PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORP (PNW)
SIC breadcrumb: Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services > Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services > SIC 4911 Electric Services
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=764622. Latest filing source: 0000764622-26-000011.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5,339,939,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
| Net income | 631,643,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
| Assets | 30,031,599,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-25. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000764622.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,498,682,000 | 3,565,296,000 | 3,691,247,000 | 3,471,209,000 | 3,586,982,000 | 3,803,835,000 | 4,324,385,000 | 4,695,991,000 | 5,124,915,000 | 5,339,939,000 |
| Net income | 461,527,000 | 507,949,000 | 530,540,000 | 557,813,000 | 570,052,000 | 635,944,000 | 500,826,000 | 518,781,000 | 626,030,000 | 631,643,000 |
| Operating income | 835,611,000 | 909,763,000 | 773,687,000 | 671,960,000 | 788,152,000 | 805,310,000 | 731,911,000 | 824,640,000 | 1,012,063,000 | 1,067,630,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 3.95 | 4.35 | 4.54 | 4.77 | 4.87 | 5.47 | 4.26 | 4.41 | 5.24 | 5.05 |
| Operating cash flow | 1,023,390,000 | 1,118,036,000 | 1,277,144,000 | 956,726,000 | 966,365,000 | 860,014,000 | 1,241,441,000 | 1,207,697,000 | 1,609,823,000 | 1,805,095,000 |
| Capital expenditures | 1,275,472,000 | 1,408,774,000 | 1,178,169,000 | 1,191,447,000 | 1,326,584,000 | 1,473,475,000 | 1,707,490,000 | 1,846,370,000 | 2,249,195,000 | 2,624,618,000 |
| Dividends paid | 274,229,000 | 289,793,000 | 308,892,000 | 329,643,000 | 350,577,000 | 369,478,000 | 378,881,000 | 386,486,000 | 394,663,000 | 422,792,000 |
| Assets | 16,004,253,000 | 17,019,082,000 | 17,664,202,000 | 18,479,247,000 | 20,020,421,000 | 22,003,222,000 | 22,723,405,000 | 24,661,153,000 | 26,102,760,000 | 30,031,599,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 4,803,622,000 | 5,006,690,000 | 5,222,915,000 | 5,430,648,000 | 5,633,503,000 | 5,906,200,000 | 6,048,647,000 | 6,177,664,000 | 6,754,311,000 | 7,046,458,000 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 8,881,000 | 13,892,000 | 5,766,000 | 10,283,000 | 59,968,000 | 9,969,000 | 4,832,000 | 4,955,000 | 3,838,000 | 6,604,000 |
| Free cash flow | -252,082,000 | -290,738,000 | 98,975,000 | -234,721,000 | -360,219,000 | -613,461,000 | -466,049,000 | -638,673,000 | -639,372,000 | -819,523,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 13.19% | 14.25% | 14.37% | 16.07% | 15.89% | 16.72% | 11.58% | 11.05% | 12.22% | 11.83% |
| Operating margin | 23.88% | 25.52% | 20.96% | 19.36% | 21.97% | 21.17% | 16.93% | 17.56% | 19.75% | 19.99% |
| Return on equity | 9.61% | 10.15% | 10.16% | 10.27% | 10.12% | 10.77% | 8.28% | 8.40% | 9.27% | 8.96% |
| Return on assets | 2.88% | 2.98% | 3.00% | 3.02% | 2.85% | 2.89% | 2.20% | 2.10% | 2.40% | 2.10% |
| Current ratio | 0.64 | 0.85 | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.99 | 0.67 | 0.59 | 0.54 |
Financial Charts
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-05-04. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000764622.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q2 | 2022-06-30 | 1.45 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | 2.88 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | -0.03 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 1,121,703,000 | 110,969,000 | 0.94 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 1,637,759,000 | 402,520,000 | 3.50 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 991,574,000 | 4,283,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 951,712,000 | 21,168,000 | 0.15 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 1,308,994,000 | 208,111,000 | 1.76 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 1,768,801,000 | 399,272,000 | 3.37 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 1,095,408,000 | -2,521,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 1,032,280,000 | -338,000 | -0.04 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 1,358,751,000 | 196,870,000 | 1.58 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 1,820,741,000 | 417,514,000 | 3.39 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 1,128,167,000 | 17,597,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 1,149,597,000 | 35,114,000 | 0.27 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0000764622-26-000025.
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
INTRODUCTION
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Pinnacle West’s Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and APS’s Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and the related Combined Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements (“Notes”) that appear in Item 1 of this report. For information on factors that may cause our actual future results to differ from those we currently seek or anticipate, see “Forward-Looking Statements” at the front of this report and “Risk Factors” in Part 1, Item 1A of the 2025 Form 10-K and Part II, Item 1A of this report.
OVERVIEW
Business Overview
Pinnacle West is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona with consolidated assets of approximately $31 billion. We derive essentially all of our revenues and earnings from our principal subsidiary, APS. Since 1886, APS and its affiliates have provided energy and energy-related products to people and businesses throughout Arizona. APS is Arizona’s largest and longest-serving electric company and generates safe, affordable and reliable electricity for approximately 1.5 million retail customers in 11 of Arizona’s 15 counties. APS is also the operator and co-owner of Palo Verde — a primary source of electricity for the southwestern United States. Our other active subsidiaries are El Dorado and PNW Power.
Strategic Overview
Our vision is to create a sustainable energy future for Arizona. Our mission is to serve customers with safe, reliable, and affordable energy. We are committed to delivering operational excellence at the lowest cost possible while aspiring to lower carbon emissions over time.
Reliable
As energy demand in Arizona continues to grow, we remain committed to delivering reliable service to our customers. We have a goal of achieving top quartile reliability as compared to peers. Key elements to delivering reliable service include resource and transmission planning to maintain resource adequacy, distribution automation and resiliency investments, predictive and preventative maintenance programs, seasonal readiness programs, emergency preparedness, and securing a reliable supply chain. Securing a reliable grid requires ongoing infrastructure investments in addition to investments to support new customer growth.
Balanced Energy Mix. APS strives to procure a balanced energy mix, and we believe this provides the greatest reliability at the lowest cost possible while increasing resiliency. We achieve reliability, in part, through a blend of dispatchable resources, such as natural gas and battery storage, that can provide energy when intermittent resources, such as wind and solar, are unavailable. APS regularly evaluates the best mix of resources based on a changing operating environment, including changes in generation technology, economics, and policy impacts.
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Additional natural gas capacity is necessary to support reliable service and meet increasing energy needs. However, existing natural gas pipelines into Arizona are currently committed. As a result, in July 2025, APS executed a gas transportation precedent agreement to secure a long-term supply of natural gas. The new pipeline is expected to be operational by late 2029 and will be owned and operated by a third-party. APS plans to add up to 2,000 MW of flexible natural gas generation to its portfolio, designed to help meet the growing around-the-clock energy needs in Arizona. APS continues to explore additional development opportunities to meet Arizona’s growing needs.
Palo Verde, one of the nation’s largest carbon-free energy resources, serves as a foundational part of APS’s resource portfolio. The plant is a critical asset to the Southwest, generating more than 32 million MWh – enough power for roughly 3.4 million households, or approximately 8.5 million people. Its continued operation is important to a carbon-neutral future for Arizona and the region, as a reliable, continuous, affordable resource and as a large contributor to the local economy. APS owns or leases 29.1% of Units 1, 2, and 3 Palo Verde. In June 2025, APS entered into agreements to purchase two of the three leased interests in Unit 2. The two subject leased interests represented approximately 7% or 94 MW of Unit 2. The transaction closed in September 2025, leaving one remaining lease for approximately 5.2% of Unit 2 that expires in 2033. See Note 9 for more information. The 2025 Rate Case includes pro forma adjustments to account for these acquisitions.
In March 2026, APS announced its intention to renew the operating licenses for all three units at Palo Verde, which would extend operations from the mid-2040s through the mid-2060s. APS continues to evaluate and pursue options for reliably serving growing customer energy needs and demand.
Wildfire Efforts. Wildfire safety remains a critical focus for APS and other utilities. APS has increased investment in fire mitigation efforts to clear defensible space around its infrastructure, continue ongoing system upgrades, build partnerships with government entities and first responders, and educate customers and communities. APS also increased spend on grid technology to enable fast-trip relay response, also known as Enhanced Powerline Safety Settings. These programs contribute to customer reliability, fire ignition avoidance, responsible forest management, and safe communities. With wildfire events occurring across the U.S. and North America over the last few years, APS has been devoting and intends to continue to devote substantial efforts to analyzing and developing enhancements to its systems and processes to mitigate fire risk within its service territory and communities, including by hardening our infrastructure, deploying new technologies where appropriate, increasing situational awareness, implementing operational changes, and enhancing our wildfire response capabilities.
APS uses fire modeling software to identify and calculate risk and target future system improvement investments such as fire-resistant pole wrapping, wood to steel pole conversions, and additional remote-controllable field devices like reclosers and switches. In 2024, APS began installing a system of artificial intelligence-based fire sensing cameras with the ability to detect and alert on fire ignitions. These alerts are sent both to APS and fire response dispatch centers to speed fire response in APS’s service territory regardless of the cause of the fire. APS also implemented a public safety power shutoff (“PSPS”) program on certain feeders that began in the 2024 fire season, leveraging the additional real-time analysis provided by the modeling software. APS has educated and will continue education outreach to customers and communities that may potentially be impacted by the PSPS program.
APS was selected by DOE’s Grid Deployment Office (“GDO”) to receive up to $70 million in federal money for fire mitigation and grid infrastructure projects. This funding is part of the GDO’s Grid Resilience and Innovation Partnership Program and is contingent on APS negotiating and executing final grant agreements with GDO. Additionally, on May 12, 2025, Arizona Governor Hobbs signed into law a
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bill that requires Arizona electric utilities to develop and seek approval for wildfire mitigation plans and defines the standard of care with respect to wildfire-related claims by reference to such plans. Pursuant to that legislation, APS has submitted its Comprehensive Wildfire Mitigation Plan to the Arizona Department of Forestry and Fire Management for review and approval. APS anticipates that process will conclude sometime in the second quarter of 2026; however, APS cannot predict the outcome of this matter. APS continues to evaluate policy and regulatory options, as well as insurance programs, to mitigate the impact of wildfire events.
Affordable
We are committed to keeping bills as low as possible for our customers while maintaining high levels of reliability. Inflation has dramatically impacted the cost of goods and services in recent years as shown by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (“CPI-U”), which from 2018 through 2024 rose nationally 24.9% and 32.1% in Phoenix. Despite this, APS’s average residential rates remained well-below those inflation figures, rising 16.2% for the same period according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Inflation has moderated from earlier highs, with CPI-U rising 2.4% nationally and 1.7% in Phoenix over the 12 months ended February 2026. As a result of increased tariffs and supply chain constraints, APS amended several of its agreements from its ASRFP issued in 2023 to mitigate these cost impacts. However, APS remains cautious of potential price increases as a result of the ongoing Iranian conflict and current and proposed tariffs, which could lead to higher costs and supply chain constraints, while also continuing to monitor the outcome of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision regarding the validity of certain tariffs and any other related executive or legislative action.
APS’s customer affordability initiative includes internal opportunities, such as training and mentoring employees on identifying efficiency opportunities; maintaining inventory to take advantage of lower pricing and avoid expediting fees; entering into long-term contracts to hedge against price volatility, which has allowed APS to mitigate against procurement spend on critical items such as transformers; and implementing automation technologies to enhance efficiencies and increase data-oriented decision making. The customer affordability initiative also includes external opportunities, including a portfolio of customer programs designed to help customers reduce and manage their bills. In the 2025 Rate Case, APS is also seeking to reduce cross-subsidization of customer classes and ensure that growth pays for growth by requesting modifications to its cost allocation methodologies. APS continues to seek opportunities to streamline its business processes, mitigate cost increases, increase employee retention, and improve customer satisfaction.
APS’s IRP and competitive ASRFP processes serve important roles in providing reliable and affordable energy to APS’s customers. The IRP process helps identify the amount and type of resources required to reliably meet customer needs, while the ASRFP process seeks to meet those needs in a competitive manner based on cost, ability to meet system requirements, and commercial viability.
APS has seen increasing demand from large load customers in recent years. In the 2025 Rate Case, APS requested adjustments to rate designs and modification of cost allocation methodologies to ensure growth pays for growth and reduce cross-subsidization by customer classes. In line with the 2025 Rate Case, APS has developed an approach it believes will allow for these large load customers to fund the incremental infrastructure needed to serve them through long-term contracts where they cover capital costs and assume development risks, accelerating their path to service and ensuring those infrastructure costs are borne by those customers rather than residential or small business customers.
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There are also external opportunities that allow APS to deliver more affordable energy to customers, such as APS’s participation in western energy markets and programs. APS participated in market design and tariff development of Markets+, a day-ahead and real-time market offering from the Southwest Power Pool. The Markets+ tariff was filed with FERC on March 29, 2024 and was approved on January 16, 2025. APS is a funding party to the implementation phase of Markets+ and expects to go live in the market in October 2027. In addition, APS is participating in the Western Resource Adequacy
[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
INTRODUCTION
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Financial Statements and APS’s Consolidated Financial Statements and the related Notes that appear in Item 8 of this report. This discussion provides a comparison of the 2025 results with 2024 results. For the discussion of 2024 compared to 2023, see Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of Pinnacle West Capital Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, which specific discussion is incorporated herein by reference. For information on factors that may cause our actual future results to differ from those we currently seek or anticipate, see “Forward-Looking Statements” at the front of this report and “Risk Factors” in Item 1A.
OVERVIEW
Business Overview
Pinnacle West is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona with consolidated assets of approximately $30 billion. We derive essentially all of our revenues and earnings from our principal subsidiary, APS. Since 1886, APS and its affiliates have provided energy and energy-related products to people and businesses throughout Arizona. APS is Arizona’s largest and longest-serving electric company and generates safe, affordable and reliable electricity for approximately 1.4 million retail customers in 11 of Arizona’s 15 counties. APS is also the operator and co-owner of Palo Verde — a primary source of electricity for the southwestern United States. Our other active subsidiaries are El Dorado and PNW Power.
Strategic Overview
Our vision is to create a sustainable energy future for Arizona. Our mission is to serve customers with safe, reliable, and affordable energy. We are committed to delivering operational excellence at the lowest cost possible while aspiring to lower carbon emissions over time.
Reliable
As energy demand in Arizona continues to grow, we remain committed to delivering reliable service to our customers. We have a goal of achieving top quartile reliability as compared to peers. Key elements to delivering reliable service include resource and transmission planning to secure resource adequacy, planning and procuring resources to ensure sufficient reserve margins, distribution automation and resiliency investments, predictive and preventative maintenance programs, seasonal readiness programs, emergency preparedness, and securing a reliable supply chain. Securing a reliable grid requires ongoing infrastructure investments in addition to investments to support new customer growth.
Balanced Energy Mix. APS strives to procure a balanced energy mix, and we believe this provides the greatest reliability at the lowest cost possible while increasing resiliency. We achieve reliability, in part, through a blend of dispatchable resources, such as natural gas and battery storage, that can provide energy when intermittent resources, such as wind and solar, are unavailable. APS regularly
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evaluates the best mix of resources based on a changing operating environment, including changes in generation technology, economics, and policy impacts.
Additional natural gas capacity is necessary to support reliable service and meet increasing energy needs. However, existing natural gas pipelines into Arizona are currently 100% committed. As a result, in July 2025, APS executed a gas transportation precedent agreement to secure a long-term supply of natural gas. The new pipeline is expected to be operational by late 2029 and will be owned and operated by a third-party. See Note 14 for more information. APS also plans to add up to 2,000 MW of flexible natural gas generation to its portfolio, designed to help meet the growing around-the-clock energy needs in Arizona. This generation is expected to serve existing customers and business-as-usual growth through our competitive ASRFP process as well as a new subscription model for large load customers, like data centers and large manufacturers. This subscription model is a commercial construct designed to ensure growth pays for growth while protecting affordability for other customers.
Palo Verde, one of the nation’s largest carbon-free energy resources, serves as a foundational part of APS’s resource portfolio. The plant is a critical asset to the Southwest, generating more than 32 million MWh – enough power for roughly 3.4 million households, or approximately 8.5 million people. Its continued operation is important to a carbon-neutral future for Arizona and the region, as a reliable, continuous, affordable resource and as a large contributor to the local economy. APS owns or leases 29.1% of Units 1, 2, and 3 Palo Verde. In June 2025, APS entered into agreements to purchase two of the three leased interests in Unit 2. The two subject leased interests represented approximately 7% or 94 MW of Unit 2. The transaction closed in September 2025, leaving one remaining lease for approximately 5.2% of Unit 2 that expires in 2033. See Note 12 for more information. APS’s rate case application filed in 2025 (the “2025 Rate Case”) includes pro forma adjustments to account for these acquisitions. APS continues to evaluate and pursue options for reliably serving growing customer energy needs and demand.
Wildfire Efforts. Wildfire safety remains a critical focus for APS and other utilities. APS has increased investment in fire mitigation efforts to clear defensible space around its infrastructure, continue ongoing system upgrades, build partnerships with government entities and first responders, and educate customers and communities. APS also increased spend on mitigating the risk associated with trees that could cause hazards, resulting in more of these trees being removed before they could cause outages or wildfires. These programs contribute to customer reliability, responsible forest management and safe communities. With wildfire events in Hawaii, California, and across North America over the last few years, APS has been devoting and intends to continue to devote substantial efforts to analyzing and developing enhancements to its systems and processes to mitigate fire risk within its service territory and communities, including by hardening our infrastructure, deploying new technologies where appropriate, increasing our awareness, implementing operational changes, and enhancing our wildfire response capabilities.
APS uses fire modeling software to identify and calculate risk and target future system improvement investments such as fire-resistant pole wrapping, wood to steel pole conversions, and additional remote-controllable field devices like reclosers and switches. In 2024, APS began installing a system of artificial intelligence-based fire sensing cameras with the ability to detect and alert on fire ignitions. These alerts are sent both to APS and fire response dispatch centers to speed fire response in APS’s service territory regardless of the cause of the fire. APS also implemented a public safety power shutoff (“PSPS”) program on certain feeders that began in the 2024 fire season, leveraging the additional real-time analysis provided by the modeling software. APS has educated and will continue education outreach to customers and communities that may potentially be impacted by the PSPS program.
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APS was selected by DOE’s Grid Deployment Office (“GDO”) to receive up to $70 million in federal money for fire mitigation and grid infrastructure projects. This funding is part of the GDO’s Grid Resilience and Innovation Partnership Program and is contingent on APS negotiating and executing final grant agreements with GDO. Additionally, on May 12, 2025, Arizona Governor Hobbs signed into law a bill that requires Arizona electric utilities to develop and seek approval for wildfire mitigation plans and defines the standard of care with respect to wildfire-related claims by reference to such plans. APS continues to evaluate policy and regulatory options, as well as insurance programs, to mitigate the impact of wildfire events.
Affordable
We are committed to keeping bills as low as possible for our customers while maintaining high levels of reliability. Inflation has dramatically impacted the cost of goods and services in recent years as shown by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (“CPI-U”), which from 2018 through 2024 rose nationally 24.9% and 32.1% in Phoenix. Despite this, APS’s average residential rates remained well-below those inflation figures, rising 16.2% for the same period according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Inflation has moderated from earlier highs, with CPI-U rising 2.7% nationally and 2.2% in Phoenix over the 12 months ended December 2025. As a result of increased tariffs and supply chain constraints, APS amended several of its agreements from its ASRFP issued in 2023 to mitigate these cost impacts. However, APS remains cautious of potential price increases as a result of current and proposed tariffs, which could lead to higher costs and supply chain constraints, while also monitoring the outcome of the recent U.S. Supreme Court’s decision regarding the validity of certain tariffs.
APS’s customer affordability initiative includes internal opportunities, such as training and mentoring employees on identifying efficiency opportunities; maintaining inventory to take advantage of lower pricing and avoid expediting fees; entering into long-term contracts to hedge against price volatility, which has allowed APS to mitigate against procurement spend on critical items such as transformers; and implementing automation technologies to enhance efficiencies and increase data-oriented decision making. The customer affordability initiative also includes external opportunities, including a portfolio of customer programs designed to help customers reduce and manage their bills. In the 2025 Rate Case, APS is also seeking to reduce cross-subsidization of customer classes and ensure that growth pays for growth by requesting modifications to its cost allocation methodologies. APS continues to seek opportunities to streamline its business processes, mitigate cost increases, increase employee retention, and improve customer satisfaction.
APS’s IRP and competitive ASRFP processes serve important roles in providing reliable and affordable energy to APS’s customers. The IRP process helps identify the amount and type of resources required to reliably meet customer needs, while the ASRFP process seeks to meet those needs in a competitive manner based on cost, ability to meet system requirements, and commercial viability.
APS has seen increasing demand from large load customers in recent years. In the 2025 Rate Case, APS requested adjustments to rate designs and modification of cost allocation methodologies to ensure growth pays for growth. In line with the 2025 Rate Case, APS has developed a subscription model it believes will allow for these large load customers to fund the incremental infrastructure needed to serve them through long-term contracts where they cover capital costs and assume development risks, accelerating their path to service and ensuring those infrastructure costs are borne by those customers rather than residential or small business customers.
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There are also external opportunities that allow APS to deliver more affordable energy to customers, such as APS’s participation in western energy markets and programs. APS participated in market design and tariff development of Markets+, a day-ahead and real-time market offering from SPP. The Markets+ tariff was filed with FERC on March 29, 2024 and was approved on January 16, 2025. APS is a funding party to the implementation phase of Markets+ and expects to go live in the market in October 2027. In addition, APS is participating in the Western Resource Adequacy Program administered by Western Power Pool and plans to transition to full-binding participation in 2027 or 2028. These regional efforts are driven by the objectives of reducing customer cost and improving reliability. Until the transition to Markets+, APS will continue to participate in the WEIM as a tool for creating savings for APS’s customers from the real-time only, voluntary market. APS expects that its participation in the WEIM and future participation in Markets+ will lower its fuel and purchased-power costs, improve situational awareness for systems operations in the Western Interconnection, and improve integration of APS’s resources.
Resource Planning—Prioritizing Reliability and Affordability
APS remains focused on providing reliable energy at the lowest cost possible while striving to lower emissions over time and continues to look for opportunities to support reliability through dispatchable resources, such as gas and the potential extension of coal beyond 2031. APS’s diverse portfolio of existing and planned resources includes biomass, biogas, coal, energy storage, geothermal, natural gas, nuclear, solar, and wind. Every three years, APS performs an IRP, a comprehensive study to identify what resources will be necessary to safely, reliably, and affordably meet the demand and energy needs of its customers over the next 15 years. In November 2023, APS released its latest IRP, which identified forecasted customer demand and energy needs growing at an unprecedented rate. In developing the IRP, APS considered how factors such as forecasted economic growth, impacts from weather, and new resource technology availability impact the amount and type of resources required to reliably and affordably meet customer needs. These factors, among others, were used to develop a plan that identified a balanced mix of diverse energy-generating resources to reliably serve customers’ future energy needs. To help ensure competitive costs for resources procured by APS, APS regularly issues competitive bid solicitations through the ASRFP process, with the most recent ASRFP being issued in 2025. These ASRFPs are open to bids for all resource types, including customer-scale (behind the meter) and utility-scale (in front of the meter) resources.
APS selects projects out of ASRFPs based on cost, ability to meet system requirements, and commercial viability, taking into consideration timing and likelihood of successful contracting and development. Guided by IRP-established timelines and quantities, APS maintains a flexible approach that allows it to optimize system reliability and customer affordability through the ASRFP process. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions, including successful siting, permitting and interconnection to the electric grid. Consistent with recent ASRFPs, APS remains focused on contracting for resources that can withstand supply chain pressures and volatility and seeks a balanced portfolio that is resilient to other external pressures, including those arising from the macroeconomic and geopolitical environment.
In terms of recent solicitations, APS issued an ASRFP on June 30, 2023, pursuant to which APS procured 3,606 MW of battery storage, 517 MW of natural gas, 2,649 MW of solar, and 500 MW of wind resources expected to be in service from 2026 to 2028. APS issued another ASRFP on November 20, 2024, pursuant to which it signed an amendment and extension to an existing gas tolling agreement, increasing it to 600 MW beginning in 2027 and extending the term to 2038 and is currently negotiating
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additional agreements. The scope of projects being negotiated out of the 2024 ASRFP reflects both the expanse of the 2023 ASRFP and the reality of adjusting to tariffs and changing federal policy.
In its most recent ASRFP, issued on November 19, 2025, APS is seeking at least 1,000 MW of resources that can reach commercial operation between 2029 and 2031, but APS will also consider projects that can achieve commercial operation earlier or later.
APS has an aspirational goal to be carbon-neutral by 2050. This means that for any GHG emissions still produced by our generation resources as of 2050, we will aim to offset these emissions elsewhere. This goal reflects APS’s interest in new innovation and market transformations that address carbon emissions, while relying on the IRP and ASRFP processes to help determine the path forward.
Customer-Focused
Serving customers with excellence is foundational to APS’s business and remains our core focus as we adapt to evolving customer needs and emerging technology. Recognizing that every employee impacts our customer experience, we continue to provide information, tools, and resources enabling our teams to design, develop, and implement enhancements to improve our customer experience.
APS’s 24/7 call center answers more than 75% of customer calls within 30 seconds, and our mobile platforms enable our more than one million customers to quickly and easily find the information they need when they need it. We seek to provide relevant and valuable options for customers to manage their bill, including through rate plan options, programs that help them save energy and money, and alerts and notifications that help keep them aware of outages, payments, and usage. APS recently introduced a high-bill analyzer tool enabling phone advisors to provide customers with specific, customized guidance based on their actual usage and habits.
Additionally, APS offers a customer assistance program, including up to a 60% bill discount for vulnerable customers, flexible payment arrangements, and emergency utility bill assistance. To ensure customers in need are connected to these programs, we partner with nearly one hundred community action agencies across our service territory to train representatives who serve our shared customers.
Developing Technologies
New Nuclear Generation. Along with other Arizona electric utilities, APS is exploring additional nuclear generation to provide around-the-clock carbon-free energy to meet rising energy demands in Arizona. APS has been monitoring emerging nuclear technologies, ranging from newer proposed and installed versions of large-scale reactors to small modular nuclear reactors. Small modular nuclear reactors are typically designed to generate 300 MW or less of energy per unit compared to, for example, the 1,400 MW per unit generated at Palo Verde. The utilities have applied for a grant from DOE to begin preliminary exploration of a potential site for additional nuclear energy for Arizona. The grant could support a three-year site selection process and possible preparation of an early site permit application to NRC.
Long Duration Energy Storage. Continued technological innovation in long duration energy storage, which represents storage products which provide more than four hours of service, has led to decreasing cost of these solutions and an increase in their procurement, development, and deployment. These solutions include lithium and non-lithium battery chemistries, alternative natural gas-fired fuel cells
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and turbine units, and pumped hydropower. We will continue to evaluate these technologies and their ability to provide reliability, affordability, and balance to our portfolio.
Carbon Capture. CCS technologies can isolate carbon dioxide and either sequester it permanently in geologic formations or convert it for use in products. Currently, almost all existing fossil fuel generators do not control carbon emissions the way they control emissions of other air pollutants such as sulfur dioxide or oxides of nitrogen. CCS technologies are still in the demonstration phase and while they show promise, they are still being tested in real-world conditions. These technologies could potentially reduce carbon emissions from fossil fuel-fired generation.
Artificial Intelligence. To address the rapid advancement of AI technology risks and opportunities, APS has developed an AI strategy to responsibly utilize AI to advance our business strategy, enhance customer and employee experiences, and optimize operational reliability. At the core of our AI strategy is a robust governance model that develops guidance, policies, and relevant sub-strategies for the execution of AI projects at the Company. To ensure compliance with data security, reliability requirements, and our Code of Ethical Conduct, governance and oversight are provided by leadership and experts from our information technology, cybersecurity, human resources, ethics, supply chain, legal, and nuclear generation teams.
Regulatory Overview
2025 Rate Case
On June 13, 2025, APS filed an application with the ACC seeking a net base rate increase of $579.5 million, which represents a 13.99% net increase. The requested net increase addresses a total base revenue deficiency of $662.4 million, offset by proposed adjustor transfers of cost recovery to base rates.
The 2025 Rate Case application includes the following proposals:
•a test year comprised of the 12-month period ended on December 31, 2024, including certain pro forma adjustments;
•12 months of post-test year plant placed into service from January 1, 2025 through December 31, 2025;
•an original cost rate base of $12.5 billion, which approximates the ACC-jurisdictional portion of the book value of utility assets, net of accumulated depreciation and other credits;
•the following proposed capital structure and costs of capital:
| Capital Structure | Cost of Capital | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-term debt | 47.65 | % | 4.26 | % | ||
| Common stock equity | 52.35 | % | 10.70 | % | ||
| Weighted-average cost of capital | 7.63 | % |
•a 1% return on the increment of fair value rate base above APS’s original cost rate base, as provided for by Arizona law;
•a rate of $0.043881 per kWh for the portion of APS’s base rates attributable to fuel and purchased power costs;
•adjustments to rate designs, including direct assignment of costs, to reduce cross-subsidization by certain customer classes;
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•modification of cost allocation methodologies based on customer growth to ensure customers causing new production costs are covering those costs through rates, along with corresponding changes to adjustor mechanisms, such as for fuel and purchased power;
•implementation of a FRAM to assist with reducing regulatory lag and allow for rate gradualism;
•elimination of the LFCR following the first annual adjustment pursuant to the FRAM; and
•modification to the SRB due to the FRAM proposal.
APS requested that the increase become effective in the second half of 2026. The hearing for this rate case is currently scheduled to begin in May 2026. APS cannot predict the outcome of its request nor when the 2025 Rate Case will be decided by the ACC.
2022 Rate Case
On October 28, 2022, APS filed an application with the ACC (the “2022 Rate Case”) for an increase in retail base rates, and on January 25, 2024, an Administrative Law Judge issued a ROO, as corrected on February 6, 2024 (the “2022 Rate Case ROO”).
On February 22, 2024, the ACC approved the 2022 Rate Case ROO with certain amendments that resulted in, among other things, (i) an approximately $491.7 million increase in the annual base revenue requirement, (ii) a 9.55% return on equity, (iii) a 0.25% return on the increment of fair value rate base greater than original cost, (iv) an effective fair value rate of return of 4.39%, (v) a return set at the Company’s weighted average cost of capital on the net prepaid pension asset and net other post-employment benefit liability in rate base, (vi) an adjustment to generation maintenance and outage expense to reflect a more reasonable level of test year costs, (vii) approval of the SRB mechanism with modifications to customer notifications, procedural timelines and the inclusion of any qualifying technology and fuel source bid received through an ASRFP, and (viii) recovery of all DSM costs through the DSM Adjustment Charge (“DSMAC”) rather than through base rates.
The ACC issued the final order for the 2022 Rate Case on March 5, 2024, with the new rates becoming effective for all service rendered on or after March 8, 2024.
Six intervenors and the Attorney General of Arizona requested rehearing on various issues included in the ACC’s decision, such as the grid access charge (“GAC”) for solar customers, the SRB, and Coal Community Transition funding. On April 15, 2024, the ACC granted, in part, the rehearing applications of the Attorney General, Arizona Solar Energy Industries Association (“AriSEIA”), Solar Energy Industries Association (“SEIA”), and Vote Solar specifically to review whether the GAC rate is just and reasonable, including whether it should be higher or lower, whether the GAC rate constitutes a discriminatory fee to solar customers, and whether omission of a GAC charge is discriminatory to non-solar customers. All other applications for rehearing were denied. A limited rehearing was held October 28 through November 1, 2024. Following the limited rehearing, an Administrative Law Judge issued a ROO (the “Limited Rehearing ROO”) on December 3, 2024. The Limited Rehearing ROO recommended affirming the GAC as just and reasonable and that the GAC is not discriminatory to solar customers and the absence of a GAC is not discriminatory to non-solar customers. On December 17, 2024, the ACC approved the Limited Rehearing ROO with an amendment that requires APS in its next rate case to propose a revenue allocation based on a site-load cost of service study in order to bring further parity in revenue collection between solar and non-solar customers. SEIA, AriSEIA, Vote Solar, the Arizona Attorney General, and two individual customers have filed requests for rehearing of the ACC’s December 17, 2024 decision on the rehearing. The ACC has taken no action on these requests. In addition, each of these parties have
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subsequently filed an appeal to the Arizona Court of Appeals seeking review of the ACC’s decisions regarding the GAC and on rehearing. APS cannot predict the outcome of these proceedings.
Regulatory Lag Docket
On January 5, 2023, the ACC opened a new docket to explore the possibility of modifications to the ACC’s historical test year rules. The ACC requested comments and held two workshops exploring ways to reduce regulatory lag, including alternative ratemaking structures such as future test years, hybrid test years, and formula rates. On December 3, 2024, the ACC approved a policy statement regarding formula rate plans. The policy statement provides regulated utilities with the opportunity to propose formula rate plans in future rate cases. On March 28, 2025, the Residential Utility Consumer Office (“RUCO”), the Arizona Large Customer Group (“ALCG”), and an individual customer filed a lawsuit challenging the ACC’s authority to issue the formula rate policy statement outside of Arizona’s formula rulemaking process. On June 13, 2025, the lawsuit challenging the ACC’s formula rate policy was dismissed by the Superior Court of Maricopa County. Following the dismissal, the plaintiffs filed an appeal with the Arizona Court of Appeals as well as a Petition for Special Action with the Arizona Supreme Court. The Supreme Court declined to exercise jurisdiction on the Petition for Special Action. The plaintiffs also filed a Petition for Special Action with the Arizona Court of Appeals, which has accepted jurisdiction to determine whether the case should be remanded back to the Superior Court for expedited consideration of the merits. On November 21, 2025, the Arizona Court of Appeals ruled that the issue should be remanded back to the Superior Court to determine whether the ACC’s formula rate policy must go through a formal rulemaking process. In response, APS, the ACC, and several other Arizona utility companies filed petitions for review of the Court of Appeals decision with the Arizona Supreme Court, which is pending at this time. APS cannot predict the outcome of this matter.
See Note 8 for more information regarding these and additional regulatory matters.
Captive Insurance Cell
Pinnacle West is the primary beneficiary of a protected cell captive insurance cell. The Captive provides insurance coverage to Pinnacle West and our subsidiaries that supplements commercial and mutual insurance coverage. The Captive insures Pinnacle West and its subsidiaries for terrorism coverage, excess liability including certain wildfire coverage, excess property insurance, and excess employment practice liability. The Captive policies exclude nuclear liability at Palo Verde. See Note 12. The Captive may hold investment assets in cash, cash equivalents, and equity and fixed income instruments.
Tax Incentives
The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (“IRA”) significantly expanded the availability of tax credits for investments in clean energy generation technologies and energy storage. Key provisions included (i) an extension of tax credits for solar and wind generation, including a new option for solar investments to claim a PTC in lieu of the ITC beginning in 2022; (ii) expansion of the ITC to cover stand-alone energy storage technology beginning in 2023; (iii) introduction of technology neutral clean energy ITCs and PTCs beginning in 2025; and (iv) introduction of a new PTC for nuclear energy produced by existing nuclear energy plants, available from 2024 through 2032.
On July 4, 2025, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (“OBBBA”), was signed into law. The OBBBA curtailed several clean energy tax credits initially passed in the IRA, including a new phase out deadline for wind and solar ITCs and PTCs that requires projects to either begin construction within one year of
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enactment or be placed in service by December 31, 2027. Additionally, the OBBBA contained provisions restricting clean energy projects, including energy storage, which begin construction after December 31, 2025, and receive “material assistance from a prohibited foreign entity,” from being eligible for clean energy ITCs or PTCs.
The Company believes that its projects which are currently under construction will continue to qualify for IRA tax credits. See Note 5 for information on Palo Verde’s nuclear PTC. The Company is continuing to analyze the OBBBA and is awaiting regulations and other guidance as to the application of these new rules to projects not currently under construction.
Financial Strength and Flexibility
We believe that Pinnacle West and APS currently have ample borrowing capacity under their respective credit facilities and may readily access these facilities ensuring adequate liquidity for each company. Capital expenditures are anticipated to be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Other Subsidiaries
PNW Power
PNW Power holds certain investments and assets that were previously held by BCE, a former subsidiary of Pinnacle West that was sold in 2024. PNW Power’s investments include TransCanyon, a 50/50 joint venture that was formed in 2014 with BHE U.S. Transmission LLC, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Energy Company. TransCanyon is pursuing independent electric transmission opportunities within the 11 U.S. states that comprise the Western Interconnection, excluding opportunities related to transmission service that would otherwise be provided under the tariffs of the retail service territories of the TransCanyon partners’ utility affiliates. These opportunities include the proposed 500-kV Cross-Tie transmission project (the “Cross-Tie Project”), which includes a 214-mile transmission line connecting Utah and Nevada that is intended to help improve grid reliability and relieve congestion on other transmission lines. On December 18, 2025, the Department of Interior Bureau of Land Management issued a Record of Decision permitting the development of Cross-Tie Project, which became non-appealable in late January 2026.
PNW Power’s investments also include minority ownership positions in two wind farms operated by Tenaska Energy, Inc. and Tenaska Energy Holdings, LLC, the 242 MW Clear Creek and the 250 MW Nobles 2 wind farms. Clear Creek achieved commercial operation in May 2020; however, in the fourth quarter of 2022, PNW Power’s equity method investment was fully impaired. Nobles 2 achieved commercial operation in December 2020. Both wind farms deliver power under long-term PPAs. PNW Power indirectly owns 9.9% of Clear Creek and 5.1% of Nobles 2.
El Dorado
El Dorado owns debt investments and minority interests in several energy-related investments and Arizona community-based ventures. In particular, El Dorado has committed to and/or holds the following:
•$25 million investment in the Energy Impact Partners fund, of which approximately $20 million has been funded as of December 31, 2025. Energy Impact Partners is an organization that focuses on fostering innovation and supporting the transformation of the utility industry.
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•$25 million investment in AZ-VC, of which approximately $16 million has been funded as of December 31, 2025. AZ-VC is a fund focused on analyzing, investing, managing, and otherwise dealing with investments in privately-held early stage and emerging growth technology companies and businesses primarily based in Arizona, or based in other jurisdictions and having existing or potential strategic or economic ties to companies or other interests in Arizona.
•$7.5 million investment in Westly Seed Fund, of which approximately $2 million has been funded as of December 31, 2025. Westly Seed Fund is focused on supporting entrepreneurs involved in the energy, mobility, building, and industrial sectors.
•Equity investment in SAI, a private corporation that manufactures electrical switchgear equipment used by data centers. El Dorado accounts for this investment under the equity method and has an investment carrying value of approximately $21 million as of December 31, 2025.
The remainder of these investment commitments will be contributed by El Dorado as each investment fund selects and makes investments.
Key Financial Drivers
In addition to the continuing impact of the matters described above, many factors influence our financial results and our future financial outlook, including those listed below. We closely monitor these factors to plan for the Company’s current needs, and to adjust our expectations, financial budgets and forecasts appropriately.
Electric Operating Revenues. For 2025, retail electric revenues were 95% of our total operating revenue. For 2023 through 2025, retail electric revenues averaged approximately 94% of our total operating revenues. Our electric operating revenues are affected by customer growth or decline, variations in weather from period to period, customer mix, average usage per customer and the impacts of energy efficiency programs, distributed energy additions, electricity rates and tariffs, the recovery of PSA deferrals and the operation of other recovery mechanisms. Our revenues are affected by the availability of excess generation or other energy resources and wholesale market conditions, including competition, demand, and prices.
Actual and Projected Customer and Sales Growth. Retail customers in APS’s service territory increased 2.4% for the period ended December 31, 2025 compared with the prior-year period. For the three years through 2025, APS’s customer growth averaged 2.2% per year. We currently project annual customer growth to be 1.5% to 2.5% for 2026 and the average annual growth to be in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2030 based on anticipated steady population growth in Arizona during that period.
Retail electricity sales in kWh, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations, increased 5.0% for the period ended December 31, 2025 compared with the prior-year period. While steady customer growth was somewhat offset by lower usage among residential customers, energy savings driven by customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable generation initiatives, the main drivers of increased revenues for this period were continued strong sales to commercial and industrial customers and the continued ramp-up of new data center and large manufacturing customers. As large load customers, such as data centers and large manufacturers, have continued to grow as a proportion of our
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business, we have updated our procedures with respect to estimates of unbilled revenues for our customer classes. As a result, we made an adjustment in the first quarter of 2025 to recalibrate accrued unbilled revenues, offsetting year-to-date sales growth by 0.4%.
For the three years through 2025, annual retail electricity sales growth averaged 3.9%, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations. Due to the expected growth of several data centers and large manufacturing facilities, we currently project that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% for 2026 and that average annual growth will be in the range of 5.0% to 7.0% through 2030, including the effects of customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable generation initiatives, but excluding the effects of weather variations. These projected sales growth ranges include the impacts of several data centers and large manufacturing facilities, which are expected to contribute to 2026 growth in the range of 3.0% to 5.0% and to average annual growth in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% through 2030.
Longer term, APS has been preparing for and can serve significant load growth from residential and business customers. On top of these existing growth trends, APS is also receiving incremental requests for service from large load customers with very high energy demands that persist virtually around-the-clock, such as data centers for AI and large manufacturers. These incremental requests for service by large load customers far exceed available generation and transmission resource capacity in the Southwest region for the foreseeable future. Because of the high growth in demand for such projects, APS has developed a queue that identifies and prioritizes projects while maintaining system reliability and affordability for existing APS customers. APS is also exploring available options for securing additional electric generation and transmission to meet these projections of future customer needs, including a new subscription model for large load customers. The subscription model is part of the company’s “growth pays for growth” strategy where large load customers would enter into a long-term special contract to pay for the costs associated with the incremental infrastructure needed to provide service without compromising reliability and affordability for existing customers.
Actual sales growth, excluding weather-related variations, may differ from our projections as a result of numerous factors, such as macroeconomic conditions, current and future economic, regulatory, business, and other conditions, such as the Arizona housing market, customer growth, usage patterns and energy conservation, slower ramp-up of and/or fewer large data centers and manufacturing facilities, slower than expected commercial and industrial expansions, impacts of energy efficiency programs and growth in DG, responses to retail price changes, changes in regulatory standards, and impacts of new and existing laws and regulations, including environmental laws and regulations. Based on past experience, a 1% variation in our annual residential and small commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $25 million, and a 1% variation in our annual large commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $7 million.
Weather. In forecasting the retail sales growth numbers provided above, we assume normal weather patterns based on historical data. Our experience indicates that typical variations from normal weather can result in increases and decreases in annual net income of up to $20 million. However, since 2020, extreme weather events, such as record-setting summer heat and decreased annual precipitation in our service territory, have resulted in increases in annual net income that are more than historically typical, on average.
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Fuel and Purchased Power Expenses. Fuel and purchased power expenses included on our Consolidated Statements of Income are impacted by our electricity sales volumes, existing contracts for purchased power and generation fuel, our power plant performance, transmission availability or constraints, prevailing market prices, new generating plants being placed in service in our market areas, changes in our generation resource allocation, our hedging program for managing such costs and PSA deferrals and the related amortization.
Operations and Maintenance Expenses. Operations and maintenance expenses are impacted by customer and sales growth, power plant operations, maintenance of utility plant (including generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), inflation, unplanned outages, planned outages (typically scheduled in the spring and fall), renewable energy and DSM related expenses (which are mostly offset by the same amount of operating revenues) and other factors.
Depreciation and Amortization Expenses. Depreciation and amortization expenses are impacted by net additions to utility plant and other property (such as new generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), and increases in intangible assets and changes in depreciation and amortization rates. See “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below for information regarding the planned additions to our facilities.
Pension and Other Postretirement Non-Service Credits, Net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits can be impacted by changes in our actuarial assumptions. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate used to measure our net periodic costs/credit, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term, the mortality assumptions and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them, as necessary. See Note 9.
Property Taxes. Taxes other than income taxes consist primarily of property taxes, which are affected by changes in plant balances related to new investments and improvements to existing facilities, the value of property in service and under construction, assessment ratios, and tax rates. The average property tax rate in Arizona for APS, which owns essentially all of our property, was 9.6% of the assessed value for 2025, 9.7% for 2024, and 10.0% for 2023. Property tax increased in 2025 due to higher plant balances related to expansion and improvements on our existing generation, transmission, and distribution facilities, partially offset by legislative changes reducing both tax assessment ratios and rates in Arizona.
Income Taxes. Income taxes are affected by the amount of pretax book income, income tax rates, certain deductions, certain credits and non-taxable items, such as AFUDC. In addition, income taxes may also be affected by the settlement of issues with taxing authorities.
Interest Expense. Interest expense is affected by the amount of debt outstanding and the interest rates on that debt. See Notes 6 and 7 for further details. The primary factors affecting borrowing levels are expected to be our capital expenditures, long-term debt maturities, equity issuances and internally generated cash flow. AFUDC offsets a portion of interest expense while capital projects are under construction. We stop accruing AFUDC on a project when it is placed into service.
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Pinnacle West’s reportable business segment is our regulated electricity segment, which consists of retail and wholesale sales supplied under traditional cost-based regulation and related activities and includes electricity generation, transmission, and distribution. Our reportable segment activities are conducted through our wholly-owned subsidiary, APS. All other operating segment activities are insignificant to Pinnacle West.
Operating Results – 2025 compared with 2024
Our consolidated net income attributable to common shareholders for the year ended
December 31, 2025 was $617 million, compared with consolidated net income attributable to common shareholders of $609 million for the prior-year period. The results reflect an increase of approximately $8 million, primarily as a result of increased customer usage, customer growth and related pricing, higher transmission revenues, impacts of new customer rates, higher LFCR revenue, and higher AFUDC. These positive factors were partially offset by the effects of weather, due primarily to extreme heat during the summer of 2024, the hottest on record in APS’s service territory. Additional offsets include higher interest charges, lower pension and other postretirement non-service credits, higher depreciation and amortization expenses mostly due to increased plant additions and intangible assets, partially offset by operations ceasing at the Cholla plant and higher operations and maintenance expenses.
The following table presents net income attributable to common shareholders compared with the prior year for Pinnacle West consolidated and for APS consolidated (dollars in millions):
| Pinnacle West Consolidated | APS Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year Ended December 31, | Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 2024 | Net Change | 2025 | 2024 | Net Change | |||||||||||||||||
| Operating revenues | $ | 5,340 | $ | 5,125 | $ | 215 | $ | 5,340 | $ | 5,125 | $ | 215 | ||||||||||
| Fuel and purchased power | (1,933) | (1,823) | (110) | (1,933) | (1,823) | (110) | ||||||||||||||||
| Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power (a) | 3,407 | 3,302 | 105 | 3,407 | 3,302 | 105 | ||||||||||||||||
| Operations and maintenance | (1,185) | (1,165) | (20) | (1,177) | (1,159) | (18) | ||||||||||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | (915) | (895) | (20) | (915) | (895) | (20) | ||||||||||||||||
| Taxes other than income taxes | (235) | (227) | (8) | (235) | (227) | (8) | ||||||||||||||||
| Allowance for equity funds used during construction | 61 | 39 | 22 | 61 | 39 | 22 | ||||||||||||||||
| Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net | 12 | 49 | (37) | 13 | 49 | (36) | ||||||||||||||||
| Other income and (expense), net | 16 | 11 | 5 | (14) | (11) | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
| Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction | (422) | (377) | (45) | (332) | (312) | (20) | ||||||||||||||||
| Income taxes | (107) | (111) | 4 | (126) | (127) | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Less: Net income related to noncontrolling interests | (15) | (17) | 2 | (15) | (17) | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders | $ | 617 | $ | 609 | $ | 8 | $ | 667 | $ | 642 | $ | 25 |
(a) Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power is a non-GAAP financial measure. As reconciled in the table above, this amount is derived by the difference between the GAAP financial statement line item Operating revenues less the GAAP financial statement line item Fuel and purchased power as presented on the Consolidated Statements of Income. Operating revenues, less fuel and purchased power is used by Pinnacle West to assess whether customer revenues adequately cover fuel and purchased power costs. This metric is not defined by
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GAAP and may differ from similar measures used by other companies. This measure is not a substitute for operating income under GAAP.
Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power. Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses were $105 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared with the prior-year period. The following table summarizes the major components of this change (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | Fuel and purchased power | Net change | ||||||||
| Higher retail revenues due to changes in usage patterns, customer growth and related pricing, partially offset by the impacts of energy efficiency | $ | 155 | $ | 60 | $ | 95 | ||||
| Higher transmission revenues (Note 8) | 51 | — | 51 | |||||||
| Impact of new rates from the 2022 Rate Case, effective March 8, 2024 (Note 8) | 46 | — | 46 | |||||||
| LFCR revenue (Note 8) | 10 | — | 10 | |||||||
| Changes in net fuel and purchased power costs, including off-system sales margins and related deferrals | 97 | 89 | 8 | |||||||
| Higher renewable energy regulatory surcharges, partially offset by operations and maintenance costs | 9 | 5 | 4 | |||||||
| Effects of weather | (157) | (43) | (114) | |||||||
| Miscellaneous items, net | 4 | (1) | 5 | |||||||
| Total | $ | 215 | $ | 110 | $ | 105 |
Operations and maintenance. Operations and maintenance expenses increased $20 million for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared with the prior-year period, primarily due to:
| •an increase of $19 million related to information technology costs; |
|---|
| •an increase of $16 million related to corporate resource costs; |
| •an increase of $2 million related to nuclear generation costs; |
| •an increase of $2 million related to costs for renewable energy programs and similar regulatory programs, which are partially offset in operating revenues and purchased power; |
| •an increase of $1 million related to non-nuclear generation costs, primarily due to increased operating costs; |
| •a decrease of $11 million related to transmission, distribution, and customer service costs; |
| •a decrease of $13 million related to employee benefit costs; and |
| •an increase of $4 million for other miscellaneous factors. |
Depreciation and amortization. Depreciation and amortization expenses were $20 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the prior-year period, primarily due to increased plant in service and intangible assets, partially offset by lower depreciation expense due to operations ceasing at the Cholla plant.
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Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net were $37 million lower for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the prior-year period primarily due to prior-service credits becoming fully amortized as of January 31, 2025.
Other income and expense, net. Other income and expense, net was $5 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the prior-year period, primarily due to investment gains in El Dorado, partially offset by the gain on the sale of BCE recognized during the first quarter of 2024, lower PSA interest income and higher corporate giving expense. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s other income and expense, net is primarily related to Pinnacle West’s gain in investment in El Dorado and the gain on the sale of BCE.
Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds and equity funds used during construction. Interest charges, net of allowance for funds used during construction, were $23 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to the prior-year period, primarily due to higher debt balances and lower allowance for borrowed funds, partially offset by higher allowance for equity funds.
Income taxes. Income taxes were $4 million lower for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared with the prior-year period, primarily due to higher tax benefits related to employee benefits and AFUDC Equity, offset by lower tax credits and higher pre-tax income.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Overview
Pinnacle West’s primary cash needs are for dividends to our shareholders and principal and interest payments on our indebtedness. The level of our common stock dividends and future dividend growth will be dependent on declaration by our Board of Directors and based on a number of factors, including our financial condition, payout ratio, free cash flow and other factors.
Our primary sources of cash are dividends from APS and external debt and equity issuances. An ACC order does not allow APS to pay common dividends if the payment would reduce its common equity ratio below 40%. Per the related ACC order, the common equity ratio is defined as total shareholder equity divided by the sum of total shareholder equity and long-term debt, including current maturities of long-term debt. As of December 31, 2025, APS’s common equity ratio, as defined, was 52%. APS’s total shareholder equity was approximately $8.9 billion, and total capitalization, as calculated pursuant to the ACC order, was approximately $17.1 billion. Under this order, APS would be prohibited from paying dividends if such payment would reduce its total shareholder equity below approximately $6.8 billion, assuming APS’s total capitalization remains the same. This restriction does not materially affect Pinnacle West’s ability to meet its ongoing cash needs or ability to pay dividends to shareholders.
Dividends to Pinnacle West from APS are also dependent on a number of factors including, among others, APS’s financial condition and free cash flow, the sources of which vary from quarter-to-quarter due in part to the seasonal nature of electricity demand in Arizona. APS’s sources of cash include cash from operations and external sources of liquidity, including long- and short-term external debt financing such as commercial paper, term loans and its revolving credit facility. Cash from operations is dependent upon, among other things, the rates APS may charge and the timeliness of recovering costs incurred through its rates and adjustor recovery mechanisms. Regulatory lag may delay recovery and affect operating cash flows. APS’s capital requirements consist primarily of capital expenditures and maturities of long-term
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debt. APS funds its capital requirements with cash from operations and, to the extent necessary, external debt financings and equity infusions from Pinnacle West. On December 17, 2024, the ACC issued a financing order approving a limit on yearly equity infusions equal to 2.5% of APS’s total assets each calendar year on a three-year rolling average basis, subject to APS’s equity ratio remaining below the most recently approved rate case capital structure plus 50 basis points.
On May 15, 2025, Pinnacle West contributed $300 million into APS in the form of an equity infusion. APS used this contribution to repay the $300 million of its 3.15% senior notes that matured on the same date. On December 18, 2025, Pinnacle West contributed $75 million into APS in the form of an equity infusion. APS used this contribution to repay a portion of its commercial paper borrowings.
Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities that enhance liquidity and provide credit support for accessing commercial paper markets. These credit facilities mature in 2031.
Pinnacle West has an ATM Program under which Pinnacle West may offer and sell Pinnacle West common stock and enter into forward sale agreements from time to time, subject to market conditions and other factors. Approximately $700 million of common stock is available to be issued under the ATM Program, which takes into account the forward sale agreements in effect as of December 31, 2025. Pinnacle West also has forward sale agreements from an equity offering in February 2024 in effect as of December 31, 2025. See “Financing Cash Flows and Liquidity—Equity Offerings” below and Note 16 for more information.
Summary of Cash Flows
The following tables present net cash provided by (used for) operating, investing and financing activities for the years ended December 31, 2025, and 2024 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West Consolidated
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | Net Change | ||||||||
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 1,805 | $ | 1,610 | $ | 195 | ||||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (2,378) | (1,934) | (444) | |||||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 576 | 323 | 253 | |||||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | $ | 3 | $ | (1) | $ | 4 |
APS Consolidated
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | Net Change | ||||||||
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 1,827 | $ | 1,610 | $ | 217 | ||||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (2,370) | (1,986) | (384) | |||||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 543 | 375 | 168 | |||||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | $ | — | $ | (1) | $ | 1 |
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Operating Cash Flows
2025 Compared with 2024. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by operating activities was $1,805 million in 2025 compared to $1,610 million in 2024, an increase of $195 million in net cash provided, primarily due to $238 million higher cash receipts from electric revenues, $111 million in lower income taxes paid and $60 million lower payments for operations and maintenance costs; partially offset by $162 million higher payments for fuel and purchased power costs, $29 million in higher interest paid on debt and $23 million of changes in working capital. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s net cash provided by operating activities primarily relates to APS’s lower payments for other taxes and other changes in working capital.
Retirement plans and other postretirement benefits. Pinnacle West sponsors a qualified defined benefit pension plan and a non-qualified supplemental excess benefit retirement plan for the employees of Pinnacle West and our subsidiaries. Pinnacle West also sponsors other postretirement benefit plans for the employees of Pinnacle West and its subsidiaries. The requirements of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (“ERISA”) require us to contribute a minimum amount to the qualified plan. We contribute at least the minimum amount required under ERISA regulations, but no more than the maximum tax-deductible amount. Future year contribution amounts are dependent on plan asset performance and plan actuarial assumptions. The expected minimum required cash contributions for the pension plan are zero for the next three years and we do not expect to make any voluntary cash contributions in 2026, 2027 or 2028; however, we continue to evaluate and assess our ongoing contribution strategy. Regarding contributions to our other postretirement benefit plan, we did not make a contribution in 2025 and do not expect to make any contributions in 2026, 2027 or 2028. We continually monitor financial market volatility and its impact on our retirement plans and other postretirement benefits, but we believe our liability driven investment strategy helps to minimize the impact of market volatility on our plan’s funded status.
Investing Cash Flows
2025 Compared with 2024. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash used for investing activities was $2,378 million in 2025 compared to $1,934 million in 2024, an increase of $444 million primarily related to $380 million of increased capital expenditures, net of contributions in aid of construction, and $84 million of proceeds from the BCE Sale received in 2024; partially offset by $20 million less investing activity in the current year. See “Capital Expenditures” below for additional details. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s net cash used for investing activities primarily relates to the proceeds received from the BCE Sale and investments made into the Captive Insurance Cell VIE in the prior year.
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Capital Expenditures. The following table summarizes the estimated capital expenditures for the next three years (dollars in millions):
Capital Expenditures
| Estimated for the Year Ending December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |||||||||
| APS | |||||||||||
| Generation: | |||||||||||
| Gas and Other Generation | $ | 635 | $ | 550 | $ | 490 | |||||
| Nuclear Generation | 170 | 185 | 215 | ||||||||
| Renewables and Energy Storage | 20 | 5 | 5 | ||||||||
| Distribution | 765 | 795 | 750 | ||||||||
| Transmission | 550 | 695 | 860 | ||||||||
| Other | 460 | 420 | 380 | ||||||||
| Total APS | $ | 2,600 | $ | 2,650 | $ | 2,700 |
The table above does not include capital expenditures related to PNW Power projects.
Generation capital expenditures are comprised of various additions and improvements to APS’s resources, including nuclear plants, renewables and energy storage, additions and improvements to existing fossil fuel plants, as well as planned investments in new natural gas facilities. We are monitoring the status of environmental matters, which, depending on their final outcome, could require modification to our planned environmental expenditures.
Distribution and transmission capital expenditures are comprised of infrastructure additions and upgrades, capital replacements, and new customer construction. Examples of the types of projects included in the forecast include power lines, substations, and line extensions to new residential and commercial developments.
Capital expenditures are expected to be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Financing Cash Flows and Liquidity
2025 Compared with 2024. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $576 million in 2025 compared to $323 million in 2024, an increase of $253 million in net cash provided primarily due to an increase of $430 million higher issuances of long-term debt, a $230 million increase in short-term borrowings and $75 million lower repayment of long-term debt; partially offset by $257 million less for equity issuances, the $199 million payment for the Palo Verde sale leaseback noncontrolling interest acquisition and higher dividends paid of $28 million.
APS’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $543 million in 2025 compared to $375 million in 2024, an increase of $168 million in net cash provided primarily due to an increase of $502 million higher issuances of long-term debt, a $360 million increase in short-term borrowings; partially offset by $420 million in lower equity infusions from Pinnacle West, the $199 million payment
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for the Palo Verde sale leaseback noncontrolling interest acquisition, $50 million higher long-term debt repayments and $28 million in higher dividends paid to Pinnacle West.
Significant Financing Activities. On December 10, 2025, the Pinnacle West Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.91 per share of common stock, payable on March 2, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 2, 2026. During 2025, Pinnacle West increased its indicated annual dividend from $3.58 per share to $3.64 per share. For the year ended December 31, 2025, Pinnacle West’s total dividends paid per share of common stock were $3.60 per share, which resulted in dividend payments of $423 million.
Available Credit Facilities. Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities in order to enhance liquidity and provide credit support for their commercial paper. See Note 6 for more information on available credit facilities.
Equity Offerings. Pinnacle West entered into certain equity forward sale agreements in February 2024 and has an ATM Program under which Pinnacle West may offer and sell Pinnacle West common stock and enter into equity forward sale agreements from time to time, subject to market conditions and other factors. See Note 16. The following table summarizes the activity relating to these forward sale agreements and the ATM Program as of December 31, 2025 (dollars in thousands, except price per share):
| Forward Sale Agreements | Number of Shares | Forward Sales Price Per Share | Aggregate Value | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 2024 Forward Sale Agreements | ||||||||||||
| Initial Price | 11,240,601 | $ | 64.51 | (a) | $ | 725,131 | ||||||
| Settlements | ||||||||||||
| December 23, 2024 | 5,377,115 | (b) | $ | 64.17 | $ | 345,049 | (c) | |||||
| September 4, 2025 | 243,186 | (b) | $ | 63.12 | $ | 15,350 | (c) | |||||
| December 18, 2025 | 1,193,950 | (b) | $ | 62.82 | $ | 75,004 | (c) | |||||
| ATM Program | ||||||||||||
| Initial Price | 2,199,415 | $ | 90.1038 | (a) (d) | $ | 198,176 |
(a) Subject to certain adjustments.
(b) Physical delivery.
(c) Proceeds recorded in common equity on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
(d) Weighted-average price for the total ATM Program.
Other Financing Matters. See Note 13 for information related to the change in our margin and collateral accounts.
Debt Provisions
Pinnacle West’s and APS’s debt covenants related to their respective bank financing arrangements include maximum debt to capitalization ratios. Pinnacle West and APS comply with these covenants. For both Pinnacle West and APS, these covenants require that the ratio of consolidated debt to total consolidated capitalization not exceed 65%. As of December 31, 2025, the ratio was approximately 60% for Pinnacle West and 50% for APS. Failure to comply with such covenant levels would result in an event
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of default which, generally speaking, would require the immediate repayment of the debt subject to the covenants and could “cross-default” other debt. See further discussion of “cross-default” provisions below.
Neither Pinnacle West’s nor APS’s financing agreements contain “rating triggers” that would result in an acceleration of payment in the event of a rating downgrade. However, our bank credit agreements contain a pricing grid in which the interest rates we pay for borrowings thereunder are determined by our current credit ratings.
All of Pinnacle West’s and APS’s credit agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment if Pinnacle West or APS were to default under certain other material agreements. Pinnacle West and APS do not have a material adverse change covenant for credit facility borrowings.
Credit Ratings
The ratings of securities of Pinnacle West and APS as of February 20, 2026, are shown below. We are disclosing these credit ratings to enhance understanding of our cost of short-term and long-term capital and our ability to access the markets for liquidity and long-term debt. The ratings reflect the respective views of the rating agencies, from which an explanation of the significance of their ratings may be obtained. There is no assurance that these ratings will continue for any given period. The ratings may be revised or withdrawn entirely by the rating agencies if, in their respective judgments, circumstances so warrant. Any downward revision or withdrawal may adversely affect the market price of Pinnacle West’s or APS’s securities and/or result in an increase in the cost of, or limit access to, capital. Such revisions may also result in substantial additional cash or other collateral requirements related to certain derivative instruments, insurance policies, natural gas transportation, fuel supply, and other energy-related contracts. At this time, we believe we have sufficient available liquidity resources to respond to a potential downward revision to our credit ratings.
| Moody’s | Standard & Poor’s | Fitch | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle West | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | Baa2 | BBB+ | BBB | ||
| Senior unsecured | Baa2 | BBB | BBB | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F3 | ||
| Outlook | Stable | Stable | Stable | ||
| APS | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | Baa1 | BBB+ | BBB+ | ||
| Senior unsecured | Baa1 | BBB+ | A- | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F2 | ||
| Outlook | Stable | Stable | Stable |
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Contractual Obligations
Pinnacle West has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future, in addition to its capital expenditure programs. Material contractual obligations and other commitments are as follows:
•Pinnacle West and APS have material long-term debt obligations that mature at various dates through 2055 and bear interest principally at fixed rates. Interest on variable-rate long-term debt is determined by using average rates at December 31, 2025. See Note 7.
•Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities. See Note 6 for short-term debt details.
•Fuel and purchased power commitments include purchases of coal, electricity, natural gas, renewable energy, nuclear fuel, and natural gas transportation. See Notes 8 and 14. Purchase obligations may include commitments for capital expenditures and other obligations. See Note 14. Commitments related to purchased power lease contracts are also considered fuel and purchased power commitments. See Note 20.
•APS holds certain contracts to purchase renewable energy credits in compliance with the RES. See Notes 8 and 14.
•APS is required to make payments to the noncontrolling interests related to the Palo Verde sale leaseback through 2033. See Note 12.
•APS must reimburse certain coal providers for final and contemporaneous coal mine reclamation. See Note 14.
•Pinnacle West’s equity forward sale agreements, which may be settled by Pinnacle West with common stock or cash. Pinnacle West has classified these agreements as equity transactions in accordance with GAAP. See Note 16.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
In preparing the financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management must often make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and related disclosures at the date of the financial statements and during the reporting period. Some of those judgments can be subjective and complex, and actual results could differ from those estimates. We consider the following accounting policies to be our most critical because of the uncertainties, judgments and complexities of the underlying accounting standards and operations involved.
Regulatory Accounting
Regulatory accounting allows for the actions of regulators, such as the ACC and FERC, to be reflected in our financial statements. Their actions may cause us to capitalize costs that would otherwise be included as an expense in the current period by unregulated companies. Regulatory assets represent incurred costs that have been deferred because they are probable of future recovery in customer rates. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts collected in rates to recover costs expected to be incurred in the future or amounts collected in excess of costs incurred and are refundable to customers. Management judgments include continually assessing the likelihood of future recovery of regulatory assets and/or a disallowance of part of the cost of recently completed plant, by considering factors such as applicable regulatory environment changes and recent rate orders to other regulated entities in the same jurisdiction. This determination reflects the current political and regulatory climate in Arizona and is subject to change in the future. If future recovery of costs ceases to be probable, the assets would be written off as a charge in current period earnings, except for pension benefits, which would be charged to other comprehensive income and result in lower future earnings. Management judgments also include assessing the impact of potential ACC- or FERC-ordered refunds to customers on regulatory liabilities. We had $1,749 million of regulatory assets and $1,947 million of regulatory liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets at December 31, 2025. See Notes 1 and 8 for more information.
Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefit Accounting
Changes in our actuarial assumptions used in calculating our pension and other postretirement benefit assets, liabilities and expense can have a significant impact on our earnings and financial position. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets (“EROA”), and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. Differences between these actuarial assumptions and actual plan results may create volatility in pension and other postretirement benefit expense. To reduce this volatility, these differences are accumulated and amortized (subject to a corridor of 10% of the greater of plan assets or obligations) as part of the expense over a period of approximately 11 years. Following are the most relevant actuarial assumptions:
Discount Rate. The discount rate is used to measure the plan liability and net periodic cost. For this assumption, we utilize a yield curve produced by our actuary as of December 31st and employ their projections of the future benefit payments to estimate the projected benefit obligation for each plan. This process also yields a single equivalent discount rate that produces the same present value for the projection of estimated benefit payments that is generated by discounting each year’s benefit payments by a spot rate to that year. The spot rates are derived from a yield curve composed of domestic AA rated corporate bonds.
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EROA. The EROA is used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term. For this assumption, we consider historical experience and future expectations of asset classes utilized in the portfolio.
Healthcare Cost Trend Rates. We consider past performance and forecasts of health care costs, and our actuary provides the Company with a medical trend recommendation based on national medical trend, historical claims performance, benchmarking, and plan design changes.
The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2025, reported pension assets and liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2025 reported pension expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on the Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Pension Plans (Assets) Liabilities | Impact on Pension Expense (Benefit) | |||||
| Discount rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (236) | $ | (8) | |||
| Decrease 1% | 279 | 8 | |||||
| EROA: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (19) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 19 |
(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)In general, changes in the discount rate will not typically have symmetrical effects for increases and decreases of the rate. Further, a 1% change in a low discount rate environment will have a larger impact than a 1% change in a high discount rate environment. Therefore, the discount rate sensitivities above cannot necessarily be extrapolated. Additionally, the Pension Plan utilizes a liability-driven strategy for its pension asset portfolio, and the obligation and expense sensitivities shown above do not reflect the offsetting impact that a change in interest rates may have on pension asset values.
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The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2025 other postretirement benefit obligation on the Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2025 reported other postretirement benefit expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Plans (Assets) Liabilities | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Expense (Benefit) | |||||
| Discount rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (33) | $ | (1) | |||
| Decrease 1% | 40 | 2 | |||||
| Healthcare cost trend rate (c): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | 13 | 2 | |||||
| Decrease 1% | (11) | (1) | |||||
| EROA – pretax: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (5) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 5 |
(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)In general, changes in the discount rate will not typically have symmetrical effects for increases and decreases of the rate. Further, a 1% change in a low discount rate environment will have a larger impact than a 1% change in a high discount rate environment. Therefore, the discount rate sensitivities above cannot necessarily be extrapolated.
(c)This assumes a 1% change in the initial and ultimate healthcare cost trend rate.
See Note 9 for further details about our pension and other postretirement benefit plans.
Fair Value Measurements
We account for derivative instruments, investments held in our nuclear decommissioning trusts fund, investments held in our other special use funds, certain cash equivalents, and plan assets held in our retirement and other benefit plans at fair value on a recurring basis. Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We use inputs, or assumptions that market participants would use, to determine fair market value. We utilize valuation techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs. The significance of a particular input determines how the instrument is classified in a fair value hierarchy. The determination of fair value sometimes requires subjective and complex judgment. Our assessment of the inputs and the significance of a particular input to fair value measurement may affect the valuation of the instruments and their placement within a fair value hierarchy. Actual results could differ from our estimates of fair value. See Note 1 for a discussion of accounting policies and Note 17 for fair value measurement disclosures.
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Asset Retirement Obligations
We recognize an ARO for the future decommissioning or retirement of our tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. The ARO liability represents an estimate of the fair value of the current obligation related to decommissioning and the retirement of those assets. ARO measurements inherently involve uncertainty in the amount and timing of settlement of the liability. We use an expected cash flow approach to measure the amount we recognize as an ARO. This approach applies probability weighting to discounted future cash flow scenarios that reflect a range of possible outcomes. The scenarios consider settlement of the ARO at the expiration of the asset’s current license or lease term and expected decommissioning dates. The fair value of an ARO is recognized in the period in which it is incurred. The associated asset retirement costs are capitalized as part of the carrying value of the long-lived asset and are depreciated over the life of the related assets. In addition, we accrete the ARO liability to reflect the passage of time. Changes in these estimates and assumptions could materially affect the amount of the recorded ARO for these assets. In accordance with GAAP accounting, APS accrues removal costs for its regulated utility assets, even if there is no legal obligation for removal.
AROs as of December 31, 2025 are described further in Note 21.
OTHER ACCOUNTING MATTERS
See Note 3 for information relating to the following new accounting standards:
•ASU 2023-09, Income Taxes: Improvements to Income Tax Disclosures, adopted on December 31, 2025. See Note 5.
•ASU 2024-03, Income Statement Reporting: Expense Disaggregation Disclosures, effective for us on December 31, 2027, with early adoption permitted.
•ASU 2025-03, Business Combinations and Consolidation: Determining the Accounting Acquirer in the Acquisition of a VIE, effective for us on January 1, 2027, with early adoption permitted.
•ASU 2025-06, Intangibles—Goodwill and Other—Internal-Use Software: Targeted Improvements to the Accounting for Internal-Use Software, effective for us on January 1, 2028, with early adoption permitted.
•ASU 2025-09, Derivatives and Hedging: Hedge Accounting Improvements, effective for us on January 1, 2027, with early adoption permitted.
•ASU 2025-10, Government Grants: Accounting for Government Grants Received by Business Entities, effective for us on January 1, 2029, with early adoption permitted.
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MARKET AND CREDIT RISKS
Market Risks
Our operations include managing market risks related to changes in interest rates, commodity prices, investments held by our nuclear decommissioning trusts, other special use funds and benefit plan assets.
Interest Rate and Equity Risk
We have exposure to changing interest rates. Changing interest rates will affect interest paid on variable-rate debt and the market value of fixed income securities held by our nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds (see Notes 17 and 18), and benefit plan assets. The nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds and benefit plan assets also have risks associated with the changing market value of their equity and other non-fixed income investments. Nuclear decommissioning, coal reclamation, and benefit plan costs are recovered in regulated electricity prices.
The tables below present contractual balances of our consolidated long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2025 and 2024. If variable interest rates were to increase by 10% from the December 31, 2025, levels, it would not have a material effect on Pinnacle West Consolidated or APS Consolidated annual interest expense. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2025 and 2024 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 3.98 | % | $ | 757 | 5.10 | % | $ | 350 | 2.55 | % | $ | 250 | ||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | % | 825 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | 4.90 | % | 400 | |||||||||||||
| 2029 | — | — | 3.52 | % | 164 | 2.60 | % | 405 | ||||||||||||
| 2030 | — | — | — | — | 5.15 | % | 400 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | % | 7,075 | |||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 757 | $ | 514 | $ | 9,355 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 757 | $ | 514 | $ | 8,651 |
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| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 4.90 | % | $ | 568 | — | $ | — | 1.99 | % | $ | 800 | |||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | 5.88 | % | 350 | 2.55 | % | 250 | ||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | % | 825 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2029 | — | — | 4.01 | % | 164 | 2.60 | % | 405 | ||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | — | 4.31 | % | 6,125 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 568 | $ | 514 | $ | 8,405 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 568 | $ | 514 | $ | 7,405 |
The tables below present contractual balances of APS’s long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2025, and 2024. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2025, and 2024 (dollars in millions):
APS Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 3.83 | % | $ | 507 | — | $ | — | 2.55 | % | $ | 250 | |||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2029 | — | — | 3.52 | % | 164 | 2.60 | % | 405 | ||||||||||||
| 2030 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | % | 7,075 | |||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 507 | $ | 164 | $ | 8,030 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 507 | $ | 164 | $ | 7,269 |
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| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 4.62 | % | $ | 340 | — | $ | — | 3.15 | % | $ | 300 | |||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2029 | — | — | 4.01 | % | 164 | 2.60 | % | 405 | ||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | % | 6,125 | |||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 340 | $ | 164 | $ | 7,380 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 340 | $ | 164 | $ | 6,361 |
Commodity Price Risk
We are exposed to the impact of market fluctuations in the commodity price and transportation costs of electricity and natural gas. Our risk management committee, consisting of officers and key management personnel, oversees company-wide energy risk management activities to ensure compliance with our stated energy risk management policies. We manage risks associated with these market fluctuations by utilizing various commodity instruments that may qualify as derivatives, including futures, forwards, options, and swaps. As part of our risk management program, we use such instruments to hedge purchases and sales of electricity and natural gas. The changes in market value of such contracts have a high correlation to price changes in the hedged commodities.
The following table shows the net pretax changes in mark-to-market of our energy derivative positions (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark-to-market of net positions at beginning of year | $ | (42) | $ | (120) | ||
| Decrease in regulatory asset | 16 | 78 | ||||
| Mark-to-market of net positions at end of year | $ | (26) | $ | (42) |
The table below shows the fair value of maturities of our energy derivative contracts (dollars in millions) at December 31, 2025, by maturities and by the type of valuation that is performed to calculate the fair values, classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. See Note 1, “Derivative Accounting” and “Fair Value Measurements,” for more discussion of our valuation methods.
| Source of Fair Value | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observable prices provided by other external sources | $ | (6) | $ | 6 | $ | (2) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (2) | ||||||||||||
| Prices based on unobservable inputs | (24) | — | — | — | — | (24) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total by maturity | $ | (30) | $ | 6 | $ | (2) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (26) |
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The table below shows the impact that hypothetical price movements of 10% would have on the market value of our risk management assets and liabilities included on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2025Gain (Loss) | December 31, 2024Gain (Loss) | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | |||||||||||
| Mark-to-market changes reported in: | ||||||||||||||
| Regulatory asset (liability) (a) | ||||||||||||||
| Electricity | $ | 3 | $ | (3) | $ | 3 | $ | (3) | ||||||
| Natural gas | 58 | (58) | 75 | (75) | ||||||||||
| Total | $ | 61 | $ | (61) | $ | 78 | $ | (78) |
(a)These contracts are economic hedges of our forecasted purchases of natural gas and electricity. The impact of these hypothetical price movements would substantially offset the impact that these same price movements would have on the physical exposures being hedged. To the extent the amounts are eligible for inclusion in the PSA, the amounts are recorded as either a regulatory asset or liability.
Credit Risk
We are exposed to losses in the event of non-performance or non-payment by counterparties. See Note 13 for a discussion of our credit valuation adjustment policy.
MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000764622-25-000023.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
INTRODUCTION
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Financial Statements and APS’s Consolidated Financial Statements and the related Notes that appear in Item 8 of this report. This discussion provides a comparison of the 2024 results with 2023 results. For the discussion of 2023 compared to 2022, see Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of Pinnacle West Capital Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, which specific discussion is incorporated herein by reference. For information on factors that may cause our actual future results to differ from those we currently seek or anticipate, see “Forward-Looking Statements” at the front of this report and “Risk Factors” in Item 1A.
OVERVIEW
Business Overview
Pinnacle West is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona with consolidated assets of approximately $26 billion. Since 1886, Pinnacle West and our affiliates have provided energy and energy-related products to people and businesses throughout Arizona.
Pinnacle West derives essentially all of our revenues and earnings from our principal subsidiary, APS. APS is Arizona’s largest and longest-serving electric company that generates safe, affordable and reliable electricity for approximately 1.4 million retail customers in 11 of Arizona’s 15 counties. APS is also the operator and co-owner of Palo Verde — a primary source of electricity for the southwestern United States.
Strategic Overview
Our strategy is to create a sustainable energy future for Arizona that delivers shareholder value and shared value by serving our customers with reliable, affordable, and clean energy.
Customer-Focused
APS’s focus remains on its customers and the communities it serves. Accordingly, it is APS’s goal to achieve an industry-leading, best-in-class customer experience. This multi-year objective includes incrementally improving APS’s J.D. Power (“JDP”) residential and business customer satisfaction ratings from the fourth to the top of second quartile for its customers. For 2024, APS ranked at the top of the second quartile for large investor-owned utilities for both business and residential customers, with the residential results being APS’s highest rank and placement since 2016.
In furtherance of a customer-centric culture, APS employees have delivered an enhanced customer experience in recent years through a number of past and ongoing initiatives, such as improving the ease-of-use of APS’s automated phone system, improving the speed of answering customer calls, advancing phone advisor soft skill development through updated training curriculum, and adding 1,100-plus in-person payment locations, as well as introducing new customer payment channels. Recently, APS redesigned its customer bills with the aim of increasing personalization and helping customers better understand their
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energy use and find ways to save. APS also implemented numerous enhancements to its website, including improving page-loading speeds, adding user-friendly dashboards, and making content more simple, relevant, and useful. APS enhanced other customer touchpoints, such as communications throughout outages and the online outage center in addition to continuing to communicate with customers in their preferred channels about topics that matter most to them, such as reliability, energy-efficiency, financial assistance, the environment, and programs that enable them to design their own personalized energy experience. Finally, APS continues to focus on employee learning, training, tools, and resources to ensure all employees understand their role in APS customers’ experiences.
Additionally, APS has implemented a variety of financial assistance programs to support customers struggling to pay their energy bills. Among these assistance programs are discounts for qualified limited-income customers, including a new tier with larger discounts for APS’s lowest income customers added in the second quarter of 2024 and other non-income-based assistance programs, such as flexible payment arrangements and emergency utility bill assistance. To ensure our most vulnerable customers are connected to these programs, we train and partner with more than one hundred community action agencies across our service territory.
Reliable
While our energy mix evolves, APS’s commitment to deliver reliable service to our customers remains. APS is managing through significant growth in the Phoenix metropolitan area while experiencing supply chain issues similar to those experienced in other industries.
Planned investments will support operating and maintaining the grid, updating technology, accommodating customer growth, and enabling more renewable energy resources. To prioritize reliability and meet substantial growth in customer energy needs, APS has developed a future-focused, strategic transmission plan (the “Ten-Year Transmission Plan”). The Ten-Year Transmission Plan includes five critical transmission projects that comprise the APS strategic transmission portfolio, which represent a significant upgrade to our transmission system. These five projects, along with other projects included in the Ten-Year Transmission Plan, will support growing energy needs, strengthen reliability, and allow for the connection of new resources.
Our advanced distribution management system allows operators to locate outages and control line devices remotely and helps them coordinate more closely with field crews to safely maintain an increasingly dynamic grid. The system will also integrate a new meter data management system that will increase grid visibility and give customers access to more of their energy usage data.
Wildfire safety remains a critical focus for APS and other utilities. We have increased investment in fire mitigation efforts to clear defensible space around our infrastructure, continue ongoing system upgrades, build partnerships with government entities and first responders and educate customers and communities. We also increased spend on mitigating the risk associated with trees that could cause hazards, resulting in more of these trees being removed before they could cause outages or wildfires. These programs contribute to customer reliability, responsible forest management and safe communities. With recent wildfire events in Hawaii, California, and across North America, we have been devoting and will continue to devote substantial efforts to analyzing and developing enhancements to our systems and processes to mitigate fire risk within our service territory and communities, including by hardening our infrastructure, deploying new technologies where appropriate, increasing our awareness, implementing operational changes, and enhancing our wildfire response capabilities. APS completed implementation of fire modelling software that we are utilizing to more surgically identify and calculate risk and target future
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system improvement investments such as fire-resistant pole wrapping, wood to steel pole conversions, and additional remote-controllable field devices like reclosers and switches. In 2024, APS began installing a system of artificial intelligence-based fire sensing cameras with the ability to detect and alert on fire ignitions. These alerts are sent both to APS and fire response dispatch centers to speed fire response in APS’s service territory regardless of the cause of the fire. APS also implemented a PSPS program on certain feeders that began in the 2024 fire season, leveraging the additional real-time analysis provided by the new modelling software, and has educated and is continuing education outreach to customers and communities that may potentially be impacted by the PSPS program. APS continues to evaluate policy and regulatory options, as well as insurance programs, to mitigate the impact of wildfire events.
For example, on August 14, 2024, APS filed a request with the ACC for a deferral order that would authorize APS to defer, for future recovery in rates, operations and maintenance expenses associated with wildfire management, including increased insurance costs. APS cannot predict the outcome of this matter. See Note 3 for more information.
Additionally, APS was selected by the DOE’s Grid Deployment Office (“GDO”) to receive up to $70 million in federal money for fire mitigation and grid infrastructure projects. This funding is part of the GDO’s Grid Resilience and Innovation Partnership Program and is contingent on APS negotiating and executing final grant agreements with GDO.
Maintaining reliability and affordability for customers during the clean energy transition is fundamental to APS’s strategy. Dispatchable natural gas generators provide energy during times when intermittent resources, such as solar and wind, are insufficient to meet customer demand. In addition to the previously added natural gas units at the modernized Ocotillo Power Plant in 2019 and efficiency improvements to gas units at the Redhawk, Sundance, and West Phoenix Power Plants in 2024, APS has contracted for two simple cycle combustion turbines (approximately 90 MW in total) at Sundance, which are expected to be in service in 2026, and eight simple cycle combustion turbines (approximately 397 MW in total) at Redhawk, which are expected to be in service in 2028. APS continues to evaluate and pursue options for reliably serving growing customer energy needs and demand.
In October 2021, APS announced plans to evaluate regional market solutions as part of the Western Markets Exploratory Group (“WMEG”). As a member of WMEG, APS explored the potential for a staged approach to new market services, including day-ahead energy sales, transmission system expansion, and other power supply and grid solutions consistent with existing regulations and known and expected market design. APS utilizes the work done by WMEG to help identify market solutions that can help achieve carbon reduction goals while supporting reliable, affordable service for customers.
APS went live with a new Energy Management System (“EMS”) in April 2024. APS expects the new EMS to provide a better foundation which will improve future integration of the renewable and energy storage assets into APS’s generation resource portfolio, allowing APS to maximize the flexibility of its resources and fully engage in the Western Energy Imbalance Market (“WEIM”). APS also believes it will better position APS to participate in market opportunities that develop over the next decade.
APS’s key elements to delivering reliable power include resource and transmission planning, sufficient reserve margins, partnering with customers to manage peak demand, fire mitigation, and operational preparedness, among others. Seasonal readiness procedures at APS include inspections to ensure good material conditions and critical control system surveys. APS also plans for the unexpected by conducting emergency operations drills and coordinating with federal, state, and local agencies on fire and emergency management.
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Affordable
APS continues to focus on mitigating the cost pressures related to inflation and other factors, such as tariffs. Overall inflation grew by 1.6% in Phoenix and 2.9% nationally over the twelve months ended December 2024. Although inflationary impacts to APS began to slow in 2024, APS is still managing the impacts high inflation. Additionally, the implementation of recent and future tariffs could further escalate costs and introduce supply chain constraints.
APS’s customer affordability initiative includes internal opportunities, such as training and mentoring employees on identifying efficiency opportunities; maintaining an inventory to take advantage of lower pricing and avoid expediting fees; entering into long-term contracts to hedge against price volatility, which has allowed APS to mitigate against procurement spend areas such as transformers; and implementing automation technologies to enhance efficiencies and increase data-oriented decision making.
There are also external opportunities under APS’s customer affordability initiative, such as APS’s participation in the WEIM. WEIM continues to be a tool for creating savings for APS’s customers from the real-time, voluntary market. APS continues to expect that its participation in WEIM will lower its fuel and purchased-power costs, improve situational awareness for system operations in the Western Interconnection power grid, and improve integration of APS’s renewable resources. APS participated in market design and tariff development of Markets+, a day-ahead and real-time market offering from Southwest Power Pool (“SPP”). The Markets+ tariff was filed with FERC on March 29, 2024 and was approved on January 16, 2025. APS announced a market decision to pursue participation in SPP Markets+. In addition, APS is participating in the Western Resource Adequacy Program administered by Western Power Pool and is transitioning to full binding participation as early as summer 2027. These regional efforts are driven by the objectives of reducing customer cost and improving reliability.
In terms of generation affordability, every three years, APS performs a comprehensive study, called an Integrated Resource Plan (“IRP”), to identify what resources will be necessary to safely and reliably meet the demand and energy needs of its customers over the next 15 years. In November 2023, APS released its latest IRP, which identified forecasted customer demand and energy needs growing at an unprecedented rate. In developing the IRP, APS considered how factors such as forecasted economic growth, impacts from weather, and new resource technology availability impact the amount and type of resources required to reliably meet customer needs. These factors, among others, were used to develop a plan that identified a balanced mix of diverse energy generating resources to reliably serve customers’ future energy needs in the most affordable and sustainable manner possible. To help ensure competitive costs for resources procured by APS, APS regularly issues competitive bid solicitations through the ASRFP process, with the most recent ASRFPs being issued in 2022, 2023, and 2024. These ASRFPs are open to bids for all resource types, including customer-scale (behind the meter) and utility-scale (in front of the meter) resources. Through the ASRFP process, APS has found that clean resources like wind, solar, and energy storage technology, are important elements of a least cost portfolio. During the clean energy transition, dispatchable resources will play a vital role in maintaining grid reliability by serving as a back-up to intermittent energy resources when output is insufficient to meet customer needs. Over the long term, each resource in a balanced and diverse portfolio is expected to provide complementary value and contribute to sustained delivery of reliable electric service.
In addition to managing the cost of electricity generation, APS has continued building upon existing cost management efforts, including a customer affordability initiative launched in 2019. The initiative was implemented company-wide to thoughtfully and deliberately assess our business processes
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and organizational approaches to completing high-value work and achieving internal efficiencies. APS continues to drive this initiative by identifying opportunities to streamline its business processes, mitigate cost increases, increase employee retention, and improve customer satisfaction.
Clean Energy Commitment
We are committed to doing our part to build a clean and carbon-free future. As Arizona stewards, we do what is right for the people and prosperity of Arizona. Our vision is to create a sustainable energy future for Arizona by providing reliable, affordable, and clean energy to our customers. We can accomplish our vision by collaborating with customers, communities, employees, policymakers, shareholders, and other stakeholders. Our clean energy commitment is based on sound science and supports continued growth and economic development while maintaining reliability and affordable prices for APS’s customers.
APS’s clean energy commitment consists of three parts:
•A 2050 goal to provide 100% clean, carbon-free electricity;
•A 2030 target to achieve a resource mix that is 65% clean energy, with 45% of the generation portfolio coming from renewable energy; and
•A plan to exit from coal-fired generation by 2031.
APS’s ability to successfully execute its clean energy commitment depends upon a number of important external factors, including a supportive regulatory environment, sales and customer growth, development of clean energy technologies, and continued access to capital markets, among others.
2050 Goal: 100% Clean, Carbon-Free Electricity. Achieving a fully clean, carbon-free energy mix by 2050 is our aspiration. Achieving this 2050 goal will require, among other things, innovative thinking, emergent clean energy and storage technologies, upgrades and expansions to the grid, and supportive public policy.
2030 Goal: 65% Clean Energy. APS has an energy mix that is already more than 50% clean and plans to continue to add more renewables and energy storage. By building on those plans, APS intends to attain an energy mix that is 65% clean by 2030, with 45% of APS’s generation portfolio coming from renewable energy. “Clean” is measured as percent of energy mix, which includes all carbon-free resources like nuclear, renewables, and demand-side management. “Renewable” energy includes generation resources such as solar, wind, and biomass, and is measured in accordance with the ACC Renewable Energy Standard as a percentage of retail sales. This target will serve as a checkpoint for our resource planning, investment strategy, and customer affordability efforts as APS moves toward a 100% clean, carbon-free energy mix by 2050.
2031 Goal: Exit Coal-Fired Generation. The plan to exit coal-fired generation by 2031 will require APS to stop relying on coal-generation at Four Corners. APS has permanently retired more than 1,000 MW of coal-fired electric generating capacity. These closures and other measures taken by APS have resulted in annual carbon emissions that were 36% lower in 2023 compared to 2005. In addition, APS has committed to end the use of coal at its remaining Cholla units during 2025.
In June 2021, APS and the owners of Four Corners entered into an agreement that would allow Four Corners to operate seasonally at the election of the owners as early as fall 2023, subject to the
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necessary governmental approvals and conditions associated with changes in plant ownership. Under seasonal operation, one generating unit would be shut down during seasons where electricity demand is reduced, such as the winter and spring. The other unit would remain online year-round, subject to market conditions as well as planned maintenance outages and unplanned outages. As of the date of this report, APS has elected not to begin seasonal operation due to market conditions.
Renewables. APS’s IRP identifies a diverse mix of resources adequate to maintain grid reliability while serving increasing future customer energy needs. Our IRP shows that renewable and clean resources are an important part of a reliable, cost effective portfolio. APS seeks market-based pricing of procured resources through regular solicitation of project bids using its competitive ASRFP process.
APS has a diverse portfolio of existing and planned resources, including solar, wind, energy storage, nuclear, geothermal, biomass and biogas, that supports our commitment to clean energy. This commitment is already strengthened by Palo Verde, one of the nation’s largest carbon-free, clean energy resources, which provides the foundation for reliable and affordable service for APS customers. APS’s longer-term clean energy strategy includes pursuing the right mix of purchased power contracts for new resources, procurement of new resources to be owned by APS, and the ongoing development of distributed energy resources. Maintaining a balanced and diverse portfolio of resources will ensure continued reliable service to our customers in the most affordable manner possible.
APS uses competitive ASRFPs to pursue market-priced resources that meet its system needs and offer the best value for customers. APS selects projects based on cost, ability to meet system requirements and commercial viability, taking into consideration timing and likelihood of successful contracting and development. Under current market conditions, APS must aggressively contract for resources that can withstand supply chain and other geopolitical pressures. Guided by IRP-established timelines and quantities, APS maintains a flexible approach that allows it to optimize system reliability and customer affordability through the ASRFP process. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions, including successful siting, permitting and interconnection to the electric grid.
On June 30, 2023, APS issued an ASRFP (the “2023 ASRFP”) pursuant to which APS procured nearly 7,300 MW of new resources to be in service from 2026 to 2028.
On November 20, 2024, APS issued an ASRFP (the “2024 ASRFP”) seeking 2,000 MW of resources. APS is seeking projects that can reach commercial operation beginning June 1, 2028 through June 1, 2030 but will consider projects that may achieve commercial operation as early as 2026. Additionally, APS is interested in projects that require longer planning, permitting, and construction and can be commercially operational after June 1, 2030. Bids for the 2024 ASRFP were due on February 5, 2025.
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The following table summarizes the resources in APS’s renewable energy portfolio that are in operation, planned or under development as of the date of this report. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions, including successful siting, permitting, and interconnection of the projects to the electric grid.
| Net Capacity in Operation (MW) | Net Capacity Planned / Under Development (MW) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total APS Owned: Solar | 416 | 168 | ||||
| PPAs Renewables: | ||||||
| Solar | 585 | 3,321 | ||||
| Wind | 853 | 500 | ||||
| Geothermal | 10 | — | ||||
| Biomass | 14 | — | ||||
| Biogas | 3 | — | ||||
| Total PPAs | 1,465 | 3,821 | ||||
| Total Distributed Energy: Solar (a) | 1,727 | 63 | (b) | |||
| Total Renewable Portfolio | 3,608 | 4,052 |
(a) Includes rooftop solar facilities owned by third parties. DG is produced in direct current and is converted to alternating current for reporting purposes.
(b) Applications received by APS that are not yet installed and online.
Energy Storage. APS deploys a number of advanced technologies on its system, including energy storage. Energy storage provides capacity, improves power quality, can be utilized for system regulation and, in certain circumstances, be used to defer certain traditional infrastructure investments. Energy storage also aids in integrating renewable generation by storing excess energy when system demand is low and renewable production is high and then releasing the stored energy during peak demand hours later in the day and after sunset. APS is utilizing grid-scale energy storage projects to meet customer reliability requirements, increase renewable utilization, and to further our understanding of how storage works with other advanced technologies and the grid.
The following table summarizes the resources in APS’s energy storage portfolio that are in operation, planned or under development as of the date of this report. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions.
| Net Capacity in Operation (MW) | Net Capacity Planned / Under Development (MW) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| APS Owned Energy Storage | 201 | (a) | 150 |
| PPAs Energy Storage | 405 | 5,087 | |
| Customer-Sited Energy Storage | 62 | 51 | |
| Total Energy Storage Portfolio | 668 | 5,288 |
(a) Includes 0.3 MW of APS-owned customer-sited energy storage.
Palo Verde. Palo Verde, one of the nation’s largest carbon-free, clean energy resources, will continue to be a foundational part of APS’s resource portfolio. Palo Verde is not just the cornerstone of our current clean energy mix; it also is a significant provider of clean energy to the southwestern United States. The plant is a critical asset to the Southwest, generating more than 32 million MWh annually –
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enough power for roughly 3.4 million households, or approximately 8.5 million people. Its continued operation is important to a carbon-free and clean energy future for Arizona and the region, as a reliable, continuous, affordable resource and as a large contributor to the local economy.
Developing Clean Energy Technologies
New Nuclear Generation
APS, along with other Arizona electric utilities, is exploring new nuclear generation to provide around-the-clock carbon-free energy to meet rising energy demands in Arizona. APS has been monitoring emerging nuclear technologies, such as small modular nuclear reactors (“SMRs”). SMRs are typically designed to generate 300 MW or less of energy per unit compared to, for example, the 1,400 MW per unit generated at Palo Verde. The utilities have applied for a grant from the DOE to begin preliminary exploration of a potential site for additional nuclear energy for Arizona. The grant could support a three-year site selection process and possible preparation of an early site permit application to NRC.
Electric Vehicles
As a part of the statewide transportation electrification plan (“TE Plan”) adopted in 2021, the ACC approved a target of 450,000 light-duty electric vehicles (“EVs”) in APS’s service territory by 2030. APS’s Take Charge AZ (“TCAZ”) program has helped to deploy Level 2 EV charging stations on customer properties for fleet, public, and workplace EV charging. As of December 31, 2024, APS has installed 829 energized Level 2 charging ports at 197 customer locations. Additionally, APS has energized direct current fast charging stations that are owned and operated by APS at five locations in Arizona: Sedona, Prescott, Globe, Show Low, and Payson. Effective December 12, 2023, the TCAZ program was discontinued by the ACC. As part of that decision, APS was permitted to complete certain projects that were in process as of December 12, 2023.
Additionally, as part of APS’s DSM Implementation Plan, APS launched the EV Charging Demand Management Pilot to proactively address the growing electric demand from charging as EVs become more widely adopted. The EV programs in the DSM Implementation Plan include APS SmartCharge (an EV data gathering program), Fleet Advisory Services, and a $100 rebate to home builders for new homes to be built EV-ready with 240V receptacle. APS previously offered a $250 residential rebate to customers that purchased a qualifying home Level 2 charger. Effective December 12, 2023, APS discontinued this rebate per the ACC decision. See the discussion above.
APS filed its 2024 DSM Implementation Plan on November 30, 2023. The 2024 DSM Implementation Plan includes APS’s 2024 TE Plan and, among other things, proposes two new programs that were initially proposed in the 2023 DSM Implementation Plan: an expanded residential EV Managed Charging program and a Commercial EV Make-Ready Program. On April 26, 2024, APS filed an amended 2024 DSM Implementation Plan. The amended 2024 DSM Implementation Plan includes an updated budget of $90.9 million to reflect removal of incentive funds for the Level 2 Smart Charger rebate within the EV Charging Demand Management Pilot, an update on the performance incentive calculation, and the withdrawal of tranches two and three of the residential battery pilot. The amended 2024 DSM Plan is still pending ACC review and approval. APS will not file a 2025 DSM Implementation Plan, pending ACC review of the amended 2024 DSM Implementation Plan. APS cannot predict the outcome of this proceeding.
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Carbon Capture
Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage (“CCUS”) technologies can isolate CO2 and either sequester it permanently in geologic formations or convert it for use in products. Currently, almost all existing fossil fuel generators do not control carbon emissions the way they control emissions of other air pollutants such as sulfur dioxide or oxides of nitrogen. CCUS technologies are still in the demonstration phase and while they show promise, they are still being tested in real-world conditions. These technologies could offer the potential to keep in operation existing generators that otherwise would need to be retired. APS will continue to monitor this emerging technology.
Sustainability Practices
In 2020, in support of our clean energy commitment and the growing focus on sustainability within our organization, we increased our focus on sustainability by dedicating a new Sustainability Department at Pinnacle West responsible for integrating responsible business practices into the everyday work of the Company.
In 2024, the Sustainability Department engaged an external consultant and leveraged input from employees, large customers, limited-income advocates, economic development groups, tribes, nonprofits, environmental non-governmental organizations, residential customers, and other stakeholders to identify and assess the sustainability issues that matter most. In total, 15 Priority Sustainability Issues (“PSIs”) were identified and prioritized. The top five issues that were prioritized by stakeholders are as follows: energy affordability, electric reliability, clean energy and decarbonization, workforce development, and climate resilience and adaptation. Understanding the sustainability priorities of internal and external stakeholders can help companies improve performance, identify risks and opportunities, and refine sustainability strategy.
Finally, the Company maintains an annual Corporate Responsibility Report on the Pinnacle West website (www.pinnaclewest.com/corporate-responsibility). The report provides information related to the Company’s sustainability practices and performance. The information on Pinnacle West’s website, including the Corporate Responsibility Report, is not incorporated by reference into or otherwise a part of this report.
Artificial Intelligence
To address the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence technology risks and opportunities, APS has developed a cross functional governance structure with leadership and experts from our information technology, cybersecurity, human resources, ethics, supply chain, legal, and nuclear generation teams. This cross functional structure assesses the opportunities and risks in alignment with enterprise strategy to ensure compliance with data security and reliability requirements as well as our Code of Ethical Conduct, while observing market trends in this rapidly evolving area.
Regulatory Overview
APS expects to file an application with the ACC for its next general rate case mid-year 2025 and is continuing to evaluate the timing of such filing.
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2022 Retail Rate Case
APS filed an application with the ACC on October 28, 2022 (the “2022 Rate Case”) seeking an increase in annual retail base rates.
On January 25, 2024, an Administrative Law Judge issued a ROO in the 2022 Rate Case, as corrected on February 6, 2024 (the “2022 Rate Case ROO”). The 2022 Rate Case ROO recommended, among other things, (i) a $523.1 million increase in the annual base rate revenue requirement, (ii) a 9.55% return on equity, (iii) a 0.25% return on the increment of fair value rate base greater than original cost, (iv) an effective fair value rate of return of 4.36%, (v) 12 months of post-test year plant and the inclusion of the Four Corners Effluent Limitations Guideline (“ELG”) project, (vi) the approval of APS’s System Reliability Benefit (“SRB”) proposal with certain procedural and other modifications, (vii) no additional Coal Community Transition (“CCT”) funding, (viii) a 5.0% return on the prepaid pension asset and a return of 5.35% on the OPEB liability, and (ix) no disallowances on APS’s coal contracts.
The 2022 Rate Case ROO also recommended a number of changes to existing adjustors, including (i) the approval of modified DSM performance incentives and the requested DSM transfer to base rates, (ii) the retention of $1.9 million of Renewable Energy Adjustment Charge (“REAC”) in the adjustor rather than base rates, (iii) a partial transfer of $27.1 million of LFCR funds to base rates, and (iv) the adoption of an increase in the annual PSA cap to $0.006/kWh.
On February 22, 2024, the ACC approved a number of amendments to the 2022 Rate Case ROO that resulted in, among other things, (i) an approximately $491.7 million increase in the annual base revenue requirement, (ii) a 9.55% return on equity, (iii) a 0.25% return on the increment of fair value rate base greater than original cost, (iv) an effective fair value rate of return of 4.39%, (v) a return set at the Company’s weighted average cost of capital on the net prepaid pension asset and net other post-employment benefit liability in rate base, (vi) an adjustment to generation maintenance and outage expense to reflect a more reasonable level of test year costs, (vii) approval of the SRB mechanism with modifications to customer notifications, procedural timelines and the inclusion of any qualifying technology and fuel source bid received through an ASRFP, and (viii) recovery of all DSM costs through the DSM Adjustment Charge (“DSMAC”) rather than through base rates.
The ACC’s decision results in an expected total net annual revenue increase for APS of approximately $253.4 million and a roughly 8% increase to the typical residential customer’s bill. The ACC issued the final order for the 2022 Rate Case on March 5, 2024, with the new rates becoming effective for all service rendered on or after March 8, 2024.
Six intervenors and the Attorney General of Arizona requested rehearing on various issues included in the ACC’s decision, such as the grid access charge (“GAC”) for solar customers, the SRB, and CCT funding. On April 15, 2024, the ACC granted, in part, the rehearing applications of the Attorney General, Arizona Solar Energy Industries Association, Solar Energy Industries Association, and Vote Solar specifically to review whether the GAC rate is just and reasonable, including whether it should be higher or lower, whether the GAC rate constitutes a discriminatory fee to solar customers, and whether omission of a GAC charge is discriminatory to non-solar customers. All other applications for rehearing were denied. A limited rehearing was held October 28 through November 1. Following the limited rehearing, an Administrative Law Judge issued a ROO (the “Limited Rehearing ROO”) on December 3, 2024. The Limited Rehearing ROO recommended affirming the GAC as just and reasonable and that the GAC is not discriminatory to solar customers and the absence of a GAC is not discriminatory to non-solar customers. On December 17, 2024, the ACC approved the Limited Rehearing ROO with an amendment that requires
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APS in its next rate case to propose a revenue allocation based on a site-load cost of service study in order to bring further parity in revenue collection between solar and non-solar customers. SEIA, AriSEIA, Vote Solar, the Arizona Attorney General, and two individual customers have filed requests for rehearing of the Commission’s December 17, 2024 decision on the rehearing. The Commission has taken no action on these requests. In addition, each of these parties have subsequently filed notices of appeal to the Arizona Court of Appeals seeking review of the Commission’s decisions regarding the GAC and on rehearing. APS cannot predict the outcome of these proceedings.
2019 Retail Rate Case
On October 31, 2019, APS filed an application with the ACC (the “2019 Rate Case”) for an annual increase in retail base rates. On August 2, 2021, an Administrative Law Judge issued a ROO in the 2019 Rate Case (the “2019 Rate Case ROO”) and issued corrections on September 10 and September 20, 2021. Subsequently, the ACC approved an amended 2019 Rate Case ROO on November 2, 2021.
After the 2019 Rate Case decision, APS filed an application for rehearing of the 2019 Rate Case and later filed a Notice of Direct Appeal by APS at the Arizona Court of Appeals, requesting review of certain matters from the 2019 Rate Case decision. The Arizona Court of Appeals affirmed in part and reversed in part the ACC’s decision in the 2019 Rate Case, remanding the issue to the ACC for further proceedings. On June 14, 2023, APS and the ACC Legal Division filed a joint resolution with the ACC to allow recovery of $215.5 million in costs related to the installation of the Four Corners selective catalytic reduction (“SCR”) project, a reversal of the 20 basis points reduction to APS’s return on equity from 8.9% to 8.7% as a result of the 2019 Rate Case decision, and recovery of $59.6 million in revenue lost by APS between December 2021 and June 20, 2023. The joint resolution provides for a new Court Resolution Surcharge (“CRS”) mechanism, which is designed to recover the $59.6 million in revenue lost by APS between December 2021 and June 20, 2023, and the prospective recovery of ongoing costs related to the SCR investments and expense and the allowable return on equity difference in current base rates. On June 21, 2023, the ACC approved the joint resolution and proposals therein for recovery through the CRS mechanism, which became effective on July 1, 2023. As of December 31, 2024, $26.2 million of the $59.6 million of lost revenue has been recovered. Finally, the CRS tariff has been updated to account for changes to return on equity and depreciation and deferral adjustments approved in Decision No. 79293 in the 2022 Rate Case.
Regulatory Lag Docket
On January 5, 2023, the ACC opened a new docket to explore the possibility of modifications to the ACC’s historical test year rules. The ACC requested comments and held two workshops exploring ways to reduce regulatory lag, including alternative ratemaking structures such as future test years, hybrid test years, and formula rates. On December 3, 2024, the ACC approved a policy statement regarding formula rate plans. The policy statement allows regulated utilities to propose formula rate plans in future rate cases. Proposed plans must be based on a historical test year, include an annual update with a true-up and an earnings test to ensure a utility earns within a 20 basis points band of its authorized return on equity. Proposed plans should also include an annual meeting and challenge periods for stakeholder feedback. Utilities that implement formula rates also must file a full rate case at least every five years unless an alternate schedule is set by the ACC. APS cannot predict the outcome of this matter.
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Cholla
On August 14, 2024, APS filed a request with the ACC for a deferral order associated with unrecovered book value and closure costs of the remaining Cholla units. This order would authorize APS to defer, for future recovery in rates, both the expenses necessary to close and decommission coal-fired power plant infrastructure at Cholla, including legally required site environmental remediation, CCR corrective actions, the closure of CCR management facilities, and any unrecovered plant investment and operating costs incurred through and after April 2025. APS cannot predict the outcome of this matter.
Fire Mitigation
On August 14, 2024, APS filed a request with the ACC for a deferral order that would authorize APS to defer, for future recovery in rates, operations and maintenance expenses associated with wildfire management, including increased insurance costs. APS cannot predict the outcome of this matter.
See Note 3 for information regarding additional regulatory matters.
Captive Insurance Cell
Pinnacle West is the primary beneficiary of a protected cell captive insurance company. The Captive provides insurance coverage to Pinnacle West and our subsidiaries that supplements third-party insurance policies. The Captive insures Pinnacle West and its subsidiaries for terrorism coverage, excess liability including certain wildfire coverage, excess property insurance, and excess employment practice liability. The Captive policies exclude nuclear liability at Palo Verde. See Note 10. The Captive may hold investment assets in cash, cash equivalents, and equity and fixed income instruments.
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022
The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (“IRA”) significantly expands the availability of tax credits for investments in clean energy generation technologies and energy storage. Key provisions that are relevant to APS’s clean energy commitment include (i) an extension of tax credits for solar and wind generation, including a new option for solar investments to claim a Production Tax Credit (“PTC”) in lieu of the Investment Tax Credit (“ITC”) beginning in 2022; (ii) expansion of the ITC to cover stand-alone energy storage technology beginning in 2023; (iii) introduction of technology neutral clean energy ITCs and PTCs beginning in 2025; and (iv) introduction of a new PTC for nuclear energy produced by existing nuclear energy plants, available from 2024 through 2032. The Internal Revenue Service and U.S. Treasury Department have issued preliminary guidance related to various provisions of the IRA that have enabled APS to claim credits related to its solar and energy storage investments. The Company continues to await regulations and other guidance, including with respect to the nuclear PTC, which will provide additional details and clarifications regarding how the Company may be able to claim IRA tax credits. See Note 4 for more information.
The prospects for federal tax reform, including potential modification or repeal of the IRA tax provisions, have increased due to the results of the 2024 election. Any such reform may impact the availability of future potential tax benefits from the IRA and could impact the Company’s effective tax rate, cash taxes paid and other financial results such as earnings per share, gross revenues, and cash flows. We cannot predict the timing or extent of such tax-related developments which, absent appropriate regulatory treatment, may have a negative impact on our financial results.
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Financial Strength and Flexibility
Pinnacle West and APS currently have ample borrowing capacity under their respective credit facilities and may readily access these facilities ensuring adequate liquidity for each company. Capital expenditures will be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Other Subsidiaries
PNW Power. On August 4, 2023, Pinnacle West entered into a purchase and sale agreement pursuant to which we agreed to sell all of our equity interest in our wholly-owned subsidiary BCE to Ameresco (the “BCE Sale”). The transaction was accounted for as the sale of a business and closed in multiple stages. The final closing of the BCE Sale was completed on January 12, 2024. See Note 20 for additional details. Certain investments and assets that BCE previously held, including the TransCanyon joint venture and holdings in the two Tenaska wind farm investments, were not included in the BCE Sale and were instead transferred to PNW Power, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Pinnacle West.
PNW Power’s investments include TransCanyon, a 50/50 joint venture that was formed in 2014 with BHE U.S. Transmission LLC, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Energy Company. TransCanyon is pursuing independent electric transmission opportunities within the 11 U.S. states that comprise the Western Interconnection, excluding opportunities related to transmission service that would otherwise be provided under the tariffs of the retail service territories of the venture partners’ utility affiliates. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Grid Deployment Office selected TransCanyon to enter into capacity contract negotiations for up to 25% of the Cross-Tie 500-kilovolt transmission line (“Cross-Tie”) as part of the Transmission Facilitation Program. The agreement was executed on June 12, 2024. The proposed Cross-Tie project includes a 214-mile transmission line connecting Utah and Nevada that is intended to help improve grid reliability and relieve congestion on other transmission lines.
PNW Power’s investments also include minority ownership positions in two wind farms operated by Tenaska Energy, Inc. and Tenaska Energy Holdings, LLC, the 242 MW Clear Creek and the 250 MW Nobles 2 wind farms. Clear Creek achieved commercial operation in May 2020; however, in the fourth quarter of 2022, PNW Power’s equity method investment was fully impaired. Nobles 2 achieved commercial operation in December 2020. Both wind farms deliver power under long-term PPAs. PNW Power indirectly owns 9.9% of Clear Creek and 5.1% of Nobles 2.
El Dorado. El Dorado is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Pinnacle West. El Dorado owns debt investments and minority interests in several energy-related investments and Arizona community-based ventures. In particular, El Dorado has committed to the following:
•$25 million investment in the Energy Impact Partners fund, of which approximately $18.8 million has been funded as of December 31, 2024. Energy Impact Partners is an organization that focuses on fostering innovation and supporting the transformation of the utility industry.
•$25 million investment in AZ-VC (formerly invisionAZ Fund), of which approximately $11.8 million has been funded as of December 31, 2024. AZ-VC is a fund focused on analyzing, investing, managing, and otherwise dealing with investments in privately-held early stage and emerging growth technology companies and businesses primarily based in Arizona, or based in
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other jurisdictions and having existing or potential strategic or economic ties to companies or other interests in Arizona.
•$7.5 million investment in Westly Seed Fund, of which approximately $1.2 million has been funded as of December 31, 2024. Westly Seed Fund is focused on supporting entrepreneurs involved in the energy, mobility, building, and industrial sectors.
•Equity investment in SAI Advanced Power Solutions (“SAI”), a private corporation that manufactures electrical switchgear equipment used by data centers. El Dorado accounts for this investment under the equity method, with a December 31, 2024 investment carrying value of zero. SAI has seen an increased demand for their customized switchgear products. El Dorado has no funding commitments to SAI.
The remainder of these investment commitments will be contributed by El Dorado as each investment fund selects and makes investments.
Key Financial Drivers
In addition to the continuing impact of the matters described above, many factors influence our financial results and our future financial outlook, including those listed below. We closely monitor these factors to plan for the Company’s current needs, and to adjust our expectations, financial budgets and forecasts appropriately.
Electric Operating Revenues. For the years 2022 through 2024, retail electric revenues comprised approximately 92% of our total operating revenues. Our electric operating revenues are affected by customer growth or decline, variations in weather from period to period, customer mix, average usage per customer and the impacts of energy efficiency programs, distributed energy additions, electricity rates and tariffs, the recovery of PSA deferrals and the operation of other recovery mechanisms. These revenue transactions are affected by the availability of excess generation or other energy resources and wholesale market conditions, including competition, demand, and prices.
Actual and Projected Customer and Sales Growth. Retail customers in APS’s service territory increased 2.1% for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared with the prior-year period. For the three years through 2024, APS’s customer growth averaged 2.1% per year. We currently project annual customer growth to be 1.5% to 2.5% for 2025 and the average annual growth to be in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2027 based on anticipated steady population growth in Arizona during that period.
Retail electricity sales in kWh, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations, increased 5.7% for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared with the prior-year period. While steady customer growth was somewhat offset by weaker usage among residential customers, energy savings driven by customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable generation initiatives, the main drivers of positive sales for this period were continued strong sales to commercial and industrial customers and the ramp-up of new data center and large manufacturing customers.
For the three years through 2024, annual retail electricity sales growth averaged 3.2%, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations. Due to the expected growth of several large data centers and new large manufacturing facilities, we currently project that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% for 2025 and that average annual growth will be in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% through 2027, including the effects of customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable
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generation initiatives, but excluding the effects of weather variations. These projected sales growth ranges include the impacts of several large data centers and new large manufacturing facilities, which are expected to contribute to 2025 growth in the range of 3.0% to 5.0% and to average annual growth in the range of 3.0% to 5.0% through 2027.
Longer term, APS has been preparing for and can serve significant load growth from residential and business customers. On top of these existing growth trends, APS is also now receiving unprecedented incremental requests for service from extra-large commercial energy users (over 25 MW) with very high energy demands that persist virtually around-the-clock. These incremental requests for service by extra-large energy users far exceed available generation and transmission resource capacity in the Southwest region for the foreseeable future. In April 2023, APS notified prospective extra-large customers without existing commitments from APS that it is not able to commit at this time to future extra-large projects of over 25 MW. Because of the high growth in demand for such projects, APS has developed a prioritization queue that identifies and prioritizes projects while maintaining system reliability and affordability for existing APS customers. APS is exploring available options for securing sufficient electric generation and transmission to meet these projections of future customer needs.
Actual sales growth, excluding weather-related variations, may differ from our projections as a result of numerous factors, such as economic conditions, customer growth, usage patterns and energy conservation, slower ramp-up of and/or fewer data centers and large manufacturing facilities, slower than expected commercial and industrial expansions, impacts of energy efficiency programs and growth in DG, responses to retail price changes, changes in regulatory standards, and impacts of new and existing laws and regulations, including environmental laws and regulations. Based on past experience, a 1% variation in our annual residential and small commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $24 million, and a 1% variation in our annual large commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $6 million.
Weather. In forecasting the retail sales growth numbers provided above, we assume normal weather patterns based on historical data. Our experience indicates that typical variations from normal weather can result in increases and decreases in annual net income of up to $20 million. However, since 2020, extreme weather events, such as record-setting summer heat and decreased annual precipitation in our service territory, have resulted in increases in annual net income that are more than historically typical, on average.
Fuel and Purchased Power Costs. Fuel and purchased power costs included on our Consolidated Statements of Income are impacted by our electricity sales volumes, existing contracts for purchased power and generation fuel, our power plant performance, transmission availability or constraints, prevailing market prices, new generating plants being placed in service in our market areas, changes in our generation resource allocation, our hedging program for managing such costs and PSA deferrals and the related amortization.
Operations and Maintenance Expenses. Operations and maintenance expenses are impacted by customer and sales growth, power plant operations, maintenance of utility plant (including generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), inflation, unplanned outages, planned outages (typically scheduled in the spring and fall), renewable energy and DSM related expenses (which are mostly offset by the same amount of operating revenues) and other factors.
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Depreciation and Amortization Expenses. Depreciation and amortization expenses are impacted by net additions to utility plant and other property (such as new generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), and increases in intangible assets and changes in depreciation and amortization rates. See “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below for information regarding the planned additions to our facilities.
Pension and Other Postretirement Non-Service Credits, Net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits can be impacted by changes in our actuarial assumptions. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate used to measure our net periodic costs/credit, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term, the mortality assumptions and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary. See Note 7.
Property Taxes. Taxes other than income taxes consist primarily of property taxes, which are affected by changes in plant balances related to new investments and improvements to existing facilities, the value of property in service and under construction, assessment ratios, and tax rates. The average property tax rate in Arizona for APS, which owns essentially all of our property, was 9.7% of the assessed value for 2024, 10.0% for 2023, and 10.2% for 2022. Property taxes increased in 2024 due to higher plant balances related to expansion and improvements on our existing generation, transmission, and distribution facilities, partially offset by legislative changes reducing both property tax assessment ratios and rates in Arizona.
Income Taxes. Income taxes are affected by the amount of pretax book income, income tax rates, certain deductions, and non-taxable items, such as AFUDC. In addition, income taxes may also be affected by the settlement of issues with taxing authorities.
Interest Expense. Interest expense is affected by the amount of debt outstanding and the interest rates on that debt. See Note 6 for further details. The primary factors affecting borrowing levels are expected to be our capital expenditures, long-term debt maturities, equity issuances and internally generated cash flow. An allowance for borrowed funds used during construction offsets a portion of interest expense while capital projects are under construction. We stop accruing AFUDC on a project when it is placed into service.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Pinnacle West’s reportable business segment is our regulated electricity segment, which consists of traditional regulated retail and wholesale electricity businesses (primarily electric service to Native Load customers) and related activities and includes electricity generation, transmission, and distribution. Our reportable segment activities are conducted through our wholly-owned subsidiary, APS. All other operating segment activities are insignificant to Pinnacle West.
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Operating Results – 2024 compared with 2023
Our consolidated net income attributable to common shareholders for the year ended
December 31, 2024, was $609 million, compared with consolidated net income attributable to common shareholders of $502 million for the prior-year period. The results reflect an increase of approximately $107 million, primarily as a result of the impacts of new customer rates, increased customer usage and growth, the effects of weather, and higher CRS revenue and LFCR revenue. These positive factors were partially offset by higher operations and maintenance expense, higher depreciation and amortization expense mostly due to increased plant and intangible assets, higher interest charges, net of AFUDC, higher income taxes and lower transmission revenues.
The following table presents net income attributable to common shareholders compared with the prior year for Pinnacle West consolidated and for APS consolidated:
| Pinnacle West Consolidated | APS Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year Ended December 31, | Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 2023 | Net Change | 2024 | 2023 | Net Change | |||||||||||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Operating revenues | $ | 5,125 | $ | 4,696 | $ | 429 | $ | 5,125 | $ | 4,696 | $ | 429 | ||||||||||
| Fuel and purchased power expense | (1,823) | (1,793) | (30) | (1,823) | (1,793) | (30) | ||||||||||||||||
| Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses | 3,302 | 2,903 | 399 | 3,302 | 2,903 | 399 | ||||||||||||||||
| Operations and maintenance | (1,165) | (1,059) | (106) | (1,159) | (1,044) | (115) | ||||||||||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | (895) | (794) | (101) | (895) | (794) | (101) | ||||||||||||||||
| Taxes other than income taxes | (227) | (224) | (3) | (227) | (224) | (3) | ||||||||||||||||
| Allowance for equity funds used during construction | 39 | 53 | (14) | 39 | 53 | (14) | ||||||||||||||||
| Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net | 49 | 41 | 8 | 49 | 42 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||
| Other income and expenses, net | 11 | 7 | 4 | (11) | 7 | (18) | ||||||||||||||||
| Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction | (377) | (331) | (46) | (312) | (285) | (27) | ||||||||||||||||
| Income taxes | (111) | (77) | (34) | (127) | (94) | (33) | ||||||||||||||||
| Less income related to noncontrolling interests | (17) | (17) | — | (17) | (17) | — | ||||||||||||||||
| Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders | $ | 609 | $ | 502 | $ | 107 | $ | 642 | $ | 547 | $ | 95 |
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Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses. Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses were $399 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared with the prior-year period. The following table summarizes the major components of this change:
| Increase (Decrease) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | Fuel and purchased power expenses | Net change | ||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | ||||||||||
| Impact of new rates from the 2022 Rate Case, effective March 8, 2024 (Note 3) | $ | 260 | $ | — | $ | 260 | ||||
| Higher retail revenue due to changes in usage patterns and customer growth partially offset by the impacts of energy efficiency and related pricing | 112 | 55 | 57 | |||||||
| Effects of weather | 76 | 23 | 53 | |||||||
| CRS revenue (Note 3) | 17 | — | 17 | |||||||
| Higher renewable energy regulatory surcharges, partially offset by operations and maintenance costs | 21 | 4 | 17 | |||||||
| LFCR revenue (Note 3) | 16 | — | 16 | |||||||
| Changes in net fuel and purchased power costs, including off-system sales margins and related deferrals | (61) | (52) | (9) | |||||||
| Lower transmission revenues (Note 3) | (12) | — | (12) | |||||||
| Total | $ | 429 | $ | 30 | $ | 399 |
Operations and maintenance. Operations and maintenance expenses increased $106 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to:
| •an increase of $27 million related to information technology costs; |
|---|
| •an increase of $25 million related to transmission, distribution, and customer service costs; |
| •an increase of $20 million related to non-nuclear generation costs, primarily due to increased planned outages; |
| •an increase of $16 million related to employee benefit costs; |
| •an increase of $14 million related to costs for renewable energy programs and similar regulatory programs, which are partially offset in operating revenues and purchased power; |
| •an increase of $7 million related to corporate resource costs; and |
| •a decrease of $3 million for other miscellaneous factors. |
Depreciation and amortization. Depreciation and amortization expenses were $101 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the prior-year period, primarily due to increased plant in service and intangible assets.
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Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds and equity funds used during construction. Interest charges, net of AFUDC, were $60 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the prior-year period, primarily due to higher debt balances and higher interest rates in the current period, higher allowance for borrowed funds and lower allowance for equity funds.
Other income and expenses, net. Other income and expenses, net were $4 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the prior-year period, primarily due to the gain on the sale of BCE, partially offset by higher corporate giving expense. See Note 16. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s other income and expense, net is primarily related to Pinnacle West’s gain on the sale of BCE.
Income taxes. Income taxes were $34 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared with the prior-year period, primarily due to higher pre-tax income, and lower tax benefits from AFUDC equity, partially offset by higher tax credits.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Overview
Pinnacle West’s primary cash needs are for dividends to our shareholders and principal and interest payments on our indebtedness. The level of our common stock dividends and future dividend growth will be dependent on declaration by our Board of Directors and based on a number of factors, including our financial condition, payout ratio, free cash flow and other factors.
Our primary sources of cash are dividends from APS and external debt and equity issuances. An ACC order does not allow APS to pay common dividends if the payment would reduce its common equity below 40%. Per the related ACC order, the common equity ratio is defined as total shareholder equity divided by the sum of total shareholder equity and long-term debt, including current maturities of long-term debt. At December 31, 2024, APS’s common equity ratio, as defined, was 52%. Its total shareholder equity was approximately $8.3 billion, and total capitalization was approximately $15.9 billion. Under this order, APS would be prohibited from paying dividends if such payment would reduce its total shareholder equity below approximately $6.4 billion, assuming APS’s total capitalization remains the same. This restriction does not materially affect Pinnacle West’s ability to meet its ongoing cash needs or ability to pay dividends to shareholders.
Dividends to Pinnacle West from APS are also dependent on a number of factors including, among others, APS’s financial condition and free cash flow, the sources of which vary from quarter-to-quarter due in part to the seasonal nature of electricity demand. APS’s sources of cash include cash from operations and external sources of liquidity, including long- and short-term external debt financing such as commercial paper, term loan and its revolving credit facility. Cash from operations is dependent upon, among other things, the rates APS may charge and the timeliness of recovering costs incurred through its rates and adjustor recovery mechanisms. APS’s capital requirements consist primarily of capital expenditures and maturities of long-term debt. APS funds its capital requirements with cash from operations and, to the extent necessary, external debt financings and equity infusions from Pinnacle West. On December 17, 2024, the ACC issued a financing order approving a limit on yearly equity infusions equal to 2.5% of APS’s total assets each calendar year on a three-year rolling average basis, subject to APS’s equity ratio remaining below the most recently approved rate case capital structure plus 50 basis points.
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On June 12, 2024, Pinnacle West contributed $450 million into APS in the form of an equity infusion. APS used this contribution to repay short-term indebtedness. On December 23, 2024, Pinnacle West contributed $345 million into APS in the form of an equity infusion. APS used this contribution to repay a portion of commercial paper borrowings and for other general corporate purposes.
Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities that enhance liquidity and provide credit support for accessing commercial paper markets. These credit facilities mature in 2029. See Note 5.
Pinnacle West has an ATM program under which Pinnacle West may offer and sell Pinnacle West common stock and enter into forward sale agreements from time to time, subject to market conditions and other factors. As of December 31, 2024, approximately $850 million of common stock is available to be issued under the ATM program, which takes into account the forward sale agreement in effect as of December 31, 2024.
In addition to the ATM program, Pinnacle West has forward sale agreements from an equity offering in February 2024 in effect as of December 31, 2024. In December 2024, Pinnacle West partially settled the February 2024 Forward Sale Agreements with the issuance of 5,377,115 shares of common stock and received net proceeds of $345 million. The proceeds were recorded in equity. At December 31, 2024, Pinnacle West could have settled the remaining February 2024 Forward Sale Agreements with the issuance of 5,863,486 shares of common stock in exchange for cash of $377 million. For additional information regarding common stock issuances, the ATM program, and outstanding forward sale agreements, see Note 13.
Summary of Cash Flows
The following tables present net cash provided by (used for) operating, investing and financing activities for the years ended December 31, 2024, and 2023 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West Consolidated
| 2024 | 2023 | Net Change | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 1,610 | $ | 1,207 | $ | 403 | ||||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (1,934) | (1,694) | (240) | |||||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 323 | 487 | (164) | |||||||
| Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (1) | $ | — | $ | (1) |
Arizona Public Service Company
| 2024 | 2023 | Net Change | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 1,610 | $ | 1,275 | $ | 335 | ||||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (1,986) | (1,687) | (299) | |||||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 375 | 412 | (37) | |||||||
| Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (1) | $ | — | $ | (1) |
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Operating Cash Flows
2024 Compared with 2023. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by operating activities was $1,610 million in 2024 compared to $1,207 million in 2023, an increase of $403 million in net cash provided, primarily due to $447 million higher cash receipts from electric revenues, $236 million lower fuel and purchased power costs, $15 million change in net collateral, partially offset by $125 million higher income taxes paid, $104 million higher payments for operations and maintenance costs, $49 million higher interest payments and $17 million of other changes in working capital. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s net cash provided by operating activities primarily relates to APS’s higher income tax cash payments to Pinnacle West and other changes in working capital.
Retirement plans and other postretirement benefits. Pinnacle West sponsors a qualified defined benefit pension plan and a non-qualified supplemental excess benefit retirement plan for the employees of Pinnacle West and our subsidiaries. Pinnacle West also sponsors other postretirement benefit plans for the employees of Pinnacle West and its subsidiaries. The requirements of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (“ERISA”) require us to contribute a minimum amount to the qualified plan. We contribute at least the minimum amount required under ERISA regulations, but no more than the maximum tax-deductible amount. Under ERISA, the qualified pension plan was estimated to be 100% funded as of January 1, 2025, and was 113% as of January 1, 2024. Future year contribution amounts are dependent on plan asset performance and plan actuarial assumptions. We did not make any contributions to our pension plan in 2024 and 2023. The expected minimum required cash contributions for the pension plan are zero for the next three years and we do not expect to make any voluntary cash contributions in 2025, 2026 or 2027. Regarding contributions to our other postretirement benefit plan, we did not make any contributions in 2024 or 2023 and do not expect to make any contributions in 2025, 2026 or 2027. The Company was reimbursed $27 million in 2024, $23 million in 2023, and $26 million in 2022 for prior years retiree medical claims from the other postretirement benefit plan trust assets. We continually monitor financial market volatility and its impact on our retirement plans and other postretirement benefits, but we believe our liability driven investment strategy helps to minimize the impact of market volatility on our plan’s funded status. For instance, our pension plan’s funded status, as measured for accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) purposes, was 99% funded as of December 31, 2024, and our postretirement benefit plans were 195% funded, as measured for GAAP purposes at December 31, 2024. See Note 7 for additional details.
Investing Cash Flows
2024 Compared with 2023. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash used for investing activities was $1,934 million in 2024 compared to $1,694 million in 2023, an increase of $240 million primarily related to $272 million of increased capital expenditures and $21 million of additional investing activity, partially offset by proceeds of $61 million from the BCE Sale. See Note 20. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s net cash used for investing activities primarily relates to the BCE Sale and investments into the Captive Insurance Cell VIE. See Note 17.
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Capital Expenditures. The following table summarizes the estimated capital expenditures for the next three years:
Capital Expenditures
(dollars in millions)
| Estimated for the Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | ||||||||
| APS | ||||||||||
| Generation: | ||||||||||
| Clean: | ||||||||||
| Nuclear Generation | $ | 150 | $ | 165 | $ | 185 | ||||
| Renewables and Energy Storage Systems (“ESS”) | 335 | 165 | 430 | |||||||
| Other Generation (a) | 420 | 540 | 335 | |||||||
| Distribution | 665 | 670 | 675 | |||||||
| Transmission | 450 | 675 | 750 | |||||||
| Other | 380 | 335 | 275 | |||||||
| Total APS | $ | 2,400 | $ | 2,550 | $ | 2,650 |
(a)Includes gas generation and environmental projects.
The table above does not include capital expenditures related to PNW Power projects.
Generation capital expenditures are comprised of various additions and improvements to APS’s clean resources, including nuclear plants, renewables and ESS, as well as additions and improvements to existing fossil plants. We are monitoring the status of environmental matters, which, depending on their final outcome, could require modification to our planned environmental expenditures.
Distribution and transmission capital expenditures are comprised of infrastructure additions and upgrades, capital replacements, and new customer construction. Examples of the types of projects included in the forecast include power lines, substations, and line extensions to new residential and commercial developments.
Capital expenditures will be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Financing Cash Flows and Liquidity
2024 Compared with 2023. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $323 million in 2024 compared to $487 million in 2023, a decrease of $164 million in net cash provided primarily due to $842 million higher long-term debt repayments and a net decrease in short-term debt borrowings of $283 million, partially offset by $624 million in higher issuances of long-term debt and an equity issuance of $345 million.
APS’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $375 million in 2024 compared to $412 million in 2023, a decrease of $37 million in net cash provided primarily due to a net decrease in
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short-term borrowings of $374 million, $250 million higher long-term debt repayments and $50 million in lower issuances of long-term debt, partially offset by $645 million in higher equity infusions.
Significant Financing Activities. On December 11, 2024, the Pinnacle West Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.895 per share of common stock, payable on March 3, 2025, to shareholders of record on February 3, 2025. During 2024, Pinnacle West increased its indicated annual dividend from $3.52 per share to $3.58 per share. For the year ended December 31, 2024, Pinnacle West’s total dividends paid per share of common stock were $3.54 per share, which resulted in dividend payments of $395 million.
Available Credit Facilities. Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities in order to enhance liquidity and provide credit support for their commercial paper. See Note 5 for more information on available credit facilities.
Equity Offerings. Pinnacle West has an ATM program under which Pinnacle West may offer and sell Pinnacle West common stock and enter into equity forward sale agreements from time to time, subject to market conditions and other factors. On December 31, 2024, Pinnacle West could have settled the outstanding November 2024 ATM Forward Sale Agreement with the physical delivery of 552,833 shares of Pinnacle West common stock in exchange for cash of approximately $50 million. As of December 31, 2024, Pinnacle West has not received any proceeds relating to the November 2024 Forward Sale Agreement. In addition to the ATM program, Pinnacle West entered into certain equity forward sale agreements in February 2024, which were partially settled in December 2024 with the issuance of 5,377,115 shares of common stock. In connection with the partial settlement, Pinnacle West received net proceeds of $345 million. At December 31, 2024, Pinnacle West could have settled the remaining February 2024 Forward Sale Agreements with the issuance of 5,863,486 shares of common stock in exchange for cash of $377 million. See Note 13.
Other Financing Matters. See Note 15 for information related to the change in our margin and collateral accounts.
Debt Provisions
Pinnacle West’s and APS’s debt covenants related to their respective bank financing arrangements include maximum debt to capitalization ratios. Pinnacle West and APS comply with these covenants. For both Pinnacle West and APS, these covenants require that the ratio of consolidated debt to total consolidated capitalization not exceed 65%. At December 31, 2024, the ratio was approximately 59% for Pinnacle West and 49% for APS. Failure to comply with such covenant levels would result in an event of default which, generally speaking, would require the immediate repayment of the debt subject to the covenants and could “cross-default” other debt. See further discussion of “cross-default” provisions below.
Neither Pinnacle West’s nor APS’s financing agreements contain “rating triggers” that would result in an acceleration of the required interest and principal payments in the event of a rating downgrade. However, our bank credit agreements contain a pricing grid in which the interest rates we pay for borrowings thereunder are determined by our current credit ratings.
All of Pinnacle West’s loan agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment under these loan agreements if Pinnacle West or APS were to default under certain other material agreements. All of APS’s bank agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment under these bank
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agreements if APS were to default under certain other material agreements. Pinnacle West and APS do not have a material adverse change restriction for credit facility borrowings.
On December 17, 2024, the ACC issued a financing order reaffirming the short-term debt authorization equal to the sum of (i) 7% of APS’s capitalization and (ii) $500 million (which is required to be used for costs relating to purchases of natural gas and power) and approving an increase of the long-term debt limit to $9.5 billion and a limit of permitted annual equity infusions into APS equal to 2.5% of APS’s total assets each calendar year on a three-year rolling average basis, subject to APS’s equity ratio remaining below the most recently approved rate case capital structure plus 50 basis points. See Note 6 for additional long-term debt provisions and further discussions of liquidity matters.
Credit Ratings
The ratings of securities of Pinnacle West and APS as of February 18, 2025, are shown below. We are disclosing these credit ratings to enhance understanding of our cost of short-term and long-term capital and our ability to access the markets for liquidity and long-term debt. The ratings reflect the respective views of the rating agencies, from which an explanation of the significance of their ratings may be obtained. There is no assurance that these ratings will continue for any given period. The ratings may be revised or withdrawn entirely by the rating agencies if, in their respective judgments, circumstances so warrant. Any downward revision or withdrawal may adversely affect the market price of Pinnacle West’s or APS’s securities and/or result in an increase in the cost of, or limit access to, capital. Such revisions may also result in substantial additional cash or other collateral requirements related to certain derivative instruments, insurance policies, natural gas transportation, fuel supply, and other energy-related contracts. On March 7, 2024, S&P affirmed the ratings and revised Pinnacle West’s and APS’s outlooks from negative to stable. On March 20, 2024, Moody’s downgraded both Pinnacle West’s and APS’s credit ratings by a notch and revised their outlooks from negative to stable. On March 26, 2024, Fitch affirmed APS’s ratings and downgraded Pinnacle West’s ratings by a notch. Fitch revised the outlook for both Pinnacle West and APS from negative to stable. At this time, we believe we have sufficient available liquidity resources to respond to a potential downward revision to our credit ratings.
| Moody’s | Standard & Poor’s | Fitch | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle West | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | Baa2 | BBB+ | BBB | ||
| Senior unsecured | Baa2 | BBB | BBB | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F3 | ||
| Outlook | Stable | Stable | Stable | ||
| APS | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | Baa1 | BBB+ | BBB+ | ||
| Senior unsecured | Baa1 | BBB+ | A- | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F2 | ||
| Outlook | Stable | Stable | Stable |
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Contractual Obligations
Pinnacle West has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future, in addition to its capital expenditure programs. Material contractual obligations and other commitments are as follows:
•Pinnacle West and APS have material long-term debt obligations that mature at various dates through 2050 and bear interest principally at fixed rates. Interest on variable-rate long-term debt is determined by using average rates at December 31, 2024. See Note 6.
•Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities. See Note 5 for short-term debt details.
•Fuel and purchased power commitments include purchases of coal, electricity, natural gas, renewable energy, nuclear fuel, and natural gas transportation. See Notes 3 and 10. Purchase obligations include capital expenditures and other obligations. See Note 10. Commitments related to purchased power lease contracts are also considered fuel and purchased power commitments. See Note 8.
•APS holds certain contracts to purchase renewable energy credits in compliance with the RES. See Notes 3 and 10.
•APS is required to make payments to the noncontrolling interests related to the Palo Verde sale leaseback through 2033. See Note 17.
•APS must reimburse certain coal providers for final and contemporaneous coal mine reclamation. See Note 10.
•Pinnacle West’s equity forward sale agreements, which may be settled by Pinnacle West with common stock or cash. Pinnacle West has classified these agreements as equity transactions in accordance with GAAP. See Note 13.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
In preparing the financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management must often make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and related disclosures at the date of the financial statements and during the reporting period. Some of those judgments can be subjective and complex, and actual results could differ from those estimates. We consider the following accounting policies to be our most critical because of the uncertainties, judgments and complexities of the underlying accounting standards and operations involved.
Regulatory Accounting
Regulatory accounting allows for the actions of regulators, such as the ACC and FERC, to be reflected in our financial statements. Their actions may cause us to capitalize costs that would otherwise be included as an expense in the current period by unregulated companies. Regulatory assets represent incurred costs that have been deferred because they are probable of future recovery in customer rates. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts collected in rates to recover costs expected to be incurred in the future or amounts collected in excess of costs incurred and are refundable to customers.
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Management judgments include continually assessing the likelihood of future recovery of regulatory assets and/or a disallowance of part of the cost of recently completed plant, by considering factors such as applicable regulatory environment changes and recent rate orders to other regulated entities in the same jurisdiction. This determination reflects the current political and regulatory climate in Arizona and is subject to change in the future. If future recovery of costs ceases to be probable, the assets would be written off as a charge in current period earnings, except for pension benefits, which would be charged to OCI and result in lower future earnings. Management judgments also include assessing the impact of potential ACC- or FERC-ordered refunds to customers on regulatory liabilities. We had $1,810 million of regulatory assets and $2,062 million of regulatory liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets at December 31, 2024. See Notes 1 and 3 for more information.
Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefit Accounting
Changes in our actuarial assumptions used in calculating our pension and other postretirement benefit assets, liabilities and expense can have a significant impact on our earnings and financial position. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets (“EROA”), and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. Differences between these actuarial assumptions and actual plan results may create volatility in pension and other postretirement benefit expense. To reduce this volatility, these differences are accumulated and amortized (subject to a corridor of 10% of the greater of plan assets or obligations) as part of the expense over a period of approximately 11 years. Following are the most relevant actuarial assumptions:
Discount Rate. The discount rate is used to measure the plan liability and net periodic cost. For this assumption, we utilize a yield curve produced by our actuary as of December 31st and employ their projections of the future benefit payments to estimate the projected benefit obligation for each plan. This process also yields a single equivalent discount rate that produces the same present value for the projection of estimated benefit payments that is generated by discounting each year’s benefit payments by a spot rate to that year. The spot rates are derived from a yield curve composed of domestic AA rated corporate bonds.
EROA. The EROA is used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term. For this assumption, we consider historical experience and future expectations of asset classes utilized in the portfolio.
Healthcare Cost Trend Rates. We consider past performance and forecasts of health care costs, and our actuary provides the Company with a medical trend recommendation based on national medical trend, historical claims performance, benchmarking, and plan design changes.
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The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2024, reported pension assets and liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2024 reported pension expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on the Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Pension Plans | Impact on Pension Expense | |||||
| Discount rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (231) | $ | (11) | |||
| Decrease 1% | 271 | 11 | |||||
| EROA: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (24) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 24 |
(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)In general, changes in the discount rate will not typically have symmetrical effects for increases and decreases of the rate. Further, a 1% change in a low discount rate environment will have a larger impact than a 1% change in a high discount rate environment. Therefore, the discount rate sensitivities above cannot necessarily be extrapolated. Additionally, the Pension Plan utilizes a liability-driven strategy for its pension asset portfolio, and the obligation and expense sensitivities shown above do not reflect the offsetting impact that a change in interest rates may have on pension asset values.
The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2024, other postretirement benefit obligation on the Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2024 reported other postretirement benefit expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Plans | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Expense | |||||
| Discount rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (32) | $ | (2) | |||
| Decrease 1% | 38 | 3 | |||||
| Healthcare cost trend rate (c): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | 12 | 5 | |||||
| Decrease 1% | (10) | (5) | |||||
| EROA – pretax: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (6) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 6 |
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(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)In general, changes in the discount rate will not typically have symmetrical effects for increases and decreases of the rate. Further, a 1% change in a low discount rate environment will have a larger impact than a 1% change in a high discount rate environment. Therefore, the discount rate sensitivities above cannot necessarily be extrapolated.
(c)This assumes a 1% change in the initial and ultimate healthcare cost trend rate.
See Note 7 for further details about our pension and other postretirement benefit plans.
Fair Value Measurements
We account for derivative instruments, investments held in our nuclear decommissioning trusts fund, investments held in our other special use funds, certain cash equivalents, and plan assets held in our retirement and other benefit plans at fair value on a recurring basis. Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We use inputs, or assumptions that market participants would use, to determine fair market value. We utilize valuation techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs. The significance of a particular input determines how the instrument is classified in a fair value hierarchy. The determination of fair value sometimes requires subjective and complex judgment. Our assessment of the inputs and the significance of a particular input to fair value measurement may affect the valuation of the instruments and their placement within a fair value hierarchy. Actual results could differ from our estimates of fair value. See Note 1 for a discussion of accounting policies and Note 12 for fair value measurement disclosures.
Asset Retirement Obligations
We recognize an ARO for the future decommissioning or retirement of our tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. The ARO liability represents an estimate of the fair value of the current obligation related to decommissioning and the retirement of those assets. ARO measurements inherently involve uncertainty in the amount and timing of settlement of the liability. We use an expected cash flow approach to measure the amount we recognize as an ARO. This approach applies probability weighting to discounted future cash flow scenarios that reflect a range of possible outcomes. The scenarios consider settlement of the ARO at the expiration of the asset’s current license or lease term and expected decommissioning dates. The fair value of an ARO is recognized in the period in which it is incurred. The associated asset retirement costs are capitalized as part of the carrying value of the long-lived asset and are depreciated over the life of the related assets. In addition, we accrete the ARO liability to reflect the passage of time. Changes in these estimates and assumptions could materially affect the amount of the recorded ARO for these assets. In accordance with GAAP accounting, APS accrues removal costs for its regulated utility assets, even if there is no legal obligation for removal.
AROs as of December 31, 2024 are described further in Note 11.
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OTHER ACCOUNTING MATTERS
We adopted new accounting standard, ASU 2023-07, Segment Reporting: Improvements to Reportable Segment Disclosures, on December 31, 2024. We will adopt new accounting standard, ASU 2023-09, Income Taxes: Improvements to Income Tax Disclosures, on December 31, 2025. We are currently evaluating the disclosure impacts of the pending adoption of the new accounting standard, ASU 2024-03, Income Statement Reporting: Expense Disaggregation Disclosures, effective for us on December 31, 2027. See Note 21 for additional information relating to new accounting standards.
MARKET AND CREDIT RISKS
Market Risks
Our operations include managing market risks related to changes in interest rates, commodity prices, investments held by our nuclear decommissioning trusts, other special use funds and benefit plan assets.
Interest Rate and Equity Risk
We have exposure to changing interest rates. Changing interest rates will affect interest paid on variable-rate debt and the market value of fixed income securities held by our nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds (see Notes 12 and 18), and benefit plan assets. The nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds and benefit plan assets also have risks associated with the changing market value of their equity and other non-fixed income investments. Nuclear decommissioning, coal reclamation, and benefit plan costs are recovered in regulated electricity prices.
The tables below present contractual balances of our consolidated long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2024, and 2023. If variable interest rates were to increase by 10% from the December 31, 2024, levels, it would not have a material effect on Pinnacle West Consolidated or APS Consolidated annual interest expense. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2024, and 2023 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West – Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 4.90 | % | $ | 568 | — | $ | — | 1.99 | % | $ | 800 | |||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | 5.88 | % | 350 | 2.55 | % | 250 | ||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | % | 825 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2029 | — | — | 4.01 | % | 164 | 2.60 | % | 405 | ||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | % | 6,125 | |||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 568 | $ | 514 | $ | 8,405 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 568 | $ | 514 | $ | 7,405 |
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| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 5.46 | % | $ | 610 | 6.20 | % | $ | 625 | 3.35 | % | $ | 250 | ||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 1.99 | % | 800 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 4.11 | % | 164 | 4.22 | % | 6,080 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 610 | $ | 789 | $ | 7,680 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 610 | $ | 789 | $ | 6,767 |
The tables below present contractual balances of APS’s long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2024, and 2023. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2024, and 2023 (dollars in millions):
APS — Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 4.62 | % | $ | 340 | — | $ | — | 3.15 | % | $ | 300 | |||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2029 | — | — | 4.01 | % | 164 | 2.60 | % | 405 | ||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | % | 6,125 | |||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 340 | $ | 164 | $ | 7,380 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 340 | $ | 164 | $ | 6,361 |
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| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 5.46 | % | $ | 533 | — | $ | — | 3.35 | % | $ | 250 | |||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 4.11 | % | 164 | 4.22 | % | 6,080 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 533 | $ | 164 | $ | 7,180 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 533 | $ | 164 | $ | 6,296 |
Commodity Price Risk
We are exposed to the impact of market fluctuations in the commodity price and transportation costs of electricity and natural gas. Our risk management committee, consisting of officers and key management personnel, oversees company-wide energy risk management activities to ensure compliance with our stated energy risk management policies. We manage risks associated with these market fluctuations by utilizing various commodity instruments that may qualify as derivatives, including futures, forwards, options, and swaps. As part of our risk management program, we use such instruments to hedge purchases and sales of electricity and natural gas. The changes in market value of such contracts have a high correlation to price changes in the hedged commodities.
The following table shows the net pretax changes in mark-to-market of our energy derivative positions (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark-to-market of net positions at beginning of year | $ | (120) | $ | 96 | ||
| Decrease (increase) in regulatory asset | 78 | (216) | ||||
| Mark-to-market of net positions at end of year | $ | (42) | $ | (120) |
The table below shows the fair value of maturities of our energy derivative contracts (dollars in millions) at December 31, 2024, by maturities and by the type of valuation that is performed to calculate the fair values, classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. See Note 1, “Derivative Accounting” and “Fair Value Measurements,” for more discussion of our valuation methods.
| Source of Fair Value | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observable prices provided by other external sources | $ | (32) | $ | 2 | $ | 3 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (27) | ||||||||||||
| Prices based on unobservable inputs | (6) | (9) | — | — | — | (15) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total by maturity | $ | (38) | $ | (7) | $ | 3 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (42) |
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The table below shows the impact that hypothetical price movements of 10% would have on the market value of our risk management assets and liabilities included on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2024Gain (Loss) | December 31, 2023Gain (Loss) | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | |||||||||||
| Mark-to-market changes reported in: | ||||||||||||||
| Regulatory asset (liability) (a) | ||||||||||||||
| Electricity | $ | 3 | $ | (3) | $ | 9 | $ | (9) | ||||||
| Natural gas | 75 | (75) | 55 | (55) | ||||||||||
| Total | $ | 78 | $ | (78) | $ | 64 | $ | (64) |
(a)These contracts are economic hedges of our forecasted purchases of natural gas and electricity. The impact of these hypothetical price movements would substantially offset the impact that these same price movements would have on the physical exposures being hedged. To the extent the amounts are eligible for inclusion in the PSA, the amounts are recorded as either a regulatory asset or liability.
Credit Risk
We are exposed to losses in the event of non-performance or non-payment by counterparties. See Note 15 for a discussion of our credit valuation adjustment policy.
FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000764622-24-000016.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
INTRODUCTION
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Pinnacle West’s Consolidated
Financial Statements and APS’s Consolidated Financial Statements and the related Notes that appear in Item 8 of this report. This discussion provides a comparison of the 2023 results with 2022 results. For the discussion of 2022 compared to 2021, see Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of Pinnacle West Capital Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, which specific discussion is incorporated herein by reference. For information on factors that may cause our actual future results to differ from those we currently seek or anticipate, see “Forward-Looking Statements” at the front of this report and “Risk Factors” in Item 1A.
OVERVIEW
Business Overview
Pinnacle West is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona with consolidated assets of approximately $25 billion. For over 130 years, Pinnacle West and our affiliates have provided energy and energy-related products to people and businesses throughout Arizona.
Pinnacle West derives essentially all of our revenues and earnings from our principal subsidiary, APS. APS is Arizona’s largest and longest-serving electric company that generates safe, affordable and reliable electricity for approximately 1.4 million retail customers in 11 of Arizona’s 15 counties. APS is also the operator and co-owner of Palo Verde — a primary source of electricity for the southwestern United States.
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022
On August 16, 2022, President Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (“IRA”). The IRA significantly expands the availability of tax credits for investments in clean energy generation technologies and energy storage. Key provisions that are relevant to APS’s clean energy commitment include (i) an extension of tax credits for solar and wind generation, including a new option for solar investments to claim a Production Tax Credit (“PTC”) in lieu of the Investment Tax Credit (“ITC”) beginning in 2022; (ii) expansion of the ITC to cover stand-alone energy storage technology beginning in 2023; and (iii) introduction of a new PTC for nuclear energy produced by existing nuclear energy plants (“Nuclear PTC”), available from 2024 through 2032. The Internal Revenue Service and U.S. Treasury have issued preliminary guidance related to various provisions of the IRA that have enabled APS to claim credits related to its 2023 solar and battery investments. The Company continues to await regulations and other guidance, including with respect to the Nuclear PTC, which will provide additional details and clarifications regarding how the Company may be able to claim IRA tax credits in future years.
In addition, the IRA contains several provisions which could create additional tax liabilities for corporations, including a 15% corporate alternative minimum tax for corporations with net profits in excess of $1 billion and a 1% excise tax on stock buybacks. We currently do not believe the Company will be subject to any material tax liabilities as a result of these legislative provisions.
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Strategic Overview
Our strategy is to create a sustainable energy future for Arizona that delivers shareholder value and shared value by serving our customers with reliable, affordable, and clean energy.
Customer-Focused
Recognizing that creating customer value is inextricably linked to increasing shareholder value, APS’s focus remains on its customers and the communities it serves. Accordingly, it is APS’s goal to achieve an industry-leading, best-in-class customer experience, while demonstrating compassion and advocacy for its customers. This multi-year objective includes incrementally improving APS’s J.D. Power (“JDP”) overall customer satisfaction ratings to achieve a first quartile ranking in its peer set comprised of large investor-owned utilities. APS has made noteworthy progress on that front.
As previously disclosed, APS’s JDP Residential rankings for overall customer satisfaction improved in each of 2020, 2021, and 2022, and have improved again in 2023. At the end of 2023, APS’s residential customer satisfaction ranked in the second quartile among large investor-owned utilities, and its business customer satisfaction ranked in the second quartile of utilities nationally.
Reliable
While our energy mix evolves, APS’s obligation to deliver reliable service to our customers remains. APS is managing through significant growth in the Phoenix metropolitan area while experiencing supply chain issues similar to other industries.
Planned investments will support operating and maintaining the grid, updating technology, accommodating customer growth, and enabling more renewable energy resources. To prioritize reliability and meet substantial growth in residential and commercial energy needs, APS has developed a future-focused, strategic transmission plan. This Ten-Year Plan includes five critical transmission projects that comprise the APS strategic transmission portfolio, which represents a significant upgrade to APS’s transmission system. These five projects, along with other projects included in the Ten-Year Plan, are intended to support growing energy needs, strengthen reliability, and allow for the connection of new resources.
Our advanced distribution management system allows operators to locate outages and control line devices remotely and helps them coordinate more closely with field crews to safely maintain an increasingly dynamic grid. The system will also integrate a new meter data management system that will increase grid visibility and give customers access to more of their energy usage data.
Wildfire safety remains a critical focus for APS and other utilities. We have increased investment in fire mitigation efforts to clear defensible space around our infrastructure, continue ongoing system upgrades, build partnerships with government entities and first responders and educate customers and communities. We also increased spend on mitigating the risk associated with trees that could cause hazards, resulting in more of these trees being removed before they could cause outages or wildfires. These programs contribute to customer reliability, responsible forest management and safe communities. With recent wildfire events in Hawaii and across North America, we have been devoting and will continue to devote substantial efforts to analyzing and developing enhancements to our systems and processes to mitigate fire risk within our service territory and communities, including by hardening our infrastructure, deploying new technologies where appropriate, increasing our awareness, implementing operational
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changes, and enhancing our wildfire response capabilities. APS completed implementation of best-in-class fire modelling software that we are utilizing to more surgically identify and calculate risk and target future system improvement investments such as fire-resistant pole wrapping, wood to steel pole conversions, and additional remote-controllable field devices like reclosers and switches. APS also currently intends to implement a public safety power shutoff (“PSPS”) program for this upcoming fire season, leveraging the additional real-time analysis provided by the new modelling software. We continue to evaluate policy and regulatory options, as well as insurance programs, to mitigate the impact of wildfire events.
Maintaining reliability and affordability for our customers during the clean energy transition is fundamental to our strategy. As a critical partner to the large quantity of renewables and energy storage we are adding to our system, natural gas generation will play an important role in maintaining reliability for our customers. One example is the 2019 addition of new natural gas units at the modernized Ocotillo Power Plant to provide cleaner-running and more efficient units. Additionally, efficiency improvements to gas units at the Redhawk and Sundance Power Plants are planned for completion prior to the summer of 2024.
As part of a balanced energy portfolio, these flexible resource additions support reliability by responding quickly to the variability of solar generation and delivering energy in the late afternoon and early evening when solar production declines as the sun sets and customer demand peaks. Complementary to and in support of the transition to renewable resources, APS continues to evaluate options to meet growing energy demand and ensure grid reliability, including through upgrades to and/or modernization of additional existing natural gas facilities.
In October 2021, APS announced plans to evaluate regional market solutions as part of the informal Western Markets Exploratory Group (“WMEG”). As a member of WMEG, APS is exploring the potential for a staged approach to new market services, including day-ahead energy sales, transmission system expansion, and other power supply and grid solutions consistent with existing state regulations. WMEG hopes to identify market solutions that can help achieve carbon reduction goals while supporting reliable, affordable service for customers. APS is unable to predict the outcome of these discussions.
APS will go live with a new Energy Management System (“EMS”) in March of 2024. The new EMS will better allow for integration of the renewable and energy storage assets into the APS’s generation resources. This integration will allow APS to maximize the flexibility of our resources and fully engage in the Energy Imbalance Market. It also better positions APS to participate in market opportunities that may develop through the next decade.
APS’s key elements to delivering reliable power include resource planning, sufficient reserve margins, customer partnerships to manage peak demand, fire mitigation, and operational preparedness. Seasonal readiness procedures at APS also include inspections to ensure good material conditions and critical control system surveys. APS also plans for the unexpected by conducting emergency operations drills and coordinating on fire and emergency management with federal, state, and local agencies.
Affordable
APS continues to focus on mitigating the cost pressures related to the current inflationary environment. Overall inflation grew by 2.7% in Phoenix and 3.4% nationally during 2023. In 2022, overall inflation grew by 9.5% in Phoenix and 6.5% nationally. The impacts from inflation have varied across separate categories of APS’s spending, including increases of up to 15% in 2023. APS has seen inflationary impacts in supply constrained categories related to electrical equipment, such as transformers,
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wire, and cable impacted by high utility demand outpacing manufacturing capacity. Inflation continues to impact service rates and spend categories through pass-through costs such as supplier’s increased material costs, cost of insurance, and wage rates.
APS’s customer affordability initiative includes internal opportunities, such as training and mentoring employees on identifying efficiency opportunities; maintaining an inventory to take advantage of lower pricing and avoid expediting fees; entering into long-term contracts to hedge against price volatility, which has allowed APS to mitigate against procurement spend areas such as transformers; and implementing automation technologies to enhance efficiencies and increase data-oriented decision making.
There are also external opportunities under APS’s customer affordability initiative, such as APS’s participation in the Western Energy Imbalance Market (“WEIM”). WEIM continues to be a tool for creating savings for APS’s customers from the real-time, voluntary market. APS continues to expect that its participation in WEIM will lower its fuel and purchased-power costs, improve situational awareness for system operations in the Western Interconnection power grid, and improve integration of APS’s renewable resources. APS is participating in market design and tariff development of Markets+, a day-ahead and real-time market offering from Southwest Power Pool. APS also participated in the design and drafting of the tariff for the CAISO’s Extended Day-Ahead Market, which was approved by FERC in December 2023. In addition, APS is participating in the Western Resource Adequacy Program administered by Western Power Pool. These efforts are driven by three objectives of reducing customer cost, improving reliability, and incorporating more clean energy on APS’s system.
In terms of generation affordability, every three years, APS performs a comprehensive study, called an Integrated Resource Plan, to identify how much energy our customers will need over the next 15 years and what resources will be used to meet those needs. In developing the IRP, APS considers factors that include how much economic growth is expected, what new technologies might be available and how weather can impact the demand for energy. These inputs are then used to develop a plan that prioritizes reliability, affordability, and a clean, balanced energy mix.
In November 2023, APS released its latest IRP, which shows that energy demand is growing at an unprecedented rate. This is due to continued residential and commercial customer growth throughout Arizona. To keep pace with the fast-growing demand for electricity and maintain reliability, APS needs to add new electricity generating resources. To ensure that the most affordable and reliable solutions are selected, APS issued All-Source Request for Proposals (“RFPs”) in 2022 and 2023. These RFPs are open to all technologies, including customer-scale (behind the meter) and utility-scale (front of the meter) resources. Through this process, APS has consistently found that clean resources like wind and solar, when coupled with energy storage technology, are among the most affordable options available today. Over the long term, these resources are expected to provide the greatest value as part of a diverse energy mix.
In addition to managing the cost of electricity generation, APS has continued building upon existing cost management efforts, including a customer affordability initiative launched in 2019. The initiative was implemented company-wide to thoughtfully and deliberately assess our business processes and organizational approaches to completing high-value work and achieving internal efficiencies. APS continues to drive this initiative by identifying opportunities to streamline its business processes, mitigate cost increases, increase employee retention, and improve customer satisfaction.
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Clean Energy Commitment
We are committed to doing our part to build a clean and carbon-free future. As Arizona stewards, we do what is right for the people and prosperity of Arizona. Our vision is to create a sustainable energy future for Arizona by providing reliable, affordable, and clean energy to our customers. We can accomplish our vision by collaborating with customers, communities, employees, policymakers, shareholders, and other stakeholders. Our clean energy commitment is based on sound science and supports continued growth and economic development while maintaining reliability and affordable prices for APS’s customers.
APS’s clean energy commitment consists of three parts:
•A 2050 goal to provide 100% clean, carbon-free electricity;
•A 2030 target to achieve a resource mix that is 65% clean energy, with 45% of the generation portfolio coming from renewable energy; and
•A commitment to exit from coal-fired generation by 2031.
APS’s ability to successfully execute its clean energy commitment depends upon a number of important external factors, including a supportive regulatory environment, sales and customer growth, development of clean energy technologies, and continued access to capital markets among others.
2050 Goal: 100% Clean, Carbon-Free Electricity. Achieving a fully clean, carbon-free energy mix by 2050 is our aspiration. Achieving this 2050 goal will require, among other things, innovative thinking, emergent clean energy and storage technologies, upgrades and expansions to the grid, and supportive public policy.
2030 Goal: 65% Clean Energy. APS has an energy mix that is already 50% clean and plans to continue to add more renewables and energy storage. By building on those plans, APS intends to attain an energy mix that is 65% clean by 2030, with 45% of APS’s generation portfolio coming from renewable energy. “Clean” is measured as percent of energy mix, which includes all carbon-free resources like nuclear, renewables, and demand-side management. “Renewable” energy includes generation resources such as solar, wind, and biomass, and is measured in accordance with the ACC’s Renewable Energy Standard as a percentage of retail sales. This target will serve as a checkpoint for our resource planning, investment strategy, and customer affordability efforts as APS moves toward a 100% clean, carbon-free energy mix by 2050.
2031 Goal: Exit Coal-Fired Generation. The plan to exit coal-fired generation by 2031 will require APS to stop relying on coal-generation at Four Corners. APS has permanently retired more than 1,000 MW of coal-fired electric generating capacity. These closures and other measures taken by APS have resulted in annual carbon emissions that were 24% lower in 2022 compared to 2005. In addition, APS has committed to end the use of coal at its remaining Cholla units during 2025.
In June 2021, APS and the owners of Four Corners entered into an agreement that would allow Four Corners to operate seasonally at the election of the owners as early as fall 2023, subject to the necessary governmental approvals and conditions associated with changes in plant ownership. Under seasonal operation, one generating unit would be shut down during seasons where electricity demand is reduced, such as the winter and spring. The other unit would remain online year-round, subject to market
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conditions as well as planned maintenance outages and unplanned outages. As of the date of this report, APS has elected not to begin seasonal operation due to market conditions.
Renewables. APS’s IRP (see Note 3 for additional information) establishes the path to meeting our clean energy commitment and maintaining reliable electric service for our customers. APS intends to strengthen its already diverse energy mix by increasing its investments in carbon-free resources. Our IRP rapidly adds clean energy and storage resources while maintaining reliable and affordable service. Its near-term actions are focused on clean, reliable energy and positive customer outcomes and include: (a) competitive all source requests for proposal (“RFPs”) that provide an on-ramp to procure additional clean energy resources such as solar, wind, energy storage, and DSM resources, all of which lead to a cleaner grid and (b) strategic, short-term wholesale market purchases from a combination of existing merchant natural gas units, neighboring utility systems and wholesale market participants that ensure operational reliability.
APS has a diverse portfolio of existing and planned renewable resources, including solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and biogas, that supports our commitment to clean energy. This commitment is already strengthened by Palo Verde, one of the nation’s largest carbon-free, clean energy resource, which provides the foundation for reliable and affordable service for APS customers. APS’s longer-term clean energy strategy includes pursuing the right mix of purchased power contracts for new facilities, procurement of new facilities to be owned by APS, and the ongoing development of distributed energy resources. This balance will ensure an appropriately diverse portfolio designed to achieve the same operational reliability and customer affordability as APS’s near-term strategies. In addition, APS is actively seeking to include future facility purchase options in its PPAs that will enable investments with greater financial flexibility.
APS uses competitive “all source” RFPs to pursue market resources that meet its system needs and offer the best value for customers. APS selects projects based on cost, ability to meet system requirements and commercial viability, taking into consideration timing and likelihood of successful contracting and development. Under current market conditions, APS must aggressively contract for resources that can withstand supply chain and other geopolitical pressures. Available projects are guided by IRP timelines and quantities and APS maintains a flexible approach that allows it to optimize system reliability and customer affordability through the RFP process. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions, including successful siting, permitting and interconnection of the projects to the electric grid.
On June 30, 2023, APS issued an RFP (the “2023 RFP”) seeking approximately 1,000 MW of reliable capacity, including at least 700 MW of renewable resources with a focus on in-service dates between 2026 and 2028. Bids from the 2023 RFP were received on September 6, 2023, and APS has started negotiations on multiple projects, including a 400 MW wind facility PPA that was signed in December 2023.
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The following table summarizes the resources in APS’s renewable energy portfolio that are in operation or under development as of December 31, 2023. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions, including successful siting, permitting, and interconnection of the projects to the electric grid.
| Net Capacity in Operation (MW) | Net Capacity Planned / Under Development (MW) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total APS Owned: Solar | 415 | — | ||||
| PPAs Renewables: | ||||||
| Solar | 370 | 1,261 | ||||
| Wind | 637 | 616 | ||||
| Geothermal | 10 | — | ||||
| Biomass | 14 | — | ||||
| Biogas | 3 | — | ||||
| Total PPAs | 1,034 | 1,877 | ||||
| Total Distributed Energy: Solar (a) | 1,623 | 61 | (b) | |||
| Total Renewable Portfolio | 3,072 | 1,938 |
(a) Includes rooftop solar facilities owned by third parties. Distributed generation is produced in Direct Current and is converted to Alternating Current for reporting purposes.
(b) Applications received by APS that are not yet installed and online.
Energy Storage. APS deploys a number of advanced technologies on its system, including energy storage. Energy storage provides capacity, improves power quality, can be utilized for system regulation and, in certain circumstances, be used to defer certain traditional infrastructure investments. Energy storage also aids in integrating renewable generation by storing excess energy when system demand is low and renewable production is high and then releasing the stored energy during peak demand hours later in the day and after sunset. APS is utilizing grid-scale energy storage projects to meet customer reliability requirements, increase renewable utilization, and to further our understanding of how storage works with other advanced technologies and the grid.
As noted above, on June 30, 2023, APS issued the 2023 RFP seeking approximately 1,000 MW of reliable capacity, including at least 700 MW of renewable resources, including energy storage, with a focus on in-service dates between 2026 and 2028.
APS currently plans to install more than 2,700 MW of utility scale energy storage by 2026, including through energy storage projects under PPAs and AZ Sun retrofits as well as through resources solicited through current and future RFPs.
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The following table summarizes the resources in APS’s energy storage portfolio that are in operation and under development as of December 31, 2023. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions.
| Net Capacity in Operation (MW) | Net Capacity Planned / Under Development (MW) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APS Owned Energy Storage | 182 | (a) | 19 | (b) |
| PPAs Energy Storage | 60 | 2,182 | ||
| Customer-Sited Energy Storage | 30 | 20 | ||
| Total Energy Storage Portfolio | 272 | 2,221 |
(a) Includes 0.3 MW of APS-owned customer-sited batteries.
(b) Includes 19 MW of capacity that entered commercial operation in January 2024.
Palo Verde. Palo Verde, one of the nation’s largest carbon-free, clean energy resources, will continue to be a foundational part of APS’s resource portfolio. Palo Verde is not just the cornerstone of our current clean energy mix; it also is a significant provider of clean energy to the southwestern United States. The plant is a critical asset to the Southwest, generating more than 32 million MWh annually – enough power for roughly 3.4 million households, or approximately 8.5 million people. Its continued operation is important to a carbon-free and clean energy future for Arizona and the region, as a reliable, continuous, affordable resource and as a large contributor to the local economy.
Developing Clean Energy Technologies
Electric Vehicles
As a part of the statewide transportation electrification plan (“TE Plan”) approved by the ACC in 2021, APS has a goal of supporting 450,000 light-duty electric vehicles (“EV”) in its service territory by 2030. In furtherance of this goal, through its Take Charge AZ Pilot Program, and as of December 31, 2023, APS installed 758 Level 2 charging ports at 183 customer locations and DC fast charging stations that are owned and operated by APS at five locations in Arizona. In December 2023, the ACC voted to discontinue the Take Charge AZ Pilot Program (“TCAZ”) while allowing APS to complete projects that were already underway.
Additionally, as part of APS’s DSM Plan, APS launched an Electric Vehicle Charging Demand Management Pilot Program to proactively address the growing electric demand from charging as EVs become more widely adopted. The EV related programs in the DSM Plan also include the APS SmartCharge data gathering program, Fleet Advisory Services, and a $100 rebate to home builders for new homes to be built EV-ready with 240V charging station garage outlets. APS filed its 2024 DSM Plan on November 30, 2023. The 2024 DSM Plan includes APS’s 2024 TE Plan and, among other things, proposes two new programs: an expanded residential EV Charging Demand Management Program, and a Commercial EV Make-Ready Program. The ACC has yet to decide on the 2024 DSM Plan.
Hydrogen Production
On May 12, 2022, Arizona’s three public universities, along with four Arizona energy providers, including APS, announced the formation of a new, interdisciplinary coalition, called the Arizona Center for a Carbon Neutral Economy (“AzCaNE”), with the goal of achieving a carbon neutral economy in Arizona. AzCaNE’s first action was to pursue an Arizona-led approach to securing regional clean hydrogen hub
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funding. Leading professionals from the seven founding participants, along with representatives of Arizona, the Navajo Nation and companies working to develop a hydrogen ecosystem within Arizona, make up the Governance Committee for AzCaNE’s efforts. AzCaNE submitted an initial hydrogen hub concept paper to the DOE, which in turn encouraged the submission of a full application for funding. In response, AzCaNE formed the Southwest Clean Hydrogen Innovation Network (“SHINe”) and submitted an application for funding its behalf. SHINe was not, however, selected as one of the seven regional hubs to be awarded funding by DOE. APS is currently maintaining a participatory role in AzCaNE as the organization continues to explore ways to educate stakeholders and promote low-carbon technologies.
Carbon Capture
Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage (“CCUS”) technologies can isolate CO2 and either sequester it permanently in geologic formations or convert it for use in products. Currently, almost all existing fossil fuel generators do not control carbon emissions the way they control emissions of other air pollutants such as sulfur dioxide or oxides of nitrogen. CCUS technologies are still in the demonstration phase and while they show promise, they are still being tested in real-world conditions. These technologies could offer the potential to keep in operation existing generators that otherwise would need to be retired. APS will continue to monitor this emerging technology, particularly in regard to EPA’s proposed Greenhouse Gas (GHG) rule. On May 23, 2023, the EPA proposed regulations for GHG emissions that would, among other things, require CCUS technologies for certain classifications of coal-, oil-, and natural gas-fired electricity generating units dependent upon a variety of factors including retirement date and operating capacity. See Note 10 for more information.
Sustainability Practices
In 2020, in support of our clean energy commitment and the growing focus on sustainability within our organization, we increased our focus on sustainability by dedicating a new Sustainability Department at Pinnacle West responsible for integrating responsible business practices into the everyday work of the Company.
The Sustainability Department engaged the Electric Power Research Institute (“EPRI”) and leveraged input from employees, large customers, limited-income advocates, economic development groups, environmental non-governmental organizations, leading sustainability academics and other stakeholders to identify and assess the sustainability issues that matter most. In total, 23 Priority Sustainability Issues (“PSIs”) were identified and prioritized. The most critical category includes four issues deemed most important and most able to be impacted by our actions: clean energy, customer experience, energy access and reliability, and safety and health. These PSIs provide the foundation for informing our strategic direction, creating a framework for incorporating best practices and driving enterprise-wide alignment and accountability. The Company also benchmarked best practices within the top four PSIs and has utilized this information to identify opportunities for improvement.
Finally, the Company maintains an annual Corporate Responsibility Report on the Pinnacle West website (www.pinnaclewest.com/corporate-responsibility). The report provides information related to the Company’s sustainability practices and performance. The information on Pinnacle West’s website, including the Corporate Responsibility Report, is not incorporated by reference into or otherwise a part of this report.
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Artificial Intelligence
To address the emergence of artificial intelligence technology risk and opportunities, APS has developed a cross functional governance structure with leadership and experts from our information technology, cybersecurity, human resources, ethics, supply chain, legal, and nuclear generation teams. This cross functional structure will assess both the opportunities and risks during the technology intake process to ensure compliance with data security and reliability requirements, while observing market trends in this rapidly evolving area.
Regulatory Overview
2022 Retail Rate Case
APS filed an application with the ACC on October 28, 2022 (the “2022 Rate Case”) seeking an increase in annual retail base rates on the date rates become effective (“Day 1”) of a net $460 million. This Day 1 net impact represents a total base revenue deficiency of $772 million offset by proposed adjustor transfers of cost recovery to annual retail rates and adjustor mechanism modifications. The average annual customer bill impact of APS’s request on Day 1 is an increase of 13.6%.
The principal provisions of APS’s application were:
•a test year comprised of twelve months ended June 30, 2022, adjusted as described below;
•an original cost rate base of $10.5 billion, which approximates the ACC-jurisdictional portion of the book value of utility assets, net of accumulated depreciation and other credits;
•the following proposed capital structure and costs of capital:
| Capital Structure | Cost of Capital | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-term debt | 48.07 | % | 3.85 | % | ||
| Common stock equity | 51.93 | % | 10.25 | % | ||
| Weighted-average cost of capital | 7.17 | % |
•a 1% return on the increment of fair value rate base above APS’s original cost rate base, as provided for by Arizona law;
•a rate of $0.038321 per kWh for the portion of APS’s retail base rates attributable to fuel and purchased power costs;
•modification of its adjustment mechanisms including:
▪eliminate the Environmental Improvement Surcharge (“EIS”) and collect costs through base rates,
▪eliminate the Lost Fixed Cost Recovery (“LFCR”) mechanism and collect costs through base rates and the Demand Side Management Adjustment Charge (“DSMAC”),
▪maintain as inactive the Tax Expense Adjustor Mechanism (“TEAM”),
▪maintain the Transmission Cost Adjustment (“TCA”) mechanism,
▪modify the performance incentive in the DSMAC, and
▪modify the Renewable Energy Adjustment Charge (“REAC”) to include recovery of capital carrying costs of APS owned renewable and storage resources;
•changes to its limited-income program, including a second tier to provide an additional discount for customers with greater need; and
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•twelve months of post-Test Year plant investments to reflect used and useful projects that will be placed into service prior to July 1, 2023.
On June 5, 2023 and June 15, 2023, the ACC Staff, the Residential Utility Consumer Office (“RUCO”) and other intervenors filed their initial written testimony with the ACC. The ACC Staff recommends among other things, (i) a $251 million revenue increase or, as an alternative, a $312 million revenue increase, (ii) a 9.6% return on equity, (iii) a 0.0% fair value increment or, as an alternative, a 0.75% fair value increment, and (iv) a continuation of a 12-month post-test year plant. RUCO recommends, among other things, (i) an $84.9 million revenue increase, (ii) an 8.2% return on equity or, as an alternative, an 8.7% return on equity if the ACC imputes a hypothetical capital structure with a 46% equity layer, (iii) a fair value increment of 0.0%, and (iv) a reduction of post-test year plant to six months.
On July 12, 2023, APS filed rebuttal testimony addressing the ACC Staff and intervenors’ direct testimonies. The principal provisions of APS’s rebuttal testimony were:
•reducing the revenue requirement increase to $383.1 million, which reduced the average annual customer bill impact to an increase of 11.3%;
•maintaining a return on equity request of 10.25%;
•reducing the increment of fair value rate base return to 0.5% from 1.0%;
•maintaining a post-test year plant request of 12 months, plus the Four Corners Effluent Limitation Guidelines (“ELG”) project;
•withdrawing the Payment Fee Removal Proposal (net reduction) which was originally requested in APS’s initial application;
•maintaining the LFCR and DSMAC as separate adjustors;
•increasing the PSA annual rate change limit from $0.004/kWh to $0.006/kWh;
•proposing a new System Reliability Benefit (“SRB”) recovery mechanism;
•maintaining the REAC in its current state;
•maintaining adjustor base transfers and elimination of EIS; and
•maintaining the request to recover CCT funding.
On July 26, 2023, the ACC Staff, RUCO and other intervenors filed their surrebuttal testimony with the ACC. The ACC Staff adjusted their initial recommendations to, among other things, (i) a $281.9 million revenue increase, (ii) a 9.68% return on equity, (iii) a 0.5% fair value increment, (iv) a continuation of a 12-month post-test year plant that includes the Four Corners ELG project, and (v) support of an increase to the annual PSA increase limit to $0.006/kWh. RUCO maintained their direct position and also recommended further review of the PSA in a second phase of the 2022 Rate Case.
On August 4, 2023, APS filed rejoinder testimony addressing the ACC Staff and intervenors’ surrebuttal testimonies. APS’s rejoinder testimony included final post-Test Year Plant values, reducing the revenue requirement increase to $377.7 million from $383.1 million, which reduced the average annual customer bill impact to an increase of 11.2%. All other major provisions from APS’s rebuttal testimony were maintained in its rejoinder testimony.
On November 6, 2023, and November 21, 2023, APS and stakeholders filed briefs in the 2022 Rate Case. APS’s briefs included the reduction of the total revenue requirement increase to $376.2 million and a resulting average annual customer bill impact increase of 11.1%. All other major provisions from APS’s rejoinder testimony were maintained in its briefs. ACC Staff’s briefs included a proposed total revenue
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requirement increase from $281.9 million to $282.7 million and also included their support of APS’s SRB mechanism, contingent on increased stakeholder outreach.
On January 25, 2024, an Administrative Law Judge issued a Recommended Opinion and Order in the 2022 Rate Case, as corrected on February 6, 2024 (the “2022 Rate Case ROO”). The 2022 Rate Case ROO recommended, among other things, (i) a $523.1 million increase in the annual base rate revenue requirement, (ii) a 9.55% return on equity, (iii) a 0.25% return on the increment of fair value rate base greater than original cost, (iv) an effective fair value rate of return of 4.36%, (v) 12 months of post-test year plant and the inclusion of the Four Corners ELG project, (vi) the approval of APS’s SRB proposal with certain procedural and other modifications, (vii) no additional CCT funding, (viii) a 5.0% return on the prepaid pension asset and a return of 5.35% on the OPEB liability, and (ix) no disallowances on APS’s coal contracts.
The 2022 Rate Case ROO also recommended a number of changes to existing adjustors, including (i) the approval of modified DSM performance incentives and the requested DSM transfer to base rates, (ii) the retention of $1.9 million of REAC in the adjustor rather than base rates, (iii) a partial transfer of $27.1 million of LFCR funds to base rates, and (iv) the adoption of an increase in the annual PSA cap to $0.006/kWh.
On February 22, 2024, the ACC approved a number of amendments to the 2022 Rate Case ROO that resulted in, among other things, (i) an approximately $491.7 million increase in the annual base revenue requirement, (ii) a 9.55% return on equity, (iii) a 0.25% return on the increment of fair value rate base greater than original cost, (iv) an effective fair value rate of return of 4.39%, (v) a return set at the Company’s weighted average cost of capital on the net prepaid pension asset and net other post-employment benefit liability in rate base, (vi) an adjustment to generation maintenance and outage expense to reflect a more reasonable level of test year costs, (vii) approval of the SRB mechanism with modifications to customer notifications, procedural timelines and the inclusion of any qualifying technology and fuel source bid received through an all-source RFP, and (viii) recovery of all DSM costs through the DSMAC rather than through base rates.
The ACC’s decision results in an expected total net annual revenue increase for APS of approximately $253.4 million and a roughly 8% increase to the typical residential customer’s bill. The ACC is expected to issue the final order for the 2022 Rate Case in March 2024 with the new rates to become effective for all service rendered on and after March 8, 2024.
2019 Retail Rate Case
On October 31, 2019, APS filed an application with the ACC (the “2019 Rate Case”) for an annual increase in retail base rates. On August 2, 2021, an Administrative Law Judge issued a Recommended Opinion and Order in the 2019 Rate Case (the “2019 Rate Case ROO”) and issued corrections on September 10 and September 20, 2021. Subsequently, the ACC approved an amended 2019 Rate Case ROO on November 2, 2021 (the “2019 Rate Case Decision”). See Note 3 for information regarding the 2019 Rate Case ROO.
After the 2019 Rate Case Decision, APS filed an application for rehearing of the 2019 Rate Case and later filed a Notice of Direct Appeal by APS at the Arizona Court of Appeals, requesting review of certain matters from the 2019 Rate Case Decision. The Arizona Court of Appeals affirmed in part and reversed in part the ACC’s decision in the 2019 Rate Case, remanding the issue to the ACC for further proceedings. On June 14, 2023, APS and the ACC Legal Division filed a joint resolution with the ACC to
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allow recovery of $215.5 million in costs related to the installation of the Four Corners SCR project, a reversal of the 20-basis point reduction to APS’s return on equity from 8.9% to 8.7% as a result of the 2019 Rate Case Decision, and recovery of $59.6 million in revenue lost by APS between December of 2021 and June 20, 2023. The joint resolution provides for a new Court Resolution Surcharge (“CRS”) mechanism, which is designed to recover the $59.6 million in revenue lost by APS between December 2021 and June 20, 2023, and the prospective recovery of ongoing costs related to the SCR investments and expense and the allowable return on equity difference in current base rates. On June 21, 2023, the ACC approved the joint resolution and proposals therein for recovery through the CRS mechanism, which became effective on July 1, 2023. The current CRS will be recalculated at the end of the 2022 Rate Case to remove the effects of the prospective recovery related to the allowable return on equity difference. On February 22, 2024, the ACC approved the 2022 Rate Case. The CRS tariff is currently being recalculated to reflect the final decision in that case. See Note 3 for more information regarding the 2019 Rate Case and Four Corners SCR cost recovery.
The portion of the CRS representing the recovery of the $59.6 million of lost revenue between December of 2021 and June 20, 2023, $9.4 million of which has been collected as of December 31, 2023, will cease upon full collection of the lost revenue. Finally, recovery of ongoing costs related to the SCR investments will continue until the Company’s next rate case in which they can be incorporated therein.
Regulatory Lag Docket
On January 5, 2023, the ACC opened a new docket to explore the possibility of modifications to the ACC’s historical test year rules. The ACC requested comments from utilities and interested parties on ways to reduce regulatory lag, including alternative ratemaking structures such as future test years and hybrid test years. APS filed comments on June 1, 2023. APS cannot predict the outcome of this matter.
See Note 3 for information regarding additional regulatory matters.
Financial Strength and Flexibility
Pinnacle West and APS currently have ample borrowing capacity under their respective credit facilities and may readily access these facilities ensuring adequate liquidity for each company. Capital expenditures will be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Other Subsidiaries
PNW Power and BCE. On August 4, 2023, Pinnacle West entered into a purchase and sale agreement pursuant to which we agreed to sell all of our equity interest in our wholly-owned subsidiary BCE to Ameresco (the “BCE Sale”). The transaction was accounted for as the sale of a business and closed in multiple stages. Certain investments and assets that BCE previously held, including the TransCanyon joint venture and holdings in the two Tenaska wind farm investments, were not included in the BCE Sale and were instead transferred to Pinnacle West Power, LLC (“PNW Power”), a newly-formed, wholly-owned subsidiary of Pinnacle West.
The BCE Sale transaction was accounted for as the sale of a business and closed in multiple stages. As of December 31, 2023, all of BCE assets were classified as held for sale. The final closing of the BCE Sale was on January 12, 2024. See Note 20 for additional details.
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PNW Power’s investments include TransCanyon, a 50/50 joint venture that was formed in 2014 with BHE U.S. Transmission LLC, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Energy Company. TransCanyon is pursuing independent electric transmission opportunities within the 11 U.S. states that comprise the Western Interconnection, excluding opportunities related to transmission service that would otherwise be provided under the tariffs of the retail service territories of the venture partners’ utility affiliates.
PNW Power’s investments also include minority ownership positions in two wind farms operated by Tenaska Energy, Inc. and Tenaska Energy Holdings, LLC, the 242 MW Clear Creek and the 250 MW Nobles 2 wind farms. Clear Creek achieved commercial operation in May 2020; however, in the fourth quarter of 2022, PNW Power’s equity method investment was fully impaired. Nobles 2 achieved commercial operation in December 2020. Both wind farms deliver power under long-term PPAs. PNW Power indirectly owns 9.9% of Clear Creek and 5.1% of Nobles 2.
El Dorado. El Dorado is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Pinnacle West. El Dorado owns debt investments and minority interests in several energy-related investments and Arizona community-based ventures. In particular, El Dorado has committed to the following:
•$25 million investment in the Energy Impact Partners fund, of which $16.7 million has been funded as of December 31, 2023. Energy Impact Partners is an organization that focuses on fostering innovation and supporting the transformation of the utility industry.
•$25 million investment in AZ-VC (formerly invisionAZ Fund), of which $6.3 million has been funded as of December 31, 2023. AZ-VC is a fund focused on analyzing, investing, managing, and otherwise dealing with investments in privately-held early stage and emerging growth technology companies and businesses primarily based in Arizona, or based in other jurisdictions and having existing or potential strategic or economic ties to companies or other interests in Arizona.
The remainder of these investment commitments will be contributed by El Dorado as each investment fund selects and makes investments.
Key Financial Drivers
In addition to the continuing impact of the matters described above, many factors influence our financial results and our future financial outlook, including those listed below. We closely monitor these factors to plan for the Company’s current needs, and to adjust our expectations, financial budgets and forecasts appropriately.
Electric Operating Revenues. For the years 2021 through 2023, retail electric revenues comprised approximately 91% of our total operating revenues. Our electric operating revenues are affected by customer growth or decline, variations in weather from period to period, customer mix, average usage per customer and the impacts of energy efficiency programs, distributed energy additions, electricity rates and tariffs, the recovery of PSA deferrals and the operation of other recovery mechanisms. These revenue transactions are affected by the availability of excess generation or other energy resources and wholesale market conditions, including competition, demand, and prices.
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Actual and Projected Customer and Sales Growth. Retail customers in APS’s service territory increased 2.0% for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared with the prior-year period. For the three years through 2023, APS’s customer growth averaged 2.1% per year. We currently project annual customer growth to be 1.5% to 2.5% for 2024 and the average annual growth to be in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2026 based on anticipated steady population growth in Arizona during that period.
Retail electricity sales in kWh, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations, increased 1.5% for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared with the prior-year period. While steady customer growth was somewhat offset by weaker usage among residential customers, energy savings driven by customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable generation initiatives, the main drivers of positive sales for this period were continued strong sales to commercial and industrial customers and the ramp-up of new data center customers.
For the three years through 2023, annual retail electricity sales growth averaged 2.7%, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations. Due to the expected growth of several large data centers and new large manufacturing facilities, we currently project that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 2.0% to 4.0% for 2024 and that average annual growth will be in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% through 2026, including the effects of customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable generation initiatives, but excluding the effects of weather variations. These projected sales growth ranges include the impacts of several large data centers and new large manufacturing facilities, which are expected to contribute to 2024 growth in the range of 2.5% to 3.5% and to average annual growth in the range of 3.0% to 5.0% through 2026.
Longer term, APS has been preparing for and can serve significant load growth from residential and business customers. On top of these existing growth trends, APS is also now receiving unprecedented incremental requests for service from extra-large commercial energy users (over 25 MW) with very high energy demands that persist virtually around-the-clock. These incremental requests for service by extra-large energy users far exceed available generation and transmission resource capacity in the Southwest region for the foreseeable future. In April 2023, APS notified prospective extra-large customers without existing commitments from APS that it is not able to commit at this time to future extra-large projects of over 25 MW. Because of the high growth in demand for such projects, APS has developed a prioritization queue that identifies and prioritizes projects while maintaining system reliability and affordability for existing APS customers. APS is exploring available options for securing sufficient electric generation and transmission to meet these projections of future customer needs.
Actual sales growth, excluding weather-related variations, may differ from our projections as a result of numerous factors, such as economic conditions, customer growth, usage patterns and energy conservation, slower ramp-up of and/or fewer data centers and large manufacturing facilities, slower than expected commercial and industrial expansions, impacts of energy efficiency programs and growth in DG, responses to retail price changes, changes in regulatory standards, and impacts of new and existing laws and regulations, including environmental laws and regulations. Based on past experience, a 1% variation in our annual residential and small commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $20 million, and a 1% variation in our annual large commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $5 million.
Weather. In forecasting the retail sales growth numbers provided above, we assume normal weather patterns based on historical data. Our experience indicates that typical variations from normal
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weather can result in increases and decreases in annual net income of up to $15 million; however, extreme weather variations have resulted in larger annual variations in net income.
Fuel and Purchased Power Costs. Fuel and purchased power costs included on our Consolidated Statements of Income are impacted by our electricity sales volumes, existing contracts for purchased power and generation fuel, our power plant performance, transmission availability or constraints, prevailing market prices, new generating plants being placed in service in our market areas, changes in our generation resource allocation, our hedging program for managing such costs and PSA deferrals and the related amortization.
Operations and Maintenance Expenses. Operations and maintenance expenses are impacted by customer and sales growth, power plant operations, maintenance of utility plant (including generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), inflation, unplanned outages, planned outages (typically scheduled in the spring and fall), renewable energy and DSM related expenses (which are offset by the same amount of operating revenues) and other factors.
Depreciation and Amortization Expenses. Depreciation and amortization expenses are impacted by net additions to utility plant and other property (such as new generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), and changes in depreciation and amortization rates. See “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below for information regarding the planned additions to our facilities.
Pension and Other Postretirement Non-Service Credits, Net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits can be impacted by changes in our actuarial assumptions. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate used to measure our net periodic costs/credit, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term, the mortality assumptions and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary.
Property Taxes. Taxes other than income taxes consist primarily of property taxes, which are affected by the value of property in-service and under construction, assessment ratios, and tax rates. The average property tax rate in Arizona for APS, which owns essentially all of our property, was 10.0% of the assessed value for 2023, 10.2% for 2022, and 10.7% for 2021. Property taxes increased in 2023 due to higher plant balances related to expansion and improvements on our existing generation, transmission, and distribution facilities, partially offset by legislative changes reducing both property tax assessment ratios and rates in Arizona.
Income Taxes. Income taxes are affected by the amount of pretax book income, income tax rates, certain deductions, and non-taxable items, such as AFUDC. In addition, income taxes may also be affected by the settlement of issues with taxing authorities.
Interest Expense. Interest expense is affected by the amount of debt outstanding and the interest rates on that debt. See Note 6 for further details. The primary factors affecting borrowing levels are expected to be our capital expenditures, long-term debt maturities, equity issuances and internally generated cash flow. An allowance for borrowed funds used during construction offsets a portion of interest expense while capital projects are under construction. We stop accruing AFUDC on a project when it is placed into service.
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Pinnacle West’s reportable business segment is our regulated electricity segment, which consists of traditional regulated retail and wholesale electricity businesses (primarily sales supplied under traditional cost-based rate regulation) and related activities and includes electricity generation, transmission, and distribution. All other segment activities are insignificant. Our regulated electricity segment activities are conducted primarily through our wholly-owned subsidiary, APS.
Operating Results – 2023 compared with 2022
Our consolidated net income attributable to common shareholders for the year ended December 31, 2023, was $502 million, compared with $484 million for the prior year. The results reflect an increase of approximately $18 million, primarily as a result of the effects of weather, higher CRS and LFCR revenue, higher transmission revenue, increased sales and usage, and higher other income. These positive factors were partially offset by higher interest charges, net of AFUDC, higher operations and maintenance expense, lower pension and other postretirement non-service credits, and higher depreciation and amortization expense mostly due to increased plant assets.
The following table presents net income attributable to common shareholders compared with the prior year for Pinnacle West consolidated and for APS consolidated:
| APS Consolidated | Pinnacle West Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year Ended December 31, | Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 2022 | Net Change | 2023 | 2022 | Net Change | |||||||||||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Operating revenues | $ | 4,696 | $ | 4,324 | $ | 372 | $ | 4,696 | $ | 4,324 | $ | 372 | ||||||||||
| Fuel and purchased power expense | (1,793) | (1,629) | (164) | (1,793) | (1,629) | (164) | ||||||||||||||||
| Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses | 2,903 | 2,695 | 208 | 2,903 | 2,695 | 208 | ||||||||||||||||
| Operations and maintenance | (1,044) | (974) | (70) | (1,059) | (987) | (72) | ||||||||||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | (794) | (753) | (41) | (794) | (753) | (41) | ||||||||||||||||
| Taxes other than income taxes | (224) | (220) | (4) | (224) | (220) | (4) | ||||||||||||||||
| Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net | 42 | 99 | (57) | 41 | 98 | (57) | ||||||||||||||||
| Other income and expenses, net | 60 | 22 | 38 | 60 | (1) | 61 | ||||||||||||||||
| Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction | (285) | (236) | (49) | (331) | (256) | (75) | ||||||||||||||||
| Income taxes | (94) | (91) | (3) | (77) | (75) | (2) | ||||||||||||||||
| Less income related to noncontrolling interests | (17) | (17) | — | (17) | (17) | — | ||||||||||||||||
| Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders | $ | 547 | $ | 525 | $ | 22 | $ | 502 | $ | 484 | $ | 18 |
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Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses. Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses were $208 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared with the prior year. The following table summarizes the major components of this change:
| Increase (Decrease) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | Fuel and purchased power expenses | Net change | ||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | ||||||||||
| LFCR revenue (Note 3) | $ | 55 | $ | — | $ | 55 | ||||
| Effects of weather | 46 | 12 | 34 | |||||||
| CRS revenue (Note 3) | 34 | — | 34 | |||||||
| Higher transmission revenues (Note 3) | 26 | — | 26 | |||||||
| Higher retail revenue due to customer growth and changes in customer usage patterns and related pricing, partially offset by the impacts of energy efficiency and distributed generation | 39 | 14 | 25 | |||||||
| Higher renewable energy regulatory surcharges, partially offset by operations and maintenance costs | 15 | (8) | 23 | |||||||
| Changes in net fuel and purchased power costs, including off-system sales margins and related deferrals | 158 | 145 | 13 | |||||||
| Miscellaneous items, net | (1) | 1 | (2) | |||||||
| Total | $ | 372 | $ | 164 | $ | 208 |
Operations and maintenance. Operations and maintenance expenses increased $72 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to:
•An increase of $31 million primarily related to costs for renewable energy and similar regulatory programs, which are partially offset in operating revenues and purchased power;
•An increase of $22 million related to non-nuclear generation costs primarily due to higher operating costs and higher planned outages;
•An increase of $14 million related to transmission, distribution, and customer service;
•An increase of $13 million related to nuclear generation costs;
•An increase of $10 million related to information technology costs;
•A decrease of $26 million related to employee benefits, largely due to decreased pension and other post-retirement service costs of $12 million and other miscellaneous factors. See “pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net” below for additional discussion; and
•An increase of $8 million for corporate resources and other miscellaneous factors.
Depreciation and amortization. Depreciation and amortization expenses were $41 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to increased plant in service.
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Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net were $57 million lower for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to the effect of higher discount rates and actual market returns being lower than estimated returns in 2022.
Other income and expenses, net. All other income and expenses, net were $61 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to higher interest income, higher allowance for equity funds used during construction due to increased capital expenditures, Clear Creak wind farm impairment (see Note 10) recorded in the prior year period, and the gain on the BCE Sale. See Note 20. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s other income and expenses, net primarily relates to BCE matters.
Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction. Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction were $75 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to higher debt balances, higher commercial paper balances and higher interest rates in the current period, partially offset by higher allowance for borrowed funds due to increased capital expenditures. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction is primarily relates to Pinnacle West’s higher term loan interest and BCE debt activity.
Income taxes. Income taxes were $2 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to higher pre-tax income, partially offset by Investment Tax Credit amortization from our Arizona Sun battery facilities, and Production Tax Credits from our Agave Solar facility, both of which went into service in 2023.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Overview
Pinnacle West’s primary cash needs are for dividends to our shareholders and principal and interest payments on our indebtedness. The level of our common stock dividends and future dividend growth will be dependent on declaration by our Board of Directors and based on a number of factors, including our financial condition, payout ratio, free cash flow and other factors.
Our primary sources of cash are dividends from APS and external debt and equity issuances. An ACC order requires APS to maintain a common equity ratio of at least 40%. As defined in the related ACC order, the common equity ratio is defined as total shareholder equity divided by the sum of total shareholder equity and long-term debt, including current maturities of long-term debt. At December 31, 2023, APS’s common equity ratio, as defined, was 49%. Its total shareholder equity was approximately $7.2 billion, and total capitalization was approximately $14.7 billion. Under this order, APS would be prohibited from paying dividends if such payment would reduce its total shareholder equity below approximately $5.9 billion, assuming APS’s total capitalization remains the same. This restriction does not materially affect Pinnacle West’s ability to meet its ongoing cash needs or ability to pay dividends to shareholders.
Dividends to Pinnacle West from APS are also dependent on a number of factors including, among others, APS’s financial condition and free cash flow, the sources of which vary from quarter-to-quarter due in part to the seasonal nature of electricity demand. APS’s sources of cash include cash from operations and external sources of liquidity, including long- and short-term external debt financing such as
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commercial paper and its revolving credit facility. APS’s capital requirements consist primarily of capital expenditures and maturities of long-term debt. APS funds its capital requirements with cash from operations and, to the extent necessary, external debt financings and equity infusions from Pinnacle West. APS is currently authorized to receive up to $150 million annually in equity infusions from Pinnacle West without seeking ACC approval. On October 27, 2023, APS sought approval from the ACC to receive from Pinnacle West in 2024 up to an additional $500 million in equity infusions above the authorized limit of $150 million, and on January 9, 2024, the ACC approved the increased equity infusion limit for 2024.
Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities that enhance liquidity and provide credit support for accessing commercial paper markets. These credit facilities mature in 2028. See Note 5.
Summary of Cash Flows
The following tables present net cash provided by (used for) operating, investing, and financing activities for the years ended December 31, 2023, and 2022 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West Consolidated
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 1,207 | $ | 1,242 | ||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (1,694) | (1,618) | ||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 487 | 371 | ||||
| Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents | $ | — | $ | (5) |
Arizona Public Service Company
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 1,275 | $ | 1,230 | ||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (1,687) | (1,549) | ||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 412 | 314 | ||||
| Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents | $ | — | $ | (5) |
Operating Cash Flows
2023 Compared with 2022. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by operating activities was $1,207 million in 2023 compared to $1,242 million in 2022, a decrease of $35 million in net cash provided primarily due to $204 million higher fuel and purchased power costs, $82 million higher payments for operations and maintenance costs, $66 million higher interest payments, $57 million lower customer advances for construction and $13 million change in net collateral, partially offset by $349 million higher cash receipts from electric revenues and $37 million lower income taxes. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s net cash provided by operating activities primarily relates to APS’s lower income tax cash payments to Pinnacle West and other changes in working capital.
Retirement plans and other postretirement benefits. Pinnacle West sponsors a qualified defined benefit pension plan and a non-qualified supplemental excess benefit retirement plan for the employees of Pinnacle West and our subsidiaries. Pinnacle West also sponsors other postretirement benefit plans for the employees of Pinnacle West and its subsidiaries. The requirements of the Employee Retirement Income
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Security Act of 1974 (“ERISA”) require us to contribute a minimum amount to the qualified plan. We contribute at least the minimum amount required under ERISA regulations, but no more than the maximum tax-deductible amount. Under ERISA, the qualified pension plan was estimated to be 110% funded as of January 1, 2024, and was 112% as of January 1, 2023. Future year contribution amounts are dependent on plan asset performance and plan actuarial assumptions. In 2022 and 2023, we did not make any contributions to our pension plan. In 2021, we made contributions to our pension plan totaling $100 million. The minimum required contributions for the pension plan are zero for the next three years and we do not expect to make any voluntary contributions in 2024, 2025 or 2026. Regarding contributions to our other postretirement benefit plan, we did not make any contributions in 2023 or 2022 and do not expect to make any contributions in 2024, 2025 or 2026. The Company was reimbursed $23 million in 2023, $26 million in 2022, and $24 million in 2021 for prior years retiree medical claims from the other postretirement benefit plan trust assets. We continually monitor financial market volatility and its impact on our retirement plans and other postretirement benefits, but we believe our liability driven investment strategy helps to minimize the impact of market volatility on our plan’s funded status. For instance, our pension plan’s funded status, as measured for accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) purposes, was 102% funded as of December 31, 2023, and our postretirement benefit plans were 162% funded, as measured for GAAP purposes at December 31, 2023. See Note 7 for additional details.
The CARES Act allows employers to defer payments of the employer share of Social Security payroll taxes that would have otherwise been owed from March 27, 2020, through December 31, 2020. We deferred the cash payment of the employer’s portion of Social Security payroll taxes for the period July 1, 2020, through December 31, 2020, that was approximately $18 million. As of December 31, 2022, we have paid this cash deferral in full.
Investing Cash Flows
2023 Compared with 2022. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash used for investing activities was $1,694 million in 2023 compared to $1,618 million in 2022, an increase of $76 million primarily related to increased capital expenditures and higher allowance for borrowed funds, partially offset by proceeds from the BCE Sale. See Note 20. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s net cash used for investing activities primarily relates to the BCE Sale.
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Capital Expenditures. The following table summarizes the estimated capital expenditures for the next three years:
Capital Expenditures
(dollars in millions)
| Estimated for the Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | ||||||||
| APS | ||||||||||
| Generation: | ||||||||||
| Clean: | ||||||||||
| Nuclear Generation | $ | 130 | $ | 130 | $ | 140 | ||||
| Renewables and Energy Storage Systems (“ESS”) (a) | 175 | 305 | 280 | |||||||
| Other Generation (b) | 455 | 320 | 235 | |||||||
| Distribution | 565 | 550 | 590 | |||||||
| Transmission | 340 | 415 | 420 | |||||||
| Other (c) | 285 | 280 | 385 | |||||||
| Total APS | $ | 1,950 | $ | 2,000 | $ | 2,050 |
(a)APS Solar Communities program, energy storage, renewable projects, and other clean energy projects.
(b)Includes generation environmental projects.
(c)Primarily information systems and facilities projects.
The table above does not include capital expenditures related to PNW Power projects.
Generation capital expenditures are comprised of various additions and improvements to APS’s clean resources, including nuclear plants, renewables and ESS. Generation capital expenditures also include additions and improvements to existing fossil plants, such as our current modernization project at our Sundance gas plant. Examples of the types of projects included in the forecast of generation capital expenditures are additions of renewables and energy storage, and upgrades and capital replacements of various nuclear and fossil power plant equipment, such as turbines, boilers, and environmental equipment. We are monitoring the status of environmental matters, which, depending on their final outcome, could require modification to our planned environmental expenditures.
Distribution and transmission capital expenditures are comprised of infrastructure additions and upgrades, capital replacements, and new customer construction. Examples of the types of projects included in the forecast include power lines, substations, and line extensions to new residential and commercial developments.
Capital expenditures will be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
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Financing Cash Flows and Liquidity
2023 Compared with 2022. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $487 million in 2023 compared to $371 million in 2022, an increase of $116 million in net cash provided primarily due to a net increase in short-term borrowings of $193 million and $117 million lower long-term debt repayments, partially offset by $186 million in lower issuances of long-term debt and higher dividend payments of $8 million.
APS’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $412 million in 2023 compared to $314 million in 2022, an increase of $98 million in net cash provided primarily due to a net increase in short-term borrowings of $135 million, partially offset by $29 million in lower issuances of long-term debt and higher dividend payments of $8 million.
Significant Financing Activities. On December 13, 2023, the Pinnacle West Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.880 per share of common stock, payable on March 1, 2024, to shareholders of record on February 1, 2024. During 2023, Pinnacle West increased its indicated annual dividend from $3.46 per share to $3.52 per share. For the year ended December 31, 2023, Pinnacle West’s total dividends paid per share of common stock were $3.48 per share, which resulted in dividend payments of $386 million.
Available Credit Facilities. Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities in order to enhance liquidity and provide credit support for their commercial paper. See Note 5 for more information on available credit facilities.
Other Financing Matters. See Note 15 for information related to the change in our margin and collateral accounts.
Debt Provisions
Pinnacle West’s and APS’s debt covenants related to their respective bank financing arrangements include maximum debt to capitalization ratios. Pinnacle West and APS comply with these covenants. For both Pinnacle West and APS, these covenants require that the ratio of consolidated debt to total consolidated capitalization not exceed 65%. At December 31, 2023, the ratio was approximately 60% for Pinnacle West and 52% for APS. Failure to comply with such covenant levels would result in an event of default which, generally speaking, would require the immediate repayment of the debt subject to the covenants and could “cross-default” other debt. See further discussion of “cross-default” provisions below.
Neither Pinnacle West’s nor APS’s financing agreements contain “rating triggers” that would result in an acceleration of the required interest and principal payments in the event of a rating downgrade. However, our bank credit agreements contain a pricing grid in which the interest rates we pay for borrowings thereunder are determined by our current credit ratings.
All of Pinnacle West’s loan agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment under these loan agreements if Pinnacle West or APS were to default under certain other material agreements. All of APS’s bank agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment under these bank agreements if APS were to default under certain other material agreements. Pinnacle West and APS do not have a material adverse change restriction for credit facility borrowings.
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On December 15, 2022, the ACC issued a financing order reaffirming the previous short-term debt authorization equal to the sum of (i) 7% of APS’s capitalization, and (ii) $500 million (which is required to be used for costs relating to purchases of natural gas and power) and approving APS’s application filed April 6, 2022 requesting to increase the long-term debt limit from $7.5 billion to $8.0 billion and to exclude financing lease PPAs from the definition of long-term debt for purposes of the ACC financing orders. See Note 6 for further discussions of liquidity matters.
Credit Ratings
The ratings of securities of Pinnacle West and APS as of February 15, 2024, are shown below. We are disclosing these credit ratings to enhance understanding of our cost of short-term and long-term capital and our ability to access the markets for liquidity and long-term debt. The ratings reflect the respective views of the rating agencies, from which an explanation of the significance of their ratings may be obtained. There is no assurance that these ratings will continue for any given period. The ratings may be revised or withdrawn entirely by the rating agencies if, in their respective judgments, circumstances so warrant. Any downward revision or withdrawal may adversely affect the market price of Pinnacle West’s or APS’s securities and/or result in an increase in the cost of, or limit access to, capital. Such revisions may also result in substantial additional cash or other collateral requirements related to certain derivative instruments, insurance policies, natural gas transportation, fuel supply, and other energy-related contracts. At this time, we believe we have sufficient available liquidity resources to respond to a potential downward revision to our credit ratings.
| Moody’s | Standard & Poor’s | Fitch | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle West | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | Baa1 | BBB+ | BBB+ | ||
| Senior unsecured | Baa1 | BBB | BBB+ | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F2 | ||
| Outlook | Negative | Negative | Negative | ||
| APS | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | A3 | BBB+ | BBB+ | ||
| Senior unsecured | A3 | BBB+ | A- | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F2 | ||
| Outlook | Negative | Negative | Negative |
Contractual Obligations
Pinnacle West has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future, in addition to its capital expenditure programs. Material contractual obligations and other commitments are as follows:
•Pinnacle West and APS have material long-term debt obligations that mature at various dates through 2050 and bear interest principally at fixed rates. Interest on variable-rate long-term debt is determined by using average rates at December 31, 2023. See Note 6.
•Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities. See Note 5 for short-term debt details.
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•Fuel and purchased power commitments include purchases of coal, electricity, natural gas, renewable energy, nuclear fuel, and natural gas transportation. See Notes 3 and 10. Purchase obligations include capital expenditures and other obligations. See Note 10. Commitments related to purchased power lease contracts are also considered fuel and purchased power commitments. See Note 8.
•APS holds certain contracts to purchase renewable energy credits in compliance with the RES. See Notes 3 and 10.
•APS is required to make payments to the noncontrolling interests related to the Palo Verde sale leaseback through 2033. See Note 17.
•APS must reimburse certain coal providers for final and contemporaneous coal mine reclamation. See Note 10.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
In preparing the financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management must often make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and related disclosures at the date of the financial statements and during the reporting period. Some of those judgments can be subjective and complex, and actual results could differ from those estimates. We consider the following accounting policies to be our most critical because of the uncertainties, judgments and complexities of the underlying accounting standards and operations involved.
Regulatory Accounting
Regulatory accounting allows for the actions of regulators, such as the ACC and FERC, to be reflected in our financial statements. Their actions may cause us to capitalize costs that would otherwise be included as an expense in the current period by unregulated companies. Regulatory assets represent incurred costs that have been deferred because they are probable of future recovery in customer rates. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts collected in rates to recover costs expected to be incurred in the future or amounts collected in excess of costs incurred and are refundable to customers. Management judgments include continually assessing the likelihood of future recovery of regulatory assets and/or a disallowance of part of the cost of recently completed plant, by considering factors such as applicable regulatory environment changes and recent rate orders to other regulated entities in the same jurisdiction. This determination reflects the current political and regulatory climate in Arizona and is subject to change in the future. If future recovery of costs ceases to be probable, the assets would be written off as a charge in current period earnings, except for pension benefits, which would be charged to OCI and result in lower future earnings. Management judgments also include assessing the impact of potential ACC- or FERC-ordered refunds to customers on regulatory liabilities. We had $2,016 million of regulatory assets and $2,176 million of regulatory liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets at December 31, 2023. See Notes 1 and 3 for more information.
Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefit Accounting
Changes in our actuarial assumptions used in calculating our pension and other postretirement benefit assets, liabilities and expense can have a significant impact on our earnings and financial position. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary. The most relevant actuarial
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assumptions are the discount rate, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets (“EROA”), and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. Differences between these actuarial assumptions and actual plan results may create volatility in pension and other postretirement benefit expense. To reduce this volatility, these differences are accumulated and amortized (subject to a corridor of 10% of the greater of plan assets or obligations) as part of the expense over a period of approximately 11 years. Following are the most relevant actuarial assumptions:
Discount Rate. The discount rate is used to measure the plan liability and net periodic cost. For this assumption, we utilize a yield curve produced by our actuary as of December 31st and employ their projections of the future benefit payments to estimate the projected benefit obligation for each plan. This process also yields a single equivalent discount rate that produces the same present value for the projection of estimated benefit payments that is generated by discounting each year’s benefit payments by a spot rate to that year. The spot rates are derived from a yield curve composed of domestic AA rated corporate bonds.
EROA. The EROA is used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term. For this assumption, we consider historical experience and future expectations of asset classes utilized in the portfolio.
Healthcare Cost Trend Rates. We consider past performance and forecasts of health care costs and our actuary provides the Company with a medical trend recommendation based on national medical trend, historical claims performance, benchmarking, and plan design changes.
The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2023, reported pension assets and liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2023 reported pension expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on the Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Pension Plans | Impact on Pension Expense | |||||
| Discount rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (250) | $ | (9) | |||
| Decrease 1% | 295 | 10 | |||||
| EROA: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (19) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 19 |
(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)In general, changes in the discount rate will not typically have symmetrical effects for increases and decreases of the rate. Further, a 1% change in a low discount rate environment will have a larger impact than a 1% change in a high discount rate environment. Therefore, the discount rate sensitivities above cannot necessarily be extrapolated. Additionally, the Pension Plan utilizes a liability-driven strategy for its pension asset portfolio, and the obligation and expense sensitivities shown above do not reflect the offsetting impact that a change in interest rates may have on pension asset values.
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The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2023, other postretirement benefit obligation on the Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2023 reported other postretirement benefit expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Plans | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Expense | |||||
| Discount rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (42) | $ | (2) | |||
| Decrease 1% | 51 | 2 | |||||
| Healthcare cost trend rate (c): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | 42 | 5 | |||||
| Decrease 1% | (36) | (4) | |||||
| EROA – pretax: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (4) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 4 |
(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)In general, changes in the discount rate will not typically have symmetrical effects for increases and decreases of the rate. Further, a 1% change in a low discount rate environment will have a larger impact than a 1% change in a high discount rate environment. Therefore, the discount rate sensitivities above cannot necessarily be extrapolated.
(c)This assumes a 1% change in the initial and ultimate healthcare cost trend rate.
See Note 7 for further details about our pension and other postretirement benefit plans.
Fair Value Measurements
We account for derivative instruments, investments held in our nuclear decommissioning trusts fund, investments held in our other special use funds, certain cash equivalents, and plan assets held in our retirement and other benefit plans at fair value on a recurring basis. Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We use inputs, or assumptions that market participants would use, to determine fair market value. We utilize valuation techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs. The significance of a particular input determines how the instrument is classified in a fair value hierarchy. The determination of fair value sometimes requires subjective and complex judgment. Our assessment of the inputs and the significance of a particular input to fair value measurement may affect the valuation of the instruments and their placement within a fair value hierarchy. Actual results could differ from our estimates of fair value. See Note 1 for a discussion of accounting policies and Note 12 for fair value measurement disclosures.
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Asset Retirement Obligations
We recognize an ARO for the future decommissioning or retirement of our tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. The ARO liability represents an estimate of the fair value of the current obligation related to decommissioning and the retirement of those assets. ARO measurements inherently involve uncertainty in the amount and timing of settlement of the liability. We use an expected cash flow approach to measure the amount we recognize as an ARO. This approach applies probability weighting to discounted future cash flow scenarios that reflect a range of possible outcomes. The scenarios consider settlement of the ARO at the expiration of the asset’s current license or lease term and expected decommissioning dates. The fair value of an ARO is recognized in the period in which it is incurred. The associated asset retirement costs are capitalized as part of the carrying value of the long-lived asset and are depreciated over the life of the related assets. In addition, we accrete the ARO liability to reflect the passage of time. Changes in these estimates and assumptions could materially affect the amount of the recorded ARO for these assets. In accordance with GAAP accounting, APS accrues removal costs for its regulated utility assets, even if there is no legal obligation for removal.
AROs as of December 31, 2023 are described further in Note 11.
OTHER ACCOUNTING MATTERS
See Note 21 for two new accounting standards that were issued in November and December 2023, respectively, that are pending adoption: ASU 2023-07, Improvements to Reportable Segment Disclosures, effective for us for annual periods on December 31, 2024, and interim periods thereafter, and ASU 2023-09, Improvements to Income Tax Disclosures, effective for us for annual periods on December 31, 2025.
MARKET AND CREDIT RISKS
Market Risks
Our operations include managing market risks related to changes in interest rates, commodity prices, investments held by our nuclear decommissioning trusts, other special use funds and benefit plan assets.
Interest Rate and Equity Risk
We have exposure to changing interest rates. Changing interest rates will affect interest paid on variable-rate debt and the market value of fixed income securities held by our nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds (see Notes 12 and 18), and benefit plan assets. The nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds and benefit plan assets also have risks associated with the changing market value of their equity and other non-fixed income investments. Nuclear decommissioning, coal reclamation, and benefit plan costs are recovered in regulated electricity prices.
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The tables below present contractual balances of our consolidated long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2023, and 2022. If variable interest rates were to increase by 10% from the December 31, 2023, levels, it would not have a material effect on Pinnacle West Consolidated or APS Consolidated annual interest expense. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2023, and 2022 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West – Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 5.46 | % | $ | 610 | 6.20 | % | $ | 625 | 3.35 | % | $ | 250 | ||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 1.99 | % | 800 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 4.11 | % | 164 | 4.22 | % | 6,080 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 610 | $ | 789 | $ | 7,680 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 610 | $ | 789 | $ | 6,767 |
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 4.56 | % | $ | 341 | 5.42 | % | $ | 51 | — | $ | — | |||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | 5.10 | % | 450 | 3.35 | % | 250 | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 1.99 | % | 800 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 3.96 | % | 163 | 4.10 | % | 5,580 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 341 | $ | 664 | $ | 7,180 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 341 | $ | 664 | $ | 5,922 |
The tables below present contractual balances of APS’s long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2023, and 2022. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2023, and 2022 (dollars in millions):
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APS — Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 5.46 | % | $ | 533 | — | $ | — | 3.35 | % | $ | 250 | |||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2028 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 4.11 | % | 164 | 4.22 | % | 6,080 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 533 | $ | 164 | $ | 7,180 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 533 | $ | 164 | $ | 6,296 |
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 4.56 | % | $ | 325 | — | $ | — | — | $ | — | ||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 3.96 | % | 163 | 4.10 | % | 5,580 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 325 | $ | 163 | $ | 6,680 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 325 | $ | 163 | $ | 5,466 |
Commodity Price Risk
We are exposed to the impact of market fluctuations in the commodity price and transportation costs of electricity and natural gas. Our risk management committee, consisting of officers and key management personnel, oversees company-wide energy risk management activities to ensure compliance with our stated energy risk management policies. We manage risks associated with these market fluctuations by utilizing various commodity instruments that may qualify as derivatives, including futures, forwards, options, and swaps. As part of our risk management program, we use such instruments to hedge purchases and sales of electricity and natural gas. The changes in market value of such contracts have a high correlation to price changes in the hedged commodities.
The following table shows the net pretax changes in mark-to-market of our energy derivative positions (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2023 | December 31, 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark-to-market of net positions at beginning of year | $ | 96 | $ | 107 | ||
| Decrease (increase) in regulatory asset | (216) | (11) | ||||
| Mark-to-market of net positions at end of year | $ | (120) | $ | 96 |
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The table below shows the fair value of maturities of our energy derivative contracts (dollars in millions) at December 31, 2023, by maturities and by the type of valuation that is performed to calculate the fair values, classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. See Note 1, “Derivative Accounting” and “Fair Value Measurements,” for more discussion of our valuation methods.
| Source of Fair Value | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observable prices provided by other external sources | $ | (82) | $ | (41) | $ | (2) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (125) | ||||||||||||
| Prices based on unobservable inputs | 5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total by maturity | $ | (77) | $ | (41) | $ | (2) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (120) |
The table below shows the impact that hypothetical price movements of 10% would have on the market value of our risk management assets and liabilities included on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2023Gain (Loss) | December 31, 2022Gain (Loss) | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | |||||||||||
| Mark-to-market changes reported in: | ||||||||||||||
| Regulatory asset (liability) (a) | ||||||||||||||
| Electricity | $ | 9 | $ | (9) | $ | 12 | $ | (12) | ||||||
| Natural gas | 55 | (55) | 55 | (55) | ||||||||||
| Total | $ | 64 | $ | (64) | $ | 67 | $ | (67) |
(a)These contracts are economic hedges of our forecasted purchases of natural gas and electricity. The impact of these hypothetical price movements would substantially offset the impact that these same price movements would have on the physical exposures being hedged. To the extent the amounts are eligible for inclusion in the PSA, the amounts are recorded as either a regulatory asset or liability.
Credit Risk
We are exposed to losses in the event of non-performance or non-payment by counterparties. See Note 15 for a discussion of our credit valuation adjustment policy.
FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000764622-23-000023.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
INTRODUCTION
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Financial Statements and APS’s Consolidated Financial Statements and the related Notes that appear in Item 8 of this report. This discussion provides a comparison of the 2022 results with 2021 results. A comparison of the 2021 results with 2020 results can be found in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021. For information on factors that may cause our actual future results to differ from those we currently seek or anticipate, see “Forward-Looking Statements” at the front of this report and “Risk Factors” in Item 1A.
OVERVIEW
Business Overview
Pinnacle West is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona with consolidated assets of about $23 billion. For over 130 years, Pinnacle West and our affiliates have provided energy and energy-related products to people and businesses throughout Arizona.
Pinnacle West derives essentially all of our revenues and earnings from our principal subsidiary, APS. APS is Arizona’s largest and longest-serving electric company that generates safe, affordable, and reliable electricity for approximately 1.3 million retail customers in 11 of Arizona’s 15 counties. APS is also the operator and co-owner of Palo Verde — a primary source of electricity for the southwest United States and the largest nuclear power plant in the United States.
Inflation
Overall inflation has grown by 9.5% in Phoenix in 2022, compared to 6.5% nationally; however, APS’s work with national and international companies has helped to partially reduce local cost escalation impacts on APS. The impacts from inflation have varied across separate categories of APS’s spending. Pricing increases across major categories have ranged from 8% to 10% for vendor services and up to 15% to 60% for equipment in 2022. APS has seen specific inflationary impacts in individual spend categories, as well as general inflationary pricing impacts on a broader set of spend categories. Some of the highest increases in 2022 as compared to 2021 have been in chemical costs and contract services.
Even prior to these increases, APS has focused on its customer affordability initiative, which has enabled APS to mitigate inflationary pressure. This initiative includes identifying efficiency opportunities through APS’s LEAN Sigma approach as well as other corporate decisions. For example, APS maintains its inventory to take advantage of lower pricing, when available, and to minimize supply chain delays that can increase the pricing due to expediting fees. Additionally, APS has proactively entered into long-term contracts to hedge against price volatility, which has allowed it to mitigate several procurement spend areas such as transformers.
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Inflation Reduction Act of 2022
On August 16, 2022, President Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (“IRA”). The IRA significantly expands the availability of tax credits for investments in clean energy generation technologies and energy storage. Key provisions that are relevant to the Company’s clean energy commitment include (i) an extension of tax credits for solar and wind generation, including a new option for solar investments to claim a Production Tax Credit (“PTC”) in lieu of the Investment Tax Credit (“ITC”) beginning in 2022; (ii) expansion of the ITC to cover stand-alone energy storage technology beginning in 2023; and (iii) introduction of a new PTC for nuclear energy produced by existing nuclear energy plants, available from 2024 through 2032. The Internal Revenue Service and U.S. Treasury are expected to issue regulations and other guidance which will provide additional details and clarifications regarding how the Company may be able to claim each of these credits.
In addition, the IRA contains several provisions which could create additional tax liabilities for corporations, including a 15% corporate alternative minimum tax for corporations with net profits in excess of $1 billion and a 1% excise tax on stock buybacks. We currently do not believe the Company will be subject to any material tax liabilities as a result of these legislative provisions.
COVID-19
COVID-19 continues to be an evolving situation. Essential planned work and capital investments continued during the pandemic with priority given to support fire mitigation and summer storm efforts, as well as heat-related outages. Raw material shortages, rising inflation, COVID-19 related work force disruptions and natural disasters continue to place increased pressure on the global supply chain. APS is experiencing some delays in finished materials and tight labor markets. To date, APS has not experienced labor or material supply chain shortages that have significantly impacted its ability to serve its customers’ needs. However, shortages are causing minor delays and shifting of work projects based on material availability. If APS continues to experience delays in materials, it could experience an increase in purchased power costs for summer generation needs. Such increased purchased power costs would be expected to be recoverable through the PSA. See Note 3 for additional information on the PSA. APS has measures in place to continually monitor and evaluate resource needs and supply chain adequacy but cannot predict whether there will be material supply chain shortages in the future.
While the total expected impact of COVID-19 on future sales is currently unknown, APS experienced higher electric residential sales and lower electric commercial and industrial sales from the outset of the pandemic through April 2021. Beginning in May 2021, electric sales from commercial and industrial customers increased to levels in line with pre-COVID-19 sales but residential sales continued to be higher than pre-COVID-19 sales. Based on past experience, a 1% variation in our annual residential and small commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $20 million, and a 1% variation in our annual large commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $5 million.
The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (“CARES”) Act allowed employers to defer payments of the employer share of Social Security payroll taxes that would have otherwise been owed from March 27, 2020, through December 31, 2020. We deferred the cash payment of the employer’s portion of Social Security payroll taxes for the period July 1, 2020, through December 31, 2020, which was approximately $18 million. As of December 31, 2022, we have paid this cash deferral in full.
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Due to COVID-19, APS voluntarily suspended disconnections of customers for nonpayment beginning March 13, 2020 until December 31, 2020. The suspension of disconnection of customers for nonpayment ended on January 1, 2021, and customers were automatically placed on eight-month payment arrangements if they had past due balances at the end of the disconnection period of $75 or greater. APS voluntarily began waiving late payment fees of its customers on March 13, 2020. Effective February 1, 2023, late payment fees for residential customers were reinstated, and late payment fees for commercial and industrial customers were reinstated effective May 1, 2022. See Note 3 for additional information regarding the Summer Disconnection Moratorium.
More detailed discussion of the impacts and future uncertainties related to COVID‑19 can be found throughout this Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and the Combined Notes to Pinnacle West’s and APS’s financial statements that appear in Part II, Item 8 of this report and “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A of this report.
Strategic Overview
Our strategy is to deliver shareholder value by creating a sustainable energy future for Arizona by serving our customers with clean, reliable, and affordable energy.
Clean Energy Commitment
We are committed to doing our part to make the future clean and carbon-free. As Arizona stewards, we do what is right for the people and prosperity of Arizona. Our vision is to create a sustainable energy future for Arizona through providing clean, affordable, and reliable energy. We can accomplish our visions through collaboration with customers, communities, employees, policymakers, shareholders, and other stakeholders. Our clean energy goal is based on sound science and supports continued growth and economic development while maintaining reliability and affordable prices for APS’s customers.
APS’s clean energy goals consist of three parts:
•a 2050 goal to provide 100% clean, carbon-free electricity;
•a 2030 target of achieving a resource mix that is 65% clean energy, with 45% of the generation portfolio coming from renewable energy; and
•a commitment to end APS’s use of coal-fired generation by 2031.
APS’s ability to successfully execute its clean energy commitment is dependent upon a number of important external factors, some of which include a supportive regulatory environment, sales and customer growth, development of clean energy technologies and continued access to capital markets.
2050 Goal: 100% Clean, Carbon-Free Electricity. Achieving a fully clean, carbon-free energy mix by 2050 is our aspiration. The 2050 goal will involve new thinking and depends on improved and new technologies.
2030 Goal: 65% Clean Energy. APS has an energy mix that is already 50% clean with existing plans to add more renewables and energy storage before 2025. By building on those plans, APS intends to attain an energy mix that is 65% clean by 2030, with 45% of APS’s generation portfolio coming from renewable energy. “Clean” is measured as percent of energy mix which includes all carbon-free resources like nuclear, renewables, and demand-side management. “Renewable” energy includes generation sources such as solar, wind, and biomass, and is measured in accordance with the ACC’s Renewable Energy
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Standard as a percentage of retail sales. This target will serve as a checkpoint for our resource planning, investment strategy, and customer affordability efforts as APS moves toward 100% clean, carbon-free energy mix by 2050.
2031 Goal: End APS’s Use of Coal-Fired Generation. The commitment to end APS’s use of coal-fired generation by 2031 will require APS to cease use of coal-generation at Four Corners. APS has permanently retired more than 1,000 MW of coal-fired electric generating capacity. These closures and other measures taken by APS have resulted in a total reduction of carbon emissions of 33% since 2005. In addition, APS has committed to end the use of coal at its remaining Cholla units by 2025.
APS understands that the transition away from coal-fired power plants toward a clean energy future will pose unique economic challenges for the communities around these plants. We worked collaboratively with stakeholders and leaders of the Navajo Nation to consider the impacts of ceasing operation of APS coal-fired power plants on the communities surrounding those facilities to propose a comprehensive Coal Community Transition (“CCT”) plan. The proposed framework provided substantial financial and economic development support to build new economic opportunities and addresses a transition strategy for plant employees. We are committed to continuing our long-running partnership with the Navajo Nation in other areas as well, including expanding electrification and developing tribal renewable energy projects. Our proposed CCT plan supported the Navajo Nation, where Four Corners is located, the communities surrounding the Cholla Power Plant and the Hopi Tribe, which was impacted by closure of the Navajo Plant. On November 2, 2021, the ACC approved an amended 2019 Rate Case ROO that will require (i) equal payments over a three-year period that total $10 million to the Navajo Nation, (ii) a $1 million one-time payment to the Hopi Tribe within 60 days of the 2019 Rate Case decision, (iii) a $500,000 one-time payment to the Navajo County communities within 60 days of the 2019 Rate Case decision, (iv) up to $1.25 million for electrification of homes and businesses on the Hopi reservation, and (v) up to $1.25 million for the electrification of homes and businesses on the Navajo Nation reservation. The payments and expenditures are attributable to the future closures of Four Corners and Cholla, along with the prior closure of the Navajo Plant. All ordered payments and expenditures would be recoverable through rates. See Note 3 for a discussion of the CCT plan.
Consistent with the 2019 Rate Case decision, as of April 2022, APS has completed the following payments that will be recoverable through rates related to the CCT: (i) $3.33 million to the Navajo Nation; (ii) $0.5 million to the Navajo County communities; and (iii) $1 million to the Hopi Tribe. Consistent with APS’s commitment to the impacted communities, APS has also completed the following payments: (i) $0.5 million to the Navajo Nation for CCT; (ii) $1.1 million to the Navajo County Communities for CCT and economic development; and (iii) $1.25 million to the Hopi Tribe for CCT and economic development. The ACC has also authorized $1.25 million to be recovered through rates for electrification of homes and businesses on both the Navajo Nation and Hopi reservation. Expenditure of the recoverable funds for electrification of homes and businesses on the Navajo Nation and the Hopi reservations is contingent upon completion of a census of the unelectrified homes and businesses in each that are also within APS service territory.
On September 28, 2022, ACC Staff filed their staff report in the Matter of Impact of the Closures of Fossil-Based Generation Plan on Impacted Communities. APS and other interested parties filed comments on the report. On October 21, 2022, ACC Staff filed a revised report and proposed order. The revised report and proposed order recommended that funds for CCT shall not be collected from rate payers. On December 8, 2022, the ACC voted against ACC Staff’s proposed order. APS cannot predict if the ACC will take any further action on this matter.
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In June 2021, APS and the owners of Four Corners entered into an agreement that would allow Four Corners to operate seasonally at the election of the owners beginning in fall 2023, subject to the necessary governmental approvals and conditions associated with changes in plant ownership. Under seasonal operation, one generating unit would be shut down during seasons where electricity demand is reduced, such as the winter and spring. The other unit would remain online year-round, subject to market conditions as well as planned maintenance outages and unplanned outages. APS anticipates that it will elect not to begin seasonal operation in November 2023, unless market conditions change.
Renewables. APS’s IRP (see Note 3 for additional information) establishes the path to meeting our clean energy commitment and maintaining reliable electric service for our customers. APS intends to strengthen its already diverse energy mix by increasing its investments in carbon-free resources. Our IRP rapidly adds clean energy and storage resources while maintaining reliable and affordable service. Its near-term actions are focused on clean energy and positive customer outcomes and includes: (a) competitive solicitations to procure clean energy resources such as solar, wind, energy storage, and DSM resources, all of which lead to a cleaner grid; and (b) strategic, short-term wholesale market purchases from a combination of existing merchant natural gas units, neighboring utility systems, and wholesale market participants that ensure operational reliability.
APS has a diverse portfolio of existing and planned renewable resources, including solar, wind, geothermal, biomass, and biogas that supports our commitment to clean energy, which is already strengthened by Palo Verde, the nation’s largest carbon-free, clean energy resource, that provides the foundation for reliable and affordable service for APS customers. APS’s longer-term clean energy strategy includes pursuing the right mix of purchased power contracts for new facilities, procurement of new facilities to be owned by APS, and the ongoing development of distributed energy resources. This balance will ensure an appropriately diverse portfolio designed to achieve the same operational reliability and customer affordability as APS’s near-term strategies. In addition, APS is actively seeking to include future facility purchase options in its PPAs that will enable investments with greater financial flexibility.
APS uses competitive “All-Source” RFPs to pursue market resources that meet its system needs and offer the best value for customers. APS selects projects based on cost and commercial viability, taking into consideration timing and likelihood of successful contracting and development. Under current market conditions, APS must aggressively contract for resources that can withstand supply chain and other geopolitical pressures. Available projects are guided by IRP timelines and quantities and APS maintains a flexible approach that allows it to optimize system reliability and customer affordability through the RFP process. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions, including successful siting, permitting and interconnection of the projects to the electric grid. See “Business of Arizona Public Service Company — Energy Sources and Resource Planning — Current and Future Resources — Renewable Energy Standard — Renewable Energy Portfolio” in Item 1 for details regarding APS’s renewable energy resources.
In September 2019, APS issued an RFP that requested up to 250 MW of wind resources to be in service as soon as possible, but no later than 2022. As a result of this RFP, APS executed a 200 MW PPA for a wind resource that went into service in January 2022. In December 2020, APS issued two additional RFPs: (i) a battery storage RFP for projects to be located at two AZ Sun sites; and (ii) an all source RFP that solicited resources to meet our clean energy needs and capacity to maintain system reliability, and that was later amended to include a request for 150 MW of solar resources to be developed on APS property and owned by APS. As a result of the December 2020 RFPs, APS executed two solar plus storage PPAs totaling 275 combined MW, a PPA for a 238 MW wind resource, two energy storage PPAs for a combined 300 MW, extended an existing natural gas tolling agreement and also executed an engineering,
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procurement, and construction contract in November 2021 for a 150 MW solar resource to be owned by APS and in service in early 2023.
In May 2022, APS issued an RFP to address resource needs for 2025 and beyond. The 2022 RFP solicits competitive proposals for approximately 1,000 MW to 1,500 MW of resources, including up to 600 MW to 800 MW of renewable resources to meet the needs of 2025 and 2026 while considering resources that can be online as late as 2027. The 2022 RFP stopped accepting bids on July 15, 2022, and APS sent notifications to shortlisted bidders on September 23, 2022. As a result of the 2022 RFP, and as of December 31, 2022, APS has signed a PPA for 300 MW of solar plus energy storage resources and a PPA for 216 MW of wind resources. Once it secures those important resources and closes out the 2022 RFP, APS intends to issue its next RFP to address future resource needs.
Energy Storage. APS deploys a number of advanced technologies on its system, including energy storage. Energy storage provides capacity, improves power quality, can be utilized for system regulation and, in certain circumstances, be used to defer certain traditional infrastructure investments. Energy storage also aids in integrating renewable generation by storing excess energy when system demand is low and renewable production is high and then releasing the stored energy during peak demand hours later in the day and after sunset. APS is utilizing grid-scale energy storage projects to meet customer reliability requirements, increase renewable utilization, and further our understanding of how storage works with other advanced technologies and the grid.
In 2018, APS issued RFP for approximately 106 MW of energy storage to be located at up to five of its AZ Sun sites. Based upon its evaluation of the RFP responses, APS decided to expand the initial phase of battery deployment to 141 MW by adding a sixth AZ Sun site. These battery storage facilities are currently expected to be in service during the first quarter of 2023. On August 2, 2021, APS executed a contract for an additional 60 MW of utility-owned energy storage to be located on APS’s AZ Sun sites. This contract, with a 2023 in-service date, will complete the addition of storage on current APS-owned utility-scale solar facilities.
Additionally, in February 2019, APS signed two 20-year PPAs for energy storage totaling 150 MW. These PPAs were subject to ACC approval in order to allow for cost recovery through the PSA. APS received the requested ACC approval on January 12, 2021, and service under the agreements is expected to begin in 2023.
As a result of its December 2020 RFPs, APS executed four 20-year PPAs for resources that include energy storage: (a) two PPAs for standalone energy storage resources totaling 300 MW; and (b) two PPAs for solar plus energy storage resources totaling 275 MW. The PPAs are also subject to ACC approval to enable cost recovery through the PSA. APS received the requested ACC approval for three out of four of the projects on December 16, 2021 and on April 13, 2022 for the remaining project. Service under the agreements is expected to begin in 2023 and 2024.
Following the 2022 RFP, as of January 2023, APS has executed a 20-year PPA for solar plus storage resources totaling 300 MW. The PPA is subject to ACC approval to enable cost recovery through the PSA, which was requested in December 2022 and approved in February 2023. Service under this agreement is expected to begin in 2025.
APS currently plans to install more than 1,200 MW of energy storage by 2025, including the energy storage projects under PPAs and AZ Sun retrofits described above. The remaining energy storage is expected to be made up of resources solicited through current and future RFPs.
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The following table summarizes the resources in APS’s energy storage portfolio that are in operation and under development as of December 31, 2021. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions.
| Net Capacity in Operation(MW) | Net Capacity Planned / UnderDevelopment (MW) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| APS Owned Energy Storage | — | 201 | |
| PPAs Energy Storage | — | 1,025 | |
| Residential Energy Storage | 19(a) | 7 | |
| Total Energy Storage Portfolio | 19 | 1,233 |
(a) This includes 18.5 MW of APS customer-owned batteries and 0.2 MW of APS-owned residential batteries.
Palo Verde. Palo Verde, the nation’s largest carbon-free, clean energy resource, will continue to be a foundational part of APS’s resource portfolio. Palo Verde is not just the cornerstone of our current clean energy mix; it also is a significant provider of clean energy to the southwest United States. The plant is a critical asset to the Southwest, generating more than 32 million MWh annually – enough power for roughly 3.4 million households, or approximately 8.5 million people. Its continued operation is important to a carbon-free and clean energy future for Arizona and the region, as a reliable, continuous, affordable resource and as a large contributor to the local economy.
Affordable
Building upon existing cost management efforts, APS launched a customer affordability initiative in 2019. The initiative was implemented company-wide to thoughtfully and deliberately assess our business processes and organizational approaches to completing high-value work and achieving internal efficiencies. APS continues to drive this initiative by identifying opportunities to streamline its business processes to assist in mitigating cost increases, increasing employee retention, and improving customer satisfaction.
Participation in the EIM continues to be a tool for creating savings for APS’s customers from the real-time, voluntary market. APS continues to expect that its participation in EIM will lower its fuel and purchased-power costs, improve situational awareness for system operations in the Western Interconnection power grid, and improve integration of APS’s renewable resources. APS continues to evaluate opportunities that benefit our customers and is exploring opportunities to move to a day-ahead market with the expectation of reliably achieving incrementally greater cost savings and using the region’s increasing renewable resources more efficiently. As part of that effort, APS is exploring several options. APS is in discussions with the current EIM operator, the CAISO, the Western Resource Adequacy Program, the Western Markets Exploratory Group, and the Southwest Power Pool. Each of these explorations also involve other entities and are being undertaken to evaluate the feasibility and cost/benefit of creating a voluntary day-ahead market.
Reliable
While our energy mix evolves, the obligation to deliver reliable service to our customers remains. APS is managing through significant growth in the Phoenix metropolitan area while experiencing supply chain issues similar to other industries.
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Planned investments will support operating and maintaining the grid, updating technology, accommodating customer growth, and enabling more renewable energy resources. Our advanced distribution management system allows operators to locate outages, control line devices remotely and helps them coordinate more closely with field crews to safely maintain an increasingly dynamic grid. The system also integrates a new meter data management system that increases grid visibility and gives customers access to more of their energy usage data.
Wildfire safety remains a critical focus for APS and other utilities. We increased investment in fire mitigation efforts to clear defensible space around our infrastructure, continue ongoing system upgrades, build partnerships with government entities and first responders and educate customers and communities. These programs contribute to customer reliability, responsible forest management and safe communities.
The new units at our modernized Ocotillo Power Plant provide cleaner-running and more efficient units. They support reliability by responding quickly to the variability of solar generation and delivering energy in the late afternoon and early evening when solar production declines as the sun sets and customer demand peaks. APS continues to evaluate options to meet growing energy demand and ensure grid reliability, including through upgrades to and/or modernization of additional existing gas facilities.
In October of 2021, APS announced plans to evaluate regional market solutions as part of the informal Western Markets Exploratory Group (“WMEG”). As part of WMEG, APS is exploring the potential for a staged approach to new market services, including day-ahead energy sales, transmission system expansion, and other power supply and grid solutions consistent with existing state regulations. WMEG hopes to identify market solutions that can help achieve carbon reduction goals while supporting reliable, affordable service for customers. APS is unable to predict the outcome of these discussions.
APS’s key elements to delivering reliable power include resource planning, sufficient reserve margins, customer partnerships to manage peak demand, fire mitigation, and operational preparedness. Seasonal readiness procedures at APS also include walkdowns to ensure good material conditions and critical control system surveys. APS also plans for the unexpected by conducting emergency operations drills and coordinating on fire and emergency management with federal, state, and local agencies.
Customer-Focused
Recognizing that creating customer value is inextricably linked to increasing shareholder value, APS’s focus remains on its customers and the communities it serves. Accordingly, it is APS’s goal to achieve an industry-leading, best-in-class customer experience, while demonstrating compassion and advocacy for its customers. This multi-year objective includes incrementally improving APS’s J.D. Power (“JDP”) overall customer satisfaction ratings from the fourth quartile to the first quartile of its peer set comprised of large investor-owned utilities. APS made progress on that front in 2022.
As previously disclosed, APS’s JDP Residential rankings for overall customer satisfaction rating improved in 2020 and 2021. That improvement trend continued with the JDP Residential 2022 year-end results. Compared to 2021, APS made quartile gains in every single driver of residential customer satisfaction, firmly lifting APS into the second quartile nationally. Consequently, overall residential satisfaction is now above industry benchmarks when compared to APS’s large investor-owned peers. APS’s strongest performing drivers for the year were Customer Care (phone and digital), Power Quality and Reliability, Corporate Citizenship, and Billing & Payment. Additionally, the JDP Business 2022 full-year results place APS in the top – or first – quartile of utilities nationally for business customers. As a
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result, APS is among the most improved utilities in the nation for both residential and business customer satisfaction.
In mid-2021, APS initiated an organization-wide customer experience strategy council designed to further drive a customer-oriented culture and improve customer satisfaction. Through this and other on-going customer-centric initiatives, APS has embraced increased empathy training for care center associates and adopted more flexible payment arrangements for customers. Numerous customer web-based enhancements also were implemented, including streamlined navigation and Spanish language transaction capabilities on aps.com; an enhanced online power outage center; and enrollment of more than 1 million customers for outage email and text notifications. Additionally, APS launched a broad-reaching multi-channel communications campaign focused on messages that matter most to APS’s customers – reliability, energy-efficiency, financial assistance, the environment, and programs that enable customers to design their own personalized energy experience.
APS offers assistance programs that provide discounts to qualified limited-income customers, as well as programs to help customers stay current on their bills. And, to ensure our most vulnerable customers are connected to these programs, we train and work with more than 100 community action agencies. APS’s Energy Support program gives qualified limited-income customers a 25% discount on their bill each month. Additionally, qualified customers experiencing an unplanned major expense or an unexpected reduction in income can receive up to $800 a year to cover current or past due APS bills through the Crisis Bill Assistance program. Making customers aware of the assistance programs and resources available to them is a top priority for APS, and we have significantly increased the level of marketing and customer outreach through various campaigns and communication channels. As of December 31, 2022, approximately 60,000 customers received an aggregate of about $29.6 million in bill assistance from various sources, with the largest amount coming from the Arizona Department of Economic Security’s Emergency Rental Assistance Program. This assistance is on top of the approximately $33 million of discounts provided to eligible customers through the APS Energy Support Program.
A consumer working group and a customer advisory board were formed in 2020 – the former made up of stakeholders and advocates representing various customer interests, and the latter comprised of a cross-section of customers. APS meets monthly with the consumer working group to obtain feedback on customer-related initiatives. Topics in 2022 ranged from TOU implementation, bill redesign, aps.com, customer assistance and customer care center performance. APS also met with the customer advisory board in 2022 to keep apprised of customer needs, wants and perspectives on a variety of topics, including rate plan selection, billing and payment alerts, value for price insights and outage experience. The customer advisory board’s input helped shape customer communications, as well as our thinking on related program development. In September 2022, APS completed the transition to new 4 p.m. to 7 p.m. on-peak TOU hours. More than one million residential customer meters were reprogrammed to the new on-peak hours.
Developing Clean Energy Technologies
Electric Vehicles
APS is making electric vehicle charging more accessible for its customers and helping Arizona businesses, schools and governments electrify their fleets. In 2021, APS continued its expansion of its Take Charge AZ Pilot Program. As of December 31, 2022, APS had installed 668 Level 2 (“L2”) charging ports at customer locations, with more stations expected to be added through 2023. The program provides
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charging equipment, installation, and maintenance to business customers, government agencies, non-profits, and multifamily housing communities. In addition to the L2 charging stations, APS has deployed DC fast charging (“DCFC”) stations that are owned and operated by APS at five locations in Arizona. The first location opened for public use in March 2022 in Show Low, Arizona. The other four projects in Sedona, Prescott, Globe, and Payson were energized by the end of 2022. Each location features 2-150 kilowatt and 2-350 kilowatt DCFC ports. Charging at these stations will be accessible through the Electrify America charging network. APS has a goal to reach 450,000 light-duty electric vehicles in its service territory by 2030.
Additionally, as part of APS’s DSM Plan, APS has launched an Electric Vehicle Charging Demand Management Pilot Program to proactively address the growing electric demand from electric vehicle charging as electric vehicles become more widely adopted. This program includes the APS SmartCharge data gathering program, a $250 residential electric vehicle smart charger rebate for qualifying electric vehicle chargers, Fleet Advisory Services, and a $100 rebate to home builders for new homes to be built EV ready with 240V charging station garage outlets. APS filed its 2023 DSM Plan on November 30, 2022, which proposes two new programs, an expanded residential EV Managed Charging Program and a Commercial Make-Ready Program. The Commercial Make-Ready Program is intended to help reduce some of the high upfront cost for our customers installing DCFC stations, and enables APS to deploy effective load management strategies at these commercial sites.
The ACC ordered certain public service corporations, including APS, to develop a long-term, comprehensive statewide transportation electrification plan (“TE Plan”) for Arizona. The statewide TE Plan is intended to provide a roadmap for transportation electrification in Arizona, focused on realizing the associated air quality and economic development benefits for all residents in the state along with understanding the impact of electric vehicle charging on the grid. APS actively participated in the development of that plan, which was approved by the ACC in December 2021. In the decision, the ACC also ordered APS and another large Arizona electric public service corporation to each develop and submit for ACC approval their own TE Plans and corresponding budget for 2023. Accordingly, APS met its compliance obligation and filed both a 2023 TE Plan on June 1, 2022 and a supplemental TE Plan on November 30, 2022. APS will file its required TE progress reports on March 15 and September 15, 2023, along with a 2024 TE Plan later this year.
Hydrogen Production
APS, in partnership with Idaho National Laboratory (“INL”), Energy Harbor Corporation (“Energy Harbor”), and Xcel Energy Incorporated (“Xcel”), was chosen by the DOE’s Office of Nuclear Energy to participate in a series of hydrogen production projects with the goal to improve the long-term economic competitiveness of the nuclear power industry. The multi-phase projects began in 2020 with a series of small-scale hydrogen production demonstration projects led by Energy Harbor and Xcel, as well as a technical and economic assessment performed by INL of using electricity generated at Palo Verde to produce hydrogen.
Based on the experience from Palo Verde’s utility partners’ small scale demonstration projects and from the Palo Verde-specific technical and economic assessment performed by INL, in April 2021, PNW Hydrogen LLC (“PNW Hydrogen”), a newly formed subsidiary of Pinnacle West, applied for DOE funding for a larger scale hydrogen production demonstration project using electricity sourced from Palo Verde. On October 7, 2021, PNW Hydrogen was notified that DOE’s Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy and Office of Nuclear Energy had selected PNW Hydrogen’s application for an award of $20 million in federal funding to support the hydrogen production demonstration project, subject to
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negotiation and execution of a definitive Cooperative Agreement funding instrument between PNW Hydrogen and DOE. PNW Hydrogen continues to work through negotiations with DOE, while also investigating how best to coordinate its efforts with the Southwest Clean Hydrogen Innovation Network (“SHINe”) regional hub on development opportunities.
SHINe Regional Hub. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (“IIJA”), also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill, was signed into law on November 15, 2021. Among other things, the IIJA included money for regional clean hydrogen hubs, and on February 15, 2022, the Department of Energy DOE announced a Request for Information to collect feedback from stakeholders to inform the implementation and design of the regional hubs.
On May 12, 2022, APS, along with three other Arizona energy providers and the State’s three public universities announced the formation of a new, interdisciplinary coalition, called the Arizona Center for a Carbon Neutral Economy (“AzCaNE”), with the goal of attaining a carbon neutral economy in Arizona. AzCaNE’s first action was to pursue the creation of an Arizona-led approach to securing regional clean hydrogen hub funding. Leading professionals from the seven founding participants, along with representatives of Arizona, the Navajo Nation and companies working to develop a hydrogen ecosystem within Arizona make up the Governance Committee for AzCaNE’s current efforts.
On September 22, 2022, the DOE opened applications for the up to $7 billion program to create six to ten regional clean hydrogen hubs across the country. Concept papers for each regional hub were due by November 7, 2022, and AzCaNE submitted a concept paper for the SHINe regional hub. On December 27, 2022, the SHINe regional hub was one of thirty-three regional hubs encouraged to submit a full application by the DOE. Full applications are due by April 7, 2023.
Carbon Capture
Carbon capture technologies can isolate CO2 and either sequester it permanently in geologic formations or convert it for use in products. Currently, almost all existing fossil fuel generators do not control carbon emissions the way they control emissions of other air pollutants such as sulfur dioxide or oxides of nitrogen. Carbon capture technologies are still in the demonstration phase and while they show promise, they are still being tested in real-world conditions. These technologies could offer the potential to keep in operation existing generators that otherwise would need to be retired. APS will continue to monitor this emerging technology.
Environmental, Social, and Governance (“ESG”) Practices
Pinnacle West has been integrating ESG practices into its core work for almost 30 years. As a business strategy, we seek solutions that provide “shared value,” meaning solutions that address societal and environmental challenges in a way that also delivers business value. Our commitment extends beyond implementing sustainability practices; we are dedicated to working with our stakeholders to identify and address the sustainability issues that we are uniquely positioned to impact through our business. In 2020, in support of our clean energy commitment and the growing focus on ESG within our organization, we increased our efforts by dedicating a new Sustainability Department at Pinnacle West to integrating ESG best practices into the everyday work of the Company.
As a first step, the Company engaged the Electric Power Research Institute (“EPRI”) and leveraged input from employees, large customers, limited-income advocates, economic development groups, environmental non-governmental organizations, leading sustainability academics and other stakeholders to
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identify and assess the sustainability issues that matter most. In total, 23 Priority Sustainability Issues (“PSIs”) were identified and prioritized. The most critical category, Integral Shared Value, includes four issues deemed most important and most able to be impacted by our actions: clean energy, customer experience, energy access and reliability and safety and health. These Integral PSIs provide the foundation for informing our strategic direction, creating a framework for incorporating best practices and driving enterprise-wide alignment and accountability. In 2021, the Company engaged EPRI for the second phase of this work, focused on benchmarking best practices within these four Integral Shared Value PSIs. We utilized the benchmarking information to identify opportunities for further improvement in our ESG performance.
In 2021, the Company established a Social Issues Committee Framework. The goal of the framework is to provide a process for considering emergent social issues, and for determining whether or how best to engage. The committee’s responsibility is to determine, using a set of principles grounded in the APS Promise and the PSIs, whether engagement on specific emergent social issues is appropriate and, if so, how best to engage.
The Company also finalized an ESG Strategic Framework to guide our work. The framework is based upon three foundational pillars: ESG Policy Advocacy (we advocate for policy that supports our clean energy goals); Driving Performance (improving our ESG performance in the most important areas, including our PSIs); and effectively communicating and amplifying our ESG story to our various stakeholders, including investors, customers, employees and beyond. Throughout 2022, the ESG Strategic Framework has guided our ESG activities allowing the Sustainability Department to prioritize projects and collaborate with our teams in the Company. Also in 2022, the Company developed an ESG Narrative, aligned to the APS Promise, to guide the Company’s communications strategy internally and externally to customers to effectively share APS’s sustainability story.
Regulatory Overview
2022 Retail Rate Case
APS filed an application with the ACC on October 28, 2022 (the “2022 Rate Case”) seeking an increase in annual retail base rates on the date rates become effective (“Day 1”) of a net $460 million. This Day 1 net impact represents a total base revenue deficiency of $772 million offset by proposed adjustor transfers of cost recovery to annual retail rates and adjustor mechanism modifications. The average annual customer bill impact of APS’s request on Day 1 is an increase of 13.6%.
The principal provisions of APS’s application are:
•a test year comprised of 12 months ended June 30, 2022, adjusted as described below;
•an original cost rate base of $10.5 billion, which approximates the ACC-jurisdictional portion of the book value of utility assets, net of accumulated depreciation and other credits;
•the following proposed capital structure and costs of capital:
| Capital Structure | Cost of Capital | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-term debt | 48.07 | % | 3.85 | % | |||
| Common stock equity | 51.93 | % | 10.25 | % | |||
| Weighted-average cost of capital | 7.17 | % |
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•a 1% return on the increment of fair value rate base above APS’s original cost rate base, as provided for by Arizona law;
•a rate of $0.038321 per kWh for the portion of APS’s retail base rates attributable to fuel and purchased power costs;
•modification of its adjustment mechanisms including:
▪eliminate the Environmental Improvement Surcharge and collect costs through base rates,
▪eliminate the Lost Fixed Cost Recovery mechanism and collect costs through base rates and the Demand Side Management Adjustment Charge (“DSMAC”),
▪maintain as inactive the Tax Expense Adjustor Mechanism,
▪maintain the Transmission Cost Adjustment mechanism,
▪modify the performance incentive in the DSMAC, and
▪modify the Renewable Energy Adjustment Charge to include recovery of capital carrying costs of APS owned renewable and storage resources;
•changes to its limited-income program, including a second tier to provide an additional discount for customers with greater need; and
•twelve months of post-test year plant to reflect used and useful projects that will be placed into service prior to July 1, 2023.
APS requested that the increase become effective December 1, 2023. The hearing for this rate case is currently scheduled to begin in August 2023. APS cannot predict the outcome of its request.
2019 Retail Rate Case
On October 31, 2019, APS filed an application with the ACC (the “2019 Rate Case”) seeking an increase in annual retail base rates. On August 2, 2021, the Administrative Law Judge issued a Recommended Opinion and Order in the 2019 Rate Case (the “2019 Rate Case ROO”) and issued corrections on September 10 and September 20, 2021. See Note 3 for information regarding the 2019 Rate Case ROO.
On October 6, 2021 and October 27, 2021, the ACC voted on various amendments to the 2019 Rate Case ROO that would result in, among other things, (i) a return on equity of 8.70%, (ii) the recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the operating costs and construction of the Four Corners SCR project, with the exception of $215.5 million (see “Four Corners SCR Cost Recovery” below), (iii) that the CCT plan include the following components: (a) a payment of $1 million to the Hopi Tribe within 60 days of the 2019 Rate Case decision, (b) a payment of $10 million over three years to the Navajo Nation, (c) a payment of $0.5 million to the Navajo County communities within 60 days of the 2019 Rate Case decision, (d) up to $1.25 million for electrification of homes and businesses on the Hopi reservation, and (e) up to $1.25 million for the electrification of homes and businesses on the Navajo Nation reservation. These payments and expenditures are attributable to the future closures of Four Corners and Cholla, along with the prior closure of the Navajo Plant and all ordered payments and expenditures would be recoverable through rates, and (iv) a change in the residential on-peak time-of-use period from 3 p.m. to 8 p.m. to 4 p.m. to 7 p.m. Monday through Friday, excluding holidays. The 2019 Rate Case ROO, as amended, results in a total annual revenue decrease for APS of $4.8 million, excluding temporary CCT payments and expenditures. On November 2, 2021, the ACC approved the 2019 Rate Case ROO, as amended. On November 24, 2021, APS filed an application for rehearing of the 2019 Rate Case with the ACC and the application was deemed denied on December 15, 2021, as the ACC did not act upon it. On December 17, 2021, APS filed its Notice of Direct Appeal at the Arizona Court of Appeals and a Petition for Special Action with the Arizona Supreme Court, requesting review of the disallowance of $215.5 million of Four
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Corners SCR plant investments and deferrals (see “Four Corners SCR Cost Recovery” below for additional information) and the 20 basis point penalty reduction to the return on equity. On February 8, 2022, the Arizona Supreme Court declined to accept jurisdiction on APS’s Petition for Special Action. The Arizona Court of Appeals heard oral arguments on November 30, 2022. The Court took the matter under advisement and will issue its decision in due course. APS cannot predict the outcome of this proceeding.
Consistent with the 2019 Rate Case decision, APS implemented the new rates effective as of December 1, 2021. In addition, the ACC ordered extensive compliance and reporting obligations and will be continuing to explore whether penalties or rebates would be owed to certain customers. APS completed the implementation of the new on-peak hours for residential customers before the September 1, 2022 deadline. APS cannot predict if the ACC will take any further action on this matter.
Additionally, consistent with the 2019 Rate Case decision, as of April 2022, APS has completed the following payments that will be recoverable through rates related to the CCT: (i) $3.33 million to the Navajo Nation; (ii) $0.5 million to the Navajo County communities; and (iii) $1 million to the Hopi Tribe. Consistent with APS’s commitment to the impacted communities, APS has also completed the following payments: (i) $0.5 million to the Navajo Nation for CCT; (ii) $1.1 million to the Navajo County Communities for CCT and economic development; and (iii) $1.25 million to the Hopi Tribe for CCT and economic development. The ACC has also authorized $1.25 million to be recovered through rates for electrification of homes and businesses on both the Navajo Nation and Hopi reservation. Expenditure of the recoverable funds for electrification of homes and businesses on the Navajo Nation and the Hopi reservations is contingent upon completion of a census of the unelectrified homes and businesses in each that are also within APS service territory.
See Note 3 for information regarding additional regulatory matters.
Four Corners SCR Cost Recovery
As part of APS’s 2019 Rate Case, APS included recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the Four Corners SCR project. On November 2, 2021, the 2019 Rate Case decision was approved by the ACC allowing approximately $194 million of SCR related plant investments and cost deferrals in rate base and to recover, depreciate and amortize in rates based on an end-of-life assumption of July 2031. The decision also included a partial and combined disallowance of $215.5 million on the SCR investments and deferrals. APS believes the SCR plant investments and related SCR cost deferrals were prudently incurred, and on December 17, 2021, APS filed its Notice of Direct Appeal at the Arizona Court of Appeals requesting review of the $215.5 million disallowance. The Arizona Court of Appeals heard oral arguments on November 30, 2022. The Court took the matter under advisement and will issue its decision in due course. Based on the partial recovery of these investments and cost deferrals in current rates and the uncertainty of the outcome of the legal appeals process, APS has not recorded an impairment or write-off relating to the SCR plant investments or deferrals as of December 31, 2022. If the 2019 Rate Case decision to disallow $215.5 million of the SCRs is ultimately upheld, APS will be required to record a charge to its results of operations, net of tax, of approximately $154.4 million. We cannot predict the outcome of the legal challenges nor the timing of when this matter will be resolved. See Note 3 for additional information regarding the Four Corners SCR cost recovery.
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Financial Strength and Flexibility
Pinnacle West and APS currently have ample borrowing capacity under their respective credit facilities and may readily access these facilities ensuring adequate liquidity for each company. Capital expenditures will be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Other Subsidiaries
Bright Canyon Energy. On July 31, 2014, Pinnacle West announced its creation of a wholly-owned subsidiary, BCE. BCE’s strategy is to develop, own, operate and acquire energy infrastructure in a manner that leverages the Company’s core expertise in the electric energy industry. As of December 31, 2022, BCE had total assets of approximately $115.3 million.
In 2014, BCE formed a 50/50 joint venture with BHE U.S. Transmission LLC, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Energy Company. The joint venture, named TransCanyon, is pursuing independent electric transmission opportunities within the 11 U.S. states that comprise the Western Interconnection, excluding opportunities related to transmission service that would otherwise be provided under the tariffs of the retail service territories of the venture partners’ utility affiliates.
On December 20, 2019, BCE acquired minority ownership positions in two wind farms under development by Tenaska Energy, Inc. and Tenaska Energy Holdings, LLC, the 242 MW Clear Creek and the 250 MW Nobles 2 wind farms. Clear Creek achieved commercial operation in May 2020 and Nobles 2 achieved commercial operation in December 2020. Both wind farms deliver power under long-term PPAs. BCE indirectly owns 9.9% of Clear Creek and 5.1% of Nobles 2.
Tenaska Clear Creek Wind, LLC, the developer, owner, and operator of the Clear Creek wind farm, has disputed the proposed cost allocation of system upgrades related to connecting the Clear Creek wind farm to the transmission system and filed a complaint with FERC on May 21, 2021, which was denied on September 9, 2022. Subsequently, Tenaska Clear Creek Wind, LLC filed with FERC a request for rehearing and a motion for stay of the September 9, 2022 order. On October 7, 2022, the request for rehearing was denied by FERC. FERC has not ruled on the motion for stay. Clear Creek has filed a Petition for Review with the U.S. Court of Appeals and Motion for Stay Pending Appeal, both of which are still pending.
Tenaska Clear Creek Wind, LLC filed a second complaint with FERC on May 25, 2022, alleging that the wind farm was being curtailed in a discriminatory manner. The May 25, 2022 Complaint was denied by FERC on December 15, 2022 and Tenaska Clear Creek Wind, LLC requested Rehearing of the denial on January 13, 2023.
Due to the disputed system upgrades and the related curtailment, the Clear Creek wind farm has experienced a significant reduction in power generation that has had a material adverse impact on the project’s ability to generate cash flow for investors. These energy curtailments are expected to persist, unless and until system upgrades are implemented to alleviate the present transmission system congestion, or the disputes are determined in favor of, or settled in a manner favorable to, Tenaska Clear Creek Wind, LLC. As such, during the fourth quarter of 2022, due to these on-going disputes, cost allocation uncertainties, and no probable favorable resolution, BCE determined its equity method investment was fully impaired. Prior to the impairment, the investment had a carrying value of $17.1 million, which has been written-down to reflect the investment’s estimated fair value of zero as of December 31, 2022.
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Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Statement of Income for the year ended December 31, 2022 includes an after-tax loss of $12.8 million relating to this impairment.
BCE has started construction on a microgrid facility in Los Alamitos, California featuring 31 MW of solar, 20 MW of battery storage, and 3 MW of backup generators. Supported by a long-term power purchase agreement with San Diego Gas and Electric Company, Los Alamitos will supply 20 MW of solar and battery storage capacity to the Southern California grid and provide resilient backup power in the event of a grid emergency to the Army and California National Guard at Joint Forces Training Base Los Alamitos. The Los Alamitos project is scheduled to achieve commercial operation in third-quarter 2023. See Note 6 regarding a credit agreement entered into by BCE to finance capital expenditures and related costs for this microgrid project.
BCE and Ameresco, Inc. jointly own a special purpose entity that is sponsoring the Kūpono Solar project. This project is a 42 MW solar and battery storage facility in Oʻahu, Hawaii that will supply clean renewable energy and capacity under a 20-year power purchase agreement with Hawaiian Electric Company, Inc. The Kūpono Solar project is expected to be completed in 2024.
El Dorado. El Dorado is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Pinnacle West. El Dorado owns debt investments and minority interests in several energy-related investments and Arizona community-based ventures. In particular, El Dorado committed to a $25 million investment in the Energy Impact Partners fund, which is an organization that focuses on fostering innovation and supporting the transformation of the utility industry. The investment will be made by El Dorado as investments are selected by the Energy Impact Partners fund. As of December 31, 2022, El Dorado has contributed approximately $12.5 million to the Energy Impact Partners fund. Additionally, El Dorado committed to a $25 million investment in AZ-VC (formerly the invisionAZ Fund), which is a fund focused on analyzing, investing, managing, and otherwise dealing with investments in privately held early stage and emerging growth technology companies and businesses primarily based in the State of Arizona, or based in other jurisdictions and having existing or potential strategic or economic ties to companies or other interests in the State of Arizona. As of December 31, 2022, El Dorado has contributed approximately $2.6 million to AZ-VC. The remainder of the investment will be contributed by El Dorado as investments are selected by AZ-VC.
Key Financial Drivers
In addition to the continuing impact of the matters described above, many factors influence our financial results and our future financial outlook, including those listed below. We closely monitor these factors to plan for the Company’s current needs, and to adjust our expectations, financial budgets, and forecasts appropriately.
Electric Operating Revenues. For the years 2020 through 2022, retail electric revenues comprised approximately 92% of our total operating revenues. Our electric operating revenues are affected by customer growth or decline, variations in weather from period to period, customer mix, average usage per customer and the impacts of energy efficiency programs, distributed energy additions, electricity rates and tariffs, the recovery of PSA deferrals and the operation of other recovery mechanisms. These revenue transactions are affected by the availability of excess generation or other energy resources and wholesale market conditions, including competition, demand, and prices.
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Actual and Projected Customer and Sales Growth. Retail customers in APS’s service territory increased 2.1% for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the prior-year period. For the three years through 2022, APS’s customer growth averaged 2.2% per year. We currently project annual customer growth to be 1.5% to 2.5% for 2023 and the average annual growth to be in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2025 based on anticipated steady population growth in Arizona during that period.
Retail electricity sales in kWh, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations, increased 2.4% for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the prior-year period. While steady customer growth was offset by energy savings driven by customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable generation initiatives, the main drivers of positive sales for this period were a strong improvement in sales to commercial and industrial customers and the ramp-up of new data center customers.
For the three years through 2022, annual retail electricity sales growth averaged 2.5%, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations. Due to the expected rapid growth of several large data centers and new large manufacturing facilities, we currently project that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 3.5% to 5.5% for 2023 and that average annual growth will be in the range of 4.5% to 6.5% through 2025, including the effects of customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable generation initiatives, but excluding the effects of weather variations. This projected sales growth range includes the impacts of several large data centers and new large manufacturing facilities, which are expected to contribute to average annual growth in the range of 3.5% to 5.5% through 2025.
Actual sales growth, excluding weather-related variations, may differ from our projections as a result of numerous factors, such as economic conditions, customer growth, usage patterns and energy conservation, slower ramp-up of and/or fewer data centers and large manufacturing facilities, slower than expected commercial and industrial expansions, impacts of energy efficiency programs, and growth in DG, and responses to retail price changes. Based on past experience, a 1% variation in our annual residential and small commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $20 million, and a 1% variation in our annual large commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $5 million.
Weather. In forecasting the retail sales growth numbers provided above, we assume normal weather patterns based on historical data. Our experience indicates that typical variations from normal weather can result in increases and decreases in annual net income of up to $15 million; however, extreme weather variations have resulted in larger annual variations in net income.
Fuel and Purchased Power Costs. Fuel and purchased power costs included on our Consolidated Statements of Income are impacted by our electricity sales volumes, existing contracts for purchased power and generation fuel, our power plant performance, transmission availability or constraints, prevailing market prices, new generating plants being placed in service in our market areas, changes in our generation resource allocation, our hedging program for managing such costs and PSA deferrals and the related amortization.
Operations and Maintenance Expenses. Operations and maintenance expenses are impacted by customer and sales growth, power plant operations, maintenance of utility plant (including generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), inflation, unplanned outages, planned outages (typically scheduled in the spring and fall), renewable energy and DSM related expenses (which are offset by the same amount of operating revenues) and other factors.
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Depreciation and Amortization Expenses. Depreciation and amortization expenses are impacted by net additions to utility plant and other property (such as new generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), and changes in depreciation and amortization rates. See “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below for information regarding the planned additions to our facilities.
Pension and Other Postretirement Non-Service Credits, Net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits can be impacted by changes in our actuarial assumptions. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate used to measure our net periodic costs/credit, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term, the mortality assumptions and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary.
Property Taxes. Taxes other than income taxes consist primarily of property taxes, which are affected by the value of property in-service and under construction, assessment ratios, and tax rates. The average property tax rate in Arizona for APS, which owns essentially all of our property, was 10.2% of the assessed value for 2022, 10.7% for 2021 and 10.8% for 2020. Property taxes decreased in 2022 due to recent legislative changes reducing both property tax assessment ratios and rates in Arizona. As we add new generating units and continue with improvements and expansions to our existing generation, transmission, and distribution facilities in future years, we anticipate property taxes may increase, though these increases will continue to be partially offset by the impacts of the recent legislative changes noted above.
Income Taxes. Income taxes are affected by the amount of pretax book income, income tax rates, certain deductions, and non-taxable items, such as AFUDC. In addition, income taxes may also be affected by the settlement of issues with taxing authorities. On December 22, 2017, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the “Tax Act”) was enacted and was generally effective on January 1, 2018. Changes impacting the Company include a reduction in the corporate tax rate to 21%, revisions to the rules related to tax bonus depreciation, limitations on interest deductibility and an associated exception for certain public utilities, and requirements that certain excess deferred tax amounts of regulated utilities be normalized. See Note 4 for details of the impacts on the Company as of December 31, 2022. In APS’s 2017 Rate Case Decision, the ACC approved the TEAM, which was being used to pass through the income tax effects to retail customers of the Tax Act. As part of the 2019 Rate Case (defined above), all impacts of the Tax Act were removed from the TEAM and incorporated into APS’s base rates. The TEAM was retained to address potential changes in tax law that may be enacted prior to a decision in APS’s next rate case. See Note 3 for details of the TEAM.
Interest Expense. Interest expense is affected by the amount of debt outstanding and the interest rates on that debt. See Note 6 for further details. The primary factors affecting borrowing levels are expected to be our capital expenditures, long-term debt maturities, equity issuances and internally generated cash flow. An allowance for borrowed funds used during construction offsets a portion of interest expense while capital projects are under construction. We stop accruing AFUDC on a project when it is placed in commercial operation.
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Pinnacle West’s only reportable business segment is our regulated electricity segment, which consists of traditional regulated retail and wholesale electricity businesses (primarily sales supplied under traditional cost-based rate regulation) and related activities and includes electricity generation, transmission, and distribution.
Operating Results – 2022 compared with 2021
Our consolidated net income attributable to common shareholders for the year ended December 31, 2022, was $484 million, compared with $619 million for the prior year. The results reflect a decrease of approximately $114 million for the regulated electricity segment, which include higher depreciation and amortization expense primarily due to the absence of the Ocotillo modernization project and the Four Corners SCR project regulatory deferrals that ended upon the 2019 Rate Case effective date (see Note 3), increased plant assets and updated depreciation rates. In addition, the results reflect lower revenue driven by the LFCR alternative revenue treatment and higher operations and maintenance expense. These negative factors were partially offset by higher revenue driven by the effects of weather, customer usage and growth, increased transmission revenue and lower income taxes.
The following table presents net income attributable to common shareholders by business segment compared with the prior year:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | Net change | ||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | ||||||||||
| Regulated Electricity Segment: | ||||||||||
| Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses | $ | 2,690 | $ | 2,645 | $ | 45 | ||||
| Operations and maintenance | (983) | (951) | (32) | |||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | (753) | (651) | (102) | |||||||
| Taxes other than income taxes | (220) | (235) | 15 | |||||||
| Pension and other postretirement non-service credits — net | 98 | 113 | (15) | |||||||
| All other income and expenses, net | 23 | 61 | (38) | |||||||
| Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction | (255) | (233) | (22) | |||||||
| Income taxes (Note 4) | (75) | (110) | 35 | |||||||
| Less income related to noncontrolling interests (Note 17) | (17) | (17) | — | |||||||
| Regulated electricity segment income | 508 | 622 | (114) | |||||||
| All other | (24) | (3) | (21) | |||||||
| Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders | $ | 484 | $ | 619 | $ | (135) |
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Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses. Regulated electricity segment operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses were $45 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the prior year. The following table summarizes the major components of this change:
| Increase (Decrease) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | Fuel and purchased power expenses | Net change | ||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | ||||||||||
| Lower refunds in the current year related to the Tax Act (Note 3) | $ | 141 | $ | — | $ | 141 | ||||
| Effects of weather | 77 | 19 | 58 | |||||||
| Higher retail revenue due to changes in customer usage patterns and customer growth, partially offset by the impacts of energy efficiency and distributed generation | 46 | 23 | 23 | |||||||
| Higher transmission revenues (Note 3) | 14 | — | 14 | |||||||
| Higher renewable energy regulatory surcharges, partially offset by operations and maintenance costs | 18 | 9 | 9 | |||||||
| Changes in net fuel and purchased power costs, including off-system sales margins and related deferrals | 425 | 426 | (1) | |||||||
| Lost fixed cost recovery (Note 3) | (54) | — | (54) | |||||||
| Impact of new retail base rates from 2019 Rate Case effective December 1, 2021 | (147) | — | (147) | |||||||
| Miscellaneous items, net | 2 | — | 2 | |||||||
| Total | $ | 522 | $ | 477 | $ | 45 |
Operations and maintenance. Operations and maintenance expenses increased $32 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the prior-year period primarily because of:
•an increase of $14 million primarily related to a decreased recovery from contributions of administrative and general costs from Palo Verde owners and increased operating costs;
•an increase of $10 million primarily related to strategic planning consulting costs;
•an increase of $6 million for costs related to transmission, distribution and customer service;
•an increase of $6 million primarily related to costs for renewable energy and similar regulatory programs, which are partially offset in operating revenues and purchased power;
•a decrease of $12 million in non-nuclear generation costs primarily due to lower planned outages and partially offset by higher operating costs; and
•an increase of $8 million for corporate resources and other miscellaneous factors.
Depreciation and amortization. Depreciation and amortization expenses were $102 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to $55 million for the Ocotillo modernization project and the Four Corners SCR project regulatory deferrals recorded in the prior year period that ended upon the 2019 Rate Case effective date and the related 2022 regulatory deferral amortization, and $47 million related to increased plant in service and updated depreciation rates.
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Taxes other than income taxes. Taxes other than income taxes were $15 million lower for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to the impacts of recent legislative changes reducing both property tax assessment ratios and rates in Arizona and property tax deferrals that ended upon the 2019 Rate Case effective date and the related 2022 property tax deferral amortization.
Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net were $15 million lower for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to actual market returns being lower than estimated returns in 2021.
All other income and expenses, net. All other income and expenses, net were $38 million lower for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to the Ocotillo modernization and Four Corners SCR debt deferrals that ended upon the 2019 Rate Case effective date.
Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction. Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction were $22 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to higher debt balances and higher interest rates in the current period, partially offset by higher allowance for borrowed funds due to increased capital expenditures.
Income taxes. Income taxes were $35 million lower for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to lower pre-tax net income, partially offset by a net operating loss carryback benefit that the Company recognized during the first quarter of 2021.
All Other. All other earnings were $21 million lower for year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to the Clear Creek wind farm impairment write-off. See “BCE Matters” in Note 10 for additional details.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Overview
Pinnacle West’s primary cash needs are for dividends to our shareholders and principal and interest payments on our indebtedness. The level of our common stock dividends and future dividend growth will be dependent on declaration by our Board of Directors and based on a number of factors, including our financial condition, payout ratio, free cash flow and other factors.
Our primary sources of cash are dividends from APS and external debt and equity issuances. An ACC order requires APS to maintain a common equity ratio of at least 40%. As defined in the related ACC order, the common equity ratio is defined as total shareholder equity divided by the sum of total shareholder equity and long-term debt, including current maturities of long-term debt. At December 31, 2022, APS’s common equity ratio, as defined, was 50%. Its total shareholder equity was approximately $6.9 billion, and total capitalization was approximately $13.9 billion. Under this order, APS would be prohibited from paying dividends if such payment would reduce its total shareholder equity below approximately $5.6 billion, assuming APS’s total capitalization remains the same. This restriction does not materially affect Pinnacle West’s ability to meet its ongoing cash needs or ability to pay dividends to shareholders.
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APS’s capital requirements consist primarily of capital expenditures and maturities of long-term debt. APS funds its capital requirements with cash from operations and, to the extent necessary, external debt financings and equity infusions from Pinnacle West.
Summary of Cash Flows
The following tables present net cash provided by (used for) operating, investing, and financing activities for the years ended December 31, 2022, and 2021 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West Consolidated
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 1,242 | $ | 860 | ||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (1,618) | (1,387) | ||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 371 | 477 | ||||
| Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (5) | $ | (50) |
Arizona Public Service Company
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 1,230 | $ | 865 | ||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (1,549) | (1,391) | ||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 314 | 478 | ||||
| Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (5) | $ | (48) |
Operating Cash Flows
2022 Compared with 2021. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by operating activities was $1,242 million in 2022 compared to $860 million in 2021, an increase of $382 million in net cash provided primarily due to $542 million higher cash receipts from electric revenues, $47 million lower payments for operations and maintenance costs, $100 million lower pension contributions and $79 million other changes in working capital, partially offset by $321 million higher fuel and purchased power costs, $47 million higher income taxes and $18 million higher interest payments. The difference between APS’s and Pinnacle West’s net cash provided by operating activities primarily relates to APS’s income tax cash payments to Pinnacle West in 2021.
Retirement plans and other postretirement benefits. Pinnacle West sponsors a qualified defined benefit pension plan and a non-qualified supplemental excess benefit retirement plan for the employees of Pinnacle West and our subsidiaries. Pinnacle West also sponsors other postretirement benefit plans for the employees of Pinnacle West and its subsidiaries. The requirements of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (“ERISA”) require us to contribute a minimum amount to the qualified plan. We contribute at least the minimum amount required under ERISA regulations, but no more than the maximum tax-deductible amount. Under ERISA, the qualified pension plan was estimated to be 112% funded as of January 1, 2023, and was 139% as of January 1, 2022. Future year contribution amounts are dependent on plan asset performance and plan actuarial assumptions. We made contributions to our pension plan totaling $0 million in 2022, $100 million in 2021, and $100 million in 2020. The minimum required contributions for the pension plan are zero for the next three years and we do not expect to make any voluntary contributions in 2023, 2024 or 2025. Regarding contributions to our other postretirement benefit
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plan, we did not make any contributions in 2022 or 2021 and do not expect to make any contributions in 2023, 2024 or 2025. The Company was reimbursed $26 million in 2022, $24 million in 2021, and $26 million in 2020 for prior years retiree medical claims from the other postretirement benefit plan trust assets. We continually monitor financial market volatility and its impact on our retirement plans and other postretirement benefits, but we believe our liability driven investment strategy helps to minimize the impact of market volatility on our plan’s funded status. For instance, our pension plan’s funded status, as measured for accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) purposes, was 106% funded as of December 31, 2022, and our postretirement benefit plans were 159% funded, as measured for GAAP purposes at December 31, 2022. See Note 7 for additional details.
The CARES Act allows employers to defer payments of the employer share of Social Security payroll taxes that would have otherwise been owed from March 27, 2020, through December 31, 2020. We deferred the cash payment of the employer’s portion of Social Security payroll taxes for the period July 1, 2020, through December 31, 2020, that was approximately $18 million. As of December 31, 2022, we have paid this cash deferral in full.
Investing Cash Flows
2022 Compared with 2021. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash used for investing activities was $1,618 million in 2022 compared to $1,387 million in 2021, an increase of $231 million in net cash used primarily related to increased capital expenditures and BCE investment activity.
Capital Expenditures. The following table summarizes the estimated capital expenditures for the next three years:
Capital Expenditures
(dollars in millions)
| Estimated for the Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||||||
| APS | ||||||||||
| Generation: | ||||||||||
| Clean: | ||||||||||
| Nuclear Generation | $ | 120 | $ | 120 | $ | 120 | ||||
| Renewables and Energy Storage Systems (“ESS”) (a) | 240 | 345 | 400 | |||||||
| Other Generation (b) | 265 | 245 | 245 | |||||||
| Distribution | 520 | 530 | 530 | |||||||
| Transmission | 260 | 300 | 300 | |||||||
| Other (c) | 265 | 260 | 255 | |||||||
| Total APS | $ | 1,670 | $ | 1,800 | $ | 1,850 |
(a)APS Solar Communities program, energy storage, renewable projects, and other clean energy projects.
(b)Includes generation environmental projects.
(c)Primarily information systems and facilities projects.
The table above does not include capital expenditures related to BCE projects.
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Generation capital expenditures are comprised of various additions and improvements to APS’s clean resources, including nuclear plants, renewables and ESS. Generation capital expenditures also include improvements to existing fossil plants. Examples of the types of projects included in the forecast of generation capital expenditures are additions of renewables and energy storage, and upgrades and capital replacements of various nuclear and fossil power plant equipment, such as turbines, boilers, and environmental equipment. We are monitoring the status of environmental matters, which, depending on their final outcome, could require modification to our planned environmental expenditures.
Distribution and transmission capital expenditures are comprised of infrastructure additions and upgrades, capital replacements, and new customer construction. Examples of the types of projects included in the forecast include power lines, substations, and line extensions to new residential and commercial developments.
Capital expenditures will be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Financing Cash Flows and Liquidity
2022 Compared with 2021. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $371 million in 2022 compared to $477 million 2021, a decrease of $106 million in net cash provided primarily due to $150 million higher long-term debt repayments, a net decrease in short-term borrowings of $74 million and higher dividend payments of $9 million, partially offset by $129 million in higher issuances of long-term debt.
APS’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $314 million in 2022 compared to $478 million in 2021, a decrease of $164 million in net cash provided primarily due to a net decrease in short-term borrowings of $232 million and higher dividend payments of $9 million, partially offset by $78 million in higher issuances of long-term debt.
Significant Financing Activities. On December 14, 2022, the Pinnacle West Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.865 per share of common stock, payable on March 1, 2023, to shareholders of record on February 1, 2023. During 2022, Pinnacle West increased its indicated annual dividend from $3.40 per share to $3.46 per share. For the year ended December 31, 2022, Pinnacle West’s total dividends paid per share of common stock were $3.42 per share, which resulted in dividend payments of $379 million.
Available Credit Facilities. Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities in order to enhance liquidity and provide credit support for their commercial paper. See Note 5 for more information on available credit facilities.
Other Financing Matters. See Note 15 for information related to the change in our margin and collateral accounts.
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Debt Provisions
Pinnacle West’s and APS’s debt covenants related to their respective bank financing arrangements include maximum debt to capitalization ratios. Pinnacle West and APS comply with these covenants. For both Pinnacle West and APS, these covenants require that the ratio of consolidated debt to total consolidated capitalization not exceed 65%. At December 31, 2022, the ratio was approximately 58% for Pinnacle West and 51% for APS. Failure to comply with such covenant levels would result in an event of default which, generally speaking, would require the immediate repayment of the debt subject to the covenants and could “cross-default” other debt. See further discussion of “cross-default” provisions below.
Neither Pinnacle West’s nor APS’s financing agreements contain “rating triggers” that would result in an acceleration of the required interest and principal payments in the event of a rating downgrade. However, our bank credit agreements contain a pricing grid in which the interest rates we pay for borrowings thereunder are determined by our current credit ratings.
All of Pinnacle West’s loan agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment under these loan agreements if Pinnacle West or APS were to default under certain other material agreements. All of APS’s bank agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment under these bank agreements if APS were to default under certain other material agreements. Pinnacle West and APS do not have a material adverse change restriction for credit facility borrowings.
On December 17, 2020, the ACC issued a financing order that, subject to specified parameters and procedures, increased APS’s long-term debt limit from $5.9 billion to $7.5 billion, and authorized APS’s short-term debt authorization equal to the sum of (i) 7% of APS’s capitalization, and (ii) $500 million (which is required to be used for costs relating to purchases of natural gas and power). On December 15, 2022, the ACC issued a financing order approving APS’s application filed April 6, 2022 requesting to increase the long-term debt limit from $7.5 billion to $8.0 billion and to exclude financing lease PPAs from the definition of long-term debt for purposes of the ACC financing orders. See Note 6 for further discussions of liquidity matters.
Credit Ratings
The ratings of securities of Pinnacle West and APS as of February 15, 2023, are shown below. We are disclosing these credit ratings to enhance understanding of our cost of short-term and long-term capital and our ability to access the markets for liquidity and long-term debt. The ratings reflect the respective views of the rating agencies, from which an explanation of the significance of their ratings may be obtained. There is no assurance that these ratings will continue for any given period. The ratings may be revised or withdrawn entirely by the rating agencies if, in their respective judgments, circumstances so warrant. Any downward revision or withdrawal may adversely affect the market price of Pinnacle West’s or APS’s securities and/or result in an increase in the cost of, or limit access to, capital. Such revisions may also result in substantial additional cash or other collateral requirements related to certain derivative instruments, insurance policies, natural gas transportation, fuel supply, and other energy-related contracts. At this time, we believe we have sufficient available liquidity resources to respond to a potential downward revision to our credit ratings.
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| Moody’s | Standard & Poor’s | Fitch | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle West | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | Baa1 | BBB+ | BBB+ | ||
| Senior unsecured | Baa1 | BBB | BBB+ | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F2 | ||
| Outlook | Negative | Negative | Negative | ||
| APS | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | A3 | BBB+ | BBB+ | ||
| Senior unsecured | A3 | BBB+ | A- | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F2 | ||
| Outlook | Negative | Negative | Negative |
Contractual Obligations
Pinnacle West has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future, in addition to its capital expenditure programs. Material contractual obligations and other commitments are as follows:
•Pinnacle West and APS have material long-term debt obligations that mature at various dates through 2050 and bear interest principally at fixed rates. Interest on variable-rate long-term debt is determined by using average rates at December 31, 2022. See Note 6.
•Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities. See Note 5 for short-term debt details.
•Fuel and purchased power commitments include purchases of coal, electricity, natural gas, renewable energy, nuclear fuel, and natural gas transportation. See Notes 3 and 10. Purchase obligations include capital expenditures and other obligations. See Note 10. Commitments related to purchased power lease contracts are also considered fuel and purchased power commitments. See Note 8.
•APS holds certain contracts to purchase renewable energy credits in compliance with the RES. See Notes 3 and 10.
•APS is required to make payments to the noncontrolling interests related to the Palo Verde sale leaseback through 2033. See Note 17.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
In preparing the financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management must often make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and related disclosures at the date of the financial statements and during the reporting period. Some of those judgments can be subjective and complex, and actual results could differ from those estimates. We consider the following accounting policies to be our most critical because of the uncertainties, judgments and complexities of the underlying accounting standards and operations involved.
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Regulatory Accounting
Regulatory accounting allows for the actions of regulators, such as the ACC and FERC, to be reflected in our financial statements. Their actions may cause us to capitalize costs that would otherwise be included as an expense in the current period by unregulated companies. Regulatory assets represent incurred costs that have been deferred because they are probable of future recovery in customer rates. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts collected in rates to recover costs expected to be incurred in the future or amounts collected in excess of costs incurred and are refundable to customers. Management judgments include continually assessing the likelihood of future recovery of regulatory assets and/or a disallowance of part of the cost of recently completed plant, by considering factors such as applicable regulatory environment changes and recent rate orders to other regulated entities in the same jurisdiction. This determination reflects the current political and regulatory climate in Arizona and is subject to change in the future. If future recovery of costs ceases to be probable, the assets would be written off as a charge in current period earnings, except for pension benefits, which would be charged to OCI and result in lower future earnings. Management judgments also include assessing the impact of potential ACC or FERC Commission-ordered refunds to customers on regulatory liabilities. We had $1,822 million of regulatory assets and $2,333 million of regulatory liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets at December 31, 2022. See Notes 1 and 3 for more information.
Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefit Accounting
Changes in our actuarial assumptions used in calculating our pension and other postretirement benefit assets, liabilities and expense can have a significant impact on our earnings and financial position. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets (“EROA”), and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. Differences between these actuarial assumptions and actual plan results may create volatility in pension and other postretirement benefit expense. To reduce this volatility, these differences are accumulated and amortized (subject to a corridor of 10% of the greater of plan assets or obligations) as part of the expense over a period of approximately 11 years. Following are the most relevant actuarial assumptions:
Discount Rate. The discount rate is used to measure the plan liability and net periodic cost. For this assumption, we utilize a yield curve produced by our actuary as of December 31st and employ their projections of the future benefit payments to estimate the projected benefit obligation for each plan. This process also yields a single equivalent discount rate that produces the same present value for the projection of estimated benefit payments that is generated by discounting each year’s benefit payments by a spot rate to that year. The spot rates are derived from a yield curve composed of domestic AA rated corporate bonds.
EROA. The EROA is used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term. For this assumption we consider historical experience and future expectations of asset classes utilized in the portfolio.
Healthcare Cost Trend Rates. We consider past performance and forecasts of health care costs and our actuary provides the Company with a medical trend recommendation based on national medical trend, historical claims performance, benchmarking, and plan design changes.
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The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2022 reported pension assets and liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2022 reported pension expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on the Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Pension Plans | Impact on Pension Expense | |||||
| Discount rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (238) | $ | 3 | |||
| Decrease 1% | 279 | 13 | |||||
| EROA: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (27) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 27 |
(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)In general, changes in the discount rate will not typically have symmetrical effects for increases and decreases of the rate. Further, a 1% change in a low discount rate environment will have a larger impact than a 1% change in a high discount rate environment. Therefore, the discount rate sensitivities above cannot necessarily be extrapolated. Additionally, the Pension Plan utilizes a liability-driven strategy for its pension asset portfolio, and the obligation and expense sensitivities shown above do not reflect the offsetting impact that a change in interest rates may have on pension asset values.
The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2022, other postretirement benefit obligation on the Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2022 reported other postretirement benefit expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Plans | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Expense | |||||
| Discount rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (39) | $ | (3) | |||
| Decrease 1% | 46 | 4 | |||||
| Healthcare cost trend rate (c): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | 43 | 8 | |||||
| Decrease 1% | (36) | (6) | |||||
| EROA – pretax: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (7) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 7 |
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(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)In general, changes in the discount rate will not typically have symmetrical effects for increases and decreases of the rate. Further, a 1% change in a low discount rate environment will have a larger impact than a 1% change in a high discount rate environment. Therefore, the discount rate sensitivities above cannot necessarily be extrapolated.
(c)This assumes a 1% change in the initial and ultimate healthcare cost trend rate.
See Note 7 for further details about our pension and other postretirement benefit plans.
Fair Value Measurements
We account for derivative instruments, investments held in our nuclear decommissioning trusts fund, investments held in our other special use funds, certain cash equivalents, and plan assets held in our retirement and other benefit plans at fair value on a recurring basis. Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We use inputs, or assumptions that market participants would use, to determine fair market value. We utilize valuation techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs. The significance of a particular input determines how the instrument is classified in a fair value hierarchy. The determination of fair value sometimes requires subjective and complex judgment. Our assessment of the inputs and the significance of a particular input to fair value measurement may affect the valuation of the instruments and their placement within a fair value hierarchy. Actual results could differ from our estimates of fair value. See Note 1 for a discussion of accounting policies and Note 12 for fair value measurement disclosures.
Asset Retirement Obligations
We recognize an ARO for the future decommissioning or retirement of our tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. The ARO liability represents an estimate of the fair value of the current obligation related to decommissioning and the retirement of those assets. ARO measurements inherently involve uncertainty in the amount and timing of settlement of the liability. We use an expected cash flow approach to measure the amount we recognize as an ARO. This approach applies probability weighting to discounted future cash flow scenarios that reflect a range of possible outcomes. The scenarios consider settlement of the ARO at the expiration of the asset’s current license or lease term and expected decommissioning dates. The fair value of an ARO is recognized in the period in which it is incurred. The associated asset retirement costs are capitalized as part of the carrying value of the long-lived asset and are depreciated over the life of the related assets. In addition, we accrete the ARO liability to reflect the passage of time. Changes in these estimates and assumptions could materially affect the amount of the recorded ARO for these assets. In accordance with GAAP accounting, APS accrues removal costs for its regulated utility assets, even if there is no legal obligation for removal.
AROs as of December 31, 2022 are described further in Note 11.
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MARKET AND CREDIT RISKS
Market Risks
Our operations include managing market risks related to changes in interest rates, commodity prices, investments held by our nuclear decommissioning trusts, other special use funds and benefit plan assets.
Interest Rate and Equity Risk
We have exposure to changing interest rates. Changing interest rates will affect interest paid on variable-rate debt and the market value of fixed income securities held by our nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds (see Notes 12 and 18), and benefit plan assets. The nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds and benefit plan assets also have risks associated with the changing market value of their equity and other non-fixed income investments. Nuclear decommissioning and benefit plan costs are recovered in regulated electricity prices.
The tables below present contractual balances of our consolidated long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2022, and 2021. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2022, and 2021 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West – Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 4.56 | % | $ | 341 | 5.42 | % | $ | 51 | — | $ | — | |||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | 5.10 | % | 450 | 3.35 | % | 250 | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 1.99 | % | 800 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 3.96 | % | 163 | 4.10 | % | 5,580 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 341 | $ | 664 | $ | 7,180 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 341 | $ | 664 | $ | 5,922 |
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| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 0.18 | % | $ | 292 | 0.78 | % | $ | 150 | — | $ | — | |||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | 0.85 | % | 150 | 3.35 | % | 250 | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 1.99 | % | 800 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 0.22 | % | 36 | 3.87 | % | 5,480 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 292 | $ | 336 | $ | 6,780 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 292 | $ | 336 | $ | 7,390 |
The tables below present contractual balances of APS’s long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2022, and 2021. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2022, and 2021 (dollars in millions):
APS — Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 4.56 | % | $ | 325 | — | $ | — | — | $ | — | ||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2027 | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 3.96 | % | 163 | 4.10 | % | 5,580 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 325 | $ | 163 | $ | 6,680 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 325 | $ | 163 | $ | 5,466 |
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| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 0.18 | % | $ | 279 | — | $ | — | — | $ | — | ||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 0.22 | % | 36 | 3.87 | % | 5,480 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 279 | $ | 36 | $ | 6,280 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 279 | $ | 36 | $ | 6,898 |
Commodity Price Risk
We are exposed to the impact of market fluctuations in the commodity price and transportation costs of electricity and natural gas. Our risk management committee, consisting of officers and key management personnel, oversees company-wide energy risk management activities to ensure compliance with our stated energy risk management policies. We manage risks associated with these market fluctuations by utilizing various commodity instruments that may qualify as derivatives, including futures, forwards, options, and swaps. As part of our risk management program, we use such instruments to hedge purchases and sales of electricity and natural gas. The changes in market value of such contracts have a high correlation to price changes in the hedged commodities.
The following table shows the net pretax changes in mark-to-market of our energy derivative positions (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark-to-market of net positions at beginning of year | $ | 107 | $ | (13) | ||
| Increase (decrease) in regulatory liability | (11) | 120 | ||||
| Mark-to-market of net positions at end of year | $ | 96 | $ | 107 |
The table below shows the fair value of maturities of our energy derivative contracts (dollars in millions) at December 31, 2022, by maturities and by the type of valuation that is performed to calculate the fair values, classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. See Note 1, “Derivative Accounting” and “Fair Value Measurements,” for more discussion of our valuation methods.
| Source of Fair Value | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | Total Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observable prices provided by other external sources | $ | 70 | $ | 31 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 101 | |||||||||||
| Prices based on unobservable inputs | (14) | 9 | — | — | — | (5) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total by maturity | $ | 56 | $ | 40 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 96 |
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The table below shows the impact that hypothetical price movements of 10% would have on the market value of our risk management assets and liabilities included on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2022 Gain (Loss) | December 31, 2021 Gain (Loss) | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | |||||||||||
| Mark-to-market changes reported in: | ||||||||||||||
| Regulatory asset (liability) (a) | ||||||||||||||
| Electricity | $ | 12 | $ | (12) | $ | — | $ | — | ||||||
| Natural gas | 55 | (55) | 50 | (50) | ||||||||||
| Total | $ | 67 | $ | (67) | $ | 50 | $ | (50) |
(a)These contracts are economic hedges of our forecasted purchases of natural gas and electricity. The impact of these hypothetical price movements would substantially offset the impact that these same price movements would have on the physical exposures being hedged. To the extent the amounts are eligible for inclusion in the PSA, the amounts are recorded as either a regulatory asset or liability.
Credit Risk
We are exposed to losses in the event of non-performance or non-payment by counterparties. See Note 15 for a discussion of our credit valuation adjustment policy.
FY 2021 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000764622-22-000014.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
INTRODUCTION
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Financial Statements and APS’s Consolidated Financial Statements and the related Notes that appear in Item 8 of this report. This discussion provides a comparison of the 2021 results with 2020 results. A comparison of the 2020 results with 2019 results can be found in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020. For information on factors that may cause our actual future results to differ from those we currently seek or anticipate, see “Forward-Looking Statements” at the front of this report and “Risk Factors” in Item 1A.
OVERVIEW
Business Overview
Pinnacle West is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona with consolidated assets of about $22 billion. For over 130 years, Pinnacle West and our affiliates have provided energy and energy-related products to people and businesses throughout Arizona.
Pinnacle West derives essentially all of our revenues and earnings from our principal subsidiary, APS. APS is Arizona’s largest and longest-serving electric company that generates safe, affordable, and reliable electricity for approximately 1.3 million retail customers in 11 of Arizona’s 15 counties. APS is also the operator and co-owner of Palo Verde — a primary source of electricity for the southwest United States and the largest nuclear power plant in the United States.
COVID-19 Pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic continues to be an evolving situation. The Company is operating under long-standing pandemic and business continuity plans that exist to address situations including pandemics like COVID-19. We are focused on ensuring the health and safety of our employees, contractors, and the general public by helping limit the spread of this virus and ensuring continued, safe, and reliable electric service for APS customers.
We identified business-critical positions in our operations and support organizations, with backup personnel ready to assist if an issue arose. Additionally, efforts to ensure the health and safety of our employees resulted in bifurcated control rooms, thus reducing the number of employees in mission-critical locations. We also established COVID-19 safety protocols, social distancing practices and offering virtual options whenever possible. The Company also took rapid action to implement an all Company COVID-19 hotline, a focused COVID-19 team, and procured on-site COVID-19 testing at key facilities early in the pandemic. Through this testing, case management and contact tracing, the Company has been able to significantly limit COVID-19 transmission in the workplace. As a result of these efforts, we were able to maintain the continuity of the essential services that we provide to our customers, while also managing the spread of the virus and promoting the health, physical and mental well-being and safety of our employees, customers, and communities. In the summer of 2021, the Company began transitioning employees that were previously working remotely back to the workplace on a limited basis and began the reduction of our COVID-19 safety protocols and restrictions. Due to the COVID-19 variants and increased transmission
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rates, the Company has delayed its full transition back to the workplace and COVID-19 safety protocols and restrictions remain in place.
Essential planned work and capital investments are continuing during the pandemic with priority given to support fire mitigation and summer storm efforts, as well as heat related outages. Raw material shortages, rising inflation, COVID-19 related work force disruptions and natural disasters are putting increased pressure on the global supply chain. APS is experiencing some delays in finished materials and tight labor markets. To date, APS has not experienced labor or material supply chain shortages that have significantly impacted its ability to serve its customers’ needs. However, shortages are causing minor delays, and shifting of work projects based on material availability. If APS continues to experience delays in materials, it could experience an increase in purchased power costs for summer generation needs. Such increased purchased power costs would be expected to be recoverable through the PSA. See Note 4 for additional information on the PSA. APS has measures in place to continually monitor and evaluate resource needs and supply chain adequacy but cannot predict whether there will be material supply chain shortages in the future.
The Company’s operations and maintenance expenses, exclusive of bad debt expense, increased by approximately $4.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to costs for personal protective equipment and other health and safety-related costs related to COVID-19. We do not expect the Company’s operation and maintenance expenses to be materially impacted in 2022 by costs related to COVID-19.
While the total expected impact of COVID-19 on future sales is currently unknown, APS experienced higher electric residential sales and lower electric commercial and industrial sales from the outset of the pandemic through April 2021. Beginning in May 2021, electric sales from commercial and industrial customers increased to levels in line with pre-COVID-19 sales but residential sales continued to be higher than pre-COVID-19 sales. Based on past experience, a 1% variation in our annual residential and small commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $20 million, and a 1% variation in our annual large commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $5 million.
The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act allows employers to defer payments of the employer share of Social Security payroll taxes that would have otherwise been owed from March 27, 2020, through December 31, 2020. We deferred the cash payment of the employer’s portion of Social Security payroll taxes for the period July 1, 2020, through December 31, 2020, which was approximately $18 million. We paid half of this cash deferral by December 31, 2021, and the remainder will be paid by December 31, 2022.
On June 30, 2020, FERC issued an order granting a waiver request related to the existing AFUDC rate calculation beginning March 1, 2020, through February 28, 2021. On February 23, 2021, this waiver was extended until September 30, 2021. On September 21, 2021, it was further extended until March 31, 2022. The order provides a simplified approach that companies may elect to implement in order to minimize the significant distorted effect on the AFUDC formula resulting from increased short-term debt financing during the COVID-19 pandemic. APS has adopted this simplified approach to computing the AFUDC composite rate by using a simple average of the actual historical short-term debt balances for 2019, instead of current period short-term debt balances, and has left all other aspects of the AFUDC formula composite rate calculation unchanged. This change impacts the AFUDC composite rate in both 2020 and 2021 but does not impact prior years. Furthermore, the change in the composite rate calculation
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does not impact our accounting treatment for these costs. The change did not have a material impact on our financial statements. See Note 1.
Due to COVID-19, APS voluntarily suspended disconnections of customers for nonpayment beginning March 13, 2020, until December 31, 2020. The suspension of disconnection of customers for nonpayment ended on January 1, 2021, and customers were automatically placed on eight-month payment arrangements if they had past due balances at the end of the disconnection period of $75 or greater. APS voluntarily began waiving late payment fees of its customers on March 13, 2020, and is continuing to waive late payment fees. APS has experienced and is continuing to experience an increase in bad debt expense associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, the Summer Disconnection Moratorium, and the related write-offs of customer delinquent accounts. See Note 4 for additional information regarding the Summer Disconnection Moratorium. The Summer Disconnection Moratorium, the suspension of disconnections due to COVID-19 and the increased bad debt expense associated with both events resulted in a negative impact to its 2021 operating results of approximately $25 million pre-tax above the impact of disconnections on its operating results for years that did not have the Summer Disconnection Moratorium or COVID-19. APS expects that the Summer Disconnection Moratorium, the suspension of disconnections due to COVID-19 and the increased bad debt expense associated with this will continue to negatively impact its operating results for the foreseeable future in amounts similar to 2020 and 2021. The estimated impact depends on certain current assumptions, including, but not limited to, customer behaviors, population, and employment growth.
In February 2021, due to COVID-19, APS delayed the annual reset of the PSA. Rather than the increase being effective February 2021, the PSA reset was implemented with 50% of the increase effective April 2021 and the remaining 50% increase effective November 2021. See Note 4.
More detailed discussion of the impacts and future uncertainties related to the COVID‑19 pandemic can be found throughout this Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and the Combined Notes to Pinnacle West’s and APS’s financial statements that appear in Part II, Item 8 of this report and “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A of this report.
Strategic Overview
Our strategy is to deliver shareholder value by creating a sustainable energy future for Arizona by serving our customers with clean, reliable, and affordable energy.
Clean Energy Commitment
We are committed to doing our part to make the future clean and carbon-free. As Arizona stewards, we do what is right for the people and prosperity of Arizona. Our vision is to create a sustainable energy future for Arizona through providing clean, affordable, and reliable energy. We can accomplish our visions through collaboration with customers, communities, employees, policymakers, shareholders, and other stakeholders. Our clean energy goal is based on sound science and supports continued growth and economic development while maintaining reliability and affordable prices for APS’s customers.
APS’s clean energy goals consist of three parts:
•A 2050 goal to provide 100% clean, carbon-free electricity;
•A 2030 target of achieving a resource mix that is 65% clean energy, with 45% of the generation portfolio coming from renewable energy; and
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•A commitment to end APS’s use of coal-fired generation by 2031.
APS’s ability to successfully execute its clean energy commitment is dependent upon a number of important external factors, some of which include a supportive regulatory environment, sales and customer growth, development of clean energy technologies and continued access to capital markets.
2050 Goal: 100% Clean, Carbon-Free Electricity. Achieving a fully clean, carbon-free energy mix by 2050 is our aspiration. The 2050 goal will involve new thinking and depends on improved and new technologies.
2030 Goal: 65% Clean Energy. APS has an energy mix that is already 50% clean with existing plans to add more renewables and energy storage before 2025. By building on those plans, APS intends to attain an energy mix that is 65% clean by 2030, with 45% of APS’s generation portfolio coming from renewable energy. “Clean” is measured as percent of energy mix which includes all carbon-free resources like nuclear and demand-side management, and “renewable” is expressed as a percent of retail sales. This target will serve as a checkpoint for our resource planning, investment strategy, and customer affordability efforts as APS moves toward 100% clean, carbon-free energy mix by 2050.
2031 Goal: End APS’s Use of Coal-Fired Generation. The commitment to end APS’s use of coal-fired generation by 2031 will require APS to cease use of coal-generation at Four Corners. APS has permanently retired more than 1,000 MW of coal-fired electric generating capacity. These closures and other measures taken by APS have resulted in a total reduction of carbon emissions of 33% since 2005. In addition, APS has committed to end the use of coal at its remaining Cholla units by 2025.
APS understands that the transition away from coal-fired power plants toward a clean energy future will pose unique economic challenges for the communities around these plants. We worked collaboratively with stakeholders and leaders of the Navajo Nation to consider the impacts of ceasing operation of APS coal-fired power plants on the communities surrounding those facilities to propose a comprehensive Coal Community Transition (“CCT”) plan. The proposed framework provided substantial financial and economic development support to build new economic opportunities and addresses a transition strategy for plant employees. We are committed to continuing our long-running partnership with the Navajo Nation in other areas as well, including expanding electrification and developing tribal renewable projects. Our proposed CCT plan supported the Navajo Nation, where Four Corners is located, the communities surrounding the Cholla Power Plant and the Hopi Tribe, which is impacted by closure of the Navajo Plant. On November 2, 2021, the ACC approved an amended 2019 Rate Case ROO that will require (i) equal payments over a three-year period that total $10 million to the Navajo Nation, (ii) a $1 million one-time payment to the Hopi Tribe within 60 days of the 2019 Rate Case decision, (iii) a $500,000 one-time payment to the Navajo County communities within 60 days of the 2019 Rate Case decision, (iv) up to $1.25 million for electrification of homes and businesses on the Hopi reservation and (v) up to $1.25 million for the electrification of homes and businesses on the Navajo Nation reservation. The payments and expenditures are attributable to the future closures of Four Corners and Cholla, along with the prior closure of the Navajo Plant. All ordered payments and expenditures would be recoverable through rates. See Note 4 for a discussion of the CCT plan.
In June 2021, APS and the owners of Four Corners entered into agreements to operate Four Corners seasonally beginning in fall 2023, subject to the necessary governmental approvals and conditions associated with changes in plant ownership. Under seasonal operation, a single unit will remain online year-round, subject to market conditions as well as planned maintenance outages and unplanned outages. In addition, the other unit will be operational throughout the summer season of June through October when
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customer demand is the highest. APS believes that operating Four Corners seasonally will bring environmental benefits and ensure continued service reliability for its customers, especially during Arizona’s hot summer months, as APS transitions to ceasing to use coal-fired generation by 2031. By moving to seasonal operations, Four Corners will become a more flexible resource that supports increasing amounts of clean energy, helping to compensate for the intermittent output of renewable resources. This change also helps ensure reliability of a critical energy source while reducing operations and maintenance costs. APS estimates that the shift to seasonal operations will reduce annual carbon emissions at Four Corners by an estimated 20-25%, as compared to current conditions.
Renewables. APS’s IRP (see Note 4 for additional information) establishes the path to meeting our clean energy commitment and maintaining reliable electric service for our customers. APS intends to strengthen its already diverse energy mix by increasing its investments in carbon-free resources. Our IRP rapidly adds clean energy and storage resources while maintaining reliable and affordable service. Its near-term actions are focused on clean energy and positive customer outcomes and includes: (a) competitive solicitations to procure clean energy resources such as solar, wind, energy storage, and DSM resources, all of which lead to a cleaner grid; and (b) strategic, short-term wholesale market purchases from a combination of existing merchant natural gas units, neighboring utility systems and wholesale market participants that ensure operational reliability.
APS has a diverse portfolio of existing and planned renewable resources, including solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and biogas that supports our commitment to clean energy, which is already strengthened by Palo Verde, the nation’s largest carbon-free, clean energy resource, that provides the foundation for reliable and affordable service for APS customers. APS’s longer-term clean energy strategy includes pursuing the right mix of purchased power contracts for new facilities, procurement of new facilities to be owned by APS, and the ongoing development of distributed energy resources. This balance will ensure an appropriately diverse portfolio designed to achieve the same operational reliability and customer affordability as APS’s near-term strategies. In addition, APS is actively seeking to include future facility purchase options in its PPAs that will enable investments with greater financial flexibility.
APS uses competitive “all source” requests for proposal (“RFPs”) to pursue market resources that meet its system needs and offer the best value for customers. APS selects projects based on cost and commercial viability, taking into consideration timing and likelihood of successful contracting and development. Under current market conditions, APS must aggressively contract for resources that can withstand supply chain and other geopolitical pressures. Available projects are guided by IRP timelines and quantities and APS maintains a flexible approach that allows it to optimize system reliability and customer affordability through the RFP process. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions, including successful siting, permitting and interconnection of the projects to the electric grid. See “Business of Arizona Public Service Company — Energy Sources and Resource Planning — Current and Future Resources — Renewable Energy Standard — Renewable Energy Portfolio” in Item 1 for details regarding APS’s renewable energy resources.
In September 2019, APS issued an RFP that requested up to 250 MW of wind resources to be in service as soon as possible, but no later than 2022. As a result of this RFP, APS executed a 200 MW PPA for a wind resource that went into service in January 2022. In December 2020, APS issued two additional RFPs: (i) a battery storage RFP for projects to be located at two AZ Sun sites; and (ii) an all source RFP that solicited resources to meet our clean energy needs and capacity to maintain system reliability, and was later amended to include a request for 150 MW of solar resources to be developed on APS property and owned by APS (collectively, the “December 2020 RFPs”). As a result of the all source RFP, APS executed a PPA in October 2021 for a 238 MW wind resource to be in service by June 2023, and also executed an
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engineering, procurement, and construction contract in November 2021 for a 150 MW solar resource to be owned by APS and in service in early 2023. APS continues to negotiate contracts for additional resources to be in service in 2024 in connection with the all source RFP. Once it secures those important resources and closes out the December 2020 RFPs, APS intends to issue its next all source RFP to address resource needs for 2025 and beyond.
Energy Storage. APS deploys a number of advanced technologies on its system, including energy storage. Energy storage provides capacity, improves power quality, can be utilized for system regulation and, in certain circumstances, be used to defer certain traditional infrastructure investments. Energy storage also aids in integrating renewable generation by storing excess energy when system demand is low and renewable production is high and then releasing the stored energy during peak demand hours later in the day and after sunset. APS is utilizing grid-scale energy storage projects to meet customer reliability requirements, increase renewable utilization, and to further our understanding of how storage works with other advanced technologies and the grid.
In 2018, APS issued an RFP for approximately 106 MW of energy storage to be located at up to five of its AZ Sun sites. Based upon its evaluation of the RFP responses, APS decided to expand the initial phase of battery deployment to 141 MW by adding a sixth AZ Sun site. These battery storage facilities are expected to be in service during the summer of 2022. On August 2, 2021, APS executed a contract for an additional 60 MW of utility-owned energy storage to be located on APS’s AZ Sun sites. This contract, with a 2023 in-service date, will complete the addition of storage on current APS-owned utility-scale solar facilities.
Additionally, in February 2019, APS signed two 20-year PPAs for energy storage totaling 150 MW. These PPAs were subject to ACC approval in order to allow for cost recovery through the PSA. APS received the requested ACC approval on January 12, 2021, and service under the agreements is expected to begin in 2022 with respect to 100 MW and in 2023 with respect to 50 MW.
As a result of its December 2020 RFPs, as of February 2022, APS has executed four 20-year PPAs for resources that include energy storage: (a) two PPAs for standalone energy storage resources totaling 300 MW; and (b) two PPAs totaling 275 MW solar plus storage resource. The PPAs are also subject to ACC approval to enable cost recovery through the PSA. APS received the requested ACC approval for three out of four of the projects on December 16, 2021. The remaining project was filed in February 2022 for ACC approval and is pending ACC review. Service under the agreements is expected to begin in 2023 and 2024.
APS currently plans to install more than 900 MW of energy storage by 2025, including the energy storage projects under PPAs and AZ Sun retrofits described above. The remaining energy storage is expected to be made up of resources solicited through current and future RFPs.
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The following table summarizes the resources in APS’s energy storage portfolio that are in operation and under development as of December 31, 2021. Agreements for the development and completion of future resources are subject to various conditions.
| Net Capacity in Operation(MW) | Net Capacity Planned / UnderDevelopment (MW) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| APS Owned: Energy Storage | — | 201 | |
| PPAs - Energy Storage | — | 510 | |
| Residential Energy Storage | 12(a) | 3 | |
| Total Energy Storage Portfolio | 12 | 714 |
(a) This includes 11.7 MW of APS customer-owned batteries and 0.3 MW of APS-owned residential batteries.
Palo Verde. Palo Verde, the nation’s largest carbon-free, clean energy resource, will continue to be a foundational part of APS’s resource portfolio. The plant currently supplies nearly 70% of our clean energy and provides the foundation for the reliable and affordable service for APS customers. Palo Verde is not just the cornerstone of our current clean energy mix; it also is a significant provider of clean energy to the southwest United States. The plant is a critical asset to the Southwest, generating more than 32 million MWh annually – enough power for more than 4 million people. Its continued operation is important to a carbon-free and clean energy future for Arizona and the region, as a reliable, continuous, affordable resource and as a large contributor to the local economy.
Affordable
We believe it is APS’s responsibility to deliver electric services to customers in the most cost-effective manner. Since January 2018 through November 2021, the average residential bill decreased by 4.99%, or $7.48, due to net reductions in cost recovery adjustor mechanisms.
Building upon existing cost management efforts, APS launched a customer affordability initiative in 2019. The initiative was implemented company-wide to thoughtfully and deliberately assess our business processes and organizational approaches to completing high-value work and internal efficiencies. In 2021, APS continued to drive this initiative by identifying opportunities to streamline its business processes and deliver sustainable cost savings, which resulted in the Company identifying approximately $30 million in annual incremental cost saving opportunities in 2022.
Participation in the EIM continues to be a tool for creating savings for APS’s customers from the real-time, voluntary market. APS continues to expect that its participation in EIM will lower its fuel and purchased-power costs, improve situational awareness for system operations in the Western Interconnection power grid, and improve integration of APS’s renewable resources. APS continues to evaluate opportunities that benefit our customers and is exploring opportunities to move to a day-ahead market with the expectation of reliably achieving incrementally greater cost savings and using the region’s increasing renewable resources more efficiently. As part of that effort, APS is exploring several options. APS is in discussions with the current EIM operator, the CAISO, the Western Resource Adequacy Program, the Western Markets Exploratory Group, and the Southwest Power Pool. Each of these explorations also involve other entities and are being undertaken to evaluate the feasibility and cost/benefit of creating a voluntary day-ahead market.
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Reliable
While our energy mix evolves, the obligation to deliver reliable service to our customers remains. Notwithstanding the challenges presented by the COVID-19 pandemic, as well the Phoenix metropolitan experiencing the warmest June on record and its summer monsoon being the third wettest over the last 41 years, APS continued to provide reliable service to its customers in 2021.
Planned investments will support operating and maintaining the grid, updating technology, accommodating customer growth, and enabling more renewable energy resources. Our advanced distribution management system allows operators to locate outages, control line devices remotely and helps them coordinate more closely with field crews to safely maintain an increasingly dynamic grid. The system also integrates a new meter data management system that increases grid visibility and gives customers access to more of their energy usage data.
Wildfire safety remains a critical focus for APS and other utilities. We increased investment in fire mitigation efforts to clear defensible space around our infrastructure, build partnerships with government entities and first responders and educate customers and communities. These programs contribute to customer reliability, responsible forest management and safe communities.
The new units at our modernized Ocotillo Power Plant provide cleaner-running and more efficient units. They support reliability by responding quickly to the variability of solar generation and delivering energy in the late afternoon and early evening when solar production declines as the sun sets and customer demand peaks.
In April 2021, the CAISO sought FERC authorization for certain tariff changes intended to try to address risks associated with high heat weather events. Although APS is generally supportive of some of these changes, others would change the load, export, and wheeling priorities in a way that would unfairly benefit California entities at the expense of non-California entities. On June 25, 2021, FERC issued an order accepting the CAISO’s proposed changes. On July 26, 2021, APS filed seeking a rehearing of FERC’s June 25, 2021, order. On August 26, 2021, FERC issued a notice indicating that the pending requests for rehearing were denied by operation of law and providing for further consideration. The requests for rehearing will be addressed in a future FERC order. APS cannot predict the outcome of these proceedings.
APS’s key elements to delivering reliable power include resource planning, sufficient reserve margins, customer partnerships to manage peak demand, fire mitigation, and operational preparedness. Seasonal readiness procedures at APS also include walkdowns to ensure good material conditions and critical control system surveys. APS also plans for the unexpected by conducting emergency operations drills and coordinating on fire and emergency management with federal, state, and local agencies.
Customer-Focused
Recognizing that creating customer value is inextricably linked to increasing shareholder value, APS’s focus remains on its customers and the communities it serves. Accordingly, it is APS’s goal to achieve an industry-leading, best-in-class customer experience. This multi-year objective includes incrementally improving the company’s J.D. Power (“JDP”) overall customer satisfaction ratings from the fourth quartile to the first quartile of its peer set comprised of large investor-owned utilities. APS’s rating improved in 2021 with its fourth-quarter JDP residential overall customer satisfaction score ranked in the
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third quartile. APS made year-over-year improvements in power quality and reliability, billing and payment, and phone customer care.
In mid-2021, APS initiated an organization-wide customer experience strategy council designed to further drive a customer-oriented culture and improve JDP Company performance. Through this and other on-going customer-centric initiatives, APS has embraced increased empathy training for care center associates and adopted more flexible payment arrangements for customers. Numerous customer web-based enhancements also were implemented, including streamlined navigation and Spanish language transaction capabilities on aps.com; an enhanced online power outage center; and enrollment of more than 1 million customers for outage email and text notifications. Furthermore, APS launched a broad-reaching ad campaign focused on energy efficiency and financial assistance programs.
APS offers discounts to qualified limited-income customers, as well as programs to help customers stay current on their bills. Qualified customers experiencing an unplanned major expense or an unexpected reduction in income can receive up to $800 a year to cover current or past due APS bills through the Crisis Bill Assistance program. APS’s Energy Support program gives qualified limited-income customers a 25% discount on their bill each month. As of December 31, 2021, customers received almost $23 million in bill assistance from various sources, with the largest amount coming from the Arizona Department of Economic Security’s Emergency Rental Assistance Program. This combined funding will aid approximately 36,000 APS customers.
A customer advisory board and a consumer working group were formed in 2020, one made up of a cross-section of customers, and the other of stakeholders and advocates representing various customer interests, met several times in 2021 to keep APS apprised of customer needs, wants and perspectives. Their direct feedback helped facilitate improved analysis, education, and communication to customers about their rate plan options, rate names and related communications. As of December 1, 2021, about 54% of APS customers are on their most economical plan. The advisory board also helped inform an on-going redesign and enhancements to APS’s monthly bill based on additional customer feedback, research, and industry best practices.
Developing Clean Energy Technologies
Electric Vehicles
APS is making electric vehicle charging more accessible for its customers and helping Arizona businesses, schools and governments electrify their fleets. In 2021, APS continued its expansion of its Take Charge AZ Pilot Program. As of January 2022, APS had installed approximately 400 charging ports at business customer locations with more stations expected to be added through 2022. The program provides charging equipment, installation, and maintenance to business customers, government agencies, and multifamily housing communities. In addition to the Level 2 charging stations, APS has begun construction of DC fast charging stations that will be owned and operated by APS at five locations in Arizona. This project is projected to be completed during 2022, with each location including 2-150 kilowatt and 2-350 kilowatt DC fast charging stations. Charging at these stations will be accessible through the Electrify America charging network. APS also has a goal of 450,000 light-duty electric vehicles in its service territory by 2030.
Additionally, as part of the 2020 DSM Plan, the ACC approved programs for electric vehicles, including a residential program to measure electric vehicle charging as well as a $100 rebate to home builders for new home 240V charging station garage outlets.
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The ACC ordered the state’s public service corporations, including APS, to develop a long-term, comprehensive Statewide Transportation Electrification Plan (“TE Plan”) for Arizona. The TE Plan is intended to provide a roadmap for Transportation Electrification in Arizona, focused on realizing the associated air quality and economic development benefits for all residents in the state along with understanding the impact of electric vehicle charging on the grid. APS actively participated in developing this plan. The ACC approved the plan in December 2021. APS is currently working with stakeholders to develop a budget and implementation plan for ACC review.
Hydrogen Production
Palo Verde, in partnership with Idaho National Laboratory (“INL”), Energy Harbor Corporation (“Energy Harbor”) and Xcel Energy Incorporated (“Xcel”), was chosen by the DOE’s Office of Nuclear Energy to participate in a series of hydrogen production projects with the goal to improve the long-term economic competitiveness of the nuclear power industry. The multi-phase projects began in 2020 with a series of small-scale hydrogen production demonstration projects led by Energy Harbor and Xcel, as well as a technical and economic assessment performed by INL of using electricity generated at Palo Verde to produce hydrogen.
Based on the experience from Palo Verde’s utility partners’ small scale demonstration projects and from the Palo Verde-specific technical and economic assessment performed by INL, in April 2021, PNW Hydrogen LLC (“PNW Hydrogen”), a newly formed subsidiary of Pinnacle West, applied for DOE funding for a larger scale hydrogen production demonstration project using electricity sourced from Palo Verde. On October 7, 2021, PNW Hydrogen was notified that DOE’s Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy and Office of Nuclear Energy had selected PNW Hydrogen’s application for an award of $20 million in federal funding to support the hydrogen production demonstration project, subject to negotiation and execution of a definitive Cooperative Agreement funding instrument between PNW Hydrogen and DOE.
Carbon Capture
Carbon capture technologies can isolate CO2 and either sequester it permanently in geologic formations or convert it for use in products. Currently, almost all existing fossil fuel generators do not control carbon emissions the way they control emissions of other air pollutants such as sulfur dioxide or oxides of nitrogen. Carbon capture technologies are still in the demonstration phase and while they show promise, they are still being tested in real-world conditions. These technologies could offer the potential to keep in operation existing generators that otherwise would need to be retired. APS will continue to monitor this emerging technology.
Environmental, Social, and Governance (“ESG”) Practices
Pinnacle West has been integrating ESG practices into its core work for almost 30 years. As a business strategy, we seek solutions that provide “shared value,” meaning solutions that address societal and environmental challenges in a way that also delivers business value. Our commitment extends beyond implementing sustainability practices; we are dedicated to working with our stakeholders to identify and address the sustainability issues that we are uniquely positioned to impact through our business. In 2020, in support of our clean energy commitment and the growing focus on ESG within our organization, we increased our efforts by dedicating a new Sustainability Department at Pinnacle West to integrating ESG best practices into the everyday work of the Company.
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As a first step, the Company engaged the Electric Power Research Institute (“EPRI”) and leveraged input from employees, large customers, limited-income advocates, economic development groups, environmental non-governmental organizations, leading sustainability academics and other stakeholders to identify and assess the sustainability issues that matter most. In total, 23 Priority Sustainability Issues (“PSIs”) were identified and prioritized. The most critical category, Integral Shared Value, includes four issues deemed most important and most able to be impacted by our actions: clean energy, customer experience, energy access and reliability and safety and health. These Integral PSIs provide the foundation for informing our strategic direction, creating a framework for incorporating best practices and driving enterprise-wide alignment and accountability. In 2021, the Company engaged EPRI for the second phase of this work, focused on benchmarking best practices within these four Integral Shared Value PSIs. We will utilize the benchmarking information to identify opportunities for further improvement in our ESG performance.
In 2021, the Company established a Social Issues Committee Framework. The goal of the framework is to provide a process for considering emergent social issues, and for determining whether or how best to engage. The committee’s responsibility is to determine, using a set of principles grounded in the APS Promise and the PSIs, whether engagement on specific emergent social issues is appropriate and, if so, how best to engage.
In 2021, the Company finalized an ESG Strategic Framework to guide our work. The framework is based upon three foundational pillars: ESG Policy Advocacy (we advocate for policy that supports our clean energy goals); Driving Performance (improving our ESG performance in the most important areas, including our PSIs); and effectively communicating and amplifying our ESG story to our various stakeholders, including investors, customers, employees and beyond. The framework will guide and shape our ESG work moving forward.
Regulatory Overview
On October 31, 2019, APS filed an application with the ACC (the “2019 Rate Case”) seeking an increase in annual retail base rates of $69 million. This amount includes recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the Four Corners selective catalytic reduction ("SCR") project that was the subject of a separate proceeding, see “Four Corners SCR Cost Recovery” in Note 4. It also reflects a net credit to base rates of approximately $115 million primarily due to the prospective inclusion of rate refunds currently provided through the TEAM. The proposed total annual revenue increase in APS’s application is $184 million. The average annual customer bill impact of APS’s request is an increase of 5.6% (the average annual bill impact for a typical APS residential customer is 5.4%).
The principal provisions of APS’s application were:
•a test year comprised of 12 months ended June 30, 2019, adjusted as described below;
•an original cost rate base of $8.87 billion, which approximates the ACC-jurisdictional portion of the book value of utility assets, net of accumulated depreciation and other credits;
•the following proposed capital structure and costs of capital:
| Capital Structure | Cost of Capital | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-term debt | 45.3 | % | 4.1 | % | |||
| Common stock equity | 54.7 | % | 10.15 | % | |||
| Weighted-average cost of capital | 7.41 | % |
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•a 1% return on the increment of fair value rate base above APS’s original cost rate base, as provided for by Arizona law;
•a Base Fuel Rate of $0.030168 per kWh;
•authorization to defer until APS’s next general rate case the increase or decrease in its Arizona property taxes attributable to tax rate changes after the date the rate application is adjudicated;
•a number of proposed rate and program changes for residential customers, including:
▪a super off-peak period during the winter months for APS’s time-of-use with demand rates;
▪additional $1.25 million in funding for APS’s limited-income crisis bill program; and
▪a flat bill/subscription rate pilot program;
•proposed rate design changes for commercial customers, including an experimental program designed to provide access to market pricing for up to 200 MW of medium and large commercial customers;
•recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the construction and operating costs of the Ocotillo modernization project. See Note 4 for a discussion of the 2017 Settlement Agreement; and
•continued recovery of the remaining investment and other costs related to the retirement and closure of the Navajo Plant. See Note 4 for details related to the resulting regulatory asset.
On October 2, 2020, the ACC Staff, the Residential Utility Consumer Office (“RUCO”) and other intervenors filed their initial written testimony with the ACC. The ACC Staff recommended, among other things, (i) a $89.7 million revenue increase, (ii) an average annual customer bill increase of 2.7%, (iii) a return on equity of 9.4%, (iv) a 0.3% or, as an alternative, a 0% return on the increment of fair value rate base greater than original cost, (v) the recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the construction and operating costs of the Four Corners SCR project and (vi) the recovery of the rate base effects of the construction and ongoing consideration of the deferral of the Ocotillo modernization project. RUCO recommended, among other things, (i) a $20.8 million revenue decrease, (ii) an average annual customer bill decrease of 0.63%, (iii) a return on equity of 8.74%, (iv) a 0% return on the increment of fair value rate base, (v) the nonrecovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the construction and operating costs of the Four Corners SCR project pending further consideration, and (vi) the recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the construction and operating costs of the Ocotillo modernization project.
The filed ACC Staff and intervenor testimony include additional recommendations, some of which materially differ from APS’s filed application. On November 6, 2020, APS filed its rebuttal testimony and the principal provisions which differ from its initial application include, among other things, a (i) $169 million revenue increase, (ii) average annual customer bill increase of 5.14%, (iii) return on equity of 10%, (iv) return on the increment of fair value rate base of 0.8%, (v) new cost recovery adjustor mechanism, the Advanced Energy Mechanism, to enable more timely recovery of clean investments as APS pursues its clean energy commitment, (vi) recognition that securitization is a potentially useful financing tool to recover the remaining book value of retiring assets and effectuate a transition to a cleaner energy future that APS intends to pursue, provided legislative hurdles are addressed, and (vii) the CCT plan related to the closure or future closure of coal-fired generation facilities of which $25 million would be funds that are not recoverable through rates with a proposal that the remainder be funded by customers over 10 years.
The CCT plan includes the following proposed components: (i) $100 million that will be paid over 10 years to the Navajo Nation for a sustainable transition to a post-coal economy, which would be funded by customers, (ii) $1.25 million that will be paid over five years to the Navajo Nation to fund an economic
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development organization, which would be funds not recoverable through rates, (iii) $10 million to facilitate electrification projects within the Navajo Nation, which would be funded equally by funds not recoverable through rates and by customers, (iv) $2.5 million per year in transmission revenue sharing to be paid to the Navajo Nation beginning after the closure of the Four Corners through 2038, which would be funds not recoverable through rates, (v) $12 million that will be paid over five years to the Navajo County Communities surrounding Cholla Power Plant, which would primarily be funded by customers, and (vi) $3.7 million that will be paid over five years to the Hopi Tribe related to APS’s ownership interests in the Navajo Plant, which would primarily be funded by customers. In 2021, APS committed an additional $900,000 to be paid to the Hopi Tribe related to APS’s ownership interests in the Navajo Plant.
On December 4, 2020, the ACC Staff and intervenors filed surrebuttal testimony. The ACC Staff reduced its recommended rate increase to $59.8 million, or an average annual customer bill increase of 1.82%. In RUCO’s surrebuttal, the recommended revenue decrease changed to $50.1 million, or an average annual customer bill decrease of 1.52%. The hearing concluded on March 3, 2021, and the post-hearing briefing concluded on April 30, 2021.
On August 2, 2021, the Administrative Law Judge issued a Recommended Opinion and Order in the 2019 Rate Case (the “2019 Rate Case ROO”) and issued corrections on September 10 and September 20, 2021. The 2019 Rate Case ROO recommended, among other things, (i) a $111 million decrease in annual revenue requirements, (ii) a return on equity of 9.16%, (iii) a 0.30% return on the increment of fair value rate base greater than original cost, with total fair value rate of return further adjusted to include a 0.03% reduction to return on equity resulting in an effective fair value rate of return of 4.95%, (iv) the nonrecovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the operating costs and construction of the Four Corners SCR project (see “Four Corners SCR Cost Recovery” below for additional information), (v) the recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the operating costs and construction of the Ocotillo modernization project, which includes a reduction in the return on the deferral, (vi) a 15% disallowance of annual amortization of Navajo Plant regulatory asset recovery, (vii) the denial of the request to defer until APS’s next general rate case the increase or decrease in its Arizona property taxes attributable to tax rate changes, and (viii) a collaborative process to review and recommend revisions to APS’s adjustment mechanisms within 12 months after the date of the decision. The 2019 Rate Case ROO also recommended that the CCT plan include the following components: (i) $50 million that will be paid over 10 years to the Navajo Nation, (ii) $5 million that will be paid over five years to the Navajo County Communities surrounding Cholla Power Plant, and (iii) $1.675 million that will be paid to the Hopi Tribe related to APS’s ownership interests in the Navajo Plant. These amounts would be recoverable from APS’s customers through the RES adjustment mechanism. APS filed exceptions on September 13, 2021 regarding the disallowance of the SCR cost deferrals and plant investments that was recommended in the 2019 Rate Case ROO, among other issues.
On October 6, 2021 and October 27, 2021, the ACC voted on various amendments to the 2019 Rate Case ROO that would result in, among other things, (i) a return on equity of 8.70%, (ii) the recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the operating costs and construction of the Four Corners SCR project, with the exception of $215.5 million (see “Four Corners SCR Cost Recovery” below), (iii) that the CCT plan include the following components: (a) a payment of $1 million to the Hopi Tribe within 60 days of the 2019 Rate Case decision, (b) a payment of $10 million over three years to the Navajo Nation, (c) a payment of $500,000 to the Navajo County communities within 60 days of the 2019 Rate Case decision, (d) up to $1.25 million for electrification of homes and businesses on the Hopi reservation and (e) up to $1.25 million for the electrification of homes and businesses on the Navajo Nation reservation. These payments and expenditures are attributable to the future closures of Four Corners and Cholla, along with the prior closure of the Navajo Plant and all ordered payments and expenditures would be recoverable
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through rates, and (iv) a change in the residential on-peak time-of-use period from 3 p.m. to 8 p.m. to 4 p.m. to 7p.m. Monday through Friday, excluding holidays. The 2019 Rate Case ROO, as amended, results in a total annual revenue decrease for APS of $4.8 million, excluding temporary CCT payments and expenditures. On November 2, 2021, the ACC approved the 2019 Rate Case ROO, as amended. On November 24, 2021, APS filed with the ACC an application for rehearing of the 2019 Rate Case and the application was deemed denied on December 15, 2021, as the ACC did not act upon it. On December 17, 2021, APS filed its Notice of Direct Appeal at the Arizona Court of Appeals and a Petition for Special Action with the Arizona Supreme Court, requesting review of the disallowance of $215 million of Four Corners SCR plant investments and deferrals (see “Four Corners SCR Cost Recovery” below for additional information) and the 20 basis point penalty reduction to the return on equity. On February 8, 2022, the Arizona Supreme Court declined to accept jurisdiction on APS’s Petition for Special Action. APS cannot predict the outcome of this proceeding.
Consistent with the 2019 Rate Case decision, APS implemented the new rates effective as of December 1, 2021. On December 3, 2021, ACC Staff notified the ACC of a discrepancy between the written decision, which approved the change in time-of-use on-peak hours to 4 p.m. to 7 p.m., but did not explicitly approve the 10-months contemplated in APS’s verbal testimony to implement the new time-of-use hours. On December 16, 2021, the ACC ordered APS to complete the implementation of the time-of-use peak period by April 1, 2022. On January 12, 2022, the ACC voted to extend until September 1, 2022, the deadline to complete the implementation of the new on-peak hours for residential customers. In addition, the ACC ordered extensive compliance and reporting obligations and will be continuing to explore whether penalties or rebates would be owed to certain customers. APS cannot predict the outcome of this matter.
APS expects to file an application with the ACC for its next general retail rate case by mid-year 2022 but is continuing to evaluate the timing of such filing.
See Note 4 for information regarding additional regulatory matters.
Four Corners SCR Cost Recovery
As part of APS’s 2019 Rate Case, APS included recovery of the deferral and rate base effects of the Four Corners SCR project. On November 2, 2021, the 2019 Rate Case decision was approved by the ACC allowing approximately $194 million of SCR related plant investments and cost deferrals in rate base and to recover, depreciate and amortize in rates based on an end-of-life assumption of July 2031. The decision also included a partial and combined disallowance of $215.5 million on the SCR investments and deferrals. APS believes the SCR plant investments and related SCR cost deferrals were prudently incurred, and on December 17, 2021, APS filed its Notice of Direct Appeal at the Arizona Court of Appeals requesting review of the $215.5 million disallowance. Based on the partial recovery of these investments and cost deferrals in current rates and the uncertainty of the outcome of the legal appeals process, APS has not recorded an impairment or write-off relating to the SCR plant investments or deferrals as of December 31, 2021. If the 2019 Rate Case decision to disallow $215.5 million of the SCRs is ultimately upheld, APS will be required to record a charge to its results of operations, net of tax, of approximately $154.4 million. We cannot predict the outcome of the legal challenges nor the timing of when this matter will be resolved. See Note 4 for additional information regarding the Four Corners SCR cost recovery.
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Financial Strength and Flexibility
Pinnacle West and APS currently have ample borrowing capacity under their respective credit facilities and may readily access these facilities ensuring adequate liquidity for each company. Capital expenditures will be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Other Subsidiaries
Bright Canyon Energy. On July 31, 2014, Pinnacle West announced its creation of a wholly-owned subsidiary, BCE. BCE’s strategy is to develop, own, operate and acquire energy infrastructure in a manner that leverages the Company’s core expertise in the electric energy industry. In 2014, BCE formed a 50/50 joint venture with BHE U.S. Transmission LLC, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Energy Company. The joint venture, named TransCanyon, is pursuing independent electric transmission opportunities within the 11 states that comprise the Western Electricity Coordinating Council, excluding opportunities related to transmission service that would otherwise be provided under the tariffs of the retail service territories of the venture partners’ utility affiliates.
On December 20, 2019, BCE acquired minority ownership positions in two wind farms under development by Tenaska Energy, Inc. and Tenaska Energy Holdings, LLC, the 242 MW Clear Creek and the 250 MW Nobles 2 wind farms. Clear Creek achieved commercial operation in May 2020 and Nobles 2 achieved commercial operation in December 2020. Both wind farms deliver power under long-term PPAs. BCE indirectly owns 9.9% of Clear Creek and 5.1% of Nobles 2.
El Dorado. El Dorado is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Pinnacle West. El Dorado owns debt investments and minority interests in several energy-related investments and Arizona community-based ventures. El Dorado committed to a $25 million investment in the Energy Impact Partners fund, which is an organization that focuses on fostering innovation and supporting the transformation of the utility industry. The investment will be made by El Dorado as investments are selected by the Energy Impact Partners fund. As of December 31, 2021, El Dorado has contributed approximately $10 million to the Energy Impact Partners fund. Additionally, El Dorado committed to a $25 million investment in invisionAZ Fund, which is a fund focused on analyzing, investing, managing, and otherwise dealing with investments in privately held early stage and emerging growth technology companies and businesses primarily based in the State of Arizona, or based in other jurisdictions and having existing or potential strategic or economic ties to companies or other interests in the State of Arizona.
Key Financial Drivers
In addition to the continuing impact of the matters described above, many factors influence our financial results and our future financial outlook, including those listed below. We closely monitor these factors to plan for the Company’s current needs, and to adjust our expectations, financial budgets, and forecasts appropriately.
Electric Operating Revenues. For the years 2019 through 2021, retail electric revenues comprised approximately 94% of our total operating revenues. Our electric operating revenues are affected by customer growth or decline, variations in weather from period to period, customer mix, average usage per customer and the impacts of energy efficiency programs, distributed energy additions, electricity rates and tariffs, the recovery of PSA deferrals and the operation of other recovery mechanisms. These revenue
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transactions are affected by the availability of excess generation or other energy resources and wholesale market conditions, including competition, demand, and prices.
Actual and Projected Customer and Sales Growth. Retail customers in APS’s service territory increased 2.2% for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared with the prior-year period. For the three years through 2021, APS’s customer growth averaged 2.2% per year. We currently project annual customer growth to be 1.5% to 2.5% for 2022, and the average annual growth will be in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2024 based on anticipated steady population growth in Arizona during that period.
Retail electricity sales in kWh, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations, for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared with the prior-year period increased 4.2%, which reflects a correction to 2020 commercial and industrial customer sales volumes of 111 GWh (“2020 Sales Volume Correction.”). The 2020 Sales Volume Correction impacted prior disclosure in our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. The retail electricity sales in kWh, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations, for the three-month period ended March 31, 2021, the six-month period ended June 30, 2021, and the nine-month period ended Sept 30, 2021 with the 2020 Sales Volume Correction reflected would have been 0.2%, 3.1% and 3.5%, respectively. While steady customer growth was offset by energy savings driven by customer conservation, energy efficiency, and distributed renewable generation initiatives, the main drivers of positive sales for this period were residential sales being stronger than anticipated due to continued work-from-home policies, a strong improvement in sales to commercial and industrial customers, and the ramp-up of new data center customers. Though the total expected impact of COVID-19 on future sales is currently unknown, APS experienced higher electric residential sales and lower electric commercial and industrial sales from the outset of the pandemic through April 2021. Beginning in May 2021, electric sales to commercial and industrial customers increased to levels in line with pre-COVID sales.
For the three years through 2021, annual retail electricity sales growth averaged 1.7%, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations. We currently project that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% for 2022, and average annual growth will be in the range of 3.5% to 4.5% through 2024, including the effects of customer conservation, energy efficiency and distributed renewable generation initiatives, but excluding the effects of weather variations. This projected sales growth range includes the impacts of new, large manufacturing facilities, which are expected to contribute to average annual growth in the range of 1.0% to 2.0% through 2024. This projected sales growth range also includes our estimated contributions of several large data centers, but not all, and we will continue to estimate contributions and evaluate sales guidance as these customers develop more usage history. These estimates could be further impacted by slower than expected growth of the Arizona economy, slower than expected ramp-up of the new data centers, larger manufacturing facilities not coming to Arizona as expected, a shift away from remote work, slower than expected commercial and industrial expansions, or acceleration of the expected effects of customer conservation, energy efficiency and distributed renewable generation initiatives.
Consistent with our focus on continuously looking for improvement in our processes and procedures, we updated our weather normalization methodology in 2020 to better leverage available AMI data (smart meter data). While the prior method only used one to two months of daily usage data to estimate weather impacts, the new method utilizes a rolling four-year period of daily usage data, which improves the accuracy of estimated weather impacts on energy sales since many more data points are used for each calculation. The impact to our 2019-2021 average normalized sales growth from this change in methodology is 0.1%.
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Actual sales growth, excluding weather-related variations, may differ from our projections as a result of numerous factors, such as economic conditions, customer growth, usage patterns and energy conservation, ramp-up of data centers, impacts of energy efficiency programs and growth in DG, and responses to retail price changes. Based on past experience, a 1% variation in our annual residential and small commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $20 million, and a 1% variation in our annual large commercial and industrial kWh sales projections under normal business conditions can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of approximately $5 million.
Weather. In forecasting the retail sales growth numbers provided above, we assume normal weather patterns based on historical data. Historically, extreme weather variations have resulted in annual variations in net income in excess of $25 million. However, our experience indicates that the more typical variations from normal weather can result in increases or decreases in annual net income of up to $15 million.
Fuel and Purchased Power Costs. Fuel and purchased power costs included on our Consolidated Statements of Income are impacted by our electricity sales volumes, existing contracts for purchased power and generation fuel, our power plant performance, transmission availability or constraints, prevailing market prices, new generating plants being placed in service in our market areas, changes in our generation resource allocation, our hedging program for managing such costs and PSA deferrals and the related amortization.
Operations and Maintenance Expenses. Operations and maintenance expenses are impacted by customer and sales growth, power plant operations, maintenance of utility plant (including generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), inflation, unplanned outages, planned outages (typically scheduled in the spring and fall), renewable energy and DSM related expenses (which are offset by the same amount of operating revenues) and other factors.
Depreciation and Amortization Expenses. Depreciation and amortization expenses are impacted by net additions to utility plant and other property (such as new generation, transmission, and distribution facilities), and changes in depreciation and amortization rates. See “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below for information regarding the planned additions to our facilities.
Pension and Other Postretirement Non-Service Credits, Net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits can be impacted by changes in our actuarial assumptions. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate used to measure our net periodic costs/credit, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term, the mortality assumptions and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary.
Property Taxes. Taxes other than income taxes consist primarily of property taxes, which are affected by the value of property in-service and under construction, assessment ratios, and tax rates. The average property tax rate in Arizona for APS, which owns essentially all of our property, was 10.7% of the assessed value for 2021, 10.8% for 2020 and 10.9% for 2019. We expect property taxes to increase as we add new generating units and continue with improvements and expansions to our existing generating units and transmission and distribution facilities.
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Income Taxes. Income taxes are affected by the amount of pretax book income, income tax rates, certain deductions, and non-taxable items, such as AFUDC. In addition, income taxes may also be affected by the settlement of issues with taxing authorities. On December 22, 2017, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the “Tax Act”) was enacted and was generally effective on January 1, 2018. Changes impacting the Company include a reduction in the corporate tax rate to 21%, revisions to the rules related to tax bonus depreciation, limitations on interest deductibility and an associated exception for certain public utilities, and requirements that certain excess deferred tax amounts of regulated utilities be normalized. See Note 5 for details of the impacts on the Company as of December 31, 2021. In APS’s 2017 Rate Case Decision, the ACC approved the TEAM, which was being used to pass through the income tax effects to retail customers of the Tax Act. As part of the 2019 Rate Case (defined above), all impacts of the Tax Act were removed from the TEAM and incorporated into APS's base rates. The TEAM was retained to address potential changes in tax law that may be enacted prior to a decision in APS’s next rate case. See Note 4 for details of the TEAM.
Interest Expense. Interest expense is affected by the amount of debt outstanding and the interest rates on that debt. See Note 7 for further details. The primary factors affecting borrowing levels are expected to be our capital expenditures, long-term debt maturities, equity issuances and internally generated cash flow. An allowance for borrowed funds used during construction offsets a portion of interest expense while capital projects are under construction. We stop accruing AFUDC on a project when it is placed in commercial operation.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Pinnacle West’s only reportable business segment is our regulated electricity segment, which consists of traditional regulated retail and wholesale electricity businesses (primarily sales supplied under traditional cost-based rate regulation) and related activities and includes electricity generation, transmission, and distribution.
Operating Results – 2021 compared with 2020
Our consolidated net income attributable to common shareholders for the year ended December 31, 2021, was $619 million, compared with $551 million for the prior year. The results reflect an increase of approximately $69 million for the regulated electricity segment primarily due to higher revenue driven by higher customer usage and growth, lower refunds in the current year related to the Tax Act, higher transmission revenues, the one-time charge in 2020 related to the Arizona Attorney General Matter, higher pension and other postretirement non-service credits, and lower other expenses, partially offset by the effects of weather, higher depreciation and amortization expense and higher income taxes, including lower amortization of excess deferred taxes.
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The following table presents net income attributable to common shareholders by business segment compared with the prior year:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | Net change | ||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | ||||||||||
| Regulated Electricity Segment: | ||||||||||
| Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses | $ | 2,645 | $ | 2,589 | $ | 56 | ||||
| Operations and maintenance | (951) | (953) | 2 | |||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | (651) | (614) | (37) | |||||||
| Taxes other than income taxes | (235) | (225) | (10) | |||||||
| Pension and other postretirement non-service credits — net | 113 | 56 | 57 | |||||||
| All other income and expenses, net | 61 | 26 | 35 | |||||||
| Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction | (233) | (229) | (4) | |||||||
| Income taxes (Note 5) | (110) | (78) | (32) | |||||||
| Less income related to noncontrolling interests (Note 18) | (17) | (19) | 2 | |||||||
| Regulated electricity segment income | 622 | 553 | 69 | |||||||
| All other | (3) | (2) | (1) | |||||||
| Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders | $ | 619 | $ | 551 | $ | 68 |
Operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses. Regulated electricity segment operating revenues less fuel and purchased power expenses were $56 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared with the prior year. The following table summarizes the major components of this change:
| Increase (Decrease) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | Fuel and purchased power expenses | Net change | ||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | ||||||||||
| Higher retail revenue due to changes in customer usage patterns and customer growth, partially offset by the impacts of energy efficiency and distributed generation | $ | 112 | $ | 36 | $ | 76 | ||||
| Lower refunds in the current year related to the Tax Act (Note 4) | 30 | — | 30 | |||||||
| Higher transmission revenues (Note 4) | 26 | — | 26 | |||||||
| Arizona Attorney General Matter (Note 11) | 24 | — | 24 | |||||||
| Higher renewable energy regulatory surcharges, offset by operations and maintenance costs | 14 | (5) | 19 | |||||||
| Changes in net fuel and purchased power costs, including off-system sales margins and related deferrals | 158 | 160 | (2) | |||||||
| Effects of weather | (150) | (36) | (114) | |||||||
| Miscellaneous items, net | 1 | 4 | (3) | |||||||
| Total | $ | 215 | $ | 159 | $ | 56 |
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Operations and maintenance. Operations and maintenance expenses decreased $2 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared with the prior-year period primarily because of:
•A decrease of $21 million primarily related to the COVID Customer Support Fund (see Note 4), personal protective equipment and other health and safety-related costs for COVID-19 response;
•A decrease of $13 million for costs related to transmission and distribution;
•An increase of $16 million primarily related to costs for renewable energy and similar regulatory programs, which are partially offset in operating revenues and purchased power;
•An increase of $12 million related to employee benefits; and
•An increase of $4 million for corporate resources and other miscellaneous factors.
Depreciation and amortization. Depreciation and amortization expenses were $37 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to increased plant in service of $31 million and the regulatory deferrals for the Ocotillo modernization project and the Four Corners SCR project of $6 million.
Taxes other than income taxes. Taxes other than income taxes were $10 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to higher property values.
Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net. Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net were $57 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to actual market returns exceeding estimated returns in 2020.
All other income and expenses, net. All other income and expenses, net were $35 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to the prior year CCT and APS Foundation contributions.
Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction. Interest charges, net of allowance for borrowed funds used during construction were $4 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to higher debt balances in the current period, partially offset by higher allowance for borrowed funds due to increased capital expenditures.
Income taxes. Income taxes were $32 million higher for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared with the prior-year period primarily due to higher pre-tax net income and lower amortization of excess deferred taxes, partially offset by a net operating loss carryback benefit that the Company recognized during the first quarter of 2021.
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LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Overview
Pinnacle West’s primary cash needs are for dividends to our shareholders and principal and interest payments on our indebtedness. The level of our common stock dividends and future dividend growth will be dependent on declaration by our Board of Directors and based on a number of factors, including our financial condition, payout ratio, free cash flow and other factors.
Our primary sources of cash are dividends from APS and external debt and equity issuances. An ACC order requires APS to maintain a common equity ratio of at least 40%. As defined in the related ACC order, the common equity ratio is defined as total shareholder equity divided by the sum of total shareholder equity and long-term debt, including current maturities of long-term debt. At December 31, 2021, APS’s common equity ratio, as defined, was 51%. Its total shareholder equity was approximately $6.6 billion, and total capitalization was approximately $13.1 billion. Under this order, APS would be prohibited from paying dividends if such payment would reduce its total shareholder equity below approximately $5.2 billion, assuming APS’s total capitalization remains the same. This restriction does not materially affect Pinnacle West’s ability to meet its ongoing cash needs or ability to pay dividends to shareholders.
APS’s capital requirements consist primarily of capital expenditures and maturities of long-term debt. APS funds its capital requirements with cash from operations and, to the extent necessary, external debt financings and equity infusions from Pinnacle West.
Summary of Cash Flows
The following tables present net cash provided by (used for) operating, investing, and financing activities for the years ended December 31, 2021, and 2020 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West Consolidated
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 860 | $ | 967 | ||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (1,387) | (1,278) | ||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 477 | 361 | ||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (50) | $ | 50 |
Arizona Public Service Company
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow provided by operating activities | $ | 865 | $ | 929 | ||
| Net cash flow used for investing activities | (1,391) | (1,286) | ||||
| Net cash flow provided by financing activities | 478 | 404 | ||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (48) | $ | 47 |
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Operating Cash Flows
2021 Compared with 2020. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by operating activities was $860 million in 2021 compared to $967 million in 2020, a decrease of $107 million in net cash provided primarily due to $252 million higher fuel and purchased power costs, $93 million higher payments for operations and maintenance costs, $15 million higher other taxes and $11 million higher interest payments, partially offset by $175 million higher cash receipts from electric revenues and $93 million other changes in working capital. The difference between APS and Pinnacle West’s net cash provided by operating activities primarily relates to APS’s income tax cash payments to Pinnacle West and other changes in working capital.
Retirement plans and other postretirement benefits. Pinnacle West sponsors a qualified defined benefit pension plan and a non-qualified supplemental excess benefit retirement plan for the employees of Pinnacle West and our subsidiaries. Pinnacle West also sponsors other postretirement benefit plans for the employees of Pinnacle West and its subsidiaries. The requirements of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (“ERISA”) require us to contribute a minimum amount to the qualified plan. We contribute at least the minimum amount required under ERISA regulations, but no more than the maximum tax-deductible amount. The minimum required funding takes into consideration the value of plan assets and our pension benefit obligations. Under ERISA, the qualified pension plan was estimated to be 138% funded as of January 1, 2022, and was 131% as of January 1, 2021. Future year contribution amounts are dependent on plan asset performance and plan actuarial assumptions. We made contributions to our pension plan totaling $100 million in 2021, $100 million in 2020, and $150 million in 2019. The minimum required contributions for the pension plan are zero for the next three years and we do not expect to make any voluntary contributions in 2022, 2023 or 2024. Regarding contributions to our other postretirement benefit plan, we did not make any contributions in 2021 or 2020 and do not expect to make any contributions in 2022, 2023 or 2024. The Company was reimbursed $24 million in 2021, $26 million in 2020, and $30 million in 2019 for prior years retiree medical claims from the other postretirement benefit plan trust assets. We continually monitor financial market volatility and its impact on our retirement plans and other postretirement benefits, but we believe, our liability driven investment strategy helps to minimize the impact of market volatility on our plan’s funded status. For instance, our pension plan’s funded status, as measured for accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) purposes, is still above 107% funded as of December 31, 2021, and our postretirement benefit plans have a funded status, also as measured for GAAP purposes at December 31, 2021, in excess of 145%. See Note 8 for additional details.
The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act allows employers to defer payments of the employer share of Social Security payroll taxes that would have otherwise been owed from March 27, 2020, through December 31, 2020. We deferred the cash payment of the employer’s portion of Social Security payroll taxes for the period July 1, 2020, through December 31, 2020 that was approximately $18 million. We paid approximately $9 million on December 28, 2021, and will pay the second half of this cash deferral by December 31, 2022.
Investing Cash Flows
2021 Compared with 2020. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash used for investing activities was $1,387 million in 2021 compared to $1,278 million in 2020, an increase of $109 million in net cash used primarily related to increased capital expenditures.
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Capital Expenditures. The following table summarizes the estimated capital expenditures for the next three years:
Capital Expenditures
(dollars in millions)
| Estimated for the Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||||||
| APS | ||||||||||
| Generation: | ||||||||||
| Clean: | ||||||||||
| Nuclear Generation | $ | 110 | $ | 120 | $ | 110 | ||||
| Renewables and Energy Storage Systems (“ESS”) (a) | 230 | 210 | 450 | |||||||
| Other Generation (b) | 250 | 270 | 190 | |||||||
| Distribution | 510 | 530 | 500 | |||||||
| Transmission | 250 | 210 | 210 | |||||||
| Other (c) | 175 | 185 | 190 | |||||||
| Total APS | $ | 1,525 | $ | 1,525 | $ | 1,650 |
(a)APS Solar Communities program, energy storage, renewable projects, and other clean energy projects.
(b)Includes generation environmental projects.
(c)Primarily information systems and facilities projects.
The table above does not include capital expenditures related to BCE projects.
Generation capital expenditures are comprised of various additions and improvements to APS’s clean resources, including nuclear plants, renewables and ESS. Generation capital expenditures also include improvements to existing fossil plants. Examples of the types of projects included in the forecast of generation capital expenditures are additions of renewables and energy storage, and upgrades and capital replacements of various nuclear and fossil power plant equipment, such as turbines, boilers, and environmental equipment. We are monitoring the status of environmental matters, which, depending on their final outcome, could require modification to our planned environmental expenditures.
Distribution and transmission capital expenditures are comprised of infrastructure additions and upgrades, capital replacements, and new customer construction. Examples of the types of projects included in the forecast include power lines, substations, and line extensions to new residential and commercial developments.
Capital expenditures will be funded with internally generated cash and external financings, which may include issuances of long-term debt and Pinnacle West common stock.
Financing Cash Flows and Liquidity
2021 Compared with 2020. Pinnacle West’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $477 million in 2021 compared to $361 million of net cash provided in 2020, an increase of $116 million in net cash provided by financing activities primarily due to $915 million lower long-term debt
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repayments, partially offset by $850 million in lower issuances of long-term debt, a net increase in short-term borrowings of $69 million and higher dividend payments of $19 million.
APS’s consolidated net cash provided by financing activities was $478 million in 2021 compared to $404 million in 2020, an increase of $74 million in net cash provided by financing activities primarily due to $465 million lower long-term debt repayments, offset by $653 million in lower issuances of long-term debt, a net increase in short-term borrowings of $279 million, and higher dividend payments of $19 million.
Significant Financing Activities. On December 15, 2021, the Pinnacle West Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.85 per share of common stock, payable on March 1, 2022, to shareholders of record on February 1, 2022. During 2021, Pinnacle West increased its indicated annual dividend from $3.32 per share to $3.40 per share. For the year ended December 31, 2021, Pinnacle West’s total dividends paid per share of common stock were $3.34 per share, which resulted in dividend payments of $369 million.
Available Credit Facilities. Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities in order to enhance liquidity and provide credit support for their commercial paper. See Note 6 for more information on available credit facilities.
Other Financing Matters. See Note 16 for information related to the change in our margin and collateral accounts.
Debt Provisions
Pinnacle West’s and APS’s debt covenants related to their respective bank financing arrangements include maximum debt to capitalization ratios. Pinnacle West and APS comply with these covenants. For both Pinnacle West and APS, these covenants require that the ratio of consolidated debt to total consolidated capitalization not exceed 65%. At December 31, 2021, the ratio was approximately 56% for Pinnacle West and 50% for APS. Failure to comply with such covenant levels would result in an event of default which, generally speaking, would require the immediate repayment of the debt subject to the covenants and could “cross-default” other debt. See further discussion of “cross-default” provisions below.
Neither Pinnacle West’s nor APS’s financing agreements contain “rating triggers” that would result in an acceleration of the required interest and principal payments in the event of a rating downgrade. However, our bank credit agreements contain a pricing grid in which the interest rates we pay for borrowings thereunder are determined by our current credit ratings.
All of Pinnacle West’s loan agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment under these loan agreements if Pinnacle West or APS were to default under certain other material agreements. All of APS’s bank agreements contain “cross-default” provisions that would result in defaults and the potential acceleration of payment under these bank agreements if APS were to default under certain other material agreements. Pinnacle West and APS do not have a material adverse change restriction for credit facility borrowings.
On December 17, 2020, the ACC issued a financing order that, subject to specified parameters and procedures, increased APS’s long-term debt limit from $5.9 billion to $7.5 billion, and authorized APS’s short-term debt authorization equal to the sum of (i) 7% of APS’s capitalization, and (ii) $500
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million (which is required to be used for costs relating to purchases of natural gas and power). See Note 7 for further discussions of liquidity matters.
Credit Ratings
The ratings of securities of Pinnacle West and APS as of February 17, 2022, are shown below. We are disclosing these credit ratings to enhance understanding of our cost of short-term and long-term capital and our ability to access the markets for liquidity and long-term debt. The ratings reflect the respective views of the rating agencies, from which an explanation of the significance of their ratings may be obtained. There is no assurance that these ratings will continue for any given period of time. The ratings may be revised or withdrawn entirely by the rating agencies if, in their respective judgments, circumstances so warrant. Any downward revision or withdrawal may adversely affect the market price of Pinnacle West’s or APS’s securities and/or result in an increase in the cost of, or limit access to, capital. Such revisions may also result in substantial additional cash or other collateral requirements related to certain derivative instruments, insurance policies, natural gas transportation, fuel supply, and other energy-related contracts. On October 12, 2021, Fitch Ratings downgraded the issuer ratings of the Company and APS from A- to BBB+ and the senior unsecured ratings of the Company and APS from A- and A to BBB+ and A-, respectively, with a negative outlook retained. Fitch Ratings also affirmed the commercial paper ratings of the Company and APS at F2. On November 9, 2021, S&P downgraded the issuer ratings of the Company and APS from A- to BBB+. S&P also downgraded the senior unsecured ratings of the Company and APS from BBB+ to BBB and A- to BBB+, respectively, with a negative outlook retained. Commercial paper ratings remained unchanged at A-2 for both entities. On November 17, 2021, Moody’s downgraded both the issuer and senior unsecured ratings of the Company from A3 to Baa1. Concurrently, Moody’s downgraded the issuer and senior unsecured ratings of APS from A2 to A3. Commercial paper for APS was downgraded from P-1 to P-2. The commercial paper ratings for the Company remain unchanged. The outlooks for both companies are negative. At this time, we believe we have sufficient available liquidity resources to respond to a downward revision to our credit ratings.
| Moody’s | Standard & Poor’s | Fitch | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle West | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | Baa1 | BBB+ | BBB+ | ||
| Senior unsecured | Baa1 | BBB | BBB+ | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F2 | ||
| Outlook | Negative | Negative | Negative | ||
| APS | |||||
| Corporate credit rating | A3 | BBB+ | BBB+ | ||
| Senior unsecured | A3 | BBB+ | A- | ||
| Commercial paper | P-2 | A-2 | F2 | ||
| Outlook | Negative | Negative | Negative |
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Contractual Obligations
Pinnacle West has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future, in addition to its capital expenditure programs. Material contractual obligations and other commitments are as follows:
•Pinnacle West and APS have material long-term debt obligations that mature at various dates through 2050 and bear interest principally at fixed rates. Interest on variable-rate long-term debt is determined by using average rates at December 31, 2021. See Note 7.
•Pinnacle West and APS maintain committed revolving credit facilities. See Note 6 for short-term debt details.
•Fuel and purchased power commitments include purchases of coal, electricity, natural gas, renewable energy, nuclear fuel, and natural gas transportation. See Notes 4 and 11. Purchase obligations includes capital expenditures and other obligations. See Note 11. Commitments related to purchased power lease contracts are also considered fuel and purchased power commitments. See Note 9.
•APS holds certain contracts to purchase renewable energy credits in compliance with the RES. See Notes 4 and 11.
•APS must reimburse certain coal providers for amounts incurred for final and contemporaneous coal mine reclamation. See Note 11.
•APS is required to make payments to the noncontrolling interests related to the Palo Verde sale leaseback through 2033. See Note 18.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
In preparing the financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management must often make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and related disclosures at the date of the financial statements and during the reporting period. Some of those judgments can be subjective and complex, and actual results could differ from those estimates. We consider the following accounting policies to be our most critical because of the uncertainties, judgments and complexities of the underlying accounting standards and operations involved.
Regulatory Accounting
Regulatory accounting allows for the actions of regulators, such as the ACC and FERC, to be reflected in our financial statements. Their actions may cause us to capitalize costs that would otherwise be included as an expense in the current period by unregulated companies. Regulatory assets represent incurred costs that have been deferred because they are probable of future recovery in customer rates. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts collected in rates to recover costs expected to be incurred in the future or amounts collected in excess of costs incurred and are refundable to customers. Management judgments include continually assessing the likelihood of future recovery of regulatory assets and/or a disallowance of part of the cost of recently completed plant, by considering factors such as applicable regulatory environment changes and recent rate orders to other regulated entities in the same jurisdiction. This determination reflects the current political and regulatory climate in Arizona and is
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subject to change in the future. If future recovery of costs ceases to be probable, the assets would be written off as a charge in current period earnings, except for pension benefits, which would be charged to OCI and result in lower future earnings. Management judgments also include assessing the impact of potential ACC or FERC Commission-ordered refunds to customers on regulatory liabilities. We had $1,712 million of regulatory assets and $2,795 million of regulatory liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets at December 31, 2021. See Notes 1 and 4 for more information.
Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefit Accounting
Changes in our actuarial assumptions used in calculating our pension and other postretirement benefit assets, liabilities and expense can have a significant impact on our earnings and financial position. The most relevant actuarial assumptions are the discount rate used to measure our liability and net periodic cost, the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets used to estimate earnings on invested funds over the long-term, the mortality assumptions, and the assumed healthcare cost trend rates. We review these assumptions on an annual basis and adjust them as necessary.
The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2021, reported pension assets and liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets and our 2021 reported pension expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Pension Plans | Impact on Pension Expense | |||||
| Discount rate: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (388) | $ | 5 | |||
| Decrease 1% | 471 | 15 | |||||
| Expected long-term rate of return on plan assets: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (28) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 28 |
(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
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The following chart reflects the sensitivities that a change in certain actuarial assumptions would have had on the December 31, 2021, other postretirement benefit obligation and our 2021 reported other postretirement benefit expense, after consideration of amounts capitalized or billed to electric plant participants, on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Statements of Income (dollars in millions):
| Increase (Decrease) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actuarial Assumption (a) | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Plans | Impact on Other Postretirement Benefit Expense | |||||
| Discount rate: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | $ | (72) | $ | (4) | |||
| Decrease 1% | 90 | 5 | |||||
| Healthcare cost trend rate (b): | |||||||
| Increase 1% | 80 | 8 | |||||
| Decrease 1% | (65) | (7) | |||||
| Expected long-term rate of return on plan assets – pretax: | |||||||
| Increase 1% | — | (6) | |||||
| Decrease 1% | — | 6 |
(a)Each fluctuation assumes that the other assumptions of the calculation are held constant while the rates are changed by one percentage point.
(b)This assumes a 1% change in the initial and ultimate healthcare cost trend rate.
See Note 8 for further details about our pension and other postretirement benefit plans.
Fair Value Measurements
We account for derivative instruments, investments held in our nuclear decommissioning trusts fund, investments held in our other special use funds, certain cash equivalents, and plan assets held in our retirement and other benefit plans at fair value on a recurring basis. Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We use inputs, or assumptions that market participants would use, to determine fair market value. We utilize valuation techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs. The significance of a particular input determines how the instrument is classified in a fair value hierarchy. The determination of fair value sometimes requires subjective and complex judgment. Our assessment of the inputs and the significance of a particular input to fair value measurement may affect the valuation of the instruments and their placement within a fair value hierarchy. Actual results could differ from our estimates of fair value. See Note 1 for a discussion of accounting policies and Note 13 for fair value measurement disclosures.
Asset Retirement Obligations
We recognize an ARO for the future decommissioning or retirement of our tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. The ARO liability represents an estimate of the fair value of the current obligation related to decommissioning and the retirement of those assets. ARO measurements inherently involve uncertainty in the amount and timing of settlement of the liability. We use an expected cash flow approach to measure the amount we recognize as an ARO. This approach applies probability weighting to discounted future cash flow scenarios that reflect a range of possible outcomes. The scenarios
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consider settlement of the ARO at the expiration of the asset’s current license or lease term and expected decommissioning dates. The fair value of an ARO is recognized in the period in which it is incurred. The associated asset retirement costs are capitalized as part of the carrying value of the long-lived asset and are depreciated over the life of the related assets. In addition, we accrete the ARO liability to reflect the passage of time. Changes in these estimates and assumptions could materially affect the amount of the recorded ARO for these assets. In accordance with GAAP accounting, APS accrues removal costs for its regulated utility assets, even if there is no legal obligation for removal.
AROs as of December 31, 2021 are described further in Note 12.
OTHER ACCOUNTING MATTERS
In July 2021, a new accounting standard, ASU 2021-05, was issued that amends lessor’s accounting treatment for certain lease transactions with variable lease payments. We adopted the standard on January 1, 2022 using a prospective approach. The adoption of this standard did not impact our financial statements. See Note 3 for additional information.
MARKET AND CREDIT RISKS
Market Risks
Our operations include managing market risks related to changes in interest rates, commodity prices, investments held by our nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds and benefit plan assets.
Interest Rate and Equity Risk
We have exposure to changing interest rates. Changing interest rates will affect interest paid on variable-rate debt and the market value of fixed income securities held by our nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds (see Note 13 and Note 19), and benefit plan assets. The nuclear decommissioning trust, other special use funds and benefit plan assets also have risks associated with the changing market value of their equity and other non-fixed income investments. Nuclear decommissioning and benefit plan costs are recovered in regulated electricity prices.
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The tables below present contractual balances of our consolidated long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2021, and 2020. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (dollars in millions):
Pinnacle West – Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 0.18 | % | $ | 292 | 0.78 | % | $ | 150 | — | $ | — | |||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | 0.85 | % | 150 | 3.35 | % | 250 | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 1.99 | % | 800 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 0.22 | % | 36 | 3.87 | % | 5,480 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 292 | $ | 336 | $ | 6,780 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 292 | $ | 336 | $ | 7,390 |
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2020 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 0.40 | % | $ | 169 | — | $ | — | — | $ | — | ||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 1.99 | % | 800 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 0.18 | % | 36 | 3.95 | % | 5,280 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 169 | $ | 36 | $ | 6,330 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 169 | $ | 36 | $ | 7,577 |
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The tables below present contractual balances of APS’s long-term and short-term debt at the expected maturity dates, as well as the fair value of those instruments on December 31, 2021, and 2020. The interest rates presented in the tables below represent the weighted-average interest rates as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (dollars in millions):
APS — Consolidated
| Short-Term Debt | Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 0.18 | % | $ | 279 | — | $ | — | — | $ | — | ||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | % | 300 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | % | 250 | |||||||||||||
| Years thereafter | — | — | 0.22 | % | 36 | 3.87 | % | 5,480 | ||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 279 | $ | 36 | $ | 6,280 | ||||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 279 | $ | 36 | $ | 6,898 |
| Variable-Rate Long-Term Debt | Fixed-Rate Long-Term Debt | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | Interest | |||||||||||||||
| 2020 | Rates | Amount | Rates | Amount | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | $ | — | — | $ | — | ||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | 3.35 | % | 250 | |||||||||||
| 2025 | — | — | 3.15 | % | 300 | |||||||||||
| Years thereafter | 0.18 | % | 36 | 3.95 | % | 5,280 | ||||||||||
| Total | $ | 36 | $ | 5,830 | ||||||||||||
| Fair value | $ | 36 | $ | 7,068 |
Commodity Price Risk
We are exposed to the impact of market fluctuations in the commodity price and transportation costs of electricity and natural gas. Our risk management committee, consisting of officers and key management personnel, oversees company-wide energy risk management activities to ensure compliance with our stated energy risk management policies. We manage risks associated with these market fluctuations by utilizing various commodity instruments that may qualify as derivatives, including futures, forwards, options, and swaps. As part of our risk management program, we use such instruments to hedge purchases and sales of electricity and natural gas. The changes in market value of such contracts have a high correlation to price changes in the hedged commodities.
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The following table shows the net pretax changes in mark-to-market of our derivative positions (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark-to-market of net positions at beginning of year | $ | (13) | $ | (71) | ||
| Increase in regulatory liability | 120 | 57 | ||||
| Recognized in OCI: | ||||||
| Mark-to-market losses realized during the period | — | 1 | ||||
| Change in valuation techniques | — | — | ||||
| Mark-to-market of net positions at end of year | $ | 107 | $ | (13) |
The table below shows the fair value of maturities of our derivative contracts (dollars in millions) at December 31, 2021, by maturities and by the type of valuation that is performed to calculate the fair values, classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. See Note 1, “Derivative Accounting” and “Fair Value Measurements,” for more discussion of our valuation methods.
| Source of Fair Value | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observable prices provided by other external sources | $ | 63 | $ | 35 | $ | 12 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 110 | |||||||||||
| Prices based on unobservable inputs | (3) | — | — | — | — | (3) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total by maturity | $ | 60 | $ | 35 | $ | 12 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 107 |
The table below shows the impact that hypothetical price movements of 10% would have on the market value of our risk management assets and liabilities included on Pinnacle West’s Consolidated Balance Sheets (dollars in millions):
| December 31, 2021 Gain (Loss) | December 31, 2020 Gain (Loss) | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | Price Up 10% | Price Down 10% | |||||||||||
| Mark-to-market changes reported in: | ||||||||||||||
| Regulatory asset (liability) (a) | ||||||||||||||
| Electricity | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 4 | $ | (4) | ||||||
| Natural gas | 50 | (50) | 49 | (49) | ||||||||||
| Total | $ | 50 | $ | (50) | $ | 53 | $ | (53) |
(a)These contracts are economic hedges of our forecasted purchases of natural gas and electricity. The impact of these hypothetical price movements would substantially offset the impact that these same price movements would have on the physical exposures being hedged. To the extent the amounts are eligible for inclusion in the PSA, the amounts are recorded as either a regulatory asset or liability.
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Credit Risk
We are exposed to losses in the event of non-performance or non-payment by counterparties. See Note 16 for a discussion of our credit valuation adjustment policy.