TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN)

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (“MD&A”) is intended to provide management's perspective on our financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, and certain other factors that may affect our future results. Our MD&A should be read in conjunction with the unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements and related Notes in Part I, Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of our 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K.

This MD&A includes financial measures compiled in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") and certain non-GAAP measures. Please refer to the Non-GAAP Financial Measures section herein for information on the non-GAAP measures included in the MD&A, reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, and the reasons why management believes each measure is useful to management and investors.

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Forward-Looking Statements

This quarterly report on Form 10-Q (or statements otherwise made by the Company or on the Company’s behalf from time to time in other reports, filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), news releases, conferences, website postings, or otherwise) contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any statements contained herein that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements and involve risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, future financial performances, estimates, projections, goals, and forecasts. Trinity uses the words “anticipates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “expects,” “intends,” “forecasts,” “may,” “will,” “should,” and similar expressions to identify these forward-looking statements. Potential factors, which could cause our actual results of operations to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, include, among others:

•market conditions and customer demand for our business products and services;

•the cyclical nature of the industries in which we compete;

•actions by U.S. and/or foreign governments (particularly Mexico and Canada) relative to tariffs, customs administration, trade policies and the interpretation or application of customs laws, federal government budgeting, taxation policies, government expenditures, borrowing/debt ceiling limits, and government shutdowns;

•geopolitical events, including armed conflicts, and their impact on supply chains, pricing, and the global economy;

•variations in weather in areas where our products are manufactured, delivered, or used;

•naturally-occurring events, pandemics, fires, and/or disasters causing disruption to our facilities, manufacturing, product deliveries, and production capacity, thereby giving rise to an increase in expenses, loss of revenue, and property losses;

•disruptions in the transportation network used to transport parts and components to our production facilities and to deliver products to our customers, particularly with respect to the delivery of finished railcars from Mexico to the U.S., which may impact our ability to manufacture and timely deliver railcars to our customers;

•shortages of labor;

•impacts from asset impairments and related charges;

•the timing of introduction of new products;

•the inability to effectively integrate acquired businesses;

•the timing and delivery of customer orders, lease portfolio sales, or a breach of customer contracts;

•the creditworthiness of customers and their access to capital;

•product price changes;

•changes in mix of products sold;

•the costs incurred to align manufacturing capacity with demand and the extent of its utilization;

•the operating leverage and efficiencies that can be achieved by our manufacturing businesses;

•availability and costs of steel, component parts, supplies, and other raw materials;

•competition and other competitive factors;

•changing technologies, including our ability to effectively integrate artificial intelligence ("AI") into our business;

•material failure, interruption of service, compromised data security, phishing emails, or cybersecurity breaches in our information technology (or that of the third-party vendors who provide information technology or other services);

•surcharges and other fees added to fixed pricing agreements for steel, component parts, supplies, and other raw materials;

•inflation, interest rates, and capital costs;

•counter-party risks for financial instruments;

•long-term funding of our operations;

•taxes;

•the stability of the governments and political and business conditions in certain foreign countries, particularly Mexico;

•fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, particularly the Mexican peso;

•changes in import and export quotas and regulations;

•business conditions in emerging economies;

•costs and results of litigation, including trial and appellate costs;

•changes in accounting standards or inaccurate estimates or assumptions in the application of accounting policies;

•changes in laws and regulations that may have an adverse effect on demand for our products and services, our results of operations, financial condition, or cash flows;

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•legal, regulatory, and environmental issues, including compliance of our products with mandated specifications, standards, or testing criteria and obligations to remove and replace our products following installation or to recall our products and install different products;

•the use of social or digital media to disseminate false, misleading and/or unreliable or inaccurate information; and

•the inability to sufficiently protect our intellectual property rights.

Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made. Except as required by federal securities laws, Trinity undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made. For a discussion of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see “Risk Factors” in our 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K, this Form 10-Q, and future Forms 10-Q and Current Reports on Forms 8-K.

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Company Overview

Trinity Industries, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries own businesses that are leading providers of railcar products and services in North America. We market our railcar products and services under the trade name TrinityRail®. Our platform also includes the brands of RSI Logistics, a provider of software and logistics solutions, and Holden America, a supplier of railcar parts and components. Our platform provides railcar leasing and management services; railcar manufacturing; railcar maintenance and modifications; and other railcar logistics products and services.

We report our operating results in two reportable segments: (1) the Railcar Leasing and Services Group (the "Leasing Group"), which owns and operates a fleet of railcars and provides third-party fleet leasing, management, and administrative services; railcar maintenance and modification services; and other railcar logistics products and services; and (2) the Rail Products Group, which manufactures and sells railcars and related parts and components.

In April 2026, we completed a railcar partnership transaction involving our partially-owned leasing subsidiary, TRIP Rail Holdings LLC ("TRIP Holdings"). See "Executive Summary – Capital Structure Updates" below for further information regarding this transaction.

Executive Summary

Cyclical, Seasonal and Other Trends Impacting Our Business

General Business Trends

Demand for many of our railcar products and services is correlated to changes in North American industrial production and international trade. We continue to actively monitor evolving tariff and trade developments, including tariffs imposed pursuant to Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 on steel and aluminum, and their potential impact on demand for our products. Uncertainty in these areas and in the macroeconomic environment, including the administration of trade policy in the U.S. and Mexico, has increased during 2026 and may continue to influence customer purchasing decisions, our commercial arrangements, and demand for new railcars, which has and could continue to negatively impact our results of operations. We remain focused on mitigating impacts to our business resulting from these evolving developments.

The industries in which our customers operate are cyclical in nature. Although lease rates and lease fleet utilization remain strong, weaknesses in certain sectors of the North American and global economy may make it more difficult to sell or lease certain types of railcars. Additionally, changes in certain commodity prices, or changes in demand for certain commodities, could impact customer demand for various types of railcars. Further, disruptions in the global supply chain have impacted demand for, and the costs of, certain of our products and services.

We continuously assess demand for our products and services and take steps to rationalize and diversify our leased railcar portfolio and align our operating capacity appropriately. We evaluate the creditworthiness of our customers and monitor performance of relevant market sectors; however, weaknesses in any of these market sectors could affect the financial viability of our customers, which could negatively impact our revenues, credit loss expense, and operating profits. We continue to believe that our rail platform is able to respond to cyclical changes in demand and perform throughout the railcar cycle.

We believe that our leasing business provides a natural hedge against inflation and changes in interest rates; however, like many leasing companies, the debt component of our capital structure exposes us to changes in the interest rate environment. A significant portion of the earnings from our leasing business is derived from multi-year full-service leases. We consider changes in interest rates, inflation, and other relevant factors in the pricing of new and renewing leases; however, only a portion of our leased railcar portfolio is repriced each year. Consequently, our earnings could be impacted by timing differences between when interest rate changes and changes in the inflationary environment occur and when we are able to factor these changes into our lease rates.

Due to their transactional nature, lease portfolio sales are the primary driver of fluctuations in results in the Leasing Group.

Input Costs

We periodically experience volatility in the costs of steel, components, and certain other inputs that represent a substantial portion of our cost of revenues. We typically use contract-specific purchasing practices, existing supplier commitments, contractual price escalation provisions, and other arrangements with our customers to reduce the impact of the volatility of certain input costs on our operating profit. Further, the cost and volume of lease fleet maintenance and compliance events remain elevated, which we expect to continue in the near term. We continually assess the impact of input costs on our operational efficiency, margins, and overall profitability.

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Transportation Network Disruptions

We have, from time to time, been impacted by disruptions in the rail transportation network, including rail traffic closures or congestion in Eagle Pass, Texas, the primary border crossing used for railcar deliveries from our manufacturing facilities in Mexico. We continuously monitor rail traffic at the U.S.-Mexico border, and we take appropriate steps within our control to mitigate the potential imp

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Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (“MD&A”) is intended to provide management's perspective on our financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, and certain other factors that may affect our future results. Our MD&A should be read in conjunction with our Consolidated Financial Statements and related Notes in Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

This MD&A includes financial measures compiled in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") and certain non-GAAP measures. Please refer to the Non-GAAP Financial Measures section herein for information on the non-GAAP measures included in the MD&A, reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, and the reasons why management believes each measure is useful to management and investors.

Company Overview

Trinity Industries, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries own businesses that are leading providers of railcar products and services in North America. We market our railcar products and services under the trade name TrinityRail®. Our platform also includes the brands of RSI Logistics, a provider of software and logistics solutions, and Holden America, a supplier of railcar parts and components. Our platform provides railcar leasing and management services; railcar manufacturing; railcar maintenance and modifications; and other railcar logistics products and services.

We report our operating results in two reportable segments: (1) the Railcar Leasing and Services Group (the "Leasing Group"), which owns and operates a fleet of railcars and provides third-party fleet leasing, management, and administrative services; railcar maintenance and modification services; and other railcar logistics products and services; and (2) the Rail Products Group, which manufactures and sells railcars and related parts and components.

In December 2025, we completed a railcar partnership restructuring involving our partially-owned leasing subsidiaries, TRIP Holdings and RIV 2013. See "Executive Summary – Capital Structure Updates" below for further information regarding this transaction.

Executive Summary

Cyclical, Seasonal and Other Trends Impacting Our Business

General Business Trends

Demand for many of our railcar products and services is correlated to changes in North American industrial production and international trade. We continue to actively monitor evolving tariff and trade developments and the potential impacts to our business. Uncertainty in these areas and in the macroeconomic environment, including the administration of trade policy in the U.S. and Mexico, is negatively impacting and could continue to negatively impact our results of operations and demand for new railcars. We remain focused on mitigating impacts to our business resulting from these evolving developments.

The industries in which our customers operate are cyclical in nature. Although lease rates and lease fleet utilization remain strong, weaknesses in certain sectors of the North American and global economy may make it more difficult to sell or lease certain types of railcars. Additionally, changes in certain commodity prices, or changes in demand for certain commodities, could impact customer demand for various types of railcars. Further, disruptions in the global supply chain have impacted demand for, and the costs of, certain of our products and services.

We continuously assess demand for our products and services and take steps to rationalize and diversify our leased railcar portfolio and align our operating capacity appropriately. We evaluate the creditworthiness of our customers and monitor performance of relevant market sectors; however, weaknesses in any of these market sectors could affect the financial viability of our customers, which could negatively impact our revenues, credit loss expense, and operating profits. We continue to believe that our rail platform is able to respond to cyclical changes in demand and perform throughout the railcar cycle.

We believe that our leasing business provides a natural hedge against inflation and changes in interest rates; however, like many leasing companies, the debt component of our capital structure exposes us to changes in the interest rate environment. A significant portion of the earnings from our leasing business is derived from multi-year full-service leases. We consider changes in interest rates, inflation, and other relevant factors in the pricing of new and renewing leases; however, only a portion of our leased railcar portfolio is repriced each year. Consequently, our earnings could be impacted by timing differences between when interest rate changes and changes in the inflationary environment occur and when we are able to factor these changes into our lease rates.

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Due to their transactional nature, lease portfolio sales are the primary driver of fluctuations in results in the Leasing Group.

Input Costs

We periodically experience volatility in the costs of steel, components, and certain other inputs that represent a substantial portion of our cost of revenues. We typically use contract-specific purchasing practices, existing supplier commitments, contractual price escalation provisions, and other arrangements with our customers to reduce the impact of the volatility of certain input costs on our operating profit. Further, the cost and volume of lease fleet maintenance and compliance events remain elevated, which we expect to continue in the near term. We continually assess the impact of input costs on our operational efficiency, margins, and overall profitability.

Transportation Network Disruptions

We have, from time to time, been impacted by disruptions in the rail transportation network, including rail traffic closures or congestion in Eagle Pass, Texas, the primary border crossing used for railcar deliveries from our manufacturing facilities in Mexico. We continuously monitor rail traffic at the U.S.-Mexico border, and we take appropriate steps within our control to mitigate the potential impacts on our delivery timelines. However, any future challenges related to transportation network disruptions could negatively impact our operations or our ability to timely deliver railcars to our customers.

Financial and Operational Highlights

•Our revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025 were $2,156.9 million, representing a decrease of 30.0%, compared to the year ended December 31, 2024. Our operating profit for the year ended December 31, 2025 was $649.2 million, representing an increase of 32.1%, compared to $491.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2024.

•The Leasing Group's lease fleet of 101,485 company-owned railcars was 97.1% utilized as of December 31, 2025, compared to a lease fleet utilization of 97.0% on 109,635 company-owned railcars as of December 31, 2024. Our company-owned lease fleet includes wholly-owned railcars, partially-owned railcars, and railcars under leased-in arrangements.

•For the year ended December 31, 2025, we made a net fleet investment of approximately $350.0 million, which primarily includes new railcar additions, railcar modifications, and other betterments, net of deferred profit, as well as secondary market purchases; and is net of proceeds from lease portfolio sales.

•The total value of the railcar backlog at December 31, 2025 was $1.7 billion, compared to $2.1 billion at December 31, 2024. The Rail Products Group received orders for 5,155 railcars and delivered 9,500 railcars in 2025, in comparison to orders for 7,685 railcars and deliveries of 17,570 railcars in 2024.

◦Deliveries in 2024 included approximately 1,300 railcar shipments that were delayed at the end of 2023 due to the U.S.-Mexico border closure and delivered during the first half of 2024.

See "Consolidated Results of Operations" and "Segment Discussion" below for additional information regarding our operating results for the year ended December 31, 2025. See Part II, Item 7 of our 2024 Annual Report on Form 10-K for a discussion of our results of operations and liquidity and capital resources as of and for the year ended December 31, 2024, including a comparison to the year ended December 31, 2023.

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Long-Term Enterprise Key Performance Indicators

Our key performance indicators for long-term performance are net fleet investment, cash flow from operations with net gains on lease portfolio sales*, and Adjusted Return on Equity* ("Adjusted ROE"). We believe when evaluated over time, these indicators collectively drive long-term sustainable value creation and measure the effectiveness of our value proposition for stockholders.

* Non-GAAP financial measure. See the Non-GAAP Financial Measures section within this Form 10-K for a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and why management believes this measure is useful to management and investors.

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Capital Structure Updates

TRL-2023 Term Loan – In April 2025, Trinity Rail Leasing 2023 LLC (“TRL-2023”), a limited purpose, indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company owned through Trinity Industries Leasing Company (“TILC”), entered into an amended and restated term loan agreement to (i) increase the aggregate amount of the term loan from $320.7 million as of March 31, 2025 to $1.05 billion; (ii) extend the maturity date to April 30, 2030; and (iii) reduce the applicable interest rate to daily simple SOFR plus a facility margin of 1.50%. Net proceeds received from the transaction were used to redeem in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $616.0 million under Trinity Rail Leasing 2017, LLC (“TRL-2017”); to repay approximately $75.8 million of borrowings under TILC's warehouse loan facility; and for general corporate purposes. The interest rate for the TRL-2017 promissory notes was at one-month term SOFR plus (1) a benchmark adjustment of 11 basis points and (2) a facility margin of 1.50%.

TRL-2025 Secured Railcar Equipment Notes – In October 2025, Trinity Rail Leasing 2025 LLC ("TRL-2025"), a limited purpose, indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company owned through TILC, issued an aggregate principal amount of $535.2 million of its Series 2025-1 Green Secured Railcar Equipment Notes (the "TRL-2025 Notes"). The TRL-2025 Notes bear interest at an all-in interest rate of 5.11%, are payable monthly, and have a stated final maturity date of October 19, 2055. TRL-2025 purchased a portfolio of railcars directly from TILC and from TILC's affiliates, Trinity Rail Leasing Warehouse Trust, and Trinity Rail Leasing 2010 LLC ("TRL-2010"). Net proceeds received from the railcars acquired in connection with the issuance of the TRL-2025 Notes were used to repay approximately $259.0 million of borrowings under TILC's warehouse loan facility; to redeem in full the outstanding debt of approximately $133.8 million under TRL-2010; and for general corporate purposes. The all-in interest rate for the TRL-2010 secured railcar equipment notes ("TRL-2010 Notes") was 5.19% per annum.

See Note 9 of the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding these debt transactions.

Railcar Partnership Restructuring – In December 2025, TILC completed a Sale and Exchange Agreement (the “Exchange Agreement”) with Napier Park Railcar Lease Fund LLC (“Napier Park”), a subsidiary of Napier Park Global Capital, one of our railcar investment partners since 2013 and a leading alternative credit platform. Pursuant to the Exchange Agreement, TILC exchanged a 42.36% membership interest in Triumph Rail Holdings LLC (“Triumph”) for Napier Park’s 69.45% membership interest in RIV 2013. As a result of this exchange, TILC now owns 100% of the membership interests of RIV 2013 and Napier Park now owns 99.8% of the me

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