DEERE & CO (DE)

Item 2.MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

All amounts are presented in millions of U.S. dollars unless otherwise specified.

Overview

Organization

Deere & Company is a global leader in the production of agricultural, turf, construction, and forestry equipment and solutions. John Deere Financial provides financing for John Deere equipment, parts, services, and other inputs customers need to run their operations. Our operations are managed through the Production & Precision Agriculture (PPA), Small Agriculture & Turf (SAT), Construction & Forestry (CF), and Financial Services operating segments. References to “equipment operations” include PPA, SAT, and CF, while references to “agriculture and turf” include both PPA and SAT.

Trends and Economic Conditions

Industry Sales Outlook for Fiscal Year 2026 (in units)

Agriculture and Turf

Construction and Forestry

Company Trends

Our Leap Ambitions, a set of focused goals designed to guide the implementation of our Smart Industrial Operating Model, feature multi-year financial and operational goals, emphasizing the use of our differentiated equipment and service solutions, including automation, autonomy, digitalization, lifecycle solutions, and Solutions as a Service (SaaS).

Deeper integration of technology into equipment to enable customers to do more with less remains a persistent market trend. Customers seek to improve profitability, productivity, and sustainability by selecting our equipment and technology solutions. These technologies are incorporated into customer operations across the varied production systems that we serve. While we continue to benefit from the adoption of these technologies, revenue from SaaS products did not represent a significant percentage of our revenues in the periods presented.

Company Outlook for 2026

Large agriculture sales are expected to remain subdued in North America and to soften in South America resulting in decreased sales volume for PPA in 2026 compared to 2025. SAT and CF sales are expected to improve in 2026. Our net sales are expected to increase in 2026 compared to 2025, with the anticipated decline in PPA sales more than offset by improvements in CF and SAT.

Agriculture and Turf Industry Outlook for 2026

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Construction and Forestry Industry Outlook for 2026

Financial Services Outlook for 2026

Additional Trends

Agricultural Market Business Cycle. The agricultural market is affected by various factors including commodity prices, acreage planted, crop yields, government policies, and uncertainty in macroeconomic trends. These factors affect farmers’ income and sentiment which may result in varying demand for our equipment. In 2026, we may experience the following effects due to unfavorable market conditions: lower sales volumes, higher sales incentives, and elevated receivable write-offs.

Global Trade Policies. In 2025, new tariffs were imposed in the U.S. for imports from a broad range of countries and on certain materials. Several countries also implemented retaliatory tariffs on imports from the U.S. and introduced additional trade barriers.

Incremental import tariffs adversely affected the cost of our products and components beginning in 2025 and continue to do so in 2026. The direct impact of these incremental tariffs incurred was $372 in the first six months of 2026, net of the tariff recovery described below, and approximately $95 in the first six months of 2025. These amounts exclude the impact of tariffs on our suppliers and market demand.

On February 20, 2026, the Supreme Court of the United States issued a decision invalidating tariffs imposed pursuant to the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). On April 20, 2026, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) launched a system to process IEEPA tariff refund claims. Based on the eligibility parameters established by the CBP for the initial phase of the refund process, we prepared and filed a refund claim in the amount of $272, which has been accepted by the CBP. We recorded a recovery for this initial amount as we concluded the refund is probable and reasonably estimable. The recovery was allocated 20%, 30%, and 50% to PPA, SAT, and CF, respectively, decreasing cost of sales. Trade policies continue to evolve, causing uncertainty in the agriculture and construction industries. We are actively taking steps to mitigate potential impacts on our business, to the extent possible, including adjusting sourcing strategies, pursuing product exemptions, and identifying cost reduction opportunities.

Changes in the agricultural market business cycle and global trade policies are driven by factors outside of our control, and as a result, we cannot reasonably foresee when these conditions may subside.

Legal Proceeding – On January 15, 2025, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), along with the Attorneys General of the States of Illinois and Minnesota filed a lawsuit against us in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois Western Division. The Attorneys General of the States of Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin joined the lawsuit. The lawsuit alleges monopolization and unfair competition in violation of the federal and state antitrust laws. Plaintiffs seek a permanent injunction and other equitable relief to allow owners of our equipment, as well as independent repair providers, access to our repair tools and any other repair resources available to authorized John Deere dealers. We are in discussions with the FTC and plaintiff states with respect to a potential resolution. At this stage, we are unable to estimate the potential impact on our business.

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Other Items of Concern and Uncertainties – Other items that could impact our results are:

Consolidated Results – 2026 Compared with 2025

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Net sales and revenues increased 5% and 8% for the quarter and year-to-date periods, respectively, primarily due

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MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) is intended to promote understanding of our financial condition and results of operations. The MD&A is provided as a supplement to, and should be read in conjunction with, the consolidated financial statements and the accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. All amounts are presented in millions of U.S. dollars, unless otherwise specified. For comparison of 2024 to 2023 results, refer to the “Management’s Discussion and Analysis” section of our 2024 Form 10-K, which is hereby incorporated by reference.

Deere & Company is a global leader in the production of agricultural, turf, construction, and forestry equipment and solutions. John Deere Financial provides financing for John Deere equipment, parts, services, and other inputs customers need to run their operations. Our operations are managed through the Production & Precision Agriculture (PPA), Small Agriculture & Turf (SAT), Construction & Forestry (CF), and Financial Services (FS) operating segments. References to “equipment operations” include PPA, SAT, and CF, while references to “agriculture and turf” include both PPA and SAT.

Net Sales and Revenues by Segment in 2025

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Industry Sales Outlook for Fiscal 2026

Agriculture and Turf

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Construction and Forestry

Company Trends

In 2022, we introduced our Leap Ambitions, a set of focused goals designed to guide the implementation of our Smart Industrial Operating Model. These Ambitions are built upon a foundation of product quality and manufacturing excellence, supported by a best-in-class dealer channel, and enabled by employees dedicated to solving some of the world’s most important problems. To build on our accomplishments and lay the foundation for sustained growth as we move toward 2030, in December 2025 we refined our Ambitions. Our refined Ambitions feature multi-year financial and operational goals, emphasizing the use of our differentiated equipment and service solutions, including automation, autonomy, digitalization, lifecycle solutions, and Solutions as a Service (SaaS).

Deeper integration of technology into equipment to enable customers to do more with less remains a persistent market trend. Customers seek to improve profitability, productivity, and sustainability by selecting our equipment and technology solutions. These technologies are incorporated into customer operations across the varied production systems in which we serve. While we continue to benefit from the adoption of these technologies, revenue from SaaS products did not represent a significant percentage of our revenues in 2025.

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Company Outlook for 2026

Agriculture and Turf Outlook for 2026

Construction and Forestry Outlook for 2026

Financial Services Outlook for 2026

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Additional Trends

Agricultural Market Business Cycle – The agricultural market is affected by various factors including commodity prices, acreage planted, crop yields, government policies, and uncertainty in macroeconomic trends. These factors affect farmers’ income and sentiment which may result in varying demand for our equipment. In 2025, we experienced the following effects due to unfavorable market conditions: lower sales volumes, greater reliance on sales incentives, and elevated receivable write-offs.

Global Trade Policies – During 2025, new tariffs were imposed in the U.S. for imports from a broad range of countries and on certain materials. Several countries also implemented or proposed retaliatory tariffs on imports from the U.S. and introduced additional trade barriers. Trade policies impact us in various ways. We are a net exporter of agriculture and turf equipment from the U.S. Nearly 80% of our domestic sales are assembled in the U.S., with the remaining products imported primarily from Europe, Mexico, India, and Japan. During 2025, incremental import tariffs adversely affected the cost of our products and components and may continue to do so in 2026. In addition, retaliatory tariffs by regions outside the U.S., currently in effect or adopted in the future, may impact the prices and profitability of our exported products. In 2025, the direct impact of incremental tariffs incurred by us was approximately $600, excluding the impact of tariffs on our suppliers and market demand. Trade policies are evolving, causing uncertainty in the agriculture and construction industries. We are actively taking steps to mitigate potential impacts on our business, to the extent possible.

On November 5, 2025, the United States Supreme Court heard oral arguments on tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). The court may provide tariff relief and the potential recovery of amounts previously paid. We are monitoring developments in this case and its impact on our future financial statements and business.

Changes in the agricultural market business cycle and global trade policies are driven by factors outside of our control, and as a result we cannot reasonably foresee when these conditions will fully subside.

Legal Proceeding – On January 15, 2025, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), along with the Attorneys General of the States of Illinois and Minnesota filed a lawsuit against us in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois Western Division. The Attorneys General of the States of Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin joined the lawsuit. The lawsuit alleges monopolization and unfair competition in violation of the federal and state antitrust laws. Plaintiffs seek a permanent injunction and other equitable relief to allow owners of our equipment, as

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well as independent repair providers, access to our repair tools and any other repair resources available to authorized John Deere dealers. We are in preliminary discussions with the FTC with respect to a potential resolution. At this stage, we are unable to estimate the potential impact on our business.

Other Items of Concern and Uncertainties – Other items that could impact our results are:

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Highlights

Net Sales and Revenues

Net Sales (Equipment Operations)

Net Income (Attributable to Deere & Company)

Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) ($ per share)

Other Significant Statement of Consolidated Income Changes

An explanation of the cost of sales to net sales ratio and other significant statements of consolidated income changes follows:

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The equipment operations segment results were impacted by incremental tariffs in 2025. The cost of additional tariffs was included in the “Production Costs” and “Other” categories. Each equipment operations segment experienced lower shipment volumes during 2025. Economic uncertainty, low commodity prices, elevated interest rates in the first half of the year, and higher used inventory levels contributed to lower shipment volumes for large and small agriculture. Decreases in rental purchases, lower levels of multi-family and commercial real estate construction, trade uncertainty, and elevated interest rates in the first half of the year

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contributed to lower shipment volumes for construction equipment. Current period results were impacted by special items (see Note 4).

Production & Precision Agriculture Operations

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Sales volumes decreased 30% in the U.S. and Canada, partially offset by an increase of 22% in Brazil. Price realization was up 1% in the U.S. and Canada. In Brazil, price realization was up 4% as demand was strong due to higher grower production. Price realization in the rest of the world was down slightly due to moderating market conditions.

Operating profit decreased primarily due to lower sales volumes/ sales mix, partially offset by price realization.

Production & Precision Agriculture Operating Profit

2025 compared to 2024

Small Agriculture & Turf Operations

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Sales volumes decreased 17% in the U.S. and Canada, partially offset by an increase of 26% in India and 5% in Europe. Price realization was 1% in the U.S. and Canada and roughly flat outside the U.S. and Canada driven by moderating market conditions.

Operating profit decreased primarily due to lower sales volumes/ sales mix and higher tariffs, partially offset by price realization.

Small Agriculture & Turf Operating Profit

2025 compared to 2024

Construction & Forestry Operations

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Sales volumes decreased 15% in the U.S. and Canada and were roughly flat outside the U.S. and Canada. Price realization decreased 3% in the U.S. and Canada due to incremental incentive programs deployed to address pressures from the competitive environment and was flat outside the U.S. and Canada.

Operating profit decreased primarily due to lower sales volumes/ sales mix, unfavorable price realization, and higher tariffs.

Construction & Forestry Operating Profit

2025 compared to 2024

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Financial Services Operations

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The average balance of receivables and leases financed was 5% lower compared to the prior year, primarily due to the deconsolidation of BJD (see Note 4). Revenue also decreased due to a lower average portfolio. Net income increased as a result of special items (see Note 4), lower selling, administrative and general expenses, favorable financing spreads, and a lower provision for credit losses.

Financial Services Net Income

2025 compared to 2024

Special Items

The impact of special items on the segments’ operating profit in 2025 and 2024 is presented below (see Note 4).

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Please refer to the “Management’s Discussion and Analysis” section of our 2024 Form 10-K.

We have access to global markets at a reasonable cost. Sources of liquidity include:

We closely monitor our cash requirements. Based on the available sources of liquidity, we expect to meet our funding needs in the short term (next 12 months) and long term (beyond 12 months). We are forecasting lower operating cash flows from equipment operations in 2026 compared with 2025, driven by a decrease in net income adjusted for non-cash provisions, partially offset by higher cash flows generated from inventory reductions.

We operate in multiple industries, which have unique funding requirements. The equipment operations are capital intensive. Historically, these operations have been subject to seasonal variations in financing requirements for inventories and receivables from dealers. The financial services operations rely on their ability to raise substantial amounts of funds to finance their receivable and lease portfolios.

Key Metrics and Balance Sheet Changes

Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Marketable Securities

Trade Accounts and Notes Receivable – Net

Financing Receivables and Equipment on Operating Leases

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Inventories

Property and Equipment

Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses

Borrowings

Unused Credit Lines

Financial Services Ratio of Interest-Bearing Debt to Stockholder’s Equity

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Cash inflows from operating activities were $7.5 billion in 2025, driven by net income adjusted for non-cash provisions and a decrease in receivables related to sales, partially offset by an other postretirement benefit (OPEB) contribution.

Cash outflows from investing activities were $2.1 billion in 2025. The primary drivers were purchases of property and equipment and investments in equipment on operating leases, partially offset by collections of receivables from unconsolidated affiliates.

Cash outflows from financing activities were $4.6 billion in 2025, due to dividends paid, lower borrowings, and repurchases of common stock.

Cash Returned to Shareholders

Cash returned to shareholders decreased $2.8 billion in 2025 as we managed cash flows through the declining business cycle in accordance with our use-of-cash priorities by decreasing share repurchases.

To access public debt capital markets, we rely on credit rating agencies to assign short-term and long-term credit ratings to our debt securities as an indicator of credit quality for fixed income investors. A security rating is not a recommendation by the rating agency to buy, sell, or hold our securities. A credit rating agency may change or withdraw ratings based on its assessment of our current and future ability to meet interest and principal repayment obligations. Each agency’s rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating. Lower credit ratings generally result in higher borrowing costs, including costs of derivative transactions, reduced access to debt capital markets, and may adversely impact our liquidity.

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The senior long-term and short-term debt ratings and outlook currently assigned to unsecured company securities by the rating agencies engaged by us are as follows:

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Our material cash requirements include the following:

Borrowings – As of November 2, 2025, we had $17.2 billion of payments due on borrowings and securitization borrowings in the next year, along with interest payments of $2.3 billion. The securitization borrowing payments are based on the expected liquidation of the retail notes. See Notes 12 and 19 for additional borrowing details. These payments will likely be replaced with new borrowings to finance the receivable and lease portfolio, which is expected to be lower in 2026.

Purchase Obligations – As of November 2, 2025, our outstanding purchase obligations were $6.1 billion, with $4.5 billion payable within one year. These purchase obligations are noncancelable.

Other Cash Requirements – In addition to our contractual obligations, we have the following commitments:

Share repurchases will be considered as a means of deploying excess cash to shareholders once the previously mentioned requirements are met.

The timely preparation of financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions. Those estimates affect reported amounts in these financial statements. Changes in those estimates and assumptions could have a significant effect. The following estimates are the most critical to our financial statements:

These items require the most difficult, subjective, or complex judgments. Our accounting policies are described primarily in Note 2 of our consolidated financial statements.

Sales Incentives

We provide sales incentives to dealers. These incentives are offered in two forms:

The estimated cost of these programs is based on:

At the time a sale is recognized, we record an estimate of the sales incentive costs. The final cost is determined at the end of the volume bonus measurement period or at the time of the retail sale.

There are numerous programs available at any time, and new programs may be announced after we record the equipment sale to the dealer. Changes in the mix and types of sales incentive programs affect these estimates, which are reviewed quarterly. Actual cost differences from the original cost estimate are recognized in “Net sales.”

Sales Incentive Accruals

The accruals recorded against receivables relate to programs where we have the contractual right and the intent to offset against existing receivables. The decrease in 2025 resulted from lower sales.

A key assumption of the retail sales incentive accrual is the predictive value of the historical percentage of retail sales incentive costs to retail sales. Over the last five fiscal years, this percent has varied by an average of 1.0%. Holding other assumptions constant, a 1.0% change would have modified the sales incentive accrual by about $106.

Product Warranties

A standard warranty is provided as an assurance that our equipment will function as intended. The standard warranty period varies by product, region, and component.

At the time a sale is recognized, we record an estimate of future warranty costs, based on the following calculation:

The historical claims rate is determined by a review of five-year claims costs. The estimated population is based on dealer

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inventories and retail sales. These estimates are reviewed quarterly. Adjustments are also made for current quality developments.

Product Warranty Accruals

The decrease in 2025 is the result of lower sales volumes.

Product warranty accrual estimates are affected by the historical percent of warranty claims costs as a percentage of gross sales. Over the last five fiscal years, the percent has varied plus or minus 0.14%. Holding all other assumptions constant, if this estimated cost experience percent would have increased or decreased 0.14%, the warranty accrual at November 2, 2025, would have changed by approximately $70.

Postretirement Benefit Obligations

The pension and OPEB defined benefit plan obligations and expenses require the use of estimates. The main estimate is the present value of the projected future benefit payments. These future benefit payments extend several decades.

The estimates are based on existing retirement plan provisions. No assumption is made regarding any potential changes to benefit provisions beyond those to which we are presently committed (e.g., in existing labor contracts).

The key assumptions used by our actuaries to calculate the estimates include:

Assumptions are set each year-end. These assumptions are not changed during the year unless there is a significant plan event. Actual results that differ from the assumptions affect future expenses and obligations.

The key pension and OPEB amounts follow:

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The increase in the 2025 pension and OPEB net benefit was due to an increase in the expected long-term rates of return on pension plan assets.

The effect of hypothetical changes to selected assumptions on our major U.S. retirement benefit plans would be as follows:

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*    Projected benefit obligation (PBO) for pension plans and accumulated postretirement benefit obligation (APBO) for OPEB plans.

**  Pretax impact on service cost, interest cost, and amortization of gains or losses.

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Allowance for Credit Losses

The allowance for credit losses is an estimate of the credit losses expected over the life of the receivable portfolio. The allowance is measured on a collective basis for receivables with similar risk characteristics. Receivables that do not share risk characteristics are evaluated on an individual basis. Risk characteristics include:

We utilize the following loss forecast models to estimate expected credit losses:

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Management reviews each model’s output quarterly, and qualitative adjustments are incorporated as necessary to arrive at management’s best estimate of expected credit losses.

Allowance for Credit Losses

During 2025, the allowance for credit losses increased, primarily due to higher expected losses on agriculture and turf customer accounts as a result of elevated delinquencies and a decline in market conditions.

While we believe our allowance is sufficient to provide for losses over the life of our existing receivable portfolio, different assumptions would result in changes to the allowance for credit losses. Within the retail customer receivable portfolio, credit loss estimates are dependent on a number of factors, including credit quality at time of application, remaining account balances, current delinquency levels, various economic factors, and estimated recoveries on defaulted accounts. Changes in any of these factors could impact our credit losses. Conversely, within the wholesale receivable portfolio, changes in economic conditions have historically had limited impact on credit losses.

Holding all other factors constant, a 10% increase in the linear regression models’ forecasted defaults and a simultaneous 10% decrease in recovery rates would have resulted in a $60 increase to the allowance for credit losses at November 2, 2025.

Operating Lease Residual Values

Equipment on operating leases is depreciated to the estimated residual value over the lease term. The residual values are based on several factors, including:

We review residual value estimates during the lease term. Depreciation is adjusted over the remaining lease term if residual estimates are revised. Impairments are recorded when events or circumstances necessitate.

At the end of the majority of leases, the equipment is disposed in the following sequence:

Operating Lease Residual Values

Hypothetically, if (a) future market values for this equipment were to decrease 10% from our present estimates, and (b) all the equipment on operating leases were returned to us for remarketing at the end of the lease term, the total unfavorable impact after consideration of dealer residual value guarantees would be approximately $65. This amount would be recognized as higher depreciation expense over the remaining term of the operating leases, or potentially as an impairment.

Income Taxes

We are subject to federal, state, and foreign income taxes, which can be complex. Implementing these tax laws requires significant judgment and interpretation. Changes in tax laws could materially affect our consolidated financial statements. We record our tax positions in the following categories:

Deferred income taxes represent temporary differences between the tax and the financial reporting basis of assets and liabilities. This will result in taxable or deductible amounts in the future. Loss carryforwards and tax credits are significant components of deferred tax asset balances. These assets are reviewed regularly for the following:

Valuation allowances are established when we determine that the deferred tax benefit may not be realized. The recoverability analysis requires significant judgment and relies on estimates. The valuation allowance as of November 2, 2025, was $1.6 billion. Changes in foreign income tax laws, income for certain jurisdictions, or our tax structure could impact the valuation allowance balance.

Some tax positions contain significant uncertainties. These positions may be challenged or disallowed by taxing authorities. If it is likely the position will be disallowed, no tax benefit is recorded. If it is likely the position will be sustained, a tax benefit is recognized. The ultimate resolution could take many years. This may result in a payment that is significantly different from the original estimate.

See Note 8 for further information on income taxes.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

Certain statements contained herein, including in the section entitled “Overview,” “Trends and Economic Conditions,” and “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” relating to future events, expectations, and trends constitute “forward-looking

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statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and involve factors that are subject to change, assumptions, risks, and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Some of these risks and uncertainties could affect all lines of our operations generally while others could more heavily affect a particular line of business.

Forward-looking statements are based on currently available information and current assumptions, expectations, and projections about future events and should not be relied upon. Except as required by law, we expressly disclaim any obligation to update or revise our forward-looking statements. Many factors, risks, and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Among these factors are risks related to:

Further information concerning us and our businesses, including factors that could materially affect our financial results, is included in our other filings with the SEC (including, but not limited to, the factors discussed in Item 1A. “Risk Factors” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K). There also may be other factors that we cannot anticipate or that are not described herein because we do not currently perceive them to be material.

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SUPPLEMENTAL CONSOLIDATING DATA

The supplemental consolidating data presented on the subsequent pages is presented for informational purposes. Equipment operations represent the enterprise without Financial Services. Equipment operations include Production & Precision Agriculture operations, Small Agriculture & Turf operations, Construction & Forestry operations, and other corporate assets, liabilities, revenues, and expenses not reflected within Financial Services. Transactions between the equipment operations and Financial Services have been eliminated to arrive at the consolidated financial statements.

Equipment operations and Financial Services participate in different industries. Equipment operations primarily generate earnings and cash flows by manufacturing and selling equipment, service parts, and technology solutions to dealers and retail customers. Financial Services finance sales and leases by dealers of new and used equipment that is largely manufactured by equipment operations. Those earnings and cash flows generally are the difference between the finance income received from customer payments less interest expense, and depreciation on equipment subject to an operating lease. The two businesses are capitalized differently and have separate performance metrics. The supplemental consolidating data is also used by management due to these differences.

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1 Elimination of intercompany interest income and expense.

2 Elimination of equipment operations’ margin from inventory transferred to equipment on operating leases (see Note 6).

3 Elimination of income and expenses between equipment operations and Financial Services related to intercompany guarantees of investments in certain international markets.

4 Elimination of intercompany service revenues and fees.

5 Elimination of Financial Services’ lease depreciation expense related to inventory transferred to equipment on operating leases.

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SUPPLEMENTAL CONSOLIDATING DATA (continued)

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6 Elimination of receivables / payables between equipment operations and Financial Services.

7 Primarily reclassification of sales incentive accruals on receivables sold to Financial Services.

8 Reclassification of net pension assets / liabilities.

9 Reclassification of deferred tax assets / liabilities in the same taxing jurisdictions.

10 Elimination of Financial Services’ equity.

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SUPPLEMENTAL CONSOLIDATING DATA (continued)

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