
| $ | 12 | $ | (50) |
Income Taxes
The Company's annual 2022 effective tax rate was 25.9 percent, compared with 26.3 percent in 2021. The year-over-year decline in the tax rate is due to higher state taxes in 2021 and tax planning benefits recognized in 2022 related to federal tax credits and a partial tax deduction for losses incurred on repurchases of the Convertible Notes.
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2021 Compared with 2020
The Company's comparison of 2021 results to 2020 results is included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, under Part II Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
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Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures (excluding special items) (unaudited) (in millions, except per share amounts and per ASM amounts)
| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | Change | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, unhedged | $ | 6,780 | $ | 3,350 | ||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts designated as hedges | 105 | 57 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge gains included in Fuel and oil expense, net | (910) | (97) | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, as reported | $ | 5,975 | $ | 3,310 | ||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses (gains) were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (40) | 8 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | (28) | 43 | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | $ | 5,907 | $ | 3,361 | 75.8 | % | ||||
| Total operating expenses, net, as reported | $ | 22,797 | $ | 14,069 | ||||||
| Add: Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | — | 2,960 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses (gains) were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (40) | 8 | ||||||||
| Add: Interest rate swap agreements terminated in a prior period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | — | 3 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | (28) | 43 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Impairment of long-lived assets | (35) | (12) | ||||||||
| Total operating expenses, excluding special items | $ | 22,694 | $ | 17,071 | 32.9 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | (5,907) | (3,361) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense and special items | $ | 16,787 | $ | 13,710 | 22.4 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Profitsharing expense | (127) | (230) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing | $ | 16,660 | $ | 13,480 | 23.6 | % | ||||
| Operating income, as reported | $ | 1,017 | $ | 1,721 | ||||||
| Deduct: Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | — | (2,960) | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses (gains) were reclassified from AOCI (a) | 40 | (8) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Interest rate swap agreements terminated in a prior period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | — | (3) | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | 28 | (43) | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 35 | 12 | ||||||||
| Operating income (loss), excluding special items | $ | 1,120 | $ | (1,281) | n.m. | |||||
| Other (gains) losses, net, as reported | $ | 12 | $ | (50) | ||||||
| Add: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods | 41 | 7 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | 28 | (43) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | (4) | — | ||||||||
| Other (gains) losses, net, excluding special items | $ | 77 | $ | (86) | n.m. | |||||
| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||||
| 2022 | 2021 | Change | ||||||||
| Income before income taxes, as reported | $ | 728 | $ | 1,325 | ||||||
| Deduct: Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | — | (2,960) | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses (gains) were reclassified from AOCI (a) | 40 | (8) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Interest rate swap agreements terminated in a prior period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | — | (3) | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 35 | 12 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods | (41) | (7) | ||||||||
| Add: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | 4 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Loss on extinguishment of debt | 193 | 28 | ||||||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes, excluding special items | $ | 959 | $ | (1,613) | n.m. |
| Provision for income taxes, as reported | $ | 189 | $ | 348 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Add (Deduct): Net income (loss) tax impact of fuel and special items (b) | 47 | (690) | |||||||
| Provision (benefit) for income taxes, net, excluding special items | $ | 236 | $ | (342) | n.m. | ||||
| Net income, as reported | $ | 539 | $ | 977 | |||||
| Deduct: Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | — | (2,960) | |||||||
| Add (Deduct): Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses (gains) were reclassified from AOCI (a) | 40 | (8) | |||||||
| Deduct: Interest rate swap agreements terminated in a prior period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | — | (3) | |||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 35 | 12 | |||||||
| Deduct: Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods (a) | (41) | (7) | |||||||
| Add: Loss on extinguishment of debt | 193 | 28 | |||||||
| Add: Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment on available for sale securities | 4 | — | |||||||
| Add (Deduct): Net income (loss) tax impact of special items (b) | (47) | 690 | |||||||
| Net income (loss), excluding special items | $ | 723 | $ | (1,271) | n.m. | ||||
| Net income per share, diluted, as reported | $ | 0.87 | $ | 1.61 | |||||
| Add (Deduct): Impact of special items | 0.36 | (4.80) | |||||||
| Deduct: Net impact of net income (loss) above from fuel contracts divided by dilutive shares | — | (0.02) | |||||||
| Add (Deduct): Net income (loss) tax impact of special items (b) | (0.07) | 1.12 | |||||||
| Deduct: GAAP to Non-GAAP diluted weighted average shares difference (c) | — | $ | (0.06) | ||||||
| Net income (loss) per share, diluted, excluding special items | $ | 1.16 | $ | (2.15) | n.m. | ||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents) | 15.36 | ¢ | 10.66 | ¢ | |||||
| Add (Deduct): Impact of special items | (0.03) | 2.23 | |||||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense divided by ASMs | (4.03) | (2.51) | |||||||
| Deduct: Profitsharing expense divided by ASMs | (0.08) | (0.17) | |||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (cents) | 11.22 | ¢ | 10.21 | ¢ | 9.9 | % |
(a) See Note 11 to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(b) Tax amounts for each individual special item are calculated at the Company's effective rate for the applicable period and totaled in this line item.
(c) Adjustment related to GAAP and Non-GAAP diluted weighted average shares difference, due to the Company being in a Net income position on a GAAP basis versus a Net loss position on a Non-GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2021. See Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
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Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The Company's Consolidated Financial Statements are prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP"). These GAAP financial statements may include (i) unrealized noncash adjustments and reclassifications, which can be significant, as a result of accounting requirements and elections made under accounting pronouncements relating to derivative instruments and hedging and (ii) other charges and benefits the Company believes are unusual and/or infrequent in nature and thus may make comparisons to its prior or future performance difficult.
As a result, the Company also provides financial information in this filing that was not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to the information prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company provides supplemental non-GAAP financial information (also referred to as "excluding special items"), including results that it refers to as "economic," which the Company's management utilizes to evaluate its ongoing financial performance and the Company believes provides additional insight to investors as supplemental information to its GAAP results. The non-GAAP measures provided that relate to the Company’s performance on an economic fuel cost basis include Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing; Operating income (loss), non-GAAP; Other (gains) losses, net, non-GAAP; Income (loss) before income taxes, non-GAAP; Provision (benefit) for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net income (loss), non-GAAP; Net income (loss) per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing (cents). The Company's economic Fuel and oil expense results differ from GAAP results in that they only include the actual cash settlements from fuel hedge contracts - all reflected within Fuel and oil expense in the period of settlement. Thus, Fuel and oil expense on an economic basis has historically been utilized by the Company, as well as some of the other airlines that utilize fuel hedging, as it reflects the Company’s actual net cash outlays for fuel during the applicable period, inclusive of settled fuel derivative contracts. Any net premium costs paid related to option contracts that are designated as hedges are reflected as a component of Fuel and oil expense, for both GAAP and non-GAAP (including economic) purposes in the period of contract settlement. The Company believes these economic results provide further insight into the impact of the Company's fuel hedges on its operating performance and liquidity since they exclude the unrealized, noncash adjustments and reclassifications that are recorded in GAAP results in accordance with accounting guidance relating to derivative instruments, and they reflect all cash settlements related to fuel derivative contracts within Fuel and oil expense. This enables the Company's management, as well as investors and analysts, to consistently assess the Company's operating performance on a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter basis after considering all efforts in place to manage fuel expense. However, because these measures are not determined in accordance with GAAP, such measures are susceptible to varying calculations, and not all companies calculate the measures in the same manner. As a result, the aforementioned measures, as presented, may not be directly comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies.
Further information on (i) the Company's fuel hedging program, (ii) the requirements of accounting for derivative instruments, and (iii) the causes of hedge ineffectiveness and/or mark-to-market gains or losses from derivative instruments is included in Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company’s GAAP results in the applicable periods may include other charges or benefits that are also deemed "special items," that the Company believes make its results difficult to compare to prior periods, anticipated future periods, or industry trends. Financial measures identified as non-GAAP (or as excluding special items) have been adjusted to exclude special items. For the periods presented, in addition to the items discussed above, special items include:
1.Proceeds related to the Payroll Support programs, which were used to pay a portion of Employee salaries, wages, and benefits;
2.Charges and adjustments to previously accrued amounts related to the Company's extended leave programs;
3.Adjustments for prior period losses reclassified from AOCI associated with forward-starting interest rate swap agreements that were terminated in prior periods related to 12 -8 aircraft leases;
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4.Noncash impairment charges, primarily associated with adjustments to the salvage values for previously retired airframes;
5.Unrealized mark-to-market adjustment associated with certain available for sale securities; and
6.Losses associated with the partial extinguishment of the Company's convertible notes and early prepayment of debt.
In third quarter 2022, management determined that presentation within its income statement would be enhanced by classification of Loss on extinguishment of debt as a separate line item, rather than its prior presentation where it was included as a component of Other (gains) losses, net. Such losses are incurred as a result of opportunistic decisions made by the Company to prepay portions of its debt, most of which was taken on during the pandemic in order to provide liquidity during the prolonged downturn in air travel. Due to the nature of these losses, which are difficult to accurately predict, and due to the fact that they are not representative of the Company’s day-to-day airline operating performance, the Company has included such amounts as special items and thus excluded them from certain of its non-GAAP measures in the accompanying reconciliations.
Because management believes special items can distort the trends associated with the Company’s ongoing performance as an airline, the Company believes that evaluation of its financial performance can be enhanced by a supplemental presentation of results that exclude the impact of special items in order to enhance consistency and comparativeness with results in prior periods that do not include such items and as a basis for evaluating operating results in future periods. The following measures are often provided, excluding special items, and utilized by the Company’s management, analysts, and investors to enhance comparability of year-over-year results, as well as to industry trends: Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing; Operating income (loss), non-GAAP; Other (gains) losses, net, non-GAAP; Income (loss) before income taxes, non-GAAP; Provision (benefit) for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net income (loss), non-GAAP; Net income (loss) per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing (cents).
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
The enormous impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S. travel industry created an urgent liquidity crisis, especially during 2020, for the entire airline industry, including the Company. However, due to the Company's pre-pandemic low balance sheet leverage, large base of unencumbered assets, and investment-grade credit ratings, the Company was able to quickly access additional liquidity during 2020, as Customer cancellations and ticket refunds spiked and sales and revenues dropped while the Company continued to experience significant fixed operating expenses. See Note 2 and Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the transactions completed and assistance obtained under Payroll Support programs.
Net cash provided by operating activities for 2022 was $3.8 billion, and net cash provided by operating activities for 2021 was $2.3 billion. Operating cash inflows are historically primarily derived from providing air transportation to Customers. The vast majority of tickets are purchased prior to the day on which travel is provided and, in some cases, several months before the anticipated travel date. Operating cash outflows are related to the recurring expenses of airline operations. The operating cash flows for 2022 were largely impacted by the Company's net income (as adjusted for noncash items), a $525 million increase in Air traffic liability driven by higher ticket sales related to an increase in travel demand, a $472 million cash tax refund from the Internal Revenue Service associated with the 2020 tax year, and a $139 million cash excise tax refund for excise taxes remitted to taxing authorities for which the subsequent flights were canceled by Customers, resulting in amounts due back to the Company. Cash flows associated with entering into new fuel derivatives, which are classified as Other, net, operating cash flows, were net outflows of $81 million in 2022 and $34 million in 2021. See Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. Operating cash flows for 2021 included $2.7 billion in Payroll Support program grant proceeds received and $591 million increase in Air traffic liability driven by increased ticket sales related to an increase in leisure travel demand. Net cash provided by operating activities is primarily used to finance capital expenditures, repay debt, and provide working capital. Historically, the Company has also used Net cash provided by operating activities to fund stock repurchases and pay dividends; however these shareholder return activities were suspended through September 30, 2022, due to restrictions associated with the payroll assistance under the Payroll Support programs and the Company's amended and restated revolving credit facility. On December 6, 2022, the Company reinstated and declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share to Shareholders of record at the close of business on January 10, 2023, on all shares then issued and outstanding, to be paid on January 31, 2023. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on restrictions associated with the Payroll Support Programs.
Net cash used in investing activities for 2022 was $3.7 billion, and net cash used in investing activities for 2021 was $1.3 billion. Investing activities in both years included Capital expenditures, and changes in the balance of the Company's short-term and noncurrent investments. Capital expenditures were $3.9 billion, compared with $505 million in the same prior year period. Capital expenditures increased, year-over-year, largely due to a substantial increase in progress and delivery payments made for current period and future aircraft deliveries during 2022, compared to the same prior year period, when progress payments were not made through November 2021 due to delivery credits provided by Boeing to the Company resulting from the settlement of 2020 estimated damages relating to the FAA grounding of the MAX aircraft. See Note 17 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. Capital expenditures during 2022 also included approximately $174 million associated with the Company's purchase of 31 finance leased aircraft from the lessor. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company estimates its 2023 capital spending to be in the range of $4.0 billion to $4.5 billion, which assumes approximately 100 MAX aircraft deliveries in 2023. The Company's 2023 capital spending guidance continues to include approximately $1.2 billion in non-aircraft capital spending. Including both capital spending and operating expense budgets, the Company currently expects to spend approximately $1.3 billion in 2023 on technology investments, upgrades, and system maintenance.
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Net cash used in financing activities for 2022 was $3.0 billion, and net cash provided by financing activities for 2021 was $359 million, respectively. During 2022, the Company repaid $3.1 billion in debt and finance lease obligations, including a $1.3 billion prepayment for all of its outstanding 4.75% Notes due 2023 and the extinguishment of $486 million in principal of its Convertible Notes for cash payments totaling $648 million. The Company may engage in early debt repurchases from time to time and some of these early future repurchases are not included in the Company's current maturities of long-term debt. Also, see investing activities section above and Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's purchase of finance leased aircraft, which resulted in a $191 million elimination of the Company's remaining finance lease obligations for these aircraft. During 2021, the Company's financing activities included borrowing $1.1 billion under Payroll Support programs. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. The Company also repaid $905 million in debt and finance lease obligations, including the extinguishment of $203 million in principal of its Convertible Notes for cash payments totaling $293 million during 2021.
A discussion of the Company's most significant drivers impacting cash flow for 2020 are included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, under Part II Item 7, Liquidity and Capital Resources.
The Company is a "well-known seasoned issuer" and currently has an effective shelf registration statement registering an indeterminate amount of debt and equity securities for future sales. The Company currently intends to use the proceeds from any future securities sales off this shelf registration statement for general corporate purposes.
The Company has access to $1.0 billion under its amended and restated revolving credit facility (the "Amended A&R Credit Agreement"). There were no amounts outstanding under the Amended A&R Credit Agreement as of December 31, 2022. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Although not the case at December 31, 2022 due to the Company's significant financing activities throughout the early stages of the pandemic, the Company has historically carried a working capital deficit, in which its current liabilities exceed its current assets. This is common within the airline industry and is primarily due to the nature of the Air traffic liability account, which is related to advance ticket sales, unused flight credits available to Customers, and loyalty deferred revenue, which are performance obligations for future Customer flights, do not require future settlement in cash, and are mostly nonrefundable. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company believes it has various options available to meet its capital and operating commitments, including unrestricted cash and short-term investments of $12.3 billion as of December 31, 2022, and anticipated future internally generated funds from operations. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The following discussion includes various short-term and long-term material cash requirements from known contractual and other obligations, but does not include amounts that are contingent on events or other factors that are uncertain or unknown at this time. Given the Company's current liquidity position, available resources, and prevailing outlook, it expects to be able to fulfill both its short-term and long-term material cash requirements. The amounts disclosed are based on various estimates, including estimates regarding the timing of payments, prevailing interest rates, volumes purchased, the occurrence of certain events and other factors. Accordingly, the actual results may vary materially from the amounts discussed herein.
Debt
See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail on the Company's debt and the timing of expected and future principal payments. The Company also has significant future obligations associated with fixed interest payments associated with its debt. As of December 31, 2022, future interest payments associated with its fixed rate debt (excluding interest associated with finance leases) were $239 million in 2023, $238 million in 2024, $198 million in 2025, $166 million in 2026, $114 million in 2027, and $161 million thereafter.
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The Company's Convertible Notes did not meet the criteria to be converted by holders as of the date of the financial statements, and thus are classified as Long-term debt in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2022. If the provisions were met to allow holders to exercise their conversion option on these instruments, all of the remaining convertible notes would be reclassified as a current obligation. Also, the Company has engaged in transactions with certain convertible debt holders to purchase their instruments in private transactions from time to time in cash, and may continue to do so in future periods. The Company considers its prevailing stock price, the trading price of its convertible debt instruments, and its available liquidity in determining how much of these instruments it may attempt to repurchase in such transactions.
Leases
The Company enters into leases for aircraft, airports and other real property, and other types of equipment in the normal course of business. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail.
Aircraft purchase commitments
The Company is required to make cash deposits toward the purchase of aircraft in advance. These deposits are classified as Deposits on flight equipment purchase contracts in the Consolidated Balance Sheet until the aircraft is delivered, at which time deposits previously made are deducted from the final purchase price of aircraft and are reclassified as Flight equipment. See Part I, Item 2 for a complete table of the Company's contractual firm deliveries and options for -7 and -8 aircraft, and Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the financial commitments related to these firm deliveries.
Other
The Company's other material cash requirements primarily consist of outlays associated with normal operating expenses of the airline, including payroll, fuel, airport costs, etc. While many of these expenses are variable in nature, some of the expenditures can be somewhat fixed in the short-term due to the lead-time involved in publishing the Company's flight schedule in advance and providing for resources to be available to operate those schedules.
The Company has a large net deferred tax liability on its Consolidated Balance Sheet. The deferral of income taxes has resulted in a significant benefit to the Company and its liquidity position. Since the Company purchases the majority of the aircraft it acquires, it has been able to utilize accelerated depreciation methods (including bonus depreciation) available under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, in 2022 and in previous years, which has enabled the Company to accelerate cash tax benefits of depreciation. Based on the Company’s scheduled future aircraft deliveries from Boeing and existing tax laws in effect, the Company will continue to accelerate the cash income tax benefits related to aircraft purchases. Due to the Company's net taxable loss incurred in 2020, and a provision within the CARES Act that allowed entities to carry back such 2020 losses to prior periods of up to five years, and claim refunds of federal taxes paid, the Company received a significant cash tax refund of $472 million associated with this taxable loss from the Internal Revenue Service during second quarter 2022. The Company was in a net taxable loss position in 2022 and has federal and state operating loss carryforwards, $275 million and $43 million (tax-effected), respectively, to reduce taxable income in future periods. See Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. The Company has paid in the past, and will continue to pay in the future, cash taxes to the various taxing jurisdictions where it operates. The Company expects to be able to continue to meet such obligations utilizing cash and investments on hand, as well as cash generated from its ongoing operations.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
The Company’s Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company’s significant accounting policies are described in Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires the Company’s management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying footnotes. The Company’s estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience and changes in the business environment. However, actual results may differ from estimates under different conditions, sometimes materially. Critical accounting policies and estimates are defined as those that both (i) are most important to the portrayal of the Company’s financial condition and results and (ii) require management’s most subjective judgments. The Company’s critical accounting policies and estimates are described below.
Revenue Recognition
Tickets sold for Passenger air travel are initially deferred as Air traffic liability. Passenger revenue is recognized and Air traffic liability is reduced when the service is provided (i.e., when the flight takes place). Air traffic liability primarily represents tickets sold for future travel dates, flight credits that are expected to be used in the future, and loyalty benefits that are expected to be redeemed in the future. Air traffic liability typically fluctuates throughout the year based on seasonal travel patterns, fare sale activity, and activity associated with the Company’s loyalty program. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for information about the Company's revenue recognition policies.
For air travel on Southwest, the amount of tickets (which includes flight credits--also referred to as partial tickets), that will go unused, referred to as breakage, is estimated and recognized in Passenger revenue once the scheduled flight date has passed, in proportion to the pattern of rights exercised by the Customer, in accordance with Accounting Standards Codification 606, Revenue From Contracts With Customers ("ASC 606"). Estimating the amount of tickets that will ultimately go unused involves some level of subjectivity and judgment. The majority of the Company's tickets sold are nonrefundable, although flight credits created when a Customer cancels or modifies an existing flight itinerary can be applied towards the purchase of future travel. Unused flight credits are the primary source of breakage. Breakage estimates are based on historical experience over many years. Fully refundable tickets rarely go unused.
As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, for all Customer flight credits created or scheduled to expire between March 1 and September 7, 2020 associated with flight cancellations, the Company initially extended the expiration date to September 7, 2022. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding these extended flight credits. Since the Company did not have historical data to enable it to accurately estimate the pattern of usage of these extended credits, these credits have been classified as a current liability throughout their history. Subsequently, on July 28, 2022, the Company modified its policy and announced that all unexpired flight credits as of that date, including these extended flight credits, will no longer have an expiration date and thus will be able to be redeemed by Customers indefinitely. This change in policy was considered a contract modification under ASC 606 and the Company accounted for such change prospectively in third quarter 2022. The Company’s balance of existing Customer flight credits as of the modification date was approximately $1.9 billion, including the extended flight credits that had been set to expire on September 7, 2022.
As a result of changes in observed Customer travel habits and behaviors during 2021 and 2022, the Company increased its estimates of “normal” Customer flight credits that are expected to go unused, as Customer redemptions of these "normal" credits had been at a slower rate than the Company’s historical data for similar credits in periods prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the Company continues to believe a portion of Customer flight credits will go unused following the Company's change in policy, including a portion of flight credits issued after July 28, 2022, the Company expects its prospective breakage rate associated with such flight credits to be at or slightly lower than historical pre-pandemic levels due to the fact that such flight credits no longer have an expiration date.
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Observed Customer behavior that differs from historical experience can cause actual ticket breakage to differ significantly from estimates. Assumptions about Customer behavior are reviewed frequently and corresponding adjustments are made to breakage estimates, as needed, when observed behaviors differ from historical experience. Assumptions about Customer behavior can be impacted by several factors including, but not limited to: fare increases, fare sales, changes to the Company's ticketing policies, changes to the Company’s refund, exchange and unused flight credit policies, seat availability, and economic factors. The Company’s estimation techniques have been consistently applied from year to year; however, as with any estimates, actual ticket breakage may vary from estimated amounts.
Fair Value Measurements and Financial Derivative Instruments
The Company utilizes unobservable (Level 3) inputs in determining the fair value of certain assets and liabilities. At December 31, 2022, these consisted of its fuel derivative option contracts, which were an asset of $512 million. The Company utilizes financial derivative instruments primarily to manage its risk associated with changing jet fuel prices. See "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk" for more information on these risk management activities, Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the Company’s fuel hedging program and financial derivative instruments, and Note 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about fair value measurements.
All derivatives are required to be reflected at fair value and recorded on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. At December 31, 2022, the Company was a party to over 125 separate financial derivative instruments related to its fuel hedging program for future periods. Changes in the fair values of these instruments can vary dramatically based on changes in the underlying commodity prices. For example, during 2022, market "spot" prices for Brent crude oil peaked at a high average daily price of approximately $128 per barrel and hit a low average daily price of approximately $76 per barrel. During 2021, market spot prices ranged from a high average daily price of approximately $86 per barrel to a low average daily price of approximately $51 per barrel. Market price changes can be driven by factors such as supply and demand, inventory levels, weather events, refinery capacity, political agendas, the value of the U.S. dollar, geopolitical events, the extent of the COVID-19 pandemic, and general economic conditions, among other items. Historically, the financial derivative instruments utilized by the Company primarily are a combination of collars, purchased call options, call spreads, put spreads, and fixed price swap agreements.
The Company enters into financial derivative instruments with third party institutions in "over-the-counter" markets. Since the majority of the Company’s financial derivative instruments are not traded on a market exchange, the Company estimates their fair values. Depending on the type of instrument, the values are determined by the use of present value methods or standard option value models with assumptions about commodity prices based on those observed in underlying markets.
The Company determines the fair value of fuel derivative option contracts utilizing an option pricing model based on inputs that are either readily available in public markets, can be derived from information available in publicly quoted markets, or are quoted by its counterparties. In situations where the Company obtains inputs via quotes from its counterparties, it verifies the reasonableness of these quotes via similar quotes from another counterparty as of each date for which financial statements are prepared. The Company has consistently applied these valuation techniques in all periods presented and believes it has obtained the most accurate information available for the types of derivative contracts it holds. Due to the fact that certain inputs used in determining the estimated fair value of its option contracts are considered unobservable (primarily implied volatility), the Company has categorized these option contracts as Level 3. Although implied volatility is not directly observable, it is derived primarily from changes in market prices, which are observable. Based on the Company’s portfolio of option contracts as of December 31, 2022, a 10 percent change in implied volatility, holding all other factors constant, would have resulted in a change in the fair value of this portfolio of less than $194 million.
Fair values for financial derivative instruments are estimated prior to the time that the financial derivative instruments settle. However, once settlement of the financial derivative instruments occurs and the hedged jet fuel is
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purchased and consumed, all values and prices are known and are recognized in the financial statements. Although the Company continues to use a prospective assessment to determine that commodities continue to qualify for hedge accounting in specific locations where the Company hedges, there are no assurances that these commodities will continue to qualify in the future. This is due to the fact that future price changes in these refined products may not be consistent with historical price changes. Increased volatility in these commodity markets for an extended period of time, especially if such volatility were to worsen, could cause the Company to lose hedge accounting altogether for the commodities used in its fuel hedging program. Further, should the anticipated fuel purchases covered by the Company's fuel hedges no longer be probable of occurring, the Company would discontinue hedge accounting. The loss of hedge accounting would create further volatility in the Company’s GAAP financial results.
As discussed in Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, any changes in fair value of cash flow derivatives designated as hedges are offset within AOCI until the period in which the expected future cash flow impacts earnings. Any changes in the fair value of fuel derivatives that do not qualify for hedge accounting are reflected in earnings within Other (gains) losses, net, in the period of the change. Because the Company has extensive historical experience in valuing the derivative instruments it holds, and such experience is continually evaluated against its counterparties each period when such instruments expire and are settled for cash, the Company believes it is unlikely that an independent third party would value the Company’s derivative contracts at a significantly different amount than what is reflected in the Company’s financial statements. In addition, the Company also has bilateral credit provisions in some of its counterparty agreements, which provide for parties (or the Company) to provide cash collateral when the fair value of fuel derivatives with a single party exceeds certain threshold levels. Since this cash collateral is based on the estimated fair value of the Company’s outstanding fuel derivative contracts, this provides further validation to the Company’s estimate of fair values.
Loyalty Accounting
The Company utilizes estimates in the recognition of revenues and liabilities associated with its loyalty program. These estimates primarily include the liability associated with Rapid Rewards loyalty member ("Member") account balances that are expected to be redeemed for travel or other products at a future date. Loyalty account balances include points earned through flights taken, points sold to Customers, or points earned through business partners participating in the loyalty program.
Under the Southwest Rapid Rewards loyalty program, Members earn points for every dollar spent on Southwest base fares. The amount of points earned under the program is based on the fare amount and fare type, with higher fare types (e.g., Business Select) earning more points than lower fare types (e.g., Wanna Get Away). Each fare type is associated with a points earning multiplier, and points for flights are calculated by multiplying the fare amount for the flight by the fare type multiplier. Likewise, the amount of points required to be redeemed for a flight can differ based on the fare type purchased. Under the program, (i) Members are able to redeem their points for every available seat, every day, on every flight, with no blackout dates; and (ii) points do not expire. In addition, Members are able to redeem their points for items other than travel on Southwest Airlines, such as international flights on other airlines, cruises, hotel stays, rental cars, gift cards, event tickets, and more. In addition to earning points for revenue flights and qualifying purchases with Rapid Rewards Partners, Members also have the ability to purchase, gift, and transfer points, as well as the ability to donate points to selected charities.
The Company utilizes the deferred revenue method of accounting for points earned through flights taken in its loyalty program. The Company also sells points and related services to business partners participating in the loyalty program. Liabilities are recorded for the relative standalone selling price of the Rapid Rewards points which are awarded each period. The liabilities recorded represent the total number of points expected to be redeemed by Members, regardless of whether the Members may have enough to qualify for a full travel award. At December 31, 2022, the loyalty liabilities were approximately $5.2 billion, including $3.0 billion classified within Air traffic liability and $2.2 billion classified as Air traffic liability – noncurrent.
In order to determine the value of each loyalty point, certain assumptions must be made at the time of measurement, which include an allocation of passenger revenue between the flight and loyalty points earned by passengers, and the fair value of Rapid Rewards points, which are generally based on their redemption value to the Customer. See
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Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on determining the estimated fair value of each loyalty point.
The majority of the points sold to business partners are through the Southwest co-branded credit card agreement ("Agreement") with Chase Bank USA, N.A. Consideration received as part of this Agreement is subject to ASC 606. The most recent instance in which the Agreement was amended was in fourth quarter 2021. The Agreement has the following multiple elements: travel points to be awarded, use of the Southwest Airlines’ brand and access to Rapid Rewards Member lists, advertising elements, and the Company’s resource team. These elements are combined into two performance obligations, transportation and marketing, and consideration from the Agreement is allocated based on the relative selling price of each performance obligation.
Significant management judgment was used to estimate the selling price of each of the performance obligations in the Agreement at inception, including each time in which the Agreement has been materially amended. The objective is to determine the price at which the Company would transact a sale if the product or service was sold on a stand-alone basis. The Company determines the best estimate of selling price by considering multiple inputs and methods including, but not limited to, the estimated selling price of comparable travel, discounted cash flows, brand value, published selling prices, number of points awarded, and the number of points redeemed. The Company estimates the selling prices and volumes over the term of the Agreement in order to determine the allocation of proceeds to each of the multiple performance obligations. The Company records revenue related to air transportation when the transportation is delivered and revenue related to marketing elements when the performance obligation is satisfied. A one percent increase or decrease in the Company's estimate of the standalone selling prices, implemented as of January 1, 2022, causing a change to the allocation of proceeds to air transportation would not have had a material impact on the Company's Operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Under its current program, Southwest estimates the portion of loyalty points that will not be redeemed. In estimating the breakage, the Company takes into account the Member’s past behavior, as well as several factors related to the Member’s account that are expected to be indicative of the likelihood of future point redemption. These factors are typically representative of a Member’s level of engagement in the loyalty program. They include, but are not limited to, tenure with the program, points accrued in the program, and points redeemed in the program. The Company believes it has obtained sufficient historical behavioral data to develop a predictive statistical model to analyze the amount of breakage expected for all loyalty points. The Company updates this model at least annually, and applies the new breakage rates effective October 1st each year, or more frequently if required by changes in the business. Changes in the breakage rates applied annually in recent years have not had a material impact on Passenger revenues. For the year ended December 31, 2022, based on actual redemptions of points sold to business partners and earned through flights, a hypothetical one percentage point change in the estimated breakage rate would have resulted in a change to Passenger revenue of approximately $152 million (an increase in breakage would have resulted in an increase in revenue and a decrease in breakage would have resulted in a decrease in revenue). Given that Member behavior will continue to develop as the program matures, the Company expects the current estimates may change in future periods. However, the Company believes its current estimates are reasonable given current facts and circumstances.
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FY 2021 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000092380-22-000007.
Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
YEAR IN REVIEW
In late February 2020, the Company began to see a negative impact from the COVID-19 pandemic, which quickly accelerated during first quarter 2020 and continued throughout 2021. While the pandemic has continued to negatively impact results, the Company saw steady improvement as the year progressed, with intermittent periods of decelerated demand that coincided with COVID-19 surges. The Company's financial results in both years, on both a GAAP and Non-GAAP basis, were significantly impacted by the pandemic and the resulting effect on demand and passenger bookings.
The Company recorded GAAP and non-GAAP results for 2021 and 2020 as noted in the following tables. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
| Year ended | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | December 31, | |||||||||
| GAAP | 2021 | 2020 | Percent Change | |||||||
| Operating income (loss) | $ | 1,721 | $ | (3,816) | n.m. | |||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | 977 | $ | (3,074) | n.m. | |||||
| Net income (loss) per share, diluted | $ | 1.61 | $ | (5.44) | n.m. | |||||
| Non-GAAP | ||||||||||
| Operating loss | $ | (1,281) | $ | (5,032) | (74.5) | |||||
| Net loss | $ | (1,271) | $ | (3,512) | (63.8) | |||||
| Net loss per share, diluted | $ | (2.15) | $ | (6.22) | (65.4) |
The significant improvement in both GAAP Net income (loss) and Operating income (loss), year-over-year, was primarily due to the rebound in domestic leisure demand and bookings in 2021 as impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic eased. This resulted in a 74.5 percent increase in Operating revenues in 2021 versus 2020, although 2021 Operating revenues were still well below 2019 levels. Further, the Company received $2.7 billion in grant allocations of payroll funding support ("Payroll Support") from the United States Department of Treasury ("Treasury") in 2021, compared with $2.3 billion received in 2020, which the Company utilized in both years to offset a portion of salaries, wages, and benefits. See below and Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
On a quarterly basis, demand for air travel improved each period of 2021. Although the Company's GAAP financial results benefited from the impact of Payroll Support recognized during the first three quarters of the year, the Company was able to generate a profit during fourth quarter 2021 despite having no further allocation of Payroll Support.
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Operating Statistics
The Company provides the operating data below for the three years ended December 31, 2021, because these statistics are commonly used in the airline industry and, therefore, allow readers to compare the Company’s performance against its results for prior periods, as well as against the performance of the Company’s peers.
| Year ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2021 Change to 2020 | 2019 | 2020 Change to 2019 | 2021 Change to 2019(l) | ||||||||||||||||
| Operating Data: | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Revenue passengers carried (000s) | 99,111 | 54,088 | 83.2 | % | 134,056 | (59.7) | % | (26.1) | % | ||||||||||||
| Enplaned passengers (000s) | 123,264 | 67,785 | 81.8 | % | 162,681 | (58.3) | % | (24.2) | % | ||||||||||||
| Revenue passenger miles (RPMs) (in millions)(a) | 103,562 | 54,221 | 91.0 | % | 131,345 | (58.7) | % | (21.2) | % | ||||||||||||
| Available seat miles (ASMs) (in millions)(b) | 132,006 | 103,456 | 27.6 | % | 157,254 | (34.2) | % | (16.1) | % | ||||||||||||
| Load factor(c) | 78.5 | % | 52.4 | % | 26.1 pts. | 83.5 | % | (31.1) pts. | (5.0) pts. | ||||||||||||
| Average length of passenger haul (miles) | 1,045 | 1,002 | 4.3 | % | 980 | 2.2 | % | 6.6 | % | ||||||||||||
| Average aircraft stage length (miles) | 790 | 743 | 6.3 | % | 748 | (0.7) | % | 5.6 | % | ||||||||||||
| Trips flown | 1,066,934 | 897,540 | 18.9 | % | 1,367,727 | (34.4) | % | (22.0) | % | ||||||||||||
| Seats flown (000s)(d) | 165,580 | 137,405 | 20.5 | % | 206,390 | (33.4) | % | (19.8) | % | ||||||||||||
| Seats per trip(e) | 155.2 | 153.1 | 1.4 | % | 150.9 | 1.5 | % | 2.8 | % | ||||||||||||
| Average passenger fare | $ | 141.92 | $ | 141.72 | 0.1 | % | $ | 154.98 | (8.6) | % | (8.4) | % | |||||||||
| Passenger revenue yield per RPM (cents)(f) | 13.58 | 14.14 | (4.0) | % | 15.82 | (10.6) | % | (14.2) | % | ||||||||||||
| Operating revenues per ASM (cents)(g)(j) | 11.96 | 8.75 | 36.7 | % | 14.26 | (38.6) | % | (16.1) | % | ||||||||||||
| Passenger revenue per ASM (cents)(h) | 10.66 | 7.41 | 43.9 | % | 13.21 | (43.9) | % | (19.3) | % | ||||||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents)(i) | 10.66 | 12.43 | (14.2) | % | 12.38 | 0.4 | % | (13.9) | % | ||||||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel (cents) | 8.15 | 10.65 | (23.5) | % | 9.62 | 10.7 | % | (15.3) | % | ||||||||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding fuel and profitsharing (cents) | 7.98 | 10.65 | (25.1) | % | 9.19 | 15.9 | % | (13.2) | % | ||||||||||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax | $ | 1.98 | $ | 1.45 | 36.6 | % | $ | 2.09 | (30.6) | % | (5.3) | % | |||||||||
| Fuel costs per gallon, including fuel tax, economic | $ | 2.01 | $ | 1.49 | 34.9 | % | $ | 2.09 | (28.7) | % | (3.8) | % | |||||||||
| Fuel consumed, in gallons (millions) | 1,668 | 1,273 | 31.0 | % | 2,077 | (38.7) | % | (19.7) | % | ||||||||||||
| Active fulltime equivalent Employees (j) | 55,093 | 56,537 | (2.6) | % | 60,767 | (7.0) | % | (9.3) | % | ||||||||||||
| Aircraft at end of period (k) | 728 | 718 | 1.4 | % | 747 | (3.9) | % | (2.5) | % |
(a)A revenue passenger mile is one paying passenger flown one mile. Also referred to as "traffic," which is a measure of demand for a given period.
(b)An available seat mile is one seat (empty or full) flown one mile. Also referred to as "capacity," which is a measure of the space available to carry passengers in a given period.
(c)Revenue passenger miles divided by available seat miles.
(d)Seats flown is calculated using total number of seats available by aircraft type multiplied by the total trips flown by the same aircraft type during a particular period.
(e)Seats per trip is calculated by dividing seats flown by trips flown.
(f)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by revenue passenger miles. Also referred to as "yield," this is the average cost paid by a paying passenger to fly one mile, which is a measure of revenue production and fares.
(g)Calculated as operating revenues divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "operating unit revenues" or "RASM," this is a measure of operating revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(h)Calculated as passenger revenue divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "passenger unit revenues," this is a measure of passenger revenue production based on the total available seat miles flown during a particular period.
(i)Calculated as operating expenses divided by available seat miles. Also referred to as "unit costs" or "cost per available seat mile," this is the average cost to fly an aircraft seat (empty or full) one mile, which is a measure of cost efficiencies.
(j)Included less than 250 and 10,421 Employees participating in the Extended Emergency Time Off program as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
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(k)Included six Boeing 737 Next Generation aircraft in temporary storage and 60 in long-term storage as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. Also included 32 and 34 Boeing MAX 737 in long-term storage as of December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. See Note 17 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(l)The Company believes certain comparisons with 2019 are more relevant measures of performance than year-over-year comparisons due to the significant impacts in 2020 due to the pandemic.
2022 Outlook
The following tables present selected financial guidance for first quarter and full year 2022:
| 1Q 2022 Estimation | Previous estimation | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue compared with 2019 (a) | Down 10% to 15% | (e) | |||
| Load factor | 75% to 80% | (e) | |||
| ASMs compared with 2019 | Down ~9% | (e) | |||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon | $2.25 to $2.35 | (e) | |||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $0.06 | (e) | |||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $0.35 | (e) | |||
| ASMs per gallon (fuel efficiency) | Nominally in line with 4Q21 | (e) | |||
| CASM-X (b) compared with 2019 | Up 20% to 24% | (e) | |||
| Debt repayments (millions) | ~$60 | (e) | |||
| Interest expense (millions) | ~$90 | (e) | |||
| Aircraft (c) | 725 | (e) |
| 2022 Estimation | Previous estimation | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASMs compared with 2019 | Down ~4% | (e) | |||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon | $2.25 to $2.35 | (e) | |||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $0.05 | (e) | |||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $0.28 | (e) | |||
| CASM-X (b) compared with 2019 | Up 12% to 16% | (e) | |||
| Debt repayments (millions) | ~$455 | (e) | |||
| Interest expense (millions) | ~$360 | (e) | |||
| Aircraft (c) | 814 | (e) | |||
| Effective tax rate | 23% to 25% | (e) | |||
| Capital spending (billions) (d) | ~$5.0 | (e) |
(a) The Company believes that operating revenues compared with 2019 is a more relevant measure of performance than a year-over-year comparison due to the significant impacts in 2021 due to the pandemic.
(b) Operating expenses per available seat mile, excluding fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items.
(c) Aircraft on property, end of period; net of 6 and 28 retirements planned in first quarter 2022 and full year 2022, respectively. Two aircraft originally planned for delivery in first quarter 2022 have shifted into the Company's second quarter 2022 planned delivery schedule. Reflects 12 options exercised through February 3, 2022, five and seven for delivery in first quarter and second quarter 2022, respectively, and the assumption that the Company exercises all 30 remaining 2022 options. The delivery schedule for the Boeing 737-7 (-7) is dependent on the Federal Aviation Administration ("FAA") issuing required certifications and approvals to The Boeing Company ("Boeing") and the Company. The FAA will ultimately determine the timing of the -7 certification and entry into service, and the Company therefore offers no assurances that current estimates and timelines are correct.
(d) Represents current contractual payments to Boeing for firm aircraft and the assumptions that the Company exercises all 30 remaining 2022 options, in addition to ~$900 million non-aircraft capital spending. Excluding any further option exercises in 2022, the Company's 2022 capital spending would be ~$3.4 billion, also including ~$900 million in non-aircraft capital spending
(e) Remains unchanged from previously reported estimation.
Following strong travel demand during the fourth quarter 2021 holiday period, the Company is experiencing a revenue headwind in first quarter 2022 due to a softness in bookings and an increase in trip cancellations associated with the Omicron variant. January and February are seasonally weaker time periods for leisure travel demand, but further softness in leisure bookings related to the Omicron variant, combined with lower than expected business
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travel demand, is estimated to reduce operating revenues in January and February 2022 by $330 million, combined. The Company canceled more than 5,600 flights in January 2022, with the majority attributable to available staffing challenges as a result of the Omicron variant, as well as weather-related cancellations, driving an estimated $50 million negative impact to January 2022 operating revenues. First quarter 2022 managed business revenues are expected to be down 45 percent to 55 percent versus first quarter 2019 levels. The Company remains optimistic about the return of business travel demand in 2022 based on the momentum experienced in fourth quarter 2021 before the impact of the Omicron variant. The Company is also encouraged by recent improvements in booking trends, especially for March 2022, and current revenue trends for spring break travel appear to be in line with typical seasonal expectations.
Based on current cost trends and reduced capacity plans, first quarter 2022 operating expenses, excluding fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing, are expected to increase in the range of 20 percent to 24 percent on a unit basis as compared with first quarter 2019. The projection does not reflect the potential impact of Fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing expense because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate these items or expenses or their impact to the Company's financial statements in future periods, especially considering the significant volatility of the Fuel and oil expense line item. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort. The Company continues to experience cost pressure due to inflation in labor rates and airport costs, as well as unit cost headwinds from operating at suboptimal productivity levels. Additionally, the Company has temporarily extended incentive pay to its Operations Employees through early February 2022, which is expected to result in an additional $150 million of salaries, wages, and benefits expense in first quarter 2022, compared to the $100 million in incentive pay earned by Employees during fourth quarter 2021. Furthermore, the Company is reducing its first quarter 2022 capacity to provide additional stability during this challenging environment.
With the Omicron variant and weather impacting the Company's results, the Company expects losses in January and February and a return to profitability in March 2022. Based on the Company's current plan, while the Company no longer expects to be profitable in first quarter, the Company expects to be profitable for the remaining three quarters of this year, and for full year 2022.
COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
In response to the far-reaching impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company took, and continues to assess and modify, measures to support the well-being of both its Employees and passengers, including procedures and policies intended to maintain an elevated level of cleanliness on aircraft and at facilities, and mitigate the spread of the virus. The Company also continues to monitor guidelines and recommendations from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention applicable to the Company’s daily operations, and the manner in which the majority of the Company’s office and clerical Employees work on a daily basis.
As detailed in Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, in connection with the major negative impact of COVID-19 on air carriers, the Company has received significant financial assistance from Treasury in the form of Payroll Support, and this assistance has had a significant impact on the Company's reported GAAP financial results in 2021. Such impact ended in third quarter 2021, and the Company's fourth quarter 2021 results do not reflect the benefit of this Payroll Support, and its future period results are not expected to benefit from such Payroll Support. However, future cash flows will be impacted through the portion of Payroll Support that was in the form of loans that will have to be repaid to Treasury.
During second quarter 2020, the Company introduced Voluntary Separation Program 2020 ("Voluntary Separation Program") and the Extended Emergency Time Off ("Extended ETO") program which helped closer align staffing to reduced flight schedules and enabled the Company to avoid involuntary furloughs and layoffs associated with the impacts of the pandemic. Approximately 16,000 Employees elected to participate in one of these programs. During 2021, approximately 11,400 Employees returned from the Extended ETO program and less than 250 Employees remained on Extended ETO leave as of December 31, 2021. In accordance with applicable accounting guidance, the
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Company accrued a total charge of $1.4 billion in 2020 related to the special termination benefits for Employees who had accepted the Company's offer to participate in its Voluntary Separation Program and the special benefits for Employees who participated in its Extended ETO program. The accrual is being reduced as program benefits are paid or as it becomes no longer probable that Employees will remain on leave for their elected terms. The Company realized approximately $1.1 billion of full year 2021 cost savings from the Voluntary Separation Program and Extended ETO compared with full year 2019, and expects no material cost savings from these programs in 2022 and beyond. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company continues to have a smaller workforce than it did prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, in addition to recalling nearly all of the Employees that participated in Extended ETO, the Company met its 2021 hiring goals and is planning to add at least 8,000 additional Employees during 2022 as it strives to provide sufficient staffing to support its anticipated flight schedule plans for 2022 and beyond. The Company is making additional investments to attract and retain talent, including the recent decision to further raise the Company's starting hourly pay rates from $15 per hour to $17 per hour for (i) Southwest Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, and Freight Agents, (ii) Southwest Customer Service Agents, Customer Representatives, and Source of Support Representatives, (iii) Southwest Flight Simulator Technicians, and (iv) Southwest Aircraft Appearance Technicians. The Company is currently in discussions with its workgroups to enact this increase in pay rates. The Company continues to evaluate staffing needs to align with planned flight activity.
In September 2021, the President of the United States issued an Executive Order establishing a vaccination requirement for employees of covered federal contractors. The federal government required that federal contractors have their workforce vaccinated (or request an accommodation) by December 8, 2021. The deadline was later extended to January 4, 2022. The Company started an active campaign to notify Employees of the need to submit proof of COVID-19 vaccination, or apply for an accommodation, by January 4, 2022. On December 3, 2021, the company announced that 93 percent of its Employees were vaccinated, or had requested an accommodation. Due to legal challenges to the vaccine mandate, the Company announced on December 20, 2021, that it is no longer imposing a deadline for compliance. However, if the vaccine mandate is revived, the Company will resume efforts to work with Employees who have not yet either submitted proof of vaccination or requested an accommodation.
Company Overview
The Company has entered into supplemental agreements with The Boeing Company ("Boeing") to increase aircraft orders and accelerate certain options with the goal of improving potential growth opportunities, restoring its network closer to pre-pandemic levels, lowering operating costs, and further modernizing its fleet with less carbon-intensive aircraft. During fourth quarter 2021, the Company exercised 22 Boeing 737 MAX 7 ("-7") options for delivery in 2023, and through February 3, 2022, the Company has exercised another 24 Boeing options- 12 -8 options for delivery in 2022, and 12 -7 options for delivery in 2023. The Company's order book with Boeing as of December 31, 2021, consists of a total of 394 MAX firm orders (264 -7 aircraft and 130 Boeing 737 MAX-8 ("-8") aircraft) and 238 MAX options (-7s or -8s) for years 2022 through 2031. The Company continues to expect that more than half of the MAX aircraft in its firm order book will replace a significant amount of its 452 Boeing 737-700 ("-700") aircraft over the next 10 to 15 years to support the modernization of its fleet, a key cost initiative and component of its environmental sustainability efforts.
The Company ended 2021 with 728 Boeing 737 aircraft, including 69 -8 aircraft. During 2021, the Company retired 8 owned -700 aircraft, which were accelerated from 2022 into fourth quarter 2021, and returned 10 leased -700 aircraft, of which one occurred during fourth quarter 2021. In addition, the Company took delivery of 28 -8 aircraft during 2021. As of December 31, 2021, six -700 aircraft remained in temporary storage due to fourth quarter 2021 and first quarter 2022 capacity remaining below respective 2019 levels.
The Company has published its flight schedule through September 5, 2022. During 2021, the Company pursued additional revenue opportunities that utilize idle aircraft to provide service to new, popular destinations. The Company is leveraging additional airports in or near cities where its Customer base is large, along with adding easier access to popular leisure-oriented destinations from across its domestic-focused network. These additional service points on the Company's route map are opportunities it can provide Customers now, all while better
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positioning the Company for a travel demand rebound. During 2021, the Company began service to new destinations including:
•Chicago O'Hare International Airport and Sarasota Bradenton International Airport - February 14, 2021
•Colorado Springs Municipal Airport and Savannah/Hilton Head International Airport - March 11, 2021
•Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport and Santa Barbara Airport - April 12, 2021
•Fresno Yosemite International Airport - April 25, 2021
•Destin-Fort Walton Beach Airport - May 6, 2021
•Myrtle Beach International Airport - May 23, 2021
•Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport - May 27, 2021
•Jackson-Medgar Wiley Evers International Airport in Mississippi - June 6, 2021
•Eugene Airport in Oregon - August 29, 2021
•Bellingham International Airport in Washington - November 7, 2021
•Syracuse Hancock International Airport in New York - November 14, 2021
The COVID-19 pandemic had a particularly negative impact on the Company's international operations and led to the Company's suspension of international operations at the beginning of the pandemic. The Company has since resumed service to 13 of its 14 international destinations. The Company’s operations to the Cayman Islands are temporarily suspended due to impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic, but with the easing of government restrictions and the continued increase in demand for beach and leisure destinations, the Company intends to resume service to the Cayman Islands in 2022.
In 2021, the Company announced goals to (i) achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, (ii) maintain carbon neutral growth (to 2019 levels) through the end of the decade, and (iii) reduce carbon emissions intensity per available seat mile (including scope 1 and scope 2 emissions) by at least 20 percent by 2030. The Company also announced a series of actions and initiatives designed to assist the Company in achieving these goals, including agreements with various third parties intended to facilitate the development, production, and usage of commercialized sustainable aviation fuel; the launch of a carbon-offset program that allows Customers to contribute funds for the purchase of carbon offsets for Southwest; and arrangements with nonprofit organizations seeking to address climate change and reduce carbon emissions in aviation.
As part of its commitment to corporate sustainability, the Company has published the Southwest One Report describing the Company's sustainability strategies, which include the Company’s fuel conservation and emissions reduction initiatives and other efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and address other environmental matters such as energy and water conservation, waste minimization, and recycling. Information contained in the Southwest One Report is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Form 10-K. While the Company believes that the disclosures contained in the Southwest One Report and other voluntary disclosures regarding environmental, social, and governance (“ESG”) matters are responsive to various areas of investor interest, the Company believes that these disclosures do not currently address matters that are material in the near term to the Company’s operations, strategy, financial condition, or financial results, although this view may change in the future based on new information that could materially alter the estimates, assumptions, or timelines used to create these disclosures. Given the estimates, assumptions and timelines used to create the Southwest One Report and other voluntary disclosures, the materiality of these disclosures is inherently difficult to assess in advance.
2021 Compared with 2020
Operating Revenues
Passenger revenues for 2021 increased by $6.4 billion, or 83.5 percent, compared with 2020. On a unit basis, Passenger revenues increased 43.9 percent, year-over-year. The increase in Passenger revenues on both a dollar and unit basis were primarily due to the improvements in leisure Passenger demand and bookings in 2021, compared with the severe decline in demand and bookings resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic for the majority of 2020.
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Freight revenues for 2021 increased by $26 million, or 16.1 percent, compared with 2020, primarily due to increased demand for consumer goods.
Other revenues for 2021 increased by $315 million, or 25.8 percent, compared with 2020. The increase was primarily due to an increase in income from business partners, including Chase Bank USA, N.A. ("Chase"). The improving economy throughout 2021 and rebound in travel demand resulted in higher spend on the Company's co-branded credit card, as well as additional revenues earned through the Company's rental car and hotel partners.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for 2021 increased by $1.2 billion, or 9.4 percent, compared with 2020, while capacity increased 27.6 percent over the same period. Historically, except for changes in the price of fuel, changes in Operating expenses for airlines have been largely driven by changes in capacity, or ASMs. However, the Company's Operating expenses are largely fixed once flight schedules are published, and ASM reductions as a result of flight schedule adjustments have a negative impact on Operating expenses per ASM. The following table presents the Company's Operating expenses per ASM for 2021 and 2020, followed by explanations of these changes on a dollar basis. Unless otherwise specified, changes on a per ASM basis were driven by changes in capacity, which increased with the improvement of travel demand, causing the Company's fixed costs to be spread over significantly more ASMs.
| Year ended December 31, | Per ASM | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in cents, except for percentages) | 2021 | 2020 | change | change | |||||||
| Salaries, wages, and benefits | 5.87 | ¢ | 6.58 | ¢ | (0.71) | ¢ | (10.8) | % | |||
| Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | (2.24) | (0.94) | (1.30) | 138.3 | |||||||
| Fuel and oil | 2.51 | 1.78 | 0.73 | 41.0 | |||||||
| Maintenance materials and repairs | 0.65 | 0.72 | (0.07) | (9.7) | |||||||
| Landing fees and airport rentals | 1.10 | 1.21 | (0.11) | (9.1) | |||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 0.96 | 1.21 | (0.25) | (20.7) | |||||||
| Other operating expenses | 1.81 | 1.87 | (0.06) | (3.2) | |||||||
| Total | 10.66 | ¢ | 12.43 | ¢ | (1.77) | ¢ | (14.2) | % |
Operating expenses per ASM for 2021 decreased by 14.2 percent, compared with 2020. The year-over-year unit cost decrease in 2021 was enhanced by the increase in Payroll Support funding as such allocations are accounted for as a direct reduction to the Company's operating expenses. This decrease in operating expenses was partially offset by an increase in both jet fuel prices and fuel gallons consumed, and $222 million of gains from the sale-leaseback of 20 aircraft to third parties in two separate transactions during second quarter 2020, which reduced Other operating expenses in second quarter 2020. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. Operating expenses per ASM for 2021, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (a non-GAAP financial measure), decreased 13.3 percent, year-over-year. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2021 increased by $932 million, or 13.7 percent, compared with 2020. On a per ASM basis, Salaries, wages, and benefits expense for 2021 decreased 10.8 percent, compared with 2020. On a dollar basis, approximately 55 percent of the increase was due to higher salaries and wages due to significantly more trips, step increases for certain workgroups, recalls from Extended ETO (which led to higher salaries), incentive pay offered to certain workgroups, and increased overtime hours across the network. The largest portion of the remainder of the increase was due to the $230 million profitsharing expense accrual in 2021, compared with no profitsharing expense accrual in 2020.
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The following table sets forth the Company’s unionized Employee groups with amendable contracts that are currently in negotiations on collective-bargaining agreements:
| Employee Group | Approximate Number of Employees | Representatives | Amendable Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Pilots | 8,300 | Southwest Airlines Pilots' Association ("SWAPA") | September 2020 |
| Southwest Flight Attendants | 14,600 | Transportation Workers of America, AFL-CIO, Local 556 ("TWU 556") | November 2018 |
| Southwest Ramp, Operations, Provisioning, Freight Agents | 12,600 | Transportation Workers of America, AFL-CIO, Local 555 ("TWU 555") | February 2021 |
| Southwest Customer Service Agents, Customer Representatives, and Source of Support Representatives | 6,100 | International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, AFL-CIO ("IAM 142") | December 2018 |
| Southwest Aircraft Appearance Technicians | 170 | AMFA | November 2020 |
| Southwest Dispatchers | 400 | Transportation Workers of America, AFL-CIO, Local 550 ("TWU 550") | June 2019 |
| Southwest Flight Crew Training Instructors | 130 | Transportation Workers of America, AFL-CIO, Local 557 ("TWU 557") | January 2022 |
| Southwest Meteorologists | 10 | TWU 550 | June 2019 |
During August 2021, the Company reached a tentative collective-bargaining agreement with IAM 142, which represents the Company's approximately 6,100 Employees in the Customer Service Agents, Customer Representatives, and Source of Support Representatives workgroup. However, the IAM 142 membership voted not to ratify the agreement. The Company will continue to engage in discussions on a new agreement with IAM 142.
Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net (a reduction to expense) for 2021 was an increase of $2.0 billion, or 206.1 percent, compared with 2020. On a per ASM basis, Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net for 2021 increased by 138.3 percent. On both a dollar and per ASM basis, the changes were due to the components of this line item as noted below:
•The $745 million accrual for charges related to the Voluntary Separation Program in 2020;
•The $140 million net reduction in the Extended ETO liability in 2021, compared with the $625 million accrual for charges related to the Extended ETO liability in 2020;
•The Payroll Support programs' grant allocation of $2.7 billion in 2021, compared with a $2.3 billion allocation in 2020; and
•The $117 million in Employee Retention Tax Credits recorded in 2021 for continuing to pay Employees' salaries during the time they were not working, as allowed under the CARES Act, and subsequent legislation.
See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Fuel and oil expense for 2021 increased by $1.5 billion, or 79.0 percent, compared with 2020. On a per ASM basis, Fuel and oil expense for 2021 increased 41.0 percent. On a dollar basis, approximately 60 percent of the increase was attributable to an increase in jet fuel prices per gallon, and the remainder of the increase was due to an increase in fuel gallons consumed. On a per ASM basis, the increase was primarily due to higher jet fuel prices. The
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following table provides more information on the Company's economic fuel cost per gallon, including the impact of fuel hedging premium expense and fuel derivative contracts:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (per gallon) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
| Economic fuel costs per gallon | $ | 2.01 | $ | 1.49 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense (in millions) | $ | 100 | $ | 98 | ||
| Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon | $ | 0.06 | $ | 0.08 | ||
| Fuel hedging cash settlement gains per gallon | $ | 0.05 | $ | — |
See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional detail regarding non-GAAP financial measures.
The Company's fourth quarter 2021 available seat miles per gallon ("fuel efficiency") declined 4.2 percent, year-over-year, due to the removal from storage and return to service of more of the Company's least fuel-efficient aircraft, the -700, to support sequentially increasing flight schedules. When compared with fourth quarter 2019, fuel efficiency improved 3.8 percent in fourth quarter 2021 due to the March 2021 return to service of the Company's most fuel-efficient aircraft, the MAX. The MAX remains critical to the Company's efforts to modernize its fleet, reduce carbon emissions intensity, and achieve its near-term environmental sustainability goals. See Note 17 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
As of January 20, 2022, on an economic basis, the Company had derivative contracts in place related to expected future fuel consumption as follows:
| Period | Maximum fuel hedged (gallons in millions) (a)(b) |
|---|---|
| 2022 | 1,220 |
| 2023 | 769 |
| 2024 | 358 |
(a) The Company’s hedge position includes prices at which the Company considers "catastrophic" coverage. The maximum gallons provided are not indicative of the Company's hedge coverage at every price, but represent the highest level of coverage at a single price. See Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(b) The Company's gallons that are covered by derivative contracts represent the maximum number of gallons hedged for each respective period, which may be at different strike prices and at strike prices materially higher than the current market prices. The volume of gallons covered by derivative contracts that ultimately get exercised in any given period may vary significantly from the volumes provided, as market prices and the Company's fuel consumption fluctuates. Based on the Company's available seat mile plans for full year 2022, its maximum percent of estimated fuel consumption covered by fuel derivative contracts is 64 percent. The Company believes that providing the maximum percent of fuel consumption covered by derivative contracts in future years relative to 2019 fuel gallons consumed is a more relevant measure for future coverage, due to uncertainty regarding available seat mile plans in future years. Based on 2019 fuel gallons consumed, the Company's maximum percent of fuel consumption covered by fuel derivative contracts is 37 percent in 2023 and 17 percent in 2024.
As a result of applying hedge accounting in prior periods, the Company has amounts in Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) ("AOCI") that will be recognized in earnings in future periods when the underlying fuel derivative contracts settle. The following table displays the Company's estimated fair value of remaining fuel derivative contracts (not considering the impact of the cash collateral provided to or received from counterparties - see Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information), as well as the deferred amounts in AOCI at December 31, 2021, and the expected future periods in which these items are expected to settle and/or be recognized in earnings (in millions):
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| Year | Fair value of fuel derivative contracts at December 31, 2021 | Amount of gains deferred in AOCI at December 31, 2021 (net of tax) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $ | 409 | $ | 234 | |||
| 2023 | 221 | 117 | |||||
| 2024 | 66 | 26 | |||||
| Total | $ | 696 | $ | 377 |
Assuming no changes to the Company's current fuel derivative portfolio, but including all previous hedge activity for fuel derivatives that have not yet settled, and considering only the expected net cash receipts related to hedges that will settle, the Company is providing the below sensitivity table for first quarter 2022 and full year 2022 jet fuel prices at different crude oil assumptions as of January 20, 2022, and for expected premium costs associated with settling contracts each period, respectively.
| Estimated economic fuel price per gallon, including taxes and fuel hedging premiums (e) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Average Brent Crude Oil price per barrel | First Quarter 2022 (c) | Full Year 2022 (d) |
| $60 | $1.80 - $1.90 | $1.85 - $1.95 |
| $70 | $2.00 - $2.10 | $2.05 - $2.15 |
| Current Market (a) | $2.25 - $2.35 | $2.25 - $2.35 |
| $90 | $2.35 - $2.45 | $2.40 - $2.50 |
| $100 | $2.45 - $2.55 | $2.55 - $2.65 |
| Estimated fuel hedging premium expense per gallon (b) | $0.06 | $0.05 |
| Estimated premium costs (b) | $26 million | $96 million |
(a) Brent crude oil average market prices as of January 20, 2022, were approximately $87 and $84 per barrel for first quarter 2022 and full year 2022, respectively.
(b) Fuel hedging premium expense per gallon is included in the Company's estimated economic fuel price per gallon estimates above.
(c) Based on the Company's existing fuel derivative contracts and market prices as of January 20, 2022, first quarter 2022 economic fuel costs are estimated to be in the $2.25 to $2.35 per gallon range, including fuel hedging premium expense of approximately $26 million, or $0.06 per gallon, and $0.35 per gallon in favorable cash settlements from fuel derivative contracts. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
(d) Based on the Company's existing fuel derivative contracts and market prices as of January 20, 2022, full year 2022 economic fuel costs are estimated to be in the $2.25 to $2.35 per gallon range, including fuel hedging premium expense of approximately $96 million, or $0.05 per gallon, and $0.28 per gallon in favorable cash settlements from fuel derivative contracts. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
(e) The Company's current fuel derivative contracts contain a combination of instruments based in West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") and Brent crude oil; however, the economic fuel price per gallon sensitivities provided, assume the relationship between Brent crude oil and refined products based on market prices as of January 20, 2022. Economic fuel cost projections do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate the hedge accounting impact associated with the volatility of the energy markets, the impact of COVID-19 cases on air travel demand, or the impact to its financial statements in future periods. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
Maintenance materials and repairs expense for 2021 increased by $104 million, or 13.9 percent, compared with 2020. On a per ASM basis, Maintenance materials and repairs expense decreased 9.7 percent, compared with 2020. On a dollar basis, approximately 50 percent of the increase was due to the timing of regular airframe maintenance checks as some costs had previously been deferred while a portion of the fleet was placed into temporary storage during the COVID-19 pandemic. The majority of the remainder of the increase was due to higher engine maintenance expense due to the increase in flight hours.
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Landing fees and airport rentals expense for 2021 increased by $216 million, or 17.4 percent, compared with 2020. On a per ASM basis, Landing fees and airport rentals expense decreased 9.1 percent, compared with 2020. On a dollar basis, approximately 50 percent of the increase was due to higher landing fees from the increased number of Trips flown, and the remainder of the increase was due to an increase in space rental rates at many airports.
Depreciation and amortization expense for 2021 increased by $17 million, or 1.4 percent, compared with 2020. On a per ASM basis, Depreciation and amortization expense decreased 20.7 percent, compared with 2020. On a dollar basis, the majority of the increase was associated with the deployment of new technology assets during 2021.
Other operating expenses for 2021 increased by $468 million, or 24.3 percent, compared with 2020. Included within this line item was aircraft rentals expenses in the amount of $205 million and $209 million for 2021 and 2020, respectively. On a per ASM basis, Other operating expenses decreased 3.2 percent, compared with 2020. On a dollar basis, the increase was primarily due to $222 million in gains from the sale-leaseback of 20 aircraft to third parties in two separate transactions during second quarter 2020, which reduced Other operating expenses in second quarter 2020. Excluding the impact of this 2020 sale-leaseback gain, the increase in Other operating expenses on a dollar basis was primarily due to higher revenue related expenses, including credit card processing charges. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.
Other
Other expenses (income) include interest expense, capitalized interest, interest income, and other gains and losses.
Interest expense for 2021 increased by $118 million, or 33.8 percent, compared with 2020, primarily due to higher debt balances. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.
Capitalized interest for 2021 increased by $1 million, or 2.9 percent, compared with 2020, primarily due to Boeing resuming production of the Company's undelivered MAX aircraft.
Interest income for 2021 decreased by $19 million, or 59.4 percent, compared with 2020, due to lower interest rates.
Other (gains) losses, net, primarily includes amounts recorded as a result of the Company's hedging activities. See Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company's hedging activities. The following table displays the components of Other (gains) losses, net, for 2021 and 2020:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods | $ | (7) | $ | 40 | ||
| Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | 43 | 34 | ||||
| Mark-to-market impact from interest rate swap agreements | — | 28 | ||||
| Mark-to-market gain on deferred compensation plan investment | (33) | — | ||||
| Correction on investment gains related to prior periods | (60) | — | ||||
| Loss on partial extinguishment of convertible notes | 28 | — | ||||
| Post-retirement curtailment charge | — | 53 | ||||
| Other | 7 | 3 | ||||
| $ | (22) | $ | 158 |
Income Taxes
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The Company's annual 2021 effective tax rate was 26.3 percent, compared with 27.8 percent in 2020. The higher tax rate for 2020 was primarily due to the net loss incurred during 2020, resulting in a tax benefit and refund of previously paid taxes, when the Company was subject to a higher federal statutory tax rate, as was allowed under the CARES act.
2020 Compared with 2019
The Company's comparison of 2020 results to 2019 results is included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, under Part II Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
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Reconciliation of Reported Amounts to Non-GAAP Financial Measures (excluding special items) (unaudited) (in millions, except per share amounts and per ASM amounts)
| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | Change | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, unhedged | $ | 3,350 | $ | 1,810 | ||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts designated as hedges | 57 | 64 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge gains included in Fuel and oil expense, net | (97) | (25) | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, as reported | $ | 3,310 | $ | 1,849 | ||||||
| Add: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | 8 | 25 | ||||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | 43 | 34 | ||||||||
| Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | $ | 3,361 | $ | 1,908 | 76.2 | % | ||||
| Total operating expenses, net, as reported | $ | 14,069 | $ | 12,864 | ||||||
| Add: Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | 2,960 | 967 | ||||||||
| Add: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | 8 | 25 | ||||||||
| Add: Interest rate swap agreements terminated in a prior period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | 3 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | 43 | 34 | ||||||||
| Add: Gain from aircraft sale-leaseback transactions | — | 222 | ||||||||
| Deduct: Impairment of long-lived assets | (12) | (32) | ||||||||
| Total operating expenses, excluding special items | $ | 17,071 | $ | 14,080 | 21.2 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense, excluding special items (economic) | (3,361) | (1,908) | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense and special items | $ | 13,710 | $ | 12,172 | 12.6 | % | ||||
| Deduct: Profitsharing expense | (230) | — | ||||||||
| Operating expenses, excluding Fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing | $ | 13,480 | $ | 12,172 | 10.7 | % | ||||
| Operating income (loss), as reported | $ | 1,721 | $ | (3,816) | ||||||
| Deduct: Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | (2,960) | (967) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (8) | (25) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Interest rate swap agreements terminated in a prior period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (3) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | (43) | (34) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Gain from aircraft sale-leaseback transactions | — | (222) | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 12 | 32 | ||||||||
| Operating loss, excluding special items | $ | (1,281) | $ | (5,032) | (74.5) | % | ||||
| Other (gains) losses, net, as reported | $ | (22) | $ | 158 | ||||||
| Add (Deduct): Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods | 7 | (40) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Premium cost of fuel contracts not designated as hedges | (43) | (34) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Mark-to-market impact from interest rate swap agreements | — | (28) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Loss on partial extinguishment of convertible notes | (28) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Post-retirement curtailment charge | — | (53) | ||||||||
| Other (gains) losses, net, excluding special items | $ | (86) | $ | 3 | n.m. |
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| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | Change | ||||||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes, as reported | $ | 1,325 | $ | (4,256) | ||||||
| Deduct: Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | (2,960) | (967) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (8) | (25) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Interest rate swap agreements terminated in a prior period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (3) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Gain from aircraft sale-leaseback transactions | — | (222) | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 12 | 32 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods (a) | (7) | 40 | ||||||||
| Add: Mark-to-market impact from interest rate swap agreements | — | 28 | ||||||||
| Add: Loss on partial extinguishment of convertible notes | 28 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Post-retirement curtailment charge | — | 53 | ||||||||
| Loss before income taxes, excluding special items | $ | (1,613) | $ | (5,317) | (69.7) | % |
| Provision (benefit) for income taxes, as reported | $ | 348 | $ | (1,182) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deduct: Net income (loss) tax impact of fuel and special items (b) | (690) | (376) | ||||||||
| Deduct: GAAP to Non-GAAP tax rate difference (c) | — | (247) | ||||||||
| Benefit for income taxes, net, excluding special items | $ | (342) | $ | (1,805) | (81.1) | % | ||||
| Net income (loss), as reported | $ | 977 | $ | (3,074) | ||||||
| Deduct: Payroll support and voluntary Employee programs, net | (2,960) | (967) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Fuel hedge contracts settling in the current period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (8) | (25) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Interest rate swap agreements terminated in a prior period, but for which losses were reclassified from AOCI (a) | (3) | — | ||||||||
| Deduct: Gain from aircraft sale-leaseback transactions | — | (222) | ||||||||
| Add: Impairment of long-lived assets | 12 | 32 | ||||||||
| Add (Deduct): Mark-to-market impact from fuel contracts settling in current and future periods (a) | (7) | 40 | ||||||||
| Add: Mark-to-market impact from interest rate swap agreements | — | 28 | ||||||||
| Add: Loss on partial extinguishment of convertible notes | 28 | — | ||||||||
| Add: Post-retirement curtailment charge | — | 53 | ||||||||
| Add: Net income (loss) tax impact of special items (b) | 690 | 376 | ||||||||
| Add: GAAP to Non-GAAP tax rate difference (c) | — | 247 | ||||||||
| Net loss, excluding special items | $ | (1,271) | $ | (3,512) | (63.8) | % | ||||
| Net income (loss) per share, diluted, as reported | $ | 1.61 | $ | (5.44) | ||||||
| Deduct: Impact of special items | (4.80) | (1.83) | ||||||||
| Deduct: Net impact of net income (loss) above from fuel contracts divided by dilutive shares | (0.02) | (0.04) | ||||||||
| Add: Net income (loss) tax impact of special items (b) | 1.12 | 0.66 | ||||||||
| Add: GAAP to Non-GAAP tax rate difference (c) | — | 0.43 | ||||||||
| Deduct: GAAP to Non-GAAP diluted weighted average shares difference (d) | (0.06) | — | ||||||||
| Net loss per share, diluted, excluding special items | $ | (2.15) | $ | (6.22) | (65.4) | % |
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| Year ended December 31, | Percent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | Change | ||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM (cents) | 10.66 | ¢ | 12.43 | ¢ | ||||
| Add: Impact of special items | 2.23 | 1.18 | ||||||
| Deduct: Fuel and oil expense divided by ASMs | (2.51) | (1.84) | ||||||
| Deduct: Profitsharing expense divided by ASMs | (0.17) | — | ||||||
| Operating expenses per ASM, excluding Fuel and oil expense, profitsharing, and special items (cents) | 10.21 | ¢ | 11.77 | ¢ | (13.3) | % |
(a) See Note 11 to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
(b) Tax amounts for each individual special item are calculated at the Company's effective rate for the applicable period and totaled in this line item.
(c) Adjustment related to GAAP and Non-GAAP tax rate differences, primarily due to the Payroll Support being excluded as a special item, and reflecting the anticipated benefit of carrying back full year 2020 projected net losses to claim tax refunds against previous cash taxes paid relating to tax years 2015 through 2019, some of which were at higher rates than the current year.
(d) Adjustment related to GAAP and Non-GAAP diluted weighted average shares difference, due to the Company being in a Net income position on a GAAP basis versus a Net loss position on a Non-GAAP basis for the year ended December 31, 2021. See Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
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Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The Company's Consolidated Financial Statements are prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP"). These GAAP financial statements may include (i) unrealized noncash adjustments and reclassifications, which can be significant, as a result of accounting requirements and elections made under accounting pronouncements relating to derivative instruments and hedging and (ii) other charges and benefits the Company believes are unusual and/or infrequent in nature and thus may make comparisons to its prior or future performance difficult.
As a result, the Company also provides financial information in this filing that was not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to the information prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company provides supplemental non-GAAP financial information (also referred to as "excluding special items"), including results that it refers to as "economic," which the Company's management utilizes to evaluate its ongoing financial performance and the Company believes provides additional insight to investors as supplemental information to its GAAP results. The non-GAAP measures provided that relate to the Company’s performance on an economic fuel cost basis include Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing; Operating loss, non-GAAP; Other (gains) losses, net, non-GAAP; Loss before income taxes, non-GAAP; Benefit for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net loss, non-GAAP; Net loss per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing (cents). The Company's economic Fuel and oil expense results differ from GAAP results in that they only include the actual cash settlements from fuel hedge contracts - all reflected within Fuel and oil expense in the period of settlement. Thus, Fuel and oil expense on an economic basis has historically been utilized by the Company, as well as some of the other airlines that utilize fuel hedging, as it reflects the Company’s actual net cash outlays for fuel during the applicable period, inclusive of settled fuel derivative contracts. Any net premium costs paid related to option contracts that are designated as hedges are reflected as a component of Fuel and oil expense, for both GAAP and non-GAAP (including economic) purposes in the period of contract settlement. The Company believes these economic results provide further insight into the impact of the Company's fuel hedges on its operating performance and liquidity since they exclude the unrealized, noncash adjustments and reclassifications that are recorded in GAAP results in accordance with accounting guidance relating to derivative instruments, and they reflect all cash settlements related to fuel derivative contracts within Fuel and oil expense. This enables the Company's management, as well as investors and analysts, to consistently assess the Company's operating performance on a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter basis after considering all efforts in place to manage fuel expense. However, because these measures are not determined in accordance with GAAP, such measures are susceptible to varying calculations, and not all companies calculate the measures in the same manner. As a result, the aforementioned measures, as presented, may not be directly comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies.
Further information on (i) the Company's fuel hedging program, (ii) the requirements of accounting for derivative instruments, and (iii) the causes of hedge ineffectiveness and/or mark-to-market gains or losses from derivative instruments is included in Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company’s GAAP results in the applicable periods may include other charges or benefits that are also deemed "special items," that the Company believes make its results difficult to compare to prior periods, anticipated future periods, or industry trends. Financial measures identified as non-GAAP (or as excluding special items) have been adjusted to exclude special items. For the periods presented, in addition to the items discussed above, special items include:
1.Proceeds related to the Payroll Support programs, which were used to pay a portion of Employee salaries, wages, and benefits;
2.Charges and adjustments to previously accrued amounts related to the Company's extended leave programs;
3.Adjustments for prior period losses reclassified from AOCI associated with forward-starting interest rate swap agreements that were terminated in prior periods related to 12 -8 aircraft leases;
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4.Gains associated with the sale-leaseback of ten Boeing 737-800 aircraft and ten Boeing -8 aircraft to third parties;
5.A noncash impairment charge related to 20 Boeing 737-700 aircraft that were retired during 2020 and 8 Boeing 737-700 aircraft that were retired in 2021;
6.Unrealized losses related to 12 forward-starting interest rate swap agreements. During 2020, the interest rate swap agreements, which were related to 12 -8 aircraft leases (with deliveries originally scheduled between June 2020 and September 2020), were de-designated as hedges due to the scheduled delivery range no longer being probable, resulting in the mark-to-market changes being recorded to earnings;
7.Losses associated with the partial extinguishment of the Company's convertible notes; and
8.A post-retirement curtailment charge related to Employees who accepted Voluntary Separation Program 2020 and elected to participate in the Company's retiree medical benefits plan.
Because management believes special items can distort the trends associated with the Company’s ongoing performance as an airline, the Company believes that evaluation of its financial performance can be enhanced by a supplemental presentation of results that exclude the impact of special items in order to enhance consistency and comparativeness with results in prior periods that do not include such items and as a basis for evaluating operating results in future periods. The following measures are often provided, excluding special items, and utilized by the Company’s management, analysts, and investors to enhance comparability of year-over-year results, as well as to industry trends: Fuel and oil expense, non-GAAP; Total operating expenses, non-GAAP; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense; Operating expenses, non-GAAP excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing; Operating loss, non-GAAP; Other (gains) losses, net, non-GAAP; Loss before income taxes, non-GAAP; Benefit for income taxes, net, non-GAAP; Net loss, non-GAAP; Net loss per share, diluted, non-GAAP; and Operating expenses per ASM, non-GAAP, excluding Fuel and oil expense and profitsharing (cents).
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
The enormous impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the U.S. travel industry created an urgent liquidity crisis for the entire airline industry, including the Company. However, due to the Company's pre-pandemic low balance sheet leverage, large base of unencumbered assets, and investment-grade credit ratings, the Company was able to quickly access additional liquidity during 2020, as Customer cancellations and ticket refunds spiked and sales and revenues dropped while the Company continued to experience significant fixed operating expenses. See Note 2 and Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the transactions completed and assistance obtained under Payroll Support programs.
Net cash provided by operating activities for 2021 was $2.3 billion, and net cash used in operating activities for 2020 was $1.1 billion. Operating cash inflows are historically primarily derived from ticket sales associated with providing air transportation to Customers. The vast majority of tickets are purchased prior to the day on which travel is provided and, in some cases, several months before the anticipated travel date. Operating cash outflows are related to the recurring expenses of airline operations. Operating cash flows for 2021 included $2.7 billion in Payroll Support program grant proceeds received. The net increase in operating cash flows was also a result of a $591 million increase in Air traffic liability driven by increased ticket sales related to an increase in leisure travel demand. The operating cash flows for 2020 were affected primarily by (i) the initial, most significant, impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, which resulted in a significant drop in travel demand, sales, and revenues, leading to the Company's Net loss (as adjusted for noncash items), and (ii) the Company's funding of its $667 million 2019 profitsharing distribution to Employees in 2020. In 2020, these net decreases in cash from operating activities were partially offset by a $1.6 billion increase in Air traffic liability and by $2.4 billion in Payroll Support program grant proceeds received. The increase in Air traffic liability was due to ticket sales in early 2020 for future travel that have not been flown as a result of the significant number of Customer trip cancellations associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, and growth in Rapid Rewards points earned due to multiple loyalty credit card promotions throughout 2020. Cash flows associated with entering into new fuel derivatives, which are classified as Other, net, operating cash flows, were net outflows of $34 million in 2021 and $129 million in 2020. See Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. Net cash provided by operating activities is primarily used to finance capital expenditures, repay debt, and provide working capital. Historically, the Company has also used net cash provided by operating activities to fund stock repurchases and pay dividends; however these shareholder return activities have been suspended due to restrictions associated with the payroll assistance under the Payroll Support programs and the Company's $1.0 billion amended and restated revolving credit facility (the "Amended A&R Credit Agreement"). See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Net cash used in investing activities for 2021 and 2020 was $1.3 billion and $16 million, respectively. Investing activities in both years included Capital expenditures, and changes in the balance of the Company's short-term and noncurrent investments. During 2020, the Company also raised $815 million from the sale-leaseback of 20 aircraft (see Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more details on the sale-leaseback transactions) and received $428 million of Supplier proceeds, which the Company considers an offset to its aircraft capital expenditures. See Note 17 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. During 2021, Capital expenditures were $505 million, compared with $515 million in the same prior year period. The Company continues to estimate its 2022 capital spending to be approximately $5.0 billion, including approximately $900 million in non-aircraft capital spending. This includes 12 2022 -8 options exercised through February 3, 2022, and assumes the Company exercises all 30 remaining 2022 options. Fleet and other capital investment plans are expected to evolve as the Company continues to manage through the pandemic, and the Company intends to continue evaluating the exercise of its remaining 30 MAX options for 2022 as decision deadlines occur.
Net cash provided by financing activities for 2021 and 2020 was $359 million and $9.7 billion, respectively. During 2021, the Company borrowed $1.1 billion under Payroll Support programs. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. The Company repaid $905 million in debt and finance lease obligations, including the extinguishment of $203 million in principal of its convertible notes for cash payments totaling $293 million during 2021. During 2020, the Company borrowed $13.6 billion, through various transactions, in order to improve its liquidity position as a result of the pandemic. An additional $2.3 billion was raised from a
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public offering of 80.5 million shares of common stock. These financings were partially offset by the full repayment of $3.7 billion borrowed under the Company's Amended and Restated 364-Day Credit Agreement and $1.0 billion drawn under the Company's Amended A&R Credit Agreement. The Company also repurchased $451 million of its outstanding common stock and paid $188 million in cash dividends to Shareholders in 2020 prior to restrictions associated with the payroll assistance under the Payroll Support programs. Additionally, the Company repaid $839 million in other debt and finance lease obligations during 2020.
A discussion of the Company's most significant drivers impacting cash flow for 2019 are included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, under Part II Item 7, Liquidity and Capital Resources.
The Company is a "well-known seasoned issuer" and currently has an effective shelf registration statement registering an indeterminate amount of debt and equity securities for future sales. The Company currently intends to use the proceeds from any future securities sales off this shelf registration statement for general corporate purposes.
The Company has access to $1.0 billion under its Amended A&R Credit Agreement. The Amended A&R Credit Agreement has an accordion feature that would allow the Company, subject to, among other things, the procurement of incremental commitments, to increase the size of the facility to $1.5 billion. Interest on the facility is based on the Company's credit ratings at the time of borrowing. At the Company's current ratings, the interest cost would be LIBOR plus a spread of 200 basis points. The facility contains a financial covenant to maintain total liquidity, as defined in the Amended A&R Credit Agreement, of $1.5 billion at all times under the Amended A&R Credit Agreement; the Company was compliant with this requirement as of December 31, 2021. There were no amounts outstanding under the Amended A&R Credit Agreement as of December 31, 2021.
Although not the case at December 31, 2021 due to the Company's significant financing activities in 2020 and 2021, the Company has historically carried a working capital deficit, in which its current liabilities exceed its current assets. This is common within the airline industry and is primarily due to the nature of the Air traffic liability account, which is related to advance ticket sales, unused funds available to Customers, and loyalty deferred revenue, which are performance obligations for future Customer flights, do not require future settlement in cash, and are mostly nonrefundable. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
The Company believes it has various options available to meet its capital and operating commitments, including unrestricted cash and short-term investments of $15.5 billion as of December 31, 2021, and anticipated future internally generated funds from operations. However, the COVID-19 pandemic continues to evolve and could have a material adverse impact on the Company's ability to meet its capital and operating commitments. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The following discussion includes various short-term and long-term material cash requirements from known contractual and other obligations, but does not include amounts that are contingent on events or other factors that are uncertain or unknown at this time. Given the Company's current liquidity position, available resources, and prevailing outlook, it expects to be able to fulfill both its short-term and long-term material cash requirements. The amounts disclosed are based on various estimates, including estimates regarding the timing of payments, prevailing interest rates, volumes purchased, the occurrence of certain events and other factors. Accordingly, the actual results may vary materially from the amounts discussed herein.
Debt
See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail on the Company's debt and the timing of expected and future principal payments. The Company also has significant future obligations associated with fixed interest payments associated with its debt. As of December 31, 2021, future interest payments associated with its fixed rate debt (excluding interest associated with finance leases) were $343 million in 2022, $301 million in 2023, $271 million in 2024, $217 million in 2025, $163 million in 2026, and $193 million thereafter.
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The Company's Convertible Notes did not meet the criteria to be converted by holders as of the date of the financial statements, and thus are classified as Long-term debt in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2021. If the provisions were met to allow holders to exercise their conversion option on these instruments, all of the remaining convertible notes would be reclassified as a current obligation. Also, the Company has engaged in transactions with certain convertible debt holders to purchase their instruments in private transactions from time to time in cash, and may continue to do so in future periods. The Company considers its prevailing stock price, the trading price of its convertible debt instruments, and its available liquidity in determining how much of these instruments it may attempt to repurchase in such transactions.
Leases
The Company enters into leases for aircraft, airports and other real property, and other types of equipment in the normal course of business. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail.
Aircraft purchase commitments
The Company is required to make cash deposits toward the purchase of aircraft in advance. These deposits are classified as Deposits on flight equipment purchase contracts in the Consolidated Balance Sheet until the aircraft is delivered, at which time deposits previously made are deducted from the final purchase price of aircraft and are reclassified as Flight equipment. See Part I, Item 2 for a complete table of the Company's contractual firm deliveries and options for -7 and -8 aircraft, and Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the financial commitments related to these firm deliveries.
Other
The Company's other material cash requirements primarily consist of outlays associated with normal operating expenses of the airline, including payroll, fuel, airport costs, etc. While many of these expenses are variable in nature, some of the expenditures can be somewhat fixed in the short-term due to the lead-time involved in publishing the Company's flight schedule in advance and providing for resources to be available to operate those schedules.
The Company has a large net deferred tax liability on its Consolidated Balance Sheet. The deferral of income taxes has resulted in a significant benefit to the Company and its liquidity position. Since the Company purchases the majority of the aircraft it acquires, it has been able to utilize accelerated depreciation methods (including bonus depreciation) available under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, in 2021 and in previous years, which has enabled the Company to accelerate cash tax benefits of depreciation. Based on the Company’s scheduled future aircraft deliveries from Boeing and existing tax laws in effect, the Company will continue to accelerate the cash income tax benefits related to aircraft purchases. However, due to the Company's net taxable loss incurred in 2020, and a provision within the CARES Act that allows entities to carry back such 2020 losses to prior periods of up to five years, and claim refunds of federal taxes paid, the Company expects to receive a significant cash tax refund of $472 million associated with this taxable loss from the Internal Revenue Service in the first six months of 2022. See Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. The Company has paid in the past, and will continue to pay in the future, significant cash taxes to the various taxing jurisdictions where it operates. The Company expects to be able to continue to meet such obligations utilizing cash and investments on hand, as well as cash generated from its ongoing operations.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
The Company’s Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company’s significant accounting policies are described in Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires the Company’s management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying footnotes. The Company’s estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience and changes in the business environment. However, actual results may differ from estimates under different conditions, sometimes materially. Critical accounting policies and estimates are defined as those that both (i) are most important to the portrayal of the Company’s financial condition and results and (ii) require management’s most subjective judgments. The Company’s critical accounting policies and estimates are described below.
Revenue Recognition
Tickets sold for Passenger air travel are initially deferred as Air traffic liability. Passenger revenue is recognized and Air traffic liability is reduced when the service is provided (i.e., when the flight takes place). Air traffic liability primarily represents tickets sold for future travel dates, funds that are past flight date and remain unused, but are expected to be used in the future, and the Company’s liability for loyalty benefits that are expected to be redeemed in the future. Air traffic liability typically fluctuates throughout the year based on seasonal travel patterns, fare sale activity, and activity associated with the Company’s loyalty program. See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for information about the Company's revenue recognition policies.
For air travel on Southwest, the amount of tickets that will expire unused, referred to as breakage, are estimated and recognized in Passenger revenue once the scheduled flight date has passed, in proportion to the pattern of rights exercised by the Customer, as per Accounting Standards Codification 606, Revenue From Contracts With Customers. Estimating the amount of tickets that will expire unused involves some level of subjectivity and judgment. The majority of the Company's tickets sold are nonrefundable, although the funds remain reusable, for a period of time, in the form of a flight credit that can be applied towards the purchase of future travel. Flight credits are typically created when a Customer cancels or modifies an existing flight itinerary. These unused flight credits are the primary source of breakage. Breakage estimates are based on historical experience over many years, and the Company has consistently applied this accounting method to estimate revenue from unused tickets at the date of scheduled travel. Fully refundable tickets rarely expire unused.
As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, for all Customer flight credits created or scheduled to expire between March 1 and September 7, 2020 associated with flight cancellations, the Company has extended the expiration date to September 7, 2022. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information regarding these extended flight credits. Since the Company did not have historical data to enable it to accurately estimate the pattern of usage of these extended credits, these credits have been classified as a current liability throughout their history. Due to the significant increase in time allowed by the Company for these Customers to redeem such credits for future travel, the percentage of the extended credits that will ultimately expire unused is currently expected to be lower than the Company’s historical experience with flight credits that were not extended (“normal” flight credits), and this lack of historical experience also impacts the Company's ability to estimate ultimate expirations. Therefore, as a result of the significant volume of these extended credits and the Company's lack of historical experience associated with such extended travel credits, recognition of expected breakage will likely create volatility in certain Passenger revenue metrics through September 2022. For the year ended December 31, 2021, holding other factors constant, a 10 percent change in the Company’s estimate of the amount of these extended credits that will expire unused would have resulted in an immaterial change in Passenger revenues recognized.
Also as a result of changes in observed Customer travel habits and behaviors during 2021, the Company has increased its estimates of “normal” Customer flight credits that are expected to expire unused. Although very little of these funds have yet to reach their expiration dates, Customer redemptions of these "normal" credits have been at a slower rate than the Company’s historical data would suggest for similar credits in periods prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on historical Customer behavior, holding other factors constant, a 10 percent change in the
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Company’s estimate of the amount of "normal" tickets and/or flight credits that will expire unused would have resulted in a $59 million, or less than one percent, change in Passenger revenues recognized for the year ended December 31, 2021.
Observed Customer behavior that differs from historical experience can cause actual ticket breakage to differ significantly from estimates. Assumptions about Customer behavior are reviewed frequently and corresponding adjustments are made to breakage estimates, as needed, when observed behaviors differ from historical experience. Assumptions about Customer behavior can be impacted by several factors including, but not limited to: fare increases, fare sales, changes to the Company's ticketing policies, changes to the Company’s refund, exchange and unused funds policies, seat availability, and economic factors. The Company’s estimation techniques have been consistently applied from year to year; however, as with any estimates, actual ticket breakage may vary from estimated amounts. Given the unprecedented amount of 2020 Customer flight cancellations and the amount of travel funds available to Customers for use through September 2022, the Company expects additional variability in the amount of breakage recorded in future periods, especially as a percentage of revenues, as the estimates of the portion of sold tickets that will expire unused may differ from historical experience and the Company's overall revenues remain below pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels.
Fair Value Measurements and Financial Derivative Instruments
The Company utilizes unobservable (Level 3) inputs in determining the fair value of certain assets and liabilities. At December 31, 2021, these consisted of its fuel derivative option contracts, which were an asset of $696 million. The Company utilizes financial derivative instruments primarily to manage its risk associated with changing jet fuel prices. See "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk" for more information on these risk management activities, Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the Company’s fuel hedging program and financial derivative instruments, and Note 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about fair value measurements.
All derivatives are required to be reflected at fair value and recorded on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. At December 31, 2021, the Company was a party to over 175 separate financial derivative instruments related to its fuel hedging program for future periods. Changes in the fair values of these instruments can vary dramatically based on changes in the underlying commodity prices. For example, during 2021, market "spot" prices for Brent crude oil peaked at a high average daily price of approximately $86 per barrel and hit a low average daily price of approximately $51 per barrel. During 2020, market spot prices ranged from a high average daily price of approximately $69 per barrel to a low average daily price of approximately $19 per barrel. Market price changes can be driven by factors such as supply and demand, inventory levels, weather events, refinery capacity, political agendas, the value of the U.S. dollar, geopolitical events, the extent of the COVID-19 pandemic, and general economic conditions, among other items. Historically, the financial derivative instruments utilized by the Company primarily are a combination of collars, purchased call options, call spreads, put spreads, and fixed price swap agreements.
The Company enters into financial derivative instruments with third party institutions in "over-the-counter" markets. Since the majority of the Company’s financial derivative instruments are not traded on a market exchange, the Company estimates their fair values. Depending on the type of instrument, the values are determined by the use of present value methods or standard option value models with assumptions about commodity prices based on those observed in underlying markets.
The Company determines the fair value of fuel derivative option contracts utilizing an option pricing model based on inputs that are either readily available in public markets, can be derived from information available in publicly quoted markets, or are quoted by its counterparties. In situations where the Company obtains inputs via quotes from its counterparties, it verifies the reasonableness of these quotes via similar quotes from another counterparty as of each date for which financial statements are prepared. The Company has consistently applied these valuation techniques in all periods presented and believes it has obtained the most accurate information available for the types of derivative contracts it holds. Due to the fact that certain inputs used in determining the estimated fair value of its
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option contracts are considered unobservable (primarily implied volatility), the Company has categorized these option contracts as Level 3. Although implied volatility is not directly observable, it is derived primarily from changes in market prices, which are observable. Based on the Company’s portfolio of option contracts as of December 31, 2021, a 10 percent change in implied volatility, holding all other factors constant, would have resulted in a change in the fair value of this portfolio of less than $105 million.
Fair values for financial derivative instruments are estimated prior to the time that the financial derivative instruments settle. However, once settlement of the financial derivative instruments occurs and the hedged jet fuel is purchased and consumed, all values and prices are known and are recognized in the financial statements. Although the Company continues to use a prospective assessment to determine that commodities continue to qualify for hedge accounting in specific locations where the Company hedges, there are no assurances that these commodities will continue to qualify in the future. This is due to the fact that future price changes in these refined products may not be consistent with historical price changes. Increased volatility in these commodity markets for an extended period of time, especially if such volatility were to worsen, could cause the Company to lose hedge accounting altogether for the commodities used in its fuel hedging program. Further, should the anticipated fuel purchases covered by the Company's fuel hedges no longer be probable of occurring, the Company would discontinue hedge accounting. The loss of hedge accounting would create further volatility in the Company’s GAAP financial results.
As discussed in Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, any changes in fair value of cash flow derivatives designated as hedges are offset within AOCI until the period in which the expected future cash flow impacts earnings. Any changes in the fair value of fuel derivatives that do not qualify for hedge accounting are reflected in earnings within Other (gains) losses, net, in the period of the change. Because the Company has extensive historical experience in valuing the derivative instruments it holds, and such experience is continually evaluated against its counterparties each period when such instruments expire and are settled for cash, the Company believes it is unlikely that an independent third party would value the Company’s derivative contracts at a significantly different amount than what is reflected in the Company’s financial statements. In addition, the Company also has bilateral credit provisions in some of its counterparty agreements, which provide for parties (or the Company) to provide cash collateral when the fair value of fuel derivatives with a single party exceeds certain threshold levels. Since this cash collateral is based on the estimated fair value of the Company’s outstanding fuel derivative contracts, this provides further validation to the Company’s estimate of fair values.
Loyalty Accounting
The Company utilizes estimates in the recognition of revenues and liabilities associated with its loyalty program. These estimates primarily include the liability associated with Rapid Rewards loyalty member ("Member") account balances that are expected to be redeemed for travel or other products at a future date. Loyalty account balances include points earned through flights taken, points sold to Customers, or points earned through business partners participating in the loyalty program.
Under the Southwest Rapid Rewards loyalty program, Members earn points for every dollar spent on Southwest base fares. The amount of points earned under the program is based on the fare amount and fare type, with higher fare types (e.g., Business Select) earning more points than lower fare types (e.g., Wanna Get Away). Each fare type is associated with a points earning multiplier, and points for flights are calculated by multiplying the fare amount for the flight by the fare type multiplier. Likewise, the amount of points required to be redeemed for a flight can differ based on the fare type purchased. Under the program, (i) Members are able to redeem their points for every available seat, every day, on every flight, with no blackout dates; and (ii) points do not expire. In addition, Members are able to redeem their points for items other than travel on Southwest Airlines, such as international flights on other airlines, cruises, hotel stays, rental cars, gift cards, event tickets, and more. In addition to earning points for revenue flights and qualifying purchases with Rapid Rewards Partners, Members also have the ability to purchase, gift, and transfer points, as well as the ability to donate points to selected charities.
The Company utilizes the deferred revenue method of accounting for points earned through flights taken in its loyalty program. The Company also sells points and related services to business partners participating in the loyalty program. Liabilities are recorded for the relative standalone selling price of the Rapid Rewards points which are
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awarded each period. The liabilities recorded represent the total number of points expected to be redeemed by Members, regardless of whether the Members may have enough to qualify for a full travel award. At December 31, 2021, the loyalty liabilities were approximately $4.8 billion, including $2.6 billion classified within Air traffic liability and $2.2 billion classified as Air traffic liability – noncurrent.
In order to determine the value of each loyalty point, certain assumptions must be made at the time of measurement, which include an allocation of passenger revenue between the flight and loyalty points earned by passengers, and the fair value of Rapid Rewards points, which are generally based on their redemption value to the Customer. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on determining the estimated fair value of each loyalty point.
The majority of the points sold to business partners are through the Southwest co-branded credit card agreement ("Agreement") with Chase Bank USA, N.A. Consideration received as part of this Agreement is subject to Accounting Standards Codification 606, Revenue From Contracts With Customers. The Agreement has the following multiple elements: travel points to be awarded, use of the Southwest Airlines’ brand and access to Rapid Rewards Member lists, advertising elements, and the Company’s resource team. These elements are combined into two performance obligations, transportation and marketing, and consideration from the Agreement is allocated based on the relative selling price of each performance obligation.
Significant management judgment was used to estimate the selling price of each of the performance obligations in the Agreement at inception, including each time in which the Agreement has been materially amended. The objective is to determine the price at which the Company would transact a sale if the product or service was sold on a stand-alone basis. The Company determines the best estimate of selling price by considering multiple inputs and methods including, but not limited to, the estimated selling price of comparable travel, discounted cash flows, brand value, published selling prices, number of points awarded, and the number of points redeemed. The Company estimates the selling prices and volumes over the term of the Agreement in order to determine the allocation of proceeds to each of the multiple performance obligations. The Company records revenue related to air transportation when the transportation is delivered and revenue related to marketing elements when the performance obligation is satisfied. A one percent increase or decrease in the Company's estimate of the standalone selling prices, implemented as of January 1, 2021, causing a change to the allocation of proceeds to air transportation would not have had a material impact on the Company's Operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2021.
Under its current program, Southwest estimates the portion of loyalty points that will not be redeemed. In estimating the breakage, the Company takes into account the Member’s past behavior, as well as several factors related to the Member’s account that are expected to be indicative of the likelihood of future point redemption. These factors are typically representative of a Member’s level of engagement in the loyalty program. They include, but are not limited to, tenure with the program, points accrued in the program, and points redeemed in the program. The Company believes it has obtained sufficient historical behavioral data to develop a predictive statistical model to analyze the amount of breakage expected for all loyalty points. The Company updates this model at least annually, and applies the new breakage rates effective October 1st each year, or more frequently if required by changes in the business. Changes in the breakage rates applied annually in recent years have not had a material impact on Passenger revenues. For the year ended December 31, 2021, based on actual redemptions of points sold to business partners and earned through flights, a hypothetical one percentage point change in the estimated breakage rate would have resulted in a change to Passenger revenue of approximately $100 million (an increase in breakage would have resulted in an increase in revenue and a decrease in breakage would have resulted in a decrease in revenue). Given that Member behavior will continue to develop as the program matures, the Company expects the current estimates may change in future periods. However, the Company believes its current estimates are reasonable given current facts and circumstances.
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