METLIFE INC (MET)
SIC breadcrumb: Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate > Insurance Carriers > SIC 6311 Life Insurance
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1099219. Latest filing source: 0001099219-26-000013.
Informational only. Descriptive public-record data — not a rating, forecast, or investment advice. See Disclaimer.
At a glance
- Revenue
- 77,084,000,000 USD verified
- Net income
- 3,379,000,000 USD verified
- Assets
- 745,166,000,000 USD verified
- Net margin
- 4.38% computed
- Operating margin
- 7.96% computed
- Revenue YoY
- +8.59% computed
- ROE
- 11.90% computed
Peer & cluster context
Peer comparisons including MET
- Life insurers: peer review · market-risk page
Peer percentile fingerprint
Percentile = share of the N covered peers reporting that ratio whose value is lower (ties counted half); computed among grepcent-covered companies in SIC industry 6311 Life Insurance, not the whole market. A higher percentile means a higher value of the ratio, not a better company. Ratios with fewer than 8 reporting peers are omitted. Latest reported values per company; fiscal periods may differ. Descriptive arithmetic - not a score, rating, or ranking.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 77,084,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-19 |
| Net income | 3,379,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-19 |
| Assets | 745,166,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-19 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-19. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001099219.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 60,787,000,000 | 62,308,000,000 | 67,941,000,000 | 69,620,000,000 | 67,842,000,000 | 68,696,000,000 | 68,770,000,000 | 66,905,000,000 | 70,986,000,000 | 77,084,000,000 |
| Net income | 850,000,000 | 4,010,000,000 | 5,123,000,000 | 5,899,000,000 | 5,407,000,000 | 6,855,000,000 | 5,284,000,000 | 1,578,000,000 | 4,426,000,000 | 3,379,000,000 |
| Operating income | 5,978,000,000 | 5,723,000,000 | 5,996,000,000 | 6,137,000,000 | ||||||
| Diluted EPS | 0.67 | 3.62 | 4.91 | 6.06 | 5.68 | 7.65 | 6.30 | 1.81 | 5.94 | 4.71 |
| Operating cash flow | 14,774,000,000 | 12,283,000,000 | 11,738,000,000 | 13,786,000,000 | 11,639,000,000 | 12,347,000,000 | 13,044,000,000 | 13,721,000,000 | 14,598,000,000 | 17,092,000,000 |
| Dividends paid | 1,736,000,000 | 1,717,000,000 | 1,678,000,000 | 1,643,000,000 | 1,657,000,000 | 1,647,000,000 | 1,598,000,000 | 1,566,000,000 | 1,527,000,000 | 1,509,000,000 |
| Share buybacks | 372,000,000 | 2,927,000,000 | 3,992,000,000 | 2,285,000,000 | 1,151,000,000 | 4,303,000,000 | 3,326,000,000 | 3,103,000,000 | 3,207,000,000 | 2,883,000,000 |
| Assets | 898,764,000,000 | 719,892,000,000 | 687,538,000,000 | 740,463,000,000 | 795,146,000,000 | 759,708,000,000 | 663,072,000,000 | 687,584,000,000 | 677,457,000,000 | 745,166,000,000 |
| Liabilities | 831,062,000,000 | 661,022,000,000 | 634,580,000,000 | 674,081,000,000 | 720,329,000,000 | 691,959,000,000 | 632,947,000,000 | 657,331,000,000 | 649,754,000,000 | 716,245,000,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 67,531,000,000 | 58,676,000,000 | 52,741,000,000 | 66,144,000,000 | 74,558,000,000 | 67,482,000,000 | 29,881,000,000 | 30,015,000,000 | 27,445,000,000 | 28,398,000,000 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 12,651,000,000 | 12,701,000,000 | 15,821,000,000 | 16,598,000,000 | 19,795,000,000 | 20,047,000,000 | 20,195,000,000 | 20,639,000,000 | 20,068,000,000 | 22,032,000,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 1.40% | 6.44% | 7.54% | 8.47% | 7.97% | 9.98% | 7.68% | 2.36% | 6.24% | 4.38% |
| Operating margin | 8.69% | 8.55% | 8.45% | 7.96% | ||||||
| Return on equity | 1.26% | 6.83% | 9.71% | 8.92% | 7.25% | 10.16% | 17.68% | 5.26% | 16.13% | 11.90% |
| Return on assets | 0.09% | 0.56% | 0.75% | 0.80% | 0.68% | 0.90% | 0.80% | 0.23% | 0.65% | 0.45% |
| Liabilities / equity | 12.31 | 11.27 | 12.03 | 10.19 | 9.66 | 10.25 | 21.18 | 21.90 | 23.67 | 25.22 |
Industry Peer Context
Net margin peer context
ROE peer context
ROA peer context
Financial Charts
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: OperatingIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: PaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: PaymentsForRepurchaseOfCommonStock. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsForRepurchaseOfCommonStock.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: Assets. Source concepts: us-gaap:Assets.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: Liabilities. Source concepts: us-gaap:Liabilities.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: StockholdersEquity. Source concepts: us-gaap:StockholdersEquity.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001099219-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue. Source concepts: us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue.
As-reported value updates
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-08-06. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001099219.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | 0.41 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | 0.02 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 0.48 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 15,866,000,000 | 489,000,000 | 0.56 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 19,028,000,000 | 607,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 16,057,000,000 | 867,000,000 | 1.10 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 17,823,000,000 | 946,000,000 | 1.28 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 18,440,000,000 | 1,342,000,000 | 1.81 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 18,666,000,000 | 1,271,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 18,569,000,000 | 945,000,000 | 1.28 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 17,340,000,000 | 729,000,000 | 1.03 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 17,361,000,000 | 896,000,000 | 1.22 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 23,814,000,000 | 809,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 19,074,000,000 | 1,185,000,000 | 1.74 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2026-Q2 | 2026-06-30 | 19,154,000,000 | 736,000,000 | 1.09 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001099219-26-000050; filed 2026-08-06. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001099219-26-000050; filed 2026-08-06. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001099219-26-000050; filed 2026-08-06. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.
Business
Read MET's verbatim Item 1 Business section from its latest 10-K: Business.
Risk Factors
Read MET's verbatim Item 1A Risk Factors from its latest 10-K: Risk Factors.
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0001099219-26-000050.
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Index to Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Page | |
|---|---|
| Forward-Looking Statements and Other Financial Information | 99 |
| Business Overview | 99 |
| Industry Trends | 99 |
| Summary of Critical Accounting Estimates | 101 |
| Acquisitions and Dispositions | 101 |
| Results of Operations | 102 |
| Investments | 118 |
| Derivatives | 135 |
| Liquidity and Capital Resources | 136 |
| Adopted Accounting Pronouncements | 143 |
| Future Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements | 143 |
| Non-GAAP and Other Financial Disclosures | 143 |
| Risk Management | 146 |
| Subsequent Events | 146 |
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Forward-Looking Statements and Other Financial Information
For purposes of this discussion, “MetLife,” the “Company,” “we,” “our” and “us” refer to MetLife, Inc., a Delaware corporation incorporated in 1999, its subsidiaries and affiliates. This discussion should be read in conjunction with MetLife, Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 (the “2025 Annual Report”), the cautionary language regarding forward-looking statements included below, the “Risk Factors” set forth in Part II, Item 1A, and the additional risk factors referred to therein, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” and the Company’s interim condensed consolidated financial statements included elsewhere herein.
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations may contain or incorporate by reference information that includes or is based upon forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. See “Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” for cautionary language regarding forward-looking statements.
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations includes references to our performance measures, adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings available to common shareholders, that are not based on accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”). See “— Non-GAAP and Other Financial Disclosures” for definitions and a discussion of these and other financial measures, and “— Results of Operations” and “— Investments” for reconciliations of historical non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures.
Business Overview
MetLife is one of the world’s leading financial services companies, providing insurance, annuities, employee benefits and asset management. In the fourth quarter of 2025, MetLife executed a reorganization to align with its strategic initiative to accelerate growth in asset management. As part of this reorganization, the Company adjusted its segment structure. MetLife Investment Management, the Company’s institutional asset management business (“MIM”), which was previously reported in Corporate & Other, became a reportable segment. MetLife Holdings was removed as a reportable segment, and its business is now primarily reported in Corporate & Other. Additionally, certain products formerly reported in MetLife Holdings were moved to Group Benefits and Retirement and Income Solutions (“RIS”). These changes were applied retrospectively for all periods presented, did not have an impact on prior period consolidated net income (loss) or consolidated adjusted earnings, and are collectively referred to as the “Strategic Reorganization.” As a result of the Strategic Reorganization, MetLife is organized into the following six segments: Group Benefits; RIS; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa (“EMEA”); and MIM. In addition, the Company continues to report certain of its results of operations in Corporate & Other. See “Business — Segments and Corporate & Other” included in the 2025 Annual Report and Notes 1 and 2 of the Notes to the Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company’s segments and Corporate & Other and the Strategic Reorganization.
Industry Trends
We continue to be impacted by the changing global financial and economic environment that has been affecting the industry.
Financial and Economic Environment
Our business and results of operations are materially affected by conditions in the global financial markets and the economy generally due to our market presence in numerous countries, our large investment portfolio and the sensitivity of our insurance liabilities and derivatives to changing market factors.
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Governments and central banks around the world use fiscal and monetary policies to address uncertain economic conditions. In the United States (“U.S.”), the Federal Open Market Committee took various actions in 2025 to promote employment and combat inflation, including lowering interest rates in the second half of the year and ending the process of quantitative tightening. While rates have remained steady in 2026, labor market conditions, inflation, and financial and international developments, as well as other factors, could result in policy adjustments later this year. Other central banks have recently diverged on monetary policies, with some raising rates while others have held rates steady, reflecting differing local economic conditions and views on the impact of the foregoing factors. We are closely monitoring these and other political and economic conditions that might contribute to global market volatility and impact our business operations, investment portfolio, value of our assets under management (“AUM”), and derivatives, such as global inflation, supply chain disruptions, acts of war, banking sector volatility and employment and work policies of the U.S. federal government. We are also monitoring the imposition of tariffs, sanctions or other barriers to international trade, changes to international trade agreements, and their potential impacts on our business, results of operations and financial condition. See “— Investments — Current Environment,” as well as “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Industry Trends — Impact of Market Interest Rates — Effects of Inflation” in the 2025 Annual Report.
Impact of Market Interest Rates
Market interest rates are a key driver of our results. Increases and decreases in such rates, as well as extended periods of stagnation, may impact our business and investments in various ways. In our institutional asset management business, interest rate movements, as well as other changes to market factors such as credit spreads and equity prices, can impact the value of the AUM on which fees are earned. For a discussion of the potential impact of low and rising interest rates, and inflation, as well as management actions taken in response to the changing U.S. interest rate environment, see “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Industry Trends — Impact of Market Interest Rates” and “Risk Factors — Economic Environment and Capital Markets Risks” included in the 2025 Annual Report.
Competitive Pressures
The life insurance and institutional asset management industries are highly competitive. See “Business — Competition,” “Business — Regulation,” “Risk Factors — Business Risks — We May Face Competition for Business,” “Risk Factors — Economic Environment and Capital Markets Risks — We May Face Difficult Economic Conditions” and “Risk Factors — Regulatory and Legal Risks — Changes in Laws or Regulation, or in Supervisory and Enforcement Policies, May Reduce Our Profitability, Limit Our Growth, or Otherwise Adversely Affect Us” in the 2025 Annual Report.
Regulatory Developments
The following discussion on regulatory developments should be read in conjunction with “Business — Regulation” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Industry Trends — Regulatory Developments” included in the 2025 Annual Report, as amended or supplemented here.
Standards of Conduct, ERISA, Fiduciary Considerations, and Other Pension and Retirement Regulation
In 2021, the U.S. Department of Labor’s (“DOL”) final version of the prohibited transaction exemption (“PTE”) 2020-02 went into effect, which allows investment advice fiduciaries to receive compensation without violating the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (“ERISA”), subject to impartial conduct standards and disclosure obligations aligned with U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rules. In the preamble to PTE 2020-02, the DOL also provided its interpretation of the five-part test used to determine whether a person is acting as an ERISA investment advice fiduciary. In April 2024, the DOL finalized and published a regulation to change the definition of “fiduciary” for purposes of ERISA and parallel provisions of the Code, when a financial professional, including an insurance producer, provides investment advice, and to amend various existing PTEs that financial professionals rely on when making recommendations.
Shortly thereafter, litigation commenced challenging these changes and two federal district courts have since issued orders vacating the 2024 definition of an investment advice fiduciary and vacating the associated 2024 PTE amendments. Both of these orders were unopposed by the DOL. In light of the litigation, the DOL released a final rule vacating (i) the preamble to PTE 2020-02 (while leaving the original PTE intact) and (ii) its 2024 changes to the definition of an investment advice fiduciary as well as its associated 2024 changes to various PTEs. As a result, the DOL has officially reinstated the original 1975 five-part regulatory test defining an investment advice fiduciary.
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Summary of Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to adopt accounting policies and make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported on the interim condensed consolidated financial statements. The most critical estimates include those used in determining:
(i)future policy benefit liabilities, market risk benefits (“MRBs”) and reinsurance recoverables;
(ii)estimated fair values of investments in the absence of quoted market values;
(iii)investment allowance for credit loss (“ACL”) and impairments;
(iv)estimated fair values of freestanding derivatives;
(v)measurement of goodwill and related impairment;
(vi)measurement of employee benefit plan liabilities;
(vii)measurement of income taxes and the valuation of deferred tax assets; and
(viii)liabilities for litigation and regulatory matters.
In addition, the application of acquisition accounting requires the use of estimation techniques in determining the estimated fair values of assets acquired and liabilities assumed. In applying these policies and estimates, management makes subjective and complex judgments that frequently require assumptions about matters that are inherently uncertain. Many of these policies, estimates and related judgments are common in the insurance and financial services industries; others are specific to our business and operations. Actual results could differ from these estimates.
The Company’s critical accounting estimates are described in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Summary of Critical Accounting Estimates” and Note 1 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in the 2025 Annual Report.
Acquisitions and Dispositions
Acquisitions
Acquisition of PineBridge Investments
For information regarding the Company’s acquisition of PineBridge Investments (“PineBridge”), a global asset manager, see Note 3 of the Notes to the Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
Dispositions
Pending Disposition
[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A (excerpt)
Latest 10-K Item 7 source: 0001099219-26-000013. The complete FY 2025 MD&A is published at /company/MET/mda/fy2025/.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Index to Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
| Page | |
|---|---|
| Forward-Looking Statements and Other Financial Information | 47 |
| Business Overview | 47 |
| Consolidated Company Outlook | 47 |
| Industry Trends | 48 |
| Summary of Critical Accounting Estimates | 53 |
| Acquisitions and Dispositions | 61 |
| Results of Operations | 62 |
| Investments | 88 |
| Derivatives | 106 |
| Liquidity and Capital Resources | 106 |
| Adopted Accounting Pronouncements | 118 |
| Future Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements | 118 |
| Non-GAAP and Other Financial Disclosures | 119 |
| Risk Management | 123 |
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Forward-Looking Statements and Other Financial Information
For purposes of this discussion, “MetLife,” the “Company,” “we,” “our” and “us” refer to MetLife, Inc., a Delaware corporation incorporated in 1999, its subsidiaries and affiliates. This discussion should be read in conjunction with “Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements,” “Risk Factors,” “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” and the Company’s consolidated financial statements included elsewhere herein.
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations may contain or incorporate by reference information that includes or is based upon forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. See “Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” for cautionary language regarding forward-looking statements.
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations includes references to our performance measures, adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings available to common shareholders, that are not based on GAAP. See “— Non-GAAP and Other Financial Disclosures” for definitions and a discussion of these and other financial measures, and “— Results of Operations” and “— Investments” for reconciliations of historical non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures.
Business Overview
MetLife is one of the world’s leading financial services companies, providing insurance, annuities, employee benefits and asset management. In the fourth quarter of 2025, MetLife completed the Strategic Reorganization. As a result, MetLife is organized into the following six segments: Group Benefits; RIS; Asia; Latin America; EMEA; and MIM. In addition, the Company continues to report certain of its results of operations in Corporate & Other. See “Business — Segments and Corporate & Other” and Note 2 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company’s segments and Corporate & Other.
Consolidated Company Outlook
Our outlook reflects continued uncertainty around inflation and unemployment in 2026. We expect the U.S. dollar to remain relatively stable in 2026 compared to 2025.
Based on the forward yield curve as of December 31, 2025, we expect long-term interest rates to moderately rise in 2026 with the yield curve steepening, as short-term interest rates decline. We believe that our investment portfolio is highly diversified and positioned to perform well in a variety of economic scenarios. See “— Industry Trends — Impact of Market Interest Rates” for discussion of the mitigating actions the Company has taken to reduce interest rate sensitivity, as market interest rates are a key driver of our results.
As of December 31, 2025, we had $3.6 billion of cash and liquid assets at the holding companies which is within our $3.0 billion to $4.0 billion holding company cash target. In 2026, we expect to maintain this holding company cash target. We also returned a total of approximately $4.4 billion to shareholders in 2025, and we remain on track to generate approximately $25.0 billion in free cash flow over the five-year period of 2025 to 2029.
Our continued capital stress testing and longstanding commitment to liquidity position us to withstand a variety of economic conditions. We do not expect any material liquidity deficiencies, and we expect to remain able to comply with the financial covenants of our credit agreements. See “— Liquidity and Capital Resources.” We will continue reviewing accounting estimates, asset valuations and various financial scenarios for capital and liquidity implications. See “— Investments — Current Environment” and “Risk Factors” for additional information.
Assuming (i) interest rates follow the observable forward yield curves as of December 31, 2025, including a 10-year U.S. Treasury rate of 4.40% at December 31, 2026, (ii) S&P 500 equity index annual return of 5%, and (iii) private equity annual returns of 9% in 2026 which would contribute to $1.6 billion (pre-tax) of total estimated variable investment income for full year 2026; we expect to maintain the two-year average annual ratio of free cash flow to adjusted earnings, excluding total notable items, at 65% to 75%.
Further, based on the aforementioned assumptions, we are maintaining our near-term annual targets for (i) adjusted return on equity, excluding total notable items, of 15%-17%, and (ii) double-digit adjusted earnings per share growth, excluding total notable items.
Based on our continued focus on expense discipline and our overall efficiency mindset, we are committed to achieving a direct expense ratio target, excluding total notable items related to direct expenses and pension risk transfers, of (i) 12.1% for 2026 and (ii) 11.3% in 2029.
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Furthermore, we also remain fully committed to our New Frontier strategy, which was introduced at our December 2024 Investor Day.
Our outlook relies on the accuracy of our assumptions about future economic and business conditions, which can be affected by known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. We continually review our assumptions, implement mitigation plans, and take precautions. We may revise our outlook as we obtain more information regarding economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other events, and the impact of these events on our business operations, investment portfolio, derivatives, financial results and financial condition.
Industry Trends
We continue to be impacted by the changing global financial and economic environment that has been affecting the industry.
Financial and Economic Environment
Our business and results of operations are materially affected by conditions in the global financial markets and the economy generally due to our market presence in numerous countries, our large investment portfolio and the sensitivity of our insurance liabilities and derivatives to changing market factors.
Governments and central banks around the world use fiscal and monetary policies to address uncertain economic conditions. In the U.S., the Federal Open Market Committee took various actions in 2025 to promote employment and combat inflation, including lowering interest rates in the second half of the year and ending the process of quantitative tightening. Future policy adjustments in 2026 could be affected by labor market conditions, inflation, and financial and international developments, as well as other factors. Other central banks have recently diverged on monetary policies, reflecting differing local economic conditions and views on the impact of the foregoing factors. We are closely monitoring these and other political and economic conditions that might contribute to global market volatility and impact our business operations, investment portfolio, value of our AUM, and derivatives, such as global inflation, supply chain disruptions, acts of war, banking sector volatility and employment and work policies of the federal government. We are also monitoring the imposition of tariffs, sanctions or other barriers to international trade, changes to international trade agreements, and their potential impacts on our business, results of operations and financial condition. See “— Impact of Market Interest Rates — Effects of Inflation,” and “— Investments — Current Environment.”
Impact of Market Interest Rates
Market interest rates are a key driver of our results. Increases and decreases in such rates, as well as extended periods of stagnation, may impact our business and investments in various ways. In our institutional asset management business, interest rate movements, as well as other changes to market factors such as credit spreads and equity prices, can impact the value of the AUM on which fees are earned.
Effects of Inflation
Management believes that while inflation has not had a material effect on the Company’s consolidated results of operations, except insofar as inflation may affect interest rates, both rising interest rates and inflation will have a neutral to modestly favorable impact on our business. We expect that a lower interest rate environment, however, will have a modestly unfavorable impact on our business. See “— Impact of a Rising Interest Rate Environment,” “— Impact of a Sustained Low Interest Rate Environment,” and “— Interest Rate Scenarios.”
An increase in inflation could affect our business in several ways. In our group life and disability businesses, premiums increase as compensation levels of our customers’ employees increase. For example, during inflationary periods with rising interest rates, the value of fixed income investments falls which could increase realized and unrealized losses, resulting in additional deferred tax assets that may not be realizable. Inflation also increases expenses for labor and other costs, potentially putting pressure on profitability if such costs cannot be passed through in our product prices. Prolonged and elevated inflation could adversely affect the financial markets and the economy generally, and dispelling it may require governments to pursue a restrictive fiscal and monetary policy, which could constrain overall economic activity, inhibit revenue growth and reduce the number of attractive investment opportunities.
Impact of a Sustained Low Interest Rate Environment
Sustained periods of low U.S. interest rates may cause us to:
•Reduce the difference between interest credited to policyholders and interest earned on supporting assets (“gross margin”);
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•Reinvest investment proceeds in lower yielding assets and experience higher frequency prepayment or redemption of assets in our portfolio;
•Increase our reserves related to policy liabilities and potentially impair intangible assets;
•Reduce interest expense, change pension and other post-retirement benefit calculations, and change derivative cash flows and market values;
•Change our product offerings, design features, crediting rates and sales mix; and
•Experience changing policyholder behavior, including surrender or withdrawal activity.
For additional discussion on gross margin and interest rate assumptions, as well as the potential impact of low interest rates, see “— Results of Operations — Consolidated Results — Year Ended December 31, 2025 Compared with the Year Ended December 31, 2024 — Actuarial Assumption Review”; “Risk Factors — Economic Environment and Capital Markets Risks — We May Face Difficult Economic Conditions — Interest Rate Risks”; “Risk Factors — Business Risks — We May Be Required to Impair VODA, VOBA, or VOCRA”; “Risk Factors — Business Risks — We May Be Required to Recognize an Impairment of Our Goodwill or Other Long-Lived Assets or to Establish a Valuation Allowance Against Our Deferred Income Tax Assets”; and “Risk Factors — Business Risks — We May Face Volatility, Higher Risk Management Costs, and Increased Counterparty Risk Due to Guarantees Within Certain of Our Products.”
Impact of a Rising Interest Rate Environment
Periods of rising U.S. interest rates may cause us to:
•Reinves
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MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. Each year's full verbatim text is on its own sub-page.