STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG)

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

You should read the following discussion with the financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in Item 1 of this report and the audited financial statements and related notes thereto included in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K.

As used herein, except where the context otherwise requires, “Company,” “we,” “our” and “us,” refer to STAG Industrial, Inc. and our consolidated subsidiaries and partnerships, including our operating partnership, STAG Industrial Operating Partnership, L.P. (the “Operating Partnership”).

Forward-Looking Statements

This report contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor from civil liability provided for such statements by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (set forth in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”)). You can identify forward-looking statements by the use of words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “expects,” “intends,” “may,” “plans,” “projects,” “seeks,” “should,” “will,” and variations of such words or similar expressions. Forward-looking statements in this report include, among others, statements about our future financial condition, results of operations, capitalization rates on future acquisitions, our business strategy and objectives, including our acquisition strategy, occupancy and leasing rates and trends, and expected liquidity needs and sources (including capital expenditures and the ability to obtain financing or raise capital). Our forward-looking statements reflect our current views about our plans, intentions, expectations, strategies and prospects, which are based on the information currently available to us and on assumptions we have made. Although we believe that our plans, intentions, expectations, strategies and prospects as reflected in or suggested by our forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance that our plans, intentions, expectations, strategies or prospects will be attained or achieved and you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Furthermore, actual results may differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements and may be affected by a variety of risks and factors including, without limitation:

•the factors included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, as updated elsewhere in this report, including those set forth under the headings “Business,” “Risk Factors,” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations;”

•the risk of global or national recessions and international, national, regional, and local economic conditions;

•decreased economic activity due to fluctuations in trade policies, tariffs and related government actions;

•our ability to raise equity capital on attractive terms;

•the competitive environment in which we operate;

•real estate risks, including fluctuations in real estate values, the general economic climate in local markets and competition for tenants in such markets, and the repurposing or redevelopment of retail properties into industrial properties (in part or whole);

•decreased rental rates or increased vacancy rates;

•the general level of interest rates and currencies;

•potential defaults (including bankruptcies or insolvency) on or non-renewal of leases by tenants;

•acquisition risks, including our ability to identify and complete accretive acquisitions and/or failure of such acquisitions to perform in accordance with projections;

•the timing of acquisitions and dispositions;

•technological developments, particularly those affecting supply chains and logistics;

•potential natural disasters, epidemics, pandemics or outbreak of infectious disease, such as the novel coronavirus disease, and other potentially catastrophic events such as acts of war and/or terrorism (including the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia and the conflict between Israel/the United States and Iran, the risk of such conflicts widening and the related impact on market volatility and macroeconomic conditions as a result of such conflicts);

•renegotiation or termination of trade agreements or treaties among the United States and foreign countries or increases to U.S. tariffs on foreign goods or to foreign tariffs on U.S. goods;

•potential changes in the law or governmental regulations and interpretations of those laws and regulations, including changes in real estate and zoning laws or real estate investment trust (“REIT”) or corporate income tax laws, and potential increases in real property tax rates;

•financing risks, including the risks that our cash flows from operations may be insufficient to meet required payments of principal and interest and we may be unable to refinance our existing debt upon maturity or obtain new financing on attractive terms or at all;

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•credit risk in the event of non-performance by the counterparties to the interest rate swaps and revolving and unfunded debt;

•how and when pending forward equity sales may settle;

•lack of or insufficient amounts of insurance;

•our ability to maintain our qualification as a REIT;

•our ability to retain key personnel;

•litigation, including costs associated with prosecuting or defending claims and any adverse outcomes; and

•possible environmental liabilities, including costs, fines or penalties that may be incurred due to necessary remediation of contamination of properties presently owned or previously owned by us.

Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it is made. New risks and uncertainties arise over time, and it is not possible for us to predict those events or how they may affect us. Except as required by law, we are not obligated to, and do not intend to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Certain Definitions

In this report:

“Cash Rent Change” means the percentage change in the base rent of the lease commenced during the period compared to the base rent of the Comparable Lease for assets included in the Operating Portfolio. The calculation compares the first base rent payment due after the lease commencement date compared to the base rent of the last monthly payment due prior to the termination of the lease, excluding holdover rent. Rent under gross or similar type leases are converted to a net rent based on an estimate of the applicable recoverable expenses.

“Comparable Lease” means a lease in the same space with a similar lease structure as compared to the previous in-place lease, excluding new leases for space that was not occupied under our ownership.

“GAAP” means generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America.

“New Lease” means a lease that is signed for an initial term equal to or greater than 12 months for any vacant space, including a lease signed by a new tenant or an existing tenant that is expanding into new (additional) space.

“Occupancy rate” means the percentage of total leasable square footage for which either revenue recognition has commenced in accordance with GAAP or the lease term has commenced as of the close of the reporting period, whichever occurs earlier.

“Operating Portfolio” means all buildings that were acquired stabilized or have achieved Stabilization. The Operating Portfolio excludes non-core flex/office buildings, buildings contained in the Value Add Portfolio, and buildings classified as held for sale.

“Renewal Lease” means a lease signed by an existing tenant to extend the term for 12 months or more, including (i) a renewal of the same space as the current lease at lease expiration, (ii) a renewal of only a portion of the current space at lease expiration, or (iii) an early renewal or workout, which ultimately does extend the original term for 12 months or more.

“Straight-line Rent Change” means the percentage change in the average monthly base rent over the term of the lease that commenced during the period compared to the Comparable Lease for assets included in the Operating Portfolio. Rent under gross or similar type leases are converted to a net rent based on an estimate of the applicable recoverable expenses, and this calculation excludes the impact of any holdover rent.

“Stabilization” for properties under development or being redeveloped means the earlier of achieving 90% occupancy or 12 months after completion. With respect to properties acquired and immediately added to the Value Add Portfolio, (i) if acquired with less than 75% occupancy as of the acquisition date, Stabilization will occur upon the earlier of achieving 90% occupancy or 12 months from the acquisition date, or (ii) if acquired and will be less than 75% occupied due to known move-outs within two years of the acquisition date, Stabilization will occur upon the earlier of achieving 90% occupancy after the known move-outs have occurred or 12 months after the known move-outs have occurred.

“Total annualized base rental revenue” means the monthly base cash rent for the applicable property or properties as of June 30, 2026 (which is different from rent calculated in accordance with GAAP for purposes of our financial statements), multiplied by

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12. If a tenant is in a free rent period as of June 30, 2026, the annualized rent is calculated based on the first contractual monthly base rent amount multiplied by 12.

“Value Add Portfolio” means our properties that meet any of the following criteria: (i) less than 75% occupied as of the acquisition date; (ii) will be less than 75% occupied due to known move-outs within two years of the acquisition date; (iii) out of service with significant physical renovation of the asset; or (iv) development.

“Weighted Average Lease Term” means the contractual lease term in years, assuming that tenants exercise no renewal options, purchase options, or early termination rights, as of the lease start date weighted by square footage. Weighted Average Lease Term related to acquired assets reflects the remaining lease term in years as of the acquisition date weighted by square footage.

Overview

We are a REIT focused on the acquisition, ownership, development, and operation of industrial properties throughout the United States. Our platform is designed to (i) identify properties for acquisition that offer relative value across CBRE-EA Tier 1 industrial property types and tenants through the principled application of our proprietary risk assessment model, (ii) provide growth through sophisticated industrial operation and an attractive opportunity set, and (iii) capitalize our business appropriately given the characteristics of our assets. We are a Maryland corporation and our common stock is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “STAG.”

We are organized and conduct our operations to maintain our qualification as a REIT under Sections 856 through 860 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the “Code”), and generally are not subject to federal income tax to the extent we currently distribute our income to our stockholders and maintain our qualification as a REIT. We remain subject to state and local taxes on our income and property and to U.S. federal income and excise taxes on our undistributed income.

Factors That May Influence Future Results of Operations

Our ability to increase revenues or cash flow will depend in part on our (i) external growth, specifically acquisition activity, and (ii) internal growth, specifically occupancy and rental rates on our portfolio, as well as development activity. A variety of other factors, including those noted below, also affect our future results of operations.

Outl

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Item 7.  Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this report. For the definitions of certain terms used in the following discussion, refer to Item 1, “Business - Certain Definitions” included elsewhere in this report.

Overview

We are a REIT focused on the acquisition, ownership, and operation of industrial properties throughout the United States. Our platform is designed to (i) identify properties for acquisition that offer relative value across CBRE-EA Tier 1 industrial property types and tenants through the principled application of our proprietary risk assessment model, (ii) provide growth through

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sophisticated industrial operation and an attractive opportunity set, and (iii) capitalize our business appropriately given the characteristics of our assets. We are a Maryland corporation and our common stock is publicly traded on the NYSE under the symbol “STAG.”

We are organized and conduct our operations to maintain our qualification as a REIT under Sections 856 through 860 of the Code, and generally are not subject to federal income tax to the extent we currently distribute our income to our stockholders and maintain our qualification as a REIT. We remain subject to state and local taxes on our income and property and to U.S. federal income and excise taxes on our undistributed income.

Our qualification and taxation as a REIT depend upon our ability to meet on a continuing basis, through actual annual operating results, qualification tests in the federal income tax laws. Those tests involve the percentage of income that we earn from specified sources, the percentage of our assets that falls within specified categories, the diversity of our capital stock ownership and the percentage of our earnings that we distribute.

As of December 31, 2025, we owned 601 buildings in 41 states with approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet. We own both single- and multi-tenant properties, although the majority of our portfolio is single-tenant.

As of December 31, 2025, our buildings were approximately 96.4% leased, with no single tenant accounting for more than approximately 2.8% of our total annualized base rental revenue and no single industry accounting for more than approximately 11.4% of our total annualized base rental revenue.

We own all of our properties and conduct substantially all of our business through our Operating Partnership, which we control and manage. As of December 31, 2025, we owned approximately 98.1% of the common units in our Operating Partnership, and our current and former executive officers, directors, senior employees and their affiliates, and other third parties owned the remaining 1.9%.

Factors That May Influence Future Results of Operations

Our ability to increase revenues or cash flow will depend in part on our (i) external growth, specifically acquisition activity, and (ii) internal growth, specifically occupancy and rental rates on our portfolio.  A variety of other factors, including those noted below, also affect our future results of operations.

Outlook

The industrial real estate business is affected by general macro-economic trends including recent changes in interest rates, inflation, trade policies, fiscal policy, technology (e.g., artificial intelligence), and geopolitical tensions. These factors are key drivers of financial market and economic volatility. In 2025, U.S. real gross domestic product (“GDP”) declined 0.5% in the first quarter before increasing 3.8% and 4.3% in the subsequent two quarters, respectively. Labor conditions are slowing, with unemployment rising to 4.4% as of December 2025 compared to 4.1% at the end of June 2025. In the fourth quarter of 2025, following weaker employment data, the Federal Open Market Committee lowered the federal funds rate range twice, in each instance a reduction of 25 basis points, to a target range of 3.50-3.75%. Currently, the general consensus among economists is a higher risk of recession or stagflation. While trade policies and macro-economic conditions continue to evolve and could result in tighter credit conditions, weakening tenant cash flows, and rising vacancy rates, we believe we will continue to benefit from having a well-diversified portfolio across various markets, tenant industries, and lease terms. Additionally, we believe that recent moves toward more regional supply chains and geopolitical tensions have accelerated a number of trends that positively impact U.S. industrial demand. However, given the current uncertainty and events discussed above, our acquisition activity has continued to slow since 2022 relative to our historical acquisition pace.

Alternatively, demographic/consumer trends, geopolitical uncertainty and recent legislation supporting U.S. infrastructure may accelerate trends that support stronger long term demand for industrial space, including:

•the continued growth of e-commerce (as compared to the traditional retail store distribution model) and the concomitant demand by e-commerce industry participants for well-located, functional distribution space;

•the increasing attractiveness of the United States as a manufacturing and distribution location because of the size of the U.S. consumer market, an increase in overseas labor costs, policies that promote domestic and regional manufacturing “onshoring and nearshoring,” a desire for greater supply chain resilience and redundancy which is driving higher inventory to sales ratios and greater domestic warehouse demand over the long term (i.e. the shortening and fattening of the supply chain); and

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•the general quality of the transportation infrastructure in the United States.

Overall, demand across the industrial market is moderating relative to recent peaks. Vacancy and availability rates are near historical standards in many markets. The supply pipeline remains active, albeit with lower volume and more notably concentrated in build-to-suits as speculative construction remains low due to moderating demand and volatile capital markets.

Our portfolio is diversified across geographies, tenant industries and lease terms. We believe that the current economic environment, while volatile, provides us with an opportunity to demonstrate the strength of our portfolio arising from its diversification. Specifically, we believe our portfolio should benefit from competitive rental rates and strong occupancy. In addition to our diversified portfolio, we believe that certain characteristics of our business and capital structure should position us well in an uncertain environment, including our minimal floating rate debt exposure (taking into account our hedging activities), strong banking relationships and liquidity, and access to capital.

Conditions in Our Markets

The buildings in our portfolio are located in markets throughout the United States. Positive or negative changes in economic or other conditions, new supply, adverse weather conditions, natural disasters, epidemics, and other factors in these markets may affect our overall performance.

Rental Income

We receive income primarily in the form of rental income from the tenants who occupy our buildings. The amount of rental income generated by the buildings in our portfolio depends principally on occupancy and rental rates.

Future economic downturns or regional downturns affecting our submarkets that impair our ability to renew or re-lease space and the ability of our tenants to fulfill their lease commitments, as in the case of tenant bankruptcies, could adversely affect our ability to maintain or increase rental rates at our buildings. Our ability to lease our properties and the attendant rental rate is dependent upon, among other things, (i) the overall economy, (ii) the supply/demand dynamic in our markets, (iii) the quality of our properties, including age, clear height, and configuration, and (iv) our tenants’ ability to meet their contractual obligations to us.

The following table summarizes our Operating Portfolio leases that commenced during the year ended December 31, 2025. Any rental concessions in such leases are accounted for on a straight-line basis over the term of the lease.

(1)“Total Costs” means the costs for improvements of vacant and renewal spaces, as well as the contingent-based legal fees and commissions for leasing transactions. Total Costs per square foot represent the total costs expected to be incurred on the leases that commenced during the period and do not reflect actual expenditures for the period.

(2)Represents the total rental concessions for the entire lease term.

Additionally, for the year ended December 31, 2025, leases related to the Value Add Portfolio and first generation leasing, with a total of approximately 2.1 million square feet, are excluded from the Operating Portfolio statistics above.

Property Operating Expenses

Our property operating expenses generally consist of utilities, real estate taxes, management fees, insurance, and site repair and maintenance costs. For the majority of our tenants, our property operating expenses are controlled, in part, by the triple net provisions in tenant leases. In our triple net leases, the tenant is responsible for all aspects of and costs related to the building and its operation during the lease term, including utilities, taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs, but typically excluding roof and building structure. However, we also have modified gross leases and gross leases, as well as leases with expense caps, in our building portfolio, which may require us to absorb certain building related expenses of our tenants. In our modified gross leases, we are responsible for certain building related expenses during the lease term, but most of the expenses are passed

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through to the tenant for reimbursement to us. In our gross leases, we are responsible for all expenses related to the building and its operation during the lease term. Our overall performance will be affected by the extent to which we are able to pass-through property operating expenses to our tenants.

Scheduled Lease Expirations

Our ability to re-lease space subject to expiring leases will impact our results of operations and is affected by economic and competitive conditions in our markets and by the desirability of our individual buildings. Leases that comprise approximately 8.2% of our total annualized base rental revenue will expire during the period from January 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, excluding month-to-month leases. We assume, based upon internal renewal probability estimates, that some of our tenants will renew and others will vacate and the associated space will be re-let subject to downtime assumptions. Using the aforementioned assumptions, we expect that, overall, the rental rates on the respective new leases will be greater than the rates under existing leases expiring during the period January 1, 2026 t

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