WATSCO INC (WSO)

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Forward-Looking Statements

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains or incorporates by reference statements that are not historical in nature and that are intended to be, and are hereby identified as, “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements which are not historical in nature, including the words “anticipate,” “estimate,” “could,” “should,” “may,” “plan,” “seek,” “expect,” “believe,” “intend,” “target,” “will,” “project,” “focused,” “outlook,” “goal,” “designed,” and variations of these words and negatives thereof and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, including statements regarding, among other things, (i) economic conditions, (ii) business and acquisition strategies, (iii) potential acquisitions and/or joint ventures and investments in unconsolidated entities, (iv) financing plans, and (v) industry, demographic, regulatory, and other trends affecting our financial condition or results of operations. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations, are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and changes in circumstances, certain of which are beyond our control. Actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements as a result of several factors, including, but not limited to:

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general economic conditions, both in the United States and in the international markets we serve;

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competitive factors within the HVAC/R industry;

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effects of supplier concentration, including conditions that impact the supply chain;

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the impact of trade policies and tariffs both in the United States and in the international markets we serve;

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fluctuations in certain commodity costs;

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consumer spending;

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consumer debt levels;

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new housing starts and completions;

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capital spending in the commercial construction market;

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access to liquidity needed for operations;

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seasonal nature of product sales;

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weather patterns and conditions;

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insurance coverage risks;

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federal, state, and local regulations impacting our industry and products;

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prevailing interest rates;

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the effect of inflation;

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foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations;

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international risk, including related to changes in trade policies and tariffs;

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cybersecurity risk; and

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the continued viability of our business strategy.

We believe these forward-looking statements are reasonable; however, you should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations. For additional information regarding important factors that may affect our operations and could cause actual results to vary materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements, please see Item 1A “Risk Factors” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, as well as the other documents and reports that we file with the SEC. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statements were made. We assume no obligation to update forward-looking information or the discussion of such risks and uncertainties to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions, or changes in other factors affecting forward-looking information, except as required by applicable law. We qualify any and all of our forward-looking statements by these cautionary factors.

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The following information should be read in conjunction with the condensed consolidated unaudited financial statements, including the notes thereto, included under Part I, Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. In addition, reference should be made to our audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, and related Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025.

Company Overview

Watsco, Inc. was incorporated in Florida in 1956, and, together with its subsidiaries (collectively, “Watsco,” the “Company,” or “we,” “us,” or “our”) is the largest distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies (“HVAC/R”) in the HVAC/R distribution industry in North America. At June 30, 2026, we operated from 723 locations in 43 U.S. States, Canada, Mexico, and Puerto Rico with additional market coverage on an export basis to portions of Latin America and the Caribbean.

Revenues primarily consist of sales of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies. Selling, general and administrative expenses primarily consist of selling expenses, the largest components of which are salaries, commissions, and marketing expenses that are variable and correlate to changes in sales. Other significant selling, general and administrative expenses relate to the operation of warehouse and distribution facilities, including a fleet of trucks and forklifts, and facility rent, a majority of which we operate under non-cancelable operating leases.

Sales of residential central air conditioners, heating equipment, and parts and supplies are seasonal. Furthermore, profitability can be impacted favorably or unfavorably based on weather patterns, particularly during the Summer and Winter selling seasons. Demand related to the residential central air conditioning replacement market is typically highest in the second and third quarters, and demand for heating equipment is usually highest in the first and fourth quarters. Demand related to the new construction sectors throughout most of the markets we serve tends to be fairly evenly distributed throughout the year and depends largely on housing completions and related weather and economic conditions.

Tariffs

We continue to monitor macroeconomic conditions and developments in U.S. trade policy, which have implications for the various OEMs and vendors that comprise our supply chain. Many HVAC equipment and component manufacturers, including Carrier Global Corporation (“Carrier”) and Rheem Manufacturing Company, source component parts from China and Mexico or assemble significant portions of residential and light-commercial products in Mexico, exposing them to tariffs and inflationary pressures.

In February 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court issued a decision invalidating the broad-based tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, providing potential relief from certain tariffs. In April 2026, the Trump Administration modified the Section 232 tariff framework so that tariffs on many imported aluminum, steel, and copper products are calculated on the full customs value of covered products rather than on only the value of the underlying metal content, which in some cases increased the amount of tariffs incurred by OEMs. The Trump Administration further modified the Section 232 tariff regime in June 2026 by temporarily reducing the tariff rate applicable to certain residential HVAC systems and components that qualify as covered derivative products from 25% to 15%, while also making other changes to product coverage and eligibility requirements. Although these changes may provide targeted relief for certain HVAC products, the broader tariff environment remains dynamic and may continue to contribute to cost pressures across portions of our supply chain.

Our OEM partners and suppliers continue to evaluate and implement various pricing actions that impact the cost of the products we procure. To mitigate these effects, we have implemented pricing actions where appropriate to respond to changes in the cost of the products we procure and continue to leverage our technology platforms and operating capabilities to respond efficiently to changing market conditions; however, it may not be possible to pass all of our OEM’s pricing actions through to our customers. While the long-term impact of tariffs and related trade measures remains uncertain, we believe our focus on the HVAC replacement market remains a stabilizing factor, given the essential nature of these products in providing comfort and healthy environments for homeowners and businesses. However, if additional tariffs, trade restrictions, amendments to existing trade agreements, such as the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or further tariff increases on goods sourced from or assembled in Mexico and China, significantly raise our product costs, then we may need to increase our prices further, which could lead to reduced sales, customer loss, and potential harm to our business. We will continue to actively monitor these developments and their implications for our supply chain, product costs, pricing strategy, and overall operations.

Climate Change and Reductions in CO2e Emissions

We believe that our business plays an important and significant role in the drive to lower CO2e emissions. According to the U.S. Department of Energy (“DOE”), heating and air conditioning accounts for roughly half of household energy consumption in the U.S. As such, replacing older, less efficient HVAC systems with higher efficiency systems is one of the most meaningful steps homeowners can take to reduce their electricity costs and carbon footprints.

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The overwhelming majority of new HVAC systems that we sell replace systems that likely operate below current minimum efficiency standards in the U.S. and may use more harmful refrigerants that have been, or are being, phased out. As consumers replace HVAC systems with new, higher-efficiency systems, homeowners will consume less energy, save costs, and reduce their carbon footprints.

The sale of high-efficiency systems has long been a focus of ours, and we have invested in tools and technology intended to capture an increasingly richer sales mix over time. In addition, regulatory mandates will likely periodically increase the required minimum Seasonal Energy Efficiency Ratio rating, referred to as SEER, thus providing a catalyst for increased sales of higher-efficiency systems. The Company expects these regulations to reduce the carbon footprint of end-users and increase average selling prices over time, subject to customary risks of quality, availability, and performance of new HVAC systems.

The American Innovation and Manufacturing Act of 2020 granted the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (the “EPA”) the authority to regulate hydrofluorocarbon (“HFC”) refrigerants. Although HFCs were introduced as alternatives to ozone-depleting substances like chlorofluorocarbons and hydrochlorofluorocarbons, they are now recognized greenhouse gases that impact climate change due to their high global warming potential (“GWP”). Consequently, a required 85% phasedown of HFC production and consumption over a 15-year period commenced on January 1, 2022 (40% of which was completed in 2024). Further regulations were implemented that (1) restricted the use of high-GWP refrigerants in HVAC systems manufactured after December 31, 2024 (the “410A Systems”) and (2) established a timeline governing the sale and installation of 410A Systems by distributors and contractors. Beginning in late 2024, the Company, in collaboration with its OEMs and in anticipation of these regulatory changes, began transitioning its inventory to the new lower-GWP HVAC systems (the “A2L Systems”) while phasing out its inventory of 410A Systems. The regulations permitted the sale and installation of matching 410A HVAC Systems (i.e., outdoor and indoor components that are installed together) through December 31, 2025, after which the outdoor and indoor components could be separately sold and installed thereafter without limitation or expiration. On October 3, 2025, the EPA proposed changes to this regulation that would eliminate or extend the December 31, 2025 sale and instal

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Management’s discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations is based upon the consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. The preparation of these consolidated financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the consolidated financial statements, and the reported amount of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions. At least quarterly, management reevaluates its judgments and estimates, which are based on historical experience, current trends, and various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances.

Our significant accounting policies are discussed in Note 1 to our audited consolidated financial statements included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Management believes that the following accounting estimates include a higher degree of judgment and/or complexity and are reasonably likely to have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations and, thus, are considered critical accounting estimates. Management has discussed the development and selection of critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors and the Audit Committee has reviewed the disclosures relating to critical accounting estimates.

Allowance for Doubtful Accounts

An allowance for doubtful accounts is maintained for estimated losses resulting from the inability of customers to make the required payments. We typically do not require our customers to provide collateral. Accounting for doubtful accounts contains uncertainty because management must use judgment to assess the collectability of these accounts. When preparing these estimates, management considers several factors, including the aging of a customer’s account, past transactions with customers,

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creditworthiness of specific customers, historical trends, and other information, including potential impacts of business and economic conditions. Our business and our customers’ businesses are seasonal. Sales are lowest during the first and fourth quarters, and past due accounts receivable balances as a percentage of total trade receivables generally increase during these quarters. We review our accounts receivable reserve policy periodically, reflecting current risks, trends, and changes in industry conditions.

The allowance for doubtful accounts was $14.6 million and $15.8 million at December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively, a decrease of $1.2 million. Accounts receivable balances greater than 90 days past due as a percentage of accounts receivable at December 31, 2025 decreased to 1.4% from 1.6% at December 31, 2024. These decreases were primarily attributable to an improvement in the underlying quality of our accounts receivable portfolio at December 31, 2025.

Although we believe the allowance for doubtful accounts is sufficient, a decline in economic conditions could lead to the deterioration in the financial condition of our customers, resulting in an impairment of their ability to make payments and requiring additional allowances that could materially impact our consolidated results of operations. We believe our exposure to customer credit risk is limited due to the large number of customers comprising our customer base and their dispersion across many different geographical regions. Additionally, we mitigate credit risk through credit insurance programs.

Inventories

Inventory adjustments are established to report inventories at the lower of cost using the weighted-average and the first-in, first-out methods, or net realizable value. As part of the valuation process, inventories are adjusted to reflect excess, slow-moving, and damaged goods. The valuation process contains uncertainty because management must make estimates and use judgment to determine the future salability of inventories. Inventory policies are reviewed periodically, reflecting current risks, trends, and changes in industry conditions. A reserve for estimated inventory shrinkage is maintained and reflects the results of cycle count programs and physical inventories. When preparing these estimates, management considers historical sell through of specific inventory, current and anticipated inventory levels, and current operating trends.

Valuation of Goodwill, Indefinite Lived Intangible Assets and Long-Lived Assets

The recoverability of goodwill is evaluated at least annually and when events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount may not be recoverable. We have one reporting unit that is subject to goodwill impairment testing. In performing the goodwill impairment test, we use a two-step approach. The first step compares the reporting unit’s fair value to its carrying value. If the carrying value exceeds the fair value, a second step is performed to measure the amount of impairment loss. The identification and measurement of goodwill impairment involves the estimation of the fair value of our reporting unit and contains uncertainty because management must use judgment in determining appropriate assumptions to be used in the measurement of fair value. On January 1, 2026, we performed our annual evaluation of goodwill impairment and determined that the estimated fair value of our reporting unit exceeded its carrying value.

The recoverability of indefinite lived intangibles and long-lived assets are also evaluated on an annual basis or more often if deemed necessary. Indefinite lived intangibles and long-lived assets not subject to amortization are assessed for impairment by comparing the fair value of the intangible asset or long-lived asset to its carrying amount to determine if a write-down to fair value is required. Our annual evaluation did not indicate any impairment of indefinite lived intangibles or long-lived assets.

The estimates of fair value of our reporting unit, indefinite lived intangibles, and long-lived assets are based on the best information available as of the date of the assessment and incorporate management’s assumptions about expected future cash flows and contemplates other valuation techniques. Future cash flows can be affected by changes in the industry, a declining economic environment, or market conditions. There have been no events or circumstances from the date of our assessments that would have had an impact on this conclusion. The carrying amounts of goodwill, intangibles, and long-lived assets were $1,460.3 million and $1,399.5 million at December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively, an increase of $60.8 million, primarily related to higher renewal lease rates of our warehouse facilities. Although no significant impairment losses have been recorded to date, there can be no assurance that impairments will not occur in the future. An adjustment to the carrying value of goodwill, intangibles, and long-lived assets could materially adversely impact the consolidated results of operations.

Loss Contingencies

Accruals are recorded for various contingencies including self-insurance, legal proceedings, environmental matters, and other claims that arise in the normal course of business. The estimation process contains uncertainty because accruals are based on judgment, the probability of losses and, where applicable, the consideration of opinions of external legal counsel and actuarially determined estimates. Additionally, we record receivables from third party insurers when recovery has been determined to be probable.

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Self-insurance reserves are maintained relative to company-wide casualty insurance and health benefit programs. The level of exposure from catastrophic events is limited by the purchase of stop-loss and aggregate liability reinsurance coverage. When estimating the self-insurance liabilities and related reserves, management considers several factors, which include historical claims experience, demographic factors, severity factors, and valuations provided by independent third-party actuaries. Management reviews its assumptions with its independent third-party actuaries to evaluate whether self-insurance reserves are adequate. If actual claims or adverse development of loss reserves occur and exceed these estimates, additional reserves may be required and could materially impact the consolidated results of operations. The estimation process contains uncertainty since management must use judgment to estimate the ultimate cost that will be incurred to settle reported claims and unreported claims for incidents incurred but not reported as of the balance sheet date. Reserves in the amounts of $4.9 million and $6.2 million at December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively, were established related to such insurance programs. The decrease in self-insurance reserves was primarily due to the settlement of claims during 2025.

Income Taxes

Income taxes are accounted for under the asset and liability method. Under this method, deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial reporting basis and the tax basis of assets and liabilities at enacted tax rates expected to be in effect when such amounts are recovered or settled. The use of estimates by management is required to determine income tax expense, deferred tax assets, and any related valuation allowance and deferred tax liabilities. A valuation allowance of $14.2 million and $11.6 million was reflected in the Company’s balance sheet at December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively. The increase was primarily attributable to the impact on U.S. deferred tax assets from share-based compensation deduction limitations related to the expansion of Internal Revenue Code Section 162(m). See Note 9 to our audited consolidated financial statements included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. The valuation allowance is based on several factors including, but not limited to, estimates of future taxable income by jurisdiction in which the deferred tax assets will be recoverable. These estimates can be affected by several factors, including changes to tax laws, or possible tax audits, or general economic conditions, or competitive pressures that could affect future taxable income. Although management believes that the estimates are reasonable, the deferred tax asset and any related valuation allowance will need to be adjusted if management’s estimates of future taxable income differ from actual taxable income. An adjustment to the deferred tax asset and any related valuation allowance could materially impact the consolidated results of operations.

New Accounting Standards

Refer to Note 1 to our audited consolidated financial statements included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for a discussion of recently adopted, and to be adopted, accounting standards.

Results of Operations

The following table summarizes information derived from our audited consolidated statements of income, expressed as a percentage of revenues, for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023:

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