XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL)
SIC breadcrumb: Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services > Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services > SIC 4931 Electric & Other Services Combined
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=72903. Latest filing source: 0000072903-26-000009.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 14,669,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
| Net income | 2,018,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
| Assets | 81,371,000,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-25. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000072903.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 11,404,000,000 | 11,537,000,000 | 11,529,000,000 | 11,526,000,000 | 13,431,000,000 | 15,310,000,000 | 14,206,000,000 | 13,441,000,000 | 14,669,000,000 | |
| Net income | 1,123,000,000 | 1,148,000,000 | 1,261,000,000 | 1,372,000,000 | 1,473,000,000 | 1,597,000,000 | 1,736,000,000 | 1,771,000,000 | 1,936,000,000 | 2,018,000,000 |
| Operating income | 2,240,000,000 | 2,223,000,000 | 1,965,000,000 | 2,104,000,000 | 2,116,000,000 | 2,203,000,000 | 2,428,000,000 | 2,481,000,000 | 2,386,000,000 | 2,583,000,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 2.21 | 2.25 | 2.47 | 2.64 | 2.79 | 2.96 | 3.17 | 3.21 | 3.44 | 3.42 |
| Operating cash flow | 3,052,000,000 | 3,126,000,000 | 3,122,000,000 | 3,263,000,000 | 2,848,000,000 | 2,189,000,000 | 3,932,000,000 | 5,327,000,000 | 4,641,000,000 | 4,083,000,000 |
| Capital expenditures | 3,195,000,000 | 3,244,000,000 | 3,957,000,000 | 4,225,000,000 | 5,369,000,000 | 4,244,000,000 | 4,638,000,000 | 5,854,000,000 | 7,364,000,000 | 10,908,000,000 |
| Dividends paid | 681,000,000 | 721,000,000 | 730,000,000 | 791,000,000 | 856,000,000 | 935,000,000 | 1,012,000,000 | 1,092,000,000 | 1,175,000,000 | 1,282,000,000 |
| Assets | 41,155,000,000 | 43,030,000,000 | 45,987,000,000 | 50,448,000,000 | 53,957,000,000 | 57,851,000,000 | 61,188,000,000 | 64,079,000,000 | 70,035,000,000 | 81,371,000,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 11,021,000,000 | 11,455,000,000 | 12,222,000,000 | 13,239,000,000 | 14,575,000,000 | 15,612,000,000 | 16,675,000,000 | 17,616,000,000 | 19,522,000,000 | 23,609,000,000 |
| Free cash flow | -143,000,000 | -118,000,000 | -835,000,000 | -962,000,000 | -2,521,000,000 | -2,055,000,000 | -706,000,000 | -527,000,000 | -2,723,000,000 | -6,825,000,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 10.07% | 10.93% | 11.90% | 12.78% | 11.89% | 11.34% | 12.47% | 14.40% | 13.76% | |
| Operating margin | 19.49% | 17.03% | 18.25% | 18.36% | 16.40% | 15.86% | 17.46% | 17.75% | 17.61% | |
| Return on equity | 10.19% | 10.02% | 10.32% | 10.36% | 10.11% | 10.23% | 10.41% | 10.05% | 9.92% | 8.55% |
| Return on assets | 2.73% | 2.67% | 2.74% | 2.72% | 2.73% | 2.76% | 2.84% | 2.76% | 2.76% | 2.48% |
| Current ratio | 0.88 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.77 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
Financial Charts
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-04-30. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000072903.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q2 | 2022-06-30 | 0.60 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | 1.18 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | 0.76 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 3,022,000,000 | 288,000,000 | 0.52 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 3,662,000,000 | 656,000,000 | 1.19 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 3,442,000,000 | 409,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 3,649,000,000 | 488,000,000 | 0.88 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 3,028,000,000 | 302,000,000 | 0.54 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 3,644,000,000 | 682,000,000 | 1.21 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 3,120,000,000 | 464,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 3,906,000,000 | 483,000,000 | 0.84 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 3,287,000,000 | 444,000,000 | 0.75 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 3,915,000,000 | 524,000,000 | 0.88 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 3,561,000,000 | 567,000,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 4,021,000,000 | 556,000,000 | 0.89 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0000072903-26-000073.
ITEM 2 — MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion and analysis by management focuses on those factors that had a material effect on Xcel Energy’s financial condition, results of operations and cash flows during the periods presented or are expected to have a material impact in the future. It should be read in conjunction with the accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements and the related notes to consolidated financial statements. Due to the seasonality of Xcel Energy’s operating results, quarterly financial results are not an appropriate base from which to project annual results.
The demand for electric power and natural gas is affected by seasonal differences in the weather. In general, peak sales of electricity occur in the summer months, and peak sales of natural gas occur in the winter months. As a result, the overall operating results may fluctuate substantially on a seasonal basis. Additionally, Xcel Energy’s operations have historically generated less revenues and income when weather conditions are milder in the winter and cooler in the summer.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that adjusts measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.
Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method.
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Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS for Xcel Energy is calculated by dividing net income or loss, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss for such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. For instance, to present ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS, we may adjust the related GAAP amounts for certain items that are non-recurring in nature. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP.
The following table provides a reconciliation of GAAP earnings (net income) to ongoing earnings:
| Three Months Ended March 31 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2026 | 2025 | |||||
| GAAP net income | $ | 556 | $ | 483 | |||
| Prairie Island outage refunds | 37 | — | |||||
| Marshall Wildfire litigation | (22) | — | |||||
| Tax effect | (4) | — | |||||
| Ongoing earnings | $ | 567 | $ | 483 |
Prairie Island Outage Refunds — In March 2026, the ALJ recommended a disallowance of $41 million for estimated replacement power costs incurred during a 2023-2024 outage at NSP-Minnesota’s Prairie Island nuclear facility. A non-recurring charge of $37 million was recorded to electric revenues in the first quarter of 2026 for incremental customer refunds, including interest.
Marshall Wildfire Litigation — In the first quarter of 2026, PSCo recognized a $22 million reduction to operating expenses due to an increase in the estimated amount recoverable from insurance for non-recurring Marshall Wildfire costs.
Results of Operations
The only common equity securities that are publicly traded are common shares of Xcel Energy Inc. Diluted earnings and EPS of each subsidiary discussed below do not represent a direct legal interest in the assets and liabilities allocated to such subsidiary but rather represent a direct interest in our assets and liabilities as a whole.
Xcel Energy’s first quarter GAAP earnings were $0.89 per share compared with $0.84 per share in the same period in 2025 and ongoing earnings were $0.91 compared with $0.84 per share in 2025. Despite the impact of unseasonably warm weather in the first quarter, ongoing earnings per share was primarily driven by increased recovery of electric infrastructure investments and electric sales growth, partially offset by higher financing costs and increased depreciation expense. Fluctuations in electric and natural gas revenues associated with changes in fuel and purchased power and/or natural gas sold and transported generally do not significantly impact earnings (changes in costs are offset by the related variation in revenues).
Summarized diluted EPS for Xcel Energy:
| Three Months Ended March 31 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | 2026 | 2025 | |||||
| PSCo | $ | 0.42 | $ | 0.45 | |||
| NSP-Minnesota | 0.30 | 0.32 | |||||
| SPS | 0.13 | 0.10 | |||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.10 | 0.07 | |||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.01 | 0.01 | |||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 0.97 | 0.95 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.08) | (0.11) | |||||
| GAAP diluted EPS (a) | $ | 0.89 | $ | 0.84 | |||
| Prairie Island outage refunds | 0.04 | — | |||||
| Marshall Wildfire litigation | (0.03) | — | |||||
| Ongoing diluted EPS (a) | $ | 0.91 | $ | 0.84 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Summary of Earnings
PSCo — GAAP earnings decreased $0.03 per share and ongoing earnings decreased $0.06 per share for the first quarter of 2026. The change was driven by unfavorable weather, which was partially offset by higher recovery of electric infrastructure investments. The difference between GAAP and ongoing earnings was driven by the increase in estimated Marshall Wildfire insurance amounts recoverable.
NSP-Minnesota — GAAP earnings decreased $0.02 per share and ongoing earnings increased $0.02 per share for the first quarter of 2026. The ongoing earnings increase was driven by higher recovery of electric and natural gas infrastructure investments, which was partially offset by increased interest charges. The difference between GAAP and ongoing earnings was driven by recognition of customer refunds related to the 2023-2024 Prairie Island nuclear facility outage.
SPS — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased $0.03 per share for the first quarter of 2026. The change was driven by sales growth, partially offset by increased depreciation expense and unfavorable weather.
NSP-Wisconsin — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased $0.03 per share for the first quarter of 2026. The change was driven by higher recovery of electric and natural gas infrastructure investments, partially offset by increased depreciation expense.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Primarily includes financing costs and interest income at the holding company and earnings from investment funds, which are accounted for as equity method investments.
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Changes in GAAP and Ongoing EPS
Components significantly contributing to changes in 2026 EPS compared to 2025:
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | Three Months Ended March 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP EPS — 2025 | $ | 0.84 | |
| Components of change - 2026 vs. 2025 | |||
| Higher electric revenues | 0.23 | ||
| Higher AFUDC equity & debt | 0.10 | ||
| Marshall Wildfire litigation | 0.03 | ||
| Higher interest charges | (0.10) | ||
| Common equity financing | (0.08) | ||
| Higher depreciation and amortization | (0.05) | ||
| Prairie Island outage refunds | (0.04) | ||
| Lower natural gas revenues | (0.03) | ||
| Other, net | (0.01) | ||
| GAAP EPS — 2026 | $ | 0.89 | |
| Prairie Island outage refunds | 0.04 | ||
| Marshall Wildfire litigation | (0.03) | ||
| Ongoing EPS — 2026 (a) | $ | 0.91 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Statement of Income Analysis
The following summarizes the items that affected the individual revenue and expense items reported in the consolidated statements of income.
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings —Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements. As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, electric sales true-up and gas decoupling mechanisms in Minnesota predominately mitigate the positive and adverse impacts of weather in that jurisdiction.
Degree-day or THI data is used to estimate amounts of energy required to maintain comfortable indoor temperature levels based on each day’s average temperature and humidity. HDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature falls below 65° Fahrenheit. CDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature rises above 65° Fahrenheit.
Each degree of temperature above 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one CDD, and each degree of temperature below 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one HDD. In Xcel Energy’s more humid service territories, a THI is used in place of CDD, which adds a humidity factor to CDD. HDD, CDD and THI are most likely to impact the usage of Xcel Energy’s residential and commercial customers. Industrial customers are less sensitive to weather. Typically, sales are not impacted in the first or fourth quarter due to THI or CDD.
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Percentage increase (decrease) in normal and actual HDD:
| Three Months Ended March 31 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 vs. Normal | 2025 vs. Normal | 2026 vs. 2025 | ||||||
| HDD | (15.2) | % | — | % | (15.3) | % |
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
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[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
ITEM 7 — MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing ROE, ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that adjusts measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.
Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of Xcel Energy or each subsidiary, adjusted for certain nonrecurring items, by each entity’s average stockholders’ equity. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of earnings results.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS for Xcel Energy is calculated by dividing net income or loss, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss for such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. For instance, to present ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS, we may adjust the related GAAP amounts for certain items that are non-recurring in nature. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP.
The following table provides a reconciliation of GAAP earnings (net income) to ongoing earnings:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP net income | $ | 2,018 | $ | 1,936 | |||
| Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds | — | 47 | |||||
| Marshall Wildfire litigation (a) | 298 | — | |||||
| Less: tax effect of adjustments | (77) | (13) | |||||
| Ongoing earnings (b) | $ | 2,239 | $ | 1,969 |
(a)Includes $2 million of interest costs associated with short-term debt used to pay settlement, which is presented as interest expense on the consolidated statements of income.
(b)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
| Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31, 2025 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP Diluted EPS | Impact of Adjustments | Ongoing Diluted EPS | ||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.53 | $ | — | $ | 1.53 | |||||
| PSCo | 1.15 | 0.38 | 1.53 | ||||||||
| SPS | 0.67 | — | 0.67 | ||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.27 | — | 0.27 | ||||||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.03 | — | 0.03 | ||||||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.65 | 0.38 | 4.03 | ||||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.23) | — | (0.23) | ||||||||
| Total (a) | $ | 3.42 | 0.38 | $ | 3.80 |
| Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31, 2024 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP Diluted EPS | Impact of Adjustments | Ongoing Diluted EPS | ||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.41 | $ | 0.06 | $ | 1.47 | |||||
| PSCo | 1.39 | — | 1.39 | ||||||||
| SPS | 0.70 | — | 0.70 | ||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.24 | — | 0.24 | ||||||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.03 | — | 0.03 | ||||||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.76 | 0.06 | 3.83 | ||||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.33) | — | (0.33) | ||||||||
| Total (a) | $ | 3.44 | 0.06 | $ | 3.50 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Adjustments to GAAP net income include:
Sherco Unit 3 2011 Outage Refunds — NSP-Minnesota’s Sherco Unit 3 experienced an extended outage following a 2011 incident which damaged its turbine. In October 2024 following contested case procedures, the MPUC ordered a customer refund of $46 million for replacement power incurred during the outage, which is presented as a non-recurring charge to electric revenues.
Marshall Wildfire Litigation — In the third quarter of 2025, PSCo recognized a non-recurring $287 million charge as a result of a settlement reached with the plaintiffs in the Marshall Wildfire litigation. In the fourth quarter of 2025, an additional $12 million was recognized for estimated remaining settlement costs as well as legal and other costs.
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Results of Operations
Diluted EPS for Xcel Energy at Dec. 31:
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.53 | $ | 1.41 | |||
| PSCo | 1.15 | 1.39 | |||||
| SPS | 0.67 | 0.70 | |||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.27 | 0.24 | |||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.03 | 0.03 | |||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.65 | 3.76 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.23) | (0.33) | |||||
| GAAP diluted EPS (a) | $ | 3.42 | $ | 3.44 | |||
| Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds | — | 0.06 | |||||
| Marshall Wildfire settlement | 0.38 | — | |||||
| Ongoing diluted EPS (a) | $ | 3.80 | $ | 3.50 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings reflects management’s performance in operating Xcel Energy and provides a meaningful representation of the performance of Xcel Energy’s core business. In addition, Xcel Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial planning and analysis, reporting results to the Board of Directors and when communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors.
2025 Comparison with 2024
Xcel Energy — GAAP diluted earnings were $3.42 per share compared to $3.44 per share in 2024 and ongoing diluted earnings were $3.80 per share in 2025, compared with $3.50 per share in 2024. The change in ongoing EPS was driven by increased recovery of infrastructure investments and electric sales growth, partially offset by higher interest, depreciation and O&M expenses.
Fluctuations in electric and natural gas revenues associated with changes in fuel and purchased power and/or natural gas sold and transported generally do not significantly impact earnings (changes in costs are offset by the related variation in revenues).
NSP-Minnesota — GAAP earnings increased $0.12 per share and ongoing earnings increased $0.06 per share for 2025 compared to 2024. Ongoing earnings increased due to higher recovery of electric infrastructure investments, partially offset by increased O&M expenses, depreciation and interest charges.
PSCo — GAAP earnings decreased $0.24 per share and ongoing earnings increased $0.14 per share for 2025 (difference in GAAP and ongoing due to Marshall Wildfire settlement in 2025, see Non-GAAP Financial Measures for reconciliation from GAAP to ongoing earnings). Ongoing earnings increased due to higher recovery of electric and natural gas infrastructure investments and increased AFUDC, which was partially offset by increased depreciation, interest and O&M charges.
SPS — GAAP and ongoing earnings decreased $0.03 per share for 2025 . The decrease was driven by increased interest charges, O&M expenses and the negative impact of weather, partially offset by sales growth and higher recovery of electric infrastructure investments.
NSP-Wisconsin — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased $0.03 per share for 2025. The increase was driven by higher recovery of electric and natural gas infrastructure investments, which was partially offset by increased depreciation and O&M expenses.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Primarily includes financing costs and interest income at the holding company and earnings from investment funds, which are accounted for as equity method investments. The change in earnings was due to gains on debt repurchases, partially offset by higher interest rates and debt levels.
Changes in Diluted EPS
Components significantly contributing to changes in 2025 EPS compared with 2024:
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP diluted EPS — 2024 | $ | 3.44 | |
| Components of change — 2025 vs. 2024 | |||
| Higher electric revenues | 1.27 | ||
| Higher natural gas revenues | 0.29 | ||
| Higher AFUDC equity & debt | 0.27 | ||
| Marshall Wildfire settlement | (0.38) | ||
| Higher interest charges | (0.28) | ||
| Higher depreciation and amortization | (0.28) | ||
| Higher O&M expenses | (0.25) | ||
| Higher electric fuel and purchased power (a) | (0.23) | ||
| Common equity financing | (0.18) | ||
| Higher costs of natural gas sold and transported (a) | (0.12) | ||
| Other, net | (0.13) | ||
| GAAP diluted EPS — 2025 | $ | 3.42 | |
| Marshall Wildfire settlement | 0.38 | ||
| Ongoing diluted EPS — 2025 | $ | 3.80 |
(a)Cost of electric fuel and purchased power and natural gas sold and transported are generally recovered through regulatory recovery mechanisms and offset in revenue.
ROE for Xcel Energy and its utility subsidiaries:
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE | GAAP ROE | Ongoing ROE | GAAP ROE | Ongoing ROE | ||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 9.19 | % | 9.19 | % | 9.07 | % | 9.46 | % | ||||
| PSCo | 5.66 | 7.55 | 7.63 | 7.63 | ||||||||
| SPS | 8.70 | 8.70 | 9.57 | 9.57 | ||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 9.09 | 9.09 | 8.98 | 8.98 | ||||||||
| Utility Subsidiaries | 7.60 | 8.40 | 8.55 | 8.69 | ||||||||
| Xcel Energy | 9.36 | 10.38 | 10.42 | 10.61 |
Statement of Income Analysis
The following summarizes the items that affected the individual revenue and expense items reported in the consolidated statements of income.
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements.
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As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. Gas decoupling mechanisms (and electric sales true-up in 2024) in Minnesota predominately mitigate the positive and adverse impacts of weather in that jurisdiction.
Degree-day or THI data is used to estimate amounts of energy required to maintain comfortable indoor temperature levels based on each day’s average temperature and humidity. HDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature falls below 65° Fahrenheit. CDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature rises above 65° Fahrenheit.
Each degree of temperature above 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one CDD, and each degree of temperature below 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one HDD. In Xcel Energy’s more humid service territories, a THI is used in place of CDD, which adds a humidity factor to CDD. HDD, CDD and THI are most likely to impact the usage of Xcel Energy’s residential and commercial customers. Industrial customers are less sensitive to weather.
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Percentage increase (decrease) in normal and actual HDD, CDD and THI:
| 2025 vs. Normal | 2024 vs. Normal | 2025 vs. 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDD | (6.2) | % | (15.4) | % | 8.7 | % | ||
| CDD | (4.9) | 28.1 | (23.5) | |||||
| THI | 11.2 | (11.2) | 26.8 |
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
| 2025 vs. Normal | 2024 vs. Normal | 2025 vs. 2024 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail electric | $ | (0.015) | $ | (0.008) | $ | (0.007) | ||||
| Decoupling and sales true-up | — | 0.047 | (0.047) | |||||||
| Electric total | $ | (0.015) | $ | 0.039 | $ | (0.054) | ||||
| Firm natural gas | (0.033) | (0.070) | 0.037 | |||||||
| Decoupling | 0.005 | 0.027 | (0.022) | |||||||
| Gas total | $ | (0.028) | $ | (0.043) | $ | 0.015 | ||||
| Total | $ | (0.043) | $ | (0.004) | $ | (0.039) |
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales:
| 2025 vs. 2024 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | PSCo | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Actual | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | 5.7 | % | (1.6) | % | (1.5) | % | 6.0 | % | 1.9 | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | 0.3 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | 2.0 | (0.5) | 4.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | 12.6 | (2.1) | N/A | 16.2 | 3.4 |
| 2025 vs. 2024 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | PSCo | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Weather-normalized | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | 1.3 | % | 1.4 | % | 3.9 | % | 1.7 | % | 1.7 | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | (0.6) | 1.4 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | — | 1.3 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 2.0 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | — | (2.9) | N/A | 2.0 | (1.7) |
| 2025 vs. 2024 (Leap Year Adjusted) | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | PSCo | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Weather-normalized | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | 1.5 | % | 1.7 | % | 4.3 | % | 2.1 | % | 2.0 | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | (0.3) | 1.6 | 6.3 | 0.4 | 2.4 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | 0.3 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 2.2 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | 0.6 | (2.4) | N/A | 2.6 | (1.2) |
Annual weather-normalized and leap year adjusted electric sales growth (decline)
•NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales increased due to customer growth (1.1%) and use per customer (0.4%). The decrease in C&I sales was due to lower use per customer.
•PSCo — Residential sales increased due to customer growth (1.1%) and use per customer (0.6%). The increase in C&I sales was due to higher use per customer, particularly in the information and energy sectors.
•SPS — Residential sales increased due to increased use per customer (3.6%) and customer growth (0.7%). The increase in C&I sales was due to higher use per customer, primarily driven by the energy sector.
•NSP-Wisconsin — Residential sales increased due to increased use per customer (1.1%) and customer growth (0.9%). The increase in C&I sales was due to customer growth.
Annual weather-normalized and leap year adjusted natural gas sales growth (decline)
•Decrease in natural gas sales was driven primarily by decreased use per customer in PSCo residential and C&I, partially offset by customer growth in all jurisdictions.
Electric Revenues
Electric revenues are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium, regulatory outcomes, market prices and seasonality. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated (wind, nuclear and solar), which reduce electric revenue and income taxes.
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| (Millions of Dollars) | 2025 vs. 2024 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-fuel riders | $ | 250 | |
| Recovery of higher cost of electric fuel and purchased power | 214 | ||
| PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) | 172 | ||
| Regulatory rate outcomes (MN, ND) | 116 | ||
| Sales and demand | 97 | ||
| Transmission revenues | 79 | ||
| Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds | 47 | ||
| Estimated impact of weather | (39) | ||
| Conservation and demand side management (offset in expense) | (38) | ||
| Other, net | 115 | ||
| Total increase | $ | 1,013 |
Natural Gas Revenues
Natural gas revenues vary with changing sales, the cost of natural gas and regulatory outcomes.
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2025 vs. 2024 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Recovery of higher cost of natural gas | $ | 92 | |
| Regulatory rate outcomes (CO) | 84 | ||
| Conservation revenue (offset in expense) | 47 | ||
| Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling) | 11 | ||
| Retail sales decline (net of decoupling) | (13) | ||
| Other, net | 1 | ||
| Total increase | $ | 222 |
Electric Fuel and Purchased Power — Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are impacted by fluctuations in market prices of electricity, natural gas, coal and uranium, as well as seasonality. These incurred expenses are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Electric fuel and purchased power expenses increased $173 million in 2025. The increase is primarily due to increased commodity prices and transmission expense.
Cost of Natural Gas Sold and Transported — Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are impacted by market prices and seasonality. These costs are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Natural gas sold and transported increased $90 million in 2025. The increase is primarily due to increased commodity prices and volumes, partially offset by timing of fuel recovery mechanisms.
Non-Fuel Operating Expenses and Other Items
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses increased $192 million in 2025 primarily due to increased benefits and healthcare costs, wildfire mitigation (largely offset in non-fuel rider revenue), nuclear generation costs and insurance costs.
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased $209 million for the year, primarily related to system investment.
Other Income — Other income increased $92 million for the year, primarily related to gains on debt repurchases.
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased $213 million in 2025. The increase was largely due to higher long-term and short-term debt levels and higher interest rates.
AFUDC, Equity and Debt — AFUDC increased $165 million in 2025, due to system investment.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other Results
Net income and diluted EPS contributions of Xcel Energy Inc. and its nonregulated businesses:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (271) | $ | (223) | |||
| Xcel Energy Inc. other results (a) | 135 | 38 | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other | $ | (136) | $ | (185) |
| (Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (0.46) | $ | (0.40) | |||
| Xcel Energy Inc. other results (a) | 0.23 | 0.07 | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (0.23) | $ | (0.33) |
(a)Amounts primarily include gains from debt repurchases, partially offset by taxes.
Xcel Energy Inc.’s results include interest charges, which are incurred at Xcel Energy Inc. and are not directly assigned to individual subsidiaries.
2024 Comparison with 2023
A discussion of changes in Xcel Energy’s results of operations, cash flows and liquidity and capital resources from the year ended Dec. 31, 2023 to Dec. 31, 2024 can be found in Part II, “Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year 2024, which was filed with the SEC on Feb. 27, 2025. However, such discussion is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Public Utility Regulation
The FERC and various state and local regulatory commissions regulate Xcel Energy Inc.’s utility subsidiaries and WGI. Xcel Energy is subject to rate regulation by state utility regulatory agencies, which have jurisdiction with respect to the rates of electric and natural gas distribution companies in Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Colorado, New Mexico and Texas.
Rates are designed to recover plant investment, operating costs and an allowed return on investment. Our utility subsidiaries request changes in utility rates through commission filings. Changes in operating costs can affect Xcel Energy’s financial results, depending on the timing of rate cases and implementation of final rates. Other factors affecting rate filings are new investments, sales, conservation and DSM efforts, and the cost of capital.
In addition, the regulatory commissions authorize the ROE, capital structure and depreciation rates in rate proceedings. Decisions by these regulators can significantly impact Xcel Energy’s results of operations and credit quality.
See Rate Matters and Other within Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
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NSP-Minnesota
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| MPUC | Retail rates, services, security issuances, property transfers, mergers, disposition of assets, affiliate transactions, and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plants greater than 50 MW and transmission lines greater than 100 KV in Minnesota.Reviews and approves natural gas supply plans. | |
| NDPSC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in North Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| SDPUC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric operations.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in South Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transfers and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Minnesota is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO and operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale markets. NSP-Minnesota makes wholesale sales in other RTO markets at market-based rates. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin also make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices to customers outside of their balancing authority as jointly authorized by the FERC. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| Minnesota Office of Pipeline Safety | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| CIP Rider | Recovers costs of conservation and DSM programs. Minnesota state law requires NSP-Minnesota to spend no less than 1.75 percent gross annual electric retail energy sales and no less than 1.0 percent gross annual natural gas retail energy sales on CIP. These costs are recovered through an annual cost-recovery mechanism. | |
| Customer Protection Mechanisms | MISO capacity revenue tracker, property tax tracker, annual incentive plan, capital true-up, deferred tax asset refund and credit card fee tracker are all mechanisms that mitigate the impact of changes to costs as compared to a baseline for NSP-Minnesota customers. | |
| Decoupling | Measures natural gas revenues against a baseline revenue per-customer for all Minnesota gas customers in classes with more than 50 customers. | |
| FCA | Recovers prudently incurred costs of fuel related items and purchased energy (Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota). | |
| Gas Utility Infrastructure Cost Rider | Recovers costs for transmission and distribution pipeline integrity management programs, including funding for pipeline assessments, deferred costs for sewer separation and pipeline integrity management programs in Minnesota. | |
| Infrastructure Rider | Returns benefits and recovers costs from investments benefiting customers in South Dakota. | |
| Natural Gas Innovation Act Rider | Recovers costs for pilot projects and research programs aimed at innovative technologies and emission-reducing gas initiatives in Minnesota. The approved plan spans a five-year period beginning in 2025. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | Provides for prospective monthly rate adjustments in Minnesota and North Dakota for costs of purchased natural gas, transportation and storage service. Includes a true-up process for difference between projected and actual costs. | |
| Renewable Development Fund Rider | Allocates money collected from customers for Minnesota solar energy incentive programs, renewable energy projects, payments to the MN Office of Management and Budget, and other legislative mandates. | |
| Renewable Energy Rider | Recovers cost of renewable generation in North Dakota. | |
| RES Rider | Recovers cost of renewable generation in Minnesota. | |
| Sales True-up | Mitigates the impact of changes to sales levels as compared to a baseline for all Minnesota electric customers. | |
| Transmission Cost Recovery Rider | Recovers costs for investments in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota for electric transmission and distribution grid modernization. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2025 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — In October 2025, NSP-Minnesota filed a natural gas rate case in Minnesota, seeking a total revenue increase of $63 million (8.2%). The filing is based on a 2026 forecast test year and includes an ROE of 10.65%, a 52.5% equity ratio and rate base of $1.5 billion. NSP-Minnesota requested interim rates of $51 million effective January 1, 2026, which were approved by the MPUC. An MPUC decision is expected in the fourth quarter of 2026.
2022 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — In October 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a three-year electric rate case with the MPUC.
In July 2023, the MPUC approved a three-year rate increase of approximately $332 million for 2022-2024, based on a ROE of 9.25% and an equity ratio of 52.5%. The MPUC also approved a continuation of the sales true-up mechanism.
In November 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed an appeal to the Minnesota Court of Appeals regarding MPUC decisions relating to executive compensation, insurance expense and treatment of prepaid pension assets.
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In January 2025, the Court issued its opinion, which upheld the commission's determination on insurance expense, but reversed and remanded the executive compensation and prepaid pension asset decisions back to the MPUC. In June 2025, the MPUC ordered proceedings to reconsider the treatment of prepaid pension assets and executive compensation, with a decision expected in 2026.
2024 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — In November 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed an electric rate case in Minnesota based on an ROE of 10.3%, a 52.5% equity ratio and rate base of $13.2 billion in 2025 and $14 billion in 2026. In December 2024, the MPUC approved interim rates of $192 million, effective Jan. 1, 2025. In March 2025, NSP-Minnesota filed supplemental direct testimony, updating its total revenue request to $473 million.
In August 2025, eight parties filed testimony. The DOC, OAG, XLI, the CUB, Walmart and Joint Intervenors were the only parties to quantify recommended financial adjustments. The DOC and XLI recommended $306 million and $190 million of adjustments, respectively, largely based on a reduction in ROE, certain O&M expenses and other costs offset in trackers. Other parties recommended adjustments based on reduced ROE and issue specific recommendations.
In October 2025, NSP-Minnesota filed rebuttal testimony, updating its total revenue request to $365 million. Of NSP-Minnesota’s proposed adjustments, approximately $100 million relates to depreciation expense and $50 million are largely offset in trackers. In November 2025, the DOC filed surrebuttal testimony, re-asserting their proposed ROE of 9.25%.
An ALJ report is expected in April 2026, with a MPUC decision expected in the third quarter of 2026.
2025 South Dakota Electric Rate Case — In June 2025, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the SDPUC for a net annual electric rate increase of $44 million (15%). The filing is based on a 2024 historic test year, a requested ROE of 10.3%, rate base of approximately $1.2 billion and an equity ratio of 52.87%. Interim rates were implemented on Jan. 1, 2026. If approved as filed, this rate request would result in an average annual residential bill increase of 3% over the period from 2016-2026.
The procedural schedule is as follows:
•Intervenor direct testimony: March 20, 2026
•Rebuttal testimony: April 14, 2026
•Evidentiary Hearing: April 28-30, 2026
A SDPUC decision is expected in the first half of 2026.
2024 North Dakota Electric Rate Case — In December 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the NDPSC for an annual electric rate increase of $45 million (19.3% over current rates established in 2021). The filing is based on a 2025 forecast test year and includes a requested ROE of 10.3%, rate base of approximately $817 million and an equity ratio of 52.5%. In January 2025, the NDPSC approved interim rates, subject to refund, of approximately $27 million (implemented on Feb. 1, 2025).
In February 2026, the NDPSC approved a settlement agreement filed by NSP-Minnesota and NDPSC Staff, effective April 1st, 2026, including a base revenue increase of $24 million, based on a ROE of 9.8% and equity ratio of 52.5%.
2026 North Dakota Natural Gas Rate Case — In January 2026, NSP-Minnesota filed a natural gas rate case in North Dakota, for an annual rate increase of $14 million (11.9%). The filing is based on a 2026 forecast test year and includes an ROE of 10.85%, a 52.5% equity ratio and rate base of $235 million. NSP-Minnesota requested interim rates of $12 million effective April 1, 2026.
Nuclear Power Operations
Nuclear power plant operations produce gaseous, liquid and solid radioactive wastes, which are covered by federal regulation. High-level radioactive wastes primarily include used nuclear fuel. Low-level waste consists primarily of demineralizer resins, paper, protective clothing, rags, tools and equipment contaminated through use.
NRC Regulation — The NRC regulates nuclear operations. Costs of complying with NRC requirements can affect both operating expenses and capital investments of the plants. NSP-Minnesota has obtained recovery of these compliance costs and expects to recover future compliance costs.
Low-Level Waste Disposal — Low level waste from Monticello and Prairie Island is disposed of at the Clive facility located in Utah and the Waste Control Specialists facility in Texas. NSP-Minnesota has storage capacity available on-site through 2033 at Prairie Island Unit 1, 2034 at Prairie Island Unit 2, and 2040 at Monticello, which would allow both plants to continue to operate if off-site low-level waste disposal facilities become unavailable.
High-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal — The federal government has responsibility to permanently dispose of domestic spent nuclear fuel and other high-level radioactive wastes. The Nuclear Waste Policy Act requires the DOE to implement a program for nuclear high-level waste management.
This includes the siting, licensing, construction and operation of a repository for spent nuclear fuel from civilian nuclear power reactors and other high-level radioactive wastes at a permanent federal storage or disposal facility. Currently, there are no definitive plans for a permanent federal storage facility site.
Nuclear Spent Fuel Storage — NSP-Minnesota has interim on-site storage for spent nuclear fuel at its Monticello and Prairie Island nuclear generating plants. Authorized storage capacity is sufficient to allow NSP-Minnesota to operate until 2040 for Monticello, and 2054 for Prairie Island.
In December 2024, the NRC approved a Subsequent License Renewal application for extended Monticello Plant operation through 2050 (Subsequent Renewed Facility Operating License No. DPR-22, Accession No. ML24310A345). NSP-Minnesota will need authorization from the MPUC for additional storage capacity through 2050.
NSP-Minnesota has notified the NRC of intent to apply for Prairie Island Subsequent License Renewal which would extend operation of Unit 1 to 2053 and Unit 2 to 2054.
Authorizations for additional spent fuel storage capacity may be required at each site to support either continued operation or decommissioning if the federal government does not commence storage operations.
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NSP-Wisconsin
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PSCW | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.The PSCW has a biennial base rate filing requirement. By April of each odd numbered year, NSP-Wisconsin must submit a rate filing for the test year beginning the following January.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| MPSC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric generation licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Wisconsin is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO that operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale energy market. NSP-Wisconsin and NSP-Minnesota are jointly authorized by the FERC to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Annual Fuel Cost Plan | NSP-Wisconsin does not have an automatic electric fuel adjustment clause. Under Wisconsin rules, utilities submit a forward-looking annual fuel cost plan to the PSCW. Once the PSCW approves the plan, utilities defer the amount of any fuel cost under-recovery or over-recovery in excess of a 2% annual tolerance band, for future rate recovery or refund. Approval of a fuel cost plan and any rate adjustment for refund or recovery of deferred costs is determined by the PSCW. Rate recovery of deferred fuel cost is subject to an earnings test based on the most recently authorized ROE. Under-collections that exceed the 2% annual tolerance band may not be recovered if the utility earnings for that year exceed the authorized ROE. | |
| Natural Gas Cost-Recovery Factor (MI) | NSP-Wisconsin’s natural gas rates for Michigan customers include a natural gas cost-recovery factor, based on 12-month projections and trued-up to actual amounts on an annual basis. | |
| Power Supply Cost Recovery Factors | NSP-Wisconsin’s retail electric rate schedules for Michigan customers include power supply cost recovery factors, based on 12-month projections. After each 12-month period, a reconciliation is submitted whereby over-recoveries are refunded and any under-recoveries are collected from customers. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment (WI) | A retail cost-recovery mechanism to recover the actual cost of natural gas, transportation and storage services. |
Pending Regulatory Proceedings
Excess Liability Insurance Deferral – In February 2025, NSP-Wisconsin filed a request with the PSCW for deferred accounting treatment for excess liability insurance expense of $9.6 million incurred as a result of the October 2024 policy renewal. The PSCW issued a written approval in November 2025 and authorized recovery of the deferral over 2026 and 2027 in the Wisconsin Electric and Natural Gas Rate Case described below.
Wisconsin Electric and Natural Gas Rate Case – In March 2025, NSP-Wisconsin filed a request with the PSCW for a multi-year electric and natural gas rate increase. Both the electric and natural gas rate requests were based on forward-looking 2026 and 2027 test years, with a 10.0% ROE and an equity ratio of 53.5%.
In December 2025, the PSCW issued final written approval on NSP-Wisconsin’s request, with a final rate increase of $126 million for the electric utility ($68 million in 2026, with an incremental $58 million in 2027) and $22 million for the natural gas utility ($18 million in 2026, with an incremental $4 million in 2027), based on a ROE of 9.8% and an equity ratio of 52.5%.
| (Millions of Dollars) | Electric | Natural Gas | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Wisconsin’s filed two-year rate request | $ | 151 | $ | 24 | |||
| PSCW decision: | |||||||
| Capital investments | (8) | (1) | |||||
| ROE adjustment | (7) | (1) | |||||
| O&M expenses | (5) | (1) | |||||
| Nuclear decommissioning accrual update (a) | (6) | — | |||||
| Excess liability insurance deferral recovery | 4 | 1 | |||||
| Other, net | (3) | — | |||||
| Total revenue change | $ | 126 | $ | 22 |
(a)Since filing the case, the MPUC authorized a reduction to the annual nuclear decommissioning accrual. This reduction, which flows to NSP-Wisconsin through the interchange agreement, reduced the NSP-Wisconsin rate request and is earnings neutral.
Michigan Natural Gas Rate Case – In July 2025, NSP-Wisconsin filed a natural gas rate case in Michigan, seeking a revenue increase of $2.2 million. In December 2025, the MPSC issued a final written approval of the settlement order, with a final rate increase of $1.6 million ($0.7 million in 2026, with an incremental $0.9 million in 2027) based on a ROE of 9.8% and an equity ratio of 50%.
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NSP System
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin are actively engaged in multiple processes and proceedings to acquire resources to meet their identified generation resource needs.
•In October 2023, NSP-Minnesota issued an RFP seeking 1,200 MW of wind assets to replace capacity and reutilize interconnection rights associated with the retiring Sherco coal facilities. The RFP closed in December 2023. NSP-Minnesota expects to file for approval of recommended projects in early 2026.
•In 2024, NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin each issued an RFP collectively seeking up to 1,600 MW of wind, solar, storage or hybrid resources to interconnect to the NSP System, including reutilization of the interconnection rights associated with the retiring Sherco coal units, and 650 MW of solar and storage resources to specifically reutilize the interconnection rights associated with the retiring King coal unit. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin announced the short listed projects in January 2025. NSP-Minnesota filed for requisite approvals of the selected resources with the MPUC in the fourth quarter of 2025 (decision expected in early 2026); NSP-Wisconsin expects to file for approvals with the PSCW in 2026.
•In December 2025, NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin jointly issued an RFP seeking up to 3,500 MW of wind, solar, hydro, standalone storage, or hybrid capacity that will achieve commercial operation by December 31, 2030. Additionally, NSP-Minnesota is seeking to procure up to 600 MW of solar or solar + storage capacity that will achieve commercial operation by December 31, 2029, and meet Minnesota’s Distributed Solar Energy Standard eligibility requirements. Bids are due in March 2026, and filing for MPUC approval is expected by the end of 2026, ahead of the established procedural schedule.
•NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin may continue to file additional RFPs throughout 2026 and 2027 for resource needs as part of its Upper Midwest resource planning efforts.
Large Load Agreement — In the first quarter of 2026, NSP-Minnesota entered into an electric service agreement to power a new Google data center in Minnesota. Under the agreement, Google will pay all costs for its new service for the duration of the agreement, in accordance with Minnesota’s regulatory and legislative requirements for large loads. Requests for approval of the Electric Service Agreement and 1,900 MW of proposed renewable generation to support the data center is expected to be filed with the MPUC by April 2026.
Purchased Power and Transmission Services
The NSP System expects to use power plants, power purchases, conservation and DSM options, new generation facilities and expansion of power plants to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — Through the Interchange Agreement, NSP-Wisconsin receives power purchased by NSP-Minnesota from other utilities and independent power producers. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require a capacity charge and an energy charge. NSP-Minnesota makes short-term purchases to meet system requirements, replace company owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin have contracts with MISO and other regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to their customers.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
NSP-Minnesota conducts wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy-related products. NSP-Minnesota uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and to hedge sales and purchases.
NSP-Minnesota also engages in trading activity unrelated to these hedging activities. Sharing of any margins is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin do not serve any wholesale requirements customers at cost-based regulated rates.
PSCo
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information on Regulatory Authority | |
|---|---|---|
| CPUC | Retail rates, accounts, services, issuance of securities and other aspects of electric, natural gas and steam operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plans greater than 50 MW.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, hydroelectric licensing, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with the NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce.Wholesale electric sales at cost-based prices to customers inside PSCo’s balancing authority area and at market-based prices to customers outside PSCo’s balancing authority area.PSCo holds a FERC certificate that allows it to transport natural gas in interstate commerce without PSCo becoming subject to full FERC jurisdiction. | |
| RTO | PSCo is not presently a member of an RTO and does not operate within an RTO energy market. However, PSCo does make certain sales to other RTO’s, including SPP and participates in the SPP Western Energy Imbalance Service market, an energy imbalance market. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
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Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Energy Plan Adjustment | Recovers the early retirement costs of Comanche Units 1 and 2 to a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Clean Energy Plan Revenue | Recovers projects approved through the Clean Energy Plan to a maximum of 1.25% of the customer’s bill. | |
| DSM Cost Adjustment | Recovers electric and gas DSM and CHP, interruptible service costs and performance incentives for achieving energy savings goals. | |
| Electric Commodity Adjustment | Recovers fuel, purchased energy costs and certain owned renewable generating assets. Short-term sales margins are shared with customers. PTCs earned for owned wind and solar generation are returned to customers. | |
| FCA | PSCo recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from wholesale electric customers through a fuel cost adjustment clause approved by the FERC. Wholesale customers pay production costs through a forecasted formula rate subject to true-up. | |
| GCA | Recovers costs of purchased natural gas and transportation and is revised quarterly to allow for changes in natural gas rates. Gas Price Risk Management Plan reserves are also collected in this mechanism as gas prices permit. | |
| GMAC | Recovers select categories of distribution costs. | |
| Purchased Capacity Cost Adjustment | Recovers purchased capacity payments. | |
| RES Adjustment | Recovers the incremental costs of compliance with the RES with a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Steam Cost Adjustment | Recovers fuel costs to operate the steam system. The Steam Cost Adjustment rate is revised quarterly. | |
| Transmission Cost Adjustment | Recovers costs between rate cases for transmission projects that result in a net increase in capacity or are part of an approved wildfire mitigation plan. Distribution projects are recoverable for 2024 and 2025, subject to a cap of 0.5% and 1.25% of electric distribution retail revenues, respectively. | |
| Transportation Electrification Plan | Recovers costs associated with the investment in and adoption of transportation electrification infrastructure. | |
| Wildfire Mitigation Adjustment | Recovers actual 2025-2027 costs associated with wildfire mitigation. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2025 Colorado Electric Rate Case — In November 2025, PSCo filed an electric rate case with the CPUC seeking an increase in revenue of $356 million (9.9%) ($526 million inclusive of rider roll-ins). The request is based on a 9.8% ROE, an equity ratio of 55% and a 2025 test year with a projected rate base of $13 billion.
| PSCo’s base rate request (millions of dollars): | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution system investment | $ | 294 | |
| Liability insurance | 65 | ||
| Operating costs | 51 | ||
| Changes in cost of capital | 49 | ||
| Coal retirements (a) | (120) | ||
| Other | 17 | ||
| Rate request, net of rider roll-ins | $ | 356 |
(a)The case includes request for rider recovery of any costs associated with extending operations at Comanche Unit 2.
A CPUC decision and implementation of final rates is anticipated in the third quarter of 2026.
2025 Colorado Natural Gas Rate Case — In December 2025, PSCo filed a natural gas rate case with the CPUC seeking an increase in revenue of $190 million (11.6%). The request is based on a 10.75% ROE, an equity ratio of 55% and a 2025 test year with a projected rate base of $4.7 billion.
| PSCo’s base rate request (millions of dollars): | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Capital investments | $ | 90 | |
| Changes in cost of capital | 53 | ||
| Operating costs | 42 | ||
| Sales/revenue growth | (7) | ||
| Other | 12 | ||
| Total rate request | $ | 190 |
A CPUC decision and implementation of final rates is anticipated in the third quarter of 2026.
2024 Colorado Natural Gas Rate Case — In January 2024, PSCo filed a natural gas rate case with the CPUC. In October 2024, as modified on ARRR in January 2025, the CPUC issued an order including an annual revenue increase of approximately $125 million, inclusive of $15 million of accelerated depreciation.
In May 2025, PSCo filed an appeal with the Denver District Court seeking review of the CPUC’s decisions related to recovery of certain operating expenses, cost of capital and capital structure, and the treatment of gas storage inventory costs. Briefing was completed in the fourth quarter of 2025. In the first quarter of 2026, the Denver District Court affirmed the CPUC’s decision on all counts appealed by PSCo.
Colorado Resource Plan — In December 2023, the CPUC approved a portfolio of 5,835 MW, which includes approximately 3,100 MW of company owned resources and 2,700 MW of PPAs.
In September 2025, the CPUC authorized a process for company-owned and PPA resources to seek up to 15% relief for tariff impacts to projects. Relief requests are due by Dec. 31, 2025 or 18 months prior to COD. The CPUC will ultimately review and approve/deny requests.
PSCo has filed all generation CPCNs associated with company-owned generation from the Colorado Resource Plan and expects to continue filing transmission CPCNs throughout 2026.
2024 Colorado Electric Resource Plan — In October 2024, PSCo filed its Phase I electric resource plan with the CPUC. In November 2025, the CPUC approved a load forecast that reflects a 3% compound annual sales growth through 2031 and generation capacity need of approximately 5,400 MW.
PSCo filed a request for reconsideration of various aspects of the decision which were verbally approved in January 2026 (with a written decision related to those reconsideration requests expected in the first quarter of 2026). This decision is expected to initiate the Phase II competitive solicitation process with an RFP expected to be issued in the third quarter of 2026. This RFP will seek to acquire the balance of resource needs through 2031 (after consideration of any approved acquisitions from the Near-Term Procurement RFP).
Near-Term Procurement — In August 2025, PSCo filed a joint motion with state agencies to initiate a “fast-tracked” solution for tax-advantaged new generation resources. The CPUC approved the request in September 2025 with bids submitted in October 2025. The procurement seeks to accelerate development of up to 4,000 nameplate MW of clean energy resources, 200 accredited MW of firm, dispatchable resources, and up to 300 accredited MW of other dispatchable resources.
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The table below summarizes the recommended portfolio of resources filed in December 2025 (a decision is expected in February 2026):
| (Nameplate MW) | Company Owned | PPA | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | 1,600 | 1,100 | 2,700 | |||||
| Solar | — | 1,100 | 1,100 | |||||
| Natural gas combustion turbine | 200 | — | 200 | |||||
| Other storage | 300 | 600 | 900 | |||||
| Total | 2,100 | 2,800 | 4,900 |
In February 2026, the CPUC approved 3,200 MW of resources, which included PPAs and a 200 MW company-owned natural gas combustion turbine. Additionally, in March 2026 PSCo will file additional information related to 600-1,500 MW of company-owned wind, solar and storage resources that have been conditionally approved.
Grid Modernization Adjustment Clause (GMAC) — In December 2024, PSCo filed its 2025-2029 Distribution System Plan which included a request to implement the GMAC for recovery of distribution investments. The CPUC issued their decision in December 2025, as modified by an ARRR in February 2026, approving the inclusion of capacity expansion projects and certain other related costs. The CPUC indicated other categories of distribution costs may be considered for recovery within the GMAC in a future regulatory process, expected in late 2026 or 2027.
Colorado Senate Bill 23-291 — In May 2023, Colorado Senate Bill 23-291 was signed into law. The legislation included a number of topics including for the CPUC to adopt rules to establish fuel cost mechanisms to align the financial incentives of a utility with the interests of the utility’s customers.
In December 2024, the CPUC adopted final rules applicable to PSCo’s natural gas utility that would assign to the Company four percent of the change in the price per MMbtu of natural gas compared to the three-year average, subject to rolling 12-month cap based on a percentage of rate base, currently estimated at $7 million. PSCo made a filing in June 2025 to implement the mechanism and filed an unopposed settlement agreement in November 2025. In December 2025, a CPUC ALJ approved the settlement agreement, and PSCo implemented the gas fuel cost mechanism in January 2026.
In December 2024, the CPUC also adopted rules for electric utilities but did not adopt a specific PIM framework. PSCo made a filing in November 2025 to the CPUC to implement an electric fuel cost mechanism based on a current market-based index rather than a historical index as required for PSCo’s natural gas utility, subject to a cap currently estimated at $3 million. PSCo expects to implement the electric fuel cost mechanism in the second quarter of 2026.
Purchased Power and Transmission Service Providers
PSCo meets its system capacity and energy requirements through its fleet of owned and purchased electric generation resources and, when required, the use of demand-side management programs.
Purchased Power — PSCo purchases power from other utilities, energy marketers and independent power producers. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require capacity and energy charges. Much of PSCo’s long-term purchased power is for wind, solar and storage resources. PSCo makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements, replace generation out of service for maintenance, meet operating reserve obligations, or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — In addition to using its own transmission system, PSCo has contracts with regional transmission service providers to deliver energy to its customers.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
PSCo conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. PSCo uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and hedge sales and purchases. PSCo also engages in trading activity unrelated to these hedging activities.
Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
SPS
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PUCT | Retail electric operations, rates, services, construction of transmission or generation and other aspects of SPS’ electric operations.The municipalities in which SPS operates in Texas have original jurisdiction over rates in those communities. The municipalities’ rate setting decisions are subject to PUCT review. | |
| NMPRC | Retail electric operations, retail rates and services and the construction of transmission or generation.Reviews Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, the transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| SPP RTO and SPP Integrated and Wholesale Markets | SPS is a transmission owning member of the SPP RTO and operates within the SPP RTO and SPP integrated and wholesale markets. SPS is authorized to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Advanced Metering System Surcharge | Recovers costs incurred in deployment of the Advanced Metering System in Texas. | |
| Consulting Fee Rider | Recovers consulting fees and carrying charges incurred by SPS on behalf of the PUCT. | |
| Distribution Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers distribution costs not included in rates in Texas, including recovery of deferred Texas System Resiliency Plan costs. | |
| Electric Vehicle Rider | Recovers costs of the Transportation Electrification Plan in New Mexico. | |
| Energy Efficiency Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in Texas. | |
| Energy Efficiency Rider | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in New Mexico. | |
| Fixed Fuel and Purchased Recovery Factor | Provides for the over- or under-recovery of energy expenses in Texas. Regulations require refunding or surcharging over- or under- recovery amounts, including interest, when they exceed 4% of the utility’s annual fuel and purchased energy costs on a rolling 12-month basis if this condition is expected to continue. | |
| Fuel and Purchased Power Cost Adjustment Clause | Adjusts monthly to recover actual fuel and purchased power costs in New Mexico. | |
| Grid Modernization Rider | Recovers costs incurred in the implementation of Grid Modernization Components in New Mexico. | |
| Generation Cost Recovery Rider | Recovers investments in a power generation facility outside of a base rate proceeding | |
| Renewable Portfolio Standards | Recovers deferred costs for renewable energy programs in New Mexico. | |
| Transmission Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers certain transmission infrastructure improvement costs and changes in wholesale transmission charges not included in Texas base rates. | |
| Wholesale Fuel and Purchased Energy Cost Adjustment | SPS recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from its wholesale customers through a monthly wholesale fuel and purchased energy cost adjustment clause accepted by the FERC. Wholesale customers also pay the jurisdictional allocation of production costs. |
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Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2025 New Mexico Electric Rate Case — In November 2025, SPS filed an electric rate case with the NMPRC seeking a revenue increase of $175 million (16.7%). The request is based on a future test year period ending November 30, 2027, a ROE of 10.5%, an equity ratio of 56% and retail rate base of $3.9 billion.
The request reflects:
•Significant retail revenue growth.
•Continued capital investment primarily to support the clean energy transition and load growth.
•Planned roll-off of 100 MW of wholesale load in 2026.
SPS’ base rate request (millions of dollars):
| Retail revenue growth | $ | (204) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Increase in allocation of assets and costs to New Mexico retail, including impact of wholesale load roll-off | 148 | ||
| Capital investment | 133 | ||
| O&M expenses | 36 | ||
| Depreciation rate changes and amortization | 34 | ||
| Increase in requested ROE | 28 | ||
| Total rate request | $ | 175 |
The procedural schedule is as follows:
•Intervenor direct testimony: March 27, 2026
•Rebuttal testimony: April 17, 2026
•Public Evidentiary Hearing: May 26 - June 5, 2026
A NMPRC decision and implementation of final rates is anticipated in the second half of 2026.
SPS Resource Plan (IRP) — In October 2023, SPS filed its IRP with the NMPRC, which supports projected load growth and increasing reliability requirements, and secures replacement energy and capacity for retiring resources.
In July 2024, SPS issued a RFP, seeking approximately 3,200 MW of accredited capacity by 2030. In July 2025, the portfolio selection report was publicly filed with the NMPRC with 3,121 MW of accredited capacity resources, including the following:
| Generation Resource Nameplate Capacity (in MW) | Company Owned | PPAs | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Resources | 1,273 | — | 1,273 | ||
| Solar | 695 | — | 695 | ||
| Storage | 472 | 640 | 1,112 | ||
| Natural Gas | 2,088 | — | 2,088 | ||
| Total | 4,528 | 640 | 5,168 |
SPS filed or expects to file Certificate of Convenience and Necessity filings for the specific assets with the PUCT and NMPRC in 2025 and 2026, with approvals expected in 2026 and 2027.
2025 Resource Acquisition – In October 2025, SPS issued a RFP to solicit 870 MW of accredited capacity (approximately 1,500 MW to 3,000 MW nameplate capacity) through 2032. Additional resources will be evaluated to meet the New Mexico Renewable Portfolio Standard compliance need. Bids were received in January 2026, and the portfolio is expected to be filed in the second half of 2026.
Excess Liability Insurance Deferral – In March 2025, SPS filed a request with the PUCT and in April 2025, SPS filed a request with the NMPRC for deferred accounting treatment for incremental excess liability insurance expense incurred as a result of the October 2024 policy renewal, estimated at approximately $30 million across the two jurisdictions. In October 2025, the NMPRC approved the request, resulting in a deferral of approximately $15 million of incremental excess liability insurance costs in 2025. In January 2026, SPS, PUCT Staff and other intervenors filed a black box settlement expected to result in annual deferrals of approximately $8 million in 2026 and 2027. A PUCT decision is expected in the first half of 2026.
Texas System Resiliency Plan — In December 2024, SPS filed its Texas SRP with the PUCT. Consistent with PUCT requirements, SPS’ proposed plan discusses resiliency-related risks and the five measures that have been designed to help SPS prevent, withstand, mitigate or more promptly recover from resiliency events, including wildfire. The proposed SRP covers 2025-2028 and includes a proposed $538 million of investment.
In April 2025, SPS filed a unanimous stipulation and settlement agreement. The settlement includes approximately $490 million of spend over the plan period, adjusted largely to reflect the removal of the operational flexibility measure for investment in the normal course of business. The settlement also includes the deferral of distribution-related costs, including depreciation expense and carrying costs at SPS’ weighted average cost of capital.
In July 2025, the PUCT approved the SRP, authorizing approximately $495 million of spend over the plan period, including reinstating previously removed distribution hardening projects.
Purchased Power Arrangements and Transmission Service Providers
SPS expects to use electric generating stations, power purchases, DSM and new generation options to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — SPS purchases power from other utilities and IPPs. Long-term purchased power contracts typically require periodic capacity and energy charges. SPS also makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements to replace owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — SPS has contractual arrangements with SPP and regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to its native load customers.
Natural Gas
SPS does not provide retail natural gas service, but purchases and transports natural gas for its generation facilities and operates limited natural gas pipeline facilities connecting the generation facilities to interstate natural gas pipelines, subject in certain cases to the regulation of the Railroad Commission of Texas. SPS is subject to the jurisdiction of the FERC with respect to natural gas transactions in interstate commerce and the PHMSA, DOT and PUCT for pipeline safety compliance.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
SPS conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. SPS uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and to hedge sales and purchases. Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
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Other
Supply Chain
Xcel Energy’s ability to meet customer energy requirements, growing customer demand, respond to storm-related disruptions, and execute our capital expenditure program are dependent on maintaining an efficient supply chain.
Large global demand for energy-related infrastructure has stretched equipment supply chains, extended delivery dates and increased prices for items like combustion turbines, transformers and other large electrical equipment. The labor market for skilled engineering and construction resources to build renewables and gas generation has also been strained, impacting cost and availability.
In addition, manufacturing processes have experienced disruptions related to the scarcity of certain raw materials and interruptions in production and shipping. The impact of inflationary pressures, geopolitical events and federal policies have exacerbated the situation. Xcel Energy continues to monitor the situation as it remains fluid and seeks to mitigate the impacts by securing alternative suppliers and key vendor partners, increasing procurement lead times, modifying design standards, and adjusting the timing of work.
Tariffs, Trade Complaints and Federal Actions
Several trade cases related to anti-dumping and countervailing duty investigations are ongoing and we continue to monitor the potential impacts of these cases.
In 2025, several executive orders have been issued imposing new global and country-specific tariffs on many imports, which may impact our procurement and development activities. Additionally, executive orders and actions from government agencies may impact the permitting of wind and solar facilities and the retirement of coal facilities.
Xcel Energy continues to assess the impacts of these tariffs, executive orders, trade complaints and federal policies on its business, including company owned projects and PPAs. Xcel Energy may seek regulatory relief, if required, in its jurisdictions.
Continued and/or further policy actions or other restrictions, disruptions in imports from key suppliers, or any new trade complaint could impact viability, timelines and costs of various projects and PPAs.
Tax Law Changes
On July 4, 2025, the President signed into law Public Law No. 119-21 (the “OBBB”). The OBBB modifies certain clean energy tax provisions included in the Inflation Reduction Act. The provisions include:
•Eliminating production and investment tax credits for wind and solar facilities placed in service after 2027, for facilities that begin construction after July 4, 2026.
•The addition of foreign entity of concern rules that apply to projects commencing construction after 2025.
In August 2025, the U.S. Treasury issued further guidance related to the beginning of construction for clean energy projects. In February 2026, the U.S. Treasury and IRS released initial guidance regarding foreign entities of concern. The notice includes interim safe harbor guidance for the purposes of assessing material assistance from a prohibited foreign entity for wind, solar and storage tax credits. Further guidance is expected to be released throughout 2026 related to such rules.
Xcel Energy does not expect these provisions to have an impact on our 2026-2030 base capital plan, as steps have been taken to begin construction under the IRS’ safe harbor guidance.
Excess Liability Insurance Coverage
Xcel Energy maintains excess liability coverage, which is intended to insure against liability to third parties. Through the third quarter of 2024, Xcel Energy had approximately $600 million of excess liability coverage; including $520 million of wildfire coverage with an annual premium of approximately $40 million. Examples of claims paid under this policy include property damage or bodily injury to members of the public caused by Xcel Energy’s employees, equipment or facilities. The increased wildfire liability risk and claims are driving a significant increase of premiums and reductions in insurance coverage in the excess liability markets, especially in the western United States.
In October 2024, Xcel Energy renewed its excess liability coverage and now has $450 million of total coverage; including $450 million of wildfire coverage for the NSP System and $300 million of wildfire coverage for PSCo and SPS. The annual premium for this excess liability insurance is approximately $130 million. In October 2025, Xcel Energy renewed its excess liability coverage for the same level with an annual premium of approximately $135 million. Xcel Energy has received approval to defer incremental costs in Colorado, Wisconsin and New Mexico and is awaiting approval of a settlement agreement allowing deferral of certain costs in Texas.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Preparation of the consolidated financial statements requires the application of accounting rules and guidance, as well as the use of estimates. Application of these policies involves judgments regarding future events, including the likelihood of success of particular projects, legal and regulatory challenges and anticipated recovery of costs. These judgments could materially impact the consolidated financial statements, based on varying assumptions. In addition, the financial and operating environment also may have a significant effect on the operation of the business and results reported.
Accounting policies and estimates that are most significant to Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition or cash flows, and require management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments are outlined below. Each of these has a higher likelihood of resulting in materially different reported amounts under different conditions or using different assumptions. Each critical accounting policy has been reviewed and discussed with the Audit Committee of Xcel Energy Inc.’s Board of Directors on a quarterly basis.
Regulatory Accounting
Xcel Energy is subject to the accounting for Regulated Operations, which provides that rate-regulated entities report assets and liabilities consistent with the recovery of those incurred costs in rates, if it is probable that such rates will be charged and collected. Our rates are derived through the ratemaking process, which results in the recording of regulatory assets and liabilities based on the probability of future cash flows.
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Regulatory assets generally represent incurred or accrued costs that have been deferred because future recovery from customers is probable. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts that are expected to be refunded to customers in future rates or amounts collected in current rates for future costs. In other businesses or industries, regulatory assets and regulatory liabilities would generally be charged to net income or other comprehensive income.
Each reporting period we assess the probability of future recoveries and obligations associated with regulatory assets and liabilities. Factors such as the current regulatory environment, recently issued rate orders and historical precedents are considered. Decisions made by regulatory agencies can directly impact the amount and timing of cost recovery as well as the rate of return on invested capital, and may materially impact our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.
As of Dec. 31, 2025 and 2024, Xcel Energy had regulatory assets of $3.5 billion and $3.4 billion, respectively and regulatory liabilities of $7.0 billion and $6.9 billion, respectively. Each subsidiary is subject to regulation that varies from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. If future recovery of costs in any such jurisdiction is no longer probable, Xcel Energy would be required to charge these assets to current net income or other comprehensive income.
At Dec. 31, 2025, in assessing the probability of recovery of recognized regulatory assets, unless otherwise disclosed, Xcel Energy noted no current or anticipated proposals or changes in the regulatory environment that it expects will materially impact the recovery of the assets.
See Notes 4 and 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Income Tax Accruals
Judgment, uncertainty and estimates are a significant aspect of the income tax accrual process that accounts for the effects of current and deferred income taxes. Uncertainty associated with the application of tax statutes and regulations and outcomes of tax audits and appeals require that judgment and estimates be made in the accrual process and in the calculation of the ETR.
Changes in tax laws and rates may affect recorded deferred tax assets and liabilities and our future ETR. ETR calculations are revised every quarter based on best available year-end tax assumptions, adjusted in the following year after returns are filed. Tax accrual estimates are trued-up to the actual amounts claimed on the tax returns and further adjusted after examinations by taxing authorities, as needed.
In accordance with the interim period reporting guidance, income tax expense for the first three quarters in a year is based on the forecasted annual ETR. The forecasted ETR reflects a number of estimates, including forecasted annual income, permanent tax adjustments and tax credits.
Valuation allowances are applied to deferred tax assets if it is more likely than not that at least a portion may not be realized. Accounting for income taxes also requires that only tax benefits that meet the more likely than not recognition threshold can be recognized or continue to be recognized.
We may adjust our unrecognized tax benefits and interest accruals as disputes with the IRS and state tax authorities are resolved, and as new developments occur. These adjustments may increase or decrease earnings.
See Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Employee Benefits
We sponsor several noncontributory, defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans that cover almost all employees and certain retirees. Projected benefit costs are based on historical information and actuarial calculations that include key assumptions (annual return level on pension and postretirement health care investment assets, discount rates, mortality rates and health care cost trend rates, etc.). In addition, the pension cost calculation uses a methodology to reduce the volatility of investment performance over time. Pension assumptions are continually reviewed.
At Dec. 31, 2025, Xcel Energy set the rate of return on assets used to measure pension costs at 7.13%, which remains unchanged from the rate set at Dec. 31, 2024. The rate of return used to measure postretirement health care costs is 6.25% at Dec. 31, 2025, which remains unchanged from the rate set in 2024. Xcel Energy’s pension investment strategy includes plan-specific investments that seek to align the investment allocations to optimize risk adjusted return and interest rate risk management based on factors that include the plan’s funded status. This strategy generally results in a greater percentage of interest rate sensitive securities being allocated to plans with higher funded status ratios and a greater percentage of growth assets being allocated to plans having lower funded status ratios.
Xcel Energy set the discount rates used to value the pension obligations and postretirement health care obligations at 5.78% and 5.66% at Dec. 31, 2025, respectively. This represents a 10 basis point and 22 basis point decrease, respectively, from 2024. Xcel Energy uses a bond matching study as its primary basis for determining the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement health care obligations. The bond matching study utilizes a portfolio of high grade (Aa or higher) bonds that matches the expected cash flows of Xcel Energy’s benefit plans in amount and duration.
The effective yield on this cash flow matched bond portfolio determines the discount rate for the individual plans. The bond matching study is validated for reasonableness against the Bank of America US Corporate 15+ Bond Index. In addition, Xcel Energy reviews general actuarial survey data to assess the reasonableness of the discount rate selected.
If Xcel Energy were to use alternative assumptions, a 1% change would result in the following impact on 2026 pension costs, net of the effects of regulation:
| Pension Costs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | +1% | -1% | |||||
| Rate of return | $ | (12) | $ | 22 | |||
| Discount rate | (4) | — |
Mortality rates are developed from actual and projected plan experience for pension plan and postretirement benefits. Xcel Energy’s actuary conducts an experience study periodically to determine an estimate of mortality. Xcel Energy considers standard mortality tables, improvement factors and the plans actual experience when selecting a best estimate.
As of Dec. 31, 2025, the initial medical trend cost claim assumptions for Pre-65 was 7.0% and Post-65 was 7.5%. The ultimate trend assumption remained at 4.5% for both Pre-65 and Post-65 claims costs. Xcel Energy bases its medical trend assumption on the long-term cost inflation expected in the health care market, considering the levels projected and recommended by industry experts, as well as recent actual medical cost experienced by Xcel Energy’s retiree medical plan.
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Funding contributions in 2025 were $125 million and will be $75 million in 2026. In future years contributions will remain relatively consistent. Investment returns were more than the assumed levels in 2025 and 2023, but were less than the assumed levels in 2024.
The pension cost calculation uses a market-related valuation of pension assets. Xcel Energy uses a calculated value method to determine the market-related value of the plan assets. The market-related value is determined by adjusting the fair market value of assets at the beginning of the year to reflect the investment gains and losses (the difference between the actual investment return and the expected investment return on the market-related value) during each of the previous five years at the rate of 20% per year.
As differences between actual and expected investment returns are incorporated into the market-related value, amounts are recognized in pension cost over the expected average remaining years of service for active employees (approximately 14 years in 2025).
Xcel Energy currently projects the pension costs recognized for financial reporting purposes will be $85 million in 2026, while the actual pension costs were $59 million in 2025 and $79 million in 2024.
Pension funding contributions across all four of Xcel Energy’s pension plans, both voluntary and required, for 2023 - 2026:
•$75 million in January 2026.
•$125 million in 2025.
•$100 million in 2024.
•$50 million in 2023.
Future amounts may change based on actual market performance, changes in interest rates and any changes in governmental regulations. Therefore, additional contributions could be required in the future. Xcel Energy contributed $13 million in 2025 and $11 million during 2024 and 2023, to the postretirement health care plans. Xcel Energy expects to contribute approximately $8 million during 2026.
Xcel Energy recovers employee benefits costs in its utility operations consistent with accounting guidance with the exception of the areas noted below.
•NSP-Minnesota recognizes pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions using the aggregate normal cost actuarial method. Differences between aggregate normal cost and expense as calculated by pension accounting standards are deferred as a regulatory liability.
•PSCo and SPS recognize pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions based on GAAP. The Texas and Colorado electric retail jurisdictions and the Colorado gas retail jurisdiction, each record the difference between annual recognized pension expense and the annual amount of pension expense approved in their last respective general rate case as a deferral to a regulatory asset.
•Regulatory Commissions in Texas, New Mexico and FERC jurisdictions allow the recovery of other postretirement benefit costs only to the extent that recognized expense is matched by cash contributions to an irrevocable trust. Xcel Energy has consistently funded at a level to allow full recovery of costs in these jurisdictions.
•PSCo is required to create a regulatory liability to the extent expense is less than that included in rates. No adjustment was needed in 2025.
See Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Nuclear Decommissioning
Xcel Energy recognizes liabilities for the expected cost of retiring tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. These AROs are recognized at fair value as incurred and are capitalized as part of the cost of the related long-lived assets. In the absence of quoted market prices, Xcel Energy estimates the fair value of its AROs using present value techniques, in which it makes assumptions including estimates of the amounts and timing of future cash flows associated with retirement activities, credit-adjusted risk free rates and cost escalation rates. When Xcel Energy revises any assumptions, it adjusts the carrying amount of both the ARO liability and related long-lived asset. ARO liabilities are accreted to reflect the passage of time using the interest method.
A significant portion of Xcel Energy’s AROs relates to the future decommissioning of NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear facilities. The nuclear decommissioning obligation is funded by the external decommissioning trust fund. Difference between regulatory funding (including depreciation expense less returns from the external trust fund) and expense recognized is deferred as a regulatory liability. The amounts recorded for AROs related to future nuclear decommissioning were $2.6 billion in 2025 and $2.5 billion in 2024.
NSP-Minnesota obtains periodic independent cost studies to estimate the cost and timing of planned nuclear decommissioning activities. Estimates of future cash flows are highly uncertain and may vary significantly from actual results. NSP-Minnesota is required to file a nuclear decommissioning filing every three years. The filing covers all expenses for the decommissioning of the nuclear plants, including decontamination and removal of radioactive material. In November 2024, the 2025-2027 Triennial Nuclear Plant Decommissioning Study was filed and was approved by the MPUC in May 2025.
The following assumptions have a significant effect on the estimated nuclear obligation:
Timing — Decommissioning cost estimates are impacted by each facility’s retirement date and timing of the actual decommissioning activities. Estimated retirement dates coincide with the retirement dates approved by the MPUC, which can be different than the expiration dates of each unit’s operating license with the NRC.
NSP-Minnesota’s current operating licenses allow continued use of its Monticello nuclear plant until 2050 and its Prairie Island nuclear plant until 2033 for Unit 1 and 2034 for Unit 2. NSP-Minnesota's authorized retirement dates are 2040 for Monticello, 2033 for Prairie Island Unit 1 and 2034 for Prairie Island Unit 2. During 2025, the Commission approved extended lives for Prairie Island Unit 1 and Unit 2 and Monticello (2053, 2054, and 2050, respectively) in the Upper Midwest Resource Plan. A request to update authorized retirement dates and related decommissioning estimates to incorporate the extended lives are pending with the Commission. These will be incorporated in decommissioning estimates once additional approvals have been received.
The estimated timing of the decommissioning activities is based upon the 60 year DECON method, which assumes prompt removal and dismantlement. Decommissioning activities are expected to begin at the commission approved retirement date and be completed for both facilities by approximately 2101.
Technology and Regulation — There is limited experience with actual decommissioning of large nuclear facilities. Changes in technology, experience and regulations could cause cost estimates to change significantly.
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Escalation Rates — Escalation rates represent projected cost increases due to general inflation and increases in the cost of decommissioning activities. NSP-Minnesota used escalation rates of 3.30% and 4.50%, for non-labor and labor expenses respectively, in calculating the ARO for nuclear decommissioning of its nuclear facilities.
Discount Rates — Changes in timing or estimated cash flows that result in upward revisions to the ARO are calculated using the then-current credit-adjusted risk-free interest rate. The credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect when the change occurs is used to discount the revised estimate of the incremental expected cash flows of the retirement activity.
If the change in timing or estimated expected cash flows results in a downward revision of the ARO, the undiscounted revised estimate of expected cash flows is discounted using the credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect at the date of initial measurement and recognition of the original ARO. Discount rates ranging from approximately 3% to 7% have been used to calculate the net present value of the expected future cash flows over time.
Significant uncertainties exist in estimating future costs including the method to be utilized, ultimate costs to decommission and planned method of disposing spent fuel. If different cost estimates, life assumptions or cost escalation rates were utilized, the AROs could change materially.
However, changes in estimates have minimal impact on results of operations as NSP-Minnesota expects to continue to recover all costs in future rates.
NSP-Minnesota continually makes judgments and estimates related to these critical accounting policy areas, based on an evaluation of the assumptions and uncertainties for each area. The information and assumptions of these judgments and estimates will be affected by events beyond the control of Xcel Energy, or otherwise change over time.
This may require adjustments to recorded results to better reflect updated information that becomes available. The accompanying financial statements reflect management’s best estimates and judgments of the impact of these factors as of Dec. 31, 2025.
See Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Loss Contingencies – Wildfires
The outcomes of legal proceedings and claims brought against Xcel Energy related to the Marshall Fire, Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex or any future wildfire are subject to uncertainty. An estimated loss from a loss contingency such as a legal proceeding or claim is accrued if it is probable of being incurred and the amount of the loss can be reasonably estimated. Each reporting period we evaluate, among other factors, the degree of probability of unfavorable outcomes and the ability to make reasonable estimates of potential losses. The process for evaluating any wildfire-related liabilities requires a series of complex judgments about past and future events. Factors such as the cause of a wildfire, the extent and magnitude of potential damages and the status of investigation, legal proceedings, mediations and settlements are considered. See Note 12 accompanying the consolidated financial statements for additional information.
Derivatives, Risk Management and Market Risk
We are exposed to a variety of market risks in the normal course of business. Market risk is the potential loss that may occur as a result of adverse changes in the market or fair value for a particular instrument or commodity. All financial and commodity-related instruments, including derivatives, are subject to market risk.
Xcel Energy is exposed to the impact of adverse changes in price for energy and energy-related products, which is partially mitigated by the use of commodity derivatives. In addition to ongoing monitoring and maintaining credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk, management takes steps to mitigate changes in credit and concentration risks associated with its derivatives and other contracts, including parental guarantees and requests of collateral. While we expect that the counterparties will perform on the contracts underlying our derivatives, the contracts expose us to credit and non-performance risk.
Distress in the financial markets may impact counterparty risk and the fair value of the securities in the nuclear decommissioning fund and pension fund.
Commodity Price Risk — We are exposed to commodity price risk in our electric and natural gas operations. Commodity price risk is managed by entering into long and short-term physical purchase and sales contracts for electric capacity, energy and energy-related products and fuels used in generation and distribution activities.
Commodity price risk is also managed through the use of financial derivative instruments. Our risk management policy allows us to manage commodity price risk within each rate-regulated operation per commission approved hedge plans.
Wholesale and Commodity Trading Risk — Xcel Energy conducts various wholesale and commodity trading activities, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, energy-related instruments and natural gas-related instruments, including derivatives. Our risk management policy allows management to conduct these activities within guidelines and limitations as approved by our risk management committee.
Fair value of net commodity trading contracts as of Dec. 31, 2025:
| Futures / Forwards Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than 5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (a) | $ | (10) | $ | (15) | $ | (3) | $ | (1) | $ | (29) | |||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | 1 | (2) | — | (4) | (5) | ||||||||||||||
| PSCo (a) | (1) | — | — | — | (1) | ||||||||||||||
| $ | (10) | $ | (17) | $ | (3) | $ | (5) | $ | (35) |
| Options Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than 5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | $ | — | $ | 10 | $ | 10 | $ | — | $ | 20 |
(a)Prices actively quoted or based on actively quoted prices.
(b)Prices based on models and other valuation methods.
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Changes in the fair value of commodity trading contracts before the impacts of margin-sharing for the years ended Dec. 31:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2025 | 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Jan. 1 | $ | (2) | $ | 1 | |||
| Contracts realized or settled during the period | (1) | — | |||||
| Commodity trading contract additions and changes during the period | (12) | (3) | |||||
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Dec. 31 | $ | (15) | $ | (2) |
A 10% increase and 10% decrease in forward market prices for Xcel Energy’s commodity trading contracts would have likewise increased and decreased pretax income from continuing operations, by approximately $2 million at Dec. 31, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2024.
The utility subsidiaries’ commodity trading operations measure the outstanding risk exposure to price changes on contracts and obligations using an industry standard methodology known as VaR. VaR expresses the potential change in fair value of the outstanding contracts and obligations over a particular period of time under normal market conditions.
The VaRs for the NSP-Minnesota and PSCo commodity trading operations, excluding both non-derivative transactions and derivative transactions designated as normal purchases and normal sales, calculated on a consolidated basis using a Monte Carlo simulation with a 95% confidence level and a one-day holding period, were as follows:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Year Ended Dec. 31 | Average | High | Low | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 1 | $ | — | |||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | 1 | — |
Interest Rate Risk — Xcel Energy is subject to interest rate risk. Our risk management policy allows interest rate risk to be managed through the use of fixed rate debt, floating rate debt and interest rate derivatives.
A 100 basis point change in the benchmark rate on Xcel Energy’s variable rate debt would impact pretax interest expense annually by approximately $17 million and $7 million in 2025 and 2024, respectively.
NSP-Minnesota maintains a nuclear decommissioning fund, as required by the NRC. The nuclear decommissioning fund is subject to interest rate and equity price risk. The fund is invested in a diversified portfolio of debt securities, equity securities and other investments. These investments may be used only for the purpose of decommissioning NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear generating plants.
Fluctuations in equity prices or interest rates affecting the nuclear decommissioning fund do not have a direct impact on earnings due to the application of regulatory accounting. Realized and unrealized gains on the decommissioning fund investments are deferred as an offset of NSP-Minnesota’s regulatory asset for nuclear decommissioning costs.
The value of pension and postretirement plan assets and benefit costs are impacted by changes in discount rates and expected return on plan assets. Xcel Energy’s ongoing pension and postretirement investment strategy is based on plan-specific investment recommendations that seek to optimize potential investment risk and minimize interest rate risk associated with changes in the obligations as a plan’s funded status increases over time. The impacts of fluctuations in interest rates on pension and postretirement costs are mitigated by pension cost calculation methodologies and regulatory mechanisms that minimize the earnings impacts of such changes.
Credit Risk — Xcel Energy is also exposed to credit risk. Credit risk relates to the risk of loss resulting from counterparties’ nonperformance on their contractual obligations. Xcel Energy maintains credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk and actively monitors these policies to reflect changes and scope of operations.
Credit exposure is monitored, and when necessary, the activity with a specific counterparty is limited until credit enhancement is provided. Distress in the financial markets could increase our credit risk.
Xcel Energy’s subsidiaries are subject to credit risk from contracts with generating equipment manufacturers and other suppliers that require deposits or milestone payments. In the event of non-performance by these counterparties, the Xcel Energy subsidiaries could experience credit losses, increased costs or project delays. Xcel Energy frequently seeks to mitigate this risk by requiring parent guarantees, letters of credit or other types of credit support.
Xcel Energy is also subject to credit risk for all wholesale, trading and non-trading commodity counterparties and employs credit risk controls, such as letters of credit, parental guarantees, master netting agreements and termination provisions.
At Dec. 31, 2025, a 10% increase or decrease in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase or decrease in credit exposure of $27 million. At Dec. 31, 2024, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $26 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in an decrease in credit exposure of $25 million.
Fair Value Measurements
Derivative contracts, with the exception of those designated as normal purchases and normal sales, are reported at fair value. Xcel Energy’s investments held in the nuclear decommissioning fund, rabbi trusts, pension and other postretirement funds are also subject to fair value accounting. See Notes 10 and 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Cash Flows
Operating Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2024 | $ | 4,641 | |
| Components of change — 2025 vs. 2024 | |||
| Higher net income | 82 | ||
| Non-cash transactions | 121 | ||
| Changes in deferred taxes | 189 | ||
| Changes in working capital | (304) | ||
| Changes in net regulatory and other assets and liabilities | (646) | ||
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2025 | $ | 4,083 |
Net cash provided by operating activities decreased by $558 million for 2025 as compared to 2024. The decrease was largely due to the payment of the Marshall Wildfire settlement and timing of regulatory recovery, including deferred fuel costs.
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Investing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash used in investing activities — 2024 | $ | (7,428) | |
| Components of change — 2025 vs. 2024 | |||
| Increased capital expenditures | (3,544) | ||
| Other investing activities | 3 | ||
| Cash used in investing activities — 2025 | $ | (10,969) |
Net cash used in investing activities increased by $3,541 million for 2025 as compared to 2024. The increase in capital expenditures was largely due to continued system expansion and increased investment in renewable and transmission projects.
Financing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by financing activities —2024 | $ | 2,837 | |
| Components of change — 2025 vs. 2024 | |||
| Higher long-term debt issuances, net of repayments | 1,059 | ||
| Higher net short-term debt proceeds | 945 | ||
| Higher proceeds from issuance of common stock | 2,232 | ||
| Other financing activities | (92) | ||
| Cash provided by financing activities — 2025 | $ | 6,981 |
Net cash provided by financing activities increased by $4,144 million for 2025 as compared to 2024. The increase was largely related to additional debt and common stock issuances to fund capital investment.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Capital Requirements
Xcel Energy has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future. Xcel Energy expects to have adequate amounts of cash from operating and financing activities to meet both its short-term and long-term cash requirements. Xcel Energy’s financing requirements are dependent on both existing contractual obligations and other commitments, as well as projected capital forecasts. Xcel Energy expects to meet future financing requirements by periodically issuing short-term debt, long-term debt, common stock, hybrid and other securities to maintain desired capitalization ratios. Projected future financing requirements can be impacted by various factors including constraints to supply chain and labor, regulatory lag and inflation.
Material Cash Requirements and Other Commitments
| Payments Due by Period (as of Dec. 31, 2025) | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Total | Less than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 3 to 5 Years | After 5 Years | |||||||||||||
| Long-term debt, principal and interest payments | $ | 57,743 | $ | 1,937 | $ | 4,766 | $ | 3,793 | $ | 47,247 | ||||||||
| Finance lease obligations | 2,183 | 112 | 225 | 232 | 1,614 | |||||||||||||
| Operating leases obligations (a) | 1,259 | 152 | 250 | 226 | 631 | |||||||||||||
| Unconditional purchase obligations (b) | 4,264 | 1,264 | 1,097 | 520 | 1,383 | |||||||||||||
| Short-term debt | 1,550 | 1,550 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Other | 587 | 574 | 13 | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Total contractual cash obligations | $ | 67,586 | $ | 5,589 | $ | 6,351 | $ | 4,771 | $ | 50,875 |
(a)Included in operating lease obligations are $121 million, $170 million, $156 million and $185 million, for the less than 1 year, 1 - 3 years, 3 - 5 years and after 5 years categories, respectively, pertaining to PPAs that are accounted for as operating leases.
(b)Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries have contracts providing for the purchase and delivery of a significant portion of its fuel (nuclear, natural gas and coal) requirements. Additionally, the utility subsidiaries of Xcel Energy Inc. have entered into non-lease purchase power agreements. Certain contractual purchase obligations are adjusted on indices. Effects of price changes are mitigated through cost of energy adjustment mechanisms.
Capital Expenditures — Base capital expenditures for Xcel Energy for 2026 through 2030:
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Regulated Utility | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2026 - 2030 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 3,380 | $ | 3,740 | $ | 4,870 | $ | 4,210 | $ | 3,660 | $ | 3,650 | $ | 20,130 | |||||||||||||
| SPS | 1,610 | 3,050 | 5,120 | 5,350 | 3,240 | 2,270 | 19,030 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| PSCo | 5,440 | 5,980 | 3,940 | 2,960 | 1,760 | 2,960 | 17,600 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 710 | 910 | 1,210 | 760 | 570 | 580 | 4,030 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other (a) | 470 | 110 | (10) | (630) | (210) | (50) | (790) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 11,610 | $ | 13,790 | $ | 15,130 | $ | 12,650 | $ | 9,020 | $ | 9,410 | $ | 60,000 |
(a)Other category includes intercompany transfers for equipment with long lead times.
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| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Function | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2026 - 2030 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric transmission | $ | 2,250 | $ | 3,060 | $ | 2,930 | $ | 2,890 | $ | 3,190 | $ | 3,370 | $ | 15,440 | |||||||||||||
| Renewables | 3,190 | 3,560 | 4,620 | 3,380 | 1,150 | 1,210 | 13,920 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric distribution | 2,690 | 2,920 | 3,250 | 2,930 | 1,680 | 2,930 | 13,710 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric generation | 1,250 | 2,220 | 2,420 | 2,500 | 1,810 | 590 | 9,540 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Natural gas | 740 | 860 | 830 | 700 | 650 | 680 | 3,720 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other | 1,490 | 1,170 | 1,080 | 250 | 540 | 630 | 3,670 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 11,610 | $ | 13,790 | $ | 15,130 | $ | 12,650 | $ | 9,020 | $ | 9,410 | $ | 60,000 |
The plan does not include any potential incremental generation from the current Colorado Near-Term Procurement and Resource Plan, additional future generation RFPs across jurisdictions to fund growth, or additional transmission investments that may come from future planning processes including MISO and SPP. Xcel Energy expects to fund additional capital investment with approximately 40% equity and 60% debt.
Xcel Energy’s capital expenditure forecast is subject to continuing review and modification. Actual capital expenditures may vary from estimates due to changes in electric and natural gas projected load growth, safety and reliability needs, regulatory decisions, legislative initiatives, tax policy, reserve requirements, availability of purchased power, alternative plans for meeting long-term energy needs, environmental initiatives and regulation, and merger, acquisition and divestiture opportunities.
Financing for Capital Expenditures through 2030 — Xcel Energy issues debt and equity securities to refinance retiring debt maturities, reduce short-term debt, fund capital programs, infuse equity in subsidiaries, fund asset acquisitions and for general corporate purposes.
Current estimated financing plans of Xcel Energy for 2026 through 2030 (includes the impact of tax credit transferability):
| (Millions of Dollars) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Funding Capital Expenditures | |||
| Cash from operations (a) | $ | 30,180 | |
| New debt (b) | 22,820 | ||
| Equity issuances (c) | 7,000 | ||
| Base capital expenditures 2026 - 2030 | $ | 60,000 | |
| Maturing debt | $ | 3,580 |
(a)Net of dividends and pension funding.
(b)Reflects a combination of short and long-term debt; net of refinancing.
(c)Amount could include other financing instruments that receive equity credit from the credit rating agencies.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Xcel Energy does not have any off-balance-sheet arrangements, other than those currently disclosed, that have or are reasonably likely to have a current or future effect on financial condition, changes in financial condition, revenues or expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital expenditures or capital resources that is material to investors.
Common Stock Dividends — Future dividend levels will be dependent on Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, reinvestment opportunities and other factors, and will be evaluated by the Xcel Energy Inc. Board of Directors. In February 2026, Xcel Energy announced an increase in the annual dividend of 9 cents per share, which represents an increase of 4.0%.
Xcel Energy’s dividend policy balances the following:
•Projected cash generation.
•Projected capital investment.
•A reasonable rate of return on shareholder investment.
•The impact on Xcel Energy’s capital structure and credit ratings.
In addition, there are certain statutory limitations that could affect dividend levels. Federal law places limits on the ability of public utilities within a holding company to declare dividends. Under the Federal Power Act, a public utility may not pay dividends from any funds properly included in a capital account. The utility subsidiaries’ dividends may be limited directly or indirectly by state regulatory commissions or bond indenture covenants.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Pension Fund — Xcel Energy’s pension assets are invested in a diversified portfolio of domestic and international equity securities, short-term to long-duration fixed income securities and alternative investments, including private equity, real estate and hedge funds.
Funded status and pension assumptions:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Dec. 31, 2025 | Dec. 31, 2024 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of pension assets | $ | 2,690 | $ | 2,504 | |||
| Projected pension obligation (a) | 2,820 | 2,752 | |||||
| Funded status | $ | (130) | $ | (248) |
(a)Excludes non-qualified plan of $13 million at both Dec. 31, 2025 and 2024.
| Pension Assumptions | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount rate for year-end valuation | 5.78 | % | 5.88 | % | ||
| Expected long-term rate of return | 7.13 | 7.13 |
Capital Sources
Short-Term Funding Sources — Xcel Energy generally funds short-term needs, through operating cash flows, notes payable, commercial paper and bank lines of credit. The amount and timing of short-term funding needs depend on construction expenditures, working capital and dividend payments.
Short-Term Investments — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS maintain cash and short-term investment accounts.
Short-Term Debt — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS each have individual commercial paper programs. Authorized levels for these commercial paper programs are:
•$2 billion for Xcel Energy Inc.
•$1.2 billion for PSCo.
•$800 million for NSP-Minnesota.
•$600 million for SPS.
•$150 million for NSP-Wisconsin.
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See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Credit Facility Agreements — As of Feb. 23, 2026, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Facility (a) | Drawn (b) | Available | Cash | Liquidity | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | $ | 2,000 | $ | 790 | $ | 1,210 | $ | 21 | $ | 1,231 | |||||||||
| PSCo | 1,200 | 308 | 892 | 9 | 901 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 800 | 329 | 471 | 3 | 474 | ||||||||||||||
| SPS | 600 | 213 | 387 | 11 | 398 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 150 | — | 150 | 2 | 152 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 4,750 | $ | 1,640 | $ | 3,110 | $ | 46 | $ | 3,156 | |||||||||
| Term Loan (c) | 1,500 | 750 | 750 | — | 750 |
(a)Credit facilities expire in December 2029.
(b)Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit.
(c)Xcel Energy Inc.’s $1.5 billion term loan (entered into in January 2026) matures in January 2027.
Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, PSCo and SPS each have the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for two additional one-year periods. NSP-Wisconsin has the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for an additional year. All extension requests are subject to majority bank group approval.
Registration Statements — Xcel Energy Inc.’s Articles of Incorporation authorize the issuance of one billion shares of $2.50 par value common stock. As of Dec. 31, 2025 and 2024, Xcel Energy had approximately 624 million shares and 574 million shares of common stock outstanding, respectively.
Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries have registration statements on file with the SEC which are uncapped, permitting Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries to issue debt, equity and other securities. Debt issuance at our utility subsidiaries are subject to commission approval.
Planned Financing Activity — Xcel Energy’s 2026 financing plans reflect the following:
| Issuer | Security | Amount (Millions of Dollars) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | Senior Unsecured Notes | $ | 1,000 | ||
| PSCo | First Mortgage Bonds | 2,400 | |||
| NSP-Minnesota | First Mortgage Bonds | 1,000 | |||
| SPS | First Mortgage Bonds | 1,000 | |||
| NSP-Wisconsin | First Mortgage Bonds | 250 |
In addition, Xcel Energy plans to issue incremental equity throughout 2026 through its ATM program or other offerings. Financing plans are subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, regulatory outcomes, internal cash generation, market conditions, changes in tax policies and other factors.
In January 2026, Xcel Energy Inc. entered into a $1.5 billion, 364-Day Delayed Draw Term Loan Agreement and borrowed $750 million under the term loan facility.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy 2026 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2026 ongoing earnings guidance is a range of $4.04 to $4.16 per share. (a)
Key assumptions as compared with 2025 actual levels unless noted:
•Constructive outcomes in all pending rate case and regulatory proceedings.
•Normal weather patterns for the year.
•Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~3%.
•Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to increase ~1%.
•Capital rider revenue is projected to increase $535 million to $545 million.
•O&M expenses are projected to increase ~3%.
•Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately $350 million to $360 million.
•Property taxes are projected to increase $30 million to $40 million.
•Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase $300 million to $310 million, net of interest income.
•AFUDC - equity is projected to increase $140 million to $150 million.
(a)Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. As Xcel Energy is unable to quantify the financial impacts of any additional adjustments that may occur for the year, we are unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of the guidance for ongoing EPS to corresponding GAAP EPS.
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on the following long-term objectives:
• Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of 6% to 8+% based off of $3.80 per share.
• Deliver annual dividend increases of 4% to 6%.
• Target a dividend payout ratio of 45% to 55%.
• Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000072903-25-000029.
ITEM 7 — MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing ROE, ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that is adjusted from measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.
Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of Xcel Energy or each subsidiary, adjusted for certain nonrecurring items, by each entity’s average stockholder’s equity. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of earnings results.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of each subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. For instance, to present ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS, we may adjust the related GAAP amounts for certain items that are non-recurring in nature. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP.
The following table provides a reconciliation of GAAP earnings (net income) to ongoing earnings:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP net income | $ | 1,936 | $ | 1,771 | |||
| Loss on Comanche Unit 3 litigation | — | 35 | |||||
| Workforce reduction expenses | — | 72 | |||||
| Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds | 47 | — | |||||
| Less: tax effect of adjustments | (13) | (27) | |||||
| Ongoing earnings (a) | $ | 1,969 | $ | 1,851 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
| Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31, 2024 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP Diluted EPS | Impact of Adjustments | Ongoing Diluted EPS | ||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.41 | $ | 0.06 | $ | 1.47 | |||||
| PSCo | 1.39 | — | 1.39 | ||||||||
| SPS | 0.70 | — | 0.70 | ||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.24 | — | 0.24 | ||||||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.03 | — | 0.03 | ||||||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.76 | 0.06 | 3.83 | ||||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.33) | — | (0.33) | ||||||||
| Total (a) | $ | 3.44 | 0.06 | $ | 3.50 |
| Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31, 2023 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP Diluted EPS | Impact of Adjustments | Ongoing Diluted EPS | ||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.28 | $ | 0.04 | $ | 1.32 | |||||
| PSCo (a) | 1.26 | 0.08 | 1.33 | ||||||||
| SPS | 0.70 | 0.01 | 0.71 | ||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.25 | — | 0.25 | ||||||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.04 | — | 0.04 | ||||||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.52 | 0.14 | 3.66 | ||||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.31) | — | (0.31) | ||||||||
| Total (a) | $ | 3.21 | 0.14 | $ | 3.35 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Adjustments to GAAP net income include:
Sherco Unit 3 2011 Outage Refunds — NSP-Minnesota’s Sherco Unit 3 experienced an extended outage following a 2011 incident which damaged its turbine. In 2024, following contested case procedures, Xcel Energy recognized a customer refund of $47 million for replacement power incurred during the outage.
Comanche Unit 3 Litigation — In the third quarter of 2023, PSCo recognized a non-recurring $34 million charge as a result of a jury verdict in Denver County District Court awarding CORE Electric Cooperative lost power damages and other costs.
Workforce Reduction — In 2023, Xcel Energy implemented workforce actions to align resources and investments with our evolving business and customer needs and streamline the organization for long-term success. Xcel Energy initiated a Voluntary Retirement Program, under which approximately 400 eligible non-bargaining employees retired. Xcel Energy also eliminated approximately 150 non-bargaining employees through an involuntary severance program. Workforce reduction expenses of $72 million were recorded in the fourth quarter of 2023.
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Results of Operations
Diluted EPS for Xcel Energy at Dec. 31:
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.41 | $ | 1.28 | |||
| PSCo | 1.39 | 1.26 | |||||
| SPS | 0.70 | 0.70 | |||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.24 | 0.25 | |||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.03 | 0.04 | |||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.76 | 3.52 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.33) | (0.31) | |||||
| GAAP Diluted EPS (a) | 3.44 | 3.21 | |||||
| Loss on Comanche Unit 3 litigation | — | 0.05 | |||||
| Workforce reduction expenses | — | 0.09 | |||||
| Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds | 0.06 | — | |||||
| Ongoing Diluted EPS (a) | $ | 3.50 | $ | 3.35 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings reflects management’s performance in operating Xcel Energy and provides a meaningful representation of the performance of Xcel Energy’s core business. In addition, Xcel Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial planning and analysis, reporting results to the Board of Directors and when communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors.
2024 Comparison with 2023
Xcel Energy — GAAP earnings were $3.44 per share compared to $3.21 per share in 2023 and ongoing earnings were $3.50 per share in 2024, compared with $3.35 per share in 2023. The change in EPS was driven by increased recovery of infrastructure investments, partially offset by higher depreciation, interest charges and O&M expenses.
Fluctuations in electric and natural gas revenues associated with changes in fuel and purchased power and/or natural gas sold and transported generally do not significantly impact earnings (changes in costs are offset by the related variation in revenues).
NSP-Minnesota — GAAP earnings increased $0.13 per share and ongoing earnings increased $0.15 per share for 2024 compared to 2023. Ongoing earnings increased due to higher recovery of electric and natural gas infrastructure investments, partially offset by increased depreciation and interest charges.
PSCo — GAAP earnings increased $0.13 per share and ongoing earnings increased $0.06 per share for 2024. Higher ongoing earnings primarily reflects higher recovery of electric and natural gas infrastructure investments, which was partially offset by increased depreciation, O&M and interest charges.
SPS — GAAP earnings were flat and ongoing earnings decreased $0.01 per share for 2024. Ongoing earnings were impacted by increased depreciation, O&M and interest charges, largely offset by regulatory rate outcomes and sales growth.
NSP-Wisconsin — GAAP and ongoing earnings decreased $0.01 per share for 2024. The decrease in ongoing earnings was primarily a result of higher depreciation.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Primarily includes financing costs and interest income at the holding company and earnings from investment funds, which are accounted for as equity method investments. The decline in earnings for 2024 is largely due to higher debt levels and increased interest rates, partially offset by a gain on debt repurchases.
Changes in Diluted EPS
Components significantly contributing to changes in 2024 EPS compared with 2023:
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP diluted EPS — 2023 | $ | 3.21 | |
| Components of change — 2024 vs. 2023 | |||
| Electric regulatory rate outcomes and riders | 0.73 | ||
| Higher other income, net | 0.16 | ||
| Natural gas regulatory rate outcomes and riders | 0.14 | ||
| Workforce reduction expenses | 0.09 | ||
| Loss on Comanche Unit 3 litigation | 0.05 | ||
| Higher depreciation and amortization | (0.40) | ||
| Interest charges, net of AFUDC - debt | (0.24) | ||
| Higher O&M expenses | (0.13) | ||
| Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds | (0.06) | ||
| Other, net | (0.11) | ||
| GAAP diluted EPS — 2024 | $ | 3.44 | |
| Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds | 0.06 | ||
| Ongoing diluted EPS — 2024 | $ | 3.50 |
ROE for Xcel Energy and its utility subsidiaries:
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE | GAAP ROE | Ongoing ROE | GAAP ROE | Ongoing ROE | ||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 9.07 | % | 9.46 | % | 8.82 | % | 9.11 | % | ||||
| PSCo | 7.63 | 7.63 | 7.32 | 7.77 | ||||||||
| SPS | 9.57 | 9.57 | 9.80 | 9.98 | ||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 8.98 | 8.98 | 10.38 | 10.67 | ||||||||
| Utility Subsidiaries | 8.55 | 8.69 | 8.45 | 8.79 | ||||||||
| Xcel Energy | 10.42 | 10.61 | 10.33 | 10.79 |
Statement of Income Analysis
The following summarizes the items that affected the individual revenue and expense items reported in the consolidated statements of income.
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements. As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, electric sales true-up and gas decoupling mechanisms in Minnesota predominately mitigate the positive and adverse impacts of weather in that jurisdiction.
Degree-day or THI data is used to estimate amounts of energy required to maintain comfortable indoor temperature levels based on each day’s average temperature and humidity.
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HDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature falls below 65° Fahrenheit. CDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature rises above 65° Fahrenheit.
Each degree of temperature above 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one CDD, and each degree of temperature below 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one HDD.
In Xcel Energy’s more humid service territories, a THI is used in place of CDD, which adds a humidity factor to CDD. HDD, CDD and THI are most likely to impact the usage of Xcel Energy’s residential and commercial customers. Industrial customers are less sensitive to weather.
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Percentage increase (decrease) in normal and actual HDD, CDD and THI:
| 2024 vs. Normal | 2023 vs. Normal | 2024 vs. 2023 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDD | (15.4) | % | (7.3) | % | (9.8) | % | ||
| CDD | 28.1 | 5.2 | 23 | |||||
| THI | (11.2) | 16.0 | (22.5) |
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
| 2024 vs. Normal | 2023 vs. Normal | 2024 vs. 2023 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail electric | $ | (0.008) | $ | 0.013 | $ | (0.021) | ||||
| Decoupling and sales true-up | 0.047 | (0.007) | 0.054 | |||||||
| Electric total | $ | 0.039 | $ | 0.006 | $ | 0.033 | ||||
| Firm natural gas | (0.070) | (0.010) | (0.060) | |||||||
| Decoupling | $ | 0.027 | $ | 0.013 | $ | 0.014 | ||||
| Gas total | $ | (0.043) | $ | 0.003 | $ | (0.046) | ||||
| Total | $ | (0.004) | $ | 0.009 | $ | (0.013) |
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales:
| 2024 vs. 2023 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | PSCo | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Actual | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | (4.1) | % | 3.9 | % | 0.7 | % | (3.5) | % | (0.4) | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | (2.6) | — | 9.3 | (1.9) | 1.7 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | (3.1) | 1.3 | 7.8 | (2.4) | 1.1 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | (8.0) | (6.9) | N/A | (7.5) | (7.2) |
| 2024 vs. 2023 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | PSCo | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Weather-normalized | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | 0.2 | % | 0.9 | % | (1.2) | % | (1.5) | % | 0.2 | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | (1.7) | (1.1) | 9.3 | (1.6) | 1.7 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | (1.1) | (0.4) | 7.4 | (1.5) | 1.3 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | (1.1) | 0.6 | N/A | (2.5) | (0.2) |
| 2024 vs. 2023 (Leap Year Adjusted) | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | PSCo | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Weather-normalized | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | (0.1) | % | 0.7 | % | (1.5) | % | (1.8) | % | (0.1) | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | (2.0) | (1.4) | 9.0 | (1.8) | 1.5 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | (1.4) | (0.7) | 7.1 | (1.8) | 1.0 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | (1.7) | — | N/A | (3.1) | (0.7) |
Annual weather-normalized and leap year adjusted electric sales growth (decline)
•NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales declined due to a 1.5% decrease in use per customer, partially offset by a 1.4% increase in customers. The decline in C&I sales was due to lower use per customer, particularly in the manufacturing sector.
•PSCo — Residential sales increased due to a 1.4% increase in customers, partially offset by a 0.7% decrease in use per customer. The decline in C&I sales was attributable to decreased use per customer, particularly in the wholesale trade and mining.
•SPS — Residential sales declined due to a 2.2% decrease in use per customer partially offset by a 0.7% increase in customers. C&I sales increased due to higher use per customer, primarily driven by the energy sector and cryptocurrency mining.
•NSP-Wisconsin — Residential sales declined due to a 2.7% decrease in use per customer, offset by a 1.0% increase in customers. The C&I sales decline was associated with lower use per customer, experienced particularly in the professional services and manufacturing sectors.
Annual weather-normalized and leap year adjusted natural gas sales growth (decline)
•Natural gas sales reflect 1.7% residential use per customer and 1.4% C&I use per customer decreases. Partially offsetting these were increased residential and C&I customers in all jurisdictions.
Electric Revenues
Electric revenues are impacted by changing sales, fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium, regulatory outcomes, market prices and seasonality. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated (wind, nuclear and solar), which reduce electric revenue and income taxes.
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2024 vs. 2023 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Recovery of lower cost of electric fuel and purchase power | (479) | ||
| PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) | (302) | ||
| Wholesale generation revenues | (96) | ||
| Sherco Unit 3 2011 outage refunds | (47) | ||
| Regulatory rate outcomes (MN, CO, TX, and NM) | 372 | ||
| Non-fuel riders | 169 | ||
| Conservation and demand side management (offset in expense) | 102 | ||
| Estimated impact of weather (net of sales true-up) | 24 | ||
| Other, net | (42) | ||
| Total decrease | $ | (299) |
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Natural Gas Revenues
Natural gas revenues vary with changing sales, the cost of natural gas and regulatory outcomes.
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2024 vs. 2023 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Recovery of lower cost of natural gas | $ | (496) | |
| Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling) | (35) | ||
| Retail sales decline (net of decoupling) | (1) | ||
| Regulatory rate outcomes (MN, WI, CO, and ND) | 91 | ||
| Infrastructure and integrity riders | 8 | ||
| Other, net | 18 | ||
| Total decrease | $ | (415) |
Electric Fuel and Purchased Power — Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are impacted by fluctuations in market prices of natural gas, coal and uranium, as well as seasonality. These incurred expenses are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Electric fuel and purchased power expenses decreased $490 million in 2024. The decrease is primarily due to timing of fuel recovery mechanisms and lower commodity prices, partially offset by increased volumes.
Cost of Natural Gas Sold and Transported — Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are impacted by market prices and seasonality. These costs are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Natural gas sold and transported decreased $505 million in 2024. The decrease is primarily due to lower commodity prices and volumes.
Non-Fuel Operating Expenses and Other Items
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses increased $96 million in 2024 primarily due to operational activities, including generation maintenance, storm response, wildfire mitigation costs and damage prevention. The impact of prior year regulatory deferrals also contributed to increased O&M expenses, partially offset by lower labor and benefit costs and lower bad debt expenses.
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased $296 million for the year, primarily related to system expansion, partially offset by the impacts of various rate cases, including recognition of previously deferred costs as well as wind and nuclear life extensions.
Other Income — Other income increased $121 million for the year, primarily related to interest earned on significant cash balances throughout the year and a gain on debt repurchases, which helped to offset increased spending in our electric and natural gas operations to reduce risk, including wildfire mitigation.
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased $200 million in 2024. The increase was largely due to higher long-term debt levels to fund capital investments and higher interest rates.
AFUDC, Equity and Debt — AFUDC increased $99 million in 2024. This increase was largely due to increased investment in renewable and transmission projects.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other Results
Net income and diluted EPS contributions of Xcel Energy Inc. and its nonregulated businesses:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (223) | $ | (174) | |||
| Xcel Energy Inc. taxes and other results (a) | 38 | 1 | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (185) | $ | (173) |
| (Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (0.40) | $ | (0.32) | |||
| Xcel Energy Inc. taxes and other results (a) | 0.07 | 0.01 | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (0.33) | $ | (0.31) |
(a)Amounts include gain from open market debt repurchases in 2024.
Xcel Energy Inc.’s results include interest charges, which are incurred at Xcel Energy Inc. and are not directly assigned to individual subsidiaries.
2023 Comparison with 2022
A discussion of changes in Xcel Energy’s results of operations, cash flows and liquidity and capital resources from the year ended Dec. 31, 2022 to Dec. 31, 2023 can be found in Part II, “Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year 2023, which was filed with the SEC on Feb. 21, 2024. However, such discussion is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Public Utility Regulation
The FERC and various state and local regulatory commissions regulate Xcel Energy Inc.’s utility subsidiaries and West Gas Interstate. Xcel Energy is subject to rate regulation by state utility regulatory agencies, which have jurisdiction with respect to the rates of electric and natural gas distribution companies in Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Colorado, New Mexico and Texas.
Rates are designed to recover plant investment, operating costs and an allowed return on investment. Our utility subsidiaries request changes in utility rates through commission filings. Changes in operating costs can affect Xcel Energy’s financial results, depending on the timing of rate cases and implementation of final rates. Other factors affecting rate filings are new investments, sales, conservation and DSM efforts, and the cost of capital.
In addition, the regulatory commissions authorize the ROE, capital structure and depreciation rates in rate proceedings. Decisions by these regulators can significantly impact Xcel Energy’s results of operations and credit quality.
See Rate Matters and Other within Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
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NSP-Minnesota
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| MPUC | Retail rates, services, security issuances, property transfers, mergers, disposition of assets, affiliate transactions, and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plants greater than 50 MW and transmission lines greater than 100 KV in Minnesota.Reviews and approves natural gas supply plans. | |
| NDPSC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in North Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| SDPUC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric operations.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in South Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transfers and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Minnesota is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO and operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale markets. NSP-Minnesota makes wholesale sales in other RTO markets at market-based rates. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin also make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices to customers outside of their balancing authority as jointly authorized by the FERC. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| Minnesota Office of Pipeline Safety | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| CIP Rider | Recovers costs of conservation and DSM programs. Minnesota state law requires NSP-Minnesota to spend 2% of its state electric revenues and 0.5% of its state natural gas revenues on CIP. These costs are recovered through an annual cost-recovery mechanism. | |
| Customer Protection Mechanisms | MISO capacity revenue tracker, property tax tracker, annual incentive plan, capital true-up, deferred tax asset refund and credit card fee tracker are all mechanisms that mitigate the impact of changes to costs as compared to a baseline for NSP-Minnesota customers. | |
| Decoupling | Measures natural gas revenues against a baseline revenue per-customer for all Minnesota gas customers in classes with more than 50 customers. | |
| FCA | Recovers prudently incurred costs of fuel related items and purchased energy (Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota). | |
| Gas Utility Infrastructure Cost Rider | Recovers costs for transmission and distribution pipeline integrity management programs, including funding for pipeline assessments, deferred costs for sewer separation and pipeline integrity management programs in Minnesota. | |
| Infrastructure Rider | Recovers costs for investments in generation in South Dakota. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | Provides for prospective monthly rate adjustments in Minnesota and North Dakota for costs of purchased natural gas, transportation and storage service. Includes a true-up process for difference between projected and actual costs. | |
| Renewable Development Fund Rider | Allocates money collected from customers to support research and development of emerging renewable energy projects and technologies in Minnesota. | |
| Renewable Energy Rider | Recovers cost of renewable generation in North Dakota. | |
| RES Rider | Recovers cost of renewable generation in Minnesota. | |
| Sales True-up | Mitigates the impact of changes to sales levels as compared to a baseline for all Minnesota electric customers. | |
| State Energy Policy Electric Rider | Recovers costs associated with the Prairie Island Legislation settlement and the Reliability Administrator/ Sustainable Building Guidelines in Minnesota. | |
| Transmission Cost Recovery Rider | Recovers costs for investments in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota for electric transmission and distribution grid modernization. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2024 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — In November 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the MPUC for a natural gas rate increase of approximately $59 million, or 9.6%.
In June 2024, NSP-Minnesota and various parties filed an uncontested settlement, which includes the following terms:
•Natural gas rate increase of $46 million, or 7.5%.
•ROE of 9.6%.
•Equity ratio of 52.5%.
•Rate base of $1.25 billion.
•No change to Commission approved decoupling.
In October 2024, an ALJ recommended the MPUC approve the rate case settlement. In February 2025, the MPUC verbally approved the settlement agreement. NSP-Minnesota expects to implement a rate increase of $50 million (trued up for 2024 weather normalized actual sales) in July 2025.
2024 North Dakota Natural Gas Rate Case — In December 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the NDPSC seeking an increase in natural gas rates of $8.5 million (9.4%), based on a ROE of 10.20%, an equity ratio of 52.5%, 2024 test year and rate base of $168 million.
In November 2024, the NDPSC approved a settlement, reflecting a natural gas rate increase of $7.2 million (8.0%), based on a ROE of 9.9% and an equity ratio of 52.5%. Rates were implemented on Jan. 1, 2025.
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2022 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — In October 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a three-year electric rate case with the MPUC.
In July 2023, the MPUC approved a three-year rate increase of approximately $332 million for 2022-2024, based on a ROE of 9.25% and an equity ratio of 52.5%. The MPUC also approved a continuation of the sales true-up mechanism.
In November 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed an appeal to the Minnesota Court of Appeals regarding MPUC decisions relating to executive compensation, insurance expense and treatment of prepaid pension assets.
In January 2025, the Court issued its opinion, which upheld the commission's determination on insurance expense, but reversed and remanded the executive compensation and prepaid pension asset decisions back to the MPUC. The opinion is currently pending further action from the MPUC.
2024 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — In November 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed an electric rate case in Minnesota, seeking a total revenue increase of $491 million (13.2%) over two years, based on an ROE of 10.3%, a 52.5% equity ratio and rate base of $13.2 billion in 2025 and $14 billion in 2026. NSP-Minnesota also requested interim rates of $224 million for 2025. In December 2024, the MPUC reduced the interim rate request for wildfire mitigation costs (as these costs were deemed as new costs not previously approved in a rate case) and approved interim rates of $192 million, effective January 1, 2025. A decision is expected in 2026.
2024 North Dakota Electric Rate Case — In December 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the NDPSC for an annual electric rate increase of approximately $45 million, or 19.3% over current rates established in 2021. The filing is based on a 2025 forecast test year and includes a requested ROE of 10.3%, rate base of approximately $817 million and an equity ratio of 52.5%. In January 2025, the NDPSC approved interim rates, subject to refund, of approximately $27 million (implemented on Feb. 1, 2025).
Nuclear Power Operations
Nuclear power plant operations produce gaseous, liquid and solid radioactive wastes, which are covered by federal regulation. High-level radioactive wastes primarily include used nuclear fuel. Low-level waste consists primarily of demineralizer resins, paper, protective clothing, rags, tools and equipment contaminated through use.
NRC Regulation — The NRC regulates nuclear operations. Costs of complying with NRC requirements can affect both operating expenses and capital investments of the plants. NSP-Minnesota has obtained recovery of these compliance costs and expects to recover future compliance costs.
Low-Level Waste Disposal — Low level waste from Monticello and Prairie Island is disposed of at the Clive facility located in Utah and the Waste Control Specialists facility in Texas. NSP-Minnesota has storage capacity available on-site through 2033 at Prairie Island Unit 1, 2034 at Prairie Island Unit 2, and 2040 at Monticello, which would allow both plants to continue to operate if off-site low-level waste disposal facilities become unavailable.
High-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal — The federal government has responsibility to permanently dispose of domestic spent nuclear fuel and other high-level radioactive wastes. The Nuclear Waste Policy Act requires the DOE to implement a program for nuclear high-level waste management.
This includes the siting, licensing, construction and operation of a repository for spent nuclear fuel from civilian nuclear power reactors and other high-level radioactive wastes at a permanent federal storage or disposal facility. Currently, there are no definitive plans for a permanent federal storage facility site.
Nuclear Spent Fuel Storage — NSP-Minnesota has interim on-site storage for spent nuclear fuel at its Monticello and Prairie Island nuclear generating plants. Authorized storage capacity is sufficient to allow NSP-Minnesota to operate until 2040 for Monticello, 2033 for Prairie Island Unit 1, and 2034 for Prairie Island Unit 2.
In December 2024, the NRC approved a Subsequent License Renewal application for extended Monticello Plant operation through 2050 (Subsequent Renewed Facility Operating License No. DPR-22, Accession No. ML24310A345). NSP-Minnesota will need authorization from the MPUC for additional storage capacity through 2050.
In February 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed a CON with the MPUC for additional storage at Prairie Island to support possible life extension to 2054. NSP-Minnesota has notified the NRC of intent to apply for Prairie Island SLR which would extend operation of Unit 1 to 2053 and Unit 2 to 2054.
Authorizations for additional spent fuel storage capacity may be required at each site to support either continued operation or decommissioning if the federal government does not commence storage operations.
NSP-Wisconsin
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PSCW | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.The PSCW has a biennial base rate filing requirement. By June of each odd numbered year, NSP-Wisconsin must submit a rate filing for the test year beginning the following January.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| MPSC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric generation licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Wisconsin is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO that operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale energy market. NSP-Wisconsin and NSP-Minnesota are jointly authorized by the FERC to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
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Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Annual Fuel Cost Plan | NSP-Wisconsin does not have an automatic electric fuel adjustment clause. Under Wisconsin rules, utilities submit a forward-looking annual fuel cost plan to the PSCW. Once the PSCW approves the plan, utilities defer the amount of any fuel cost under-recovery or over-recovery in excess of a 2% annual tolerance band, for future rate recovery or refund. Approval of a fuel cost plan and any rate adjustment for refund or recovery of deferred costs is determined by the PSCW. Rate recovery of deferred fuel cost is subject to an earnings test based on the most recently authorized ROE. Under-collections that exceed the 2% annual tolerance band may not be recovered if the utility earnings for that year exceed the authorized ROE. | |
| Natural Gas Cost-Recovery Factor (MI) | NSP-Wisconsin’s natural gas rates for Michigan customers include a natural gas cost-recovery factor, based on 12-month projections and trued-up to actual amounts on an annual basis. | |
| Power Supply Cost Recovery Factors | NSP-Wisconsin’s retail electric rate schedules for Michigan customers include power supply cost recovery factors, based on 12-month projections. After each 12-month period, a reconciliation is submitted whereby over-recoveries are refunded and any under-recoveries are collected from customers. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | A retail cost-recovery mechanism to recover the actual cost of natural gas, transportation, and storage services. | |
| Wisconsin Energy Efficiency Program | The primary energy efficiency program is funded by the utilities, but operated by independent contractors subject to oversight by the PSCW and utilities. NSP-Wisconsin recovers these costs from customers. |
Pending Regulatory Proceedings
Michigan Electric Rate Case — In July 2024, NSP-Wisconsin filed a Michigan electric rate case with the MPSC. In December 2024, the MPSC approved NSP-Wisconsin’s settlement agreement. The settlement order includes an electric rate increase of $1.75 million in 2025 and a step increase of $0.55 million in 2026, based on a ROE of 9.8% and an equity ratio of 50%.
Wisconsin 2025 Stay-Out Proposal — In June 2024, NSP-Wisconsin filed a 2025 stay-out proposal with the PSCW. In December 2024, the PSCW approved NSP-Wisconsin’s filing, which offsets $27 million in electric deficiencies and $3 million in natural gas deficiencies by amortizing IRA deferrals, stopping a deferral related to IRA benefits ordered in a previous rate case, and deferring revenue requirement impacts of two natural gas capital projects.
Excess Liability Insurance Deferral – In February 2025, NSP-Wisconsin filed a request with the PSCW for deferred accounting treatment for excess liability insurance expense of $9.6 million incurred as a result of the October 2024 policy renewal. A PSCW decision is expected in the third quarter of 2025.
NSP System
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
Resource Acquisition — In February 2024, NSP filed its Upper Midwest Resource Plan with the MPUC. In October 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed a settlement with several parties reaching agreement on the resource plan, as well as the proposed projects to be approved in the pending 800 MW firm dispatchable resource acquisition.
In February 2025, the MPUC verbally approved the terms of the settlement agreement, including:
•The selection of the company owned 420 MW Lyon County combustion turbine.
•The selection of the company owned 300 MW 4-hour Sherco battery energy storage system.
•Multiple PPAs to proceed to the negotiation stage.
•The addition of 3,200 MW of wind, 400 MW of solar and 600 MW of stand-alone storage to be added through 2030 based on an RFP process (a portion of which is expected to be fulfilled with the resources acquired as part of the 2024 RFPs). Of these amounts, approximately 2,800 MW of wind are projected to utilize the Minnesota Energy Connection transmission line.
•Planned life extensions of the Prairie Island and Monticello nuclear plants through the early 2050s.
Additionally, the MPUC approved life extensions of the Red Wing and Mankato RDF plants to 2037 and ordered NSP-Minnesota to file a proposed tariff for customers with super-large load, largely data centers, by July 15, 2025.
NSP-Minnesota will file additional RFPs for approved resource needs beginning in late 2025 or early 2026.
NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin are actively engaged in multiple processes and proceedings to acquire resources to meet their identified generation resource needs.
•In October 2023, NSP-Minnesota issued an RFP seeking 1,200 MW of wind assets to replace capacity and reutilize interconnection rights associated with the retiring Sherco coal facilities. The RFP closed in December 2023. NSP-Minnesota expects to file for approval of recommended projects in summer 2025.
•In 2024, NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin each issued an RFP collectively seeking up to 1,600 MW of wind, solar, storage or hybrid resources to interconnect to the NSP System, including reutilization of the interconnection rights associated with the retiring Sherco coal units, and 650 MW of solar and storage resources to specifically reutilize the interconnection rights associated with the retiring King coal unit. Bids are currently under evaluation; NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin announced the short listed projects in January 2025 and plan to file for the requisite approvals of the selected resources with the MPUC and PSCW, respectively, in the second half of 2025.
Purchased Power and Transmission Services
The NSP System expects to use power plants, power purchases, conservation and DSM options, new generation facilities and expansion of power plants to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — Through the Interchange Agreement, NSP-Wisconsin receives power purchased by NSP-Minnesota from other utilities and independent power producers. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require a capacity charge and an energy charge. NSP-Minnesota makes short-term purchases to meet system requirements, replace company owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin have contracts with MISO and other regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to their customers.
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Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
NSP-Minnesota conducts wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy-related products. NSP-Minnesota uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and to hedge sales and purchases.
NSP-Minnesota also engages in trading activity unrelated to these hedging activities. Sharing of any margins is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin do not serve any wholesale requirements customers at cost-based regulated rates.
PSCo
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information on Regulatory Authority | |
|---|---|---|
| CPUC | Retail rates, accounts, services, issuance of securities and other aspects of electric, natural gas and steam operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plans greater than 50 MW.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, hydroelectric licensing, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with the NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce.Wholesale electric sales at cost-based prices to customers inside PSCo’s balancing authority area and at market-based prices to customers outside PSCo’s balancing authority area.PSCo holds a FERC certificate that allows it to transport natural gas in interstate commerce without PSCo becoming subject to full FERC jurisdiction. | |
| RTO | PSCo is not presently a member of an RTO and does not operate within an RTO energy market. However, PSCo does make certain sales to other RTO’s, including SPP and participates in the SPP Western Energy Imbalance Service market, an energy imbalance market. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Energy Plan Adjustment | Recovers the early retirement costs of Comanche Units 1 and 2 to a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| DSM Cost Adjustment | Recovers electric and gas DSM, interruptible service costs and performance incentives for achieving energy savings goals. | |
| Electric Commodity Adjustment | Recovers fuel and purchased energy costs. Short-term sales margins are shared with customers. PTCs earned for owned wind generation are returned to customers. | |
| FCA | PSCo recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from wholesale electric customers through a fuel cost adjustment clause approved by the FERC. Wholesale customers pay production costs through a forecasted formula rate subject to true-up. | |
| GCA | Recovers costs of purchased natural gas and transportation and is revised quarterly to allow for changes in natural gas rates. | |
| Purchased Capacity Cost Adjustment | Recovers purchased capacity payments. | |
| RES Adjustment | Recovers the incremental costs of compliance with the RES with a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Steam Cost Adjustment | Recovers fuel costs to operate the steam system. The Steam Cost Adjustment rate is revised quarterly. | |
| Transmission Cost Adjustment | Recovers costs between rate cases for transmission projects that result in a net increase in capacity or are part of an approved wildfire mitigation plan. Distribution projects are recoverable for 2024 and 2025, subject to a cap of 0.5% and 1.25% of electric retail revenues, respectively. | |
| Transportation Electrification Plan | Recovers costs associated with the investment in and adoption of transportation electrification infrastructure. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
Colorado Natural Gas Rate Case — In January 2024, PSCo, filed a request with the CPUC seeking an increase to retail natural gas rates of $171 million (9.5%). The request was based on a 10.25% ROE, an equity ratio of 55%, a 2023 test year and a $4.2 billion year-end rate base.
In October 2024, as modified on ARRR in January 2025, the CPUC issued an order including the following key decisions:
•Use of a historic 2023 test year, with a 13-month average rate base.
•Weighted-average cost of capital of 7.0%, based on an ROE range of 9.2%-9.5% and an equity ratio range of 52%-55%.
•Acceleration of $15 million per year of depreciation expense (incremental to PSCo’s original rate request), to be held in an external trust for future decommissioning costs.
•Modifications to recoverability of certain operating expenses.
•Denial of PSCo’s decoupling proposal.
PSCo placed new rates into effect in November, as modified on ARRR in February 2025, with an annual revenue increase of approximately $125 million, inclusive of $15 million of accelerated depreciation. The UCA filed a second ARRR in February 2025, which remains pending.
Colorado Resource Plan — In December 2023, the CPUC approved a portfolio of 5,835 MW, which includes approximately 3,100 MW of company owned resources and 2,700 MW of PPAs.
In December 2023, the CPUC approved a framework for two PIMs associated with the generation projects in the portfolio — a PIM related to capital construction costs and another related to ongoing levelized energy costs with details to be further defined via subsequent proceedings throughout 2024. In September 2024, PSCo filed a proposal for implementation of the PIMs. Intervenor testimony is due Feb. 27, 2025, with a final decision expected in summer 2025.
In September 2024, PSCo filed a proposed framework for CPUC review of pricing adjustments for both company owned and PPA resources to enable delivery of the approved portfolio in light of supply chain and geopolitical developments. In January 2025, the CPUC issued a decision granting limited potential pricing relief, subject to evaluation in future CPCN proceedings for company owned projects.
PSCo filed or expects to file generation and transmission CPCNs throughout 2024 and 2025.
2024 Colorado Electric Resource Plan — In October 2024, PSCo filed its electric resource plan with the CPUC. The filing reflects the expected growth on the system, the generation resources needed to meet the projected growth and the future evaluation of competitive bids for new generation resources.
•The plan reflects a base sales forecast with 7% compound annual sales growth through 2031.
•The plan also presents a low sales forecast with a 3% compound annual sales growth through 2031.
•The resource plan includes forecasted need of 5-14 GW of new generation capacity through 2031, including renewables and firm dispatchable resources to meet the two different scenarios. The acquisitions of generation resources will be determined through a competitive solicitation after the CPUC determines the portfolio. The table below summarizes two of the proposed portfolios based on the different sales scenarios:
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| (MW) | Base Plan | Low Load | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | 7,250 | 2,800 | |||
| Solar | 3,077 | 1,200 | |||
| Natural gas combustion turbine | 1,575 | 1,400 | |||
| Storage (long duration) | 1,600 | — | |||
| Other storage | 450 | — | |||
| Total | 13,952 | 5,400 |
The procedural schedule is as follows:
•Answer testimony: April 18, 2025
•Rebuttal testimony: May 23, 2025
•Settlement deadline: June 2, 2025
•Hearing: June 10-20, 2025
•Statements of position: July 14, 2025
A CPUC decision on the resource plan is expected by the fall of 2025 (Phase I) with the competitive solicitation for resource additions expected in early 2026.
Wildfire Mitigation Plan — In June 2024, PSCo filed an updated WMP and request for recovery of costs covering the years 2025 to 2027 with the CPUC. The estimated total cost for this plan is approximately $1.9 billion. A CPUC decision is expected in the third quarter of 2025.
The WMP integrates industry experience; incorporates evolving risk assessment methodologies; adds new technology; and expands the scope, pace and scale of our work to reduce wildfire risk in a comprehensive and efficient manner under four core programs that include the following:
•Situational awareness — Meteorology, area risk mapping and modeling, artificial intelligence cameras and continuous monitoring.
•Operational mitigations – Enhanced powerline safety settings and PSPS.
•System resiliency — Asset assessment and remediations, pole replacements, line rebuilds, targeted undergrounding and vegetation management.
•Customer support — Coordination and real-time data sharing with customers and other stakeholders and PSPS resiliency rebates.
In February 2025, six of the nine intervenors filed answer testimony in the proceeding. Intervenors provided a range of recommendations related to both the scope of proposed work and the cost recovery proposal.
The remaining procedural schedule is as follows:
•Rebuttal testimony: March 21, 2025
•Settlement deadline: April 11, 2025
•Hearing: May 5-15, 2025
•Decision deadline: Aug. 28, 2025
Colorado Senate Bill 23-291 — In May 2023, Colorado Senate Bill 23-291 was signed into law. The bill includes a number of topics including natural gas and electric fuel incentive mechanisms, natural gas planning rules, regulatory filing requirements, and non-recovery of certain expenses (e.g., certain organizational or membership dues, tax penalties or fines).
In November 2023, the CPUC approved PSCo’s natural gas price risk plan to manage customer bill volatility from commodity price changes, establishing upper and lower limits for changes in the GCA rate. As a result, costs above the upper limit are deferred for future recovery, with interest, and costs below the lower limit deferred as a reserve against future cost increases.
The legislation also calls for the CPUC to adopt rules to establish fuel cost mechanisms to align the financial incentives of a utility with the interests of the utility’s customers.
In December 2024, the CPUC adopted final rules applicable to PSCo’s natural gas utility that would assign to the Company four percent of the change in the price per MMbtu of natural gas compared to the three-year average, subject to rolling 12-month cap based on a percentage of rate base, currently estimated at $7 million. The rules require PSCo to make a filing to implement the mechanism within sixty days of becoming effective, expected later in 2025.
In December 2024, the CPUC also adopted rules for electric utilities but did not adopt a specific PIM framework, which will be further considered through additional proceedings in 2025.
Colorado Senate Bill 24-218 — In May 2024, Colorado Senate Bill 24-218 was signed into law. The bill includes a suite of policy changes to accelerate investment in electric distribution, including a framework to develop distribution planning and performance requirements and the opportunity for current cost recovery through a rider for distribution investments. In July 2024 and December 2024, the CPUC approved PSCo’s request to collect $17 million and $48 million through a rider, over the remainder of 2024 and 2025, respectively, subject to true-up, associated with forecasted capital investments covered by the new legislation.
Excess Liability Insurance Deferral — In August 2024, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC to establish a tracker to defer differences in excess liability insurance premiums after the October 2024 policy renewal (reflecting significantly rising premiums of approximately $40 million, largely associated with wildfire risks throughout the United States) and amounts currently recovered. In January 2025, the CPUC approved a one-year deferral aligned with the current insurance policy year. Cost recovery for incremental insurance premiums will be reviewed in a future rate case.
Purchased Power and Transmission Service Providers
PSCo meets its system capacity and energy requirements through its fleet of owned and purchased electric generation resources and, when required, the use of demand-side management programs.
Purchased Power — PSCo purchases power from other utilities, energy marketers and independent power producers. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require capacity and energy charges. Much of PSCo’s long-term purchased power is for wind, solar and storage resources. PSCo makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements, replace generation out of service for maintenance, meet operating reserve obligations, or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — In addition to using its own transmission system, PSCo has contracts with regional transmission service providers to deliver energy to its customers.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
PSCo conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. PSCo uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and hedge sales and purchases. PSCo also engages in trading activity unrelated to these hedging activities.
Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
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SPS
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PUCT | Retail electric operations, rates, services, construction of transmission or generation and other aspects of SPS’ electric operations.The municipalities in which SPS operates in Texas have original jurisdiction over rates in those communities. The municipalities’ rate setting decisions are subject to PUCT review. | |
| NMPRC | Retail electric operations, retail rates and services and the construction of transmission or generation.Reviews Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, the transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| SPP RTO and SPP Integrated and Wholesale Markets | SPS is a transmission owning member of the SPP RTO and operates within the SPP RTO and SPP integrated and wholesale markets. SPS is authorized to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Advanced Metering System Surcharge | Recovers costs incurred in deployment of the Advanced Metering System in Texas. | |
| Consulting Fee Rider | Recovers consulting fees and carrying charges incurred by SPS on behalf of the PUCT. | |
| Distribution Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers distribution costs not included in rates in Texas. | |
| Electric Vehicle Rider | Recovers costs of the Transportation Electrification Plan in New Mexico. | |
| Energy Efficiency Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in Texas. | |
| Energy Efficiency Rider | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in New Mexico. | |
| Fixed Fuel and Purchased Recovery Factor | Provides for the over- or under-recovery of energy expenses in Texas. Regulations require refunding or surcharging over- or under- recovery amounts, including interest, when they exceed 4% of the utility’s annual fuel and purchased energy costs on a rolling 12-month basis if this condition is expected to continue. | |
| Fuel and Purchased Power Cost Adjustment Clause | Adjusts monthly to recover actual fuel and purchased power costs in New Mexico. | |
| Grid Modernization Rider | Recovers costs incurred in the implementation of Grid Modernization Components in New Mexico. | |
| Renewable Portfolio Standards | Recovers deferred costs for renewable energy programs in New Mexico. | |
| Transmission Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers certain transmission infrastructure improvement costs and changes in wholesale transmission charges not included in Texas base rates. | |
| Wholesale Fuel and Purchased Energy Cost Adjustment | SPS recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from its wholesale customers through a monthly wholesale fuel and purchased energy cost adjustment clause accepted by the FERC. Wholesale customers also pay the jurisdictional allocation of production costs. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2023 Texas Electric Rate Case — In 2023, SPS filed an electric rate case with the PUCT seeking an increase in base rate revenue of $158 million (14%). Interim rates went into effect on Feb. 1, 2024. In April 2024, the PUCT approved a black box settlement between SPS and intervening parties, which reflect the following terms:
•A base rate increase of $65 million effective back to July 13, 2023.
•A 9.55% ROE, a 54.51% equity ratio and a 7.11% WACC for purposes of calculating SPS’ allowance for funds used during construction and in other proceedings filed before the PUCT where a stated WACC is required.
•The reflection in rates of the retirement of Tolk Generation Station from 2034 to 2028.
•Establishment of a rate rider of approximately $18 million to be recovered over a three-year period for various deferred expenses.
In July 2024, SPS filed to surcharge the final under-recovered amount of $37 million. This will be largely offset by previously deferred costs. In February 2025, the PUCT approved the surcharge.
2022 All-Source RFP — In July 2023, SPS filed for approval of a CPCN for a recommended generation portfolio, which includes 418 MW of self-build solar projects and a 36 MW battery. The NMPRC approved the projects in May 2024. In July 2024, the PUCT approved the solar projects and denied the battery project. The PUCT’s approval included minimum production and PTC guarantees.
New Mexico Resource Plan (IRP) — In October 2023, SPS filed its IRP with the NMPRC, which supports projected load growth and increasing reliability requirements, and secures replacement energy and capacity for retiring resources. SPS’ projected resource needs ranging from approximately 5,300 MW to 10,200 MW by 2030. In February 2024, the NMPRC accepted the IRP.
In July 2024, SPS issued a RFP, seeking approximately 3,200 MW of accredited generation capacity by 2030. The total capacity to be added to the system is expected to align with the range identified in the SPS IRP, depending on the types of resources proposed in the RFP and their accredited capacity factors.
The RFP portfolio selection is expected in May 2025. SPS is expected to file for a CON for the recommended portfolio in the summer of 2025. The PUCT and NMPRC are expected to rule on the portfolio in 2026.
Texas System Resiliency Plan — In December 2024, SPS filed its Texas SRP with the PUCT. Consistent with PUCT requirements, SPS’ proposed plan discusses resiliency-related risks and the five measures that have been designed to help SPS prevent, withstand, mitigate or more promptly recover from resiliency events, including wildfire.
The SRP includes the following measures:
•Distribution overhead hardening — Replacing and reinforcing key components of the distribution overhead system.
•Distribution system protection modernization — Installing enhanced reclosers, communications equipment and replacing substation relay panels and breakers.
•Communication modernization — Building out a private LTE network, installing fiber optic cable and adding remote terminal units.
•Operational flexibility — Procuring mobile substation equipment and installing additional switching devices.
•Wildfire mitigation — Weather stations, modeling, deploying artificial intelligence and vegetation management.
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The plan covers 2025-2028 and includes the following total spend:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Capital | O&M | Total | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution overhead hardening | $ | 253 | $ | — | $ | 253 | |||||
| Distribution system protection modernization | 92 | — | 92 | ||||||||
| Communication modernization | 112 | — | 112 | ||||||||
| Operational flexibility | 44 | — | 44 | ||||||||
| Wildfire mitigation | 20 | 17 | 37 | ||||||||
| Total | $ | 521 | $ | 17 | $ | 538 |
The procedural schedule is as follows:
•Intervenor testimony: February 28, 2025
•Staff testimony: March 7, 2025
•Rebuttal testimony: March 17, 2025
•Hearing: March 25-26, 2025
A PUCT decision is expected in the summer of 2025.
Purchased Power Arrangements and Transmission Service Providers
SPS expects to use electric generating stations, power purchases, DSM and new generation options to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — SPS purchases power from other utilities and IPPs. Long-term purchased power contracts typically require periodic capacity and energy charges. SPS also makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements to replace owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — SPS has contractual arrangements with SPP and regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to its native load customers.
Natural Gas
SPS does not provide retail natural gas service, but purchases and transports natural gas for its generation facilities and operates limited natural gas pipeline facilities connecting the generation facilities to interstate natural gas pipelines, subject in certain cases to the regulation of the Railroad Commission of Texas. SPS is subject to the jurisdiction of the FERC with respect to natural gas transactions in interstate commerce and the PHMSA, DOT and PUCT for pipeline safety compliance.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
SPS conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. SPS uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and to hedge sales and purchases. Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
Other
Supply Chain
Xcel Energy’s ability to meet customer energy requirements, growing customer demand, respond to storm-related disruptions, and execute our capital expenditure program are dependent on maintaining an efficient supply chain.
Large global demand for energy-related infrastructure has stretched equipment supply chains, extended delivery dates and increased prices for items like combustion turbines, transformers and other large electrical equipment. The labor market for skilled engineering and construction resources to build renewables and gas generation has also been strained, impacting cost and availability.
In addition, manufacturing processes have experienced disruptions related to the scarcity of certain raw materials and interruptions in production and shipping. The impact of inflationary pressures, geopolitical events and federal policies have exacerbated the situation. Xcel Energy continues to monitor the situation as it remains fluid and seeks to mitigate the impacts by securing alternative suppliers and key vendor partners, increasing procurement lead times, modifying design standards, and adjusting the timing of work.
Tariffs and Trade Complaints
In May 2024, the U.S. Department of Commerce announced the initiation of anti-dumping and countervailing duty investigations of CSPV cells from Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam, whether or not assembled into modules.
In October 2024, the U.S. Department of Commerce announced its preliminary determination in the countervailing duty circumvention investigation, which is not expected to impact Xcel Energy projects. In November 2024, the U.S. Department of Commerce concluded that dumping had occurred and the impact to Xcel Energy is still being evaluated.
In May 2024, the White House imposed a new 25% tariff on Lithium-Ion storage along with other trade measures. The tariff went into immediate effect for EV batteries but has a grace period until January 2026 for stationary energy storage applications.
In January of 2025, the U.S. International Trade Commission made an affirmative determination in the preliminary phase of the anti-dumping and countervailing duty investigations concerning Active Anode Material, a component of lithium-ion batteries, from China. This case will be reviewed by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the International Trade Commission over the course of 2025.
In early 2025, several executive orders were issued, some of which impose new tariffs on certain imports, which may impact our procurement activities.
Xcel Energy continues to assess the impacts of these tariffs, trade complaints and federal policies on its business, including company owned projects and PPAs. Xcel Energy may seek regulatory relief for tariffs, if required, in its jurisdictions.
Further policy actions or other restrictions on solar and storage imports, disruptions in imports from key suppliers, or any new trade complaint could impact project timelines and costs of various generation projects and PPAs.
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Excess Liability Insurance Coverage
Xcel Energy maintains excess liability coverage, which is intended to insure against liability to third parties. Through the third quarter of 2024, Xcel Energy had approximately $600 million of excess liability coverage; including $520 million of wildfire coverage with an annual premium of approximately $40 million. Examples of claims paid under this policy include property damage or bodily injury to members of the public caused by Xcel Energy’s employees, equipment or facilities. The increased wildfire liability risk and claims are driving a significant increase of premiums and reductions in insurance coverage in the excess liability markets, especially in the western United States. In October 2024, Xcel Energy renewed its excess liability coverage and now has $450 million of total coverage; including $450 million of wildfire coverage for the NSP System and $300 million of wildfire coverage for PSCo and SPS. The annual premium for this excess liability insurance is approximately $130 million. Xcel Energy received an approved deferral at PSCo, filed a deferral request at NSP-Wisconsin and will continue to seek to recover these increased costs through various regulatory proceedings, including planned deferral requests or rate filings in several states.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Preparation of the consolidated financial statements requires the application of accounting rules and guidance, as well as the use of estimates. Application of these policies involves judgments regarding future events, including the likelihood of success of particular projects, legal and regulatory challenges and anticipated recovery of costs. These judgments could materially impact the consolidated financial statements, based on varying assumptions. In addition, the financial and operating environment also may have a significant effect on the operation of the business and results reported.
Accounting policies and estimates that are most significant to Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition or cash flows, and require management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments are outlined below. Each of these has a higher likelihood of resulting in materially different reported amounts under different conditions or using different assumptions. Each critical accounting policy has been reviewed and discussed with the Audit Committee of Xcel Energy Inc.’s Board of Directors on a quarterly basis.
Regulatory Accounting
Xcel Energy is subject to the accounting for Regulated Operations, which provides that rate-regulated entities report assets and liabilities consistent with the recovery of those incurred costs in rates, if it is probable that such rates will be charged and collected. Our rates are derived through the ratemaking process, which results in the recording of regulatory assets and liabilities based on the probability of future cash flows.
Regulatory assets generally represent incurred or accrued costs that have been deferred because future recovery from customers is probable. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts that are expected to be refunded to customers in future rates or amounts collected in current rates for future costs. In other businesses or industries, regulatory assets and regulatory liabilities would generally be charged to net income or other comprehensive income.
Each reporting period we assess the probability of future recoveries and obligations associated with regulatory assets and liabilities. Factors such as the current regulatory environment, recently issued rate orders and historical precedents are considered. Decisions made by regulatory agencies can directly impact the amount and timing of cost recovery as well as the rate of return on invested capital, and may materially impact our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.
As of Dec. 31, 2024 and 2023, Xcel Energy had regulatory assets of $3.4 billion and $3.4 billion, respectively and regulatory liabilities of $6.9 billion and $6.4 billion, respectively. Each subsidiary is subject to regulation that varies from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. If future recovery of costs in any such jurisdiction is no longer probable, Xcel Energy would be required to charge these assets to current net income or other comprehensive income.
At Dec. 31, 2024, in assessing the probability of recovery of recognized regulatory assets, unless otherwise disclosed, Xcel Energy noted no current or anticipated proposals or changes in the regulatory environment that it expects will materially impact the recovery of the assets.
See Notes 4 and 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Income Tax Accruals
Judgment, uncertainty and estimates are a significant aspect of the income tax accrual process that accounts for the effects of current and deferred income taxes. Uncertainty associated with the application of tax statutes and regulations and outcomes of tax audits and appeals require that judgment and estimates be made in the accrual process and in the calculation of the ETR.
Changes in tax laws and rates may affect recorded deferred tax assets and liabilities and our future ETR. ETR calculations are revised every quarter based on best available year-end tax assumptions, adjusted in the following year after returns are filed. Tax accrual estimates are trued-up to the actual amounts claimed on the tax returns and further adjusted after examinations by taxing authorities, as needed.
In accordance with the interim period reporting guidance, income tax expense for the first three quarters in a year is based on the forecasted annual ETR. The forecasted ETR reflects a number of estimates, including forecasted annual income, permanent tax adjustments and tax credits.
Valuation allowances are applied to deferred tax assets if it is more likely than not that at least a portion may not be realized. Accounting for income taxes also requires that only tax benefits that meet the more likely than not recognition threshold can be recognized or continue to be recognized.
We may adjust our unrecognized tax benefits and interest accruals as disputes with the IRS and state tax authorities are resolved, and as new developments occur. These adjustments may increase or decrease earnings.
See Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Employee Benefits
We sponsor several noncontributory, defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans that cover almost all employees and certain retirees. Projected benefit costs are based on historical information and actuarial calculations that include key assumptions (annual return level on pension and postretirement health care investment assets, discount rates, mortality rates and health care cost trend rates, etc.). In addition, the pension cost calculation uses a methodology to reduce the volatility of investment performance over time. Pension assumptions are continually reviewed.
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At Dec. 31, 2024, Xcel Energy set the rate of return on assets used to measure pension costs at 7.13%, which is a 20 basis point increase from the rate set at Dec. 31, 2023. The rate of return used to measure postretirement health care costs is 6.25% at Dec. 31, 2024, which is a 125 basis point increase from the rate set in 2023. Xcel Energy’s pension investment strategy includes plan-specific investments that seek to align the investment allocations to optimize risk adjusted return and interest rate risk management based on factors that include the plan’s funded status. This strategy generally results in a greater percentage of interest rate sensitive securities being allocated to plans with higher funded status ratios and a greater percentage of growth assets being allocated to plans having lower funded status ratios.
Xcel Energy set the discount rates used to value both the pension obligations and postretirement health care obligations at 5.88% at Dec. 31, 2024. This represents a 39 basis point and 34 basis point increase, respectively, from 2023. Xcel Energy uses a bond matching study as its primary basis for determining the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement health care obligations. The bond matching study utilizes a portfolio of high grade (Aa or higher) bonds that matches the expected cash flows of Xcel Energy’s benefit plans in amount and duration.
The effective yield on this cash flow matched bond portfolio determines the discount rate for the individual plans. The bond matching study is validated for reasonableness against the Bank of America US Corporate 15+ Bond Index. In addition, Xcel Energy reviews general actuarial survey data to assess the reasonableness of the discount rate selected.
If Xcel Energy were to use alternative assumptions, a 1% change would result in the following impact on 2025 pension costs, net of the effects of regulation:
| Pension Costs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | +1% | -1% | |||||
| Rate of return | $ | (12) | $ | 24 | |||
| Discount rate | (2) | 2 |
Mortality rates are developed from actual and projected plan experience for pension plan and postretirement benefits. Xcel Energy’s actuary conducts an experience study periodically to determine an estimate of mortality. Xcel Energy considers standard mortality tables, improvement factors and the plans actual experience when selecting a best estimate.
As of Dec. 31, 2024, the initial medical trend cost claim assumptions for Pre-65 was 7.0% and Post-65 was 7.5%. The ultimate trend assumption remained at 4.5% for both Pre-65 and Post-65 claims costs. Xcel Energy bases its medical trend assumption on the long-term cost inflation expected in the health care market, considering the levels projected and recommended by industry experts, as well as recent actual medical cost experienced by Xcel Energy’s retiree medical plan.
Funding contributions in 2024 were $100 million and will be $125 million in 2025. In future years contributions will decrease slightly but then remain relatively consistent. Investment returns were less than the assumed levels in 2024 and 2022, but were more than the assumed levels in 2023.
The pension cost calculation uses a market-related valuation of pension assets. Xcel Energy uses a calculated value method to determine the market-related value of the plan assets. The market-related value is determined by adjusting the fair market value of assets at the beginning of the year to reflect the investment gains and losses (the difference between the actual investment return and the expected investment return on the market-related value) during each of the previous five years at the rate of 20% per year.
As differences between actual and expected investment returns are incorporated into the market-related value, amounts are recognized in pension cost over the expected average remaining years of service for active employees (approximately 14 years in 2024).
Xcel Energy currently projects the pension costs recognized for financial reporting purposes will be $60 million in 2025 and $69 million in 2026, while the actual pension costs were $79 million in 2024 and $74 in 2023. The expected decrease in 2025 is primarily due to the absence of a pension settlement.
Pension funding contributions across all four of Xcel Energy’s pension plans, both voluntary and required, for 2022 - 2025:
•$125 million in January 2025.
•$100 million in 2024.
•$50 million in 2023.
•$50 million in 2022.
Future amounts may change based on actual market performance, changes in interest rates and any changes in governmental regulations. Therefore, additional contributions could be required in the future. Xcel Energy contributed $11 million, $11 million and $13 million during 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively, to the postretirement health care plans. Xcel Energy expects to contribute approximately $8 million during 2025.
Xcel Energy recovers employee benefits costs in its utility operations consistent with accounting guidance with the exception of the areas noted below.
•NSP-Minnesota recognizes pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions using the aggregate normal cost actuarial method. Differences between aggregate normal cost and expense as calculated by pension accounting standards are deferred as a regulatory liability.
•PSCo and SPS recognize pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions based on GAAP. The Texas and Colorado electric retail jurisdictions and the Colorado gas retail jurisdiction, each record the difference between annual recognized pension expense and the annual amount of pension expense approved in their last respective general rate case as a deferral to a regulatory asset.
•Regulatory Commissions in Texas, New Mexico and FERC jurisdictions allow the recovery of other postretirement benefit costs only to the extent that recognized expense is matched by cash contributions to an irrevocable trust. Xcel Energy has consistently funded at a level to allow full recovery of costs in these jurisdictions.
•PSCo is required to create a regulatory liability to the extent expense is less than that included in rates. No adjustment was needed in 2024.
See Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Nuclear Decommissioning
Xcel Energy recognizes liabilities for the expected cost of retiring tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. These AROs are recognized at fair value as incurred and are capitalized as part of the cost of the related long-lived assets. In the absence of quoted market prices, Xcel Energy estimates the fair value of its AROs using present value techniques, in which it makes assumptions including estimates of the amounts and timing of future cash flows associated with retirement activities, credit-adjusted risk free rates and cost escalation rates. When Xcel Energy revises any assumptions, it adjusts the carrying amount of both the ARO liability and related long-lived asset. ARO liabilities are accreted to reflect the passage of time using the interest method.
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A significant portion of Xcel Energy’s AROs relates to the future decommissioning of NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear facilities. The nuclear decommissioning obligation is funded by the external decommissioning trust fund. Difference between regulatory funding (including depreciation expense less returns from the external trust fund) and expense recognized is deferred as a regulatory liability. The amounts recorded for AROs related to future nuclear decommissioning were $2.5 billion in 2024 and $2.1 billion in 2023.
NSP-Minnesota obtains periodic independent cost studies to estimate the cost and timing of planned nuclear decommissioning activities. Estimates of future cash flows are highly uncertain and may vary significantly from actual results. NSP-Minnesota is required to file a nuclear decommissioning filing every three years. The filing covers all expenses for the decommissioning of the nuclear plants, including decontamination and removal of radioactive material. In November 2024, the 2025-2027 Triennial Nuclear Plant Decommissioning Study was filed.
The following assumptions have a significant effect on the estimated nuclear obligation:
Timing — Decommissioning cost estimates are impacted by each facility’s retirement date and timing of the actual decommissioning activities. Estimated retirement dates coincide with the retirement dates approved by the MPUC, which can be different than the expiration dates of each unit’s operating license with the NRC (i.e., 2050 for Monticello and 2033 and 2034 for Prairie Island Units 1 and 2, respectively).
In December 2024, the operating license for Xcel Energy’s Monticello Nuclear Generating Plant in Monticello, MN was renewed. The approval allows the plant to operate an additional 20 years, through 2050. As of Dec. 31, 2024, the planned retirement dates of the Prairie Island Unit 1 and Unit 2 and Monticello were 2033, 2034 and 2040. In February 2025, the MPUC approved the planned life extension through 2050 as part of the Upper Midwest Resource Plan. These will be incorporated in decommissioning estimates in 2025 once additional approvals have been received.
The estimated timing of the decommissioning activities is based upon the 60 year DECON method, which assumes prompt removal and dismantlement. Decommissioning activities are expected to begin at the commission approved retirement date and be completed for both facilities by approximately 2101.
Technology and Regulation — There is limited experience with actual decommissioning of large nuclear facilities. Changes in technology, experience and regulations could cause cost estimates to change significantly.
Escalation Rates — Escalation rates represent projected cost increases due to general inflation and increases in the cost of decommissioning activities. NSP-Minnesota used an escalation rate of 3.8% in calculating the ARO for nuclear decommissioning of its nuclear facilities, based on weighted averages of labor and non-labor escalation factors.
Discount Rates — Changes in timing or estimated cash flows that result in upward revisions to the ARO are calculated using the then-current credit-adjusted risk-free interest rate. The credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect when the change occurs is used to discount the revised estimate of the incremental expected cash flows of the retirement activity.
If the change in timing or estimated expected cash flows results in a downward revision of the ARO, the undiscounted revised estimate of expected cash flows is discounted using the credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect at the date of initial measurement and recognition of the original ARO. Discount rates ranging from approximately 3% to 7% have been used to calculate the net present value of the expected future cash flows over time.
Significant uncertainties exist in estimating future costs including the method to be utilized, ultimate costs to decommission and planned method of disposing spent fuel. If different cost estimates, life assumptions or cost escalation rates were utilized, the AROs could change materially.
However, changes in estimates have minimal impact on results of operations as NSP-Minnesota expects to continue to recover all costs in future rates.
NSP-Minnesota continually makes judgments and estimates related to these critical accounting policy areas, based on an evaluation of the assumptions and uncertainties for each area. The information and assumptions of these judgments and estimates will be affected by events beyond the control of Xcel Energy, or otherwise change over time.
This may require adjustments to recorded results to better reflect updated information that becomes available. The accompanying financial statements reflect management’s best estimates and judgments of the impact of these factors as of Dec. 31, 2024.
See Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Loss Contingencies – Wildfires
The outcomes of legal proceedings and claims brought against Xcel Energy related to the Marshall Fire, Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex or any future wildfire are subject to uncertainty. An estimated loss from a loss contingency such as a legal proceeding or claim is accrued if it is probable of being incurred and the amount of the loss can be reasonably estimated. Each reporting period we evaluate, among other factors, the degree of probability of unfavorable outcomes and the ability to make reasonable estimates of potential losses. The process for evaluating any wildfire-related liabilities requires a series of complex judgments about past and future events. Factors such as the cause of a wildfire, the extent and magnitude of potential damages and the status of investigations and legal proceedings are considered. See Note 12 accompanying the consolidated financial statements for additional information.
Derivatives, Risk Management and Market Risk
We are exposed to a variety of market risks in the normal course of business. Market risk is the potential loss that may occur as a result of adverse changes in the market or fair value for a particular instrument or commodity. All financial and commodity-related instruments, including derivatives, are subject to market risk.
Xcel Energy is exposed to the impact of adverse changes in price for energy and energy-related products, which is partially mitigated by the use of commodity derivatives. In addition to ongoing monitoring and maintaining credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk, management takes steps to mitigate changes in credit and concentration risks associated with its derivatives and other contracts, including parental guarantees and requests of collateral. While we expect that the counterparties will perform on the contracts underlying our derivatives, the contracts expose us to credit and non-performance risk.
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Distress in the financial markets may impact counterparty risk and the fair value of the securities in the nuclear decommissioning fund and pension fund.
Commodity Price Risk — We are exposed to commodity price risk in our electric and natural gas operations. Commodity price risk is managed by entering into long and short-term physical purchase and sales contracts for electric capacity, energy and energy-related products and fuels used in generation and distribution activities.
Commodity price risk is also managed through the use of financial derivative instruments. Our risk management policy allows us to manage commodity price risk within each rate-regulated operation per commission approved hedge plans.
Wholesale and Commodity Trading Risk — Xcel Energy conducts various wholesale and commodity trading activities, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, energy-related instruments and natural gas-related instruments, including derivatives. Our risk management policy allows management to conduct these activities within guidelines and limitations as approved by our risk management committee.
Fair value of net commodity trading contracts as of Dec. 31, 2024:
| Futures / Forwards Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than 5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (a) | $ | (16) | $ | (19) | $ | (4) | $ | — | $ | (39) | |||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | 3 | 10 | (4) | 2 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| PSCo (a) | 1 | 5 | — | — | 6 | ||||||||||||||
| $ | (12) | $ | (4) | $ | (8) | $ | 2 | $ | (22) |
| Options Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than 5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 20 | $ | — | $ | 20 |
(a)Prices actively quoted or based on actively quoted prices.
(b)Prices based on models and other valuation methods.
Changes in the fair value of commodity trading contracts before the impacts of margin-sharing for the years ended Dec. 31:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2024 | 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Jan. 1 | $ | 1 | $ | (10) | |||
| Contracts realized or settled during the period | — | (2) | |||||
| Commodity trading contract additions and changes during the period | (3) | 13 | |||||
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Dec. 31 | $ | (2) | $ | 1 |
A 10% increase and 10% decrease in forward market prices for Xcel Energy’s commodity trading contracts would have likewise increased and decreased pretax income from continuing operations, by approximately $2 million at Dec. 31, 2024 and $4 million at Dec. 31, 2023.
The utility subsidiaries’ commodity trading operations measure the outstanding risk exposure to price changes on contracts and obligations using an industry standard methodology known as VaR. VaR expresses the potential change in fair value of the outstanding contracts and obligations over a particular period of time under normal market conditions.
The VaRs for the NSP-Minnesota and PSCo commodity trading operations, excluding both non-derivative transactions and derivative transactions designated as normal purchases and normal sales, calculated on a consolidated basis using a Monte Carlo simulation with a 95% confidence level and a one-day holding period, were as follows:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Year Ended Dec. 31 | Average | High | Low | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 1 | $ | — | |||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | 1 | — |
Nuclear Fuel Supply — NSP-Minnesota has contracted for its 2025 through 2029 enriched nuclear material requirements, which are in various stages of processing in Canada, Europe and the United States. In May 2024, the Prohibiting Russian Uranium Imports Act was signed into law. As such, NSP-Minnesota is no longer permitted to accept deliveries of enriched nuclear material from Russia beginning in August 2024, unless specific waivers are requested and received.
Interest Rate Risk — Xcel Energy is subject to interest rate risk. Our risk management policy allows interest rate risk to be managed through the use of fixed rate debt, floating rate debt and interest rate derivatives.
A 100 basis point change in the benchmark rate on Xcel Energy’s variable rate debt would impact pretax interest expense annually by approximately $7 million and $9 million in 2024 and 2023, respectively.
NSP-Minnesota maintains a nuclear decommissioning fund, as required by the NRC. The nuclear decommissioning fund is subject to interest rate and equity price risk. The fund is invested in a diversified portfolio of debt securities, equity securities and other investments. These investments may be used only for the purpose of decommissioning NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear generating plants.
Fluctuations in equity prices or interest rates affecting the nuclear decommissioning fund do not have a direct impact on earnings due to the application of regulatory accounting. Realized and unrealized gains on the decommissioning fund investments are deferred as an offset of NSP-Minnesota’s regulatory asset for nuclear decommissioning costs.
The value of pension and postretirement plan assets and benefit costs are impacted by changes in discount rates and expected return on plan assets. Xcel Energy’s ongoing pension and postretirement investment strategy is based on plan-specific investment recommendations that seek to optimize potential investment risk and minimize interest rate risk associated with changes in the obligations as a plan’s funded status increases over time. The impacts of fluctuations in interest rates on pension and postretirement costs are mitigated by pension cost calculation methodologies and regulatory mechanisms that minimize the earnings impacts of such changes.
Credit Risk — Xcel Energy is also exposed to credit risk. Credit risk relates to the risk of loss resulting from counterparties’ nonperformance on their contractual obligations. Xcel Energy maintains credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk and actively monitors these policies to reflect changes and scope of operations.
At Dec. 31, 2024, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $26 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in a decrease in credit exposure of $25 million. At Dec. 31, 2023, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $27 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in an decrease in credit exposure of $24 million.
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Xcel Energy conducts credit reviews for all wholesale, trading and non-trading commodity counterparties and employs credit risk controls, such as letters of credit, parental guarantees, master netting agreements and termination provisions.
Credit exposure is monitored, and when necessary, the activity with a specific counterparty is limited until credit enhancement is provided. Distress in the financial markets could increase our credit risk.
Fair Value Measurements
Derivative contracts, with the exception of those designated as normal purchases and normal sales, are reported at fair value. Xcel Energy’s investments held in the nuclear decommissioning fund, rabbi trusts, pension and other postretirement funds are also subject to fair value accounting. See Notes 10 and 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Cash Flows
Operating Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2023 | $ | 5,327 | |
| Components of change — 2024 vs. 2023 | |||
| Higher net income | 165 | ||
| Non-cash transactions | 222 | ||
| Changes in deferred taxes | 284 | ||
| Changes in working capital | (783) | ||
| Changes in net regulatory and other assets and liabilities | (574) | ||
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2024 | $ | 4,641 |
Net cash provided by operating activities decreased by $686 million for 2024 as compared to 2023. The decrease was largely due to interim rate refunds in Minnesota and timing of recovery of deferred fuel costs, partially offset by the change in deferred income taxes, which includes the impact of proceeds for tax credit transfers.
Investing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash used in investing activities — 2023 | $ | (5,926) | |
| Components of change — 2024 vs. 2023 | |||
| Increased capital expenditures | (1,510) | ||
| Other investing activities | 8 | ||
| Cash used in investing activities — 2024 | $ | (7,428) |
Net cash used in investing activities increased by $1,502 million for 2024 as compared to 2023. The increase in capital expenditures was largely due to continued system expansion and increased investment in renewable and transmission projects.
Financing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by financing activities —2023 | $ | 617 | |
| Components of change — 2024 vs. 2023 | |||
| Higher long-term debt issuances, net of repayments | 1,512 | ||
| Higher proceeds from issuance of common stock | 847 | ||
| Higher dividends paid to shareholders | (83) | ||
| Other financing activities | (56) | ||
| Cash provided by financing activities — 2024 | $ | 2,837 |
Net cash provided by financing activities increased by $2,220 million for 2024 as compared to 2023. The increase was largely related to additional debt and common stock issuances to fund capital investment.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Capital Requirements
Xcel Energy has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future. Xcel Energy expects to have adequate amounts of cash from operating and financing activities to meet both its short-term and long-term cash requirements. Xcel Energy’s financing requirements are dependent on both existing contractual obligations and other commitments, as well as projected capital forecasts. Xcel Energy expects to meet future financing requirements by periodically issuing short-term debt, long-term debt, common stock, hybrid and other securities to maintain desired capitalization ratios. Projected future financing requirements can be impacted by various factors including constraints to supply chain and labor, regulatory lag and inflation.
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Material Cash Requirements and Other Commitments
| Payments Due by Period (as of Dec. 31, 2024) | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Total | Less than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 3 to 5 Years | After 5 Years | |||||||||||||
| Long-term debt, principal and interest payments | $ | 50,915 | $ | 2,292 | $ | 3,316 | $ | 3,846 | $ | 41,461 | ||||||||
| Finance lease obligations | 208 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 165 | |||||||||||||
| Operating leases obligations (a) | 1,355 | 271 | 432 | 215 | 437 | |||||||||||||
| Unconditional purchase obligations (b) (c) | 3,755 | 1,432 | 1,207 | 432 | 684 | |||||||||||||
| Other long-term obligations, including current portion (d) | 85 | 20 | 36 | 29 | — | |||||||||||||
| Other short-term obligations | 632 | 632 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Short-term debt | 695 | 695 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Total contractual cash obligations | $ | 57,645 | $ | 5,352 | $ | 5,008 | $ | 4,538 | $ | 42,747 |
(a)Included in operating lease obligations are $240 million, $372 million, $166 million and $199 million, for the less than 1 year, 1 - 3 years, 3 - 5 years and after 5 years categories, respectively, pertaining to PPAs that are accounted for as operating leases.
(b)Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries have contracts providing for the purchase and delivery of a significant portion of its fuel (nuclear, natural gas and coal) requirements. Additionally, the utility subsidiaries of Xcel Energy Inc. have entered into non-lease purchase power agreements. Certain contractual purchase obligations are adjusted on indices. Effects of price changes are mitigated through cost of energy adjustment mechanisms.
(c)Amounts exclude approximately $1 billion of incremental payments related to SPS’ renegotiation and extension of a non-lease PPA that received PUCT approval in February 2025. The extension to 2040 will result in annual payments of approximately $65 million to $80 million commencing in 2025.
(d)Primarily consists of contracts for information technology services.
Capital Expenditures — Base capital expenditures for Xcel Energy for 2025 through 2029:
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Regulated Utility | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2025 - 2029 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| PSCo | $ | 3,180 | $ | 5,820 | $ | 5,190 | $ | 3,940 | $ | 3,780 | $ | 3,550 | $ | 22,280 | |||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 2,830 | 3,240 | 2,500 | 2,830 | 2,080 | 2,570 | 13,220 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| SPS | 1,100 | 1,400 | 1,540 | 1,280 | 1,040 | 1,040 | 6,300 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 560 | 640 | 650 | 690 | 660 | 670 | 3,310 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other (a) | (20) | (100) | (40) | 10 | 10 | 10 | (110) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 7,650 | $ | 11,000 | $ | 9,840 | $ | 8,750 | $ | 7,570 | $ | 7,840 | $ | 45,000 |
(a)Other category includes intercompany transfers for safe harbor wind turbines.
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Function | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2025 - 2029 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric distribution | $ | 2,220 | $ | 2,570 | $ | 3,000 | $ | 3,400 | $ | 3,320 | $ | 3,540 | $ | 15,830 | |||||||||||||
| Electric transmission | 1,720 | 2,260 | 2,860 | 2,740 | 2,390 | 2,310 | 12,560 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Renewables | 1,130 | 3,360 | 1,400 | 260 | — | — | 5,020 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric generation | 960 | 1,210 | 1,150 | 910 | 580 | 620 | 4,470 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Natural gas | 780 | 800 | 680 | 690 | 630 | 620 | 3,420 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other | 840 | 800 | 750 | 750 | 650 | 750 | 3,700 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 7,650 | $ | 11,000 | $ | 9,840 | $ | 8,750 | $ | 7,570 | $ | 7,840 | $ | 45,000 |
The base plan does not include any potential incremental generation or transmission assets that are pending commission approval through an RFP, a resource plan, or from additional data center load, which could result in additional capital expenditures of $10 billion or greater. Xcel Energy generally expects to fund additional capital investment with approximately 40% equity and 60% debt.
Xcel Energy’s capital expenditure forecast is subject to continuing review and modification. Actual capital expenditures may vary from estimates due to changes in electric and natural gas projected load growth, safety and reliability needs, regulatory decisions, legislative initiatives, tax policy, reserve requirements, availability of purchased power, alternative plans for meeting long-term energy needs, environmental initiatives and regulation, and merger, acquisition and divestiture opportunities.
Financing for Capital Expenditures through 2029 — Xcel Energy issues debt and equity securities to refinance retiring debt maturities, reduce short-term debt, fund capital programs, infuse equity in subsidiaries, fund asset acquisitions and for general corporate purposes.
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Current estimated financing plans of Xcel Energy for 2025 through 2029 (includes the impact of tax credit transferability):
| (Millions of Dollars) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Funding Capital Expenditures | |||
| Cash from operations (a) | $ | 25,320 | |
| New debt (b) | 15,180 | ||
| Equity through the DRIP and benefit program | 500 | ||
| Other equity | 4,000 | ||
| Base capital expenditures 2025 - 2029 | $ | 45,000 | |
| Maturing debt | $ | 3,730 |
(a)Net of dividends and pension funding.
(b)Reflects a combination of short and long-term debt; net of refinancing.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Xcel Energy does not have any off-balance-sheet arrangements, other than those currently disclosed, that have or are reasonably likely to have a current or future effect on financial condition, changes in financial condition, revenues or expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital expenditures or capital resources that is material to investors.
Common Stock Dividends — Future dividend levels will be dependent on Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, reinvestment opportunities and other factors, and will be evaluated by the Xcel Energy Inc. Board of Directors. In February 2025, Xcel Energy announced an increase in the annual dividend of 9 cents per share, which represents an increase of 4.1%.
Xcel Energy’s dividend policy balances the following:
•Projected cash generation.
•Projected capital investment.
•A reasonable rate of return on shareholder investment.
•The impact on Xcel Energy’s capital structure and credit ratings.
In addition, there are certain statutory limitations that could affect dividend levels. Federal law places limits on the ability of public utilities within a holding company to declare dividends. Under the Federal Power Act, a public utility may not pay dividends from any funds properly included in a capital account. The utility subsidiaries’ dividends may be limited directly or indirectly by state regulatory commissions or bond indenture covenants.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Pension Fund — Xcel Energy’s pension assets are invested in a diversified portfolio of domestic and international equity securities, short-term to long-duration fixed income securities and alternative investments, including private equity, real estate and hedge funds.
Funded status and pension assumptions:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Dec. 31, 2024 | Dec. 31, 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of pension assets | $ | 2,504 | $ | 2,690 | |||
| Projected pension obligation (a) | 2,752 | 2,943 | |||||
| Funded status | $ | (248) | $ | (253) |
(a)Excludes non-qualified plan of $13 million and $12 million at Dec. 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
| Pension Assumptions | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount rate | 5.88 | % | 5.49 | % | ||
| Expected long-term rate of return | 7.13 | 6.93 |
Capital Sources
Short-Term Funding Sources — Xcel Energy generally funds short-term needs, through operating cash flows, notes payable, commercial paper and bank lines of credit. The amount and timing of short-term funding needs depend on construction expenditures, working capital and dividend payments.
Short-Term Investments — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS maintain cash and short-term investment accounts.
Short-Term Debt — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS each have individual commercial paper programs. Authorized levels for these commercial paper programs are:
•$1.50 billion for Xcel Energy Inc.
•$700 million for PSCo.
•$700 million for NSP-Minnesota.
•$500 million for SPS.
•$150 million for NSP-Wisconsin.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Credit Facility Agreements — As of Feb. 24, 2025, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Facility (a) | Drawn (b) | Available | Cash | Liquidity | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | $ | 1,500 | $ | 660 | $ | 840 | $ | 25 | $ | 865 | |||||||||
| PSCo | 700 | 101 | 599 | 10 | 609 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 700 | 375 | 325 | 7 | 332 | ||||||||||||||
| SPS | 500 | 255 | 245 | 7 | 252 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 150 | 27 | 123 | 3 | 126 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 3,550 | $ | 1,418 | $ | 2,132 | $ | 52 | $ | 2,184 |
(a)Credit facilities expire in September 2027.
(b)Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit.
Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, PSCo and SPS each have the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for two additional one-year periods. NSP-Wisconsin has the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for an additional year. All extension requests are subject to majority bank group approval.
Registration Statements — Xcel Energy Inc.’s Articles of Incorporation authorize the issuance of one billion shares of $2.50 par value common stock. As of Dec. 31, 2024 and 2023, Xcel Energy had approximately 574 million shares and 555 million shares of common stock outstanding, respectively.
Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries have registration statements on file with the SEC which are uncapped, permitting Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries to issue debt, equity and other securities. Debt issuance at our utility subsidiaries are subject to commission approval.
Long-Term Borrowings, Equity Issuances and Other Financing Instruments — Xcel Energy may issue equity through its ATM program, forward equity agreements or other offerings. Financing plans are subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, regulatory outcomes, internal cash generation, market conditions, changes in tax policies and other factors.
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Planned Financing Activity — Xcel Energy’s 2025 financing plans reflect the following:
| Issuer | Security | Amount (Millions of Dollars) | Expected Tenor | Anticipated Timing | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | Senior Unsecured Notes | $ | 1,000 | 10 Year | First Quarter | ||||||
| PSCo | First Mortgage Bonds | 2,000 | 10 Year & 30 Year | Second & Third Quarter | |||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | First Mortgage Bonds | 1,100 | 10 Year & 30 Year | First & Third Quarter | |||||||
| SPS | First Mortgage Bonds | 450 | 30 Year | Second Quarter | |||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | First Mortgage Bonds | 250 | 30 Year | Second Quarter |
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy 2025 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2025 ongoing earnings guidance is a range of $3.75 to $3.85 per share.(a)
Key assumptions as compared with 2024 actual levels unless noted:
•Constructive outcomes in all pending rate case and regulatory proceedings, including requests for deferral of incremental insurance costs associated with wildfire risk and recovery of O&M costs associated with wildfire mitigation plans.
•Normal weather patterns for the year.
•Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~3%.
•Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to increase ~1%.
•Capital rider revenue is projected to increase $260 million to $270 million (net of PTCs).
•O&M expenses are projected to increase ~3%.
•Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately $210 million to $220 million.
•Property taxes are projected to increase $55 million to $65 million.
•Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase $165 million to $175 million, net of interest income.
•AFUDC - equity is projected to increase $110 million to $120 million.
(a)Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. As Xcel Energy is unable to quantify the financial impacts of any additional adjustments that may occur for the year, we are unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of the guidance for ongoing EPS to corresponding GAAP EPS.
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on the following long-term objectives:
• Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of 6% to 8% based off of $3.55 per share (the mid-point of 2024 original ongoing earnings guidance of $3.50 to $3.60 per share).
• Deliver annual dividend increases of 4% to 6%.
• Target a dividend payout ratio of 50% to 60%.
• Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000072903-24-000034.
ITEM 7 — MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing ROE, ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that is adjusted from measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.
Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of Xcel Energy or each subsidiary, adjusted for certain nonrecurring items, by each entity’s average stockholder’s equity. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of earnings results.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of each subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. For instance, to present ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted earnings per share, we may adjust the related GAAP amounts for certain items that are non-recurring in nature. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP.
The following table provides a reconciliation of GAAP earnings (net income) to ongoing earnings:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP net income | $ | 1,771 | $ | 1,736 | |||
| Loss on Comanche Unit 3 litigation | 35 | — | |||||
| Workforce reduction expenses | 72 | — | |||||
| Less: tax effect of adjustments | (27) | — | |||||
| Ongoing earnings | $ | 1,851 | $ | 1,736 |
| Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31, 2023 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP Diluted EPS | Impact of Adjustments | Ongoing Diluted EPS | ||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.28 | $ | 0.04 | $ | 1.32 | |||||
| PSCo (a) | 1.26 | 0.08 | 1.33 | ||||||||
| SPS | 0.70 | 0.01 | 0.71 | ||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.25 | — | 0.25 | ||||||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.04 | — | 0.04 | ||||||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.52 | 0.14 | 3.66 | ||||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.31) | — | (0.31) | ||||||||
| Total (a) | $ | 3.21 | 0.14 | $ | 3.35 |
| Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31, 2022 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP Diluted EPS | Impact of Adjustments | Ongoing Diluted EPS | ||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.23 | $ | — | $ | 1.23 | |||||
| PSCo | 1.33 | — | 1.33 | ||||||||
| SPS | 0.64 | — | 0.64 | ||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.23 | — | 0.23 | ||||||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.04 | — | 0.04 | ||||||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.47 | — | 3.47 | ||||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.29) | — | (0.29) | ||||||||
| Total (a) | $ | 3.17 | — | $ | 3.17 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Comanche Unit 3 Litigation — In the third quarter of 2023, PSCo recognized a $34 million loss due to a jury verdict in Denver County District Court awarding CORE lost power damages and other costs. PSCo intends to file an appeal of this decision. Given the non-recurring nature of this specific item, it has been excluded from ongoing earnings.
See Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Workforce Reduction — In 2023, Xcel Energy implemented workforce actions to align resources and investments with our evolving business and customer needs, and streamline the organization for long-term success. Xcel Energy initiated a voluntary retirement program, under which approximately 400 eligible non-bargaining employees retired. Xcel Energy also eliminated approximately 150 non-bargaining employees through an involuntary severance program.
Total workforce reduction expenses of $72 million were recorded in the fourth quarter of 2023. Given the non-recurring nature of this item, it has been excluded from ongoing earnings.
See Note 15 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
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Results of Operations
Diluted EPS for Xcel Energy at Dec. 31:
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP Diluted EPS | GAAP Diluted EPS | |||||
| NSP-Minnesota | $ | 1.28 | $ | 1.23 | |||
| PSCo | 1.26 | 1.33 | |||||
| SPS | 0.70 | 0.64 | |||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.25 | 0.23 | |||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.04 | 0.04 | |||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.52 | 3.47 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.31) | (0.29) | |||||
| GAAP Diluted EPS (a) | 3.21 | 3.17 | |||||
| Loss on Comanche Unit 3 litigation | 0.05 | — | |||||
| Workforce reduction expenses | 0.09 | — | |||||
| Ongoing Diluted EPS (a) | $ | 3.35 | $ | 3.17 |
(a)Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings reflects management’s performance in operating Xcel Energy and provides a meaningful representation of the performance of Xcel Energy’s core business. In addition, Xcel Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial planning and analysis, reporting results to the Board of Directors and when communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors.
2023 Comparison with 2022
Xcel Energy — GAAP diluted earnings were $3.21 per share compared to $3.17 per share in 2022 and ongoing diluted earnings were $3.35 per share in 2023, compared with $3.17 per share in 2022. The increase in ongoing earnings per share was driven by increased recovery of infrastructure investments, higher sales and demand and lower O&M expenses, partially offset by higher depreciation and interest charges and unfavorable weather.
Fluctuations in electric and natural gas revenues associated with changes in fuel and purchased power and/or natural gas sold and transported generally do not significantly impact earnings (changes in costs are offset by the related variation in revenues).
NSP-Minnesota — GAAP earnings increased $0.05 per share and ongoing earnings increased $0.09 per share for 2023 compared to 2022. The change to ongoing earnings was driven by increased recovery of electric infrastructure investments, partially offset by increased interest charges and unfavorable weather.
PSCo — GAAP earnings decreased $0.07 per share and ongoing earnings was flat for 2023 compared to 2022. Ongoing earnings primarily reflects higher recovery of infrastructure investment and lower O&M expenses, which were partially offset by increased depreciation, interest charges and unfavorable weather.
SPS — GAAP earnings increased $0.06 per share and ongoing earnings increased $0.07 per share for 2023 compared to 2022. Ongoing earnings were largely impacted by regulatory rate outcomes, sales growth, partially offset by increased depreciation, interest charges and unfavorable weather.
NSP-Wisconsin — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased $0.02 per share for 2023 compared to 2022. The increase in ongoing earnings was primarily a result of higher recovery of electric infrastructure investment, partially offset by unfavorable weather and, higher depreciation, O&M expenses and interest charges.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Primarily includes financing costs and interest income at the holding company and earnings from EIP funds equity method investments. Fluctuations from 2022 levels were largely attributable to increased interest rates.
Changes in Diluted EPS
Components significantly contributing to changes in EPS:
| 2023 vs. 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | Dec. 31 | ||
| GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2022 | $ | 3.17 | |
| Components of change — 2023 vs. 2022 | |||
| Higher electric revenues, net of electric fuel and purchased power | 0.07 | ||
| Lower O&M expenses | 0.06 | ||
| Lower conservation and demand side management expenses (offset in electric revenues) | 0.06 | ||
| Higher other income (expense) | 0.05 | ||
| Lower taxes (other than income taxes) | 0.04 | ||
| Higher natural gas revenues, net of cost of natural gas sold and transported | 0.03 | ||
| Higher interest expense | (0.14) | ||
| Higher depreciation and amortization | (0.05) | ||
| Workforce reduction expenses | (0.09) | ||
| Loss on Comanche Unit 3 litigation | (0.05) | ||
| Other (net) | 0.06 | ||
| GAAP diluted EPS — 2023 | $ | 3.21 | |
| Workforce reduction expenses | 0.09 | ||
| Loss on Comanche Unit 3 litigation | 0.05 | ||
| Ongoing diluted EPS — 2023 | $ | 3.35 |
ROE for Xcel Energy and its utility subsidiaries:
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE | GAAP ROE | Ongoing ROE | GAAP and Ongoing ROE | ||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 8.82 | % | 9.11 | % | 8.76 | % | |||
| PSCo | 7.32 | 7.77 | 8.23 | ||||||
| SPS | 9.80 | 9.98 | 9.36 | ||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 10.38 | 10.67 | 10.57 | ||||||
| Operating Companies | 8.45 | 8.79 | 8.74 | ||||||
| Xcel Energy | 10.33 | 10.79 | 10.76 |
Statement of Income Analysis
The following summarizes the items that affected the individual revenue and expense items reported in the consolidated statements of income.
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements.
As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, electric decoupling mechanisms in Colorado (mechanism expired in September 2023) and electric sales true-up mechanisms in Minnesota and gas decoupling mechanism in Minnesota predominately mitigate the positive and adverse impacts of weather in those jurisdictions.
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Degree-day or THI data is used to estimate amounts of energy required to maintain comfortable indoor temperature levels based on each day’s average temperature and humidity.
HDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature falls below 65° Fahrenheit. CDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature rises above 65° Fahrenheit.
Each degree of temperature above 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one CDD, and each degree of temperature below 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one HDD.
In Xcel Energy’s more humid service territories, a THI is used in place of CDD, which adds a humidity factor to CDD. HDD, CDD and THI are most likely to impact the usage of Xcel Energy’s residential and commercial customers. Industrial customers are less sensitive to weather.
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Percentage increase (decrease) in normal and actual HDD, CDD and THI:
| 2023 vs. Normal | 2022 vs. Normal | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDD | (7.3) | % | 6.5 | % | (12.9) | % | ||
| CDD | 5.2 | 23.7 | (13.8) | |||||
| THI | 16.0 | 5.6 | 9 |
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
| 2023 vs. Normal | 2022 vs. Normal | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail electric | $ | 0.013 | $ | 0.138 | $ | (0.125) | ||||
| Decoupling and sales true-up | (0.007) | (0.061) | 0.054 | |||||||
| Electric total | $ | 0.006 | $ | 0.077 | $ | (0.071) | ||||
| Firm natural gas | (0.010) | 0.037 | (0.047) | |||||||
| Decoupling | $ | 0.013 | $ | — | $ | 0.013 | ||||
| Gas total | $ | 0.003 | $ | 0.037 | $ | (0.034) | ||||
| Total | $ | 0.009 | $ | 0.114 | $ | (0.105) |
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales:
| 2023 vs. 2022 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | PSCo | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Actual | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | (0.5) | % | (4.0) | % | (3.0) | % | (2.6) | % | (2.3) | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | (1.1) | (1.9) | 5.2 | (0.5) | 0.5 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | (0.9) | (2.6) | 3.6 | (1.1) | (0.3) | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | (12.0) | (1.5) | N/A | (12.6) | (5.7) |
| 2023 vs. 2022 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | PSCo | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Weather-normalized | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | 1.0 | % | 1.6 | % | 1.1 | % | 0.1 | % | 1.2 | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | (1.1) | (0.4) | 5.3 | (0.4) | 1.0 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | (0.4) | 0.3 | 4.5 | (0.3) | 1.0 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | — | 2.3 | N/A | (0.4) | 1.4 |
Annual weather-normalized electric sales growth (decline)
•NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales increased due to a 1.2% increase in customers outpacing declines in use per customer. The decline in C&I sales was due to lower use per customer, particularly due to weakness in the manufacturing sector compared to prior year.
•PSCo — Residential sales increased due to increased use per customer and a 1.3% increase in customers. The decline in C&I sales was attributable to decreased use per customer, primarily in the manufacturing sector.
•SPS — Residential sales growth was primarily attributable to a 0.7% increase in customers and increased use per customer. C&I sales increased due to higher use per customer, primarily driven by the energy sector.
•NSP-Wisconsin — The C&I sales decline was associated with lower use per customer, experienced primarily in the transportation and manufacturing sectors.
Annual weather-normalized natural gas sales growth (decline)
•Natural gas sales reflect 1.2% residential and 0.7% C&I customer growth and an increase in C&I use per customer at PSCo. Partially offsetting these increases were lower use per residential customer in all jurisdictions.
Electric Margin
Electric margin is presented as electric revenues less electric fuel and purchased power expenses. Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms.
As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues.
Electric revenues and fuel and purchased power expenses are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium. These price fluctuations generally have minimal impact on earnings impact due to fuel recovery mechanisms. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated, which reduce electric revenue and income taxes.
Electric Revenues, Fuel and Purchased Power and Electric Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric revenues | $ | 11,446 | $ | 12,123 | |||
| Electric fuel and purchased power | (4,278) | (5,005) | |||||
| Electric margin | $ | 7,168 | $ | 7,118 |
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Change in Electric Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory rate outcomes (MN, CO, TX, NM, WI, SD and MI) | $ | 100 | |
| Non-fuel riders | 89 | ||
| Sales and demand (a) | 57 | ||
| Wholesale transmission (net) | 28 | ||
| Revenue recognition of the Texas rate case surcharge (b) | (85) | ||
| Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling/sales true-up) | (51) | ||
| Conservation and demand side management (offset in expense) | (43) | ||
| PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) | (28) | ||
| Other (net) | (17) | ||
| Total increase | $ | 50 |
(a)Sales excludes weather impact, net of partial decoupling in Colorado (mechanism expired in September 2023) and sales true-up mechanism in Minnesota.
(b)The decline in electric margin is due to the recognition of the Texas rate case outcome in the second quarter of 2022, which was largely offset by recognition of previously deferred costs.
Natural Gas Margin
Natural gas margin is presented as natural gas revenues less the cost of natural gas sold and transported. Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues.
Natural gas expense varies with changing sales and the cost of natural gas. However, fluctuations in the cost of natural gas generally have minimal earnings impact due to cost recovery mechanisms.
Natural Gas Revenues, Cost of Natural Gas Sold and Transported and Natural Gas Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural gas revenues | $ | 2,645 | $ | 3,080 | |||
| Cost of natural gas sold and transported | (1,456) | (1,910) | |||||
| Natural gas margin | $ | 1,189 | $ | 1,170 |
Change in Natural Gas Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2023 vs. 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory rate outcomes (CO, WI, MI) | $ | 50 | |
| Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling) | (25) | ||
| Other (net) | (6) | ||
| Total increase | $ | 19 |
Non-Fuel Operating Expenses and Other Items
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses decreased $47 million in 2023, primarily due to the impact of management cost containment efforts, the exit of our appliance repair services business and the change in deferred costs associated with the Texas Electric Rate Cases (offset in Electric revenues), offset by higher bad debt expenses, the impact of inflationary pressures, including labor, and timing of unplanned maintenance at generating plants.
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased $35 million for the year, primarily related to system expansion, offset by the change in deferred costs associated with the Texas Electric Rate Case and depreciation life extensions implemented in the Minnesota Electric Rate Case.
Taxes (other than Income Taxes) —Taxes (other than income taxes) decreased $31 million in 2023, primarily due to lower property tax expense (lower tax rates in Minnesota offset by increase in Colorado) and deferrals related to the Minnesota Electric Rate Case and Texas Electric Rate Case.
Other Income (Expense) — Other income (expense) increased $35 million for the year, primarily related to rabbi trust performance, which is primarily offset in employee benefit cost in O&M expenses.
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased $102 million in 2023. The increase was largely due to higher long-term debt levels to fund capital investments and higher interest rates.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other Results
Net income and diluted EPS contributions of Xcel Energy Inc. and its nonregulated businesses:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (174) | $ | (153) | |||
| Venture Holdings (a) | 3 | 5 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. taxes and other results | (2) | (12) | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (173) | $ | (160) |
| (Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (0.32) | $ | (0.28) | |||
| Venture Holdings (a) | 0.01 | 0.01 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. taxes and other results | — | (0.02) | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (0.31) | $ | (0.29) |
(a)Amounts include gains or losses associated with EIP investments.
Xcel Energy Inc.’s results include interest charges, which are incurred at Xcel Energy Inc. and are not directly assigned to individual subsidiaries.
2022 Comparison with 2021
A discussion of changes in Xcel Energy’s results of operations, cash flows and liquidity and capital resources from the year ended Dec. 31, 2021 to Dec. 31, 2022 can be found in Part II, “Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year 2022, which was filed with the SEC on Feb. 23, 2023. However, such discussion is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Public Utility Regulation
The FERC and various state and local regulatory commissions regulate Xcel Energy Inc.’s utility subsidiaries and West Gas Interstate. Xcel Energy is subject to rate regulation by state utility regulatory agencies, which have jurisdiction with respect to the rates of electric and natural gas distribution companies in Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Colorado, New Mexico and Texas.
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Rates are designed to recover plant investment, operating costs and an allowed return on investment. Our utility subsidiaries request changes in utility rates through commission filings. Changes in operating costs can affect Xcel Energy’s financial results, depending on the timing of rate cases and implementation of final rates. Other factors affecting rate filings are new investments, sales, conservation and DSM efforts, and the cost of capital.
In addition, the regulatory commissions authorize the ROE, capital structure and depreciation rates in rate proceedings. Decisions by these regulators can significantly impact Xcel Energy’s results of operations and credit quality.
See Rate Matters and Other within Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
NSP-Minnesota
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| MPUC | Retail rates, services, security issuances, property transfers, mergers, disposition of assets, affiliate transactions, and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plants greater than 50 MW and transmission lines greater than 100 KV in Minnesota.Reviews and approves natural gas supply plans. | |
| NDPSC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in North Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| SDPUC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric operations.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in South Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transfers and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Minnesota is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO and operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale markets. NSP-Minnesota makes wholesale sales in other RTO markets at market-based rates. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin also make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices to customers outside of their balancing authority as jointly authorized by the FERC. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| Minnesota Office of Pipeline Safety | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| CIP Rider (a) | Recovers costs of conservation and DSM programs. | |
| Customer Protection Mechanisms | MISO capacity revenue tracker, property tax tracker, annual incentive plan, capital true-up, and deferred tax asset refund are all mechanisms that mitigate the impact of changes to costs as compared to a baseline for NSP-Minnesota customers. | |
| Decoupling | Measures natural gas revenues against a baseline revenue per-customer for all Minnesota gas customers in classes with more than 50 customers. | |
| FCA | Recovers prudently incurred costs of fuel related items and purchased energy (Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota). | |
| GUIC Rider | Recovers costs for transmission and distribution pipeline integrity management programs, including funding for pipeline assessments, deferred costs for sewer separation and pipeline integrity management programs in Minnesota. | |
| Infrastructure Rider | Recovers costs for investments in generation in South Dakota. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | Provides for prospective monthly rate adjustments in Minnesota and North Dakota for costs of purchased natural gas, transportation and storage service. Includes a true-up process for difference between projected and actual costs. | |
| Renewable Development Fund | Allocates money collected from customers to support research and development of emerging renewable energy projects and technologies in Minnesota. | |
| Renewable Energy Rider | Recovers cost of renewable generation in North Dakota. | |
| RES | Recovers cost of renewable generation in Minnesota. | |
| Sales True-up | Mitigates the impact of changes to sales levels as compared to a baseline for all Minnesota electric customers. | |
| Transmission Cost Recovery | Recovers costs for investments in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota for electric transmission and distribution grid modernization. |
(a)Minnesota state law requires NSP-Minnesota to spend 2% of its state electric revenues and 0.5% of its state natural gas revenues on CIP. These costs are recovered through an annual cost-recovery mechanism.
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2022 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — In October 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a three-year electric rate case with the MPUC. The rate request was based on a ROE of 10.2%, a 52.5% equity ratio and forward test years. In December 2021, the MPUC approved interim rates, subject to refund, of $247 million, effective Jan. 1, 2022. In November 2022, NSP-Minnesota revised its rate request to $498 million over three years.
In July 2023, the MPUC approved a three-year rate increase of approximately $332 million for 2022-2024, based on a ROE of 9.25% and an equity ratio of 52.5%. The MPUC also approved a continuation of the sales true-up mechanism.
In October 2023, the MPUC denied NSP-Minnesota’s request for reconsideration of certain aspects of the decision. NSP-Minnesota filed an appeal of the decision to the Minnesota Court of Appeals in November 2023.
2024 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — In November 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the MPUC for an annual natural gas rate increase of approximately $59 million, or 9.6%. The request is based on a ROE of 10.2%, a 52.5% equity ratio and a 2024 forward test year with rate base of approximately $1.27 billion. In Dec. 2023, the MPUC approved NSP-Minnesota’s request for interim rates, subject to refund, of approximately $51 million (implemented on Jan. 1, 2024).
Next steps in the procedural schedule are expected to be as follows:
•Intervenor direct testimony: April 19, 2024
•Rebuttal testimony: May 24, 2024
•Evidentiary hearings: July 10-12, 2024
•ALJ Report: October 28, 2024
•MPUC Order Due: March 14, 2025
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2024 North Dakota Natural Gas Rate Case — In December 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the NDPSC for an annual natural gas rate increase of approximately $8 million, or 9.4%. The filing is based on a ROE of 10.2%, a 52.5% equity ratio and a 2024 forecast test year with rate base of approximately $168 million. NSP-Minnesota requested interim rates, subject to refund, of approximately $8 million to be implemented on March 1, 2024.
Nuclear Power Operations
Nuclear power plant operations produce gaseous, liquid and solid radioactive wastes, which are covered by federal regulation. High-level radioactive wastes primarily include used nuclear fuel. Low-level waste consists primarily of demineralizer resins, paper, protective clothing, rags, tools and equipment contaminated through use.
NRC Regulation — The NRC regulates nuclear operations. Costs of complying with NRC requirements can affect both operating expenses and capital investments of the plants. NSP-Minnesota has obtained recovery of these compliance costs and expects to recover future compliance costs.
Low-Level Waste Disposal — Low level waste from Monticello and PI is disposed of at the Clive facility located in Utah and the Waste Control Specialists facility in Texas. NSP-Minnesota has storage capacity available on-site at PI and Monticello which would allow both plants to continue to operate until the end of their current licensed lives if off-site low-level waste disposal facilities become unavailable.
High-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal — The federal government has responsibility to permanently dispose of domestic spent nuclear fuel and other high-level radioactive wastes. The Nuclear Waste Policy Act requires the DOE to implement a program for nuclear high-level waste management.
This includes the siting, licensing, construction and operation of a repository for spent nuclear fuel from civilian nuclear power reactors and other high-level radioactive wastes at a permanent federal storage or disposal facility. Currently, there are no definitive plans for a permanent federal storage facility site.
Nuclear Spent Fuel Storage — NSP-Minnesota has interim on-site storage for spent nuclear fuel at its Monticello and PI nuclear generating plants. Authorized storage capacity is sufficient to allow NSP-Minnesota to operate until the end of the current operating licenses in 2030 for Monticello, 2033 for PI Unit 1, and 2034 for PI Unit 2.
In February 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a CON with the MPUC for additional storage at PI to support possible life extension to 2054.
In October 2023, the MPUC issued an order approving NSP-Minnesota’s application for a CON for additional spent fuel storage (existing Independent Spent Fuel Storage Installation) at the Monticello Nuclear Power Generating Plant to allow continued operation of the Monticello Plant until 2040.
Authorizations for additional spent fuel storage capacity may be required at each site to support either continued operation or decommissioning if the federal government does not commence storage operations.
NSP-Wisconsin
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PSCW | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.The PSCW has a biennial base rate filing requirement. By June of each odd numbered year, NSP-Wisconsin must submit a rate filing for the test year beginning the following January.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| Michigan Public Service Commission | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric generation licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Wisconsin is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO that operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale energy market. NSP-Wisconsin and NSP-Minnesota are jointly authorized by the FERC to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Annual Fuel Cost Plan | NSP-Wisconsin does not have an automatic electric fuel adjustment clause. Under Wisconsin rules, utilities submit a forward-looking annual fuel cost plan to the PSCW. Once the PSCW approves the plan, utilities defer the amount of any fuel cost under-recovery or over-recovery in excess of a 2% annual tolerance band, for future rate recovery or refund. Approval of a fuel cost plan and any rate adjustment for refund or recovery of deferred costs is determined by the PSCW. Rate recovery of deferred fuel cost is subject to an earnings test based on the most recently authorized ROE. Under-collections that exceed the 2% annual tolerance band may not be recovered if the utility earnings for that year exceed the authorized ROE. | |
| Natural Gas Cost-Recovery Factor (MI) | NSP-Wisconsin’s natural gas rates for Michigan customers include a natural gas cost-recovery factor, based on 12-month projections and trued-up to actual amounts on an annual basis. | |
| Power Supply Cost Recovery Factors | NSP-Wisconsin’s retail electric rate schedules for Michigan customers include power supply cost recovery factors, based on 12-month projections. After each 12-month period, a reconciliation is submitted whereby over-recoveries are refunded and any under-recoveries are collected from customers. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | A retail cost-recovery mechanism to recover the actual cost of natural gas, transportation, and storage services. | |
| Wisconsin Energy Efficiency Program | The primary energy efficiency program is funded by the utilities, but operated by independent contractors subject to oversight by the PSCW and utilities. NSP-Wisconsin recovers these costs from customers. |
Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
Wisconsin Rate Case — In 2023, NSP-Wisconsin filed a Wisconsin rate case seeking a revised electric increase of $25 million and a natural gas increase of $7 million. The filing was based on a 2024 forecast test year, a ROE of 10.25%, an equity ratio of 52.5% and a forecasted average net rate base of approximately $2.1 billion for the electric utility and $284 million for the natural gas utility.
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In December 2023, the PSCW approved a ROE of 9.8% and an equity ratio of 52.5% as well as a rate increase of approximately $1 million for the electric utility. Adjustments to NSP-Wisconsin’s rate request included removal of a proposed residential affordability program and other earnings neutral adjustments and fuel and purchased power costs. The PSCW also approved a $5 million rate increase for the natural gas utility in 2024. The new rates were implemented on Jan. 1, 2024.
NSP System
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2022 Upper Midwest IRP Resource Acquisition — Following the MPUC’s approval of NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin’s latest IRP in April 2022, NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin have been engaged in multiple resource acquisition processes and proceedings to meet the need identified in the IRP for the NSP System.
•In August 2022, NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin jointly filed an RFP seeking at least 900 MW of solar or solar plus storage capacity. In May 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a recommended portfolio, which proposed an additional 250 MW of self-build solar generation at the site of our retiring Sherco coal units and a 100 MW solar PPA located in Wisconsin as part of the resource plan RFP. In September 2023, the MPUC approved the request for 350 MW, subject to a cost cap based on projected costs for the Sherco solar project.
•In the second quarter of 2023, NSP-Minnesota initiated the process with the MPUC for acquisition of 800 MW of firm dispatchable resources. In January 2024, NSP-Minnesota and other companies submitted proposed resources. NSP-Minnesota expects a decision by the fourth quarter of 2024.
•In July 2023, NSP-Wisconsin issued an RFP seeking approximately 650 MW of solar and/or solar plus storage development assets that will be developed in the 2027-2029 timeframe to replace the capacity from the retiring King Generating Station. The RFP closed in September 2023 and bids are being evaluated.
•In October 2023, NSP-Minnesota issued an RFP seeking approximately 1,200 MW of wind development assets to replace capacity and reutilize interconnection rights associated with the retiring Sherco coal facilities. The RFP closed in December 2023 and the NSP-Minnesota expects to file for approval of recommended projects by mid-2024.
2024 Upper Midwest Energy Plan — In February 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed its resource plan with the MPUC. Key components of the plan include the following:
•Reduced carbon emissions by more than 80%, potentially up to 88%, by 2030.
•Extends the operation of Prairie Island and Monticello nuclear plants through the early 2050s.
•Adds 3,600 MW of new wind and solar resources by 2030.
•Adds 600 MW of battery energy storage by 2030.
•Adds more than 2,200 MW of dispatchable resources by 2030.
NSP-Minnesota anticipates a MPUC decision in 2025.
Purchased Power and Transmission Services
The NSP System expects to use power plants, power purchases, conservation and DSM options, new generation facilities and expansion of power plants to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — Through the Interchange Agreement, NSP-Wisconsin receives power purchased by NSP-Minnesota from other utilities and independent power producers. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require a capacity charge and an energy charge. NSP-Minnesota makes short-term purchases to meet system requirements, replace company owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin have contracts with MISO and other regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to their customers.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
NSP-Minnesota conducts wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy-related products. NSP-Minnesota uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and to hedge sales and purchases.
NSP-Minnesota also engages in trading activity unrelated to these hedging activities. Sharing of any margins is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin do not serve any wholesale requirements customers at cost-based regulated rates.
PSCo
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information on Regulatory Authority | |
|---|---|---|
| CPUC | Retail rates, accounts, services, issuance of securities and other aspects of electric, natural gas and steam operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plans greater than 50 MW.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, hydroelectric licensing, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with the NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce.Wholesale electric sales at cost-based prices to customers inside PSCo’s balancing authority area and at market-based prices to customers outside PSCo’s balancing authority area.PSCo holds a FERC certificate that allows it to transport natural gas in interstate commerce without PSCo becoming subject to full FERC jurisdiction. | |
| RTO | PSCo is not presently a member of an RTO and does not operate within an RTO energy market. However, PSCo does make certain sales to other RTO’s, including SPP and participates in the SPP Western Energy Imbalance Service market, an energy imbalance market. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
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Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Energy Plan Adjustment | Recovers the early retirement costs of Comanche Units 1 and 2 to a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Decoupling | Mechanism to true-up revenue to a baseline amount for residential (excluding lighting and demand) and metered non-demand small C&I classes (pilot program ended Sept. 2023, with amortization of previously deferred amounts expected through 2026). | |
| DSM Cost Adjustment | Recovers electric and gas DSM, interruptible service costs and performance incentives for achieving energy savings goals. | |
| ECA | Recovers fuel and purchased energy costs. Short-term sales margins are shared with customers. The ECA is revised quarterly. | |
| FCA | PSCo recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from wholesale electric customers through a fuel cost adjustment clause approved by the FERC. Wholesale customers pay production costs through a forecasted formula rate subject to true-up. | |
| GCA | Recovers costs of purchased natural gas and transportation and is revised quarterly to allow for changes in natural gas rates. | |
| Purchased Capacity Cost Adjustment | Recovers purchased capacity payments. | |
| RES Adjustment | Recovers the incremental costs of compliance with the RES with a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Steam Cost Adjustment | Recovers fuel costs to operate the steam system. The Steam Cost Adjustment rate is revised quarterly. | |
| Transmission Cost Adjustment | Recovers costs between rate cases for transmission projects that result in a net increase in capacity or are part of an approved wildfire mitigation plan. | |
| Transportation Electrification Plan | Recovers costs associated with the investment in and adoption of transportation electrification infrastructure. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
Colorado Electric Rate Case — In 2022, PSCo filed a Colorado electric rate case seeking a revised net increase of $253 million. The total request reflected a $303 million increase, which includes $50 million of authorized costs previously recovered through various rider mechanisms. The request was based on a 10.25% ROE, an equity ratio of 55.7% and a 2023 forecast test year with a 2023 average rate base of $11.3 billion.
In September 2023, the CPUC approved a settlement between PSCo and various parties, which included the following terms:
•Retail revenue increase (excluding rider roll-ins) of $95 million (2.96%), based on a 2022 historic test year using year-end rate base with forward looking known and measurable adjustments.
•Weighted-average cost of capital of 6.95% (based on 55.69% equity ratio and 9.3% ROE).
•Termination of the revenue decoupling pilot.
•Continuation of previously authorized trackers and deferrals.
Rates became effective in September 2023.
Colorado Resource Plan — In August 2022, the CPUC approved a settlement for the Colorado Resource Plan, which provides for an expected carbon reduction and the retirement of PSCo’s remaining coal plant by the end of 2030.
In September 2023 (updated in October 2023), PSCo filed its recommended Preferred Portfolio of resources, which proposed a total of 7,521 MW of generation resources, including 4,716 owned MW and 2,805 purchased power MW. The filing also included several other alternative portfolios.
In December 2023, the CPUC approved an alternative portfolio of 5,835 MW. The decision provides an opportunity to assess timing and levels of incremental renewable resources in the Just Transition Plan filing expected to be submitted by June 1, 2024.
Approved portfolio includes the following resources:
| Generation Resource (in MW) | Company Owned | PPAs | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Resources | 1,325 | 375 | 1,700 | ||
| Solar | 858 | 760 | 1,618 | ||
| Storage | 500 | 1,348 | 1,848 | ||
| Natural Gas | 450 | 219 | 669 | ||
| Total | 3,133 | 2,702 | 5,835 |
PSCo expects to invest approximately $4.8 billion in generation resources under the alternative portfolio for the benefit of its customers and achieving the state’s clean energy goals. The CPUC did not approve the May Valley to Longhorn Transmission Line, which was estimated at $250 million.
In December 2023, the CPUC approved two PIMs associated with the generation projects in the portfolio, including a two-way sharing measure related to capital construction costs and another related to ongoing levelized energy costs. These PIMs will be further defined in the written order and related proceedings throughout 2024.
In February 2024, PSCo filed an ARRR to seek approval for an updated portfolio, reflecting inclusion of certain back-up bids and clarifications of the application of PIMs.
Colorado Natural Gas Rate Case — In January 2024, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC seeking an increase to retail natural gas rates of $171 million, or an approximately 9.5% increase in the average residential customer bill. The request is based on a 2023 test year, a 10.25% ROE, an equity ratio of 55% and a $4.2 billion retail rate base which includes projected capital additions through Dec. 31, 2023. PSCo has requested a proposed effective date of Nov. 1, 2024.
PSCo has proposed to defer collection of the increased rates until Feb. 15, 2025 (following the expiration of the rider to recover Winter Storm Uri costs) to mitigate customer bill impacts, with revenues for the deferred period collected over a 12-month period beginning on that date.
The request supports fundamental infrastructure investments to serve customers, consistent with PSCo’s obligation to provide safe, reliable service while enabling PSCo to continue to be a leader of the clean energy transition in partnership with the CPUC to achieve clean heat goals.
| Revenue Request (millions of dollars) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Changes since 2022 rate case: | |||
| Plant related investments (a) | $ | 145 | |
| Operations and maintenance, amortization and other expenses | 23 | ||
| Property tax expense | 10 | ||
| Sales growth | (7) | ||
| Total base revenue request | $ | 171 |
(a)Includes approximately $32 million as a result of the increase in ROE from 9.2% to 10.25%.
ECA Fuel Recovery — In December 2022, PSCo filed to recover $123 million of under-recovered 2022 fuel costs over two quarters. In December 2022, the CPUC found that the $123 million should be removed from the proposed ECA rates, and required PSCo to file a separate application to recover these costs.
In 2023, PSCo submitted interim ECA filings to recover $70 million and $25 million, respectively, of the 2022 under-recovered costs.
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In the third quarter, PSCo and CPUC Staff filed a settlement allowing for collection of the remaining amount, which after final adjustments was $37 million. In December 2023, the ALJ issued a recommended decision approving the settlement in full. Recovery of costs is expected to begin in the second quarter of 2024.
Colorado Legislation — In May 2023, Colorado Senate Bill 23-291 passed and was signed into law. The bill includes a number of topics including natural gas and electric fuel incentive mechanisms, natural gas planning rules, regulatory filing requirements, and non-recovery of certain expenses (e.g., certain organizational or membership dues, tax penalties or fines).
In November 2023, the CPUC approved PSCo’s natural gas price risk management plan, establishing upper and lower limits for changes in the GCA rate. As a result costs above the upper limit are deferred for future recovery, with interest, and costs below the lower limit are deferred as a reserve against future cost increases.
The legislation also calls for the CPUC to adopt rules to establish fuel cost mechanisms to align the financial incentives of a utility with the interests of the utility’s customers by Jan. 1, 2025. The CPUC issued a request for initial comments on a potential mechanism under which gas utilities would share a percentage, subject to an annual cap, of cost changes in the GCA. A formal rulemaking is expected to commence in the first half of 2024.
Purchased Power and Transmission Service Providers
PSCo meets its system capacity and energy requirements through its fleet of owned and purchased electric generation resources and, when required, the use of demand-side management programs.
Purchased Power — PSCo purchases power from other utilities, energy marketers and independent power producers. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require capacity and energy charges. Much of PSCo’s long-term purchased power is for wind, solar and storage resources. PSCo makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements, replace generation out of service for maintenance, meet operating reserve obligations, or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Energy Markets — PSCo joined the SPP Western Energy Imbalance Service Market in April 2023. This market is an incremental step in the participation in an organized wholesale market. Energy imbalance markets allow participants to buy and sell power close to the time electricity is consumed and gives system operators real-time visibility across neighboring grids. The result improves balancing supply and demand at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — In addition to using its own transmission system, PSCo has contracts with regional transmission service providers to deliver energy to its customers.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
PSCo conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. PSCo uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and hedge sales and purchases. PSCo also engages in trading activity unrelated to these hedging activities.
Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
SPS
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PUCT | Retail electric operations, rates, services, construction of transmission or generation and other aspects of SPS’ electric operations.The municipalities in which SPS operates in Texas have original jurisdiction over rates in those communities. The municipalities’ rate setting decisions are subject to PUCT review. | |
| NMPRC | Retail electric operations, retail rates and services and the construction of transmission or generation.Reviews Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, the transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| SPP RTO and SPP Integrated and Wholesale Markets | SPS is a transmission owning member of the SPP RTO and operates within the SPP RTO and SPP integrated and wholesale markets. SPS is authorized to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Advanced Metering System Surcharge | Recovers costs incurred in deployment of the Advanced Metering System in Texas. | |
| Consulting Fee Rider | Recovers consulting fees and carrying charges incurred by SPS on behalf of the PUCT. | |
| Distribution Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers distribution costs not included in rates in Texas. | |
| Electric Vehicle Rider | Recovers costs of the Transportation Electrification Plan in New Mexico. | |
| Energy Efficiency Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in Texas. | |
| Energy Efficiency Rider | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in New Mexico. | |
| Fixed Fuel and Purchased Recovery Factor | Provides for the over- or under-recovery of energy expenses in Texas. Regulations require refunding or surcharging over- or under- recovery amounts, including interest, when they exceed 4% of the utility’s annual fuel and purchased energy costs on a rolling 12-month basis if this condition is expected to continue. | |
| Fuel and Purchased Power Cost Adjustment Clause | Adjusts monthly to recover actual fuel and purchased power costs in New Mexico. | |
| Generation Cost Recovery Rider | Allows recovery of investment in power generation facilities outside of a base rate case proceeding. | |
| Purchased Power Capacity Cost Recovery Factor | Allows recovery of purchased power capacity costs not included in Texas rates. | |
| Renewable Portfolio Standards | Recovers deferred costs for renewable energy programs in New Mexico. | |
| Transmission Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers certain transmission infrastructure improvement costs and changes in wholesale transmission charges not included in Texas base rates. | |
| Wholesale Fuel and Purchased Energy Cost Adjustment | SPS recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from its wholesale customers through a monthly wholesale fuel and purchased energy cost adjustment clause accepted by the FERC. Wholesale customers also pay the jurisdictional allocation of production costs. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2022 New Mexico Electric Rate Case — In 2022, SPS filed a New Mexico electric rate case seeking a revised revenue increase of $75 million. The request was based on a ROE of 10.75%, an equity ratio of 54.7%, a future test year ending June 30, 2024 and rate base of $2.4 billion.
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In October 2023, the NMPRC approved a settlement between SPS, NMPRC Staff, and various parties, which included the following terms:
•Base rate revenue increase of $33 million, based on the filed future test year.
•ROE of 9.5%.
•Equity ratio of 54.7%.
•The reflection in rates of the retirement of Tolk Generation Station from 2034 to 2028.
Rates went into effect in October 2023.
2023 Texas Electric Rate Case — In 2023, SPS filed a Texas electric rate case seeking an increase in base rate revenue of $158 million (14%). The request was based on a ROE of 10.65%, an equity ratio of 54.6% and rate base of $3.6 billion. SPS requested a surcharge from July 13, 2023 through the effective date of new base rates.
In December 2023, SPS, PUCT Staff and intervenors filed a black box settlement. Key terms include:
•A base rate increase of $65 million effective back to July 13, 2023.
•A 9.55% ROE, a 54.51% equity ratio and a 7.11% WACC for purposes of calculating SPS’ allowance for funds used during construction.
•The reflection in rates of the retirement of Tolk Generation Station from 2034 to 2028.
A PUCT decision is expected in the first half of 2024.
SPS and LP&L Termination — SPS and LP&L were parties to a 25-year, 170 MW partial requirements contract serving LP&L. In May 2021, SPS and LP&L finalized a settlement which terminated the contract upon LP&L’s move from the SPP to the ERCOT. Based on the approved de-escalation clause, LP&L paid SPS $66 million in January 2024 to the benefit of SPS’ remaining customers.
2022 All-Source RFP — In July 2023, SPS filed for approval of CCN for a recommended generation portfolio, which includes 418 MW of self-build solar projects and a 36 MW battery. A decision from PUCT and NMPRC is expected in mid-2024.
The second portion of the portfolio includes a November 2023 filing for the approval of PPAs including 48 MW of battery energy storage and 230 MW of existing gas generation. Regulatory decisions on these PPA agreements are expected in Q3 2024.
New Mexico Resource Plan — In October 2023, SPS filed its IRP with the NMPRC, which supports projected load growth and secures replacement energy and capacity for retiring resources. Based on load forecast scenarios, SPS’ initial IRP modeling projects a total resource need ranging from approximately 5,300 MW to 10,200 MW by 2030. Upon acceptance of the IRP, SPS expects to issue an RFP for new generation in mid-2024. The RFP will be evaluated in the latter half of 2024 with portfolio selection expected in early 2025.
Purchased Power Arrangements and Transmission Service Providers
SPS expects to use electric generating stations, power purchases, DSM and new generation options to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — SPS purchases power from other utilities and IPPs. Long-term purchased power contracts typically require periodic capacity and energy charges. SPS also makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements to replace owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — SPS has contractual arrangements with SPP and regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to its native load customers.
Natural Gas
SPS does not provide retail natural gas service, but purchases and transports natural gas for its generation facilities and operates limited natural gas pipeline facilities connecting the generation facilities to interstate natural gas pipelines. SPS is subject to the jurisdiction of the FERC with respect to natural gas transactions in interstate commerce and the PHMSA, DOT and PUCT for pipeline safety compliance.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
SPS conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. SPS uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and to hedge sales and purchases. Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
Other
Supply Chain
Xcel Energy’s ability to meet customer energy requirements, respond to storm-related disruptions, and execute our capital expenditure program are dependent on maintaining an efficient supply chain. Manufacturing processes have experienced disruptions related to the scarcity of certain raw materials and interruptions in production and shipping. Inflationary pressures, labor shortages, and the impact of geopolitical events have further exacerbated these disruptions. Xcel Energy continues to monitor the situation as it remains fluid and seeks to mitigate the impacts by securing alternative suppliers, modifying design standards, and adjusting the timing of work.
Additionally, certain products, components, and equipment, particularly in renewables categories, originate in countries that could face tariffs, fines, or restrictions from government or other regulatory bodies and present a cost and supply risk until there is sufficient capacity and supply base with adequate capacity to meet US needs.
Electric Meters and Transformers
Supply chain issues associated with semiconductors delayed the availability of AMI meters, which led to a reduced number of meters deployed in 2022. Xcel Energy saw significant improvement in meter availability in 2023 and we expect normal conditions in 2024 and going forward. Xcel Energy expects to complete AMI meter deployment in 2025.
Additionally, the availability of certain transformers is an industry-wide issue that has significantly impacted and in some cases resulted in delays to projects and new customer connections. Proposed governmental actions related to transformer efficiency standards may compound these delays in the future. Xcel Energy continues to seek alternative suppliers and prioritize work plans to mitigate the impacts of supply constraints.
Solar Resources
In August 2023, the U.S. Department of Commerce completed its anti-circumvention investigation. It concluded that CSPV solar panels and cells imported from Malaysia, Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia would be subject to incremental tariffs ranging from 50% to 250%. These countries account for more than 80% of CSPV panel imports.
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An interim stay on tariffs remains in effect until June 2024. Many significant solar projects have resumed with modified costs and projected in-service dates, including the Sherco Solar facility in Minnesota and certain PPAs in PSCo. Further policy action, a change in the interim stay of tariffs, or other restrictions on solar imports (e.g., due to implementation of the Uyghur Forced Labor Protection Act) or disruptions in solar imports from key suppliers could impact project timelines and costs.
New Technology and Government Grants
Hydrogen Hub Grant
In October 2023, the DOE selected the Heartland Hydrogen Hub, including multiple clean hydrogen projects from Xcel Energy, for award negotiations to receive up to $925 million. The Heartland Hydrogen Hub is one of seven selected to receive DOE funding. The hub includes Xcel Energy, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and TC Energy, in collaboration with the University of North Dakota’s Energy & Environmental Resource Center, to produce and use low-carbon hydrogen at commercial scale in Minnesota, Wisconsin, South Dakota, North Dakota and Montana. The hub aims to reduce carbon emissions by more than 1 million metric tons per year. Xcel Energy expects to receive a large portion of the federal award for its projects within the hub, subject to negotiations. In its application, Xcel Energy proposed investing up to $2 billion over a decade for clean hydrogen producing equipment and infrastructure, representing 75% of full program costs for the company’s portion of the hub. Project detailed design will begin after the Heartland Hydrogen Hub finishes award negotiations. Project development will likely continue through 2035.
Form Energy Long Duration Storage Grant
In September 2023, the DOE awarded Xcel Energy a $70 million grant to support our two 10 MW, 100-hour battery pilots with Form Energy. Xcel Energy expects to develop a 10 MW 100-hour-battery storage unit at the Sherco retiring coal plant site in Minnesota and the Comanche retiring coal plant site in Colorado. Combined with grants from Breakthrough Energy’s Catalyst Fund, Xcel Energy has secured $90 million to support these pilots, which will reduce the costs of the projects for our customers. Long duration energy storage systems are critical to achieve 100% carbon free generation and strengthen the grid from the variability of renewable energy.
Wildfire/Extreme Weather Grant
In October 2023, the DOE awarded Xcel Energy $100 million to support projects to mitigate the threat of wildfires and ensure resiliency of the grid through extreme weather. Xcel Energy plans to match the grant with $140 million of investment. The projects will take a number of steps to boost grid resiliency, including adding fire-resistant coatings to 6,000 wood poles, improving equipment safety features in power lines and electric vehicle chargers in high fire risk conditions, moving high-risk distribution circuits underground, and enhancing vegetation management. They will also build on current programs using emerging technology, such as drones aided by artificial intelligence that inspect power lines for safety, wind strength testing, satellite identification of trees that pose a risk and modeling software to predict how fires would spread.
Joint Targeted Interconnection Queue (JTIQ) Grant
In October 2023, the DOE awarded a $464 million grant to Xcel Energy and several other utilities for five JTIQ projects. The projects are part of a collaboration between MISO and SPP that will help to fund the construction of high-voltage transmission lines that improve reliability and resolve constraints in the transmission system for up to 30 gigawatts of new generation. Xcel Energy is part of two of these project awards.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Preparation of the consolidated financial statements requires the application of accounting rules and guidance, as well as the use of estimates. Application of these policies involves judgments regarding future events, including the likelihood of success of particular projects, legal and regulatory challenges and anticipated recovery of costs. These judgments could materially impact the consolidated financial statements, based on varying assumptions. In addition, the financial and operating environment also may have a significant effect on the operation of the business and results reported.
Accounting policies and estimates that are most significant to Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition or cash flows, and require management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments are outlined below. Each of these has a higher likelihood of resulting in materially different reported amounts under different conditions or using different assumptions. Each critical accounting policy has been reviewed and discussed with the Audit Committee of Xcel Energy Inc.’s Board of Directors on a quarterly basis.
Regulatory Accounting
Xcel Energy is subject to the accounting for Regulated Operations, which provides that rate-regulated entities report assets and liabilities consistent with the recovery of those incurred costs in rates, if it is probable that such rates will be charged and collected. Our rates are derived through the ratemaking process, which results in the recording of regulatory assets and liabilities based on the probability of future cash flows.
Regulatory assets generally represent incurred or accrued costs that have been deferred because future recovery from customers is probable. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts that are expected to be refunded to customers in future rates or amounts collected in current rates for future costs. In other businesses or industries, regulatory assets and regulatory liabilities would generally be charged to net income or other comprehensive income.
Each reporting period we assess the probability of future recoveries and obligations associated with regulatory assets and liabilities. Factors such as the current regulatory environment, recently issued rate orders and historical precedents are considered. Decisions made by regulatory agencies can directly impact the amount and timing of cost recovery as well as the rate of return on invested capital, and may materially impact our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.
As of Dec. 31, 2023 and 2022, Xcel Energy had regulatory assets of $3.4 billion and $3.9 billion, respectively and regulatory liabilities of $6.4 billion and $6.0 billion, respectively. Each subsidiary is subject to regulation that varies from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. If future recovery of costs in any such jurisdiction is no longer probable, Xcel Energy would be required to charge these assets to current net income or other comprehensive income.
At Dec. 31, 2023, in assessing the probability of recovery of recognized regulatory assets, unless otherwise disclosed, Xcel Energy noted no current or anticipated proposals or changes in the regulatory environment that it expects will materially impact the recovery of the assets.
See Notes 4 and 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
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Income Tax Accruals
Judgment, uncertainty and estimates are a significant aspect of the income tax accrual process that accounts for the effects of current and deferred income taxes. Uncertainty associated with the application of tax statutes and regulations and outcomes of tax audits and appeals require that judgment and estimates be made in the accrual process and in the calculation of the ETR.
Changes in tax laws and rates may affect recorded deferred tax assets and liabilities and our future ETR. ETR calculations are revised every quarter based on best available year-end tax assumptions, adjusted in the following year after returns are filed. Tax accrual estimates are trued-up to the actual amounts claimed on the tax returns and further adjusted after examinations by taxing authorities, as needed.
In accordance with the interim period reporting guidance, income tax expense for the first three quarters in a year is based on the forecasted annual ETR. The forecasted ETR reflects a number of estimates, including forecasted annual income, permanent tax adjustments and tax credits.
Valuation allowances are applied to deferred tax assets if it is more likely than not that at least a portion may not be realized. Accounting for income taxes also requires that only tax benefits that meet the more likely than not recognition threshold can be recognized or continue to be recognized.
We may adjust our unrecognized tax benefits and interest accruals as disputes with the IRS and state tax authorities are resolved, and as new developments occur. These adjustments may increase or decrease earnings.
See Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Employee Benefits
We sponsor several noncontributory, defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans that cover almost all employees and certain retirees. Projected benefit costs are based on historical information and actuarial calculations that include key assumptions (annual return level on pension and postretirement health care investment assets, discount rates, mortality rates and health care cost trend rates, etc.). In addition, the pension cost calculation uses a methodology to reduce the volatility of investment performance over time. Pension assumptions are continually reviewed.
At Dec. 31, 2023, Xcel Energy set the rate of return on assets used to measure pension costs at 6.93%, which is unchanged from the rate set at Dec. 31, 2022. The rate of return used to measure postretirement health care costs is 5.00% at Dec. 31, 2023, which is unchanged from the rate set in 2022. Xcel Energy’s pension investment strategy includes plan-specific investments that seek to align the investment allocations to optimize risk adjusted return and interest rate risk management based on factors that include the plan’s funded status. This strategy generally results in a greater percentage of interest rate sensitive securities being allocated to plans with higher funded status ratios and a greater percentage of growth assets being allocated to plans having lower funded status ratios.
Xcel Energy set the discount rates used to value the pension obligations and postretirement health care obligations at 5.49% and 5.54% at Dec. 31, 2023, respectively. This represents a 31 basis point and 26 basis point decrease, respectively, from 2022. Xcel Energy uses a bond matching study as its primary basis for determining the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement health care obligations. The bond matching study utilizes a portfolio of high grade (Aa or higher) bonds that matches the expected cash flows of Xcel Energy’s benefit plans in amount and duration.
The effective yield on this cash flow matched bond portfolio determines the discount rate for the individual plans. The bond matching study is validated for reasonableness against the Bank of America US Corporate 15+ Bond Index. In addition, Xcel Energy reviews general actuarial survey data to assess the reasonableness of the discount rate selected.
If Xcel Energy were to use alternative assumptions, a 1% change would result in the following impact on 2023 pension costs:
| Pension Costs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | +1% | -1% | |||||
| Rate of return (a) | $ | (10) | $ | 26 | |||
| Discount rate (a) | 3 | 8 |
(a)These costs include the effects of regulation.
Mortality rates are developed from actual and projected plan experience for pension plan and postretirement benefits. Xcel Energy’s actuary conducts an experience study periodically to determine an estimate of mortality. Xcel Energy considers standard mortality tables, improvement factors and the plans actual experience when selecting a best estimate.
As of Dec. 31, 2023, the initial medical trend cost claim assumptions for Pre-65 was 6.5% and Post-65 was 5.5%. The ultimate trend assumption remained at 4.5% for both Pre-65 and Post-65 claims costs. Xcel Energy bases its medical trend assumption on the long-term cost inflation expected in the health care market, considering the levels projected and recommended by industry experts, as well as recent actual medical cost experienced by Xcel Energy’s retiree medical plan.
Funding contributions in 2023 were $50 million and will remain relatively consistent in future years, with the exception of 2024, when Xcel Energy plans on making a higher contributions as a result of the Voluntary Retirement Program offering in 2023. Investment returns were more than the assumed levels in 2023 and 2021, but were less than the assumed levels in 2022.
The pension cost calculation uses a market-related valuation of pension assets. Xcel Energy uses a calculated value method to determine the market-related value of the plan assets. The market-related value is determined by adjusting the fair market value of assets at the beginning of the year to reflect the investment gains and losses (the difference between the actual investment return and the expected investment return on the market-related value) during each of the previous five years at the rate of 20% per year.
As differences between actual and expected investment returns are incorporated into the market-related value, amounts are recognized in pension cost over the expected average remaining years of service for active employees (approximately 13 years in 2023).
Xcel Energy currently projects the pension costs recognized for financial reporting purposes will be $59 million in 2024 and $61 million in 2025, while the actual pension costs were $74 million in 2023 and $114 in 2022. The expected decrease in 2024 is primarily due to reductions in the effects or regulations.
Pension funding contributions across all four of Xcel Energy’s pension plans, both voluntary and required, for 2021 - 2024:
•$100 million in January 2024.
•$50 million in 2023.
•$50 million in 2022.
•$131 million in 2021.
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Future amounts may change based on actual market performance, changes in interest rates and any changes in governmental regulations. Therefore, additional contributions could be required in the future. Xcel Energy contributed $11 million, $13 million and $15 million during 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively, to the postretirement health care plans. Xcel Energy expects to contribute approximately $11 million during 2024. Xcel Energy recovers employee benefits costs in its utility operations consistent with accounting guidance with the exception of the areas noted below.
•NSP-Minnesota recognizes pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions using the aggregate normal cost actuarial method. Differences between aggregate normal cost and expense as calculated by pension accounting standards are deferred as a regulatory liability.
•In 2021, the PSCW approved NSP-Wisconsin’s request for deferred accounting treatment of the 2021 pension settlement accounting expense. Escrow accounting treatment was also approved for ongoing pension and other post-employment benefit expenses, including settlement charges.
•Regulatory Commissions in Texas, New Mexico and FERC jurisdictions allow the recovery of other postretirement benefit costs only to the extent that recognized expense is matched by cash contributions to an irrevocable trust. Xcel Energy has consistently funded at a level to allow full recovery of costs in these jurisdictions.
•PSCo is required to create a regulatory liability that adjusts the annual post-retirement benefits amount to zero in order to match the amount collected in rates.
•PSCo and SPS recognize pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions based on GAAP. The Texas and Colorado electric retail jurisdictions and the Colorado gas retail jurisdiction, each record the difference between annual recognized pension expense and the annual amount of pension expense approved in their last respective general rate case as a deferral to a regulatory asset.
See Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Nuclear Decommissioning
Xcel Energy recognizes liabilities for the expected cost of retiring tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. These AROs are recognized at fair value as incurred and are capitalized as part of the cost of the related long-lived assets. In the absence of quoted market prices, Xcel Energy estimates the fair value of its AROs using present value techniques, in which it makes assumptions including estimates of the amounts and timing of future cash flows associated with retirement activities, credit-adjusted risk free rates and cost escalation rates. When Xcel Energy revises any assumptions, it adjusts the carrying amount of both the ARO liability and related long-lived asset. ARO liabilities are accreted to reflect the passage of time using the interest method.
A significant portion of Xcel Energy’s AROs relates to the future decommissioning of NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear facilities. The nuclear decommissioning obligation is funded by the external decommissioning trust fund. Difference between regulatory funding (including depreciation expense less returns from the external trust fund) and expense recognized is deferred as a regulatory asset. The amounts recorded for AROs related to future nuclear decommissioning were $2.1 billion in 2023 and $2.2 billion in 2022.
NSP-Minnesota obtains periodic independent cost studies to estimate the cost and timing of planned nuclear decommissioning activities. Estimates of future cash flows are highly uncertain and may vary significantly from actual results. NSP-Minnesota is required to file a nuclear decommissioning filing every three years. The filing covers all expenses for the decommissioning of the nuclear plants, including decontamination and removal of radioactive material.
The 2022 - 2024 Nuclear Decommissioning Study and Assumptions were approved by the MPUC in August 2022. The MPUC ordered the next triennial decommissioning study be filed by December 1, 2024, allowing for four years between filings.
The following assumptions have a significant effect on the estimated nuclear obligation:
Timing — Decommissioning cost estimates are impacted by each facility’s retirement date and timing of the actual decommissioning activities. Estimated retirement dates coincide with the approved retirement dates which can be different than the expiration dates of each unit’s operating license with the NRC (i.e., 2030 for Monticello and 2033 and 2034 for PI’s Unit 1 and 2, respectively).
In April 2022, the Company received approval from the MPUC, in the Integrated Resource Plan, to pursue extending the operating life of the Monticello Nuclear Generating Plant by ten years from 2030 to 2040. This life extension is subject to NRC approval of Monticello’s nuclear license extension request.
The retirement dates of the Prairie Island Unit 1 and Unit 2 remain unchanged, 2033 and 2034 respectively. The estimated timing of the decommissioning activities is based upon the DECON method, which assumes prompt removal and dismantlement. Decommissioning activities are expected to begin at the commission approved retirement date and be completed for both facilities by 2101.
Technology and Regulation — There is limited experience with actual decommissioning of large nuclear facilities. Changes in technology, experience and regulations could cause cost estimates to change significantly.
Escalation Rates — Escalation rates represent projected cost increases due to general inflation and increases in the cost of decommissioning activities. NSP-Minnesota used an escalation rate of 3.2% in calculating the ARO for nuclear decommissioning of its nuclear facilities, based on weighted averages of labor and non-labor escalation factors calculated by Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
Discount Rates — Changes in timing or estimated cash flows that result in upward revisions to the ARO are calculated using the then-current credit-adjusted risk-free interest rate. The credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect when the change occurs is used to discount the revised estimate of the incremental expected cash flows of the retirement activity.
If the change in timing or estimated expected cash flows results in a downward revision of the ARO, the undiscounted revised estimate of expected cash flows is discounted using the credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect at the date of initial measurement and recognition of the original ARO. Discount rates ranging from approximately 3% to 7% have been used to calculate the net present value of the expected future cash flows over time.
Significant uncertainties exist in estimating future costs including the method to be utilized, ultimate costs to decommission and planned method of disposing spent fuel. If different cost estimates, life assumptions or cost escalation rates were utilized, the AROs could change materially.
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However, changes in estimates have minimal impact on results of operations as NSP-Minnesota expects to continue to recover all costs in future rates.
NSP-Minnesota continually makes judgments and estimates related to these critical accounting policy areas, based on an evaluation of the assumptions and uncertainties for each area. The information and assumptions of these judgments and estimates will be affected by events beyond the control of Xcel Energy, or otherwise change over time.
This may require adjustments to recorded results to better reflect updated information that becomes available. The accompanying financial statements reflect management’s best estimates and judgments of the impact of these factors as of Dec. 31, 2023.
See Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Loss Contingencies – Marshall Fire
The outcomes of legal proceedings and claims brought against Xcel Energy related to the Marshall Fire are subject to uncertainty. An estimated loss from a loss contingency such as a legal proceeding or claim is accrued if it is probable of being incurred and the amount of the loss can be reasonably estimated. Each reporting period we evaluate, among other factors, the degree of probability of an unfavorable outcome and the ability to make a reasonable estimate of the amount of loss. The process for evaluating any wildfire-related liabilities requires a series of complex judgments about past and future events. Factors such as the cause of the wildfire, the extent and magnitude of potential damages, and the status of investigations and legal proceedings are considered. See Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for additional information.
Derivatives, Risk Management and Market Risk
We are exposed to a variety of market risks in the normal course of business. Market risk is the potential loss that may occur as a result of adverse changes in the market or fair value for a particular instrument or commodity. All financial and commodity-related instruments, including derivatives, are subject to market risk.
Xcel Energy is exposed to the impact of adverse changes in price for energy and energy-related products, which is partially mitigated by the use of commodity derivatives. In addition to ongoing monitoring and maintaining credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk, management takes steps to mitigate changes in credit and concentration risks associated with its derivatives and other contracts, including parental guarantees and requests of collateral. While we expect that the counterparties will perform on the contracts underlying our derivatives, the contracts expose us to credit and non-performance risk.
Distress in the financial markets may impact counterparty risk and the fair value of the securities in the nuclear decommissioning fund and pension fund.
Commodity Price Risk — We are exposed to commodity price risk in our electric and natural gas operations. Commodity price risk is managed by entering into long and short-term physical purchase and sales contracts for electric capacity, energy and energy-related products and fuels used in generation and distribution activities.
Commodity price risk is also managed through the use of financial derivative instruments. Our risk management policy allows us to manage commodity price risk within each rate-regulated operation per commission approved hedge plans.
Wholesale and Commodity Trading Risk — Xcel Energy conducts various wholesale and commodity trading activities, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, energy-related instruments and natural gas-related instruments, including derivatives. Our risk management policy allows management to conduct these activities within guidelines and limitations as approved by our risk management committee.
Fair value of net commodity trading contracts as of Dec. 31, 2023:
| Futures / Forwards Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than 5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (a) | $ | 1 | $ | (3) | $ | (3) | $ | — | $ | (5) | |||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | (1) | (8) | (6) | (1) | (16) | ||||||||||||||
| PSCo (a) | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| PSCo (b) | (10) | 6 | 2 | — | (2) | ||||||||||||||
| $ | (10) | $ | (4) | $ | (5) | $ | (1) | $ | (20) |
| Options Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than 5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 9 | $ | 8 | $ | 17 | |||||||||
| PSCo (b) | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| $ | 4 | $ | — | $ | 9 | $ | 8 | $ | 21 |
(a)Prices actively quoted or based on actively quoted prices.
(b)Prices based on models and other valuation methods.
Changes in the fair value of commodity trading contracts before the impacts of margin-sharing for the years ended Dec. 31:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Jan. 1 | $ | (10) | $ | (33) | |||
| Contracts realized or settled during the period | (2) | (15) | |||||
| Commodity trading contract additions and changes during the period | 13 | 38 | |||||
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Dec. 31 | $ | 1 | $ | (10) |
A 10% increase and 10% decrease in forward market prices for Xcel Energy’s commodity trading contracts would have likewise increased and decreased pretax income from continuing operations, by approximately $4 million at Dec. 31, 2023 and $8 million at Dec. 31, 2022. Market price movements can exceed 10% under abnormal circumstances.
Xcel Energy’s’ commodity trading operations measure the outstanding risk exposure to price changes on contracts and obligations using an industry standard methodology known as VaR. VaR expresses the potential change in fair value of the outstanding contracts and obligations over a particular period of time under normal market conditions.
The VaRs for the NSP-Minnesota and PSCo commodity trading operations, excluding both non-derivative transactions and derivative transactions designated as normal purchases and normal sales, calculated on a consolidated basis using a Monte Carlo simulation with a 95% confidence level and a one-day holding period, were as follows:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Year Ended Dec. 31 | Average | High | Low | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 1 | $ | — | |||||||||
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 5 | — |
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Nuclear Fuel Supply — NSP-Minnesota has contracted for its 2024 through 2027 enriched nuclear material requirements, which are in various stages of processing in Canada, Europe and the United States. NSP-Minnesota is scheduled to take delivery of approximately 29% of its average enriched nuclear material requirements from Russia through 2030. Given the evolving situation in Ukraine and its global impacts, we have entered into additional new contracts that cover potential supply interruptions of nuclear material from Russia.
Interest Rate Risk — Xcel Energy is subject to interest rate risk. Our risk management policy allows interest rate risk to be managed through the use of fixed rate debt, floating rate debt and interest rate derivatives.
A 100 basis point change in the benchmark rate on Xcel Energy’s variable rate debt would impact pretax interest expense annually by approximately $9 million and $8 million in 2023 and 2022, respectively.
NSP-Minnesota maintains a nuclear decommissioning fund, as required by the NRC. The nuclear decommissioning fund is subject to interest rate and equity price risk. The fund is invested in a diversified portfolio of debt securities, equity securities and other investments. These investments may be used only for the purpose of decommissioning NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear generating plants.
Fluctuations in equity prices or interest rates affecting the nuclear decommissioning fund do not have a direct impact on earnings due to the application of regulatory accounting. Realized and unrealized gains on the decommissioning fund investments are deferred as an offset of NSP-Minnesota’s regulatory asset for nuclear decommissioning costs.
The value of pension and postretirement plan assets and benefit costs are impacted by changes in discount rates and expected return on plan assets. Xcel Energy’s ongoing pension and postretirement investment strategy is based on plan-specific investment recommendations that seek to optimize potential investment risk and minimize interest rate risk associated with changes in the obligations as a plan’s funded status increases over time. The impacts of fluctuations in interest rates on pension and postretirement costs are mitigated by pension cost calculation methodologies and regulatory mechanisms that minimize the earnings impacts of such changes.
Credit Risk — Xcel Energy is also exposed to credit risk. Credit risk relates to the risk of loss resulting from counterparties’ nonperformance on their contractual obligations. Xcel Energy maintains credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk and actively monitors these policies to reflect changes and scope of operations.
At Dec. 31, 2023, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $27 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in a decrease in credit exposure of $24 million. At Dec. 31, 2022, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $56 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in an decrease in credit exposure of $47 million.
Xcel Energy conducts credit reviews for all wholesale, trading and non-trading commodity counterparties and employs credit risk controls, such as letters of credit, parental guarantees, master netting agreements and termination provisions.
Credit exposure is monitored, and when necessary, the activity with a specific counterparty is limited until credit enhancement is provided. Distress in the financial markets could increase our credit risk.
Fair Value Measurements
Derivative contracts, with the exception of those designated as normal purchases and normal sales, are reported at fair value. Xcel Energy’s investments held in the nuclear decommissioning fund, rabbi trusts, pension and other postretirement funds are also subject to fair value accounting. See Notes 10 and 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Cash Flows
Operating Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2022 | $ | 3,932 | |
| Components of change — 2023 vs. 2022 | |||
| Higher net income | 35 | ||
| Non-cash transactions | 88 | ||
| Changes in working capital | 900 | ||
| Changes in net regulatory and other assets and liabilities | 372 | ||
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2023 | $ | 5,327 |
Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $1,395 million for 2023 as compared to 2022. The increase was largely due to continued collections of prior year deferred net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs, as well as the impact of decreased natural gas prices on accounts payable and receivables.
Investing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash used in investing activities — 2022 | $ | (4,653) | |
| Components of change — 2023 vs. 2022 | |||
| Increased capital expenditures | (1,216) | ||
| Other investing activities | (57) | ||
| Cash used in investing activities — 2023 | $ | (5,926) |
Net cash used in investing activities increased by $1,273 million for 2023 as compared to 2022. The increase in capital expenditures was largely due to continued system expansion.
Financing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by financing activities — 2022 | $ | 666 | |
| Components of change — 2023 vs. 2022 | |||
| Higher debt issuances, net of repayments | 80 | ||
| Lower proceeds from issuance of common stock | (52) | ||
| Higher dividends paid to shareholders | (80) | ||
| Other financing activities | 3 | ||
| Cash provided by financing activities — 2023 | $ | 617 |
Net cash provided by financing activities decreased by $49 million for 2023 as compared to 2022. The decrease was largely related to the amount/timing of debt issuances and repayments.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
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Capital Requirements
Xcel Energy has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future. Xcel Energy expects to have adequate amounts of cash from operating and financing activities to meet both its short-term and long-term cash requirements. Xcel Energy’s financing requirements are dependent on both existing contractual obligations and other commitments, as well as projected capital forecasts. Xcel Energy expects to meet future financing requirements by periodically issuing short-term debt, long-term debt, common stock, hybrid and other securities to maintain desired capitalization ratios. Projected future financing requirements can be impacted by various factors including constraints to supply chain and labor, regulatory lag and inflation.
Material Cash Requirements and Other Commitments
| Payments Due by Period (as of Dec. 31, 2023) | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Total | Less than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 3 to 5 Years | After 5 Years | |||||||||||||
| Long-term debt, principal and interest payments | $ | 43,659 | $ | 1,567 | $ | 3,631 | $ | 3,564 | $ | 34,897 | ||||||||
| Finance lease obligations | 218 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 173 | |||||||||||||
| Operating leases obligations (a) | 1,520 | 277 | 509 | 313 | 421 | |||||||||||||
| Unconditional purchase obligations (b) (c) | 4,022 | 1,429 | 1,267 | 686 | 640 | |||||||||||||
| Other long-term obligations, including current portion (d) | 57 | 18 | 27 | 12 | — | |||||||||||||
| Other short-term obligations | 591 | 591 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Short-term debt | 785 | 785 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Total contractual cash obligations | $ | 50,852 | $ | 4,677 | $ | 5,453 | $ | 4,591 | $ | 36,131 |
(a)Included in operating lease obligations are $244 million, $461 million, $269 million and $259 million, for the less than 1 year, 1 - 3 years, 3 - 5 years and after 5 years categories, respectively, pertaining to PPAs that were accounted for as operating leases.
(b)Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries have contracts providing for the purchase and delivery of a significant portion of its fuel (nuclear, natural gas and coal) requirements. Additionally, the utility subsidiaries of Xcel Energy Inc. have entered into non-lease purchase power agreements. Certain contractual purchase obligations are adjusted on indices. Effects of price changes are mitigated through cost of energy adjustment mechanisms.
(c)Amounts exclude approximately $1 billion of minimum payments related to SPS’ extension of a non-lease PPA that otherwise expires in 2026, pending PUCT and NMPRC approvals to extend the agreement to 2039. Approval processes are expected to conclude in 2024.
(d)Primarily consists of contracts for information technology services.
Capital Expenditures — Base capital expenditures and incremental capital forecasts:
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Regulated Utility | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2024 - 2028 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| PSCo | $ | 2,310 | $ | 3,300 | $ | 5,230 | $ | 4,320 | $ | 3,620 | $ | 2,730 | $ | 19,200 | |||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 2,370 | 2,660 | 2,970 | 2,380 | 2,500 | 2,540 | 13,050 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| SPS | 750 | 910 | 780 | 660 | 870 | 830 | 4,050 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 450 | 570 | 600 | 570 | 600 | 650 | 2,990 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other (a) | 330 | (20) | (300) | 10 | 10 | 10 | (290) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 6,210 | $ | 7,420 | $ | 9,280 | $ | 7,940 | $ | 7,600 | $ | 6,760 | $ | 39,000 |
(a)Other category includes intercompany transfers for safe harbor wind turbines.
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Function | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2024 - 2028 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric transmission | $ | 1,320 | $ | 1,710 | $ | 2,020 | $ | 2,450 | $ | 2,850 | $ | 2,470 | $ | 11,500 | |||||||||||||
| Electric distribution | 1,730 | 1,770 | 1,960 | 2,200 | 2,200 | 2,470 | 10,600 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Renewables | 350 | 1,500 | 2,910 | 940 | 240 | 20 | 5,610 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric generation | 780 | 940 | 1,290 | 1,050 | 1,060 | 600 | 4,940 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Natural gas | 780 | 740 | 680 | 630 | 620 | 570 | 3,240 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other | 1,250 | 760 | 420 | 670 | 630 | 630 | 3,110 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 6,210 | $ | 7,420 | $ | 9,280 | $ | 7,940 | $ | 7,600 | $ | 6,760 | $ | 39,000 |
The base plan does not include potential renewable generation additions at the NSP System, SPS and PSCo, which could result in additional capital expenditures of approximately $5 billion. Xcel Energy generally expects to fund additional capital investment with approximately 40% equity and 60% debt.
Xcel Energy’s capital expenditure forecast is subject to continuing review and modification. Actual capital expenditures may vary from estimates due to changes in electric and natural gas projected load growth, safety and reliability needs, regulatory decisions, legislative initiatives (e.g., federal clean energy and tax policy), reserve requirements, availability of purchased power, alternative plans for meeting long-term energy needs, environmental initiatives and regulation, and merger, acquisition and divestiture opportunities.
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Financing for Capital Expenditures through 2028 — Xcel Energy issues debt and equity securities to refinance retiring maturities, reduce short-term debt, fund capital programs, infuse equity in subsidiaries, fund asset acquisitions and for other general corporate purposes.
Current estimated financing plans of Xcel Energy for 2024 through 2028 (includes the impact of tax credit transferability):
| (Millions of Dollars) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Funding Capital Expenditures | |||
| Cash from operations (a) | $ | 22,000 | |
| New debt (b) | 13,000 | ||
| Equity through the DRIP and benefit program | 500 | ||
| Other equity | 3,500 | ||
| Base capital expenditures 2024 - 2028 | $ | 39,000 | |
| Maturing Debt | $ | 3,780 |
(a)Net of dividends and pension funding.
(b)Reflects a combination of short and long-term debt; net of refinancing.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Xcel Energy does not have any off-balance-sheet arrangements, other than those currently disclosed, that have or are reasonably likely to have a current or future effect on financial condition, changes in financial condition, revenues or expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital expenditures or capital resources that is material to investors.
Common Stock Dividends — Future dividend levels will be dependent on Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, reinvestment opportunities and other factors, and will be evaluated by the Xcel Energy Inc. Board of Directors. In February 2024, Xcel Energy announced an increase in the annual dividend of 11 cents per share, which represents an increase of 5.3%.
Xcel Energy’s dividend policy balances the following:
•Projected cash generation.
•Projected capital investment.
•A reasonable rate of return on shareholder investment.
•The impact on Xcel Energy’s capital structure and credit ratings.
In addition, there are certain statutory limitations that could affect dividend levels. Federal law places limits on the ability of public utilities within a holding company to declare dividends. Under the Federal Power Act, a public utility may not pay dividends from any funds properly included in a capital account. The utility subsidiaries’ dividends may be limited directly or indirectly by state regulatory commissions or bond indenture covenants.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Pension Fund — Xcel Energy’s pension assets are invested in a diversified portfolio of domestic and international equity securities, short-term to long-duration fixed income securities and alternative investments, including private equity, real estate and hedge funds.
Funded status and pension assumptions:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Dec. 31, 2023 | Dec. 31, 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of pension assets | $ | 2,690 | $ | 2,685 | |||
| Projected pension obligation (a) | 2,943 | 2,871 | |||||
| Funded status | $ | (253) | $ | (186) |
(a)Excludes non-qualified plan of $12 million and $11 million at Dec. 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively.
| Pension Assumptions | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount rate | 5.49 | % | 5.80 | % | ||
| Expected long-term rate of return | 6.93 | 6.93 |
Capital Sources
Short-Term Funding Sources — Xcel Energy generally funds short-term needs, through operating cash flows, notes payable, commercial paper and bank lines of credit. The amount and timing of short-term funding needs depend on construction expenditures, working capital and dividend payments.
Short-Term Investments — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS maintain cash and short-term investment accounts.
Short-Term Debt — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS each have individual commercial paper programs. Authorized levels for these commercial paper programs are:
•$1.50 billion for Xcel Energy Inc.
•$700 million for PSCo.
•$700 million for NSP-Minnesota.
•$500 million for SPS.
•$150 million for NSP-Wisconsin.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Credit Facility Agreements — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, PSCo and SPS each have the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for two additional one-year periods. NSP-Wisconsin has the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for an additional year. All extension requests are subject to majority bank group approval.
As of Feb. 20, 2024, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Facility (a) | Drawn (b) | Available | Cash | Liquidity | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | $ | 1,500 | $ | 486 | $ | 1,014 | $ | 2 | $ | 1,016 | |||||||||
| PSCo | 700 | 258 | 442 | 6 | 448 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 700 | 273 | 427 | 10 | 437 | ||||||||||||||
| SPS | 500 | 99 | 401 | 3 | 404 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 150 | 43 | 107 | 8 | 115 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 3,550 | $ | 1,159 | $ | 2,391 | $ | 29 | $ | 2,420 |
(a)Credit facilities expire in September 2027.
(b)Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit.
Registration Statements — Xcel Energy Inc.’s Articles of Incorporation authorize the issuance of one billion shares of $2.50 par value common stock. As of Dec. 31, 2023 and 2022, Xcel Energy had approximately 555 million shares and 550 million shares of common stock outstanding, respectively.
Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries have registration statements on file with the SEC which are uncapped, permitting Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries to issue debt, equity and other securities. Debt issuance at our utility subsidiaries are subject to commission approval.
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Planned Financing Activity — Xcel Energy’s 2024 financing plans reflect the following:
| Issuer | Security | Amount (Millions of Dollars) | Anticipated Timing | Expected Tenor | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | Senior Unsecured Notes | $ | 900 | First Quarter | 10 Year | |||||
| PSCo | First Mortgage Bonds | 1,200 | Second Quarter | 10 Year and 30 Year | ||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | First Mortgage Bonds | 700 | First Quarter | 30 Year | ||||||
| SPS | First Mortgage Bonds | 550 | Second Quarter | 30 Year | ||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | First Mortgage Bonds | 400 | Second Quarter | 30 Year |
Long-Term Borrowings, Equity Issuances and Other Financing Instruments — Xcel Energy may issue equity through its at-the-market program or other offerings. Financing plans are subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, regulatory outcomes, internal cash generation, market conditions, changes in tax policies and other factors.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy 2024 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2024 ongoing earnings guidance is a range of $3.50 to $3.60 per share.(a)
Key assumptions as compared with 2023 actual levels unless noted:
•Constructive outcomes in all pending rate case and regulatory proceedings.
•Normal weather patterns for the remainder of the year.
•Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase 2% to 3%.
•Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to be flat.
•Capital rider revenue is projected to increase $70 million to $80 million (net of PTCs).
•O&M expenses are projected to increase 1% to 2%.
•Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately $250 million to $260 million.
•Property taxes are projected to increase $50 million to $60 million.
•Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase $130 million to $140 million, net of interest income.
•AFUDC - equity is projected to increase $45 million to $55 million.
•ETR is projected to be ~(4%) to (6%). The negative ETR is largely offset by PTCs flowing back to customers in the capital riders and fuel mechanisms and is largely earnings neutral. The projected ETR does not reflect the potential impact of nuclear PTCs, which are also expected to flow back to customers.
(a)Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. As Xcel Energy is unable to quantify the financial impacts of any additional adjustments that may occur for the year, we are unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of the guidance for ongoing EPS to corresponding GAAP EPS.
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on the following long-term objectives:
• Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of 5% to 7% based off of a 2023 actual ongoing earnings base of $3.35 per share.
• Deliver annual dividend increases of 5% to 7%.
• Target a dividend payout ratio of 50% to 60%.
• Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000072903-23-000007.
ITEM 7 — MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing ROE, ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that are adjusted from measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.
Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of Xcel Energy or each subsidiary, adjusted for certain nonrecurring items, by each entity’s average stockholder’s equity. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of earnings results.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of each subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. For the years ended Dec. 31, 2022 and 2021, there were no such adjustments to GAAP earnings and therefore GAAP earnings equal ongoing earnings.
Results of Operations
Diluted EPS for Xcel Energy at Dec. 31:
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP and Ongoing Diluted EPS | GAAP and Ongoing Diluted EPS | |||||
| PSCo | $ | 1.33 | $ | 1.22 | |||
| NSP-Minnesota | 1.23 | 1.12 | |||||
| SPS | 0.64 | 0.59 | |||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.23 | 0.20 | |||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.04 | 0.05 | |||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.47 | 3.18 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.29) | (0.22) | |||||
| Total (a) | $ | 3.17 | $ | 2.96 |
(a) Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings reflects management’s performance in operating Xcel Energy and provides a meaningful representation of the performance of Xcel Energy’s core business. In addition, Xcel Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial planning and analysis, reporting results to the Board of Directors and when communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors.
2022 Comparison with 2021
Xcel Energy — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased $0.21 per share for 2022. The increase was driven by regulatory outcomes, partially offset by higher depreciation, O&M expenses and interest charges. Costs for natural gas significantly increased in 2022 due to market conditions. However, fluctuations in electric and natural gas revenues associated with changes in fuel and purchased power and/or natural gas sold and transported generally do not significantly impact earnings (changes in revenues are offset by the related variation in costs).
PSCo — Earnings increased $0.11 per share for 2022, driven by regulatory outcomes and favorable weather. Higher revenues were partially offset by higher depreciation, O&M expenses and interest charges.
NSP-Minnesota — Earnings increased $0.11 per share for 2022 compared to 2021, driven by regulatory rate outcomes, partially offset by additional depreciation and O&M expenses.
SPS — Earnings increased $0.05 per share for 2022, largely related to regulatory rate outcomes, strong sales growth and favorable weather, partially offset by higher depreciation and O&M expenses.
NSP-Wisconsin — Earnings increased $0.03 per share for 2022 compared to 2021. The increase is due to regulatory rate outcomes and sales growth, partially offset by higher depreciation and O&M expenses.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Earnings decreased $0.07 per share year-to-date due to higher interest charges and decreased earnings from EIP investments.
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Changes in Diluted EPS
Components significantly contributing to changes in EPS:
| 2022 vs. 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | Dec. 31 | ||
| GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2021 | $ | 2.96 | |
| Components of change — 2022 vs. 2021 | |||
| Higher electric revenues, net of electric fuel and purchased power | 0.89 | ||
| Higher natural gas revenues, net of cost of natural gas sold and transported | 0.16 | ||
| Lower ETR (a) | 0.15 | ||
| Higher depreciation and amortization | (0.40) | ||
| Higher O&M expenses | (0.24) | ||
| Higher interest expense | (0.15) | ||
| Higher taxes (other than income taxes) | (0.08) | ||
| Other (net) | (0.12) | ||
| GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2022 | $ | 3.17 |
(a) Includes PTCs and plant regulatory amounts, which are primarily offset as a reduction to electric revenues.
ROE for Xcel Energy and its utility subsidiaries:
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE | GAAP and Ongoing ROE | GAAP and Ongoing ROE | ||||
| PSCo | 8.23 | % | 8.23 | % | ||
| NSP-Minnesota | 8.76 | 8.45 | ||||
| SPS | 9.36 | 9.22 | ||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 10.57 | 9.92 | ||||
| Operating Companies | 8.74 | 8.58 | ||||
| Xcel Energy | 10.76 | 10.58 |
Statement of Income Analysis
The following summarizes the items that affected the individual revenue and expense items reported in the consolidated statements of income.
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements.
As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, sales true-up and decoupling mechanisms in Minnesota and Colorado predominately mitigate the positive and adverse impacts of weather.
Degree-day or THI data is used to estimate amounts of energy required to maintain comfortable indoor temperature levels based on each day’s average temperature and humidity.
HDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature falls below 65° Fahrenheit. CDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature rises above 65° Fahrenheit.
Each degree of temperature above 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one CDD, and each degree of temperature below 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one HDD.
In Xcel Energy’s more humid service territories, a THI is used in place of CDD, which adds a humidity factor to CDD. HDD, CDD and THI are most likely to impact the usage of Xcel Energy’s residential and commercial customers. Industrial customers are less sensitive to weather.
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Percentage increase (decrease) in normal and actual HDD, CDD and THI:
| 2022 vs. Normal | 2021 vs. Normal | 2022 vs. 2021 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDD | 6.5 | % | (6.6) | % | 13.0 | % | ||
| CDD | 23.7 | 12.2 | 16.1 | |||||
| THI | 5.6 | 26.8 | (15.8) |
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
| 2022 vs. Normal | 2021 vs. Normal | 2022 vs. 2021 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail electric | $ | 0.138 | $ | 0.096 | $ | 0.042 | ||||
| Decoupling and sales true-up | (0.061) | (0.066) | 0.005 | |||||||
| Electric total | $ | 0.077 | $ | 0.030 | $ | 0.047 | ||||
| Firm natural gas | 0.037 | (0.025) | 0.062 | |||||||
| Total | $ | 0.114 | $ | 0.005 | $ | 0.109 |
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales:
| 2022 vs. 2021 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSCo | NSP-Minnesota | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Actual | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | (1.5) | % | (1.2) | % | 6.5 | % | 1.1 | % | (0.1) | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | — | 1.7 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 3.3 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | (0.5) | 0.8 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 2.3 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | 5.4 | 18.3 | N/A | 17.3 | 10.1 |
| 2022 vs. 2021 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSCo | NSP-Minnesota | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Weather-normalized | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | (3.6) | % | (0.2) | % | 0.8 | % | — | % | (1.3) | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | (0.3) | 2.1 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 3.2 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | (1.4) | 1.3 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | (3.1) | 5.5 | N/A | 5.8 | 0.1 |
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Weather-normalized electric sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
•PSCo — Residential sales declined due to decreased use per customer, partially offset by a 1.1% increase in customers. C&I sales decline was attributable to decreased use per customer, primarily in the manufacturing sector (largely due to an alternative generation arrangement with a significant customer), partially offset by strong small C&I sales in the food services and health care sectors.
•NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales decline reflects a decreased use per customer, partially offset by a 1.1% increase in customers. Growth in C&I sales was primarily due to higher use per customer, particularly in the manufacturing, real estate and leasing, and food service sectors.
•SPS — Residential sales growth was primarily attributable to a 0.9% increase in customers, partially offset by lower use per customer. C&I sales increased due to higher use per customer, primarily driven by the energy sector.
•NSP-Wisconsin — C&I sales growth was associated with higher use per customer, experienced primarily in the transportation and manufacturing sectors.
Weather-normalized natural gas sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
•Natural gas sales reflect growth in NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin attributable primarily to increased residential use per customer and customer growth as well as increases in C&I sales due to higher use per customer. These increases were offset by a reduction in PSCo natural gas sales, primarily driven by declines in residential use per customer.
Electric Margin
Electric margin is presented as electric revenues less electric fuel and purchased power expenses. Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms.
As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues.
Electric revenues and fuel and purchased power expenses are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium. These price fluctuations generally have minimal impact on earnings impact due to fuel recovery mechanisms. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated, which reduce electric revenue and income taxes.
Electric Revenues, Fuel and Purchased Power and Electric Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric revenues | $ | 12,123 | $ | 11,205 | |||
| Electric fuel and purchased power | (5,005) | (4,733) | |||||
| Electric margin | $ | 7,118 | $ | 6,472 |
Change in Electric Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2022 vs. 2021 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory rate outcomes (Minnesota, Colorado, Texas, New Mexico and Wisconsin) | $ | 506 | |
| Revenue recognition for the Texas rate case surcharge (a) | 85 | ||
| Sales and demand (b) | 80 | ||
| Non-fuel riders | 64 | ||
| Wholesale transmission (net) | 50 | ||
| Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling/sales true-up) | 33 | ||
| PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) | (150) | ||
| Other (net) | (22) | ||
| Total increase | $ | 646 |
(a)Recognition of revenue from the Texas rate case outcome is largely offset by recognition of previously deferred costs.
(b)Sales excludes weather impact, net of decoupling in Colorado and proposed sales true-up mechanism in Minnesota.
Natural Gas Margin
Natural gas margin is presented as natural gas revenues less the cost of natural gas sold and transported. Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues.
Natural gas expense varies with changing sales and the cost of natural gas. However, fluctuations in the cost of natural gas generally have minimal earnings impact due to cost recovery mechanisms.
Natural Gas Revenues, Cost of Natural Gas Sold and Transported and Natural Gas Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural gas revenues | $ | 3,080 | $ | 2,132 | |||
| Cost of natural gas sold and transported | (1,910) | (1,081) | |||||
| Natural gas margin | $ | 1,170 | $ | 1,051 |
Change in Natural Gas Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2022 vs. 2021 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory rate outcomes (Minnesota, Colorado, Wisconsin, North Dakota) | $ | 61 | |
| Estimated impact of weather | 46 | ||
| Conservation revenue (offset in expenses) | 13 | ||
| Infrastructure and integrity riders | 9 | ||
| Winter Storm Uri disallowances | (20) | ||
| Other (net) | 10 | ||
| Total increase | $ | 119 |
Non-Fuel Operating Expenses and Other Items
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses increased $170 million year-to-date, due to the following approximately equal drivers: inflation and impacts of supply chain constraints; operational activities (vegetation management, repairs/maintenance and storms); costs for technology and customer programs; insurance-related costs; recognition of previously deferred amounts related to the 2021 Texas rate case; and other.
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Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased $292 million year-to-date. The increase was primarily driven by capital investment, recognition of previously deferred costs related to the Texas Electric Rate Case and several wind farms going into service.
Other Income (Expense) — Other income (expense) decreased $18 million year-to-date, largely related to rabbi trust performance, which is primarily offset in O&M expenses (employee benefit costs).
Earnings from Equity Method Investments — Earnings from equity method investments decreased $26 million year-to-date. The year-to-date change was largely attributable to the performance of the EIP funds, which invest in energy technology companies.
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased $111 million year-to-date. The increase was largely due to higher long-term debt levels to fund capital investments and higher interest rates.
Income Taxes — Income tax benefit increased $65 million year-to-date. The year-to-date increase was primarily driven by an increase in wind PTCs due to greater production at existing wind farms, several new wind farms going into service and an increase in the PTC rate partially offset by higher pretax earnings.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other Results
Net income and diluted EPS contributions of Xcel Energy Inc. and its nonregulated businesses:
| Contribution (Millions of Dollars) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (153) | $ | (129) | |||
| Venture Holdings (a) | 5 | 21 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. taxes and other results | (12) | (12) | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (160) | $ | (120) |
| Contribution (Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (0.28) | $ | (0.24) | |||
| Venture Holdings (a) | 0.01 | 0.04 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. taxes and other results | (0.02) | (0.02) | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (0.29) | $ | (0.22) |
(a)Amounts include gains or losses associated with EIP investments.
Xcel Energy Inc.’s results include interest charges, which are incurred at Xcel Energy Inc. and are not directly assigned to individual subsidiaries.
2021 Comparison with 2020
A discussion of changes in Xcel Energy’s results of operations, cash flows and liquidity and capital resources from the year ended Dec. 31, 2020 to Dec. 31, 2021 can be found in Part II, “Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year 2021, which was filed with the SEC on Feb. 23, 2022. However, such discussion is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Public Utility Regulation
The FERC and various state and local regulatory commissions regulate Xcel Energy Inc.’s utility subsidiaries and West Gas Interstate. Xcel Energy is subject to rate regulation by state utility regulatory agencies, which have jurisdiction with respect to the rates of electric and natural gas distribution companies in Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Colorado, New Mexico and Texas.
Rates are designed to recover plant investment, operating costs and an allowed return on investment. Our utility subsidiaries request changes in utility rates through commission filings. Changes in operating costs can affect Xcel Energy’s financial results, depending on the timing of rate cases and implementation of final rates. Other factors affecting rate filings are new investments, sales, conservation and DSM efforts, and the cost of capital.
In addition, the regulatory commissions authorize the ROE, capital structure and depreciation rates in rate proceedings. Decisions by these regulators can significantly impact Xcel Energy’s results of operations and credit quality.
See Rate Matters within Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
NSP-Minnesota
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| MPUC | Retail rates, services, security issuances, property transfers, mergers, disposition of assets, affiliate transactions, and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plants greater than 50 MW and transmission lines greater than 100 KV in Minnesota.Reviews and approves natural gas supply plans. | |
| NDPSC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in North Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| SDPUC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric operations.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in South Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transfers and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Minnesota is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO and operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale markets. NSP-Minnesota makes wholesale sales in other RTO markets at market-based rates. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin also make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices to customers outside of their balancing authority as jointly authorized by the FERC. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| Minnesota Office of Pipeline Safety | Pipeline safety compliance. |
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Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| CIP Rider (a) | Recovers costs of conservation and DSM programs in Minnesota. | |
| Environmental Improvement Rider | Recovers costs of environmental improvement projects in Minnesota. | |
| Renewable Development Fund | Allocates money collected from customers to support research and development of emerging renewable energy projects and technologies in Minnesota. | |
| RES | Recovers cost of renewable generation in Minnesota. | |
| Renewable Energy Rider | Recovers cost of renewable generation in North Dakota. | |
| Transmission Cost Recovery | Recovers costs for investments in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota for electric transmission and distribution grid modernization. | |
| Infrastructure Rider | Recovers costs for investments in generation in South Dakota. | |
| FCA | Recovers prudently incurred costs of fuel related items and purchased energy (Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota). | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | Provides for prospective monthly rate adjustments in Minnesota and North Dakota for costs of purchased natural gas, transportation and storage service. Includes a true-up process for difference between projected and actual costs. | |
| GUIC Rider | Recovers costs for transmission and distribution pipeline integrity management programs, including funding for pipeline assessments, deferred costs for sewer separation and pipeline integrity management programs in Minnesota. The statute authorizing the GUIC Rider is set to expire June 30, 2023. | |
| Sales True-up | NSP-Minnesota has historically had a sales true-up mechanism for all electric customer classes which ended in 2021. We are requesting implementation of a new sales true-up mechanism for 2022 - 2024. These mechanisms mitigate the impact of changes to sales levels as compared to a baseline. |
(a)Minnesota state law requires NSP-Minnesota to spend 2% of its state electric revenues and 0.5% of its state natural gas revenues on CIP. These costs are recovered through an annual cost-recovery mechanism.
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2022 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — In October 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a three-year electric rate case with the MPUC. The request is based on a ROE of 10.2%, a 52.5% equity ratio and forward test years.
In December 2021, the MPUC approved interim rates, subject to refund, of $247 million, effective Jan. 1, 2022. In November 2022, NSP-Minnesota revised its rate request to $498 million over three years.
The revised request is detailed as follows:
| (Amounts in Millions) | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | Total | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rate request (annual increase) | $ | 234 | $ | 94 | $ | 170 | $ | 498 | |||||||
| Rate base | 10,923 | 11,425 | 11,902 | N/A |
In 2022, several parties filed testimony with various recommendations. The DOC provided the following recommendations in surrebuttal testimony.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota’s filed base revenue request | $ | 396 | $ | 546 | $ | 677 | |||||
| Recommended adjustments: | |||||||||||
| Rate base and rate of return | (72) | (65) | (65) | ||||||||
| MISO capacity credits | (66) | (112) | (111) | ||||||||
| Sales forecast update | (51) | — | — | ||||||||
| Monticello and wind farm life extension | (21) | (54) | (51) | ||||||||
| PTC forecast | (28) | (1) | (1) | ||||||||
| Property tax | (14) | (23) | (34) | ||||||||
| Prepaid pension asset and liability | (13) | (21) | (32) | ||||||||
| O&M expenses | (37) | (39) | (44) | ||||||||
| Sherco 3 and King remaining life | — | 29 | 28 | ||||||||
| Other, net | (23) | (33) | (43) | ||||||||
| Total adjustments | (325) | (319) | (353) | ||||||||
| Total proposed revenue change | $ | 71 | $ | 227 | $ | 324 |
Next steps in the procedural schedule are expected to be as follows:
•ALJ Report: March 31, 2023.
•MPUC Order: June 30, 2023.
2022 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — In November 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the MPUC for a natural gas rate increase of $36 million, or 6.6%. The filing is based on a 2022 forecast test year and includes a requested ROE of 10.5%, an equity ratio of 52.5% and a rate base of $934 million. In December 2021, the MPUC approved an interim rate increase of $25 million, subject to refund, effective Jan. 1, 2022.
In October 2022, NSP-Minnesota and various parties filed an uncontested settlement, which includes the following key terms:
•Base rate revenue increase of $21 million, with a true up to weather normalized actual sales for 2022.
•Revenue decoupling mechanism.
•Symmetrical property tax true-up.
•ROE of 9.57%.
•Equity ratio of 52.5%.
In December 2022, the ALJ recommended MPUC approval of the settlement. A MPUC decision is expected in the first half of 2023.
2021 North Dakota Natural Gas Rate Case — In September 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the NDPSC for a natural gas rate increase of $7 million, or 10.5%. The filing is based on a ROE of 10.5%, an equity ratio of 52.54%, a 2022 forecast test year and rate base of $124 million. Interim rates of $7 million, subject to refund, were implemented on Nov. 1, 2021.
In May 2022, NSP-Minnesota and NDPSC Staff reached a settlement, which reflects a rate increase of $5 million, based on a 9.8% ROE and 52.54% equity ratio. In October 2022, the NDPSC approved the settlement and final rates were implemented on Nov. 1, 2022.
South Dakota Electric Rate Case — In June 2022, NSP-Minnesota filed a South Dakota electric rate case seeking a revenue increase of approximately $44 million. The filing is based on a 2021 historic test year adjusted for certain known and measurable changes for 2022 and 2023, a ROE of 10.75%, rate base of approximately $947 million and an equity ratio of 53%. Interim rates were implemented on Jan. 1, 2023. Final rates are expected to be approved by the SDPUC in mid-2023.
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Wind Repowering — In January 2021, the MPUC approved NSP-Minnesota’s request for the repowering of 651 MW of owned wind projects. Two of the four repowering projects, where construction has not yet begun (in-service dates in 2025), now expect costs in excess of the original approval. While the capital costs have increased, the passage of the IRA and other changes result in a levelized cost of energy that is approximately 30% lower than the original approval.
In October 2022, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the MPUC seeking approval of the higher capital costs for these repowering projects. In February 2023, the DOC filed comments recommending approval of recovery of the increased costs of these projects through the RES Rider. A final decision is pending.
2022 Upper Midwest RFP — In August 2022, NSP-Minnesota launched a RFP for 900 MW of solar or solar-plus-storage hybrid resources to come online by the end of 2025, including up to 300 MW of capacity to reuse the Sherco Unit 2 interconnection rights when the coal facility retires at the end of 2023.
NSP-Minnesota completed its bid evaluation process in December 2022 and will file for approval of the selected projects in early 2023.
2022 Minnesota Electric Vehicle Proposal — In August 2022, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the MPUC for approval of approximately $320 million of capital investments (2022 through 2026) to support a public charging network, electric school bus pilot, and other expansions and modifications to its residential and commercial electric vehicle programs.
In October 2022, the MPUC referred the matter to the Office of Administrative Hearings to conduct a contested case on the proposals. In February 2023, other parties to the contested proceeding filed their direct testimony ranging in levels of support / opposition to the proposals. The evidentiary hearing is scheduled in Q2 2023 with a report from the ALJ expected in Q3 2023. A MPUC decision is expected in late 2023.
Nuclear Power Operations
Nuclear power plant operations produce gaseous, liquid and solid radioactive wastes, which are covered by federal regulation. High-level radioactive wastes primarily include used nuclear fuel. Low-level waste consists primarily of demineralizer resins, paper, protective clothing, rags, tools and equipment contaminated through use.
NRC Regulation — The NRC regulates nuclear operations. Costs of complying with NRC requirements can affect both operating expenses and capital investments of the plants. NSP-Minnesota has obtained recovery of these compliance costs and expects to recover future compliance costs.
Low-Level Waste Disposal — Low level waste from Monticello and PI is disposed of at the Clive facility located in Utah and the Waste Control Specialists facility in Texas. NSP-Minnesota has storage capacity available on-site at PI and Monticello which would allow both plants to continue to operate until the end of their current licensed lives if off-site low-level waste disposal facilities become unavailable.
High-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal — The federal government has responsibility to permanently dispose of domestic spent nuclear fuel and other high-level radioactive wastes. The Nuclear Waste Policy Act requires the DOE to implement a program for nuclear high-level waste management.
This includes the siting, licensing, construction and operation of a repository for spent nuclear fuel from civilian nuclear power reactors and other high-level radioactive wastes at a permanent federal storage or disposal facility. Currently, there are no definitive plans for a permanent federal storage facility site.
Nuclear Spent Fuel Storage — NSP-Minnesota has interim on-site storage for spent nuclear fuel at its Monticello and PI nuclear generating plants. Authorized storage capacity is sufficient to allow NSP-Minnesota to operate until the end of the operating licenses in 2030 for Monticello, 2033 for PI Unit 1, and 2034 for PI Unit 2.
In September 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed an application for a CON for additional spent fuel storage (existing Independent spent fuel storage installation) at the Monticello Nuclear Power Generating Plant to allow continued operation of the Monticello Plant until 2040.
A decision is expected in late 2023. Authorizations for additional spent fuel storage capacity may be required at each site to support either continued operation or decommissioning if the federal government does not commence storage operations.
In February 2023, NSP-Minnesota also filed an application with the NDPSC for an Advance Determination of Prudence for continued operation of the Monticello Plant until at least 2040. A decision is expected in 2023.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
NSP-Minnesota conducts wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy-related products. NSP-Minnesota uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and to hedge sales and purchases.
NSP-Minnesota also engages in trading activity unrelated to these hedging activities. Sharing of any margins is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement. NSP-Minnesota does not serve any wholesale requirements customers at cost-based regulated rates.
NSP-Wisconsin
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PSCW | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.The PSCW has a biennial base rate filing requirement. By June of each odd numbered year, NSP-Wisconsin must submit a rate filing for the test year beginning the following January.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| Michigan Public Service Commission | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric generation licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Wisconsin is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO that operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale energy market. NSP-Wisconsin and NSP-Minnesota are jointly authorized by the FERC to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
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Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Annual Fuel Cost Plan | NSP-Wisconsin does not have an automatic electric fuel adjustment clause. Under Wisconsin rules, utilities submit a forward-looking annual fuel cost plan to the PSCW. Once the PSCW approves the plan, utilities defer the amount of any fuel cost under-recovery or over-recovery in excess of a 2% annual tolerance band, for future rate recovery or refund. Approval of a fuel cost plan and any rate adjustment for refund or recovery of deferred costs is determined by the PSCW. Rate recovery of deferred fuel cost is subject to an earnings test based on the most recently authorized ROE. Under-collections that exceed the 2% annual tolerance band may not be recovered if the utility earnings for that year exceed the authorized ROE. | |
| Power Supply Cost Recovery Factors | NSP-Wisconsin’s retail electric rate schedules for Michigan customers include power supply cost recovery factors, based on 12-month projections. After each 12-month period, a reconciliation is submitted whereby over-recoveries are refunded and any under-recoveries are collected from customers. | |
| Wisconsin Energy Efficiency Program | The primary energy efficiency program is funded by the utilities, but operated by independent contractors subject to oversight by the PSCW and utilities. NSP-Wisconsin recovers these costs from customers. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | A retail cost-recovery mechanism to recover the actual cost of natural gas, transportation, and storage services. | |
| Natural Gas Cost-Recovery Factor (MI) | NSP-Wisconsin’s natural gas rates for Michigan customers include a natural gas cost-recovery factor, based on 12-month projections and trued-up to actual amounts on an annual basis. |
Purchased Power and Transmission Services
The NSP System expects to use power plants, power purchases, conservation and DSM options, new generation facilities and expansion of power plants to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — Through the Interchange Agreement, NSP-Wisconsin receives power purchased by NSP-Minnesota from other utilities and independent power producers. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require a capacity charge and an energy charge. NSP-Minnesota makes short-term purchases to meet system requirements, replace company owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin have contracts with MISO and other regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to their customers.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
NSP-Wisconsin does not serve any wholesale requirements customers at cost-based regulated rates.
PSCo
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information on Regulatory Authority | |
|---|---|---|
| CPUC | Retail rates, accounts, services, issuance of securities and other aspects of electric, natural gas and steam operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plans greater than 50 MW.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, hydroelectric licensing, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with the NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce.Wholesale electric sales at cost-based prices to customers inside PSCo’s balancing authority area and at market-based prices to customers outside PSCo’s balancing authority area.PSCo holds a FERC certificate that allows it to transport natural gas in interstate commerce without PSCo becoming subject to full FERC jurisdiction. | |
| RTO | PSCo is not presently a member of an RTO and does not operate within an RTO energy market. However, PSCo does make certain sales to other RTO’s, including SPP and participates in a joint dispatch agreement with neighboring utilities. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| ECA | Recovers fuel and purchased energy costs. Short-term sales margins are shared with customers. The ECA is revised quarterly. | |
| Purchased Capacity Cost Adjustment | Recovers purchased capacity payments. | |
| Steam Cost Adjustment | Recovers fuel costs to operate the steam system. The Steam Cost Adjustment rate is revised quarterly. | |
| DSM Cost Adjustment | Recovers electric and gas DSM, interruptible service costs and performance initiatives for achieving energy savings goals. | |
| RES Adjustment | Recovers the incremental costs of compliance with the RES with a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Colorado Energy Plan Adjustment | Recovers the early retirement costs of Comanche units 1 and 2 to a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Wind Cost Adjustment | Recovers costs for customers who choose renewable resources. | |
| Transmission Cost Adjustment | Recovers costs for transmission investment between rate cases. | |
| FCA | PSCo recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from wholesale electric customers through a fuel cost adjustment clause approved by the FERC. Wholesale customers pay production costs through a forecasted formula rate subject to true-up. | |
| GCA | Recovers costs of purchased natural gas and transportation and is revised quarterly to allow for changes in natural gas rates. | |
| Pipeline system integrity adjustment | Recovers costs for transmission and distribution pipeline integrity management programs (rider ended on Dec. 31, 2022). | |
| Decoupling | Mechanism to true-up revenue to a baseline amount for residential (excluding lighting and demand) and metered non-demand small C&I classes. | |
| Transportation Electrification Plan | Recovers costs associated with the investment in and adoption of transportation electrification infrastructure. |
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Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
Colorado Natural Gas Rate Case — In January 2022, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC seeking a net increase to retail natural gas rates of $107 million. The total change to base rates is $215 million, which reflects the transfer of $108 million previously recovered from customers through the pipeline system integrity adjustment rider. The request was based on a 10.25% ROE, an equity ratio of 55.66% and a 2022 current test year with a projected rate base of $3.6 billion.
PSCo’s request also included step revenue increases of $40 million (effective Nov. 1, 2023) and $41 million (effective Nov. 1, 2024) related to continued capital investment.
In October 2022, the CPUC approved a rate increase net of rider roll-ins of $64 million. The decision reflects a stated WACC of 6.7%, a historic test year with a year-end rate base and $16 million of incremental depreciation expense. PSCo has the option to determine its ROE within a range of 9.2% to 9.5% and its equity ratio within a range of 52% to 55%, as long as it results in a WACC of 6.7%. The CPUC denied the 2023-2024 step increases. Base rates were placed in effect November 1, 2022.
Colorado Electric Rate Case — In November 2022, PSCo filed an electric rate case seeking a net increase of $262 million, or 8.2%. The total request reflects a $312 million increase, which includes $50 million of authorized costs currently recovered through various rider mechanisms. The request is based on a 10.25% ROE, an equity ratio of 55.7% and a 2023 forecast test year with a 2023 year-end rate base of $11.3 billion. PSCo requested rates effective in September 2023. A procedural schedule is expected to be established by the CPUC in the first quarter of 2023.
Colorado Resource Plan — In August 2022, the CPUC approved an updated settlement, which will result in the further acceleration of the retirement of the Comanche Unit 3 coal plant, an expected carbon reduction of at least 85% and an 80% renewable mix by 2030. The CPUC deferred a decision on the method of cost recovery for the retiring coal units to a separate docket, which will consider accelerated depreciation, creation of regulatory assets and securitization. PSCo filed the recovery method docket in the fourth quarter of 2022.
Key settlement terms include:
•Early retirement of Hayden: Unit 2 in 2027 (was 2036); and Unit 1 in 2028 (was 2030).
•Conversion of the Pawnee coal plant to natural gas by no later than Jan. 1, 2026.
•Early retirement of Comanche Unit 3 by Jan. 1, 2031 (was 2070) with reduced operations beginning in 2025.
•Addition of ~2,400 MW of wind.
•Addition of ~1,600 MW of universal-scale solar.
•Addition of 400 MW of storage.
•Addition of 1,300 MW of flexible, dispatchable generation.
•Addition of ~1,200 MW of distributed solar resources through our renewable energy programs.
In December 2022, the Company commenced the RFP process for generation resources with a bid receipt date of March 1, 2023. After reviewing the bids received, PSCo will file a report with the CPUC with recommended resource acquisitions and a CPUC decision on the resources to be acquired is expected in October 2023.
Decoupling Filing — PSCo has a decoupling program, effective April 1, 2020 through Dec. 31, 2023. The program applies to Residential and metered small C&I customers who do not pay a demand charge. The program includes a refund and surcharge cap not to exceed 3% of forecasted base rate revenue for a specified period.
In October 2021, a settlement was reached on Winter Storm Uri costs and also addressed certain components of the 2020 decoupling refunds.
In April 2022, PSCo made its annual filing on this matter. In December 2022, the ALJ approved a settlement between PSCo, CPUC Staff and the UCA. The settlement requires PSCo to file a petition for declaratory judgment to address the treatment of any expired balance under the 3% soft cap provisions.
As of Dec. 31, 2022, PSCo has recognized a refund for Residential customers and a surcharge for small C&I customers based on 2020, 2021 and 2022 results.
Transmission Cost Adjustment — In December 2022, the CPUC suspended PSCo’s request for 2023 TCA rate changes. The CPUC Staff protested the TCA on the grounds that only projects resulting in new transmission should be included and no repair or replacement of existing infrastructure should be included. The CPUC consolidated the matter with the pending electric rate case for assessment.
ECA Fuel Recovery — In December 2022, PSCo filed its first quarter 2023 ECA Advice Letter, which sought to recover $123 million of under-recovered 2022 fuel costs over two quarters (instead of the typical one). In December 2022, the CPUC found that the $123 million should be removed from the proposed ECA rates and required PSCo to file a separate application to recover these fuel costs. Proposed ECA rates were updated to remove the 2022 under-recovered balance and were implemented on Jan. 1, 2023. In February 2023, PSCo submitted an interim ECA filing which included $70 million of the 2022 under-recovered costs. A filing for the remaining amount is anticipated in the first quarter of 2023.
GCA NOPR — In June 2021, the CPUC issued a NOPR addressing the recovery of costs through the GCA. The CPUC has reopened the GCA NOPR and proposed a 2-step process aimed at 1) considering near term process changes to the GCA and 2) a longer term process to evaluate potential performance incentive structures. In step 1, consensus proposed rule amendments to update the process and filing requirements for GCA and related filings have been submitted to the CPUC for consideration. PSCo worked with other utilities and stakeholders regarding consensus proposed rule amendments for step 2, including a provision that each LDC bring forward its own performance incentive mechanism in a future filing. In December 2022, the CPUC approved the consensus proposal.
In February 2023, the Governor of Colorado issued an open letter to the CPUC, utilities, and other stakeholders directing agencies to take additional steps to address energy costs. It is likely this request will result in the opening of additional dockets to further explore the GCA and other related mechanisms. Additionally, the Colorado Legislature announced the formation of a Joint Select Committee to investigate the source of rising utility rates and explore potential actions to prevent future price instability.
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Natural Gas Planning NOPR — In October 2021, the CPUC issued a NOPR to implement recent state legislation requiring natural gas utilities to develop clean heat plans to meet state greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, as well as updated demand-side management criteria. Additionally, the proposed rules included new comprehensive natural gas infrastructure planning requirements and related Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity application procedures, changes in natural gas line extension policy, and details on emission accounting related to clean heat plans. PSCo recommended changes to the proposed rules, which may be incorporated into the final rules issued in the first quarter of 2023.
Purchased Power and Transmission Service Providers
PSCo expects to meet its system capacity requirements through electric generating stations, power purchases, new generation facilities, DSM options and expansion of generation plants.
Purchased Power — PSCo purchases power from other utilities and IPPs. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require capacity and energy charges. It also contracts to purchase power for both wind and solar resources. PSCo makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements, replace owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations, or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Energy Markets — PSCo plans to join the SPP Western Energy Imbalance Service Market in April 2023. This market is an incremental step in the participation in the organized wholesale market. Energy imbalance markets allow participants to buy and sell power close to the time electricity is consumed and gives system operators real-time visibility across neighboring grids. The result improves balancing supply and demand at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — In addition to using its own transmission system, PSCo has contracts with regional transmission service providers to deliver energy to its customers.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
PSCo conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. PSCo uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and hedge sales and purchases. PSCo also engages in trading activity unrelated to these hedging activities.
Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
SPS
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PUCT | Retail electric operations, rates, services, construction of transmission or generation and other aspects of SPS’ electric operations.The municipalities in which SPS operates in Texas have original jurisdiction over rates in those communities. The municipalities’ rate setting decisions are subject to PUCT review. Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs | |
| NMPRC | Retail electric operations, retail rates and services and the construction of transmission or generation. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, the transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| SPP RTO and SPP Integrated and Wholesale Markets | SPS is a transmission owning member of the SPP RTO and operates within the SPP RTO and SPP integrated and wholesale markets. SPS is authorized to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Distribution Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers distribution costs not included in rates in Texas. | |
| Energy Efficiency Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in Texas. | |
| Energy Efficiency Rider | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in New Mexico. | |
| Fuel and Purchased Power Cost Adjustment Clause | Adjusts monthly to recover actual fuel and purchased power costs in New Mexico. | |
| Power Cost Recovery Factor | Allows recovery of purchased power costs not included in Texas rates. | |
| Renewable Portfolio Standards | Recovers deferred costs for renewable energy programs in New Mexico. | |
| Transmission Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers certain transmission infrastructure improvement costs and changes in wholesale transmission charges not included in Texas base rates. | |
| Fixed Fuel and Purchased Recovery Factor | Provides for the over- or under-recovery of energy expenses in Texas. Regulations require refunding or surcharging over- or under- recovery amounts, including interest, when they exceed 4% of the utility’s annual fuel and purchased energy costs on a rolling 12-month basis if this condition is expected to continue. | |
| Wholesale Fuel and Purchased Energy Cost Adjustment | SPS recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from its wholesale customers through a monthly wholesale fuel and purchased energy cost adjustment clause accepted by the FERC. Wholesale customers also pay the jurisdictional allocation of production costs. | |
| Electric Vehicle Rider | Recovers costs of the Transportation Electrification Plan in New Mexico. | |
| Advanced Metering System Surcharge | Recovers costs incurred in deployment of the Advanced Metering System in Texas. | |
| Consulting Fee Rider | Recovers consulting fees and carrying charges incurred by SPS on behalf of the PUCT. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2021 Texas Electric Rate Case — In May 2022, the PUCT approved a settlement between SPS and intervening parties.
In July 2022, SPS filed to surcharge the final under-recovered amount, estimated to be approximately $85 million, substantially offset by the recognition of previously deferred costs.
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| (Millions of Dollars) | Year Ended Dec. 31, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue surcharge accrual | $ | 85 | |
| Depreciation and amortization | (43) | ||
| O&M expenses | (16) | ||
| Interest expense | (12) | ||
| Taxes other than income taxes | (10) | ||
| Fuel and purchased power | (2) |
2022 New Mexico Electric Rate Case — In November 2022, SPS filed an electric rate case with NMPRC seeking a revenue increase of $78 million, or 10%. The request is based on a future test year ending June 30, 2024, a ROE of 10.75%, an equity ratio of 54.7% and rate base of $2.4 billion. Additionally, the request reflects further acceleration of the Tolk coal plant depreciation life from 2032 to 2028.
Next steps in the procedural schedule are expected to be as follows:
•Staff and intervenor testimony: March 31, 2023.
•Rebuttal testimony: April 25, 2023.
•Stipulation: May 8, 2023.
•Hearing: June 5, 2023.
•End of rate suspension: Sept. 19, 2023.
2023 Texas Electric Rate Case — On Feb. 8, 2023, SPS filed an electric rate case with the PUCT seeking an increase in base rate revenue of $149 million. The impact to overall customer bills is expected to be approximately 13%. The request is based on a historical test year period ended Sept. 30, 2022, with an Update Period ended Dec. 31, 2022, a ROE of 10.65%, an equity ratio of 54.6% and retail rate base of $3.6 billion. Additionally, the request reflects further acceleration of the Tolk coal plant depreciation life from 2034 to 2028.
SPS is requesting a surcharge from July 13, 2023 through the effective date of new base rates. A PUCT decision is expected in the first quarter of 2024.
SPS and LP&L Contract Termination — SPS and LP&L have a 25-year, 170 MW partial requirements contract. In May 2021, SPS and LP&L finalized a settlement which would terminate the contract upon LP&L’s move from the SPP to the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (expected in 2023). The settlement agreement requires LP&L to pay SPS $78 million (to the benefit of SPS’ remaining customers). LP&L would remain obligated to pay for SPP transmission charges associated with LP&L’s load in SPP. The agreement is pending PUCT and FERC approval.
2022 All-Source RFP — In 2022, SPS issued an RFP, which seeks up to 947 MW of new or existing capacity resources to provide replacement capacity for retiring units and meet SPS’ growing capacity needs through 2027. SPS will receive bids in the first quarter of 2023 and file for the approval of successful proposals in the second quarter of 2023.
Purchased Power Arrangements and Transmission Service Providers
SPS expects to use electric generating stations, power purchases, DSM and new generation options to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — SPS purchases power from other utilities and IPPs. Long-term purchased power contracts typically require periodic capacity and energy charges. SPS also makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements to replace owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — SPS has contractual arrangements with SPP and regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to its native load customers.
Natural Gas
SPS does not provide retail natural gas service, but purchases and transports natural gas for its generation facilities and operates limited natural gas pipeline facilities connecting the generation facilities to interstate natural gas pipelines. SPS is subject to the jurisdiction of the FERC with respect to natural gas transactions in interstate commerce and the PHMSA, DOT and PUCT for pipeline safety compliance.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
SPS conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. SPS uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price risk and to hedge sales and purchases. Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
Other
Supply Chain
Xcel Energy’s ability to meet customer energy requirements, respond to storm-related disruptions and execute our capital expenditure program are dependent on maintaining an efficient supply chain. Manufacturing processes have experienced disruptions related to scarcity of certain raw materials and interruptions in production and shipping. These disruptions have been further exacerbated by inflationary pressures, labor shortages and the impact of international conflicts/issues. Xcel Energy continues to monitor the situation as it remains fluid and seeks to mitigate the impacts by securing alternative suppliers, modifying design standards, and adjusting the timing of work.
Electric Distribution and Transmission Transformers
The availability of certain transformers is an industry-wide issue that has been significantly impacted and in some cases may result in delays in projects and new customer connections. Xcel Energy continues to seek alternative suppliers and prioritize work plans to mitigate impacts of supply constraints.
Solar Resources
In April 2022, the U.S. Department of Commerce initiated an anti-circumvention investigation that would subject CSPV solar panels and cells imported from Malaysia, Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia with potential incremental tariffs ranging from 50% to 250%. These countries account for more than 80% of CSPV panel imports.
An interim stay on tariffs has been issued and many significant solar projects have resumed with modified costs and projected in-service dates, including the Sherco Solar facility in Minnesota and certain PPAs in PSCo. Further policy action or other restrictions on solar imports (i.e., as a result of implementation of the Uyghur Forced Labor Protection Act) could impact project timelines and costs.
Marshall Wildfire
In December 2021, a wildfire ignited in Boulder County, Colorado (the “Marshall Fire”), which burned over 6,000 acres and destroyed or damaged over 1,000 structures. Boulder County authorities are currently investigating the fire and have not yet determined a cause. There were no downed power lines in the ignition area, and nothing the Company has seen to this point indicates that our equipment or operations caused the fire.
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In Colorado, the standard of review governing liability differs from the “inverse condemnation” or strict liability standard utilized in California. In Colorado, courts look to whether electric power companies have operated their system with a heightened duty of care consistent with the practical conduct of its business, and liability does not extend to occurrences that cannot be reasonably anticipated. In addition, PSCo has been operating under a commission approved wildfire mitigation plan and carries wildfire liability insurance.
In March 2022, a class action suit was filed in Boulder County pertaining to the Marshall Fire. In the remote event PSCo was found liable related to this litigation and were required to pay damages, such amounts could exceed our insurance coverage and have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows. In December 2022, the District Court judge denied PSCo’s Motion to Dismiss.
MISO Capacity Credits
The NSP System offered 1,500 MW of excess capacity into the MISO planning resource auction for June 2022 through May 2023. Due to a projected overall capacity shortfall in the MISO region, the 1,500 MWs offered cleared the auction at maximum pricing, generating revenues of approximately $90 million in 2022, with approximately $60 million expected in 2023. These amounts will primarily be used to mitigate customer rate increases or returned through earnings sharing or other mechanisms.
Inflation Reduction Act
In August 2022, the IRA was signed into law.
Key provisions impacting Xcel Energy include:
•Extends current PTC and ITC for renewable technologies (e.g., wind and solar).
•Restores full value of the PTC and ITC for qualifying facilities placed in-service after 2021.
•Creates a PTC for solar, clean hydrogen and nuclear.
•Establishes an ITC for energy storage, microgrids, interconnection facilities, etc.
•Allows companies to monetize or sell credits to unrelated parties.
Xcel Energy anticipates the IRA will materially reduce the cost of renewable energy, resulting in significant customer savings.
The IRA is expected to allow Xcel Energy to monetize tax credits more efficiently with the incremental benefits passed through to customers. Transferability provisions apply to eligible tax credits generated starting in 2023 for both new and existing facilities. Xcel Energy anticipates tax credit transferability from existing renewable projects will improve cash from operations by $1.8 billion (2023 - 2027), assuming constructive regulatory outcomes and the development of a market.
The IRA creates a nuclear PTC beginning in 2024 that may also provide additional customer savings. The annual customer benefit from these PTCs could range from $0 to $300 million, depending on locational marginal pricing, as well as constructive U.S. Treasury guidance regarding computation of the credits.
In addition, the IRA created a new corporate AMT. Xcel Energy does not anticipate AMT having a material cash impact based on current estimates and our interpretation of its application.
Winter Storm Uri
In February 2021, the United States experienced Winter Storm Uri. Extreme cold temperatures impacted certain operational assets as well as the availability of renewable generation. The cold weather also affected the country’s supply and demand for natural gas.
These factors contributed to extremely high market prices for natural gas and electricity. As a result of the extremely high market prices, Xcel Energy incurred net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs of approximately $1 billion (largely deferred as regulatory assets).
Xcel Energy has received recovery approval from all of our impacted states except for Texas, which is pending. A summary of pending and recently approved regulatory requests for Winter Storm Uri cost recovery is listed below.
| Utility Subsidiary | Jurisdiction | Regulatory Status |
|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | Minnesota | In 2021, the MPUC allowed recovery of $179 million of costs (with no financing charge) starting in September 2021, pending a prudency review. The C&I class ($82 million) will be recovered over 27 months and the residential class ($97 million) will be recovered over a 63-month recovery period. In August 2022, the MPUC approved recovery of Uri storm costs with a $19 million disallowance. |
| PSCo | Colorado | In May 2021, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC to recover $263 million in weather-related electric costs, $287 million in incremental natural gas costs and $4 million in incremental steam costs over 24 months with no financing charge. In July 2022, the CPUC approved a partial settlement providing full recovery of fuel costs, with the exception of an $8 million disallowance, over 24 months for electric and 30 months for natural gas customers. |
| SPS | Texas | In 2021, SPS filed to recover $88 million of Winter Storm Uri costs over 24 months, as part of the Texas fuel surcharge filing, with total under-recovered costs of $121 million. In April 2022, interim rates designed to recover $121 million over 30 months were approved, subject to PUCT approval through the triennial Fuel Reconciliation proceeding. In July 2022, the intervenors filed recommendations. The Texas Industrial Energy Consumers and PUCT staff recommended disallowances of approximately $10 million (off-system sales margins). The Office of Public Utility Counsel recommended disallowances of approximately $15 million (off-system sales margins and adjustment to energy loss factors). The Alliance of Xcel Municipalities recommended disallowances of approximately $100 million (natural gas storage, contracted capability and off-system sales margins). In November 2022, the ALJs found that costs were prudently incurred and recommended no disallowances. A final PUCT decision is anticipated in the first quarter of 2023. |
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Preparation of the consolidated financial statements requires the application of accounting rules and guidance, as well as the use of estimates. Application of these policies involves judgments regarding future events, including the likelihood of success of particular projects, legal and regulatory challenges and anticipated recovery of costs. These judgments could materially impact the consolidated financial statements, based on varying assumptions. In addition, the financial and operating environment also may have a significant effect on the operation of the business and results reported.
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Accounting policies and estimates that are most significant to Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition or cash flows, and require management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments are outlined below. Each of these has a higher likelihood of resulting in materially different reported amounts under different conditions or using different assumptions. Each critical accounting policy has been reviewed and discussed with the Audit Committee of Xcel Energy Inc.’s Board of Directors on a quarterly basis.
Regulatory Accounting
Xcel Energy is subject to the accounting for Regulated Operations, which provides that rate-regulated entities report assets and liabilities consistent with the recovery of those incurred costs in rates, if it is probable that such rates will be charged and collected. Our rates are derived through the ratemaking process, which results in the recording of regulatory assets and liabilities based on the probability of future cash flows.
Regulatory assets generally represent incurred or accrued costs that have been deferred because future recovery from customers is probable. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts that are expected to be refunded to customers in future rates or amounts collected in current rates for future costs. In other businesses or industries, regulatory assets and regulatory liabilities would generally be charged to net income or other comprehensive income.
Each reporting period we assess the probability of future recoveries and obligations associated with regulatory assets and liabilities. Factors such as the current regulatory environment, recently issued rate orders and historical precedents are considered. Decisions made by regulatory agencies can directly impact the amount and timing of cost recovery as well as the rate of return on invested capital, and may materially impact our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.
As of Dec. 31, 2022 and 2021, Xcel Energy had regulatory assets of $3.9 billion and $3.8 billion, respectively and regulatory liabilities of $6.0 billion and $5.7 billion, respectively. Each subsidiary is subject to regulation that varies from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. If future recovery of costs in any such jurisdiction is no longer probable, Xcel Energy would be required to charge these assets to current net income or other comprehensive income.
At Dec. 31, 2022, in assessing the probability of recovery of recognized regulatory assets, unless otherwise disclosed, Xcel Energy noted no current or anticipated proposals or changes in the regulatory environment that it expects will materially impact the recovery of the assets.
See Notes 4 and 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Income Tax Accruals
Judgment, uncertainty and estimates are a significant aspect of the income tax accrual process that accounts for the effects of current and deferred income taxes. Uncertainty associated with the application of tax statutes and regulations and outcomes of tax audits and appeals require that judgment and estimates be made in the accrual process and in the calculation of the ETR.
Changes in tax laws and rates may affect recorded deferred tax assets and liabilities and our future ETR. ETR calculations are revised every quarter based on best available year-end tax assumptions, adjusted in the following year after returns are filed. Tax accrual estimates are trued-up to the actual amounts claimed on the tax returns and further adjusted after examinations by taxing authorities, as needed.
In accordance with the interim period reporting guidance, income tax expense for the first three quarters in a year is based on the forecasted annual ETR. The forecasted ETR reflects a number of estimates, including forecasted annual income, permanent tax adjustments and tax credits.
Valuation allowances are applied to deferred tax assets if it is more likely than not that at least a portion may not be realized based on an evaluation of expected future taxable income. Accounting for income taxes also requires that only tax benefits that meet the more likely than not recognition threshold can be recognized or continue to be recognized.
We may adjust our unrecognized tax benefits and interest accruals as disputes with the IRS and state tax authorities are resolved, and as new developments occur. These adjustments may increase or decrease earnings.
See Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Employee Benefits
We sponsor several noncontributory, defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans that cover almost all employees and certain retirees. Projected benefit costs are based on historical information and actuarial calculations that include key assumptions (annual return level on pension and postretirement health care investment assets, discount rates, mortality rates and health care cost trend rates, etc.). In addition, the pension cost calculation uses a methodology to reduce the volatility of investment performance over time. Pension assumptions are continually reviewed.
At Dec. 31, 2022, Xcel Energy set the rate of return on assets used to measure pension costs at 6.93%, which is 44 basis points higher than the rate set in 2021. The rate of return used to measure postretirement health care costs is 5.00% at Dec. 31, 2022, which is 90 basis points higher than the rate set in 2021. Xcel Energy’s pension investment strategy is based on plan-specific investments that seek to minimize investment and interest rate risk as a plan’s funded status increases over time. This strategy results in a greater percentage of interest rate sensitive securities being allocated to plans with higher funded status ratios and a greater percentage of growth assets being allocated to plans having lower funded status ratios.
Xcel Energy set the discount rates used to value the pension obligations and postretirement health care obligations at 5.80% at Dec. 31, 2022. This represents a 272 basis point and 271 basis point increase, respectively, from 2021. Xcel Energy uses a bond matching study as its primary basis for determining the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement health care obligations. The bond matching study utilizes a portfolio of high grade (Aa or higher) bonds that matches the expected cash flows of Xcel Energy’s benefit plans in amount and duration.
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The effective yield on this cash flow matched bond portfolio determines the discount rate for the individual plans. The bond matching study is validated for reasonableness against the Bank of America US Corporate 15+ Bond Index. In addition, Xcel Energy reviews general actuarial survey data to assess the reasonableness of the discount rate selected.
If Xcel Energy were to use alternative assumptions, a 1% change would result in the following impact on 2022 pension costs:
| Pension Costs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | +1% | -1% | |||||
| Rate of return (a) | $ | (11) | $ | 26 | |||
| Discount rate (a) | $ | 1 | $ | 8 |
(a)These costs include the effects of regulation.
Mortality rates are developed from actual and projected plan experience for pension plan and postretirement benefits. Xcel Energy’s actuary conducts an experience study periodically to determine an estimate of mortality. Xcel Energy considers standard mortality tables, improvement factors and the plans actual experience when selecting a best estimate.
As of Dec. 31, 2022, the initial medical trend cost claim assumptions for Pre-65 was 6.5% and Post-65 was 5.5%. The ultimate trend assumption remained at 4.5% for both Pre-65 and Post-65 claims costs. Xcel Energy bases its medical trend assumption on the long-term cost inflation expected in the health care market, considering the levels projected and recommended by industry experts, as well as recent actual medical cost experienced by Xcel Energy’s retiree medical plan.
Funding contributions in 2022 were $50 million and will remain relatively consistent in future years. Investment returns were less than the assumed levels in 2022, but exceeded the assumed levels in 2021 and 2020.
The pension cost calculation uses a market-related valuation of pension assets. Xcel Energy uses a calculated value method to determine the market-related value of the plan assets. The market-related value is determined by adjusting the fair market value of assets at the beginning of the year to reflect the investment gains and losses (the difference between the actual investment return and the expected investment return on the market-related value) during each of the previous five years at the rate of 20% per year.
As differences between actual and expected investment returns are incorporated into the market-related value, amounts are recognized in pension cost over the expected average remaining years of service for active employees (approximately 13 years in 2022).
Xcel Energy currently projects the pension costs recognized for financial reporting purposes will be $66 million in 2023 and $58 million in 2024, while the actual pension costs were $114 million in 2022 and $121 million in 2021. The expected decrease in 2023 is primarily due to the reductions in loss amortizations.
Pension funding contributions across all four of Xcel Energy’s pension plans, both voluntary and required, for 2020 - 2023:
•$50 million in January 2023.
•$50 million in 2022.
•$131 million in 2021.
•$150 million in 2020.
Future amounts may change based on actual market performance, changes in interest rates and any changes in governmental regulations. Therefore, additional contributions could be required in the future. Xcel Energy contributed $13 million, $15 million and $11 million during 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively, to the postretirement health care plans. Xcel Energy expects to contribute approximately $12 million during 2023. Xcel Energy recovers employee benefits costs in its utility operations consistent with accounting guidance with the exception of the areas noted below.
•NSP-Minnesota recognizes pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions using the aggregate normal cost actuarial method. Differences between aggregate normal cost and expense as calculated by pension accounting standards are deferred as a regulatory liability.
•In 2021, the PSCW approved NSP-Wisconsin’s request for deferred accounting treatment of the 2021 pension settlement accounting expense. Escrow accounting treatment was also approved for ongoing pension and other post-employment benefit expenses, including settlement charges.
•Regulatory Commissions in Colorado, Texas, New Mexico and FERC jurisdictions allow the recovery of other postretirement benefit costs only to the extent that recognized expense is matched by cash contributions to an irrevocable trust. Xcel Energy has consistently funded at a level to allow full recovery of costs in these jurisdictions.
•PSCo is required to create a regulatory liability that adjusts the annual post-retirement benefits amount to zero in order to match the amount collected in rates.
•PSCo and SPS recognize pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions based on GAAP. The Texas and Colorado electric retail jurisdictions and the Colorado gas retail jurisdiction, each record the difference between annual recognized pension expense and the annual amount of pension expense approved in their last respective general rate case as a deferral to a regulatory asset.
See Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Nuclear Decommissioning
Xcel Energy recognizes liabilities for the expected cost of retiring tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. These AROs are recognized at fair value as incurred and are capitalized as part of the cost of the related long-lived assets. In the absence of quoted market prices, Xcel Energy estimates the fair value of its AROs using present value techniques, in which it makes assumptions including estimates of the amounts and timing of future cash flows associated with retirement activities, credit-adjusted risk free rates and cost escalation rates. When Xcel Energy revises any assumptions, it adjusts the carrying amount of both the ARO liability and related long-lived asset. ARO liabilities are accreted to reflect the passage of time using the interest method.
A significant portion of Xcel Energy’s AROs relates to the future decommissioning of NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear facilities. The nuclear decommissioning obligation is funded by the external decommissioning trust fund. Difference between regulatory funding (including depreciation expense less returns from the external trust fund) and expense recognized is deferred as a regulatory asset. The amounts recorded for AROs related to future nuclear decommissioning were $2.2 billion in 2022 and $2.1 billion in 2021.
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NSP-Minnesota obtains periodic independent cost studies to estimate the cost and timing of planned nuclear decommissioning activities. Estimates of future cash flows are highly uncertain and may vary significantly from actual results. NSP-Minnesota is required to file a nuclear decommissioning filing every three years. The filing covers all expenses for the decommissioning of the nuclear plants, including decontamination and removal of radioactive material.
The 2022 - 2024 Nuclear Decommissioning Study and Assumptions were approved by the MPUC in August 2022. The MPUC ordered the next triennial decommissioning study be filed by December 1, 2024, allowing for four years between filings.
The following assumptions have a significant effect on the estimated nuclear obligation:
Timing — Decommissioning cost estimates are impacted by each facility’s retirement date and timing of the actual decommissioning activities. Estimated retirement dates coincide with the approved retirement dates which can be different than the expiration dates of each unit’s operating license with the NRC (i.e., 2030 for Monticello and 2033 and 2034 for PI’s Unit 1 and 2, respectively).
In April 2022, the Company received approval from the MPUC, in the Integrated Resource Plan, to pursue extending the operating life of the Monticello Nuclear Generating Plant by ten years from 2030 to 2040. This life extension is subject to NRC approval of Monticello’s nuclear license extension request.
The retirement dates of the Prairie Island Unit 1 and Unit 2 remain unchanged, 2033 and 2034 respectively. The estimated timing of the decommissioning activities is based upon the DECON method, which assumes prompt removal and dismantlement. Decommissioning activities are expected to begin at the commission approved retirement date and be completed for both facilities by 2101.
Technology and Regulation — There is limited experience with actual decommissioning of large nuclear facilities. Changes in technology, experience and regulations could cause cost estimates to change significantly.
Escalation Rates — Escalation rates represent projected cost increases due to general inflation and increases in the cost of decommissioning activities. NSP-Minnesota used an escalation rate of 3.2% in calculating the ARO for nuclear decommissioning of its nuclear facilities, based on weighted averages of labor and non-labor escalation factors calculated by Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
Discount Rates — Changes in timing or estimated cash flows that result in upward revisions to the ARO are calculated using the then-current credit-adjusted risk-free interest rate. The credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect when the change occurs is used to discount the revised estimate of the incremental expected cash flows of the retirement activity.
If the change in timing or estimated expected cash flows results in a downward revision of the ARO, the undiscounted revised estimate of expected cash flows is discounted using the credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect at the date of initial measurement and recognition of the original ARO. Discount rates ranging from approximately 3% to 7% have been used to calculate the net present value of the expected future cash flows over time.
Significant uncertainties exist in estimating future costs including the method to be utilized, ultimate costs to decommission and planned method of disposing spent fuel. If different cost estimates, life assumptions or cost escalation rates were utilized, the AROs could change materially.
However, changes in estimates have minimal impact on results of operations as NSP-Minnesota expects to continue to recover all costs in future rates.
NSP-Minnesota continually makes judgments and estimates related to these critical accounting policy areas, based on an evaluation of the assumptions and uncertainties for each area. The information and assumptions of these judgments and estimates will be affected by events beyond the control of Xcel Energy, or otherwise change over time.
This may require adjustments to recorded results to better reflect updated information that becomes available. The accompanying financial statements reflect management’s best estimates and judgments of the impact of these factors as of Dec. 31, 2022.
See Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Derivatives, Risk Management and Market Risk
We are exposed to a variety of market risks in the normal course of business. Market risk is the potential loss that may occur as a result of adverse changes in the market or fair value for a particular instrument or commodity. All financial and commodity-related instruments, including derivatives, are subject to market risk.
Xcel Energy is exposed to the impact of adverse changes in price for energy and energy-related products, which is partially mitigated by the use of commodity derivatives. In addition to ongoing monitoring and maintaining credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk, management takes steps to mitigate changes in credit and concentration risks associated with its derivatives and other contracts, including parental guarantees and requests of collateral. While we expect that the counterparties will perform on the contracts underlying our derivatives, the contracts expose us to credit and non-performance risk.
Distress in the financial markets may impact counterparty risk and the fair value of the securities in the nuclear decommissioning fund and pension fund.
Commodity Price Risk — We are exposed to commodity price risk in our electric and natural gas operations. Commodity price risk is managed by entering into long and short-term physical purchase and sales contracts for electric capacity, energy and energy-related products and fuels used in generation and distribution activities.
Commodity price risk is also managed through the use of financial derivative instruments. Our risk management policy allows us to manage commodity price risk within each rate-regulated operation per commission approved hedge plans.
Wholesale and Commodity Trading Risk — Xcel Energy conducts various wholesale and commodity trading activities, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, energy-related instruments and natural gas-related instruments, including derivatives. Our risk management policy allows management to conduct these activities within guidelines and limitations as approved by our risk management committee.
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Fair value of net commodity trading contracts as of Dec. 31, 2022:
| Futures / Forwards Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than 5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (a) | $ | (8) | $ | (6) | $ | (7) | $ | (2) | $ | (23) | |||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | 5 | (4) | — | (3) | (2) | ||||||||||||||
| PSCo (a) | 10 | 3 | 3 | — | 16 | ||||||||||||||
| PSCo (b) | (56) | (15) | 8 | — | (63) | ||||||||||||||
| $ | (49) | $ | (22) | $ | 4 | $ | (5) | $ | (72) |
| Options Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than 5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 15 | $ | 15 | |||||||||
| PSCo (b) | 40 | 7 | — | — | 47 | ||||||||||||||
| $ | 40 | $ | 7 | $ | — | $ | 15 | $ | 62 |
(a)Prices actively quoted or based on actively quoted prices.
(b)Prices based on models and other valuation methods.
Changes in the fair value of commodity trading contracts before the impacts of margin-sharing for the years ended Dec. 31:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2022 | 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Jan. 1 | $ | (33) | $ | (54) | |||
| Contracts realized or settled during the period | (15) | (54) | |||||
| Commodity trading contract additions and changes during the period | 38 | 75 | |||||
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Dec. 31 | $ | (10) | $ | (33) |
A 10% increase and 10% decrease in forward market prices for Xcel Energy’s commodity trading contracts would have likewise increased and decreased pretax income from continuing operations, by approximately $8 million at Dec. 31, 2022 and $13 million at Dec. 31, 2021. Market price movements can exceed 10% under abnormal circumstances.
The utility subsidiaries’ commodity trading operations measure the outstanding risk exposure to price changes on contracts and obligations using an industry standard methodology known as VaR. VaR expresses the potential change in fair value of the outstanding contracts and obligations over a particular period of time under normal market conditions.
The VaRs for the NSP-Minnesota and PSCo commodity trading operations, excluding both non-derivative transactions and derivative transactions designated as normal purchases and normal sales, calculated on a consolidated basis using a Monte Carlo simulation with a 95% confidence level and a one-day holding period, were as follows:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Year Ended Dec. 31 | Average | High | Low | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $ | 2 | $ | 1 | $ | 5 | $ | — | |||||||||
| 2021 | $ | 1 | $ | 2 | $ | 52 | $ | 1 |
A short-term increase in VaR occurred during the week of Feb. 12, 2021 through Feb. 18, 2021. On Feb. 17, 2021, the portfolio VaR reached a high of $52 million. This increase in VaR was driven by the unprecedented market conditions during Winter Storm Uri. Prior to this weather event, VaR was $1 million and returned to $1 million by Feb. 19, 2021.
Nuclear Fuel Supply — NSP-Minnesota has contracted for its 2023 and 2024 enriched nuclear material requirements, which are in various stages of processing in Canada, Europe, and the United States. NSP-Minnesota is scheduled to take delivery of approximately 26% of its average enriched nuclear material requirements from Russia through 2030. We are closely monitoring the evolving situation in Ukraine and its global impacts. NSP-Minnesota is in the process of entering into new contracts to reduce the risk of supply interruptions of nuclear material from Russia. NSP-Minnesota will take additional further action to reduce this risk as necessary.
Interest Rate Risk — Xcel Energy is subject to interest rate risk. Our risk management policy allows interest rate risk to be managed through the use of fixed rate debt, floating rate debt and interest rate derivatives.
A 100 basis point change in the benchmark rate on Xcel Energy’s variable rate debt would impact pretax interest expense annually by approximately $8 million and $11 million in 2022 and 2021, respectively.
NSP-Minnesota maintains a nuclear decommissioning fund, as required by the NRC. The nuclear decommissioning fund is subject to interest rate and equity price risk. The fund is invested in a diversified portfolio of debt securities, equity securities and other investments. These investments may be used only for the purpose of decommissioning NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear generating plants.
Fluctuations in equity prices or interest rates affecting the nuclear decommissioning fund do not have a direct impact on earnings due to the application of regulatory accounting. Realized and unrealized gains on the decommissioning fund investments are deferred as an offset of NSP-Minnesota’s regulatory asset for nuclear decommissioning costs.
The value of pension and postretirement plan assets and benefit costs are impacted by changes in discount rates and expected return on plan assets. Xcel Energy’s ongoing pension and postretirement investment strategy is based on plan-specific investment recommendations that seek to optimize potential investment risk and minimize interest rate risk associated with changes in the obligations as a plan’s funded status increases over time. The impacts of fluctuations in interest rates on pension and postretirement costs are mitigated by pension cost calculation methodologies and regulatory mechanisms that minimize the earnings impacts of such changes.
Credit Risk — Xcel Energy is also exposed to credit risk. Credit risk relates to the risk of loss resulting from counterparties’ nonperformance on their contractual obligations. Xcel Energy maintains credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk and actively monitors these policies to reflect changes and scope of operations.
At Dec. 31, 2022, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $56 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in a decrease in credit exposure of $47 million. At Dec. 31, 2021, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $36 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in an decrease in credit exposure of $26 million.
Xcel Energy conducts credit reviews for all wholesale, trading and non-trading commodity counterparties and employs credit risk controls, such as letters of credit, parental guarantees, master netting agreements and termination provisions.
Credit exposure is monitored, and when necessary, the activity with a specific counterparty is limited until credit enhancement is provided. Distress in the financial markets could increase our credit risk.
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Fair Value Measurements
Derivative contracts, with the exception of those designated as normal purchases and normal sales, are reported at fair value. Xcel Energy’s investments held in the nuclear decommissioning fund, rabbi trusts, pension and other postretirement funds are also subject to fair value accounting. See Notes 10 and 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Cash Flows
Operating Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2021 | $ | 2,189 | |
| Components of change — 2022 vs. 2021 | |||
| Higher net income | 139 | ||
| Non-cash transactions | 257 | ||
| Changes in working capital | (300) | ||
| Changes in net regulatory and other assets and liabilities | 1,647 | ||
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2022 | $ | 3,932 |
Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $1,743 million for 2022 as compared to 2021. The increase was primarily due to the deferral of net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs incurred during Winter Storm Uri in the first quarter of 2021.
Investing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash used in investing activities — 2021 | $ | (4,287) | |
| Components of change — 2022 vs. 2021 | |||
| Increased capital expenditures | (394) | ||
| Other investing activities | 28 | ||
| Cash used in investing activities — 2022 | $ | (4,653) |
Net cash used in investing activities increased by $366 million for 2022 as compared to 2021. The increase in capital expenditures was largely due to continued system expansion.
Financing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by financing activities — 2021 | $ | 2,135 | |
| Components of change — 2022 vs. 2021 | |||
| Lower debt issuances | (1,159) | ||
| Higher repayments of long-term debt | (184) | ||
| Lower proceeds from issuance of common stock | (44) | ||
| Higher dividends paid to shareholders | (77) | ||
| Other financing activities | (5) | ||
| Cash provided by financing activities — 2022 | $ | 666 |
Net cash provided by financing activities decreased by $1,469 million for 2022 as compared to 2021. The decrease was primarily related to the amount/timing of debt issuances and repayments associated with Winter Storm Uri.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Capital Requirements
Xcel Energy has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future. Xcel Energy expects to have adequate amounts of cash from operating and financing activities to meet both its short-term and long-term cash requirements. Xcel Energy’s financing requirements are dependent on both existing contractual obligations and other commitments, as well as projected capital forecasts. Xcel Energy expects to meet future financing requirements by periodically issuing short-term debt, long-term debt, common stock, hybrid and other securities to maintain desired capitalization ratios. Projected future financing requirements can be impacted by various factors including constraints to supply chain and labor, as well as inflation.
Recovery of the effects of inflation through higher customer rates is dependent upon receiving adequate and timely rate increases. Rate increases may not be retroactive and often lag increases in costs caused by inflation. On occasion, Xcel Energy may enter into rate settlement agreements, which require us to wait for a period of time to file the next base rate increase request. These agreements may result in regulatory lag whereby the impact of inflation may not yet be reflected in rates, or a delay may occur between capital project completion and the start of rate recovery. Xcel Energy attempts to mitigate the potential impact of inflation through the use of fuel, energy and other cost adjustment clauses and bill riders, by employing prudent risk management and hedging strategies and by considering, among other areas, its impact on purchases of energy, operating expenses, materials and equipment costs, contract negotiations, future capital spending programs and long-term debt issuances.
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Material Cash Requirements and Other Commitments
| Payments Due by Period (as of Dec. 31, 2022) | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Total | Less than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 3 to 5 Years | After 5 Years | |||||||||||||
| Long-term debt, principal and interest payments | $ | 39,750 | $ | 2,059 | $ | 3,492 | $ | 2,714 | $ | 31,485 | ||||||||
| Finance lease obligations | 228 | 10 | 20 | 17 | 181 | |||||||||||||
| Operating leases obligations (a) | 1,457 | 264 | 506 | 287 | 400 | |||||||||||||
| Unconditional purchase obligations (b) | 5,129 | 1,899 | 1,475 | 921 | 834 | |||||||||||||
| Other long-term obligations, including current portion (c) | 111 | 53 | 35 | 23 | — | |||||||||||||
| Other short-term obligations | 436 | 436 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Short-term debt | 813 | 813 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Total contractual cash obligations | $ | 47,924 | $ | 5,534 | $ | 5,528 | $ | 3,962 | $ | 32,900 |
(a)Included in operating lease obligations are $231 million, $455 million, $251 million and $326 million, for the less than 1 year, 1 - 3 years, 3 - 5 years and after 5 years categories, respectively, pertaining to PPAs that were accounted for as operating leases.
(b)Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries have contracts providing for the purchase and delivery of a significant portion of its fuel (nuclear, natural gas and coal) requirements. Additionally, the utility subsidiaries of Xcel Energy Inc. have entered into non-lease purchase power agreements. Certain contractual purchase obligations are adjusted on indices. Effects of price changes are mitigated through cost of energy adjustment mechanisms.
(c)Primarily consists of contracts for information technology services.
Capital Expenditures — Base capital expenditures and incremental capital forecasts:
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Regulated Utility | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2023 - 2027 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| PSCo | $ | 1,940 | $ | 2,140 | $ | 2,440 | $ | 2,550 | $ | 1,980 | $ | 2,190 | $ | 11,300 | |||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 1,980 | 2,000 | 2,400 | 2,530 | 2,200 | 2,580 | 11,710 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| SPS | 610 | 710 | 780 | 720 | 770 | 900 | 3,880 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 370 | 540 | 570 | 500 | 450 | 540 | 2,600 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other (a) | (10) | 10 | 10 | (30) | 10 | 10 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 4,890 | $ | 5,400 | $ | 6,200 | $ | 6,270 | $ | 5,410 | $ | 6,220 | $ | 29,500 |
(a) Other category includes intercompany transfers for safe harbor wind turbines.
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Function | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2023 - 2027 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric distribution | $ | 1,370 | $ | 1,610 | $ | 1,790 | $ | 1,680 | $ | 2,000 | $ | 2,450 | $ | 9,530 | |||||||||||||
| Electric transmission | 960 | 1,280 | 1,650 | 1,890 | 1,690 | 1,900 | 8,410 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric generation | 720 | 710 | 910 | 900 | 560 | 650 | 3,730 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Natural gas | 730 | 740 | 730 | 760 | 650 | 680 | 3,560 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other | 700 | 780 | 840 | 570 | 510 | 540 | 3,240 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Renewables | 410 | 280 | 280 | 470 | — | — | 1,030 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 4,890 | $ | 5,400 | $ | 6,200 | $ | 6,270 | $ | 5,410 | $ | 6,220 | $ | 29,500 |
The base five-year capital forecast includes transmission expansion through the proposed Colorado Pathway (approximately $1.7 billion) and MISO Tranche 1 (approximately $1.2 billion) as well as the proposed 460 MW Sherco Solar Generating Unit 1 and 2 (approximately $600 million).
The base capital investment plan does not include any potential renewable generation assets approved in our Minnesota and Colorado resource plans or additional transmission capital needed to integrate new renewable generation additions in Colorado, beyond the Pathway project.
We expect further clarification in the second half of 2023 after the commissions rule on the recommended resource plan portfolios, which could result in incremental capital expenditures of approximately $2 to $4 billion (assuming 50% ownership of the renewable projects). Furthermore, the base capital investment plan does not include any potential generation assets associated with our 2022 SPS Request for Proposal, which seeks up to 947 MW of new or existing capacity resources.
Xcel Energy’s capital expenditure forecast is subject to continuing review and modification. Actual capital expenditures may vary from estimates due to changes in electric and natural gas projected load growth, safety and reliability needs, regulatory decisions, legislative initiatives (e.g., federal clean energy and tax policy), reserve requirements, availability of purchased power, alternative plans for meeting long-term energy needs, environmental initiatives and regulation, and merger, acquisition and divestiture opportunities.
Financing for Capital Expenditures through 2027 — Xcel Energy issues debt and equity securities to refinance retiring maturities, reduce short-term debt, fund capital programs, infuse equity in subsidiaries, fund asset acquisitions and for other general corporate purposes.
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Current estimated financing plans of Xcel Energy for 2023 through 2027:
| (Millions of Dollars) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Funding Capital Expenditures | |||
| Cash from operations (a) | $ | 20,540 | |
| New debt (b) | 8,210 | ||
| Equity through the DRIP and benefit program | 425 | ||
| Other equity | 325 | ||
| Base capital expenditures 2023 - 2027 | $ | 29,500 | |
| Maturing Debt | $ | 3,800 |
(a)Net of dividends and pension funding.
(b)Reflects a combination of short and long-term debt; net of refinancing.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Xcel Energy does not have any off-balance-sheet arrangements, other than those currently disclosed, that have or are reasonably likely to have a current or future effect on financial condition, changes in financial condition, revenues or expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital expenditures or capital resources that is material to investors.
Common Stock Dividends — Future dividend levels will be dependent on Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, reinvestment opportunities and other factors, and will be evaluated by the Xcel Energy Inc. Board of Directors. In February 2023, Xcel Energy announced an increase in the annual dividend of 13 cents per share, which represents an increase of 6.7%.
Xcel Energy’s dividend policy balances the following:
•Projected cash generation.
•Projected capital investment.
•A reasonable rate of return on shareholder investment.
•The impact on Xcel Energy’s capital structure and credit ratings.
In addition, there are certain statutory limitations that could affect dividend levels. Federal law places limits on the ability of public utilities within a holding company to declare dividends. Under the Federal Power Act, a public utility may not pay dividends from any funds properly included in a capital account. The utility subsidiaries’ dividends may be limited directly or indirectly by state regulatory commissions or bond indenture covenants.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Pension Fund — Xcel Energy’s pension assets are invested in a diversified portfolio of domestic and international equity securities, short-term to long-duration fixed income securities and alternative investments, including private equity, real estate and hedge funds.
Funded status and pension assumptions:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Dec. 31, 2022 | Dec. 31, 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of pension assets | $ | 2,685 | $ | 3,670 | |||
| Projected pension obligation (a) | 2,871 | 3,718 | |||||
| Funded status | $ | (186) | $ | (48) |
(a)Excludes non-qualified plan of $11 million and $43 million at Dec. 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
| Pension Assumptions | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount rate | 5.80 | % | 3.08 | % | ||
| Expected long-term rate of return | 6.93 | 6.49 |
Capital Sources
Short-Term Funding Sources — Xcel Energy generally funds short-term needs, through operating cash flows, notes payable, commercial paper and bank lines of credit. The amount and timing of short-term funding needs depend on construction expenditures, working capital and dividend payments.
Short-Term Investments — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS maintain cash and short-term investment accounts.
Short-Term Debt — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS each have individual commercial paper programs. Authorized levels for these commercial paper programs are:
•$1.50 billion for Xcel Energy Inc.
•$700 million for PSCo.
•$700 million for NSP-Minnesota.
•$500 million for SPS.
•$150 million for NSP-Wisconsin.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Credit Facility Agreements — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, PSCo and SPS each have the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for two additional one-year periods. NSP-Wisconsin has the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for an additional year. All extension requests are subject to majority bank group approval.
As of Feb. 22, 2023, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Facility (a) | Drawn (b) | Available | Cash | Liquidity | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | $ | 1,500 | $ | 328 | $ | 1,172 | $ | 6 | $ | 1,178 | |||||||||
| PSCo | 700 | 123 | 577 | 5 | 582 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 700 | 186 | 514 | 6 | 520 | ||||||||||||||
| SPS | 500 | 91 | 409 | 2 | 411 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 150 | 29 | 121 | 2 | 123 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 3,550 | $ | 757 | $ | 2,793 | $ | 21 | $ | 2,814 |
(a)Credit facilities expire in September 2027.
(b)Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit.
Registration Statements — Xcel Energy Inc.’s Articles of Incorporation authorize the issuance of one billion shares of $2.50 par value common stock. As of Dec. 31, 2022 and 2021, Xcel Energy had approximately 550 million shares and 544 million shares of common stock outstanding, respectively.
Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries have registration statements on file with the SEC pursuant to which they may sell securities from time to time. These registration statements, which are uncapped, permit Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries to issue debt and other securities in the future at amounts, prices and with terms to be determined at the time of future offerings, and in the case of our utility subsidiaries, subject to commission approval.
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Planned Financing Activity — Xcel Energy’s 2023 financing plans reflect the following:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Security | Amount | Anticipated Timing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | Senior Unsecured Bonds | $ | 500 | Third Quarter | ||||
| PSCo | First Mortgage Bonds | 700 | Second Quarter | |||||
| SPS | First Mortgage Bonds | 100 | Third Quarter | |||||
| NSP-Minnesota | First Mortgage Bonds | 750 | Second Quarter | |||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | First Mortgage Bonds | 125 | Second Quarter |
Long-Term Borrowings, Equity Issuances and Other Financing Instruments — Xcel Energy also plans to issue approximately $85 million of equity annually through the DRIP and benefit programs during the five-year forecast time period.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy 2023 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2023 GAAP and ongoing earnings guidance is a range of $3.30 to $3.40 per share.(a)
Key assumptions as compared with 2022 levels unless noted:
•Constructive outcomes in all rate case and regulatory proceedings.
•Normal weather patterns for the year.
•Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~1%.
•Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to increase ~1%.
•Capital rider revenue is projected to increase $90 million to $100 million (net of PTCs).
•O&M expenses are projected to decline ~2%.
•Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately $130 million to $140 million.
•Property taxes are projected to increase approximately $35 million to $45 million.
•Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase $100 million to $110 million.
•AFUDC - equity is projected to increase $0 million to $10 million.
•ETR is projected to be ~(5%) to (7%).
(a)Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. Xcel Energy is unable to forecast if any of these items will occur or provide a quantitative reconciliation of the guidance for ongoing EPS to corresponding GAAP EPS.
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on the following long-term objectives:
• Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of 5% to 7% based off of a 2022 base of $3.15 per share, which represents the mid-point of the original 2022 guidance range of $3.10 to $3.20 per share.
• Deliver annual dividend increases of 5% to 7%.
• Target a dividend payout ratio of 60% to 70%.
• Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
FY 2021 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0000072903-22-000010.
ITEM 7 — MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing ROE, ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that excludes (or includes) amounts that are adjusted from measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.
Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of Xcel Energy or each subsidiary, adjusted for certain nonrecurring items, by each entity’s average stockholder’s equity. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of earnings results.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of each subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. For the years ended Dec. 31, 2021 and 2020, there were no such adjustments to GAAP earnings and therefore GAAP earnings equal ongoing earnings.
Results of Operations
Diluted EPS for Xcel Energy at Dec. 31:
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | GAAP and Ongoing Diluted EPS | GAAP and Ongoing Diluted EPS | |||||
| PSCo | $ | 1.22 | $ | 1.11 | |||
| NSP-Minnesota | 1.12 | 1.12 | |||||
| SPS | 0.59 | 0.56 | |||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 0.20 | 0.20 | |||||
| Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO | 0.05 | 0.05 | |||||
| Regulated utility (a) | 3.18 | 3.04 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. and Other | (0.22) | (0.25) | |||||
| Total (a) | $ | 2.96 | $ | 2.79 |
(a) Amounts may not add due to rounding.
Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings reflects management’s performance in operating Xcel Energy and provides a meaningful representation of the performance of Xcel Energy’s core business. In addition, Xcel Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial planning and analysis, reporting results to the Board of Directors and when communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors.
2021 Comparison with 2020
Xcel Energy — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased $0.17 per share for 2021. The increase was driven by capital investment recovery and other regulatory outcomes, partially offset by increases in depreciation and lower AFUDC. Fluctuations in electric and natural gas revenues associated with changes in fuel and purchased power and/or natural gas sold and transported generally do not significantly impact earnings (changes in revenues are offset by the related variation in costs).
PSCo — Earnings increased $0.11 per share for 2021, driven by capital investment recovery and other regulatory outcomes. Higher revenues were partially offset by increased depreciation, O&M expenses and other taxes (other than income taxes).
NSP-Minnesota — Earnings were flat for 2021 compared to 2020, reflecting capital investment recovery offset by additional depreciation and interest charges.
SPS — Earnings increased $0.03 per share for 2021, largely related to capital investment recovery, other regulatory outcomes and higher sales and demand, partially offset by decreased AFUDC.
NSP-Wisconsin — Earnings were flat for 2021 compared to 2020.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Primarily includes financing costs at the holding company, offset by earnings from EIP investments.
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Changes in Diluted EPS
Components significantly contributing to changes in EPS:
| 2021 vs. 2020 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share | Dec. 31 | ||
| GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2020 | $ | 2.79 | |
| Components of change — 2021 vs. 2020 | |||
| Higher electric revenues, net of electric fuel and purchased power | 0.26 | ||
| Lower ETR (a) | 0.17 | ||
| Higher natural gas revenues, net of cost of natural gas sold and transported | 0.15 | ||
| Changes in taxes (other than income taxes) | (0.03) | ||
| Lower AFUDC | (0.10) | ||
| Higher depreciation and amortization | (0.24) | ||
| Other (net) | (0.04) | ||
| GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2021 | $ | 2.96 |
(a) Includes PTCs and plant regulatory amounts, which are primarily offset as a reduction to electric revenues.
ROE for Xcel Energy and its utility subsidiaries:
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE | GAAP and Ongoing ROE | GAAP and Ongoing ROE | ||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 8.45 | % | 9.20 | % | ||
| PSCo | 8.23 | 8.06 | ||||
| SPS | 9.22 | 9.54 | ||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 9.92 | 10.52 | ||||
| Operating Companies | 8.58 | 8.87 | ||||
| Xcel Energy | 10.58 | 10.59 |
Statement of Income Analysis
The following summarizes the items that affected the individual revenue and expense items reported in the consolidated statements of income.
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements. As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, sales true-up and decoupling mechanisms in Minnesota and Colorado predominately mitigate the positive and adverse impacts of weather.
Degree-day or THI data is used to estimate amounts of energy required to maintain comfortable indoor temperature levels based on each day’s average temperature and humidity. HDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature falls below 65° Fahrenheit. CDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature rises above 65° Fahrenheit. Each degree of temperature above 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one CDD, and each degree of temperature below 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one HDD. In Xcel Energy’s more humid service territories, a THI is used in place of CDD, which adds a humidity factor to CDD. HDD, CDD and THI are most likely to impact the usage of Xcel Energy’s residential and commercial customers. Industrial customers are less sensitive to weather.
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Percentage (decrease) increase in normal and actual HDD, CDD and THI:
| 2021 vs. Normal | 2020 vs. Normal | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDD | (6.6) | % | (3.1) | % | (4.3) | % | ||
| CDD | 12.2 | 22.2 | (9.2) | |||||
| THI | 26.8 | 6.3 | 20.7 |
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
| 2021 vs. Normal | 2020 vs. Normal | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail electric | $ | 0.096 | $ | 0.090 | $ | 0.006 | ||||
| Decoupling and sales true-up | (0.066) | (0.041) | (0.025) | |||||||
| Electric total | $ | 0.030 | $ | 0.049 | $ | (0.019) | ||||
| Firm natural gas | (0.025) | (0.011) | (0.014) | |||||||
| Total | $ | 0.005 | $ | 0.038 | $ | (0.033) |
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales:
| 2021 vs. 2020 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSCo | NSP-Minnesota | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Actual | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | — | % | 2.2 | % | (4.7) | % | 0.5 | % | 0.3 | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | 0.4 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 2.0 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | 0.3 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | (1.1) | (4.0) | N/A | (5.0) | (2.2) |
| 2021 vs. 2020 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSCo | NSP-Minnesota | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Weather-normalized | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | 1.5 | % | 0.3 | % | (1.0) | % | (0.2) | % | 0.5 | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | 0.4 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.9 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | 1.3 | (2.2) | N/A | (4.1) | (0.1) |
| 2021 vs. 2020 (2020 Leap Year Adjusted) | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSCo | NSP-Minnesota | SPS | NSP-Wisconsin | Xcel Energy | |||||||||||
| Weather-normalized | |||||||||||||||
| Electric residential | 1.7 | % | 0.6 | % | (0.7) | % | 0.1 | % | 0.8 | % | |||||
| Electric C&I | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | ||||||||||
| Total retail electric sales | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | ||||||||||
| Firm natural gas sales | 1.8 | (1.7) | N/A | (3.6) | 0.4 |
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Weather-normalized and leap-year adjusted electric sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
Weather-adjusted sales results for each of our utility subsidiaries in 2021 reflect improving economies as the adverse effects of COVID-19 lessen. The recovery reflects increased sales in the C&I sector as businesses return to a more normal level. Residential sales remain elevated from pre-pandemic levels due to continuance of individuals working from home.
•PSCo — Residential sales rose based on a 1.2% increase in customers, combined with higher use per customer. The growth in C&I sales was due to a 1.2% increase in customers, partially offset by slightly lower use per customer, primarily in the services sector.
•NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales growth reflects a 1.2% increase in customers, partially offset by a lower use per customer. The growth in C&I sales was due to a 0.9% increase in customers and higher use per customer, primarily in the manufacturing, retail and services sectors.
•SPS — Residential sales declined as lower use per customer offset a 0.9% increase in customers. C&I sales increased due to a 0.5% increase in customers and higher use per customer, primarily driven by the oil and gas and professional services sectors.
•NSP-Wisconsin — Residential sales growth was attributable to a 0.8% increase in customer additions, partially offset by slightly lower use per customer. The growth in C&I sales was due to a 1.1% increase in customers, primarily led by increases in the manufacturing, health care and retail trade sectors.
Weather-normalized and leap-year adjusted natural gas sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
•Natural gas sales primarily reflect a 1.2% increase in residential customers and a 0.5% increase in C&I customers, partially offset by a decrease in use per customer.
Electric Margin
Electric margin is presented as electric revenues less electric fuel and purchased power expenses. Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues.
Electric revenues and fuel and purchased power expenses are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium. However, these price fluctuations generally have minimal impact on earnings impact due to fuel recovery mechanisms. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated, which reduce electric revenue and income taxes.
Electric Revenues, Fuel and Purchased Power and Electric Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric revenues | $ | 11,205 | $ | 9,802 | |||
| Electric fuel and purchased power | (4,733) | (3,512) | |||||
| Electric margin | $ | 6,472 | $ | 6,290 |
Changes in Electric Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-fuel riders | $ | 221 | |
| Regulatory rate outcomes (Texas, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Mexico and North Dakota) | 114 | ||
| Proprietary commodity trading, net of sharing (a) | 40 | ||
| Sales and demand (b) | 29 | ||
| PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) | (149) | ||
| Texas 2019 rate case surcharge (c) | (70) | ||
| Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling/sales true-up) | (12) | ||
| Other (net) | 9 | ||
| Increase in electric margin | $ | 182 |
(a)Includes $27 million of net gains recognized in the first quarter of 2021, driven by market changes associated with Winter Storm Uri. Additional amounts are primarily related to long-term physical generation contracts, which have increased in value as a result of higher energy prices.
(b)Sales excludes weather impact, net of decoupling/sales true-up, and demand is net of sales true-up.
(c)Impact is due to the Texas rate case outcome, which resulted in a revenue increase that was recognized in the third quarter of 2020 (largely offset by recognition of previously deferred costs).
Natural Gas Margin
Natural gas margin is presented as natural gas revenues less the cost of natural gas sold and transported. Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues.
Natural gas expense varies with changing sales and the cost of natural gas. However, fluctuations in the cost of natural gas generally have minimal earnings impact due to cost recovery mechanisms.
Natural Gas Revenues, Cost of Natural Gas Sold and Transported and Natural Gas Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural gas revenues | $ | 2,132 | $ | 1,636 | |||
| Cost of natural gas sold and transported | (1,081) | (689) | |||||
| Natural gas margin | $ | 1,051 | $ | 947 |
Changes in Natural Gas Margin
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2021 vs. 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory rate outcomes (Colorado and North Dakota) | $ | 90 | |
| Infrastructure and integrity riders | 12 | ||
| Conservation incentive | 3 | ||
| Estimated impact of weather | (10) | ||
| Other (net) | 9 | ||
| Increase in natural gas margin | $ | 104 |
Non-Fuel Operating Expenses and Other Items
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses decreased $3 million year-to-date. Increases for distribution, wind farm maintenance and technology costs were offset by a decrease in employee benefits expense (e.g., long term incentives), additional Texas 2021 rate case deferrals and the year-over-year impact of amounts associated with the Texas 2019 rate case surcharge.
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased $173 million year-to-date. The increase was primarily driven by several wind farms going into service, normal system expansion and the implementation of new depreciation rates in various states.
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Other Income (Expense) — Other income (expense) increased $11 million year-to-date. The change was largely related to gains associated with rabbi trust performance (offset in O&M expenses).
AFUDC, Equity and Debt — AFUDC decreased $58 million year-to-date. The decrease was driven by completion of various wind projects throughout 2020 and 2021.
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased $2 million year-to-date. The increase was largely due to higher debt levels to fund capital investments, partially offset by lower long-term and short-term interest rates.
Earnings from Equity Method Investments — Earnings from equity method investments increased $22 million year-to-date. The year-to-date change was largely attributable to the performance of the EIP funds, which invest in energy technology companies.
Income Taxes — Income tax benefit increased $64 million year-to-date. The change was driven by an increase in wind PTCs due to additional wind facilities going into service. Impact of PTCs was partially offset by an increase in pretax earnings, lower plant regulatory differences and lower non-plant accumulated deferred income tax amortization.
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other Results
Net income and diluted EPS contributions of Xcel Energy Inc. and its nonregulated businesses:
| Contribution (Millions of Dollars) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (129) | $ | (147) | |||
| MEC (a) | — | 15 | |||||
| Venture Holdings (b) | 21 | 4 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. taxes and other results | (12) | (5) | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (120) | $ | (133) |
| Contribution (Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. financing costs | $ | (0.24) | $ | (0.28) | |||
| MEC (a) | — | 0.03 | |||||
| Venture Holdings (b) | 0.04 | 0.01 | |||||
| Xcel Energy Inc. taxes and other results | (0.02) | (0.01) | |||||
| Total Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs | $ | (0.22) | $ | (0.25) |
(a)MEC was sold in the third quarter of 2020.
(b)Amounts include gains or losses associated with EIP investments.
Xcel Energy Inc.’s results include interest charges, which are incurred at Xcel Energy Inc. and are not directly assigned to individual subsidiaries.
2020 Comparison with 2019
A discussion of changes in Xcel Energy’s results of operations, cash flows and liquidity and capital resources from the year ended Dec. 31, 2019 to Dec. 31, 2020 can be found in Part II, “Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year 2020, which was filed with the SEC on Feb. 17, 2021. However, such discussion is not incorporated by reference into, and does not constitute a part of, this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Public Utility Regulation
The FERC and various state and local regulatory commissions regulate Xcel Energy Inc.’s utility subsidiaries and West Gas Interstate. Xcel Energy is subject to rate regulation by state utility regulatory agencies, which have jurisdiction with respect to the rates of electric and natural gas distribution companies in Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Colorado, New Mexico and Texas.
Rates are designed to recover plant investment, operating costs and an allowed return on investment. Our utility subsidiaries request changes in utility rates through commission filings. Changes in operating costs can affect Xcel Energy’s financial results, depending on the timing of rate cases and implementation of final rates. Other factors affecting rate filings are new investments, sales, conservation and DSM efforts, and the cost of capital.
In addition, the regulatory commissions authorize the ROE, capital structure and depreciation rates in rate proceedings. Decisions by these regulators can significantly impact Xcel Energy’s results of operations.
See Rate Matters within Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
NSP-Minnesota
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| MPUC | Retail rates, services, security issuances, property transfers, mergers, disposition of assets, affiliate transactions, and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Reviews and approves Integrated Resource Plans for meeting future energy needs.Certifies the need and siting for generating plants greater than 50 MW and transmission lines greater than 100 KV in Minnesota.Reviews and approves natural gas supply plans.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| NDPSC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in North Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| South Dakota Public Utilities Commission | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric operations.Regulatory authority over generation and transmission facilities, along with the siting and routing of new generation and transmission facilities in South Dakota.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transfers and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Minnesota is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO and operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale markets. NSP-Minnesota makes wholesale sales in other RTO markets at market-based rates. NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin also make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices to customers outside of their balancing authority as jointly authorized by the FERC. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| Minnesota Office of Pipeline Safety | Pipeline safety compliance. |
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Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| CIP Rider (a) | Recovers costs of conservation and DSM programs in Minnesota. | |
| Environmental Improvement Rider | Recovers costs of environmental improvement projects in Minnesota. | |
| Renewable Development Fund | Allocates money collected from customers to support research and development of emerging renewable energy projects and technologies in Minnesota. | |
| RES | Recovers cost of renewable generation in Minnesota. | |
| Renewable Energy Rider | Recovers cost of renewable generation in North Dakota. | |
| State Energy Policy Rider | Recovers costs related to various energy policies approved by the Minnesota legislature. | |
| TCR | Recovers costs for investments in electric transmission and distribution grid modernization. | |
| Infrastructure Rider | Recovers costs for investments in generation and incremental property taxes in South Dakota. | |
| FCA (b) | Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota include a FCA for monthly billing adjustments to recover changes in prudently incurred costs of fuel related items and purchased energy. Capacity costs are recovered through base rates and are not recovered through the FCA. MISO costs are generally recovered through either the FCA or base rates. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | Provides for prospective monthly rate adjustments for costs of purchased natural gas, transportation and storage service. Includes a true-up process for difference between projected and actual costs. | |
| GUIC Rider | Recovers costs for transmission and distribution pipeline integrity management programs, including funding for pipeline assessments, deferred costs for sewer separation and pipeline integrity management programs in Minnesota. | |
| Sales True-up | In February 2022, NSP-Minnesota filed the 2021 sales true-up compliance report, resulting in a total surcharge of $59 million. An MPUC ruling is anticipated in the second quarter of 2022. In their current rate case, NSP-Minnesota has proposed a sales true-up mechanism for 2022 and beyond that would operate similarly to the 2021 sales true-up. Under the stay-out petition, 2021 NSP-Minnesota jurisdictional earnings was capped at a 9.06% ROE. Any excess earnings are required to be refunded to customers. |
(a)Minnesota state law requires NSP-Minnesota to spend 2% of its state electric revenues and 0.5% of its state natural gas revenues on CIP. These costs are recovered through an annual cost-recovery mechanism.
(b)The MPUC changed the FCA process in Minnesota (effective in 2020). Each month, utilities collect amounts equal to baseline cost of energy set at the start of the plan year (base would be reset annually). Monthly variations to baseline costs are tracked and netted over a 12-month period. Utilities issue refunds above the baseline costs and can seek recovery of any overage.
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2022 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — In November 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the MPUC for an annual natural gas rate increase of $36 million, or 6.6%. The filing is based on a 2022 forecast test year and includes a requested ROE of 10.5%, rate base of $934 million and an equity ratio of 52.50%.
In December 2021, the MPUC approved the requested interim rates of $25 million, subject to refund, beginning on Jan. 1, 2022.
The next steps in the procedural schedule are expected to be as follows:
•Intervenor testimony: Aug. 30, 2022.
•Rebuttal testimony: Oct. 4, 2022.
•Public hearing: Nov. 1-4, 2022.
•ALJ Report: Feb. 6, 2023.
•MPUC Order: April 26, 2023.
2022 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — In October 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a three-year electric rate case with the MPUC. The rate case is based on a requested ROE of 10.2%, a 52.50% equity ratio and forward test years.
The request is detailed as follows:
| (Amounts in Millions, Except Percentages) | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | Total | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rate request | $ | 396 | $ | 150 | $ | 131 | $ | 677 | |||||||
| Increase percentage | 12.2 | % | 4.8 | % | 4.2 | % | 21.2 | % | |||||||
| Rate base | $ | 10,931 | $ | 11,446 | $ | 11,918 | N/A |
In addition, NSP-Minnesota requested interim rates, subject to refund, of $288 million to be implemented in January 2022 and an incremental $135 million to be implemented in January 2023. In December 2021, the MPUC approved rates of $247 million to begin on Jan. 1, 2022. The adjusted level reflects exigent circumstances from the COVID-19 pandemic.
The next steps in the procedural schedule are expected to be as follows:
•Intervenor testimony: Oct. 3, 2022.
•Rebuttal testimony: Nov. 8, 2022.
•Public hearing: Dec. 13-16, 2022.
•ALJ Report: March 31, 2023.
•MPUC Order: June 30, 2023.
2021 North Dakota Natural Gas Rate Case — In September 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the NDPSC for a natural gas rate increase of $7 million, or 10.49%. The filing is based on a requested ROE of 10.5%, an equity ratio of 52.54%, a 2022 forecast test year and a rate base of approximately $140 million. Interim rates of $7 million, subject to refund, were implemented on Nov. 1, 2021. An NDPSC decision is expected in early fall 2022.
The next steps in the procedural schedule are expected to be as follows:
•Intervenor testimony: March 1, 2022
•Rebuttal testimony: April 1, 2022
•Hearings: June 1-3, 2022
2020 North Dakota Electric Rate Case — In November 2020, NSP-Minnesota filed a rate case with the NDPSC seeking a rate increase of $19 million based on a ROE of 10.2%, an equity ratio of 52.5% and rate base of $677 million.
In August 2021, the NDPSC approved a settlement between NSP-Minnesota and various parties, which includes the following, effective Jan. 1, 2021:
•Base revenue increase of $7 million.
•ROE of 9.5%.
•Equity ratio of 52.5%.
•Deferral of advanced grid intelligence and security initiative capital and O&M expenses.
•An earnings cap mechanism, which would return to customers 100% of earnings equal to or in excess of 9.75% ROE, effective until the next rate case.
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Minnesota Relief and Recovery — In 2020, the MPUC opened a docket and invited utilities in the state to submit potential projects that would create jobs and help jump start the economy to offset the impacts of COVID-19.
The status of the various proposals is listed below:
•In January 2021, the MPUC approved NSP-Minnesota’s request for the repowering of 651 MW of owned wind projects and 20 MW of wind projects under PPAs. These projects are estimated to save customers approximately $160 million over the next 25 years.
•In April 2021, NSP-Minnesota proposed to add 460 MW of solar facilities at the Sherco site with an incremental investment of approximately $575 million. An MPUC decision is expected by the third quarter of 2022.
•In June 2021, the MPUC approved NSP-Minnesota’s proposal to acquire a repowered wind farm from ALLETE, Inc.
•The MPUC is also considering NSP-Minnesota’s revised proposal to provide $40 million of incremental electric vehicle rebates.
Minnesota Resource Plan — In July 2019, NSP-Minnesota filed its Minnesota resource plan, which runs through 2034.
On Feb. 8, 2022, the MPUC approved the following:
•10-year extension for the Monticello nuclear facility.
•Retirement of the A.S. King plant in 2028 and Sherco 3 in 2030.
•NSP-Minnesota ownership of Sherco and A.S. King gen-tie lines plus additional renewable resources on the lines up to its current interconnection rights (2,000 MW for Sherco and 600 MW for A.S. King).
•The need for 2,150 MW of new wind and 2,500 MW of new solar by 2032, as well as additional renewable generation of 1,100 MW beyond 2032.
•Recognition of the need for 800 MW of additional firm dispatchable resources between 2027 and 2029. The dispatchable generation will need to be approved through a CON process.
The next Minnesota resource plan is due on Feb. 1, 2024.
2022 RES Electric Rider — In November 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed the RES Rider. The requested amount of $264 million includes a true-up (2020 and 2021 riders) of $154 million and the 2022 requested amount of $110 million. The filing included a ROE of 9.06%. An MPUC decision is pending.
2021 RES Electric Rider — In November 2020, NSP-Minnesota filed the RES Rider. The requested amount of $189 million includes a true-up (2019 and 2020 riders) of $96 million and the 2021 requested amount of $93 million. The filing included a ROE of 9.06%. An MPUC decision is pending.
2022 GUIC Natural Gas Rider — In October 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed the GUIC Rider for an amount of $27 million based on a ROE of 9.04%. An MPUC decision is pending.
2021 GUIC Natural Gas Rider — In October 2020, NSP-Minnesota filed the GUIC Rider for an amount of $27 million based on a ROE of 9.04%. An MPUC decision is pending.
2022 TCR Electric Rider — In November 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed the TCR Rider for an amount of $105 million based on a ROE of 9.06%. An MPUC decision is pending.
2020 TCR Electric Rider — In November 2019, NSP-Minnesota filed the TCR Rider for an amount of $82 million based on a ROE of 9.06%, which was approved by the MPUC in December 2021.
FERC NOPR on ROE Incentive Adders — In April 2021, the FERC issued a NOPR proposing to limit collection of ROE incentive adders for RTO membership to the first three years after an entity begins participation in an RTO. If adopted as a final rule, NSP-Minnesota (as well as NSP-Wisconsin and SPS) would prospectively discontinue charging their current 50 basis point ROE incentive adders. Amounts related to a discontinuance of the adder would ultimately be offset by an increase in retail rates, subject to future rate cases.
Purchased Power Arrangements and Transmission Service Provider
NSP-Minnesota expects to use power plants, power purchases, CIP/DSM options, new generation facilities and expansion of power plants to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — NSP-Minnesota has contracts to purchase power from other utilities and IPPs. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require a capacity and an energy charge.
NSP-Minnesota makes short-term purchases to meet system requirements, replace company owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin have contracts with MISO and other regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to their customers.
Nuclear Power Operations
Nuclear power plant operations produce gaseous, liquid and solid radioactive wastes, which are covered by federal regulation. High-level radioactive wastes primarily include used nuclear fuel. Low-level waste consists primarily of demineralizer resins, paper, protective clothing, rags, tools and equipment contaminated through use.
NRC Regulation — The NRC regulates nuclear operations. Costs of complying with NRC requirements can affect both operating expenses and capital investments of the plants. NSP-Minnesota has obtained recovery of these compliance costs and expects to recover future compliance costs.
Low-Level Waste Disposal — Low level waste disposal from Monticello and PI is disposed at the Clive facility located in Utah and the Waste Control Specialists facility in Texas. NSP-Minnesota has storage capacity available on-site at PI and Monticello which would allow both plants to continue to operate until the end of their current licensed lives if off-site low-level waste disposal facilities become unavailable.
High-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal — The federal government has responsibility to permanently dispose domestic spent nuclear fuel and other high-level radioactive wastes. The Nuclear Waste Policy Act requires the DOE to implement a program for nuclear high-level waste management. This includes the siting, licensing, construction and operation of a repository for spent nuclear fuel from civilian nuclear power reactors and other high-level radioactive wastes at a permanent federal storage or disposal facility. Currently, there are no definitive plans for a permanent federal storage facility site.
Nuclear Spent Fuel Storage — NSP-Minnesota has interim on-site storage for spent nuclear fuel at its Monticello and PI nuclear generating plants. Authorized storage capacity is sufficient to allow NSP-Minnesota to operate until the end of the operating licenses in 2030 for Monticello, 2033 for PI Unit 1, and 2034 for PI Unit 2. Authorizations for additional spent fuel storage capacity may be required at each site to support either continued operation or decommissioning if the federal government does not commence storage operations.
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Monticello CON — In September 2021, NSP-Minnesota filed an application for a CON for additional spent fuel storage (existing independent spent fuel storage installation) at the Monticello Nuclear Power Generating Plant. The CON requests sufficient additional spent fuel storage at the existing independent spent fuel storage installation to allow continued operation of the Monticello Plant until 2040. The filing passed completeness review and has been referred to an ALJ. A decision is expected in late 2023.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
NSP-Minnesota conducts wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy-related products. NSP-Minnesota uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price and credit risk and to hedge sales and purchases.
NSP-Minnesota also engages in trading activity unrelated to hedging. Sharing of any margins is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement. NSP-Minnesota does not serve any wholesale requirements customers at cost-based regulated rates.
NSP-Wisconsin
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PSCW | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.The PSCW has a biennial base rate filing requirement. By June of each odd numbered year, NSP-Wisconsin must submit a rate filing for the test year beginning the following January.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| MPSC | Retail rates, services and other aspects of electric and natural gas operations.Certifies the need for new generating plants and electric transmission lines before the facilities may be sited and built.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, hydroelectric generation licensing, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| MISO | NSP-Wisconsin is a transmission owning member of the MISO RTO that operates within the MISO RTO and wholesale energy market. NSP-Wisconsin and NSP-Minnesota are jointly authorized by the FERC to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Annual Fuel Cost Plan | NSP-Wisconsin does not have an automatic electric fuel adjustment clause. Under Wisconsin rules, utilities submit a forward-looking annual fuel cost plan to the PSCW. Once the PSCW approves the plan, utilities defer the amount of any fuel cost under-recovery or over-recovery in excess of a 2% annual tolerance band, for future rate recovery or refund. Approval of a fuel cost plan and any rate adjustment for refund or recovery of deferred costs is determined by the PSCW. Rate recovery of deferred fuel cost is subject to an earnings test based on the most recently authorized ROE. Under-collections that exceed the 2% annual tolerance band may not be recovered if the utility earnings for that year exceed the authorized ROE. | |
| Power Supply Cost Recovery Factors | NSP-Wisconsin’s retail electric rate schedules for Michigan customers include power supply cost recovery factors, based on 12-month projections. After each 12-month period, a reconciliation is submitted whereby over-recoveries are refunded and any under-recoveries are collected from customers. | |
| Wisconsin Energy Efficiency Program | The primary energy efficiency program is funded by the utilities, but operated by independent contractors subject to oversight by the PSCW and utilities. NSP-Wisconsin recovers these costs from customers. | |
| Purchased Gas Adjustment | A retail cost-recovery mechanism to recover the actual cost of natural gas, transportation, and storage services. | |
| Natural Gas Cost-Recovery Factor (MI) | NSP-Wisconsin’s natural gas rates for Michigan customers include a natural gas cost-recovery factor, based on 12-month projections and trued-up to actual amounts on an annual basis. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
Wisconsin Electric and Natural Gas Settlement — In December 2021, the PSCW approved a rate case settlement agreement and 2022 fuel cost plan without modification. New rates and tariffs were effective Jan. 1, 2022. Key elements of the settlement:
•An increase in electric rates of $35 million (4.9%) for 2022 and an incremental $18 million increase (2.5%) for 2023.
•An increase in natural gas rates of $10 million (8.4%) for 2022 and an incremental $3 million (2.3%) for 2023.
•ROE of 9.80% for 2022 and 10.00% for 2023.
•Equity ratio of 52.5% for both 2022 and 2023.
•Returning $9 million in various net regulatory liabilities to offset customer impacts in 2023.
•Deferring certain pension and other post-employment benefit expense in 2021 through 2023.
•Incorporating an earnings sharing mechanism for 2022 and 2023.
Michigan Electric Rate Case — In January 2022, NSP-Wisconsin reached an electric rate case settlement in principle with the MPSC staff and others. The settlement grants NSP-Wisconsin an electric revenue increase of $1.6 million in 2022, based on a ROE of 9.7% and an equity ratio of 52.5%. The MPSC is expected to rule on the settlement in the first quarter of 2022.
Purchased Power and Transmission Services
The NSP System expects to use power plants, power purchases, conservation and DSM options, new generation facilities and expansion of power plants to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — Through the Interchange Agreement, NSP-Wisconsin receives power purchased by NSP-Minnesota from other utilities and independent power producers. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require a capacity charge and an energy charge. NSP-Minnesota makes short-term purchases to meet system requirements, replace company owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin have contracts with MISO and other regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to their customers.
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Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
NSP-Wisconsin does not serve any wholesale requirements customers at cost-based regulated rates.
PSCo
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information on Regulatory Authority | |
|---|---|---|
| CPUC | Retail rates, accounts, services, issuance of securities and other aspects of electric, natural gas and steam operations.Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, hydroelectric licensing, wholesale sales for resale, transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with the NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce.Wholesale electric sales at cost-based prices to customers inside PSCo’s balancing authority area and at market-based prices to customers outside PSCo’s balancing authority area.PSCo holds a FERC certificate that allows it to transport natural gas in interstate commerce without PSCo becoming subject to full FERC jurisdiction. | |
| RTO | PSCo is not presently a member of an RTO and does not operate within an RTO energy market. However, PSCo does make certain sales to other RTO’s, including SPP and participates in a joint dispatch agreement with neighboring utilities. | |
| DOT | Pipeline safety compliance. | |
| SPP Western Energy Imbalance Service Market | Balances generation and load regionally and in real time for participants in the Western Interconnection |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| ECA | Recovers fuel and purchased energy costs. Short-term sales margins are shared with customers. The ECA is revised quarterly. | |
| Purchased Capacity Cost Adjustment | Recovers purchased capacity payments. | |
| Steam Cost Adjustment | Recovers fuel costs to operate the steam system. The Steam Cost Adjustment rate is revised quarterly. | |
| DSM Cost Adjustment | Recovers electric and gas DSM, interruptible service costs and performance initiatives for achieving energy savings goals. | |
| RES Adjustment | Recovers the incremental costs of compliance with the RES with a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Colorado Energy Plan Adjustment | Recovers the early retirement costs of Comanche units 1 and 2 to a maximum of 1% of the customer’s bill. | |
| Wind Cost Adjustment | Recovers costs for customers who choose renewable resources. | |
| Transmission Cost Adjustment | Recovers costs for transmission investment between rate cases. | |
| Clean Air Clean Jobs Act | Recovers costs associated with the Clean Air Clean Jobs Act. | |
| FCA | PSCo recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from wholesale electric customers through a fuel cost adjustment clause approved by the FERC. Wholesale customers pay production costs through a forecasted formula rate subject to true-up. | |
| GCA | Recovers costs of purchased natural gas and transportation and is revised quarterly to allow for changes in natural gas rates. | |
| PSIA | Recovers costs for transmission and distribution pipeline integrity management programs. | |
| Decoupling | Mechanism to true-up revenue to a baseline amount for residential (excluding lighting and demand) and metered non-demand small C&I classes. | |
| Transportation Electrification Plan | Recovers costs associated with the investment in and adoption of transportation electrification infrastructure. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
Colorado Natural Gas Rate Case — In January 2022, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC seeking a net increase to retail natural gas rates of $107 million. The total change to base rates is $215 million, reflecting the transfer of $108 million previously recovered from customers through the PSIA rider, which was closed to new investments at the end of 2021. The request is based on a 10.25% ROE, an equity ratio of 55.66% and a 2022 current test year. PSCo has requested a proposed effective date of Nov. 1, 2022.
Additionally, PSCo’s request includes step revenue increases of $40 million in 2023 (effective Nov. 1, 2023) and $41 million in 2024 (effective Nov. 1, 2024) related to continued capital investment. Under this proposal, PSCo would not request another base rate change prior to Nov. 1, 2025. An informational historical test year, including a 10.75% ROE, was also filed as required by the CPUC.
| Revenue Request (millions of dollars) | 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Changes since 2020 rate case: | |||
| Plant related investments (a) | $ | 210 | |
| Operations and maintenance, amortization and other expenses | 11 | ||
| Property tax expense | 11 | ||
| Sales growth | (17) | ||
| Net increase to revenue | 215 | ||
| Previously authorized costs: | |||
| Transfer of costs previously recovered through the PSIA rider | (108) | ||
| Total base revenue request | $ | 107 | |
| Projected 2022 year-end rate base (billions of dollars) | $ | 3.6 |
(a) Includes approximately $28 million as a result of the increase in ROE from 9.2% to 10.25%.
Colorado Electric Rate Request — In July 2021, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC seeking a net electric rate increase of $343 million (or 12.4%). The total request reflects a $470 million increase, which includes $127 million of previously authorized costs currently recovered through various rider mechanisms. The request is based on a 10.0% ROE, an equity ratio of 55.64%, a 2022 forecast test year, a rate base of $10.3 billion and impacts of a new depreciation study.
In January 2022, PSCo reached an unopposed comprehensive settlement. The CPUC is expected to rule on the settlement in March 2022 with final rates expected to be effective in April 2022. Key settlement terms include:
•A net electric rate increase of $177 million. The total change in base rates is $299 million, which includes $122 million of revenue previously collected through various rider mechanisms.
•A ROE of 9.3% and an equity ratio of 55.69%.
•A current 2021 test year (average rate base) with the transfer of Cheyenne Ridge, Wildfire Mitigation Plan and Advanced Grid Intelligence and Security investments at year-end rate base.
•Approval of all of PSCo’s proposed depreciation adjustments.
•Continuation of the property tax, qualified pension, and non-qualified pension trackers.
•Continuation of Advanced Grid Intelligence and Security deferral including interest equivalent to PSCo's weighted average cost of capital once the balance exceeds $50 million.
•Continuation of the Wildfire Mitigation Plan deferral, with a debt return.
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PSIA Rider Extension — In October 2021, the CPUC approved a settlement agreement to allow the rider to end on Dec. 31, 2021, transfer the investments recovered under the rider to base rates Jan. 1, 2022, and defer $9 million of depreciation expense and return on $143 million in project costs in 2022.
Pathway Transmission Expansion Settlement — In November 2021, PSCo filed a non-unanimous settlement agreement with Staff and several other parties regarding its CPCN request for the Pathway Transmission project.
Key settlement terms include:
•The parties agreed that PSCo met the burden of proof demonstrating that the project was needed to facilitate the renewables in the Integrated Resource Plan and is in the public interest.
•Agreed to a cost estimate of $1.7 billion and recovery through the transmission rider.
•The Pathway project will also include a Performance Incentive Mechanism such that applicable costs in a given year above or below a 5% dead band would allow for a ROE penalty or adder.
•Parties agreed to conditional CPCN approval for 345 kV extension project subject to the project being included in the final approved Integrated Resource Plan with a cost estimate of $247 million.
The settlement agreement is currently being deliberated by the CPUC.
Resource Plan Settlement — In November 2021, PSCo and intervenors filed a partial settlement of the resource plan, which will result in an expected 87% carbon reduction and an 80% renewable mix by 2030. A CPUC decision is expected in the first quarter of 2022. Key settlement terms include:
•Early retirement of Hayden: Unit 2 in 2027 (was 2036); and Unit 1 in 2028 (was 2030).
•Conversion of Pawnee to burn natural gas by 2026.
•Early retirement of Comanche 3 in 2034 with reduced operations beginning in 2025.
•Addition of ~2,300 MW of wind.
•Addition of ~1,600 MW of utility-scale solar.
•Addition of 400 MW of storage.
•Addition of 1,300 MW of flexible, dispatchable generation.
•Addition of ~1,200 MW of distributed solar resources through our renewable energy programs.
Partial Settlement — In October 2021, PSCo filed a comprehensive settlement with the CPUC Staff and the COEO, which proposed to address four outstanding regulatory items, including recovery of fuel costs related to Winter Storm Uri, disputed revenue associated with the 2020 electric decoupling pilot program year, replacement power costs associated with an extended outage at Comanche Unit 3 during 2020 and deferred customer bad debt balances associated with COVID-19. The Utility Consumer Advocate has not signed the settlement. A hearing and a CPUC decision on the settlement is expected in the first quarter of 2022.
Key terms of the proposed settlement:
•PSCo would fully recover Winter Storm Uri deferred net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs of $263 million (electric utility) and $287 million (natural gas utility) over a 24-month and 30-month period, respectively, with no carrying charges through a rider mechanism. Recovery would commence Jan. 1, 2022 for electric costs and April 1, 2022 for natural gas costs.
•PSCo will refund electric customers $41 million (previously deferred) related to the 2020 electric decoupling pilot program.
•PSCo agreed to forego recovery of $14 million for replacement power costs due to an extended outage at Comanche Unit 3 during 2020 (approved by the CPUC in February 2022 as part of the 2020 ECA settlement agreement).
•PSCo also agreed to not seek recovery of COVID-19 related bad debt expense, previously deferred as a regulatory asset, and recorded an additional $11 million of incremental bad debt expense for the period ended Dec. 31, 2021.
Decoupling Filing — PSCo's 2019 Electric Rate Case included a decoupling program, effective April 1, 2020 through Dec. 31, 2023. The program applies to Residential and metered small C&I customers who do not pay a demand charge. The program includes a refund and surcharge cap not to exceed 3% of forecasted base rate revenue for a specified period.
In April 2021, PSCo made its annual filing for 2020, and the revised tariff went into effect by operation of law on June 1, 2021. In the annual filing review, the CPUC indicated they may pursue reopening the case in order to revisit the cap. As of Dec. 31, 2021, PSCo has recognized a refund for Residential customers and a surcharge for C&I customers based on 2020 and 2021 results.
In October 2021, a settlement was reached on Winter Storm Uri costs and also addressed certain components of decoupling. See Partial Settlement disclosure above for further discussion.
Comanche Unit 3 — PSCo is part owner and operator of Comanche Unit 3, a 750 MW, coal-fueled electric generating unit. In January 2020, the unit experienced a turbine failure causing the unit to be taken offline for repairs, which were completed in June 2020. During start-up, the unit experienced a loss of turbine oil, which damaged the unit. Comanche Unit 3 recommenced operations in January 2021. Replacement and repair of damaged systems in excess of a $2 million deductible are expected to be recovered through insurance policies. PSCo incurred replacement power costs of approximately $16 million during the outage.
In October 2020, the CPUC initiated a review of Comanche Unit 3’s performance. In March 2021, the CPUC Staff issued a report, which noted higher-than average outages and included criticisms of PSCo’s operations of Comanche Unit 3 over the last ten years. The report recommended thorough explanation of the future of Comanche Unit 3 operations in the next resource plan, performance standards for all company-owned generation and a review of outage and repair costs in upcoming ECA proceedings.
In October 2021, a comprehensive settlement was reached, which addressed treatment of 2020 Comanche Unit 3 replacement power costs. See Partial Settlement disclosure above for further discussion.
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2019 Electric Rate Case Appeal — In August 2020, PSCo filed an appeal with the Denver District Court seeking a review of CPUC decisions on gains and losses on sales of assets, oil and gas royalty revenues, Board of Directors equity compensation and a true-up surcharge to collect the difference between rates from February through August 2020 based on the CPUC’s decision on the Company’s Application for Reconsideration, Rehearing or Reargument and rates that were actually in place. In January 2022, the Denver District Court issued its decision that the CPUC’s approach to gains and losses on certain sales of assets was legally erroneous and confiscatory to PSCo and set aside and remanded the issue for further consideration. The District Court affirmed the CPUC with respect to the remaining decisions.
GCA NOPR — In June 2021, the CPUC issued a NOPR addressing the recovery of costs through the GCA. The proposed rule would establish an annual forecast of GCA costs for each utility and allow each utility to recover only 90%-95% of any costs in excess of the forecasted amount. The proposed rule would allow utilities to earn an incentive equal to an undefined portion of any savings relative to forecasted costs. Comments were filed and requested that the CPUC delay the rule making process until after the 2021 - 2022 heating season; in part because utilities have already proceeded with purchasing gas for the upcoming heating season in accordance with prior CPUC decisions. The CPUC has reopened the GCA NOPR matter and the parties will submit follow-up comments during the first quarter of 2022.
Purchased Power and Transmission Service Providers
PSCo expects to meet its system capacity requirements through electric generating stations, power purchases, new generation facilities, DSM options and expansion of generation plants.
Purchased Power — PSCo purchases power from other utilities and IPPs. Long-term purchased power contracts for dispatchable resources typically require capacity and energy charges. It also contracts to purchase power for both wind and solar resources. PSCo makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements, replace owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations, or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Energy Markets — PSCo plans to join the SPP Western Energy Imbalance Service Market in April 2023. This market is an incremental step in the participation in the organized wholesale market. Energy imbalance markets allow participants to buy and sell power close to the time electricity is consumed and gives system operators real-time visibility across neighboring grids. The result improves balancing supply and demand at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — In addition to using its own transmission system, PSCo has contracts with regional transmission service providers to deliver energy to its customers.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
PSCo conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. PSCo uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price and credit risk and hedge sales and purchases. PSCo also engages in trading activity unrelated to hedging. Sharing of any margin is determined through state regulatory proceedings as well as the operation of the FERC approved joint operating agreement.
SPS
Summary of Regulatory Agencies / RTO and Areas of Jurisdiction
| Regulatory Body / RTO | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| PUCT | Retail electric operations, rates, services, construction of transmission or generation and other aspects of SPS’ electric operations.The municipalities in which SPS operates in Texas have original jurisdiction over rates in those communities. The municipalities’ rate setting decisions are subject to PUCT review. | |
| NMPRC | Retail electric operations, retail rates and services and the construction of transmission or generation. | |
| FERC | Wholesale electric operations, accounting practices, wholesale sales for resale, the transmission of electricity in interstate commerce, compliance with NERC electric reliability standards, asset transactions and mergers, and natural gas transactions in interstate commerce. | |
| SPP RTO and SPP Integrated and Wholesale Markets | SPS is a transmission owning member of the SPP RTO and operates within the SPP RTO and SPP integrated and wholesale markets. SPS is authorized to make wholesale electric sales at market-based prices. |
Recovery Mechanisms
| Mechanism | Additional Information | |
|---|---|---|
| Distribution Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers distribution costs not included in rates in Texas. | |
| Energy Efficiency Cost Recovery Factor | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in Texas. | |
| Energy Efficiency Rider | Recovers costs for energy efficiency programs in New Mexico. | |
| Fuel and Purchased Power Cost Adjustment Clause | Adjusts monthly to recover actual fuel and purchased power costs in New Mexico. | |
| Power Cost Recovery Factor | Allows recovery of purchased power costs not included in Texas rates. | |
| Renewable Portfolio Standards | Recovers deferred costs for renewable energy programs in New Mexico. | |
| TCR Factor | Recovers certain transmission infrastructure improvement costs and changes in wholesale transmission charges not included in Texas base rates. | |
| Fixed Fuel and Purchased Recovery Factor | Provides for the over- or under-recovery of energy expenses in Texas. Regulations require refunding or surcharging over- or under- recovery amounts, including interest, when they exceed 4% of the utility’s annual fuel and purchased energy costs on a rolling 12-month basis if this condition is expected to continue. | |
| Wholesale Fuel and Purchased Energy Cost Adjustment | SPS recovers fuel and purchased energy costs from its wholesale customers through a monthly wholesale fuel and purchased energy cost adjustment clause accepted by the FERC. Wholesale customers also pay the jurisdictional allocation of production costs. |
Pending and Recently Concluded Regulatory Proceedings
2021 New Mexico Electric Rate Case — In January 2021, SPS filed an electric rate case with the NMPRC with a current requested base rate increase of approximately $84 million.
In June 2021, SPS and various parties filed an uncontested stipulation with the NMPRC, which reflected a $62 million rate increase, a change in the depreciation life of the Tolk coal plant to 2032, an equity ratio of 54.72% and ROE of 9.35% for reconciliation statements and determining the revenue requirements for the Sagamore and Hale wind projects. In December 2021, the Hearing Examiner issued a recommendation that the NMPRC approve the rate case settlement agreement without modification.
On Feb. 2, 2022, the NMPRC voted 3-2 to reject the uncontested stipulation as filed. The NMPRC then approved a modified settlement, which would maintain the proposed revenue requirement increase of $62 million, but would adjust the class cost allocation such that all rate classes would have a uniform increase of 4.89%. The NMPRC required the parties to either file their acceptance or opposition to the modified settlement.
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On Feb. 9, 2022, the signatories informed the NMPRC they did not unanimously support the modifications. Accordingly, the Hearing Examiner will issue a procedural order for further proceedings on SPS’ originally filed application.
On Feb. 10, 2022, SPS filed a motion requesting the NMPRC either approve the original settlement or approve the modified settlement.
On Feb. 16, 2022, the NMPRC voted to reconsider its order and voted 3-2 to approve the stipulation without modification. New rates will go into effect on Feb. 26, 2022.
2021 Texas Rate Case — In February 2021, SPS filed an electric rate case with the PUCT and its municipalities, seeking an increase in base rates of approximately $140 million. SPS’ proposed net rate increase to Texas customers was approximately $71 million, or 9.2%, as a result of the offsetting $69 million in fuel cost reductions and PTCs from the Sagamore wind project.
The request was based on a ROE of 10.35%, an equity ratio of 54.60%, a rate base of approximately $3.3 billion and a historic test year based on the 12-month period ended Dec. 31, 2020. The request included the effect of losing approximately 400 MW from a wholesale transmission customer and changes to depreciation lives of SPS’ Tolk power plant (from 2037 to 2032) and coal handling assets at the Harrington facility (to 2024).
In January 2022, SPS and intervenors filed a blackbox settlement. Key terms include:
•A base rate increase of approximately $89 million effective back to March 15, 2021.
•A 9.35% ROE and 7.01% weighted average cost of capital for AFUDC purposes only.
•The depreciation lives for Tolk moved up to 2034 and Harrington coal assets moved up to 2024.
In February 2022, the ALJ issued an order approving interim rates to be effective on March 1, 2022. A PUCT decision is expected in the first quarter of 2022.
Purchased Power Arrangements and Transmission Service Providers
SPS expects to use electric generating stations, power purchases, DSM and new generation options to meet its system capacity requirements.
Purchased Power — SPS purchases power from other utilities and IPPs. Long-term purchased power contracts typically require periodic capacity and energy charges. SPS also makes short-term purchases to meet system load and energy requirements to replace owned generation, meet operating reserve obligations or obtain energy at a lower cost.
Purchased Transmission Services — SPS has contractual arrangements with SPP and regional transmission service providers to deliver power and energy to its native load customers.
Natural Gas
SPS does not provide retail natural gas service, but purchases and transports natural gas for its generation facilities and operates limited natural gas pipeline facilities connecting the generation facilities to interstate natural gas pipelines. SPS is subject to the jurisdiction of the FERC with respect to natural gas transactions in interstate commerce and the PHMSA and PUCT for pipeline safety compliance.
Wholesale and Commodity Marketing Operations
SPS conducts various wholesale marketing operations, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, ancillary services and energy related products. SPS uses physical and financial instruments to minimize commodity price and credit risk and to hedge sales and purchases.
Other Public Utility Matters
Comanche Unit 3 Outage
In January 2022, PSCo experienced an incident at the Comanche Unit 3 plant (750 MW, coal-fueled electric generating unit) resulting in damage and an outage that is expected to last approximately two months. PSCo has notified the CPUC and informed them that it will not seek recovery of any replacement power costs above the expected costs if Comanche 3 had been in service. The estimated incremental replacement power costs could be approximately $10 million, assuming a two month outage, normal weather and current market pricing.
Marshall Wildfire
In December 2021, a wildfire ignited in Boulder County, Colorado (the “Marshall Fire”), which burned over 6,000 acres and destroyed or damaged over 1,000 structures. While there were no downed power lines in the ignition area, the determination of the cause of the Marshall Fire is pending.
In Colorado, the standard of review governing liability differs from the “inverse condemnation” or strict liability standard utilized in California. In Colorado, courts look to whether electric power companies have operated their system with a heightened duty of care consistent with the practical conduct of its business, and liability does not extend to occurrences that cannot be reasonably anticipated. In addition, PSCo has been operating under a commission approved wildfire mitigation plan and carries wildfire liability insurance.
However, in the unlikely event we were found liable, the damages awarded could exceed our coverage and negatively impact our results of operations, financial conditions or cash flows.
Winter Storm Uri
In February 2021, the United States experienced Winter Storm Uri. Extreme cold temperatures impacted certain operational assets as well as the availability of renewable generation. The cold weather also affected the country’s supply and demand for natural gas. These factors contributed to extremely high market prices for natural gas and electricity. As a result of the extremely high market prices, Xcel Energy incurred net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs of approximately $1 billion (largely deferred as regulatory assets).
Regulatory Overview — Xcel Energy has natural gas, fuel and purchased energy mechanisms in each jurisdiction for recovering incurred costs. However, the utility subsidiaries have deferred February 2021 cost increases for future recovery and sought recovery of the cost increases over a period of up to 63 months to mitigate the impact to customer bills. Additionally, we did not request recovery of financing costs in order to further limit the impact to our customers.
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Proceedings initiated:
| Utility Subsidiary | Jurisdiction | Regulatory Status |
|---|---|---|
| NSP-Minnesota | Minnesota | NSP-Minnesota filed with the MPUC seeking recovery of $215 million in incremental costs from natural gas customers. In August 2021, the MPUC allowed recovery of $179 million of costs deemed to be extraordinary beginning in September 2021 over 27 months (no financing charge) and $36 million of ordinary costs over 12 months through the monthly Purchased Gas Adjustment. The $179 million in extraordinary cost recovery is subject to refund pending the outcome of a contested case before an ALJ. In December 2021, the MPUC approved extending recovery of Winter Storm Uri costs for the residential class (approximately $97 million) from a 27-month recovery period to a 63-month recovery period. New residential Winter Storm Uri rates were effective Jan. 1, 2022. In December 2021, direct testimony was received from intervenors. The DOC recommended a $127 million disallowance based on allegations including peaking plant usage, load forecasting, natural gas supply/storage and related purchases. Alternatively, the DOC recommended a $42 million disallowance if NSP-Minnesota proves it prudently managed its peaking plants. The OAG recommended a disallowance of $179 million based on allegations that NSP-Minnesota could have fully hedged its exposure to spot market prices. Alternatively, the OAG recommended a $25 million disallowance based on allegations related to specific hedges allegedly available in the market during February 2021. The CUB recommended a $69 million disallowance based on allegations related to the unavailability of NSP-Minnesota’s peaking plants, inaccuracy of load forecasting and inadequate curtailment of interruptible customers. Xcel Energy strongly disagrees with the recommendations of the DOC, OAG and CUB and believes that it acted prudently and according to MPUC approved procedures for the best interest of its customers and stakeholders. NSP-Minnesota filed rebuttal testimony in January 2022. A hearing before the ALJs assigned to the matter is scheduled for Feb. 17-23, 2022. An MPUC decision is expected in the summer of 2022. See Rate Matters and Other within Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information. |
| South Dakota | Winter Storm Uri had no impact on South Dakota electric costs as NSP-Minnesota was a net seller in the electric market. | |
| North Dakota | In June, the NDPSC approved recovery of $32 million in natural gas costs over 15 months (starting July 2021) with no financing charge. | |
| NSP-Wisconsin | Wisconsin | In March, the PSCW approved NSP-Wisconsin’s proposal to recover $45 million of Winter Storm Uri natural gas costs over nine months through December 2021 with no financing charge. |
| Michigan | In May, the MPSC approved recovery of $2 million in natural gas costs over 10 months with no financing charge. | |
| PSCo | Colorado | In May, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC to recover $263 million in weather-related electric costs, $287 million in incremental natural gas costs and $4 million in incremental steam costs over 24 months with no financing charge. In September, intervenors filed testimony. The CPUC Staff recommended disallowances of approximately $99 million (electric) and $105 million (natural gas). Additionally, they proposed to net approximately $50 million of regulatory liabilities (decoupling related) from electric costs. The Utility Consumer Advocate recommended disallowances of approximately $131 million. The COEO recommended disallowances of approximately $46 million for not utilizing demand response programs during the event. In October, a partial settlement was reached with the CPUC Staff and the COEO, allowing full recovery of Winter Storm Uri deferred net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs of $263 million (electric utility) and $287 million (natural gas utility) over a 24-month and 30-month period, respectively, with no carrying charges through a rider mechanism. A decision is expected in the first quarter of 2022. In addition, the CPUC is considering prospective changes in fuel cost recovery. |
| SPS | Texas | As part of the Texas fuel surcharge filing, SPS filed for recovery of $76 million, over 24 months, in under-collected purchased power and fuel costs through March 2021, subject to revision due to re-settlements. Of this amount, $62 million was attributed to Winter Storm Uri. In the third quarter, SPS filed a supplemental application and testimony to recover an additional $26 million in under-collected purchased power and fuel costs through June 2021 resulting primarily from SPP resettlements and continued increases in natural gas prices. In November 2021, the ALJ abated the hearing schedule to allow the parties to continue settlement negotiations. In December 2021, SPS filed its triennial Fuel Reconciliation, under which the PUCT will consider prudence of SPS’ fuel costs for the period July 2018 - June 2021, including Winter Storm Uri. In January 2022, SPS and other parties filed a stipulation/motion for interim rates. The filing covers all fuel under-collections occurring between January 2020 and August 2021, totaling $121 million. The settlement does not address the prudence of Winter Storm Uri costs nor the retention of $11 million related to market sales during the event. These items will be reviewed through the triennial Fuel Reconciliation proceeding and are subject to a final PUCT decision. Interim rates, designed to collect up to $110 million over a period of 30 months, will begin on Feb. 1, 2022. |
| New Mexico | In March 2021, the NMPRC approved SPS' request to recover $26 million of fuel costs over 24 months with no financing charge, subject to NMPRC review. |
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Potential Tax Reform
The U.S. Congress is currently discussing potential proposals that may impact federal tax law. At this time, it is unknown what, if any, changes may ultimately occur. Based on provisions passed by the U.S. House of Representatives in November 2021, known as the Build Back Better Act, if any of such provisions were to be enacted into law, we would not expect the impact of such changes to have a material impact on our earnings.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Preparation of the consolidated financial statements requires the application of accounting rules and guidance, as well as the use of estimates. Application of these policies involves judgments regarding future events, including the likelihood of success of particular projects, legal and regulatory challenges and anticipated recovery of costs. These judgments could materially impact the consolidated financial statements, based on varying assumptions. In addition, the financial and operating environment also may have a significant effect on the operation of the business and results reported.
Accounting policies and estimates that are most significant to Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition or cash flows, and require management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments are outlined below. Each of these has a higher likelihood of resulting in materially different reported amounts under different conditions or using different assumptions. Each critical accounting policy has been reviewed and discussed with the Audit Committee of Xcel Energy Inc.’s Board of Directors on a quarterly basis.
Regulatory Accounting
Xcel Energy is subject to the accounting for Regulated Operations, which provides that rate-regulated entities report assets and liabilities consistent with the recovery of those incurred costs in rates, if it is probable that such rates will be charged and collected. Our rates are derived through the ratemaking process, which results in the recording of regulatory assets and liabilities based on the probability of future cash flows.
Regulatory assets generally represent incurred or accrued costs that have been deferred because future recovery from customers is probable. Regulatory liabilities generally represent amounts that are expected to be refunded to customers in future rates or amounts collected in current rates for future costs. In other businesses or industries, regulatory assets and regulatory liabilities would generally be charged to net income or other comprehensive income.
Each reporting period we assess the probability of future recoveries and obligations associated with regulatory assets and liabilities. Factors such as the current regulatory environment, recently issued rate orders and historical precedents are considered. Decisions made by regulatory agencies can directly impact the amount and timing of cost recovery as well as the rate of return on invested capital, and may materially impact our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.
As of Dec. 31, 2021 and 2020, Xcel Energy had regulatory assets of $3.8 billion and $3.4 billion, respectively and regulatory liabilities of $5.7 billion and $5.6 billion, respectively. Each subsidiary is subject to regulation that varies from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. If future recovery of costs in any such jurisdiction is no longer probable, Xcel Energy would be required to charge these assets to current net income or other comprehensive income.
At Dec. 31, 2021, in assessing the probability of recovery of recognized regulatory assets, unless otherwise disclosed, Xcel Energy noted no current or anticipated proposals or changes in the regulatory environment that it expects will materially impact the recovery of the assets.
See Notes 4 and 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Income Tax Accruals
Judgment, uncertainty and estimates are a significant aspect of the income tax accrual process that accounts for the effects of current and deferred income taxes. Uncertainty associated with the application of tax statutes and regulations and outcomes of tax audits and appeals require that judgment and estimates be made in the accrual process and in the calculation of the ETR.
Changes in tax laws and rates may affect recorded deferred tax assets and liabilities and our future ETR. ETR calculations are revised every quarter based on best available year-end tax assumptions, adjusted in the following year after returns are filed. Tax accrual estimates are trued-up to the actual amounts claimed on the tax returns and further adjusted after examinations by taxing authorities, as needed.
In accordance with the interim period reporting guidance, income tax expense for the first three quarters in a year is based on the forecasted annual ETR. The forecasted ETR reflects a number of estimates, including forecasted annual income, permanent tax adjustments and tax credits.
Valuation allowances are applied to deferred tax assets if it is more likely than not that at least a portion may not be realized based on an evaluation of expected future taxable income. Accounting for income taxes also requires that only tax benefits that meet the more likely than not recognition threshold can be recognized or continue to be recognized. We may adjust our unrecognized tax benefits and interest accruals as disputes with the IRS and state tax authorities are resolved, and as new developments occur. These adjustments may increase or decrease earnings.
See Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Employee Benefits
We sponsor several noncontributory, defined benefit pension plans and other postretirement benefit plans that cover almost all employees and certain retirees. Projected benefit costs are based on historical information and actuarial calculations that include key assumptions (annual return level on pension and postretirement health care investment assets, discount rates, mortality rates and health care cost trend rates, etc.). In addition, the pension cost calculation uses a methodology to reduce the volatility of investment performance over time. Pension assumptions are continually reviewed.
At Dec. 31, 2021, Xcel Energy set the rate of return on assets used to measure pension costs at 6.49%, which is consistent with the rate set in 2020. The rate of return used to measure postretirement health care costs is 4.10% at Dec. 31, 2021, which is consistent with the rate set in 2020.
Xcel Energy’s pension investment strategy is based on plan-specific investments that seek to minimize investment and interest rate risk as a plan’s funded status increases over time. This strategy results in a greater percentage of interest rate sensitive securities being allocated to plans with higher funded status ratios and a greater percentage of growth assets being allocated to plans having lower funded status ratios.
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Xcel Energy set the discount rates used to value the pension obligations at 3.08% and postretirement health care obligations at 3.09% at Dec. 31, 2021. This represents a 37 basis point and 44 basis point decrease, respectively, from 2020. Xcel Energy uses a bond matching study as its primary basis for determining the discount rate used to value pension and postretirement health care obligations. The bond matching study utilizes a portfolio of high grade (Aa or higher) bonds that matches the expected cash flows of Xcel Energy’s benefit plans in amount and duration.
The effective yield on this cash flow matched bond portfolio determines the discount rate for the individual plans. The bond matching study is validated for reasonableness against the Merrill Lynch Corporate 15+ Bond Index. In addition, Xcel Energy reviews general actuarial survey data to assess the reasonableness of the discount rate selected.
If Xcel Energy were to use alternative assumptions, a 1% change would result in the following impact on 2021 pension costs:
| Pension Costs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | +1% | -1% | |||||
| Rate of return | $ | (13) | $ | 23 | |||
| Discount rate (a) | $ | 1 | $ | 15 |
(a)These costs include the effects of regulation.
Mortality rates are developed from actual and projected plan experience for pension plan and postretirement benefits. Xcel Energy’s actuary conducts an experience study periodically to determine an estimate of mortality. Xcel Energy considers standard mortality tables, improvement factors and the plans actual experience when selecting a best estimate.
As of Dec. 31, 2021, the initial medical trend cost claim assumptions for Pre-65 was 5.3% and Post-65 was 4.9%. The ultimate trend assumption remained at 4.5% for both Pre-65 and Post-65 claims costs. Xcel Energy bases its medical trend assumption on the long-term cost inflation expected in the health care market, considering the levels projected and recommended by industry experts, as well as recent actual medical cost experienced by Xcel Energy’s retiree medical plan.
Funding contributions in 2021 were $131 million and are expected to decline in the following years. Investment returns exceeded assumed levels in 2021, 2020 and 2019.
The pension cost calculation uses a market-related valuation of pension assets. Xcel Energy uses a calculated value method to determine the market-related value of the plan assets. The market-related value is determined by adjusting the fair market value of assets at the beginning of the year to reflect the investment gains and losses (the difference between the actual investment return and the expected investment return on the market-related value) during each of the previous five years at the rate of 20% per year. As differences between actual and expected investment returns are incorporated into the market-related value, amounts are recognized in pension cost over the expected average remaining years of service for active employees (approximately 13 years in 2021).
Xcel Energy currently projects the pension costs recognized for financial reporting purposes will be $77 million in 2022 and $60 million in 2023, while the actual pension costs were $121 million in 2021 and $117 million in 2020. The expected decrease in 2022 and future year costs is primarily due to the reductions in loss amortizations.
Pension funding contributions across all four of Xcel Energy’s pension plans, both voluntary and required, for 2019 - 2022:
•$50 million in January 2022.
•$131 million in 2021.
•$150 million in 2020.
•$154 million in 2019.
Future amounts may change based on actual market performance, changes in interest rates and any changes in governmental regulations. Therefore, additional contributions could be required in the future.
Xcel Energy contributed $15 million, $11 million and $15 million during 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively, to the postretirement health care plans. Xcel Energy expects to contribute approximately $9 million during 2022. Xcel Energy recovers employee benefits costs in its utility operations consistent with accounting guidance with the exception of the areas noted below.
•NSP-Minnesota recognizes pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions using the aggregate normal cost actuarial method. Differences between aggregate normal cost and expense as calculated by pension accounting standards are deferred as a regulatory liability.
•In 2021, the PSCW approved NSP-Wisconsin’s request for deferred accounting treatment of the 2021 pension settlement accounting expense. In addition, the Commission order approved escrow accounting treatment for pension and other post-employment benefit expenses.
•Regulatory Commissions in Colorado, Texas, New Mexico and FERC jurisdictions allow the recovery of other postretirement benefit costs only to the extent that recognized expense is matched by cash contributions to an irrevocable trust. Xcel Energy has consistently funded at a level to allow full recovery of costs in these jurisdictions.
•PSCo and SPS recognize pension expense in all regulatory jurisdictions based on GAAP. The Texas and Colorado electric retail jurisdictions and the Colorado gas retail jurisdiction, each record the difference between annual recognized pension expense and the annual amount of pension expense approved in their last respective general rate case as a deferral to a regulatory asset.
•In 2018, PSCo was required to create a regulatory liability to adjust postretirement health care costs to zero in order to match the amounts collected in rates in the Colorado Gas retail jurisdiction. In 2020, this requirement was extended to the Colorado Electric retail jurisdiction.
See Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Nuclear Decommissioning
Xcel Energy recognizes liabilities for the expected cost of retiring tangible long-lived assets for which a legal obligation exists. These AROs are recognized at fair value as incurred and are capitalized as part of the cost of the related long-lived assets. In the absence of quoted market prices, Xcel Energy estimates the fair value of its AROs using present value techniques, in which it makes assumptions including estimates of the amounts and timing of future cash flows associated with retirement activities, credit-adjusted risk free rates and cost escalation rates. When Xcel Energy revises any assumptions, it adjusts the carrying amount of both the ARO liability and related long-lived asset. ARO liabilities are accreted to reflect the passage of time using the interest method.
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A significant portion of Xcel Energy’s AROs relates to the future decommissioning of NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear facilities. The nuclear decommissioning obligation is funded by the external decommissioning trust fund. Difference between regulatory funding (including depreciation expense less returns from the external trust fund) and expense recognized is deferred as a regulatory asset. The amounts recorded for AROs related to future nuclear decommissioning were $2.1 billion in 2021 and $2.0 billion in 2020.
NSP-Minnesota obtains periodic independent cost studies in order to estimate the cost and timing of planned nuclear decommissioning activities. Estimates of future cash flows are highly uncertain and may vary significantly from actual results. NSP-Minnesota is required to file a nuclear decommissioning filing every three years. The filing covers all expenses for the decommissioning of the nuclear plants, including decontamination and removal of radioactive material.
The currently approved triennial filing was ordered by the MPUC in January 2019. This approval did not result in a change to the ARO liability. In December 2020, the MPUC ordered Xcel Energy to maintain the current accrual through 2021 to align with the approved one year stay out of the previously filed multi-year electric rate case. Also, in December 2020, Xcel Energy filed an accrual proposal with the MPUC to be effective in 2022 based on an updated independent cost study. In December 2021, Xcel Energy submitted its petition for approval of the 2022-2024 NSP-Minnesota’s Nuclear Decommission Study and Assumptions. Xcel Energy anticipates the MPUC to deliberate on this filing in February 2022.
The following assumptions have a significant effect on the estimated nuclear obligation:
Timing — Decommissioning cost estimates are impacted by each facility’s retirement date and timing of the actual decommissioning activities. Estimated retirement dates coincide with the expiration of each unit’s operating license with the NRC (i.e., 2030 for Monticello and 2033 and 2034 for PI’s Unit 1 and 2, respectively). The estimated timing of the decommissioning activities is based upon the DECON method (required by the MPUC), which assumes prompt removal and dismantlement. Decommissioning activities are expected to begin at the end of the license date and be completed for both facilities by 2091.
Technology and Regulation — There is limited experience with actual decommissioning of large nuclear facilities. Changes in technology, experience and regulations could cause cost estimates to change significantly.
Escalation Rates — Escalation rates represent projected cost increases due to general inflation and increases in the cost of decommissioning activities. NSP-Minnesota used an escalation rate of 3.2% in calculating the ARO for nuclear decommissioning of its nuclear facilities, based on weighted averages of labor and non-labor escalation factors calculated by Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
Discount Rates — Changes in timing or estimated cash flows that result in upward revisions to the ARO are calculated using the then-current credit-adjusted risk-free interest rate. The credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect when the change occurs is used to discount the revised estimate of the incremental expected cash flows of the retirement activity.
If the change in timing or estimated expected cash flows results in a downward revision of the ARO, the undiscounted revised estimate of expected cash flows is discounted using the credit-adjusted risk-free rate in effect at the date of initial measurement and recognition of the original ARO. Discount rates ranging from approximately 3% to 7% have been used to calculate the net present value of the expected future cash flows over time.
Significant uncertainties exist in estimating future costs including the method to be utilized, ultimate costs to decommission and planned method of disposing spent fuel. If different cost estimates, life assumptions or cost escalation rates were utilized, the AROs could change materially.
However, changes in estimates have minimal impact on results of operations as NSP-Minnesota expects to continue to recover all costs in future rates.
Xcel Energy continually makes judgments and estimates related to these critical accounting policy areas, based on an evaluation of the assumptions and uncertainties for each area. The information and assumptions of these judgments and estimates will be affected by events beyond the control of Xcel Energy, or otherwise change over time. This may require adjustments to recorded results to better reflect updated information that becomes available. The accompanying financial statements reflect management’s best estimates and judgments of the impact of these factors as of Dec. 31, 2021.
See Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Derivatives, Risk Management and Market Risk
We are exposed to a variety of market risks in the normal course of business. Market risk is the potential loss that may occur as a result of adverse changes in the market or fair value of a particular instrument or commodity. All financial and commodity-related instruments, including derivatives, are subject to market risk.
Xcel Energy is exposed to the impact of adverse changes in price for energy and energy-related products, which is partially mitigated by the use of commodity derivatives. In addition to ongoing monitoring and maintaining credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk, management takes steps to mitigate changes in credit and concentration risks associated with its derivatives and other contracts, including parental guarantees and requests of collateral. While we expect that the counterparties will perform under the contracts underlying its derivatives, the contracts expose us to some credit and non-performance risk.
Distress in the financial markets may impact counterparty risk, the fair value of the securities in the nuclear decommissioning fund and pension fund and Xcel Energy’s ability to earn a return on short-term investments.
Commodity Price Risk — We are exposed to commodity price risk in our electric and natural gas operations. Commodity price risk is managed by entering into long- and short-term physical purchase and sales contracts for electric capacity, energy and energy-related products and fuels used in generation and distribution activities. Commodity price risk is also managed through the use of financial derivative instruments. Our risk management policy allows us to manage commodity price risk within each rate-regulated operation per commission approved hedge plans.
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Wholesale and Commodity Trading Risk — Xcel Energy conducts various wholesale and commodity trading activities, including the purchase and sale of electric capacity, energy, energy-related instruments and natural gas-related instruments, including derivatives. Our risk management policy allows management to conduct these activities within guidelines and limitations as approved by our risk management committee.
Fair value of net commodity trading contracts as of Dec. 31, 2021:
| Futures / Forwards Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (a) | $ | (4) | $ | (7) | $ | — | $ | (1) | $ | (12) | |||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | (1) | 3 | (9) | (8) | (15) | ||||||||||||||
| PSCo (a) | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | ||||||||||||||
| PSCo (b) | (37) | (48) | — | — | (85) | ||||||||||||||
| $ | (36) | $ | (46) | $ | (8) | $ | (8) | $ | (98) |
| Options Maturity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Less Than1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | Greater Than5 Years | Total Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota (b) | $ | 1 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 8 | $ | 9 | |||||||||
| PSCo (b) | 27 | 29 | — | — | 56 | ||||||||||||||
| $ | 28 | $ | 29 | $ | — | $ | 8 | $ | 65 |
(a)Prices actively quoted or based on actively quoted prices.
(b)Prices based on models and other valuation methods.
Changes in the fair value of commodity trading contracts before the impacts of margin-sharing for the years ended Dec. 31:
| (Millions of Dollars) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Jan. 1 | $ | (54) | $ | (59) | |||
| Contracts realized or settled during the period | (54) | (9) | |||||
| Commodity trading contract additions and changes during the period | 75 | 14 | |||||
| Fair value of commodity trading net contracts outstanding at Dec. 31 | $ | (33) | $ | (54) |
At Dec. 31, 2021, a 10% increase in market prices for commodity trading contracts through the forward curve would increase pretax income from continuing operations by approximately $13 million, whereas a 10% decrease would decrease pretax income from continuing operations by approximately $13 million. At Dec. 31, 2020, a 10% increase in market prices for commodity trading contracts would increase pretax income from continuing operations by approximately $13 million, whereas a 10% decrease would decrease pretax income from continuing operations by approximately $13 million. Market price movements can exceed 10% under abnormal circumstances.
The utility subsidiaries’ commodity trading operations measure the outstanding risk exposure to price changes on contracts and obligations that have been entered into, but not closed, using an industry standard methodology known as VaR. VaR expresses the potential change in fair value on the outstanding contracts and obligations over a particular period of time under normal market conditions.
The VaRs for the NSP-Minnesota and PSCo commodity trading operations, excluding both non-derivative transactions and derivative transactions designated as normal purchase and normal sales, calculated on a consolidated basis using a Monte Carlo simulation with a 95% confidence level and a one-day holding period, were as follows:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Year Ended Dec. 31 | VaR Limit | Average | High | Low | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $ | 1 | $ | 3 | $ | 2 | $ | 52 | $ | 1 | |||||||||
| 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
A short-term increase in VaR occurred during the week of Feb. 12, 2021 through Feb. 18, 2021. On Feb. 17, 2021, the portfolio VaR reached a high of $52 million. This increase in VaR was driven by the unprecedented market conditions during Winter Storm Uri. Prior to this widespread weather event, VaR was $1 million and returned to $1 million by Feb. 19, 2021.
Nuclear Fuel Supply — NSP-Minnesota has contracted for approximately 78% of its 2022 enriched nuclear material requirements from sources that could be impacted by sanctions against entities doing business with Iran. Those sanctions may impact the supply of enriched nuclear material supplied from Russia. Long-term, through 2030, NSP-Minnesota is scheduled to take delivery of approximately 30% of its average enriched nuclear material requirements from these sources. NSP-Minnesota is able to manage nuclear fuel supply with alternate potential sources. NSP-Minnesota periodically assesses if further actions are required to assure a secure supply of enriched nuclear material.
Interest Rate Risk — Xcel Energy is subject to interest rate risk. Our risk management policy allows interest rate risk to be managed through the use of fixed rate debt, floating rate debt and interest rate derivatives such as swaps, caps, collars and put or call options.
A 100 basis point change in the benchmark rate on Xcel Energy’s variable rate debt would impact pretax interest expense annually by approximately $11 million and $6 million in 2021 and 2020, respectively.
NSP-Minnesota maintains a nuclear decommissioning fund, as required by the NRC. The nuclear decommissioning fund is subject to interest rate risk and equity price risk. The fund is invested in a diversified portfolio of cash equivalents, debt securities, equity securities and other investments. These investments may be used only for the purpose of decommissioning NSP-Minnesota’s nuclear generating plants.
Realized and unrealized gains on the decommissioning fund investments are deferred as an offset of NSP-Minnesota’s regulatory asset for nuclear decommissioning costs. Fluctuations in equity prices or interest rates affecting the nuclear decommissioning fund do not have a direct impact on earnings due to the application of regulatory accounting.
Changes in discount rates and expected return on plan assets impact the value of pension and postretirement plan assets and/or benefit costs.
Credit Risk — Xcel Energy is also exposed to credit risk. Credit risk relates to the risk of loss resulting from counterparties’ nonperformance on their contractual obligations. Xcel Energy maintains credit policies intended to minimize overall credit risk and actively monitors these policies to reflect changes and scope of operations.
At Dec. 31, 2021, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $36 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in a decrease in credit exposure of $26 million. At Dec. 31, 2020, a 10% increase in commodity prices would have resulted in an increase in credit exposure of $11 million, while a decrease in prices of 10% would have resulted in an immaterial increase in credit exposure.
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Xcel Energy conducts credit reviews for all counterparties and employs credit risk controls, such as letters of credit, parental guarantees, master netting agreements and termination provisions. Credit exposure is monitored, and when necessary, the activity with a specific counterparty is limited until credit enhancement is provided. Distress in the financial markets could increase our credit risk.
Fair Value Measurements
Xcel Energy uses derivative contracts such as futures, forwards, interest rate swaps, options and FTRs to manage commodity price and interest rate risk. Derivative contracts, with the exception of those designated as normal purchase and normal sale contracts, are reported at fair value.
Xcel Energy’s investments held in the nuclear decommissioning fund, rabbi trusts, pension and other postretirement funds are also subject to fair value accounting.
Commodity Derivatives — Xcel Energy monitors the creditworthiness of the counterparties to its commodity derivative contracts and assesses each counterparty’s ability to perform on the transactions. The impact of discounting commodity derivative assets for counterparty credit risk was not material to the fair value of commodity derivative assets at Dec. 31, 2021.
Adjustments to fair value for credit risk of commodity trading instruments are recorded in electric revenues. Credit risk adjustments for other commodity derivative instruments are recorded as other comprehensive income or deferred as regulatory assets and liabilities. Classification as a regulatory asset or liability is based on commission approved regulatory recovery mechanisms. The impact of discounting commodity derivative liabilities for credit risk was immaterial at Dec. 31, 2021.
See Notes 10 and 11 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Cash Flows
Operating Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2020 | $ | 2,848 | |
| Components of change — 2021 vs. 2020 | |||
| Higher net income | 124 | ||
| Non-cash transactions (a) | 52 | ||
| Changes in working capital (b) | (50) | ||
| Changes in net regulatory and other assets and liabilities | (785) | ||
| Cash provided by operating activities — 2021 | $ | 2,189 |
(a) Non-cash transactions applicable to net income (e.g., depreciation, nuclear fuel amortization, changes in deferred income taxes, allowance for equity funds used during construction, etc.).
(b) Working capital includes accounts receivable, accrued unbilled revenues, inventories, accounts payable, other current assets and other current liabilities.
Net cash provided by operating activities decreased by $659 million for 2021 as compared to 2020. The decrease was primarily due to the deferral of net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs related to Winter Storm Uri in the first quarter.
Investing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash used in investing activities — 2020 | $ | (4,740) | |
| Components of change — 2021 vs. 2020 | |||
| Decreased capital expenditures | 1,125 | ||
| Sale of MEC in 2020 | (684) | ||
| Other investing activities | 12 | ||
| Cash used in investing activities — 2021 | $ | (4,287) |
Net cash used in investing activities decreased by $453 million for 2021 as compared to 2020. The decrease in capital expenditures was largely due to the purchase of MEC in January 2020, which was subsequently sold in July 2020, as well as the completion of various wind projects.
Financing Cash Flows
| (Millions of Dollars) | Twelve Months Ended Dec. 31 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash provided by financing activities — 2020 | $ | 1,773 | |
| Components of change — 2021 vs. 2020 | |||
| Higher debt issuances | 202 | ||
| Lower repayments of long-term debt | 584 | ||
| Lower proceeds from issuance of common stock | (361) | ||
| Higher dividends paid to shareholders | (79) | ||
| Other financing activities | 16 | ||
| Cash provided by financing activities — 2021 | $ | 2,135 |
Net cash provided by financing activities increased by $362 million for 2021 as compared to 2020. The increase was primarily attributable to the amount/timing of debt issuances and repayments, changes in capital investment and incremental financing due to the lag in recovery costs associated with Winter Storm Uri.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Capital Requirements
Xcel Energy has contractual obligations and other commitments that will need to be funded in the future. The Company expects to have adequate amounts of cash from operating and/or financing activities to meet both its short-term and long-term cash requirements. Xcel Energy’s financing requirements are dependent on both existing contractual obligations and other commitments, as well as projected capital forecasts. Xcel Energy expects to meet future financing requirements by periodically issuing short-term debt, long-term debt, common stock, hybrid and other securities to maintain desired capitalization ratios. Projected future financing requirements can be impacted by various factors including constraints to supply chain and labor, as well as inflation.
Recovery of the effects of inflation through higher customer rates is dependent upon receiving adequate and timely rate increases. Rate increases may not be retroactive and often lag increases in costs caused by inflation. On occasion, the Company may enter into rate settlement agreements, which require us to wait for a period of time to file the next base rate increase request. These agreements may result in regulatory lag whereby the impact of inflation may not yet be reflected in rates, or a delay may occur between capital project completion and the start of rate recovery. Xcel Energy attempts to mitigate the potential impact of inflation through the use of fuel, energy and other cost adjustment clauses and bill riders, by employing prudent risk management and hedging strategies and by considering, among other areas, its impact on purchases of energy, operating expenses, materials and equipment costs, contract negotiations, future capital spending programs and long-term debt issuances.
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Contractual Obligations and Other Commitments
| Payments Due by Period (as of Dec. 31, 2021) | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions of Dollars) | Total | Less than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 3 to 5 Years | After 5 Years | |||||||||||||
| Long-term debt, principal and interest payments | $ | 37,014 | $ | 1,419 | $ | 3,323 | $ | 3,175 | $ | 29,097 | ||||||||
| Finance lease obligations | 242 | 12 | 24 | 19 | 187 | |||||||||||||
| Operating leases obligations (a) | 1,594 | 256 | 478 | 363 | 497 | |||||||||||||
| Unconditional purchase obligations (b) | 4,837 | 1,718 | 1,538 | 617 | 964 | |||||||||||||
| Other long-term obligations, including current portion (c) | 40 | 36 | 4 | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Other short-term obligations | 455 | 455 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Short-term debt | 1,005 | 1,005 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Total contractual cash obligations | $ | 45,187 | $ | 4,901 | $ | 5,367 | $ | 4,174 | $ | 30,745 |
(a)Included in operating lease obligations are $229 million, $430 million, $335 million and $416 million, for the less than 1 year, 1 - 3 years, 3 - 5 years and after 5 years categories, respectively, pertaining to PPAs that were accounted for as operating leases.
(b)Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries have contracts providing for the purchase and delivery of a significant portion of its fuel (nuclear, natural gas and coal) requirements. Additionally, the utility subsidiaries of Xcel Energy Inc. have entered into non-lease purchase power agreements. Certain contractual purchase obligations are adjusted on indices. Effects of price changes are mitigated through cost of energy adjustment mechanisms.
(c)Primarily consists of contracts for information technology services.
Capital Expenditures — Base capital expenditures and incremental capital forecasts:
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Regulated Utility | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2022 - 2026 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| PSCo | $ | 1,625 | $ | 1,930 | $ | 1,850 | $ | 2,070 | $ | 2,220 | $ | 1,860 | $ | 9,930 | |||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 1,885 | 2,250 | 2,030 | 1,830 | 2,130 | 2,010 | 10,250 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| SPS | 555 | 630 | 660 | 690 | 780 | 790 | 3,550 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 290 | 480 | 420 | 540 | 460 | 390 | 2,290 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other (a) | 25 | (10) | — | 10 | (30) | 10 | (20) | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 4,380 | $ | 5,280 | $ | 4,960 | $ | 5,140 | $ | 5,560 | $ | 5,060 | $ | 26,000 |
| Actual | Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Function | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2022 - 2026 Total | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric distribution | $ | 1,110 | $ | 1,485 | $ | 1,600 | $ | 1,520 | $ | 1,605 | $ | 1,720 | $ | 7,930 | |||||||||||||
| Electric transmission | 830 | 1,105 | 1,220 | 1,575 | 1,965 | 1,555 | 7,420 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric generation | 575 | 645 | 580 | 670 | 650 | 650 | 3,195 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Natural gas | 655 | 655 | 670 | 695 | 660 | 660 | 3,340 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Other | 610 | 725 | 545 | 450 | 340 | 450 | 2,510 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Renewables | 600 | 665 | 345 | 230 | 340 | 25 | 1,605 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total base capital expenditures | $ | 4,380 | $ | 5,280 | $ | 4,960 | $ | 5,140 | $ | 5,560 | $ | 5,060 | $ | 26,000 |
(a) Other category includes intercompany transfers for safe harbor wind turbines.
The five-year capital forecast includes the proposed Colorado Pathway transmission expansion (approximately $1.7 billion) and the proposed 460 MW Sherco solar facility (approximately $600 million).
Additional capital investment in renewable generation and transmission may be needed in the five-year forecast pending approval of regulatory filings in Minnesota and Colorado. The approval of the proposed resource plans could result in up to 2,000 MW of renewable generation being needed between 2024 - 2026, resulting in potential capital expenditures estimated between $1.0 to $1.5 billion (assuming Xcel Energy were to own ~50% of the renewables). Additionally, the associated $0.5 billion to $1.0 billion of network upgrades, voltage support and interconnection work related to the Colorado Power Pathway could also be needed during this five-year forecast depending on resource mix, location and timing. Any additional capital investment would likely be funded with approximately 50% equity and 50% debt.
Xcel Energy’s capital expenditure forecast is subject to continuing review and modification. Actual capital expenditures may vary from estimates due to changes in electric and natural gas projected load growth, safety and reliability needs, regulatory decisions, legislative initiatives (e.g., federal clean energy and tax policy), reserve requirements, availability of purchased power, alternative plans for meeting long-term energy needs, environmental initiatives and regulation, and merger, acquisition and divestiture opportunities.
Financing for Capital Expenditures through 2026 — Xcel Energy issues debt and equity securities to refinance retiring maturities, reduce short-term debt, fund capital programs, infuse equity in subsidiaries, fund asset acquisitions and for other general corporate purposes.
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Current estimated financing plans of Xcel Energy for 2022 through 2026:
| (Millions of Dollars) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Funding Capital Expenditures | |||
| Cash from operations (a) | $ | 17,640 | |
| New debt (b) | 7,110 | ||
| Equity through the DRIP and benefit program | 450 | ||
| Other equity | 800 | ||
| Base capital expenditures 2021 - 2025 | $ | 26,000 | |
| Maturing Debt | $ | 3,900 |
(a) Net of dividends and pension funding.
(b) Reflects a combination of short and long-term debt; net of refinancing.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Xcel Energy does not have any off-balance-sheet arrangements, other than those currently disclosed, that have or are reasonably likely to have a current or future effect on financial condition, changes in financial condition, revenues or expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital expenditures or capital resources that is material to investors.
Common Stock Dividends — Future dividend levels will be dependent on Xcel Energy’s results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, reinvestment opportunities and other factors, and will be evaluated by the Xcel Energy Inc. Board of Directors. In February 2022, Xcel Energy announced an increase in the annual dividend of 12 cents per share, which represents an increase of 6.6%.
Xcel Energy’s dividend policy balances the following:
•Projected cash generation.
•Projected capital investment.
•A reasonable rate of return on shareholder investment.
•The impact on Xcel Energy’s capital structure and credit ratings.
In addition, there are certain statutory limitations that could affect dividend levels. Federal law places limits on the ability of public utilities within a holding company to declare dividends. Under the Federal Power Act, a public utility may not pay dividends from any funds properly included in a capital account. The utility subsidiaries’ dividends may be limited directly or indirectly by state regulatory commissions or bond indenture covenants.
See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Pension Fund — Xcel Energy’s pension assets are invested in a diversified portfolio of domestic and international equity securities, short-term to long-duration fixed income securities and alternative investments, including private equity, real estate and hedge funds.
Funded status and pension assumptions:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Dec. 31, 2021 | Dec. 31, 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair value of pension assets | $ | 3,670 | $ | 3,599 | |||
| Projected pension obligation (a) | 3,718 | 3,964 | |||||
| Funded status | $ | (48) | $ | (365) |
(a)Excludes non-qualified plan of $43 million and $43 million at Dec. 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
| Pension Assumptions | 2021 | 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount rate | 3.08 | % | 2.71 | % | ||
| Expected long-term rate of return | 6.49 | 6.49 |
Capital Sources
Short-Term Funding Sources — Xcel Energy generally funds short-term needs, through operating cash flows, notes payable, commercial paper and bank lines of credit. The amount and timing of short-term funding needs depend on construction expenditures, working capital and dividend payments.
Short-Term Investments — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS maintain cash and short-term investment accounts.
Short-Term Debt — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS each have individual commercial paper programs. Authorized levels for these commercial paper programs are:
•$1.25 billion for Xcel Energy Inc.
•$700 million for PSCo.
•$500 million for NSP-Minnesota.
•$500 million for SPS.
•$150 million for NSP-Wisconsin.
Xcel Energy Inc. repaid its $1.2 billion 364-Day Term Loan Agreement in the fourth quarter.
Xcel Energy’s outstanding short-term debt:
| (Amounts in Millions, Except Interest Rates) | Three Months Ended Dec. 31, 2021 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Borrowing limit | $ | 3,100 | |
| Amount outstanding at period end | 1,005 | ||
| Average amount outstanding | 1,200 | ||
| Maximum amount outstanding | 1,774 | ||
| Weighted average interest rate, computed on a daily basis | 0.54 | % | |
| Weighted average interest rate at end of period | 0.31 |
| (Amounts in Millions, Except Interest Rates) | Year Ended Dec. 31, 2021 | Year Ended Dec. 31, 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borrowing limit | $ | 3,100 | $ | 3,100 | |||
| Amount outstanding at period end | 1,005 | 584 | |||||
| Average amount outstanding | 1,399 | 1,126 | |||||
| Maximum amount outstanding | 2,054 | 2,080 | |||||
| Weighted average interest rate, computed on a daily basis | 0.57 | % | 1.45 | % | |||
| Weighted average interest rate at end of period | 0.31 | 0.23 |
Credit Facility Agreements — Xcel Energy Inc., NSP-Minnesota, PSCo and SPS each have the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for two additional one-year periods beyond the June 2024 termination date. NSP-Wisconsin has the right to request an extension of the revolving credit facility for an additional year. All extension requests are subject to majority bank group approval.
As of Feb. 18, 2022, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
| (Millions of Dollars) | Facility (a) | Drawn (b) | Available | Cash | Liquidity | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Energy Inc. | $ | 1,250 | $ | 757 | $ | 493 | $ | 2 | $ | 495 | |||||||||
| PSCo | 700 | 26 | 674 | 22 | 696 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Minnesota | 500 | 11 | 489 | 13 | 502 | ||||||||||||||
| SPS | 500 | 235 | 265 | 3 | 268 | ||||||||||||||
| NSP-Wisconsin | 150 | — | 150 | 3 | 153 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 3,100 | $ | 1,029 | $ | 2,071 | $ | 43 | $ | 2,114 |
(a)Credit facilities expire in June 2024.
(b)Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit.
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Registration Statements — Xcel Energy Inc.’s Articles of Incorporation authorize the issuance of one billion shares of $2.50 par value common stock. As of Dec. 31, 2021 and 2020, Xcel Energy had approximately 544 million shares and 537 million shares of common stock outstanding, respectively.
Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries have registration statements on file with the SEC pursuant to which they may sell securities from time to time. These registration statements, which are uncapped, permit Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries to issue debt and other securities in the future at amounts, prices and with terms to be determined at the time of future offerings, and in the case of our utility subsidiaries, subject to commission approval.
Planned Financing Activity — Xcel Energy’s 2022 financing plans reflect the following:
•Xcel Energy Inc. — approximately $600 million in unsecured bonds during Q2.
•PSCo — approximately $650 million of first mortgage bonds during Q2.
•SPS — approximately $150 million of first mortgage bonds during Q2.
•NSP-Minnesota — approximately $500 million of first mortgage bonds during Q2.
•NSP-Wisconsin — approximately $100 million of first mortgage bonds during Q3.
Equity through DRIP and Benefits Program — Xcel Energy also plans to issue approximately $90 million of equity annually through the DRIP and benefit programs during the five-year forecast time period.
ATM Equity Offering — In November 2021, Xcel Energy Inc. filed a prospectus supplement under which it may sell up to $800 million of its common stock through an ATM program. As of Dec. 31, 2021, Xcel Energy Inc. issued 5.33 million shares of common stock with net proceeds of $347 million through the ATM program.
Long-Term Borrowings and Other Financing Instruments — See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further information.
Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy 2022 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2022 GAAP and ongoing earnings guidance is a range of $3.10 to $3.20 per share.(a)
Key assumptions as compared with 2021 levels unless noted:
•Constructive outcomes in all rate case and regulatory proceedings.
•Normal weather patterns for the year.
•Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~1%.
•Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to be 0% to 1%.
•Capital rider revenue is projected to increase $35 million to $45 million (net of PTCs). PTCs are credited to customers, through capital riders and reductions to other regulatory mechanisms.
•O&M expenses are projected to increase approximately 1% to 2%.
•Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately $255 million to $265 million.
•Property taxes are projected to increase approximately $40 million to $50 million.
•Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase $55 million to $65 million.
•AFUDC - equity is projected to be relatively flat.
•ETR is projected to be ~(3%) to (5%). The ETR reflects benefits of PTCs which are credited to customers through electric margin and will not have a material impact on net income.
(a) Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. Xcel Energy is unable to forecast if any of these items will occur or provide a quantitative reconciliation of the guidance for ongoing EPS to corresponding GAAP EPS.
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on the following long-term objectives:
• Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of 5% to 7% based off of a 2021 base of $2.96 per share, which represents the mid-point of the revised 2021 guidance range of $2.94 to $2.98 per share.
• Deliver annual dividend increases of 5% to 7%.
• Target a dividend payout ratio of 60% to 70%.
• Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.